Could the Libertarian Party end up fielding more candidates for Texas State Legislature than the Democrats?

From Eric Dondero:

Libertarian Party replacing the Democrats as the Number Two Party in Texas? It's an intriguing possibility.

The Libertarian Party is hoping to run over 400 candidate for public office throughout Texas in 2010. A record for the state and for the party nationally. So many Libertarians are running, in fact, that it's quite possible that most Texas voters will more likely see a Libertarian choice on the ballot for state legislative races, next to Republican, rather than a Democrat.

We know so far that in a general sense the Texas Democrat Party is having serious problems filling slots for various offices around the State. The following comment from the big Democrat activist site MyDD, in an article about filing for Congressional seats around the Nation, is quite telling:

Texas is a problem for us as it has been for the last two cycles with 13 Districts still to fill, and 5 weeks to close of filings.

And then there's this intriguing bit of news out of DFW.

From the Dallas Morning News:

The hottest legislative race in Collin County will be in House District 66. Three Republicans and two Libertarians will vie to replace longtime state Rep. Brian McCall, R-Plano, who is not seeking re-election for the western Plano seat.

They include former Plano City Council member Mabrie Jackson; Wayne Richard, founder of an advertising technology firm and a group called the National Coalition for the Defense of American Sovereignty; and Van Taylor, a real estate financier and former Marine.

Libertarians Josef Novak and Benjamin Westfried will face off in a party convention in March for a spot on the November ballot.

No Democrats filed to run in any legislative races in Collin County.

In other races:

• In House District 67... No Democrat filed for the seat, either.

• In House District 70, incumbent Republican Ken Paxton will be challenged by Libertarian David A. Johnson

While certainly a bit of a double-edged sword for the GOP, it is a sure sign that the Democrat Party of Texas is in serious trouble.

Note - We'll known in a few days the final tally of how many filed on each ticket for the March 2 primary, and hope to report the results here.

Kepler’s First Planets

The graphic shows the relative size and temperature of the newly found exoplanets. Click for a larger version. Image is from Science@NASA site linked below.

The Kepler mission has returned its first results:  it found FIVE planets around different stars.  No surprise these are very large large planets as we can see in the Kepler graphic.  The planets are named and rightly so: Kepler 4b,5b, 6b, 7b, 8b.

It is only reasonable to find larger objects first, but wow, the planets are found by watching the light from the starlight dim ever so slightly as the planet transits the face of the star!  Think of it, the light doesn’t dim very much yet it can be detected.

The orbit can be determined quite simply by watching the dimming patter over time, the size of the planets can be determined by the amount of the dip, and the temperature of the planet can be determined by knowing the orbital distance and how hot the star is (which is fairly easy because it is based on the type of star) – simple and brilliant.

Kepler is watching an astounding 150,000 stars at once.  Imagine the data they have to sift through!  Ultimately the goal is to find roughly sized planets in the habitable zone of the parent star.

From the NASA press release:

“These observations contribute to our understanding of how planetary systems form and evolve from the gas and dust disks that give rise to both the stars and their planets,” said William Borucki of NASA’s Ames Research Center in Moffett Field, Calif. Borucki is the mission’s science principal investigator. “The discoveries also show that our science instrument is working well. Indications are that Kepler will meet all its science goals.”

The Kepler mission team must be extremely happy, congrats to them!  Still think we’re alone?

Science@NASA has a good article on the new findings, check it out.

Climate Intelligence Agency? Spooks Share Satellite Pics With Climate Scientists | 80beats

nasa-polar-ice-webMuch to the chagrin of a certain Wyoming Senator, the Central Intelligence Agency is poised to fight terrorism and spy on sea lions (Sen. John Barrasso once quipped the CIA should stick to the former occupation). The nation’s top scientists and spies are collaborating on an effort to use the federal government’s intelligence assets — including spy satellites and other classified sensors — to assess the hidden complexities of environmental change. They seek insights from natural phenomena like clouds and glaciers, deserts and tropical forests [The New York Times].

The program will have little impact on the CIA’s normal intelligence gathering, say those involved, and will only release data already in hand or data gathered during satellite down time. The images will even have their sharpness decreased in order to maintain some secrecy about the satellites’ true capabilities.

60 scientists, all with security clearances, will oversee the scientific aspects of the project, like analyzing detailed images of the polar ice caps. Of course, not everyone in Washington is on board with the collaboration, and as the attempted airliner bombing on Christmas Day reminded the public of the terrorist threat, the critics are likely to get louder. However, a report from the National Academy of Sciences, which advises the federal government, calls the satellite data essential, saying “there are no other data available that show the melting and freezing processes” [Popular Science]. The program actually began under former President Clinton, but was canceled by former President Bush. Clinton’s vice president Al Gore has been lobbying to restart the program since 2008.

Related Content:
80beats: The Snows of Kilimanjaro Could Be Gone by 2022
80beats: Is the Once-Stable Part of Antarctica Starting to Melt?
80beats: Armed With Data, Scientists Still Mystified by Antarctica’s Hidden Mountains

Image: NASA Earth Observatory


JLo supports reality | Bad Astronomy

I am not all that big on celebrity endorsements, but I do understand that they can be very beneficial in getting the word out on important topics ot people who might not otherwise hear it.

So I’m pleased to see that Jennifer Lopez did a short video about the benefits of vaccination against pertussis for a website called Sounds of Pertussis (created by the vaccine division of the pharmaceutical company Sanofi Aventis). The video calmly and rationally explains why it’s important to vaccinate for pertussis, also known as whooping cough.

Regular readers know my stance on this: pertussis can kill, as parents David and Toni McCaffery found out when their four-week-old daughter Dana died from it in 2009 — she was infected because not enough people had vaccinated their children, and the herd immunity in that area of Australia was too low. It’s important to talk to your physician about this and find out if you should vaccinate yourself and your loved ones.

The antivaxxers are loud about this issue, of course. Meryl Dorey and her Australian Vaccination Network have spread misinformation far and wide on this issue, even saying that pertussis doesn’t kill anyone… a statement that is so clearly false that it’s difficult to believe someone could honestly utter it. No doubt the antivaxxers will ooze out of the woodwork in the comments below — they always do — and make all sorts of similar false claims. And also no doubt we’ll see the attempts to poison the well by saying the JLo video was produced by a — gasp — pharmaceutical company!

Like Ben Goldacre, I am not a huge fan of a lot of the tactics used by those companies to sell drugs. But that doesn’t mean everything they do is wrong. Vaccinations, as I feel I must point out over and again, have saved hundreds of millions of lives, a number so huge it’s awe-inspiring. But so many antivaxxers seem to want to see us return to the days when children died of measles, when kids were confined to iron lungs when they couldn’t breathe due to polio, and people died by the millions from smallpox and other preventable diseases.

Antivaxxers are wrong. The data are overwhelming that their arguments are false. Vaccines save lives, countless lives. Talk to your physician. Please.


Books For the Dumped | The Loom

Parasite Rex has made a very special list of books to read after you get dumped. To quote from Lemondrop over at the AOL collective:

Do you need something to so totally fill you with paranoia and fear that you can’t even think about the worm that just dumped you? How about a terrifying book about worms! AGH! You’ll never walk barefoot in the street again, plus you’ll be so full of disgusting factoids that you won’t even have time to mention what’s-his-name at a party — you’ll be too busy grossing people out. FTW!

I would suggest waiting to find a new special someone until the book has cleared your system. I was still single while I was writing Parasite Rex, and the book made going out on dates very awkward.

So, what’s your next book about?

Parasites, and why they’re totally awesome. See, like, there’s this worm that crawls across your eye…

Check, please!

On the plus side, it’s a very quick test to see if your date shares your taste for the grotesque.


The Stupidest Things Celebrities Said About Science in 2009 | Discoblog

van persie220Here at DISCOVER, we do our best to keep you informed of all the crap scientific advice that celebrities dispense, be it Jim Carrey and Jenny McCarthy’s anti-vaxxer yarns, Oprah providing a platform for new-age nonsense, or soccer star Robin Van Persie’s praise of placenta massage to heal injuries. But with so many celebrities and so much bad advice, it can be hard to catch it all—TMZ might catalog the whereabouts and philandering of the rich and moderately famous, but not necessarily their quackery.

Never fear, though, because once again the British organization Sense About Science has pulled many of the year’s worst offenses together in a handy compendium. The charity’s annual review pairs celebrity claims with reality-based quotes from doctors and scientists.

Here’s one choice gem: Heather Mills, the animal rights activist and former wife to Paul McCartney, claimed that when you eat meat “[it] sits in your colon for 40 years and putrefies, and eventually gives you the illness you die of. And that is a fact.” Thanks for the info, Heather!

More from New Scientist:

Other celebs have been pulled up this year for apparently not realising that natural substances such as hormones are chemicals, and that ovulation is suppressed naturally by pregnancy and prolonged breastfeeding. Actress Suzanne Somers, for example, was quoted as saying that the contraceptive pill must be unsafe “because is it safe to take a chemical every day, and how would it be safe to take something that prevents ovulation?”

Actor Roger Moore, meanwhile, was taken to task for claiming that foie gras causes Alzheimer’s disease, and Sarah Palin for dismissing evolution.

Apparently playing James Bond not only gets you good tables at restaurants, it also makes you think you have medical expertise.

Related Content:
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Bad Astronomy: Oprah: Shame on You
The Intersection: On Vaccination and Autism: Don’t Believe the Hype

Image: flickr / Wonker


Depressed Metabolism on Cryonics

I just saw an interesting post from Depressed Metabolism on cryonics in the media:

There has been much debate about how to persuade more people to consider cryonics. Renewed efforts should be made to end misunderstanding about the following three basic points about cryonics:

1. Cryonics is not the freezing of dead people, but involves the attempt to halt decomposition of people that have been given up by contemporary medicine through the use of low temperatures. Legal death is not biological death.

2. The objective of cryonics is to protect critically ill patients against ice formation at cryogenic temperatures by replacing the blood with a cryoprotective agent. Vitrification solutions attempt to inhibit ice formation altogether.

3. Cryonics is not suspended animation and should not be evaluated as such. Expecting people to destroy their brains because suspended animation is not feasible yet is neither prudent nor caring. Our current burial and cremation practices reflect a simplistic view of death and a desire for instant gratification and closure.

I wonder how much money, in total, has been spent on marketing cryonics? If there are any billionaires out there, they might consider donating a few million to Alcor so that it can hire a modern marketing consultancy and launch a decent marketing and information campaign.

Another question is whether cryonics is inherently "yucky", or whether it is merely a matter of historical accident that it is unpopular. Would $1 million spent on marketing cryonics save hundreds of thousands of lives, or would it be money down the drain? It's almost worth buying some lottery tickets just so that in some branch of the wavefunction I get to find out.

(For a description of cryonics, see wikipedia on cryonics: Cryonics is the low-temperature preservation of humans and animals that can no longer be sustained by contemporary medicine until resuscitation may be possible in the future. See also Robin Hanson on cryonics)

A Transhuman Goodness classic: Deathism vs. Battered Person Syndrome

Over the weekend a striking analogy hit me. I've been talking to some friends and relatives, and I've faced "deathist" sentiments a fair few times. Deathism is a convenient label for the idea that the involuntary death of human beings from old age is a good thing. Some deathists go so far as to say that death is what gives life "meaning", and that human beings who did not expire of old age in the "normal" timeframe would not be human.

Deathism is surprisingly common - especially as a default view amongst people who have not thought about the issue. It seems plausible to me that this is because, until very recently, the very idea that death by aging might be curable simply had no credibility. Faced with no choice but to accept death as inevitable, people played a common psychological trick on themselves: they rationalized that death was actually a good thing. Some people placated themselves with religious fairy-tales that claim that your soul actually survives death, whilst more enlightened humanists were forced to conclude that although death really is the end, its OK. I can't say I blame us, as a society, for doing this.

Old age is terrible. It is a steady and inexorable decline in one's mental and physical faculties. Death is worse: it is the end of you, the end of your hopes, your dreams, you aspirations and your self-reflective consciousness.

Given this situation, I have been looking for arguments which might convince people of the error of their ways. Logical arguments often fall upon the ears of people who think logic is some kind of weird fetish, so I started looking for some more emotive analogies. Browsing Wikipedia, I struck gold - Battered Person Syndrome. I quote:

In lay terms, [battered person syndrome] is a reference to any person who, because of constant and severe domestic violence usually involving physical abuse by a partner, becomes depressed and unable to take any independent action that would allow him or her to escape the abuse. The condition explains why abused people often do not seek assistance from others, fight their abuser, or leave the abusive situation.

"Why would I want someone to cure death for me? Death is natural!"

Sufferers have low self-esteem, and often believe that the abuse is their fault.

"Humans are sinful so we deserve to die. Really we're like a disease on planet earth"

Such persons usually refuse to press criminal charges against their abuser, and refuse all offers of help, often becoming aggressive or abusive to others who attempt to offer assistance.

"Transhumanists are a dangerous influence on us. By curing death they threaten to de-value life - we should outlaw any technologies that might enable this"

The conclusion is that most people on the planet are suffering from battered person syndrome. Their abuser is not a violent partner, but a violent existence, condemning them to die after threescore years and ten. Go out into the world and council your friends. Let them know the truth, but don't be surprised if they are initially hostile.

The Origin of the Future: Death by Mutation? | The Loom

Last month I wrote an essay about the future of evolution for Science. I paid particularly close attention to what will happen to our own species, describing some recent research and ideas from scientists. Natural selection will not stop, nor will the emergence of new, neutral mutations.

But this week, the evolutionary biologist Michael Lynch has published a provocative paper (to mark his inauguration into the National Academy of Sciences) in which he makes another kind of forecast. Our future evolution, he warns, is going to lead to a devastating decline in our health.

The idea is not new. Hermann Muller, who won the Nobel Prize for his work on mutations, first raised the specter of evolutionary decline in 1950. He pointed out that many mutations that arise in a population are harmful. They can cause various diseases, cutting lives short or making it harder for organisms to reproduce. Left to themselves, these mutations can drive down the reproductive rate of a population. But their harmful effects can be balanced by natural selection. If individuals with harmful mutations have fewer offspring than other individuals, the mutations become less common. Overall, the population can continue to reproduce at a healthy rate.

As Lynch points out, Muller’s argument depended on the actual rate of mutations and other vital statistics that no one in the 1950s could know with much precision. But in his new paper, Lynch surveys recent studies that make it possible to know the mutation rate quite well. Lynch concludes that every gamete (a sperm or egg) acquires the following:

–38 base-substitution mutations (a single “letter” of DNA changes to another one).

–3 small insertions or deletions of a stretch of DNA

–1 splicing mutation (which changes the combination of segments of a gene that cells use to build proteins)

–Plus some assorted other mutations (gene duplications, insertions of DNA copied by transposable elements, and so on).

All told, Lynch estimates a total of 50 to 100 mutations.

Compared to other species, Lynch points out, we mutate a lot. Any base in our DNA is twice as likely to mutate as a base in a fruit fly’s DNA, for example. Part of our special burden is our long life. As sperm divide rapidly during a man’s life, they pick up lots of new mutations. We are also left prone to cancer, as our skin, intestines, and other tissues continue to divide and sometimes pick up new mutations.

A lot of the new mutations in every new baby are harmless. But each baby may acquire a few harmful ones. These mutations rarely cause a swift death. Instead, in their totality, they slice off a tiny fraction of the total offspring an entire population can produce. Lynch estimates that mutations to protein-coding DNA cause the fitness of a population to decline by 1%. That’s assuming natural selection does not favor other mutations over these harmful ones.

Lynch acknowledges that natural selection is still in effect in humans, particularly in places where people never see doctors, let alone get clean drinking water. But as the world’s standard of living goes up, he argues, more and more people are being shielded from natural selection’s most intense effects–and harmful mutations are piling up.

In a matter of a few centuries, Lynch predicts, industrialized societies may experience a huge increase in harmful genes–”with significant incapacitation at the morphological, physiological, and neurobiological levels,” he writes.

Battling this decline won’t be easy, says Lynch. Rather than a few big mutations causing the trouble, the decline will be brought about by a vast number of mutations, each with a very small effect. The fantasies of selective breeding dreamed of by eugenicists aren’t just loathesome–they’re also useless. Instead, Lynch argues for something that would make the eugenicists crazy. “Ironically, the genetic future of mankind may reside predominantly in the gene pools of the least industrialized segments of society,” he writes.

Image: IU


Hands On: The Geneva Sound System Model S is Motorized [Geneva]

We got a chance to experience Geneva's new Model S iPod/iPhone audio system today. It's sublime. The best part? You can actually afford it (probably).

Geneva has been combining killer industrial design with solid audio quality for awhile now but their new Model S marks their first foray in to the mainstream (read: relatively inexpensive) audio market. It's pretty clear that Geneva paid attention to details with the Model S. When not in use the dock is protected inside the cabinet and only flips up when needed. If Geneva made any compromises in the manufacturing process from their high end lines, I couldn't really detect them.

I've never been a fan of touch-sensitive buttons, but they work on the Model S. To activate the alarm's snooze all uses have to do is touch, or in my case slap, any one of the controls. The system will retail for $299 at Apple Stores later this month.

I was able to chat with Geneva's Managing Director, George Emerson, who said the goal of the Model S was to "bring HiFi to the iPod clock radio". They succeeded.

• Two 3" full range speakers
• Two bass ports with dynamic loudness
• Two Class D digital amplifiers - extremely efficient, low consumption
• Digital radio
• Digital clock with alarm program
• EmbracingSound DSP restores and improves compressed music files
• PowerDock for iPod/iPhone connection and protection
•TouchLight controls - backlit, touch-sensitive
• Line-in jack for external audio



The Compact Car That Killed the Company

The subhead to Ken Gross's story about the Hudson Jet in SIA #60, December 1980, succinctly sums up his well-argued position: "There was nothing wrong with this early compact… except that it killed the company." Gross laid blame squarely on meddlesome Hudson president Ed Barit, but also

Herman Miller Envelop Desk Lets Your Lazy Ass Recline While Working [Furniture]

The sister product to the amazing Herman Miller Embody chair, the Envelop desk actually slides out and down on rails to give you the correct angle for working while in incline. It's amazing.

It doesn't sound like too much—desks are desks, right?—but it actually makes as much sense to pair a desk and chair together as a computer and peripheral. If they work together, they can elevate the whole product. The desk is selling by itself now for $1,100, but they'll probably pair it together (with a little discount) sometime later this year. Check out this video to get a real sense of how it works, and take my word for it: This thing is comfy in a serious way. [Herman Miller]



Ballmer’s CES Keynote Jokes and Antics [Microsoft]

At tonight's Microsoft Keynote, dear ol' Steve Ballmer made it a point to include plenty of lame jokes, gimmicks, and antics. Whether all of them were intentional, we'll never know, but here are our favorites.

Yes, those are a crazy cat lady's Twitter page, a skydiving Sea Hawk, some censored boobs, Steve's anatomy homework slides, and half-loaded old-school Internet porn. What some of those we're doing on the screen, I'll never understand, but I've gotta hand it to Ballmer. The man knows how to give us something to laugh about.



Energizer’s Energi to Go Solar Charger Uses Futuristic Sun Heat Power for Your Gadgets [Solar Power]

Energizer just announced two new portable solar chargers, the SP1000 and SP2000, both of which provide power through an AC or USB adapter. If you're into that kind of hippie "let's not destroy the earth" stuff, this looks pretty good.

The SP1000 is a 1000mAh charger, while the SP2000 is, predictably, double that, but both can be charged either from outdoor or indoor light, or via AC if you're in a rush (it takes six hours to charge via light and half that via AC). They're available now, with the SP1000 coming in at a very reasonably $50 and the SP2000 at $100. [Energizer]



Tunebug Gives Your Extreme Sports A Soundtrack With Vibrations [Tunebug]

Though nothing I do these days involves a helmet of any kind, if I was an extreme sports maven, I'd rock a Tunebug at all times. While my skull didn't make a great speaker, Tunebug kept it a safe one.

Would you ever wear headphones while driving a car? Of course not, it's dangerous—having your ears open seems like an essential part of staying safe while operating a vehicle. Now why would it be any safer to plug your ears with earbuds while riding a bike or a skateboard?

The Tunebug, by SVC, uses SurfaceSound vibrations to turn your helmet into a surround sound speaker, letting you keep your ears open to potential hazards around you. The unit straps to any helmet with three strong velcro buttons and can play music via Bluetooth or an aux-in plug. In the chaotic Pepcom convention hall the sound didn't exact rock my world, but it seemed like the Tunebug's vibrations would be powerful enough to give you a nice, audible soundtrack in calmer environs.

The Tunebug module detaches from its helmet cradle to turn any surface into a speaker. Look for the Tunebug in Q2 2010.



Samsung 3D OLED Display is Practically Paper Thin [Oled]

Looking at the pictures this OLED concept produces is the strangest thing: a 3D image on a nearly 2D panel.

The 14-inch panel is just 1.6mm think, and if you look at it from the side you might miss it completely. It's at least three years away from being ready—much less affordable—at sizes that would make it worth owning, but even in the concept it's a pretty incredible feat of engineering.




The Laptop to End All Laptops [Laptops]

It's only a proof of concept, but this is laptop with a clear OLED screen—but a stone's throw from those floating 3D displays of Avatar. Practical? Not necessarily. The future? OBVIOUSLY.

The resolution, I don't know. It's pixely, but let's not quibble.

You see right through the thing, then something appears on the screen (like a white background), and you can't see through it anymore.

Are you processing this? No, you can't be. It's only 2010. Man wasn't prepared for this kind of technology yet. The brain hasn't evolved enough. We're primates. Squirrels. Slugs.

Maybe in 100 or 200 years, the great artists of the world will reflect on what's happened today and make some sort of sense of it all. Until then, we'll just keep on breathing, in, out. Until then, we'll weep.



Sprint Overdrive Mobile WiMax Hub Lets Five People Share One Fat Connection [WiMax]

Sprint's Overdrive hub is a lot more than a cellular modem: It's got dual 4G/3G connectivity, shared connections with up to five devices over Wi-Fi, and can serve as a sort of mini NAS, with shared microSD storage.

Early leaks of the device were mostly right, but given that the Wi-Fi range is even further than expected—150ft, Sprint and Sierra claim—actually undersold it a bit. (WiMax is fast enough, and that Wi-Fi range is long enough, that you could conceivably use one of these as your primary source of internet at home. Nuts, basically.) A 1.4-inch LCD screen lets you know who's connected to what and how, and gives you a precise battery reading—fixing one of the dumbest problems with Verizon's Mifi. Actually, all around this device feels like the MiFi on steroids—it's even a bit bigger, at about 3 x 3 x .6 inches, though that's still pretty compact for what you're getting here.

The Overdrive goes on sale January 10th for $100.

With a two-year service agreement, ha! Thought you were getting out of that one, didn't you! Never. [Sprint]

UPDATE: For scale:



Police Tend To Notice Something Like a Guy Dragging a Coke Machine Down The Road [Crime]

Oh Tennessee, you have been in rare form recently. The latest tale comes to us courtesy of Nicholas Nunley, who hooked a Coke machine to his pickup outside a Dollar General then began dragging it down the road.

Amazingly, an eyewitness noticed the one truck on the road with a vending machine engulfed in sparks dragging behind, and called the police. Apparently unfamiliar with the effect of drag, Nunley tried unsuccessfully to evade capture. After a Taser relaxation session, Nunley was hauled off to prison, where he is undoubtedly comparing notes with the Hill family from Walmart. [NBC-2 via Arbroth via Neatorama]