New Drug Combo Could Repair the Brains of Alzheimer’s Patients

A combination of molecules could making repairing the brain damage caused by Alzheimer's disease and other brain injuries as easy as swallowing a pill.

Neuron Time

Neurons receive, process, and transmit all the impulses in our brains. Essentially, they’re the building blocks of the human nervous system, and once they’re damaged by Alzheimer’s disease or some other brain injury, they’re done for — they have no regenerative abilities.

In contrast, the glial cells that support and insulate neurons do have regenerative abilities, and now, researchers from Penn State think they’ve found an efficient way to actually transform glial cells into neurons — a discovery that could lead to a pill to repair brain damage.

Molecular Report

Based on a previous study, the Penn team knew it was possible to convert human glial cells into neurons using a sequence of nine tiny molecules. However, the large number of molecules and specific sequence made transitioning the research from the lab to something that could work in a clinical environment difficult.

In a study published in the journal Stem Cell Reports on Thursday, the Penn team describes how it found a way to streamline the process of creating neurons out of a type of glial cells called astrocytes with remarkable success.

“We identified the most efficient chemical formula among the hundreds of drug combinations that we tested,” researcher Jiu-Chao Yin said in a press release. “By using four molecules that modulate four critical signaling pathways in human astrocytes, we can efficiently turn human astrocytes — as many as 70 percent — into functional neurons.”

Dream Delivery

The Penn team acknowledged in the press release that it still has a long road ahead before its latest research will be able to help people with brain damage, but it’s extremely optimistic about the future.

“The most significant advantage of the new approach is that a pill containing small molecules could be distributed widely in the world, even reaching rural areas without advanced hospital systems,” research leader Gong Chen said.

“My ultimate dream is to develop a simple drug delivery system, like a pill, that can help stroke and Alzheimer’s patients around the world to regenerate new neurons and restore their lost learning and memory capabilities,” he continued. “Our years of effort in discovering this simplified drug formula take us one step closer to reaching our dream.”

READ MORE: Simple Drug Combination Creates New Neurons From Neighboring Cells [Science Daily]

More on Alzheimer’s: New Research Could Reverse Memory Loss in Alzheimer’s Patients

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New Drug Combo Could Repair the Brains of Alzheimer’s Patients

The FDA Is Trying to Figure out How to Regulate Smart Pills

Take a Byte

Recently, medical researchers have created a surge of ingestible electronics that do everything from tailoring treatments based on the needs of individual cells to helping you poop.

As these devices become increasingly common in the lab, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration — that’s the regulatory body responsible for testing and vetting pharmaceuticals and medical devices — is left figuring out how to deal with the weird new tech.

Multiple Choice

To make sense of the emerging new field of treatments, the FDA released a draft of newly-proposed guidelines for how developers can get smart pills approved.

The people behind pills with electronic components generally prefer to submit to multiple approval processes, in order to let regulators approve the the pill and electronic components separately. But the new guidelines would require scientists to choose the single most relevant category and stick with it throughout the process.

Uneven Hurdles

The reason that developers prefer to break things up piece by piece is because the regulatory process for medical devices may be better suited for the unique challenges of the electronic components of smart pills.

Treating the whole package as one would a typical pharmaceutical may mean holding certain aspects of the treatment to different degrees of rigor than others, MobiHealthNews reports.

READ MORE: FDA’s new draft guidance could hinder applications for digital combination products [MobiHealthNews]

More on edible tech: An Edible Controller Moves Gaming From the Screen to Your Gut

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The FDA Is Trying to Figure out How to Regulate Smart Pills

Litecoin r/litecoin – reddit

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(Re-post of u/Sparkswont cuz it was archived)

Whether you're new to cryptocurrency and have no clue what a 'litecoin' is, or a seasoned investor in cryptocurrencies, the resources below will answer all your questions. If you still have questions, feel free to ask below in the comments!

Litecoin (LTC or ) is a peer-to-peer cryptocurrency and open source software project released under the MIT/X11 license. Litecoin is one of the largest, oldest, and most used cryptocurrencies in the world. Similar to Bitcoin, Litecoin uses blockchain technology to process transactions.

So what's the difference? To process a block, Litecoin takes 2.5 minutes rather than Bitcoins 10 minutes. This allows for faster processing times. Litecoin also has the capability to produce a total of 84 million units, compared to Bitcoins 21 million. In addition, Litecoin uses scrypt in its proof-of-work algorithm, a sequential memory-hard function requiring asymptotically more memory than an algorithm which is not memory-hard.

Still confused? Take a look at this video!

There are many websites and applications where you can buy and sell Litecoin, but make sure the exchange you are using is trusted and secure. Here are some exchanges that are trusted in the cryptocurrency community:

Litecoin (and other cryptocurrencies) is stored in a digital wallet. When storing Litecoin, you want to make sure you trust the place you store them. This is why it is best to store them yourself through the electrum wallet. It is highly suggested to not store your Litecoin in an exchange (such as Coinbase, Poloniex, Bittrex, etc.) because you don't control the private keys. If the exchange ever goes offline, or becomes insolvent, your Litecoin essentially disappear.

Some other options are:

If you're a fan of mobile devices, then Loafwallet is the wallet for you. Developed by a Litecoin Foundation Dev, /u/losh11, this mobile wallet works great! And remember to always make sure to write down your seedkeys.

Hardware wallets are another great option, in fact, they are said to be the most secure way to store cryptocurrencies. Below is a list of the litecoin flexible hardware wallets.

Litecoin is in the top ten of all cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Websites are rapidly adopting Litecoin as a method of payment as well. If you yourself want to accept LTC as a business, you can refer to these merchant manuals. Alternatively, if you would like to explore websites that accept Litecoin, head over to /r/AcceptingLTC.

Here are also several of our favorite merchants accepting Litecoin.

The Litecoin community is extremely kind and robust. There are many forums and places where you can discuss Litecoin with others who are interested in the currency. Here are the main ones:

If you have more questions, or are genuinely interested in learning more about Litecoin then be sure to read this series. If you have a specific question that you can't seem to find the answer too, ask below and someone will help you out!

Visit link:

Litecoin r/litecoin - reddit

Litecoin Is Surging, Boosting Ethereum, Ripple’s XRP And …

Litecoin, the bitcoin rival founded by thewidely-respectedmanaging director of the Litecoin Foundation Charlie Lee, has popped higher today, rising 10% over the last 24 period and boosting the wider cryptocurrency market, including ethereum, Ripple's XRP, and bitcoindespite recent warnings over the health of the bitcoin market.

The litecoin price rose to $37 after falling under the psychological $30 price last month amid a bitcoin and cryptocurrency bear market that's dragged on the sector for the last 13 months. Litecoin fell to lows of around $22 late last year as the so-called crypto winter took its toll, downsome 93% from its all-time high.

Litecoin's rapid rise saw it overtake first bitcoin cash, an offshoot of the original bitcoin, and then EOS, an ethereum rival, moving into fourth place on the list of the world's biggest cryptocurrencies by market value, according to CoinMarketCap prices.

The litecoin price boomed along with many other major cryptocurrencies throughout 2017 but has since fallen sharply back.Getty

Litecoin's leap higher comes after news yesterday that the Litecoin Foundation and Beam, a software development outfit which has its own cryptocurrency, have officially decided to work together to explore whether Litecoin should implement the protocol Mimblewimble, named aftera Harry Potter spell that stops people from spilling secrets and designed to improve privacy and scalability.

"We have started exploration towards adding privacy and fungibility to Litecoin by allowing on-chain conversion of regular LTC into a Mimblewimble variant of LTC and vice versa," Beam wrote in a Medium post. "Upon such conversion, it will be possible to transact with Mimblewimble LTC in complete confidentiality."

MimbleWimbleallows the user to encrypt all data with respect to a transaction made on the cryptocurrency network and iflitecoin did adopt it, it would require a so-called hard fork of the cryptocurrency a new version of litecoin to reflect the update.

The litecoin price jumped higher after trading flat so far in February.CoinDesk

"Lee has previously mentioned in various conversations his interest and hesitation with MimbleWimblebut had hoped that the community would adopt the change if it proved to be a worthwhile upgrade to the network," according to a Litecoin Foundationblog post.

The MimbleWimble implementation will also help the Litecoin Foundation's ambition to make litecoin more fungible, meaning one litecoin, or a smaller denomination, should be able to switched for another without loss of value. Bank notes are considered highlyfungible as one$20 bill canbe swapped for another or two$10 bills.

Charlie Lee, the creator of litecoin, took to Twitter to explain his interest in the privacy protocolMimbleWimble.Twitter / @SatoshiLite

Elsewhere, the litecoin price rise has pulled the wider cryptocurrency market out of the doldrums, with investors waking up to a sea of green on trading boards this morning.

Ethereum's tradable token ether rose 2% over the last 24 hours, while ripple (XRP) was up by 1% and EOS added almost 2%.

The bitcoin price has been falling steadily since it hit an all-time high of almost $20,000 in December 2017, forcingmany bitcoin, cryptocurrency and blockchain startups to slash jobs or shut down entirely and leavinginvestors desperate for signals of which way the market will move next.

Bitcoin and cryptocurrency fever gripped the world in 2017, with some major coins, including Ripple's XRP, ethereum, and litecoin, seeing pricepercentage increases that far outstripped bitcoin itself.

Excerpt from:

Litecoin Is Surging, Boosting Ethereum, Ripple's XRP And ...

Ex-Googler Gives the World a Better Bitcoin | WIRED

Charles Lee was a software engineer at Google, spending his days hacking networking code for the search giant's new-age operating system, ChromeOS. But in his spare time, he rewrote Bitcoin, the world's most popular digital currency.

Early one October morning two years ago, Lee unleashed his project, Litecoin, onto an online universe that was still coming to terms with its more famous progenitor, and though Litecoin is still firmly rooted in the Bitcoin code base, it has found a place in the world, showing just how strong the appetite is for a new breed money.

Bitcoin has had an extraordinary run this year, but if you'd sunk your money into Litecoin instead of Bitcoin on January 1, it would have done better. Since then, Bitcoin jumped from just over $13 to its current value of more than $115. Back in January, Litecoin was trading in the $0.07 range. Today, it's worth close to $2.40. In other words, while it took 200 Litecoins to buy a Bitcoin in January, today it takes only 50.

Government regulation may put the squeeze on Bitcoin and perhaps Litecoin too. But digital currency will continue to evolve and grow. It's what so much of the world wants.

Although its dwarfed by Bitcoin's popularity, people seem to like Litecoin because it's a more credible alternative to the growing list of Bitcoin imitators, which Lee saw as either technologically challenged or straight up pump-and-dump scams. "I wanted to create something that is kind of silver to Bitcoins gold," says Lee, who left Google last month to seek his fortune in the wild west of alternative digital currencies.

He took the basic ideas behind Bitcoin a currency created by a pseudonymous character who goes by the name Satoshi Nakamoto and refined them. Litecoin was designed to pump out four times as many coins as Bitcoin, in an effort to keep the digital currency from becoming scarce and too expensive. It processes transactions more quickly, and discourages the kind of high-volume but very small transactions that have become a nuisance on the Bitcoin network. And it lets regular folks more easily "mine" coins i.e. provide the online currency system with the computing power it needs, in exchange for digital money.

The result wasn't a Bitcoin killer. But it was something that gave digital currency yet another stamp of approval.

Down the Silk Road

The Ivory Coast-born son of an entrepreneur, Charles Lee has long had an interest in economics. He describes himself as a gold investor, skeptical of the Federal Reserve. Like his dad, he graduated from MIT, having studied computer science and electrical engineering. And after kicking around in Silicon Valley for more than a decade, he was looking for something new in 2011.

He found that in Bitcoin: an open-source-software project that seemed to perfectly marry his passions for finance, cryptography, and technology. He first heard about it while reading an article about Silk Road, the online drug shopping mall, and soon, he started playing around with the peer-to-peer software that powers the digital currency. From there, the natural next step was to create his own.

He released one currency called Fairbrix but it was a dud, plagued with technical problems. Litecoin was his second effort.

His Bitcoin fork was worthless the day he launched it, and it was hardly the only Bitcoin alternative out there. But Lee took a different tack from some of the other Bitcoin imitators. He released the currency to the world after mining a mere 150 Litecoins. That meant that the whole world could get in on the currency on the ground floor.

There was also a bonus for miners, who in October 2011 were engaged in an escalating technology race in the Bitcoin world. Bitcoin miners earned coins by participating in a kind of cryptographic lottery and the folks who could do the most mathematical calculations were rewarded with the most Bitcoins. But as Bitcoin surged in value, people started building complex Bitcoin mining rigs that could do more calculations and therefore earn more Bitcoins.

Litecoin leveled the playing field, using a technology called Scrypt to lower the advantage miners would get by switching to GPU rigs or custom-designed mining systems.

Mirror, Mirror

Thanks to a few small changes to the Bitcoin way, Lee succeeded where others couldn't. Two years on, Litecoin has started to reproduce the Bitcoin ecosystem is many respects.

The Silk Road underground drug shopping mall gave Bitcoin a boost, and now Litecoin is accepted at an alternative to The Silk Road, called Atlantis. There's a company in Utah called Casascius that mints its own physical Bitcoins, and Litecoin has got this too, only the Litecoin version is from Hawaii.

You may have a much harder time finding a pub in London or a taxi cab in San Francisco that will accept Litecoin, but hey, Jay's Jerky and Goodies takes them. So does the online tech store BitElectronics.

Still, Litecoin is mostly a vehicle for investors who want to get in early on what could be the next wave in digital currencies. But there are a few signs that it's continuing to strengthen its foothold. Earlier this year, Bitcoin's most widely used exchange, Mt. Gox, said that it was going to start trading Litecoin.

To get a sense of how things have changed, consider this. About a year ago, Noah Luis the guy who mints the Litecoin coins in Hawaii convinced someone on the internet to buy him a pizza in exchange for 3,500 Litecoins, worth $30 at the time. At today's valuation that medium-sized meat-lover's pizza was worth $8,400.

Luis says he has no regrets.

A dual e-ink and LCD screen could save your gadget's battery life and your eyesight. Photo: Jon Snyder/Wired.com

The Doubleclicks: Aubrey and Angela Webber. Photo by Jessie Kirk.

In May the project got a boost when Warren Togami signed on. A former software engineer at Red Hat, he'd founded the Fedora Linux project about a decade earlier.

Togami is now Litecoin's lead developer and he's creating a nonprofit foundation to manage the Litecoin software development and advocacy, much like the Bitcoin Foundation.

And just last month, a Bay Area startup called Coinbase hired Lee away from Google.

Lee says that he isn't there to work on Litecoin. He's written some code that allows Coinbase users to swap Bitcoins via SMS. But he wouldn't rule out the possibility of Coinbase adopting Litecoin.

Bitcoin's story has been a bumpy ride. The currency has crashed and risen from the ashes. Bankers, regulators, and law enforcement agencies eye it with suspicion. In all likelihood, Litecoin will have many similar bumps ahead of it, if it continues ride in Bitcoin's wake.

But even if it doesn't survive, it's serving an important purpose, says Jerry Brito, a senior research fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. Bitcoin is "like any other open-source project where people are going to fork it," he says. "Thats good in that people are going to take it in interesting new directions."

Original post:

Ex-Googler Gives the World a Better Bitcoin | WIRED

Litecoin – investopedia.com

DEFINITION of Litecoin

Launched in the year 2011, Litecoin is an alternative cryptocurrency based on the model of Bitcoin. Litecoin was created by an MIT graduate and former Google engineer named Charlie Lee. Litecoin is based on an open source global payment network that is not controlled by any central authority. Litecoin differs from Bitcoins in aspects like faster block generation rate and use of scrypt as a proof of work scheme.

Litecoins were launched with the aim of being the "silver" to Bitcoin's "gold," and have gained much popularity since the time of inception. Litecoin is a peer-to-peer internet currency. It is a fully decentralized open source, global payment network. Litecoin was developed with the aim to improve on Bitcoin's shortcomings, and has earned industry support along with high trade volume and liquidity over the years. The broader differences between the two cryptocurrencies are listed in the table below.

Bitcoin

Litecoin

Creation

2009

2011

Creator

Satoshi Nakamoto

Charles Lee

Coin Limit

21 Million

84 Million

Block Generation Time

10 Minutes

2.5 Minutes

Algorithm

SHA-256

Scrypt

Initial Reward

50 BTC

50 LTC

Current Block Reward (as of June 2014)

25 BTC

50 LTC

Rewards

Halved every 210,000 blocks

Halved every 840,000 blocks

Difficulty Retarget

2016 Block

2016 Block

Litecoin is designed to produce four times as many blocksas Bitcoin (1 new block every 2.5 minutes to Bitcoin's 10), and it also allows for 4x the coin limit, making its main appeal over Bitcoin to do with speed and ease of acquisition. However, because Litecoin uses scrypt(as opposed to Bitcoin'sSHA-2)as a proof-of-work algorithm, the use of mining hardware such as ASIC miners or a GPU mining rig requires significantly more processing power.

Litecoin is consistently among the largest cryptocurrenciesinterms of market capitalization (though still remaining far below that of Bitcoin)and it currently has more than 50 million coins in circulation.

Read more:

Litecoin - investopedia.com

The Intellectual We Deserve | Current Affairs

If you want to appear very profound and convince people to take you seriously, but have nothing of value to say, there is a tried and tested method. First, take some extremely obvious platitude or truism. Make sure it actually does contain some insight, though it can be rather vague. Something like if youre too conciliatory, you will sometimes get taken advantage of or many moral values are similar across human societies. Then, try to restate your platitude using as many words as possible, as unintelligibly as possible, while never repeating yourself exactly. Use highly technical language drawn from many different academic disciplines, so that no one person will ever have adequate training to fully evaluate your work. Construct elaborate theories with many parts. Draw diagrams. Use italics liberally to indicate that you are using words in a highly specific and idiosyncratic sense. Never say anything too specific, and if you do, qualify it heavily so that you can always insist you meant the opposite. Then evangelize: speak as confidently as possible, as if you are sharing Gods own truth. Accept no criticisms: insist that any skeptic has either misinterpreted you or has actually already admitted that you are correct. Talk as much as possible and listen as little as possible. Follow these steps, and your success will be assured. (It does help if you are male and Caucasian.)

Jordan Peterson appears very profound and has convinced many people to take him seriously. Yet he has almost nothing of value to say. This should be obvious to anyone who has spent even a few moments critically examining his writings and speeches, which are comically befuddled, pompous, and ignorant. They are half nonsense, half banality. In a reasonable world, Peterson would be seen as the kind of tedious crackpot that one hopes not to get seated next to on a train.

But we do not live in a reasonable world. In fact, Petersons reach is astounding. His 12 Rules for Life is the #1 most-read book on Amazon, where it has a perfect 5-star rating. One person said that when he came across a physical copy of Petersons first book, I wanted to hold it in my hands and contemplate its significance for a few minutes, as if it was one of Shakespeares pens or a Gutenberg Bible. The worlds leading newspapers have declared him one of the most important living thinkers. The Times says his message is overwhelmingly vital, and a Guardian columnist grudgingly admits that Peterson deserves to be taken seriously. David Brooks thinks Peterson might be the most influential public intellectual in the Western world right now. He has been called the deepest, clearest voice of conservative thought in the world today a man whose work should make him famous for the ages. Malcolm Gladwell calls him a wonderful psychologist. And its not just members of the popular press that have conceded Petersons importance: the chair of the Harvard psychology department praised his magnum opus Maps of Meaning as brilliant and beautiful. Zachary Slayback of the Foundation for Economic Education wonders how any serious person could possibly write off Peterson, saying that even the most anti-Peterson intellectual should be able to admit that his project is a net-good. We are therefore presented with a puzzle: if Jordan Peterson has nothing to say, how has he attracted this much recognition? If its so obvious that he can be written off as a charlatan, why do so many people respect his intellect?

Before we address the mystery of Petersons popularity, we need to examine his work. After all, if the work is actually brilliant and insightful, there is no mystery: he is recognized as a profound thinker because he is a profound thinker. And many critics of Peterson have been deeply unfair to his work, mocking it without reading it, or slinging pejoratives at him (e.g. the stupid mans smart person or a Messiah-cum-Surrogate-Dad for Gormless Dimwits.) This has irritated Petersons fans, and when articles critical of him are printed, the comments sections are full of people (usually correctly) accusing the writer of failing to take Peterson seriously. An infamous Channel 4 interview with Cathy Newman, in which Newman repeatedly put words in Petersons mouth (so youre saying X), confirmed the impression that progressives are trying to smear Peterson by accusing him of holding beliefs that he does not hold. Conor Friedersdorf of The Atlantic said Peterson is the victim of hyperbolic misrepresentation and encouraged people to examine what he is actually saying.

But, having examined Petersons work closely, I think the misinterpretation of Peterson is only partially a result of leftists reading him through an ideological prism. A more important reason why Peterson is misinterpreted is that he is so consistently vague and vacillating that its impossible to tell what he is actually saying. People can have such angry arguments about Peterson, seeing him as everything from a fascist apologist to an Enlightenment liberal, because his vacuous words are a kind of Rorschach test onto which countless interpretations can be projected.

This is immediately apparent upon opening Petersons 1999 book Maps of Meaning, a 600-page summary of his basic theories that took Peterson 15 years to complete. Maps of Meaning is, to the extent it can be summarized, about how humans generate meaning. By generate meaning Peterson ostensibly intends something like figure out how to act, but the words definition is somewhat capacious:

Petersons answer is that people figure out how to act by turning to a common set of stories, which contain archetypes that have developed over the course of our species evolution. He believes that by studying myths, we can see values and frameworks shared across cultures, and can therefore understand the structures that guide us.

But here I am already giving Petersons work a more coherent summary than it actually deserves. And after all, if many human stories have common moral lessons was his point, he would have been saying something so obvious that nobody would think to credit it as a novel insight. Peterson manages to spin it out over hundreds of pages, and expand it into an elaborate, unprovable, unfalsifiable, unintelligible theory that encompasses everything from the direction of history, to the meaning of life, to the nature of knowledge, to the structure of human decision-making, to the foundations of ethics. (A good principle to remember is that if a book appears to be about everything, its probably not really about anything.) A randomly selected passage will convey the flavor of the thing:

Procedural knowledge, generated in the course of heroic behavior, is not organized and integrated within the group and the individual as a consequence of simple accumulation. Procedure a, appropriate in situation one, and procedure b, appropriate in situation two, may clash in mutual violent opposition in situation three. Under such circumstances intrapsychic or interpersonal conflict necessarily emerges. When such antagonism arises, moral revaluation becomes necessary. As a consequence of such revaluation, behavioral options are brutally rank-ordered, or, less frequently, entire moral systems are devastated, reorganized and replaced. This organization and reorganization occurs as a consequence of war, in its concrete, abstract, intrapsychic, and interpersonal variants. In the most basic case, an individual is rendered subject to an intolerable conflict, as a consequence of the perceived (affective) incompatibility of two or more apprehended outcomes of a given behavioral procedure. In the purely intrapsychic sphere, such conflict often emerges when attainment of what is desired presently necessarily interferes with attainment of what is desired (or avoidance of what is feared) in the future. Permanent satisfactory resolution of such conflict (between temptation and moral purity, for example) requires the construction of an abstract moral system, powerful enough to allow what an occurrence signifies for the future to govern reaction to what it signifies now. Even that construction, however, is necessarily incomplete when considered only as an intrapsychic phenomena. The individual, once capable of coherently integrating competing motivational demands in the private sphere, nonetheless remains destined for conflict with the other, in the course of the inevitable transformations of personal experience. This means that the person who has come to terms with him- or herselfat least in principleis still subject to the affective dysregulation inevitably produced by interpersonal interaction. It is also the case that such subjugation is actually indicative of insufficient intrapsychic organization, as many basic needs can only be satisfied through the cooperation of others.

Whats important about this kind of writing is that it can easily appear to contain useful insight, because it says many things that either are true or feel kind of true, and does so in a way that makes the reader feel stupid for not really understanding. (Many of the books reviews on Amazon contain sentiments like: I am not sure I understood it, but its absolutely brilliant.) Its not that its empty of content; in fact, its precisely because some of it does ring true that it is able to convince readers of its importance. Its certainly right that some procedures work in one situation but not another. Its right that good moral systems have to be able to think about the future in figuring out what to do in the present. But much of the rest is language so abstract that it cannot be proved or disproved. (The old expression whats new in it isnt true, and whats true isnt new applies here.)

Another passage, in which Peterson gives his theory of law:

Law is a necessary precondition to salvation, so to speak; necessary, but insufficient. Law provides the borders that limit chaos, and allows for the protected maturation of the individual. Law disciplines possibility, and allows the disciplined individual to bring his or her potentialitiesthose intrapsychic spiritsunder voluntary control. The law allows for the application of such potentiality to the task of creative and courageous existenceallows spiritual water controlled flow into the valley of the shadow of death. Law held as an absolute, however, puts man in the position of the eternal adolescent, dependent upon the father for every vital decision, removes the responsibility for action from the individual, and therefore prevents him or her from discovering the potential grandeur of the soul. Life without law remains chaotic, affectively intolerable. Life that is pure law becomes sterile, equally unbearable. The domination of chaos or sterility equally breeds murderous resentment or hatred.

Again: its not that hes wrong when he says that law has a disciplining function, or that too much law is stifling, while not enough is anarchy. But all this stuff about intrapsychic spirits and the flow of spiritual water is just said, never clearly explained, let alone proved. If you asked him to explain it, you would just get a long string of additional abstract terms. (Ironically, Maps of Meaning contains neither maps nor meaning.) Sociologist C. Wright Mills, in critically examining grand theorists in his field who used verbosity to cover for a lack of profundity, pointed out that people respond positively to this kind of writing because they see it as a wondrous maze, fascinating precisely because of its often splendid lack of intelligibility. But, Mills said, such writers are so rigidly confined to such high levels of abstraction that the typologies they make upand the work they do to make them upseem more often an arid game of Concepts than an effort to define systematicallywhich is to say, in a clear and orderly way, the problems at hand, and to guide our efforts to solve them.

Obscurantism is more than a desperate attempt to feign novelty, though. Its also a tactic for badgering readers into deference to the writers authority. Nobody can be sure they are comprehending the authors meaning, which has the effect of making the reader feel deeply inferior and in awe of the writers towering knowledge, knowledge that must exist on a level so much higher than that of ordinary mortals that we are incapable of even beginning to appreciate it. In fact, Peterson is quite open in insisting that he has achieved revelations beyond the comprehension of ordinary persons. The books epigraph is comically grandiose (I will utter things which have been kept secret from the foundation of the world Matthew 13:35) and Peterson even includes in the book a letter to his father in which he tries to convey the gravity of his discovery:

I dont know, Dad, but I think I have discovered something that no one else has any idea about, and Im not sure I can do it justice. Its scope is so broad that I can see only parts of it clearly at one time, and it is exceedingly difficult to set down comprehensibly in writing. Anyways, Im glad you and Mom are doing well. Thank you for doing my income tax returns.

(Its fun to read the letter for yourself and imagine being Petersons dad trying to figure out what his son is doing with his life.)

Needless to say, when someone is this convinced of their own brilliance, they can be unaware of just how far afield they have drifted from the world of sense and reason. The diagrams and figures in Maps of Meaning are astonishing. They are masterpieces of unprovable gibberish:

How does one even address material like this? It cant be refuted. Are we ruled by a dragon of chaos? Is the dragon feminine? Does the state of preconscious paradise have a voluntary encounter with the unknown? Is the episodic really more explicit than the procedural? These are not questions with answers, because they are not questions with meanings.

The inflating of the obvious into the awe-inspiring is part of why Peterson can operate so successfully in the self-help genre. He can give people the most elementary fatherly life-advice (clean your room, stand up straight) while making it sound like Wisdom. Consider this summary of principles from the end of 12 Rules for Life:

What shall I do to strengthen my spirit? Do not tell lies, or do what you despise.

What shall I do to ennoble my body? Use it only in the service of my soul.

What shall I do with the most difficult of questions? Consider them the gateway to the path of life.

What shall I do with the poor mans plight? Strive through right example to lift his broken heart.

What shall I do with when the great crowd beckons? Stand tall and utter my broken truths.

These are pompous, biblical ways of saying: tell the truth, be true to yourself, see challenges as opportunities, set a good example, and, uh, give confident and long-winded lectures to your adoring crowd of fans. (Note the response to the poor mans plight, which is not to actually help him but to show him what a better person you are so that he will have a model to emulate.) Petersons writing style constantly adds convolutions to disguise the simplicity of his mind; so he wont say the mans cancer metastasized, he will say the man fell prey to the tendency of that dread condition to metastasize. The harder people have to work to figure out what youre saying, the more accomplished theyll feel when they figure it out, and the more sophisticated you will appear. Everybody wins.

A few more Petersonisms:

The multiplicity of possible interpretations is very important. It makes it almost impossible to beat Peterson in an argument, because every time one attempts to force him to defend a proposition, he can insist he means something else. For example, he sees the world as fundamentally divided between the forces of chaos and the forces of order, and explains the difference:

[Chaos is] what extends, eternally and without limit, beyond the boundaries of all states, all ideas, and all disciplines Its the foreigner, the stranger, the member of another gang, the rustle in the bushes the hidden anger of your mother Chaos is symbolically associated with the feminine Order, by contrast, is explored territory. Thats the hundreds-of-millions-of-years-old hierarchy of place, position, and authority. Thats the structure of society. Its the structure provided by biology, tooIts the flag of the nation Its the greatness of tradition, the rows of desks in the school classroom, the trains that leave on time In the domain of order, things behave as God intended.

Its very easy to hear the echoes of authoritarianism, even fascism, in this: strong men create order, which is what God intends, and the social structure is preserved by deference to authority, tradition, hierarchy, flags. (Heck, he even talks about the trains running on time!) But the moment one tries to critique this, to talk about the dangers of adhering to flags and traditions for their own sake, Peterson will angrily insist that you have misunderstood his theory: order is symbiotic with chaos, not superior to it! (Order is not enough.) The feminine is necessary as well, because chaos is associated with possibility itself, the source of ideas, the mysterious realm of gestation and birth. If you try to suggest that he has justified patriarchy, he will tell you that when he refers to the symbolically masculine he does not mean men. But its usually unclear what he does mean, and any attempt to figure it out will be met with a barrage of yet more jargon. (What, for example, are we to make of his interpretation of The Simpsons, which stresses the importance of having a cruel bully around to keep the soft effeminate kids from taking over: Without Nelson, King of the Bullies, the school would soon be overrun by resentful, touchy Milhouses, narcissistic, intellectual Martin Princes, soft, chocolate-gorging German children, and infantile Ralph Wiggums. Muntz is a corrective An endorsement of bullying the weak, surely? But Peterson would deny it.)

Consider the way Peterson talks about the threat of physicality:

I know how to stand up to a man whos unfairly trespassing against me. And the reason I know that is because the parameters for my resistance are quite well defined, which is: we talk, we argue, we push, and then it becomes physical. If we move beyond the boundaries of civil discourse, we know what the next step is. Thats forbidden in discourse with women. And so I dont think that men can control crazy women. I really dont believe it. I think they have to throw their hands up in. . . Inwhat? Its not even disbelief. Its that the cultural. . . Theres no step forward that you can take under those circumstances, because if the man is offensive enough and crazy enough, the reaction becomes physical right away. Or at least the threat is there. And when men are talking to each other in any serious manner, that underlying threat of physicality is always there, especially if its a real conversation. It keeps the thing civilized to some degree. If youre talking to a man who wouldnt fight with you under any circumstances whatsoever, then youre talking to someone [for] whom you have absolutely no respect. But I cant see any way For example theres a woman in Toronto whos been organizing this movement, lets say, against me and some other people who are going to do a free speech event. And she managed to organize quite effectively, and shes quite offensive, you might say. She compared us to Nazis, for example, publicly, using the Swastika, which wasnt something I was all that fond of. But Im defenseless against that kind of female insanity, because the techniques that I would use against a man who was employing those tactics are forbidden to me. So I dont know. . . It seems to me that it isnt men who have to stand up and say, Enough of this. Even though that is what they should do, it seems to me that its sane women who have to stand up against their crazy sisters and say, Look, enough of that. Enough man-hating. Enough pathology. Enough bringing disgrace on us as a gender.

Now one could interpret this disturbing passage to mean that Peterson is upset that theres a social taboo against him beating up the Toronto woman who calls him a Nazi. In fact, I dont really see how to interpret it differently: he says that hes defenseless against her insanity because the techniques he would use on a man are forbidden. (Why he has no other defenses, such as ignoring her, is unclear.) But Peterson would vigorously object to the idea that hes in any way endorsing violence against women: no, Im simply saying that all human interaction has an underlying threat of physicality. How could you so wilfully and unfairly misinterpret me? And of course, if we challenge Petersons contention that when men are talking to each other in any serious manner there is some underlying threat (Ive just been talking to a fellow Current Affairs editor about Jordan Peterson, and I did not feel potential violence bubbling beneath the surface, except possibly toward my copy of Maps of Meaning), he will retreat to the proposition about how you cant respect a man who would never fight you under any circumstances. After all, any circumstances means he wouldnt even physically intervene to stop you from hurting someone, and how can you respect that? (That is a far cry from theres always an underlying threat, though.) Peterson makes ominous-sounding (and seemingly false) generalizations and yet builds in caveats so that nobody can accuse him of endorsing the thing it sounds like hes endorsing.

This is the same thing that happens with his discussions of nice guys and cruelty. Hell say that people who are too nice will get taken advantage of, and talk about the importance of being capable of cruelty, which certainly sounds like its encouraging people to be sadistic dicks, but then hell insist that actually hes not talking about being cruel hes talking about being able to be cruel (you idiot, how could you not see the difference?) and hes not against nice people, hes just saying that the weak shall perish. And because you can pick your Peterson, those who watch his YouTube videos can take very different messages from the same set of words. A video about hitting women, in which Peterson never endorses hitting women, has the following among its most highly-upvoted comments:

If people who follow you seem to say things like this a lot, you should probably think hard about why youre attracting this kind of audience. Its not that Peterson is endorsing violence, but because hes a Rorschach test who can be interpreted many ways, his lectures about the chaotic female and the necessity of strength and the capacity for cruelty provide ready material to those seeking philosophical rationalizations for aggression.

Peterson is at his murkiest when he is talking about nature. Half the time he seems to be committing the naturalistic fallacy: hell describe tendencies that exist, and imply that these things are therefore good. So hell talk about dominance hierarchies among lobsters, and exhort young men to Look for your inspiration to the victorious lobster. Of course, the animal kingdom is also a place of mutual aid, and for a man to emulate a lobster is like a woman treating the existence of the praying mantis as a license to eat her husband. But Peterson will vacillate between seeming to claim that nature implies a clear and virtuous hierarchical order of things and insisting that he is not precluding criticism of the existing order of things. When he seems to be saying something fallacious (e.g. hierarchies are okay because natural) he will qualify it with a caveat that means he is saying nothing at all (e.g. natural things are sometimes okay but not always). Sam Harris, who is sympathetic to Petersons political stances, has pointed out in exasperation that many of Petersons claims about the foundations of good conduct are either unsupported or do not make sense:

Has human evolution actually selected for males that closely conform to the heroism of St. George? And is this really the oldest story we know? Arent there other stories just as old, reflecting quite different values that might also have adaptive advantages? And in what sense do archetypes even exist? [I]snt it obvious that most of what we consider ethicalindeed, almost everything we valuenow stands outside the logic of evolution? Caring for disabled children would most likely have been maladaptive for our ancestors during any conditions of scarcitywhile cannibalism recommended itself from time to time in every corner of the globe. How much inspiration should we draw from the fact that killing and eating children is also an ancient archetype?

Theres no good reason for turning to evolution and the animal kingdom for moral advice, yet this is what Peterson recommends. Or doesnt. I am dreading the inevitable emails insisting that I just dont understand Peterson, containing copious quotes in which he insists he is saying the opposite of things he seems to be saying elsewhere. (By the way, an amusing aside: a few years ago my colleague Oren Nimni and I wrote a parody of nonsensical academic grand theory called Blueprints for a Sparkling Tomorrow, which literally happens to contain a passage recommending that human beings look to lobsters for moral advice: We therefore propose a substitute outlet for humankinds affections: the arthropod. Anyone who has attended a lobster wedding knows full well the kind of profundity and romanticism of which these divine creatures are capable. Yet the arthropod languishes in Americas batting-cages and seafood joints, stripped of its potential and dismissed in its attempts to make edifying contributions to civic life. Petersons failure to credit us borders on academic malpractice.)

To the extent Peterson has any kind of response to the charges that he is making all of this up, its just that imagination is real:

Whats common across all human experience across all time there are moral, or metaphysical, or phenomenological realities that have the same nature. You cant see them in your life by observing them with your senses, but you can imagine them with your imagination, and sometimes the things that you imagine with your imagination are more real than the things that you see

And when an interviewer asked him why people should believe the myths he cites, Petersons response is that, well, you might as well take something seriously because life is serious, damn it, and a catastrophe awaits you:

INTERVIEWER: Because a lot of people just look at these stories like Tiamat and Marduk or the Christ story and the Bible stories and say, Well, thats just Those are nice stories, but Im not going to take it seriously. Whats the case you make, because I know actually

PETERSON: Well, what are you going to take seriously, then? Youre going to take nothing seriously. Well, good luck with that, because serious things are coming your way. If youre not prepared for them by an equal metaphysical seriousness, they will flatten you. You can be dismissive with regards to wisdom, but that doesnt protect you from the coming catastrophe.

(This is not a persuasive argument.)

I dont mean to say that all of what Peterson says is in the category of the not even wrong. Some of it is actually just wrong. He is an unreliable guide to the facts (e.g. there are far more female physicians than there are male physicians, which is false forthe U.S.,Canada, and the U.K., or his promotion of a bizarre conspiracy theory that Google is manipulating the search results for bikini to include plus-sized models for politically-correct reasons, which they arent.) His reading comprehension skills are limited. Here is Peterson describing an important political awakening he experienced from reading George Orwell, who he says finally convinced him not to be a socialist:

My college roommate, an insightful cynic, expressed skepticism regarding my ideological beliefs. He told me that the world could not be completely encapsulated within the boundaries of socialist philosophy. I had more or less come to this conclusion on my own, but had not admitted so much in words. Soon afterward, however, I read George Orwells Road to Wigan Pier. This book finally undermined menot only my socialist ideology, but my faith in ideological stances themselves. In the famous essay concluding that book (written forand much to the dismay ofthe British Left Book Club) Orwell described the great flaw of socialism, and the reason for its frequent failure to attract and maintain democratic power (at least in Britain). Orwell said, essentially, that socialists did not really like the poor. They merely hated the rich. His idea struck home instantly. Socialist ideology served to mask resentment and hatred, bred by failure. Many of the party activists I had encountered were using the ideals of social justice to rationalize their pursuit of personal revenge.

And here is George Orwell, in The Road To Wigan Pier, which Peterson says convinced him that socialism was folly because socialists were resentful:

Please notice that I am arguing for Socialism, not against it. [] The job of the thinking person, therefore, is not to reject Socialism but to make up his mind to humanize itFor the moment, the only possible course of any decent person, however much of a Tory or an anarchist by temperament, is to work for the establishment of Socialism. Nothing else can save us from the misery of the present or the nightmare of the future [] Indeed, from one point of view, Socialism is such elementary common sense that I am sometimes amazed it has not established itself already. The world is a raft sailing through space with, potentially, plenty of provisions for everybody; the idea that we must all co-operate and see to it that everyone does his fair share of the work and gets his fair share of the provisions, seems so blatantly obvious that one would say that nobody could possibly fail to accept it unless he had some corrupt motive for clinging to the present system. [] To recoil from Socialism because so many socialists are inferior people is as absurd as refusing to travel by train because you dislike the ticket-collectors face.

Orwell flat-out says that anybody who evaluates the merits of socialist policies by the personal qualities of socialists themselves is an idiot. Peterson concludes that Orwell thought socialist policies was flawed because socialists themselves were bad people. I dont think there is a way of reading Peterson other than as extremely stupid or extremely dishonest, but one can be charitable and assume he simply didnt read the book that supposedly gave him his grand revelation about socialism.

Even now, however, I am being too generous to Jordan Petersons intellect. I have been presenting him at his most comprehensible and polished. I have not been giving you the full experience of actually listening to him talk. Sitting through a Jordan Peterson lecture is very different to watching a rapid-fire television interview. Below, please find a fully-transcribed portion of 17 minutes of Petersons speech. This is a random chunk, from the first lecture I happened to click on, a lecture that is ostensibly introducing Maps of Meaning. In the clip, Peterson is in the middle of (again, ostensibly) analyzing how the childrens book Theres No Such Thing As A Dragon displays the archetypes found in classical mythology. I would like you to bear in mind that this is a man the New Yorker calls the internets most revered intellectual and the Guardian says is fast becoming the closest that academia has to a rock star. Also remember that this is a man who advises people to be clear and precise, and says he is very, very, very careful with my words. Oh, and that he wants to completely defund Womens Studies departments because he thinks they churn out meaningless verbiage. Ready? Here we go. (NOTE: UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES ATTEMPT TO READ THE ENTIRETY OF THE FOLLOWING PASSAGE. READ AS MUCH AS YOU CAN BEFORE YOU BEGIN TO FEEL WEARY, THEN SCROLL QUICKLY TO THE END.)

PETERSON: Mother made some pancakes for Billy, but the dragon ate them all! Mother made some more, but the dragon ate those too. Mother kept making pancakes until she ran out of batter. Billy only got one of them but he said thats all he really wanted anyway. So Ill tell you another story about that. So, when I lived in Boston, I had little kids and my wife took care of some neighborhood little kids because she didnt have a green card and that was she was home with the kids anyways, and anyway, she took care of some other little kids. One of them would only eat hot dogs that was quite funny. Hed only eat hot dogs at his mothers place but at our house he ate all of his lunch and he was perfectly happy about it, so I thought that was quite amusing too. But anyways one day a neighbor came by and the neighbor had a four year old child and the neighbor was looking for someone to take care of the child because her nanny had been in a car accident and couldnt take care of the child temporarily. So the child had sort of been circulating around neighborhood houses for a couple of days and you know people were taking care of him and then he ended up at our house. Which was fine. And so hes a cute little guy and his the mother came to the door and she said shes pushed the boy in he was kind of like this [sulking], he wasnt very happy and she said, He probably wont eat all day but thats okay. And I thought hmm thats a remarkably interesting statement to you know, to put forth as a proposition the first time we meet your son. Its like, he wont eat, all day, which by the way is not okay, its not okay, and youre going to tell us that its okay and youre going to expect that were just going to accept the fact that you think its okay. And thats the whole story, you deliver all that information in one little sentence. So I thought, well thats pretty damn peculiar. I believe she was the psychologist too, which was quite interesting [sniffs]. So okay. So thats fine. So I went out to do something and there was four kids playing in the house and when I came back the little guy was in the porch like where the boots were and everything and he was sort of standing there like this [sulking] and I thought hmm thats not good because theres all these other kids like he should have been in there playing eh? That obviously thats what a child is primed to do! He should have been in there, messing about with I think there was a two year-old and a three year-old and another four year-old. He should have been in there you know causing trouble and having fun and playing but he wasnt, and he was standing on the porch like this [sulking] and he wasnt happy. He wasnt happy. So I looked at him for a bit and then I poked him a couple of times because I thought, you know, if youre interacting with little kids theyre very playful eh? Theyre kind of like puppies and so if you tease them a bit, and tickle them a bit, then usually even if theyre crabby, you know a smile will break out despite their best efforts and then theyll sort of giggle and maybe you know theyll try to whack you away and you know they go into a play routine. And although you may not know it, mammals like us HAVE A PLAY CIRCUIT! You know? So were intrinsically playful which is partly why we can get along with dogs because of course dogs are intrinsically playful and most people know how to play with a dog and you know when a dog wants to play right because it sort of puts its paws down and looks up at you and sort of grins and puts its tail in the air and goes like this its like CLUE IN, PRIMATE you know its time to engage in some playing and you know you basically you know how to do that and even the dog knows how to do that. So Im poking this kid and trying to get him to, smile but theres no damn way you know Im poking him hes just ignoring me like mad and I thought thats not good, you know, because you dont want your four year-old to have learned that you should, that its okay to ignore the adults, or that you should ignore the adults, or that you can ignore the adults. Thats all BAD because the worlds full of adults and they know a lot of things and they control all the resources and so you BETTER GET ALONG WITH THEM PLUS youre going to end up AS an adult for most of your life, so if the general, so if the first rule is adults can and should be ignored then what the hell are you headed for? You know? And its one of the reasons why its really useful to make sure the children respect adults because theyre going to be adults so if they dont respect adults then of course they dont have any respect for what theyre going to BE why the hell grow up? You end up like Peter Pan because thats what Peter Pans about right Peter Pan wants to stay in Neverland, with the Lost Boys, where theres no responsibility because you know, he looks at the future and all he sees is Captain Hook. A tyrant whos afraid of death, thats the crocodile right thats chasing him with the clock in his stomach. And its the same thing as this dragon. So you know KIDS HAVE TO RESPECT ADULTS. Its, youre doing them a disservice if they dont! So okay so fine, Im poking this kid, theres just no damn way, Im not getting anywhere with him and I thought this isnt good. Theres something deeply wrong with this little kid. So thats fine. So then we sit all the kids down for lunch, and the rule is: eat your DAMN lunch and be THANKFUL FOR IT. Because, think about this, Leonard Cohen wrote this song once about I dont remember the song particularly but he talked about the homicidal bitching that goes down in every kitchen about whos going to serve and whos going to eat. Its like, if you havent encountered that then theres something terribly wrong you know because a lot of the tension in households is domestic tension. The tensions between husbands and wives they are husbands wives and children its like just WHO THE HELLS going to do the domestic duties and how and when and the answer cant be well were not going to do them because then you know you eat Cheetos and popcorn and you know for the rest of your life and thats not good. Its gotten to the point in England because the domestic situations have deteriorated the rituals have deteriorated to such a point that about 1/3 of families no longer have a dining room table and you can buy PRE-COOKED hard-boiled eggs, yeah, yeah, right, so its not a good thing, and you might ask yourself why the hell everyone is fat or has an eating disorder and you know part of the reason is that the entire domestic routine around regulating food intake has disappeared thats a terrible thing for people because were social eaters. So you might say, well, if you sit down with a bunch of other people at a table how much should you eat? And the answer is: you should eat on average what everyone else eats. And thats exactly what you do, even if you dont notice it. You know people are so wired into we did experiments like this if you bring undergraduates who dont know each other into a lab and you give them a snack while theyre doing something like watching a movie, they will eat the same number of chips. So you know if one of them eats the whole half the thing, the other will eat half. If one only has one, the other will only have one. The correlation between the food intake, between the dyads was about 0.8 it was staggering. Seemed to be a little higher for extroverts than for introverts, but it was remarkably concordant. You can understand why right? Because human beings share food its like you are not going to be a popular tribesperson if you eat you know 30% of the food when food is in short supply. You better be bloody awake and make sure you dont take more than your share. And you know its a fundamental of human nature to do that. And you know, we also regulate our sense of satiety by cues that are external to us. So regulating our food intake, also because were omnivores turns out to be a tremendously difficult thing and anyways, back to this kid. So, we bring all the kids to the table and theyre sitting around and theyre having lunch and the rule is, as I said, eat what is in front of you and be PLEASED AND HAPPY ABOUT IT. So you might say well why would that also be a rule? Its like okay, put yourself in this position now because youll be in this position. Youre going to cook your damn kid some lunch. And youre going to do that well lets calculate it out because I like doing arithmetic. So lets say it takes you a half an hour a day, and you do it seven days a week. But well multiply that by three because theres three meals so its an hour and a half a day right? So okay fine seven times an hour and a half is roughly ten. So its ten hours a week its forty hours a month right, forty hours a month is a full work week. So forty hours a month times twelve, twelve full work weeks, right? Yes? Thats three full months of 40 hour days of COOKING SOMETHING FOR YOUR DAMN KID. Now, thats a lot of time, and then youre going to do that for 18 years. SO then you might ask yourself what sort of response do you need from your child in order to not feel resentful and miserable about the fact that you have to do that for three bloody months this year. You know you just have to think about this, and this is also why its necessarily to know that inside yourself you carry a monster just like the world outside you carries a monster. Do not think that youre going to be able to maintain a healthy attitude towards your child or towards your food or towards yourself if all you can muster up for the effort of cooking and preparing food is the attitude of a slave and continual punishment from the people youre offering food to. Its like who the hell wants that?! So you want to teach the miserable little blighter that hes lucky that theres any food there at all and that the proper attitude is to say really thank you very much mom or thank you very much dad Im glad that you produced something and then you know you can be all happy about the fact that you were slaving away in the kitchen and you can like your kid! And so you might think well everybody likes their kids. Its like yeah right, no. Thats not true. Thats not true. And now and then you know you read in the newspaper about someone whos, you know, being pushed a little bit too far on some day that theyre unemployed and hungover and you know their relationship is just broken up and they do something absolutely brutal to their child and you think well how could anyone do that its like theres a lot of history of terrible interactions between the mother and the child or the father and the child before something like that happens. So you know if you want to protect your child against the beast thats inside you you might want to teach them to treat you with some respect so that youre much more likely to be a civilized human being around them. So, alright so anyways so this kids sittin there and theres no damn way hes going to eat anything! So we decide were going to feed him, which I am an expert at, because my son, the one who said no all the time he is the most stubborn little cuss you could possibly imagine and one time when he was about nine months old he got ahold of this spoon and it was like he was not going to be fed anymore. So thats fine good you feed yourself. But no, kids, eh? Theyre too damn curious and playful really to feed themselves so you sit them in a high chair and you know they fling the food onto the floor because thats pretty cool and they can watch that over and over you know or they mess around with it or maybe they, you know, put some in moms hair because thats interesting too and they have two or three bites and then theyre not ravenous and then theyre much more interested in playing, and thats fine except that if the kid doesnt eat then it gets crabby and you know whiny and miserable and then it disturbs the mother or the father and then it wont sleep at night its like thats no good. So after about three days of that I took the spoon back from him and he was not happy about that man. Trying to get that little kid to eat once I got the spoon it was like a four hour battle. It was really remarkable. So I have a lot of respect for his ability just to withstand stubbornness you know but Id learned by that time as a parent that like if you want to discipline your child, theres an attitude that you have to take which is I am going to win this. Its like I dont care how stubborn you are I am GOING TO WIN! And because I know Im going to win I am not going to get angry. Im just going to out-stubborn you, so I take up some food and put it in front of him hed go like this [winces] so that was a good trick and so I tried to get the food in there and his teeth were gritted so Id poke him poke poke poke poke and after about ten pokes hed get annoyed and go agh and Id put the food in and he tried to spit it out so Id hold it in. So then that was like three minutes you know and then we did it with another spoonful and you know after about Id say an hour of this my wife had to leave because just you know she couldnt handle it. And about an hour after this he decided that you know it was ok and that he would let me feed him, but like it was brutal, and it was amazing I mean little kids are so damn tough you know theyre really cute and everything and but theyre so tough you just cant believe it so anyways. So we had this kid at the table and he was not going to eat so my wife, who had learned these tricks by this time, decided to feed him. And he had a lot of sort of nine month old or eight month old behaviors because you know kids have different strategies of resistance if they dont want to do something and those strategies get more sophisticated as they get older but and he had some strategies but they werent sophisticated you know like he didnt make jokes or knock the spoon away or get angry or run away or any of those things. He did kind of nine month old things which means he just put his head down and when she put the spoon towards him he just averted his head one way or another so so that was interesting because I knew his parents had given up feeding him when he was about eight or nine months old, because those tricks worked and so thats why she could come to the house and say [in high pitched voice] he probably wont eat all day but thats alright which it ISNT. ITS NOT ALRIGHT. So, fine, so my wife is trying to feed him and he doesnt open his mouth so she pokes him a bit and sooner or later he gets mad and goes AGH and she puts the food in and then she pats him on the head as soon as he swallows it and says look youre being a really good kid you know youre doing a good job and so hes wondering what the hells going on and then it was so interesting because she kept feeding him and he was still doing this [winces] but as she patted him on the head hed be doing this and hed open his mouth, so it was like there was this weird conflict between his habitual behavior and this thing that was being reinforced so then shed you know put the food in and pat him and hed you know hed be kind of happy about that and then hed kind of go back to his routine and then she did that for about I think it was about 20 minutes it wasnt disruptive like all the other kids ate they didnt really notice what was going on. It wasnt a big deal you know but I was watching because I knew something was up because the stupid thing that his mother said and then the fact that he wouldnt play, and he ignored me I thought nah nah theres something really not good here, theres a dragon here, and its a big one So she feeds him and then he finishes the whole bowl! And she says youre a good boy you ate the whole bowl. Jesus, you should have seen what happened to that kid man it just about broke my heart like really, like his eyes got big and he smiled and he was just like he was super thrilled because hed finally accomplished this ABSOLUTE BASIC NECESSITY that he hadnt mastered in FOUR YEARS. He FINALLY GOT IT RIGHT. You think of all the meals he went through, either being ignored or failing, three times a day, for like three years. Nothing but failure and bad responses and you know, hed internalized all that he thought he was a bad kid and then all of a sudden POOF he figured this out and you know got a little reward for it. It was like he just lit up and that whole shell that he had on that he was like using to protect himself when he was in the porch that just melted away. It was like horrifying and amazing at the same time and that he followed my wife around after that, in the house, just like a puppy dog. Like he wouldnt get he would not more than one foot away from her. It was unbelievable and then we went downstairs to watch like a movie with the kids and she sat on her rocking chair and he climbed right up on her lap and grabbed her just like that Harlow monkey grabbed the you know the little soft mother instead of the wiry mother FROUMP he was like this [grasping] and he was like that for like two hours he wouldnt let her go. So then the mother came home and she came downstairs and she looked at what was going on and this kid was like [choking sound] glommed onto my wife and he looked at her and he said oh, super mom. And you know, took her kid, and went home. Its like, Jesus, if you dont think theres a dragon in that story, man, youre not listening to it. It was not good. And her response at the end was terrible. She should have said well how did you get him to eat? Its like what the hell is he doing hugging you? He never does that to me! No way, man, she wasnt going to let that piece of information in, and its no wonder, because the dragon in that story was her, and it was something that she did not want to admit. And she was willing, perfectly willing to sacrifice her child to her failure to realize that she could be a dragon. So that meant that the child was the problem. And thats a hell of a thing to do to a four year-old. So It was not pleasant. It was really not pleasant. In fact, we probably did damage to the child by actually getting him to do something good, eh? Because we opened him up to the possibility that he could behave properly, and be rewarded for that And that gave him hope And so you can bloody well be sure that hope was dispensed with the next day So And thats why Billy doesnt get anything to eat.

Having safely established that Jordan Peterson is an intellectual fraud who uses a lot of words to say almost nothing, we can now turn back to the original question: how can a man incapable of relaying the content of a childrens book become the most influential thinker of his moment? My first instinct is simply to sigh that the world is tragic and absurd, and there is apparently no height to which confident fools cannot ascend. But there are better explanations available. Peterson is popular partly because he criticizes social justice activists in a way many people find satisfying, and some of those criticisms have merit. He is popular partly because he offers adrift young men a sense of heroic purpose, and offers angry young men rationalizations for their hatreds. And he is popular partly because academia and the left have failed spectacularly at helping make the world intelligible to ordinary people, and giving them a clear and compelling political vision.

Peterson first came to international prominence when he publicly opposed Canadas Bill C-16, which added gender expression and identity to the list of prohibited grounds of discrimination in the Canadian Human Rights Act. Peterson claimed that under the bill, he could be compelled to use a students preferred gender pronoun or face criminal prosecution, and suggested that social justice activists were promoting a totalitarian ideology. In fact, there was nothing in the bill that criminalized the failure to use peoples preferred gender pronouns (full text), and I share the belief that government legislation requiring people to use particular pronouns would be an infringement on civil liberties. But since thats a position shared by Noam Chomsky and the ACLU, its not a particularly devastating criticism of the left. And when Peterson goes beyond the very narrow issue of compelled speech, his take on social justice isnt much much more sensible than his lecture on Jungian archetypes in the story of the pancake-dragon.

Examine, for example, how in his Channel 4 interview Peterson talks about the totalitarian tendencies of the activists who tried to add gender identity to the human rights bill:

PETERSON: I did compare them to Mao I was comparing them to the left-wing totalitarians. And I do believe

they are left-wing totalitarians.

NEWMAN: Under Mao millions of people died!

PETERSON: Right!

NEWMAN: I mean theres no comparison between Mao and a trans activist, is there?

PETERSON: Why not?

NEWMAN: Because trans activists arent killing millions of people!

PETERSON: The philosophy thats guiding their utterances is the same philosophy.

NEWMAN: The consequences are

PETERSON: Not yet!

NEWMAN: Youre saying that trans activists,

PETERSON: No!

NEWMAN: Could leads to the deaths of millions of people.

PETERSON: No, Im saying that the philosophy that drives their utterances is the same philosophy that already has driven us to the deaths of millions of people.

NEWMAN: Okay. Tell us how that philosophy is in any way comparable.

PETERSON: Sure. Thats no problem. The first thing is that their philosophy presumes that group identity is paramount. Thats the fundamental philosophy that drove the Soviet Union and Maoist China. And its the fundamental philosophy of the left-wing activists. Its identity politics. It doesnt matter who you are as an individual, it matters who you are in terms of your group identity.

While Cathy Newman was repeatedly unfair to Petersons views throughout the rest of the interview, here she was perfectly right to be confused: what Peterson is saying makes no sense. He wonders how there could be any difference between transgender activists and Maos China, then is told that the difference is millions of deaths, then denies that transgender activists are going to cause millions of deaths, then says they follow a totalitarian philosophy that drives people to mass murder. The reason hes stuck here is that theres no evidence the Canadian Human Rights Act is about to bring us a gulag archipelago, but thats what his grandiose statements about left-wing totalitarianism imply will happen. So he must either allege Alberta is about to get its own Great Leap Forward or draw a distinction between Maos Red Guards and the University of Toronto LGBTQ center, neither of which he wants to commit to. So we get another heaping dish of Peterson waffle.

Here again he tries to explain the Soviet-transgender connection, again using the argument that any collective or group-based political action is following the same philosophy that rounded up and executed the kulaks:

[Liberalism] got flipped so that the world was turned into one group against another. Power struggle from one group against another, and then the social justice warrior types and the lefties, even the Democratic party, started categorizing everybody according to their ethnic, or sexual, or racial identity, and made that the canonical element of their being. And thats an absolutely terrible thing to do! It leads to, in the Soviet Union when that happened, for example, when they introduced that idea along with the notion of class guilt So for example, when the Soviets collectivized the farms, they pretty much wiped out, or raped and froze to death all of their, all their competent farmersthey called them kulaksand they attributed class guilt to them, because they were successful peasants, and they defined their success as oppression and theft. They killed all of them pretty much, shipped them off to Siberia and froze them to death, and they were the productive agricultural to the Soviet Union, and then in the 1930s in the Ukraine because of that, about six million Ukrainians starve to death.

I think its worth remembering here what anti-discrimination activists are actually asking for: they want transgender people not to be fired from their jobs for being transgender, not to suffer gratuitously in prisons, to be able to access appropriate healthcare, not to be victimized in hate crimes, and not to be ostracized, evicted, or disdained. Likewise, the social justice claims on race are about: trying to fix the black-white wealth gap, trying to reduce racial discrimination in job applications, trying to reduce race-based health disparities and educational achievement gaps, and reducing the unfair everyday biases that make life harder for people of color. This is the sort of thing the left is focused on. Read the Democratic Party platform or the Black Lives Matter policy agenda. Disagree with them! But Peterson spares himself from having to actually engage in substantive debates on policy questions, by writing off the left as a bunch of brainwashed totalitarian postmodernist neo-Marxists. (Others have pointed out the ways in which this misses the incredibly important contemporary conflict between leftism and identity-based liberalism, a conflict that is hugely important to understanding the left.)

In fact, Peterson doesnt seem to really understand what politics are to begin with. He says he is against ideology despite constantly opining on social questions by applying an elaborate personal Theory of Everything. When a questioner asked him what he thought people should do to effect change, given his opposition to student activism, his answer was telling:

This happened in the 60s, as far as I can tell, that we got this misbegotten idea that the way to conduct yourself as a responsible human being was to hold placards up to protest to change the viewpoints of other people and thereby usher in the utopia. I think thats all appalling, I think its appalling. And I think its absolutely absurd that students are taught that thats the way to conduct themselves in the world. First of all, if youre nineteen or twenty or twenty one, you dont bloody well know anything. You havent done anything. You dont know anything about history, you havent read anything, you havent supported yourself for any length of time. Youve been entirely dependent on your state and on your family for the brief few years of your existence. And the idea that you have any wisdom to determine how society should be reconstructed when youre sitting in the absolute lap of luxury protected by processes you dont understand lets call that a bad idea The idea that what you should do to change the world is to find people you disagree with and shake paper on sticks at them, its just

Activism, then, is arrogant brats holding paper on sticks, a peculiar and appalling phenomenon he believes started in the 60s. Nevermind that what he is talking about is more commonly known as the Civil Rights Movement, and the paper on sticks said We shall overcome and End segregated schools on them. And nevermind that it worked, and was one of the most morally important events of the 20th century. Peterson, who is apparently an alien to whom political action is an unfathomable mystery, thinks its been nothing but fifty years of childish virtue-signaling. The activists against the Vietnam War spent years trying to stop a horrific atrocity that killed a million people, and had a very significant effect in drawing attention to that atrocity and finally bringing it to a close. But the students are the ones who dont know anything about history.

Here is where Jordan Petersons self-help routine connects with his politics. Peterson seemingly discourages all serious political involvement. He says cultivating the self and reading great books is more important than any possible political action. Dont focus on changing the world, focus on tidying up your life. After all, the meaning of life is to be found in the adoption of individual responsibility and when you win everything, everyone around you wins too because it means you shine a light on the whole world 12 Rules For Life makes it explicit: stop questioning the social order, stop assigning blame for problems to political actors, stop trying to reorganize things.

Have you taken full advantage of the opportunities offered to you? Are you working hard on your career, or even your job, or are you letting bitterness and resentment hold you back and drag you down? Have you made peace with your brother? Are there things that you could do, that you know you could do, that would make things around you better? Have you cleaned up your life? If the answer is no, heres something to try: start to stop doing what you know to be wrong. Start stopping today Dont blame capitalism, the radical left, or the iniquity of your enemies. Dont reorganize the state until you have ordered your own experience. Have some humility. If you cannot bring peace to your household, how dare you try to rule a city? Set your house in perfect order before you criticize the world.

Note: perfect. And since ones house can never be in perfect order, one can never criticize the world. This is, most obviously, an invitation to total depoliticization and solipsism. But its also a recipe for making miserable people even more miserable. Blame yourself. Why havent I fixed this? I suck. Well, its certainly possible that you suck. (Most of us do!*) But the world also does have injustices in it. A lot, in fact. Peterson speaks to disaffected millennial men, validating their prejudices about feminists and serving as a surrogate father figure. Yet hes offering them terrible advice, because the individual responsibility ethic makes one feel like a failure for failing. Oh, sure, his rules about standing up straight and petting a cat when you see one are innocuous enough. But you shouldnt tell people that their problems are their fault if you dont actually know whether their problems are their fault. Millennials struggle in part because of a viciously competitive economy that is crushing them with debt and a lack of opportunity. Sure, Peterson might train guys to be more brutal and tough-minded, and a few of them will do better at the competition. But if you cant pay your student loans, or your rent, and you cant get a better job, what use is it to tell you that you should adopt a confident lobster-posture?

But here the left and academia actually bear a decent share of blame. Why is Jordan Petersons combination of drivel and clich attracting millions of followers? Some of it is probably because alt-right guys like that he gives a seemingly scientific justification for their dislike of social justice warriors. Some of it is just that self-help always sells. Another part of it, though, is that academics have been cloistered and unhelpful, and the left has failed to offer people a coherent political alternative. Jordan Peterson is right that people are adrift and in need of meaning. Many of them lap up his lectures because he offers something resembling insight, and promises the secrets to a good life. Its not actually insight, of course; its stuff everybody already knows, dressed up in gobbledegook. But it feels like something. Tabatha Southey was cruel to call Jordan Peterson the stupid mans smart person. He is the desperate mans smart person, he feeds on angst and confusion. Who else has a serious alternative? Where are the other professors with accessible and compelling YouTube channels, with books of helpful advice and long Q&A sessions with the public? No wonder Peterson is so popular: he comes along and offers rules and guidance in a world of, well, chaos. Just leave it to Dad, everything will be alright.

This is a fruitless path, though. Thats not just because Peterson is a charlatan. If he was just offering up his brand of hearty intellectual stew, as the Chronicle of Higher Education called it, going around sprinkling in ideas from philosophy, fiction, religion, neuroscience, and a disturbing dream his 5-year-old nephew had one time, we could just laugh at him. But the Peterson way is not just futile because its pointless, its futile because ultimately, you cant escape politics. Our lives are conditioned by economic and political systems, like it or not, and by telling lost people to abandon projects for social change, one permanently guarantees they will be the helpless victims of forces beyond their control or understanding. The genuinely heroic path in life is to band with others to pursue the social good, to find meaning in the collective human striving to better our condition. No, not by abandoning the idea of the individual and seeing the world purely in terms of group identity. But by pooling our individual talents and efforts to produce a better, fairer, and more beautiful world.

This much should be obvious from even a cursory reading of him: If Jordan Peterson is the most influential intellectual in the Western world, the Western world has lost its damn mind. And since Jordan Peterson does indeed have a good claim to being the most influential intellectual in the Western world, we need to think seriously about what has gone wrong. What have we done to end up with this man? His success is our failure, and while its easy to scoff at him, its more important to inquire into how we got to this point. He is a symptom. He shows a culture bereft of ideas, a politics without inspiration or principle. Jordan Peterson may not be the intellectual we want. But he is probably the intellectual we deserve.

*Just kidding. Youre great.

If you appreciate our work, please considermaking a donationorpurchasing a subscription. Current Affairs is not for profit and carries no outside advertising. We are an independent media institution funded entirely by subscribers and small donors, and we depend on you in order to continue to produce high-quality work.

Thanks to Addison Kane for transcribing Petersons speech.

Continued here:

The Intellectual We Deserve | Current Affairs

Jitsi for Windows – Secure Instant Messaging and VoIP

Updated10 August 2016

This content is currently unmaintained and may be significantly out of date. Please do not rely on it.

Jitsi is cross-platform, free and open-source software client that supports Instant Messaging (IM), voice and video chat over the internet. It supports many of the most popular and widely used IM and telephony protocols, including Jabber/XMPP (used by Facebook and Google Talk), AIM, ICQ, MSN, Yahoo! Messenger and the SIP Voice-over-IP (VoIP) protocol. It supports additional independent encryption for IM through the OTR (Off-the-Record) protocol and for voice and video sessions through ZRTP and SRTP.

Jitsi is cross-platform, free and open-source software client for Instant Messaging (IM), Voice over IP (VoIP) and video chat. It is compatible with many popular IM and telephony protocols, including Jabber/XMPP, Facebook Messenger, AIM, ICQ, MSN, Yahoo! Messenger and SIP. It provides end-to-end encryption for text chats through the Off-the-Record (OTR) protocol. It also supports end-to-end encrypted voice chat using ZRTP over SIP, though it tends to be somewhat unstable when used in this way.

Important: If you and those with whom you communicate use OTR encryption for text chats and ZRTP encryption for voice calls, Jitsi will protect the content of your conversations from service providers like Google and Facebook. However, these providers can still monitor certain metadata about the conversations you have through Jitsi. Examples include:

They can share this information with third parties, including other companies and governments. For conversations where such metadata could be sensitive, you and those with whom you communicate should consider using a trusted, independent service provider for your XMPP/Jabber chats and SIP calls.

Jitsi allows you to communicate securely through your existing accounts by using end-to-end encryption. This not only makes the content of your communication inaccessible to various third parties, such as government or corporate surveillance platforms, but it also protects your conversations from those who operate the chat services themselves (such as Facebook, if you are using Facebook Messenger, or Google, if you are using Google Talk).

Note: Jitsi was written in the Java programming language. As such, Java must be installed on your computer in order for it to work. Though Java itself does not represent a significant security risk, Java browser extensions are often found to contain vulnerabilities that allow malicious websites to install malware or assume control of your computer. If your browser has a Java plugin installed, we strongly recommend that you disable it.

Jitsi is available for MS Windows, GNU Linux and Mac OS. It can be used to communicate with other XMPP or SIP clients that support end-to-end encryption through OTR (for text chat) or ZRTP (for voice calls). Examples are recommended below:

To install Jitsi, follow the steps below:

Step 1. Browse to the Jitsi download page: https://jitsi.org/Main/Download

Figure 1: The Jitsi download page

Step 2. Scroll down and click [Microsoft Windows Installers] to download Jitsi.

Figure 2: Downloading the Jitsi package

Step 3. Right-click on the downloaded Jitsi file and select [Open], as illustrated below:

Figure 3: Opening the downloaded Jitsi file

Step 4. Click [Next] to start installing Jitsi on your computer.

Figure 4: Jitsi Setup Wizard

Step 5. Read Jitsi's License Agreement and check [I accept the terms in the License Agreement].

Figure 5: Jitsi End-User License Agreement

Step 6. Click [Next] to proceed with the installation process.

Step 7. Click [Next] to install Jitsi to the default folder. Alternatively, click [Change...] to select the folder you would like to install Jitsi to.

Figure 6: Jitsi installation destination folder

Step 8. Select shortcuts, settings and associated protocols through the following window and click [Next]. The default settings here are fine.

Figure 7: Jitsi Setup Wizard Addtional Tasks

Step 9. Click [Install] to install Jitsi on your computer.

Figure 8: Installation of Jitsi

Wait while Jitsi gets installed.

Figure 9: Installing Jitsi

Step 10. Click [Finish] to complete the installation process.

Figure 10: Completing the installation process of Jitsi

Jitsi supports many different protocols and services for chat. The first time you launch it, you will see the window shown in Figure 1, which allows you to add the accounts you want to access through Jitsi.

Figure 1: Jitsi's initial account configuration screen

Note: Both Google Talk and Facebook may require that you change certain account settings before you can access their chat services through Jitsi. To learn how, see the following two sections:

You can use this screen to enter a username and password for each of the services displayed, thereby adding up to four accounts in one easy step. But you must already have accounts on these services to do so. The sections below describe how to set up accounts for various IM and VoIP service providers.

As shown in Figure 1 of the previous section, the first time you launch Jitsi, you will see an account configuration screen that allows you to add various chat services to the application. After you have added at least one account, this screen will no longer appear. In order to add additional accounts, follow the steps below.

Step 1. Click [File] in Jitsi's menu bar and select [Add new account...] to choose the service or protocol you want to use.

Figure 1: Adding a new account

Step 2. Select [Google Talk] from the Network list.

Figure 2: Selecting Google Talk

Step 3. Type your Google username and passphrase.

Figure 3: Entering a Google username and password

Step 4. (Optional) Uncheck the Remember password box

Important: If you want Jitsi to remember your passphrases for you, you should first enable its Master Password feature.

Step 5. Click [Add].

You can now use Jitsi to communicate through the Google Talk account you have added.

Note: If you are using 2-step verification to protect access to your Gmail account, you might see an error like the one shown in Figure 4 when Jitsi tries to access your account. (It will display the same error if you get your passphrase wrong.) To log in using Jitsi, you will need to generate an "application-specific password". To learn how, see Google's instructions.

Figure 4: Google Talk authentication failed (possibly as a result of "2-step verification" settings)

There are two settings that you might need to change, on the Facebook website, for Jitsi to use Facebook as a chat service.

Facebook Username

Before Jitsi can connect to Facebook, you must assign a username to your Facebook account. Unlike most Web services, Facebook does not require you to select a username when you create your account, but it does allow you to create one if you wish. You can confirm your username by signing into your Facebook account. Your username is what appears in the location bar of your browser after https://www.facebook.com/ when you view your Timeline or Page. So, if your username is elena.s.katerina, you should see https://www.facebook.com/elena.s.katerina in your browser's location bar when viewing your Timeline. Your username is also part of your Facebook email address (elena.s.katerina@facebook.com, for example).

If you do not have a Facebook username, you can choose one by signing into your account and selecting Settings > General or by browsing to https://www.facebook.com/username. Facebook might require that you verify your account before allowing you to select a username. This might require giving Facebook a mobile phone number at which you can receive a text message. For more details see Facebooks explanation of usernames.

App Settings

You must turn on Facebooks application platform in order to give Jitsi access to your account. To do this, sign in, select Settings > Apps and confirm that the Apps, Websites and Plugins setting is Enabled.

Note: Turning on Facebooks application platform opens up much of your Facebook data to third-party application developers. This data is available not only to the Facebook applications that you use, but also to the Facebook applications used by your friends. After turning on Facebooks Apps, Websites and Plugins, be sure to check the settings under Apps others use. This setting allows you to hide some personal information from applications used by your friends. Unfortunately, Facebook does not offer settings to hide all personal information. As long as the application platform is Enabled, certain categories of data (including your friend list, your gender, and any information you have made public) are accessible to apps used by others. If this is unacceptable, you should disable Apps, Websites and Plugins and avoid using Jitsi with Facebook Messenger.

Once you have chosen a Facebook username and enabled the application platform, you can add your Facebook account to Jitsi.

As shown in Figure 1 of the Add accounts to Jitsi section, the first time you launch Jitsi, you will see an account configuration screen that allows you to add various chat services to the application. After you have added at least one account, this screen will no longer appear. In order to add additional accounts, follow the steps below.

Step 1. Click [File] in Jitsi's menu bar and select [Add new account...] to choose the service or protocol you want to use.

Figure 1: Adding a new account

Step 2. Select [Facebook] from the Network list.

Figure 2: Selecting Facebook

Step 3. Type your Facebook username and password.

Figure 3: Entering a username and password into the Add New Account screen

Step 4. (Optional) Uncheck the Remember password box.

Important: If you want Jitsi to remember your passphrases for you, you should first enable its Master Password feature.

Step 5. Click [Add].

You can now use Jitsi to communicate through the Facebook account you have added.

XMPP and Jabber are different names for the same instant messaging protocol. It is an open standard, and there are many providers who offer free Jabber/XMPP accounts that you can use with Jitsi. The IM Observatory allows you to evaluate some security properties of public Jabber/XMPP services.

If you have experience running online services, you can also install a Jabber/XMPP server (such as ejabberd or Prosody IM) on your own server and provide accounts to members of a particular community or organization.

Below, we recommend a few services that have a great deal of experience protecting their users' privacy.

Note: Even if you trust your service provider, It is still important that you use OTR encryption to keep your instant messages confidential. So make sure that you and those with whom you communicate know how to use it properly. This is covered in the section on Using Jitsi for secure instant messaging

The Chaos Computer Club (CCC) hosts a free Jabber service. Their servers are located in Germany. From within Jitsi, you can simultaneously create an account on jabber.ccc.de and add it to Jitsi. This works for many traditional Jabber/XMPP services.

Step 1. Click [File] in Jitsi's menu bar and select [Add new account...] to choose the service or protocol you want to use.

Figure 1: Add new accounts

Step 2. Select [XMPP] from the Network list.

Figure 2: Selecting XMPP

The steps below assume that you do not yet have a jabber.ccc.de account. (If you do, just enter your username and passphrase and click [Add].)

Step 3. Select [Create a new XMPP account].

Figure 3: Creating a new jabber.ccc.de account, within Jitsi, using the Add New Account screen

Step 4. Type [jabber.ccc.de] in the Server box.

Step 5. Choose a username and type it into the XMPP username box.

Step 6. Choose a passphrase and type it into the Password and Confirm Password boxes.

Step 7. Click [Add] to request the username you have chosen.

If the username you requested is unavailable, the registration process will fail, and Jitsi will announce that it: failed to create your account due to the following error: Could not confirm data. You can try again by repeating the process with a different username.

If you do not log in to your jabber.ccc.de account for 12 months, your account will be removed, and your username will be made available for registration by others.

Riseup is a collective dedicated to providing secure services for individuals and organizations committed to political and social justice. Their servers are located in the United States.

If you already have a Riseup.net email account, you can use the same account for their Jabber/XMPP service. In order to create an account, you will need two invitation codes from two different Riseup.net members. You can then visit https://user.riseup.net and create an account. Once your account is active, you can add it to Jitsi by following the steps below.

As shown in Figure 1 of the Add accounts to Jitsi section, the first time you launch Jitsi, you will see an account configuration screen that allows you to add various chat services to the application. After you have added at least one account, this screen will no longer appear. In order to add additional accounts, follow the steps below.

Step 1. Click [File] in Jitsi's menu bar and select [Add new account...] to choose the service or protocol you want to use.

Figure 1: Adding new accounts

Step 2. Select [XMPP] from the Network list.

Figure 2: Selecting XMPP

Step 3. Type the username for your Jabber/XMPP account on this service.

Figure 3: Entering a username and password into the Add New Account screen

Your username should include the **@** symbol and the hostname of the service. For example

Step 4. Type the passphrase for your Jabber/XMPP account on this service.

Step 5. (Optional) Uncheck the Remember password box.

Important: If you want Jitsi to remember your passphrases for you, you should first enable its Master Password feature.

Step 6. Click [Add].

You can now use Jitsi to communicate through this Jabber/XMPP account.

View post:

Jitsi for Windows - Secure Instant Messaging and VoIP

Futures studies – Wikipedia

Futures studies (also called futurology) is the study of postulating possible, probable, and preferable futures and the worldviews and myths that underlie them. In general, it can be considered as a branch of the social sciences and parallel to the field of history. Futures studies (colloquially called "futures" by many of the field's practitioners) seeks to understand what is likely to continue and what could plausibly change. Part of the discipline thus seeks a systematic and pattern-based understanding of past and present, and to determine the likelihood of future events and trends.[1]

Unlike the physical sciences where a narrower, more specified system is studied, futures studies concerns a much bigger and more complex world system. The methodology and knowledge are much less proven as compared to natural science or even social science like sociology and economics. There is a debate as to whether this discipline is an art or science and sometimes described by scientists as pseudoscience.[2][3]

Futures studies is an interdisciplinary field, studying past and present changes, and aggregating and analyzing both lay and professional strategies and opinions with respect to future. It includes analyzing the sources, patterns, and causes of change and stability in an attempt to develop foresight and to map possible futures. Around the world the field is variously referred to as futures studies, strategic foresight, futuristics, futures thinking, futuring, and futurology. Futures studies and strategic foresight are the academic field's most commonly used terms in the English-speaking world.

Foresight was the original term and was first used in this sense by H.G. Wells in 1932.[4] "Futurology" is a term common in encyclopedias, though it is used almost exclusively by nonpractitioners today, at least in the English-speaking world. "Futurology" is defined as the "study of the future."[5] The term was coined by German professor Ossip K. Flechtheim in the mid-1940s, who proposed it as a new branch of knowledge that would include a new science of probability. This term may have fallen from favor in recent decades because modern practitioners stress the importance of alternative and plural futures, rather than one monolithic future, and the limitations of prediction and probability, versus the creation of possible and preferable futures.[citation needed]

Three factors usually distinguish futures studies from the research conducted by other disciplines (although all of these disciplines overlap, to differing degrees). First, futures studies often examines not only possible but also probable, preferable, and "wild card" futures. Second, futures studies typically attempts to gain a holistic or systemic view based on insights from a range of different disciplines, generally focusing on the STEEP[6] categories of Social, Technological, Economic, Environmental and Political. Third, futures studies challenges and unpacks the assumptions behind dominant and contending views of the future. The future thus is not empty but fraught with hidden assumptions. For example, many people expect the collapse of the Earth's ecosystem in the near future, while others believe the current ecosystem will survive indefinitely. A foresight approach would seek to analyze and highlight the assumptions underpinning such views.

As a field, futures studies expands on the research component, by emphasizing the communication of a strategy and the actionable steps needed to implement the plan or plans leading to the preferable future. It is in this regard, that futures studies evolves from an academic exercise to a more traditional business-like practice, looking to better prepare organizations for the future.

Futures studies does not generally focus on short term predictions such as interest rates over the next business cycle, or of managers or investors with short-term time horizons. Most strategic planning, which develops operational plans for preferred futures with time horizons of one to three years, is also not considered futures. Plans and strategies with longer time horizons that specifically attempt to anticipate possible future events are definitely part of the field. As a rule, futures studies is generally concerned with changes of transformative impact, rather than those of an incremental or narrow scope.

The futures field also excludes those who make future predictions through professed supernatural means.

Johan Galtung and Sohail Inayatullah[7] argue in Macrohistory and Macrohistorians that the search for grand patterns of social change goes all the way back to Ssu-Ma Chien (145-90BC) and his theory of the cycles of virtue, although the work of Ibn Khaldun (13321406) such as The Muqaddimah[8] would be an example that is perhaps more intelligible to modern sociology. Early western examples include Sir Thomas Mores Utopia, published in 1516, and based upon Platos Republic, in which a future society has overcome poverty and misery to create a perfect model for living. This work was so powerful that utopias have come to represent positive and fulfilling futures in which everyones needs are met.[9]

Some intellectual foundations of futures studies appeared in the mid-19th century. Isadore Comte, considered the father of scientific philosophy, was heavily influenced by the work of utopian socialist Henri Saint-Simon, and his discussion of the metapatterns of social change presages futures studies as a scholarly dialogue.[10]

The first works that attempt to make systematic predictions for the future were written in the 18th century. Memoirs of the Twentieth Century written by Samuel Madden in 1733, takes the form of a series of diplomatic letters written in 1997 and 1998 from British representatives in the foreign cities of Constantinople, Rome, Paris, and Moscow.[11] However, the technology of the 20th century is identical to that of Madden's own era - the focus is instead on the political and religious state of the world in the future. Madden went on to write The Reign of George VI, 1900 to 1925, where (in the context of the boom in canal construction at the time) he envisioned a large network of waterways that would radically transform patterns of living - "Villages grew into towns and towns became cities".[12]

In 1845, Scientific American, the oldest continuously published magazine in the U.S., began publishing articles about scientific and technological research, with a focus upon the future implications of such research. It would be followed in 1872 by the magazine Popular Science, which was aimed at a more general readership.[9]

The genre of science fiction became established towards the end of the 19th century, with notable writers, including Jules Verne and H. G. Wells, setting their stories in an imagined future world.

According to W. Warren Wagar, the founder of future studies was H. G. Wells. His Anticipations of the Reaction of Mechanical and Scientific Progress Upon Human Life and Thought: An Experiment in Prophecy, was first serially published in The Fortnightly Review in 1901.[13] Anticipating what the world would be like in the year 2000, the book is interesting both for its hits (trains and cars resulting in the dispersion of population from cities to suburbs; moral restrictions declining as men and women seek greater sexual freedom; the defeat of German militarism, the existence of a European Union, and a world order maintained by "English-speaking peoples" based on the urban core between Chicago and New York[14]) and its misses (he did not expect successful aircraft before 1950, and averred that "my imagination refuses to see any sort of submarine doing anything but suffocate its crew and founder at sea").[15][16]

Moving from narrow technological predictions, Wells envisioned the eventual collapse of the capitalist world system after a series of destructive total wars. From this havoc would ultimately emerge a world of peace and plenty, controlled by competent technocrats.[13]

The work was a bestseller, and Wells was invited to deliver a lecture at the Royal Institution in 1902, entitled The Discovery of the Future. The lecture was well-received and was soon republished in book form. He advocated for the establishment of a new academic study of the future that would be grounded in scientific methodology rather than just speculation. He argued that a scientifically ordered vision of the future "will be just as certain, just as strictly science, and perhaps just as detailed as the picture that has been built up within the last hundred years to make the geological past." Although conscious of the difficulty in arriving at entirely accurate predictions, he thought that it would still be possible to arrive at a "working knowledge of things in the future".[13]

In his fictional works, Wells predicted the invention and use of the atomic bomb in The World Set Free (1914).[17] In The Shape of Things to Come (1933) the impending World War and cities destroyed by aerial bombardment was depicted.[18] However, he didn't stop advocating for the establishment of a futures science. In a 1933 BBC broadcast he called for the establishment of "Departments and Professors of Foresight", foreshadowing the development of modern academic futures studies by approximately 40 years.[4]

At the beginning of the 20th century future works were often shaped by political forces and turmoil. The WWI era led to adoption of futures thinking in institutions throughout Europe. The Russian Revolution led to the 1921 establishment of the Soviet Unions Gosplan, or State Planning Committee, which was active until the dissolution of the Soviet Union. Gosplan was responsible for economic planning and created plans in five year increments to govern the economy. One of the first Soviet dissidents, Yevgeny Zamyatin, published the first dystopian novel, We, in 1921. The science fiction and political satire featured a future police state and was the first work censored by the Soviet censorship board, leading to Zamyatins political exile.[9]

In the United States, President Hoover created the Research Committee on Social Trends, which produced a report in 1933. The head of the committee, William F. Ogburn, analyzed the past to chart trends and project those trends into the future, with a focus on technology. Similar technique was used during The Great Depression, with the addition of alternative futures and a set of likely outcomes that resulted in the creation of Social Security and the Tennessee Valley development project.[9]

The WWII era emphasized the growing need for foresight. The Nazis used strategic plans to unify and mobilize their society with a focus on creating a fascist utopia. This planning and the subsequent war forced global leaders to create their own strategic plans in response. The post-war era saw the creation of numerous nation states with complex political alliances and was further complicated by the introduction of nuclear power.

Project RAND was created in 1946 as joint project between the United States Army Air Forces and the Douglas Aircraft Company, and later incorporated as the non-profit RAND corporation. Their objective was the future of weapons, and long-range planning to meet future threats. Their work has formed the basis of US strategy and policy in regard to nuclear weapons, the Cold War, and the space race.[9]

Futures studies truly emerged as an academic discipline in the mid-1960s.[19] First-generation futurists included Herman Kahn, an American Cold War strategist for the RAND Corporation who wrote On Thermonuclear War (1960), Thinking about the unthinkable (1962) and The Year 2000: a framework for speculation on the next thirty-three years (1967); Bertrand de Jouvenel, a French economist who founded Futuribles International in 1960; and Dennis Gabor, a Hungarian-British scientist who wrote Inventing the Future (1963) and The Mature Society. A View of the Future (1972).[10]

Future studies had a parallel origin with the birth of systems science in academia, and with the idea of national economic and political planning, most notably in France and the Soviet Union.[10][20] In the 1950s, the people of France were continuing to reconstruct their war-torn country. In the process, French scholars, philosophers, writers, and artists searched for what could constitute a more positive future for humanity. The Soviet Union similarly participated in postwar rebuilding, but did so in the context of an established national economic planning process, which also required a long-term, systemic statement of social goals. Future studies was therefore primarily engaged in national planning, and the construction of national symbols.

By contrast, in the United States, futures studies as a discipline emerged from the successful application of the tools and perspectives of systems analysis, especially with regard to quartermastering the war-effort. The Society for General Systems Research, founded in 1955, sought to understand cybernetics and the practical application of systems sciences, greatly influencing the U.S. foresight community.[9] These differing origins account for an initial schism between futures studies in America and futures studies in Europe: U.S. practitioners focused on applied projects, quantitative tools and systems analysis, whereas Europeans preferred to investigate the long-range future of humanity and the Earth, what might constitute that future, what symbols and semantics might express it, and who might articulate these.[21][22]

By the 1960s, academics, philosophers, writers and artists across the globe had begun to explore enough future scenarios so as to fashion a common dialogue. Several of the most notable writers to emerge during this era include: sociologist Fred L. Polak, whose work Images of the Future (1961) discusses the importance of images to societys creation of the future; Marshall McLuhan, whose The Gutenberg Galaxy (1962) and Understanding Media: The Extensions of Man (1964) put forth his theories on how technologies change our cognitive understanding; and Rachel Carsons The Silent Spring (1962) which was hugely influential not only to future studies but also the creation of the environmental movement.[9]

Inventors such as Buckminster Fuller also began highlighting the effect technology might have on global trends as time progressed.

By the 1970s there was an obvious shift in the use and development of futures studies; its focus was no longer exclusive to governments and militaries. Instead, it embraced a wide array of technologies, social issues, and concerns. This discussion on the intersection of population growth, resource availability and use, economic growth, quality of life, and environmental sustainability referred to as the "global problematique" came to wide public attention with the publication of Limits to Growth, a study sponsored by the Club of Rome which detailed the results of a computer simulation of the future based on economic and population growth.[22] Public investment in the future was further enhanced by the publication of Alvin Tofflers bestseller Future Shock (1970), and its exploration of how great amounts of change can overwhelm people and create a social paralysis due to information overload.[9]

International dialogue became institutionalized in the form of the World Futures Studies Federation (WFSF), founded in 1967, with the noted sociologist, Johan Galtung, serving as its first president. In the United States, the publisher Edward Cornish, concerned with these issues, started the World Future Society, an organization focused more on interested laypeople.

The first doctoral program on the Study of the Future, was founded in 1969 at the University Of Massachusetts by Christoper Dede and Billy Rojas.The next graduate program (Master's degree) was also founded by Christopher Dede in 1975 at the University of HoustonClear Lake,.[23] Oliver Markley of SRI (now SRI International) was hired in 1978 to move the program into a more applied and professional direction. The program moved to the University of Houston in 2007 and renamed the degree to Foresight.[24] The program has remained focused on preparing professional futurists and providing high-quality foresight training for individuals and organizations in business, government, education, and non-profits.[25] In 1976, the M.A. Program in Public Policy in Alternative Futures at the University of Hawaii at Manoa was established.[26] The Hawaii program locates futures studies within a pedagogical space defined by neo-Marxism, critical political economic theory, and literary criticism. In the years following the foundation of these two programs, single courses in Futures Studies at all levels of education have proliferated, but complete programs occur only rarely. In 2012, the Finland Futures Research Centre started a master's degree Programme in Futures Studies at Turku School of Economics, a business school which is part of the University of Turku in Turku, Finland.[27]

As a transdisciplinary field, futures studies attracts generalists. This transdisciplinary nature can also cause problems, owing to it sometimes falling between the cracks of disciplinary boundaries; it also has caused some difficulty in achieving recognition within the traditional curricula of the sciences and the humanities. In contrast to "Futures Studies" at the undergraduate level, some graduate programs in strategic leadership or management offer masters or doctorate programs in "strategic foresight" for mid-career professionals, some even online. Nevertheless, comparatively few new PhDs graduate in Futures Studies each year.

The field currently faces the great challenge of creating a coherent conceptual framework, codified into a well-documented curriculum (or curricula) featuring widely accepted and consistent concepts and theoretical paradigms linked to quantitative and qualitative methods, exemplars of those research methods, and guidelines for their ethical and appropriate application within society. As an indication that previously disparate intellectual dialogues have in fact started converging into a recognizable discipline,[28] at least six solidly-researched and well-accepted first attempts to synthesize a coherent framework for the field have appeared: Eleonora Masini[sk]'s Why Futures Studies?,[29] James Dator's Advancing Futures Studies,[30] Ziauddin Sardar's Rescuing all of our Futures,[31] Sohail Inayatullah's Questioning the future,[32] Richard A. Slaughter's The Knowledge Base of Futures Studies,[33] a collection of essays by senior practitioners, and Wendell Bell's two-volume work, The Foundations of Futures Studies.[34]

Some aspects of the future, such as celestial mechanics, are highly predictable, and may even be described by relatively simple mathematical models. At present however, science has yielded only a special minority of such "easy to predict" physical processes. Theories such as chaos theory, nonlinear science and standard evolutionary theory have allowed us to understand many complex systems as contingent (sensitively dependent on complex environmental conditions) and stochastic (random within constraints), making the vast majority of future events unpredictable, in any specific case.

Not surprisingly, the tension between predictability and unpredictability is a source of controversy and conflict among futures studies scholars and practitioners. Some argue that the future is essentially unpredictable, and that "the best way to predict the future is to create it." Others believe, as Flechtheim, that advances in science, probability, modeling and statistics will allow us to continue to improve our understanding of probable futures, while this area presently remains less well developed than methods for exploring possible and preferable futures.

As an example, consider the process of electing the president of the United States. At one level we observe that any U.S. citizen over 35 may run for president, so this process may appear too unconstrained for useful prediction. Yet further investigation demonstrates that only certain public individuals (current and former presidents and vice presidents, senators, state governors, popular military commanders, mayors of very large cities, etc.) receive the appropriate "social credentials" that are historical prerequisites for election. Thus with a minimum of effort at formulating the problem for statistical prediction, a much reduced pool of candidates can be described, improving our probabilistic foresight. Applying further statistical intelligence to this problem, we can observe that in certain election prediction markets such as the Iowa Electronic Markets, reliable forecasts have been generated over long spans of time and conditions, with results superior to individual experts or polls. Such markets, which may be operated publicly or as an internal market, are just one of several promising frontiers in predictive futures research.

Such improvements in the predictability of individual events do not though, from a complexity theory viewpoint, address the unpredictability inherent in dealing with entire systems, which emerge from the interaction between multiple individual events.

Futurology is sometimes described by scientists as pseudoscience.[2][3]

In terms of methodology, futures practitioners employ a wide range of approaches, models and methods, in both theory and practice, many of which are derived from or informed by other academic or professional disciplines [1], including social sciences such as economics, psychology, sociology, religious studies, cultural studies, history, geography, and political science; physical and life sciences such as physics, chemistry, astronomy, biology; mathematics, including statistics, game theory and econometrics; applied disciplines such as engineering, computer sciences, and business management (particularly strategy).

The largest internationally peer-reviewed collection of futures research methods (1,300 pages) is Futures Research Methodology 3.0. Each of the 37 methods or groups of methods contains: an executive overview of each methods history, description of the method,primary and alternative usages, strengths and weaknesses, uses in combination with other methods, and speculation about future evolution of the method. Some also contain appendixes with applications, links to software, and sources for further information.

Given its unique objectives and material, the practice of futures studies only rarely features employment of the scientific method in the sense of controlled, repeatable and verifiable experiments with highly standardized methodologies. However, many futurists are informed by scientific techniques or work primarily within scientific domains. Borrowing from history, the futurist might project patterns observed in past civilizations upon present-day society to model what might happen in the future, or borrowing from technology, the futurist may model possible social and cultural responses to an emerging technology based on established principles of the diffusion of innovation. In short, the futures practitioner enjoys the synergies of an interdisciplinary laboratory.

As the plural term futures suggests, one of the fundamental assumptions in futures studies is that the future is plural not singular.[2] That is, the future consists not of one inevitable future that is to be predicted, but rather of multiple alternative futures of varying likelihood which may be derived and described, and about which it is impossible to say with certainty which one will occur. The primary effort in futures studies, then, is to identify and describe alternative futures in order to better understand the driving forces of the present or the structural dynamics of a particular subject or subjects. The exercise of identifying alternative futures includes collecting quantitative and qualitative data about the possibility, probability, and desirability of change. The plural term "futures" in futures studies denotes both the rich variety of alternative futures, including the subset of preferable futures (normative futures), that can be studied, as well as the tenet that the future is many.

At present, the general futures studies model has been summarized as being concerned with "three Ps and a W", or possible, probable, and preferable futures, plus wildcards, which are low probability but high impact events (positive or negative). Many futurists, however, do not use the wild card approach. Rather, they use a methodology called Emerging Issues Analysis. It searches for the drivers of change, issues that are likely to move from unknown to the known, from low impact to high impact.

In terms of technique, futures practitioners originally concentrated on extrapolating present technological, economic or social trends, or on attempting to predict future trends. Over time, the discipline has come to put more and more focus on the examination of social systems and uncertainties, to the end of articulating scenarios. The practice of scenario development facilitates the examination of worldviews and assumptions through the causal layered analysis method (and others), the creation of preferred visions of the future, and the use of exercises such as backcasting to connect the present with alternative futures. Apart from extrapolation and scenarios, many dozens of methods and techniques are used in futures research (see below).

The general practice of futures studies also sometimes includes the articulation of normative or preferred futures, and a major thread of practice involves connecting both extrapolated (exploratory) and normative research to assist individuals and organizations to model preferred futures amid shifting social changes. Practitioners use varying proportions of collaboration, creativity and research to derive and define alternative futures, and to the degree that a preferred future might be sought, especially in an organizational context, techniques may also be deployed to develop plans or strategies for directed future shaping or implementation of a preferred future.

While some futurists are not concerned with assigning probability to future scenarios, other futurists find probabilities useful in certain situations, such as when probabilities stimulate thinking about scenarios within organizations [3]. When dealing with the three Ps and a W model, estimates of probability are involved with two of the four central concerns (discerning and classifying both probable and wildcard events), while considering the range of possible futures, recognizing the plurality of existing alternative futures, characterizing and attempting to resolve normative disagreements on the future, and envisioning and creating preferred futures are other major areas of scholarship. Most estimates of probability in futures studies are normative and qualitative, though significant progress on statistical and quantitative methods (technology and information growth curves, cliometrics, predictive psychology, prediction markets, crowdvoting forecasts,[31][better source needed] etc.) has been made in recent decades.

Futures techniques or methodologies may be viewed as frameworks for making sense of data generated by structured processes to think about the future.[35] There is no single set of methods that are appropriate for all futures research. Different futures researchers intentionally or unintentionally promote use of favored techniques over a more structured approach. Selection of methods for use on futures research projects has so far been dominated by the intuition and insight of practitioners; but can better identify a balanced selection of techniques via acknowledgement of foresight as a process together with familiarity with the fundamental attributes of most commonly used methods.[36]

Scenarios are a central technique in Futures Studies and are often confused with other techniques. The flowchart to the right provides a process for classifying a phenomena as a scenario in the intuitive logics tradition.[37]

Futurists use a diverse range of forecasting methods including:

Futurists use scenarios alternative possible futures as an important tool. To some extent, people can determine what they consider probable or desirable using qualitative and quantitative methods. By looking at a variety of possibilities one comes closer to shaping the future, rather than merely predicting it. Shaping alternative futures starts by establishing a number of scenarios. Setting up scenarios takes place as a process with many stages. One of those stages involves the study of trends. A trend persists long-term and long-range; it affects many societal groups, grows slowly and appears to have a profound basis. In contrast, a fad operates in the short term, shows the vagaries of fashion, affects particular societal groups, and spreads quickly but superficially.

Sample predicted futures range from predicted ecological catastrophes, through a utopian future where the poorest human being lives in what present-day observers would regard as wealth and comfort, through the transformation of humanity into a posthuman life-form, to the destruction of all life on Earth in, say, a nanotechnological disaster.

Futurists have a decidedly mixed reputation and a patchy track record at successful prediction. For reasons of convenience, they often extrapolate present technical and societal trends and assume they will develop at the same rate into the future; but technical progress and social upheavals, in reality, take place in fits and starts and in different areas at different rates.

Many 1950s futurists predicted commonplace space tourism by the year 2000, but ignored the possibilities of ubiquitous, cheap computers. On the other hand, many forecasts have portrayed the future with some degree of accuracy. Current futurists often present multiple scenarios that help their audience envision what "may" occur instead of merely "predicting the future". They claim that understanding potential scenarios helps individuals and organizations prepare with flexibility.

Many corporations use futurists as part of their risk management strategy, for horizon scanning and emerging issues analysis, and to identify wild cards low probability, potentially high-impact risks.[39] Every successful and unsuccessful business engages in futuring to some degree for example in research and development, innovation and market research, anticipating competitor behavior and so on.[40][41]

In futures research "weak signals" may be understood as advanced, noisy and socially situated indicators of change in trends and systems that constitute raw informational material for enabling anticipatory action. There is some confusion about the definition of weak signal by various researchers and consultants. Sometimes it is referred as future oriented information, sometimes more like emerging issues. The confusion has been partly clarified with the concept 'the future sign', by separating signal, issue and interpretation of the future sign.[42]

A weak signal can be an early indicator of coming change, and an example might also help clarify the confusion. On May 27, 2012, hundreds of people gathered for a Take the Flour Back demonstration at Rothamsted Research in Harpenden, UK, to oppose a publicly funded trial of genetically modified wheat. This was a weak signal for a broader shift in consumer sentiment against genetically modified foods. When Whole Foods mandated the labeling of GMOs in 2013, this non-GMO idea had already become a trend and was about to be a topic of mainstream awareness.

"Wild cards" refer to low-probability and high-impact events, such as existential risks. This concept may be embedded in standard foresight projects and introduced into anticipatory decision-making activity in order to increase the ability of social groups adapt to surprises arising in turbulent business environments. Such sudden and unique incidents might constitute turning points in the evolution of a certain trend or system. Wild cards may or may not be announced by weak signals, which are incomplete and fragmented data from which relevant foresight information might be inferred.Sometimes, mistakenly, wild cards and weak signals are considered as synonyms, which they are not.[43] One of the most often cited examples of a wild card event in recent history is 9/11. Nothing had happened in the past that could point to such a possibility and yet it had a huge impact on everyday life in the United States, from simple tasks like how to travel via airplane to deeper cultural values. Wild card events might also be natural disasters, such as Hurricane Katrina, which can force the relocation of huge populations and wipe out entire crops to completely disrupt the supply chain of many businesses. Although wild card events cant be predicted, after they occur it is often easy to reflect back and convincingly explain why they happened.

A long-running tradition in various cultures, and especially in the media, involves various spokespersons making predictions for the upcoming year at the beginning of the year. These predictions sometimes base themselves on current trends in culture (music, movies, fashion, politics); sometimes they make hopeful guesses as to what major events might take place over the course of the next year.

Some of these predictions come true as the year unfolds, though many fail. When predicted events fail to take place, the authors of the predictions often state that misinterpretation of the "signs" and portents may explain the failure of the prediction.

Marketers have increasingly started to embrace futures studies, in an effort to benefit from an increasingly competitive marketplace with fast production cycles, using such techniques as trendspotting as popularized by Faith Popcorn.[dubious discuss]

Trends come in different sizes. A mega-trend extends over many generations, and in cases of climate, mega-trends can cover periods prior to human existence. They describe complex interactions between many factors. The increase in population from the palaeolithic period to the present provides an example.

Possible new trends grow from innovations, projects, beliefs or actions that have the potential to grow and eventually go mainstream in the future.

Very often, trends relate to one another the same way as a tree-trunk relates to branches and twigs. For example, a well-documented movement toward equality between men and women might represent a branch trend. The trend toward reducing differences in the salaries of men and women in the Western world could form a twig on that branch.

When a potential trend gets enough confirmation in the various media, surveys or questionnaires to show that it has an increasingly accepted value, behavior or technology, it becomes accepted as a bona fide trend. Trends can also gain confirmation by the existence of other trends perceived as springing from the same branch. Some commentators claim that when 15% to 25% of a given population integrates an innovation, project, belief or action into their daily life then a trend becomes mainstream.

Because new advances in technology have the potential to reshape our society, one of the jobs of a futurist is to follow these developments and consider their implications. However, the latest innovations take time to make an impact. Every new technology goes through its own life cycle of maturity, adoption, and social application that must be taken into consideration before a probable vision of the future can be created.

Gartner created their Hype Cycle to illustrate the phases a technology moves through as it grows from research and development to mainstream adoption. The unrealistic expectations and subsequent disillusionment that virtual reality experienced in the 1990s and early 2000s is an example of the middle phases encountered before a technology can begin to be integrated into society.[44]

Education in the field of futures studies has taken place for some time. Beginning in the United States of America in the 1960s, it has since developed in many different countries. Futures education encourages the use of concepts, tools and processes that allow students to think long-term, consequentially, and imaginatively. It generally helps students to:

Thorough documentation of the history of futures education exists, for example in the work of Richard A. Slaughter (2004),[45] David Hicks, Ivana Milojevi[46] to name a few.

While futures studies remains a relatively new academic tradition, numerous tertiary institutions around the world teach it. These vary from small programs, or universities with just one or two classes, to programs that offer certificates and incorporate futures studies into other degrees, (for example in planning, business, environmental studies, economics, development studies, science and technology studies). Various formal Masters-level programs exist on six continents. Finally, doctoral dissertations around the world have incorporated futures studies. A recent survey documented approximately 50 cases of futures studies at the tertiary level.[47]

The largest Futures Studies program in the world is at Tamkang University, Taiwan.[citation needed] Futures Studies is a required course at the undergraduate level, with between three and five thousand students taking classes on an annual basis. Housed in the Graduate Institute of Futures Studies is an MA Program. Only ten students are accepted annually in the program. Associated with the program is the Journal of Futures Studies.[48]

The longest running Future Studies program in North America was established in 1975 at the University of HoustonClear Lake.[49] It moved to the University of Houston in 2007 and renamed the degree to Foresight. The program was established on the belief that if history is studied and taught in an academic setting, then so should the future. Its mission is to prepare professional futurists. The curriculum incorporates a blend of the essential theory, a framework and methods for doing the work, and a focus on application for clients in business, government, nonprofits, and society in general.[50]

As of 2003, over 40 tertiary education establishments around the world were delivering one or more courses in futures studies. The World Futures Studies Federation[51] has a comprehensive survey of global futures programs and courses. The Acceleration Studies Foundation maintains an annotated list of primary and secondary graduate futures studies programs.[52]

Organizations such as Teach The Future also aim to promote future studies in the secondary school curriculum in order to develop structured approaches to thinking about the future in public school students. The rationale is that a sophisticated approach to thinking about, anticipating, and planning for the future is a core skill requirement that every student should have, similar to literacy and math skills.

Several corporations and government agencies utilize foresight products to both better understand potential risks and prepare for potential opportunities. Several government agencies publish material for internal stakeholders as well as make that material available to broader public. Examples of this include the US Congressional Budget Office long term budget projections,[53] the National Intelligence Center,[54] and the United Kingdom Government Office for Science.[55] Much of this material is used by policy makers to inform policy decisions and government agencies to develop long term plan. Several corporations, particularly those with long product development lifecycles, utilize foresight and future studies products and practitioners in the development of their business strategies. The Shell Corporation is one such entity.[56] Foresight professionals and their tools are increasingly being utilized in both the private and public areas to help leaders deal with an increasingly complex and interconnected world.

Design and futures studies have many synergies as interdisciplinary fields with a natural orientation towards the future. Both incorporate studies of human behavior, global trends, strategic insights, and anticipatory solutions.

Designers have adopted futures methodologies including scenarios, trend forecasting, and futures research. Design thinking and specific techniques including ethnography, rapid prototyping, and critical design have been incorporated into in futures as well. In addition to borrowing techniques from one another, futurists and designers have joined to form agencies marrying both competencies to positive effect. The continued interrelation of the two fields is an encouraging trend that has spawned much interesting work.

The Association for Professional Futurists has also held meetings discussing the ways in which Design Thinking and Futures Thinking intersect and benefit one another.

Imperial cycles represent an "expanding pulsation" of "mathematically describable" macro-historic trend.[57] The List of largest empires contains imperial record progression in terms of territory or percentage of world population under single imperial rule.

Chinese philosopher K'ang Yu-wei and French demographer Georges Vacher de Lapouge in the late 19th century were the first to stress that the trend cannot proceed indefinitely on the definite surface of the globe. The trend is bound to culminate in a world empire. K'ang Yu-wei estimated that the matter will be decided in the contest between Washington and Berlin; Vacher de Lapouge foresaw this contest between the United States and Russia and estimated the chance of the United States higher.[58] Both published their futures studies before H. G. Wells introduced the science of future in his Anticipations (1901).

Four later anthropologistsHornell Hart, Raoul Naroll, Louis Morano, and Robert Carneiroresearched the expanding imperial cycles. They reached the same conclusion that a world empire is not only pre-determined but close at hand and attempted to estimate the time of its appearance.[59]

As foresight has expanded to include a broader range of social concerns all levels and types of education have been addressed, including formal and informal education. Many countries are beginning to implement Foresight in their Education policy. A few programs are listed below:

By the early 2000s, educators began to independently institute futures studies (sometimes referred to as futures thinking) lessons in K-12 classroom environments.[62] To meet the need, non-profit futures organizations designed curriculum plans to supply educators with materials on the topic. Many of the curriculum plans were developed to meet common core standards. Futures studies education methods for youth typically include age-appropriate collaborative activities, games, systems thinking and scenario building exercises.[63]

Wendell Bell and Ed Cornish acknowledge science fiction as a catalyst to future studies, conjuring up visions of tomorrow.[64] Science fictions potential to provide an imaginative social vision is its contribution to futures studies and public perspective. Productive sci-fi presents plausible, normative scenarios.[64] Jim Dator attributes the foundational concepts of images of the future to Wendell Bell, for clarifying Fred Polaks concept in Images of the Future, as it applies to futures studies.[65][66] Similar to futures studies scenarios thinking, empirically supported visions of the future are a window into what the future could be. Pamela Sargent states, Science fiction reflects attitudes typical of this century. She gives a brief history of impactful sci-fi publications, like The Foundation Trilogy, by Isaac Asimov and Starship Troopers, by Robert A. Heinlein.[67] Alternate perspectives validate sci-fi as part of the fuzzy images of the future.[66] However, the challenge is the lack of consistent futures research based literature frameworks.[67] Ian Miles reviews The New Encyclopedia of Science Fiction, identifying ways Science Fiction and Futures Studies cross-fertilize, as well as the ways in which they differ distinctly. Science Fiction cannot be simply considered fictionalized Futures Studies. It may have aims other than prediction, and be no more concerned with shaping the future than any other genre of literature. [68] It is not to be understood as an explicit pillar of futures studies, due to its inconsistency of integrated futures research. Additionally, Dennis Livingston, a literature and Futures journal critic says, The depiction of truly alternative societies has not been one of science fictions strong points, especially preferred, normative envisages.[69]

Several governments have formalized strategic foresight agencies to encourage long range strategic societal planning, with most notable are the governments of Singapore, Finland, and the United Arab Emirates. Other governments with strategic foresight agencies include Canada's Policy Horizons Canada and the Malaysia's Malaysian Foresight Institute.

The Singapore government's Centre for Strategic Futures (CSF) is part of the Strategy Group within the Prime Minister's Office. Their mission is to position the Singapore government to navigate emerging strategic challenges and harness potential opportunities.[70] Singapores early formal efforts in strategic foresight began in 1991 with the establishment of the Risk Detection and Scenario Planning Office in the Ministry of Defence.[71] In addition to the CSF, the Singapore government has established the Strategic Futures Network, which brings together deputy secretary-level officers and foresight units across the government to discuss emerging trends that may have implications for Singapore.[71]

Since the 1990s, Finland has integrated strategic foresight within the parliament and Prime Ministers Office.[72] The government is required to present a Report of the Future each parliamentary term for review by the parliamentary Committee for the Future. Led by the Prime Ministers Office, the Government Foresight Group coordinates the governments foresight efforts.[73] Futures research is supported by the Finnish Society for Futures Studies (established in 1980), the Finland Futures Research Centre (established in 1992), and the Finland Futures Academy (established in 1998) in coordination with foresight units in various government agencies.[73]

In the United Arab Emirates, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, Vice President and Ruler of Dubai, announced in September 2016 that all government ministries were to appoint Directors of Future Planning. Sheikh Mohammed described the UAE Strategy for the Future as an "integrated strategy to forecast our nations future, aiming to anticipate challenges and seize opportunities".[74] The Ministry of Cabinet Affairs and Future(MOCAF) is mandated with crafting the UAE Strategy for the Future and is responsible for the portfolio of the future of UAE.[75]

Foresight is also applied when studying potential risks to society and how to effectively deal with them.[76][77] These risks may arise from the development and adoption of emerging technologies and/or social change. Special interest lies on hypothetical future events that have the potential to damage human well-being on a global scale - global catastrophic risks.[78] Such events may cripple or destroy modern civilization or, in the case of existential risks, even cause human extinction.[79] Potential global catastrophic risks include but are not limited to hostile artificial intelligence, nanotechnology weapons, climate change, nuclear warfare, total war, and pandemics.

Several authors have become recognized as futurists.[82] They research trends, particularly in technology, and write their observations, conclusions, and predictions. In earlier eras, many futurists were at academic institutions. John McHale, author of The Future of the Future, published a 'Futures Directory', and directed a think tank called The Centre For Integrative Studies at a university. Futurists have started consulting groups or earn money as speakers, with examples including Alvin Toffler, John Naisbitt and Patrick Dixon. Frank Feather is a business speaker that presents himself as a pragmatic futurist. Some futurists have commonalities with science fiction, and some science-fiction writers, such as Arthur C. Clarke, are known as futurists.[citation needed] In the introduction to The Left Hand of Darkness, Ursula K. Le Guin distinguished futurists from novelists, writing of the study as the business of prophets, clairvoyants, and futurists. In her words, "a novelist's business is lying".

A survey of 108 futurists found that they share a variety of assumptions, including in their description of the present as a critical moment in an historical transformation, in their recognition and belief in complexity, and in their being motivated by change and having a desire for an active role bringing change (versus simply being involved in forecasting).[83]

The Association for Professional Futurists recognizes the Most Significant Futures Works for the purpose of identifying and rewarding the work of foresight professionals and others whose work illuminates aspects of the future.[88]

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Futures studies - Wikipedia

Litecoin Climbs More Than 30% In A Matter Of Hours

Litecoin prices spiked today following a key announcement.Getty

Litecoin pricesrose more than 30% in a short period of time,climbing sharply after the Litecoin Foundation announcedpotential collaboration that could provide the digital currency with greater privacy.

"We have started exploration towards adding privacy and fungibility to Litecoin by allowing on-chain conversion of regular LTC into a Mimblewimble variant of LTC and vice versa," a Medium post revealed.

"Upon such conversion, it will be possible to transact with Mimblewimble LTC in complete confidentiality," it added.

[Ed note: Investing in cryptocoins or tokens is highly speculative and the market is largely unregulated. Anyone considering it should be prepared to lose their entire investment.]

Sharp Gains

Litecoin, whose technology is similar to that of bitcoin, reached$43.90 todayon CoinMarketCap, up roughly 32% over thelast 24 hours.

During this robust increase, litecoin became thefourth-largest cryptocurrency by market value on CoinMarketCap, surpassing rivals like bitcoin cash.

In comparison, litecoin was in seventh place on February 3and sixth place on January 6, CoinMarketCap historical screenshots reveal.

The digital currency experienced its recent gainsafter losing more than90% of its value during the so-called crypto winter.

The digital currency fell to roughly $23 in December 2018, afterreaching an all-time high ofmore than $375 in the same month the year before.

Disclosure: I own some bitcoin, bitcoin cash and ether.

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NSA New York City Chapter

Striving for excellence is an important part of any industry, any business and any career. It requires putting quality into everything we do, molding new ideas and putting them into action, stepping out of our comfort zones and being committed to hard work and dedication. A commitment to excellence separates high achievers, who make rapid strides in their career and businesses from others. Same is true for our industry. No matter if you reach your audiences as a keynoter, trainer, humorist, facilitator, consultant, coach, podcaster, author or virtual instructor, if you strive for excellence in your business NSA NYC is THE place to be.

We are one of the largest independently run chapters of the National Speakers Association in the US, dedicated to serving every expert who uses the spoken word to present to an audience, in person or virtually. The members of our community, reaching from Hall of Fame Speakers to Certified Speaking Professionals and from advanced to aspiring speakers, are all committed to transform, educate, engage and elevate our association, our industry and our profession.

This is an invitation to you to join this community, to stop by at one of our events, to learn from some of the best speakers, to gain insights of the speaking profession, to identify opportunities to grow your business, to find your own voice, to leave a mark, to share your expertise with us and to aim for higher levels of excellence for your business. Because excellence can only be achieved if you care more, risk more, learn more, grow more, expect more and provide more. There is no shortcut to excellence.

Welcome to a year of excellence at NSA NYC!

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Genetic Variant Interpretation Tool | University of …

To aid our variant interpretation process, we created an openly-available online tool to efficiently classify variants based on the evidence categories outlined in the article: Richards, et al. Standards and guidelines for the interpretation of sequence variants. 2015. This site displays the evidence categories and descriptions from Table 3 and Table 4 with simple checkboxes for selecting appropriate criteria. The site then incorporates the algorithm in Table 5 to automatically assign the pathogenicity or benign impact based on the selected evidence categories. Since our process often requires analyzing multiple variants per patient, we have also allowed the option of aggregating each variant into an exportable table at the foot of the website for easy documentation of the variant review process for our records. Although this tool is based on the ACMG/AMP Standards and Guidelines, it is not affiliated with ACMG, AMP, or any of the authors of the publication.

_ PVS1 null variant (nonsense, frameshift, canonical 1 or 2 splice sites, initiation codon, single or multiexon deletion) in a gene where LOF is a known mechanism of disease

_ PS1 Same amino acid change as a previously established pathogenic variant regardless of nucleotide change_ PS2 De novo (both maternity and paternity confirmed) in a patient with the disease and no family history_ PS3 Well-established in vitro or in vivo functional studies supportive of a damaging effect on the gene or gene product_ PS4 The prevalence of the variant in affected individuals is significantly increased compared with the prevalence in controls_ PP1 (Strong evidence) Cosegregation with disease in multiple affected family members in a gene definitively known to cause the disease

_ PM1 Located in a mutational hot spot and/or critical and well-established functional domain (e.g., active site of an enzyme) without benign variation_ PM2 Absent from controls (or at extremely low frequency if recessive) in Exome Sequencing Project, 1000 Genomes Project, or Exome Aggregation Consortium_ PM3 For recessive disorders, detected in trans with a pathogenic variant_ PM4 Protein length changes as a result of in-frame deletions/insertions in a nonrepeat region or stop-loss variants_ PM5 Novel missense change at an amino acid residue where a different missense change determined to be pathogenic has been seen before_ PM6 Assumed de novo, but without confirmation of paternity and maternity_ PP1 (Moderate evidence) Cosegregation with disease in multiple affected family members in a gene definitively known to cause the disease

_ PP1 Cosegregation with disease in multiple affected family members in a gene definitively known to cause the disease_ PP2 Missense variant in a gene that has a low rate of benign missense variation and in which missense variants are a common mechanism of disease_ PP3 Multiple lines of computational evidence support a deleterious effect on the gene or gene product (conservation, evolutionary, splicing impact, etc.)_ PP4 Patients phenotype or family history is highly specific for a disease with a single genetic etiology_ PP5 Reputable source recently reports variant as pathogenic, but the evidence is not available to the laboratory to perform an independent evaluation

_ BP1 Missense variant in a gene for which primarily truncating variants are known to cause disease_ BP2 Observed in trans with a pathogenic variant for a fully penetrant dominant gene/disorder or observed in cis with a pathogenic variant in any inheritance pattern_ BP3 In-frame deletions/insertions in a repetitive region without a known function_ BP4 Multiple lines of computational evidence suggest no impact on gene or gene product (conservation, evolutionary, splicing impact, etc.)_ BP5 Variant found in a case with an alternate molecular basis for disease_ BP6 Reputable source recently reports variant as benign, but the evidence is not available to the laboratory to perform an independent evaluation_ BP7 A synonymous (silent) variant for which splicing prediction algorithms predict no impact to the splice consensus sequence nor the creation of a new splice site AND the nucleotide is not highly conserved

_ BS1 Allele frequency is greater than expected for disorder_ BS2 Observed in a healthy adult individual for a recessive (homozygous), dominant (heterozygous), or X-linked (hemizygous) disorder, with full penetrance expected at an early age_ BS3 Well-established in vitro or in vivo functional studies show no damaging effect on protein function or splicing_ BS4 Lack of segregation in affected members of a family

_ BA1 Allele frequency is >5% in Exome Sequencing Project, 1000 Genomes Project, or Exome Aggregation Consortium

_ Sequencing artifact as determined by depth, quality, or other previously reviewed data

Download Table as CSV

Please note that the text of the variant evidence has been pulled directly from Richards, et al. Genet Med. 2015 May;17(5). This site does not claim authorship of any of the variant evidence descriptions.

This tool is based on the published ACMG/AMP Standards and Guidelines [Genet Med (2015)]. Anyone using this tool should be familiar with that publication. Individuals or institutions choosing to use this tool for clinical variant classification purposes assume legal responsibility for the consequences of its use. The authors make no warranty, express or implied, nor assume any legal liability or responsibility for any purpose for which the tool is used.

Please cite the following when using this tool in publications: Kleinberger J, Maloney KA, Pollin TI, Jeng LJ. An openly available online toolfor implementing the ACMG/AMP standards and guidelines for the interpretation of sequence variants. Genet Med. 2016 Mar 17. doi: 10.1038/gim.2016.13. [Epub ahead of print] PubMed PMID: 26986878.

Links to translations in other languages with our permission (but not our review/evaluation):

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Genetic Variant Interpretation Tool | University of ...

NASA, Partners Update Commercial Crew Launch Dates …

NASA and its Commercial Crew Program providers Boeing and SpaceX have agreed to move the target launch dates for the upcoming inaugural test flights of their next generation American spacecraft and rockets that will launch astronauts to the International Space Station.

The agency now is targeting March 2 for launch of SpaceXs Crew Dragon on its uncrewed Demo-1 test flight. Boeings uncrewed Orbital Flight Test is targeted for launch no earlier than April.

These adjustments allow for completion of necessary hardware testing, data verification, remaining NASA and provider reviews, as well as training of flight controllers and mission managers.

The uncrewed test flights will be the first time commercially-built and operated American spacecraft designed for humans will dock to the space station. The first flights are dress rehearsals for missions with astronauts aboard the vehicles.Commercial crew has continued working toward these historic missions throughout the month of January.

The uncrewed flight tests are a great dry run for not only our hardware, but for our team to get ready for our crewed flight tests, said Kathy Lueders, Commercial Crew Program manager. NASA has been working together with SpaceX and Boeing to make sure we are ready to conduct these test flights and get ready to learn critical information that will further help us to fly our crews safely.We always learn from tests.

In January, SpaceX successfully completed a static fire test of its Falcon 9 with Crew Dragon atop the rocket at Kennedy Space Centers Launch Complex 39A in Florida, in preparation for Demo-1.

Boeings CST-100 Starliner continues to undergo testing in preparation for its Orbital Flight Test, and United Launch Alliance is conducting final processing of the Atlas V rocket that will launch Starliner from Space Launch Complex 41 at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station in Florida.

There still are many critical steps to complete before launch and while we eagerly are anticipating these launches, we will step through our test flight preparations and readiness reviews, said Lueders. We are excited about seeing the hardware we have followed through development, integration, and ground testing move into flight.

NASAs Commercial Crew Program will return human spaceflight launches to U.S. soil, providing safe, reliable and cost-effective access to low-Earth orbit and the space station on systems that meet safety and performance requirements.

To meet NASAs requirements, the commercial providers must demonstrate their systems are ready to begin regular flights to the space station. After the uncrewed flight tests, Boeing and SpaceX will complete a flight test with crew prior to being certified by NASA for crew rotation missions. The following planning dates reflect inputs by the Commercial Crew Program and the two companies and are current as of Feb. 4, 2019.

Test Flight Planning Dates:SpaceX Demo-1 (uncrewed): March 2, 2019Boeing Orbital Flight Test (uncrewed): NET April 2019Boeing Pad Abort Test: NET May 2019SpaceX In-Flight Abort Test: June 2019SpaceX Demo-2 (crewed): July 2019Boeing Crew Flight Test (crewed): NET August 2019

SpaceX also completed apad abort testin 2015. Following the test flights, NASA will review performance data and resolve any necessary issues to certify the systems for operational missions. Boeing, SpaceX and the Commercial Crew Program are actively working to be ready for the operational missions. As with all human spaceflight vehicle development, learning from each test and adjusting as necessary to reduce risk to the crew may override planning dates.

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Overview | Jupiter Solar System Exploration: NASA Science

The Latest

Nov. 30, 2018: This series of images from NASA's Juno spacecraft captures changing cloud formations across Jupiter's southern hemisphere. A cloud in the shape of a dolphin appears to be swimming through the cloud bands along the South South Temperate Belt.

This sequence of images was taken between 2:26 p.m. and 2:46 p.m. PDT (5:26 p.m. and 5:56 p.m. EDT) on Oct. 29, 2018, as the spacecraft performed its 16th close flyby of Jupiter. At the time, Juno's altitude ranged from about 11,400 to 31,700 miles (18,400 to 51,000 kilometers) from the planet's cloud tops, at approximately 32 to 59 degrees south latitude.

Citizen scientists Brian Swift and Sen Doran created this image using data from the spacecraft's JunoCam imager.

The fifth planet from the Sun, and the most massive in our solar system, Jupiter has a long history surprising scientistsall the way back to 1610 when Galileo Galilei found the first moons beyond Earth. That discovery changed the way we see the universe. Explore Jupiter

Ten Things to Know About Jupiter

10 Things to Know About Jupiter

1

Eleven Earths could fit across Jupiters equator. If Earth were the size of a grape, Jupiter would be the size of a basketball.

2

Jupiter orbits about 484 million miles (778 million kilometers) or 5.2 Astronomical Units (AU) from our Sun (Earth is one AU from the Sun).

3

Jupiter rotates once about every 10 hours (a Jovian day), but takes about 12 Earth years to complete one orbit of the Sun (a Jovian year).

Jupiter's Bands of Clouds

4

Jupiter is a gas giant and so lacks an Earth-like surface. If it has a solid inner core at all, its likely only about the size of Earth.

5

Jupiter's atmosphere is made up mostly of hydrogen (H2) and helium (He).

6

Jupiter has more than 75 moons.

7

In 1979 the Voyager mission discovered Jupiters faint ring system. All four giant planets in our solar system have ring systems.

8

Nine spacecraft have visited Jupiter. Seven flew by and two have orbited the gas giant. Juno, the most recent, arrived at Jupiter in 2016.

9

Jupiter cannot support life as we know it. But some of Jupiter's moons have oceans beneath their crusts that might support life.

10

Jupiter's Great Red Spot is a gigantic storm thats about twice the size of Earth and has raged for over a century.

Juno's Eighth Close Approach to Jupiter

Did You Know

There are no rockets powerful enough to hurl a spacecraft into the outer solar system and beyond. In 1962, scientists calculated how to use Jupiter's intense gravity to hurl spacecraft into the farthest regions of the solar system. We've been traveling farther and faster ever since.

Pop Culture

The biggest planet in our solar system, Jupiter also has a large presence in pop culture, including many movies, TV shows, video games and comics. Jupiter was a notable destination in the Wachowski siblings science fiction spectacle Jupiter Ascending, while various Jovian moons provide settings for Cloud Atlas, Futurama, Power Rangers, and Halo, among many others. In Men in Black when Agent Jplayed by Will Smithmentions he thought one of his childhood teachers was from Venus, Agent Kplayed by Tommy Lee Jonesreplies that she is actually from one of Jupiters moons.

Kid-Friendly Jupiter

Jupiter is the biggest planet in our solar system. It's similar to a star, but it never got big enough to start burning.

Jupiter is covered in swirling cloud stripes. It has big storms like the Great Red Spot, which has been going for hundreds of years.

Jupiter is a gas giant and doesn't have a solid surface, but it may have a solid inner core about the size of Earth. Jupiter also has rings, but they're too faint to see very well.

Visit NASA Space Place for more kid-friendly facts.

Resources

Galileo Spacecraft Model

Galileo was the first spacecraft to orbit Jupiter.

Pioneer 10 was first through the asteroid belt and first to Jupiter.

With a few materials and a few steps, you can build your own glasses to view 3D images.

You can create your own red/blue 3D images to print, or look at on a computer screen, using a normal digital camera and some image processing software.

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Overview | Jupiter Solar System Exploration: NASA Science

A Japanese City Is Using AI to Prevent Youth Suicides

A school in Japan is using an artificial intelligence to stop school bullying before it escalates to the point of seriousness.

Too Much

In 2011, a 13-year-old student in Otsu, Japan, jumped to his death following weeks of intense bullying from other students. His teacher had reportedly brushed off the abuse as a joke, and the school denied that bullying was the direct cause of the suicide until a survey of his fellow students made the connection clear.

The case shone a spotlight on bullying in Japanese schools — and soon after, the nation enacted laws requiring school boards to establish guidelines to prevent bullying.

Now Otsu has a new plan to prevent other bullied students from slipping through the cracks the way that 13-year-old boy did in 2011 — and it all starts with artificial intelligence.

Predicting Escalation

On Friday, the Otsu school board announced its plan to use AI to predict how suspected cases of school bullying might evolve in the future.

According to a story in The Japan Times, the school will feed the AI information about 9,000 suspected bullying cases reported by Otsu’s elementary and junior high schools between 2012 and 2018. This information will include details on the students involved — their ages, genders, absenteeism records, and academic achievements — as well as when and where any bullying incidents took place.

“Through an AI theoretical analysis of past data, we will be able to properly respond to cases without just relying on teachers’ past experiences,” Otsu Mayor Naomi Koshi said, according to The Japan Times.

Timely Intervention

The hope is that the AI will allow school officials to identify the bullying cases that are likely to escalate in seriousness so that they can intervene and diffuse the situation before it’s too late.

“Bullying may start from low-level friction in relationships, but can get worse day by day,” an Otsu education board official said, according to The Japan Times. “It is important to know which cases have a tendency to become serious.”

If AI is able to prevent even one student from reaching the same breaking point as that boy in 2011, this new initiative will be well worth the effort — and perhaps it’ll even inspire other schools across the globe to create similar AI systems to protect their own students.

READ MORE: City of Otsu to Use AI to Analyze Past School Bullying Cases With an Eye on Future Prevention [The Japan Times]

More on school surveillance: Schools Are Installing Bathroom Surveillance Systems to Bust Vapers

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A Japanese City Is Using AI to Prevent Youth Suicides

Tesla’s New “Dog Mode” Will Keep Canines Happy With AC, Music

Next week, Tesla will add

Roll Out

Tesla CEO Elon Musk doesn’t want dogs to get trapped in hot Teslas.

On Thursday, Musk tweeted that his company will roll out two new Enhanced Autopilot features next week via an over-the-air software update — including one suggested by a dog-loving Twitter follower that’ll keep pups cool and entertained while their owners run errands.

Puppy Love

On Oct. 18, Twitter user Josh Atchley used the platform to ask Musk if he could create a “Dog Mode” for the Model 3.

As Atchley described it, this setting would leave a Tesla’s air conditioning and music on while in park, presumably so that an owner could leave their dog in the vehicle alone. He also suggested that “Dog Mode” include “a display on screen saying ‘I’m fine my owner will be right back.'”

Musk replied to the request the next day with a simple “Yes.” And based on Thursday’s tweet, “Dog Mode” could arrive as soon as Feb. 11.

At that point we’ll find out if Dog Mode also displays the length of time an owner has been away from the car and the vehicle’s current temp, as Atchley later requested.

Sentry Mode

The other Enhanced Autopilot feature rolling out next week — “Sentry Mode” — also has a Twitter connection.

On Jan. 22, user Andy Sutton tagged Musk in a tweeted photo of his damaged Tesla, noting his desire for a “360 dash cam feature while parked.” Like some kind of genie of social media, Musk showed up in the Twitter thread to grant the wish.

“Tesla Sentry Mode coming soon for all cars with Enhanced Autopilot,” he responded to Sutton, later elaborating that the setting would “play Bach’s Toccata and Fugue during a robbery (and keep Summer safe),” the parenthetical being a reference to a car in “Rick and Morty” that goes to murderous ends to protect its inhabitant, Summer.

Let’s just hope Sentry Mode isn’t quite as extreme as that.

READ MORE: Elon Musk Reveals Release Date for Two New Tesla Software Features [Inverse]

More on Sentry Mode: Elon Musk: A “360 Degree Dash Cam” Will Soon Keep Your Tesla Safe

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Tesla’s New “Dog Mode” Will Keep Canines Happy With AC, Music

To Stop Mosquitoes From Biting, Scientists Put Them on Diet Pills

Researchers found they could stop mosquitoes biting by giving them human diet pills dissolved in saline.

Liquid Diet

Most humans aren’t big fans of bugs that feed on their blood.

Keeping mosquitoes at bay is a task that scientists have been buzzing about for quite some time now. Not only because the pests can be a nuisance, but also because they can transmit terrible diseases like West Nile Virus and Malaria. The quest to fend off the hungry swarms has led scientists to some innovative solutions — including the recent discovery that human diet pills can curb the appetites of some mosquitoes.

Buzz Off

The research, detailed in a new study published in the prestigious journal Cell by a team of researchers from Rockefeller University, examined the Aedes aegypti mosquitoes, which are the principle spreader of dengue fever throughout South America, Africa, and the Eastern United States.

Female Aedes aegypti mosquitoes are driven to feed on human blood in order to acquire a protein they need to lay their eggs. But the researchers found that giving the mosquitoes a saline solution containing human diet drugs left the mosquitoes feeling full and without an appetite — similarly to how the drugs would work in humans.

Although the study didn’t specify which drug or drugs were used specifically, it did say that the diet pills work by suppressing the Neuropeptide Y (NPY) receptors responsible for diet regulation in humans, and mosquitoes apparently. By analyzing the mosquitoes’ NPY receptors, the researchers were able to determine which ones were affecting their diet, meaning they could reproduce similar effects by interfering with those NPY receptors without the use of human diet drugs.

Blood Pact

The study has huge implications for new ways to control pest populations. Understanding ways to curb the insects’ appetites would reduce the need for insecticides, which many insects are developing immunity to and which have been tied to the deaths of both birds and bees. New population control methods would also offer alternatives to controversial gene drives, which destroy populations entirely.

“We’re starting to run out of ideas for ways to deal with insects that spread diseases,” the study’s senior author, Leslie Vosshall, told the BBC, “and this is a completely new way to think about insect control.”

READ MORE: Mosquitoes ‘put off biting’ by human diet drugs [The BBC]

More on pest control: Scientists Wiped out a Mosquito Population by Hacking Their DNA with CRISPR

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To Stop Mosquitoes From Biting, Scientists Put Them on Diet Pills

UK Startup Shows Off World’s Largest 3D Printed Rocket Engine

3D Printed Rockets

We’ve seen 3D printed rockets before, but never on this scale.

UK space startup Orbex just showed off its Prime Rocket’s gigantic second stage — the “world’s largest 3D printed rocket engine,” according to a press release. The entire rocket, including the engine, will stand at 56 feet (17 meters) tall — roughly a quarter of the size of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket, for context. In other words, things are heating up in the world of 3D printed spacecraft.

BREAKING NEWS: Orbex reveals #Prime, the completed stage 2 rocket and the world’s most efficient #smallsat launcher. It includes the world’s largest 3D printed rocket engine and designed to run on bio-propane, a #clean, #renewable energy source. https://t.co/jl0qARduyb pic.twitter.com/9Nos4325aV

— Orbex Space (@orbexspace) February 7, 2019

Seamless

The news comes weeks after U.S.-based startup Relativity Space signed a contract with the U.S. Air Force to launch their 3D printed rocket from Cape Canaveral in Florida.

Orbex worked with aerospace engineer veterans from organizations including NASA and the European Space Association to build the Stage 2 rocket, which is the part of a multi-stage rocket that pushes a spacecraft into orbit after a launch from Earth.

The startup claims it’s the first time a 3D printed rocket engine was “uniquely manufactured in a single piece without joins.” That means the rocket is up to 30 percent lighter and 20 percent more efficient than other small launchers. No welds or joins also means that the rocket could withstand extreme temperature and pressure fluctuations better.

The rocket is also designed to use bio-propane, a “clean-burning, renewable fuel source that cuts carbon emissions by 90 percent.”

3D Printed Future

Orbex has already made major strides, choosing the yet-to-be-built spaceport in Sutherland, Scotland last year for its upcoming first launch in 2021. The company also partnered with Swiss satellite tech startup Astrocast to launch 64 nanosatellites to build a global Internet of Things network.

It’s yet another sign that the private space sector is growing — and at an unrelenting pace. 3D printing technology could push it even further ahead.

READ MORE: Take a look at the world’s largest 3D-printed rocket engine [Engadget]

More on 3D printed rockets: U.S. Air Force Approves Launch Site for 3D Printed Rocket

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UK Startup Shows Off World’s Largest 3D Printed Rocket Engine

A New Cocktail of Proteins Makes Mice Regenerate Toes Like Lizards

New research that grew new mouse toes took an important step towards the ability to regenerate mammalian limbs after amputation.

We Can Rebuild Him

For the first time, scientists have figured out how to regrow not just the bone but even the joints of a mouse’s amputated toes.

Normally mammals like mice don’t regenerate body parts — meaning the new development could help lead to futuristic medical procedures in which amputees are able to grow back their missing limbs.

Expanding Reach

Thanks to a cocktail of proteins that stimulate regeneration, lab mice grew back a greater portion of their amputated toes than was possible in past experiments, according to New Scientist.

Biologists from Texas A&M University amputated the toes of mice and then treated them with two specific proteins, BMP2 and BMP9. The proteins triggered their bodies to grow back missing bones and, in a medical first, the cartilage necessary to support the joints of their toes, according to research published Tuesday in the journal Nature Communications. Just three days after treatment, more than 60 percent of the new bones had a layer of cartilage covering them.

“Our study is transformational,” lead researcher Ken Muneoka told New Scientist.

In his view, the research suggests that animals that don’t regrow limbs, like mice, could someday do so as easily as those that do, like lizards.

“They can do it, they just don’t do it,” Muneoka told New Scientist. “So, we have to figure out what’s constraining them.”

First Steps

The mice used in the A&M study didn’t grow back complete toes, but they did get closer to a completed digit than past experiments, which only grew out some of the missing bones.

Even if they had fully regenerated their toes, there’s a long road between research showing that a protein can regenerate cartilage and the point at which that protein could be used to grow back a human limb.

All the same, clinical research has to start somewhere. If these findings hold up, we may someday find ourselves with a new way to treat amputees.

READ MORE: Mouse toes partially regrown after amputation thanks to two proteins [New Scientist]

More on regenerative medicine: Neural Stem Cells Grown From Blood Could Revolutionize Medicine

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A New Cocktail of Proteins Makes Mice Regenerate Toes Like Lizards