The Legal Gambling Counsel navigates the week 9 slate for the undefeated – Red Cup Rebellion

The podcast will be back next week, but until then, we have given you our picks in written form for the second week in a row. Dont pay attention to the overall season record, this week seems like a nice time to make some money with some opportunistic lines and over/unders.

Gamble at your own risk obviously, but the LGC is feeling a turn around here.

Cheers. Crack on!

Season record: 43-52 ATS (45.26%)

Im 0-2-1 when backing Virginia this year which means that Im due for a win with the Hoos. Gamblers fallacy, schmamblers fallacy. Louisville is improving, but their wins have come against Eastern Kentucky, Western Kentucky, a bad Boston College team, and Wake Forest without its starting quarterback. Louisvilles defense is one of the worst in the country (100th in SP+), and Im skeptical about their offense being successful against Virginias 14th ranked defense. The Cavs are better at every position and should suffocate Louisville en route to a double digit win.

Betting overs in service academy games is not a wise long term investment strategy, (Im long on Beanie Babies. Theyre going to bounce back any day now.) - but Air Forces offense is 25th in SP+, and in their last 3 Mountain West games, they have scored 56, 43, and 41. Air Forces defense, however, is ranked 83rd, and they are facing a capable quarterback in Utah States Jordan Love. With a QBR of 106 in Mountain West games, Love and the Aggie offense should be able to move the ball efficiently. I expect both teams to get in to the 30s which puts us comfortably over the number.

Tulane no-showed at Memphis as a popular dog last week, but people should have been prepared to have their money taken near Orange Mound (obligatory: TWO FINGERS ROUND, THREE FINGERS DOWN) Navys option offense is typically tough to prepare for in a week, but Fritz is well versed in the triple option, and Tulane played Army earlier this season. Tulanes starting running back could return to the lineup against Navy, and his back up should be a go after leaving the Memphis game early. The Green Wave is too well coached to play poorly in back to back weeks, and I think they win a close one.

I like the Badgers. I will continue to like the Badgers. Ohio State wins but Wisconsin can run on anybody and will shorten this game and cover the line.

Akron is the only team in the country 0-7 against the spread so why not?

Gophers are for real. This also shows some early reverse line movement.

Charlie Strongs true freshman quarterback is injured and may not play. Past him, theres a walk on left in the quarterback room. The wrong team seems to be favored here and I expect a big win for Mike Houston in his first season in FBS.

Too many points for a team that wants to keep possessions to 10 or fewer. A slow, plodding game at 11am in Manhattan means take the points, especially when its practically four scores.

What am I missing here? Tennessee will have a guy at quarterback that either cant throw or they dont trust. Since Brian Maurer went down, the Vols totals are 30 and 48 with the latter coming against Alabama. The Gamecocks are more than content with shortening the game and that horrible Tennessee offense will do nothing but drain the clock.

This one isnt hard. I dont believe in Shea Patterson and Jim Harbaugh to get it done. Point blank. Ian Book can really spin it (completed 64% of his passes for 275 yards against Georgia) and I expect him to carve up the Wolverine secondary. Brian Kelly might be 0-fer in Ann Arbor but I think he gets a W this weekend.

The Cougs have covered nine straight against the Ducks, including winning each of the past four outright. Justin Herbert and the Ducks are for real but this one always seems to be weird. Oregons No. 8-ranked SP+ defense will test Mike Leachs offense but I expect a Pac-12 dogfight in Eugene here.

This is going to feel like a 90s SEC Saturday afternoon game. Auburns only shot is to run wild on LSUs good-but not-great defense and to keep the explosive LSU offense on the bench, but Im not sure thatll happen. But, I do like the idea of Gus Malzahn playing keep away and the Tigers getting theirs when they can.

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The Legal Gambling Counsel navigates the week 9 slate for the undefeated - Red Cup Rebellion