Locks
NBA (0.5 Unit) New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 7:00 PM CT on Bally Sports North
The Wolves looked like they did some partying for New Years Eve before their Monday game against the Knicks, playing sluggish basketball for most of the game. Tonight is a good opportunity to bounce back though, which is what they always do. An impressive storyline in this Wolves season is that theyve never lost consecutive games, plus they have the NBAs best average margin and second-best ATS margin after a loss.
That might be why sharp money has been on Minnesota since this line opened, and I still like it here. The Wolves are still a strong ATS team at Target Center, theyll be motivated off Mondays loss, and are at full strength. Theyve already faced the Pelicans three times this season, with the only loss coming in a game Anthony Edwards missed, so I like them to bounce back again as they tend to do.
Bonus Bet (0.75 Unit): Pelicans/Wolves First Half Over 109.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars)
All three meetings this season have gone over this first half total with 116.7 points on average. Both of these teams score at a much higher rate in first halves than second halves, averaging several more PPG before halftime than after. The Wolves also tend to clamp down defensively after half as the leagues best second-half scoring defense, so look for this first half to clear the low total.
NBA (0.5 Unit) Milwaukee Bucks/Indiana Pacers Under 258.5 (-110; Odds via BetMGM): 6:00 PM CT on Bally Sports IN
Taking the under in a Pacers game or a Bucks game is not for the faint of heart. So when these wild offenses square off it can be really scary. But weve already seen these teams play four times this season thanks to the in-season tournament, and they just dont get to this level of scoring. Those meetings have gone 3-1 under this total with 249.5 points on average, and the one over needed a 64-point outburst from Giannis to get there.
All thats needed to fall short of a total like this is a couple of slower minutes scattered throughout the game, and there have been plenty of those in the other meetings. This is just a case of perception driving the total too high, and with Milwaukee potentially missing Khris Middleton tonight Im not seeing enough offense to reach it.
Bonus Bet (0.5 Unit) Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 56.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-110; Odds via DraftKings)
I might like the under, but a total this high still creates a fertile environment for player props to go over. Especially with Giannis who has dominated the Pacers this season in all facets of the game. It helps to have two games of 50-plus points against them, but the Greek Freak has also had massive outings in rebounding and assisting against Indiana, resulting in a 64.6 average on this prop. With Middleton possibly out, even more of the load will fall on his shoulders, so expect another big night from Giannis against what is still a poor defensive team.
NBA (0.5 Unit) OKC Thunder/Atlanta Hawks Over 248 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:30 PM CT on Bally Sports SE
On the other hand, I just cant quit overs when the Hawks are at home. Games in Atlanta this season are 10-3 to the over with the leagues highest plus/minus to the total. With the Hawks playing some of the NBAs worst defense its no wonder those games tend to erupt, and another should be coming here against one of the top offensive teams in the league.
The Thunder match up very well here as one of the best overall shooting teams, and the leagues best from beyond the arc. The Hawks are allowing visiting teams to shoot 40.4% from deep, second-highest in the league, so OKC will pile up points from downtown. But this is also a back-to-back for the Thunder after a high-scoring game last night, and theyre 3-0 to the over this season on no rest. I expect the pace to be there, and plenty of threes should drop to turn this into a high-scoring game.
NBA (0.5 Unit) Detroit Pistons @ Utah Jazz -8.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 8:00 PM CT on Bally Sports Detroit
I hope the Pistons enjoyed that win over the weekend, because another long losing streak is likely in the works. They wasted no time getting back to being the Pistons we all know on Monday, kicking off 2024 with a 23-point loss. Now they have to travel to Utah where the Jazz own the leagues best ATS record and top plus/minus against the number. While its strange to see the Jazz listed as such a heavy favorite, I have to back them here given their success in the Delta Center.
Within their home ATS success is a 3-0 mark as a home favorite with the leagues best average ATS margin as well, so the Jazz always seem to come through. The Pistons are losing their road games by an average 13.6 point margin, already lost at home to a shorthanded Jazz team by 8, and should be in line for another beating tonight.
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick is 1893-1700 ATS (+84.9 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games hes confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
See more here:
Tiny Nicks Gambling Picks: 01/03 - Zone Coverage
- Sports betting and gambling addiction are on the rise - Dakota News Now - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Proposed Alabama gambling legislation includes lottery, casinos, sports betting - AL.com - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Super Bowl betting soars, but it's still not legal in Chiefs and 49ers home states - NPR - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Problem gambling has increased in Ohio since sports betting legalized - Hamilton Journal News - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Sports betting and gambling addiction are on the rise - KTIV Siouxland's News Channel - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Sports bets during the big game could trigger gambling addictions - 25 News Now - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Illegal gambling raid at El Patron leads to 1 arrest and 23 citations - KRIS 6 News Corpus Christi - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Experts discuss responsible gambling ahead of the Super Bowl - Spectrum News 1 - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Gambling addicts face tough test as Super Bowl 58 descends on Las Vegas and NFL cashes in - USA TODAY - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- What are the NFLs gambling rules for the Super Bowl in Las Vegas? - The Athletic - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
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- Super Bowl Gambling Grows, But Pastors Are on the Sidelines | News & Reporting - ChristianityToday.com - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
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- Betting on the Super Bowl: Impacts of sports gambling in Ohio as state's help hotline sees jump in calls - WKYC.com - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Sports gambling during the NFL Championship game will increase addiction rates - 25 News Now - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
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- DraftKings, helplines, and the hidden toll of sports gambling - The Boston Globe - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- The Super Bowl and gambling are locked in a tight and dangerous embrace - The Guardian - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Sports gambling addictions on the rise due to online betting, experts warn ahead of Super Bowl LVIII - WLS-TV - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Ads, food and gambling galore 5 essential reads for the Super Bowl - The Conversation - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
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- Ivey addresses gambling, AI, broadband and more - Alabama Political Reporter - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Tiny Nicks Gambling Picks: 02/10 - Zone Coverage - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
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- Gambling in Iran: A prohibited but flourishing pursuit in digital age - G2G News - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell addresses legalized gambling, officiating, player safety ahead of Super Bowl LVIII - NFL.com - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Players on the 49ers and Chiefs are barred from gambling in Vegas, until the game ends - NBC Sports - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- Judge in Borgata/MGM case rules casinos have no duty to stop compulsive gamblers from betting - The Associated Press - February 11th, 2024 [February 11th, 2024]
- The Future of Florida's Sports Gambling on the Docket - 1290 WJNO - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Casino smoking and boosting in-person gambling are among challenges for Atlantic City in 2024 - The Associated Press - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- What Are the Gambling Laws and Restrictions in Idaho? - kezj.com - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- NFL losing luster as obsession with gambling, numbers takes over - Herald-Mail Media - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- How old do you have to be to gamble in Arizona? What to know about gambling laws - The Arizona Republic - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- NY State Revenues from Sports Gambling Tops $2.9 Billion - Yonkers Times - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Gambling problem help-line calls have tripled since legislature legalized sports betting - pmg-ky2.com - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Here's why Americans spend nearly 4 times more money gambling at casinos than in the lottery - Newscenter1.tv - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Another Landmark Year In Store For New York Gambling In 2024 - Play NY - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- As sports gambling in Missouri remains illegal bars and restaurants in Springfield try to get as close as possible - KY3 - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Israel 'gambling' on Hezbollah avoiding all-out war after killing of Saleh Al Arouri - The National - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- What should the gambling industry's New Year's resolutions be in 2024? - Gambling Insider - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- San Jose Police Arrest Five Suspects in East San Jose for Illegal Gambling, Prostitution - San Jose Inside - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- NASCAR 2023 Season Recap I NASCAR Gambling Podcast (Ep. 319) - SGPN - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Support for gambling addiction increases in Ohio during first year of legal sports betting - WTRF - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Maine lawmakers consider expansion of tribal rights to online gambling, land-based casinos - Yogonet International - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Tiny Nicks Gambling Picks: 01/01 - Zone Coverage - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Virtual Reality Casinos: The Future Of Online Gambling? - TNT Magazine - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- 2024 could be the year Georgia lawmakers move on gambling expansion - The Albany Herald - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Helpline Calls Spike With Virginia Gambling Expansion - Scott County Virginia Star - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- 2024 could be the year Georgia lawmakers move on gambling expansion - The Center Square - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- The River: The story starts in 1991 as Vanna White cuts the ribbon opening casino boat gambling . . . - NKyTribune - User-generated content - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Cowboys-Lions Saturday MNF Week 17: Open thread and gambling picks - Silver And Black Pride - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- NBA First FG Props - January 2 - SGPN - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- 2024 will be 2023 all over again; gambling going nowhere; Decatur is a mess; and more on Alabama Politics This ... - Yellowhammer News - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Lawmakers propose bills to expand tribal gaming - Press Herald - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Five arrested after San Jose raid uncovers illegal gambling, prostitution, weapons - The Mercury News - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- NBA First FG Props - January 3 - SGPN - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- Gambling addiction resources available for those who need it - Fox 56 News - January 4th, 2024 [January 4th, 2024]
- 'Get your house in order': Lawmakers admonish gambling regulation agency, which defends processes - Indiana Capital Chronicle - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Blaise Ingoglia bill could open gambling options in the state - Florida Politics - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Tiny Nicks Gambling Picks: 12/24 - Zone Coverage - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Gen Z Stocks: The Path from Gambling to Investment - TipRanks.com - TipRanks - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- API report warns that gambling, state lotto legalization comes with downsides - Yellowhammer News - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Sports Gambling Special with Jason Sarney and Andy Slater of FOX SPORTS 640 - Miami Dolphins - Dolphins Talk - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- U.K. Parliamentary Committee Wants Premier League, Other Sports to Curb Gambling Ads - Covers - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Leader of state gambling regulation leaving for another job - Radio Iowa - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Brazil green lights online gambling regulation - igaming included - iGaming Business - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Shift to Eco-Friendly Practices in Online Gambling - Smithfield Times Eco-Innovation in Online Gambling: A Green ... - Smithfield Times - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- State Rep. Brown predicts vote on legislation with 'free-market - 1819 News - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Saints-Rams Thursday Night Football: Open thread and gambling picks - Silver And Black Pride - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Kentucky Edition | Kentucky's First Problem Gambling Fund | Season 2 | Episode 145 - PBS - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Boxing Day Preview and Best Bets - SGPN - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- 2024 Elections: Changhua officials arrest four for election gambling - - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Tiny Nicks Gambling Picks: 12/23 - Zone Coverage - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- MGM Resorts International donates six-figure sum to gambling harms research - EGR Global - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- The Degenerate's Gambit: 2023 Week 16 NFL Gambling Lines with Tony - Football Absurdity - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- The Mailbag Episode + State of Professional Golf | Golf Gambling Podcast (Ep. 331) - SGPN - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Brazil Green Lights Sports Betting And Online Gambling Bill - World Casino Directory - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]
- Minnesota brothers charged in TikTok livestream gambling scheme - Star Tribune - December 25th, 2023 [December 25th, 2023]