The Commish’s gambling picks are in for NFL conference championship Sunday – Courier & Press

Jason White| Special to the Courier & Press

Lorenzo's Locks: NFL Championship weekend

As Championship gets underway, USA Today's Lorenzo Reyes is locking in the Kansas City Cheifs and Los Angeles Rams.

Lorenzo's Locks, USA TODAY

Last weekend produced a massive amount of drama for sports bettors. All four NFL playoff matchups were decided on the final play, including threefield goals and a knockout touchdown in overtime.

But since NFL conference championships began in 1970, the home team has a record of 69-33 straight up. Since 2013, the home team is 13-3 straight up and 11-5 against the spread.

CHIEFS (-7) vs. Bengals: The Chiefs have gone 11-1 in their last 12 games and appear to be on their way to winning it all. Its easy to root for the Bengals, but this game is going to come down to the lack of pass protection for Joe Burrow. Hes been sacked 61 timesand that number will grow on Sunday. Patrick Mahomes isnt going to throw threeinterceptions, which is what the Bengals needed to win last week against the Titans.

RAMS (-3.5) vs. 49ers: The Rams are firing on all cylinders and have the advantage in all phases of the game. This will come down to quarterback play, and Matthew Stafford has been monumentally better than Jimmy Garoppolo. In his last fourgames, Garoppolo has thrown twotouchdown passes to six interceptions. That level of play wont be nearly enough to advance to the Super Bowl.

Anytime touchdown - JaMarr Chase (+100) - Bengals atChiefs: The Bengals are going to be trailing throughout, so Chase will have plenty of opportunities to score during garbage time.

OVER (5.5) receptions by Travis Kelce (-115) - Bengals atChiefs: The Bengals are vulnerable against the tight end position and Kelce is in an optimal position for massive production.

UNDER (39.5) rushing yards by Deebo Samuel (-115) - 49ers atRams: Samuel is starting to show wear and tear from getting so many weekly touches. Hell have rushing opportunities but fall short on this total.

UNDER (279.5) passing yards by Matthew Stafford (-115) - 49ers atRams: Both teams will look to establish their running games, keeping passing totals below projections.

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The Commish's gambling picks are in for NFL conference championship Sunday - Courier & Press