Monthly Archives: August 2020

Trumps Net Worth Has Declined $300 Million in the Past Year – Bloomberg

Posted: August 15, 2020 at 1:42 pm

Photographer: Doug Mills/The New York Times/Bloomberg

Photographer: Doug Mills/The New York Times/Bloomberg

As the presidential election nears, American voters are sure to be asked if theyre better off financially than they were four years ago.

Donald Trump isnt. The presidents net worth has declined $300 million in the past year to $2.7 billion, erasing 10% of his fortune since he took office, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

The drop marked the sharpest decline since Bloomberg began tracking his fortune in 2015. It started with a decrease in income across the Trump Organizations portfolio of office buildings and was compounded by the coronavirus pandemics impact on property markets.

Annual change in Trump's wealth estimate, 2015-2020

Source: Bloomberg Billionaires Index

Trumps critics would say some of that is his own fault. They have accused him of failing to take the pandemic seriously as it spread, pushing a dubious drug therapy instead of mask-wearing, and leaving states to bid against each other for scarce medical supplies. The president has falsely claimed the country would have fewer cases if there were less testing.

Trump Tower on Fifth Avenue in New York.

Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

Some corners of the economy are holding up, thanks to massive stimulus efforts by the government and the Federal Reserve, and a rapid acceleration of e-commerce. Still, the toll on real estate, travel and leisure continues.

Declines in the value of the presidents office building at 40 Wall Street, his iconic Trump Tower on Fifth Avenue and properties owned jointly with Vornado Realty Trust accounted for some of the biggest hits to his net worth. His golf courses also lost value amid a broader slide in prices, as fewer young people take up the sport.

Net operating income at Trump-owned commercial properties with public financials

Source: Commercial mortgage-backed security filings

More from Election

The nations high infection rate and death toll have rocked businesses belonging to the commander in chief at a crucial time. Late last year, Eric Trump, whos been running the business while his father is in the White House, began floating a potential sale of their hotel in Washington. In June, Vornado said it was exploring options to recapitalize two office towers it co-owns with the Trump Organization. The pandemic and uncertain outlook for the economy and property market make finding new investors a challenge.

The White House referred a request for comment to the Trump Organization, which offered no statement. A representative for Vornado didnt respond to messages seeking comment.

Trump entered office with a net worth of $3 billion -- he claimed $10 billion -- after a campaign that leveraged his image as a successful businessman promising to usher in broad-based prosperity. After he took over from President Barack Obama, the stock market continued marching higher, which Trump frequently pointed out on Twitter.

Trump International Hotel in Washington, D.C.

Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

Critics saw something else: divergent outcomes for those with money to invest and those without. The virus has created other splits, with tech companies and investment banks posting gains, while retail, travel, leisure and property companies founder.

For the Trump Organization, the figures could still get worse. The pandemics full impact on his empire has yet to play out. Full-year 2019 financials provided to his lenders showed revenue down and expenses up at his office properties well before the virus pain set in. A government-mandated financial disclosure made public last month offers last years figures for Trumps hotel, resort and golf businesses.

Subtract from Trumps total assets at least $540 million in debt, and his estimated net worth is nearly $2.7 billion, compared with $3 billion a year ago.

Source: Bloomberg Billionaires calculation

Trumps Manhattan properties are his workhorses, throwing off steady cash flow that the company has used to push further into the less reliable golf business. Around the corner from Trump Tower is a cavernous storefront that formerly housed Niketown, a unique perch along one of the worlds most valuable shopping corridors. But Nike moved out in 2018. Nikes new landlords agreed to make payments on the lease, which is up for renewal in 2022. But the lack of an occupant raises questions about the spaces future, especially with the pandemic crushing many retailers. Average rents for New York retail already have fallen to their lowest level since 2011.

Trump does have disadvantages, including that hes ineligible for some of the U.S. relief programs hes signed into law. But his property holdings have some notable strengths -- and advantages over peers.

Golf carts sit at the Trump Links golf course in New York.

Photographer: Victor J. Blue/Bloomberg

Trump Tower and 40 Wall Street have relatively little leverage, and could potentially take on more if needed. The presidents hotels, resorts and golf courses benefit from enthusiastic Republican visitors. Those operations also get a cash injection from the government every time Trump visits with a retinue of staff and security guards. According to a Washington Post tally this month, the president has spent all or part of 383 days at his golf clubs and other properties since taking office.

And there are bright spots. The presidents branding and licensing businesses continued to generate tens of millions dollars last year, even as some properties that previously licensed the Trump name cut ties. Early offers for his hotel in Washington showed investor appetite for the asset, which has thrown off $40 million of revenue annually, though bids were nowhere near the $500 million that the Trump family originally sought for it. Trump pays the federal government $3 million annually to use to the property.

To calculate the presidents net worth, Bloomberg draws from dozens of sources, including lender, property and company records, prevailing valuation metrics, comparable property data, his government financial disclosures, analyst reports and interviews.

They show far-flung sources of income: Trump drew as much as $5 million in royalties for a development in the Philippines, as much as $1 million more for a development project in Kolkata and as much as $1 million from sales of his 1987 book The Art of the Deal.

The Trump helicopter in 2016.

Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

One possible transaction that shouldnt be hindered by the pandemic: the sale of one of the companys helicopters. The Trump Organization listed the 1989 Sikorsky with mahogany paneling, pale leather and gold fixtures without an asking price. It was featured on Trumps TV show, The Apprentice.

We currently have three helicopters and with my father in Washington (and not even allowed to use them), we simply dont need them all, Eric Trump wrote in an email this month.

(Adds Eric Trumps comment in last paragraph.)

Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal.

More:

Trumps Net Worth Has Declined $300 Million in the Past Year - Bloomberg

Posted in Donald Trump | Comments Off on Trumps Net Worth Has Declined $300 Million in the Past Year – Bloomberg

What Happens In Black-Ishs Donald Trump Episode? Why Its So Controversial – Screen Rant

Posted: at 1:42 pm

Please, Baby, Please, the Black-ish episode which criticized Donald Trump, has finally been released on Hulu. So, what was all the fuss about?

What happens in the Black-ish episode focused on Donald Trump, and why is it so controversial? Created by Kenya Barris, the ABC sitcom centered on an upper middle-class Black family has regularly tackled political and social issues. Please, Baby, Please, which is the title of the episode ABC decided to pull, would have been no different.

Days before Please, Baby, Please was scheduled to hit the airwaves, on February 27, 2018, the episode was shelved. At the time, ABC entertainment president Channing Dungey only said that the network and Black-ishs writing team couldn't come to an agreement about the episode. This incident would have lasting implications, as it led to Barris exiting ABC and ultimately moving to Netflix. Well over two years after it was scheduled to release, Barris announced that an agreement had been reached to release the episode on Hulu. So, what was all the fuss about?

Related:Fear City: Donald Trump's New York Mafia Connections Explained

Please, Baby, Please, which is co-written by Barris and Peter Saji, takes its name from the childrens book by Spike Lee and his wife Tonya Lewis Lee. The story begins with Dre (Anthony Anderson) trying to get baby Devante to sleep during a stormy night. Dre tries to read a few bedtime tales to the baby, including the book by the Lees. When that fails, however, a distressed Dre tries to explain the election of Donald Trump to Devante. He refers to Trump as The Shady King, which comes complete with a cartoonish illustration, and he blames Trump for dividing people and stoking discontent between different groups. Dre also sees Trumps presidency as a backlash against the election of Barack Obama as the first Black president.

The political thread runs through the episode. Dre briefly chats with Pops (Laurence Fishburne) about the difference between White pride and Black pride. As explained by Pops, while footage of white supremacists fills the screen, Black pride emerged as an uplifting response to relentless and brutal oppression. White pride, he says, is like boasting about being rich and beautiful. Later, Dre runs into his son Andre Jr. (Marcus Scribner). Andre confesses to his father that hes not sure if he agrees with the kneeling protests of Colin Kaepernick and other athletes, because it might offend the troops, but hes adamant that its their right to protest. Near the end of the episode, Dre has a chat with two of his younger kids about the dangers of climate change. Some jokes about Americas voting system are also thrown in.

Its hard to imagine just what about Please, Baby, Please gave ABC, and its parent company of Disney, such pause. Trump is indeed criticized, for enabling and exploiting bigotry and for wanting to create a wall between the U.S. and Mexico. Hes also dinged for standing in the way of climate change policies and for being a narcissist. Obamas administration is called out as well, for its reliance on drones as a military tactic. Tellingly, the episode generally seems to have some degree of sympathy with Trump votes who were alarmed by the pace of social change in the Obama years with regards to LGBTQ+ rights. Overall, as the scene delving into Kaepernicks protests make clear, the episode goes to pains to highlight opposing views.

The episode even ends on a positive note, with Dre believing that what unites people is stronger than the issues that divide them. In an era where Roseanne, which also aired on ABC, was explicitly marketed as a show with a political viewpoint, the decision to shelve Please, Baby, Baby in the first place is perplexing. Charitably, perhaps the network got cold feet because Black-ish had already waded into the intersection of race and politics with previous episodes like Hope and Juneteenth. In the end though, the worst thing said about Trump in the Black-ish episode is that some of his policies and traits are bad. Compared to what is said about him in other scripted shows, The Good Fight, for example, its fairly mild stuff.

More:Why Love, Victor's Disney+/Hulu Controversy Wasn't Justified

Agents of SHIELD: Why Fitz Was Missing From Season 7

Abdullah Al-Ghamdi joined Screen Rant in August 2019, focusing on movie and television news. In January of the same year, he wrote a 3500+ word piece on why Primo Coln is underrated. He considers it his finest work. When hes not arguing for the merits of his favorite wrestler, he can be found posting reviews of varying lengths on Letterboxd. Hes also on Twitter, @dulealghamdi, though he doesnt really tweet much.

Read this article:

What Happens In Black-Ishs Donald Trump Episode? Why Its So Controversial - Screen Rant

Posted in Donald Trump | Comments Off on What Happens In Black-Ishs Donald Trump Episode? Why Its So Controversial – Screen Rant

Michael Cohen book claims Trump colluded with Russia and will ‘never leave office peacefully’ – NBC News

Posted: at 1:42 pm

In an upcoming book, Michael Cohen, President Donald Trumps former attorney, alleges that Trump worked with Russia to win the 2016 presidential election.

Among many other accusations, Cohen alleges that Trump worked to get close to Russian President Vladimir Putin and his coterie of corrupt billionaire oligarchs, according to an excerpt released Thursday from the book, entitled Disloyal, A Memoir."

Cohen claims that Trump lied when he told the American public he had no dealings in Russia, because Cohen personally oversaw Trumps efforts to secure a major real estate deal in Moscow during the campaign.

Trump had colluded with the Russians, but not in the sophisticated ways imagined by his detractors. I also knew that the Mueller investigation was not a witch-hunt, Cohen wrote, although he did not provide specifics about the alleged collusion in the excerpt. Trump had cheated in the election, with Russian connivance, as you will discover in these pages, because doing anything and I mean anything to win has always been his business model and way of life.

Trump has repeatedly and consistently denied any collusion with Russia in the 2016 election.

Let our news meet your inbox. The news and stories that matters, delivered weekday mornings.

Cohen began serving a three-year prison sentence last year for financial crimes and lying to Congress. He was released in July to serve the rest of his sentence at home following concerns that unsafe prison conditions could put him at risk for coronavirus. The 53-year-old has a history of high blood pressure and respiratory problems.

He has been described in the past as Trump's "fixer," but turned on his former boss, calling him a "con man" and "a cheat" during dramatic testimony before Congress last year.

In the excerpt released Thursday, Cohen claimed he knew Trump better than even his wife or children because he was tasked to cover up the president's infidelities and various misdeeds. Cohen wrote that he is convinced Trump "will never leave office peacefully."

"The types of scandals that have surfaced in recent months will only continue to emerge with greater and greater levels of treachery and deceit," the excerpt said. "If Trump wins another four years, these scandals will prove to only be the tip of the iceberg. Im certain that Trump knows he will face prison time if he leaves office, the inevitable cold Karma to the notorious chants of 'Lock Her Up!'"

Trump has publicly called Cohen a fraud and liar following his decisions to work with Special Counsel Robert Mueller and testify before Congress, tweeting that he was a failed lawyer and fraudster. The White House called the book "fan fiction" in a statement following the excerpt's release.

"He readily admits to lying routinely but expects people to believe him now so that he can make money from book sales," the statement said. "Its unfortunate that the media is exploiting this sad and desperate man to attack President Trump."

Cohen does not attempt to paint himself as Trumps victim in the released excerpt, but rather a self-described bad guy who helped the now-president rip-off business partners and cover up extramarital affairs. He described the presidents way of conducting himself like a mob boss.

From golden showers in a sex club in Vegas, to tax fraud, to deals with corrupt officials from the former Soviet Union, to catch and kill conspiracies to silence Trumps clandestine lovers, I wasnt just a witness to the presidents riseI was an active and eager participant, he wrote.

He also described fearing for his life following his decision to testify against Trump and that he felt the president wanted him dead. At one point, Cohen said he even contemplated suicide as death threats had come by the hundreds.

On my cell phone, by email, snail mail, in tweets, on Facebook, enraged Trump supporters vowed to kill me, and I took those threats very seriously, Cohen wrote. The President called me a rat and tweeted angry accusations at me, as well as my family. All rats deserve to die, I was told.

Doha Madani is a breaking news reporter for NBC News.

Tom Winter is a New York-based correspondent covering crime, courts, terrorism and financial fraud on the East Coast for the NBC News Investigative Unit.

Kristen Welker, Carol E. Lee and Freddie Tunnard contributed.

Go here to see the original:

Michael Cohen book claims Trump colluded with Russia and will 'never leave office peacefully' - NBC News

Posted in Donald Trump | Comments Off on Michael Cohen book claims Trump colluded with Russia and will ‘never leave office peacefully’ – NBC News

Donald Trump has done more for African Americans than we think | TheHill – The Hill

Posted: at 1:42 pm

For close to four years, Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpUPS, FedEx shut down calls to handle mail-in ballots, warn of 'significant' problems: report Controversial GOP Georgia candidate attempts to distance from QAnon Trump orders TikTok parent company to sell US assets within 90 days MORE has claimed that he has done more for black Americans than any president since Abraham Lincoln. He notes the unemployment rate, opportunity zones, and the First Step Act, while ignoring the actions of presidents like Harry Truman, who integrated the military, and Lyndon Johnson, who signed the Civil Rights Act into law.

Surprisingly, however, Trump is not exactly wrong. He has been one of the best presidents for black Americans, just not for the reasons he thinks. His administration has raised the curtain on the battles against both structural and in your face racism in the country. Not enough people listened to us before, but we seem to have their attention these days. We are more than a decade removed from the election of our first black president and even less than a year removed from the death of the last living person who has benefits from the Civil War. As Meek Mill says, There are levels to this.

Does anyone really believe that major companies would be posting videos on social media talking over why Black Lives Matter if Hillary Clinton were elected president? Does anyone think that protests would be taking place in every single state across the nation? The answer is of course not. Much of what we have seen with regard to race relations and the paradigm shift that has been taking place can be connected to the election of Trump.

If the election of Barack ObamaBarack Hussein ObamaMcGrath reshuffles campaign in home stretch to Senate election The Hill's Campaign Report: Trump hedges with Post Office funding | Harris speaks with 19th | An apology of sorts in Massachusetts Jared Kushner denies Trump 'promoting' questions about Kamala Harris MORE represented waves of racial changes, the election of Trump represented reactions by the ghosts of Eugene Connor and George Wallace. His administration looks like the worst possible case for many who are unfamiliar with the treatment of black Americans at the hands of the government. But for black Americans, that is their reality.

Black Americans do not have to imagine a government that imposes hard physical and psychological damage on its own citizens. They do not have to imagine a government that allows entire segments of the population to dwindle in poverty, while falling victim to an unfair education system that provides little to no opportunities. They live and breathe this every day.

Black Americans have been gaslit when they hear others speak things like slavery was a long time ago and my family was not here when there was slavery. That kind of rhetoric fails to acknowledge the institutional racism and bias that have infected the country. What is difficult to deny, however, is the fact that the momentous election of Obama ushered in the era that many conservatives insincerely claimed would bring an end to racism.

It was as if somehow the election of our first black president cleared away the stains of bigotry that have smeared the country. When Trayvon Martin was murdered by a racist vigilante who stalked him on his way back home from the convenience store, conservatives defended George Zimmerman, who would later commit numerous crimes, then declared that Democrats were engaging in identity politics by raising the problem of this killing.

When football player Colin Kaepernick would kneel during the anthem to show us the injustices against black Americans, conservatives called him ungrateful and leveled the lines made normal by the news analysts who peddle intellectual racism. Moreover, conservatives tried to delegitimize Obama by raising some questions about his religion, his citizenship, and his intelligence. These tactics sadly worked to stoke fears about him.

Lee Atwater once told us the most effective racism does not sound like it is racism at all. Many Republicans still follow his playbook and manage to not say the bad part out loud. Trump wrote his own playbook. His rhetoric and indefensible behavior have done more to shine a light on the need for social and economic justice than any other president in recent memory.

The death of George Floyd might be the moment that historians look back on as the inflection point that forced the country to look in the mirror. But that does not tell the whole story. The election of Trump and spread of his bigotry spraked unintended effects. One of these is that white Americans now hear us. This irony here is not lost on me. Trump has been one of the best presidents for black Americans, just not for the reasons he thinks.

Michael Starr Hopkins is the founder of Northern Starr Strategies and the host of The Starr Report podcast. Follow his updates @TheOnlyHonest.

The rest is here:

Donald Trump has done more for African Americans than we think | TheHill - The Hill

Posted in Donald Trump | Comments Off on Donald Trump has done more for African Americans than we think | TheHill – The Hill

Coronavirus updates: University reports 29 cases of COVID in a single week – ABC News

Posted: at 1:40 pm

August 15, 2020, 2:44 PM

5 min read

The novel coronavirus has now killed more than 762,000 people worldwide.

More than 21.1 million people across the globe have been diagnosed with COVID-19, the disease caused by the new respiratory virus, according to data compiled by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University. The actual numbers are believed to be much higher due to testing shortages, many unreported cases and suspicions that some national governments are hiding or downplaying the scope of their outbreaks.

The United States is the worst-affected country in the world, with more than 5.3 million diagnosed cases and at least 168,446 deaths.

Latest headlines:

Here's how the news is developing today. All times Eastern. Please refresh this page for updates.

On Saturday, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said New York had its lowest number of COVID-19 hospitalizations since March 17. The governor also announced a record-high in the number of tests.

Since March 17, hospitalizations have dropped to 523; the number of COVID-19 tests reported to New York State is at 88,668.

"In New York, we knew from the beginning that testing would be a key factor in controlling this new virus. We ramped up testing immediately and took a nation-leading role in developing capacity to test as many New Yorkers as possible, and I'm proud that we continue to raise the bar and we've broken our record high once again," Cuomo said. "Yesterday's numbers -- especially the new low in hospitalizations -- continue to reflect the progress we've made during this pandemic, but we will keep monitoring the data and the alarming increases in cases around the country. My message is the same: stay New York Smart, wash your hands, socially distance, and wear masks!"

Gov. Cuomo also confirmed 734 additional cases of novel coronavirus, bringing the statewide total to 424,901 confirmed cases in New York State, with the highest concentration in New York City.

As of Friday, there were five deaths due to COVID-19 in New York state, bringing the total to 25,244.

The University of Notre Dame reported 29 cases of COVID-19 in a one-week period, reports the South Bend Tribune.

The cases were from Aug. 6 to Aug. 14. On Friday, Aug. 14, the university reported 10 new cases.

Notre Dame's spokesperson, Paul Browne, told the South Bend Tribune that many of the COVID-19 cases were traced to an off-campus party where students didn't wear masks and didn't practice social distancing.

"What is reinforces is our concern that it only takes a weak link. You can have a strong chain, but if you have only one weak link, it can cause numbers to spike," Brown said. "Notre Dame officials believe they can still get the virus under control without canceling in-person classes and sending students home."

The virus not only struck students who attended the party, but some who came in contact with those who attended," Browne said.

Fall high school sports in Florida are a go after the Florida High School Athletics Association voted Friday to begin sports throughout in the Sunshine State on Aug. 24.

Practices can begin this month with games set to resume in September. Teams, according to FHSAA, can start later and not opt-in to state-wide play due to coronavirus hot spots.

The organization also said that "schools may opt out of the State Series by September 18th with the ability to form their own regional schedule upon approval from the FHSAA."

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has been a strong advocate for reopening schools and sports in the state, despite the summer surge in cases and deaths.

"To our parents you deserve the choice of in-person instruction or distance learning and I'm glad that so many school districts are making this vision a reality," DeSantis said a press conference this week. "To our teachers and school administrators thank you for refusing to let obstacles stand in the way of providing opportunities for our kids. This has been a difficult time, but I believe your hard work will do more than you know to get our society back on its feet."

In Florida, more than 563,000 people have been diagnosed with COVID-19 and at least 9,141 people have died of the virus.

The state reported more than 6,200 new COVID-19 cases and 200 deaths on Friday.

HERRIMAN, UT - AUGUST 13: Members of the Herriman Mustangs take the field before their game against the Davis Darts at Mustang Stadium on August 13, 2020 in Herriman, Utah. This is the first high school football game in the country this season since the spread of the coronavirus (COVID-19).

ABC News' Tom Shine and J. Gabriel Ware contributed to this report.

Originally posted here:

Coronavirus updates: University reports 29 cases of COVID in a single week - ABC News

Posted in Corona Virus | Comments Off on Coronavirus updates: University reports 29 cases of COVID in a single week – ABC News

What We Know About How Air Conditioners Spread COVID-19 : Goats and Soda – NPR

Posted: at 1:40 pm

Air conditioners on a building. Scientists say there has been too little research into the role of heating, ventilation and air conditioning systems in the spread of the coronavirus. Sami Sarkis/Getty Images hide caption

Air conditioners on a building. Scientists say there has been too little research into the role of heating, ventilation and air conditioning systems in the spread of the coronavirus.

In the dog days of August, air conditioning is everywhere.

Is that a problem when it comes to the spread of the coronavirus?

The answer to that question rests on the way the virus is transmitted a topic that is still being researched.

Droplet transmission is considered the most common method: A virus-filled particle of breath or spittle comes out of the nose or mouth of an infected individual when they breathe, speak, cough or sneeze. These droplets generally disperse within a few feet of the person who expels them. But if they come into contact with someone's eyes, nose or mouth, they can transmit the virus.

Then there's aerosol transmission when an infected person expels microscopic infectious particles so tiny that they linger in the air and spread from person to person in air currents. Since they are much smaller than droplets, aerosols can travel greater distances and get deep into the lungs of someone who inhales them.

Among scientists, there is ongoing debate about the extent to which aerosol transmission causes infection. However, it has been generally accepted that it does occur, especially in closed indoor settings. Consequently, there's a possibility that air conditioning may be a potential route of transmission sucking in virus particles breathed out by an infected person and then blowing those infectious particles back out in the same room or even another room several floors away.

In fact, other infectious diseases such as measles, tuberculosis, chickenpox, influenza, smallpox and SARS have all been shown to spread through heating, ventilation and air conditioning systems.

But drawing definitive conclusions about the role that HVAC systems might play in spreading COVID-19 is difficult. There are only a few published studies looking at that issue, and experts admit there has been too little research into the role of HVAC systems in the spread of the novel coronavirus.

"We didn't focus on ventilation as much early on as we probably should have," says Abraar Karan, a physician and global health researcher at Harvard Medical School.

What we do know is this: HVAC systems primarily recirculate air in a room or a building and don't bring in any fresh air from outside. So yes, theoretically virus-containing aerosols could be sucked into an air conditioning system and then circulated around a building.

In one study, which is available online as a pre-print and has not undergone scientific review, researchers in Oregon collected samples from various places inside a hospital's HVAC system and found genetic material from SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. This demonstrates that it may be possible for the virus to be transmitted through HVAC systems.

However, researchers did not assess if the genetic material they found was able to cause infection, and they noted there were no confirmed COVID-19 cases associated with the samples found in the ventilation systems.

There is currently no other evidence documenting the possibility of COVID-19 transmission through an air conditioning unit.

The bigger risk, says Edward Nardell, a professor of environmental health and immunology and infectious diseases at Harvard Medical School, is that hot weather outside causes people to seek air-conditioned comfort indoors. And indoors, there is less ventilation and more opportunity to spread disease.

"It is not the air conditioner that is doing anything particularly," Nardell says. "It is the fact that you are indoors, you are not socially distancing and you are rebreathing the air that people have just exhaled."

When you shut the doors and windows to keep the hot air outside, you are essentially eliminating the flow of fresh air so everyone in the room is breathing and rebreathing the same air. If someone in the room is infected with COVID-19, then they are breathing out the virus, which can linger in airborne droplets and be inhaled by another person, potentially causing infection.

By comparison, if you were outside and near an infected person who breathed out some viral particles, there is a much larger volume of air flowing to disperse and dilute those particles quickly, reducing the risk of spread to another person nearby. That is why infectious disease experts consider outdoor gatherings and activities less risky than indoor ones (though not completely risk-free).

The other major risk is that air conditioning units, fans or even an open window can create strong enough air currents to move virus-containing droplets around a room. This happened in January at a restaurant in Guangzhou, China, where a person with COVID-19 infected five other people sitting at neighboring tables from 3 to 6 feet away, according to a study by scientists from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. After examining video footage of the diners who were infected and simulating the transmission of the virus, scientists concluded that the small outbreak was caused by strong air currents from the air conditioning unit above the diners, which was blowing virus-containing aerosols from an infected person to those nearby. The restaurant also had no windows and thus no ventilation bringing in fresh air and diluting virus particles in the air.

The fact that aerosolized viral droplets can move in air currents in this way means that if you are in a room with an infected person and fresh air is not circulating, even if you are socially distancing to keep 6 feet apart at a minimum, you may not be safe, Nardell says. Although there are currently no published studies that have examined exactly how far airborne COVID-19 particles can travel, previous research on influenza found that viral particles may travel upward of 30 feet in the air.

To be clear, this is only a concern in shared public places. At home, the risk of contracting COVID-19 through air currents or air conditioning units is no more likely than spreading the virus through close contact or touching contaminated surfaces.

And it's not just warm weather and air conditioning that poses a threat. Cold weather in the winter that similarly forces people to go inside and crank the heat also creates an environment with little ventilation where viral particles can be spread through the air and cause infection. Ride-sharing services and taxis are another place where you may be in a closed space with someone who is infected. Virus particles could spread through air currents in the car, Karan points out.

Whether you're taking a taxi or escaping the heat or cold indoors, Karan's advice is the same.

"I would say keep the windows open and talk to your employers about [whether] they're looking into air filtration systems that are able to filter a wide range of particles," he says. He also adds that we need to design a better protective mask, one that can filter out the virus and is comfortable enough to wear all day.

To Karan, the looming question is: How do we live safely indoors with COVID-19? That is the next frontier.

View original post here:

What We Know About How Air Conditioners Spread COVID-19 : Goats and Soda - NPR

Posted in Corona Virus | Comments Off on What We Know About How Air Conditioners Spread COVID-19 : Goats and Soda – NPR

Vaccines are safe. But huge numbers of people around the world say they wouldn’t take a Covid jab – CNN

Posted: at 1:40 pm

"I'm not anti-vaccine. My kids were both vaccinated with everything, but I would not take a Covid vaccine today," Bailey told CNN.

"I have underlying health issues ... I would want to see enough studies in a long-term period of what the ramifications are for the vaccine."

Bailey said she doesn't trust US President Donald Trump, and that consensus around a vaccine among the world's top scientists and at least six months of testing would be just "a start" in persuading her to take it. "It's much too soon for me, I'd have to say, 18 months."

Neil Johnson, a physicist at George Washington University who is studying vaccine skepticism on social media, told CNN the four most common objections are: safety; whether a vaccine is needed; trust of the establishment and pharmaceutical companies; and perceived uncertainty in the science.

To see how widespread hesitancy is, he suggests asking your family and friends whether they would take a Covid-19 vaccine if one were available now.

"I would be surprised if you ask 10 people and you get all 10 jumping and saying yes without adding any caveats," he said.

Doubts over Covid-19 vaccine

Johnson said this was a "massive issue" -- and possibly an even bigger one than the polls indicate.

"What the question probably should have said is, will you have the Covid vaccine, will you be first to have it? And of course, I think that the answer for that will be no, I'll wait 'til everyone else has had it.

"There's always doubt among the anti-vax[xers], but there's now a sufficient doubt among this undecided population.

"I'm very, very concerned, I don't think public health has had this challenge [before] ... because there haven't been social media and these kinds of online influences."

Global spread of vaccine hesitancy

Johnson told CNN that in Africa, misinformation is spreading about the program being used as a cover to sterilize swathes of the population. "The fear about that is actually huge in developing countries now," he said.

Countering the objections

"There's clearly cause for concern; the emphasis on speed, on rushing a new vaccine," Jeremy Ward, who published a study on vaccine hesitancy with French research consortium Coconel in The Lancet in May, told CNN.

"I think the main factor is trust in institutions," said Ward. He said coronavirus debates in France had become highly politicized. Coconel's study found that those who had voted for a far-left or far-right candidate, or didn't vote at all, were much more likely to say that they would refuse a vaccine.

His research suggests that Russia could have more vaccine refusers than any other country.

Ratzan said the issue isn't just the inaccurate information, it's the growing lack of trust in institutions. "I think we're starting to see these two factors really wear down the public psyche and vaccine acceptance along with it, which is a huge concern," he said.

An earlier CUNY School of Public Health Covid-19 study found that just 42% of likely vaccine refusers in New York would be swayed by approval from the FDA or Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Several surveys and reports found hesitancy among Black and ethnic minority communities, which are disproportionately affected by the virus.

Time to prepare

Dr. Mike Ryan, executive director of WHO's Health Emergencies Program, said in a Thursday briefing: "People need to be allowed to have a conversation about vaccines, and have a proper conversation. It's not a one-way street. It's not about shoving things down people's throats. It's about having a proper discussion, good information, good discussion on this -- and people will make up their own minds."

"I think science and government have a job to do that is to make the case. I think communities and people have a job to do, which is to listen to that case, and hopefully the result of that will be a widely accepted successful vaccine that could bring this pandemic to an end," Ryan said.

Experts say we need a strategy for when a vaccine is produced, covering who will receive one first, how and where it will be distributed, possible different options, and how concerns will be addressed.

Ward emphasized that this is not just about convincing people a vaccine is safe but about doing everything possible to ensure it really is. "When you produce a new vaccine with such speed, it's not just communication, it's also transparency and making the right decisions," he said.

Community groups including the National Black Church Initiative have been working to ensure sufficient numbers of African Americans participate in vaccine trials. Ratzan said involvement from respected community members was vital to ensure people feel "they're being listened to, their concerns are met, and that the vaccine they are getting is held to the highest standards of safety and efficacy."

The timeline is vital. Ratzan added that with a new medicine, 18 months could be spent working with companies, medical groups and doctors and thinking about branding, social media or text campaigns. "We don't have any of that now," he said.

Read more:

Vaccines are safe. But huge numbers of people around the world say they wouldn't take a Covid jab - CNN

Posted in Corona Virus | Comments Off on Vaccines are safe. But huge numbers of people around the world say they wouldn’t take a Covid jab – CNN

How Long Are You Immune After Covid-19 Coronavirus? Here Is What CDC Says – Forbes

Posted: at 1:40 pm

Should you get re-tested for the Covid-19 coronavirus after you have recovered from Covid-19? Well, ... [+] the CDC has some new guidance, sort of. (Photo by Robin Utrecht/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

Oh no they didnt.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) didnt exactly say whether or how long you may remain immune to the Covid-19 coronavirus after recovering from an infection. But a new addition to the CDCs When to Quarantine web site did say something interesting:

People who have tested positive for COVID-19 do not need to quarantine or get tested again for up to 3 months as long as they do not develop symptoms again.

Hmm. Why wouldnt you need to quarantine or get tested again? Isnt re-infection with the virus a possibility? Or could you have that magical word that begins with the letter I and rhymes with the phrase hot dog eating community? In other words, is the CDC now suggesting that you may have immunity to the virus for up to three months after getting infected? Well, thats certainly one way of interpreting the statement. For example, here is a tweet response to this updated CDC guidance:

So looks like you dont have to go through that wonderful cotton-swab-way-up-your-nose experience for the three months after youve recovered from Covid-19, right? Maybe. Possibly. Perhaps. Read a little bit further on the CDC website, like one sentence further, and youll see the following:

People who develop symptoms again within 3 months of their first bout of COVID-19 may need to be tested again if there is no other cause identified for their symptoms.

So you may have immunity for up to three months, unless, of course, you dont have immunity for that long. Seems like that statement has the certainty of saying, I love you until, of course, someone else better comes along, right? Maybe, perhaps. Possibly. Well, not exactly.

Even though those on social media seemed to take the relatively new statements on the CDCs website (apparently these statement were added on August 3) as a statement about immunity, an August 14 CDC media release suggested otherwise. This release was entitled, Updated Isolation Guidance Does Not Imply Immunity to COVID-19. Here is what the release said: On August 3, 2020, CDC updated its isolation guidance based on the latest science about COVID-19 showing that people can continue to test positive for up to 3 months after diagnosis and not be infectious to others. The media release continued by saying, Contrary to media reporting today, this science does not imply a person is immune to reinfection with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, in the 3 months following infection. So what does the updated guidance really mean? The CDC release added that The latest data simply suggests that retesting someone in the 3 months following initial infection is not necessary unless that person is exhibiting the symptoms of COVID-19 and the symptoms cannot be associated with another illness.

Looks like then the CDC didnt really make a statement about immunity to the Covid-19 coronavirus. This makes sense given the current state of the science. The answer to the big question of whether and how long you may develop immunity against the virus has been like taking a selfie while riding a roller coaster on a vibrating pillow: its still a moving target and unclear. As I have covered before for Forbes, scientists still dont know for sure how immunity against Covid-19 coronavirus may work. Are you immune after you recover from an infection? If so, how long may not immunity last? Does everyone develop this kind of immunity?

Covid-19 virus antibody testing is different from testing for the presence of the virus. (Photo by ... [+] MARK RALSTON/AFP via Getty Images)

Several studies have suggested that immunity may last for at least a few months. In a research letter published in the New England Journal of Medicine in July, a team from the David Geffen School of Medicine at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), led by Otto Yang, MD, a Professor of Medicine, described how they followed the antibody levels over time in a sample of 34 patients who had had mild Covid-19 coronavirus infections. Now 34 people isnt a lot of people unless you want to play charades on Zoom or are waiting in line for the bathroom. Nevertheless, the study did show that recorded blood levels of immunoglobulin G in this sample dropped fairly rapidly after recovery from a mild severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV2) infection. (You can say IgG instead of immunoglobulin G if you want to say it faster or are running from a tiger.) The average half-life for IgG in the blood was about 36 days, which meant that after about a month blood levels had dropped by roughly half. The research team followed each patient for an average of only 86 days so didnt report if patients still had IgG after three months.

As I have written before, IgG is the important antibody for longer term immunity. To remember this, think G for go as in the song Please Dont Go, by KC and the Sunshine Band. Thus, the UCLA study suggests that the antibody immune response may still be around after three months but may soon thereafter be gone baby gone.

Another piece of evidence is a pre-print article entitled SARS-CoV-2 infection induces robust, neutralizing antibody responses that are stable for at least three months posted on medRxiv. The title of this pre-print kind of gives away the conclusion of the study, sort of like renaming the movie Avengers: Infinity War with the title Large purple guy wears glove with bling and snaps fingers, making half of humanity disappear to set up a very lucrative sequel.

For this second study, a team from Mount Sinai Hospital in New York City led by Carlos Cordon-Cardo, MD, PhD, a Professor of Pathology, Molecular and Cell Based Medicine, analyzed data from a database consisting of 19,860 people screened at Mount Sinai Health System in New York City for IgG against the SARS-CoV2. Over 90% of those who had experienced mild-to-moderate Covid-19 had measured IgG in their blood about three months after the infection. Moreover, these antibodies were able to neutralize the SARS-CoV-2 in test tubes. So, like the title of the pre-print said, you may have antibody protection against the virus for at least three months.

Keep in mind though that such a pre-print is not the same as a publication in a reputable scientific journal that has gone through peer-review. In other words, other real scientists havent had a chance to formally review the study, offer feedback, and suggest changes. The study is still in the hey look, this may be interesting phase and not the heres established scientific evidence phase. So take the results from any study posted on medRxiv with a ham, cheese, and egg biscuit full of salt for now.

Another thing to consider is that IgG levels dont exactly fit immunity to a T. The response provided by your immune system to the SARS-Cov2 in part can be a bit like a friends with benefits relationship. It can be quite complex with much more than what initially meets the eye. Your immune system can produce various types of lymphocytes to help with the immune response to an infection. These include B lymphocytes, which can secrete the aforementioned antibodies that are readily measurable by blood tests. However, other components, such as T cells or T lymphocytes, can be at work under the covers, so to speak. T cells have nothing to do with T-shirts but instead are cells that can help neutralize or kill viruses in different ways.

A study published in the journal Nature found T cells in people recovering from Covid-19 and that these T cells seemed to recognize the N-proteins in the SARS-Cov2. So even if antibodies were to disappear from your blood a few months after an infection, T cells could potentially hang around for longer and provide some defense against getting infected again.

The Centers of Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) web page has some new guidance about Covid-19 ... [+] coronavirus testing and quarantine. (Photo Illustration by Pavlo Gonchar/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

Thus, its not completely surprising that the CDC has added the two lines with the three month timeline to their quarantine and Covid-19 testing recommendations. The dearth of more definitive guidance may not feel very satisfying, but in the words of Wilson Phillips, hold on, the science is still emerging. Scientists need more time, resources, and funding to figure things out and gather more evidence. Its been only about six or seven missed haircuts since this completely new virus emerged.

For now, the CDC is trying to give you some respite to actions that could get out of control. In theory, you could keep testing yourself up the wazoo after recovering from an infection. (Figuratively, of course, and not literally. You shouldnt be testing your bottom for the SARS-CoV2.) After all, arent people in the White House getting tested each and every day for the Covid-19 coronavirus? The new CDC recommendation may give your nose a break. It may also keep you from quarantining constantly.

So, the CDC guidance may be more about practicing moderation than having strict definitive directions to follow to a T. The immune response, the situation, and in turn what you should do may still vary significantly from person-to-person and depend on how severe your infection happened to be. As Buffy sang to Big Bird on Sesame Street, different people, different ways. After all, maybe you dont have to worry so much about getting re-infected in the three months after youve recovered from Covid-19. That is, unless you actually do get re-infected.

See the rest here:

How Long Are You Immune After Covid-19 Coronavirus? Here Is What CDC Says - Forbes

Posted in Corona Virus | Comments Off on How Long Are You Immune After Covid-19 Coronavirus? Here Is What CDC Says – Forbes

Older Children and the Coronavirus: A New Wrinkle in the Debate – The New York Times

Posted: at 1:40 pm

A study by researchers in South Korea last month suggested that children between the ages of 10 and 19 spread the coronavirus more frequently than adults a widely reported finding that influenced the debate about the risks of reopening schools.

But additional data from the research team now calls that conclusion into question; its not clear who was infecting whom. The incident underscores the need to consider the preponderance of evidence, rather than any single study, when making decisions about childrens health or education, scientists said.

Some of the household members who appeared in the initial report to have been infected by older children in fact were exposed to the virus at the same time as the children. All of them may have been infected by contacts they shared.

The disclosure does not negate the overall message of that study, experts said: Children under age 10 do not spread the virus as much as adults do, and the ability to transmit seems to increase with age.

The most important point of the paper is that it clarifies the care with which we need to interpret individual studies, particularly of transmission of a virus where we know the dynamics are complex, said Dr. Alasdair Munro, clinical research fellow in pediatric infectious diseases at University Hospital Southampton in Britain.

The earlier study was not intended to demonstrate transmission from children to adults, only to describe contact tracing efforts in South Korea, said Dr. Young June Choe, assistant professor of social and preventive medicine at Hallym University College of Medicine and an author of both studies.

Most studies of childrens transmissibility have been observational and have not directly followed infected children as they spread the virus. The few studies to have done so are not directly comparable their methods, the policies regarding prevention, and the transmission levels in communities all vary widely.

Many studies have grouped together children of widely varying ages. Yet a 10-year-old is likely to be very different from a 20-year-old in terms of infection risk and transmission, as well as in type and level of social activity, Dr. Munro said.

The first study from South Korea did try to document transmission from children directly, but it grouped them in 10-year ranges. Tracing the contacts of 29 children aged 9 or younger, it found that the children were about half as likely as adults to spread the virus to others, consistent with other research.

But Dr. Choe and his colleagues reported an odd finding in the group of 124 children aged 10 to 19: They appeared significantly more likely than adults to spread the coronavirus. Experts told The Times at the time that the finding was likely to be a fluke.

The group of older children was not the same in both studies, but many appeared in both reports, Dr. Choe said. In the latest study, the researchers found only one undebatable case of transmission among older children, from a 16-year old girl, who had returned from Britain, to her 14-year-old sister.

The remaining 40 infected contacts of the older children could all be explained by a shared exposure.

The children with confirmed infections were isolated in hospitals or community treatment centers, and caregivers who had contact with them were required to wear masks, gloves, a full body suit and goggles. The low rate of transmission from older children observed here may not represent what happens in the real world.

The new report does suggest that older children are at least unlikely to transmit more than adults, said Natalie Dean, a biostatistician at the University of Florida, as had been originally claimed.

Theres no biological explanation for that, she said. It didnt make any sense to me. Over all, Dr. Dean added, Were not seeing a lot of real transmission from children.

But that may be because most studies have been too small to adequately distinguish between age groups, and because children have been kept at home, away from potential exposures.

Even if the risk of transmission from children is lower, they usually have contact with a great number of other people more so than the average adult. When schools reopen, these increased exposures create more opportunities to transmit the virus, which may counterbalance their lower propensity to transmit the virus.

Updated Aug. 14, 2020

The latest highlights as the first students return to U.S. schools.

Dr. Dean and other experts cautioned against interpreting the scientific evidence so far as saying that children under age 10 simply cannot spread the coronavirus.

But its not true to say that they do not transmit, said Bill Hanage, an epidemiologist at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. You hear people say this, and its wrong.

All available evidence so far makes it clear that older children, particularly those closest to adulthood, may spread the virus as much as adults, he added.

Its indisputable that the highest risk of becoming infected and being detected as being infected is in older age groups, Dr. Hanage said. I think you have to be really careful before you decide to open high schools.

Conversations about reopening schools are complicated because so much depends on the level of community transmission and on socioeconomic factors, he and other experts said.

Schools can fuel the influenza viruss spread to a disproportionate degree, compared with restaurants, bars or places of worship. Children may drive those outbreaks, so closing schools during flu outbreaks makes sense, Dr. Hanage said.

But with the coronavirus, Dr. Hanage said, closing schools is not expected to provide more bang for the buck than closing other parts of society. Instead of reopening bars and restaurants along with schools, he said, schools should be prioritized, while bars and restaurants should be closed in order to reduce community transmission and make school reopenings possible.

Continue reading here:

Older Children and the Coronavirus: A New Wrinkle in the Debate - The New York Times

Posted in Corona Virus | Comments Off on Older Children and the Coronavirus: A New Wrinkle in the Debate – The New York Times

Coronavirus Antibody: Clinical Trials of Drugs Are Taking Longer Than Expected – The New York Times

Posted: at 1:40 pm

At some hospitals, officials have been able to use existing facilities. In Tyler, Texas, the UT Health North Campus medical center is an old tuberculosis hospital, with rooms that use negative air pressure to prevent viruses from spreading.

But in other locations, like Holy Cross Hospital in Fort Lauderdale, Fla., finding the right spot has been a struggle. Dr. Joshua Purow, who is overseeing the Eli Lilly outpatient trial at the hospital, rushed to get his site ready once he saw that infections were rising in the area.

Updated August 12, 2020

But Holy Cross turned down his first choice, a corner of the emergency department, out of fears that the space would be needed for more severe Covid-19 patients. The idea of installing an outdoor tent was deemed too complicated, and refurbishing a room in a nearby office building would take precious weeks.

Weeks passed before Dr. Purow finally secured a place to run the trial. It was in the emergency department, the first place he had requested.

We finally have it all set up to go, Dr. Purow said. But now, our numbers are declining a little bit. Were not seeing as much as we thought we would.

So far, he said, he has enrolled just one participant, out of a hoped-for 25. Over all, the Eli Lilly outpatient trial is aiming for including 400 patients. The similar Regeneron study has a goal of enrolling about 1,500 patients.

Not every trial site is seeing such hurdles. Dr. Jason Morris, who is overseeing the Eli Lilly study at his physician practice, Imperial Health, in Lake Charles, La., has already exceeded his goals and has enrolled about 45 patients. Dr. Morris said he or another doctor calls each person who tests positive for the virus at the groups urgent care clinic and tells them about the study.

The rest is here:

Coronavirus Antibody: Clinical Trials of Drugs Are Taking Longer Than Expected - The New York Times

Posted in Corona Virus | Comments Off on Coronavirus Antibody: Clinical Trials of Drugs Are Taking Longer Than Expected – The New York Times