Could Poop Hold the Key to Measuring COVID-19 in the Population? – Santa Barbara Independent

The coronavirus doesnt just survive on doorknobs and surfaces. When we wash our hands or go to the bathroom, we shed virus into the waste stream, as well, said Laurie Van De Werfhorst, a UC Santa Barbara microbiology researcher. Just as sewage has become a repository of opioid and other chemical information about the upstream population, its being looked at by scientists trying to get a handle on SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19.

The Santa Barbara Independent is providing all coronavirus stories for free so that all readers have access to critical informationduring this time. Get the top stories in your inbox by signing up for our daily newsletter, Indy Today.

The work at UCSB is led by Dr. Trish Holden, a Bren School professor of environmental microbiology who is well-known for her investigations into high bacteria counts at Goleta Beach Park. Holden was in the lab processing samples on the day the Indy spoke with Van De Werfhorst because the social-distancing rules at UCSB limit the number of people in the labs. With funding from the UCSB Associated Students Coastal Fund, the research hopes to capture a picture of the quantity of COVID-19 in the community over time.

Were building an understanding of how SARS-CoV-2 circulates in the community by analyzing influent to the wastewater treatment plant, Van De Werfhorst explained. Can we detect it? Can we quantify it? How does it change over time? Is there a correlation with how many people are getting infected? Testing the ways to find answers to those questions is their goal as their research gets underway.

Samples of influent from Santa Barbara and Montecitos wastewater treatment plants are being collected and cells filtered out to be analyzed for virus content. Counting how much RNA exists from the SARS-CoV-2 virus is the next phase of the lab work.

The Netherlands was one of the first to begin using wastewater to detect coronavirus, Van De Werfhorst said, whos been participating in national conference calls on research around the globe on the best methods and approaches to use. Isolating the virus involves the same procedure used to identify it in patients; whether the virus remains viable is an open question and beyond the scope of the UCSB research.

Van De Werfhorst said they wanted the method in place and results in a usable form before the second wave of coronavirus occurs, which is expected sometime in the fall.

At theSanta Barbara Independent,our staff is working around the clock to cover every aspect of this crisis sorting truth from rumor. Our reporters and editors are asking the tough questions of our public health officials and spreading the word about how we can all help one another. Thecommunity needs us now more than ever andwe need you in order to keep doing the important work we do. Support theIndependentby making a direct contribution or with asubscription to Indy+.

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Could Poop Hold the Key to Measuring COVID-19 in the Population? - Santa Barbara Independent

Do you think you have the coronavirus? Here’s what you should do. – USA TODAY

R-0 may be the most important scientific term youve never heard of when it comes to stopping the coronavirus pandemic. USA TODAY

You wakeup with a dry cough orheadache.It could be the common cold or allergies, or it could be the coronavirus.

So, what should you do next?

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and other public health experts recommend taking the following steps if you're feeling sick and think you may have COVID-19.

Do an inventory of symptoms:Dry cough is one. Are you also short of breath? Do you have a fever? Normal body temperature is 98.6 Fahrenheit, and anything above 100 degrees is considered a fever. New symptoms recently added by the CDC also include chills, repeated shaking with chills, muscle pain, headache, sore throat and new loss of taste or smell.

Not everyone with COVID-19 will have all symptoms and a fever might not be present.

Stay home: Most people with COVID-19 have mild symptoms and can recover at home with medical care. Monitor your symptoms while getting rest, staying hydrated, and taking over-the-counter medicines, such as acetaminophen.

Separate yourself from other people: As much as possible, stay in a designated room and away from other people and pets in your household. If you need to be around people, wear a mask.

Avoid sharing personal household items such as dishes, drinking glasses, cups, eating utensils, towels or bedding with other people in your home. Wash these items thoroughly after using them with soap and water or put them in the dishwasher.

Coronavirus and quarantine has changed Americans' workout routines, so what is the right amount of exercise? USA TODAY

Practice good hygiene: Cover your mouth and nose with a tissue when you cough or sneeze. Throw away used tissues in a lined trash can and immediately wash your hands using soap and water or hand sanitizer with at least 60% alcohol. Avoid touching your eyes, nose and mouth with unwashed hands.

Call ahead before visiting your doctor: If youre seeking medical attention, health care providers recommend calling ahead. Most medical consultations are happening remotely through the phone or video conference.

However, you should seek emergency medical attention and call 911 if you experience trouble breathing, persistent chest pain, bluish lips and sudden confusion.

If you had COVID-19 symptoms, the Virginia Department of Health says you can leave your designated sick room after you havent had a fever for at least 72 hours without fever-reducing medicine, other symptoms have improved and at least seven days has passed since your symptoms first appeared.

Masks: Amid coronavirus shortages, manufacturing face mask filters in China is like printing money

If you tested positive for COVID-19 but were asymptomatic then you can leave your sick room after you received two negative tests in a row, 24 hours a part.

The state health department recommends to take extra precautions for at least three more days by keeping at least six feet apart from others and wearing a cloth face covering.

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Do you think you have the coronavirus? Here's what you should do. - USA TODAY

Janesville hospitals hoping to add on-site COVID-19 test processing – Janesville Gazette

Janesvilles two hospitals are working to secure equipment and supplies needed to process COVID-19 tests on site, which would get results to patients sooner.

Both hospitals are unsure how soon they might get the equipment because of frequent changes in demand and in the supply chain for medical equipment.

Meanwhile, Beloit Health System has been processing tests at its own facility for about a week, the Beloit Daily News reported.

Beloit Health System can process about 25 tests per day with results sometimes coming back in as little as 45 minutes.

The Gazette was unable to reach representatives from Beloit Health System for further comment by press time.

Edgerton Hospital and Health Services has the capability to test on site but needs more of a chemical reagent needed to process samples, trauma manager Alison Hanaman said.

People who are tested have to be quarantined until they get results. Getting those results faster means less time in quarantine and more peace of mind for those who test negative, Mercyhealth Medical Director Mark Goelzer said.

Those who test positive have to be isolated until a public health nurse determines they have recovered.

Officials and epidemiologists nationwide have said more testing is a key step toward a return to normalcy.

Jeff Shadick, regional vice president of laboratory services for SSM Health, said more testing can help identify hot spots, such as the ones identified in meatpacking plants in the Green Bay area.

More widespread testing also helps public health workers determine how and where the disease has spread through contact tracing, he said.

State officials last week told providers to begin testing people with mild COVID-19 symptoms, leading to an uptick in the number of people tested.

In Rock County, 2,317 people have received test results since March 14. Of those, 615 have gotten results since Monday, or 27% of the total.

Mercyhealth, SSM Health and Edgerton Hospital officials said they have been able to conduct more testing but worry about the availability of testing supplies.

In the beginning, hospitals dealt with a reagent shortfall. Then the number of other supplies, primarily nasal swabs, reached critically low levels, Shadick said.

The good news is that the supply of testing materials is stabilizing as manufacturers get approval from the federal government for emergency production, Shadick said.

But hospitals, state organizations and the federal government are competing for the gear, making it difficult to get everyone what they need, Mercyhealths Goelzer said.

As of Friday, 222 Rock County residents have tested positive for COVID-19. Six people have died.

Mercyhealth

Mercyhealth is sending its tests to commercial labs and receiving results in a day or two, Goelzer said.

The system recently opened a second drive-thru site for testing, Goelzer said. Patients must be referred by a doctor before they can go to either drive-thru location.

Mercyhealth has the equipment needed to do in-house testing but is waiting to secure the appropriate supplies, Goelzer said. How soon the supplies come depends on the systems vendors, he said.

Mercyhealth also is working on attaining antibody tests to determine whether somebody might have already been infected, Goelzer said. Such testing is still in early stages of development and has varying levels of accuracy, he added.

Supply shortages prevent Mercyhealth, and most other hospitals, from doing as much testing as they want to do, Goelzer said.

SSM Health

Tests from SSM Health St. Marys Hospital-Janesville are processed at an SSM Health lab in Madison. Six couriers collect tests in Janesville each day and transport them there, Shadick said.

Patients get same-day results, Shadick said. Thats a major improvement from the beginning of the pandemic when it took six to eight days to get results.

SSM Healths regional lab can test 1,800 kits per month and serves seven hospitals in Wisconsin, Shadick said.

Tests are sent to commercial labs if the regional lab reaches capacity, Shadick said.

Equipment to test on site in Janesville has been ordered but is delayed as equipment is redirected to areas of greater need, Shadick said.

Edgerton Hospital

Edgerton Hospital is sending test results to commercial labs with results coming back in less than 24 hours, Hanaman said.

Tests are available at the hospital and at the systems clinic in Milton. Patients are evaluated upon arrival and are tested if they show COVID-19 symptoms, which include cough, shortness of breath, fever, chills, headache, sore throat, muscle pain, and loss of taste or smell.

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Janesville hospitals hoping to add on-site COVID-19 test processing - Janesville Gazette

Reno ER doctor on COVID 19: ‘We won the battle, now let’s win the war’ – Reno Gazette Journal

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Dr. Eric Nielsen poses for a photograph outside of Renown on April 1, 2020(Photo: Andy Barron/RGJ)

Editor's note:This story is being provided for free as a public service during the COVID-19 outbreak.Please consider supporting our local journalists in Nevada by subscribing to the Reno Gazette Journal.

For 16 years, Dr. Eric Nielsen has been insideemergency rooms. A Reno native andgraduate of the University of Nevada, Reno Medical School, he works in the same hospital where he was born.

Nielsen is part of the Northern Nevada Emergency Physicians group, which staffs Renown Health hospitals.The group of 65 doctors will be on the front lines of the coronavirus battle in the coming weeks and months.

Its hard to claim a resounding victory in Washoe County when we sustained over 30 deaths from COVID-19. Northern Nevada has not had the widespread fatalities that other communities suffered. Weve been fortunate for geographic isolation, early social distancing, and low population density.

Read more:Reno ER doctor on the coronavirus fight: 'This isnt just our battle, itseveryones'

Perhaps most of all, we are blessed by an intelligent and motivated community that took the threat of COVID-19 seriously from the start. We all deserve credit for our early success.

The doomsday models everyone relied upon were just that, educated guesses about a disease we discovered just six months ago. We had no idea how successful an economic shutdown and social distancing measures would be.

We also learned that possibly 1 in 250 people could die from COVID-19 no matter what care we provide. Ventilators and hydroxychloroquine are no cure all. Anti-virals may provide hope, but lets patiently wait for the data. Until we develop a safe and effective vaccine, we need to proceed with extreme caution.

COVID-19 is not like a typical natural disaster such as an earthquake, fire or flood. Those are distinct tragedies in a small timeframe and location. The virus already has a foothold and isnt going anywhere soon. It will lurk in the shadows and continue to spread by people with minimal or no symptoms. For now, COVID-19 s a permanent resident in our community.

The sacrifices our citizens and local businesses have made cannot be overstated. Beloved employees were let go, wages cut, and businesses closed. We all missed cherished family gatherings and simple get togethers with our friends. Our local economy and daily lives didnt simply experience a tremor, it was a two month shockwave felt through every fabric of our lives.

These sacrifices saved countless lives. It allowed our hospitals and doctors precious time to prepare and learn more about the virus. We cannot waste these sacrifices. To do so could possibly make things worse in a few months and risk another economic shutdown or surge of the disease.

Everyone has real and unanswerable questions. Will I have a job when the government says its OK to go back to work? Am I getting stimulus money? How do I keep my family safe? Do I have one of the underlying conditions that puts me at risk of dying? The questions and uncertainties are real, you are not alone. This is terrifying.

Everyone wants it to be like it was 3 months ago or fast forward two years, neither of which are possible. We are entering a new phase of management of the COVID-19 crisis in our community. We have to carefully execute two incredible challenges. We need to cautiously open up the economy and our social lives while also remaining vigilant to keep the disease at bay.

Lets not argue about which businesses are essential. Human life is essential, and the economy is essential to sustain it. If we cant all agree they go hand-in-hand none of this will work. But we cant simply go back to our old way of life, to do so would give this virus a second chance to further hurt our community.

We cannot forget about the children in our community. They are as confused and scared about this situation as we are. These are impressionable and sensitive beings. Some cant comprehend why they dont get a big birthday party, play at certain parks, or see their friends. They have been pulled out of their social circles and miss going to school. They are suffering silently while the adults are struggling to find their way.

We need to do the best we can with limited resources to homeschool them. They need us to be calm, loving, and patient adults in a time of crisis. Lets be as honest as we can be with them and lead by example.

Wearing a mask in public should not be a sign of hysteria, illness or weakness. It should be a badge of civic duty and responsibility. It is a statement that you care about your hometown and its citizens. Other countries such as South Korea and Germany have been wearing masks for months, their experience with COVID-19 has been remarkably different than ours. South Korea has 247 deaths, the United States surpassed 63,000 deaths this week. Lets all eat some humble pie, and get our masks back on.

Once we start getting together with friends, less is more. Wear your mask, keep your distance, and wash your hands. We all have cabin fever, but the risk of getting a fever from COVID-19 may be much worse.

Lets not go crazy. If you find yourself surrounded by a crowd, step back and reconsider. If its not safe, ask yourself if you really need to be there.

If you feel like you are having a medical emergency please dont hesitate to seek care. Weve enacted every measure to keep our emergency departments and hospitals clean and safe. I guarantee its more sanitary than your average grocery or hardware store yet we seem to be piling into those establishments. Yes, we are all wearing masks, gloves, and gowns. We are not ill, were simply taking every precaution to keep all patients and staff safe.

It turns out patients have been dying at home rather than risk coming to the hospital. Do not stay home and suffer, it could likely make your condition worse. We are prepared and able to safely care for you

We all have a choice on how to spend our money. Make a conscious effort to support local businesses. Without your support some of them may not survive. Buy local to the best of your ability. Generously tip on takeout. If you can financially help a friend or family, dont hesitate. If you need help, have the strength and humility to ask for it. Everyone can and needs to help to make this work.

To those businesses that were shut down but paid their employees during the last several weeks, you are the real heroes. Taking a loss on your own bottom line to maintain your workforce is a true sacrifice for your community.

To the parents balancing careers, economic anxieties, and households while also homeschooling their children, you are the real heroes. We all have newfound respect and admiration for our teachers. Keep doing the best you can.

To the nurses, paramedics and all the frontline health care workers caring for COVID-19 patients, you are the real heroes. None of them receive hazard pay but they continue to show up and work hard every day for our community.

Lets all be everyday heroes in our own way and well get through this together.

We had one chance to flatten our initial curve. We did the best we possibly could and lives were saved. Now we have one chance to revive our economy while also keeping COVID-19 under control. Our hospitals are ready. How we do this will determine if we are an example on how do it right or a tragic lesson on how to do this wrong. Lets do this cautiously; lets do it intelligently. Lets do this together.

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Reno ER doctor on COVID 19: 'We won the battle, now let's win the war' - Reno Gazette Journal

US consumers rush to buy meat amid concerns over Covid-19 shortages – The Guardian

US meat production has continued to decline as the coronavirus crisis forces the shutdown of more processing facilities, sparking fears of shortages at grocery stores nationwide.

The US Department of Agricultures weekly report found that from 27 April, beef production was down nearly 25% compared to the same time last year. Pork production was down 15%.

While Sonny Perdue, the agriculture secretary, has said the US has plenty of food for all of [its] citizens, fewer pigs are being slaughtered at processing plants, down by nearly 50% since mid-March.

Meat processing companies have paused operations as some workers have tested positive for Covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus.

Last month, Tyson Foods, one of Americas largest meat producers, warned the food supply chain is breaking in a full-page ad in newspapers including the New York Times.

There will be limited supply of products, the Arkansas-based company said, until it can reopen closed facilities.

On Thursday, Tyson temporarily suspended operations at its beef processing plant outside Sioux City, Iowa, after more than 900 workers tested positive for the coronavirus.

The company said it would close through the weekend for deep cleaning. The facility is one of the largest beef plants in the country, employing about 4,300 people.

An analysis from USA Today and the Midwest Center for Investigative Reporting found at least 4,400 workers had tested positive for the virus across 80 plants, causing 28 to close for at least one day.

According to the United Food and Commercial Workers International Unions, at least 20 workers have died.

I wouldnt say the food system is breaking, but at least the meat sector is in real serious, critical condition at the moment, said Jayson Lusk, the head of the Department of Agricultural Economics at Purdue University, told USA Today.

However, there were some signs on Friday that some meat-packing plants could be reopening. A Smithfield Foods pork processing plant in South Dakota where more than 850 workers tested positive will partially reopen on Monday after shuttering for more than two weeks, a union that represents plant workers said late on Friday.

Arkansas-based Tyson Foods said its Logansport, Indiana, pork processing plant where nearly 900 employees tested positive will also resume limited production on Monday.

Donald Trump has attempted to curb the looming shortage, signing an executive order on Tuesday declaring meatpacking plants critical to keep open.

Legal experts, however, said the order is unlikely to curb the decline, as it doesnt compel meat producers to remain in production and doesnt give employers immunity from lawsuits.

Still, Perdue told Bloomberg on Thursday he expected the order to have meat packing plants reopening within days, not weeks.

There will be some less production, some inefficiency based on line speeds, some employees that will not be able to come back to work, he said. We want to assure the workers and the community of their safety.

Fears of meat shortages have had shoppers looking for alternatives to retail grocers. Restaurants and food service vendors have reported shortages as processors shift to selling directly to consumers.

Shoppers are stocking up, but experts warn panic buying will only exacerbate shortages.

[Americans] have often been confronted by higher prices for beef and pork products, or in some circumstances, nearly empty meat cases, the Democratic senators Mike Lee and Amy Klobuchar wrote in a letter to the US justice department and Federal Trade Commission.

The senators called on law enforcement to investigate the meat supply chain.

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US consumers rush to buy meat amid concerns over Covid-19 shortages - The Guardian

How Cybercriminals are Weathering COVID-19 – Krebs on Security

In many ways, the COVID-19 pandemic has been a boon to cybercriminals: With unprecedented numbers of people working from home and anxious for news about the virus outbreak, its hard to imagine a more target-rich environment for phishers, scammers and malware purveyors. In addition, many crooks are finding the outbreak has helped them better market their cybercriminal wares and services. But its not all good news: The Coronavirus also has driven up costs and disrupted key supply lines for many cybercriminals. Heres a look at how theyre adjusting to these new realities.

One of the more common and perennial cybercriminal schemes is reshipping fraud, wherein crooks buy pricey consumer goods online using stolen credit card data and then enlist others to help them collect or resell the merchandise.

Most online retailers years ago stopped shipping to regions of the world most frequently associated with credit card fraud, including Eastern Europe, North Africa, and Russia. These restrictions have created a burgeoning underground market for reshipping scams, which rely on willing or unwitting residents in the United States and Europe derisively referred to as reshipping mules to receive and relay high-dollar stolen goods to crooks living in the embargoed areas.

A screen shot from a user account at Snowden, a long-running reshipping mule service.

But apparently a number of criminal reshipping services are reporting difficulties due to the increased wait time when calling FedEx or UPS (to divert carded goods that merchants end up shipping to the cardholders address instead of to the mules). In response, these operations are raising their prices and warning of longer shipping times, which in turn could hamper the activities of other actors who depend on those services.

Thats according to Intel 471, a cyber intelligence company that closely monitors hundreds of online crime forums. In a report published today, the company said since late March 2020 it has observed several crooks complaining about COVID-19 interfering with the daily activities of their various money mules(people hired to help launder the proceeds of cybercrime).

One Russian-speaking actor running a fraud network complained about their subordinates (money mules) in Italy, Spain and other countries being unable to withdraw funds, since they currently were afraid to leave their homes, Intel 471 observed. Also some actors have reported that banks customer-support lines are being overloaded, making it difficult for fraudsters to call them for social-engineering activities (such as changing account ownership, raising withdrawal limits, etc).

Still, every dark cloud has a silver lining: Intel 471 noted many cybercriminals appear optimistic that the impending global economic recession (and resultant unemployment) will make it easier to recruit low-level accomplices such as money mules.

Alex Holden, founder and CTO of Hold Security, agreed. He said while the Coronavirus has forced reshipping operators to make painful shifts in several parts of their business, the overall market for available mules has never looked brighter.

Reshipping is way up right now, but there are some complications, he said.

For example, reshipping scams have over the years become easier for both reshipping mule operators and the mules themselves. Many reshipping mules are understandably concerned about receiving stolen goods at their home and risking a visit from the local police. But increasingly, mules have been instructed to retrieve carded items from third-party locations.

The mules dont have to receive stolen goods directly at home anymore, Holden said. They can pick them up at Walgreens, Hotel lobbies, etc. There are a ton of reshipment tricks out there.

But many of those tricks got broken with the emergence of COVID-19 and social distancing norms. In response, more mule recruiters are asking their hires to do things like reselling goods shipped to their homes on platforms like eBay and Amazon.

Reshipping definitely has become more complicated, Holden said. Not every mule will run 10 times a day to the post office, and some will let the goods sit by the mailbox for days. But on the whole, mules are more compliant these days.

KrebsOnSecurity recently came to a similar conclusion: Last months story, Coronavirus Widens the Money Mule Pool, looked at one money mule operation that had ensnared dozens of mules with phony job offers in a very short period of time. Incidentally, the fake charity behind that scheme which promised to raise money for Coronavirus victims has since closed up shop and apparently re-branded itself as the Tessaris Foundation.

Charitable cybercriminal endeavors were the subject of a report released this weekby cyber intel firm Digital Shadows, which looked at various ways computer crooks are promoting themselves and their hacking services using COVID-19 themed discounts and giveaways.

Like many commercials on television these days, such offers obliquely or directly reference the economic hardships wrought by the virus outbreak as a way of connecting on an emotional level with potential customers.

The illusion of philanthropy recedes further when you consider the benefits to the threat actors giving away goods and services, the report notes. These donors receive a massive boost to their reputation on the forum. In the future, they may be perceived as individuals willing to contribute to forum life, and the giveaways help establish a track record of credibility.

Brians Club one of the undergrounds largest bazaars for selling stolen credit card data and one that has misappropriated this authors likeness and name in its advertising recently began offering pandemic support in the form of discounts for its most loyal customers.

It stands to reason that the virus outbreak might depress cybercriminal demand for dumps, or stolen account data that can be used to create physical counterfeit credit cards. After all, dumps are mainly used to buy high-priced items from electronics stores and other outlets that may not even be open now thanks to the widespread closures from the pandemic.

If that were the case, wed also expect to see dumps prices fall significantly across the cybercrime economy. But so far, those price changes simply havent materialized, says Gemini Advisory, a New York based company that monitors the sale of stolen credit card data across dozens of stores in the cybercrime underground.

Stas Alforov, Geminis director of research and development, said theres been no notable dramatic changes in pricing for both dumps and card data stolen from online merchants (a.k.a. CVVs) even though many cybercrime groups appear to be massively shifting their operations toward targeting online merchants and their customers.

Usually, the huge spikes upward or downward during a short period is reflectedby a large addition of cheap records that drive the median price change, Alforov said, referring to the small and temporary price deviations depicted in the graph above.

Intel 471 said it came to a similar conclusion.

You might have thought carding activity, to include support aspects such as checker services, would decrease due to both the global lockdown and threat actors being infected with COVID-19, the company said. Weve even seen some actors suggest as much across some shops, but the reality is there have been no observations of major changes.

Interestingly, the Coronavirus appears to have prompted discussion on a topic that seldom comes up in cybercrime communities i.e., the moral and ethical ramifications of their work. Specifically, there seems to be much talk these days about the potential karmic consequences of cashing in on the misery wrought by a global pandemic.

For example, Digital Shadows said some have started to question the morality of targeting healthcare providers, or collecting funds in the name of Coronavirus causes and then pocketing the money.

One post on the gated Russian-language cybercriminal forum Korovka laid bare the question of threat actors moral obligation, the company wrote. A user initiated a thread to canvass opinion on the feasibility of faking a charitable cause and collecting donations. They added that while they recognized that such a plan was cruel, they found themselves in an extremely difficult financial situation. Responses to the proposal were mixed, with one forum user calling the plan amoral, and another pointing out that cybercrime is inherently an immoral affair.

Tags: alex holden, Coronavirus, COVID-19, Gemini Advisory, Intel 471, money mules, reshipping mules, Snowden, Stas Alforov

This entry was posted on Thursday, April 30th, 2020 at 2:20 pmand is filed under Ne'er-Do-Well News, Other, Web Fraud 2.0.You can follow any comments to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.You can skip to the end and leave a comment. Pinging is currently not allowed.

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How Cybercriminals are Weathering COVID-19 - Krebs on Security

Britons will suffer health problems from Covid-19 for years, warn doctors – The Guardian

Many people in Britain are likely to suffer from physical and mental problems for several years after the Covid-19 epidemic has subsided. That is the grim message from doctors and psychologists who last week warned that even after lockdown measures had been lifted thousands of individuals would still be suffering.

Some of these problems will be due directly to the impact that the virus has had on those it has infected, especially those who went through life-saving interventions in intensive care units (ICUs) in hospital. In addition there will be a considerable impact on vulnerable people affected by the lockdown and isolation.

As a result, there is a danger our society could become more anxious and risk-averse, say scientists who have called for a range of research programmes to be launched to understand the issues and to allow society to prepare itself for the physiological and psychological problems that lie ahead.

This has been a national trauma like no other that we have experienced, said psychologist Professor Dame Til Wykes, of Kings College London. Consider the terrible flooding we had earlier this year. People watched river levels rise and listened to weather forecasts to find out if they might be inundated the next day or the day after. That was stressful.

But it was nothing compared to this threat which has hung over us for weeks already and is likely to go on for much longer. Spending months looking over your shoulder all the time is going to cause considerable, lasting anxiety for many people. In addition, if you look at other natural disasters, you can usually find help or comfort from people around you. However, it is the people around you that are the threat in this case. So there is no consolation there.

Many who were treated in ICUs for Sars and Mers had post-traumatic stress disorders months, sometimes years, after the event

This point was backed by Rory OConnor, professor of health psychology at Glasgow University. Increased social isolation, loneliness, health anxiety, stress and an economic downturn are a perfect storm to harm peoples mental health, he said.

If we do nothing, we risk seeing an increase in mental health conditions such as anxiety and depression, and a rise in problem behaviours such as alcohol and drug addiction, gambling, cyberbullying or social consequences such as homelessness and relationship breakdown.

These are problems that face society in general. For those struck down by Covid-19 and who have been treated in ICUs, there are likely to be further issues, researchers have warned. These problems have been revealed in studies of those who contracted two other diseases caused by coronaviruses severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (Mers) and who also required intensive care in hospitals.

Being in an ICU can be a horrible experience, said Wykes. Studies from those who were treated in ICUs for Sars and Mers reveal that many had post-traumatic stress disorders months, sometimes years, after the event, especially if they were put on ventilators. That can induce panic on its own. Later you get flashbacks, extreme anxiety particularly about your family and your partner.

In one study by Hong Kong University researchers of people who had contracted Sars, it was found that those who survived the disease still had, a year later, elevated stress levels and worrying levels of psychological distress. They also showed alarming levels of depression, anxiety and post-traumatic symptoms. There is every reason to expect to see the same sorts of symptoms appearing in those directly affected by Covid-19, added Wykes.

In addition to the psychological impact of the disease, it is also clear that lingering physiological problems are likely to be associated with Covid-19. No one knows exactly what the disease will do in the long term to patients but we do know what impacts other forms of viral pneumonia which Covid-19 can trigger can have on patients, said Professor Ian Hall of Nottingham University.

With these conditions, many patients suffer from significant lung scarring and are affected by a condition known as advanced respiratory distress syndrome which can require months of recovery. There is some initial evidence to suggest that for Covid-19 patients, it may take even longer, he said.

Hall added that there was likely to be impacts on other parts of the body. For example, Covid-19 can cause serious inflammation that affects patients in the early stages of dementia and can leave them increasingly confused and stressed.

Cardiologist Professor Tim Chico at Sheffield University also pointed to studies indicating that people hospitalised with Covid-19 were also at risk from blood clots in multiple locations, including their lungs, veins and brain. Crucially, the risk of blood clots with Covid-19 appears to be even greater than the increased risk of blood clots seen in other severe illnesses, he said. Such an effect would leave patients vulnerable to pulmonary embolisms, strokes and deep vein thrombosis.

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Britons will suffer health problems from Covid-19 for years, warn doctors - The Guardian

I Had One of the Earliest Cases of COVID-19 I Think – D Magazine

My family thought I was crazy for believing I had COVID-19. Then they started getting sick, too.

The first confirmed case of the disease in the U.S. appeared in Washington State on January 21. But we are beginning to learn that many more people were infected even then, without suspecting it.

I can never know for certain, since I did not get the nasal swab for coronavirus until April, but all signs point to my being an early case of the illness that has caused our country to go into mass quarantine. I find safety in learning the facts and peace in believing we will find a vaccine at some point. But in the meantime, uncertainty and fear will dominate our national psychejust as they did for my familyuntil we start testing on a much bigger scale.

It all started when I flew to New York City from my home in Dallas in mid-January to care for my 21-year old daughter, who had become extremely ill with Dengue fever, acquired in the Caribbean earlier that month.

I had never seen an emergency room so crowded. The first time we visited, my daughter was one of four people being treated in a hallway for 10 hours. She was in the hospital for six days altogether.

On January 16, I woke up with chest tightness, chills, and a terrible cough. It felt like I was being choked. My symptoms were not debilitating, though, and I had energy to clean my daughters apartment and sit with her at the hospital.

At first, I attributed my physical symptoms to fear and anxiety for my child. I called my doctor in Dallas, who prescribed Tamiflu. My daughter got better and was released. I returned home with a cough, still laboring to get a full breath. Weeks later, I still had no energy.

Then, on February 22, my 16-year old son woke up in the middle of the night with a high fever. He tested negative for the flu but was sick for 15 days.

My husband was next. He had the same flu-like symptoms as my son, but for 20 days. Then my symptoms returnedand I got an eye infection, for good measurefor six days. After my daughter came home from college in New York in March, she got sick, too.

I began to worry. By this time, coronavirus was all over the news. Could I have gotten it in that New York ER? Could I have spread it to the rest of my family? It dawned on me that I had gone to see my niece in Longview on January 25. Three days later, she got an illness that lasted three weeks. Her flu test came back negative.

I now wish I could have been tested for coronavirus when I felt symptomatic through February, but no tests were available. Everyone assumed the virus had not spread beyond the West Coast. With contact tracing, I could have helped others. Though I was so exhausted in February, I barely left my house.

My family took an antibody test in April, after we all recovered. Two out of the five of us, including me, were positive for immunoglobulin antibodies, a sign of having been infected with coronavirus. The test cannot determine exactly when I got it. And some of us who got very sick tested negative. So much is still uncertain.

The only thing Im sure of is that my family caught this disease long before anyone knew what it was, just as our whole country did. We were lucky. We received good healthcare, and we are all fine now.

As a country, we are only going to get through the crisis the way my family did: with care, love, and a willingness to adapt in the face of uncertainty.

Carolyn Sullivan is a Plano resident and a certified mediator and life strategist with a BA in psychology and advanced studies in Domestic Dispute Resolution, as well as Dispute Resolution, from Southern Methodist University.She wrote this column for D Magazine.

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I Had One of the Earliest Cases of COVID-19 I Think - D Magazine

48th COVID-19 death reported in WV – WSAZ-TV

CHARLESTON, W. Va. (WSAZ) -- According to the West Virginia Department of Health and Human Services, the state has reported its 48th COVID-19-related death.

The DHHR is reporting a 70-year old man from Kanawha County passed away due to the virus.

Our sincere condolences are extended to the family of this West Virginian, said DHHR cabinet secretary Bill J. Crouch in a statement.

As of 10 a.m. Saturday, there have been 49,146 laboratory results received for COVID-19, with 1,169 positive, 47,977 negative and 48 deaths.

Delays may be experienced with the reporting of cases and deaths from the local health department to the state health department.

CONFIRMED CASES PER COUNTY: Barbour (5), Berkeley (155), Boone (6), Braxton (2), Brooke (3), Cabell (44), Fayette (14), Gilmer (2), Grant (1), Greenbrier (5), Hampshire (7), Hancock (10), Hardy (6), Harrison (30), Jackson (130), Jefferson (79), Kanawha (165), Lewis (4), Lincoln (2), Logan (13), Marion (46), Marshall (14), Mason (12), McDowell (6), Mercer (10), Mineral (18), Mingo (2), Monongalia (102), Monroe (5), Morgan (13), Nicholas (6), Ohio (30), Pendleton (3), Pleasants (2), Pocahontas (2), Preston (13), Putnam (27), Raleigh (9), Randolph (4), Roane (7), Summers (1), Taylor (6), Tucker (4), Tyler (3), Upshur (4), Wayne (90), Wetzel (3), Wirt (3), Wood (40), Wyoming (1).

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48th COVID-19 death reported in WV - WSAZ-TV

‘We’re modern slaves’: How meat plant workers became the new frontline in Covid-19 war – The Guardian

News of the first Covid-19 death at the Tyson Foods poultry plant in Camilla, south-west Georgia, spread slowly.

It was like they were keeping a secret, said Tara Williams, a 47-year-old worker at the plant, as she described her account of managements response to the death of her colleague Elose Willis. It took them about two weeks to just put a picture up, to acknowledge she had died.

Williams had worked alongside Willis in the de-boning section of the plant until she died on 1 April, aged 56. She had spent 35 years at the facility five days a week, 10 hours a day, 100,000 slaughtered chickens a shift.

Willis was the first Tyson employee to succumb to Covid-19 at the Camilla plant, but two others would follow in short succession, a marker of the precarity faced by thousands of meat processing workers pushed to toil, closely packed, on the frontlines throughout the pandemic in plants that have quickly become coronavirus hotspots. At least 20 meat packing workers have died from the virus nationwide and 5,000 have become infected, according to union officials, as close to two dozen facilities closed some temporarily over past few weeks.

In interviews with poultry workers in Georgia, Arkansas and Mississippi a similar pattern of alleged negligence, secrecy and mismanagement emerged at facilities operated by some of the largest food manufacturers in America. The poultry industry, already the target of a sweeping civil lawsuit describing a systematic effort to depress wages among a workforce that is largely immigrants or people of color, found itself the beneficiary of an executive order issued by Donald Trump on Tuesday.

The president invoked the Defense Production Act (DPA) to mandate meat processing plants stay open during the pandemic. The White House has been reluctant to use the wartime act, which allows the president to order companies to fulfill work it deems necessary to national security. The DPA was used to push General Motors to make ventilators but few other companies have received such orders.

The move, which essentially labels meat production an essential service, also offers further measures to protect the industry from legal liability should more workers contract the virus. The order came within hours of Tyson, a $22bn company and the worlds second largest meat processor, taking out paid adverts in major US newspapers, including the New York Times, to warn that recent closures of a handful of plants due to the virus could lead to limited supply of our products.

For Tara Williams, who has worked at the Camilla plant on the overnight shift as a packing scanner for five years earning $13.55 an hour, Trumps executive order and her companys adverts were another blow in her fight for workers rights.

I was devastated and I was hurt. Because now, to be truthful and excuse my language Tyson really arent going to give a fuck about us at all, she said. For us employees that work in production, we are treated like modern day slaves.

The company is now measuring workers temperatures as they report for work, and began supplying surgical facemasks

A spokesman for Tyson disagreed with Williams account of the response to Williss death and said that managers held a moment of silence on the day she passed away. The company declined to provide numbers of infected workers at the Camilla plant or elsewhere since this is an ever-changing situation but characterized the numbers of positive Covid-19 workers at Camilla as limited.

The spokesman added that the company relaxed its attendance policy in March to reinforce the importance of staying home when sick and waived its waiting period to qualify for short term disability and increased its coverage by 90% of normal pay until the end of June.

Tyson poultry workers are now being offered a $500 bonus to continue working. These will be paid twice, once in May and once in July and are contingent on work attendance.

Although the spate of deaths at Camilla led Tyson to deep clean the plant over a weekend, the facility did not close entirely, according to Edgar Fields, the vice-president of the Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union.

The company is now measuring workers temperatures as they report for work, and began supplying surgical facemasks, but, according to Fields and workers interviewed by the Guardian, Tyson continues to suppress information on employees who have tested positive for Covid-19.

For the last two months people have been dying from the coronavirus and weve been asking the White House to put something in effect to protect workers. Now, all of a sudden, with employees getting sicker and sicker, and fed up of going to work, Trump found it necessary to support big business, Fields said.

The infectious disease epidemiologist Michael Osterholm warned deep cleans and surgical masks in these plants would not be sufficient to stop the spread of Covid-19.

Its in the air. And until we really get an airborne control program in place in these settings, I think were going to continue to see transmission, Osterholm said on his podcast.

The situation was similar in Arkansas, where workers at a non-unionized Tyson poultry plant in Springdale have staged protests demanding full sick pay and compensated quarantine.

One worker, a central American migrant who spoke on condition of anonymity to protect her job, told the Guardian that the company was not enforcing social distancing.

The employee, who has worked at the plant inspecting chicken carcasses for 19 years earning $13.33 an hour, said she still felt unsafe going to work every day and worried about contracting the infection and giving it to her three children at home.

We are all given bathroom breaks at the same time and there are hundreds of us waiting to use them. There are only seven bathrooms, she said. They [Tyson] dont care about the worker. They dont care if we get sick.

A spokesman for Tyson said the company was taking several measures to allow social distancing but did not address the bathroom break allegations.

For more than a century, the meatpacking industry has been a symbol of how corporations are able to exploit workers in the name of efficiency. The Covid-19 outbreak has opened another chapter.

After seven weeks in the slaughterhouses of Chicago, the journalist Upton Sinclair wrote The Jungle, a 1906 novel which described the grim conditions inside. There were things that went into the sausage in comparison with which a poisoned rat was a tidbit, Sinclair wrote.

The novel created a media frenzy and prompted the US government to investigate the industry. A wave of consumer protection laws followed.

But these improvements masked the intent of Sinclairs novel: to highlight the exploitation of immigrant labor and unchecked greed. Sinclair famously declared: I aimed for the publics heart and by accident hit it in the stomach.

Advanced industrialization and globalization after the second world war exacerbated the exploitation of workers. Instead of the Eastern European immigrants who staffed slaughterhouses at the turn of the century, by the 1970s these factories were filled with workers escaping conflict in South America and Asia. Production grew exponentially and labor unions lost power. Advances in worker safety could not keep up and today, working in a processing plant remains one of the most dangerous jobs in the country.

The plight of central American migrants in the meat industry was drawn into sharp focus last year when the Trump administrations immigration enforcement agency (Ice) carried out its largest raid in years on four poultry facilities in central Mississippi. They arrested 680 undocumented workers but none of the companies, which included the multibillion dollar Koch Foods, faced any charges over employment practices.

To fill the jobs left behind, many poorer African Americans took up work at the plants, which have also been hit by the Covid-19 outbreak.

One African American worker at a Koch facility that had been targeted by Ice, spoke to the Guardian on condition of anonymity. He alleged that while Koch had recently begun taking workers temperatures before shifts, they had also withheld details of any workers who contracted the virus. He claimed the company was now handing out surgical masks, but had forced workers to use them over two or three shifts.

They aint offering nobody no disability, no unemployment, no time off, the worker said. I just keep my hands washed up, my face covered up, my whole body covered, and I pray to myself and hope I dont catch it. The truth is theres a chance that everybody in will catch it.

Koch Foods did not respond to multiple requests for comment.

I pray to myself and hope I dont catch it. The truth is theres a chance that everybody in will catch it

The sociologist Lourdes Gouveia has studied the meatpacking industry for three decades and said the Covid-19 outbreak is simply highlighting again the dangerous conditions in processing plants.

Gouveia said the industry has perfected a formula which allows it to maximize profit while producing relatively safe meat by resisting regulations and utilizing low cost, mostly immigrant, labor in unsafe conditions. All of these elements are of a highly perfected formula or maximizing profits that is unlikely to change fundamentally, Gouveia said.

But the outbreak has thinned the line between consumers and workers, laying bare again the dangerous working conditions in plants. Gouveia said: This time, Im not sure packers can manage the situation and hide everything under the rug about how they treat workers.

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'We're modern slaves': How meat plant workers became the new frontline in Covid-19 war - The Guardian

Retiring Lakelands educators reflect on the COVID-19 pandemic, their careers – Index-Journal

Longtime educators on the verge of retirement did not expect their final days to be spent in Zoom meetings and eLearning environments, but that doesnt mean their passion for the job is lessened.

When people pursue a career in teaching, they arent expecting notoriety or a six-figure salary; they do what they do because its their life and they love it that much.

Gail Johnson, a retiring first-grade teacher at Cherokee Trail Elementary School, told this to her Erskine College practicum students.

Johnson and Gay McHugh, a retiring administrator and teacher who has worked in education for 50 years, together have 60 years of teaching experience in the Lakelands.

McHugh, who originally taught in the suburbs of Chicago, came to Greenwood in 1979. She and her husband, Tom, now consider themselves Southerners and Greenwoodians. She did not begin teaching in Greenwood until 1981 when she began working with gifted and talented students. Not long after, she would become the principal of Woodfields Elementary. Throughout her 39-year career in the district, she would also serve as the principal of Lakeview Elementary, East End Elementary when it operated as an intermediate school and Southside Middle School. She also served as an assistant principal at Emerald and Greenwood high schools. She will be retiring and leaving her current position as an administrator at Springfield Elementary.

Life just turns out a way that you dont expect it to, and we feel so blessed to have arrived in such a wonderful community as Greenwood, she said. Its been a great ride, (and) I could never have planned it. Ive had the opportunity to get to know so many wonderful educators in this district, each experience better than the last.

McHugh, like other teachers around the world, had to adjust to eLearning during the COVID-19 pandemic. She noted how teachers used Zoom meetings to keep everybody tied and connected together. The change to eLearning and remote instruction in response to the coronavirus pandemic will give districts much to think about, particularly for future pandemics or disasters, she said. Though a change in instruction might be imminent, she continues to have great faith and trust in the innovative and creative people in Greenwood County School District 50.

Certainly this wasnt the way we thought that it (the school year) would draw to a close, but you do what you have to do and I think that everybody has done a great job of their social distancing, she said.

While McHugh will miss things she became accustomed to doing as an educator for most of her adult life, she said they will not completely be gone because she still plans to be involved in teaching and learning even though she does not know in what capacity just yet. She majored in art in college, so she said she expects to devote time to that. Reading and visiting her nine grandchildren will aos be a priority.

Johnson, who has been a part of the Abbeville County School District for 32 years, admitted she is emotional during this bittersweet time.

Its very difficult to leave something that you love and enjoy, and thats been the case with my teaching career, she said. I never thought of it as a job, but rather just a blessing. I dont say that frivolously. Im very sincere when I say that.

Johnson worked as a special education aide in the district for seven years before becoming a teacher. Her first teaching job would be the only teaching job of her career, as she became a first-grade teacher at Cherokee Trail Elementary. Throughout her time there, she developed traditions for her students. The COVID-19 pandemic has halted her annual plans. She does hope to have her annual summer picnic in the park, which she began in 2000.

Im going to make that happen for this group. (I) just dont know when, she said. Its going to depend on what we can and cannot do.

What Johnson will miss the most during her retirement are her childrens hugs, smiles and little notes and pictures they often drew for her.

All those things are really special, she said.

Johnson has taught in room 206 for years, and upon her retirement, she told principal Donald Clendaniel that the next teacher who comes in her room has to love her children, and they cant come in there if they dont.

Thats how passionate I am, she said. Youve got to want to do it. If you dont, then its not the profession to go in.

Johnson and McHugh have affected childrens lives and helped prepare future educators of tomorrow. In McHughs case, those educators are her four daughters, including former Lakeview Elementary Principal Molly Smith. Smith will be leaving Lakeview to become the new director of the Greenwood Early Childhood Center once the 2019-20 academic year concludes.

Im leaving somebody there, someone still connected, and that keeps me real connected, McHugh said. We talk a little bit about school, but not all the time.

While Johnson is not leaving any relatives in the district, she said ACSD has been, and always will be, her family.

Contact reporter Jonathan Limehouse at 864-943-5644 or follow him on Twitter @jon_limehouse.

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Retiring Lakelands educators reflect on the COVID-19 pandemic, their careers - Index-Journal

41 nursing home residents died from COVID-19 in Illinois counties in News 4’s viewing area – KMOV.com

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41 nursing home residents died from COVID-19 in Illinois counties in News 4's viewing area - KMOV.com

Where did Covid-19 come from? What we know about its origins – The Guardian

Why are the origins of the pandemic so controversial?

How Covid-19 began has become increasingly contentious, with the US and other allies suggesting China has not been transparent about the origins of the outbreak.

Donald Trump, the US president, has given credence to the idea that intelligence exists suggesting the virus may have escaped from a lab in Wuhan, although the US intelligence community has pointedly declined to back this up. The scientific community says there is no current evidence for this claim.

This follows reports that the White House had been pressuring US intelligence community on the claim, recalling the Bush administrations pressure to stove pipe the intelligence before the war in Iraq.

A specific issue is that the official origin story doesnt add up in terms of the initial epidemiology of the outbreak, not least the incidence of early cases with no apparent connection to the Wuhan seafood market, where Beijing says the outbreak began. If these people were not infected at the market, or via contacts who were infected at the market, critics ask, how do you explain these cases?

Two laboratories in Wuhan studying bat coronaviruses have come under the spotlight. The Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) is a biosecurity level 4 facility the highest for biocontainment and the level 2 Wuhan Centre for Disease Control, which is located not far from the fish market, had collected bat coronavirus specimens.

Several theories have been promoted. The first, and wildest, is that scientists at WIV were engaged in experiments with bat coronavirus, involving so-called gene splicing, and the virus then escaped and infected humans. A second version is that sloppy biosecurity among lab staff and in procedures, perhaps in the collection or disposal of animal specimens, released a wild virus.

The scientific consensus rejecting the virus being engineered is almost unanimous. In a letter to Nature in March, a team in California led by microbiology professor Kristian Andersen said the genetic data irrefutably shows that [Covid-19] is not derived from any previously used virus backbone in other words spliced sections of another known virus.

Far more likely, they suggested, was that the virus emerged naturally and became stronger through natural selection. We propose two scenarios that can plausibly explain the origin of Sars-CoV-2: natural selection in an animal host before zoonotic [animal to human] transfer; and natural selection in humans following zoonotic transfer.

Peter Ben Embarek, an expert at the World Health Organization in animal to human transmission of diseases, and other specialists also explained to the Guardian that if there had been any manipulation of the virus you would expect to see evidence in both the gene sequences and also distortion in the data of the family tree of mutations a so-called reticulation effect.

In a statement to the Guardian, James Le Duc, the head of the Galveston National Laboratory in the US, the biggest active biocontainment facility on a US academic campus, also poured cold water on the suggestion.

There is convincing evidence that the new virus was not the result of intentional genetic engineering and that it almost certainly originated from nature, given its high similarity to other known bat-associated coronaviruses, he said.

The accidental release of a wild sample has been the focus of most attention, although the evidence offered is at best highly circumstantial.

The Washington Post has reported concerns in 2018 over security and management weakness from US embassy officials who visited the WIV several times, although the paper also conceded there was no conclusive proof the lab was the source of the outbreak.

Le Duc, however, paints a different picture of the WIV. I have visited and toured the new BSL4 laboratory in Wuhan, prior to it starting operations in 2017- It is of comparable quality and safety measures as any currently in operation in the US or Europe.

He also described encounters with Shi Zhengli, the Chinese virologist at the WIV who has led research into bat coronaviruses, and discovered the link between bats and the Sars virus that caused disease worldwide in 2003, describing her as fully engaged, very open and transparent about her work, and eager to collaborate.

Maureen Miller, an epidemiologist who worked with Shi as part of a US-funded viral research programme, echoed Le Ducs assessment. She said she believed the lab escape theory was an absolute conspiracy theory and referred to Shi as brilliant.

While the experts who spoke to the Guardian made clear that understanding of the origins of the virus remained provisional, they added that the current state of knowledge of the initial spread also created problems for the lab escape theory.

When Peter Forster, a geneticist at Cambridge, compared sequences of the virus genome collected early in the Chines outbreak and later globally he identified three dominant strains.

Early in the outbreak, two strains appear to have been in circulation at roughly at the same time strain A and strain B with a C variant later developing from strain B.

But in a surprise finding, the version with the closest genetic similarity to bat coronavirus was not the one most prevalent early on in the central Chinese city of Wuhan but instead associated with a scattering of early cases in the southern Guangdong province.

Between 24 December 2019 and 17 January 2020, Forster explains, just three out of 23 cases in Wuhan were type A, while the rest were type B. In patients in Guangdong province, however, five out of nine were found to have type A of the virus.

The very small numbers notwithstanding, said Forster, the early genome frequencies until 17 January do not favour Wuhan as an origin over other parts of China, for example five of nine Guangdong/Shenzhen patients who had A types.

In other words, it still remains far from certain that Wuhan was even necessarily where the virus first emerged.

The pandemic has exacerbated existing geopolitical struggles, prompting a disinformation war that has drawn in the US, China, Russia and others.

Journalists and scientists have been targeted by people with an apparent interest in pushing circumstantial evidence related to the viruss origins, perhaps as part of this campaign and to distract from the fact that few governments have had a fault-free response.

The current state of knowledge about coronavirus and its origin suggest the most likely explanation remains the most prosaic. Like other coronaviruses before, it simply spread to humans via a natural event, the starting point for many in the scientific community including the World Health Organization.

Further testing in China in the months ahead may eventually establish the source of the outbreak. But for now it is too early.

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Where did Covid-19 come from? What we know about its origins - The Guardian

COVID-19 Deaths Are Being Linked to Vitamin D Deficiency. Here’s What That Means – ScienceAlert

A vitamin commonly produced by sun-exposed skin cells might play a role in preventing death by the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, according to new research.

Preliminary results from a yet-to-be-peer-reviewed study carried out by scientists from the Queen Elizabeth Hospital Foundation Trust and the University of East Anglia have linked low levels of the hormone vitamin D with COVID-19 mortality rates across Europe.

It's a study that certainly deserves some attention as a potential piece of the coronavirus puzzle, reminding us that health and disease can be a complex affair involving a variety of lifestyle factors.

But it's also important to interpret evidence like this as part of a bigger scientific conversation, meaning it would be premature to make any recommendations and certainly way too premature to hit the supplement aisle before further evidence arrives.

The researchers dug through existing health literature to catalogue the average levels of vitamin D among the citizens of 20 European countries, and then compared the figures with the relative numbers of COVID-19 deaths in each country.

A simple statistical test showed there was a pretty convincing correlation between the figures, where populations with lower than average concentrations of the vitamin also featured more deaths from SARS-CoV-2.

"The most vulnerable group of population for COVID-19 is also the one that has the most deficit in vitamin D," the researchers conclude in their preliminary report.

Cross-sectional reports like these aren't without their problems, doing little more than suggesting some kind of relationship might exist. People who tend to have higher vitamin D levels in their body might be doing something else that helps limit destruction caused by the virus, for example.

But the results aren't surprising either, falling in line with previous, more robust studies that also suggest healthy vitamin D levels can reduce the risk of respiratory infections such as influenza and tuberculosis, as well as childhood asthma.

Vitamin D is a fat-soluble compound we can either get as a nutrient from foods like mushrooms or fish, or produced in our skin when a form of cholesterol reacts to UV light.

Commonly known for its role in maintaining calcium levels in our bones, deficiency in this vitamin is responsible for skeletal deformities such as rickets as well as an increased risk of bone degeneration behind conditions such as osteoporosis.

Researchers are gradually piecing together the vitamin's functions in the immune system as well, noting its relationship with autoimmune conditions and the discovery of receptors for the chemical on various immune cells.

Just how it might combat coronavirus infections if at all is sure to be a popular subject in future studies.

Meanwhile, as uncontroversial as the results might be, a single study ahead of peer review shouldn't be the basis for medical advice. Science just doesn't support making the leap between reading about healthy amounts of vitamin D in the blood and popping a supplement.

In 2017, medical researchers Mark J Bolland from the University of Auckland in New Zealand and Alison Avenell from the University of Aberdeen in the UK argued the need for caution over how we interpret studies not unlike this one.

"Vitamin D supplementation is a hot topic, provoking passionate arguments for and against widespread supplementation," they write in an editorial on the diverse array of studies on the subject in the past decade.

Results might look positive, but there's just no way to turn a jumble of statistics into precise recommendations that can be tailored for individual needs. Even the World Health Organisation is tentative about using past research as the basis of specific recommendations.

"We think that they should be viewed as hypothesis generating only, requiring confirmation in well-designed, adequately powered randomised controlled trials," Bolland and Avenell write.

Research that speculates a single, commonly available vitamin might make the difference between life and death can seem like a potential life raft in choppy waters, but we need more research to tell us just how and why these patterns exist for us to balance the risks that come with vitamin supplements.

In the midst of a pandemic that has the potential to claim thousands of lives around the world every week, science feels painstakingly slow. But it's always worth the wait.

The paper is available as a pre-print on Research Square.

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COVID-19 Deaths Are Being Linked to Vitamin D Deficiency. Here's What That Means - ScienceAlert

The Guardian view on Trump and Covid-19: Americans suffer. Will he? – The Guardian

Listeners could be forgiven for a sense of deja vu: Its going to go. Its going to leave. Its going to be gone, Donald Trump pronounced of coronavirus on Wednesday.

The words were eerily similar to the presidents prediction in late February that Its going to disappear a theme he harped on repeatedly as the caseload and fatalities rose. Since that forecast, a million Americans have fallen ill with coronavirus almost a third of the global total and more than 60,000 have died, in just a few weeks surpassing the US death toll in all the years of the Vietnam war. This week, it was reported that almost 70 people had died at a single veterans nursing home in Massachusetts. New York is struggling to bury its dead.

This is what the presidents son-in-law, Jared Kushner, describes as a great success story. This is the context in which the administration is letting its physical distancing guidelines lapse, instead advising much less stringent measures.

Mr Kushner suggests that by July the country could be really rocking again. But Americans will suffer from Mr Trumps keenness to get back to business, as if the pre-coronavirus state of affairs were still possible. Medical experts have already warned about the risks of another surge in cases. The question is whether states, cities, institutions and individuals can again mitigate the harm he is wreaking upon his country. Some may; others are leading his charge: in Georgia, such essential services as tattoo parlours and bowling alleys are once again plying their trade. Texas is allowing shops, cinemas, shopping malls and restaurants to reopen, albeit with restrictions on capacity. Without significant testing and tracing, it is evident where such decisions will lead.

The best that can be said for Mr Trumps election-driven wishful thinking is that it is less immediately dangerous than his recent public musings that people might have injections of disinfectant as a cure. Each week of the pandemic has brought new shame upon the president: he failed to equip his country and its health workers, to advocate physical distancing when it was desperately needed, or even to look like he was seriously concerned about the outbreak and its victims, preferring instead to boast about the ratings for his briefings.

While leaders around the world enjoyed a surge in support as the pandemic took hold the rally-around-the-flag effect Mr Trumps appalling performance has finally taken a toll on his popularity. He had counted on a strong economy to see him back into office in November. But with more than 30 million US workers filing unemployment claims in the last six weeks and economists suggesting that the real level of job losses could be far worse his confidence has been shaken.

This week it was reported that he had lashed out at his own campaign after polls showed him trailing Joe Biden in crucial states and with older voters. With the Democrat facing a sexual assault claim and running a virtual campaign while Mr Trump commands daily airtime, it is clear that the president is doing the damage himself. He is seeking to shift the blame for the pandemic to the World Health Organization (having ignored its repeated warnings) and to China. On Thursday he contradicted his own director of national intelligence by claiming that he had seen evidence that the virus originated in a Wuhan laboratory; Trump officials have reportedly leaned on the agencies to find evidence to back the theory.

This conduct too is unpleasantly familiar. His contempt for the truth; his determination to evade responsibility while holding the most powerful job in the world; his ignorance, his narcissism and the threat he poses to his country all have become still more painfully evident through this crisis, but were clear before. Yet he has so far defied the laws of political gravity. Americans have paid dearly for Mr Trumps complacency, recklessness, irrationality and incompetence. But are they at last ready to make him pay?

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The Guardian view on Trump and Covid-19: Americans suffer. Will he? - The Guardian

Ireland extends Covid-19 lockdown to 18 May before phased exit – The Guardian

Ireland has extended its lockdown for another two weeks to 18 May, when it will introduce a phased, five-stage exit over three months.

The countrys lockdown regime has been much stricter than the UKs, but Friday nights announcement offers a clear, step-by-step map out of the lockdown for schools, shops and businesses as well as the global Irish diaspora including more than 300,000 in the UK, many of whom would normally make visits home in the summer.

The taoiseach, Leo Varadkar, said while the rise in the death rate from coronavirus had flattened it was still too dangerous to ease the lockdown.

While thousands of lives had been saved, we have not yet won this fight, he said, adding that two more weeks of tight restrictions to weaken the virus further were necessary to ensure it doesnt have the strength to make a comeback.

The plan will also be of major interest to Irish people living abroad, with the restriction on non-essential travel continuing for some time. However, sources say that Irish citizens have been free to travel to Ireland through the lockdown but have had to self-isolate for 14 days.

Last nights televised address will have been watched closely by the British government, which is under pressure to release its own clear roadmap for an exit to lockdown.

From May, the five phases of lockdown easing in Ireland are:

Phase 1 (18 May)

Outdoor meetings of up to four people from different households will be allowed and childcare for healthcare workers will be opened.

Outdoor work, such as construction and gardening, to resume.

Some shops, such as those selling stationery and IT equipment and opticians can also reopen.

Retail outlets that are primarily outdoors, such as garden centres, hardware stores and repair shops can reopen.

Current rules restricting funerals up to 10 people still apply.

Schools and college buildings will reopen to teachers only.

Phase 2 (8 June)

Visits to a different household by groups of up to four people will be allowed, as long as they maintain a 2-metre distance from those they dont live with.

Small retail outlets can open with physical distancing measures in place.

Libraries can open again.

Phase 3 (29 June)

Sporting events can resume behind closed doors.

Cafes and restaurants can reopen with physical distancing measures and strict cleaning protocols.

Playgrounds can reopen.

Those with low levels of interaction in their jobs can return to work.

Non-essential retail, such as clothes shops, can reopen, but this is limited to those with street-level entrances and does not include shops inside shopping centres.

Phase 4 (20 July)

Movement beyond a 20km radius will be allowed.

Small social gatherings by family and close friends, including small weddings and baptisms, will be allowed with a maximum number of attendees and physical distancing in place.

Larger numbers can visit another household for a limited period of time, while maintaining physical distancing.

Those who cannot work at home can return to work.

Museums, galleries and churches can reopen.

Phase 5 (10 August)

Some larger social gatherings will be allowed, with restrictions in place.

On a phased basis, schools and universities can start to reopen.

Varadkar said the last few weeks had transformed peoples lives in so many different ways and ways that we could not have imagined. I know it has been difficult - sometimes dispiriting, he said.

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Ireland extends Covid-19 lockdown to 18 May before phased exit - The Guardian

San Francisco to mandate COVID-19 testing in nursing facilities while state mulls providing them with broad legal immunities – Mission Local

The Department of Public Health and Mayor London Breed this morning announced that, in the not-too-distant future, the staff and residents of San Franciscos 21 skilled nursing facilities will begin being proactively tested for COVID-19.

This is, obviously, a very good development. Nursing facilities for the elderly have been ravaged by the pandemic worldwide. In California, perhaps one-third of all COVID-related deaths are tied to nursing facilities. In San Francisco, which has, thus far, remained relatively unscathed, nursing home outbreaks have been disproportionately deadly four patients died and 65 staff and patients were sickened at the Central Gardens Post Acute facility alone.

Staff at this Fillmore-area nursing facility told Mission Local that they had demanded universal COVID-19 testing in early April, but were denied. Instead, a lethal outbreak had to occur before the California Department of Public Health came in and administered the tests some two-and-a-half weeks after staff say they asked for this. Those tests revealed a huge percentage of workers and residents on-site were infected.

The vast majority of these infected staff and patients at Central Gardens were asymptomatic. For what its worth, the vast majority of the 102 homeless residents and staff that tested positive for COVID-19 at MSC-South were also asymptomatic.

And yet, in San Francisco, asymptomatic patients and staff at nursing facilities, with few exceptions, have not been proactively tested (and these marginally paid workers may make ends meet by working in several nursing facilities, which is problematic during a pandemic). Homeless shelter staff and residents have not yet been proactively tested either. In fact San Francisco officials purportedly nixed plans to undertake large-scale proactive testing in shelters, prioritizing skilled nursing facilities instead.

Your humble narrator on Thursday phoned every skilled nursing facility in all San Francisco. Only two outfits positively confirmed theyd proactively tested asymptomatic staff and patients, one on their own and one via the Health Department though administrators at other sites did intimate they were tipped that a health order was pending. Even Laguna Honda Hospital wont begin universal testing until May 4, per todays order.

At several sites, nurses or administrators conflated screening and testing. These are not the same thing: Screening involves taking peoples temperatures and keeping an eye out for telltale signs of COVID-19 infection. Thats great, but it does absolutely nothing to reveal the asymptomatic carriers who, it seems, are driving this pandemic in hotspots such as nursing facilities, prisons, mass transit, and other gathering places.

William Steel, the SEIU 2015 union rep for 17 Bay Area nursing facilities, says none of the workers at his sites are being proactively tested: In situations where there arent deaths, its operations as normal.

Marcus Young, a spokesman for the Campus for Jewish Living, one of the citys largest skilled nursing facilities, minimized the value of testing staff and residents.

If we tested all 1,000 people on campus today, wed have to test all 1,000 people tomorrow and the day after that, he said. Testing would only provide a snapshot in time.

This is an odd bit of logic. Ignorance is hardly bliss during a pandemic and, in fact, medical experts including UCSFs Dr. Diane Havlir are now advocating for testing and periodic re-testing at nursing facilities.

Some doctors would, in fact, prefer a snapshot in time to nothing. One Kaiser physician ordered COVID-19 tests for his 20-odd patients residing at the Campus for Jewish Living, and they were undertaken last week. They all came back negative (Kaiser acknowledged it took the initiative here in a statement sent to Mission Local: In coordination with our infectious disease physicians and the county, we conducted COVID-19 testing of our long term patients at Campus for Jewish Living to help ensure our patients safety and well-being.).

Only two Campus for Jewish Living staffers have tested positive here so far; they were screened and sent home to recuperate.

Waiting around for people to start showing signs of sickness and an outbreak to occur is bad policy weve tried that and it doesnt work. So, proactively testing the asymptomatic staff and patients in nursing homes and getting ahead of the virus is crucial to saving lives. The citys testing capacity finally seems able to accommodate this. On a municipal level, this is a move in the right direction.

And yet, on the statewide level, we may be making a grievous move in the wrong direction.

Central Garden Convalescent Hospital, site of the citys deadliest COVID-19 outbreak.

On April 9, a consortium of the states heaviest hitters in the hospital and assisted living world sent a letter to Gov. Gavin Newsom.

When these groups talk, elected officials listen and what they were talking about was fairly extraordinary.

The letter, penned by the California Association of Healthcare Facilities, the California Medical Association, the California Assisted Living Association, and others requested broad legal indemnification from liability during the ongoing COVID-19 crisis (and while San Francisco is mandating staff be tested, other counties havent yet done so). Heres their ask, in a nutshell:

In recognition of these extraordinary and unprecedented circumstances, such facilities, plans, physicians, professionals, and employees shall be immune from any administrative sanction or criminal or civil liability or claim for any injury, death, or loss alleged to have resulted from any act, omission, or decision made related to providing or arranging services All state statutes and regulations are hereby waived to the extent necessary to achieve this immunity.

Yes, that said criminal. Yes, this is a very broad ask. And, yes, not everyone is thrilled. A consortium of watchdog groups, including the ACLU and the Western Center on Law & Poverty on April 28 sent its own letter to Newsom:

The proposed executive order would be extremely broad and would cover both reckless elder and dependent abuse situations as well as non COVID-related negligence in any health care setting. With no public oversight you would be ensuring that we never truly know how many deaths this virus has caused among our elderly population.

Meanwhile, all of this the citys move to finally test asymptomatic staff and the industrys pitch to Gov. Newsom for broad legal immunity is coming while acute hospitals are moving to place recovering COVID-19 patients in wings of skilled nursing facilities. Considering nursing facilities poor record with infection control even prior to the pandemic and the elderly and unhealthy people living here, this is a curious move somewhat akin to placing the match factory next to the dynamite factory.

And yet its happening.

Mike Dark is the staff attorney at California Advocates for Nursing Home Reform, one of the groups that penned the letter to Newsom opposing broad immunity for hospitals and nursing facilities. And he thinks he sees the puzzle pieces fitting together here. The picture revealed has something to do with freeing up beds so that hospitals can return to elective surgery and, step three: Profit.

Big hospitals are not making money because they cannot do elective surgery which is their bread and butter, Dark says. There has been from the acute hospital industry, a push to have COVID patients go into nursing homes. Not so much because there are no beds available to facilitate them but to re-open elective surgery.

Because Medicare reimbursement rates are tied to the level of care provided, a COVID patient on Medicare could net a nursing home four times the money of an average patient on Medi-cal, Dark says.

There is, however, a catch: Bringing COVID patients into a nursing home seems like a great way to get people sick and open facilities up to spectacular legal consequences.

Unless there werent any legal consequences. Unless facilities had broad immunity. This, he says, is what the April 9 request of Gov. Newsom is all about: Facilitating hospitals to start making money by doing elective surgeries, enabled by transferring COVID patients to nursing facilities and providing indemnity for all parties in the event of ensuing injury, death, or loss.

In fact, COVID patients have already been transferred to the 9-acre Campus for Jewish Living. Your humble narrator has spoken to several relatives of residents here, and youll be shocked to learn that theyre not pleased.

The facility on Silver Avenue, for what its worth, is a highly regarded institution. Its also a vast place with separate, unattached buildings being used for COVID patients serviced by separate clinical and housekeeping staff. The facility also claims it is not taking COVID-19 patients for financial gain, and, in fact, expects to lose money on the deal.

Even if we take management at its word, however, if gifted broad immunity by the state, other facilities dodgy facilities with checkered records and without vast grounds, separate buildings, individual bathrooms, and separate staff could begin taking COVID-19 patients. These facilities wouldnt even need to maintain the pretense of altruism.

So, todays move for mandatory testing in San Francisco is a good one. But it may just end up revealing what a venal and reckless move the state is poised to make.

***

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San Francisco to mandate COVID-19 testing in nursing facilities while state mulls providing them with broad legal immunities - Mission Local

Why are more men dying from COVID-19? – Livescience.com

The novel coronavirus tends to affect men more severely than it does women. Though nobody can yet explain the oddity, researchers are hot on the case.

It's possible that the sex hormones estrogen and testosterone play a role, according to previous research on respiratory illnesses. Or perhaps it's because the X chromosome (which women have two of, but men have only one) has a larger number of immune-related genes, giving women a more robust immune system to fight off the coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2. Or, maybe the virus is hiding in the testes, which has abundant expression of ACE2 receptors, the portal that allows SARS-CoV-2 into cells.

Uncovering the real reason is, of course, imperative because it could help improve patient "outcomes during an active public health crisis," according to an editorial published April 10 in the Western Journal of Emergency Medicine (WJEM).

Related: When will a COVID-19 vaccine be ready?

Since the first known COVID-19 case was reported in China late last year, countless studies have shown that the disease tends to be more severe and deadly in men than in women.

For instance, in an analysis of 5,700 COVID-19 patients hospitalized in New York City, just over 60% were men, according to an April 22 study published in the journal JAMA. What's more, "mortality rates were higher for male compared with female patients at every 10-year age interval older than 20 years," the researchers wrote in the study.

Furthermore, of the 373 patients who ended up in intensive care units, 66.5% were men, the JAMA study reported.

Related: 13 Coronavirus myths busted by science

Results are similar in other studies. When the WJEM editorial was published in early April, the authors noted that between 51% and 66.7% of hospitalized patients in Wuhan, China, were male; 58% in Italy were male; and 70% of all COVID-related deaths worldwide were male. In one large study of more than 44,600 people with COVID-19 in China, 2.8% of men died versus just 1.7% of women.

These COVID-19 sex differences are not unexpected. Other coronavirus outbreaks, including outbreaks of SARS in 2003 and the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) in 2012, had higher fatality rates in men than in women, according to the WJEM editorial. For example, a 2016 study found that men had a 40 percent higher odds of dying of MERS than women did.

Even the comically labeled "man flu" is so named because men tend to have a weaker immune response to respiratory viruses that cause flu and the common cold. As a result, men tend to get more severe symptoms from these viruses than women do, a 2017 review in BMJ found. That review pinned these results on the differences in "sex dependent hormones" in men and women.

A mouse experiment offers clues about this hormonal mystery; when scientists infected both male and female mice of different ages with SARS, the male mice were more susceptible to the infection than females of the same age, according to a 2017 study, which was published in The Journal of Immunology. However, when the female mice had their estrogen-producing ovaries removed or were treated with an estrogen-receptor blocker, they died at higher rates than those with working ovaries and normal estrogen.

"These data indicate that sex hormones produced in female [mice] may help to defend against coronaviruses like SARS and SARS-CoV-2," Akiko Iwasaki, a professor of immunobiology at Yale University School of Medicine, who was not involved in the study, told Live Science.

Related: Is 6 feet enough space for social distancing?

To learn more, scientists at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles and the Renaissance School of Medicine at Stony Brook University in New York are testing estrogen or another sex hormone called progesterone on small groups of people who have COVID-19, Live Science previously reported.

There's another way to look at the COVID-19 sex difference; perhaps the X chromosome is protective because it has more immune-related genes than the Y chromosome does. This may also explain why women are more likely than men to have autoimmune diseases, the authors of the WJEM editorial noted.

The second X chromosome is usually silenced in women, but almost 10% of those genes can be activated, Veena Taneja, who studies differences in male and female immune systems at the Mayo Clinic, told NPR. "Many of those genes are actually immune-response genes," she said. This could give women a "double-dose" of protection, Taneja said, although research is needed to see whether these genes factor into protection against COVID-19.

New research offers yet another idea; men seem to clear SARS-CoV-2 from their bodies more slowly than women do. To explain that possibility, researchers have suggested the virus may have found a hiding place in men: the testes.

In the research, published on the preprint medRxiv database, 68 people confirmed to have COVID-19 in Mumbai, India, were tested with nasal swabs until they tested negative for the virus. At the end of the experiment, scientists found that women cleared the virus from their bodies in an average of 4 days, compared with men's average of 6 days. The same test in three different Mumbai households found similar results.

Related: 13 Coronavirus myths busted by science

"Our collaborative study found that men have more difficulty clearing coronavirus following infection, which could explain their more serious problems with COVID-19 disease," study lead researcher Dr. Aditi Shastri, assistant professor of medicine at the Albert Einstein College of Medicine in New York City and a clinical oncologist at the Montefiore Einstein Center for Cancer Care, said in a statement.

Previous research has shown that SARS-CoV-2 invades certain human cells by plugging into these cells' ACE2 receptors. So, the researchers consulted a database, and found that the testes have high levels of ACE2 expression. In contrast, ACE2 could not be detected in the ovaries, the female equivalent of the testes.

However, the research did not actually look in the testes to see if SARS-CoV-2 is hanging out there, so "it does not tell us whether the virus infects testes or whether it is a reservoir of virus," said Iwasaki, who was not involved in the research.

Other research has suggested that smoking may play a role, as smoking is related to higher expression of ACE2 receptors. But while more men than women smoke in China, that's not true in other countries, which likely puts a kibosh on smoking to explain the sex difference.

"What we saw in Wuhan [with the sex difference] has been replicated in every country around the world where we have accurate reporting," Sabra Klein, a researcher at the Johns Hopkins Center for Women's Health, Sex, and Gender Differences, told NPR. "In countries like Spain, where the percentages of males and females who report smoking is not significantly different, we still are seeing this profound male bias in severity of COVID-19."

Other explanations: Women are simply less likely to engage in health-related risks and are better at washing their hands, studies find, and perhaps that's behind the gender disparity

Sex differences aren't the only factor at play, however. Other groups more vulnerable to COVID-19 include the elderly and people with diabetes, high blood pressure and obesity, Live Science previously reported.

Originally published onLive Science.

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Why are more men dying from COVID-19? - Livescience.com

The covid-19 crisis exposes the frailties of Germanys biggest firms – The Economist

The main German stockmarket index holds up a mirror to the worlds fourth-biggest economy

Editors note: The Economist is making some of its most important coverage of the covid-19 pandemic freely available to readers of The Economist Today, our daily newsletter. To receive it, register here. For our coronavirus tracker and more coverage, see our hub

THE DAX INDEX of Germanys 30 most valuable listed companies holds up a mirror to the worlds fourth-biggest economy. The reflection isnt pretty. In mid-March the average price-to-book ratio of DAX firms market capitalisation to the book value of their assets fell below one, which has previously only happened in 2009 and 2011, amid the global financial crisis and the euro crisis, respectively. It is now hovering barely above one.

The pandemic has hit all of the worlds big stockmarkets. But it is shining a particularly brutal light on the weaknesses of Germanys flagship index, which has underperformed those in other advanced markets (see chart).

On April 29th Volkswagen, Europes biggest carmaker (price-to-book ratio: 0.6) reported that its operating profit sank by 81% in the first quarter, year on year. The day before Lufthansa, which is trading at two-fifths of book value, said it may seek bankruptcy protection, as talks with the government over aid for the airline stalled. Days earlier Deutsche Bank reported a 67% fall in quarterly profits. That this beat analysts estimates is damning with faint praise. Its ratio of 0.2 suggests investors dont think much of its prospects.

Germanys business-software champion, SAP, is doing well enough. The DAXs only other tech firm, Wirecard, is not. On April 28th the payments processors share price fell by 26% when it published incomplete findings of a special audit, commissioned after reports of allegations of accounting fraud. Wirecard also delayed the publication of results for last year, which were due on April 30th.

The MDAX, which consists of the next 60 biggest listed companies, looks perkier, thanks to digital darlings such as Delivery Hero and HelloFresh (online food), TeamViewer and Nemetschek (software), Zalando (online fashion), Scout24 (digital classifieds) and Freenet (telecoms), as well as biotech firms like Evotec, Morphosys and Qiagen. Delivery Hero or Qiagen may soon ascend to the DAX, possibly pushing out Lufthansa.

We think obituaries for the DAX are premature, insists Ulrich Stephan, chief investment officer at Deutsche Bank. He is right. But it would look considerably less morbid with fewer corporate oldies stuck in the pre-digital economy.

Dig deeper:For our latest coverage of the covid-19 pandemic, register for The Economist Today, our daily newsletter, or visit our coronavirus tracker and story hub

This article appeared in the Business section of the print edition under the headline "Despondent DAX"

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The covid-19 crisis exposes the frailties of Germanys biggest firms - The Economist

You Can Now Take an Early $100,000 Retirement Plan Withdrawal Due to COVID-19, but Most Americans Don’t Have That Option – The Motley Fool

Millions of Americans are desperate for financial relief in the wake of COVID-19. Thankfully, lawmakers recognized that back in March by implementing the CARES (Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security) Act.

The CARES Act has a number of provisions to help struggling Americans right now. That $1,200 stimulus payment you keep hearing about or may have already received? That's part of it. The CARES Act also raised unemployment benefits and made forgivable loans available to small businesses grappling with payroll concerns. And it made one very significant change with regard to retirement savings plans like IRAs and 401(k)s.

IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.

Generally, if you remove money from an IRA or 401(k) prior to reaching age 59 1/2, you're hit with a 10% early withdrawal penalty unless you happen to qualify for an exception (IRAs, for example, allow you to take early withdrawals to pay for college). Thanks to the CARES Act, you can now withdraw up to $100,000 from an IRA or 401(k) penalty-free if you've been impacted by COVID-19 and need the money.

But while that option may seem like a lifeline, the reality is that it's off the table for many Americans for one simple reason: They don't have $100,000 in retirement savings to begin with.

Americans as a whole have a lot of catching up to do on the retirement savings front. As of the end of 2020's first quarter, the average IRA balance was $98,900, reports Fidelity. For 401(k)s, the average balance was $91,400.

Now let's clarify a few things about these numbers. First, retirement portfolios are generally downdue to COVID-19's battering of the stock market earlier this year. Prior to the crisis, the average IRA balance was $115,400, while the average 401(k) balance was $112,300. In other words, retirement savers are looking at serious losses right now, at least on paper or on screen, so the fact that average balances are below $100,000 isn't necessarily a function of poor saving habits but rather, the toll of the pandemic on the stock market.

Furthermore, while a balance of $98,900 or $91,400 is far from great for someone in their 40s, 50s, or 60s, for a 20-something worker, it's pretty impressive. As such, these numbers should be taken with a grain of salt.

Still, even before the crisis, most Americans barely had more than $100,000 in retirement savings to work with. Many must pledge to catch up once the economy opens back up, jobs become more stable, and the overall situation improves.

Though some people neglect their long-term savings unintentionally -- they're low- to middle-income earners who genuinely can't afford to save -- others mismanage their money or plan to fall back on Social Security -- a dangerous mistake, especially with benefit cuts on the table. But the reality is that saving independently is the best way to secure a comfortable retirement, so those in the middle or latter stages of their careers who haven't reached the $100,000 mark should aim to do better once that becomes feasible.

Meanwhile, those whose retirement accounts took a dive in this year's first quarter shouldn't stress. There's a strong likelihood that values will come back up as the stock market gets a chance to rebound and the COVID-19 crisis comes to an end.

As for those who are thinking of tapping their IRAs or 401(k)s early, well, that's just not advisable. Money removed today is money that can't be invested for added growth and won't be available during retirement.

Early withdrawals may be necessary for some people whose financial circumstances have truly taken a turn for the dire, but they shouldn't be the default option during the crisis, by any means.

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You Can Now Take an Early $100,000 Retirement Plan Withdrawal Due to COVID-19, but Most Americans Don't Have That Option - The Motley Fool