Amador County Is ‘Teetering On The Borderline’ Of More Closures Amid COVID-19 Spike – Capital Public Radio News

Like many rural communities, Amador County went months with only single-digit COVID-19 cases reported. By mid-June, theyd slowly crawled up to a dozen.

There have now been 156 reported cases of the illness, as of Aug. 5.

The foothills community is grappling with its own version of the summertime surge thats preventing 38 California counties from reopening their economies. But Amador is not on the states watch list, so its gyms, salons and other non-essential businesses are still open.

Dr. Bob Hartmann, deputy health director for the county, said he expects theyll be added to that list any day now.

Our gyms are very enthusiastic about keeping open, and they'll be able to do that if we remain off the monitoring list, Hartmann said. But we are teetering on the borderline.

Amador County has just one hospital with six intensive care unit beds. It has a substantial homeless population and a large number of seniors. Many of them live among the areas hills and winding roads, far from services and other people. The countys spotty internet access has made communicating about the virus a challenge, Hartmann said.

Faced with a dramatic spike in cases, health officials are trying to promote mask-wearing, discourage social gatherings and educate the tourists who flock to the area for summertime wine tasting and recreation.

CapRadio chatted with Dr. Hartmann about those efforts.

This interview has been edited for clarity and brevity.

On whats behind the surge

One is more people getting together. Getting together weekends, getting together Fourth of July, over the holidays. Also, I think there's sort of a quarantine fatigue, people just getting tired of being at home, getting tired of being told not to go out. And then there's travel that is involved. A number of our cases have come from people who traveled out of the county or came back into the county with coronavirus, and then then there was community transmission. So travel really has made a difference, and people are just tired of not traveling so they're doing so more. And it's a combination of all of those.

I think people had mask fatigue a couple of months ago. And now with our rise in cases, there are more people wearing masks. It's still not as high a percentage as it should be. It's been estimated that if 90 to 95% of people wore masks when there was any interaction with someone outside their household, that in four weeks we would see a dramatic decline in the number of cases. But that's not happening at that rate.

On prisons and senior homes

Note: Amadors case count does not include inmates at Mule Creek State Prison in Ione

In congregate care facilities, it's not only the inmates or the residents that we worry about, but it's the staff that we worry about. Unfortunately, staff are the ones who frequently will bring coronavirus into those settings. And then particularly where elderly populations are involved, it can spread like wildfire. We have one skilled nursing facility in Amador County. We've seen a dramatic, dramatic rise in cases there, and some of the residents have gotten very, very sick. A few of the staff have gotten sick also. But it seems like every day, every week we are reporting more and more from those congregate living settings.

On hospital capacity

Our capacity in the hospital is adequate at this point. We peaked this last weekend with 12 coronavirus patients in the hospital. Our ICU was full, about half of the people in the ICU were coronavirus positive. We had a step-down unit and that was full, and half of the people in the step-down unit also had coronavirus. We do have surge capacities in place. They have not had to be called on yet at the hospital ... Sutter Amador Hospital is part of the Sutter Health system, so patients can be transferred to other Sutter facilities. For instance, our ICU this last weekend was full and a patient was transferred to Sutter Roseville.

We keep our fingers crossed, we know that this is surging, its ongoing. We don't expect that we're going to be out of the woods for a while. But with all the protocols in place, we're pretty confident that we can keep up with it at the hospital.

On public health messaging

In rural areas, there are always parts of communities that you have trouble reaching. There are people that don't have Internet access. There are certain areas that dont have cell phone access in the county. And a large percentage of our elderly population, if they have computers, dont really know how to work them. And so we're constantly challenged with, how do you get information out in rural areas? Certainly radio helps. There is a local newspaper thats published one day a week, that helps. Social media has made a difference But as you know, social media can be used in many ways. And so there's so many falsehoods that go out regarding treatments of coronavirus or regarding masks and usage or not using. And that can really complicate the situation.

What we try to do is be as consistent as possible with our messages. And our messages are: avoid gatherings of people outside of your household, don't go to dinner over at people's houses where you're less than six feet, where you're indoors, where people aren't wearing masks. You know, avoid gatherings. Thats a very basic tenet in trying to prevent the spread of coronavirus.

On masks

Masking is so important and masking is not political. It's not red versus blue. It's not 100% effective either. But it is very good in preventing coronavirus, both for the person wearing the mask and somebody in the vicinity of that person. So I think wearing masks is really a humane concern about our family, our friends, our community, and it should not at all cross political lines. If you choose not to wear a mask, you should choose to stay home or choose to stay away from others. People would do anything and everything they could to keep their children safe and happy. Yet, I see moms going around the grocery store not wearing masks and their kids not wearing masks. There's a gap here that I don't clearly understand.

It's no secret that Amador Countys a conservative area, and a number of people in the county do not believe in masking. A smaller number don't believe the coronavirus is real. I would ask them to come and stand outside the window of the hospital and watch what goes on inside there. And it makes delivering our message in the rural area and message acceptance more difficult. And again, as I said earlier, the masking message is not a political message, it's a health message. That's what's frustrating to those of us working in public health.

On tourism

It does worry us that there's so many people that come into our beautiful, beautiful county and head up to the mountains. However a lot of those people are outdoors. And outdoor recreation, if you follow certain guidelines, is really good. It's good for you. It's good for your psyche. It's good for you physically. But our trails are packed. The parking areas around the trails are packed with people. So we just encourage anyone coming in the county to follow that physical distancing and masking We in the past have noticed when school gets back in session, the number of visitors on weekends drops significantly.

However, without sports activities and with the majority of kids doing distance learning, we anticipate that there'll still be a pretty heavy number of people coming up into our county to recreate. Another area is the number of people coming to the county to visit the wineries. Our county has absolutely wonderful wineries. The tasting rooms can be open at this point for outdoor tasting and associated with food. But our county is in danger of going on the county monitoring list. We're kind of borderline right now. We're waiting for more word from the state later this week and there are going to be more restrictions. And those restrictions probably will decrease the number of people coming from out of county.

On community services

Its been more difficult to get services out to the homeless. There's a group of mask makers that actually live in my neighborhood. They supply me with homemade cloth masks that are very high quality masks, and Ive been able to get them to people and distribute them to the homeless, to some vineyard workers, child protective services, adult protective services, to try to reach some of the harder-to-get-to populations.

But so many of the safety nets we had here in the county just havent been able to continue at a very robust stage with the coronavirus and people staying at home. For instance, STARS, the cancer support group with their drivers that take people to and fro tooncology visits in Sacramento, to surgical procedures, infusion center here, so forth. Most of their drivers are older and so the number of drivers available dropped by 75%. So things like that that are there that don't really hit you in the face when you're reading the newspapers or listening to the radio. Almost every segment of our population has been affected and the most vulnerable have been affected even more.

Editor's Note: A previous version of this story included a transcription error in one ofDr. Bob Hartmann's responses. It has been updated.

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Amador County Is 'Teetering On The Borderline' Of More Closures Amid COVID-19 Spike - Capital Public Radio News

COVID-19: What you need to know about the pandemic on 7 August – World Economic Forum

Confirmed cases of COVID-19 have now reached more than 19 million globally, according to Johns Hopkins University of Medicine. The number of confirmed coronavirus deaths now stands at more than 714,000.

Just 10 African countries account for 80% of testing on the continent, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention said on Thursday.

The number of Americans seeking jobless benefits fell last week, but more than 30 million people were still receiving unemployment checks in mid-July.

From Saturday, Norway is reimposing a 10-day quarantine on arrivals from France, Switzerland and the Czech Republic.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings says it doesn't expect demand to return to pre-COVID-19 levels until 2022.

The Australian state of Victoria began a six-week total lockdown on Thursday, with shops and businesses closed. It reported its deadliest day on Wednesday, with 15 deaths and a record daily rise of 725 cases.

South Korea has lifted a ban on travellers from the Chinese province of Hubei, the original epicentre of the coronavirus outbreak.

Daily confirmed cases and deaths can fluctuate.

Image: Our World in Data

Confirmed cases of COVID-19 in India have passed 2 million, following a record daily rise. It's the third country, after the US and Brazil, to reach the milestone.

Experts say the epidemic is likely to be months away from hitting its peak in India, as the virus spreads to smaller towns and rural areas.

Authorities also have to contend with multiple outbreaks, across the country's massive population.

A country of Indias size and diversity has multiple epidemics in different phases, said Rajib Dasgupta, head of the Centre of Social Medicine and Community Health at the Jawaharlal Nehru University in New Delhi.

The country has reported just over 41,000 deaths, but it's thought the real number will be higher.

The first global pandemic in more than 100 years, COVID-19 has spread throughout the world at an unprecedented speed. At the time of writing, 4.5 million cases have been confirmed and more than 300,000 people have died due to the virus.

As countries seek to recover, some of the more long-term economic, business, environmental, societal and technological challenges and opportunities are just beginning to become visible.

To help all stakeholders communities, governments, businesses and individuals understand the emerging risks and follow-on effects generated by the impact of the coronavirus pandemic, the World Economic Forum, in collaboration with Marsh and McLennan and Zurich Insurance Group, has launched its COVID-19 Risks Outlook: A Preliminary Mapping and its Implications - a companion for decision-makers, building on the Forums annual Global Risks Report.

The report reveals that the economic impact of COVID-19 is dominating companies risks perceptions.

Companies are invited to join the Forums work to help manage the identified emerging risks of COVID-19 across industries to shape a better future. Read the full COVID-19 Risks Outlook: A Preliminary Mapping and its Implications report here, and our impact story with further information.

World Health Organization Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus called for global unity in facing global challenges, including the coronavirus pandemic.

"We must seize this moment to come together in national unity and global solidarity to control COVID-19, address antimicrobial resistance and the climate crisis," he told yesterday's media briefing.

"For all our differences, we are one human race sharing the same planet and our security is interdependent - no country will be safe until were all safe."

He also called on countries to invest in health systems and universal health coverage:

"While health has often been viewed as a cost, the first coronavirus pandemic in history has shown how critical health investment is to national security."

Building back healthcare systems will require political will, resources and technical expertise, he added.

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COVID-19: What you need to know about the pandemic on 7 August - World Economic Forum

CSU hires firm to investigate athletic department’s handling of COVID-19 threat – Coloradoan

CSU athletes, staff say athletic administration covering up COVID-19 health threat Wochit

Colorado State UniversityPresident Joyce McConnell wasted little time in securing an outside law firm to lead the investigation into the athletic department'shandling of public health precautions surrounding COVID-19

McConnell sent an email to the athletic department and student athletes late Thursday afternoon announcing Colorado State Universityhas hired law firmHusch Blackwellto conduct the investigation. The email said the firm based in Kansas City, Missouri, has experience conducting investigations related to university athletic departments.

In a Wednesday interview with the Coloradoan, McConnell said she wanted to move quickly in finding a firm.

The investigation was spurred by a Coloradoan story Tuesday in which football players and athletic department staff asserted the athletic administration was covering up the COVID-19 health threat.

The two primary Husch Blackwell investigators on the CSU case will be Hayley Hanson and Demetrius Peterson.

In her Thursday email in announcing the firm, McConnell wrote a report will be made available to those in athletics and that staff and student-athletes may be interviewed and should reach out to those investigators.

"My expectation is that everyone will fully cooperate with the investigation,'' she wrote in the email. "If you have information that is relevant to the investigation, it is critical that you share it with the investigators.Any attempts to retaliate against, pressure, or intimidate individuals who participate in the investigation will not be tolerated.Should that occur, please report that conduct to the investigators or to my office immediately.''

Opinion:CSU, college football seasons a lost cause

Reporter Miles Blumhardt looks for stories that impact your life. Be it news, outdoors, sports you name it, he wants to report it. Have a story idea? Contact him at milesblumhardt@coloradoan.com or on Twitter @MilesBlumhardt. Support his work and that of other Coloradoan journalists by purchasing a digital subscription today.

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CSU hires firm to investigate athletic department's handling of COVID-19 threat - Coloradoan

Lake Cowichan says it’s Not The Wild West – My Cowichan Valley Now

Photograph courtesy of Tube Shack

Lake Cowichan has a message for those people looking for a place to party: If you intend on abusing our waterfront residents and those of the surrounding areas, you are not welcome here.

There is growing frustration in Lake Cowichan over the actions of a few that are spoiling the enjoyment of tubing on the Cowichan River for others, as well as the people who live along the river.

The community is encountering problems this summer such as excessive alcohol consumption, verbal abuse and people making toilet stops on riverfront properties.

Acting mayor Tim McGonigle says Lake Cowichan and the local RCMP are working to get a handle on the inappropriate activities of a few unruly visitors.

He says as the town transitions from a resource-based economy it values the tourism opportunities available, but is not willing to sacrifice the liveability of our small Community in the process.

McGonigle adds, If you are looking to come here and rowdily let off steam, so to speak, dont bother.

The local council wants people coming to enjoy the recreation activities available to remember that Lake Cowichan is not the Wild West. All Provincial applicable Laws and Regulations related

to COVID-19 are also enforceable in the town.

Anyone with symptoms of COVID-19 is asked to stay away. The town has concerns regarding its ability to handle the increased number of visitors during at a time that is fraught with the high risk of infection of COVID-19.

Tube Shack owner Aaron Frisby says they have managed to transforming this activity into a family-friendly pastime, but says like many other things, 2020 has changed that.

Frisby says most of problems were on weekends and perhaps it was simply the result of a summer blow-out for people coming out of coronavirus lockdown.

Property owners along the Cowichan River, the Town of Lake Cowichan, and The Tube Shack are all asking would-be tubers who are planning to party on the river this summer to stay away.

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Lake Cowichan says it's Not The Wild West - My Cowichan Valley Now

The Pandemic Has Resulted in Record Savings, but Only for Some – NextAdvisor

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As local economies shut down and the service industry flounders, Americans are saving a greater percentage of their money than ever before, according to new data.

But the high overall U.S. saving rate is hiding a deep inequality.

While many are cutting back on their spending and hoarding cash like never before, poorer Americans are still spending nearly as much of their money as before the pandemic.

The problem in America, in particular, is that theres a very large portion of the population that was living paycheck to paycheck. They couldnt save enough to miss one payment or put $400 aside for an emergency, says Sarah Nadav, a behavioral economist in the World Economic Forums expert network. So, if they were barely able to pay their bills before then they dont have very much room to cut down and save now.

The U.S. personal saving rate the percentage of peoples income remaining each month after taxes and spending skyrocketed to a record 32.2% in April, up from 12.7% in March, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. At the same time, consumer spending fell 12.6% as the economy slowed down and unemployment rose.

Data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis shows the previous record saving rate was 17.3% in May 1975, at the tail end of a recession spurred by rocketing gas prices, government spending on the Vietnam War, and a Wall Street stock crash. Over the last 10 years, it has hovered in the 6-8% range.

The saving rate usually goes up when theres a decline in general economic activity, but it can quickly fall back down when there are positive signs of growth, according to a 2018 Congressional Research Service report.

In June, the saving rate fell 4.2 percentage points from May to 19%, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said Friday. Thats a sign people started spending more when businesses partially reopened, though the rate could be affected in July by the increase in COVID-19 cases and the end to the extra $600 in federal unemployment benefits.

Note: Saving rates based on Federal Reserve data from 2020.

Americans have historically struggled to save money, for a number of reasons. According to a 2019 report by the Federal Reserve, four out of 10 Americans would be unable to pay an unexpected $400 bill out of their savings.

A typical middle-class lifestyle in the U.S. is 30% more expensive than it was 20 years ago, according to Alissa Quart, executive director of the Economic Hardship Reporting Project and author of Squeezed: Why Our Families Cant Afford America.

And while the pandemic has presented Americans of all income levels with financial challenges, these hardships have been exacerbated for people who have lower incomes.

According to a recent study from a Harvard-based research group, coronavirus is disproportionately harming lower-income Americans. This group is still spending nearly as much as it did pre-pandemic, despite the personal saving rate hitting a record high in April.

The findings reveal that high-income Americans are responsible for most of the reduction in consumer spending, particularly in areas with high rates of COVID-19 infection and in sectors that require physical interaction.

Do some math; take a look at what you owe and what you can do to bring in cash now. Create an emergency version of your budget and stick closely to it to save up what you can during these uncertain times.

High-income households reduced their spending by 17%, whereas low-income households reduced their spending by only 4% as of June 10, according to the study. Almost 70% of low-wage earners working in the highest-rent ZIP codes lost their jobs during the initial shutdown.

Where people have cut their spending during the recession caused by the coronavirus is very different from prior recessions. In previous downturns, people stopped spending on costly items like cars and homes, while still spending on common services. Its the opposite this time around; spending fell most on services that require in-person interaction, such as restaurants and hair salons.

Yelena Maleyev, an associate economist at accounting and advisory firm Grant Thornton, says its important to note the correlation between wealthier households and older ones. Baby boomers have the most wealth compared to the other generations.

The wealthier households were already spending more on services than goods. Fast forward to the pandemic, theyre not going to go out to any of these places because theyre closed. Furthermore, theyre more likely to be older, so theyre also more vulnerable to the virus, Maleyev says.

So, while the personal saving rate has risen over the last few months, research and data show that not all Americans are saving more during the pandemic.

Note: Saving rates based on Federal Reserve data from 2000-2020. NextAdvisor calculated the cumulative average saving rate for every year over the last 20 years. The cumulative average may vary more and percentages may not total 100 due to rounding.

Many experts expect that urge to save to stick around for the long haul, while others say its a temporary trend driven by uncertainty.

Pre-pandemic, we were starting to see the rate slowly inch up from the historic lows in the early 2000s, which kind of coincided with the housing boom, Maleyev says. So we already saw this trend; it just got exacerbated by this pandemic and the fact that the recession is a service-driven recession. Its very unique. Weve never seen this before.

Consumer spending accounts for almost 70% of the U.S. economy, so saving at the individual level instead of spendingwhile incredibly beneficialcould also pose a risk to the economys recovery in the long run, experts say.

America, in general, is a consumer-based economy, and thats not really going away without some serious long-term changes. Those are bigger questions that will in turn contribute to some changes in how we spend vs. save, Maleyev says.

With a high percentage of Americans out of work and a tanking economy, you may be wondering how you can even think about saving money during a global health crisis.

In the big picture, people are really afraid. They probably werent saving as much as they couldve or shouldve, Nadav says. When people are afraid, they do start saving money and putting it aside, assuming correctly that theyll need it.

A lot of traditional financial advice doesnt apply in these unprecedented times, but there are ways you can conserve the money that you do havestarting nowregardless of how much it is.

It may be challenging to save right now but its not impossible, and this could be the wake-up call you need to form saving habits that will last beyond the current crisis.

Trying to pay off debt and build your savings at the same time can be frustrating. Pam Capalad, a certified financial planner and founder of Budget and Brunch, recommends prioritizing savings over paying down debt right now.

Its unconventional advice, but its the advice I give to clients regardless. Prioritizing savings over debt means you end up having savings and paying down your debt anyway, Capalad says.

Without some money saved up during these uncertain times, you could simply wind up borrowing and adding more debt to your plate in order to pay your essential bills or any unexpected costs, she says.

Especially now when it comes to prioritizing food, shelter, and sanity, if you have debt that youve been trying to pay down, dont worry about it right now. Whether its student loan debt or credit card debt, the priority right now is putting money in the bank, Capalad says.

You should be making minimum payments on your high-interest debt if you can, but there are numerous types of debt that Capalad says can likely be put off for now, or at least negotiated. That would include credit-card debt, back taxes, and even federal student loans, which are on pause until October 1.

A saving rate can be calculated for an economy as a whole or at the personal level. Knowing how much you bring home relative to what you spend can give you a clearer idea of your financial situation and help you start saving. Heres how you can calculate your own saving rate in five easy steps:

1. Calculate your income for a specific period of time (i.e. one month)

2. Calculate your spending for the same period

3. Subtract your spending from your income

4. Divide the number calculated in step three by your income

5. Multiply by 100.

Keep in mind that your income should be after taxes, or you risk over-estimating your savings.

Now is the time to budget, especially if youre worried about losing your job. Youll need to figure out where you can completely cut out costs or reduce spending if money gets tight, and start tracking all your expensesthat means every coffee, household item, and take-out meal.

In your essentials-only budget, prioritize your important expenses (food, housing, etc.) and look at your discretionary expenses to see where you can cut back. Your lifestyle and discretionary categories will likely offer the most potential relief, but you should also take a hard look at your fixed expenses, including your rent or mortgage.

If you can terminate your rental agreement, you could consider moving back home if youre feeling too much financial pressure. In fact, millions of Americans have moved back in with their parents to save money during the pandemic, a recent Zillow report found. Additionally, make note of any subscription or annual fees you could pause or cut out.

If youre financially struggling, any bill is negotiable. Many credit-card companies, utility providers, and cell phone providers are offering assistance during the pandemic, so call them as soon as possible to see what your options are. Keep in mind most companies are not offering complete forgiveness you will eventually have to pay any bills you skip.

Figure out which calls you need to make and roughly what kind of assistance youd be looking for in dollar amounts. Try to focus on paying your essential expenses like your rent or mortgage if you can.

If you havent already, take advantage of government relief. The extra $600 weekly jobless benefit is about to end, but you can still apply for unemployment insurance through your states individual system. Every state has different requirements and benefits, so use this resource to learn more about your states program. Even if youre just getting the bare minimum of unemployment insurance, anything is better than nothing.

Congress is currently negotiating another aid package that could extend the extra unemployment support, though likely at less than $600. There also may be another coronavirus stimulus check on the way.

You could also work with a credit counselor who can advise you on your money and debts. Many non-profit credit counselors often offer initial budgeting sessions at no cost. To find a credit counselor, you can try the Financial Counseling Association of America or the National Foundation for Credit Counseling.

If you think you might fall behind on your mortgage payments because of coronavirus, forbearance under the CARES Act may be an option to consider. The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development also funds housing counseling agencies throughout the country that provide free advice on renting, defaults, foreclosures, and credit issues. If youre not sure where to start or want to learn more about your options, take a look at this comprehensive list of financial resources.

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The Pandemic Has Resulted in Record Savings, but Only for Some - NextAdvisor

For all Marape’s achievements in PNG, the biggest challenges await – The Interpreter

The resilience and stability of Papua New Guinea is under growing strain as the country navigates what has already been an unprecedented year. Beyond the increase in Covid-19 cases and the effect the virus is having on lives and livelihoods, the government has overcome a court challenge to the election of Prime Minister James Marape and has undertaken some significant law reforms on the mining and anti-corruption fronts.

Ultimately, the issue for PNG on fighting corruption is not the need for more laws, but the need for the enforcement of existing laws. To that end, the long-awaited arrest of former prime minister Peter ONeill in May over alleged corruption was significant. Yet it is not only in fighting allegations of corruption where the need for enforcing the law is paramount.The recent drug bust of more than 500 kilograms of cocaine en route to Australia signals serious transnational criminal activity in the country, challenging the under-resourced law enforcement agencies. The worrying number of gender-based violence cases remains a national issue and highlights the need to change attitudes, too.

These events followed the expectations for some action on the result of last years historic referendum in Bougainville on independence from PNG. On the foreign policy front, the increasing tension between the West and China underscores that a proposed naval base arrangement with Australia on Manus Island looks set to test PNGs non-aligned status.

While scrutiny of the government, especially by the Opposition, is important, both sides need to avoid misinformation and petty politics.

Taken together, this marks a daunting set of challenges for any government. But there is more.

A significant development earlier in the year was the decision of the government not to renew the mining licence of the Canadian-owned Barrick Gold over its operations in Porgera in the Highlands of PNG. Porgera is an established mine that has been critical to the economy since 1990, but it is also marred with controversies around environmental and human rights issues.

Barrick disputes the governments decision and has opted to take PNG to arbitration at the World Banks International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID). Barrick is also seeking a judicial review in PNG courts. Running the matter concurrently in ICSID, however, has the potential to undermine the judicial process and outcomes in PNG.

While Marapes stance earlier against Americas ExxonMobil and currently with Barrick is assuring to those who are concerned with issues of fairness in the resource sector, some who are reliant on the sector for their livelihood such as employees, contractors and landowner groups have shown concern. However, unless the court decides otherwise, the decision is permitted under the PNG Mining Act, and the government is mindful that reversing it may risk undermining the legal framework.

Further, the debate on the issue is mainly around concerns for losses of investor confidence, employment and revenue for the country. While these are important considerations, they also perpetuate dependency and doubt on any attempt at innovation and economic independence. As a high yield mine, Porgera is likely to attract investors and resume operation, should Barricks bid for reconsideration be unsuccessful.

Mining might be expected to be the dominant controversy. But the virus that has shaken the world economy is now again rattling PNG.

PNG is at the edge of a serious outbreak of Covid-19. The long-neglected health system, the communal way of life and the systemic weaknesses in enforcement mechanisms are some of the challenges to the effective management of any outbreak. In some parts of the country where deaths from diseases are readily linked to supernatural causes, issues such as sorcery-based violence are likely to flare. Clear communication from the government is therefore critical.

While scrutiny of the government, especially by the Opposition, is important, both sides need to avoid misinformation and petty politics that are likely to undermine community preparedness. There must be bipartisanship in managing Covid-19. Politicians who have long neglected to prioritise an effective health system must take responsibility in ensuring their people have the support and leadership to withstand the looming pandemic.

On the foreign policy front, the agreementbetween defence officials in PNG and Australia to establish a naval base at Manus Island appears to stagger under the current government. As Australia joins the US in ramping up its defence posture against China, PNG is wary that having a naval base in Manus will make PNG a direct target of the rapidly advancing Chinese military arsenal. On the other hand, while PNG has long heralded a friends to all and enemy to none posture, PNG has yet to articulate how it will remain unaligned in the event of a conflict, considering it is likely to be caught in some crossfire.

Marapes government has overseen some unprecedented developments in the past 14 months. But the prospect of a vote of no confidence against a sitting government looms again from November, and those affected by Marapes policies are likely to hope for a change. That hope will go beyond just his immediate political rivals and into company boardrooms.

The uncertainties of the coming months will undoubtedly test the resilience of the people, the stability of the country, and demand unprecedented unity and bipartisanship from all local political leaders.

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For all Marape's achievements in PNG, the biggest challenges await - The Interpreter

UW researchers devise approach to treat rare, incurable form of blindness – University of Wisconsin-Madison

Scientists at the University of WisconsinMadison have published a proof-of-concept method to correct an inherited form of macular degeneration that causes blindness, and that is currently untreatable.

Andrew Hellpap608-225-5024ahellpap@uwhealth.org

The researchers were able to correct the disease in stem cells from patients with BEST1 mutations by overwhelming broken copies of the gene with many functional copies of BEST1. This approach worked for most, but not all, of the BEST1 mutations that they tested. As an alternative approach for mutations that did not respond to this gene augmentation method, the team used CRISPR-Cas9 gene editing to target and correct the mutations.

A paper chronicling the research, co-led by David Gamm, MD, PhD, professor of ophthalmology and visual sciences in the School of Medicine and Public Health, was published online July 23 in the American Journal of Human Genetics. The study was also led by Kris Saha, PhD, associate professor of biomedical engineering and Wisconsin Institute for Discovery, and Bikash Pattnaik, PhD, assistant professor of pediatrics.

This BEST1 gene encodes a protein that regulates the movement of chloride across a layer of the retina called the retinal pigment epithelium (RPE). Best disease is dominant, meaning that people who inherit only one faulty copy of the BEST1 gene from either their mother or their father will develop the disorder. Mutations in BEST1 cause the retinal layer to break down, resulting in blurred central vision that progresses to irreversible vision loss.

People with Best disease have a wide range of mutations that can affect different parts of the protein, all of which were thought to require complex, individualized gene therapies to fix them, Gamm said. We found that many of these mutations were actually very sensitive to a broader gene therapy method that is already established for other retinal diseases.

Fixing a dominant genetic disease via gene therapy typically requires precise removal or repair of the nonfunctional gene without causing harm to the functional gene a difficult task that is frequently unsuccessful. In contrast, recessive genetic diseases that arise when a person inherits two nonfunctional genes one from each parent can be corrected by a technique called gene augmentation. This well-established process introduces a functional copy of the gene to fill the void.

To use another analogy, dominant mutations produce workers that actively look to sabotage the efforts of their capable coworkers, whereas recessive mutations produce proteins that never show up for work at all, Gamm said. As it turns out, the latter situation is usually simpler to treat than the former.

A team of researchers at the McPherson Eye Research Institute, which Gamm directs, hypothesized that it may be possible to adequately dilute the influence of the nonfunctional BEST1 protein by counter-balancing it with many functional copies of BEST1 protein through gene augmentation.

In the lab, the approach worked in RPE cells derived from induced pluripotent stem cells of patients with most, but not all, of the BEST1 gene mutations they tested. Where gene augmentation did not succeed, the team was able to correct the dysfunction using CRISPR-Cas9 gene editing.

The research was carried out in large part by Divya Sinha, PhD, an assistant scientist in Gamms lab, Ben Steyer, a former MD-PhD student in Sahas lab, and Pawan Shahi, PhD, postdoctoral research associate in Pattnaiks lab. The research team also included Sushmita Roy, PhD, associate professor of biostatics and medical informatics at the UW School of Medicine and Public Health and Wisconsin Institute for Discovery.

The scientists demonstrated that their two-pronged gene therapy strategy may hold potential to treat all Best disease mutations in a highly effective manner.

We were able to reverse the disease in all the cell lines using one method or the other, Gamm said. We were also able to determine which mutations were likely to respond to the first-line gene augmentation strategy, and which would be better served with the second-line gene editing approach.

An additional benefit came into focus as this research progressed, according to Gamm.

Our findings also could be applicable to some dominant genetic mutations that affect tissues elsewhere in the body, he said. Its very exciting.

This work was supported by the National Eye Institute, Foundation Fighting Blindness, McPherson Eye Research Institute Sandra Lemke Trout Chair in Eye Research, Retina Research Foundation Emmett Humble Chair, Sarah E. Slack Prevention of Blindness Fund (a component Fund of the Muskingum County Community Foundation),Research to Prevent Blindness, National Science Foundation, Burroughs Wellcome Fund, Retina Research Foundation Kathryn and Latimer Murfee Chair and Retina Research Foundation M.D. Mathews Professorship, and VitreoRetinal Surgery Foundation. This study was supported in part by a UW Data Science Initiative grant and the UW2020 Initiative.

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UW researchers devise approach to treat rare, incurable form of blindness - University of Wisconsin-Madison

Prevail Therapeutics to Present at 2020 Wedbush PacGrow Healthcare Conference – Stockhouse

NEW YORK, Aug. 05, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Prevail Therapeutics Inc. (Nasdaq: PRVL), a biotechnology company developing potentially disease-modifying AAV-based gene therapies for patients with neurodegenerative diseases, today announced that Asa Abeliovich, M.D., Ph.D., Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Prevail, will present at the virtual 2020 Wedbush PacGrow Healthcare Conference on Tuesday, August 11, 2020 at 1:45 p.m. ET.

The webcast will be available in the Events and Presentations section of the Company's website at ir.prevailtherapeutics.com. The webcast will be archived for 90 days following the presentation.

About Prevail Therapeutics Prevail is a gene therapy company leveraging breakthroughs in human genetics with the goal of developing and commercializing disease-modifying AAV-based gene therapies for patients with neurodegenerative diseases. The Company is developing PR001 for patients with Parkinson’s disease with GBA1 mutations (PD-GBA) and neuronopathic Gaucher disease; PR006 for patients with frontotemporal dementia with GRN mutations (FTD-GRN); and PR004 for patients with certain synucleinopathies.

Prevail was founded by Dr. Asa Abeliovich in 2017, through a collaborative effort with The Silverstein Foundation for Parkinson’s with GBA and OrbiMed, and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Forward-Looking Statements Related to Prevail Statements contained in this press release regarding matters that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. Examples of these forward-looking statements include statements concerning the potential for Prevail’s gene therapy candidates to transform the treatment of patients with, and slow or halt the progression of, FTD-GRN and other neurodegenerative diseases. Because such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, among others: Prevail’s novel approach to gene therapy makes it difficult to predict the time, cost and potential success of product candidate development or regulatory approval; Prevail’s gene therapy programs may not meet safety and efficacy levels needed to support ongoing clinical development or regulatory approval; the regulatory landscape for gene therapy is rigorous, complex, uncertain and subject to change; the fact that gene therapies are novel, complex and difficult to manufacture; and risks relating to the impact on our business of the COVID-19 pandemic or similar public health crises. These and other risks are described more fully in Prevail’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including the Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2020, filed with the SEC on May 14, 2020, and its other documents subsequently filed with or furnished to the SEC. All forward-looking statements contained in this press release speak only as of the date on which they were made. Except to the extent required by law, Prevail undertakes no obligation to update such statements to reflect events that occur or circumstances that exist after the date on which they were made.

Media Contact: Mary Carmichael Ten Bridge Communications mary@tenbridgecommunications.com 617-413-3543

Investor Contact: investors@prevailtherapeutics.com

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Prevail Therapeutics to Present at 2020 Wedbush PacGrow Healthcare Conference - Stockhouse

No deal Brexit impact on UK economy ‘dwarfed’ by coronavirus says Bank of England Governor – Daily Express

Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, explained the impact of a no deal Brexit has been dwarfed by the effects of the coronavirus pandemic on the economy. He said while both can affect trade, the bank's research has shown that COVID-19 is a much bigger shock to the economy. Speaking to Sky News, Mr Bailey said: "It is very complicated at the moment, both COVID and Brexit could both negatively affect trade.

"All our work suggest COVID is a bigger shock moreover, of course, COVID has already had an effect on trade.

"You then get to the extremely complicated question, how much of that effect on trade has actually already been taken over by COVID."

His comments come as Brexiteer and Conservative MP Mark Francois recently warned the EU's chief negotiator Michel Barnier that the British public is growing impatient following years of Brexit negotiations.

Mr Francois hit out at Mr Barnier who said last week a Brexit deal looked "unlikely" and that the two sides remained at a stalemate.

READ MORE:EU's status as trading force in doubt after halloumi row

The Brexiteer warned the UK could leave with no deal on December 31 as Prime Minister Boris Johnson has refused to request an extension to the trade talks.

David Frost, the UK's chief negotiator, meanwhile confirmed there was a continued impasse but struck a more hopeful tone in his media appearance following intensified discussions.

Speaking to talkRADIO, Mr Francois said: One thing that runs through history is, people who bully us tend not to do well out of it.

"That isn't going to work and if necessary we will leave on December 31 and we will trade on Australia/WTO terms which is how most of the world trades anyway.

"We're not frightened of doing that. We would prefer a deal but if they're going to be intransigent we're going down the WTO path.

"I think the British public is running out of patience with Mr Barnier. The show is getting a bit boring.

"If they don't want a compromise that's fine, we'll do our own thing."

Brexit talks will intensify over the summer between the UK and EU, according to Government sources.

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A senior UK Government official involved in the talks said the "only way forward now is to have a textual negotiation to get into the detail", which is scheduled to happen in August and September.

Formal talks are "pre-programmed in" for the week of August 17 and fringe discussions will continue next week.

A senior UK Government official involved in the talks, when asked about whether the discussions were closer to breakdown or breakthrough, said: "I think we are potentially closer to both, to be honest - I think it is hard to quantify.

"I can quite see how we can make a breakthrough relatively quickly if they do adjust their position in the most important areas and, if they don't, we won't.

"It really is in their hands to a large extent and it is related to the fundamental principles in these few areas."

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No deal Brexit impact on UK economy 'dwarfed' by coronavirus says Bank of England Governor - Daily Express

WATCH: Government’s new Brexit advert boasting of new era of ‘cooperation’ and ‘close ties’ mocked – The New European

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PUBLISHED: 15:49 05 August 2020 | UPDATED: 18:03 05 August 2020

Adrian Zorzut

A screengrab of the government's latest Brexit promo; Twitter

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Almost four years after its creation The New European goes from strength to strength across print and online, offering a pro-European perspective on Brexit and reporting on the political response to the coronavirus outbreak, climate change and international politics. But we can only continue to grow with your support.

Footage of an ad bigging up Britains new ties with Europe gained some unsavoury publicity when it launched on Wednesday.

Shared on the Cabinet Offices official Twitter page, the video is the latest instalment of the governments Lets Get Going media blitz preparing business for Brexit.

The clip, which is accompanied by promotional tunes and clips of Europe on a map, boasts of a new era of cooperation between sovereign equals which is supposedly underpinned by close ties between our people.

It goes on to say that both sides will build on our existing close friendship, inspired by both shared history and shared values.

But the promotional drive failed miserably on Twitter, drawing stinging rebukes over its language and content.

Otto English, a freelance writer posted: You realise this makes absolutely no sense. If the other EU countries are sovereign why have we had to leave?

Liz Anderson dredged up Downing Streets very own Brexit White Paper which states the UK parliament had remained sovereign throughout our membership of the EU.

Um, this might come as a bit of a shock to you, lads, but we *always* were sovereign, she wrote.

Others had a bone to pick with the term sovereign equals.

Architect and writer Steve Lawrence said: This is nonsensical the EU isnt in any way sovereign, its just a treaty.

Former Whitehall staffer Sarah Hurst wrote: Well, I had a job in the civil service, trying to solve Brexit problems, but I was sacked. So now I dont know what part you want me to play.

Ian Dunt, an editor for Politics.co.uk, wrote: Still waiting for someone to tell me one thing, just one single f****** thing, which we have attained. Every word of this was true when we were EU members.

Jon Henley joked: You are aware, I trust, that the EU is 27 countries? The UK is one country.

That doesnt sound very equal to me.

Almost four years after its creation The New European goes from strength to strength across print and online, offering a pro-European perspective on Brexit and reporting on the political response to the coronavirus outbreak, climate change and international politics. But we can only rebalance the right wing extremes of much of the UK national press with your support. If you value what we are doing, you can help us by making a contribution to the cost of our journalism.

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WATCH: Government's new Brexit advert boasting of new era of 'cooperation' and 'close ties' mocked - The New European

Standard Life Aberdeen warns on Brexit and says the economy could be scarred by coronavirus – Evening Standard

Asset management giant Standard Life Aberdeen today warned the economy could be scarred and that Brexit remains a deep uncertainty.

The City stalwart said that coronavirus could cause a long term loss of output, labour market scarring and lower real interest rates.

The company said: "The COVID-19 pandemic and associated shutdowns of economic activity have precipitated significant negative growth shocks across the world. However, the contraction phase of the crisis has also been comparatively short-lived and we anticipate an element of recovery as restrictions are lifted.

"Nevertheless, the long-term consequences of the crisis will be profound, including a longer-term loss of output, labour market scarring, lower real interest rates, and an altered balance between monetary and fiscal policy. In addition, the Brexit process remains in transition and remains a further source of uncertainty."

Despite the warnings the company maintained its half year dividend.

The company will pay out a dividend of 7.3p, the same as this time last year. It is one of few FTSE 100 companies to have not slashed or canned its dividend payout due to coronavirus.

Over the first six months this year the company's fee revenue took a hit. Revenue came in at 706 million, down from 815 million in the same period 2019.

The firm remained active during lockdown and said that despite remote working it still managed to launch 18 new funds during the period.

Assets under management also fell over the period from 544.6 billion to 511.8 billion.

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Standard Life Aberdeen warns on Brexit and says the economy could be scarred by coronavirus - Evening Standard

Concerns raised over transport of perishable Irish goods post-Brexit – Agriland

Concerns have been raised over the risk of delays in transporting perishable goods from Ireland to other EU countries post-Brexit.

Fianna Fil TD James Browne raised the issue in the Dil last week, saying that while there is a strong agreement with fellow EU countries on ensuring our [Irish] goods, once they arrive in the continent, can continue onwards quickly, he is concerned of what will happen in the UK which, to a large extent, is out of the states hands.

Deputy Browne said that perishable items, such as meat and fish that need to be transported to the Paris markets are no good if there is a delay in getting them there.

One truck driver told me that nobody buys turkeys on St. Stephens Day, so if perishable products do not get to market on time, they are no good.

Deputy Browne asked the Minister for Foreign Affairs and Trade Simon Coveney what position discussions are in with his UK counterpart on the issue of border checks on trucks originating in Ireland, arriving in the UK from Rosslare Europort, but which plan to travel onwards to another country within the EU.

Minister Coveney said that ensuring the UK land-bridge remains an effective route to market for Irish and other EU traders has been a key priority for the government in the context of Brexit.

The UKs accession to the common transit convention is a key step. It is important to recognise that the UK government has decided to be part of that convention in an effort to be helpful, Minister Coveney said.

This allows EU goods to transit through the UK without undergoing full customs export and import formalities on entry and exit.

There remains a risk of substantial delays on parts of the land-bridge route between the UK and France, for example: Dover to Calais; the Eurotunnel; and possibly Holyhead. While we can work to address these at the EU end, there is little we can do to mitigate the impact on Irish traders arising from queues in the UK.

Minister Coveney said a commitment has been secured from countries such as France, Belgium and the Netherlands that when goods arrive from the UK on Irish trucks, these trucks will enter the green lane and will not be treated the same as UK trucks arriving.

This is because the Irish trucks will be coming from another part of the single market and re-entering the single market, Coveney continued.

The minister acknowledged that any blockage is likely to be in the UK, where he does not envisage a situation that Irish trucks will be allowed to skip the queue when there is significant traffic to get on ships.

Deputy Browne stressed the potential of Rosslare Europort, which is ideally located and is the quickest sea route from Ireland to the continent and must be priority given the security it offers for getting Irish foods to Europe on time.

Minister Coveney said that shipping companies have been looking at potential direct routes from Dublin and Rosslare to the single market and various ports on the EU mainland.

However, without doubt, the fastest way to get fresh and chilled goods to market quickly if the land-bridge can be used efficiently and without significant blockages in queuing systems is to drive across the UK and use shorter ferry routes, Minister Coveney added.

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Concerns raised over transport of perishable Irish goods post-Brexit - Agriland

Brexit Boost: UK to regain former greatness after giving up fleet to join Europe – Daily Express

Paul Lines told Express.co.uk that during his 45 years as a fisherman he has only seen the demise of the British sector. However, Mr Lines stated that following Brexit the UK can return to its former glory and replace their European competition as the dominant force in the industry.

Mr Lines said: "Britain stands to regain some of its former greatness.

"I have been in fishing for 45 years and all I have ever seen is the demise of fishing, I have seen half of our fleet cut up.

"I have seen days where the sea comes in and restricts what you do.

"I have seen quotas fall to the point where we have got one vessel left.

READ MORE:EU warning: European fishing to be 'devastated' if UK chooses no deal

"What we have got left we struggle to get a living from."

He added: "We gave it all away to be part of Europe, now we want it back.

"We want to see their boats cut up, we want to see their new modern fleet gone because we want that.

"As a country we have got to have that, if we are going to survive on our own, we have got to have everything that we can bring to play to make money."

Mr Lines also warned UK fishermen will still struggle to compete with those in the European Union even after taking back control of the country's waters.

The fisherman statedthat currently the UK hashardly any rights to fish in their own waters and so the Government needs a firm strategy regarding how to progress the fishing industry after Brexit.

Mr Lines said: "On January 2, when community waters will become British waters out to two hundred miles or the median line, that is when the transition period ends, and we start to take control and redevelop our fishing industry.

"Because as it is at the moment, we have hardly got any right to fish in what we will call our own waters.

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"We have got no vessel and that is where the Government needs a firm strategy on how they intend to make use of this.

"Because you can have all you like, if you do not have infrastructure or boats to catch the fish then the whole marketplace will be Europes Im afraid.

"Whether people like to think it or not we are not a nation of fishing, but the continent is, and they have got all the markets."

In June 2016 the UK voted to leave the European Union. The UK officially left the European Union at the end of January this year.

Britain is currently in a transition period until the end of 2020 with the EU while the Government negotiates a free trade deal with the bloc.

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Brexit Boost: UK to regain former greatness after giving up fleet to join Europe - Daily Express

Shares of Tencent plunge after Trump’s executive order on TikTok and WeChat – CNBC

President Donald J. Trump stops to talk to reporters as he walks to board Marine One and depart from the South Lawn at the White House in Washington on July 31, 2020.

Jabin Botsford | The Washington Post | Getty Images)

Shares of Hong Kong-listedTencentplunged 5.04% on Friday, after U.S. President Donald Trumpissued executive orders targeting Chinese apps WeChat and TikTok.

WeChatis owned by Chinese tech giant Tencent, while short-video-sharing app TikTok's parent company ByteDance is based in Beijing.

Other Chinese technology companies were not spared, and many of them closed the trading day lower.

Shares of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation in Hong Kong plunged 8.7%.Smartphone maker Xiaomi's stock fell 3.02%, while Hong Kong-listed shares of telecommunications firm ZTEdeclined 2.58%. Chinese tech juggernaut Alibaba also saw its shares in Hong Kong declining 3.04%.

The Hang Seng Tech index, whichtracks the 30 largest technology companies listed in Hong Kong that pass the screening criteria, also fell 2.51% to close at 7,386.66. In mainland China, the Nasdaq-style start-up board Chinext slipped 2.065% on the day to about 3,059.87.

Trump on Thursday issued executive orders banning any U.S. transactions with Chinese tech firms Tencent and ByteDance. The ban will take effectin 45 days andcould attract retaliation from Beijing.

The repercussions of Trump's order on Tencent may ring beyond just WeChat,China's most popular messaging app. The Chinese tech juggernaut is also a titan in the video gaming space, with stakes in companies such as Activision Blizzard and Riot Games (the firm behind "League of Legends").

The latest development comes as tensions between Beijing and Washington ratchet up, with both sides imposing retaliatory measures on each other, such as the closure of consulates in Houston stateside and the Chinese city of Chengdu.

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said earlier this week that theTrump administration wants to see"untrusted" Chinese appslike WeChat and TikTok removed from U.S. app stores.

Pompeo detailed a new five-pronged "Clean Network" effort aimed at curbing potential national security risks and said because those apps have parent companies based in China, there were "significant threats to personal data of American citizens, not to mention tools for Chinese Communist Party content censorship."

Meanwhile, Microsoft is in talks with ByteDance to acquire TikTok's business in the U.S., Canada, Australia and New Zealand within the next three weeks, ahead of a Sept. 15 deadline.

CNBC's Saheli Roy Choudhury contributed to this report.

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Shares of Tencent plunge after Trump's executive order on TikTok and WeChat - CNBC

Trump Loses Bid to Add Fourth Debate with Biden in Early September – Voice of America

WASHINGTON - U.S. President Donald Trump's reelection campaign on Thursday lost its bid to add a fourth debate with Democratic challenger Joe Biden in early September.

In rejecting the request, the Commission on Presidential Debates said it remains committed to the current schedule of three 90-minute debates beginning in late September.

It would only add a fourth debate, or move an existing debate to earlier in the month, if both sides in the campaign for the November 3 election agreed to it, it said.

Trump's personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani had asked for either a fourth debate in the first week of September or for the first debate to be moved up from September 29 because voters in some states would already be able to cast votes before then.

The commission said voters will have a choice whether to watch a debate before casting a ballot, adding voters "are under no compulsion to return their ballots before the debates."

Trump, a Republican, is trailing Biden in most national opinion polls.

The battleground state of North Carolina is scheduled to begin sending out mail-in ballots to registered voters who requested them on September 4, with several other states to follow in September. A massive surge in mail-in voting is expected because of fears the coronavirus may spread at public polling places.

In a response to the commission, Giuliani said the campaign was "disappointed" by the rejection and still believed Americans deserve to see the candidates "compare their records and visions for the United States before actual voting begins.

The Biden campaign said it was pleased Trump had accepted the commission invitation to debate.

"As we have said for months, the commission will determine the dates and times of the debates, and Joe Biden will be there," Biden campaign spokesman TJ Ducklo said.

The commission has organized three debates and one vice presidential debate during each presidential campaign since 2000. The presidential debates are set for September 29 in Ohio, October 15 in Florida and October 22 in Tennessee.

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Trump Loses Bid to Add Fourth Debate with Biden in Early September - Voice of America

Trumps economic comeback is becoming a slowdown and likely a stall-out – POLITICO

And while Trump has promised a big jobs number on Friday, the unemployment rate is likely to stay above 10 percent, a daunting figure for any incumbent president and higher than the worst level of the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009.

The Covid crisis that slammed the U.S. in March and shuttered much of the economy wiped out tens of millions of jobs, erasing gains from the last decade and digging a hole that may take years to escape. And the pace of hiring slowed in recent weeks amid a rise in Covid cases in many states and deep uncertainty among employers about whether and when to bring back laid off or furloughed workers.

The economy has largely gone sideways since mid-June, as the re-intensification of the virus has forced about half the nations states to either backtrack or pause their business reopenings, said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moodys Analytics. It is critical that lawmakers agree to another substantial fiscal rescue package before Congress goes away on its August recess for the fragile economy to avoid backsliding into recession.

Some analysts even suspect that July could show little to no job gains. Others believe the real hit from the latest Covid flareups may not show up until the August employment numbers come out in early September. Either way, economic data suggest hiring is slowing down.

I expect no change in total employment and an increase to 11.5 percent in the unemployment rate, said Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at financial consulting firm RSM U.S. The array of alternative data that we now have at hand all imply U.S. household consumption, hiring and the economy started to stall in mid to late June.

Brusuelas said another round of fiscal aid is absolutely critical to the economy. If the talks fail, the political sector is creating the conditions for at best a double dip recession or much longer downturn than would occur otherwise.

As of now, prospects for a deal out of Congress seem dim. Members left town this week with no agreement and the White House is now talking about trying to push through executive orders to extend further economic relief measures including a controversial effort to unilaterally expand enhanced jobless benefits that expired at the end of last month.

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Democrats want those benefits maintained at an extra $600 per week while Republicans initially offered an additional $200 per week, or 70 percent of a persons previous salary. Despite job gains in recent months, more than 32 million Americans received some type of unemployment insurance in the week ended July 18, a figure that represents about 20 percent of the entire American labor force.

The concern among economists is that if the rate of rehiring really does slow down, the absence of extra relief measures will further erode consumer confidence and spending and then make employers even less likely to hire, given the drop in demand.

Thats the kind of self-reinforcing cycle that could turn the current recovery into a double-dip recession. And a poor jobs report on Friday could finally start to dent a remarkably resilient stock market that has regained most of the ground lost after Covid hit the U.S., partly due to extraordinary interventions by the U.S. Federal Reserve to provide easy credit and the multiple economic aid packages from Congress.

If the number surprises on the downside and the unemployment rate doesnt dip below 11 percent then we could see a market pullback on the news, Brian Price, head of investment management for Commonwealth Financial Network, said in a note to clients. After economic indicators mostly improved in May and June as states began to reopen, some have begun to slide back down in ways that are likely to give employers pause about adding back significant numbers of workers.

Consumer confidence as measured by the Conference Board sank in July to a reading of 92.6, above the crisis-low of 85.7 but well below the 132.6 hit in February, a near 20-year high.

The out-of-control pandemic has also further spooked consumers, particularly baby boomers in their 50s-70s who are particularly fearful for their health, said Zandi. Businesses are also reluctant to meaningfully expand their operations given the over-the-top uncertainty created by the pandemic. The economy is unlikely to go anywhere fast until the pandemic is over; that is, there is an effective vaccine that is widely distributed and adopted.

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Trumps economic comeback is becoming a slowdown and likely a stall-out - POLITICO

Donald Trump says hes done fantastic job on coronavirus in interview with Cleveland radio show – cleveland.com

CLEVELAND, Ohio Republican President Donald Trump in a Thursday interview with a Cleveland radio station shirked responsibility for the current status of the coronavirus pandemic, instead blaming China and the governors across the country.

During a roughly 40-minute interview on Geraldo in Cleveland hosted by Geraldo Rivera on WTAM, Trump assessed the job he was doing as fantastic, saying that if he is re-elected, things will go back to normal quickly. Thats as coronavirus cases and deaths remain elevated in states across the country, including Ohio.

Trump didnt say if he would do anything differently, but said governors run their states, blamed China for letting the virus escape its borders and assessed his performance as fantastic.

We shouldnt have lost one person. This should have been stopped by China, Trump said. They stopped it from going into China and they didnt stop it from going into Europe and the rest of the world. Its one of those things thats just terrible. They should have never let it come out of China. They stopped it going into China but they didnt stop it from going out into the world.

Trump didnt address Ohio specifically throughout the interview except to briefly say Gov. Mike DeWine, a Republican, was doing a good job as governor. But the disease has surged across the state starting at the beginning of July.

In all likelihood, the state will hit 100,000 cases easily within the next week. More than 3,500 Ohioans have died at a clip of 25 daily over the last three weeks.

The country as a whole is approaching 5 million cases. More than 159,000 people have died from coronavirus complications. The United States accounts for more than 20% of the reported deaths worldwide, according to figures from Johns Hopkins University.

Trump said other countries were lying about their coronavirus figures.

We see whats happening by satellite, Trump said. They dont report.

Trump said he expected things to rapidly get better by the Nov. 3 election, including the possibility of a vaccine. Trump said he wasnt rushing a vaccine to help his re-election prospects.

Trump is visiting Ohio today. The president is flying into Cleveland where he will be greeted by DeWine, who canceled his Thursday coronavirus briefing to make the trip to Cleveland. Trump will then head to Clyde to visit the Whirlpool factory and give remarks. Later this evening, Trump will be in Bratenahl for a fundraiser.

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Donald Trump says hes done fantastic job on coronavirus in interview with Cleveland radio show - cleveland.com

The Story Behind TIME’s ‘Plague Election’ Donald Trump Cover – TIME

For the cover of the Aug. 17, 2020 issue of TIME, longtime collaborator Tim OBrien revisited his award-winning series depicting the mounting troubles facing President Trump. The new cover is the fourth installment and the first to depart the Oval Office, painting Trump at sea surrounded by COVID-19, as the White House recedes from view. It accompanies a cover story by TIME national correspondent Molly Ball on the ways the pandemic is transforming the 2020 election.

For the past year, Ive been pondering one more cover in the series, but there was always a new intervening controversy, scandal, social upheaval, or norm-crushing tweet to change the story, says OBrien, a Brooklyn artist who has been creating TIME covers for more than 30 years.

The first three covers in the series featured Trump inside the Oval Office as rainstorms gathered inside: Nothing to See Here (Feb. 27, 2017), Stormy (April 23, 2018) and In Deep (Sept. 3, 2018). The Stormy cover was named 2018 Cover of the Year by AdWeek and received a Gold medal from the Art Directors Club.

The rising water as a metaphor for chaos in the Trump White House could only end two ways, adds OBrien, who has painted more TIME covers (32 and counting) than any artist in the past 50 years. So he survives only to be in the surging waves surrounded by coronavirus, each one a little bomb.

OBriens work has appeared in publications around the world, as well as on several U.S. postage stamps including the popular Hunger Games trilogy. Two of his TIME magazine covers one with Bill Clinton and Bob Dole and the other with the Grand Old Populists, both published in 1996 reside in the National Portrait Gallery at the Smithsonian in Washington, D.C.

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The Story Behind TIME's 'Plague Election' Donald Trump Cover - TIME

Trump’s dream of a ‘V’ recovery is hanging in the balance of stimulus talks – CNBC

As the White House has continued to push a narrative of a sharp recovery after a history-making recession, the economic data in large part has not been cooperating.

Jobs numbers of late are showing progress but pointing to at best a gradual recovery. The sharp uptick in coronavirus cases appears to be have ebbed but not by enough to generate confidence to get activities anywhere close to normal again.

And perhaps most importantly, a persistent inability of Congress and the White House to agree on more rescue funding threatens to push those still reeling from virus-related impacts further down the ladder.

"Dreams of a V-shaped recovery are long gone," Beth Ann Bovino, U.S. chief economist at S&P Global, said in a note. "The economic cycle feels more like we are riding a wave fueled by COVID-19 with only quarantines, federal stimulus, and advances from the medical community keeping our personal health and economic recovery afloat."

Bovino estimated a 30%-35% chance of a "wipeout" that could see "this fragile recovery falling back into recession."

That runs counter to the message from President Donald Trump's economic team.

National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow has touted the potential of a V-shaped recovery no fewer than four times over the past month, either on CNBC or elsewhere. As recently as last week, he told CNN the "V-shaped recovery is in place."

Economists generally do see a sharp snapback in activity for the third quarter after Q2's stunning 32.9% drop in GDP as measured if the current pace kept up for four quarters.

Still, the ability to keep up a gain that could exceed 20% for the July through September period is being called into question.

"With virus fears on the rise, jobs being lost and incomes squeezed, the second phase of the recovery will be more challenging," wrote James Knightley, chief international economist at ING. "In the absence of a timely and substantial fiscal package we should be braced for the threat of weaker employment and spending numbers, which will provide a major test for financial market optimism on the 'V' shaped recovery."

To be sure, some of the high-frequency data has been looking better.

Jefferies tracks a variety of these markers, such as retail foot traffic, public transportation use and employee hours at small businesses, and found that activity has resumed to 60.5% of the normal pace as measured by 2019 data points, which is the highest level of the pandemic recovery.

Markets also continue to look through the present circumstances and are pricing in a return to strength in the U.S. economy.

"The resurgence in COVID-19 infections and the upturn in unemployment claims raises the question of our call for a V-shaped economic recovery. While the deterioration in progress against the pandemic is saddening, we remain convinced the recovery will not be materially altered," wrote Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management.

"We never thought the V-shaped recovery would be characterized by straight lines and a lack of hiccups given the vast unknowns and forecasting complexity surrounding the virus. Rather, our outlook is based simply on the realities of math and the direction of travel," Shalett said.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell last week said the recovery is largely dependent on the virus.

However, economists also think that the political calculus and how that translates into more rescue funding also will be critical.

"Given our crazy politics, which are particularly crazy given the election, there is a nonzero probability they fall short," Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, said regarding the relief negotiations. "Depending on how short will determine whether the economy will gain some traction or slide into a depression."

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Trump's dream of a 'V' recovery is hanging in the balance of stimulus talks - CNBC

Trump says he’s in favor of plan to give $25 billion more to struggling airline industry – CNBC

President Donald Trump on Wednesday expressed support for a plan to provide another $25 billion in federal aid to U.S. airlines, which have been devastated by the coronavirus pandemic.

Bipartisan support is building for the additional aid for one of the sectors hardest hit by the coronavirus. U.S. airlines have warned more than 70,000 of their workers that their jobs are at risk when the current round of aid expires in the fall.

More than a dozen Republican senators earlier Wednesday said theybacked the extension of aid for U.S. carriers to support their payrolls while travel demand remains limited because of the virus, causing mounting financial losses.The new proposal, which comes as Congress wrestles with how to put togetheranother national coronavirus reliefpackage, already has support from the majority of the House.

"I think it's very important that we keep the airlines going," Trump said in a White House press briefing when asked whether he supported the proposal for the extension of the aid. "We don't want to lose our airlines. If they're looking at that, whether they're Republican or Democrat, I'd be certainly in favor. We can't lose our transportation system."

Congress set aside $25 billion to U.S. passenger carriers in the $2.2 trillion CARES Act in March on the condition that they wouldn't cut jobs through Sept. 30. The new proposal would extend those protections through the end of March 2021.

Airline shares gained in postmarket trading after Trump's comments withAmerican Airlinesup close to 6% while United Airlinesand Delta Air Lineseach trading more than 3% higher.

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Trump says he's in favor of plan to give $25 billion more to struggling airline industry - CNBC