6 biggest fears to overcome if you want to be successful in 2021, according to a futurist – CNBC

Research shows the that the biggest barrier to ongoing success isn't time, money or resources it's resistance to change and lack of risk tolerance.

As fast-moving and unpredictable as today's world is, we're all forced to adapt on a daily basis. In my years of research as a futurist, I've found that fear comes in six flavors. If you shift your perspectives and learn to conquer them, the possibilities will be endless in 2021.

Whether it's in yourcareeror a relationship, yourisk being left behind if you stay put and don't continue to grow.

Don't try to predict the future. Instead, study events as they take shape, and adapt. Design a portfolio of smart bets to take bets in the form of changing decisions and actions. Constantly revise them as you gain new information.

It can sometimes feel uncomfortable to be in your own company or left to operate with little or no support from others, especially amid a pandemic.

But there are ways to push forward. Take small steps to build trust and strong relationships with your colleagues, friends and family members. Be part of the team, but reclaim your relationship with yourself, too.

Having a hostile personal or professional interaction with others can often get ugly. But when we always try to avoid these situations, problems don't get fixed.

Ask yourself: What's worth your time, and what isn't? Take a step back and think about the best ways to tackle them. Begin addressing them one step at a time, updating your strategy based on the results you get.

You didn't get the job. A potential client is avoiding you. Your product or service got refused. We've all been there.

Maintain confidence and keep forging ahead. You're going to hear "no" more often than "yes" in life. And sometimes, no often simply means "no for now" so don't hesitate to try later, as circumstances can change.

Research shows that the need to stay on top of everything and manage circumstances and people around us is often rooted the fear of losing control.

Instead of questioning your ability to command or adapt to situations that don't go your way, accept that certain variables are beyond your control. Focus on things that you have the power to manage.

Big, meaningful goals take time to achieve. And you may experience more than a few setbacks before getting there.

Experiment frequently. Fail fast and often, but fail smartly use failure as a way to test new strategies and solutions to course-correct as you go until you find success. Just don't make the same mistake twice.

Scott Steinbergis a futurist, keynote speaker on business trends and the bestselling author of"Fast >> Forward"and"Think Like a Futurist."An award-winning strategic consultant, Scott was named by Fortune magazine as a leading expert on innovation. Follow him onTwitter.

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6 biggest fears to overcome if you want to be successful in 2021, according to a futurist - CNBC

NASA Killed All Its Monkeys on the Same Day, Investigation Reveals – Futurism

Mass Euthanasia

NASA euthanized all 27 primates at the agencys Ames research center in California in February 2019, The Guardian reports, causing outrage among animal welfare groups. According to the newspaper, the culling eliminated all the agencys monkeys.

According to animal rights advocates, the monkeys could have easily gone to sanctuaries. John Gluck, an expert in animal ethics at the University of New Mexico, told the Guardian that the animals were apparently not considered worthy of a chance at a sanctuary life. Not even a try? Disposal instead of the expression of simple decency. Shame on those responsible.

21 of the monkeys reportedly had Parkinsons, according to documents obtained by the newspaper.

US House representative Kathleen Rice (D-NY) is pushing NASA administrator Jim Bridenstine for an explanation.

I look forward to an explanation from administrator Bridenstine on why these animals were forced to waste away in captivity and be euthanized rather than live out their lives in a sanctuary, Rice told The Guardian.

The monkeys were held by drug research company LifeSource BioMedical, which had leased space at Ames from NASA.

The animals were reportedly not part of any research. According to the companys CEO Stephanie Solis, LifeSource BioMedical agreed to accept the animals, acting as a sanctuary and providing all care at our own cost, until their advanced age and declining health resulted in a decision to humanely euthanize to avoid a poor quality of life.

Despite efforts to stop the use of primates in laboratory research, countless labs around the country continue to use monkeys in their research. In 2017 alone, a record 76,000 primates were used by US biomedical researchers, according to data released by the US Department of Agriculture.

READ MORE: Revealed: Nasa killed all 27 monkeys held at research center on single day in 2019 [The Guardian]

More on primates: Scientists Are Running Out of Primates to Test Vaccines On

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NASA Killed All Its Monkeys on the Same Day, Investigation Reveals - Futurism

Kids on TikTok Are Convinced We’re Living in a Simulation – Futurism

Hot New Trend

For the past few weeks, simulation theory has been spreading across TikTok.

A growing number of TikTokers are signing on to or at least considering the idea that our world is a giant, Matrix-like simulation, as demonstrated in a roundup by YourTango. The idea spreading across the platform is that some super-advanced civilization, be it human or alien, built a virtual environment so powerful that we, as cognizant as we feel, are all just digital characters living in a sophisticated video game.

Simulation theory first proposed in 2001 by Oxford philosopher Nick Bostrom spread across the app after TikToker Heidi Wong posted a video that introduced the hypothesis and argued that were more likely to live in a simulation than reality, citing recent advances in video game graphics as evidence.

Out of all these simulations theres only one base reality, so statistically we are more likely to be in a simulation, Wong argued.

YouTango also pointed to personalities on the platform including Scarlett Mills, Emily Montgomery, and Ashley Lanese that jumped on the trend.

Basically we are living inside a video game, said TikToker Nikki Jain. Honestly, this does make sense if you think about how realistic video games are getting day by day and all the little glitches you see in the world that are unexplainable would make sense behind this theory.

To be clear, theres not yet any way to test the simulation hypothesis, and the fact that its hard to actively disprove doesnt make it true no matter how many big names, including Elon Musk advocate for it.

But that isnt stopping TikTokers from trying. Though it may be tongue-in-cheek, other accountshave started posting what they call glitches in the Matrix, according to YourTango, which might include objects seemingly appearing out of nowhere or cars hitting invisible objects.

READ MORE: What Is The TikTok Computer Simulation Theory? Why TikTokers Are Convinced Were Living In A Real-Life Truman Show [YourTango]

More on Simulation Theory: Simulation Theory May Cause the Annihilation of our Universe.

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Kids on TikTok Are Convinced We're Living in a Simulation - Futurism

Apple Is Reportedly Releasing a Self-Driving Car in 2024 – Futurism

Project Titan

According to a Reuters exclusive, tech giant Apple is planning to produce a self-driving passenger car to be released as soon as 2024 despite several layoffs hitting the companys automobile efforts over the last couple of years.

The project, known as Project Titan, was reportedly first approved by CEO Tim Cook six years ago. Rumors surrounding Apples efforts to built a car started swirling in 2015. Ever since then, the project has been kept tightly under wraps.

Apple may have ambitious plans for its automotive efforts that span beyond just self-driving capabilities. According to Reuters, the company is designing a new battery that could radically reduce the cost of batteries and increase range.

If there is one company on the planet that has the resources to do that, its probably Apple, an unnamed Project Titan team member told Reuters. But at the same time, its not a cellphone.

Self-driving tech will reportedly rely on lidar, not unlike the sensors built into Apples iPhone 12 Pro and iPad Pro devices that were released this year.

A new monocell battery design could free up a ton of space inside the battery pack. Its next level, Reuters source said. Like the first time you saw the iPhone.

READ MORE: Exclusive: Apple targets car production by 2024 and eyes next level battery technology [Reuters]

More on Apples car: Apple Lays Off 200 Workers From Secretive Self-Driving Car Project

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Apple Is Reportedly Releasing a Self-Driving Car in 2024 - Futurism

Scott Underwood column: 2020 wasn’t what it was cracked up to be – The Herald Bulletin

After we got past Y2K, 2020 towered like a beacon of light, attracting the moths of prognostication. Twenty years before, the 20/20 promise of perfect vision was simply too enticing to ignore.

Some projected spectacular advances in technology, breakthroughs in health care and sweeping changes in the world order.

Few foresaw that a spiky microscopic ball would completely dominate the landscape in 2020, wreaking death, depression and recession.

Before we give 2020 one last kick in the pants, lets look back at what the past year was supposed to bring.

In 1997, futurists Peter Schwartz and Peter Leyden predicted that Americans would be voting electronically from home long before 2020 rolled around.

While the novel coronavirus prompted many states to expand mail-in voting, can you imagine the controversy that electronic home voting would have caused in the 2020 election? The lawsuits would still be flying.

Schwartz and Leyden took another flyer when they predicted that China was on the path to democracy.

The Chinese people, of course, still suffer under the yoke of authoritarian rule, and the government still draws scrutiny for human rights violations, particularly against the Uighurs, minority Muslims whove been subjected to reeducation camps.

While the idea that the Chinese intentionally unleashed the coronavirus on the rest of the world has been thoroughly discredited, theres no doubt that the Chinese government is more than capable of harming people at home and abroad.

In 2005, Ray Kurzweil, a futurist and computer scientist, wrote that by the 2020s, nanobots would be used inside the human body to feed cells and remove waste. Kurzweil projected that these nanobots would render eating and drinking obsolete.

Yuck. That sounds like an even worse 2020 than the one we got.

Kurzweil also thought that print books would be dead by 2020, greatly exaggerating the demise of an industry.

Last year, 650 million printed books sold in the United States, according to statistica.com.

Schwartz and Leyden predicted that almost every new car sold would be a hybrid in 2020 and that most would use hydrogen power.

They were a little bit off. Hybrids, plug-in hybrids and all-electric cars account for just 4% of the light vehicle market today in the United States, according to the U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

Few cars sold in the country use hydrogen power.

The Space Studies Board of the National Research Council predicted in 1996 that NASA would coordinate possible human exploratory missions to the moon and Mars within the next quarter century, explicitly projecting that humans would land on Mars by 2018.

While weve sent eight unmanned missions to Mars, men walking on the red planet are limited to fictional accounts.

And this one seems fitting to end.

Dave Evans, a futurist for Cisco Visual Networking, predicted that there would be no more need for predictions from futurists.

By 2020, predicting the future will be commonplace for the average person, he said in 2012. We are amassing unprecedented amounts of data New image and video analysis algorithms and tools will unlock this rich source of data, creating unprecedented insight. Cloud-based tools will allow anyone to mine this data and perform what-if analysis, even using it to predict the future.

Well, we certainly all could have used that technological crystal ball going into 2020. If wed known what was coming, we would have been highly motivated to build a time machine and leap a year ahead.

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Scott Underwood column: 2020 wasn't what it was cracked up to be - The Herald Bulletin

Elon Musk Reveals That Apple Refused to Buy Tesla – Futurism

Clash of the Titans

According to a recent Reutersexclusive, tech giant Apple is working on a self-driving car that could hit the market as soon as 2024. The vehicle, known as Project Titan, has been in the works for over six years.

Despite layoffs, Apple has ambitious plans for its first foray into the passenger vehicle market: a radically redesigned car battery that uses next-level technologies. The report was short on details about this new battery tech beyond it using a monocell battery design.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk reflected on the surprising announcement via Twitter Tuesday afternoon and revealed some interesting history between the two companies.

There was a time, Musk revealed, that he tried to interest Apple in buying the nascent Tesla.

During the darkest days of the Model 3 program, I reached out to Tim Cook to discuss the possibility of Apple acquiring Tesla (for 1/10 of our current value), Musk wrote in a separate tweet.

Tesla had to overcome numerous production challenges with its Model 3. The sedan faced several years of delays, with the company struggling to scale up production fast enough to meet demand. At one point, Musk resorted to sleeping on a couch at the companys factory in Fremont, California.

But Cook refused to take the meeting, Musk recalled.

Musk also weighed in on Reuters reporting that Apple will be using a next-generation battery. According to Musk, Tesla may already have implemented similar technologies in its cars.

Tesla already uses iron-phosphate for medium range cars made in our Shanghai factor, Musk wrote.

A monocell is electrochemically impossible, as max voltage is ~100X too low, he added. Maybe they meant cells bonded together, like our structural battery pack?

More on the iCar: Apple Is Reportedly Releasing a Self-Driving Car in 2024

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Elon Musk Reveals That Apple Refused to Buy Tesla - Futurism

2020 Catalyzed Crowdsourcing and HeroX is Poised to Take Crowdsourcing Mainstream in 2021 – WFMZ Allentown

VANCOUVER,BC, Dec. 23, 2020 /PRNewswire/ --HeroX, the social network for innovation and the world's leading platform for crowdsourced solutions, today announced several milestone accomplishments despite a year of unprecedented challenges. This year HeroX, whose network matches problem solvers with challenges in need of resolution, achieved headway in its mission of taking crowdsourcing mainstream. Weathering a pandemic that made collaborative problem-solving both necessary and logistically difficult, HeroX met the moment with record participation and prize-winning innovation and a Partner Program that now spans across the globe.

"This year brought with it once-in-a-century challenges, and we had millions of people at home and online, eager to make a difference," said Christian Cotichini, CEO of HeroX. "Governments, companies, and communities could turn to the HeroX crowd for cutting-edge solutions, safely tapping into a worldwide network of talent. Problem-solvers accelerated the production of ventilators, designed innovative masks, and made 3D printing templates accessible to those in need. COVID catalyzed crowdsourcing, and it is here to stay: we have seen that it is the most resilient and innovative means of problem solving out there."

Homebase to a network of millions of solvers across the world, with over 450 Challenges from individuals to large companies and organizations, HeroX is a bridge between untapped talent and seemingly intractable problems. HeroX provides the platform for individuals, companies, government agencies, and nonprofit organizations to create challenges that reach the widest possible pool of potential problem solvers. HeroX invites the mad geniuses, the misfit tinkerers, the undiscovered experts, and the out-of-the-box thinkers, without excluding anyone based on their location, background, or credentials. HeroX has a singular purpose: breakthrough innovation.

Founded by three titans, HeroX was developed to democratize crowdsourcing: Cotichini is a serial entrepreneur and recognized leader in the crowdsourcing and open-innovation industry; Peter Diamandis is the futurist and the founder of XPRIZE; and Emily Fowler, is the intuit and the CEO of Purpose Ventures. They shared a common vision: offer sizable rewards for sizable problems. They wanted anyone with a problem, no matter how big or small, to be able to tap the collective genius of humanity even if they didn't have the millions of dollars required to do so, and they wanted anyone, anywhere, to have access to participate.

Their mission has undoubtedly been a successful one. HeroX has partnered with Boeing, the National Institutes of Health, NBC, lululemon, and NASA, among others, and has awarded over $50M to solvers, sourcing talent from over 180 countries worldwide.

NASA has hosted a multitude of challenges on the HeroX platform, including the wildly successful crowdsourcing challenge, NASA's Lunar Loo, attracting nearly 20,000 international solvers, and generating over 380 news features across the globe. The challenge produced designs for the first zero-gravity toilet in time for the 2024 visit to the Moon. The challenge also engaged youth through Lunar Loo Jr., which was open to innovators under 18.

Other notable prize competitions include Exploring Hell, designing a rover that can withstand Venus' hellacious heat, Make America Vote, crowdsourcing solutions to get more people to the polls, and the lululemon Healthier Communities, tapping the crowd for innovative ways to use store locations and community hubs to improve mind, body, and the local community at large.. HeroX also created COVID-19 Central for pandemic-related challenges. Here, problem solvers have been able to share rapidly evolving research and better aggregate the diverse insights of globally distant research teams.

"Providing an outlet to access a public community at scale to receive diverse perspectives outside of their walls will be a big value add," said Coby Skonord, CEO, Ideawake.

"HeroX is proud to add partners such as Maven, Ideawake, yet2, Brightidea and TAM Hub in 2020," said Cotichini. "We are living in an increasingly interconnected world, and our combined networks of over 2 million problem solvers is closing the gap between idea generators and idea users. With much of the world still suffering from the impact of COVID-19, there is a new crowd out there, ready to make a difference and dream up the inventive solutions we need for today's pressing problems."


HeroX is a social network for crowdsourcing innovation and human ingenuity, co-founded in 2013 by serial entrepreneur, Christian Cotichini and XPRIZE Founder and Futurist, Peter Diamandis. HeroX offers a turnkey, easy-to-use platform that supports anyone, anywhere, to solve everyday business and world challenges using the power of the crowd. Uniquely positioned as the Social Network for Innovation, HeroX is the only place you can build, grow and curate your very own crowd.For more information, go to herox.com

Media Contact:Alexandra Pony261985@email4pr.com250.858.0656


2020 Catalyzed Crowdsourcing and HeroX is Poised to Take Crowdsourcing Mainstream in 2021 - WFMZ Allentown

Report: Electric Cars Could Be Cheaper Than Gas Ones in Just 2 Years – Futurism

Driving Competition

In a matter of just two to three years, electric cars are on track to become cheaper than their gasoline-powered alternatives, according to a new report by energy research firm BloombergNEF.

According to the report, the market average for batteries will hit just $101 per kWh by 2023. Analysts have long predicted that for electric vehicles to match the price of gas ones, the cost would have to meet a $100 per kWh threshold and federal and state tax credits could end up pushing it below that figure, as Car and Driver notes.

The reason why the price of energy storage is such an importantautomotive indicator is because the battery pack accounts for roughly a quarter of an EVs total cost, making it the number one determinant of price.

It could be the electric car industrys watershed moment: once dipping below the price of gasoline-powered engines, electric vehicles will look far more attractive to far more consumers.

In other parts of the world, that threshold has already been breached. For instance, the report notes that battery packs for e-buses in China have already been sold at less than $100 per kWh.

Prices of electric cars have already dropped considerably this year due to increasing order sizes, growth in [battery electric vehicle] sales and the introduction of new pack designs, according to the report. New technologies and falling manufacturing costs,it predicts, could drive prices down even further.

Theres also the chance that next-generation solid-state batteries could be manufactured at 40% of the cost of current lithium-ion batteries, according to the report, when produced at scale.

The report also predicts that average prices of battery packs could plunge to just $58 per kWh by 2030.

READ MORE: Battery Pack Prices Cited Below $100/kWh for the First Time in 2020, While Market Average Sits at $137/kWh [BloombergNEF]

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Report: Electric Cars Could Be Cheaper Than Gas Ones in Just 2 Years - Futurism

NASA Says It Will Fly a Canadian to the Moon – Futurism


NASA just struck a historic deal with the Canadian Space Agency (CSA) that will entail, for the first time in history, a non-US astronaut orbiting the Moon.

The agreement says that the CSA will help NASA with its upcoming Artemis Moon missions in exchange for a seat on some of the flights, according to Space.com. Not only is the CSAs support good news for the Artemis missions specifically, but its a major international development in the future of crewed space exploration.

The CSA agreed to provide robots and technical support for upcoming Artemis missions. In exchange, Space.com reports that a Canadian astronaut will be added to the crew of the Artemis 2 mission, which will test NASAs Orion spacecraft while it orbits the Earth, as well as a later mission to NASAs upcoming lunar space station, Gateway.

This will make Canada only the second country after the U.S. to have an astronaut in deep space and send the first Canadian around the Moon, Navdeep Bains, Canadas government minister of innovation, science and industry said at a Wednesday press conference, according to Space.com.

At the same press event, CSA astronaut David Saint-Jacques compared the upcoming Artemis 2 mission to 1968s Apollo 8, which served as a similar test run prior to the Moon landing in 1969.

Its a mission to test the [spacecraft] equipment and the navigation; as you can imagine, navigation from the planet will be one of the biggest challenges, he said, according to Space.com.

READ MORE: Canadian astronauts will start flying to the moon in 2023 with NASAs Artemis missions [Space.com]

More on Artemis: NASAs Moon-Bound Orion Spacecraft is Officially Fit for Flight

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NASA Says It Will Fly a Canadian to the Moon - Futurism

Google Reportedly Forcing Its Researchers to Say Its Tech Is Good – Futurism

Careful Packaging

When Google AI scientists publish work on topics deemed to be sensitive, the company subjects them to extra scrutiny and makes sure that they portray the technology in a positive light.

Starting this past summer, according to a bombshell NBC News investigation, the company imposed a sensitive topics reviewthat seems to be preventing scientists from accurately tackling the potential dangers of emerging technology especially ones developed by Google and other Alphabet companies.

Under the guise of not disclosing trade secrets, the reports suggest that Google may be more concerned with its public perception than with publishing important, well-executed research.

Maybe thats not surprising corporations arent known for their commitment to a free and open debate but it is eyebrow-raising coming from a company where the slogan used to be dont be evil.

Googles alleged mishandling of controversial topics in AI especially its recent ousting of top AI ethicist Timnit Gebru who had spoken out about issues with the company has brought the company under new scrutiny over the past several weeks. Now, Gebrus colleague Margeret Mitchell, a senior scientist at Google, is speaking up.

If we are researching the appropriate thing given our expertise, and we are not permitted to publish that on grounds that are not in line with high-quality peer review, then were getting into a serious problem of censorship, Mitchell told NBC.

Googles new review policy guides scientists to take great care to strike a positive tone, according to internal correspondence obtained by NBC. Scientists also are told to refrain from mentioning Google products when writing about sensitive topics, distancing their own work from the ethical conundrums of facial recognition, self-driving cars, and other forms of controversial technology.

For example, one paper on recommendation AI like that deployed by YouTube to suggest new videos, originally said the tech can promote disinformation, discriminatory or otherwise unfair results and insufficient diversity of content. The final version, after the review, said it could promote accurate information, fairness, and diversity of content.

READ MORE: Google told its scientists to strike a positive tone in AI research, documents show [NBC News]

More on Google: Google Ousts Top AI Ethicist

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Google Reportedly Forcing Its Researchers to Say Its Tech Is Good - Futurism

A Guy Who Drives NASA’s Mars Rover Is Dishing About the Experience – Futurism

In less than two months, NASA is planning to land its next rover on the surface of Mars. If all goes well, Perseverance will take off on its adventure in mid-February, carrying out a number of scientific experiments along the way including the launch of a tiny helicopter.

In a new Medium post, NASA engineer Evan Hilgemann explains what itsactually like to drive a Mars rover. Last year, Hilgemann was selected to join the team of engineers responsible for driving the six-wheeled Curiosity rover across the desert-like landscapes of the Red Planet.

Since signals take 22 minutes to travel from Earth to Mars, the rover will have to take care of numerous navigational tasks by itself. However, most of what rovers do is actually heavily scripted and planned ahead on Earth, Hilgemann writes.

Perseverance is kitted out with a number of 3D-capable cameras, allowing it to see its near and distant surroundings. These navcams allow teams back on Earth to virtually recreate the terrain the rover is covering.

Hilgemann and his team are responsible for making sure the rover isnt in any danger. For instance, the suspension system of the rover can only handle rocks and ledges up to a couple of feet high so anything larger must be avoided, the engineer writes. The rover also has to avoid small rocks and loose sand to make sure it doesnt get stuck or wear out its wheels too much.

The team has several different ways to actually drive the rover. It can send the rover a list of instructions, a process known as blind driving, or it can use visual odometry, where the rover stops about every meter to send a picture back of what it sees. A computer then can tell it if its safe to proceed.

The rovers most advanced navigation mode is autonav. As its name suggests, the mode turns Perseverance essentially into a self-driving car.

Because autonav has to stop frequently to take multiple images and crunch data, it is also the slowest driving mode, Hilgemann writes. Curiosity only covers about 100 feet in an hour in autonav mode.

Once it lands on the Red Planet in February, Perseverance should get on the road fairly quickly. That is, if everything goes according to plan and NASAs lander survives the infamous seven minutes of hell as it descends through the planets thin atmosphere.

Thanks to a few key upgrades when it comes to navigation, Perseverance will be able to drive at least twice as fast as Curiosity thanks to new dedicated computing resources and better algorithms, Hilgemann writes.

One of the rovers most ambitious goals is to collect samples and prepare them to be picked up later by a probe and carried back home to Earth.

READ MORE: How to drive a Mars rover [Medium]

More on Perseverance: NASA Just Powered Up Its Mars Helicopter

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A Guy Who Drives NASA's Mars Rover Is Dishing About the Experience - Futurism

THE FUTURIST: Think of COVID-19 as a bike with training wheels for the 2020s – Sarasota Herald-Tribune

By David Houle| Sarasota Herald-Tribune

Learning to ride a bike is a clear image for most, either a memory from your childhood or from parenthood. The first lesson is to learn how to peddle, break, hand signal, turn and generally adapt to the concept of a bike. Then the training wheels come off and the concept of balance is the next big lesson to learn. (My father was hardcore. He said no training wheels, learn balance first on a scooter.) Once learned, it's a skill that isalways remembered and has become a metaphor whenever someone says they havent done something natural or routine in a long time Hey, its just like riding a bike!

The 2020s is the most disruptive decade in history. (Hey, great title for a book!). COVID-19 is one big global disruption. Hard to think of anything or anyone that hasntbeen disrupted in the last 7 months. We all had to make major fundamental changes in how we live. We all are still having to live differently than we did this time a year ago. Healthcare workers and just about everyone in the field of education are in full-on adjustment, and largely on their own. Actually, these groups of workers seem to have to fight politicians who are making decisions based upon politics instead of science, certainly in this state, while they struggle forward with no new support or funding. (Yes, this angers me. Shouldn't children and education get what is needed in a global crisisfirst?)

Business owners, large and small, have either closed their businesses for good or are working like crazy to keep from doing so. We all know the issues and the challenges. What we dont know is how to consider that we will never return to normal.

What is the new normal? When will everything go back to how it was?

There is no normal. The only normal is abnormality. Expect, be open to and even embrace abnormality. Nothing will go back to how it was.

The single largest psychological symptom of the pandemic is the belief that sometime this will be over. It will not.

The movie theater business, the restaurant business, the office leasing business, the theater business, the concert business, the in-person conference business and all the other businesses that are based upon lots of people coming together in a space will never be the same. Sorry. Many of these businesses will remain, but many fewer than before COVID-19. Those that remain will be different in how they operate and how they serve customers.

False hope can be deadly. Please dont hang on to it.

Why is almost everything going to be different even if COVID-19 goes away?

Political tampering withscientists at the CDC, the FDA, and HHS has shown in recent polls that a majority of citizensdont trust the government. I've heard people say: Let all our political leaders take the first vaccine and if nothing bad happens to them it will be good for the country. If something bad does happen to them, it will be good for the country.

The creation, production and distribution of a successful vaccine will need to betaken by at least 75% of the population for there to be a post-COVID-19 economy, at a time when many are reticent to trust a vaccine.

Second, over time people change, particularly when they have had to absorb massive amounts of change in several months time. Past research has shown that new habits can be fully formed in several weeks. We have had months now to recalibrate our lives. Streaming services have exploded during COVID-19, all for the price of a single movie theater ticket, or less. We may all go back to the theaters, but nowhere near the frequency we had in the past.

We have learned to cook more, save more, spend less on food and generally become healthier eaters. We have become cooks, dieters and bread makers. Yes, we will go out to restaurants, but not with the frequency of the past.

The largest disruption, of course, is working from home. Millions who never did, do now. Many like it so much that they dont want to go back to the officeever again. Companies see the cost savings they have realized and will support their employees' desire to continue working at home. Look for vacancies and darkness in downtown office buildings across the country.

What COVID-19 has done is to give us a chance to learn how to ride a bike with training wheels. We had never ridden one and how we have. However, we havent had to learn the concept of balancing during on-going disruption. To lose the training wheels will mean that the next disruption of any magnitude will be easier to adapt to.

Very few of us, and as a futurist I am one of the few, have achieved anystate of balance with the pandemic. Things are off-kilter until we get back to the way it was or until we have a vaccine or "until we return to normal. All delusions.

In the 2020s there will most likely be another global pandemic. There will be deflation in parts of the world and inflation in others. There will be a massive reckoning about debt and finance. If 100% of Americas GDP went to retire the federal governments debt, we still would not have retired all of it. There will be unprecedented numbers of unemployed and under-employed.

There will be major geo-political upheavals and continued wealth inequality. Oh, and something called the climate crisis. In a recent book I forecast a range of 50-100 million climate crisis refugees globally in the next ten years, and probably at least five million of those in our country.

COVID-19 has been our opportunity to learn the experience of riding a bike. We now have to get ready to ride through disruption after disruption, and keep our balance while doing it.

Sarasota resident David Houle is a globally recognized futurist. He has given speeches on six continents, written seven books and is futurist in residence at the Ringling College of Art + Design. His website is davidhoule.com. Email him at david@davidhoule.com.

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THE FUTURIST: Think of COVID-19 as a bike with training wheels for the 2020s - Sarasota Herald-Tribune

The Moon Might Be Littered With Ancient Shrapnel From Venus – Futurism

Blast Zone

The surface of the Moon may be covered in rocks that came from Venus potentially making it easy to study our hellish planetary neighbor.

Billions of years ago, Yale astronomers theorize, asteroids and comets impacting Venus could have dislodged chunks of the planets surface and send them careening through the stars. If they did, CNET reports, then some of these Venusian meteorites may have made their way to Earth or the Moon, giving easier access to samples from a planet where recent findings suggest extraterrestrial life could possibly be hiding.

Its fairly speculative work, which the authors concede in their research, which was accepted for publication into the Planetary Science Journal. But the two astronomers behind the work suggest its worth keeping an eye out, given the possibility of obtaining material from Venus without having to actually go there.

The Moon offers safe keeping for these ancient rocks, study coauthor Samuel Cabot said in a press release. Anything from Venus that landed on Earth is probably buried very deep, due to geological activity. These rocks would be much better preserved on the Moon.

The researchers are counting on more than random luck. They argue that the Earth and Moons gravitational pulls would be more than enough to draw in the Venusian meteorites.

An ancient fragment of Venus would contain a wealth of information, coauthor Gregory Laughlin said in the release. Venus history is closely tied to important topics in planetary science, including the past influx of asteroids and comets, atmospheric histories of the inner planets, and the abundance of liquid water.

READ MORE: Bits of Venus may be lurking on the moon, scientists suggest [CNET]

More on Venus: Scientists Speculate About How Life on Venus Could Have Begun

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The Moon Might Be Littered With Ancient Shrapnel From Venus - Futurism

Physicist: There Were Other Universes Before the Big Bang – Futurism

Universe 2.0

Before the Big Bang, when our universe began to rapidly expand, there may have been a previous universe whose place we took.

Sir Roger Penrose, a University of Oxfordmathematician and physicist who just won the Nobel Prize for work in the field of black holes, suggested that our universe was not the first to exist, The Telegraph reports. And, he added, it wont be the last either.

The Big Bang was not the beginning, Penrose said, according to the paper. There was something before the Big Bang and that something is what we will have in our future.

In Penroses view, a universe will continue to expand until all of its matter eventually decays. And then, in its place, a new one will begin.

We have a universe that expands and expands, and all mass decays away, and in this crazy theory of mine, that remote future becomes the Big Bang of another aeon, he said, according to The Telegraph.

The proof of his idea are what Penrose calls Hawking Points: the corpses of black holes from before the Big Bang that outlived their own universes but are now at the end of their lifespans, leaking radiation as they fade into nothing.

So our Big Bang began with something which was the remote future of a previous aeon and there would have been similar black holes evaporating away, via Hawking evaporation, Penrose added, and they would produce these points in the sky, that I call Hawking Points.

READ MORE: An earlier universe existed before the Big Bang, and can still be observed today, says Nobel winner [The Telegraph]

More on Penrose: You Could Generate Power By Dangling Crap Into a Black Hole


Physicist: There Were Other Universes Before the Big Bang - Futurism

Elon Musk: Fusion Will Probably Be More Expensive Than Wind, Solar – Futurism

On Tuesday, a team of MIT researchers made a big splash when they announced that their SPARC compact fusion reactor is very likely to work.

The announcement, detailed in seven papers penned by dozens of scientists from a laundry list of research institutions, claimed that the researchers were on a straight path to achieving fusion power generating power from fusing atomic nuclei together like the Sun, rather than splitting them,like a nuclear power plant. The promise is a never-ending source of clean power without running the risk of a nuclear disaster.

Tesla CEO and billionaire Elon Musk says hes impressed by the research with one major catch: the cost.

Its cool and for sure can and should be done, he tweeted about the fusion research,but I suspect its best case will be more costly than windand solar (aka big fusion reactor in sky).

Fusion energy has been the holy grail for energy generation for over half a century. While the science and technology surrounding reactor designs have come a long way, Musk is right that it remains an elusive dream.

Cost isnt the only issue facing it. As of right now, its simply not viable yet.

Despite all that, the people working on the next generation of fusion reactors are undeterred. The SPARC team at MIT is hoping to get to the point where their reactor puts out ten times the amount of energy it consumes.

But as weve heard many times before, the technology is still well over a decade away their goal is to start generating electricity starting in 2035.

And then, like Musk said, fusion energy could be a costly endeavor. The price of wind and solar energy have plummeted over the years, giving them a more-than-healthy head start over fusion.

Developing a functioning and efficient fusion reactor is also proving to be an extremely costly process. The ITER fusion power plant, soon to be the largest of its kind in the world, is an international collaboration with a sky-high price tag: a whopping $22 billion a conservative estimate,critics say.

The US Department of Energy has long been skeptical of ITERs plans. Congress confirmed it had approved a $115 million investment in 2016, but support for the project dwindled throughout president Donald Trumps first term. Only $50 million were set aside by the Department of Energy this year including for both national and international fusion energy research and development.

Despite the lack of enthusiasm for ITER, US lawmakers havent given up on solar [fusion?]. Earlier this month, the US House of Representatives approved a fusion energy commercialization program to support a burgeoning industry of private fusion startups.

The hopeis to make fusion a reality through public-private partnerships very much in the same vain as NASAs collaboration with SpaceX and other contractors.

By scaling down operations who needs a multi-billion dollar, football field-sized reactor? some startups are hoping to come up with their own solutions in achieving fusion energy.

Fusion is poised for a SpaceX moment,' CEO of startup General Fusion Christofer Mowry told NBC last year.

A 2018 paper explored what the economy of fusion energy could look like in the coming decades. While the costs strongly depend on what the exact designs of the fusion reactors look like, the electricity price could become comparable to that of solar and wind, the papers authors argue.

But it may not be a question of either or fusion is perhaps more likely to be just part of the solution. According to a study commissioned by a British fusion power startup, fusion may be a way to make up for electricity shortfalls in the renewable energy sector.

In other words, wind and solar alone wont be enough to meet demands and keep climate change in check. Fusion could help by replacing current power generation from coal and natural gas.

More on fusion: MIT Researchers Say Their Fusion Reactor Is Very Likely to Work

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Elon Musk: Fusion Will Probably Be More Expensive Than Wind, Solar - Futurism

The International Space Station Finally Got Its New Space Toilet – Futurism

Precious Cargo

On Monday morning, the spacecraft carrying a brand-new toilet finally arrived at the International Space Station.

The long-awaited delivery showed up alongside cargo and scientific experiments on the S.S. Kalpana Chawla, a Northrup Grumman spacecraft named after one of the astronauts who died in the Space Shuttle Columbia disaster, Space.com reports. Once its installed, ISS crewmembers will test it out for several months to see if its cut out for future missions to the Moon.

Once its installed, ISS crewmembers will test it out for several months to see if its cut out for future missions to the Moon.

The toilet, which is the first one that NASAs sent to the ISS since 1990, is designed to be more accessible and user-friendly than the existing one, which has also become a notorious hazard for crewmembers.

The original toilet will stay where it is, but it was designed to be best suited for men, leaving women on the ISS with an unfair struggle.

That will be crucial if the toilet passes the test and tags along on the upcoming Artemis missions, during which NASA hopes to send the first woman to the surface of the Moon.

READ MORE: The International Space Station Finally Got its New Space Toilet [Space.com]

More on the space toilet: NASA Says It Needs a New Space Toilet for the Artemis Moon Missions

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The International Space Station Finally Got Its New Space Toilet - Futurism

A novelists vision of the virtual world has inspired an industry – The Economist

Neal Stephenson is lord of the Metaverse

Oct 1st 2020

IN THE LATE 1980s, a young author named Neal Stephenson was working on a project to create a graphic novel. He typed in some code on his Apple Macintosh II and a pair of spherical mirrors appeared on the screen, hanging in space. To make the images look more realistic, the code he used calculated how light bounced off the objects in the frame, so each mirror featured on it a convincing reflection of the other.

At the time it was unbelievable that you could use code to generate that kind of an image, he recalls. He remembers having two conflicting thoughts: 3D computer graphics presented a tremendous opportunity to create a whole new medium, but they were too expensive and too difficult to make.

And so I got to thinking about what could make it cheap, he says. Television had started out as an expensive curiosity and then became cheap and accessible by becoming a mass-broadcast medium. Mr Stephenson began to imagine what might be necessary to bring about a similar transition for 3D computer graphics. I was trying to imagine what a popular medium would look like, centred on the use of the 3D graphics technology. And the Metaverse was my best guess as to what something like that might look like.

Introduced to the world in 1992 in his novel, Snow Crash, the Metaverse was a persistent virtual worldaccessible to individuals via special gogglesin which people could meet, claim territory, build things, make money and more.

The impact of Mr Stephensons idea on the real, non-fictional world has been profound. Ask anyone working to create interactive 3D virtual environments what has inspired them, and Snow Crash will be somewhere on that list.

That explains why Mr Stephenson is also a sought-after futurist in Silicon Valley. Over the years he has been tapped by firms including Blue Origin, Jeff Bezoss space-launch company, and most recently as chief futurist for Magic Leap, a startup making augmented-reality glasses.

Today it is Mr Stephensons visiona social, persistent, virtual-reality 3D space accessible to anyone and which will one day be a successor to todays internetthat many tech companies are seeking to build. One of the biggest supporters of Mr Stephensons idea of a Metaverse is Tim Sweeney, boss of Epic Games and creator of Unreal, the game engine that powers Fortnite and many other popular games. Mr Sweeneys stated ambition is to turn such games into some version of the persistent virtual world described in Snow Crash.

One thing I got wrongwas assuming a television model for the development of this medium, says Mr Stephenson. What grew instead was games. Still, he reckons that what makes science fiction useful to people in the real tech world is plasticityleaving some room for interpretation, so that people who try to implement it can incorporate their own ideas and point of view.

I think that where Tim and the Epic folks are going with it, is based on an understanding that you do have to start with a game engine if youre going to build a Metaverse, says Mr Stephenson. Because just having a game engine that works, and that is sustainable as a business, is kind of the table stakes. If you cant do that, you cant build a multi-user realistic 3D platform.

This article appeared in the Technology Quarterly section of the print edition under the headline "Lord of the Metaverse"

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A novelists vision of the virtual world has inspired an industry - The Economist

The Best Antidote to Stress – FEI – FEI Daily

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This year really has been unlike any other. The 2020 Financial Leadership Summit Virtual Conference kicked off yesterday with Andrej Suskavcevic, FEIs President and CEO, and Frank Cesario, CFO of Radiac Abrasives, Inc. and Conference Chair,welcoming us. Although we were meant to gather in May in Franks hometown of Chicago, this year has taught us that indefinite uncertainty affords us opportunity to gather new insights from our peers, content experts, and industry leaders. Wecan form and deepen relationships that will help us confidently navigate our new normal. And, well be gifted resources that guide us in implementing the change our organizations need to remain competitive in the I want it right now and I want itmy way marketplace.

FEI invited me to offer opening remarks about staying positive in unprecedented times. I shared research showing just how high COVID-19 has elevated Americans stress levels. I offered suggestions for ways society is evolving, a download to helpyou and your team to process loss, and many habits you can deploy to remove stress, manage time, and walk forward with clarity. All business today is personal. So, being near emotionally balanced people, openly expressing your emotions, andintentionally distributing your time into activities, colleagues, and learning that uplifts you will allow you to thrive. The best antidote to stress is resilience.

Our next speaker, Howard Tullman, a futurist, serial entrepreneur, and venture investor, wowed attendees with more than 250 slides and examples of emerging trends, competitive considerations, and how technologies are transforming our lives.Howards key takeaways for me include the idea that todays success is your greatest impediment to change and future economic viability. The businesses of the future will offer access to products, services and experiences, without having assets.And, that we now have to mass customize our offerings as customers are empowered in ways theyve never been. As Howard said, be consistent, persistent, and resistant. To learn more about him, visithowardtullman.comto read his TullmanTruisms and blog about entrepreneurship for Inc. Magazine.

The Hays Companys David Ross gave an incredible presentation about avoiding costly health plan mistakes. Jeff Dawley, President and Co-Founder of Cybersecurity Compliance Corporation, spoke about cybersecurity and building resilience inyour organization. Bruce Willey, CEO of American Tax and Business Planning, offered insights into small business tax planning process improvement. And, it wouldnt be a FEI Summit if we didnt close without a bit of fun - comedian Collin Moulton did just that.

We opened discussing stress and its causes. We talked about the pace of change increasing. We shared ideas about ways to mitigate risk and plan for whats next. And, we closed with humor and a belief that no matter what the next year brings,we will be better together.

The theme of this years Summit is Vision 2020. If day one is a barometer, expect six learning-rich days. There will be opportunities to experience our sponsors virtually, and download the digital conference bag, in the engagement hub. Purposelydesigned networking sessions will allow you to share your obstacles and receive myriad solutions back. Having vision often means we have to surrender how something is done and trust that more beneficial outcomes are available. If you happento miss a session, youll be able to view it on demand through December 31st.

For the last three years, Michael S. Seaver has served as emcee of the Financial Leadership Summit. For more on his work as speaker, leadership consultant, and executive coach, visit michaelsseaver.com.

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The Best Antidote to Stress - FEI - FEI Daily

Exxon Mobil Planning to Massively Increase Its Annual Emissions – Futurism

Betting on Oil

According to internal documents obtained by Bloomberg, Americas largest oil and gas corporation Exxon Mobil has been planning to increase annual carbon-dioxide emissionsby 17 percent by 2025 equivalent to about the output of the country of Greece.

And thats not even the whole picture, as it only reflects Exxons own operations as an oil company not the emissions hit from millions of customers burning fuel.

The real climate change impact would be about five times the companys estimate, as Bloomberg reports, amounting to about 100 million tons of additional carbon dioxide.

Unlike many of its rivals, Exxon Mobil has never made any promises about cutting emissions or plans of ever becoming carbon neutral. For instance, BP set an extremely ambitious goal of becoming net zero by 2050 earlier this year. Shell announces similar plans as well.

The pandemic has wreaked havoc on the oil industry this year with oil prices hitting negative numbersfor the first time ever.

As demand returns and capital investments resume, Exxon wrote in a statement to Bloomberg that our growth plans will continue to include meaningful emission mitigation efforts. For instance, it published plans to offset methane emissions and reducing carbon intensity during oil production.

READ MORE: Exxons Plan for Surging Carbon Emissions Revealed in Leaked Documents [Bloomberg]

More on Exxon: Tesla Is Now Worth More Than ExxonMobil

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Exxon Mobil Planning to Massively Increase Its Annual Emissions - Futurism

Julio Gabay CEO of Abacus Worldwide on the Future in 60 Minutes show with Futurist Ian Khan – TopWireNews

Oakville, ON, Canada, 09/18/2020 / Story.KISSPR.com /

Futurist Ian Khan today hosted Julio Gabay,CEO of the global accounting association, Abacus Worldwide, on the Future in 60 Minutes Livestream show.

The main points of the interview were around mergers and acquisitions within the world of accounting, the future of the profession, and what the next few years will look like for CPAs worldwide. The full interview can be watched here

Having young association leaders like Julio on the show is very important to help our viewers understand the vision that young leaders have. Julio has been at the center of creating tremendous change within the accounting association world and his story is incredible and inspirational said Ian Khan. It was a pleasure to have Julio on the show and learn some valuable lessons in association management from him, he added.

Abacus Worldwide has recently merged with JHI.The merged association will continue to be known as Abacus Worldwide. The combination brings Abacuss member total to 125 legal and accounting member firms, with 5,600 staff members across 236 offices and 56 countries with combined global revenue in excess of $500 million.

Julio started Abacus Worldwide in 2012 and now with the merger with JHI will bringmember total to 125 legal and accounting member firms, with 5,600 staff members across 236 offices and 56 countries with combined global revenue in excess of $500 million.

Viewers can watch the recorded episode of the Livestream interview on YouTube.

About Abacus WorldwideAbacus Worldwide is an alliance comprised of independently owned and managed professional service firms providing direct access to law firms and accounting firms in every region of the world. As a multi-discipline membership association, both law and accounting firms join Abacus in order to support international business referrals, participate in knowledge exchange and gain access to practice management tools all to better serve their growing clients. Abacus has125 legal and accounting member firms, with 5,600 staff members across 236 offices and 56 countries with combined global revenue in excess of $500 million.More information atwww.abacusworldwide.com

About Julio GabayFor nearly 20 years Julio Gabay has developed, worked with, and led some of the top global accounting firm associations. He understands the intricacies of international relationship building and himself has developed strong bonds with some of the worlds leading law firms and accounting firms. With his entrepreneurial spirit and his understanding of client-focused professional service firms, he founded Abacus Worldwide. Combining both the legal and accounting disciplines, Abacus offers members and their clients connections that make business sense. Connect with Julio on Linkedin

About Ian KhanIan Khan is a CNN featured Technology Futurist, 3 times TEDx Speaker, Director of highly acclaimed documentary Blockchain City, Bestselling author of 7 Axioms of Value Creation, and contributor to multiple industry publications including Forbes, McGraw Hill, Business.com, AccountingWeb, and Entrepreneur.com. Founder of the Futuracy group, his practice areas consist of a Future Research and Advisory Firm, Digital Marketing Agency, a Documentary Film Production company, Publishing Division, and a PR agency. Ian is one of the most widely quoted experts on Blockchain and also the creator of the Future Readiness Score, a revolutionary methodology to help organizations use a data-based scientific approach to profitability and success. He has worked with leading accounting industry groups including Abacus Worldwide, Allinial Global, Alliot Group, BKR International, DFK International, Inpact Global, INAA, Nexia, PKF and is a well sought after accounting industry thought leader and influencer and is available for consultations and engagements http://www.iankhan.com

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Julio Gabay CEO of Abacus Worldwide on the Future in 60 Minutes show with Futurist Ian Khan - TopWireNews