Monthly Archives: May 2020

Eurogrid’s Debut Green Bond to Finance German Offshore Wind Connections – Offshore WIND

Posted: May 9, 2020 at 12:44 pm

Eurogrid GmbH, the parent company of 50Hertz, has issued its debut green bond in the amount of EUR 750 million, which will finance the Ostwind 1 and 2 grid connections in Germany.

The corporate bond with a term of 12 years and an interest rate of 1.113% was issued on the regulated market with the support of BNP Paribas, Rabobank and UniCredit Bank.

The subscribers come from European countries, including Germany, Great Britain, France, the Benelux countries and Scandinavia.

With the first Green Bond in our companys history, we are securing part of the necessary investments in the grid infrastructure over the next few years, said Marco Nix, Chief Financial Officer of 50Hertz.

In view of the difficult economic environment caused by the Corona pandemic, the financial markets with their great interest in our company show that they have a high level of confidence in our sustainability strategy and investment plans. The transaction is an important cornerstone in driving forward the expansion of our grid and thus the energy transition.

The operational Ostwind 1 connects the Wikinger and Arkona offshore wind farms via two offshore platforms with the Lubmin substation in the Bay of Greifswald.

Ostwind 2 is set to connect the Arcadis Ost 1 and Baltic Eagle offshore wind farms to the German high voltage grid.

50Hertz plans to jointly build two further offshore platforms together with the wind farm operators and three 220 kV AC submarine cable systems.

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COVID-19 pandemic Offshore Containers Market to Witness Astonishing Growth by 2026 – Cole of Duty

Posted: at 12:44 pm

Research report on Offshore Containers Market size | Industry Segment by Applications, by Type, Regional Outlook, Market Demand, Latest Trends, Offshore Containers Industry Share & Revenue by Manufacturers, Company Profiles, Growth Forecasts 2025. Analyzes current market size and upcoming 5 years growth of this industry.

Report Covers Global Industry Analysis, Size, Share, CAGR, Trends, Forecast And Business Opportunity.

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Global Offshore Containers Market to reach USD XX million by 2025.

Global Offshore Containers Market valued approximately USD 255 million in 2017 is anticipated to grow with a healthy growth rate of more than 5.53% over the forecast period 2018-2025. The Offshore Containers Market is continuously growing across the world over the coming years. The major driving factor of global Offshore Containers market are growth in transportation of goods via seaways and rise in adoption by oil and gas industries. The major restraining factor of global offshore containers market are slower economic growth in countries such as china and other European countries and variations in prices of steel. Offshore containers are made for repeated use in the offshore industry to transport equipment and supplies and be handle in open seas to and from fixed and floating installation and ships. The major benefit of offshore container such as it is safe and secure to deliver goods, it must protect goods from disasters and it encourage services related to installation of ships & facilitate automated deployment and many more.The regional analysis of Global Offshore Containers Market is considered for the key regions such as Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, Latin America and Rest of the World. Asia-Pacific is the leading/significant region across the world in terms of market share owing to high demand for Offshore Containers. Europe also contributes a satisfactory growth in the global offshore container market. North America is also anticipated to exhibit higher growth rate / CAGR over the forecast period 2018-2025. The major market player included in this report are:TLS Offshore ContainerHoover FergusonSuretankOEG OffshoreCARU ContainersCIMCModexSINGAMASBSL Containers AlmarThe objective of the study is to define market sizes of different segments & countries in recent years and to forecast the values to the coming eight years. The report is designed to incorporate both qualitative and quantitative aspects of the industry within each of the regions and countries involved in the study. Furthermore, the report also caters the detailed information about the crucial aspects such as driving factors & challenges which will define the future growth of the market. Additionally, the report shall also incorporate available opportunities in micro markets for stakeholders to invest along with the detailed analysis of competitive landscape and product offerings of key players. The detailed segments and sub-segment of the market are explained below:

By Type:

oClosed ContainersoHalf Height ContainersoOpen Top ContainersoBasketoWaste Skip

By Application:

oEquipment TransportoGood TransportoPipelineoWaste

By Regions:oNorth AmericaoU.S.oCanadaoEuropeoUKoGermanyoAsia PacificoChinaoIndiaoJapanoLatin AmericaoBraziloMexicooRest of the World

Furthermore, years considered for the study are as follows:

Historical year 2015, 2016Base year 2017Forecast period 2018 to 2025

Target Audience of the Global Offshore Containers Market in Market Study:

oKey Consulting Companies & AdvisorsoLarge, medium-sized, and small enterprisesoVenture capitalistsoValue-Added Resellers (VARs)oThird-party knowledge providersoInvestment bankersoInvestors

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Table of Content:

Market Overview:The report begins with this section where product overview and highlights of product and application segments of the Global Offshore Containers Market are provided. Highlights of the segmentation study include price, revenue, sales, sales growth rate, and market share by product.

Competition by Company:Here, the competition in the Worldwide Global Offshore Containers Market is analyzed, By price, revenue, sales, and market share by company, market rate, competitive situations Landscape, and latest trends, merger, expansion, acquisition, and market shares of top companies.

Company Profiles and Sales Data:As the name suggests, this section gives the sales data of key players of the Global Offshore Containers Market as well as some useful information on their business. It talks about the gross margin, price, revenue, products, and their specifications, type, applications, competitors, manufacturing base, and the main business of key players operating in the Global Offshore Containers Market.

Market Status and Outlook by Region:In this section, the report discusses about gross margin, sales, revenue, production, market share, CAGR, and market size by region. Here, the Global Offshore Containers Market is deeply analyzed on the basis of regions and countries such as North America, Europe, China, India, Japan, and the MEA.

Application or End User:This section of the research study shows how different end-user/application segments contribute to the Global Offshore Containers Market.

Market Forecast:Here, the report offers a complete forecast of the Global Offshore Containers Market by product, application, and region. It also offers global sales and revenue forecast for all years of the forecast period.

Research Findings and Conclusion:This is one of the last sections of the report where the findings of the analysts and the conclusion of the research study are provided.

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We publish market research reports & business insights produced by highly qualified and experienced industry analysts. Our research reports are available in a wide range of industry verticals including aviation, food & beverage, healthcare, ICT, Construction, Chemicals and lot more. Brand Essence Market Research report will be best fit for senior executives, business development managers, marketing managers, consultants, CEOs, CIOs, COOs, and Directors, governments, agencies, organizations and Ph.D. Students.

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No visiting the offshore islands until mid August – Galway Daily

Posted: at 12:44 pm

The government has said that travel to the offshore islands for visitors wont resume until August 10, when the country enters the final phase of coming out of lockdown.

No tourist travel has been allowed to the Aran Islands since the end of March, when Island Ferries said they would only be taking essential and emergency services to the islands from the mainland.

Earlier that month residents of Inis Mr had appealed to tourists to stay away, with 94% voting in favour of limiting travel when asked by Comharchumann Forbartha rann Teo.

Ireland will enter the first phase of lifting lockdown restrictions imposed for the Covid-19 crisis on May 18.

But island travel is not expected to resume until Phase 5, which will get underway on August 10.

The Department of Culture, Heritage and the Gaeltacht said today that, save for permanent residents and people carrying out essential services, there should be no travel to them from the mainland until that point.

The Department is keenly aware of the concerns among the island communities regarding visitors to islands, particularly in these summer months.

In accordance with phase 5 of the recently published roadmap issued by the Government for the reopening of Irelands economy and society, it is not envisaged that Irelands offshore islands will be opened for visitors until 10 August.

It is recognised that we are all in an unprecedented period, which creates challenges for us all.

That said, these challenges will be best overcome if we work in partnership for the benefit of the communities we serve.

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Trust Survey – reputational risk for clients being associated with structures in offshore jurisdictions – Lexology

Posted: at 12:44 pm

Click here to listen to the audio.

As part of our recent trust companies survey, we asked the participating trust companies what risk and compliance issues pose the greatest challenges to their business.

Reputational risk as a business challenge

As we reported in our previous publication on the results of the survey, the respondents identified beneficiary disputes as the least pressing issue. Reputational risk for clients being associated with structures or offshore jurisdictions was identified as the second least challenging issue (out of a list of seven), behind other matters such as (listed in alphabetical order, so as to continue not to give anything away) Anti-Money Laundering (AML), Cybersecurity, Data protection, Regulatory compliance and Tax compliance.

Although it is impossible to identify a single explanation for this result, the following observations may go some way in explaining why trust companies identified the reputational risk for client being associated with offshore structures as a relatively low priority issue:

The English High Court commented in a decision in April 2020: The use of complex offshore corporate structures or trusts is not, without more, a ground for believing that they have been set up, or are being used, for wrongful purposes, such as money laundering. There are lawful reasons privacy, security, tax mitigation why very wealthy people invest their capital in complex offshore corporate structures or trusts.

Future changes

In recent years, the OECD and a number of jurisdictions have become particularly focused on increasing transparency of offshore investing, and are in the process of introducing more laws that may significantly increase regulatory scrutiny. These often include new reporting regimes and registers that record the names of ultimate beneficial owners, which may have a significant effect on potential reputational risks if anonymity is a major concern.

Enhanced transparency regimes and increasing disclosures of offshore holdings might have the effect of pushing reputational risk further up the risk scale for trust companies in future years, in jurisdictions where offshore investments are perceived negatively.

However, it is perhaps more likely that increasing transparency will demystify the offshore world, thereby having quite the opposite effect. Trustees report that the majority of their clients (and particularly the next generation) are accepting of transparency and information exchange as features of the modern world and, increasingly, clients wish to align themselves with jurisdictions that have internationally recognised regulatory frameworks, sophisticated court systems and advisory networks as well as reputable fiduciary and corporate service providers.

This is the flight to quality that Lydia Essa reports to be more noticeable now than ever. Clients are, in her experience, generally attracted to those offshore jurisdictions which have a global reputation for quality, security, and meet international standards on transparency, and information exchange, even if that comes at a slightly higher cost. Whether these enhanced regimes will assist in reshaping public opinion in time and reducing (or perhaps even eliminating) the reputational risk of an association with the offshore world is yet to be seen but early signs are that certain jurisdictions may be well placed to thrive in these conditions, whilst others may well find the going a lot tougher. Only time will tell.

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Three Children Have Died in N.Y. of Illness Linked to Virus: Live Updates – The New York Times

Posted: at 12:43 pm

Three young children have died in New York of a mysterious, toxic-shock inflammation syndrome with links to the coronavirus, Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said on Saturday.

The illness has taken the lives of three young New Yorkers, Mr. Cuomo said during his daily briefing in Manhattan. This is new. This is developing.

As of Saturday, more than 73 children in New York have been sickened by the rare illness, which has some similarities to Kawasaki disease. Governor Cuomo said many of these children did not show respiratory symptoms commonly associated with the coronavirus when they were brought to area hospitals, but all of them tested positive either for Covid-19 or for its antibodies.

So it is still very much a situation that is developing, but it is a serious situation, he added.

The state will be working with New York Genome Center and Rockefeller University to determine what is causing the illness that Governor Cuomo described on Saturday as truly disturbing.

When the coronavirus pandemic began ravaging the New York area two months ago, the state found solace in the initial evidence that children would be largely unaffected, Mr. Cuomo said. That sense of relief was shattered this week when a 5-year-old died in New York City of the newly discovered disease, which doctors described as a pediatric multisystem inflammatory syndrome.

Mr. Cuomo did not elaborate on the death of the two additional children.

We were laboring under the impression that young people were not affected by Covid-19, and that was actually good news, Mr. Cuomo said. We still have a lot to learn about this virus.

Mr. Cuomo has asked parents to be vigilant in looking for symptoms such as prolonged fever, severe abdominal pain, change in skin color, racing heart and chest pain.

Overall deaths from Covid-19 remained a stubborn problem in the state, Mr. Cuomo said Saturday. He announced 226 more deaths due to the disease, 10 more deaths than the number reported a day earlier.

That number has been infuriatingly constant, he said. We would like to see that number dropping at a faster rate that it is currently dropping.

Despite the setbacks, New York continued to make inroads in its fight against the coronavirus, Mr. Cuomo said.

New hospitalizations for Covid-19 patients had remained relatively flat, hovering in the 600s. On Saturday that trend held true, with 572 new patients being treated at city hospitals for the coronavirus. On Friday, 604 people were hospitalized.

Last weekend, a kind of split-screen photo montage of New York City circulated widely on social media.

One image showed a dense crowd of mostly white people sunbathing in Hudson River Park in Manhattan, apparently flouting social-distancing rules. Another showed a police officer beating a black man in a confrontation that began over an attempt to enforce those rules.

Many people pointed to the two images as evidence that the police were engaged in a racist double standard.

The notion gained further traction Thursday after the Brooklyn district attorney revealed that 35 of the 40 people arrested in the borough for social-distancing violations as of May 4 were black.

On Friday, Mayor Bill de Blasio said the city would address both concerns.

Mr. de Blasio said that the police would limit crowds at two piers at Hudson River Park and another popular park, Domino Park in Brooklyn, starting this weekend.

And concerning the lopsided race numbers in arrests, Mr. de Blasio wrote on Twitter that while summons and arrests were tools for saving lives, The disparity in the numbers does NOT reflect our values. We HAVE TO do better and we WILL.

The M.T.A., which operates the citys subway and bus system, began shutting down the subway system overnight on Wednesday, forcing those who otherwise would have ridden throughout the night to accept shelter offered by city employees or find their own.

The M.T.A. is providing 40 buses at 30 stations, and the vehicles will be controlled by the Police Department after they are dropped off, the transit agency said.

In a statement announcing the move, transit officials reiterated that the M.T.A. is not a social services agency and stressed that the buses were a short-term solution. They called on the city, which requested the buses, to to step up and take responsibility for providing safe shelter for those individuals experiencing homelessness.

To hop on the train, any train, earbuds intact, alone in the crowd on the way somewhere else. To walk out of the Metropolitan Museum of Art, exhausted as if from a march. The sweet-potato fries and a beer at Tubby Hook Tavern in Inwood; the coffee-cart guy on West 40th Street who remembers you take it black.

Sunday Mass and the bakery after. Seeing old friends in the synagogue. Play dates. The High Line. Hugs.

Ask New Yorkers what they miss most, nearly two months into isolation. To hear their answers is to witness a perfect version of the city built from the ground up, a place refracted through a lens of loss, where the best parts are huge and the annoyances become all but invisible.

The cheap seats in the outfield, the shouting to be heard at happy hour. Meeting cousins with a soccer ball in Brooklyn Bridge Park. The din of the theater as you scan the Playbill before the lights go down.

I miss my gym equipment, said Barbara James of Brooklyn.

The lamb over rice from the food cart by my office, at Seventh and 49th, said Chris Meredith of East Harlem.

Just everything, sighed a police officer sitting behind the wheel of his vehicle in Williamsburg, Brooklyn, last week. I miss everything.

As The New York Times follows the spread of the coronavirus across New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, we need your help. We want to talk to doctors, nurses, lab technicians, respiratory therapists, emergency services workers, nursing home managers anyone who can share whats happening in the regions hospitals and other health care centers.

A reporter or editor may contact you. Your information will not be published without your consent.

Reporting was contributed by Michael Gold, Andy Newman, Sarah Maslin Nir, Joel Petterson, Andrea Salcedo, Edgar Sandoval, Matt Stevens and Michael Wilson.

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US falls short in coronavirus testing in some areas of the country – CNN

Posted: at 12:43 pm

That's not because the virus is particularly widespread in this community in north central New Mexico, nestled between a national forest and an Apache Nation reservation.

It's because in New Mexico, tests are free and plentiful. Some residents of Tierra Amarilla went to a one-day free testing event in town a few weeks ago, and if they missed that they can drive to a permanent testing center 45 minutes away. If residents don't have transportation, the Department of Health will come and test them in Tierra Amarilla.

So far, the state has performed 89,032 coronavirus tests. That's more than any other state with around the same population. New Mexico has conducted around the same number of tests or more than states such as Oklahoma, Nevada and South Carolina, which have considerably larger populations.

But not every state is like New Mexico. Months after federal officials said coronavirus testing would be plentiful, the tests are still hard to find in some parts of the country.

"We want to test for this the way we test for HIV, that you can do it without worrying. That's not the case in many parts of the country," said Dr. Amesh Adalja, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. "We have a patchwork of testing across the country."

Limited testing, despite promises

More than two months later, that's still not the case.

It's not just a matter of having the tests themselves, but also having supplies like swabs and chemical reagents that are needed to run the tests.

"We've never been able to get to full capacity because we are missing things in the supply chain," Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer on CNN's State of the Union on May 3.

"We don't know how we're going to get that system in place," Davidson said.

Even labs associated with large academic medical centers are experiencing shortages.

"There are limited supplies and there are differences in which labs have been able to order which supplies and how much of the order shows up," said Heather Pierce, the senior director for science policy and regulatory counsel at the Association of American Medical Colleges.

It's a variable situation, she added.

"One lab that has everything that it needs for one week doesn't necessarily know what it's going to get the next week," she said.

Need for more tests

As recorded cases of coronavirus continue to rise in the United States by 20,000 to 30,000 per day, public health officials have emphasized that more testing will bring the numbers down and help the nation find a pathway out of the pandemic.

Once there is widespread testing, health experts say infected people can be identified and isolated, and close contacts can quarantine themselves at home.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's leading infectious disease expert, estimated on April 25 that the US is conducting approximately 1.5 to 2 million coronavirus tests per week.

"We probably should get up to twice that as we get into the next several weeks," Fauci said the same day during a Covid-19 briefing by the National Academy of Sciences.

Finding fixes

Last week, the White House released a testing blueprint that said the federal government should be the "supplier of last resort."

It's up to the states to come up with testing plans and "to identify and overcome barriers to efficient testing," including "misallocation of supplies" and "logistical failures," according to the blueprint.

Some states have had more success than others.

New Mexico has more than 80 testing sites in all 33 counties. Not all operate at the same time -- some are permanent, others are drive-through or open for a few hours a day.

The state offers free testing to anyone with symptoms of coronavirus, anyone who's been in close contact with someone who's had the virus, or anyone at high risk for contracting the virus, such as an essential worker or a nursing home resident.

"We believe testing is critical. We always have, and so it's a priority," said Kathy Kunkel, New Mexico's secretary of health.

Some other states have also made it relatively easy for people to get tested.

On April 2, Utah launched a website where residents can find out if they qualify for free testing at a drive-through. So far, nearly 20,000 tests have been administered by the "TestUtah" initiative.

Despite the federal blueprint, Michigan hopes to receive some relief from the federal government. On May 3, a senior Trump administration official told CNN that the administration is sending the state 450,000 additional swabs and other supplies to help it meet its goal to perform 450,000 tests in May, which is more than three times the number of tests performed there from the beginning of the outbreak through the end of April.

Others also see reason for optimism.

"Over the last several weeks it's become easier for me to order tests for people," said Adalja, the Hopkins physician. "But the point is doctors and people have to be comfortable ordering tests and not worrying about supply chain issues."

Ryan Nobles and Sara Murray contributed to this story.

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What We Know About Coronavirus Mutations : Goats and Soda – NPR

Posted: at 12:43 pm

This image made by a scanning electron micrograph shows SARS-COV-2 virus particles (colorized pink) from a patient sample. There are various studies looking at changes to the virus genome and the possible impact on how the virus affects humans. NIAID/NIH hide caption

This image made by a scanning electron micrograph shows SARS-COV-2 virus particles (colorized pink) from a patient sample. There are various studies looking at changes to the virus genome and the possible impact on how the virus affects humans.

This week, the question of mutation has been front and center in coverage of the coronavirus from controversial claims about changes that make the virus more contagious to reassurances that any mutations are not yet consequential.

Here are some of the questions being raised and what the specialists can (and can't yet) say to answer them.

Is the coronavirus mutating?

Researchers say the coronavirus is making small changes to itself as they would expect it to at a relatively predictable and steady rate of around one to two changes per month.

"Viruses mutate naturally as part of their life cycle," says Ewan Harrison, scientific project manager for the COVID-19 Genomics UK Consortium. The coronavirus is no different.

When a virus infects a person, it enters their cells and makes copies of itself, which then circulate through the body or are transmitted respiratory droplets is one method to other humans.

Inevitably, viruses "make mistakes in their genomes" as they copy themselves, Harrison says. Those changes can accumulate and carry over to future copies of the virus. Mutations are akin to typos in text most typos are nonevents, but some can change the meaning of a word or sentence. Likewise, many mutations will be dead ends with no effect on people who are infected. But some of these mutations in a virus may change how quickly it infects people and replicates, or what kind of damage it does to cells.

These small, cumulative changes are useful to researchers, because they act as identification cards that help trace the pathway of the virus through groups of people over time. For instance, in a surveillance study on the Arizona State University campus, researchers found that the people who were showing up sick in mid-March with the coronavirus had different versions of the virus from each other. Comparing the virus genomes helped them figure out that the spike in mid-March cases probably didn't signify an outbreak on campus; the cases had had likely caught this version of the virus elsewhere, perhaps when they traveled for spring break, and brought it back. So tracking virus genomes is valuable in tracing how and where the virus is spreading.

Is the coronavirus becoming more transmissible?

Twitter lit up this week when a draft research paper posted to the preprint server bioRxiv got picked up by the media. The paper suggests in the title that their analysis of coronavirus mutations "reveals the emergence of a more transmissible form of SARS-CoV-2."

The study was conducted by researchers at Los Alamos National Laboratory, The University of Sheffield and Duke. They analyzed publicly available genome sequences from around the world posted on GISAID, a global research platform that has amassed over 16,000 coronavirus sequences to date.

The researchers found that a version of the virus, which was first detected in Europe in early February, appears to have become the most common strain in the U.S., Australia, parts of Africa basically, anywhere it spread. The study authors hypothesize that a mutation in this virus strain, which changes one amino acid in the part of the coronavirus that finds and binds to cells, could cause the virus to spread more easily.

"I think that it is an important observation," says Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at Columbia Mailman School of Public Health, "We have seen in other virus epidemics, such as the Ebola epidemic, that there are these mutations that seem to persist and become the dominant form of the virus."

However, Rasmussen says, there's no clear evidence that the mutation referenced in the paper does anything to change how the virus spreads.

Other factors could also account for why the virus from Europe is dominant, says Justin Bahl, a computational biologist at University of Georgia. It could possibly be explained by the so-called "founder effect," where the European version spread rapidly across international borders and established itself as the dominant strain because countries were slow to lock down.

To prove whether the mutation identified in the paper causes the virus to spread more easily, researchers want to see experimental evidence: for instance, a study where both strains are tested in live cells, to see if the mutated virus replicates faster. If those results show such signs, they'll want to see if one virus spreads more readily in lab animals.

Is the coronavirus mutating to become less harmful?

Another study, published in Journal of Virology, identified one patient in Arizona who was carrying a version of the virus with a chunk of it missing. The deletion was sizable 81 nucleotides long, out of the 30,000 or so that make up the coronavirus' genome sequence (in case you're wondering, a nucleotide is a molecule that forms the building block of a DNA or RNA strand and is too tiny to be seen under most microscopes). It was also found in a location on the genome which, on the classic SARS virus, helped the virus fight the immune system, according to study co-author Efrem Lim, a virologist at Arizona State University.

The researchers hypothesize that the deletion "may potentially reduce virus fitness" a claim Lim says they're now testing in labs.

The paper is based on just one virus genome, out of the 16,000 that have been sequenced and shared, which makes it difficult to generalize to the larger group of circulating versions of the novel coronavirus. "We actually have no idea whether [a virus with this deletion] is transmissible or not," Bahl says. "We don't know whether it was just a one-off event or whether these variants are transmitting and becoming more frequent in the population [of people getting coronavirus]."

More evidence is needed to see if Lim's hypothesis holds and it will emerge as research continues.

Do the mutations we're seeing affect the development of treatments and vaccines?

Not yet. "We're getting the mutations that we're kind of expecting here," says Vineet Menachery, a virologist at the University of Texas Medical Branch, so the research process already accounts for these changes.

Menachery says the European mutation tracked in the Los Alamos paper is adjacent to, but not directly on, the receptor binding domain, which is a specific part area on the virus' protein shell that initiates first contact in attaching to human cells. "If these mutations were there, there'd be a little bit more worry about antibody-based approaches and vaccine approaches," he says, because the shifts might make it harder for antibodies to recognize the virus. But the mutations are not directly on the receptor binding domain, so researchers aren't too worried about those specific changes.

Vaccines are also developed to target multiple sites on a virus, so it's unlikely that a few random mutations to the virus can knock out their power completely, Rasmussen says.

Versions of the virus that are drug- or vaccine-resistant may crop up once therapies are in use, says Lim. If a particular strain is obliterated by drugs or vaccines, then any viruses that survive will be the ones not affected by those treatments and could go on to infect others. But for now, there's no pressure on the virus to change in a way that would help it evade measures that haven't been introduced.

Why are scientists sharing unproven theories?

The main scientific purpose of sharing these papers early and often is to alert other researchers to interesting theories and call attention to potentially meaningful mutations, Lim says.

"It helps us prioritize what mutations should be studied in the lab, because there are so many mutations out there," Lim says. By sharing leads and data-backed theories, scientists are highlighting specific mutations that may be affecting the behavior of the virus, in a sea of all the small changes the virus makes.

So it helps researchers to know that scientists at Los Alamos Lab think that a particular change in the genome is worth additional study, or that a deletion in the virus has been found once and could be found again. The answers may not be definitive, but it feeds the global brain trust of researchers who are all working to understand the coronavirus better and help defeat it.

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What We Know About Coronavirus Mutations : Goats and Soda - NPR

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Youll Probably Never Know If You Had the Coronavirus in January – The Atlantic

Posted: at 12:43 pm

SARS-CoV-2 is highly contagious, but a few dozen imported cases would probably not be enough to spark many major undetected outbreaks. Based on related diseases such as SARS and MERS, epidemiologists suspect that the coronaviruss spreading potential is irregular. In all likelihood, some sick people infect many others, but most infect just a handful. Alessandro Vespignani, a network scientist and public-health professor at Northeastern University, estimates that in each American city that later became a hot spot for COVID-19, perhaps 10 to 20 local transmission events occurred in January. Aside from the one or two infections that did seed major outbreaks in places such as Seattle and New York, most infections that arrived from outside the country in January would have been transmitted to at most a few people, then quickly fizzle out, Bedford told me.

Read: Why America is uniquely unsuited to dealing with the coronavirus

Establishing a more precise number of how many sick people carried SARS-CoV-2 to the U.S. early this year would require data that can be difficult or impossible to collect, especially during a major global-health crisis. For one: how many people were actually sick with COVID-19 around the world in January (or earlier). The official data out of Wuhan have been unreliable from the start. And countries that have since ramped up their coronavirus-detection efforts were not looking as carefully for cases at the beginning of the year. The World Health Organization did not declare a global-health emergency until January 30.

Researchers would also need to know where people traveled around the world in the early weeks of the pandemic. One of the big challenges of looking at actual global spread of this disease is that, from January on, travel patterns have been massively disrupted, Gardner said. When researchers dont have perfect travel data for a time and place theyre studying, she explained, they often substitute or extrapolate from data in the recent past. Sometimes you can say, Well, I dont have 2016 data, but Im using 2015 data. Thats representative. That does not apply anymore. The Chinese government shut down Wuhan on January 23; even before then, individual peoples movement patterns might have begun to shift in ways that are difficult to track.

When the living cannot be fully accounted for, one way to move forward is to tally the dead. Testing shortages mean that some COVID-19 deaths have gone undetected, but researchers can get a better handle on just how many people the virus killed during a given time period by looking at the excess mortality: how many more people died than would have been expected to under normal circumstances.

Last week, the National Center for Health Statistics published preliminary data on weekly excess deaths since January 2017, which will be updated as the pandemic wears on. Bob Anderson, the chief of the NCHSs mortality-statistics branch, told me that its the first time weve done something like this before the data were final. The hope is that researchers can use the gross numbers to estimate how many Americans died of COVID-19 over a particular period, and from there estimate how many Americans were infected. But picking out excess deaths in the first few weeks of this year will be difficult. Compared with the hundreds of thousands of deaths the country experiences in a typical month, a handful of COVID-19 deaths would hardly be a blip. Indeed, by the NCHSs count, the United States did not exceed the expected number of deaths by a significant margin until the week of March 22.

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Coronavirus threatens a guarded tradition for many black Americans: Voting in person – CNN

Posted: at 12:43 pm

"It's one of the most basic forms of exercising your power as an individual," Gragston told CNN. "My grandmother taught me that."

Gragston's grandmother June Gragston, like many older black women, dutifully voted in person -- early, on the first day she could. Her sister, Gragston's great aunt Vera Mundy, preferred to walk herself there.

"Every election I would call her and say: 'Hey auntie do you need a ride to the polls?' She'd say: this is my exercise. This is the one thing I know I'm going to do on this day," Gragston said.

For millions of black voters across the country, like Gragston's grandmother and great aunt, voting in person has been a guarded tradition -- a right earned after decades of strenuous and bloody fights.

And with social distancing measures in place across the country, face-to-face community based get out the vote efforts that are crucial to Democrats' outreach to these voters are no longer an option.

Gragston, an Iraq war veteran and a former candidate for state office in Ohio, has helped organize "Souls to the Polls" drives in Cincinnati for past presidential and midterm elections -- working with the help of national organizations like the NAACP and his fraternity Alpha Phi Alpha Inc., to encourage voters to take advantage of early voting in the state of Ohio.

This year, because of the threat of coronavirus, he plans to offer to deliver absentee ballot applications to voters rather than drive them to the polls.

"It will be a hard turn for a lot of people," said Gragston. "For people who lack access to the internet, they can't get online to apply for their absentee ballot. And then there are older folks who are not as technologically savvy."

All of this has raised concerns among Democrats that in order to maintain or increase black turnout in November, they will need to ensure that there are safe in-person voting options and dramatically ramp up absentee ballot education targeted at minority voters.

"It's not the silver bullet that's going to make sure that everyone who wants to vote, will," Tory Gavito, co-founder and president of Way to Win, a progressive group that channels donor money into grassroots organizing efforts across the county. "It's a tactic that we have that we still have to build education around."

Way to Win has spent $3.7 million in the last few weeks on Covid-related measures, including digital organizing and vote-by-mail outreach targeted at minority voters.

Among them, digital voter engagement efforts in North Carolina and Arizona, two states that Democrats see as critical to their presidential and Senate hopes. But the two states present radically different challenges. In Arizona, 75% of voters use mailed-in ballots in 2016. But in North Carolina, just 4% of voters cast their ballots that way.

States like North Carolina, which is 22% black, present a challenge for Democrats who hope demographic trends will allow them to keep the Tar Heel state competitive in 2020.

Voting by mail is more restrictive in North Carolina. The state requires absentee ballots to be witnessed by two people or a notary public.

There and in other parts of the country, the act of physically going to the polls individually or as group -- sometimes literally leaving the church pews to drive on buses to the polling place -- is a communal tradition among some black Americans. It has also become key to get out the vote efforts among non-partisan voter mobilization groups and Democratic organizations across the country.

"Culturally voting in our community is a big deal to the point that some elderly people in our community dress up to go vote," said LaTosha Brown, founder of Black Voters Matter. "We want to make sure that we have mail-in ballot voting as an option."

"We also want to make sure that there are additional options as well -- that there are some sites throughout our communities that remain open so that those that want to vote in person can vote," she added.

Beyond the challenge of coaxing voters to break long-held habits, there is also the issue of trust. Minority voters are skeptical of trusting mail delivery services and ballot verification processes with their ballots. And for good reason.

A study by researchers at the University of Florida and Dartmouth College found that in Florida, non-white voters, younger voters and voters needing assistance were more likely to have their vote-by-mail ballots rejected than white voters, based on a review of vote by mail ballots cast in 2018.

"They have concerns about the confusion. People have concerns about their ballots not being collected," said Adrianne Shropshire, executive director of BlackPAC, a progressive super PAC that has helped fund black voter outreach in states across the country. "People have concerns and would prefer to vote in person."

BlackPAC made a name for itself mobilizing black voters with face-to-face appeals that powered Democrat Doug Jones to victory in the Senate special election in ruby red Alabama in 2017, and helping elect Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam that year as well.

Last month, BlackPAC conducted their own research to gauge attitudes among black voters toward mail-in voting and found black voters largely had little or no prior experience with voting by mail and nearly half worried that their mail ballots would not be counted.

Shropshire said there are potential "unintended consequences" of overly emphasizing mail-in voting alone, which could result in lower turnout among critical constituencies for the Democrats.

"Elections and voter mobilization in black communities are a communal collective activity. There is a cultural dynamic that is at play here that is being affected, that's part of the challenge with vote by mail," Shropshire said. "We have to find ways to recreate that collective political action."

This reality has increased the pressure on Democrats to ensure that while they push in courts and legislatures for expanded access to mail-in voting -- especially for vulnerable populations -- they must also push a multi-faceted approach that addresses all the potential barriers to voting no matter which method voters choose.

That includes pushing for changes to physical voting locations that make voting in person safer, expanded in-person early voting options, drive-through voting and appointment voting for vulnerable populations.

"While Democrats champion vote by mail, we do think that for some voters, some of our most loyal voters, African American voters, there's a clear history of not using it as much," said David Pepper, chairman of the Ohio Democratic Party. "One of the lessons for the fall has to be that we have to eliminate unnecessary hoops to get the ballot. A ballot should be sent to every registered voter. Postage should be prepaid. And there needs to be as much public education about the process as possible."

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Coronavirus daily news updates, May 9: What to know today about COVID-19 in the Seattle area, Washington state and the nation – Seattle Times

Posted: at 12:43 pm

While this years Mothers Day weekend promises warm weather, Seattle officials are restricting hours in city parks out of fears that large crowds hoping to enjoy the sun could further spread the novel coronavirus.A recent report shows the COVID-19 transmission rate in Western Washington may be steadily increasing, suggesting that the number of virus cases could potentially rise, while the number of COVID-19 cases in Eastern Washington is expected to increase based on current transmission rates.

New figures continue to show evidence of the damage coronavirus has done to a declining economy. Nationally, theunemployment rate hit 14.7% in April, the highest rate since the Great Depression. Washington also grapples with a tsunami of legitimate unemployment claims more than 100,000 last week thought the state also is seeing a rise in attempts by fraudsters to siphon off a portion of the benefits.

Throughout Saturday, on this page, well be posting updates from Seattle Times journalists and others on the pandemic and its effects on the Seattle area, the Pacific Northwest and the world. Updates from Friday can be found here, and all our coronavirus coverage can be foundhere.

The following graphic includes the most recent numbers from the Washington State Department of Health, released Friday.

As the coronavirus pandemic has decimated small businesses across the country, shell-shocked owners have turned to their insurance carriers to cover devastating financial losses thrust on them by state shutdown orders.

In many cases, the response from insurers has been: We dont cover viruses.

Tacoma dentist Arnell Prato was among those who got that answer. That drove him to join a growing number of small-business owners locally and nationally who are suing their insurers, alleging breach of contract after paying their premiums for years.

Ive never seen or experienced anything like this, said Prato, who has practiced dentistry in Washington for 10 years.

He is now in the middle of a battle pitting people like him against a powerful industry that insists it is sympathetic to the plight of small-business owners, but not legally on the hook for hundreds of billions of dollars in losses that were never anticipated to be covered under a catastrophic economic standstill.

Pandemic outbreaks are uninsured because they are uninsurable, David Sampson, president of the American Property Casualty Insurance Association, recently said.

Read the whole story here.

Steve Miletich

One of the hottest debates in the coronavirus pandemic is whether the malaria drugs promoted as possible treatments by President Donald Trump really work. But Americans dont seem overly eager to help answer the question.

Enrollment in several clinical trials of chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine including two by the University of Washington has been anemic so far. Fewer than 260 volunteers, out of a target of 2,000, have signed up for a $9.5 million UW study being conducted in Seattle and six other sites across the country. Another multi-site project coordinated by the UW has only about 30 patients enrolled.

Researchers say enrollment in the trials plummeted after preliminary reports of possible heart arrhythmias associated with the drugs, followed by a U.S. Food and Drug Administration warning that they should be administered only in hospitals or clinical trials.

"Once that news came out, our enrollment fell almost down to zero," said UW epidemiologist Dr. Ruanne Barnabas, whos leading a study to find out if hydroxychloroquine can prevent infection in people like health-care workers who have been exposed to the virus.

Read the whole story here.

Sandi Doughton

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Coronavirus daily news updates, May 9: What to know today about COVID-19 in the Seattle area, Washington state and the nation - Seattle Times

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