Monthly Archives: June 2020

Utah AD Mark Harlan pleased with the progress being made to bring college sports back – Deseret News

Posted: June 20, 2020 at 10:31 am

SALT LAKE CITY Utah athletics director Mark Harlan said he is pleased with the progress announced by the NCAA on Wednesday. Theres more light at the end of the tunnel regarding the return of sports in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic.

The path is now understood for what an on-time start to the football season will look like and some definition around summer access for football and mens and womens basketball, Harlan said. This is an important step and an exciting development for our student-athletes and coaches. We have our first group beginning voluntary workouts this week, with more on track to join them the next two weeks in Phase I.

Its a positive step and we will continue to work diligently to provide the safest environment possible for our student-athletes, he added.

The Utes, who were cleared to begin voluntary workouts on Monday, are scheduled to open the football season Thursday, Sept. 3 at Rice-Eccles Stadium against BYU. As such, theyll be allowed to begin up to eight hours of conditioning, film review and weight training from July 11 to July 21.

Beginning July 22 through Aug. 4, Utah can conduct up to 20 hours per week and no more than four hours per day of countable athletically related activities. The list includes a maximum of eight hours for conditioning and weight training, a maximum of six hours for walk-throughs with use of a football and a maximum of six hours for meetings (film review, one-on-one, position and/or team gatherings).

Players are requited to get at least two days off during the 14-day stretch. No adjustments were made to the 29-day preseason practice period that follows.

In other action, the NCAA council also approved a summer plan for mens and womens basketball opting to extend voluntary workouts and up to eight hours of virtual nonphysical activities through July 19. Required summer activities may get started the next day.

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Exterior Progress Continues on 1059 Third Avenue on the Upper East Side – New York YIMBY

Posted: at 10:31 am

Exterior work is progressing steadily at 1059 Third Avenue, a 481-foot-tall mixed-use tower on Manhattans Upper East Side.Designed byManuel Glas Architectsand developed byReal Estate InverladandThird Palm Capital, the slender 30-story superstructure is located between 62nd Street and 63rd Street and will yield a total of 127,000 square feet of newly built space. Inside will be 38 condominiums spread across 103,900 square feet, averaging around 2,740 square feet apiece.

Recent photos from Tectonic show the subtle changes to the curtain wall since YIMBYs lastupdate back in February. Much of the towers dark gray intermittent walls continue to stand exposed between the fenestration, but this temporary surface will eventually be covered with a large structural assembly to which the final exterior panels will be attached. This framework is most readily apparent on the lower portion of the northern elevation.

1059 Third Avenue. Photo by Tectonic

The final stories of 1059 Third Avenue incorporate a darker envelope than the rest of the building, and it will be interesting to see how this visually merges with the rest of the design. The main rendering shows a tight weave of intersecting mullions between the floor-to-ceiling windows, alongside what looks like vertical walls of stone slab and cut-out corner windows. Setbacks at the midpoint and below the roof parapet appear to make way for private landscaped terraces.

1059 Third Avenue. Photo by Tectonic

1059 Third Avenue. Photo by Tectonic

The first few levels above the ground floor are now fully clad in their glass curtain wall, which looks to have a light gray opaque finish.

1059 Third Avenue. Photo by Tectonic

1059 Third Avenue. Photo by Tectonic

1059 Third Avenue. Photo by Tectonic

The project is also set to contain 7,100 square feet of office space on the second floor, a hospital facility measuring around 9,700 square feet on the third and fourth floors, and amenities such as a fitness center, a spa, and a residential lounge.

A formal completion date for 1059 Third Avenue has not been announced, but it looks like sometime in 2021 is plausible.

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Making progress in Gilberton – wnep.com

Posted: at 10:31 am

The borough of Gilberton is starting to look somewhat normal again as floodwaters continue to go down.

GILBERTON, Pa. Floodwaters in Gilberton have receded dramatically since Saturday. Main street, which looked like a river last week, is finally starting to clear up.

"I feel bad for everybody in the community that this happened to, because this obviously isn't the first time," said Nick Anthony, Goodwill Hose Company.

Pumps are still running to clean up what's left, but in looking at where the water line was, so much progress has been made. For days, volunteers put in countless hours to try to save the borough. Now, those volunteers are receiving help back after working in tough conditions.

"They're at risk because they're in floodwaters, contaminated floodwaters with bacteria, and it's very important that they get the tetanus vaccine," said Gail Newton, LVH Schuylkill infection prevention coordinator.

Borough officials were concerned that the water grew contaminated, so Lehigh Valley Hospital - Schuylkill set up shop at American Hose Company No. 2 in Gilberton to offer volunteers free tetanus shots.

"We really aren't sure what's in the water. Any kind of runoff from the street. I know we did observe some oil in the water, garbage, debris, anything that could be a biological hazard to our people. So we're stressing that our folks need to wear the proper protection when they're around the water to limit any skin contact with the water," said Kathleen Gavala, West End Fire & Rescue.

"I was in the water pretty much all weekend, and I came in contact with it multiple times, so I was like like, 'well, they're giving them away, so you got to take advantage of it," said Anthony.

The American Red Cross also provided meals for cleanup workers in Gilberton.

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Gov. Stitt meets with President Trump to discuss Oklahomas reopening progress – KFOR Oklahoma City

Posted: at 10:31 am

WASHINGTON (KFOR) Gov. Kevin Stitt joined President Donald Trump in the White House on Thursday to discuss Oklahomas reopening progress during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Stitt shared photos from the meeting on his official Twitter page.

Thank you @realDonaldTrump for having me at the White House today to talk about how small businesses are key to America's recovery.

We will be announcing more grants to Oklahoma small businesses tomorrow!

Official White House Photos by Shealah Craighead pic.twitter.com/ULl6kiTvr9

Stitt met with the president as COVID-19 cases continue to rise in Oklahoma.

The Oklahoma State Department of Health reports on Thursday that there have been 9,354 cases of COVID-19 in Oklahoma. OSDH reported on Wednesday that there were 8,904 cases of coronavirus.

Thats an increase of 450 cases, 5.1 percent.

Stitt said the increase in cases is expected since the state has been reopening for the past two months.

We had an uptick in the number of cases, so the media tries to talk about that, Stitt said. We knew we were going to have an increase a little bit because were 56 days into reopening but whats interesting is that its the 18-35 group that weve seen a slight increase, but theyre the asymptomatic, and were testing so many people right now than we were initially.

OSDH officials recently told KFOR that the rise in coronavirus cases is due to community spread.

Oklahoma began its statewide, three-phase reopening in late April.

Also, large-scale protests have been held in Oklahoma since late May, days after George Floyd, an unarmed black man, was killed by white Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin.

Dr. Dale Bratzler, the Chief COVID-19 Officer for the University of Oklahoma, said the spike in cases is not related to an increase in COVID-19 testing.

Trump will hold a Make America Great Again rally at the BOK Center in Tulsa on Saturday.

The BOK Center has a seating capacity of 19,199, but officials expect around 100,000 people to show up for the rally.

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There’s now progress on alcohol in the dietary guidelines | TheHill – The Hill

Posted: at 10:31 am

In their recent public meeting, members of the Dietary Guidelines Advisory (DGA) Committee forecast changes to the prevailing advice on alcohol. Long instructed to limit consumption to no more than two drinks per day, if they choose to consume alcohol, American men will now be told to cut themselves off after just a single serving of beer, wine, or liquor. The new guidelines also have advice for anyone drinking to lower the risk of cardiovascular disease or achieve other health benefits: dont. According to the Committee, at all levels of consumption, drinking less is generally better for health than drinking more.

The committee deserves credit for helping to clear the air on a topic of considerable consumer confusion. For decades, the Dietary Guidelines for Americans have helped to fuel the myth that moderate alcohol consumption contributes to a longer life. As recently as 2010, the DGAs said things like Strong evidence from observational studies has shown that moderate alcohol consumption is associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular disease. The more recent guidelines dropped that statement, but they also stopped referring to the research linking alcohol and cancer. Undoubtedly, many readers were left wondering whether health benefits associated with light drinking outweigh cancer and other risks.

Our best evidence indicates that they do not. All of that strong evidence demonstrating the cardiovascular benefits of the occasional drink has not aged well. Researchers have documented a number of biases in the old observational alcohol studies.

New Mendelian randomization studies, which compare populations with genetic variants associated with lower alcohol consumption and are not susceptible to these biases tell a different story. Comparing these alcohol allergic subjects to those with more conventional genotypes, alcohol actually appears to increase the risk of some cardiovascular diseases. All of this has led experts like the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to conclude that its impossible to conclude whether the observed benefits in the studies are due to moderate alcohol consumption or other differences in behaviors or genetics between people who drink moderately and people who dont.

By contrast, the link between cancer and alcohol use whether light, moderate, or heavy is firmy established. The Dietary Guidelines for Americans should reflect this scientific reality.

Unfortunately, the upcoming recommendations, while a significant improvement, may fall short of their potential if, like the 2015 Guidelines, they omit a frank discussion of alcohols contribution to cancer. Popular media has bombarded us with click-able stories on the potential health benefits of alcohol. But alcohols link to cancer, although long-established and significant, has flown under our collective radar. According to recent surveys, less than half of adults identify alcohol as a cancer risk. Indeed, even among cancer survivors, awareness of the risks associated with alcohol is far from universal.

The lack of awareness reflects not just media bias but also public policy. We are warned that all kinds of substances cause cancer. Under Californias Proposition 65, retailers briefly had to include a cancer warning on coffee, not for the coffee itself but for a chemical called acrylamide that forms during the roasting process. However, because of an outdated federal law, which my group Consumer Federation of America and other public interest groups are trying to change, alcoholic beverages do not carry a cancer warning.

That is ironic, and unfortunate because alcohol is not like coffee. It significantly contributes to cancer risk. Researchers estimate that drinking alcohol is the third most important cause of cancer that is within a persons control, behind smoking and obesity; each year alcohol consumption causes more cancer deaths than exposure to ultraviolet radiation. Alcohols cancer risk increases with heavier levels of consumption, but the science shows that even moderate alcohol consumption no more than one drink per day increases the risk of developing several different types of cancers. The evidence linking moderate drinking and breast cancer is particularly longstanding.

The Dietary Guidelines for Americans should present this evidence, and include a statement such as: For cancer prevention, the safest level of alcohol consumption is zero. This would help Americans to understand recommendations to drink less, and persuade many not to start a drinking habit in the first place. With accurate information, consumers will take better action to protect their interests, including their health, and public health across the board will improve.

Thomas Gremillion is the director of Food Policy at the Consumer Federation of America.

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Covid-19 in Brazil has exposed socio-economic inequalities and underfunding of its public health system – The BMJ – The BMJ

Posted: at 10:30 am

Brazil currently has the worlds second highest number of deaths from covid-19. The lack of action from the Brazilian President, Jair Bolsonaro, and his open denial of the pandemic is widely seen as being one of the reasons for this crisis. However, while that is undoubtedly one of the causes of the high rate of infection and deaths from covid-19, we argue that the countrys underlying conditionsits deeply rooted socio-economic inequalities, the fragmentation and chronic underfunding of its public health systemare equally important factors. In the midst of a rapidly evolving public health and economic crisis, there are early signs of some form of resilience in the system, and possible lessons to be learned for the countrys future.

Although the pandemic has not yet reached its peak in Brazil, the country is at risk of being shattered by the coronavirus. The bed occupancy rate in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is over 90% in three Brazilian statesAmazonas, Cear, and Rio de Janeiro. How did Brazil reach this point? It is the combination of the health systems flaws and entrenched inequalities, as well as President Bolsonaros denialism and lack of action that have cost the lives of so many Brazilians.

Since Brazils first case of covid-19 at the end of February 2020, Bolsonaro has denied the gravity of the pandemic and acted against public health measures such asphysical distancing. He has used words such as hysteria, neurosis and fantasy to criticize the reaction of people and the media to what he classified as a little gripe. [1] Within one month, two of his ministers of health left their position, refusing to implement Bolsonaros plans to end quarantine, and prescribe hydroxychloroquine to all covid-19 patients regardless of their health condition. But despite his antics and blunders, it is too simplistic to only blame Bolsonaro for the rapid escalation of the epidemic.

It is really the underlying conditions of Brazils health system that have allowed the pandemic to take hold and get out of control. Brazils health system is highly fragmented. Although everyone uses the public unified health system (Sistema nico de Sade SUS), 25% of the population hold private health insurance, mostly through their employment. This has created an ethical, equity, and social justice problem within the pandemic, as those who can afford it, use private health services. The large majority of those who cannot pay for an insurance, use the SUS. Long before this pandemic, Brazils SUS struggled with chronic underfunding, aggravated by the austerity measures introduced in the aftermath of the 2014-2016 economic recession. [2] Despite the universal public system, 56% of Brazils health expenditures are private. [3] In the last few years, there has been an increase in out-of-pocket expenditures, especially for medicines.

In Brazil, the pandemic started in affluent urban areas more exposed to contagion from international travel. It is now quickly spreading to the suburbs and favelas (slums). Brazils deeply entrenched social inequalities and the vulnerability of specific populations, have provided a hotbed for the pandemic. In Brazil, the wealthiest 1% of the population concentrates 28.3% of the countrys total income. About 150 million Brazilians live on an average monthly salary of 420 Reais (around $70). Roughly 13 million Brazilians live in favelas, where hygiene and sanitation is poor. [4]. The virus has also spread among more than 600,000 prisoners in the country, and there is the likely risk of rapid dissemination among the population of Indigenous people, which is approximately 800,000 people.

With such underlying conditions, it is surprising the system did not collapse sooner. Thankfully, a few mitigating factors have been able to boost resilience in the face of Bolsonaros lack of action and denialism. There are currently 478,000 active doctors (2.3 per 1,000 population) and 2.3 million nursing professionals. Despite its numerous failings, Brazils SUS still guarantees free access to all levels of health services, from primary care to specialists. Its extensive primary health care network in particular stands out: there are 43,000 Family Health teams and 260,000 community health agents in Brazil, embedded in the community. The primary care network functions as a gateway for early case identification, referral of severe cases to specialized services, monitoring of vulnerable groups such as older people, people who are immunosuppressed, chronically ill, and pregnant women. The primary healthcare system also provides surveillance of mental health disorders, rates of domestic violence, and alcoholism during lockdown.

The joint performance of professionals working in the SUS system, universities and public scientific institutions, have historically helped overcome crises and produced sound public health responses, such as dealing with the Zika outbreak, or the national responses to the HIV and AIDS epidemic [5,6] Most importantly, responsibility for the health system in Brazil is decentralized and regionalized. [5] Decentralised funds for healthcare are larger than the funds transferred by the central state. States and municipalities manage hospitals and services, buy supplies, hire human resources, and carry out health surveillance. As the spread of coronavirus occurs at different time intervals and geographical regions, such decentralisation has allowed the implementation of locally-tailored measures. This localised approach has allowed to keep the epidemic in check to a degree, stopping its spread to the rural areas.

Despite all the challenges posed by the pandemic, it would appear that the checks and balances of Brazils democracy, together with its decentralized health system, still seem to be working, and are tapping into the countrys vast, if depleted, capacity to respond to the pandemic. It would appear that strengthening its national healthcare system and preserving the existing democratic institutions are Brazils only guarantees in dealing with covid-19.

Raquel Nogueira Avelar e Silva, Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark

Giuliano Russo, Centre for Global Public Health, Queen Mary University of London, The UK

Alicia Matijasevich, Department of Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Sao Paulo, Brazil

Mrio Scheffer, Department of Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Sao Paulo, Brazil.

Competing interests: None declared

References:

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British theatre has a class problem, and coronavirus could make it worse – The Guardian

Posted: at 10:30 am

Theatre, ultimately, is not about buildings or props or sets its about people. The people who make it, the people who engage with it, and the crossover between.

The greatest threat to the vitality of plays, musicals and live performance once the lockdown ends is a drain of people leaving the arts. Audiences who can no longer afford ticket prices against a backdrop of economic strain, reinforcing the idea that culture is not for them. Skilled artists particularly those from lower socioeconomic and working-class backgrounds (yes, we do exist in the arts) who cant afford to remain in the industry.

In normal times, theatre is a hugely profitable industry, and one of the UKs most successful cultural exports. But the industry has always been staffed by precariats. Despite the glamour of the trade, almost three-quarters of its employees, no matter what our backgrounds, are freelancers living from job to job. And a significant proportion of this workforce fell through the cracks of the governments job retention schemes.

Right now, nothing frightens theatre creatives more than a slowdown or reversal of even modest gains made in recent years in terms of the inclusivity and diversity of the theatre, on stage and off. These included Natasha Gordon becoming the first (and sinfully late) black British woman to have a play in the West End, with the extraordinary Nine Night, and the National Theatres commitment to 50:50 gender representation. But theres still so much left to do.

The postwar settlement in 1945 was built on the passionate belief that art for everyone was vital to peoples wellbeing and social cohesion. Our aspirations for the future of the industry should be just as hopeful and as high. Assuming the industry survives, its incumbent upon us to hardwire radical, imaginative, hopeful strategies into its recovery, ensuring greater access across society.

For this reason, class barriers require our full attention. Theatre has a class problem. Few would deny it, but there is often a squeamishness in talking about this particular area of representation and a lack of confidence in how to define it. I myself have wrestled with the existential angst that once you reach a certain level in the industry, you must abandon any claim to this identity.

There are also justifiable suspicions, particularly from black, Asian and minority ethnic artists, that the term class is deployed as a proxy to mean exclusively white, working-class men. So it is vital that any discussions of class must wholeheartedly intersect with every community, identity and culture in Britain, and for white working-class writers to amplify and champion their even more neglected peers.

The socio-economic group you were born into and the levels of social deprivation youve experienced are the most decisive factors in whether or not you go to the theatre, let alone carve out a career within it. It seems that half the country goes, half the country doesnt. And the half who dont are unlikely to want to if they cant hear their voices or see their own stories represented on stage.

There are glimmers of opportunity in this crisis. Zoom networks offering peer-to-peer support in quarantine have sprung up, including the digital coffee mornings for working-class artists led by Common, an arts and social justice organisation Im a patron of, alongside the director Matthew Xia and writer Nessah Muthy. Such engagement should continue as leaders listen to the lived experiences of their freelancers when deciding how to rebuild.

Theatre outreach and education departments have been some of the most dynamic during the pandemic. In Leeds, the theatre company Slung Low, based at The Holbeck, an old social club, has been active in distributing food and care packages in the community.

But other mountains feel steeper to climb. The cultural disparity between the south-east, where much of the arts and theatre industry is concentrated, and the rest of the country could grow wider as smaller local organisations and touring groups collapse. The unforgivable demise of arts education in state schools over recent years may further narrow the already limited pool of artists and audiences.

Most importantly of all, of course, are cheaper tickets. Cheaper, cheaper, cheaper, cheaper tickets. We know this will be even more challenging for theatre companies barely able to make ends meet. Whatever new, inventive, convention-defying methods that artists, fundraisers, producers and sponsors can collectively devise, our new theatre culture can only claim to represent contemporary Britain if everyone who lives here is allowed to come and see it.

James Graham is a British playwright and screenwriter

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Aggrieved customers of collapsed banks threaten to besiege Jubilee House – Ghana Business News

Posted: at 10:29 am

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A group calling itself Coalition of Aggrieved Customers of collapsed banks in the country has given the government a 14-day ultimatum to pay their cash deposits totaling millions of Ghana cedis or face their anger amidst the Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19).

The 2,221 aggrieved customers, spread across the Bono Region therefore threatened to embark on a protest march to besiege the Jubilee House, the seat of government if President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo failed to address their grievances.

According to the group, comprising customers of the defunct GN Bank and UT Bank, as well as the DKM and God is Love Micro-finance, whose cash deposits were locked-up following the collapse of the financial institutions, President Akufo-Addo had failed to refund their cash deposits.

Last year, the Bank of Ghana (BoG) revoked the licenses of some savings and loans companies in the country.

The revocation of the licenses of the financial institutions, according to the central bank were necessary because they were insolvent even after a reasonable period within which the BOG had engaged with them in the hope that they would be recapitalized by their shareholders to return them to solvency.

But, at a news conference held at Abesim, near Sunyani, some members of the coalition who wore red armbands and headgears to portray their anger, explained that the life time savings of many of them were locked up at the defunct banks, thereby collapsing their businesses and worsening their socio-economic livelihoods.

Many of us who entrusted our money and lifetime savings in these banks and financial institutions held on to Governments promise that our monies would be safe, Mr. Nicholas Saddari, the convener of the group, said.

We never anticipated that the Governments so-called clean-up of the banking and financial sector would take-down so many banks and financial institutions especially on the basis that Government itself indicated that it required between GH9 billion to GH13 billion to solve the crises in the banking and financial sector.

Today government is saying they cant pay us, so they have issued a five-year bond for our locked-up deposits, that is zero or no interest paid on our deposits and investments after we have to wait for the 5 years to receive our money.

Then after many of us depositors agitated by saying we cannot wait for five years then government tells us to take the five bonds to Consolidated Bank of Ghana which will discount the bonds by 50 percent of the face value amount of the bond and pay that to us whilst we forfeit or forgo the remaining 50 percent the bond value which CBG will keep.

Source: GNA

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Futurist site: Flamingo Land thanked for ‘sticking with us’; remarketing the site ‘would not be appropriate’ says council’s deputy leader – The…

Posted: at 10:28 am

Scarborough Borough Councils cabinet today backed a new strategic vision for the site in order to create an iconic development for the town.

In February the council set up a new cross-party task group to examine all options for the area following an independent review of the councils 2014 decision to demolish the former theatre at a cost of more than 4 million and enter into an agreement with Flamingo Land to build an attraction in its place.

The task groups report has now been endorsed by councils cabinet, and the authority will now move forward with what it is calling the Bay Side South vision.

Flamingo Land will still be part of the negotiations but it could be the end of its plans for a seaside attraction which included a 60m-high Cliffhanger ride, a rollercoaster, and a four-storey building housing restaurants and play areas.

While making no specific proposals about what the development should be, the task group identified several themes that should be met by any plan.

They include enhancing the towns natural heritage assets, enabling residents to live better lives, and promoting good health, education and active lifestyles.

A report prepared for the cabinet meeting noted that the group was keen that the sites redevelopment would result in facilities that would captivate all ages while being accessible and affordable to local residents and visitors.

It would also need to support an all-year-round economy.

Despite Ryedale-based Flamingo Land remaining the councils preferred bidder, the all-party group hoped the future focus didnt just relate to leisure and tourism and wanted provision for other economic growth sectors such as digital, health and engineering, education and skills along with career development for 18 to 25 year olds across the borough.

A desire for the redevelopment to better connect the town centre, beach and harbour forms part of the vision for the site.

Speaking at todays cabinet meeting, cabinet member Cllr Janet Jefferson quoted the findings of the task group when discussing what should replace the Futurist.

She said: We want to see a truly iconic development in this location as an opportunity to embrace innovative solutions to link past, present and future, creating at Bay Side South a vibrant and sustainable environment which will enhance well-being and quality of life for residents and visitors alike.

Council leader Cllr Steve Siddons thanked Flamingo Land for sticking with us while the council went through the process of examining the proposals and said he looked forward to working with them.

Conservative Cllr David Jeffels told the cabinet that he felt the site should be remarketed, both nationally and across Europe, and that a nation-wide architectural competition could be held to generate new interest in this prime site.

He added: The Futurist Site provides Scarborough with a golden opportunity to have a development which will not only be iconic but which will be a catalyst to regenerate not only the Foreshore but the town centre as a whole.

Cabinet member Cllr Liz Colling responded that an architectural competition was not the way to approach a once in a lifetime opportunity and said there were a number of other benefits that had to be addressed as well as how the development looked.

Cllr Colling added that it would be inappropriate to market the site while Flamingo Land remained the preferred bidder and had stood by the council in good faith.

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How a global pandemic is changing the world: Part 1 – SmartBrief

Posted: at 10:28 am

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In a world rattled by countless turmoils, anticipating what the future holds is an undertaking as complex as it is daring. In this exclusive interview with Smartbrief, Futurist consultant Edie Weiner and her firmThe Future Hunterstake us on a journey through the major change currents shaping the world for years to come. Here is part 1 of that interview.

As a result of COVID-19, where do you see things going in general over the next few years?

I believe well see trends progress along three distinct pathways: Epidemiological, Preparatory/Remedial and Opportunistic.

The first, Epidemiological, will include what is happening on the scientific scene. This includes things such as the spread of the disease, resurgences, advances in vaccines/prevention and cures. This pathway will also include the political scene domestically and internationally as the science progresses, shaping and reshaping the geopolitical landscape.

Authoritarian figures will seize more control and be met with more public protests, on all political fronts. There will be heightened nationalism and international cooperation, as these wont be seen as mutually exclusive in a time such as this. All of these responses will be specific to this crisis, and for many could be existential, much like climate change, which will remain the number one existential issue of the century.

The first pathway forward is Epidemiological so what is the second pathway?

The second pathway is Preparatory/Remedial, and this is what will be done everywhere because of what we have learned from this crisis. People will question their healthcare systems and international healthcare authorities, demanding more transparency. Data gathered from the COVID-19 crisis will support the need for better medical delivery and supplemental income because of the widescale socio-economic population disparities. There will be angry arguments over how we pay for these changes when economies are strained.

Liability issues will increase, arising from decisions made during the crisis about workers rights, individual and corporate freedoms, broken contractual obligations, customer safety, denial of service, wrongful death and so on. Domestic and international lawsuits will mushroom regarding travel, trade, intellectual property and accountability. Everywhere we will see more regulations, screening and safety precautions to avoid additional lawsuits and gain the confidence of consumers, employees and users of public services. Ultimately, technology will enable HVAC systems to clean indoor air, nanoparticles to be embedded in surfaces that enable them to be self-cleaning, and sensors everywhere that determine whether environments have been cleaned and people are keeping safe distances.

Supply chains will become one of the most important issues of the coming decade. How efficient should they be, with little or no redundancy in the event of a catastrophe? How self-sufficient should they be globally, regionally, locally? Who is friend and who is foe, and how do we look beyond that when were all in something together? How do certain supplies, whether oil or medical gear, get priced and distributed when the free market goes off the rails?

All of these aspects of preparation and remedy will dominate attention, some of them may actually be improved in order to prepare for any future crisis, and some will stagnate and not be resolved. For example, many more parts of the world will build more self-sufficiency into their supply chains, but many will not adequately address the issues of widescale unemployment and poverty, especially among migrant, refugee and marginalized populations. And that will continue to make even the most privileged populations vulnerable to future contagions.

You said the third pathway is Opportunistic. What do you mean by that?

The Opportunistic pathway is the one that has me most excited. This is all about re-imagination and experimentation. It was already taking place in all disciplines and across all businesses, including in every area of product and service design and delivery. Even before this crisis happened, we saw physicists, artists, marketers, architects, and so many more reshaping what we were thinking and doing here on earth and even in outer space. From esports to fintech, from particle theory to virtual reality, from leasing to languages -- in which people have begun to remove gender-specific terms and emojis were replacing words -- the ground was being prepared to jump over renovation and skip to innovation. In supply chains, new materials, AI, and synthetic biology will come together to reduce the need for products from natural sources, whether they be protein or fossil fuels. 3D printing will alter the built environment. Universities will have to reinvent in order to become multidisciplinary, less expensive and technologically enabled. Marketers will have to start all over in defining and understanding life cycles that extend to age 100 with an online life that lingers even after we die. We were already becoming a whole new kind of civilization, and this crisis just gave that transformation a lot more energy.

Stay tuned for Part 2 of our interview with Edie Weiner when she discusses private capitalism and her optimism for the global future in the coming decade.

Edie Weiner is President and CEO of the leading futurist consulting group, The Future Hunters. She is acknowledged as one of the most influential practitioners of social, technological, political, and economic intelligence-gathering. She has guest lectured at many prestigious institutions, including Wharton, Harvard, The U.S. Army War College, the Naval War College and the World Economic Forum in Davos. She is the co-author of FutureThink, a global bestseller.

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How a global pandemic is changing the world: Part 1 - SmartBrief

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