Countdown to The Singularity [Affiliate]

What are the breakthroughs we can expect on our countdown to the Singularity? Peter Diamandis shares twelve of the fifty he compiled.

Article originally published here.

I asked the smartest people I know for their tech predictions for the next 20 years (2018 – 2038). What are the breakthroughs we can expect on our countdown to the Singularity?

I compiled 50 predictions in a document distributed to my Abundance 360 and Abundance Digital communities. If you’d like a copy of all 50 predictions, you can download them here. For fun, and context, here’s a dozen of those predictions.

2018

Quantum Supremacy Achieved: The first demonstration of a quantum computation that can’t be simulated with classical supercomputers is announced.

2020

Flying car operations take off in a dozen cities in the world.

The 5G Network unleashes 10 – 100 Gigabit connection speeds for mobile phones around the world.

2022

Robots are commonplace in most middle-income homes, able to reliably read lips and recognize face, mouth and hand gestures.

All toys are “smart” with built-in machine learning.

2024

The first private human missions have launched for the surface of Mars.

The first “one cent per kilowatt-hour” deals for solar and wind are signed.

2026

Car ownership is dead and autonomous cars dominate our roadways.

100,000 people commute by VTOL each day in each of L.A., Tokyo, Sao Paulo and London.

2028

Solar and wind represent nearly 100% of new electricity generation.

Autonomous, electric vehicles account for half of all miles driven in large city centers.

2030

AI passes the Turing test, meaning it can match (and exceed) human intelligence in every area.

Humanity has achieved “Longevity Escape Velocity” for the wealthiest.

2032

Medical nanorobots demonstrated in humans are able to extend the immune system.

Avatar Robots become popular, allowing everyone the ability to “teleport” their consciousness to remote locations all over the world.

2034

Companies like Kernel have made significant, reliable connections between the human cortex and the Cloud.

Robots act as maids, butlers, nurses and nannies, and become full companions. They support extended elderly independence at home.

2036

Longevity treatments are routinely available and covered by life insurance policies, extending the average human lifespan 30 – 40 years.

2038

Everyday life is now unrecognizable – incredibly good and hyper VR and AI augment all parts of the world and every aspect of daily human life.

 

Interested in exploring topics like this further? Join Peter Diamandis and Ray Kurzweil as they discuss Transforming Humanity in the 21st Century and Beyond, live-streamed from Ray’s Google office on September 14th. RSVP here.


Disclaimer: This guest post is in partnership with Abundance 360, and Futurism may get a small percentage of sales.

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If Artificial Intelligence Only Benefits a Select Few, Everyone Loses

Experts and optimists can’t help but extoll the positive effects that artificial intelligence (AI) may have on our future. It will revolutionize healthcare! It will make ordering things from Amazon easier than ever! It may even take over the world!

But there will be some casualties along the way. And there’s one teensy group that will likely suffer: pretty much anyone with a job. Truck drivers, factory workers, and white-collar number crunchers may soon find themselves out of work, or at the very least in a very different line of work.

While this is certainly a bummer, the concrete reality is that artificial intelligence technology could actually boost the global economy. If it’s allowed to play a major role, AI will make our jobs easier yet more productive, and create vast new wealth.

But that will only happen if global AI-based economies are set up to benefit everyone.

If they’re not, people will grow resentful and impede further technological development. If automation became the enemy of the people, we would never reap the benefits that widespread, advanced AI could bring, such as improved healthcare or increased wealth.

The latest report from McKinsey & Company, a research and consulting group, hints that this resentment may emerge, which would impede innovation and widespread adoption of the technology. The 64-page report published this month, titled “Notes From the Frontier: Modeling the Impact of AI on the World Economy,” describes exactly how the nations that have begun to prepare for and explore AI will reap the benefits of an economic boom. The report also demonstrates how anyone who hasn’t prepared, especially developing nations, will be left behind.

“There are a lot of discussions, a lot of research and development happening in countries with advanced economies,” Irakli Beridze, Head of the Centre for Artificial Intelligence and Robotics at UNICRI, United Nations, told Futurism. “In the developing world, in the developing countries or countries with transition economies, there is much less discussion of AI, both from the benefit or the risk side.”

“In the developing world, in the developing countries or countries with transition economies, there is much less discussion of AI, both from the benefit or the risk side.”

The growing divide between nations that are prepared for widespread automation and those that aren’t, between companies that can cut costs by replacing workers and the newly unemployed people themselves, puts us on a collision course for conflict and backlash against further developing and deploying AI technology, according to the new report.

If that happens, then a lot of the big promises that we’ve AI is supposedly going to deliver — things like autonomous vehicles and new medical devices — will never come to be. It also means our economic growth might be stunted.

For instance, the report predicts that AI technology, by automating or helping with our menial, data-driven tasks, could free people up to do more productive work and boost the global GDP by some $9 trillion by the year 2030. That’s an 11 percent boost over how we’re doing on our own today.

But if we want to bring about the prosperity that AI could deliver, we need to think now about how we want our economies to function, because our current systems won’t cut it. Maybe governments will implement progressive universal basic income systems, or proactively re-train those who are at risk of automation-related layoffs. Perhaps they’ll set up international accords that heavily feature voices from developing nations. But if this report is to be believed, something needs to be done now to make sure that our future AI-reliant society is one where everyone feels the benefits.

More on developing advanced AI: If We Ever Want Artificial General Intelligence, Governments Need To Invest In It

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A Researcher Is Offering a Prize to Anyone Who Can Prove a Germ Causes Alzheimer’s

ALTERNATE HYPOTHESIS

Most researchers believe that Alzheimer’s disease is caused by amyloid plaques or protein tangles.

But NPR reports that another theory has been percolating in the scientific community for decades: that the memory-ravaging illness is caused by an infectious microbe. And one advocate is putting up $1 million of his own money to anyone who can provide proof of that hypothesis.

FORGET ME NOT

Leslie Norins holds a medical degree and spent his career at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and in medical publishing. When he reviewed the literature on Alzheimer’s several years ago, he was struck — so much evidence hinted that the disease could be caused by a bacteria, virus, fungi or parasite.

In 2016, for instance, 32 researchers signed an editorial calling for further research into the Alzheimer’s germ hypothesis. Researchers interviewed by NPR agreed that the possibility was worth exploring.

THE ALZHEIMER’S GERM

Norins came to believe that not enough research money is spent investigating those alternate theories. So in January of this year, he announced the Alzheimer’s Germ Question, a challenge with a $1 million prize for anyone who provides persuasive proof Alzheimer’s is caused by a germ before the end of 2020.

“Hopefully, this challenge will help jump-start additional research interest globally in microbes,” said Norins. “To not investigate guarantees we will find nothing.”

READ MORE: Infectious Theory of Alzheimer’s Disease Draws Fresh Interest [NPR]

More on Alzheimer’s disease: There’s a Weird Relationship Between Cancer and Alzheimer’s

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A Researcher Is Offering a Prize to Anyone Who Can Prove a Germ Causes Alzheimer’s

Check Out This Stunning Image of a Far-off Galaxy

STUNNING AND STELLAR

On Wednesday, the European Organization for Astronomical Research in the Southern Hemisphere (ESO) released a stunning image of NGC 3981, a spiral galaxy 65 million light years away. FOcal Reducer and low dispersion Spectrograph 2 (FORS2), an instrument on the ESO’s Very Large Telescope (VLT) at the Paranal Observatory in Chile, took the image in May 2018.

The image offers a choice view of NGC 3981’s spiral arms, as well as its bright center, which is home to a supermassive black hole. It also features several stars from the Milky Way in its foreground, as well as the movement of an asteroid, which appears as three blue, green, and red lines near the top center of the image.

Spiral galaxy NGC 3981. Image Credit: ESO

COSMIC GEMS

The image of NGC 3981 is part of an ESO outreach initiative known as Cosmic Gems. The initiative’s goal is to generate stunning, high-quality images like this one so the ESO can then use them for education and public outreach.

To ensure this activity doesn’t get in the way of other research, the ESO simply waits until times when its telescopes aren’t working on their usual scientific research, such as when the sky is cloudy, or times when the telescopes are simply sitting idle.

On the off chance that the images produced for the program could be useful to scientists, the organization archives all the Cosmic Gems’ data, but even if it never serves a scientific purpose, this image of NGC 3981 could at least provide you with a pretty cool-looking desktop background.

READ MORE: A Galactic Gem [EurekAlert]

More on the VLT: We Just Discovered 72 New Galaxies, Which Means Trillions of New Alien Worlds

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The Military’s “Molar Mic” Is Straight out of Mission Impossible

LOWKEY WIRED

If you love the convenience of Bluetooth headsets but don’t want to look like you’re stuck in 2007, you’re in luck: there might soon be a new headset in town.

The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) just agreed to spend roughly $10 million to start field testing and deploying the Molar Mic, a device that’s similar to a Bluetooth headset but far less unsightly. And it could be just a matter of time before the tech trickles down to consumers.

AUDIO IN. AUDIO OUT.

The Molar Mic is the brainchild of Sonitus Technologies, a wireless communication tech development company.

The device consists of a mouthpiece, equipped with a waterproof microphone, that’s custom-built to fit the teeth of its wearer. Once in place, the wearer can speak normally; the device sends the audio to a radio transmitter on a loop around their neck. This transmitter sends the audio to a second radio unit worn elsewhere on the body, which then sends it off to the intended recipient.

Receiving audio is a bit tricker. The mouthpiece translates the incoming audio into vibrations on the teeth. These vibrations travel through the bones in the jaw and skull to the inner ear, which automatically translates them back into sounds. The result is audio that sounds like its coming from within the person’s own head. Apparently it can take some getting used to.

“Over the period of three weeks, your brain adapts and it enhances your ability to process the audio,” Sonitus CEO Peter Hadrovic told Defense One, though he insists the audio is understandable “out of the gate.”

He knows because several airmen in Afghanistan tested prototypes over the course of 14 months. With this new funding, though, the DoD wants to get it ready for widespread deployment.

TRICKLE-DOWN TECH

It’s easy to see why the military would be interested in the Molar Mic. Undercover operatives could covertly listen to instructions, while soldiers in noisy conditions, such as the middle of a storm or battle, could coordinate with one another or with home base.

No doubt consumers could find a few uses for the Molar Mic, too (anyone else picturing students using the devices to cheat on tests?). Military tech has made its way to the consumer market before (where do you think your GPS or your Jeep came from?) so it’s not far-fetched to think that civilians may soon get a chance to try out this low-key communications device.

READ MORE: The Military Now Has Tooth Mics for Invisible, Hands-Free Radio Calls [Defense One]

More on military tech: What a High-Tech Military Means for Our Future

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Corporate Sponsors Could Help NASA Keep Pace with Private Space Companies

NASA is considering finding corporate sponsors to name rockets or spacecraft to help the company raise funds and maintain cultural relevance.

BRANDED ROCKETS

Space exploration ain’t cheap, even if you’re funded by one of the richest countries on Earth. To raise some extra cash, NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine says the space agency will start looking into whether corporate sponsors could buy naming rights or brand placements for its spacecraft, or whether astronauts could appear in commercials.

“Is it possible for NASA to offset some of its costs by selling the naming rights to its spacecraft or the naming rights to its rockets?” Bridenstine said during a recent NASA advisory council meeting, according to the Washington Post. “I’m telling you there is interest in that right now. The question is: Is it possible? The answer is: I don’t know, but we want somebody to give us advice on whether it is.”

SPACE, INC.

There’s no question that space exploration has entered the private era. SpaceX now regularly launches rockets, and Blue Origin is laying the groundwork for a space tourism industry. Because they aren’t beholden to the government’s bureaucracy (nor its strict rules around paying contractors), these companies can often launch rockets more cheaply than NASA.

If finding corporate sponsors funds more missions, can anyone blame the space agency for considering it?

On the other hand, though NASA’s budget in adjusted dollars was highest during the 1960s “space race” era, it’s held relatively steady during the decades since. Maybe just upping its budget would mean NASA doesn’t have to emblazon its next rover with a “Cheetos” logo.

READ MOREWhy NASA’s Next Rockets Might Say Budweiser on the Side [The Washington Post]

More on private space: Private Companies, Not Governments, Are Shaping the Future of Space Exploration

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A Huge Trap Is Ready to Start Gobbling Up Ocean Plastic “Like A Giant Pac-Man”

The Ocean Cleanup is finally ready to put its plastic-wrangling boom to the test cleaning up the Great Pacific Garbage Patch.

PAC-MAN STYLE

This past weekend, a Dutch nonprofit deployed a giant floating trap into the San Francisco Bay. The organization, called The Ocean Cleanup, says that the trap will scoop up plastic debris in the Pacific Ocean.

If all goes well during initial tests, the organization could deploy the craft to the Great Pacific Garbage Patch, a vast field of debris floating between Hawaii and California. There, it could start to make a dent in the huge amount of garbage clogging up our oceans. 

THE PLASTICS

Water currents power the device, drawing the two sides of the 600-meter-long (1,968-foot) craft into a U-shape. That corrals garbage into its center “like a giant Pac-Man” so that the trash can be returned to land for sorting and recycling.

The Ocean Cleanup believes the boom could collect as much as 150,000 pounds of plastic during its first year in operation. While that’s just a fraction of the estimated 87,000 tons of garbage in the Great Pacific Garbage Patch, the nonprofit hopes that it could remove half the patch within five years — if it can deploy several dozen more booms.

ROUGH WATERS

Experts have raised concerns, though, that the craft could trap marine wildlife like a giant fishing net.

“There’s worry that you can’t remove the plastic without removing marine life at the same time,” said George Leonard, chief scientist at the Ocean Conservancy, in an interview with the New York Times. “We know from the fishing industry if you put any sort of structure in the open ocean, it acts as a fish-aggregating device.”

And the ocean environment can also be harsh and unpredictable. Until the boom is out in the Pacific (which The Ocean Cleanup expects will happen in mid-October, provided the tests go well), it’ll be unclear if it can withstand the high winds, corrosive salt water, and chaotic storms of the open sea.

READ MORE: Giant Trap Is Deployed to Catch Plastic Littering the Pacific Ocean [The New York Times]

More on Ocean Cleanup: The Pacific Ocean Is One Step Closer to Being Almost Totally Debris-Free

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Experts Warn That Demand for Fossil Fuels Could Peak a Decade Earlier Than Predicted

Global demand for fossil fuels could peak a decade before experts had previously predicted, which could spell trouble for the economy.

PEAKING EARLY

Experts have long predicted that global demand for fossil fuels will peak in the mid-2030s as renewable energy gains prominence, but a new report warns that the transition could come a decade earlier — and that the economic fallout could be catastrophic.

“Fossil fuel demand has been growing for 200 years, but is about to enter structural decline,” said Kingsmill Bond, a strategist for the think tank Carbon Tracker and an author of the report, in an interview with the Guardian. “Entire sectors will struggle to make this transition.”

RISK AND REWARD

The good news is that the global energy system is tipping toward solar and wind power, according to the report, led by emerging markets in China and India that are choosing sustainable energy over fossil fuels.

But the period when demand for renewable energy overtakes fossil fuels will be perilous for financial markets, according to the Carbon Tracker report. In countries like Saudi Arabia and Venezuela, where the economies are built largely on oil resources, it warned that declining demand could lead to tax revenue crises and social upheaval.

FINANCIAL PERIL

And while experts had previously predicted that policymakers would have another twenty years to prepare for that fallout, Carbon Tracker now warns that if wind and solar continue to expand at their current growth rate, that moment could instead arrive as soon as 2023.

That would be great news for the environment, but history suggests that it will spell trouble for investors in the fossil fuel industry, which owns some $25 trillion in worldwide assets. Kingsmill wrote that coal power, for instance, didn’t overtake biomass energy until 1905, even though its rise during the previous century led the epochal social and economic changes of the Industrial Revolution.

READ MORE: Global demand for fossil fuels will peak in 2023, says thinktank [The Guardian]

More on Renewable Energy: Experts Assert That This is the End of The Age of Fossil Fuels

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Crypto-pocalypse Soon-ish? Judge Rules ICOs Are a Security

A federal judge argued today that digital currencies should be regulated like securities, paving the way for tighter regulation of cyprocurrency.

COIN CASE

A Brooklyn judge has refused to dismiss a criminal case that would treat an initial coin offering (ICO) as a type of security, Bloomberg reports.

The takeaway: it will empower federal prosecutors who want to crack down on scammers who use digital currencies to circumvent financial law.

REGULATING INVESTMENTS

The case: The Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) is suing Maksim Zaslavskiy,  who founded two cryptocurrencies. Prosecutors say Zaslavskiy misled investors by presenting himself as an experienced banker, real estate investor, and philanthropist. A Fast Company investigation found that he claimed cryptocurrencies he created were backed up by real estate holdings and diamonds — but prosecutors say they were smoke-and-mirrors scams that defrauded investors for hundreds of thousands of dollars.

Zaslavskiy filed a motion to dismiss the case, arguing that his cryptocurrencies couldn’t be regulated under securities law.

It was an argument, one cryptocurrency observer tweeted, that got “dunked on by a judge lucidly and at length.” Specifically: if it sounds like a security, walks like a security, and talks like a security, well, maybe it is one.

“Congress’ purpose in enacting the securities laws was to regulate investments, in whatever form they are made and by whatever name they are called,” wrote Raymond Dearie, a U.S. district judge in Brooklyn, in a memorandum issued today. “Stripped of the 21st century jargon, including the Defendant’s own characterization of the offered investment opportunities, the challenged Indictment charges a straightforward scam, replete with the common characteristics of many financial frauds.”

The case, it seems, will now go to trial, though it hasn’t been scheduled yet.

No matter what the court decides in this case, it will probably be appealed because it’s in a lower court. But what’s interesting, though, is how the judge argued it. It creates an argument that could be used in the future to support the argument that the SEC should get involved in ICOs. And if so, it could be the issuers of ICOs’ worst nightmare.

READ MORE: U.S. Judge Says Initial Coin Offering Covered by Securities Law [Bloomberg]

More on regulating cryptocurrency: Blockchain Technology and the Law Aren’t Enemies, They’re Allies

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A New Map of Antarctica Is Detailed Enough to See a Car Parked on An Ice Shelf

FROZEN TUNDRA

Maps of Antarctica used to be notoriously low resolution. But that’s changed with a new map that researchers say is not only the most detailed survey of the South Pole in history, but also the best map of any continent.

“Until now, we’ve had a better map of Mars than we’ve had of Antarctica,” said Ian Howat, one of the map’s creators in an article on the University of Minnesota website. “Now it is the best-mapped continent on Earth.”

To create the map, researchers at the University of Minnesota and Ohio State University gathered millions of stereoscopic images taken of Antarctica by satellites between 2009 and 2017. Then they used the Blue Waters supercomputer at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign to stitch those 150 terabytes of data together into a map that shows both the visual terrain of the frozen continent and its elevation at every point.

REMA TO THE RESCUE

The result is the Reference Elevation Model of Antarctica (REMA), a map so accurate that you could spot a single car parked on an ice shelf, according to the New York Times. The researchers also set up a page where you can explore REMA yourself.

According to REMA’s creators, the map will help researchers plot safer routes between science stations.

It will also be useful in the battle against climate change. The plan is to update REMA at least once per year, which will let climate researchers track melting ice, thinning glaciers, and the activity of rivers and volcanoes.

READ MORE: New High-Res Map of Antarctica Shows the Icy Continent in Astonishing Detail [Live Science]

More on Antarctica: Antarctica Saw More Snowfall Over Past 200 Years. Sounds Like Good News…but It’s Not

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Video Game Addiction Is Real And Professionals Aren’t Prepared To Help

When José Antonio Hita Ruiz was a teenager, his home life wasn’t all that great. His father was an alcoholic, his mother worked too much. In middle school, he was bullied and his grades suffered, so he dropped out. While his friends left his hometown one by one to study at a nearby university, Hita turned even more to video games as an escape, often spending up to 16 hours a day playing strategy games and simulators at his mom’s place.

“There was a point where I was completely alone,” he tells me over Google Hangouts.

Now 24, Hita is doing much better. He’s doing volunteer work for local nonprofits near Naples, Italy. During our chat, I hear sounds typical of the youth hostel where he’s staying — animated chatter, pots clanking.

Three years ago, though, Hita was at his lowest point. He was having suicidal thoughts. To numb his pain and lessen his feelings of isolation, he kept turning back to video games. He had an emotional breakdown and committed himself for a night to a psychiatric ward near his mom’s house. Left with a terrible choice — end his life, or quit gaming — Hita chose the latter. He decided it was time to lay down his controller.

Years later, he was still puzzled about his addiction. Video games had never even come up when he reached out for professional help in the past, and yet he saw them as the key to his problems. He couldn’t be the only one, right? So Hita signed up for an online forum called Game Quitters where he could share his own story. Lo and behold, there were thousands of people like him.

“I wasn’t even playing with other people; it was just me and the same few games, again and again,” Hita tells me. “Some people may misinterpret if I say ‘like a drug.’ But in my experience, it was like a drug.”

“In my experience, it was like a drug.”

The specifics may vary, but Hita’s story shares a common thread with those of thousands of other video game addicts: an unhealthy relationship with video games.

In the 30 years since gaming consoles became affordable, video games have become more than a simple distraction or hobby. About 2 billion people worldwide play video games. That number is rising even more quickly than expected, in large part because more people are simply getting access to games. Many of these players are at risk of becoming addicted. The national Bureau of Labor Statistics found that, between 2003 and 2016, the amount of time we spend on video games a day rose by 50 percent — from 10 to 15 minutes. It may not sound like much, but it’s a big leap if you consider that it’s a national average.

In fact, most people might not realize the huge role gaming plays in many people’s lives. It has become an increasingly popular way for people to interact, to socialize, and to even make a living in some cases. Gaming no longer means playing alone in your parent’s basement — it has become a truly social activity,  a way to stay in touch with friends, or for some the only meaningful social interaction in their entire day. It’s even grown into a career path. Professional gamers compete in international tournaments with prize pools of up to $11 million.

Because games are now so widespread, accessible and designed to keep people playing for longer, they can overtake people’s lives — sometimes in unhealthy ways. Hobbies can become obsessions, which can turn into addiction, in which video games has such a strong hold on a person that they find the habit impossible to break.

I Just Can’t Quit You

Cameron Adair has a story pretty similar to Hita’s. He had been addicted to video games since he was five, he says. That was a big factor for why he dropped out of high school when he was 15 — that, and the shock of seeing his best friend being put into a rehab center against his will. “And it just rocked me,” he tells me. “For me, I’ve always been big on helping people who want help.”

But here, their stories diverge. After finding that there was practically no place online where he could discuss his addiction, Adair founded Game Quitters, the self-proclaimed world’s largest support community for video game addiction.

Game Quitters is an online peer support community where like-minded people can share their stories and find solace in the fact that they are not the only ones with their addiction. The forum of almost 2,000 registered users from 92 countries is full of accounts of experiences like Jose’s and Adair’s, tips on how to curb your addiction, and members’ daily journal entries. The average member is a 24-year-old man (94 percent of Game Quitter users are men, Adair says), whose lives have been negatively affected in some way by video games. Some have gotten bad grades in school, had rough breakups, or developed eating disorders — all because they couldn’t quit gaming.

Like with any addiction, admitting you have a problem isn’t easy. And it’s even harder when professionals can’t decide what to call your problem in the first place. Earlier this year, the World Health Organization (WHO) made a bold step towards settling the debate, announcing it will recognize what it refers to as “gaming disorder.” It’s a “pattern of behavior” characterized by gaming that “takes precedence over other interests and daily activities” and is impossible to control.

It’s the first time video game addiction has been officially recognized as a disorder. But there are still plenty of American psychologists who don’t think gaming disorder has a place in any diagnostic manual. The American Psychiatric Association (APA), which sets the criteria for diagnosable disorders in the U.S., listed “Internet Gaming Disorder” as a “condition for further study” in 2013 — the APA wants to see further proof before it decides to make it officially a disorder by including it in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM).

Skeptical psychologists think the WHO rushed its definition of “gaming disorder,” arguing that there’s not enough evidence yet to single it out as a distinct condition. Others think gaming disorder simply isn’t a separate disorder. “Undoubtedly some people overdo games just as they overdo food, sex, work, dance, etc., but there’s no real rationale for an independent gaming disorder diagnosis,” Chris Ferguson, a psychology professor at Stetson University in Florida tells Gizmodo.

Politicians who draw links between video games and violence only makes things worse. After the February school shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida, President Donald Trump met with video game executives and members of Congress. “I’m hearing more and more people say the level of violence on video games is really shaping young people’s thoughts,” he told Florida’s attorney general Pam Bondi as quoted by TIME, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

Mental health professionals are already helping gamers with their addiction, whether it’s a coping mechanism for something else or not.

Image Credit: Nintendo/Victor Tangermann

A Way Out

Despite the controversy around how to define video game addiction, clinicians are coming up with ways to treat it. Some of these treatments are ways of dealing with addiction in general, while others are targeted specifically for an addiction to video games.

Often, where there’s a patient in treatment for addiction, there’s cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT). “Cognitive behavioral therapy is one of the most effective treatments for addictions,” says Stephanie Sarkis, author and therapist specializing in ADHD and anxiety treatment in Tampa, Florida.

CBT is a form of psychotherapy that examines the patient’s entire mental state, instead of focusing in on one particular disorder. A clinician gives a patient a psychological assessment and helps them learn new skills to deal with negative thinking. Sarkis recommends to get an evaluation for this kind of treatment when “it’s really hard for you to have the best quality of life that you would like.” In other words, when your addiction is starting to negatively affect you.

Could Game Quitters offer something similar? Sarkis was optimistic. “There’s universality — you find out you’re not the only one experiencing an issue, and I think that’s very healing and cathartic.”

But a sense of solidarity isn’t a replacement for the help of an actual clinician. And for self-professed gaming addicts, access to that kind of professional treatment isn’t a guarantee. The fact is, very few therapists are trained and equipped to talk about video game addiction at all. “I advocate for people to seek professional support all the time,” Adair says. “That’s a bit of a challenge for me personally, because I also know that there is a huge gap in the amount of professional services available.”

There’s a new trend to treat gaming addiction, too: private clinics that provide patients with a way to “detox” for a while. One of the biggest names in video game addiction treatment, called reSTART, has four locations across Washington state. It offers intensive programs that last from eight weeks to a whole 24 months for people with “problematic technology use” between the ages of 14 and 30 in which people can learn to understand their unhealthy relationship with digital media and find ways to overcome it in the long term. Programs focus on withdrawing access to technology — a brochure mentions a “tech-limited apartment setting” for example — and introducing accountability by building support groups of friends and family around them.

In practice, reSTART’s programs often involve video game addicts living in apartments together without TVs, computers or smartphones over the span of a couple of months. They mostly learn how to live their lives independently — a lesson that many video game addicts hadn’t had to learn yet. “Paying my own bills, go to things on time, go make my own food. Things like that. Those are all things that I’ve never fully accomplished,” a reSTART patient called Kevin tells VICE News.

But these private clinics aren’t an option for all video game addicts. Treatment programs tend to be extremely expensive —a 45-day rehabilitation program at a reSTART clinic, for example, costs a whopping $26,000.

The Future of Gaming Addiction

A growing pile of evidence or a groundswell of community support, might not be enough to convince the professional psychology community that the condition is real. It might just take time. It took the APA 16 years after the first issue of the DSM, in 1952, to officially recognize Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD), even though the condition was first mentioned by a British pediatrician in 1902.

But the longer we wait to recognize gaming addiction, the farther we are from finding effective, and accessible treatment for it.

So for now, online peer support groups like Game Quitters, plus a smattering of therapists well-versed in the topic, will have to do their best to support those for whom obsession has morphed into addiction.

But there are still plenty of hurdles to overcome. One we can start on now: de-stigmatizing it. “Improving the quality of conversation around addiction can actually help break the stigma of gaming,” Adair says.

Fear or shame for speaking out about an addiction can inhibit the thousands of people for whom video games have negatively impacted their lives from reaching out for help. But to listen to them, we  — and the professional mental health community — have to take them seriously, take their condition seriously.

“If you want to change, you have to know that there’s a whole community of people that have gone through the same situation as you,” Jose says. “It’s about knowing your options. After all, it’s your time and your life.”

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Op-Ed: We Gave Corporations Our Data. Now They’re Deciding How AI Will Affect Our Future.

In 2016, some Google employees shared a video that was both inspiring and unsettling. In the nine-minute film dubbed “The Selfish Ledger,” a narrator calmly, compelling presents the idea that a ledger of data generated by human users could be used to achieve a larger societal goal.

“What if we focused on creating a richer ledger by introducing more sources of information?” the narrator posits. “What if we thought of ourselves not as the owners of this information, but as transient carriers, or caretakers?”

In other words, it imagines a future of total data collection in which a company such as Google can subtly nudge users into alignment with objectives that improve their own lives, via environmental sustainability or improved health, for example, and that align with Google’s view of the world also. Eventually the company can custom-print personalized devices to collect more and different types of data, gaining a more detailed picture for each user. The net result: the company guides the behavior of entire populations to help solve global challenges such as poverty and disease.

This vision of the future is, in a sense, inspiring — who wouldn’t want a world without pandemic disease and poverty? — but there’s also something deeply unsettling about it. The video envisions a future in which goal-driven automated ledgers become widely accepted; it is the ledger, rather than end user, that makes decisions about what might be good for individuals and society at large, seeking to fill gaps in its knowledge with a cold precision that seems as if it were ripped from an episode of Black Mirror.

This vision of the future is, in a sense, inspiring — who wouldn’t want a world without pandemic disease and poverty? — but there’s also something deeply unsettling about it.

Like other firms spearheading the development of artificial intelligence (AI), Google wants more out of its users. The company is increasingly inquisitive about who they are, assertive in how it wishes to interact with them, and pushes limits about what they consider to be acceptable intrusions into their lives. Instead of unleashing a robust negative reaction, many users appear to be welcoming the invasion. We have already been “programmed” to accept Google’s (and other companies’) unsolicited overtures, such as when Google Maps plans routes for us to travel in our daily routine or when Facebook puts together photo albums for us without being asked to do so. We already consider them normal and acceptable.

The ethical use of AI is a matter of public discourse but Google (and others) seem unfazed by the potential dark side of their products and practices. We know this because they keep pressing forward to implement their visions of the future – visions they may not necessarily see a need to reveal to the public. Google wants to understand and control the future before it occurs by, in essence, creating it. And it’s using AI and machine learning (ML) to help interpret and manage it.

Image Credit: Adobe Stock/Victor Tangermann

Our collective technological future is unfolding so quickly that no single government or company will be able to control it. On one hand that is good, because, from an ethical perspective, no single entity should be able to control it. On the other hand, if there is no real or realizable oversight over the use of AI, there may be little to reason to believe that an AI-dominated future will result in being a net positive for humanity.

So, is Google to be commended for attempting to contain and craft the future, or should it be feared and resisted at every turn? Is there a middle ground? Most consumers do not know the difference between a reality they control or a reality that is gradually being controlled for them (nor will many people necessarily care) — will that enable organizations like Google to basically do whatever they want? Should we think of the seamless way we’re embracing AI as a way to bring about a better future, or should we be cautious and approach it with care?

The truth is, there is no single answer to these questions, nor is there one that is necessarily a right or wrong answer. But we need to be asking them, thinking critically about each technological advance and how it will affect us.

A perfect storm of simultaneous technological innovation — the use of graphics cards, creation of custom hardware, the rise of cloud computing, and the growth in computing capabilities — has already made AI one of the most powerful forces in the world. The widespread use of open source Internet-based tools, the explosive growth in data generation, and that ability to rent cloud space or outsource computational resources means that relative costs have come down to earth, have given more people access to AI and ML.

So much data is now generated on a daily basis globally that only gigantic infusions of data that alter AI’s effect on society in general are likely to make a difference in the growth of AI going forward. That implies that only the largest, most technically sophisticated firms with the capability to consume and process such volumes of data will benefit from it in a meaningful way in the future.

Enlightened corporations, governments, or, one day, multilateral institutions, will try to govern AI in their particular domains, and it will not be a straightforward process. AI is starting to careen out of control,. .even though some sectors in which AI has the most impact, such as financial services, are already being regulated.

It will take a long time for organizations, governments, and NGOs to work through these questions. Many are straightforward questions about technology, but many others are about what kind of societies we want to live in and what type of values we wish to adopt in the future.

If AI forces us to look ourselves in the mirror and tackle such questions with vigor, transparency, and honesty, then its rise will be doing us a great favor. We would like to believe that the future development of AI will proceed in an orderly and wholly positive fashion, but the race to achieve AI supremacy won’t happen that way. Instead, it is more akin to elbowing one’s way to the front of the line to grab a piece of the pie. Certainly, that is how the leaders in the race (China, the U.S., and their top technology companies being at the top of the list) are already approaching it.


Daniel Wagner is CEO of Country Risk Solutions. Keith Furst is Managing Director of Data Derivatives. They are the co-authors of the new book “AI Supremacy.” 

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Diabetes Patients Are Hacking Together the Tech They Need. Doctors Are Just Tuning In.

SOCIAL MEDIA FOR GOOD

Twitter is good for more than spreading conspiracy theories — it can also help improve the quality of life of people with health conditions like diabetes.

In a study published on Monday in The Journal of Diabetes Science and Technology, researchers at University of Utah Health examine how the diabetes community uses Twitter to share information on open source artificial pancreas (OpenAPS) technology, a DIY hack of two diabetes management devices.

The social media platform also provides healthcare providers and regulators with a birds-eye view of the wants and needs of patients, according to the researchers, which could prove invaluable as they look to better serve the diabetic community in the future.

HACKING DIABETES

Continuous glucose monitors (CGM) are devices that do pretty much what you’d expect: they continuously monitor the glucose levels of people with diabetes. Insulin pumps, meanwhile, are computerized devices that automatically inject insulin into the body, either as a steady stream or at predetermined times of the day.

OpenAPS is an off-label combination of these two devices. People in the diabetic community figured out a way to hack CGMs and insulin pumps to get them to “talk” to one another, essentially producing a self-regulating artificial pancreas. The CGM notes when a person’s glucose levels are high and instructs the pump to deliver insulin.

THE PEOPLE HAVE SPOKEN

For their study, the researchers looked at more than 3,000 tweets containing the hashtag #OpenAPS posted between January 2016 and January 2018. From this, they identified five themes on which the diabetic community focused, including a reduction in daily stress and the perception that OpenAPS is safe.

This is all information that providers and regulators in the healthcare industry should consider when anticipating the wants and needs of people with diabetes, the study’s first author, Michelle Litchman, noted in a press release. And now, thanks to the University of Utah Health team’s research, it’s readily available to them.

READ MORE: Following Twitter Conversations Around Hacked Diabetes Tools to Manage Blood Sugar [EurekAlert]

More on diabetes: A Cyborg Society: The FDA Has Approved the First Artificial Pancreas

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The UK’s First Flying Taxi Wants to Take You Farther Than Just Across Town

WE HAVE LIFTOFF

British aerospace startup Vertical Aerospace doesn’t want to be like other flying car companies. Those other guys can handle the shorter trips, the way a taxi might — but Vertical Aerospace wants to use flying cars to transport people between cities. And the company claims its electric aircraft, which it recently tested for the first time, can do it more efficiently than a jet.

“Passenger numbers for short haul flights have exploded in recent years, but as a result aviation is now a major contributor to climate change and local air pollution,” CEO Stephen Fitzpatrick told CNN. “We want to decarbonize air travel and give people the freedom to fly from their local neighborhood directly to their destination.”

PROOF OF CONCEPT

A new video shows the first flight of Vertical Aerospace’s electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) vehicle. It stays in the air thanks to four rotors like a quadcopter drone. In the clip, the craft lifts into the air at an English airport to hover about 10 meters (33 feet) above the ground for several minutes.

Like most other VTOLs, Vertical Aerospace’s craft takes off like a helicopter. After that, it cruises parallel to the ground like a plane, potentially at speeds as fast as 80 kph (50 mph.) Its target journey length will be between 100 and 150 kilometers (62 to 93 miles.)

FIRST IN FLIGHT

With that demonstration flight, which took place in June, the company became the first in the U.K. to test out a full-scale flying taxi prototype. It also moved one step closer to its goal of using eVTOL’s to make medium-distance travel sustainable.

Don’t expect to trade in your train ticket for a trip aboard a Vertical Aerospace’s eVTOL any time soon, though. The company still has some kinks in the prototype to work out, plus regulatory hurdles to overcome, meaning the service likely won’t be available for at least another four years.

READ MORE: This 28-Person Startup Took a Big First Step Towards Launching a Nationwide Flying Taxi Service by 2022 [Business Insider]

More on flying taxis: Uber Just Promised to Bring Flying Taxis to Life in 3 Years

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We’re Drinking so Much Water That We’re Actually Making the Ocean Saltier

A SALTY PROBLEM

Regions without enough drinking water often turn to desalination, the process of removing salt from seawater to make it drinkable. But researchers are now worrying that the process’ salty byproducts could wreak havoc on the ocean’s delicate ecosystems.

“Increasing salinity is one of the most important environmental issues of the 21st century,” said Amy Childress, a researcher at the University of Southern California who studies the effects of desalination, in an interview with New Scientist.

DESALINATION STATION

One desalination technique is called reverse osmosis, in which saltwater flows across a membrane that salt can’t pass through. On one side of the membrane, you get drinkable water; on the other, you get concentrated brine that’s about twice as salty as regular ocean water.

Most desalination plants pump that salty leftover water back into the ocean. But researchers like Childress are concerned that it could hurt salinity-sensitive organisms, like the red abalone or the giant kelp that provide homes for a diverse range of marine species.

WASTE NOT

To avoid those potential consequences, one proposal is that desalination plants could dilute their leftover water with freshwater that’s clean enough to dump back into the ocean, but not fit to drink. It would introduce an extra step for facilities that are working to provide a vital resource for humans — but it could also really pay off because it could preserve more of the ocean’s delicate habitats.

Clearly we have some kinks to work out in the desalination process. And with four billion people now facing water scarcity, we can’t afford to waste any time in sorting them out.

READ MORE: Our Thirst for Water Is Turning the Oceans Saltier [New Scientist]

More on desalination: Researchers Made a Graphene Sieve That Can Make Seawater Safe to Drink

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This Device Reads Your Brainwaves to Figure Out Your Mood

Researchers have discovered how to translate brain waves into the actual mood a subject is feeling — and it could lead to new treatments for depression.

MOOD RING

How are researchers supposed to know if the subjects of their experiments are happy, sad or depressed? A patient’s own description, presumably, sometimes just doesn’t cut it. A team of neuroscientists figured out a way to read a person’s mood by analyzing their brainwaves. It’s more than just a party trick — it’s first time scientists have made an explicit connection between brainwaves and emotional states, and it could have far-reaching implications for the future of treatments for mood disorders.

They describe their technique in study published Monday in the journal Nature Biotechnology.

ELECTRODE SLIDE

The scientists worked with seven volunteer subjects whose brains had already been implanted with electrodes as part of their treatment for epilepsy.

Over the course of several days, researchers collected neural signals from those patients’ implants, as well as questionnaires about the patients’ moods.

The brainwaves associated with a particular mood looked different in each patient, the researchers found. But the scientists were still able to create software that finds correlations between a patient’s brainwave data and corresponding questionnaire. Eventually, it could infer that patient’s mood by analyzing the neural signals alone.

BRAIN BOOST

Granted, this study only included a handful of patients (those with sensitive detection devices already embedded in their brains, at that) over a short period of time. And the researchers didn’t figure out precisely why certain brainwaves were associated with particular moods

Still, though, the researchers believe their work could pave the way for treatments that build on deep brain stimulation, a technique in which an implant stimulates the brain to treat conditions such as obsessive compulsive disorder and major depression.

Farther into the future, though, such an implant could keep tabs on a patient’s emotional state — and, if it detected an abnormality, give them a jolt to help bring them back to normal.

READ MORE: We’ve cracked the brain’s emotion code and it may help depression [The Wall Street Journal]

More on brain implants: For the First Time Ever, Scientists Boosted Human Memory With a Brain Implant

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An Amazon Patent Would Use Cages to Keep Employees “Safe”

Amazon's cage system, which it patented back in 2016, would presumably allow workers to travel safely in active robot zones.

RAT IN A CAGE.

In 2016, Amazon patented a system that would place warehouse workers in metal cages. A robotic trolley would ferry those cages around so that the workers could repair broken machinery or retrieve dropped objects.

Researchers describe Amazon’s cage system in a study of the Amazon Echo published online on Friday.

DON’T FEED THE HUMANS.

Here’s a bit of good news: the patent application shows the purpose of the system isn’t to confine workers, but to keep them safe.

“Traversing an active workspace of automated mobile drive units poses safety concerns for the human operators who traverse the active workspace,” according to the patent application.

It’s like cage diving with sharks, if the sharks were actually industrial robots.

SO VERY AMAZON.

This isn’t Amazon’s first scheme that paints an unsettling picture for factory workers of the future. The company also holds patents for wristbands that track workers’ movements, self-destructing drones, and warehouses in the sky.

However, a handful of patents does not a dystopian future make. Countless of them never move beyond the idea stage, and Amazon itself says it has no plans to bring its caged worker system to fruition.

“Sometimes even bad ideas get submitted for patents. This was never used and we have no plans for usage,” Dave Clark, Amazon’s Senior Vice President of Operations, tweeted on Friday. “We developed a far better solution which is a small vest associates can wear that cause all robotic drive units in their proximity to stop moving.” A vest instead of a cage? We’ll take it.

READ MORE: Amazon Has Patented a System That Would Put Workers in a Cage, on Top of a Robot [Seattle Times]

More on Amazon patents: Can You Guess Which of These Amazon Schemes Are Real and Which Are Fake?

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How a Tiny Satellite Fleet Will Track Millions of Animals

French spacetech startup Kinéis says it will vastly expand the reach of the satellites that track livestock and wildlife animals.

YOU GET A SATELLITE! YOU GET A SATELLITE!

French spacetech startup Kinéis says it will vastly expand the reach of satellites that track livestock and wildlife animals — from about 20,000 tracking devices at present to more than a million over the next ten years.

Kinéis has pledged to make Argos, a satellite tracking system that’s currently only accessible to researchers, available to the general public for as little as a few euros per year. Kinéis is hoping the low price will attract new swaths of customers, who don’t have reliable internet connectivity (think: subsistence herders who would track livestock, or fishermen who need a reliable distress beacon).

TINY SATELLITES? (RELATIVELY) YES.

To create the system, Kinéis plans to launch a “constellation” of 20 nanosatellites. They’ll each weigh just 25 kilograms (55 lbs), and orbit at an altitude of 600 kilometers (372 miles). The platform will debut next year, but won’t be at full capacity with the entire satellite fleet in place until 2021.

The company is working with France’s space agency to launch the shoebox-sized satellites. Once in position, the satellites will  collect location or temperature data from whatever they’re attached to—an animal, shipping container, or other movable objects.

DEMOCRATIZING ORBIT.

Unlike the old Argos system, which collected new location data every four hours, the new system will update tracker locations every 15 minutes. The company claims that high-resolution data will be a huge boon to animal researchers who need to track the movements of endangered animals, and farmers who want to keep tabs on large or free-ranging herds of livestock.

“This is one of our main ambitions — to democratise these technologies,” Kinéis director Alexandre Tisserant told the BBC. “It has to be this way to be successful, otherwise they will remain in the hands of a few rich institutions or for very specific needs.”

READ MORE: “Internet of Animals” Spreads its Wings [BBC]

More on animal tagging: “Cow FitBits” Won’t Make Cows Happier Because They’re Not Milk Robots

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Maybe Goldman Sachs Isn’t So Keen On Crypto, After All

Goldman Sachs is delaying plans for cryptocurrency trading operation due to regulatory uncertainty, according to a Business Insider report.

Editor’s note (9/6/18 at 6:10 PM ET): According to one source on Twitter and an article article citing it published by CNBC, Martin Chavez, the CTO of Goldman Sachs, denied the business insider report, calling it “fake news” at Tech Crunch. Futurism reached out to Goldman Sachs for comment. The organization repeated its previous statement on the matter (quoted below); as for what their CFO said, a spokesperson declined to elaborate. 

BYE, BYE BITCOIN.
Goldman Sachs giveth, and Goldman Sachs taketh away.

In May, the finance institution announced plans to launch what would have been Wall Street’s first bitcoin trading operation. Now, not quite four months later, it seems to have gotten cold feet and will be ditching the plan.

That’s according to a Business Insider report published Wednesday. Goldman hasn’t confirmed the report, but the news still sent the value of bitcoin plummeting.

TOO RISKY. According to Business Insider’s sources, Goldman Sachs had hoped that by now the government would have established regulations to protect banks from some of the risks associated with trading crypto. It hasn’t yet, so for Goldman, the path forward might seem just a bit too treacherous.

Goldman Sachs, however, isn’t saying anything definitive for now. “In response to client interest in various digital products, we are exploring how best to serve them in the space,” said the company via a statement. “At this point, we have not reached a conclusion on the scope of our digital asset offering.”

Soon after the release of the report, the value of bitcoin fell almost 6 percent. However, Brian Kelly, founder and CEO of crypto hedge fund BKCM, is more worried about the long-term impact of Goldman Sachs’ about-face.

“They were not a part of the ecosystem yet, but to the extent that they represent the institutional herd [of mainstream financial institutions], this is a negative,” he told CNBC.

A TEMPORARY SETBACK. If the report is to be believed, Goldman Sachs isn’t giving up on crypto forever — it’s simply moving a trading platform down its list of priorities. If regulatory waters calm, the bank could jump back on the bitcoin bandwagon, and given the U.S. government’s increased interest in crypto, the wait might not be all that long.

READ MORE: Goldman Sachs Is Ditching Near-Term Plans to Open a Bitcoin Trading Desk, Instead Focusing on a Key Business for Driving Wall Street Investment in Crypto [Business Insider]

More on Goldman Sachs: Wall Street is Officially Hip To Bitcoin Trading

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