POLITICO Playbook: Growing doubts about Trump and Biden in ’24- POLITICO – POLITICO

With help from Eli Okun and Garrett Ross

The Jan. 6 committees work is sowing doubts about Donald Trump on the right. | Chet Strange/Getty Images

SOME GOOD FOURTH OF JULY NEWS N.Y. Mag: Someone Finally Turned Nathans Hot Dogs Into Ice Cream

SOME BAD FOURTH OF JULY NEWS WSJ: The average cost of a summer cookout rose 17% from last year.

MORE DOUBTS ABOUT THE FRONTRUNNERS Its going to take a long time to process the events of June 2022. Two monumental storylines unfurled last month that will shape politics for the foreseeable future: the Supreme Courts transformational decisions on guns, climate regulation and abortion and the Jan. 6 committees evidence of potential criminality by DONALD TRUMP.

On Friday, we looked at how the Supreme Courts flurry of decisions pushing the country rightward is sowing doubts about Biden on the left.

For more on that, check out these two numbers in the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris poll:

64% of registered voters think Joe Biden is showing he is too old to be President.

71% of registered voters say Bidenshould not run for a second term.

But today we want to look closer at how the Jan. 6 committees work is sowing doubts about Trump on the right. The same poll reports:

61% of registered voters say Trumpshould not run for president.

The reasons?

He's erratic: 36%

He will divide America: 33%

He's responsible for Jan. 6: 30%

Two must-read pieces are chock-full of on-the-record quotes from Republicans who want to move on from the former president:

Via APs Steve Peoples and Thomas Beaumont:

Youd be hard-pressed to find people in this area who support the idea that people arent looking for someone else, said DAVE VAN WYK, a transportation company owner. To presume that conservative America is 100% behind Donald Trump is simply not the case.

People are concerned that we could lose the election in 24 and want to make sure that we dont nominate someone who would be seriously flawed, CHRIS CHRISTIE said.

His approval among Republican primary voters has already been somewhat diminished, Maryland Gov. LARRY HOGAN said in an interview. Trump was the least popular president in American history until Joe Biden.

Republican activists believed Donald Trump was the only candidate who could beat Hillary, MARC SHORT said. Now, the dynamic is reversed. He is the only one who has lost to Joe Biden.

If it looks like theres a place for me next year, Ive never lost a race, Im not going to start now, NIKKI HALEY told reporters. Ill put 1,000% in and Ill finish it. And if theres not a place for me, I will fight for this country until my last breath.

I just dont know if [Trumps] electable anymore, [KATHY DE KONING of Iowa] said.

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Via NYTs Michael Bender, Reid Epstein and Maggie Haberman:

Republicans want to win badly in 2022, and it is dawning on many of them that relitigating the 2020 election with Trumps daily conspiracy diatribes are sure losers, said DICK WADHAMS, a Republican strategist and former chairman of the Colorado Republican Party.

Theres some evidence that some Republican voters are trying to slow-walk from Donald Trump, said SCOTT JENNINGS, a Republican strategist. Jennings said he was not surprised by Mr. Trumps eagerness to jump into the presidential race. If youre in his shoes, you have to try to put that fire out. Because the more it burns, the more it burns.

Ms. Hutchinson would be the star member of a womens Republican club a committed conservative, no reason to say anything but the truth, said Senator BILL CASSIDY of Louisiana, who voted to convict in Mr. Trumps second impeachment and has been a target of Mr. Trumps since. He was one of the few lawmakers who spoke on the record. It gives power to a testimony that allows Americans to judge for themselves.

There will be a number of Republicans who many Republicans feel cannot only unite the party but would govern with strong, conservative policies, said JASON SHEPHERD, a former NEWT GINGRICH aide who is a Georgia Republican Party state committeeman.

Theres just too many people who dont really like him, [NICOLE] WOLTER said. We want everyone to kind of rally around him and be able to get the independents, and I just think that if he ran, he wouldnt be able to pull that off.

Wishful thinking by the usual GOP suspects? Or evidence that something has really changed?

More: NBCs Marc Caputo on how Trumps fear factor shows signs of waning as 2024 Republican hopefuls jockey.

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WEEKEND LISTEN: TIM MILLER and ALYSSA FARAH GRIFFIN sat down with Ryan this week to discuss their respective journeys navigating Trumpism and what CASSIDY HUTCHINSONs testimony could mean for the future of Trumps grip on the Republican Party.

Why is MIKE PENCE letting Cassidy testify? Mike Pence knows about all this stuff better than anybody, Miller said. And he's not going to be the president. If anybody knows how derelict Donald Trump was on that day, it's Pence. Listen to Playbook Deep Dive

BIDENS SATURDAY: The president has nothing on his public schedule.

VP KAMALA HARRIS SATURDAY (all times Eastern):

12:10 p.m.: The vice president will depart Los Angeles en route to New Orleans.

5:15 p.m.: Harris will attend the 28th ESSENCE Festival of Culture, where she will participate in a fireside conversation with KEKE PALMER.

8 p.m.: Harris will depart New Orleans to return to Los Angeles.

PHOTO OF THE DAY

WNBA star Brittney Griner is escorted to a courtroom for a hearing in Khimki, just outside of Moscow, Russia, on Friday, July 1. | Alexander Zemlianichenko/AP Photo

ALL POLITICS

TRUMP VS. HOGAN Dems meddle in Trump-Hogan proxy war in Maryland, by Zach Montellaro: DAN COXs campaign for governor of Maryland got an early endorsement from Donald Trump last fall. And now, Democrats want Republican primary voters to know all about it.

The Democratic Governors Association launched a new ad Friday blasting Cox, a state lawmaker, for his ties to Trump, for being 100 percent pro-life and for refusing to support any federal restrictions on guns. But the end goal of the ad is not to sink Cox. Instead, Democrats are hoping to boost him in the July 19 Republican primary for governor, which has turned into a tight battle for the nomination with former state Commerce Secretary KELLY SCHULZ term-limited GOP Gov. LARRY HOGANs preferred successor.

KNOWING MARKWAYNE MULLIN He was prepared to kill Jan. 6 rioters. Now MAGA voters may give him a Senate seat, by WaPos Paul Kane in an analysis piece on the Oklahoma GOP representative.

JAN. 6 AND ITS AFTERMATH

THE NOT-SO SECRET SERVICE Jan. 6 inquiry thrusts Secret Service back into center of controversy, by WaPos Carol Leonnig: The new depiction of the Secret Service which has endured a decade of controversy from a prostitution scandal and White House security missteps during the Obama years to allegations of politicization under Trump has cast new doubt on the independence and credibility of the legendary presidential protective agency.

Accounts of Trump angrily demanding to go to Capitol on January 6 circulated in Secret Service over past year, by CNNs Noah Gray and Zachary Cohen

ABORTION FALLOUT

HEADS UP Texas Supreme Court blocks order that resumed abortions, by APs Paul Weber, Anthony Izaguirre and Stephen Groves: It was not immediately clear whether Texas clinics that had resumed seeing patients this week would halt services again. A hearing is scheduled for later this month.

SOMETHING TO WATCH House GOP women are a crucial piece to partys next move on abortion, by WaPos Marianna Sotomayor: There are 32 women in the House GOP conference, the largest number in history. And their ranks are expected to grow in a midterm year.

THE DEM DONOR REACTION Democrats swiftly raised $80M after court overturned Roe, by APs Brian Slodysko

IN THE STATES As Ohio restricts abortions, 10-year-old girl travels to Indiana for procedure, by the Indianapolis Stars Shari Rudavsky and Rachel Fradette

TRUMP CARDS

FOR YOUR RADAR Trump hires former 9th Circuit judge Kozinski for Twitter court fight, by Reuters Jacqueline Thomsen and Mike Scarcella

WHERE ARE THEY NOW She helped get Trump elected. Now shes raising crypto for Ukraine, by WaPos Steven Zeitchik: BRITTANY KAISER, the provocative Cambridge Analytica veteran, has become critical to the government of Volodymyr Zelensky. Not everyone is enthusiastic.

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CLICKER The nations cartoonists on the week in politics, edited by Matt Wuerker 15 funnies

GREAT WEEKEND READS, curated by Ryan Lizza:

How Do You Prepare for a School Shooting? by NYTs C.J. Chivers, with photos and captions by Lindsay Morris and Jake Nevins: In a gruesome new American ritual, mass casualty simulations confront first responders with agonizing choices they would face in a real attack.

The Other Cancel Culture: How a Public University Is Bowing to a Conservative Crusade, by ProPublicas Daniel Golden and Kirsten Berg: With a rising national profile and donor base and relatively little state funding, Boise State University should be able to resist pressure by the Idaho Legislature. Instead the university, led by a liberal transplant, has repeatedly capitulated.

Did This Trump-Loving, Leopard-Hunting Dentist Kill His Wife? by Rolling Stones Matt Sullivan: Larry Rudolph built an empire in strip-mall suburbia, and a reputation as a gun-culture hero. Then came the love triangle, the allegations of fraud, and a mysterious death in Africa. Was it a tragic accident? Or murder?

Unsettled, by The Verges Makena Kelly: The Afghan refugee crisis collides with the American housing disaster.

He was acting strangely. Then he vanished into the Virginia wilderness, by WaPos Lizzie Johnson: The disappearance of 18-year-old Ty Sauer set off a frantic search in a densely wooded area of Shenandoah National Park.

Leonard Cohens Hallelujah Belongs to Everyone, by The Atlantics Kevin Dettmar: What is it about the once virtually unknown song that inspires so many musicians to make it their own?

Jason Brassard Spent His Lifetime Collecting the Rarest Video Games. Until the Heist, by Vanity Fairs Justin Heckert: The porn trilogy for Nintendos. Atari games from the 1980s. Pristine nostalgia, potentially worth millions, gone in a night.

Pete Buttigieg educated his Twitter followers about flight cancellations.

Elon Musk broke his Twitter silence on Friday, posting a photo with Pope Francis.

Jerry Hall has filed for divorce from Rupert Murdoch.

Enda ODowd, an Irish Times video journalist, documented the lowlights from the Arizona GOP gubernatorial debate.

WELCOME TO THE WORLD Kristen Soltis Anderson, founding partner of Echelon Insights and a CNN contributor, and Chris Anderson, software engineering manager at Sweetgreen, on Tuesday welcomed Eliana Christine Anderson. Pic

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Playbooks own Setota Hailemariam Jonathan Capehart Reps. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.), Doug LaMalfa (R-Calif.) and Randy Weber (R-Texas) Eric Fanning of the Aerospace Industries Association Brad Todd of On Message POLITICOs Cristina Rivero The Verges Brooke Minters Scott McGee of Kelley Drye Derek Gianino of Wells Fargo Matthew Dybwad of Xandr Jenny Beth Martin of Tea Party Patriots Courtney Geduldig of Micron Technology Matthew L. Schwartz Snaps Gina Woodworth Arkadi Gerney ... Sam Nitz ... Emily Stanitz Reed Howard former New Hampshire Gov. John H. Sununu former Rep. Mike Castle (R-Del.) Luci Baines Johnson Jeremy Garlington (53) NBCs Tom Llamas and Keith Morrison Abbey Rogers of Rokk Solutions Billy Constangy of Rep. Richard Hudsons (R-N.C.) office Collin Davenport of Rep. Gerry Connollys (D-Va.) office TikTok's Brooke Oberwetter

THE SHOWS (Full Sunday show listings here):

ABC This Week, anchored by Martha Raddatz: Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.). Panel: Alex Burns, Molly Ball, Mary Bruce and Brittany Shepherd.

FOX Fox News Sunday: Mississippi Gov. Tate Reeves John Kirby. Panel: Marc Thiessen, Mollie Hemingway, Howard Kurtz and Juan Williams.

CBS Face the Nation: DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) Henning Tiemeier German Chancellor Olaf Scholz Jan Crawford Debora Patta.

CNN State of the Union: South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.). Panel: Bakari Sellers, Linda Chavez, Jess McIntosh and Scott Brown.

CNN Inside Politics: Jill Dougherty. Panel: Jonathan Swan, Jackie Kucinich, Laura Barrn-Lpez, Christopher Cadelago, Camila DeChalus and Ariane de Vogue.

NBC Meet the Press: Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D-Calif.) HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra Danny Cevallos. Panel: Matthew Continetti, Jeh Johnson, Marianna Sotomayor and Ali Vitali.

MSNBC The Sunday Show: Linda Villarosa Deborah Watts Kurt Bardella Judith Browne Dianis.

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POLITICO Playbook: Growing doubts about Trump and Biden in '24- POLITICO - POLITICO