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Monthly Archives: June 2021
Do not connect the dots and 4 other things about the Cleveland Indians – cleveland.com
Posted: June 23, 2021 at 6:33 am
CHICAGO -- Manager Terry Francona saw no connection between MLBs ban on grip enhancers and the injuries to front-line starters Aaron Civale and Shane Bieber.
Civale left Tuesdays 4-0 win over the Cubs with two out in the fifth with a sore middle finger. He still leads the big leagues in wins and innings pitched, but he is headed for the injured list after he visits hand specialist Dr. Thomas Graham in Dayton on Wednesday.
Biebers last start was on June 13 against Seattle. He left after 5 2/3 innings because of a sore right shoulder.
No, and again Im not going to talk about every single pitcher, but Civale was doing nothing different last night than hes done all year, said Francona. Just because (theres a ban) doesnt mean every pitcher does it.
Umpires started checking pitchers for substances on Monday. Civale was checked twice after innings. Each reliever on the Indians and Cubs was checked at the end of their particular inning. James Karinchak, who pitched the ninth for the Indians, was checked before the inning started.
The Indians relievers had fun with it.
I was laughing, said Nick Wittgren, who pitched out of a jam in the seventh. I kind of made a joke, first time I was gonna come off, drop my hat, glove, take off my jersey, turn it around. But no, umpires, theyre just doing their job as well, just like us. Were doing what were told and theyre doing what theyre told. You have to look at it from both ways.
Crew chief Hunter Wendlestedt met with Francona and Cubs manager David Ross before Mondays game to tell them how the process was going to work.
I thought he did a really good job of explaining it, and what they were gonna do and how they were going to do it, said Francona. That puts you at ease a little bit. I thought they handled themselves extremely well.
Theyre not looking to throw people out of a game. And he made that abundantly clear. They have a job to do and we have a job to do and hopefully everybody does it the way youre supposed to, you wont see any fireworks.
No. 1: Fix it yourself
Team executives Chris Antonetti and Mike Chernoff are exploring possible ways to find help for the rotation, but a lot of other teams are looking for the same thing.
Unless something unexpected happens, Francona, pitching coach Carl Willis and the rest of the organizations pitching gurus know theyre going to have to lean on their internal arms to try and get through this.
The rotation headed into the four-game series against the Twins that starts Thursday night will be J.C. Mejia, Cal Quantrill, Sam Hentges and Eli Morgan, who started Tuesday night against the Cubs. Quantrill is the only one who was on the roster on opening day.
No. 2: There are no words
Francona talked to the Indians after Bieber was placed on the injured list. There have been no meetings in the wake of Civales injury because the message would be the same.
Im actually pleased with how theyre doing, said Francona. Theyre fighting. They know. I dont want to scare them. As long as they believe, Im certainly going to believe. We have to do this together. We know its challenging. The last time I told them, I know the way it wont work.
No. 3: June boom
An improved offense has been one of the ways the Indians have continued to win while losing one starting pitcher after another. They went into Tuesdays game averaging 5.65 runs a game in June compared to 3.96 in April and 3.93 in May. Theyre hitting .258 in June compared to .206 in April and .226 in May.
The reason for the surge? Bobby Bradley is hitting .283 (13-for-46), Harold Ramirez .320 (16-for-50), Jose Ramirez .300 (18-for-60), Eddie Rosario .313 (21-for-67) and Amed Rosario .324 (23-for-71) in June.
No.4: Finally
Injured catchers Austin Hedges and Roberto Perez played catch in front of the dugout before Tuesday nights game. Perez (right ring finger) will start his rehab assignment Wednesday at Columbus. Hedges is in concussion protocol. ... Bieber (right shoulder) worked out in the outfield. Hes still not ready to throw. ... Josh Naylor and Bradley put on a power display that had the fans in the outfield seats at Wrigley cheering. Bradley hit the scoreboard in right field, while Naylor hit one onto Waveland Avenue over the seats in right center. ... Eddie Rosario took a nine-game hitting streak into Tuesdays game. Rosario has raised his average from .203 to .254 over the last 28 games. Hes hit .324 (34-for-105) in that stretch.
A variety of Cleveland Indians face masks available online today. (Fanatics.com)
New Indians face masks for sale: Heres where you can buy Cleveland Indians-themed face coverings for coronavirus protection, including a single mask ($14.99) and a 3-pack ($24.99). All MLB proceeds donated to charity.
More Indians coverage
Civale on injured list with finger injury
Less is more for Naylor, Bradley in leading offensive surge
Indians beat Cubs, 4-0, but Civale leaves with right finger injury
Cy Young Days Festival set for this weekend
On the Big Frisk, Franmil Reyes and 4 other things
Jos Ramrez faces tough test to reach All-Star ballot finals
Barreled Harold Ramirez making an impact on lineup
Reyes to start rehab assignment; Mercado hit in head at Columbus
All-Star credentials for shortstop Amed Rosario
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Do not connect the dots and 4 other things about the Cleveland Indians - cleveland.com
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Cindy Ball Obituary – Death Notice and Service Information – Legacy.com
Posted: at 6:33 am
Cindy Poirier Ball, 64, of Gurnee, IL., passed away peacefully at Advocate Condell Hospital following a courageous 11-year battle with ovarian cancer. Cindy was surrounded by her loving family when God called her home.
Cindy grew up in Wildwood, IL and attended Woodland Elementary School and Warren Township High School. Cindy was the 1974 Warren High School Girls State Representative, and during her senior year she was the recipient of the distinguished Gilbert Clem Scholarship Award.
In 1980 Cindy graduated from Western Illinois University (WIU) earning a bachelors degree in business with an emphasis in human resources. Professionally, Cindy improved the quality of health care in Lake County by recruiting capable and qualified nurses for Vista and Northwestern/Lake Forest Hospitals for more than 35 years. She was a past board member and treasurer of the Chicago Nurse Recruiter Organization and was well regarded in the HR recruitment field.
Cindy had several avocations. She was an avid reader since childhood and shared her love of books with many. She was also a skilled writer whose pen could evoke humor, seriousness, joy, and sadness depending on the intention of her missive. A keen observer of the human condition, Cindy often displayed her amazing and acerbic wit in her writings and her conversations. Moreover, Cindy had the soul of an artist, a talent passed on to her from her beloved father. Dancing brought Cindy great joy, as did attending plays, watching her recorded movies and television programs, and the Annual Academy Awards.
In 1984, Cindy married the love of her life, Carl Spark Ball. They met their freshman year at WIU. Together they became parents in 1994 when their son, Carl Edward Ball joined the family, soon followed by Renee Janine in 1995. There was nothing Cindy loved more than family time because her children were the light of her life, greatest pride, and her lasting achievement.
Throughout her life, Cindy nurtured and developed her genuine Christian faith personally and with her family. Cindy attended Village Church of Gurnee with her family for over 15 years. More recently she began to attend Immanuel Church in Gurnee and cherished her weekly Zoom bible study with her sisters-in Christ along with the small group bible study with her husband. Cindy relied on her faith to sustain and comfort her throughout her long illness.
Cindy was proceeded in death by her father, William James Poirier and is survived by her husband, Carl Spark Ball; her children, Carl Edward and Renee Janine (Brandon); her mother, Dolores (ne Witte) Poirier; her brother, Bill (Chrissy) Poirier; her sister, Nancy (Bill) McCormick; her mother-in-law, Karen Ball; her sister-in-law, Cheryl (Allen) Marttila. Cindy is also survived by many beloved aunts and uncles, cousins, nieces and nephews and great nieces and nephews. She is also survived by a cherished sister-cousin, Margie Witte Breckenfeld and special sister-friends, Ann Graham Deuel, and Debbie Gonyo Hoselton. Lastly, included in those mourning Cindys passing is her treasured dog, Chase.
To honor Cindys memory, the Ball family will host a Celebration of Life on Saturday, July 31, 2021. The Open House celebration will occur from 2:00 p.m. until 10:00 p.m. at the Ball Family home: 1297 Waveland Ave. Gurnee, IL. A memorial service will commence at 3:00 p.m. All those who knew and loved Cindy (and her immediate and extended family) are welcome to come and share happy memories together.
Per Cindys wishes, and in lieu of flowers, the Ball family would be grateful for donations made in Cindys memory to the Ovarian Cancer Research Alliance. Checks can be mailed to: Ovarian Cancer Research Alliance, P.O. Box 32141, New York, NY. 10087, or may be made by email to: [emailprotected]
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Cindy Ball Obituary - Death Notice and Service Information - Legacy.com
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Lucas: In praising NATO, Biden gives credit where it isnt due – Boston Herald
Posted: at 6:33 am
Memo to Joe Biden: NATO did not help us get al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden.
The U.S. Navy Seals did it.
Had the 30 member countries of NATO ranging from Slovenia to Slovakia been consulted in tracking down and killing the terrorists leader, Osama bin Laden would still be killing Americans.
Rather than strategizing with NATO members about the perilous plan to take out the architect of the 9/11 terrorist attack in 2001, the U.S. went at it alone.
Nineteen Islamic terrorists hijacked four commercial airliners that day. Two of them were flown into the two buildings of the World Trade Center in New York, collapsing both and killing 3,000 people and injuring another 25,000.
A third plane was crashed into the west side of the Pentagon killing 125 there. A fourth, headed for the White House, crashed in Shanksville, Pa., after a struggle between passengers and the hijackers, killing 44 passengers.
It was the deadliest terrorist attack in history.
The U.S. responded by declaring war on terror and proceeded to oust the Taliban from Afghanistan where bin Laden had been given sanctuary. However, Osama bin-Laden escaped into Pakistan before he could be captured.
Despite what a confused President Biden said at a press conference in the U.K. last week, where he praised NATO, the organization had nothing to do with the American operation to find and kill bin Laden.
It took 10 years and a costly war, but the U.S. finally tracked him down hiding out in a compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan.
Under the utmost secrecy, on May 2, 2011, U.S. Seal Team Six helicoptered from Afghanistan into the compound in Pakistan. The Seals raided the facility and gunned bin Laden down. The terrorist leader was later buried at sea.
Biden should have known this. He was vice president under President Barack Obama when U.S. intelligence finally tracked bin Laden down.
Maybe he forgot. However, the reporters asking questions should also have known and questioned him about it.
But just as Biden went off the rails at the G-7 summit when he confused Syria with Libya several times during his press conference, he also botched the killing of the terrorist leader.
In the context of praising Article Five of the NATO pact, which calls an attack on one member an attack on all, Biden lauded NATO for supporting us after the 9/11 attack. He did not explain what, if anything, NATO did.
In a mumble of words, Biden added, NATO was with (us) when we got bin Laden.
That had to come as news to NATO.
It is absurd to think that the U.S. would have shared such secret and sensitive intelligence about a highly charged and controversial assassination plan with NATO or any country.
Obama greenlighted the decision to get bin Laden following a meeting in May 2011 of top officials in the White Houses Situation Room. He asked those attending their views.
While most attending hedged, Biden and then Defense Secretary Robert Gates, according to Gates in his book Duty, expressed skepticism. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was all for it, as was then CIA Director Leon Panetta.
As a matter of fact, Biden, as vice president, did not support Obamas decision to launch the clandestine mission which violated Pakistani airspace to get to Abbottabad.
Another source at the meeting said Biden was concerned about the political fallout, We need greater certainty that bin Laden is there, Biden is quoted saying.
Biden at a 2012 Democrat congressional retreat talked about the Situation Room meeting. He said Obama went around the room asking for opinions. He got to me. He said, Joe, what do you think? Biden said he answered, Mr. President, my suggestion is, dont go, adding that he needed more intelligence.
So when Biden talks about the we in killing bin Laden, and includes NATO in it, he is giving himself and NATO credit they do not deserve. Neither Biden nor NATO had anything do with it.
Peter Lucas is a veteran Massachusetts political reporter and columnist.
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Lucas: In praising NATO, Biden gives credit where it isnt due - Boston Herald
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Positions of Two NATO Ships Were Falsified Near Russian Black Sea Naval Base – USNI News – USNI News
Posted: at 6:33 am
USNI News Illustration
The tracking data of two NATO warships was faked off the coast of a Russian controlled naval base in the Black Sea while the actual ships were moored 180 miles away, USNI News has learned.The U.K. Royal Navys HMS Defender, a Type-45 Daring-class destroyer, and the Royal Netherlands Navys HNLMS Evertsen, a De Zeven Provincin-class frigate, pulled into Odessa in Ukraine on June 18. The group had been monitored by Russian warships while exercising in the Black Sea, according to U.S. Navy photos dated on June 17.
According to an automatic identification system (AIS) signal, which transmits position details to improve maritime safety, the pair left Odessa just before midnight on June 18. The data shows that they sailed directly to Sevastopol, approaching to within two nautical miles of the harbor entrance. The strategic port houses the headquarters of Russias Black Sea fleet.
Despite the AIS track, there is clear evidence that the two warships did not leave Odessa. Live webcam feeds show that they did not leave Odessa, however. This was anyway the known situation in defense circles, and local media.Anyone in Odessa can see that they did not leave. The webcams are broadcast live on YouTube by Odessa Online. Screenshots archived by third party weather sites like Windy.com show the two warships present in Odessa overnight.
Positioning two NATO warships at the entrance at the entrance of a major Russian naval base would be widely seen as a provocative action, based on conflicting claims of sovereignty . Most of the international community, including the U.S, Britain and the Netherlands, do not recognize Crimea as part of Russia.
U.K. Royal Navy destroyer HMS Defender, USS Laboon and Dutch frigate HMNLS Evertsen take station for close proximity sailing as a Russian warship watches from afar (rear of picture) in the Black Sea on June 17, 2021. US Navy Photo
While the motives for the deception are unclear, the move raises questions about the efficacy of open-source intelligence data, such as AIS, which is becoming more common in both defense and by journalists. There is compelling evidence that the AIS tracks were faked. NATO representatives did not immediately respond to requests for comment and the tracks were confirmed as false by Dutch naval warfare news site Marineschepen.nl.
The AIS positions were shared with AIS aggregator MarineTraffic.com by a receiver station in Chornomorsk, close to Odessa. Other AIS aggregators also reported the false positions. HMS Defender was shown under the credentials that she is currently using, IMO 4907878. HNLMS Evertsen was reported as Netherlands Warship, MMSI 244942000. It isunclear how the false AIS data was introduced to the feed.
Both Defender and Evertsen are part of CSG21, the carrier strike group centered around HMS Queen Elizabeth (R08). The main body of CSG21 has remained in the Mediterranean, while the two warships temporarily deployed to the Black Sea, where they have been performing freedom of navigation missions and exercising with allies. They have visited Turkey and Ukraine and will also exercise with Romania and Georgia. They have also met with the U.S. Navys Arleigh Burke-class destroyer USS Laboon (DDG-58).
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NATO Secretary General: Gender Equality is the smart thing to do – NATO HQ
Posted: at 6:33 am
In a video keynote address at the Women Political Leaders Summit on 21 June 2021, NATOs Secretary General stressed the importance of gender equality to NATOs mission.
The best way to protect our security and way of life is to stand united and draw on all of the talents that our societies have to offer, he said. Gender equality is not only the right thing to do, but also the smart thing to do.
The online event, entitled Building Forward: Women Political Leaders Determining the New Normal, was co-chaired by Women Political Leaders and Amina J. Mohammed, United Nations Deputy Secretary-General, with advisory support from the United Nations Office for Partnerships. It brought together leaders from around the world to discuss how to support, increase and sustain womens leadership and gender equality in the post-pandemic era.
NATO has long recognized the need for increased womens participation and leadership in defence and security. Since 2018, its revised policy on Women, Peace and Security requires the integration of the gender perspective across all Alliance policies, programmes, missions and operations. It also encourages a more gender-inclusive environment and sets the highest standards of behaviour for NATO personnel.
At the Brussels Summit on 14 June 2021, NATO Leaders took a new significant step with the endorsement of NATOs new policy on Preventing and Responding to Conflict-Related Sexual Violence.
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NATO Secretary General: Gender Equality is the smart thing to do - NATO HQ
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NATO agrees to study how climate change impacts global security threats – The World
Posted: at 6:33 am
At the NATO leaders summit inBrussels last week, the defense alliance said it would begin formally studying how climate change impacts security threats, calling climate change, one of the defining challenges of our times.
Officials also pledged to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions from military activities, with a goal of promoting military operations that are more resilient and less polluting.
Related:Young activists are making their mark in the climate debate
The alliance said that climate change makes it harder for militaries to do their jobs.
A greater understanding of the ways that climate change exacerbates conflict can help design peacebuilding missions that work, said Janani Vivekanada, who heads the climate and security program at adelphi, a research institute in Germany.
Vivekanadas group is leading a new initiative called Weathering Risk, that combines the latest climate change data with analysis of social and economic conditions to help decision-makers see the connections between climate and conflict.
Related:Luxembourg takes the lead on climate finance
Its about connecting climate science to policy, to support climate security, risk-informed decisions and evidence-based solutions, said Vivekanada. Its aimed at all actors across the defense, development and diplomacy communities.
Vivekanada spoke to the Worlds Marco Werman about the significance of NATO taking on climate change.
Janani Vivekanada: I think this is a really significant step for essentially three reasons. The first is the symbolic value the diplomatic value of affirming as a military organization that climate change is a threat to international peace and security, not just for the future, but one that's already playing out around the world.
The second reason is more operational. It's clear to military actors around the world that they need to better anticipate and prepare for the resulting crises that climate change is contributing to. Theres also an increasing need for humanitarian responses, one that NATOs historically tried to avoid. But as military actors are faced with more and more climate disasters, they're going to be increasingly called upon as first responders. They need just what this action plan is calling for: a better understanding of the interactions between climate change, peace and stability, so they can ensure that military responses are not climate blind, theyre not inadvertently making things worse because they're going in, not really taking account of these climate risks.
This is a tragic example. Lake Chad of the Sahel, which is made up of Nigeria, Chad, Niger and Cameroon home of one of the most intractable conflicts that we're seeing between state security forces and armed groups, such as Boko Haram and Islamic State West Africa Province. The drivers of this conflict are manifold, but climate change is making things a lot worse for these communities; 90%of them have livelihoods that are dependent on climate-related rainfall patterns.
When I was in the field talking to members of armed groups, many of these people were saying they had no ideological interest or affinity with what these armed groups were preaching. They actually cited their decision to join these groups, join Boko Haram, for example, because of the climate-blind responses of military responses, things like slash and burn tactics, things like closing fish markets, banning the cultivation of certain crops or certain livelihoods. As your livelihood is becoming less and less viable, not just because of climate change, but because of these military strategies, the offer of armed groups as an anti-state vengeance mechanism becomes more prominent.
The relationship between climate change and peace and security can be this really negative, vicious circle which can lock in conflict, but it can also be a vehicle for peace building. So, in Israel-Palestine in the Levant, more broadly this is the most water-scarce region in the world. And whilst it's not the driver of conflict, the rising temperatures that the region is seeing, decreasing rainfall and rise in extreme weather events, are all contributing to worsening these very, very fraught relationships between communities.
But, we can see green shoots within this. Water is at the center of the crisis, but it's also been used as a vehicle for peace building, using the environment and shared resources like water as a vehicle to create dialog and discourse, and ultimately, trust between groups who would otherwise just not come together.
It's moving us from the rhetoric to being able to work on a more practical level. I think it really is a sign that NATO is taking this seriously. Where we were is, OK, there's a link between climate security, and I think where this action plan is taking us is, answering the So what? OK, yes, [climate change] is a risk to peace and security, so what do we do about it?
This interview has beenlightlyeditedand condensed for clarity.
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Vladimir Putin Blasts NATO Expansion as ‘Relic of the Cold War’ in Op-Ed – Newsweek
Posted: at 6:33 am
Russian President Vladimir Putin praised Russian soldiers who fought in World War II and criticized NATO's expansion in an op-ed published Tuesday by a German weekly.
"We hoped that the end of the Cold War would be a common victory for Europe," Putin wrote in Die Zeit. "But a different approach has prevailed based on the expansion of NATO, a relic of the Cold War. Fourteen new countries, including the former Soviet Union republics, joined the organization, effectively dashing hopes for a continent without dividing lines."
He added that NATO's efforts to embrace former Soviet nations in Central and Eastern Europe were responsible for increasing tensions and degrading security.
"The whole system of European security has now degraded significantly," Putin said. "Tensions are rising, and the risks of a new arms race are becoming real."
For more reporting from the Associated Press, see below:
Moscow saw NATO's expansion as a threat to its security, and Russia-West ties sank to post-Cold War lows after Russia's 2014 annexation of Ukraine's Crimean Peninsula that followed the ouster of the Moscow-friendly Ukrainian president.
Putin insisted that prosperity and security in Europe could only be achieved through joint efforts and noted that "Russia is in favour of restoring a comprehensive partnership with Europe."
"We simply cannot afford to carry the burden of past misunderstandings, hard feelings, conflicts, and mistakes," he said. "Our common and indisputable goal is to ensure security on the continent without dividing lines, a common space for equitable cooperation and inclusive development for the prosperity of Europe and the world as a whole."
Putin also marked the 80th anniversary of the Nazi attack on the Soviet Union with a wreath-laying ceremony at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier in Moscow.
The Nazis invaded the Soviet Union on June 22, 1941, and the country lost a staggering 27 million people in what it calls the Great Patriotic War. The enormous suffering and sacrifice have left a deep scar in the national psyche, and the Victory Day marking the end of World War II in Europe that is celebrated in Russia on May 9 is the nation's most important secular holiday.
"The day of June 22 still evokes anger and sorrow in the hearts of all generations, causing pain for the destroyed lives of millions of people," Putin said in a speech at the Unknown Soldier's Tomb at the Kremlin wall. "Those trials, those terrible years, are literally imprinted into our memory."
The invading Nazi forces quickly overran the western part of the Soviet Union and came as close as 30 kilometers (less than 19 miles) to Moscow. But the Red Army rebounded and routed the Nazis near the capital, dealt them a crushing defeat in the Battle of Stalingrad in 1943 and then drove them back across Europe all the way to Berlin.
The Kremlin has been anxious to see international recognition of the nation's wartime sacrifices and its role in defeating the Nazis.
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Survivalism 101: A Survivalist Preparation Guide | Gaia
Posted: at 6:32 am
Grow your innate survival abilities and watch your sleep improve and your worries lessen. Often your greatest fears become your greatest strengths; consider teaching others as you hone your skills.Here are a few ways to establishyour independence.
Learn how to grow your own food. Also, learn how to store, pickle and dry food. Learn how to cook with minimal ingredients. Consider growingmedicinal plants and learning the edible and medicinal plants that naturally grow in your local environment. When you grow your own food pre-apocalypse, you may even save $24,000 per year. Composting skills are also extremely valuable, especially if biomass energy is generated.
Read about the cycles of the sun and moon. Document eclipses, astronomical changes and learn to navigate by the stars. Master navigators were often the explorers and elders of ancient civilization, revered for their understanding of earth systems. Now a lost art, some cultures still use Old World navigation: Polynesians are still considered genius navigators and useancient techniques to travelthe ocean by canoe.
Learning to hunt, fish and raise livestock are invaluable skills. Hunting and fishing may involve various weapons or trapping techniques. The Boulder Outdoor Survival School teachesthree basic hunting strategies; the strategies are based on the tactics used by animals, such ascanine (chase/pack hunting), feline (spot and stalk) and raptor (ambush). Urban agriculture programs are surfacing all around the world, which supports efforts to raise chickens, rabbits or even apiary endeavors. Explore the urban agriculture policies of your local government.
While your first step is to measure and lower your energy use, you may also invest in renewable and alternative energy sources. Invest in solar panels, a generator, wind turbines and property with geothermal energy.Teslas solar shingles are inspiring new home designs: consider following the work of energy progressives like Tesla and the Rocky Mountain Institute.
Learn how to heal yourself. How to take care of yourself. If you are dependent on medicine, find a natural remedy you can grow. If you need glasses, consider getting laser eye surgery. Steve Huffman, CEO and Founder of Reddit and survivalist, got laser eye surgery so he would no longer be dependent on his contact lenses or glasses. If you have allergies, exploreimmune-building tactics you can take to increase your tolerance.
Take technology, engineering or construction classes. Learn how things work, how to take them apart and put them together. In large part, survivalskills involve understandingnature and learning how to use natural materials and processes to survive. Take survivalist courses: learn how to build a snow cave and start a fire without matches. Here are some other training courses to consider:
Establish a meeting place or signal system with loved ones. FEMA provides guidelines for emergency preparation, including organization of identification and financial documents. However, in the event that government emergency services are not operating, consider drafting a basic plan on whereand when to congregate with family members, on high ground and at a certain time driven by nature, such as sunrise.
Throughout history, many indigenous cultures have lived in harmony with the planet, with respect for nature, animals and the cycles of the planets. Learn about indigenous cultures in your area: how they handled weather extremes, the plants they ate and used, and how they built shelter. These practices were refined over centuries and offer ingenious survival tricks.
The lone wolf survival strategy is only one approach to survivalism. According to Gregg Braden, cooperation, not competition, is the most successful evolutionary driver and thus, adaptation strategy. Create a network, understand each others strengths and weakness, work together to create and implement solutions.
Learn how to defend yourself. For some this may mean stockpiling ammunition, but considering that is not a sustainable tactic,try learning martial arts, archery or basic defense strategy. Placement of a shelter, on high ground and with a birds eye view, is an example of a tactical defense strategy.
The principles of Ubuntu may seem idealistic, but a survivalist future based on contributionism is certainly possible. To prepare, develop a craft people will need and appreciate. For example, learn to grow strawberries for a world wanting sweetness or knit wool hats for cold winters. Consider your personal strengths and leveragethem.
It may seem counterintuitive, but survivalism requires practice. Embody a mindset of sustainability and independence. Set aside time each year to test and advance your survival skills. Try a survival field course:you can find courses and schools that offer urban or wilderness survival training. Eventuallyyou may even consider living off the grid full time.
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Download Pilot as it happens: Music, moshing and a whole lotta rain – Louder
Posted: at 6:32 am
After Download surprised us all last month with the announcement that the festival would be putting on a 10,000 capacity event in June, weve spent weeks speculating on what the hell that would actually look like.
With the gates of Donington opening for the first time in two years on Friday, heres what went down on the first day of a history-making Download.
Even given Friday's solid downpour (which, to be fair, still cleared by theevening), and a bit of drizzle during Enter Shikari's set on Saturday, Download has been far from the mud-laden wash-out we started to anticipate. There's even been sneaky spots of sun over the three days, and today, come the late afternoon, the clouds disappear for good and Donington is bathed in glorious evening sunshine. Nowthisis what's it's all about.
Spitting lines such as 'I got a bigger fucking dick than you, frontwoman Kitty Arabella Austen thrusts, stomps and thrashes her way through a set of rebellious anthems that make one thing clear Saint Agnes are out to make their mark. With a wicked, lipstick-smeared grin on her face, she howls between songs and gnaws at the microphone, like a caged zoo animal in search of freedom. As the set progresses she gets even more feral, smashing her guitar and smothering herself in fake blood. Well, why not?
Opening with the mighty Eternal Forward Motion, EmployedTo Serve are relentless in their quest to banish peoples third-day lethargy, Justine Jones ordering circle pits and flashing smiles between screams. A glimpse into the future comes as she orders us to scream THIS IS HELL a line from their blistering upcoming single, Exist. If the rest of their fourth album sounds anything like this, itll be special.
Having released a pair of gloriously forward-thinking, challenging and eclectic records in the pandemic era, Liverpools Loathe have been tipped by many to be one of the weekend's highlights. Unfortunately, today fate conspires against them.
Frustratingly, the sound is incredibly unbalanced, with the drums and bass drowning out the guitars and making frontman Kadeem France barely audible at all. Audio levels rise and fall throughout their set, robbing the band of the dense, lush and crushing soundscapes that made I Let It In And It Took Everything such a beloved album last year. Even worse, as the band close with Two Way Mirror, the sound cuts out completely, leaving Kadeem to run through the song alone,acapella, with the audience backing him.
Its clear the band are frustrated by this turn of events, but there are still positives to be taken from the day. Loathe look like superstars, throwing themselves around with wild abandon, each member with a clear and distinct style and personality of their own. To be perfectly blunt and basic about it: they just lookcool,and the jump to a festival main stage looks utterly effortless. Plus, Loathe have more ambition and creativity than pretty much any other band on the bill today, perfectly merging metal and hardcore with their more ambient and shoegaze-y leanings. And, perhaps most importantly, the crowd adore them. The reception at the end of the set is huge, despite the sound not going to plan; the people that love Loathe really,reallylove them. They will be back, and when they are, expect them to use this experience as fuel to prove without doubt just how great a band they are.
Coming across like the weirdest wedding band youve ever seen, Elvana dress in 50s gear and cover Nirvana with snippets of Elvis. Smells Like Teen Spirit elicits a joyous, field-wide sing-along, but the silliest moment is a hip-shaking cameo from the Download Dog during a rendition of Hound Dog. Probably not what the King or Kurt had in mind, to be honest, but the band are proud of it. We are Elvana from Disgraceland! bellows Elvis as they exit. Sure.
Jamie Lenman is a born ringmaster and quickly turns the second stage tent into his own bizarre bazaar. An early guest spot for Wargasm on The Future Is Dead sets things off with a bang and from there the sing-alongs fly thick and fast. It's a delightfully riffy set mostly culled from Jamie's more recent output, the likes of All Of England Is A City, I Don't Wanna Be Your Friend, The Road To Right and Long Gone Day (dedicated to Justine Jones of Employed To Serve and, as Jamie points out, a "Number 1 best-selling single in the UK on vinyl at least!") showing a muscular prowess that quickly has the tent screaming, bouncing and moshing.
By comparison everyone else that has gone before that day feels timid as a church-mouse, Lenman roaring, quipping and generally charming smiles onto every face in the tent. "This is a rock Oval and I'm the motherfucking umpire!" he jokes, clearly thriving on the amassed energy. A thundering extreme metal cover of Popeye (yes, the song from the cartoon) offers a perfect summation of Jamie's idiosyncratic brilliance, mixing humour and genius to great effect. There's nobody else quite like Jamie Lenman in Britain and that is exactly why he is such a uniquely brilliant creative force.
"When I say Rogan you say Mosh!" Massive Wagons are as daft as it comes, a delightfully quirky mixture of classic rock riffs, roar-along choruses and Northern humour. The crowd go absolutely wild for it bouncing, singing and moshing throughout the set with joyful abandon. MW's sheer exuberance marks the difference between a band that want to replicate the Kiss and Cheap Trick records in their collection and a band who truly understand the underlying spirit that made those records so brilliant in the first place. The decidedly Terrorvision-ish The Curry Song proves to be a highlight of the set, apparently making its live debut 12 months after it first appeared on the brilliant House Of Noise album. Massive Wagons played a tent last time they were at Donington too, but judging from today's performance, it's high time they get their shot at wowing the main stage.
The Wildhearts have almost been destroyed many times, but their main stage performance seemingly comes closer than 30 years of misadventures with drugs, mismanagement and Thai prison. A meagre gathering in front of the main stage is the least of the band's problems as they fire through a calamitous rendition of Disconnected, vocalist Ginger Wildheart quite rightly pointing out that they sound "like a bag of shit." They certainly aren't the only band to have played the main stage this weekend to encounter such issues, but when the usually bruising Suckerpunch is left entirely impotent by a lack of guitars in the monitors and absolutely no vocal harmonies, Ginger is done with politely soldiering on.
"Only The Wildhearts could come out into the new world and sound like a bag of shit," he jokes. "But then, all of this is surreal I keep expecting to wake up in jail sucking cock!" Brusque words with the sound desk bring things flaring to life for a glorious moment - the one-two punch Everlone and Vanilla Radio actually have real-life guitars and bring that Beach Boys-by-way-of-Motrhead vibe to life but it isn't enough to save the show and Ginger's initially jocular manner breaks as he decides to cut the set short, simply stating "this is a waste of time have a nice day". Ironically, deciding to cut and run rather than continue as a pale shade ends up being the most disappointing part of the performance; a rare instance of the band admitting defeat in a career often characterised by dogged determination and survivalism in the face of disaster.
Let's be honest: there was no fucking way a Skindred main stage set at the first Download in two years was going to be anything other than great. And yet, rocking up just as the sun arrives to send the last of the weekend's dodgy weather packing, there's something that feels more than a little like destiny as Benji Webbe et al arrive to bring the biggest party of 2021 so far. Download is ready for them, and from the opening seconds of Stand For Something Donington is a writhing, jumping, fist-pumping, dancing mass of bodies. It's been an emotional weekend, but there have been few happier momentsthan Skindred'shour on stage every single second they're here is pure, unadulterated joy.
Benji remains metal's most lovable frontman and has the crowd cracking up at least once between each song, be it gamely taking sides in a classic 'left vs right' crowd face-off or pretending to ring Boris Johnson to demand permission to begin the Newport Helicopter. Obviously, 'Boris' concedes, shirts and jackets come off, and we get a raucous Newport Helicopter two years in the making. What a moment, what a band.
It'd be daft to say a band as polished and experienced as Bullet For My Valentine weren't up to the task of headlining a festival like this one, but given the wholesome, celebratory vibe of Enter Shikari last night and the pure, raw energy of Frank Carter the night before, it certainly feels like the Welshmen have plenty to do to make their mark on what has been a quite incredible weekend. The early part of their set is solid enough fare, squeezing a live debut for heavy-as-hell new single, Knives, in between two cuts from their somewhat patchy most recent record, Gravity. Knives in particular sounds big, but it doesn't all make for the most awe-inspiring start to proceedings. Still, Matt Tuck and the crew look as assured and atease as ever on the big stage, and an impressive light show does just enough to give the set a Big Game Feel.
That said, things really start to kick off when Bullet dip into the classics, firstly for a raucous Your Betrayal and then even more so for hallmarkPoison anthem, 4 Words (To Choke Upon). The level-up in atmosphere is immediately palpable, and it sets a precedent for the rest of the set. Because make no mistake about it: Bullet For My Valentine have bangers, and when they start dropping, peoplelose their shit. After a stretch of tracks picked from across Bullet's post-2010 output, a rollocking Scream Aim Fire kicks off a run of classics that reminds everybody here exactly why Bullet became the most hyped British metal band of their generation. Suffocating Under Words Of Sorrow, Hand Of Blood and Waking The Demon all draw huge responses, but it's unquestionably Tears Don't Fall that steals the set. An anthem that soundtracked a whole generation of rock club nights, it gets oneof the very biggest singalongs of the whole weekend, the crowd awash with people moshing, pitting and hugging the ever-loving shit out of each other. It's the final, emotional reminder of what we've been missing in a weekend full of them.
Oh, and we should probably mention the quite frankly ludicrous cover of Iron Maiden's Run To The Hills that gets snuck into this part of the show, featuring none other than Skindred's Benji Webbe on lead vocals, who attempts to read the lyrics off of a scrappy piece of paper before giving up and just making them up as he goes along. It's surreal, it's messy and it's fucking hilarious.
All in all, Download Pilot was like many other Download festivals we've had across the years a weekend of many highs, a couple of lows, and plenty of emotion and catharsis. But there was something truly special about this year, not just because of the pandemic-induced circumstances, but because of the opportunity to have a smaller, more intimate version of Download that celebrated the young bands that have moulded the British rock scene into what it is today. It was a stark reminder of how lucky we've been to see so many amazing artists grow up in this country in recent years, and why now, more than ever, they and the venues they thrive in need our support. What the immediate future holds for live music remains up in the air, but one thing's for sure: we'll never take moments like these for granted again, and the next rock festival cannot get here soon enough. Long live Download. Long live music.
After a slow start yesterday with only a pair of bananas spotted in the pit, the drier weather brings out the extroverts: Angry Birds, a brace of crabs, dudes in Christmas suits, Disney princesses, mad scientists, a witch, priests, a T-rex, plus a giant shark dishing out hugs. Its fair to say we felt underdressed, but it's nice to see festival silliness back in full swing.
Set off like a rabid badger and with breakdowns that sound like someone chucked awoodchipper down a flight of stairs, Lotus Eater don't tread gently around day two's potential hangovers. Metallic hardcore with an almost supernatural sense for nastiness, the band prove the only true cure for a hangover is RIFFS. We even get a T-rex bouncing around in the pit, proof that even an apex predator can't resist getting absolutely bodied to the thundering beats. There is one emotional moment during the brutality, though, when frontman Paul Collins dedicates a song to his dad who passed away 11 months ago.
Download is always a festival that goes to lengths to represent rock in all its forms, but without a Gojira or Neurosis-shaped band on the bill, Conjurer feel a little like the odd kids out as they arrive to take their slot as today's first main stage band. Not that it stops them levelling the place, laying down riff after riff of monstrouslyheavy post/sludge/doom metal. They remain one of our country's most promising young bands, and if there was any doubt they can command a stage this size with the right bill, at least said doubts are noisily put to rest.
With Download Pilot organised in record time and on a smaller site, we didnt expect much in the way of production, but Glaswegians Bleed From Within did us proud. Jets of flame punctuated their blistering metalcore,the bandfinally able to air songs from 2020's mammoth Fracture album, as frontman Scott Kennedy riled up the pits andproclaimed it the best day of his life. Finishing with The End Of All We Know, the flamescoincided with his scream of, 'LET THE FIRES RISE!', in the mostmetal-as-fuck moment of the weekend. We'll even forgive Scott running out for said last track in a Scotland kit. The cheeky scamp.
Given that they don't even have an album out yet, the reaction to Wargasm's animated set is nothing short of extraordinary. The band's relative inexperience together shows at times this is far from the tightest set we'll see at Download today but when you have a near-delirious crowd screaming along to every word of Spit and Your Patron Saints, what does it matter? Frontwoman Milkie Way is as ready-made a rockstar as the scene has produced this decade, and if they can curate a full-length record to match the level of their output so far, they could turn into a very special band indeed. Bonus points for the raucouscover of NERD'sLapdance with bonus Metallica Fuel segment thrown in.
Some grossly uneducated heathens have dared to suggest that former Metal Hammer cover stars (yes, really) A are merely one hit wonders. Shame on whoever reduces one of our most uniquely idiosyncratic artists to this! Today, A prove it to be a nonsense.
Opening with the Queens Of The Stone Age-meets-Banana Splits robo pop of If It Aint Broke, Fix It Anyway, frontman Jason Perry enters the stage wearing a Deliveroo box on his back, swinging his arms and yelping his high pitched yelp like an 80s kids TV presenter. Its clear that A dont really take any of this too seriously, but to dismiss them as a gimmick band or a dumb, guilty pleasure is to miss the genuine craft of their songwriting. The layered vocals of Old Folks are pure Beach Boys, guitarist Mark Chapmans riffs and solos on Monkey Kong are impressive enough to feel like Eddie Van Halen has joined The Bloodhound Gang and the propulsive punk clatter of Foghorn still sounds like Pennywise jacked up on blue smarties and Sunny D.
Its all pieced together by the sheer enthusiasm of Perry, who gets the crowd to do an age appropriate walking circle pit during a fantastic I Love Lake Tahoe. By the end, even those who were just curious have big, beaming smiles on their faces.
They also play some song called Nothing. It was pretty good too. One hit wonders? not on your nelly!
"I am shitei-ng myself," Vukovi vocalist Janine Shilstone admits a couple of songs into her band's set in the Second Stage tent. You wouldn't believe it though to hear the excitable response from a crowd that hang on her every word. Every inch a born performer, Janine has a down-to-earth earnestness that cuts right through the usual corniness of crowd-baiting to incite an honest and impassioned response. It's also her birthday, and she celebrates by throwing herself headlong into the crowd. With some excellent bouncy pop rock backing her every move, Vukovi feel reminiscent of the weird and wonderful Marmozets while sounding entirely confident in their own identity.
Stepping out to the tolling of church bells and throwing a single rose into the crowd, Creeper are in full-theatre mode for their second stage headline set. Sparks fly literally from the off as the band kick right into Hiding With Boys before launching through a brisk set absolutely rammed with bangers from both of their records, as well as a couple of choice cuts from their EPs (including Midnight, the lead single from the upcoming American Noir).Creeperinspire a sense of passion like few bands can and the atmosphere in the tent is positively lightning-charged as fans howl along to Suzanne, Cyanide, Poisoned Hearts and Crickets (featuring Hannah Hermione in a wedding dress). Stylistically swinging between Misfits/Ramones-stylepunk-poweredragers to intimate sing-alongs and Britpop-inspired flights of whimsy, Creeper mark themselves as one of Britain's most chameleonic sonic entities, emotions running high as the band throw every trick and flourish in their arsenal into a monumental set.
Back in 2014, Loz Taylor made headlines when he scaled a production tower,precariously hanging above the crowd with wildabandon. This year he repeats thetrick,to the joy of their devotedcrowd. Two months after releasing storming fifth album Sleeps Society, the Sheffielders are treated like returning heroes, with chants of 'YORKSHIRE YORKSHIRE YORKSHIRE' ringing out across a packed field as they tear through their highest-energy material, saving new hits Nervous and Systematic for a glorious finish. For a band who have come back from the brink several times, this was a deserved triumph that will be spokenof for years to come.
St Albans' finest export seem like a natural choice for a headliner of this kind of festival, and the rave-punk mavericks do not waste the opportunity to remind us why they are one of the UK's most beloved bands. This is a celebratory, career-spanning set, taking in everything from breakthrough anthem Sorry You're Not A Winner to The Great Unknown, the epic opener from last year's acclaimed Nothing Is True And Everything Is Possible. A dazzling light show peppered with bursts of confetti gives the set a big-show feel, and the band are evidently every bit as delighted to be here as we are. "I'm gonna take a few chances to take this all in, if that's alright with you," beams Rou Reynolds. Fine by us, pal. We've waited two years for moments like these.
Some things are just meant to be. After three solid weeks of stunning weather, the day before Download saw the heavens finally open and the UK receive an unholy battering of Noahs Arc-sized proportions. Prayers that the rain would let up come Download day one went unanswered, but it doesnt matter there's a vibe around this site as wholesome as any in this festivals history. Plus, there is a merciful break in the weather come the evening. Phew.
One of the biggest questions about Download Pilot was: how the hell is this actually going to work? Even for a smaller capacity festival, ushering in 10,000 people while juggling testing, registration and, yknow, tickets and stuff seems like a big ask. And yet, people stream through, negative tests are registered and theres no noticeable fuck-ups in the system. Come mid-afternoon, the site is bustling and it feels like a festival in any other era. The lack of social distancing and masks once inside the arena almost feel emotional its as close to a normal music experience as weve felt in a long, long time.
Fewer fans and bands means a far smaller festival site, and while it means you dont quite get the pure spectacle of a full-throttle Download, the intimacy and, quite frankly, the ability to nip between both stages, the toilet and the bar in ten minutes flat is a joy. It creates a unique atmosphere where its easier to find people, bump into friends you havent seen since pre-pandemic and be spontaneous. We dig it.
Liverpool new-nu metallers Death Blooms take on the honour of being the first metal band to play a UK festival in two summers, and the roar that goes up when they finally stroll onto the second stage almost collapses the whole tent. Sorry for the silence, Im trying not to cry, stutters frontman Paul Barrow in between songs. We dont blame you, mate were choking back a tear or two ourselves. The Scouse crew put on an imperious showing that brings the bounce, and we get our first mosh pits, circle pits and even crowd-surfers of the pandemic era. Bliss.
How are Malevolence not fucking massive already? By far the heaviest band of day one, the Sheffield mobs mash-up of Pantera-sized groove metal and rollocking hardcore sets the second stage alight. The near-endless run of monstrous riffs and brutalising breakdowns only takes a backseat for a short but heartfelt speech by singer Alex Taylor about the unseen effects of the pandemic. The last 16 months have been some of the hardest shit weve all ever had to endure, he muses. Its ok to not be ok. Lets look after one another. Its an unexpectedly emotional moment, and it hits just as hard as every riff.
Since releasing their second albumThe Greatest Mistake Of My Lifeback in April, there has been a real sense of momentum building around Welsh post-hardcore rockers Holding Absence. The crowd response is rapturous as they take to the stage and it isn't long until we get our first full-tent singalongs of the weekend. "We've waited 18 months for this point," vocalist Lucas Woodland beams.The emotional connection between crowd and band is palpable, the band often settling back to let their fans serenade them with songs that at this point are barely two months old. It's exactly the kind of thing that Download Festival was built around, and this kind of experience speaks volumes to the intangible weight that a successful set at Donington can lend to a band. If it was good enough for Trivium in 2005...
The Frank Carter headlining the Main Stage of the first night of the Download Pilot is not the same man that persuaded an audience to create an enormous circle-pit (in knee-high mud, no less) around the outside of the third stage tent in 2016. Five years hasn't so much softened him as changed the shape of his ire, while The Rattlesnakes' venom is replaced with serpentine sleekness. That said, shades of the old Frank still shine through during his set; not least in the fact Sleep Token have barely finished playing and Frank is already wading through and over the crowd.
Set to the rhythmic pound of bass and drums (especially potent in the set's early numbers), Frank Carter & The Rattlesnakes look to be making a bid for the mainstream while still keeping their punk roots alive. Even older songs like Juggernaut are given a tonal and stylistic re-tooling, toning down some of the aggro aspects while dialling up the anthemic quotient of each song. The crowd seem to absolutely love them for it, and in turn Frank loves the crowd; part bear-baiting, part-ringleader, but 100% showman. Frank even cuts one song off just as it gets going to check on the safety of the crowd getting everyone to back up and give the front row room to come over and grab a breather if needed.
Not that anybody wants to, mind. One mud-spattered fan even gets Frank checking on her personally, not quite believing she can be plastered in mud but still having the time of her life. "Covered in mud, but alright?" he asks. "There's no good place at a show to take a fucking nap you know!"
There's a whole heap of Donington spirit to be found in Frank's set, guest appearances from IDLES vocalist Joe Talbot and rock singer Cassyette proving that a reduced capacity event won't get in the way of a good ol' fashioned festival team-up. Frank sets the bar high for the rest of the weekend but then what else would we expect from the same man that galvanised British hardcore a little over a decade-and-a-half ago?
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Download Pilot as it happens: Music, moshing and a whole lotta rain - Louder
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Remittances have helped villages bounce back – The Daily Star
Posted: at 6:31 am
With the World Bank identifying Bangladesh as one of only three big economies, along with Pakistan and Mexico, with increased remittance inflow in 2020, and with remittances making up a substantial share of the country's income for long, it is not surprising that a recent study found an unexpected resilience in the rural economy through remittance inflow during the first wave of the Covid-19 pandemic. The study, supported by the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), shows that according to Bangladesh Bank's monthly remittance data, after reaching a low in March to May 2020, inward remittances quickly recovered in June and peaked in July last year, when remittances reached a record USD 2.6 billion.
Collaborating with Socioconsult Ltd, a well-known survey company in Dhaka, the study was conducted throughout 2020 to develop a more panoramic view of what is happening in rural areas and offer answers to the quick recovery of the Bangladesh economy, which the Asian Development Bank, other multilateral development partners, and the government are working towards. The study is based on a three-round survey (June and September 2020, and January 2021) on the widely used Mahabub Hossain Panel Data (MHPD) samples of more than 2,200 householdscreating nationally representative rural samples that followed multistage random sampling to capture short- to medium-term impacts of the first wave of the pandemic.
The MHPD samples are a unique dataset created and maintained by the late Mahabub Hossain (1945-2016), a respected agricultural economist, and former leader of Brac, IRRI's social science division, Bangladesh Institute for Development Studies (BIDS), and the Asian Society of Agricultural Economists (ASAE). The MHPD has been tracking rural households for around three decades in five different rounds (1988, 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2014). It has been used significantly in academic research and in formulating numerous policies of a number of government, nongovernmental, and international development organisations.
Repeating the surveys for the same samples every three to four months throughout 2020 allowed us to observe changes in the rural economy, offering evidence of the quick recovery of consumption and economic conditions of rural households and associated factors. The first-round survey targeted all 2,846 respondents of the survey in 2014 and used detailed contacts provided by those households at that time. In the next rounds, the survey only targeted those who gave full complete answers in the previous round.
The first round of surveys, conducted in June 2020, documented several adverse impacts of the containment measures, such as delayed Boro harvest, difficulty in selling farm produce, labour and material input disruptions and cost increases, and reduced remittance receipts and non-farm business sales. Rural households had to reduce food consumption and required food support from the government and cash support from the private sector. However, when we combine all three rounds of data, our preliminary results revealed a more positive picture in rural areas, with a quick recovery of farm and non-farm businesses, and recovered remittance income and household consumption. The number of farmers reporting labour disruption for different crops and non-crop farm products dropped from 20-53.6 percent to 9-24 percent; the proportion of non-farm/cottage businesses with more than 75 percent decline in sales dropped by 10 percent. We observed both the quantity and quality of food consumption improving substantially over the rest of 2020.
In response to a question asked during the third survey round (in January 2021) on whether households' economic condition improved, was stable or worsened due to the pandemic, around 44 percent reported that their economic condition worsened compared to the pre-Covid-19 situation. However, when asked about their relative socio-economic position (rich, higher middle income, lower middle income, poor and ultra-poor) compared to other households in the village currently (January 2021) and before the pandemic (February 2020), we did not find significantly different opinions, especially among poor and ultra-poor households.
We also found a considerable share of rural households receiving remittance from an absentee member who works overseas or within Bangladesh. While the share of overseas remittance recipients quickly recovered from around six percent during MarchMay 2020 to over 11 percent in SeptemberDecember, the average amount of overseas remittance increased from around Tk 2,000 to more than Tk 7,500. The same trend was observed in domestic remittance as well, with the domestic economy undergoing a quick recovery last year. Around 30 percent of households reported getting money or food support from the government, NGOs, and friends or neighboursmostly received in the first survey round period after lockdown measures were imposed across the country.
After deeper analyses from collected data, two major findings can be summarised. First, there was a more optimistic picture of food consumption equity in contrast with the widening food gap warned by scholars and international organisationssuch evidence is more profound among remittance recipient households compared to non-recipient counterparts. There were also rapid changes in spending of different quantile groups of real food distribution. In MarchMay 2020, real food consumption spending of the top consumers was more than four times higher than those at the bottom, but the bottom group quickly caught up and the gap dropped to less than two times higher in SeptemberDecember 2020. Second, in contrast with several studies that predicted that females would suffer more during the pandemic, we found that female-headed households actually had higher real food consumption expenses and better perceptive changes in economic conditions.
Together with descriptive evidence, regression analyses show robust evidence of a significantly positive relationship between food consumption expenses, consumption experiences and changes of economic condition, and both remittance recipient dummy and amount of remittance (a dummy variable is a numerical variable used in regression analysis to represent subgroups of the sample, which is often used to distinguish different treatment groups). However, when we take support (received from different sources, including government safety nets) dummy and amount of support, we did not find any significant positive association between them with food consumption expenses, consumption experiences and changes of economic condition. Aligning with previous studies, it was also found that poorer and larger households and those with less educated household heads are more vulnerable. Geographical location is also significantly associated with household consumption and economic conditionthose located further from Dhaka, the economic centre, or in regions where lockdown measures were imposed last year, were more vulnerable.
Although our study does not claim a causal relationship between remittance inflow and rural recovery, it gives a more positive impression about the multiplier effect of remittance inflow within the rural economy rather than the multiplier effect of new spending, especially government spending such as safety nets. Thus, our results help reinforce the claim made by the Asian Development Bank and other development partners on the crucial role of remittance in domestic demand and consumption, amid a pandemic that fuelled the collapse of other foreign currency sources, foreign direct investment and exports.
Dr Mohammad Abdul Malek is an Associate Professor at the University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan. Dr Hoa T. Truong is a Research Associate at the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), Tokyo, Japan. Dr Tetsushi Sonobe is Dean of ADBI, Tokyo, Japan. The views expressed in this paper are the views of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the organisations they are affiliated with.
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Remittances have helped villages bounce back - The Daily Star
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