Monthly Archives: April 2022

Empowering NATO’s Technological Edge – 2021 snapshot of the work of NATO Researchers – NATO HQ

Posted: April 13, 2022 at 5:52 pm

Despite the impact of the pandemic, the NATO Science and Technology Organization (STO) persistently delivered excellent Programmes of Work (PoWs) thanks to its network of over 5,000 scientists, engineers and analysts. This ensures that the STO remains at the vanguard of S&T, and is committed to sustaining NATO, Allies and Partners technological advantage in an ever-competitive world.

In 2022, the STO has distributed publicly three reports that highlight its insightful achievements and plot the way forward.

The 2021 STO HIGHLIGHTSexemplifies the impact and significance of STO PoWs for the Alliance, covering the Centre for Maritime Research and Experimentation (CMRE) PoW and Collaborative PoW (CPoW). This comprises over 300 activities ranging from major research programmes to horizon scanning and lecture series, as well as cooperative demonstration of technologies.

The report is intended as a compendium of recently completed projects and achievements in both CMRE and the Collaborative PoW 2021. It also summarizes the advice produced for NATO leadership to assist high-level decision-making on decisive topics such as: Women In the Armed Forces, CBRN Threats and Hazards, Emerging and Disruptive Technologies (EDTs), Climate change and S&T Trends 2020-2040.

The mission of CMRE is to organize and conduct scientific research and technology development, centred on the maritime domain, delivering innovative and field-tested Science & Technology (S&T) solutions to address the defence and security needs of the Alliance.

The CMRE 2021 ANNUAL REPORThighlights the CMREs activities in executing its 2021 programme of work and its achievements in delivering value-added products and services to its customers, and in particular to NATO Allied Command Transformation as part of the Maritime S&T programme with its focus on: autonomous naval mine countermeasures; autonomy for anti-submarine warfare; data-environmental knowledge and operational effectiveness; and maritime unmanned systems enablers.

The annual report illustrates how CMREs scientists, engineers and technologists exploit emerging and disruptive technologies in innovative ways in order to maintain NATOs technological edge.

The 2022 COLLABORATIVE PROGRAMME OF WORK provides an overview of the Science and Technology Organizations (STO) projects planned for 2022 in defence and security-relevant research and technology development for enhanced operational military capabilities for the Nations and NATO. The 2022 CPoW is comprised of 283 ongoing and planned technical research activities and 49 exploratory teams.

The CPoW is a tool designed to answer the Nations needs and NATO requirements. Therefore, its construct is based on the strategic orientation provided by the Nations, the Panels/Group during their business meetings, and the higher NATO centralised organization. Ultimately, the Nations, through the Science & Technology Board (STB), remain the collective authority deciding on how the CPoW should develop. The CPoW research projects, managed by the STO Collaboration Support Office (CSO) near Paris, France, will be conducted across all topical areas of the CPoW: Applied Vehicle Technology (AVT); Human Factors and Medicine (HFM); Information Systems Technology (IST); System Analysis and Studies (SAS); Systems Concepts and Integration (SCI); Sensors and Electronics Technology (SET); as well as Modelling and Simulation (NMSG).

For 2022, many CPoW projects continue to be focused on the applications and implications of the NATO Emerging and Disruptive Technologies: artificial intelligence, autonomy, big data, biotechnology, hypersonics, quantum sciences, space, and novel materials.

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Empowering NATO's Technological Edge - 2021 snapshot of the work of NATO Researchers - NATO HQ

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Finland Is Closer Than Ever to Joining NATO – Jacobin magazine

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In 2007, a Finnish conservative politician summarized the countrys three main security considerations as Russia, Russia and Russia. Many Finns have again brought up these words in recent months. In countries further West, news about the Russian invasion of Ukraine and related atrocities led to a response along the lines of, Oh my, those poor people! For Finns, the reaction has been closer to Jesus that could be us!

Memories of the Winter War of 193940 a key part of the Finnish national mythos are raw in the minds of even many committed pacifists. The current discussion has gone back to basics: How can Finland avoid becoming the next Ukraine?

There is no question that the invasion of Ukraine represents simultaneously a horrifying breach in European security and another escalation in the long trend of Russian imperialism both near to its borders and further afield. Nothing that could be said, for instance, about events in the Donbas or the far rights role in Ukraines politics provide any justification for this appalling war.

Belligerent rhetoric in Russian media about expanding its so-called denazification and special operations has been aimed more at the Baltic states, as well as Poland and Moldova, than at Finland. And its situation doesnt quite resemble Ukraine or Georgia, with their fraught conflicts and regionalized minorities that Moscow might exploit for its own power politics. Precisely because so few people could have foreseen a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, even after all the threatening rhetoric, these events have thrown discussions in Finland for a loop. If this couldnt have been predicted, what else can we be sure about?

This uncertainty has led to a new emerging consensus about matters like defense spending and the importance of Finnish agriculture and self-sufficiency. Helsinki has joined other European capitals in providing weapons to Ukraine; like many other countries, it has expelled Russian diplomats and is exploring ways to speedily end reliance on Russian gas and oil. Still, the main topic of interest is an older mainstay of Finnish security policy debates, now posed with a completely new urgency: the question of whether to join NATO.

The center-left governments previous stance, which was shared by all its parties, was that it shouldnt. In January, Finlands prime minister, Sanna Marin a left-wing social democrat gave an interview confirming that short-term Finnish membership of NATO is unlikely, though still retained as a potential future option. Many NATO supporters interpreted this as evidence of irresponsibility, though it is the same line Finland has taken since the organizations creation.

Marins recent statements indicate this line has changed. The same goes for the previously reluctant president of Finland, whose word is perhaps even more influential on foreign policy. Now the decision date may arrive sooner than almost anyone would have foreseen just a few months ago.

Finland has long been neutral but it still has a history of gazing eastward. Even before this war, the pro-NATO, Atlanticist faction saw Finland under constant threat of Russian attack, which could materialize at any moment. This group believes that the only thing that will really defend against this eventuality is NATO. Likewise, the anti-NATO faction has argued that joining NATO is precisely what would put Finland under threat of becoming an arena of conflict.

There are also deeper cultural attitudes at play. Spurring pro-NATO discourses is a belief that Finland is not sufficiently Western, or that it is still Finlandized a term used during the Cold War to refer to Finlands policy of Soviet-friendly neutrality, but inside Finland as an attack on politicians seen as too deferential toward Moscow. Despite widespread campaigning for NATO among much of Finlands foreign policy and security elites, echoed by much Finnish media, Finland has remained out of the alliance so far, despite extensive cooperation.

The war on Ukraine has upended this status quo completely. Whereas NATO membership was a remote prospect before the invasion, Finnish application for membership is now widely considered all but certain. This sea change started already during the months in which Russia assembled its troops near Ukraine and made its ultimatums. The formal decision to apply for membership might happen before Easter.

Theres more than just sending in an application, though. It also has to be approved. Atlanticists know that the balance of opinion in Finland has swung in their favor. One poll begun on February 23, the day before the invasion, found support for NATO membership at just over 53 percent, and the numbers have only grown since then. Still, they worry the crisis might mean that the door will be shut in their faces. NATO secretary general Jens Stoltenberg, Norways former prime minister, has indicated that Finland would receive security guarantees during the process, which would be expedited. Still, questions remain about the possibility of countries like Hungary blocking the accession or demanding a quid pro quo deal regarding EU punishment for infractions of judicial independence by Viktor Orbns government.

One thing that might cause questions among NATO members is how Moscow would immediately react to the possibility of Finnish NATO accession. There has already been a bit of saber-rattling an airspace violation here, a belligerent address by a Russian politician there but these are nothing particularly unusual for Finns. Russian politicians making threats aimed at random neighboring countries has been the normal state of affairs for decades.

Overall, the Russian reaction has been, if anything, subdued perhaps reflecting the fact that much of its northwestern army usually stationed in regions bordering Finland is today fighting in Ukraine, and suffering heavy losses. Still, anything can happen, which is why Finnish politicians have been focused on security guarantees before the actual accession to membership.

Another problem is presented by Finlands other major neighbor: Sweden. Sweden and Finland joined the European Union at the same time in 1995, with the process in Finland initiated by Swedens surprise application. There is extensive defense cooperation between the two, and for many years, Finnish Atlanticists predicted a similar surprise announcement that Sweden would seek to join NATO, encouraging Finland to do the same. This time, the roles are different; its the Finnish government gunning for fast NATO membership and the Swedish government taking a slower approach.

The current public debate mostly concerns whether Finland should join NATO as soon as possible or wait for a bit and then join. NATO-critical voices are often shouted down and condemned as Putin sympathizers.

The Left is divided. Even in the Left Alliance, the biggest party to the left of the Social Democrats, the shift in opinion has led to the party leader announcing that NATO membership will no longer be a make-or-break issue for government participation. This has already been an upheaval in party thought on what was once a defining stance. Some members have pushed for an even further shift.

There are also some opponents of NATO membership on the other side of the spectrum, both among right-wing populists and more mainstream conservatives, who prefer to conserve Finlands traditional neutrality. For instance, former foreign minister Paavo Vyrynen, from the Center Party (the second-biggest force in the current government), is a long-standing opponent of NATO, and he has not been shy about this view although hes currently a powerless minority among his party. Perhaps the only MP to take a clearly pro-Russian standpoint, Ano Turtiainen belongs to a conspiracy-theorist splinter of the right-wing-nationalist Finns Party. But even this party has stood by the governments line and recently endorsed NATO membership.

Questions like what Finlands role in NATO would be defending the Baltic states or something more remain less considered. As far as Finns are concerned, NATO is either an organization meant to defend Finland from Russia or an organization that intends to make Finland its front line for a conflict with Russia.

This myopic approach, typical of many countries primary concern for their own affairs, prevents a global focus on the future development of NATO. In particular, there has been a general trend of American presidents turning their focus from Europe to the Pacific. Many in the United States who see Europe as a declining and secondary continent will take potential future conflict with China as most decisive, and a cold war with China has now been pushed during several presidencies. If there is, for instance, a serious Baltic conflict and a serious Pacific conflict going on at the same time, how many resources would the United States focus on each?

In opposition to glib rhetoric about the West standing together, many cite the fact that Turkey, known for its oppression of Kurds and its wider authoritarianism, is itself a NATO member. But there are more obviously Western countries in the alliance who engage in postcolonial wars of the sort that Finns generally have little desire to join. For all the counterposing of the West against Russian autocracy, plenty of Western politicians, in line with a long-standing and cynical tradition, have sought deals with Russia over the heads of its border countries. To many Western Europeans, Eastern Europe in general remains a terra incognita, full of nations that are only noticed in affairs that affect the West directly. These, too, are questions for Finland to consider.

Now, though, whatever happens in countries as far away as Turkey seems remote to most Finns. Even many reluctant and newfound NATO supporters consider it obvious that membership would be at most a marriage of convenience, not an endorsement of the idea that NATO represents democracy, freedom, and light. But no matter how the eventual process goes and, in all probability, Finland will be a NATO member by the end of the year there is one force that ought to be blamed for the shift.

Preventing the expansion of NATO might have been one of the stated goals of Russias rapacious invasion. But the sheer unpredictability of the wholesale invasion is one of the tipping points that has made Finlands NATO application all but inevitable. Even a more limited incursion in the style of Georgia might have left the outcome more uncertain. Not a few people have made the same observation: for all the ink spilled by Atlanticists in Finland for thirty years, no politician has been more efficient a salesperson for NATO than Vladimir Putin has been.

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Finland Is Closer Than Ever to Joining NATO - Jacobin magazine

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Ukraine-Russia War Live News and Latest Updates – The New York Times

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PARIS Rejecting a herd-like conformity with the Biden administration, Marine Le Pen, the French far-right candidate for the presidency, said Wednesday that France would quit NATOs integrated military command if she were elected and would seek for the alliance a strategic rapprochement with Russia.

As Russias war in Ukraine rages on, Ms. Le Pen effectively signaled that her election would terminate or at least disrupt President Bidens united alliance in confronting President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, and perhaps create a breach in Western Europe for Mr. Putin to exploit.

Dismissing multilateralism, blasting Germany, criticizing the European Union, relegating climate issues to a low priority, attacking globalists and maintaining a near silence on Russias brutal assault in Ukraine, Ms. Le Pen gave a taste of a worldview that was at once reminiscent of the Trump presidency and appeared to directly threaten NATOs attempts to arm Ukraine and defeat Russia.

A lurch to the far right by France, a nuclear power and permanent member of the United Nations Security Council, would realign the world, with unpredictable and disruptive consequences.

In a wide-ranging 75-minute news conference devoted to international relations, and apparently conceived to bolster her credentials on the global stage, Ms. Le Pen said France would remain in NATO and respect its core Article 5, which says an attack on one alliance member is an attack on all.

But, she added, I would place our troops neither under an integrated NATO command nor under a European command.

Her position, she said, was no submission to an American protectorate exercised on European soil under the cover of NATO a stance she compared to that taken by Gen. Charles de Gaulle in 1966, when he took France out of NATOs integrated military command, where it remained until 2009.

Her position, she said, did not signal submission to Moscow. But her promise to withdraw France from the command was consistent with the policy of equidistance from great powers she said she would pursue if she defeats the incumbent, President Emmanuel Macron, in a runoff vote for the French presidency on April 24.

Polls show Mr. Macron with 53 to 55 percent of the vote, ahead of Ms. Le Pen with 45 to 47 percent. But the political situation is volatile as the president, scurrying around the country, scrambles to make up for a lackluster initial campaign. The French nationalist extreme right is closer to attaining power than at any time since World War II.

The proposed rapprochement with Russia, once the Russian-Ukrainian war is over and settled by a peace treaty, would even be in the interest of the United States, Ms. Le Pen suggested, because Washington would not be served by a close Russian-Chinese union.

Ms. Le Pen, the leader of the National Rally, formerly the National Front, a fiercely anti-immigrant party, dismissed the Biden administration as too aggressive toward Beijing, saying the United States needs enemies in order to unite its allies under its domination.

It was one of very few references to the United States, none of them positive, as Ms. Le Pen embarked on a kind of world tour of her preoccupations that also omitted Russia but did include a long exegesis of why France has solemn obligations in Lebanon.

France is not France without grandeur, she declared.

Nor is it France without protests. The news conference was briefly disrupted by a protester carrying a heart-shaped image of Ms. Le Pen and Mr. Putin. The protester was wrestled to the ground and dragged out by security guards.

Ms. Le Pen said that the nonaligned France she imagined would threaten enemies of the Western camp in a more effective way because the country would no longer follow an alignment with the United States and so would cause greater, dissuasive uneasiness in the calculations of all adversaries.

Mr. Macron has attacked Ms. Le Pen as intent on the destruction of the European Union and compared the April 24 vote to a referendum on Europe. Nationalism, he said Tuesday in Strasbourg, leads to an alliance of nations that want to make war.

Ms. Le Pen said that a British-style exit from the European Union was not in her plans but that she favored a European alliance of nations, rejecting Mr. Macrons frequent references to European sovereignty and European strategic autonomy. In practice she favors a series of measures including favoring French over E.U. citizens for jobs and housing designed to undermine the 27-member union.

The same objective appeared to lie behind her diatribe against Germany, Frances most important partner in the construction of a united Europe. Franco-German friendship has stood at the heart of postwar Europe, the symbol of the continents healing after the devastation of two world wars.

Ms. Le Pen declared that France and Germany confronted irreconcilable strategic differences.

She said she would stop all cooperation with Germany on the development of new military equipment in order to pursue national programs. She denounced the discreet and clever hegemony over Europe orchestrated by Angela Merkel, the former German chancellor. She suggested that Germany has embarked on a surreptitious plan to subvert Frances centralized model with a German federal model or even the creation of big border-crossing regions.

Germany would not be allowed to destroy the French nuclear industry, Ms. Le Pen vowed. She insisted that Germanys interests diverged from Frances in that Germany considers NATO as the natural pillar of its security, yesterday and today, which leads it to buy American.

Driving home her point, Ms. Le Pen said, Germany thus represents the polar opposite of Frances strategic identity. Nevertheless, she said, I want to underline that I have no hostility to the German nation.

The overall message was clear enough. Dismissive of French-German cooperation, hostile or suspicious toward the United States and NATO, seeking rapprochement with Russia and a softer approach to China, Ms. Le Pen would take France in a direction that, for the Biden administration, would severely test one of Americas oldest alliances at a time of war in Europe.

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Ukraine-Russia War Live News and Latest Updates - The New York Times

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Able Archer: The NATO exercise that almost went nuclear – Livescience.com

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Able Archer was an annual NATO military exercise that involved thousands of military personnel and equipment. The goal of the exercise was to simulate an escalation in a conflict between NATO countries and the USSR, culminating in a co-ordinated nuclear attack.

In 1983, the annual exercise almost triggered the outbreak of war between NATO and the Soviet Union, when miscommunication led the Soviet government to believe the West was in fact mounting an invasion.

Able Archer, was an annual NATO exercise and the culmination the culmination of the Autumn Forger maneuvers that involved 100,000 personnel, some 16,000 of which were flown in from the United States according to The Atomic Heritage Foundation. The exercise was designed to end with a simulated nuclear strike following a theoretical Warsaw Pact invasion of Western Europe.

Related: The first atomic bombs: Hiroshima and Nagasaki

Although the Soviet Union was aware that the annual event was due to take place, in 1983 Able Archer differed in many ways from previous exercises.

First, there were large periods of radio silence, as well as encrypted messages among the NATO forces.

Second, the imaginary forces were moved to high alert and there were even reports of fake missiles being taxied out of hangers with dummy warheads.

Finally, senior officials were involved with even President Ronald Reagan himself scheduled to participate, although in reality he dropped out, according to the BBC.

In the buildup to the 1983 Able Archer exercise the Warsaw Pact countries had become increasingly paranoid about the potential of a U.S. nuclear attack.

In 1981 Ronald Reagan became the 40th President of the United States and quickly proved himself aggressive in his approach towards the USSR. In March 1983, just a few short months before Able Archer, Reagan referred to the Soviet Union as an "evil empire", according to Voices of Democracy and announced his intent to build the "Star Wars" space-based anti-missile program, according to the Atomic Heritage Foundation.

That same year, the U.S. deployed Pershing II Nuclear Missiles at their bases in West Germany, able to reach a Soviet target in less than 10 minutes, according to Missile Threat.

As a result of the this threat and the fear of a nuclear strike, the KGB created Project RYaN, which stood for "Raketno-Yadernoe Napadenie" translated meaning "Nuclear Missile Attack" according to the Wilson Center.

"The Soviet Intelligence community was still traumatized by its failure to anticipate the German attack in 1941 and was determined not to be taken by surprise again," Colonel Robert E Hamilton wrote in his article "Able Archer At 35: Lessons from the 1983 War Scare".

As well as using traditional intelligence methods, including human agents, RYaN also utilized computers in a bid to monitor indicators from both NATO and the United States that a nuclear attack was imminent.

On Sept. 26, the Soviet Early Warning Satellite System registered a warning that five American minuteman missiles were on their way to Russian soil, according to Stanford University. The warning was revealed to be a false alarm.

"1983 was a supremely dangerous year in which a series of events seriously raised the temperature between East and West," historian Taylor Downing told All About History Magazine "Most obvious here was the shooting down of a Korean civilian airliner, flight KAL 007, by a Soviet fighter plane after it had strayed off course by about 350 miles and ended up crossing Soviet airspace above a sensitive military area.

"Reagan could not believe this was a case of mistaken identity, a tragic accident that caused the death of 269 innocent people, " Downing continued. "He called the Soviet Union "a terrorist state" that showed no regard for human life. I argue that at this point the Cold War nearly went hot as some in Washington demanded a military retaliation against the Soviet Union."

As tensions between the two sides began to rise, so did the danger of a possible nuclear conflict. According to the strategy of Mutually Assured Destruction, if this occurred then both sides would annihilate each other.

"When situations are this tense it is always possible that one side will misinterpret what the other side is doing," Downing said. "In the end, the safety of all nuclear systems is reliant upon the human factor it is a politician or military leader who finally has to respond to threats perceived or real and press the nuclear button. So, no matter how sophisticated the failsafe systems are, it is down to a person to make the final decision and all humans are fallible."

When the Able Archer exercise began on Nov. 7, 1983, the Soviet response was unprecedented.

Almost immediately all flight operations that were not intelligence gathering in nature were suspended and nuclear weapons were taken to their intended delivery units.

For the entire duration of Able Archer, aircraft in Poland and East Germany, both Soviet republics at this time, were kept armed and fueled, according to Colonel Colonel Hamilton.

Perhaps most disturbingly, a 30-minute readiness time for a full nuclear strike was imposed, which would remain on alert until the end of Able Archer, on the Nov. 11, according to the National Security Archive.

It would be some time before the extent of the Soviet war scare would become apparent to U.S. Intelligence officers. Despite defector Oleg Gordievsky informing both MI6 and the C.I.A., it was only the former who believed him.After being briefed, Margaret Thatcher ordered her officials to "urgently consider how to approach the Americans on the question of possible Soviet misapprehensions about a surprise Nato attack," according to Unredacted.

In 1990 the Presidents Foreign Advisory Board crafted a top secret report entitled "The Soviet War Scare" which makes clear the threat posed by Able Archer, stating that the US "may have inadvertently placed our relations with the Soviet Union on a hair trigger."

General Yesin, an operator of SS-20 missiles targeted at Western Europe, stated years later that: "We knew that NATO was doing an exercise although we couldnt fully eliminate the possibility that a nuclear strike could be delivered," Gordon Barrass reported in a 2016 article for Taylor Francis Online.

The Atomic Heritage Foundation contains a lengthy article on Able Archer 83 which details just hot close the world came to nuclear war. The Reagan Foundation has uploaded the entirety of the 'Evil Empire' speech and this can be viewed on YouTube. Colonel Robert E Hamilton's paper on Able Archer can be read on the Foreign Policy Research Institutes site.

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Able Archer: The NATO exercise that almost went nuclear - Livescience.com

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Putin lashing out at NATO backfires as interest in membership grows – MSNBC

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Rachel Maddow reports on how Russia's invasion of Ukraine has made Sweden and Finland actively interested joining NATO when they weren't interested in doing so previously, and looks at how Finland has prepared itself for war with Russia ever since it was invaded by the Soviet Union in 1939.April 13, 2022

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Putin lashing out at NATO backfires as interest in membership grows - MSNBC

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Zelensky on NATO: No longer interested in their diplomacy – The Hill

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who has urged NATO to take stronger actions throughout Russias invasion, said in an interview that aired Sunday he is no longer interested in their diplomacy.

When youre working in diplomacy, there are no results. All of this is very bureaucratic, Zelensky said in an interview with CBSs 60 Minutes.

Thats why the way I am talking to them is absolutely justified. I dont have any more lives to give. I dont have any more emotions. Im no longer interested in their diplomacy that leads to the destruction of my country, the president added.

Since the unprovoked military invasion of Ukraine began on Feb. 24, Zelensky has referred to NATO as weak and under confident, while also previously pushing for Ukraines membership in the body.

Knowing that new strikes and casualties are inevitable, NATO deliberately decided not to close the sky over Ukraine, Zelensky said in an earlier video, urging the security alliance to think about all those people who will die because of you.

Because of your weakness, because of your disunity, all the alliance has managed to do so far is to carry 50 tons of diesel fuel for Ukraine, he said in March. Is this the alliance you were building?

NATO has saidit condemns in the strongest possible terms Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine and last week called for Russian President Vladimir Putin to withdraw all his forces from Ukraine without conditions and engage in genuine diplomacy.

NATO Secretary-GeneralJens Stoltenberghas also said that the invasionhas already had long-term consequencesthat will require the alliance to adapt to that reality.

NATO is the most successful alliance in history for two reasons. One is that we have been able to unite Europe and North America. The other is that we have been able to change when the world is changing. Now the world is changing and NATO is changing, the secretary-general added.

Later in Sundays interview with CBS, Zelensky added that he was not disappointed with President Bidens response to the crisis.

I dont know how another president in his place would help us. I dont know. Its difficult, he said.

We have a good relationship, he added, speaking of Biden. Ukraine depends on the support of the United States and I, as the leader of a country of war, I can only be grateful.

Biden has also rejected Ukrainian demands for a no-fly zone, and nixed a Polish plan to transfer fighter jets into the country.

However, the U.S. has sent hundreds of millions of dollars worth of weapons to Ukraine, including missile systems and lethal drones.

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Zelensky on NATO: No longer interested in their diplomacy - The Hill

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NATO chief says Ukraine war could last years as Russia claims it will end soon – Business Insider

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NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg on Friday warned that the conflict in Ukraine was heading into a "dangerous" new phase, as the Kremlin simultaneously claimed that Russia's unprovoked six-week war could end in the "foreseeable future."

Stoltenberg told NPR that Russian President Vladimir Putin has not "changed his overall aim, and that is to control Ukraine," warning that the war is likely to see "much heavier fighting" in the days to come.

The NATO chief said Putin was unlikely to "sit down and engage in good faith in negotiations for a political solution," adding, "Therefore, we need to also be prepared for the long haul. And it's hard to predict. Wars are always unpredictable. But this can last for months and even years."

Meanwhile, Putin's spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told reporters that Moscow's so-called "special military operation" in Ukraine could soon be over because Russia was succeeding at reaching its goals in the eastern European country, according to the Russian state-owned TASS news agency.

"The operation continues and the goals are being achieved," Peskov said, according to TASS.

Peskov added, "Substantive work is being carried out both on the military side, in terms of advancing the operation, and on the side of the negotiators who are in the negotiation process with their Ukrainian counterparts," TASS reported.

The Kremlin spokesman said during a live interview with Sky News on Thursday that the Russian military was "doing their best to bring an end to that operation."

"And we do hope that in coming days, in the foreseeable future, this operation will reach its goals or will finish it by the negotiations between Russian and Ukrainian delegation," Peskov said.

When pressed Friday by whether the war could actually end in days, Peskov said, "We are talking about the foreseeable future," according to TASS.

On Thursday, Peskov admitted that Russian forces had endured "significant losses."

Despite Ukraine's armed forces being largely outnumbered and outgunned by the Russians, the Ukrainians have put up fierce resistance, which has resulted in heavy losses for Russian troops. NATOestimates between 7,000 to 15,000 Russian troops have been killed since the war began less than two months ago. Russia has also lost an astonishing number of generals in the conflict.

As Peskov claimed the war would wind down soon, the brutal Russian onslaught continued. At least 50 people were killed on Friday including five children after two Russian rockets hit a train station in the eastern city of Kramatorsk that was packed with people attempting to evacuate, Ukrainian officials said.

Putin launched Russia's invasion of Ukraine on February 24, with Russian troops surrounding and shelling towns and cities across the country. Civilian areas have consistently been targeted, killing at least 1,611 and leading over 4.3 million Ukrainians to flee the country, according to the UN's latest figures.

Both Western and Ukrainian leaders have accused Moscow of committing war crimes in Ukraine, and in a rare diplomatic rebuke, Russia was suspended from the UN Human Rights Council on Thursday.

Though there's strong evidence to the contrary, Russia has repeatedly and falsely stated that it's not targeting civilian areas.

Russia has continuously spread disinformation on the war, habitually offering misleading and inaccurate assessments of the situation on the ground.

The Russian military has struggled to make major gains in the war thus far, in spite of the Kremlin's claim that the "operation" has achieved its goals.

Russia failed to take Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital, and for the time being has shifted its focus to the eastern Donbas region where Russian-backed separatists have been fighting Ukraine since 2014.

Stoltenberg on Tuesday warned that Russia would launch a "concentrated" offensive in the Donbas.

"In the coming weeks we expect a further Russian push in the east and southern Ukraine, to try to take the entire Donbas and to create a land bridge to the occupied Crimea," the NATO chief said.

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NATO chief says Ukraine war could last years as Russia claims it will end soon - Business Insider

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Accenture Invests in Good Chemistry Company to Drive Quantum Computing in Materials and Life Sciences – HPCwire

Posted: April 11, 2022 at 6:49 am

NEW YORK, April 6, 2022 Accenture has made a strategic investment, through Accenture Ventures, inGood Chemistry Company, a company that uses quantum chemistry, machine learning and quantum computing to accelerate new materials design.

The Good Chemistry Company platform,QEMIST Cloud, combines cloud, AI, and quantum computing in an integrated platform designed for developers. The platforms engine enables faster, more accurate, and scalable ways to perform computational chemistry simulations.

Were doubling down on the growth potential of quantum computing and uncovering new ways to navigate its potential while empowering our clients to confidently absorb and access this breakthrough technology, said Tom Lounibos, managing director, Accenture Ventures. Simulating chemistry in this new way leverages easily and readily accessible computers on the cloud to perform simulations that were previously intractable even on expensive, high-performance computing environments. This brings a competitive advantage to clients and can change pharmaceutical drug discovery and more.

According to theAccenture Technology Vision 2022, 69% of global executives say quantum computing will have a breakthrough or transformational positive impact on their organizations in the future. Quantum is the pinnacle of next generation problem solving and Accenture andBiogen collaborated with 1QBitalready to accelerate drug discovery, developing a proof of concept that validated a quantum-computing molecule comparison approach and building an enterprise-ready, quantum-enabled application with transparent processes that generates molecular comparison results with deeper insights about shared traits.

Arman Zaribafiyan, CEO of Good Chemistry Company said, With our platform, we are re-imagining the way computational chemistry simulations are done. Simulating chemistry on computers will help drive faster, more accurate and more accessible materials innovation in the decades to come. With Accentures support and collaboration, we will be able to explore the vastness of chemical space and enable rational materials design at scale.

Carl Dukatz, Accentures global quantum computing lead said, By building on and extending our relationship with 1QBit to the newly formed Good Chemistry Company, we are demonstrating our ongoing commitment to accelerating quantum computing innovation. We are witnessing the emergence of a new class of scalable cloud-based technology that is stretching the boundaries of what computers can solve. We recognize the potential of arming our clients with the next generation of chemistry, material science, and structural design.

Good Chemistry Company is the latest organization to join Accenture VenturesProject Spotlight, an engagement and investment program that connects emerging technology software startups with the Global 2000 to fill strategic innovation gaps. Project Spotlight offers extensive access to Accentures domain expertise and its enterprise clients, helping startups harness human creativity and deliver on the promise of their technology.

Terms of the investment were not disclosed.

About Accenture

Accenture is a global professional services company with leading capabilities in digital, cloud and security. Combining unmatched experience and specialized skills across more than 40 industries, we offer Strategy and Consulting, Interactive, Technology and Operations services all powered by the worlds largest network of Advanced Technology and Intelligent Operations centers. Our 699,000 people deliver on the promise of technology and human ingenuity every day, serving clients in more than 120 countries. We embrace the power of change to create value and shared success for our clients, people, shareholders, partners and communities. Visit us ataccenture.com.

About Good Chemistry Company

Good Chemistry Companys mission is to enable high-throughput high-accuracy computational chemistry simulations to accelerate new material designs. Their proprietary QEMIST Cloud, a cloud-based computational chemistry platform, provides the building blocks for computational chemistry developers to build chemical simulation applications and workflows, using emerging algorithms in quantum chemistry, machine learning, and quantum computing. Through simple, easy-to-use APIs, QEMIST Cloud provides access to computational chemistry tools with unprecedented scale enabled by the power of cloud. Headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, Good Chemistry Companys interdisciplinary team comprises computational and quantum chemists, software developers, ML engineers and quantum computing scientists. For more information about Good Chemistry Company, visitgoodchemistry.com.

Source: Accenture

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Quantum computing and the bigger picture – ComputerWeekly.com

Posted: at 6:49 am

Every few years IBM brings out a new addition to its Z series mainframe family. From the information accompanying the release of the new enterprise system, IBM appears to be touting the new z16 machines ability to handle real time fraud detection for instant payments across the financial sector. It also offers an AI (artificial intelligence) accelerator, using IBMs Telum chip. This will certainly be good news for many financial institutes. For instance, speaking at a recent IBM-hosted roundtable, Steve Suarez, global head of innovation, finance & risk at HSBC, described how the bank was drowning in data. Suarez sees a need to have technology that can help the bank provide insights that actually benefit people.

What is interesting from the virtual z16 briefing Computer Weekly attended is IBMs focus on the new machines ability to protect against hackers using quantum computing to break the strong encryption that underpins financial transactions.

IBM distinguished engineer, Anne Dames said: Good technology can be used to do bad things. In other words, a quantum computer could be used to break the cryptographic keys that are used to encrypt data.

We are entering a new cryptographic era, she warns, adding that the IT industry needs to act now before there is an effective quantum computing based attack.

The worst case scenario IBM paints is where a successful hacking attack gains access to a large quantity of encrypted data. Since this data is encrypted, it is near impossible to decipher it in a realistic timescale. The US National Institute of Standards and Technology warns that if large-scale quantum computers are ever built, they will be able to break many of the public-key cryptosystems currently in use. This would seriously compromise the confidentiality and integrity of digital communications on the Internet and elsewhere. Nist is encouraging the IT sector to develop post-quantum cryptography and IBMs z16 is one of the first systems to claim it is quantum safe.

While this is clearly an important development and IBMs efforts should be applauded, one cant help worrying that IBM, Nist and the IT sector at large, are somehow missing the bigger picture. Breaking cryptography is one thing, but quantum computers have the potential to revolutionise drug development and the ability to create new chemical processes such as to reduce carbon emissions. The flip side is that these techniques may also be used to develop devastatingly effective, targeted chemical and biological weapons. As such, policy makers need to wake up to the risk, and track quantum computing in the same way that atomic, biological and chemical weapon materials are monitored.

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Pentagon’s outgoing data boss warns of quantum cyber threats – Stars and Stripes

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The Pentagon in Arlington, Va., as seen on Sept. 17, 2021. (Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg)

The U.S. Department of Defense's outgoing chief data officer called for the Pentagon to make urgent investments to defend against potential espionage from quantum computers -- nascent technology that could one day break the encryption that protects American secrets.

In his first interview since leaving his post last month, David Spirk, who spent two years in his role, told Bloomberg News that the Pentagon needs to speed up efforts to counter adversaries who are developing military tools supported by advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence, machine learning and eventually quantum science.

Quantum computing may prove far more able than existing technology to solve mathematical problems at exponentially faster speeds. That could enable operators to unscramble the algorithms that underpin encryption protocols, unlocking an array of sensitive data.

"I don't think that there's enough senior leaders getting their heads around the implications of quantum," Spirk said. "Like AI, I think that's a new wave of compute that when it arrives is going to be a pretty shocking moment to industry and government alike."

"We have to pick up pace because we have competitors who are also attempting to accelerate," he added.

Spirk's comments come amid warnings that U.S. adversaries, particularly China, are aggressively pursuing advanced technologies that could radically accelerate the pace of modern warfare. China is investing in AI and quantum sciences as part of its plan to become an innovation superpower, according to the Pentagon's latest annual report to Congress on China's military power. China is "at or near the lead on numerous science fields," including AI and quantum, it said.

The National Security Agency, meanwhile, said last year that the adversarial use of a quantum computer "could be devastating" to the U.S. and its national security systems. The NSA said it could take 20 years or more to roll out new post-quantum cryptography that would resist such code-cracking.

Tim Gorman, a spokesperson at the Pentagon, said the Department of Defense was taking post-quantum cryptography seriously and coordinating with Congress and across government agencies. He added there was "a significant effort" underway.

A January presidential memo further charged agencies with establishing a timeline for transitioning to quantum resistant cryptography.

Among the efforts underway to bolster defenses against quantum-based attacks, the National Institute of Standards and Technology, known as NIST, is seeking to select new quantum-proof encryption algorithms from seven finalists shortly as part of a global competition.

Jonathan Katz, computer science professor at the University of Maryland who submitted a "post-quantum algorithm" to the NIST competition, said the stakes in the NIST competition were high: an algorithm that later proved vulnerable would be "a disaster." Once a choice is made, the U.S. Department of Defense faces a huge task in upgrading all its software and hardware that features algorithms, he said, adding that included not only servers and laptops but also parts of submarines, tanks, helicopters and weapons systems.

Experts generally assess large-scale quantum computing may be 15 to 20 years away if it is ever even developed, but the Pentagon's Defense Advanced Research Agency, or DARPA, launched a project this February to explore the possibility that a breakthrough could be developed "much sooner."

Joe Altepeter, who manages DARPA's new quantum project, told Bloomberg there was a lot of "hype" over industry claims about the arrival of quantum computing, with several "hardware miracles" still standing in the way. Some of the smartest physicists he knew were divided over whether useful quantum computing would ever exist, Altepeter said, adding that the risk was such that it was important to develop resilient systems.

Spirk said the Pentagon needs to start preparing "now," arguing military applications for quantum computing could be only five to 10 years away. The Pentagon needed to work at the same speed as commercial vendors that are already exploring ways to use quantum-resistant cryptography to safeguard financial and health-care sectors, he said.

If the U.S. doesn't make the right investments in defensive quantum today, "then our concepts around encryption, data security and cybersecurity will be obsolete because the computers will break our cryptography," Spirk said. He added that all the encrypted data that adversaries have already gathered would also risk exposure.

Spirk, a former U.S. Marine, became the first chief data officer at Special Operations Command before he joined the Pentagon. He said he left the chief data officer post after a two-year commitment to rejoin his family in Florida. The departure follows last year's resignation of the U.S. Air Force's first chief software officer, Nicolas Chaillan, who previously told the Financial Times that the U.S. was losing the AI race to China.

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