Innovations: Googles Eric Schmidt downplays fears over artificial intelligence

AUSTIN Arguably the most alarming part of concerns over artificial intelligences potential to end human civilization is the voices thatare speaking out. Proven technology visionaries from Bill Gates to Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking have warned about the dangers of artificial intelligence. Given humans generally poor track record for predicting the future, it stands to reason that the forward thinkers could identify huge technology risks while the rest of us live in ignorance.

But Monday at SXSW, a tech thinker with a longrsum, Google Chairman Eric Schmidt, offered reassurance that we dont need to be so worried right now.

I think that this technology will ultimately be one of the greatest forces for good in mankinds history simply because it makes people smarter, Schmidt said during a keynote address with author Walter Isaacson and Megan Smith, U.S. chief technology officer.

Im certainly not worried in the next 10 to 20 years about that. Were still in the baby step of understanding things, Schmidt said. Weve made tremendous progress in respect to [artificial intelligence].

He highlighted benevolent uses of artificial intelligence, such as Google Voice and Googles translation services. Indeed, from antilock brakes to your iPhones autocorrect function, artificial intelligence already surrounds us, with favorable results.

Stuff beyond that is, at this point, really speculation, Schmidt said. Im not a dystopian. Im a utopian, if you phrase it that way.

As chairman of Google, Schmidt has a unique vantage point on how artificial intelligence is impacting our world and how it will continue to do so.Google is a leader in the space. In February, DeepMind, a Google acquisition, devised an algorithm that taught itself to beat Atari video games. While theres reason to see Schmidts views as reassuring, its also worth noting that as the chairman of a leader in artificial intelligence, he has an incentive to underplay the downside of artificial intelligence. If the general public or regulators move to hamper artificial intelligence, Googles businesses could suffer.

Later in the talk, Schmidt singled out machine learning, a subset of artificial intelligence, as having huge potential to reshape our world for the better.

I think the biggest trend is going to be the use of machine intelligence of large data setsto solve every problem, Schmidt said. I cant think of a field of study, a field of research whether its English, soft sciences, hard sciences or any corporation that cant become far more efficient, far more powerful, far more clever.

Related:The 12 threats to human civilization, ranked

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Innovations: Googles Eric Schmidt downplays fears over artificial intelligence

Rewriting the Rules of Turings Imitation Game

Some researchers are searching for more meaningful ways to measure artificial intelligence.

We have self-driving cars, knowledgeable digital assistants, and software capable of putting names to faces as well as any expert. Google recently announced that it had developed software capable of learningentirely without human helphow to play several classic Atari computer games with skill far beyond that of even the most callus-thumbed human player.

But do these displays of machine aptitude represent genuine intelligence? For decades artificial-intelligence experts have struggled to find a practical way to answer the question.

AI is an idea so commonplace that few of us bother to interrogate its meaning. If we did, we might discover a problem tucked inside it: defining intelligence is far from straightforward. If the ability to carry out complex arithmetic and algebra is a sign of intellect, then is a digital calculator, in some sense, gifted? If spatial reasoning is part of the story, then is a robot vacuum cleaner thats capable of navigating its way around a building unaided something of a wunderkind?

The most famous effort to measure machine intelligence does not resolve these questions; instead, it obscures them. In his 1950 paper Computing Machinery and Intelligence, published six years before the term artificial intelligence was coined, the British computer scientist Alan Turing considered the capacity of computers to imitate the human intellect. But he discarded the question Can machines think? The act of thinking is, he argued, too difficult to define. Instead, he turned to a black-box definition: if we accept humans as an intelligent species, then anything that exhibits behaviors indistinguishable from human behavior must also be intelligent. Turing also proposed a test, called the imitation game, in which a computer would prove its intelligence by convincing a person, through conversation, that it is also human. The imitation game was a thought experiment, not a formal scientific test. But as artificial intelligence advanced, the idea took on a life of its own, and the so-called Turing test was born.

In the years since, the Turing test has been widely adopted and also widely criticizednot because of flaws in Turings original idea, but because of flaws in its execution. The best-known example is the Loebner Prize, which in 1990 began offering $100,000 for the first computer whose text conversation several judges deemed indistinguishable from that of a human. The Loebner Prize has been derided for allowing entrants to use cheap tricks, like confusing participants with odd diversions, in place of more honest approaches that uphold the spirit of Turings premise.

A chatbot called Eugene Goostman made headlines last June for supposedly passing the Turing test in a contest organized at the University of Reading in the U.K. The software convinced 30 percent of the human judges involved that it was human. But as many AI experts pointed out at the time, and as transcripts of conversations with Goostman show, the chatbot relies on obfuscation and subterfuge rather than the natural back and forth of intelligent conversation.

Heres an excerpt from one exchange, for example:

Scott:Which is bigger, a shoebox or Mount Everest?

Eugene:I cant make a choice right now. I should think it out later. And I forgot to ask you where you are from

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Rewriting the Rules of Turings Imitation Game

Artificial intelligence not a threat, SXSW hears

Google chairman Eric Schmidt: Im not a dystopian. Im a utopian, and I believe technology will make us happier and the world a greater place. Photograph: Victor J Blue/Bloomberg

Society shouldnt fear the rise of artificial intelligence or robots, according to the executive chairman of Google, Eric Schmidt.

Speaking as part of a SXSW panel discussion entitled How Innovation Happens, Schmidt said any kind of singularity a theory which predicts artificial intelligence (AI) outpacing human intelligence and thus radically changing the nature of mankind was still decades away. However he said many big innovations were on the horizon. The pace of technological change is something which worries many dystopian technologists who believe singularity may come sooner than we think. Schmidt is not worried.

Certainly nothing like that is conceivable in the next 20 years. Were still making baby steps, although weve made tremendous progress with respect to AI, but were a far way away from any kind of singularity.

I do believe, however, well have a good computer-based question-and-answering system in the next 20 years, which will include advice. In other words, you could ask Google, how long should I stay at SXSW, or what restaurant should I eat in tonight.

Im not a dystopian. Im a utopian, and I believe technology will make us happier and the world a greater place.

The way we reach this utopian future is through innovation and entrepreneurship, says Schmidt. The two are the solutions to almost all of the worlds problems, he says. More jobs would solve most problems in all countries. We can achieve that by creating entrepreneurs at any and every level. In the future jobs will be plentiful and the best jobs will be with computers, he says. Because the combination of humans and computers is the ultimate team. Computers have infinite memory, and humans have judgment. That duo is the ultimate power.

The research arm of search engine giant Google Google X is innovating in different fields. They have done research into everything from driverless cars to AI. Innovation in our space starts by getting a really good team together, Schmidt said. At Google X we are always thinking about innovation at scale, with no limitations. . . There are so many problems that can be solved technologically that couldnt have been a decade ago.

SXSW Interactive is the initial section of the overall SXSW event, which opened last weekend, and covers music, film, technology, comedy, gaming and entrepreneurship. It is expected up to 100,000 people will attend.

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Artificial intelligence not a threat, SXSW hears

Some people want to 'Stop The Robots'

A group of protesters concerned about the growing influence of artificial intelligence has held a rally at the South by Southwest music and technology festival in Texas.

Concerned that the modern world is leaving itself open to the sort of dystopian downfall that befell us in the Terminator movie series when self-aware robots wage war on humanity, a group called Stop The Robots marched through the streets of Austin, hoping to raise awareness about the dangers of artificial intelligence.

The group says that it likes technology, but is concerned that an increased reliance on artificial intelligence will end up costing us organic organisms our jobs.

As one of the leaders of the group yelled to the crowd during the rally: Who gets pissed off when you call your bank and you cant even get a human? Thats a robots fault.

Stop The Robots is said to be concerned by the way artificial intelligence is already taking over some rolls, most notably in call centres and shops with self-service tills.

Stop The Robots might want to avoid looking Googles list of acquired companies too, with the internet giant having snapped up several start-ups of this nature in the past year or so, including London-based DeepMind for more than 335 million. It calls itself a cutting edge artificial intelligence company, and according to experts has been trying to build a system that thinks.

The group is not alone in its thinking; technology entrepreneur Elon Musk has called AI our biggest existential threat and said their should be regulatory oversight at an international level. Musk is the man behind PayPal, Tesla and SpaceX. He has described his investment in AI research as keeping an eye on whats going on, rather than as business activity looking to return a profit.

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Some people want to 'Stop The Robots'

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About Digits

The South by Southwest festival of tech, arts and music features lively debates over the benefits, and risks, or artificial intelligence. Which made it a good setting for the North American debut of Ex Machina, a movie about a tech CEO creating a conscious female robot.

In the film, a young programmer at a Google -like company named BlueBook wins a lottery to spend a week living and working alongside its reclusive CEO, Nathan, on a secret project. The CEO introduces the programmer, Caleb, to Ava, a self-aware, sentient cyborg. Tensions among the three rise as the programmer befriends Ava while evaluating her human-like qualities.

Writer and director Alex Garland said he wants audiences to feel conflicted between Ava and her human friends and creator.

But Garlands sympathies are clear. Im 100% for the robots, he said during a Q&A session after the Saturday night screening. I am very sort of suspicious and worried about people. I dont feel that way about robots. I think they might more reasonable than we are.

Ex Machina, which hits U.S. theaters on April 10, is Garland first film as a director. Hes best known for writing independent films such as 28 Days Later, Sunshine, and Never Let Me Go.

Garland said he chose to make the film because of what he views as misplaced fears about technology, particularly artificial intelligence.

We dont really understand how these things work, so thats strange, but they seem to know how we work, Garland said of search engines and social networks. They can anticipate things about us. They know more about us than we know about them. And that makes us feel scared.

There was no fear at the screening, which brought laughter and applause from a packed house at the Paramount Theatres 1,100-seat auditorium. Jarrod Neece, SXSW Films senior programmer, said Ex Machina might be the best film ever played at the festival.

In a Sunday interview with The Journal, the filmmaker said he doesnt want to perpetuate doomsday scenarios and fears of artificial intelligence. Garland also said he feels like its only a matter of time before truly self-aware and conscious artificial intelligence is created.

Sentient artificial intelligence feels as inevitable as a cure for cancer, he said. Broadly speaking, if and when we can do something, someone somewhere does it.

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