Global population hits 8 billion soon, but shrinks by 2100 – Big Think

Rush hour in Mumbais CSMT station. By centurys end, Indias current population of 1.4 billion may shrink to just 1 billion. (Credit: Bhushan Koyande / Hindustan Times via Getty Images)

Humanity is hardly an exclusive club. No secret handshake required. On November 15th, the United Nations predicts that well be adding our eight billionth (living) member.

This is an alarming milestone to some, not just because of the numbers sheer magnitude imagine Londons 90,000-seater Wembley Stadium, squared but also due to the breakneck speed at which weve reached it. After all, it took us all of human history up to 1804 to reach our first billion. And then we needed just 123 years to get to the second one.

That was in 1927. Less than a century on, that figure has now quadrupled. But population growth is no runaway train. The global fertility rate has been dropping since 1964, down from 5 births per woman to just under 2.5 today.

As a result, the speed of population growth has already plateaued. Since 1960 when we achieved our third billion weve added billions at a stable interval, of about one every 12 to 14 years. The UN Population Division projects that those intervals will get longer again after billion number eight, and humanity will hit its peak numerically speaking at least by the end of the century, at just under 11 billion.

The ensuing population crunch will of course cause a bunch of worries and problems of its own. Yet knowing that the curve will eventually tilt downward is a welcome bit of good news. It marks a refreshing change from other, more intractable threats to our continued existence, like climate change, nuclear proliferation, and resource depletion.

All of this serves as a long-winded introduction to a remarkable realization: Instead of preludes to disaster, maps like these may become objects of future curiosity. A century or two from now, our successors, inhabiting a less crowded planet, may study them and marvel, Look how many we once were!

These are not maps in the strictest sense; they are in fact complex pie charts, showing the relationship between populations of individual nations, regions, and continents to each other, and to the whole.

As alternatives to purely territorial maps, they offer surprising insights. A classic example is the fact that Russia, the largest country in the world, has a population considerably smaller than Bangladesh, that comparatively tiny country jammed in between India and the Bay of Bengal. However, as mere snapshots, these charts say nothing about the growth or decrease of the pie and its pieces. Russias population is shrinking, while Bangladeshs is still growing, so the discrepancy between both will continue to increase.

Perhaps more relevant to the geopolitics of the future, India and China now roughly equivalent at about 1.4 billion each will shrink, but at a very different rate. By 2100, the UN predicts there could be as few as 500 million Chinese, while there still would be about one billion Indians.

So, what do these snapshots of global population at the cusp of our eight billionth member tell us?

At a global level, this is an Asian planet. All the other continents combined dont even come close. On its own, Asia (4.7 billion) represents 58% of humanity. Second-placed Africa (1.4 billion) constitutes 17.5%, followed by Europe (750 million, 9%), North America (602 million, 7.5%) and South America (439 million, 5.5%). Oceania at 44 million is barely 0.5%.

This chart makes a neat distinction between North Africa (257 million in total), mostly Muslim and largely Arab, and the ethnically and culturally distinct sub-Saharan part of the continent (1.2 billion in total). Egypt (107 million) dominates the north (and indeed the entire Arab world). Ethiopia (118 million) and Nigeria (218 million) are the population hotspots below the Sahara.

These three are the only countries with populations over 100 million, but as Africa is the continent predicted to have the lions share of future population growth this century, that club is likely to expand. The DR Congo (96 million) is the most likely first candidate.

Credit: Visual Capitalist

Asia is vast, allowing for regional population superpowers like Turkey (86 million) and Iran (87 million) in the Middle East (373 million in total) and Indonesia (280 million) and the Philippines (113 million) in Southeast Asia (686 million in total). But the longest shadows are cast by not-so-neighborly neighbors India and China (both about 1.4 billion). What will happen when, as mentioned above, their population sizes start to diverge toward the end of this century?

Russia (146 million) is Europes most populous nation, but not by as big a margin as China in Asia (or the U.S. in North America). Combined, Germany (84 million) and France (66 million) have more people. Those two countries represent most of Western Europe (198 million in total), as Italy (60 million) and Spain (47 million) dominate Southern Europe (152 million in total), and the UK (69 million) Northern Europe (107 million in total). Added up, these so-called Big Five countries represent 44% of Europes total population and the bulk of its economy.

Representing well over half the continents population, the U.S. (335 million) dominates North America (507 million in total) just as it does on a normal (geographical) map. For once, however, Mexico (132 million) is much larger than Canada (37 million). Guatemala (19 million) has the largest population in Central America (52 million in total), and Haiti (12 million) is the population superpower of the Caribbean (44 million in total), edging out Cuba and the Dominican Republic (both 11 million).

Curiously, this chart of South America looks a bit like the map of South America. Thats because Brazil (216 million) takes up about half the continent, both in terms of area and population. Colombia (54 million) is South Americas second-most populous country, but by a very long margin. Only Argentina (46 million) is in roughly the same league.

Oceania is the least populous continent (44 million, which is about as much as Greater Tokyo). In that little pond, Australia is the biggest fish (26 million, or close to 60% of the total). Second? Not New Zealand (5 million), but Papua New Guinea (9 million). No other Oceanian country or territory has more than a million inhabitants; Fiji (911,000) comes closest.

Do those 8 billion people add up to a world overflowing with humans? Lets correct the navel-gazing so typical of our species and appreciate the wider perspective.

The chart on the left represents the Earths entire biomass (that is, the total weight of all living organisms), which adds up to 545.2 Gt C. (Gt C stands for gigatons of carbon, and 1 gigaton is 1015 grams, 1 billion metric tons, or 2.2 trillion pounds.)

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Most of our planets biomass is made up of plants (450 Gt C, or 82.5%). The second-largest is bacteria (70 Gt C, or 12.8%), followed by fungi (12 Gt C, or 2.2%). Animals (which include us) make up just 2 Gt C (0.2%). The chart on the right isolates the animal kingdom, half of which is made up of arthropods (1 Gt C). The second-largest phylum are fish (0.7 Gt C, or 35%). Humans (0.06 GtC) represent no more than 3% of animal biomass (and 0.01% of total biomass).

Thats less than half compared to all the worlds mollusks. But then again, those mollusks dont all want a car, a fridge, and a million other things all wrapped in plastic.

Strange Maps #1174

Population graphs are here at Visual Capitalist.

Biomass graphs are here at PNAS, the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

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Global population hits 8 billion soon, but shrinks by 2100 - Big Think

Humans Have Wiped Out 70% Of Animal Populations Since 1970, Study Finds – Plant Based News

There has been a huge human-driven loss of species in the last 50 years, new research has found.

The Living Planet Report, which is published every two years by the WWF and Zoological Society of London (ZSL), found that wildlife populations have declined by an average of 69 percent between 1970 and 2018. Two years ago, the figure was at 68 percent. Four years ago, it was 60 percent.

The report says that the total loss is equivalent to losing the human populations of Europe, the Americas, Africa, Oceania, and China.

The staggering rate of decline is a severe warning that the rich biodiversity that sustains all life on our planet is in crisis, putting every species at risk including us, the report states.

The new report is its most comprehensive to date on trends in global biodiversity and the health of our planet.

The authors are urging world leaders to reach an ambitious agreement at this years COP15 biodiversity summit, which takes place in Canada in December.

The climate and nature crisis is not only an environmental issue but an economic, development, security, social, moral and ethical issue too, the report says. Our worlds most vulnerable people, places, and wildlife and those least responsible for the climate and nature crisis are at greatest risk, and already suffering.

The report found that the Caribbean and Latin America including the Amazon have all seen the biggest decline. Wildlife populations have decreased an average of 94 percent in these areas in 48 years.

Speaking about the losses in the Amazon, Mark Wright, Director of Science at WWF, told Plant Based News (PBN), referred to agricultural-related deforestation. We know that the Amazon is critical in our fight against climate change if we lose the Amazon we will lose the climate fight, he said.

The most important decisions about the future of the Amazon will be made by the Brazilian government but its important that other countries, including the UK, ensure that all products, whether food or gold, linked to deforestation are removed from product supply chains.

The report also found that Africa has lost 66 percent, Asia and the Pacific 55 percent, and North America 20 percent. Europe and Central Asia both lost 18 percent.

The report states that land use change is the key driver of biodiversity loss.

At a global level, primarily the declines we are seeing are driven by the loss and fragmentation of habitat driven by the global agricultural system and its expansion into intact habitat converting it to produce food, Mike Barrett, executive director of science and conservation at WWF-UK, told the Guardian.

Another 2021 report published by the UN previously identified agriculture as a primary driver of biodiversity loss. It stated that the world needs to move toward a plant-heavy diet to combat the problem.

Animal agriculture has also previously been found to be responsible for around 91 percent of Amazon deforestation. This is due to the vast amounts of land needed to rear livestock, particularly cattle.

The UN report found that, in order to preserve biodiversity, we need to avoid converting land for agriculture.

Human dietary shifts are essential in order to preserve existing native ecosystems and restore those that have been removed or degraded, it added.

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Humans Have Wiped Out 70% Of Animal Populations Since 1970, Study Finds - Plant Based News

Being in India more critical than ever: Ericssons Mirtillo | Mint – Mint

NEW DELHI : Being in India is more critical than ever for Ericsson, Nunzio Mirtillo, head of South East Asia, Oceania and India, said in an interview. The South Asian market, among the top five regions globally for the company, is expected to not only solidify its position but also move at a faster pace, by at least three to four times, in the adoption of 5G compared to other global markets such as the US and Japan.

Mirtillo said Ericsson will scale up investments to manufacture network gear in India to meet local demand, ramp up supply chains, and increase headcount and research and development. He said captive private networks on 5G will drive additional revenue, and the company will create a separate unit to explore deals in India. Edited excerpts:

How is the Indian market looking now with operators speeding up 5G rollouts, perhaps at a faster pace than global peers?

The Indianpopulation has proven to be very willing to use technology and super willing to innovate, which is an environment perfect for 4G or 5G. For example, in India, consumers are more willing to go from 4G to 5G than in other countries where 5G has been launched, two or three times more. With this kind of environment and facts, the operators will accelerate 5G even more because they understand that people appreciate the quality.

At Ericsson, we have always been looking at India as a big market. Earlier, it was a scale market where you needed to be competitive cost-wise with reliable products, and then you could get access to big volumes of India. That was the case till a few years back with GSM and 3G. But nowadays, thats not good enough.

What has changed?

Now, you also need the best possible technology because demand in India is second to none. So, you cant go halfway. India is among the top markets, not only in revenue but in importance, which will require Ericsson to continue to excel in technology and cost.

So, by being successful in India, obviously, we will get revenue from India, and we will get the volumes in India. It will also make us successful as a company beyond India. And that is exactly why for us, its so important more than ever.

What are the distinct factors that make India an attractive market for 5G?

At Ericsson, we have always considered India a big market. For 5G, I dont think its late; its perfect and right on time because now technology is mature, its optimized, and its great cost per quality. We have 22,000 people working for Ericsson in India, where a few thousand are working for India, and the others are working in India for the rest of the world. So, the biggest community of 5G competence maybe is in India, working already for 5G networks. Second, it is a successful country. It is set for innovation. The government is driving an agenda that is music for our ears, as we say internally. Its just the right place to be in.

So, will you be scaling up investments here?

Absolutely, yes. We will continue to scale with our partners. One area is our supply chain and manufacturing, we are doing it with our partnerJabil, and we will continue to scale to ensure that we can serve the demand coming from India. We will continue to invest in local capability in the global centre for R&D.

Whats the impact of component shortage for gear markers like yourself?

That has not affected us because I think we have been planning well. It has never been an easy job to make sure that the supply chain is geared up in the past few years, and it will be the same going forward as well.

How big can the 5G private captive network market be in India for Ericsson?

There will be a great growth market for private networks because 5G is now a technology that is reliable, safe with superb capacity and latency better than good enough to replace all physical problems.

So, we see a big opportunity for many companies in the industry to go mobile rather than keep their own fixed infrastructure. We have created a new unit, called Business Area Enterprise Wireless Solutions, which takes care of the B2B and B2B2C business when it comes to private network solutions which are based on our acquisition of Cradlepoint, which provides B2B, Plug and Play cloud-based solutions to provide mobile access to SMEs or big companies like RedHat or others. It extends to all (markets), and were exploring India too.

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The Fiji Times The rise of Fijiana – Fiji Times

The Fiji womens national 15s team has taken global rugby by storm, especially in their biggest-ever tournament in New Zealand, the womens Rugby World cup.

World Rugby spoke to Fijiana captain Sereima Leweniqila who said her team had nothing to lose.

She could have easily added, and everything to gain; however, in just getting to a Rugby World Cup for the first time, Fijiana have already gained a lot, and in a short space of time.

Remember this is a team that went 10 years without playing, between its second Test in 2006 to its third in 2016.

Even in their own country, womens rugby, at best, was not seen as a priority, and at worst, something not to be encouraged.

Opportunities to play at any level were scarce

But a mind shift around gender equality, supported by a number of initiatives from the Fiji Rugby Union, Oceania Rugby and World Rugby and the work of tireless administrators such as World Rugby Womens Executive Leadership Scholarship recipient Vela Naucukidi, have helped to change outdated perceptions and more girls and women are playing the sport than ever before.

A successful national team is also a big driver for participation and, in Fijiana, those back on the islands now have role models to aspire to.

Likewise, rugby as a whole couldnt wish for better ambassadors than Fijiana, their popularity making them everyones favourite second team at Rugby World Cup 2021.

In the six years since their reintroduction, Fijiana have leapt up the rankings and are now on the verge of breaking into the worlds top 20 for the first time.

Do well in New Zealand and that will certainly be the case.

You do wonder how much further down the line theyd have been if theyd not effectively lost two years worth of development as a team due to COVID-19.

After qualifying for Rugby World Cup via the Oceania Rugby Womens Championship at the end of November 2019, for example, Fiji did not play again until May 2022.

Making history

In the meantime, though, the Fiji womens 7s team continued to cause a stir by winning the bronze medal at the Tokyo Olympics.

And then, on the eve of Fijianas return to the Test arena, their development team, the Fijiana Drua, won the prestigious Super W competition in Australia at the first attempt.

The Fijiana Drua took the elite womens competition by storm, finishing an unbeaten campaign with a 32-26 win over four-time holders, the Waratahs, in the final.

That moment and all the other milestones on their remarkable journey to Rugby World Cup 2021 have been captured on film through a brilliant behind-the-scenes documentary, Lets Play.

In episode 1, The rise of Fijiana. How a country that shunned womens rugby went on to conquer Super W and Oceania, viewers get to see what it took for them to go from complete obscurity to being the team on everyones lips.

The next episode picks up this most remarkable of stories by taking you through the teams rigorous Rugby World Cup 2021 preparations and the pain that the players went through pounding the historic sand dunes in Sigatoka.

In the third and final episode, viewers are transported to Suva, the capital of Fiji, where Fijiana play their last game before departing for New Zealand a 24-7 defeat to Canada.

While on paper that result looks nothing special, to only lose by 17 points to a team ranked 18 places higher puts into perspective how far they have come.

And the bad news for their rivals around the world is that they are not done yet.

This journey is like our culture, we believe that nothing is impossible so, yeah, we are ready to get out there, said Leweniqila.

The Fijiana side faces South Africa in its second RWC pool match at 4.45pm today.

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The Fiji Times The rise of Fijiana - Fiji Times

Team Guam feels the heat in Bahrain | Guam Sports | postguam.com – The Guam Daily Post

The Guam Mens National Tennis Team lost to No.2-seeded Kuwait in its Davis Cup competition Monday in Isa Town, Bahrain.

Guam is hoping to get promoted out of the Asia/Oceania Group IV to Group III, the Guam Tennis Federation said in a press release. Only the top team advances to Group III.

The other teams in Group B, Guams group, are: Bahrain, Kuwait,Laos and Singapore.

Guams No. 2 singles player, Derek Okuhama lost to Qabazard Essa 6-2, 6-2. Camden Camacho, Guams No. 1 seed, fell to Alabdullah Bader 6-1, 6-1.

In doubles competition, Camacho and Danny Llarenas nearly took out Kuwaits Essa and Bader, but succumbed to the Middle Easterners 6-7 (5), 6-1, 6-7 (4).

Kuwait did not mess around, they played their No. 1 and No. 2 in the doubles, too, said Guam National Tennis Federation President and Davis Cup team captain Torgun Smith.

Smith applauded his doubles team for putting up a great fight.

Camacho, a former All-Island champion who played for the Father Duenas Memorial School Friars in the late 2010s, is a standout singles and doubles player for the NCAA Division III George Fox University in Newberg, Oregon, and was no longer used to intense, 95-degree heat. As the doubles match entered the third set, Camacho began cramping.

In the third set, Guam led 2-1 when the cramps set in. Despite the obvious pain and discomfort, the Guamanians won the next two games. As Guam led 4-1, the Kuwaitis leveled the match at 4-all. The next game, Guam held serve. With Kuwait serving at 4-5, Camacho and Llarenas arrived at match point but lost the game to level the match at 5-all.

Despite the disappointment of losing the match point, Team Guam bounced back.

With a chance to hold serve and go up 6-5, Camacho and Llarenas got off to a sluggish start, losing the first three points Love-40. But the Kuwaitis couldn't break Camachos serve and Guam led 6-5.

If no cramp, we would have taken the third set, Smith said.

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Team Guam feels the heat in Bahrain | Guam Sports | postguam.com - The Guam Daily Post

Potential clash could keep All Whites from playing in every international window in 2023 – Stuff

The All Whites may have to settle for playing in just four of the five international windows in 2023, due to a potential clash with the Oceania Olympic qualifying tournament.

A new national team coach to succeed Danny Hay is set to be appointed by Christmas and they will also take charge of the OlyWhites under-23 team, who will be hoping to make it to the Paris Olympics in 2024.

New Zealand Football chief executive Andrew Pragnell said the process of securing matches for the other four windows was underway while September remained up in the air.

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New Zealand Football is chasing matches in Europe for the All Whites in 2023.

There's a chance that that will be the OFC Olympic qualifiers so we will have to make some decisions there as to whether that will be the priority.

READ MORE:* Des Buckingham the obvious choice to succeed Danny Hay as All Whites coach* Danny Hay to finish as All Whites coach after review finds areas in need of improvement* All Whites' fixture list a blank slate as focus turns to 2026 Fifa World Cup cycle * All Whites captain Winston Reid grateful for 'special' farewell match at Eden Park

Those qualifiers will be contested by a squad of players born 2001 and onwards, with up to three older players able to be added for the Olympic tournament if they make it.

Four players with All Whites caps fall into that age-group midfielders Matt Garbett, Ben Old and Marko Stamenic and forward Ben Waine though its possible club commitments will keep them from taking part in qualifying.

Otherwise, Pragnell said, 2023 is looking great, with NZ Football actively chasing high-profile friendlies in Europe in June, October and November.

In March ideally we will play at home and we've followed the Uefa [Euro 2024 qualifying] draw really closely.

There are Europe prospects potentially for at least three of the windows.

The qualifiers for Euro 2024 feature seven groups of teams and that means there are teams with byes on each of the 10 matchdays in 2023.

In November 2019, the All Whites played the Republic of Ireland and Lithuania when they had byes for the same reason during Euro 2020 qualifying, losing 3-1 in Dublin and 1-0 in Vilnius.

Organising matches against similar opponents or higher-profile ones would give the new coach a series of big challenges in their first year in the job leading up to the 2026 World Cup in North America.

NZ Footballs ability to secure such fixtures will also be an indication of its level of support for the All Whites, something that became a flashpoint during the latter stages of Hays tenure, the end of which was announced this week following an independent review of the teams 2022 World Cup qualifying campaign.

England, France and Scotland are the most notable of the 14 teams with byes in October, with Belgium, Greece and Norway the most notable teams free in November.

Options will be more limited in June, as four of the 10 teams with byes that month will use the free matchdays to contest the finals of the 2023-23 Uefa Nations League.

Poland, Serbia and Sweden will be the three teams available in the first half of the window, with Azerbaijan, Czech Republic and Montenegro the three available in the second half.

There will be opportunities that could be explored elsewhere if nothing eventuates in Europe, with teams in Asia and North and Central America and the Caribbean also largely free in 2023.

Pragnell said NZ Football had sent offers out to potential opponents for a home match (or matches) in March.

I'll stay optimistic on it and in the event it doesn't eventuate, so be it, but we are going to push really hard to try and get every single window between now and 2026 filled and play at home at least once a year.

The All Whites played their first home match in almost four years in September, losing 2-0 to Australia in front of a 35,000-strong crowd at Eden Park, in what turned out to be Hays last match in charge.

If NZ Football does arrange a home match in March, it will be the first time they have played at home in two consecutive windows since November 2016 and March 2017, when they had World Cup qualifiers against New Caledonia and Fiji.

It will also be just the sixth time a team has visited New Zealand for a friendly since the All Whites last World Cup appearance, in South Africa in 2010.

The mens international windows in 2023 are all nine days long, starting on March 20, June 12, September 4, October 9 and November 13.

New Zealand is set to host at least 46 womens internationals next year, with the Fifa Womens World Cup being held there and in Australia in July and August.

A total of 29 matches will be played during that tournament, with another 13 to be played in and around the final qualifying play-off tournament in February, which features 10 teams chasing three spots.

There are likely to be friendlies for the Football Ferns in the windows starting April 3 and July 10 and there could also be friendlies between World Cup teams on the eve of the tournament.

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Potential clash could keep All Whites from playing in every international window in 2023 - Stuff

Real Viking History and the Imagined White Supremacist Past – Time

After New Zealand passed new gun laws this week, most automatic and semi-automatic weapons have become outlawed there as of Friday a swift response to the March 15 shootings in Christchurch that left 50 Muslim men, women and children dead at the hands of an alleged white supremacist terrorist. But guns werent the only weapon used by the shooter.

The shootings followed the release of materials some have called a manifesto but that has more accurately been called a media plan. In it are multiple medieval references, several involving medieval Vikings, which these days function as a signal to white supremacists. Along with much else from the European medieval world, the Viking past is part of the far rights standard visual and textual imaginary. That vision of a Viking world depends on contemporary digital and filmic popular culture such as the TV show Vikings and Viking-adjacent video games as well as on academic and historical sources.

But far-right Viking medievalism is not about historical accuracy. Rather, its used to create narratives. So, to resist the medieval narratives that activate violent hate, we must create counternarratives and to do that, we must understand the real Viking past and how it has been weaponized.

The term Viking possibly comes from the Old Norse word vkingr (sea warrior). As Stefan Brink and Neil Prices The Viking World describes, historically, it referred to seafaring groups who traversed the seas, oceans and rivers to raid, trade and colonize around the 10th and 11th centuries. They established settler colonies across the Mediterranean, Caspian, Black, Arctic and North Atlantic seas and waterways, maintaining a presence in regions ranging from present-day Russia and Europe to the Americas. Crucially, they were not homogeneous seafarers as is often imagined; they were multicultural and multiracial. But until recently, scholarly discussions of the Vikings in relation to race and a Global Middle Ages had been sidelined.

So where does the white supremacist vision of Viking genealogy come from?

Despite the fact that real Viking history was multicultural, academic medieval studies have historically been to blame for the upholding of that imaginary past.

In the 19th century, Romantic German nationalism metastasized into the Vlkish movement, which was interested in historical narratives that bolstered a white German nation state. The movement rewrote history, drawing on folklore such as that of Brothers Grimm, medieval epics and a dedication to racial white supremacy. Late 19th and early 20th-century scholars simultaneously drew from and reinforced this racialized imagination of the medieval past. Crucially, Vilhelm Grnbachs multi-volume work Vor Folket i Oldtiden (The Cultures of the Teutons) imagined an ancient Germanic genealogy that ran from Tacitus through the Middle Ages.

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German scholarly work during the eve of the Third Reich then added to this idea, with authors like Gustav Neckel and Bernhard Kummer blaming socialism, Jews and class revolutions for the decline of a Germanic race they saw descending from this Viking past. Another German scholar, Otto Hfler, who based his work on Grnbach, wrote of the Mnnerbunde, which the scholar Stefanie von Schnurbein has described as all-male warrior associations in so-called primitive societies. His take on Mnnerbund would become used as an explanation of the past and current Germanic race, and fueled the idea behind Nazi groups such as the SS and SA.

After World War II, despite the defeat of the Axis powers, these ideas didnt go away. Rather, they saw a resurgence in specific circles, including various far-right neo-pagan groups, like the Scandinavian Nordic Resistance Movement, known for their neo-Nazi violence. Grnbachs multivolume work, translated and available online, and the works of his contemporaries have also influenced current far-right extremists in Europe and North America.

This neo-pagan resurgence intersects with many facets of extremism today, from eco-fascism another term the Christchurch terrorist invoked to groups like the Odinists, who practice a form of white toxic masculinity based on the belief that the barbaric warriors of medieval Northern Europe functioned as a violent warrior comitatus. Odinists follow a neo-pagan medieval Scandinavian religion that is unacknowledged by the official Icelandic pagan religion, satr. The man who is accused of attacking two teenage girls (one in a hijab) and murdering Rick Best and Taliesin Myrddin Namkai-Meche in Portland, Ore., in 2017 has linked himself to the idea of Vinland, the concept of a Viking North America onto which an imaginary Odinist past has been superimposed.

Nor is this use of Old Norse and Viking history limited to specific alt-right subgroups. In fact, it is a generalized social fixture in these circles. For example, when researcher Patrik Hermansson went undercover among the denizens of this world, he attended gatherings where extremists drank mead from a traditional Viking horn and prayed to the Norse god Odin. The Viking past contributes to a medieval toolkit of language, allusion and symbolism used to transmit white supremacist messages.

Communities of color have in the past fought white supremacist medieval narratives at the grassroots by spreading their own counternarratives, from W.E.B. Du Bois creating an African-American vision of the medieval past in Dark Princess to the Asian Americans who pushed back against racist medievalism during the period of Chinese Exclusion. Scholars and historians not just medievalists must also interrogate their disciplines from the inside, setting the record straight about medieval race and the Global Middle Ages.

So far, however, the most widespread, concerted and effective way to fight back against this historical white supremacist Viking genealogy has come not from academics or journalists.

Rather, it has come from Taika Waititi, the indigenous Maori director and writer. His movie Thor: Ragnarok in which Thors hammer, a medieval item regularly brandished by extremists, is destroyed was a multiracial and postcolonial counternarrative to the white Viking narrative circulating through the alt-right digital ecosystem. After decades of building up the violent Viking vision, more such stories will be needed to disrupt this medieval machine.

Historians perspectives on how the past informs the present

Dorothy Kim is an Assistant Professor of Medieval Literature at Brandeis University. She was a Fulbright Fellow in Iceland.

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White Nationalism Is Mainstreaming Conspiracy Theories

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In Sept. 2022, President Joe Biden convened a summit called United We Stand to denounce the venom and violence of white nationalism ahead of the midterm elections. His remarks repeated the theme of his prime-time speech in Philadelphia on Sept. 1, 2022, during which he warned that Americas democratic values are at stake.

We must be honest with each other and with ourselves, Biden said. Too much of whats happening in our country today is not normal. Donald Trump and the MAGA Republicans represent extremism that threatens the very foundations of our republic.

While that message may resonate among many Democratic voters, its unclear whether it will have any impact on any Republicans whom Biden described as dominated and intimidated by former President Donald Trump or on independent voters who have played decisive roles in electionsand will continue to do so, particularly as their numbers increase.

Its also unclear whether Trump-endorsed candidates can win in general elections, in which they will face opposition not only from members of their own party but also from a broad swath of Democrats and independent voters.

What is clear is that this midterm election cycle has revealed the potency of conspiracy theories that prop up narratives of victimhood and messages of hate across the complex American landscape of white nationalism.

In my book, Homegrown Hate: Why White Nationalists and Militant Islamists Are Waging War on the United States, I detail how the white nationalist narrative of victimhood and particular grievances have gained traction to become ingrained in the present-day Republican Party.

I also examine four key strands of white nationalism that overlap in various configurations: religions, racism, conspiracy theories and anti-government views. Conspiracy theories allow white nationalists to depict a world in which Black and brown people are endangering the livelihoods, social norms and morals of white people.

In general, conspiracy theories are based on the belief that individual circumstances are the result of powerful enemies actively agitating against the interests of a believing individual or group.

Based on the interviews I conducted while researching my book, these particular conspiracy theories are convenient because they justify the shared white nationalist goal of establishing institutions and territory of white people, for white people and by white people. While conspiracy theories are not new and certainly not new to politics, they spread with increasing frequency and speed because of social media.

The great replacement theory is one such baseless belief that is playing a role in the anti-immigration rhetoric that is central to the 2022 strategies of many Republican candidates who are running for seats at all levels of government.

That theory erroneously warns believers of the threat that immigrants and people of color pose to white identity and institutions.

For months on the 2022 campaign trail, Republican Blake Masters, a venture capitalist who is running for a U.S. Senate seat in Arizona, has portrayed immigration at the U.S.-Mexico border as part of an elaborate plot by Democrats to dilute the political power of voters born in the United States.

What the left really wants to do is change the demographics of this country, Masters said in a video posted to Twitter last fall.

Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp is another Republican leader who decries what he calls the invasion of the southern border.

Aside from the inflammatory anti-immigration rhetoric, the conspiracy theory currently having the biggest impact on local, state and federal political campaigns across the country is Trumps Big Lie that he won the 2020 election.

Of the 159 endorsements Trump has made for proponents of the Big Lie, 127 of them have won their primaries in 2022. In addition, Republican candidates who align themselves with the Big Lie are also emerging victorious in races for state- and county-level offices whose responsibilities include direct oversight of elections.

On his social media site Truth Social, the former president quotes and spreads conspiracy theories from the quasi-religious QAnon. A major tenet of QAnon is the belief that the Democrats and people regarded as their liberal allies are a nefarious cabal of sexual predators and pedophiles.

Trump is not the only Republican politician who welcomes and spreads such disinformation.

Two of the most prominent politicians who have been linked to supporting QAnon are U.S. Reps. Lauren Boebert of Colorado and Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia, both of whom have been resoundingly endorsed by Trump.

The blatant use of conspiracy theories for political gain reflects the open embrace of white nationalism in not only the United States but also throughout Sweden, France, Italy and other parts of the world.

In my view, the conspiracy theories that drive the 2022 midterm campaigns reflect the global threat of hate around the world.

Sara Kamali, Professor, Creative Writing, University of California San Diego. This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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White Nationalism Is Mainstreaming Conspiracy Theories

Bitcoin Cash [BCH]: All you need to know before you write off this alt – AMBCrypto News

Sharing a statistically significant positive correlation with the leading coin Bitcoin [BTC], Bitcoin Cash [BCH] logged a decline in its price in the last week. According to data from the cryptocurrency analytics platform CoinMarketCap, the price per BCH coin fell by 8% in the past seven days.

Data from Santiment showed that the consistent decline in the price of the asset pointed to BCH distribution by investors.

Also, the surge in BCHs trading volume and the lack of a corresponding price rally during intraday trading hours on 13 October hinted at buyers exhaustion. As per CoinMarketCap, BCHs trading volume had rallied by 65% in the last 24 hours.

With the last seven days marked by a decline in BCHs price, buying pressure dropped in the last week on a daily chart. As a result, on 5 October, the assets Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Money Flow Index (MFI) fell below their respective neutral lines to pursue new lows.

At press time, the MFI inched toward the oversold region at 33.41. Following a similar progression, BCHs RSI rested at 41.79 at press time.

As sellers gradually overran the BCH market, a new bear cycle was initiated on 10 October. At press time, the Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) was made of red histogram bars with an intersection of the MACD line (blue) with the trend line (red) in a downtrend.

In addition, a look at the assets On-balance volume (OBV) confirmed that investors have heavily distributed BCH since 9 September. The indicator has since been on a downtrend, and the price has fallen by 15%.

While these key indicators have shown a decline in BCHs accumulation in the last week, a look at the assets Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) revealed a divergence with its price.

In the face of its falling price, BCHs CMF rested above the center line to post a positive value of 0.08. This typically represents a surge in buying pressure which usually precipitates a rally in the price of an asset.

However, as in the current market, a CMF/price divergence occurs when the price of a crypto asset trades at the oversold zone while its CMF continues to rise. This is usually taken as a buy signal, so traders looking to move against the market need to take note of this.

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Bitcoin Cash [BCH]: All you need to know before you write off this alt - AMBCrypto News

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Receives a Neutral Rating Tuesday: Is it Time to Jump Ship? – InvestorsObserver

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) gets a neutral rating from InvestorsObserver Tuesday. The Digital Money asset is down 1.48% to $109.59 while the broader crypto market is down 0.39%.

The Sentiment Score provides a quick, short-term look at the cryptos recent performance. This can be useful for both short-term investors looking to ride a rally and longer-term investors trying to buy the dip.

Bitcoin Cash price is currently below support. With support set around $109.98 and resistance at $111.92, Bitcoin Cash is potentially in volatile territory as selling pushes the crypto's price below recent support.

Bitcoin Cash has traded on low volume recently. This means that today's volume is below its average volume over the past seven days.

Due to a lack of data, this crypto may be less suitable for some investors.

Click here to unlock the rest of the report on Bitcoin Cash

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Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Receives a Neutral Rating Tuesday: Is it Time to Jump Ship? - InvestorsObserver

Altcoin: analysis of Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash – The Cryptonomist

This is a bit of a difficult period for altcoins.

It is enough to mention that since September, Bitcoins dominance has risen from 36% to 39%, while Ethereums has fallen from 19% to 16%.

A similar trend has occurred before, indeed during a bear market, when the price of Bitcoin tends to fall less than altcoins do. While this is true for Ethereum, it is even more true for other cryptocurrencies that have significantly less common and widespread real-world use.

One of the most successful altcoins during 2021 was Dogecoin (DOGE), currently ranked 10th overall by market capitalization, and 7th if stablecoins are excluded.

In October 2020, which was before the big bullrun of 2021 was triggered, its price was less than $0.003. As a matter of fact, in the case of DOGE, the bullrun was not triggered in November 2020, as it was for Bitcoin, but in January 2021, although as early as December 2020 it was back above $0.003.

It is worth mentioning that the previous high was $0.013 touched in January 2018, so in December 2020 it was still far below this threshold.

Indeed, it didnt manage to get back to the highs at the beginning of January either, because it stopped at $0.010, though it showed that the bullrun had begun for this cryptocurrency as well. At the end of January, there was the first major spike, with the price skyrocketing to $0.040, which is well above the previous all-time highs.

In February there was another spike that took the price to $0.070, while in March it remained steadily below $0.060.

It is important to note that this is also the current level, which is the level touched after the 2021 bubble burst. So this is precisely what should be taken as a reference. This is 360% higher than the level of the 2018 highs.

The curious thing is that after the bursting of the 2017/2018 bubble, the price of Dogecoin lost up to 87% in the subsequent bear market, and then in a very short time managed not only to recover, but to exceed the 2018 highs by 360%. This is a very interesting dynamic that seems to clearly show that there is a large and active community behind Dogecoin.

It is no coincidence that in 2021 Dogecoin was the most searched cryptocurrency in most US states.

Actually, in April 2021 the price of Dogecoin made a new spike that led it to record new all-time highs in May 2021, when it crossed the incredible $0.730 threshold, but that was an isolated pump due almost exclusively to the words of Elon Musk and his appearance on Saturday Night Live in the guise of the Dogefather.

Indeed, as early as the end of May it was back to $0.300, and has never again been able to even approach the $0.700 threshold. Until now it has practically done nothing but fall since 8 May 2021, so much so that the cumulative loss to date is a whopping 92%.

Nevertheless, it is worth pointing out that what happened in April and May 2021 was really a very anomalous, and in some ways unrepeatable, spike, so it would be better to take as a reference the price level touched in March 2021, before that anomalous spike. It is most likely no accident that the current price is perfectly in line with those March 2021 levels.

In light of this, it seems pretty unlikely that the price of Dogecoin could make another spike similar to that of April 2021, so it may struggle enormously to recover that -92% that now separates it from all-time highs.

A somewhat similar but even more resounding path is that taken by Shiba Inu (SHIB).

It now ranks 12th among cryptocurrencies with the largest market capitalization, separated from Dogecoin solely by Polkadot.

SHIBs 2021 spike has been very impressive. Before the bullrun began, its price was 0.00006 millionths of a dollar, or practically insignificant. By May 2021 it had spiked to 35 millionths, a jump of more than +5,000,000%.

Even that spike, as is easy to guess, was something abnormal and currently unrepeatable, so much so that the current price of 10 millionths is below that peak.

Whats more, it made a second spike between October and November, also in 2021, to an all-time high at 86 thousandths. In other words from the May peak to the November peak, it made an additional +145%.

So like for Dogecoin, it is probably not convenient to take the November peak as a reference, but the value of March 2021. The current price of SHIB is 88% lower than the November peak, but only 71% lower than the March peak.

Regarding the success of Shiba Inu, the same argument about Dogecoin applies regarding the community, but without Elon Musk. The fact that it only lost 71% from its March 2021 peak suggests that Shiba Inus community is perhaps as large and active as Dogecoins.

In contrast, for Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash, the argument changes, because they are two cryptocurrencies that enjoyed their greatest successes during the previous bullrun, namely that of 2017/2018.

Litecoin has now slipped into 22nd position by market capitalization, and although the all-time high price was recorded in May 2021, at $410, it was not much higher than the previous peak of $360 in December 2017.

On the contrary, after that 2017 peak, the price in the following years fell as low as $30, which is a level not much lower than the current $50.

Hence during 2021 the price of LTC has actually done nothing but return to 2017 levels, and during 2022 it is returning to late 2018 levels. In other words, it seems that this project has exhausted the upward momentum it had during the previous cycle, the one that ended in May 2020 with Bitcoins third halving.

Despite several attempts to revive it, it has really lost a lot of steam and especially a lot of interest from the community that supported it in 2017. It is by far one of the oldest altcoins, and perhaps its time has passed by now, unless it changes.

In the case of LTC, it seems to make perfect sense to take the all-time high of May 2021 as a reference, and given that the accumulated loss since then is 87% the future does not look particularly bright.

For Bitcoin Cash (BCH) the situation looks even worse, because during the 2021 bullrun it failed to approach the all-time high of 2017.

From the $3,700 touched five years ago, the price dropped to $77 in 2018, in a true vertical collapse.

During 2021, it managed to rise again but only to $1,500, less than half of its December 2017 value. The current value of $110 is not far from the 2018 lows, and is an impressive 97% below the all-time highs.

By now it has slipped to 33rd in market capitalization, and the project seems to have no momentum left to try to revive itself. Most likely the incredible spike of 2017, when it went from $300 to $3,700 in just four months, is not only not repeatable, but can also be considered a real anomaly.

Perhaps it is better to take as a reference the high of $1,500 touched in 2021, from which the cumulative loss so far is 92%.

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Altcoin: analysis of Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash - The Cryptonomist

Cardano: Here’s How Far ADA Has Moved with Glance at Top 15 Cryptos in 2017 – U.Today

A graphic posted by crypto analyst Lark Davis on the top 15 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization as of Oct.15, 2017, showed Cardano in the far 14th spot with a market capitalization of $779 million. XRP was ranked as the third largest cryptocurrency then, with a $10.17 billion market valuation.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, Dash, NEM, Monero, Neoand Bitconnect ranked in 4th to 10th places, respectively. IOTA, Ethereum Classicand Omisego ranked ahead of Cardano in the 11th, 12thand 13th spots, respectively.

Exactly five years later, a great "reshuffle" has been seen. Cardano now ranks as the 8th largest cryptocurrency with a market valuation of $12.69 billion, a nearly 1,500% increase in its market cap from 2017.

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Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, Dash, NEM, Monero, Neoand Bitconnect are nowhere near the top 10. Bitcoin Cash ranks as the 31st largest cryptocurrency.

Litecoin is currently the 20th largest crypto, NEO is the 65th largest, NEM is the 96th largest crypto assetand Bitconnect is nowhere to be found. Bitconnect was an open-source cryptocurrency that was connected to a high-yield investment program, a type of Ponzi scheme.

Due to the founders' exit scam and accompanying legal issues, Bitconnect (BCC) is no longer trading on any legitimate exchanges as Bitconnect collapsed in 2018. In terms of market value, IOTA is presently the 60th-largest cryptocurrency, whereas Ethereum Classic is the 23rd largest.

Cardano started as a federated network with just a few nodes over five years ago. Currently, Cardano has worked across five development themes (Byron, Shelley, Goguen, Basho, and Voltaire) with over 3,000 nodes and 6.4 million native tokens. The Vasil upgrade, ushering in the Babbage Era, was triggered on Sept.22.

Presently, Cardanoranks as the third largest proof-of-stake blockchain with a staking market cap of $9.89 billion. However, the ADA price remains undervalued at $0.39 per coin compared to other large blockchains and has often attracted criticism tothe network.

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Cardano: Here's How Far ADA Has Moved with Glance at Top 15 Cryptos in 2017 - U.Today

Using Taproot And FROST To Improve Bitcoin Privacy – Bitcoin Magazine

This is an opinion editorial by Dan Gould and Nick Farrow. Gould is a developer who worked on TumbleBit, PayJoin and Chaincase App and has been sponsored by Human Rights Foundation and Geyser Grants. Farrow is an Australian Bitcoin engineer best known for his open source payment processor SatSale.

Hey, I just got an invite to this hackathon in Malaysia, said Evan Lin, interrupting my flow over my laptop in the Taipei Hackerspace. That sounds magic, I snapped back. Can I come?

Id been smacking my head on the desk for weeks. Lin had been tearing apart my idea of what bitcoin privacy was. Its a private event, not your typical hackathon. I can ask.

One flight, two weeks, and six minutes of voice message logistics later, we were walking down durian-lined streets of Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, with Lloyd Fournier, ruminating over a shared passion to make bitcoin privacy stick. Now we were a team. We set out to upgrade Fedimint using half-polished cryptography, some scribbled-down notes, and then demo it at the first-ever Malaysian BitDevs meetup five days later.

Fournier had joined Nick Farrow to develop FROST, a new threshold cryptography that takes advantage of Taproot, in the months prior. Being a fountain of Bitcoin human resources, Fournier had also been working closely with Lin who is a Bitcoin Dev Kit (BDK) contributor. He and I had spent the last few weeks upgrading PayJoin privacy under fluorescent lights during the wee hours in Taipei, Taiwan, so wed established trust to jump in the deep end on a project together. Fourniers invitation was a step to the edge. To demonstrate the cutting edge cryptography to the world, we had to put FROST in an app. Fedimint had everyones eyeballs for its new threshold custody model. It was fit for the quest.

Self-custody is a novel, scary concept for most people. So many people store bitcoin in third-party custody on exchanges, leaving them exposed to censorship and indecent surveillance. Federated mints offer a third way: A federation of known guardians keep community funds safe. So how does it work?

Anyone can send bitcoin to a Fedimint in exchange for E-cash tokens. The guardians share custody of the communitys bitcoin in a multisignature wallet. The E-cash tokens are just some data: blind signatures redeemable for some amount of bitcoin later. Theyre superpowered banknotes. Submit a Lightning invoice and your E-cash tokens to peg out. You could get E-cash in a text and have the federation reissue signatures so nobody else can take it. The signatures are blinded, so it can be redeemed in total anonymity. Anyone can send E-cash to a Fedimint to get bitcoin.

In order to share custody between guardians, Fedimint uses legacy Bitcoin Script-based multisignature addresses. A threshold number of guardians sign in order to transfer funds. These funds are easy to spot on the blockchain since Script multisig writes the number of signers and the total number of guardians to the blockchain for anyone to see. Even though E-cash is anonymous, surveillance companies could identify peg-ins, peg-outs and cluster community funds. By harnessing Bitcoins latest upgrade, Taproot, our team solved this privacy issue by switching Script multisig to FROST.

FROST (Flexible Round Optimized Schnorr Threshold) is a powerful new kind of multisig that aggregates the key shares of federation members into a joint FROST key. To spend under this key, a threshold number of members must each produce a signature share. The shares are then combined to form a single signature that is valid under the joint FROST key. Members coordinate off chain. FROST transactions are indistinguishable from regular single-party Taproot spends, and so stop the creepy surveillance. On top of that, FROST allows for flexible federations, allowing new guardians to join without coordinating every member of the federation to generate new keys again.

Our first step was to understand how the federation reached a consensus each signing round. Fedimints consensus algorithm can tolerate bad behavior for up to a third of the federation and still reach consensus. It took a day on the white board to decode the consensus algorithm and another to configure the initial FROST key generation.

Coming to Fedimint consensus (picture supplied by authors)

We cheated key generation by doing it all in a single trusted devices memory. In best practice, a two-round ceremony keeps an individuals secret shares of the joint FROST key which only ever exists on that individuals device. The overall secret is never reconstructed.

We tested a peg-in transaction before we modified Fedimint wallet code and got perplexed. Because of a limitation of blind signatures, Fedimint E-cash tokens (akin to CoinJoin outputs), are limited to preset denominations so that each E-cash token transfer has an anonymity set. Waiting and waiting and waiting, Lin laughed that we must have messed something up.

Turns out, standard note denominations we set required the mint to generate around 300,000 signatures to issue enough E-cash to cover the peg-in amount. There are proposals to fix this by using anonymous credentials instead. We reset the mint to use much higher default denominations since we were just testing. Hackathons are for hacks, after all.

In a stroke of good luck, Bitcoiner Malaysia had just formed and was primed for their first event. Between the four of us hackers, a host of the largest Chinese bitcoin podcast and the scholar on track to earn the first Bitcoin Ph.D. in Malaysia, we planned to show our proof-of-work at BitDevs at the end of the week.

Our hardest task remained ahead of us: federated signatures. To produce a FROST share, signers must agree to common randomness, called nonces. In the case of Fedimint, the signers use consensus to agree on a unique nonce for each federation member joining a signing session. Then signing participants aggregate shares into a complete signature.

While we drafted our live demo for the meetup, we managed to get some nonce sharing semi-working and fixed some fee bugs too. Despite our hard work, dinner rolled around before our code worked. We crossed the threshold into the deepest hackathon territory huddled around the TV for triple-paired programming in Farrows hotel room.

With our tapwaters ready and Unreal Tournament soundboard cranked up, Fournier sat at the keyboard, while we hurled bug fixes, variable names and commands from the back seat. 1:30 a.m. rolled around and our eyelids were heavy. A few taps later, just like magic, the peg-out worked. Each signer would receive signature shares from the others and redeem anons E-cash in exchange for bitcoin. Flawless Victory rang out of the soundboard. We cheered in disbelief.

Except it did not work. The next day we ran the code and saw problems straight away. We only got lucky the night before. It worked only once out of three or four attempts. We combed over hackathon-quality code for hours. Well after lunch, we still worried wed have to cram in another late night. To our avail, we found the problem: a classic indexing error. At 5:00 p.m. FROSTimint was ready to present.

Once we circled up for BitDevs, locals took a self-described support group format for introductions. Fournier brought us back to reality with the technical. The inaugural meetup deliberated the future and foibles of custodians with delight. How would we choose guardians? Can they hold fractional reserves? Most importantly, how can my laksa noodle soup shop transcend fiat by using Fedimint?

This is a guest post by Dan Gould and Nick Farrow. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc. or Bitcoin Magazine.

Originally posted here:

Using Taproot And FROST To Improve Bitcoin Privacy - Bitcoin Magazine

A Decade of Breast Cancer at the Molecular Level: Pioneering Personalized Medicine – Targeted Oncology

Breast cancer treatment options have significantly expanded in the past decade, welcoming new classes of agents as well as treatments directed at specific patient populations (TIMELINE).

Many believe that these advancements in breast cancer care over the past 10 years owe much to the increased understanding of molecular factors contributing to breast cancer pathogenesis and heterogeneity.1-3

In looking back at the past decade of targeted therapy in breast cancer, Targeted Therapies in Oncology (TTO) spoke with 2 medical oncologists with extensive expertise in breast cancer about how biomarker advancements have transformed the practice of breast cancer management.

I think its fair to say that breast cancer in particular has led the way in molecular therapeutics in oncology, Dennis J. Slamon, MD, director of clinical/translational research at the UCLA Jonsson Comprehensive Cancer Center, told TTO. In part, thats because of all the investment that was made in research [and] because of defi ning this disease not just at a tissue level, but at a molecular level.

Classification of breast cancers into not just hormone receptor and HER2 positivity or negativity, but also into the luminal/basal subtypes has helped to identify treatments that may be more helpful for large groups of patients.1,3 For example, patients with basal-like disease, which is about 15% to 20% of all breast cancers, have triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and a poor prognosis. These patients tend to be responsive to chemotherapy treatment.1

The fact that molecular targets did not consistently translate to all breast cancers has become a key underpinning of our understanding of cancer.1 Not all patients benefi t from molecularly targeted treatments. For instance, HER2-positive breast cancer only accounts for about 25% of all breast cancer cases, thus HER2-targeted therapies may only benefi t 25% of all patients with breast cancer.

The same story is coming up again and again, not necessarily the same genes or the same targets or the same pathways, but the fact that there is a diversity of these diseases thats far beyond what we used to use to classify cancers by the tissue in which they arose, Slamon said.

Our understanding of cancer as a potentially more complex disease than previously supposed, began to develop well before 2012, explained Slamon.

That started in breast cancerbefore molecular medicine, as far back as 1899 or 98, when a surgeon recognized the fact that this disease occurred in women and the fact that it may have some hormonal component, said Slamon.4 After we found HER2, the methods of dissecting a tumor molecularly became much more sophisticated and widespread in their use and now, today, there are 14 molecular subtypes of breast cancer. And that is the underpinning of how breast cancer has led the way [in determining that patients with breast cancer] should not be treated with a one-size-fits-all approach. They should be treated with therapeutics that are directed to the appropriate subtype or the class in which they sit.

These molecular subtype characterizations have also shaped the therapeutic strategies within different breast cancer settings. Just thinking about advances in targeted therapies and how we use them to treat breast cancer in the last decade, I separate it into 2 categories1 is how we treat localized breast cancer,when our goal is to cure the cancer, so stages I to III. Most patients are being diagnosed with those earlier stages of breast cancer, Marina Sharifi , MD, PhD, assistant professor and medical oncologist at the University of Wisconsin Carbone Cancer Center, told TTO.

I think one of the major themes over the last 10 years for these nonmetastatic breast cancers is what I refer to as right-sizing therapy. We know that some of the women who have these early breast cancers can have recurrence down the road and we want to try and prevent that. So, 10 to 15 years ago, all of those women got chemotherapy, but even back then we knew that not every woman needs chemotherapy, and we knew that there were some breast cancers that could potentially benefit from more targeted types of therapies. But in the past 10 years, there have been a few developments that have allowed us to determine which women need chemotherapy and which women we can safely avoid exposing to the [adverse] effects of chemotherapy, said Sharifi.

This new prognostic ability has been fueled by advances in genomic testing.5,6 In addition to hormone receptors and molecular subtypes, other prognostic biomarkers that have been incorporated into practice include transcriptomic and proteomic levels and Ki-67 levels. Other biomarkers utilize combinations of genes to determine potential responses to treatment as well as the possibility of recurrence.

And more recently, research has turned to the use of circulating DNA and circulating tumor cells to help identify further prognostic and predictive bbiomarkers for patients with breast cancer.6

Specifically, for estrogen-driven (estrogen receptor [ER] positive) breast cancers, which are the most common type of breast cancer, we have genomic tests that are now used routinely to help us identify women who can safely avoid chemotherapy with that type of breast cancer. Both the MammaPrint and the OncoType DX are genomic tests that we know are effective in identifying which women do need chemotherapy to help maximize their chances of cure and which women have lower-risk breast cancers where the chemotherapy actually wont help them because they dont need it.7,8 That has been a huge development in the fi eld in the last 10 yearsto go from knowing that these tests were out there but not having that confirmation that we know that they predict chemotherapy benefit to having 2 major trials come out in the last 10 years that demonstrate that they can predict chemotherapy benefit, both in women who have those ER-positive breast cancers without lymph node involvement and also women who have ER-positive breast cancer with lymph node involvement. That has been a major advance for the most common type of breast cancer thats diagnosed across the country.9,10

Both the TAILORx (NCT00310180) and RxPONDER (NCT01272037) trials validated the usefulness of the 21-gene Oncotype DX recurrence score assay in patients with hormone receptorpositive, HER2-negative breast cancer. The TAILORx trial showed that among patients with node-negative disease, those with an intermediate Oncotype DX score, or intermediate risk of recurrence, could benefit from treatment with endocrine therapy alone and avoid receiving chemotherapy. Younger patients (.50 years) with a recurrence score of 16 to 25 still showed some benefit from the combination of chemotherapy and endocrine therapy.9 I n R xPONDER, adjuvant chemotherapy use was not considered necessary in most postmenopausal women with node-positive disease and recurrence scores between 0 and 25. Alternatively, premenopausal women were more likely to benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.10

On the fl ip side, said Sharifi , somehave high-risk TNBC or high-risk HER2-positive breast cancer, those are types of breast cancer where historically we have struggled to cure women. There weve had a number of different advances. In TNBC, weve had the introduction of immunotherapies into our treatment. The KEYNOTE-522 trial [NCT03036488] showed that if wecombine pembrolizumab [Keytruda] with chemotherapy, that has significantly increased the number of women were able to cure of that higher-risk TNBC.11

Approval of neoadjuvant pembrolizumab in combination with chemotherapy for patients with high-risk, early-stage TNBC followed by single-agent adjuvant pembrolizumab by the FDA in 2021 was a signifi cant advancement for the treatment of patients with TNBC.12 Data from the KEYNOTE-522 trial were considered practice changing early on, showing a pathological complete response in 64.8% of patients treated with the regimen.11

Likewise, for HER2-positive breast cancer, we have seen the development of multiple drugs that target HER2, from trastuzumab [Herceptin] and pertuzumab [Perjeta], to ado-trastuzumab emtansine [T-DM1; Kadcyla], that have increased the number of women who were able to cure of their HER2-positive breast cancers, Sharifi said.

Slamon also commented on the proliferation of HER2-targeting therapies in addition to the expansion of other types of targeted agents, benefi tting patients in the TNBC space. [Since] our initial fi nding of HER2 and trastuzumab, now theres a ton of HER2 targeting trastuzumab deruxtecan [Enhertu] and emtansine [Kadcyla], margetuximab [Margenza]the list goes on and on of anti- HER2 therapeutics. Then there are new therapeutics for TNBC; they look at the TROP-2 target on tumor cells, and sacituzumab govitecan [Trodelvy] is the new therapeutic for that.13 As we identify new targets that we can approach with an antibody thatll attach to it, [it could be possible to] make an antibody- drug conjugate [ADC] to allow that antibody to go right to the target protein on the tumor cell and have it released internally and that takes away the systemic effect of the chemotherapy and delivers it right into the cell. Thats a whole new strategy thats coming into its own in a big way now, Slamon told TTO.

The phase 3 ASCENT study (NCT02574455) showed that sacituzumab produced a PFS and overall survival (OS) benefi t over physicians choice of chemotherapy in patients with relapsed or refractory metastatic TNBC. The median PFS with sacituzumab was 5.6 months compared with 1.7 months with chemotherapy. Median OS was 12.1 months with the ADC and 6.7 months with chemotherapy.13

The emergence of these newer targeted therapies has permitted a risk-based tailoring of neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapies in the non-metastatic breast cancer space, observed Sharifi . Another major development over the last 10 years, particularly for the [patients with] TNBC and HER2-positive breast cancers, is a shift towards neoadjuvant chemotherapy, which allows us to identify women with higher risk of recurrence after our standard pre-operative chemotherapy, and then add additional therapy after surgery to reduce their risk. For instance, that is how ado-trastuzumab emtansine is used in HER2-positive breast cancer, and there are other targeted options in this space, including olaparib [Lynparza] for women with germline BRCA mutations, she said.

We have also made great strides in precision oncology in the metastatic breast cancer space, with an expansion of different types of targeted approaches, including mutation-targeted inhibitors, immunotherapy, and ADCs. While all of these developments have helped patients live longer and better with metastatic breast cancer, I think ADCs are the most game-changing new development for treating metastatic breast cancer, Sharifi told TTO. As an example, the ADC trastuzumab deruxtecan, is a HER2-targeting agent [encompassing] trastuzumab linked to a chemotherapy that was initially found to be extremely effective for HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer, even in women who have had multiple prior treatments with different other agents. Even more importantly, however, it has recently been shown to be effective also in women who have low HER2 expression, who would previously have been classifi ed as HER2 negative.14 This has dramatically expanded the group of women with metastatic breast cancer who can benefit from trastuzumab deruxtecan to include what we are now calling HER2-low breast cancers, which are far more common than HER2-positive breast cancers. So thats been an important advance for us in the ADC space just in the last year, said Sharifi.

Data from the phase 3 DESTINY-Breast04 trial (NCT03734029) showed that patients with low HER2 expression can still possibly benefit from HER2-targeted therapy. The trial demonstrated a median progression-free survival (PFS) of 10.1 months with trastuzumab deruxtecan therapy vs 5.4 months with physicians choice of therapy in patients with HER2-low (IHC 1+/IHC 2+, ISH-) metastatic breast cancer who had received 1 to 2 prior lines of chemotherapy. The median OS was 23.9 months with trastuzumab deruxtecan and 17.5 months with physicians choice of chemotherapy.14 These findings led to the FDA approval of trastuzumab deruxtecan in this disease setting just this year.15

The Importance of Individualization

Turning to mutation-targeted therapies, this has also been an active area in metastatic breast cancer treatment in the past 5 years, including the first FDA approval of a drug targeting PIK3CA mutations, [which] are common in many types of cancer and found in almost half of women who have ER-positive metastatic breast cancer, where the drug alpelisib [Piqray] has been approved for women with this type of mutation, Sharifi told TTO.

Approval for alpelisib in breast cancer was supported by fi ndings from the phase 3 SOLAR-1 trial (NCT02437318), which showed that the PI3K inhibitor in combination with fulvestrant led to a median PFS of 11.0 months vs 5.7 months with fulvestrant in patients with PIK3CA-mutant, HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer.16

patient with metastatic breast cancer should be getting molecular profi ling to identify possible targeted therapy options, and many patients will now have ADC treatment options that they may be eligible for at some point in their disease trajectory. For patients with localized breast cancer, I think weve also come a long way in being able to individualize therapy and avoid exposing patients to unnecessary [adverse] effects while also being able to augment treatment for patients who are at higher risk of recurrence and cure more women with this diagnosis, Sharifi said.

The basis of this personalized therapy derived from breast cancer-based research, observed Slamon. The gamechanger clearly was [the molecular advancements]. [When] looking at what is big in oncology, its this appreciation that originated in breast cancer and now has spread throughout the field of human oncology about this molecular diversity defining, a) different subtypes, and b) new potential therapeutic targets or pathways, he said.

Sharifi looks to the continued development of ADCs as a cancer treatment modality. Theres a real untapped well of potential targets that were just starting to explore in terms of developing new ADCs and combining them with targeted and immunotherapy approaches, and I think this will move the bar in how were able to combat treatment resistance, said Sharifi.

Slamons view of the future also comprises targeted strategies : As we identify more targets...therell probably be more and newer, perhaps even better, therapeutics than we have currently. Breast cancer has led this field.

REFERENCES:

1. Bettaieb A, Paul C, Plenchette S, Shan J, Chouchane L, Ghiringhelli F. Precision medicine in breast cancer: reality or utopia? J Transl Med. 2017;15(1):139. doi:10.1186/s12967-017-1239-z

2. Cocco S, Piezzo M, Calabrese A, et al. Biomarkers in triple-negative breast cancer: state-of-the-art and future perspectives. Int J Mol Sci. 2020;21(13):4579. doi:10.3390/ijms21134579

3. Low SK, Zembutsu H, Nakamura Y. Breast cancer: The translation of big genomic data to cancer precision medicine. Cancer Sci. 2018;109(3):497-506. doi:10.1111/cas.13463

4. Beatson GT. On the treatment of inoperable cases of carcinoma of the mamma: suggestions for a new method of treatment, with illustrative cases. Trans Med Chir Soc Edinb. 1896;15:153-179.

5. Hou Y, Peng Y, Li Z. Update on prognostic and predictive biomarkers of breast cancer. Semin Diagn Pathol. 2022;39(5):322-332. doi:10.1053/j.semdp.2022.06.015

6. Nicolini A, Ferrari P, Duff y MJ. Prognostic and predictive biomarkers in breast cancer: past, present and future. Semin Cancer Biol. 2018;52(Pt 1):56-73. doi:10.1016/j.semcancer.2017.08.010

7. Cardoso F, vant Veer LJ, Bogaerts J, et al; MINDACT Investigators. 70- gene signature as an aid to treatment decisions in early-stage breast cancer. N Engl J Med. 2016;375(8):717-729. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1602253

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A Decade of Breast Cancer at the Molecular Level: Pioneering Personalized Medicine - Targeted Oncology

Increasing participation in the EMBO Programmes across Europe – EurekAlert

Heidelberg, 18 October 2022 EMBO launches further funding and support schemes for life scientists at all career stages in eleven countries. The schemes include grants for researchers displaced by the military invasion in Ukraine or other armed conflicts.

Until the end of 2024, life scientists in or going to Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Poland, Slovenia, and Trkiye (Turkey) can apply for the schemes. These countries are member states of the EMBC (European Molecular Biology Conference), the intergovernmental organization that funds the EMBO Programmes. The initiative aims to increase participation of scientists from across Europe in the programmes, especially in countries that currently benefit less from the programmes.

The new schemes and support offerings are:

These new schemes and support offerings are in addition to those launched previously:

Details of all schemes and offerings, including eligibility criteria and the application process, are availablehere.

All these schemes and support offerings are funded with means from EMBC.

Disclaimer: AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert system.

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Increasing participation in the EMBO Programmes across Europe - EurekAlert

Skin and brain cancers: New discovery may help improve treatment – Medical News Today

Cancer is a disease where the cells of the body grow uncontrollably and can invade other parts of the body. These cells can destroy healthy cells by blocking essential nutrients and changing the function of organs.

Cancer impacts millions of people in the United States alone. Treatment options have improved in recent decades, but many underlying mechanisms of cancer remain unknown.

A recent study published in Nature Structural & Molecular Biology explored a specific molecular pathway that may underlie several cancer types, including basal cell carcinoma of the skin, which is the most common form of skin cancer, and medulloblastoma, the most common brain tumor affecting children.

Understanding how this pathway works could open the door for new cancer treatment options.

In 2020, cancer was the second leading cause of death in the U.S. Experts are still working to understand what triggers and contributes to cancer development and growth.

Researchers have collected some data on risk factors for specific cancer types so that people can understand their risks and work to take preventative steps.

Treatment options for cancer have increased in recent decades, with more targeted therapies becoming available that cause less damage to the rest of the body. Cancer treatment can involve a combination of several treatments, such as radiation, immunotherapy, hormone therapy, or surgery.

To develop new treatments with greater success rates and fewer side effects scientists are working to better understand the biological mechanisms which can increase an individuals risk of developing the disease.

Studying what happens at the cellular and molecular levels can identify new targets for treatment.

Researchers involved in this study looked at a key signaling pathway in organ development, known as the Hedgehog pathway. Underactivity of this pathway has been linked to birth defects, while overactivation has been shown to drive certain cancers.

Study author Dr. Benjamin Myers, assistant professor in the Department of Oncological Sciences at the Huntsman Cancer Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine, explained the underlying mechanism of interest in this current study.

This study was focusing on a system in our bodies known as a signaling pathway. A signaling pathway is a bit like a telephone wire in our cells that helps relay important information from the outside of the cell to the inside, he explained.

The signaling pathway that we are studying, known as Hedgehog, is very important in helping our tissues and organs develop correctly. Also, errors in this signaling pathway can lead to birth defects or cancers, including some fairly common skin tumors and pediatric brain tumors, the study author further noted.

Researchers focused on the Smoothened protein (SMO). They found that the SMO protein physically blocks a key signaling enzyme in the Hedgehog pathway called the PKA catalytic subunit (PKA-C).

The lack of PKA-C causes the release of gene-regulating proteins which are usually inhibited and the promotion of the Hedgehog pathway.

Dr. Myers explained:

For many years, scientists knew that Hedgehog played all these critical roles in development and disease but didnt understand how the actual telephone wire worked what type of molecular signal was encoded, and how did it travel from the outside of the cell to the inside? Our study helps to resolve this longstanding mystery by revealing the underlying molecular basis for how Hedgehog signals travel along this telephone wire.

Dr. Santosh Kesari, director of neuro-oncology at Providence Saint Johns Health Center and chair of the Department of Translational Neurosciences and Neurotherapeutics at Saint Johns Cancer Institute in Santa Monica, CA, who was not involved in this study, offered a further explanation to Medical News Today.

This study elaborates on the mechanism of how these tumors grow when a signal on the surface of the tumor cell initiates a signaling program that makes these grow uncontrolled. They found a novel mechanism whereby hedgehog signaling goes through PKA-C to activate the pathway. This opens up a new understanding and possible a new drug target, he told us.

The study offered significant findings and is a critical step towards understanding an underlying mechanism in particular cancer development. However, it only utilized mouse and cellular models, which can only provide a certain level of information. Further research is going to be essential when it comes to translating this information into clinical practice.

Dr. Kesari noted: Future research will focus on confirming this signaling pathway and how it affects tumor growth. This pathway can be looked at as a target for drug development to try to prevent this activation of tumor growth program.

Ideally, the data from this study can help to forward the development of more targeted cancer treatments. Dr. Myers was optimistic about what they had found and what it could mean for the future.

Our study helps to explain at a molecular level how errors in Hedgehog signaling can lead to birth defects or cancer. Having this knowledge help scientists and clinicians understand these diseases at a more fundamental level. In the future, our research may enable new types of drugs to correct the faulty Hedgehog signaling events that occur in cancer and thereby provide therapeutic benefit to cancer patients in the clinic, he said.

This was very difficult in the past due to a lack of knowledge about how the Hedgehog pathway worked at a molecular level, but the insights provided by our study may help to realize this long-term therapeutic goal in the future, added Dr, Myers.

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Skin and brain cancers: New discovery may help improve treatment - Medical News Today

Developing New Tools to Fight Cancer – Duke University School of Medicine

For decades, medical cancer treatment has generally meant chemotherapy, radiation, or surgery, alone or in combination. But things are changing rapidly. Today, new approaches such as immunotherapies and targeted therapies are becoming available, with many more in research and development. In many cases, the new treatments are more effective, with fewer side effects.

Its an exciting time to be in cancer research and cancer discovery, said Colin Duckett, PhD, professor of pathology, interim chair of the Department of Pharmacology and Cancer Biology, and vice dean for basic science."

Were moving into this era where we have a new set of tools we can use to treat cancer.-Colin Duckett, PhD

Researchers in the Duke Cancer Institute (DCI) and across the School of Medicine are helping to create these new tools, fueled by the knowledge and experience of experts from a wide range of disciplines.

Indeed, cancer research has always been a team-based endeavor at DCI.

DCI was specifically created a decade ago to break down barriers between disciplines to stimulate collaborative research and multidisciplinary interaction, said DCI Executive Director Michael Kastan, MD, PhD, the William and Jane Shingleton Distinguished Professor of Pharmacology and Cancer Biology.

Adding fuel to the fire is the Duke Science and Technology (DST) initiative, which aims to catalyze and support collaborative research in service of solving some of the worlds most pressing problems, including cancer.

The new tools, though varied, all represent advances in personalized cancer medicine. Targeted treatments are chosen based on the genetic signature of a patients tumor. Some immunotherapies take personalization even further, by manipulating a patients own immune cells to create a treatment for that individual alone.

To match treatments to patients, the multidisciplinary Duke Molecular Tumor Board, led by John Strickler, MD, HS11, and Matthew McKinney, MD06, HS06-09, HS10-13, helps providers identify best practices, newly approved treatments, or clinical trials for advanced cancer patients based on genetic sequencing of their tumors.

In precision cancer medicine the right therapy for the right patient at the right time all these things come together, the targeted therapies, the immunotherapy, even standard chemotherapy, all of that is part of precision cancer medicine.-Michael Kastan, MD, PhD

Immunotherapy aims to harness the power of the immune system to fight cancer. That can mean activating the immune system, energizing exhausted immune cells, or helping immune cells find cancer cells by guiding them there or by removing cancers good guy disguises.

Dukes Center for Cancer Immunotherapy supports these efforts by identifying promising basic science discoveries and building teams to translate those ideas into treatments.

"There are so many world-class basic research scientists here making discoveries..."-Scott Antonia, MD, PhD

...discoveries that are potentially translatable as immunotherapeutic strategies, said Scott Antonia, MD, PhD, professor of medicine and the centers founding director. Thats what motivated me to come to Duke, because of the great opportunity to interact with basic scientists to develop new immunotherapeutics and get them into the clinic.

Antonia believes immunotherapy has the potential to revolutionize cancer treatment, but more work remains to be done to realize its promise. The proof of principle is there, he said, but still only a relatively small fraction of people enjoy long-term survival. If we can hone immunotherapeutic approaches, thats our best opportunity.

Among the most exciting immunotherapy work being facilitated by the center involves removing a patients own T cells (a type of lymphocyte), manipulating them in the lab to make them more effective against tumors, then injecting them back into the patient.

T cells can be manipulated in the lab in a number of different ways. In one approach, called CAR T-cell therapy, the T cells are engineered with an addition of synthetic antibody fragments that bind to the patients tumor, effectively directing the T cells directly to the tumor cells.

In another approach, called tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) adoptive cell therapy, the subset of a patients T cells that have already managed to find their way into the tumor are extracted and then grown to large numbers before being returned to the patient. Antonia and his colleagues recently published a paper demonstrating the effectiveness of TIL expansion in lung cancer. Were now doing the preparative work to develop clinical trials using this approach in brain tumors, and our intention is to expand into many other cancers as well, he said.

Antonia points out that innovations in CAR T-cell therapy and TIL therapy happening at Duke are possible because of collaborations with scientists in an array of disciplines, including antibody experts like Barton Haynes, MD, HS73-75, the Frederic M. Hanes Professor of Medicine, and Wilton Williams, PhD, associate professor of medicine and surgery, at the Duke Human Vaccine Institute, and biomedical engineers like Charles Gersbach, PhD, the John W. Strohbehn Distinguished Professor of Biomedical Engineering at the Pratt School of Engineering.

Furthermore, clinical trials for these kinds of cellular therapies require special facilities to engineer or expand the cells, which are provided by Dukes Marcus Center for Cellular Cures, led by Joanne Kurtzberg, MD, the Jerome S. Harris Distinguished Professor of Pediatrics, and Beth Shaz, MD, MBA, professor of pathology. Its been a very productive collaboration highlighting how Duke is uniquely positioned to develop immunotherapeutic strategies, Antonia said.

Targeted therapies exploit a tumors weak spot: a genetic mutation, for example. The benefit is that the treatment kills only cancer cells and not healthy cells. The prerequisite is knowing the genetics and biology of the specific tumor, no simple task.

Trudy Oliver, PhD05, who joined the Department of Pharmacology and Cancer Biology faculty as a Duke Science and Technology Scholar, studies cancer development and the biology of tumor subtypes, particularly squamous cell lung cancer and small cell lung cancer.

Even within small cell lung cancer, there are subsets that behave differently from each other, she said. Some of the treatments shes identified are in clinical trials

Our work suggests that when you tailor therapy to those subsets, you can make a difference in outcome.-Trudy Oliver, PhD'05

Some of the treatments shes identified are in clinical trials.

Sandeep Dave, MD, Wellcome Distinguished Professor of Medicine, is leading an ambitious project to analyze the genomics of the more than 100 different types of blood cancer. His project will streamline the diagnosis of blood cancer and uncover potential therapy targets.

All cancers arise from genetic alterations that allow cancer to survive and thrive at the expense of the host, he said. These genetic alterations are a double-edged sword they allow these cancer cells to grow, but on the other hand they do confer specific vulnerabilities that we can potentially exploit.

Dave said his background in computer science, genetics, and oncology helped him as he designed the project, which uses huge datasets.

Weve done the heavy lifting in terms of tool development and methodology, which is ripe to be applied to every other type of cancer."-Sandeep Dave, MD

Cancer disparities are caused by a complex interplay of elements, including access to health care and other resources, institutional barriers, structural racism, and biology, such as ancestry-related genetics. For example, some genetic biological factors and social elements contribute to disparities in many types of cancer.

Cancer treatment is approaching this personalized space where patients are no longer treated with a one-size-fits-all paradigm."-Tammara Watts, MD, PhD

"Its becoming increasingly apparent that there are differences in outcome with respect to race and ethnicity, said Tammara Watts, MD, PhD, associate professor of head and neck surgery & communication sciences, and associate director of equity, diversity, and inclusion at DCI. The very broad hypothesis is that there are genetic ancestry-related changes that may play a critical role in the disparate clinical outcomes we see every day in our cancer patients.

For example, self-identified white patients with throat cancer associated with the human papilloma virus (HPV) have better outcomes compared to self-identified Black patients, even when controlling for elements such as health care access, education, and socioeconomic status.

Watts is collaborating with bioinformatics experts at DCI to try to identify significant differences in gene expression among the two groups.

Im trying to tease out differences that may be impactful for disadvantaged patients based on race and ethnicity, she said. But there could be differences that emerge that could be useful for designing targeted treatments for a broad group of patients.

Thats because a targeted treatment for a particular genetic expression that might occur more commonly in Black people would help all patients with that expression, regardless of race or ethnicity.

Watts is far from alone in doing cancer disparity research at DCI. Tomi Akinyemiju, PhD, associate professor in population health sciences, uses epidemiology to study both biological factors and social elements that contribute to disparities in many types of cancer.

Jennifer Freedman, PhD, associate professor of medicine, Daniel George, MD92, professor of medicine, and Steven Patierno, PhD, professor of medicine and deputy director of DCI, are studying the molecular basis for why prostate, breast, and lung cancer tend to be more aggressive and lethal in patients who self-identify as Black. Patierno, who has been a national leader in cancer disparities research for more than 20 years, leads the Duke Cancer Disparities SPORE (Specialized Program of Research Excellence), funded by the National Cancer Institute. The SPORE grant supports these researchers as well as other DCI teams working on cancers of the breast, lung, stomach, and head and neck.

One of the things that impresses me is that [cancer disparities research] is a high priority within DCI, said Watts, who joined the faculty in 2019. These groups are actively engaged and collaborating and asking the questions that will drive change for patients who have worse outcomes that are related to ancestry.

Even better than a cancer cure is avoiding cancer altogether.

At DCI, Meira Epplein, PhD, associate professor in population health sciences, and Katherine Garman, MD02, MHS02, HS02-06, HS09, associate professor of medicine, are looking to decrease the incidence of stomach cancer by improving detection and treatment of the bacteria Helicobacter pylori, which can set off a cascade leading to stomach cancer. Epplein and Garman, also funded by the Duke Cancer Disparities SPORE grant, hope their work will reduce disparities because H. pylori infections and stomach cancer are both more prevalent among African Americans than whites.

When preventing cancer isnt successful, the next best thing is to detect and treat early. A relatively new concept in cancer care is interception, which means catching cancer just as, or even just before, it begins.

The point is to prevent it from progressing to full blown malignancy, said Patierno. In other words, stop the cancer from getting over its own goal line.

Patierno envisions a future where patients with pre-cancerous conditions or early cancer could take a pill to halt cancer development without killing cells in other words, a non-cytotoxic treatment, unlike standard chemotherapy.

We know its there, but were not going to poison it or burn it or cut it out because all of those have side effects. Were going to find a non-cytotoxic way to prevent it from progressing. Thats the goal.-Steven Patierno, PhD

Read About Alumni Making a Differencein Cancer Research and Care:

Changing theStatus Quo: Lori Pierce MD'85

Treatingthe WholePerson:Arif Kamal, MD,HS12, MHS15

Targetingthe Seeds ofCancer Growth:Eugenie S. Kleinerman, MD75, HS75

A DiscoveryThat Comes Outof Nowhere:Bill Kaelin, BS79, MD82

Story originally published in DukeMed Alumni News, Fall 2022.

Read more from DukeMed Alumni News

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Developing New Tools to Fight Cancer - Duke University School of Medicine

The XBB family of Omicron has landed in the U.S. Here’s what it means for this fall’s COVID wave – Fortune

XBBa new, extremely immune-evasive Omicron variant surging in Singaporehasnt yet been detected in the U.S. But its child has.

XBB.1 was first detected in the U.S. on Sept. 15 and made up 0.26% of cases that were genetically sequenced over the past 15 days, Raj Rajnarayanan, assistant dean of research and associate professor at the New York Institute of Technology campus in Jonesboro, Ark., told Fortune. He cited data from GISAID, an international research organization that tracks changes in COVID and the flu virus.

Only 16 XBB.1 cases have been detected in the U.S. so far, and most have been found in New Yorkconsidered a bellwether state because of its volume of incoming international travelers and robust genetic sequencing capabilities, Rajnarayanan said.

XBB is a combination of two different Omicron spawns. It, along with BQ.1.1, is considered to be the most immune-evasive COVID variant so far, surpassing the immune-evasiveness of shared ancestor BA.5, which was dominant around the globe this summer.

Scientists, including top U.S. infectious disease expert Dr. Anthony Fauci, expect a fall and winter wave of cases in the U.S. that begins to surge in October and peaks in January. Its still unclear which COVID variant may fuel that wave. On Friday the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced that heavyweight Omicron spawn BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 are in the U.S., and quickly rising. With XBB present as well, the scene has been set for a potential battle royal between two formidable variants.

Compared to XBB, XBB.1 features just one small change to the spike protein, which the virus uses to attach to and infect cells. The impact of the alteration is unknown, according to Rajnarayanan.

Its one of multiple XBB offspring being eyed by variant trackers globally that are helping fuel Singapores wavedespite a significantly vaccinated and boostered population.

Rajnarayanan isnt worried about one variant in particular right now, as current Omicron spawn are all picking up similar mutations that confer advantages like increased transmissibility and additional ability to evade immune systems.

Hes keeping a close eye on XBB. But hes keeping a closer eye on BQ.1.1, which, along with parent BQ.1, was estimated to make up more than 11% of cases in the U.S. last weekthis on the first day the two variants were broken out into their own categories from ancestor BA.5.

BQ.1.1 is surging in New York and also rising in European countries like Germany, where Oktoberfest celebrations may have served as super-spreader events. Its extreme immune evasiveness sets it up to be the principal driver of the next U.S. wave in the weeks ahead,Dr. Eric Topol, a professor of molecular medicine at Scripps Research and founder and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute, tweeted on Friday.

On Thursday, he told Fortune that scientists wont know to what extent it evades vaccine protection, if it does, until it reaches 30% to 50% of cases somewhere.

Its not going to wipe out vaccine efficacy, but it could put a dent in protection against hospitalizations and death, he said.

Both XBB and BQ.1.1 are known to escape antibody immunity, rendering useless monoclonal antibody treatments used in high-risk individuals with COVID. According to a study last month out of Peking Universitys Biomedical Pioneering Innovation Center in China, both escape immunity from Bebtelovimab, the last monoclonal antibody drug that is effective on all variants, as well as Evusheld, which works on some. And both could lead to more severe symptoms, the authors wrote.

The ability of XBB to evade immunity is extreme, approaching the level of immune evasion shown by SARS, a coronavirus that infected thousands and caused nearly 800 deaths in the early 2000s, the authors added.

BQ.1.1 and XBB are so distinct from other Omicron strains that they should be granted new Greek letter names, like Pi or Rho, by the World Health Organization, Topol told Fortune last week.

Whether the two strains eventually battle for dominance in the U.S.or anywhere elseremains to be seen. They may even find themselves sparring in one hostand the result could be a strain that combines the two, Ryan Gregory, a professor of evolutionary biology at the University of Guelph in Ontario, Canada, told Fortune. Or descendants of the two might find themselves battling it out instead.

With the viruss record rate of evolution, the possibilities are seemingly endless.

If people arent boosted and havent been infected in a little while, youre going to see lots of transmission, youre going to see direct competition, Gregory said, speaking of the highly immune-evasive variants. Were basically going to see them both move into whatever hosts are available.

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The XBB family of Omicron has landed in the U.S. Here's what it means for this fall's COVID wave - Fortune

Projects for Progress, two years in | Penn Today – Penn Today

In 2021, three Projects for Progress (P4P) teams set out to improve the quality of life in West Philadelphia: one by addressing the primary care needs of homeless and underserved people, one by revamping the Cobbs Creek Community Environmental Center, and one by addressing the COVID-induced learning gap in elementary school students and educators. An Oct. 17 event celebrated the work of these teams and their 2022 counterparts. Six P4P groups have received awards since the initiatives inception.

First awarded in 2021, the Projects for Progress are managed by Penns Office of Social Equity & Community, which distributed $100,000 each to three teams of Penn students, faculty, and staffworking to promote equity and inclusion in Philadelphia by addressing health care, education, and environmental justice.

For Caroline Watts of the Graduate School of Education, the awards timing was crucial. When the pandemic hit in March 2020, many students in the School District of Philadelphia were out of the classroom for more than a year. A joint team from theGraduate School of Education and the Netter Center for Community Partnerships worked to address this gap, wrapping Netters annual summer programming in an added layer of academic and mental health support. The award also funded school-year support for educators at 15 schools in West and Southwest Philadelphia, including professional development, algebra readiness clubs, and mental health consultation.

With the Projects for Progress award, we were able to put our ideas into action at a time when resources were urgently needed to help students and teachers return to in-person learning, Watts says. This award enabled us to respond to critical learning and development needs and to provide children with a joyful in-person experience after a long period of isolation.

Ricky Brathwaite, a Ph.D. student at the Perelman School of Medicine, is part of a 2022 P4P team that is working to lower the burden of cancer disparities in West Philadelphia. The award provides funding for cancer education and screening kits while helping the team demystify cancer research participation through conversation, all concentrated in West Philadelphia. It helps us change from their community to our community by actively reallocating resources through service to meet people where they are, Brathwaite says.

The group has partnered with other agencies and organizations to extend their reach, and plans to expand their mission beyond colorectal cancer to include HPV testing as new at-home tests become available, in addition to providing free breast and cervical cancer early detection at events with mobile health units. The group is looking to best serve the community with the work we do, Brathwaite says.

The additional groups in the 2022 P4P cohort include the Economic Justice Partnership, which trains first-generation college students, students of color, and high school students to do peer coaching on financial education, and The Public Schools as Equity Infrastructure Studio+, a collaborative partnership working to design and implement public school campus upgrades that embody a new system-wide vision for schools as equity infrastructure.

The 2023 applications will go live on Jan. 17. Applications are due by Jan. 29.

Evelyn Gotlieb, Wharton 2021 undergraduate, concentration in health care management and policy, minor in chemistry

Junduo Liu, College of Arts & Sciences 2022 undergraduate, double major in biochemistry and health & societies, minor in Bbioethics

Michael Hagan, College of Arts & Sciences 2022 undergraduate, major in neuroscience

Ian McCurry, Perelman School of Medicine 2022 doctor of medicine program

Deepti Tantry, College of Arts & Sciences 2022 undergraduate, major in neuroscience, minor in health care management

Mentor:Joseph Teel, Perelman School of Medicine associate professor of clinical family medicine and community health

Bridging Gaps and Building Capacity: Student and Educator Supports for School Reopening in Learning Network 2

Caroline Watts, Graduate School of Education director, Office of School & Community Engagement; senior lecturer, Professional Counseling Programs

Diane Waff, Graduate School of Education professor of practice; director, Philadelphia Writing Project

Zachary Herrmann, Graduate School of Education executive director, Center for Professional Learning

Marsha Richardson, Graduate School of Education senior lecturer, human development & qualitative methods

Regina Bynum, Netter Center for Community Partnershipsdirector of teaching and learning, University Assisted Community Schools

A Collaborative Initiative to Renovate and Optimize the Cobbs Creek Community Environmental Center

Erica DePalma, formerly of the Water Center research program coordinator, Earth and Environmental Science Department

Chinedu Ocek Eke, School of Engineering and Applied Science director for graduate students programming, Office of Diversity, Equity and Inclusion

Anna Balfanz, Netter Center for Community Partnerships senior research coordinator

Cooper Yerby, School of Arts & Sciences 2023 doctoral program in earth and environmental science

The Economic Justice Partnership:

Brian Peterson, director of Makuu: The Black Cultural Center

Khusi Shelat, Wharton 2023 undergraduate, statistics

Soloman Thomas, Wharton 2023 undergraduate, management/entrepreneurship & innovation.

An initiative to lower the burden of cancer in West Philadelphia:

Roderick Brathwaite, Perelman School of Medicine Ph.D. student, cell and molecular biology, cancer biology

Carmen Guerra, Perelman School of Medicine Ruth C. and Raymond G. Perelman Associate Professor of Medicine

Erin Hollander, Perelman School of Medicine MD/Ph.D. student, cell and molecular biology, cancer biology concentration

Claudia Melendez, School of Arts & Sciences 2023 undergraduate, neuroscience/international relations, chemistry minor

Michael Noji, Perelman School of Medicine Ph.D. student, cell and molecular biology, cancer biology concentration

Armenta Washington, Abramson Cancer Center and Perelman School of Medicineresearch coordinator senior, Office of Diversity and Outreach

Public Schools as Equity Infrastructure Studio+:

Anna Balfanz, Netter Center for Community Partnerships Academically Based Community Service coordinator

Ellen Neises, Weitzman School of Design executive director of PennPraxis and Laurie Olin Professor of Practice

Akira Rodriguez, Stuart Weitzman School of Designassistant professor, Department of City & Regional Planning

Elinor Williams, Graduate School of Education Ph.D. student, education policy

Corey Wills, Stuart Weitzman School of Design and School of Arts & Sciencesgraduate student, master of city planning, master of environmental studies

Visit theProjects for Progress websitefor more information,or emailprojectsforprogress@sec.upenn.edu.

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Projects for Progress, two years in | Penn Today - Penn Today

UT Southwestern ranked top health care institution globally for published research by Nature Index – UT Southwestern

DALLAS Oct. 12, 2022 For the third year in a row, UTSouthwestern is ranked as the top health care institution globally by Nature Index for publishing high-quality research inall subjects and in the life sciences.

Joan Conaway, Ph.D.

We are incredibly proud of the outstanding work by our scientists and clinical researchers that is reflected in these Nature Index 2022 rankings, said Joan Conaway, Ph.D., Vice Provost and Dean of Basic Research at UTSW. Our discoveries impact multiple fields in basic science and are making a real difference in developing diagnostic and therapeutic applications for patients at our institution and beyond.

The Nature Index compiles affiliation information from research articles published in 82 premier science journals, providing perspective on high-quality scientific discoveries around the globe.

UTSW also ranked second globally this year among health care institutions in chemistry; among the top 10 in biochemistry and cell biology, earth and environmental, and physical sciences; and among the top 25 in neurosciences. Other peer institutions on the global listings include Massachusetts General Hospital, Mount Sinai Health System, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, and Brigham and Womens Hospital System in the United States; along with the Scientific Institute for Research, Hospitalization, and Healthcare in Italy, the West China School of Medicine/West China Hospital of Sichuan University in China, and Renji Hospital in China.

UTSW's ranking is a testament to the consistent strength and impact of our research community. Our scientists are currently leading about 5,800 research projects with nearly $610 million in support from the National Institutes of Health, the state of Texas, foundations, individuals, and corporations, said W. P. Andrew Lee, M.D., Executive Vice President for Academic Affairs, Provost, and Dean of UTSouthwestern Medical School, who holds the Atticus James Gill, M.D. Chair in Medical Science.

UTSW faculty members have received six Nobel Prizes, and its faculty includes 24 members of the National Academy of Sciences, 17 members of the National Academy of Medicine, 16 members of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 14 Howard Hughes Medical Institute Investigators, and three recipients of the prestigious Breakthrough Prize in Life Sciences. The Medical Center houses one of HHMIs 12 principal laboratories nationwide, has four HHMI Faculty Scholars on campus, and has more than 100 early-career researchers, who have come to UTSW through the Medical Centers acclaimed Endowed Scholars Program in Medical Science, subsequently establishing themselves as leaders in their fields.

The UTSW Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, with more than 1,000 predoctoral and postdoctoral students, educates biomedical students, engineers, clinical researchers, and psychologists. The Graduate School has two Divisions: Basic Science and Clinical Science, which together offer 11 programs leading to the Ph.D. degree Biological Chemistry; Biomedical Engineering; Cancer Biology; Cell and Molecular Biology; Clinical Psychology; Genetics, Development, and Disease; Immunology; Molecular Biophysics; Molecular Microbiology; Neuroscience; and Organic Chemistry. In addition, an M.S. degree and graduate certificate are offered in Clinical Science.

Dr. Conaway holds the Cecil H. Green Distinguished Chair in Cellular and Molecular Biology.

About UTSouthwestern Medical Center

UTSouthwestern, one of the nations premier academic medical centers, integrates pioneering biomedical research with exceptional clinical care and education. The institutions faculty has received six Nobel Prizes, and includes 24 members of the National Academy of Sciences, 17 members of the National Academy of Medicine, and 14 Howard Hughes Medical Institute Investigators. The full-time faculty of more than 2,900 is responsible for groundbreaking medical advances and is committed to translating science-driven research quickly to new clinical treatments. UTSouthwestern physicians provide care in more than 80 specialties to more than 100,000 hospitalized patients, more than 360,000 emergency room cases, and oversee nearly 4 million outpatient visits a year.

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UT Southwestern ranked top health care institution globally for published research by Nature Index - UT Southwestern