With Donald Trump just out of Walter Reed hospital after days of COVID-19 treatment and Election Day scarcely a month away, the world is understandably abuzz over the fate of his campaign. More worrisome, though, is what happens to the commander-in-chief post if Trump, now back in the White House, were to be incapacitated by the virusor worse, if he were to join the 210,000 Americans who have died from the scourge so far. The Constitutions Twenty-fifth Amendment was ratified after President John F. Kennedys assassination precisely to deal with such contingencies, but like many other parts of the Constitution, it is destined for obsolescence thanks to the Trump administrations lies, obfuscation, and norm-busting.
It turns out that the Constitution mostly runs on the honor system. But for that to work, voters must elect lawmakers and presidents who possess a core value system that calls for fidelity to the rule of law. Alas, many of us are only just discovering this truth. It might be too late to address it.
The Twenty-fifth Amendment says three important things. First, if Trump were to die in office, it would automatically make Mike Pence president. Pence could then nominate a vice president to replace him, but that pick must be confirmed by a bare majority vote of both Houses of Congress. Thats the easy part.
Second, it gives Trump the discretion to decide that hes unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office in the event he becomes very sick with COVID-19. He would then transmit a written declaration to Chuck Grassley (as the president pro tempore of the Senatethe member designated to take Pences place presiding over the Senate) and Nancy Pelosi. Once Trump sends that message, Pence would automatically become acting President until Trump transmits to them a written declaration to the contrary.
Podcast October 06 2020
On today's Bulwark Podcast, Tim Miller joins host Charlie Sykes to discuss the most bizarre photo op ever, and Andrew We...
Of course, the notion that an ailing Donald Trump would step aside from his position as the most powerful man in the world for the good of the country is sheer folly. It would never happen. The one thing we know for sure from Trumps coronavirus episode is that he doesnt care much about other peoples health or well-being, including that of the populace writ large. After all, its likely that he knowingly infected people at a Minnesota fundraiser before announcing that he had tested positive, and he likely knowingly infected peoplepublic servants who swore to protect him as president, mind youwhen he took his reckless joy ride around the hospital grounds so he could wave to adoring fans.
Which brings us to the third important part of the Twenty-fifth Amendment. If Pence and a majority of Trumps cabinet decide that the president is so gravely ill that he is unable to discharge his duties, they can send their own missive to Grassley and Pelosi. In that event, Pence shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President. The Constitution allows the president to send a counter-declaration that he is finealthough in theory, if he were fine, thered be no need to invoke this emergency measure. (The Constitution also gives Congress the authority to designate people other than Pence and a majority of cabinet officers the ability to trigger this chain of events, but Congress hasnt done that, so its beside the point.)
All of this assumes not only that Trump would execute his duties and obligations somberly and for the good of the republic even if it meant yielding power (which is all but an impossibility), but also that Pence and Trumps executive branch appointees would do the same with regard to their respective oaths of office.
This is really where the Constitution has broken down.
The Constitution is not self-executing. It is a piece of paper. It is only so good as it is enforced and respected. In the last few days, the American people have heard that Trumps blood oxygen levels have dropped at least twice, that he was airlifted to the hospital from the White House, and that he has been given a range of drugs reserved for at-risk patients, including an experimental antibody cocktail; the drug remdesivir, which was granted authorization by the Food and Drug Administration on an emergency basis; a range of supplements; and dexamethasone, a steroid that decreases the bodys inflammatory reaction to the virus. (It is the inflammation that causes the horrific lung disease associated with COVID-19.) In rare cases, dexamethasone has been linked to grandiose delusions, psychosis, delirium, and hallucinations. Theres much more we dont know.
If Trump were to succumb to delusions or psychosis due to dexamethasone, would the American public even know?
If Trump, while still in the hospital, had wound up on a ventilator unable to speakor if he were discharged from Walter Reed with some combination of COVID-19s adverse side effects to the heart, lungs, or brain, including possible strokes, seizures, or a temporary paralysis called Guillain-Barre syndromeagain, would the American public even know?
Given this administrations lies, and even the caginess of the presidents physicians (not just over the last few days but over the last few years), how much stock can the public put in their pronouncements?
And its not just about what the public knows; there is no reliable legal mechanism in place for delivering information on the presidents health to the other top government officials. Nancy Pelosi is third in line for the presidency under the Presidential Succession Act, but she told Face the Nation on Sunday that Were getting our information the way everyone else isin the media.
Suppose a foreign terrorist attack occurred on American soil between now and January 20, when the new or re-elected president is constitutionally required to take office. If Trump were too ill to function but nobody but his inner circle even knew, who would take the helm? Jared Kushner? With no transparency or oversight, how many more might die as a result of the inevitable White House chaos? The Twenty-fifth Amendment answers these questions, but its invocation requires the sycophants surrounding the president to honor it.
Once again, the Trump administration is poised to steamroll over the Constitution itself while the rest of us are left to witness a fundamental reshaping of the United States governmentprobably for keeps.
Read more:
The Flaw in the Twenty-Fifth Amendment - The Bulwark
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