Elon Musk Predicts Catastrophic AI Event Will Occur Within 10 Years

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November 18, 2014

Chuck Bednar for redOrbit.com Your Universe Online

Tesla CEO and SpaceX co-founder Elon Musk is once again sounding the alarm about artificial intelligence (AI), stating that the risk of something seriously dangerous happening could be as little as five years away.

According to re/codes John Paczkowski, Musk responded to a post about AI at the website Edge.org with a comment that has since been deleted. In it, Musk essentially said that research into artificial intelligence was moving forward so quickly that he predicted a negative event would occur within the next decade.

He also went on to defend himself from potential criticism by stating that his views were not a case of crying wolf about something I dont understand, added James Cook of Business Insider. Musk added by saying that he is not alone in thinking we should be worried. The leading AI companies recognize the danger, but believe that they can shape and control the digital superintelligences and prevent bad ones from escaping into the Internet. That remains to be seen.

Musks representatives confirmed the authenticity of the comments to Paczkowski. A spokesperson said that Musk sent his views to Edge.org founder John Brockman via email and did not intend for them to be published. The individual added that Musk planned to write a longer blog post addressing the issue at a later date.

The South African-born inventor and entrepreneur has shared his views on the dangers of AI technology on multiple occasions. In October, while addressing those in attendance at the MIT Aeronautics and Astronautics Departments 2014 Centennial Symposium, he compared AI to summoning demons and referred to it as the biggest existential threat currently faced by mankind.

Likewise, as Justin Moyer of The Washington Post pointed out, Musk said that AI was potentially more dangerous than nukes in August, and in June, he cautioned that the scientists in the movie The Terminator did not expect to be developing a killing machine that they simply made the technology and were surprised by the outcome.

It gets weirder: Musk has invested in at least two artificial intelligence companies one of which, DeepMind, he appeared to slight in his recent deleted blog post, Moyer said, adding that while DeepMind was acquired by Google in January, it appears as though Musk was just supporting AI companies to keep an eye on them.

Unless you have direct exposure to groups like DeepMind, you have no idea how fast-it is growing at a pace close to exponential, Musk wrote, according to The Washington Post. Its not from the standpoint of actually trying to make any investment return. Its purely I would just like to keep an eye on whats going on with artificial intelligence.

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Elon Musk Predicts Catastrophic AI Event Will Occur Within 10 Years

Elon Musk Once Again Warns of the Looming Robot Apocalypse

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Tesla and SpaceX founder Elon Musk has once again taken to a public forum to warn everyone that they shouldnt sleep on recent developments in the artificial intelligence field. In short, Musk says that the chance of something seriously dangerous happening is likely in five years or so, and a near certainty within a decade.

Musk posted his warning on science and futurology site edge.org, as a reply to an article titled The Myth of AI. At some point, Musk deleted his comment but quick redditors over at the futurology subreddit caught it.

Heres what he had to say:

The pace of progress in artificial intelligence (Im not referring to narrow AI) is incredibly fast. Unless you have direct exposure to groups like Deepmind, you have no idea how fast-it is growing at a pace close to exponential. The risk of something seriously dangerous happening is in the five year timeframe. 10 years at most. This is not a case of crying wolf about something I dont understand.

I am not alone in thinking we should be worried. The leading AI companies have taken great steps to ensure safety. They recognize the danger, but believe that they can shape and control the digital superintelligences and prevent bad ones from escaping into the Internet. That remains to be seen

This is by no means Musks first warning of the type.

In August, he tweeted that AI was potentially more dangerous than nukes.

A few months ago he vocalized his concerns regarding a possible Skynet scenario. In fact, he pretty much admitted to investing in an AI company so that he could keep an eye on them.

And barely three weeks ago, speaking at MITs Aeronautics and Astronautics departments Centennial Symposium, Musk compared harnessing AI to controlling a demon.

I think we should be very careful about artificial intelligence. If I were to guess like what our biggest existential threat is, its probably that. So we need to be very careful with the artificial intelligence.

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Elon Musk Once Again Warns of the Looming Robot Apocalypse

Elon Musks private warning on AI: seriously dangerous in 5 years

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Brittany Hillen

In October during an MIT event, Elon Musk shared a word of caution about artificial intelligence, saying that humanity needs to be careful with the technology, and that it is likely "our biggest existential threat". He drove the point home, saying that by trifling with artificial intelligence "we are summoning the demon." Following this, a comment from Musk about artificial intelligence efforts that was supposed to remain private was inadvertently published for all to see, and it paints a far more dire warning.

The statement was made public following a misunderstanding about whether it was supposed to be kept private (it was). Over on Edge.org, a piece featuring Jaron Lanier discussing artificial intelligence was posted. If you scroll to the end of the feature, you'll see statements from others who shared their own thoughts on the technology, and amongst them for a brief period of time was the following from Musk:

The pace of progress in artificial general intelligence (I'm not referring to narrow AI) is incredibly fast. Unless you have direct exposure to groups like Deepmind, you have no idea how fast -- it is growing at a pace close to exponential. The risk of something seriously dangerous happening is in the five year timeframe. 10 years at most. Please note that I am normally super pro technology, and have never raised this issue until recent months. This is not a case of crying wolf about something I don't understand.

According to a spokesperson that spoke to the folks at Mashable, Musk's statement was made in an email and hadn't been intended for publication. The statement was pulled, but not before someone managed to grab a screenshot, which quickly went viral. It was summed up with:

I am not alone in thinking we should be worried. The leading AI companies have taken great steps to ensure safety. They recognize the danger, but believe that they can shape and control the digital superintelligences and prevent bad ones from escaping into the Internet. That remains to be seen..."

Check out the gallery below to see the actual screenshot of Musk's statement, courtesy of Reddit user "Buck-Nasty". Be sure to check out the timeline, as well, for related news.

VIA: Mashable

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Elon Musks private warning on AI: seriously dangerous in 5 years

Elon Musk's secret fear: Artificial Intelligence will turn deadly in 5 years

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By Adario Strange2014-11-18 01:56:08 UTC

There's plenty of debate over the singularity a hypothetical future moment where software becomes self-aware and smart beyond our capacity to understand. Some say it will be a boon for humanity; some foresee an Artificial Intelligence-driven apocalypse.

We already knew that Elon Musk was in the latter camp. Now we know that the SpaceX and Tesla entrepreneur thinks the A.I. doom is approaching faster than anyone suspects within the next 5-10 years.

It all started last Friday, when noted virtual reality pioneer Jaron Lanier was featured on publisher John Brockman's site, Edge.org, discussing the potential threat of artificial intelligence in a post titled "The Myth of A.I." Following his thoughts are comments from a number of science and technology luminaries weighing in on the topic. Among those comments were the thoughts of Musk, who sounded a particularly alarming note about the threat of A.I.

"The risk of something seriously dangerous happening is in the five year timeframe. 10 years at most," wrote Musk. "Please note that I am normally super pro technology and have never raised this issue until recent months. This is not a case of crying wolf about something I don't understand."

The problem: according to a Musk spokesperson contacted by Mashable, the comments were emailed to Brockman and were not intended to be made public on the site.

Soon after after the comment appeared, it was removed, but not before a screenshot of the comment was captured and posted on Reddit, effectively ensuring that Musk's supposedly private comments were preserved for all the Internet see.

Aside from the frighteningly near-term prediction, the other thing that seemed to give Musk's comment import was the mention of DeepMind, a very real company he has invested in that works in the artificial intelligence space.

"The pace of progress in artificial intelligence (I'm not referring to narrow AI) is incredibly fast," said Musk. "Unless you have direct exposure to groups like Deepmind, you have no idea how fast it is growing at a pace close to exponential."

Later, Musk went on to claim that his view is shared by others working in the space.

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Elon Musk's secret fear: Artificial Intelligence will turn deadly in 5 years

025 Sweden – Air Force Gulfstream Aerospace Tp102D takeoff at Berlin Tegel airport 15 Nov 14 – Video

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025 Sweden - Air Force Gulfstream Aerospace Tp102D takeoff at Berlin Tegel airport 15 Nov 14
025 Sweden - Air Force Gulfstream Aerospace Tp102D takeoff at Berlin Tegel airport (TXL/EDDT) "Otto Lilienthal" 15 Nov 2014 Why? Government meeting in Berlin Enjoy.

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025 Sweden - Air Force Gulfstream Aerospace Tp102D takeoff at Berlin Tegel airport 15 Nov 14 - Video

Swiss British Aerospace Avro 146-RJ100 Flight LX1105 Munich to Zurich HB-IXT – Video

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Swiss British Aerospace Avro 146-RJ100 Flight LX1105 Munich to Zurich HB-IXT
Swiss British Aerospace Avro 146-RJ100 (cn E3259) Flight / Flug LX1105 From Munich Franz Josef Strau Germany MUC / EDDM to Zurich / Zrich ZRH / LSZH Reg : HB-IXT Flug von Mnchen nach...

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Swiss British Aerospace Avro 146-RJ100 Flight LX1105 Munich to Zurich HB-IXT - Video

Georgia Aerospace Engineers In A Potentially Bad Situation

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Tue, Nov 18, 2014

It's one of those examples of two governments working at cross purposes ... with regular people caught in the middle.

A state law in Georgia requires anyone working to design, build or repair airplanes, helicopters, and other things that fly to be licensed by the state. But the Savannah Morning News reports that the state no longer administers the exams because the FAA oversees the operation of aircraft. That leaves aerospace engineers in Georgia with no way to get a state license to do their jobs unless they take a general engineering exam that requires them to know about things like concrete and building ventilation.

While that might seem to be a pretty major problem, most Georgia aerospace companies simply ignore the law. As Greg Kress, co-owner of Top Flight Aerostructures in Dallas, GA, told the paper, "no one from the state ever knocks on our door saying 'let me see your license'."

Florida is reportedly the only one of 50 states that does not require a state license for aerospace engineers ... at least officially ... because of the work done in Florida by NASA during the last half of the 20th century.

The quirk in the Georgia law came to light during a hearing held by a legislative committee looking at ways to bolster the aerospace industry in the state. Analysts say Georgia is considered to be among the leaders in the UAV industry, and community leaders in Camden County on the Georgia Coast are looking at a parcel of land for a proposed commercial space launch site.

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Georgia Aerospace Engineers In A Potentially Bad Situation

Able Aerospace Services, Air Evac Lifeteam Expand Partnership

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MESA, Arizona (November 11, 2014) Able Aerospace Services is expanding its partnership with OFallon, Missouri-based Air Evac Lifeteam. As part of the expanded partnership, Air Evac will transition the airframe maintenance/upgrades currently completed in Air Evacs West Plains Completion Center to Ables facility in Mesa, Arizona. Upgrades will include Garmin glass cockpits and HeliSAS autopilot systems. Additionally, Able will incorporate Air Evacs EMS mission specific equipment on new aircraft deliveries from Bell Helicopter.

Air Evac currently operates the Bell 206L and Bell 407 at 116 bases in 15 states, providing 24-hour air medical services for rural and medically underserved communities.

Ables relationship with Air Evac has steadily expanded over the last 10 years. Supporting them through a fleet-wide avionics/autopilot upgrade represents a natural progression of the partnership. We were able to offer them declining costs over five years and they offer us a large volume of stable repetitive work. Its truly a win-win proposition, said Able Aerospace Services CEO and President, Lee Benson.

As Air Evacs West Plains facility is retired, Able holds key interest in the skills/experience possessed by the employees there. Able held a successful on-site job fair at the West Plains facility last week to recruit displaced Air Evac employees interested in relocation to Ables Mesa campus.

About Able Aerospace Services Able Aerospace Services is one of the worlds leading aerospace repair, overhaul, design and manufacturing facilities. Able combines more than 32 years of dynamic component repair and overhaul experience with a staff of approximately 450 employees, including more than 30 engineers, and a large spares inventory. Ables mission is to safely reduce aircraft operating costs by providing resourceful component repair, overhaul and approved replacement parts solutions.

About Air Evac Lifeteam Air Evac Lifeteam, an air medical service, provides rapid access to definitive healthcare for those who live in medically underserved areas. Flight crews, consisting of a pilot, flight nurse and flight paramedic, are on duty 24 hours a day, seven days a week to respond to the scene of an emergency, or provide transportation between medical facilities. Air Evac Lifeteam currently operates 116 bases in 15 states. For more information, visit http://www.lifeteam.net.

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Able Aerospace Services, Air Evac Lifeteam Expand Partnership

AMAC Aerospace appointed exclusive distributor of the new Pilatus PC-24 Super Versatile Jet in the Middle East

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AMAC Aerospace, a leading provider of corporate aviation maintenance and completion services has been appointed by Pilatus as the exclusive Sales Distributor for the all-new PC-24 light jet in the Middle East. The new appointment, formally signed on October 30th extends AMACs existing exclusive agreement with Pilatus as a fully Authorised Service Centre and Sales Distributor for the PC-12NG in the region which it has held since 2012.

AMAC also confirms that it will acquire two PC-24 aircraft, which are due for delivery in the fourth quarter of 2019. The new jet is scheduled to receive EASA Certification in 2017. The two flagship aircraft will be delivered with an executive interior and will be used for demonstrator purposes to support its sales efforts in the region.

AMAC Aerospace will market the PC-24 in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Yemen, Kuwait, Iraq, Bahrain, Qatar, Syria, Jordan, Lebanon, Egypt and Turkey. All maintenance services for the new PC-24 will be coordinated through the AMAC Aerospace facility at Ataturk Airport, Istanbul. The twin engine PC-24 will offer Middle Eastern customers the practicality of a turboprop with the performance of a light jet. Its short field performance with the capability to land on grass strips or unpaved surfaces makes its highly mobile and suitable to the region. It can fulfil multi-role missions too from accommodating up to 10 passengers in executive comfort to serving as an air ambulance or special mission role - attributes which will appeal to certain Middle Eastern customers. Making it even more appealing is its attractive price point - US8.9 million.

Everyone working on the PC-24 program should be proud to see entry of this aircraft come from 2017 and we at AMAC are excited to promote this aircraft to the Middle East region said Mr. Kadri Muhiddin, Group Executive Chairman and CEO.AMAC Turkeys three-storey sales and service centre at Ataturk Airport, Istanbul features 1,500 sqm of hangarage, 1,200 square meters of shop floor space and 300 square meters of office space. Its wide ranging core aviation services include line and base maintenance; defect rectification & AOG Support; accomplishment of airworthiness reviews and certificates; AD/SB assessment; development of maintenance and reliability programmes; planning of scheduled maintenance activities; management of modification and repairs; out-sourced engineering tasks and services and pre-buy inspections.

AMAC Aerospace will be exhibiting at MEBA during 8-10 December on Stand A13. The company will be promoting the PC-24 during the show and exhibiting the PC-12NG on the static display.

About AMAC Aerospace

AMAC Aerospace, founded in 2007, is headed by Group Executive Chairman & CEO Kadri Muhiddin. The company boasts a 630-strong workforce and an order book of US$1 billion plus. Its business is split 60:40 between VIP completions and maintenance work and its extensive hangarage facilities in Basel, Switzerland have the capability to accommodate two wide-body and four single-aisle large jets, plus lighter business jet types.

http://www.amacaerospace.com

About Pilatus Aircraft LtdFounded in 1939, Pilatus Aircraft Ltd is the only Swiss company to develop, produce and sell aircraft to customers around the world: from the legendary Pilatus Porter PC-6 to the best-selling PC-12, a single-engine turboprop, and the PC-21, the training system of the future. Pilatus is currently developing the PC-24 the worlds first ever business jet for use on short unmade runways. Headquartered in Stans, Switzerland, Pilatus is a privately held company employing over 1700 people worldwide. Based in Broomfield, Colorado, Pilatus Business Aircraft Ltd, a wholly owned subsidiary of Pilatus Aircraft Ltd, was founded in 1996 to provide completions, marketing, sales, and service for Pilatus aircraft in North and South America.

http://www.pilatus-aircraft.com

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AMAC Aerospace appointed exclusive distributor of the new Pilatus PC-24 Super Versatile Jet in the Middle East

Homeopathy & Nanomedicine in Chronic Disease and Immune Disorders – Dana Ullman – Video

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Homeopathy Nanomedicine in Chronic Disease and Immune Disorders - Dana Ullman
Dana Ullman, MPH, CCH presents Homeopathy Nanomedicine in Chronic Disease and Immune Disorders on October 16, 2014 at Palo Alto, CA. DANA ULLMAN, MPH, CCH, is one of America #39;s ...

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Homeopathy & Nanomedicine in Chronic Disease and Immune Disorders - Dana Ullman - Video

The Department of NanoMedicine and BioMedical Engineering

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The Department of NanoMedicine and Biomedical Engineering is focused on inter-disciplinary research combining NanoMedicine, Biomedical Engineering and computational sciences to develop novel therapeutic and diagnostic platforms for combating diseases including cancer, cardiovascular diseases and infectious diseases. In partnership with UT M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, a number of major initiatives are being brought together in the South Campus CABIR research building, including a new multi-institutional NCI Center on NanoMedicine and a GE, UTHealth and UTMDACC partnership to create a new, state-of-the-art imaging center.

A NanoMedicine and Biomedical Engineering Scholarly Concentration is designed to offer the student the opportunity to learn emerging new technologies in biomedical nanotechnology and engineering.

A series of cross-appointments with faculty in other departments, divisions, and units and adjunct appointments with faculty in other collaborating institutions through The Alliance for NanoHealth and other Texas Medical Center institutions are utilized to enhance multidisciplinary research and expand the available opportunities for the training and teaching of students.

Several ongoing research projects include:

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The Department of NanoMedicine and BioMedical Engineering

Eyes On The Skies

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Published: 17 Nov 2014 15:300 comments

A REGULAR feature from Tweeddale Astronomical Society...

THE increased popularity of astronomy as an interest and hobby over recent years has been in large part due to one of mankinds greatest technological achievements, the Hubble Space Telescope.

Hubble telescope.

Since its launch in 1990, Hubble has been providing us with spectacular images in exquisite detail. These have not just delighted the amateurs among us and inspired many to take up the hobby, but have given professional astronomers and cosmologists a wealth of insight into the history, structure and diversity of the universe.

The telescope was named after Edwin Hubble, who in the late 1920s demonstrated that the Milky Way was not the entire universe, but was in fact just one of billions of galaxies, all of which seemed to be racing away from one another after an event which became known as 'The Big Bang.

So, why put a telescope in space? In its position 353 miles above the Earth, Hubble uses its 2.4m mirror to get a view of the universe that typically far surpasses that of much larger ground-based telescopes, which look through an atmosphere that can distort and block the light that reaches our planet.

Even the mountain-top telescopes in Chile, Hawaii and the Canary Islands, which can have mirrors as large as 10m across, still suffer from these effects and struggle to match the results of Hubble.

Amongst other things, Hubbles gaze has helped determine the age of the universe, discover planets outside our solar system, and demonstrate the existence of dark energy. One of the most striking images produced by Hubble came from scientists pointing the telescope at an apparently empty part of the sky and collecting light for almost 12 days.

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Eyes On The Skies

World War 3: Russian Nuclear War Possible If U.S. And NATO Intervene In Ukraine – Video

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World War 3: Russian Nuclear War Possible If U.S. And NATO Intervene In Ukraine
World War 3: Russian Nuclear War Possible If U.S. And NATO Intervene In Ukraine Russian Warships Poised Outside G20 Summit In Australia, Russia Backs Out Of Nuclear Security Deal Read more...

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World War 3: Russian Nuclear War Possible If U.S. And NATO Intervene In Ukraine - Video

Jacob Appelbaum – One Hour Of The Best Interviews and Talks – Tor, NSA, Mass Surveillance – Video

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Jacob Appelbaum - One Hour Of The Best Interviews and Talks - Tor, NSA, Mass Surveillance
Jacob Appelbaum - One Hour Of The Best Interviews and Talks - Tor, NSA, Mass Surveillance In this video we see a compilation of Jacob Appelbaum interviews. Jacob Appelbaum is lead developer...

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Jacob Appelbaum - One Hour Of The Best Interviews and Talks - Tor, NSA, Mass Surveillance - Video

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Capt. Dexter Matthews NSA Panama City Fire Department @ Marina Cantina PCB, Fl. – Video

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Capt. Dexter Matthews NSA Panama City Fire Department @ Marina Cantina PCB, Fl.
Capnhollywood singing Karaoke Sara Smile at Marina Cantina in Panama City, Florida Sent from my iPhone Begin forwarded message:

By: Dexter Matthews capnhollywood@gmail.com Date:...

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Capt. Dexter Matthews NSA Panama City Fire Department @ Marina Cantina PCB, Fl. - Video

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The State Secrets That Senator Mark Udall Should Reveal

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As a lame-duck member of Congress, the Coloradan has the unique ability to expose CIA and NSA lawbreakingwithout breaking the law himself.

Rick Wilking/Reuters

When Mark Udall lost his Senate seat in the midterm elections, civil libertarians familiar with his efforts to inform Americans about the CIA and NSA had the same thought: Before leaving office, the Colorado Democrat should tell the public about the abuses the government is trying to hide. National-security officials are able to violate the Constitution and various statutes with impunity in large part because they classify their misbehavior as a state secret. It's a neat trick. To expose their lawbreaking, one must first break the law.

But there is a check on this unscrupulous trick.

Members of Congress can reveal classified information in their capacity as legislators without facing legal consequences. As the U.S. Constitution puts it, "The Senators and Representatives shall receive a Compensation for their Services, to be ascertained by Law, and paid out of the Treasury of the United States. They shall in all Cases, except Treason, Felony and Breach of the Peace, be privileged from Arrest during their Attendance at the Session of their respective Houses, and in going to and returning from the same; and for any Speech or Debate in either House, they shall not be questioned in any other Place."

This "Speech or Debate Clause" was most famously invoked in 1971, when Senator Mike Gravel called a late-night subcommittee meeting and entered the Pentagon Papers into the Congressional Record, liberating them for the public and thwarting executive-branch officials who insisted that they should be suppressed.

Today, it's CIA torture and mass surveillance of innocent people that the executive branch wants to hide. It's beyond dispute that Bush administration interrogation tactics were illegal, as is the fact, documented in FISA Court opinions, that the NSA knowingly violated the Fourth Amendment on many occasions. Yet there is a lot about torture and surveillance that Americans still don't know.

Using the Speech or Debate privilege to reveal abuses could be costly for a sitting senator, who'd risk being stripped of his or her clearance to see classified information or even expelled from the Senate for violating its rules. Udall is a lame duck, so his calculus is simpler. He only needs to ask himself what is right. What fulfills his obligations to his constituents, his country, and the oath of office he took to support and defend the Constitution? Preserving his ability to fight for civil liberties another day is no longer an option.

That frame is clarifying: He is now obligated to speak out. I do not reach that conclusion lightly. As a general rule, I believe legislators should be wary of revealing classified information, but the abuses being covered up are clear, radical and corrosive to a democratic society. Consider the details of the torture issue alone:

Until and unless the report is released, the prevailing narrative on torture will remain influenced by the misleading propaganda of torture proponents, increasing the chance that the U.S. will adopt immoral, ineffective, illegal interrogation techniques in a future war or national emergency.

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The State Secrets That Senator Mark Udall Should Reveal

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