Daily Archives: October 20, 2019

Letters: Capitalism isnt perfect, but it lifts societies out of poverty – St. Paul Pioneer Press

Posted: October 20, 2019 at 10:34 pm

Capitalism isnt perfect. But

There was a recent letter describing the irony of President Trump defending Social Security and Medicare while denouncing socialism. Although both Social Security and Medicare are government programs that provide social benefits, they should NOT be held up by socialists to demonstrate what they have in mind for our country.

Do socialists plan to impose a flat tax rate on all to fund their new programs so everyone has skin in the game or to establish regressive taxes to do so, as with Social Security and Medicare?

Do they plan to allow all even the 1% to receive the benefits of their new programs, as with Social Security and Medicare? Those programs enjoy general support because all pay into them and all receive benefits from them.

They are not representative of what our socialist friends have in mind.

Socialists define which entities in America are the enemies and then promise to strip them of their wealth to pay for goodies. It is a very divisive strategy.

Socialists now talk about a 90% incremental tax rate for the rich. How does that work when the only surgeon in town who can operate on your brain cancer has hit his 90% rate in October and decided he will take the rest of the year off, rather that assume full risk while giving 90% of his reward away?

What happens when we reach the socialist utopia where the evil corporations have been brought to their knees and the rich have been stripped of their wealth? Who then pays for all the existing programs?

We need to be compassionate, but we also need to be sure that those people out there who get up every morning, dress for work, drive through traffic, deal with bosses and customers all day and then drive home to prepare to do it again are rewarded more than those who sit at home and do not contribute to the productivity of our nation. If, in the name of empathy, we give the latter the same benefits as the former, no one would go to work and society would collapse.

Capitalism is not perfect. Like the natural world, it is competitive, but it has been shown over and over to do a better job of lifting societies out of poverty than any other system especially socialist/totalitarian systems. It leads to the creation of wealth in society, not the destruction of wealth.

Carl Hasbargen, St. Paul

He wasnt a bum. He had a soul. These words from Keys Caf and Bakery owner Barbara Hunn Miesen were uttered many years ago when a homeless man named Boyd would hang out in her restaurant on Raymond Avenue. She gave him food and clothing, and did the same for others in need.

Decades later, Boyd is no longer there. But Miesens words reflect the hearts of many in St. Paul who frequent her establishments. The family business owner has found other ways to help, asking customers for donations to Union Gospel Mission and matching them.

As Thanksgiving approaches, and we prep for our annual meal distribution, I want to say a specialthank you to Keys Caf, and the thousands of diners in and around St. Paul who support our work. Theyre helping us to restore peoples lives, and to get them off the streets for good.

Gail P. Gisi, New RichmondThe author is director of education and training for theUnion Gospel Mission Twin Cities

I am absolutely giddy about all the peoples work the U.S. Congress is getting done NOT!

If you pay even a little attention you know their eyes are off the ball and instead on political junk that will go nowhere and get us to that same place.

We all know there is need for a manageable government. I beg for people to remember the founding fathers who demanded state and local government to lead the way, with a federal government standing by to asist. Assist?! My, my what we have created? There are about 2.8 million federal employees making on average $123,000 per year. Do the math are we getting our moneys worth?

Phil Hove, Cottage Grove

Deanna Wenigers article on homeschool theater was a wonderful read (Group is working to shatter misconception of homeschool theater, Oct. 9). Education is not one size fits all, and if a family chooses to home educate, wonderful! I am glad that choice is available.

Jennifer LaMotte, Hastings

Tried watching the nightly national news again tonight. Of the 30-minute time slot, a full eight minutes was devoted to advertising. During those eight minutes, it was recommended that I ask my doctor about a wide range of pharmaceuticals that could help certain conditions, but may also cause: allergic reaction, fever, vomiting, bruising, bleeding, constipation/diarrhea, severe headache, hallucinations, limbs falling off without warning and in some cases, sudden or slow death!

So at my next routine physical, I need to ask my doctor about medications for back pain, flu, deep vein thrombosis, A1-C, menopause (Im a male!) and I almost forgot about the memory-aid medication!

Relentless sales pitches for so many prescription drugs are even more depressing than the news stories are.

But hey theres a drug for that! Ask your doctor.

Pat Cullen, Stillwater

I have noticed the term white privilege being used frequently of late. As a recently retired blue collar, middle class white person Id like to add my two cents.

My first job was delivering the St. Paul newspaper at 13 years old, followed by different jobs through high school, then trade school and finally a steady job with benefits. There were eight children in our family, both parents worked, Dad had two jobs. Nothing was given but a roof over our heads.

There are many people like myself who have never expected special privilege for being born into the situation I was, and do not feel guilty or apologize for it.

Certainly there are also those at the lower end of the socio-economic scale who could use a leg-up.

Lets focus on helping others without labeling anyone.

Greg Jenny, River Falls, Wis.

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Letters: Capitalism isnt perfect, but it lifts societies out of poverty - St. Paul Pioneer Press

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BDP has run the race and deserves a break to introspect – The Patriot On Sunday

Posted: at 10:34 pm

BDP leadership

Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) has been in power since independence in 1966. That is a period of over half a century. It seeks another term and it is perfectly entitled to do so as do other political parties. It is important to recognise and appreciate that it has done well under trying circumstances to bring Botswana where she is. But to be in power for so long in and of itself breeds complacency, arrogance, fatigue and a serious dereliction of duty. The current state of the political and socio-economic standing of the country is in my view, the result of arrogance, fatigue and serious dereliction of duty. Consequently and in the process, citizens suffer the most in terms of receiving the full social justice benefits they would otherwise receive if there was no such serious dereliction of duty. I am not interested in blaming the Presidents of the BDP but the institution and the brand called the BDP.

Arrogance is borne out of the sheer account that the party is ruling and whatever good motions/ideas from the opposition are ignored on account that they could elevate the opposition profile. I need not tabulate them because they are common knowledge. Fatigue in the sense that important national issues are not treated with the urgency and the speed they deserve. Parliament, which has become subservient to the executive has for example, failed to investigate the shenanigans surrounding the National Petroleum Fund scandal whose funds it authorised. The BDP ganged up to frustrate any motion that sought to investigate this matter. Serious dereliction of duty would encompass the failure to attend to for example, the runaway corruption that has become the way of life.

In the Presidential debate held on 16 October 2019, it emerged that the BDP is challenged in so many fronts with respect to fulfilling its mandate as a ruling party. Chief among these challenges and as conceded by the President of the party are the secretive nature of the agreement between Botswana and the De Beers Group. Rre Ndaba Gaolathe confirmed albeit with no rebuttal from the President during the debate that even parliament is kept in the dark about the agreement. One feels rightly or wrongly that there is more in this agreement for the BDP than it is for the nation. It was also confirmed that the economy of the country is firmly in the hands of non-Batswana. It is mind blogging that Batswana, and by virtue of the fact that this economy belongs to them and should therefore play a tangibly evident role to better their socio-economic circumstances, play very little to no significant role in it. How and why is this so given that the BDP has alone, been in power for over fifty years?

Corruption under the BDP has remained unattended to for as long as one can remember. The latest figure released by the Director General of the DCEC is that over P 5 billion of public funds have disappeared and mysteriously so if I may add. Just how could P 5 billion believably, disappear under the BDPs watch and authority? I guess it should be reasonably easy to trace the paper trial if there is no attendant complicity of some sort in the BDP. Corruption like I have said somewhere in this conversation, has become a way of life in Botswana. The DCEC has not caught and convicted the big fish of the corruption world yet such fish is in our midst and in abundance given the extremely high levels of corruption. In this regard, it tells me that the BDP is not doing something right in corruption fighting except the usual and tired we are fighting corruption slogan. While the Assets and Liabilities Act has come to pass, it was evident from opposition parties in the presidential debate and in parliament that it leaves a lot to be desired. I need not repeat the inadequacies in this law because they are common knowledge as well. Very little if anything, will be attained through this law. Those required by law to make declarations will still do so to their political principals thereby making the whole exercise a mockery of justice. Just why should one make a declaration to a politician amongst others? Its a joke of the century in corporate governance. Why has the BDP lowered the corruption fighting bar this low?

The President of Botswana is above the law as evidenced by Sections 41 and 47 of the Constitution. In this respect, it is not difficult to imagine how the powers conferred therein could be seriously abused. The easiest example is the recent decision by the President that he, and him alone, has decided to reinstate workers dismissed in 2011 after the public service strike. The relevant trade unions representing these workers have according to Botswana Nurses Union official on one of the private radio stations on Thursday, neither been consulted nor engaged on the matter. There are several legal implications to the Presidents decision which on the face it, have not been dealt with. Is this re-employment which would suggest that the dismissed are employed as first and new employees or re-instatement where they are paid their back pays and other attendant benefits they would have lost? The sitting President is alleged to be involved in some corruption/abuse of office with respect to the NPF and the CMB scandals. It is difficult or should I say impossible that the President can be subjected to any form of investigation to establish if these allegations are true or not. This state of affairs (that of the President being above the law) is not good for democracy, the Rule of Law, accountability and transparency. Why has the BDP allowed the President of Botswana to be above the law? The intentions of this law, good as they may have been back then, have long been overtaken by events given the unfolding events. In this day and age, there is no reason why we still have a Motswana who is above the law. Such a person cannot rationally be expected to uphold the Rule of Law regardless of pronouncements made thereto and that he himself or herself is above the law.

State institutions like the DCEC, DIS, IEC, Ombudsman and others are still housed under the office of the President. This issue was raised in the debate where the President responded by saying that this is how the law stands. Fair enough. He failed to convincingly commit that the status quo will change by reforming these institutions and by removing them from his office. The location of these institutions, appointments of their heads and other related matters have been raised by both opposition politicians and the general public but the BDP has remained unmoved. The end result is that these institutions are susceptible if not, to manipulation and influence by the politicians. The BDP has allowed this situation to be perpetuated for time immemorial because predictably, it has served it very well for political expediency.

I have argued before which I still maintain that most Botswanas problems are as a result of painfully lowering the leadership bar. In fact there is no longer any bar to refer to. And this bar is lowered right from the top political leadership level to the boards of parastatals amongst others. Just like it is the case for the country, parastatals leadership is in shambles with the entities performing so poorly. Most of them are on the verge of collapse if they have not already collapsed. Integrity in leadership is a rare commodity leading to no consequent management across the leadership hierarchy. This leadership decay has been largely promoted by arrogance, self-preservation and a serious dereliction of duty as stated above.

It is incontrovertible that the BDP could close BCL mine and in the process render about 5000 people jobless. And this was a decision taken by the BDP without the consent of parliament as it has become the norm under its rule. As a political campaign tool, the party somersaults under unexplained reasons to suggest that it intends to re-open the mine. It is important to mention that competent individuals and bodies richly endowed in mining had advised and correctly so, that it would be catastrophic to close BCL mine. The catastrophic consequences are there for even the blind to see.

The morass Botswana finds herself in, in whatever form or shape, is the result of the BDP having dropped the ball not once, twice but several times. The party has been largely reactive and less proactive in many instances hence the morass which seemingly and at best, is being solved if any, by short cuts and unsustainable measures. The BDP is an institution and a brand that has run its race that needs some introspection and soul searching outside the seat of power. Apart from populist and self-centred view that it is the only party that has the wherewithal to take Botswana forward, the socio-economic circumstances of her citizens largely suggest otherwise. It is somewhat of a movie I have watched before and whose script is still the same. Botswana is spoilt for choice with regard to other citizens taking the baton from the BDP. The argument that no other party is competent to rescue Botswana is seriously flawed to the extreme. I am prepared to be persuade otherwise as always. Judge for Yourself!

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BDP has run the race and deserves a break to introspect - The Patriot On Sunday

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The Myth of the Secular: Religion, War, and Politics in the Twentieth Century – Foreign Policy Research Institute

Posted: at 10:34 pm

On December 31, 1977, Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi hosted Jimmy Carter at a state dinner in Tehran.

The President took the occasion to laud Iran, a reliable U.S. ally in the Persian Gulf and the greater Middle East, as an island of stability in one of the more troubled areas of the world. . . . This is a great tribute to you, your majesty, and to your leadership and to the respect and the admiration and love which your people give to you.[1]

Just a few weeks later, strikes and protests erupted, which metastasized over the coming year into a revolution led by Shiite Muslims loyal to their exiled Ayatollah Sayyid Ruhollah Khomeini. Nobody saw it coming, least of all the Central Intelligence Agency, but just thirteen months after Carters visit the Shah was in exile and his regime replaced by a theocratic Islamic Republic, whose leaders denounced the United States as the Great Satan.

Why did it come as a terrible shock? The revival of religious influences on international politics was already evident in the long-standing Israeli-Palestinian, Indian-Pakistani, and Northern Irish conflicts. Indeed, Carter himself made an ecumenical appeal for peace when the devout Southern Baptist brokered the 1978 Camp Accords between Israel and Egypt. Events in the subsequent decade repeatedly underscored the growing role of faith-based movements.

For instance, the Afghan mujaheddin who defied the Red Army were also Muslim jihadis who cried Allah O Akbar as they shot down Soviet helicopters with Stinger missiles. The Filipino Catholic Church was instrumental in the popular overthrow of Ferdinand Marcos regime. Liberation Theology, a volatile mix of Catholic social thought and Marxist analysis, inspired left-wing politics in Latin America. The Polish labor leader Lech Walesa and Pope John Paul II prayed to the Black Madonna of Czestochowa for divine protection over the Solidarity movements defiance of their Communist government. Lutheran churches encouraged the East German protests that toppled the Berlin Wall in 1989.[2] Two years later, Russian Orthodox clergy and faithful babushkas shamed soldiers in Moscow into disobeying the orders of the Communist coup-plotters trying to save the Soviet Union.[3] In 1994, Anglican Bishop Desmond Tutu and penitent clergy in the Dutch Reformed Church were among the leaders of the anti-apartheid movement in South Africa. In fact, religious actors played important roles in the democratization of 48 countries between 1972 and 2009.[4] But the dark side of the force was just as apparent in that Iranian Revolution, genocidal wars in the former Yugoslavia, the Al Qaeda attacks of September 11, 2001, and the insurgency following the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003, which belatedly educated Americans about the ancient schism between Sunnis and Shiites.

During those decades, scholars in the field of international relations were obliged to admit that seemingly atavistic religious motivations still mattered a great deal after all. Hence the appearance of publications with such titles as Religion: The Missing Dimension of Statecraft; Faith and Diplomacy in the International System; Religion and Security: The New Nexus in International Relations; Nations Under God: The Geopolitics of Faith in the Twenty-first Century; A Turn to Religion in International Relations?; The Sacred and the Sovereign: Religion and International Politics; The Global Resurgence of Religion and the Transformation of International Relations; War, Religion, and Empire; and Religion in International Relations.[5]

Several distinguished political scientists acknowledged the prior shortcomings of their discipline. Jack Snyder wrote, And yet the main canonical works of international relations theory, which continue to shape much empirical academic work, hardly mention religion. . . . The foundational statements of the three leading paradigms by Kenneth Waltz for realism, Michael Doyle and Robert Keohane for liberalism, and Alexander Wendt for constructivism offer no explicit guidance on how to do this, and in some cases imply that a role for religion may not be allowable within the logics of their paradigms.[6]

Likewise, Robert Jervis wrote, Terrorism grounded in religion poses special problems for modern social science, which has paid little attention to religion, perhaps because most social scientists find this subject uninteresting if not embarrassing.[7]

Likewise, Edward Luttwak observed that astonishingly persistent, Enlightenment prejudice has remained amply manifest in the contemporary professional analysis of foreign affairs. Policymakers, diplomats, journalists, and scholars who are ready to over-interpret economic causality, who are apt to dissect social differentiations most finely, and who will minutely categorize political affiliations, are still in the habit of disregarding the role of religion, religious institutions, and religious motivations in explaining politics and conflict.[8]

Even today, four decades after the Iranian revolution and two decades since 9/11, theorists in international relations have made little progress toward some new general theory in which religious motivations or institutions are treated as independent variables. What academics have mostly accomplished is to compile tedious lists of truisms that should have been obvious all along. For instance:

Religion is relevant to all conflict, as it concerns life and death.

Religious conflicts tend to have higher levels of intensity.

Wars are longer in duration when religion is a major factor.

Over half of all contemporary conflicts have a significant religious dimension.

Religious leaders emerge as primary authority figures under conditions of state failure.

Religious factors are invariably related to ethnic group identity.

Religious factors are an essential component of effective conflict management.[9]

Or else social scientists have displayed their worst tendency, which is to generate gobbledygook. Try to parse this: The neo-Weberian and other dialogical, ethics-based approaches, in turn, point to the internal workings and tensions as well as internal-external interactions of religious traditions in their contexts. In a similar vein, we assert that studies of religion in international relations, in order to avoid bad-good, problematic-beneficial, conflict prone-peaceful dichotomies, should instead treat religion as socially constructed practice and discourse.[10]

Why have scholars of international relations been so blind to the role of religion both before and after the 1970s?

At least five causes of that blindness leap immediately to mind. First, the scarcity of good literature on the subject is simple due to the paucity of academics and practitioners who display expertise in both fields. Those with a deep understanding of one or more religious traditions usually lack knowledge inor experience ofthe rough and tumble of politics. Those who are wise in the ways of statecraft are often out of their depth in spiritual matters. Second, a profound disconnect hampers analyses of the phenomenon simply because diplomacy is immanentan arena of power with discernible material stakeswhile religion is transcendentan arena of faith in which motives and outcomes are unpredictable and immeasurable. The impact of charismatic individuals, not to mention divine Providence, is thus an unwelcome intruder confounding rational models of world politics based on balance of power, or economic self-interest, or comparative sociology. Scholars cannot make sense of occasions when worldly groups of people behave according to precepts not of this world.

A third source of blindness is the tendency of Western intellectuals to think in dichotomies. They set realism and idealism, or secular and religious, against each other as if they were mutually exclusive. In fact, the most profound Christian students of moral theology from Thomas Aquinas to Reinhold Niebuhr have understood that whatever is unrealistic (meaning contrary to natural law) cannot by definition be moral. In statecraft that would imply that the (utopian) pursuit of moral perfection through diplomacy or war is perversely to invite immoral results. To be sure, courageperhaps born of religious faithcan sometimes expand the bounds of the possible, but politics remains, in Otto von Bismarcks aphorism, the art of the possible. Hence, a genuinely moral statecraft accepts human nature as flawed, pursues limited aims, and acknowledges the contingency of all human creations. A genuinely moral statecraft upholds international order, hopes for peace but prepares in extremis to fight, practices proportionality of force, tempers justice with mercy, and is always prudent about ends and means. Unfortunately, the binary biases of most Western thought inhibits such subtle balance.

A fourth source of the blindness has been the unwarranted assumption since the late 19th century that a decline of religion is the inevitable byproduct of modernization. Hence, the followers of Max Weber, who coined the term Entzauberung (disenchantment), have made the same mistake as the followers of Karl Marx, who dismissed religion as the opiate of the masses. What sociologists failed to realize is that opiates are addictive (and can be therapeutic). That is why homo economicus or homo faber (the tool-maker) has always been homo religiosus as well. It took that eminent social scientist Ayatollah Khomeini to state the obvious in 1978: The masses are naturally drawn to religion.[11] Max Weber was surely right to observe that industrial management, modern science, secular schools, and government agencies were taking over the epistemological, psychological, and social duties previously performed by religious institutions. So in functional terms modern societies seemed no longer to have use for religion. Moreover, American proponents of modernization theory such as Walt Rostow argued during the 1950s and 60s that since the conditions for economic take-off were the same for all countries, the processes of secularization would be similar for all countries. Of course, Rostow has been proven wrong. Not only did religion survive in the Third World, it has even survived in America. Ever since then, theorists have tried to account for the persistence of religious belief by imagining so many exceptions, counter-trends, and special cases that have come to resemble the cycles and epicycles of Ptolemys terracentric solar system.

Other scholars have made room for religion only as a dependent variable. For instance, world system theorists such as Immanuel Wallerstein have described the uneven effects that turbulent, inequitable capitalist markets have on locales and interpreted occasional religious revivals as psychological expressions of helplessness. That seems plausible, but if such structuralism is universalized it leaves no room at all for cult and culture as genuine inspirations for human behavior. The Frankfurt School of critical theorists focused instead on cultural evolution, but only within the context of socio-economic change. During the era of high industrialization, he observed, more advanced societies had displayed the expected retreat of religion. But in what Jrgen Habermas called the postmodern era, advanced societies have shifted their focus from productivity and distribution to quality of life issues such as the environment and expressive individualism. Hence, the renewed interest, not in religion per se, but spirituality in all its New Age manifestations. While largely true for Europe and North America, that shift in focus does not begin to explain Muslim fundamentalism, which isif anythingin open rebellion against the postmodern West. Nevertheless, the Frankfurt School predicts this latest phase is sure to give way in time to universal humanism based on reason rather than superstition.[12]

There is, however, a fifth source of the embarrassing blindness towards religion in world affairs: the hoary Enlightenment myth about the birth of the modern international system. According to that myth, the system sprang to lifelike Athena from the head of Zeusin the year 1648 when the Peace of Westphalia brought the curtain down on the age of the Religious Wars. According to that myth, 120 years of international and civil wars between Protestants and Catholics had been so destructive that Europes monarchs cried Never again and abruptly converted to secular principles such as state sovereignty, raison dtat, and the balance of power. But the truth was that myth had to be ruthlessly imposed, as Edward Luttwak observed: Enlightenment publicists and philosophers wielded none of the torture instruments of the Catholic inquisitions, nor did they burn dissenters under some Protestant dispensation. But when it came to religion in all its aspects, they strangled free inquiry just as effectively by the commanding force of the fashion they imposed.[13] Ever since then, scholars of diplomatic history, political theory, and international law have perpetuated that myth so relentlessly that the recent literature about diplomacy and religion still parrots it.

Thus did the authoritative Oxford Encyclopedia on International Relations state in 2016 that IR theorists trace the system of sovereign states back to the Peace of Westphalia when temporal and spiritual authority were severed. Henceforth, religion played no role at all in Great Power politics except as a fig leaf cloaking real motives rooted in power and economics.[14] Flip through almost any work of IR theory and you will find some version of this postulate: The treaties of Westphalia . . . established political realism and raison dtat as the main principles of statecraft by replacing religion. . . . It can be argued that the Westphalian settlement established a political theology for modern international relations.[15] And again: The Westphalian principles of nonintervention and domestic jurisdiction . . . which codified national sovereignty as the core premise of the nation-state system served as the polestar that guided international relations and limited interstate conflict for several centuries, including the cold war years.[16]

That sentence from a 2003 book called The Sacred and the Sovereign is appallingly ignorant: how could its author possibly imagine the Napoleonic Wars and World Wars of the 20th century as examples of the limitation of conflict? But the author begins with the ritual bow to Westphalia as fons et origo of modern diplomacy, and goes on to describe the historic sea-change as follows. Prior to Westphalia, we read, the Medieval Archetype, or Res Publica Christiana, established four principles. First, faith and reason or religion and politics were not antagonistic, but ideally cooperative. Second, all authority vested in church and state derived from God. Third, temporal political and legal rule was an intermingling of overlapping authorities and jurisdictions: in short, the feudal system. And fourth, civilization was coextensive with Christendom. But the Reformation fractured the Medieval Archetype and replaced it with a Modern Archetype derived from Protestant theology and resting on four different principles. First, faith and reason are not cooperative because religion is viewed as divisive and destructive. Second, authority is no longer derived solely from God. Third, temporal political and legal rule is rigidly confined to sovereign states. And fourth, religious affinity is now tethered to the territorial state rather than a transnational church hierarchy. And if proof is needed, write the authors, that Westphalia worked such a revolution, one need only quote Pope Innocent Xs anathema to the effect that the Westphalian treaties were null, void, invalid, iniquitous, unjust, damnable, reprobate, and inane, empty of meaning and effect for all time.[17]

My purpose is not to be condescending. Political scientists tend to be lumpers whereas historians tend to be splitters. Lumpers look for the patterns in human behavior and propose theories to account for the similarities they discern across space and time. Splitters look for what is unique in each historical context in order to account for the diversities they discern across space and time. Both methods have their place. But too often political scientists tend to stipulate some oversimplified version of past events which historians have long since challenged.

That is why the question must now be asked: what was the Peace of Westphalia anyway?

It was the collective term applied to three treaties negotiated in the northwestern German towns of Osnabrck and Mnster in 1648. They brought to an end the Thirty Years War in the Holy Roman Empire of the German Nation as well as the Eighty Years War for Dutch independence from the king of Spain. (But so fractured was the Holy Roman Empire and so complex the shifting alliances in the long war that no less than 109 diplomatic delegations were sent to Westphalia!) Now, the Holy Roman Empire dated from the year 843 when the Treaty of Verdun divided Charlemagnes realm among his three grandsons. Each got a kingdom but only one could inherit the imperial title and it turned out to be Otto the German. Throughout the Medieval era, therefore, Germanys rulers had universal pretensions and the most powerful of them expanded the imperial boundaries into the Low Countries and Italy, where the imperial power rivaled that of the papacy. Emperors often tried to centralize their rule as well, which brought them into conflict with their own vassals, the lesser princes of Germany.

In the year 1356, the princes got the upper hand and issued the so-called Golden Bull, which regularized the procedure by which emperors were chosen. Seven princesfour secular and three clericalwere made Electors and in the ensuing centuries habitually exploited their leverage to extract concessions from their habitual choices, the Habsburg dukes of Austria. But over those centuries the Habsburgs also acquired so many kingdoms and provincesincluding Spain and its New World empireas to wield nearly hegemonic power. Thus, when Martin Luther launched the Reformation in 1517 and various north German princes turned Protestant, the mighty Emperor Charles V resisted in the name of Catholic universalism and imperial unity. But the Lutherans managed to weather those Wars of the Schmalkaldic League until 1555 when Charles acquiesced in the Peace of Augsburg that established the principle of cuius regio eius religiowhose realm, his religion throughout the empire.

Three of the electorsthe rulers of Brandenburg, Saxony, and the Palatinatewere now Protestant, but the Catholic majority held until the year 1618 when Bohemias nobility dared to elect a Calvinist as their own king. Since that would tip future imperial elections against them the Habsburgs went to war against the Winter King and crushed the Czechs at the Battle of the White Mountain in 1620. But that proved to be just the beginning because Protestants both German and foreign intervened, while the emperor escalated the stakes by trying to forge a centralized empire. Three decades of war ensued during which large swaths of Germany were repeatedly ravaged and a third of its population perished. The Protestant Danes, Swedes, and Dutch entered the war at various phases, and, in 1642, Cardinal Richelieu brought in Catholic France as well, butand heres the kickeron the Protestant side! Why? Because the French monarchy had long since followed the allegedly modern strategy of balance of power with respect to the Habsburg Empireand the French kings had long since functioned as sovereigns just as kings of England, Scotland, Spain, Portugal, Sweden, and Russia had done. The notion that state sovereignty was invented by the Westphalian treaties is fanciful. What did triumph there was sovereignty for the princes of the Holy Roman Empire, whose control over mostnot allstate functions was now recognized by the emperor. Otherwise, the Augsburg formula of cuius region eius religionow over a century oldwas reconfirmed and extended to Calvinists, while the rights of minorities to worship in private were upheld.

The Peace of Westphalia was an important watershed. But it is nonsense to suggest that it ushered in a wholly new era of statecraft whether in spirit or praxis. As early as 1536, French King Francis I made a close alliance with Sultan Suleiman the Magnificent, so they might coordinate their attacks on the Habsburgs. A century later, when Richelieu allied with Germanys Protestants, France was simultaneously waging a war against Catholic Spain that would drag on until 1659. Other European monarchs routinely fought wars against fellow Catholics and for reasons that had nothing to do with religion, such as the famous Hundred Years War between England and France. For that matter, even the so-called Wars of Religion were driven by powerful secular motives, not least the desire of Protestant princes to seize the Catholic churchs vast accumulations of land and wealth. Likewise, the French Wars of Religionanother thirty years conflict that ended in 1598were civil conflicts over the throne and the ultimate victor, the Protestant Henri de Bourbon, happily converted back to Catholicism to placate the majority of his subjects! He then issued the Edict of Nantes tolerating the Protestant Huguenots. The party of French nobility who brokered this settlement literally called themselves les Politiques, meaning pragmatic politicians rather than sectarian zealots. Likewise, the Dutch rebellion against Spain was waged as much for political and economic freedom as religious freedom and numerous Dutch Catholics joined the patriotic Protestant side. The English Civil War from 1642 to 1660 might have been a Presbyterian crusade under Oliver Cromwell, but it began and ended as a political quarrel between Parliament and a would-be absolute monarch. All sides in those conflicts stoked religious fervor, often with savage results. But none was a crusade in the Medieval sense.

As for the myth that Westphalia ended the power of the church, the fact that Innocent X cursed the treaties was as laughable then as it is now. By the mid-17th century, papal power had been in eclipse for some two hundred years. During the late Middle Ages, it fell under the thumb of secular rulers, suffering first the so-called Babylonian Captivity when the French kings removed the Holy See to Avignon. Then, a schism between rival popes backed respectively by France and the Empire made a mockery of their spiritual authority. Then, the church reached its nadir with the notorious worldly corruption of the 15th century Renaissance popes. To be sure, the prestige of the Vatican recovered under the great reforms of the Counter-Reformation begun at the Council of Trent, but the popes had long ceased to influence Europes Great Powers. The Spanish Inquisition, for instance, was just that Spanish, not papal and was created by Ferdinand and Isabella to root out Muslims and Jews because the monarchs assumed that religious dissidents were likely to become political dissidents.

Turning now from the era that preceded Westphalia to the era that followed, is it possible to discern a striking new emphasis on respect for sovereignty, raison dtat, and the balance of power? Certainly, the great founders of international law such as Hugo Grotius, Samuel Pufendorf, and Immanuel Kant hoped it would. But the reality was often otherwise. In 1685, Louis XIV revoked the Edict of Nantes declared by his grandfather and drove nearly a million prosperous, but Calvinist Huguenots out of his kingdom in violation of his own raison dtat because that only strengthened the rivals who welcomed the Huguenots, including Prussia, England, and her American colonies. But Louis believed, like the Spaniards of the pre-Westphalian era, that religious affiliation was a powerful indicator of political loyalty. That was certainly the belief of the English Whig conspirators who exiled James II in the Glorious Revolution in 1688 in large part because he had reverted to Catholicism! So just as religion did not dominate European politics before 1648, neither did it disappear after 1648.

It is fair to say religious sectarianism did retreat during the High Enlightenment of the 18th century. But the hyperbolic French Revolution carried the tyranny of reason to such extremes that Europeans elsewhere rallied behind their traditional thrones and altars which zealously revived the rhetoric of holy war. Austrian, Prussian, Russian, and British propaganda routinely depicted the radical French Republic as godless and Napoleon as the Antichrist. Over that quarter-century of revolution and war, a new movement arose called Romanticism and a Christian romantic spirit permeated the diplomacy of the so-called Restoration Era.

Following Napoleons final defeat at Waterloo in 1815, Tsar Alexander I bade his brother monarchs join a mystical Holy Alliance, which bound the Orthodox Russian monarch to Prussias Lutheran king and Austrias Catholic emperor in a Christian covenant of brotherhood. In France, the monarchy and church were restored to their former power and Romantic philosophers such as Robert de Lammenais and Franois-Rn de Chateaubriand imagined a new politics derived from the genius of Christianity. England produced a host of Christian Romantics, most famously Samuel Coleridge, while the piety of the Victorian Era became a clich. Nicholas II proclaimed Orthodoxy the bedrock of his regime and later blundered into the Crimean War mistakenly thinking the other European powers would take up the Christian cause against the Muslim Turks. Louis Napoleon came to power during the Revolutions of 1848-49, but one of his first acts was to dispatch a French army to Rome to serve as the Popes bodyguard against revolution.

The era of German unification in the 1860s and 70s is considered the heyday of Realpolitik, yet its principal practitioner Otto von Bismarck was an adult convert to faith and insisted he was a Christian statesman. To be sure, a Prussian liberal quipped that Bismarcks God has the remarkable faculty of always agreeing with him, but he never doubted that by serving his king he also served God. Bismarcks contemporary Prime Minister William Ewart Gladstone, by contrast, tried scrupulously to conform his foreign policies to Biblical morality and as a result made a series of well-meaning blunders. That did not dissuade young Woodrow Wilson from naming Gladstone his beau idal.[18]

During those decades, the United States was emerging as a world power, and, in 1898, the Cuban revolt against Spain tempted Americans to intervene. President William McKinley resisted the clamor for war until the Congress, the Navy, and public opinion forced his hand. So did myriad Protestant clergy who longed for a crusade to slay the Catholic dragon and save the Cuban damsel in distress. In its wake, McKinley, Theodore Roosevelt, and Woodrow Wilson presided over a wholesale Reformation of the original American Civil Religion dating back to George Washington and John Quincy Adams. Their updated, 20th century theology about Americas role in the world amounted to a Progressive heresy that justified war and imperialism in terms of the Protestant Social Gospel and exhorted Americans to take up the White Mans Burden in imitation of Europes imperial powers.[19]

That brings us chronologically to perhaps the most counterintuitive example of the mix between religion and statecraft: the catastrophe nearly all historians and political scientists have traced to nationalism, imperialism, militarism, and economics, and hubris. For it turns out, even the Great War of 1914-1918 was a clash of the religions, if now mostly civil religions, of the belligerent powers.

Most people think that war did not become a religious crusadea war to end waruntil President Wilson led the United States into battle in 1917. But Kaiser Wilhelm II himself expressed his own nations creed when he proclaimed to the Reichstag at the start of the war: So now I commend you to God. Go into your churches, kneel before God, and implore his help for our brave army. Lutheran pastor Johann Kessler was just one of many Germans whose wartime bestsellers argued that theirs was the holy cause. We believe in the world calling of our nation. A nation that God has equipped with such gifts of the spirit and such depths of mind that He called it to bear the gospel in the days of the Reformation, that he chose it in the War of Liberation to be the harbinger of a new era, a nation to which God has given a Luther and Lessing, a Goethe and Schiller, a Kant and Bismarck this nation cannot be cast aside. God has great things in store for such a nation that could defy a world of enemies and still prevail.[20] Liberal pastor Adolf von Harnack wrote speeches for the Kaiser that even justified Germanys brutal attack on Belgium.[21] And German soldiers famously marched into battle with Gott mit uns on their belts and the war cry Gott strafe England! on their lips.

Tsar Nicholas II famously rallied his soldiers with reverent displays of holy icons. The Church of Englands bishops presented the war from its very inception as one between good and evil, even God and the Devil, instructed their parishs to sing martial hymns (e.g., Onward Christian Soldiers), described as martyrs those dead in battle, and led by King George V sponsored regular days of prayer.[22] (In the 1914 Battle of Mons British, soldiers even claimed to have visions of angels resisting the German advance.) All the monarchs and the leaders of their national churches, and their chaplains, andto judge from their lettersmany soldiers in the trenches prayed for Gods blessing in a war all believed was being fought in self-defense against a demonic enemy. But not until 2014 did historian Philip Jenkins publish a book called The Great and Holy War, which marshaled the evidence for this startling hypothesis: The First World War was a thoroughly religious event, in the sense that overwhelmingly Christian nations fought each other in what many viewed as a holy war, a spiritual conflict. Religion is essential to understanding the war, to understanding why people went to war, what they hoped to achieve through war, and why they stayed at war. Not in the Medieval or Reformation times but in the age of aircraft and machine guns, the majority of the worlds Christians were indeed engaged in a holy war that claimed more than ten million lives.[23] His book shows, moreover, how the war transformed Judaism and Islam as well, and in effect redrew the religious map of the world.

How was it that 266 years after the Peace of Westphalia Europeans and their descendants around the world went to war in the service of their God as well as their country? Why did they remain in the trenches long after it became obvious that this war was a bloody, muddy war of attrition whose cost far exceeded any conceivable fruits of victory? The second question answers itself. The sacrifices proved so great that only victory could redeem them; the enemy was so evil that no truce or compromise was conceivable; and the cause for which they were fighting was so sacred it could not be abandoned. But as to the first questionwhy the various clergies urged their flocks to enlist or otherwise do their patriotic dutythe answer can only be that they had long since made their peace with the modern secular state. During the long 19th century, nationalist ideologies had gradually spread across the whole continent, while the established state churches in England, Germany, and Russia obediently perceived no difference between rendering unto God and rendering unto Caesar.

To be sure, the popes had repeatedly denounced nationalism along with capitalism and socialism, for instance in the famous encyclicals Syllabus of Errors (1864), Rerum Novarum (1891), and Testem Benevolentiae Nostrae (1899). But the Vatican also compromised by making concordats with the Austrian and German governments, while, in 1892, Leo XIII even instructed French Catholics in the anti-clerical Third Republic to obey their secular authorities. By 1914, it had become unthinkable for any significant Christian authority to stand athwart its nations war effort.

As a result, the war was catastrophic for churches because millions of Europeans emerged from it deeply disillusioned by clergy who had turned the cross into a bayonet and baptized its bloody work. But the war did not turn Europeans into atheists. Jenkins puts it this way: Condemnations of the mainline churches are never hard to find in this era, but they should not mislead us into imagining a wholesale abandonment of religious ideas. However we label them esoteric, occult, mystical or merely superstitious supernatural themes not only survived the war but flourished. For mainstream churches and governments, the problem was not that Europeans were abandoning spirituality, but embraced passionate, heterodox, messianic movements that quickly took secular forms.[24]

Left in a state of anomie, or emptiness after an apocalyptic war that had raised such millennial expectations, many Europeans fled to political religions, such as fascism, communism, and national socialism, all of which exploited twisted versions of Christian iconography, doctrine, and liturgy. By the 1930s, the Catholic church was on the defensive, the Protestant churches were hollowed out, and the Orthodox church had been crucified by the Bolsheviks.[25] So if secularization triumphed in the end it was not because of modernization, but because of the Great War waged with the collusion of the churches themselves. As the Reformed theologian Leonhard Ragaz observed from neutral Switzerland, the Kingdom of Heaven is always hindered less by the world than by a Christianity that has bound itself to this world.[26]

Less well known, but just as tectonic, were the earthquakes triggered by the war in the Middle East. For there, the mosque was recruited in the service of the Ottoman war effort even though the Turkish government was now led by secular modernizers called the Young Turks. When the Empire joined the war on Germanys side in the Fall of 1914, Sultan Mehmed V, assuming his role as Caliph of all Islam, solemnly proclaimed a jihad. Right and loyalty are on our side, and hatred and tyranny on the side of our enemies, and therefore there is no doubt that the Divine help and assistance of the just God and the moral support of our glorious Prophet will be on our side to encourage us. Let those of you who are to die a martyrs death be messengers of victory to those who have gone before us, and let the victory be sacred and the sword be sharp of those of you who are to remain in life.[27]

The Ottoman army, stiffened by German advisers, defeated the British Empires 1915 Gallipoli invasion, by which Winston Churchill had hoped to capture Constantinople.

By 1917, however, British forces in Egypt were stirring up Arab revolts against Turkish rule and General Edmund Allenby was preparing to invade the sanjak, or province, of Jerusalem. A mystic of sorts himself, Allenby imagined his campaign to liberate the Holy Land was the culmination of the Medieval crusades. It certainly excited English and American Protestants, especially Christian Zionists. One image celebrated the beginning of Chanukah by depicting two heroes in parallel: Judas Maccabeus entering Jerusalem in 165 BCE and General Allenby in 1917 beneath a caption drawn from chapter 59 of the prophet Isaiah: And there will come for Zion a Redeemer. Indeed, the blessed event occurred just a month after Foreign Secretary Arthur Balfour assured Lord Rothschild and the Zionist Federation that His Majestys government view with favour the establishment in Palestine of a national home for the Jewish people. After the war, the British would rule Palestine as a League of Nations mandate, which meant a Jewish return to the Promised Land was now a palpable possibility. But at the same time, the collapse of the Ottoman dynasty brought with it the end of the Caliphate, the fracture of the ummat al-Islm, the worldwide Muslim community, and the rise of radical, often violent Arab religious movements. The concatenation of all those events presaged both the exodus of European Jews to the Holy Land and the resistance they would face from Arabs and periodically from the British themselves.

Zionism predated the Great War, as did modern anti-Semitism. But the wars social and psychological stress caused a tremendous upsurge of anti-Semitism in all the belligerent powers in spite of the fact that their often well-assimilated Jewish communities were making great contributions to the war efforts both in uniform and in the fields of science, industry, medicine, and finance.[28] Under such circumstances, both Zionism and anti-Semitism grew hyperbolically, marking the start of a stunning demographic redistribution.[29] In 1900, no less than 80 percent of the worlds Jews resided in Europe. Today, in 2019, 80 percent of the worlds Jews reside in Israel and the United States. Already between 1919 and 1930, some 120,000 Jews moved to the British mandate and became one-sixth of its whole population. Arab resistance movements, including the suicidal fedayeen, sprang up as early as 1920. During the interwar decades, a modicum of order was imposed on the Middle East because the British and French patronized Arab chiefs and policed their mandates. But leaders like Ibn Saudwho captured Mecca in 1924, declared himself king of Saudi Arabia in 1932, and became a principal promoter of the Muslim Wahhabi secthad their own agendas apart from the colonial powers. Due to the First World War, therefore, the modern Middle East was already in gestation well before the Nazi holocaust to come.[30]

The Great War brought immediate holocausts to Christians in the Ottoman Empire. Armenians and Anatolian Greeks, who were among the oldest of Christian communities, had lived more or less peaceably under the Turks tolerant millet system for centuries. Constantinople itself was 50 percent Christian and 5 percent Jewish in 1914. But the Sultan gambled his Empires future on a war alliance with Germany, and the regime turned on minorities of dubious loyalty. The forced relocation of Armenians, a byproduct of the Turks Caucasian front against Russia, quickly escalated into genocide. Over a six-month period in 1915, an estimated 1.2 million people were systematically driven, hanged, shot, starved, drowned, or burned to death. According to a U.S. consul who caught glimpses of the horrors, material destruction was as complete as the human: The Mohammedans in their fanaticism seemed determined not only to exterminate the Christian population but to remove all traces of their religion and civilization.[31]

When the collapse of the Ottoman Empire in 1918 enabled a secular nationalist movement under Kemal Atatrk to gain power, it was the turn of the Anatolian Greeks to suffer extinction. To be sure, Greek Prime Minister Eleftherios Venizelos and British Prime Minister David Lloyd George, who encouraged him deserve much of the blame. They hoped to exploit the collapse of the Ottomans to forge a Greater Greece, a sort of neo-Byzantine empire, in western Anatolia. Atatrks Nationalists fought back ferociously and over three years pried the British out, defeated the Greek armies, and forced 1.3 million Christians to choose between death and exile.

So the real watershed in the relation between religion and international politics would appear to be World War I, not the Peace of Westphalia. For that was the moment when Christian churches, compromised by their national civil religions, heartily endorsed total war. But, of course, that could not happen twice because Europeans emerged from the trenches utterly disillusioned.

Hence, when the Second World War erupted in Europe, it took the form of a profane, not sacred, slugfest among secular ideologies. Not so World War II in the Pacific. For the only nations that emerged from the 1914-1918 war with their civil religions intact were those that had suffered least and gained the most from the 1914-1918 war: Imperial Japan and the United States. Hence, when the Second World War erupted in the Pacifi,c it did take the form of another holy war between civil religions. At its end, only national God was left standing, the American one, which is what enabled the Truman, Eisenhower, and Kennedy administrations to invoke American civil religion during their long twilight struggle against godless Communism.

The presidents even made explicit prophecies that so long as Americans gritted their teeth and stayed the course in the Cold War, Communism would someday collapse and all the nations would embrace peace, democracy, and free markets: in effect, the American Dream. That the end of history was famously celebrated in 1989 by Francis Fukuyama.

What have we witnessed over the thirty years since? Backlashes against American-led globalization on the part of Muslim terrorists, Communist holdouts, and revisionist powers such as Russia, China, and Iran. Samuel Huntington saw some of that coming when he presciently wrote in 1993 that a clash of civilizations would be the defining feature of world politics now that the Cold Wars clash of ideologies had come to an end. But just a year later, Huntingtons former student (and FPRI scholar) James Kurth was even more prescient when he imagined the real clash would not be between the West and the Rest, but within Western Civilization and especially its core, the United States.

Kurth described how Americans had invented the concept of Western Civilization during the World War I era and identified it with the values expressed by the Reformation, Enlightenment, Scientific and Industrial Revolutions, and liberal governmentall most perfectly realized in the United States. Wilsons wartime propaganda summarized all that as The American Creed, which went on to legitimize American power throughout its heroic age from 1917 to 1991. But by the end of the Cold War, society had passed through a wrenching transition. The national industrial economy had surrendered the commanding heights to a global financial economy, which devalued masculinity and empowered women. The nuclear families that had characterized the industrial age split like atoms, releasing explosive energy, just as the split-up of extended families had done at the end of the agricultural age.

Kurth explained that successive generations beginning with baby boomers in the 1960s and culminating in the millennials had ceased to think of the United States as the core or even as a member of a civilization in which they had ceased to believe. Kurth imagined the younger generations, having redefied Euro-American history in terms of imperialism, militarism, racism, and sexism, no longer promoted assimilation for legal immigrants and instead promoted multiculturalism for illegal ones. He anticipated the coming tyranny of expressive individualism, political correctness, deconstruction of gender, and intersectionality in American politics. So thorough has been the loss of faith on the part of progressives in the rule of law, free markets, and old-style liberalism, that Kurth wondered in conclusion how many Americans would be willing to fight in Huntingtons clash of civilizations?[32]

If that was a chilling observation 25 years ago, then what is the prognosis today? In 2015, a political scientist provided a breakdown of the basic relationships, or dynamics, between religions and regimes. The first is the dynamic of collision in which the state permits religion, but only of an approved sort that is subordinate to the state. That is the norm which today functions most blatantly in authoritarian China or Russia. The second is the dynamic of collusion in which church and state join forces, promote civic values, and serve jointly as a source of social capital. That is the norm in nations with robust civil religions. The third is the dynamic of coercion in which the state purges the public square of religious believers and institutions, if necessary by force. That is the norm in hard totalitarian countries like Cuba and North Korea, but is perhaps becoming a model in soft totalitarianism regimes that imposed intolerant codes of political correctness. The fourth is the dynamic of co-option, in which the political culture itself is derived from the theology, institutions, and laws of a single religion. Muslim countries such as Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Indonesia fall into this category, and India under the Hindu Bharatiya Janata Party displays similar aspirations.[33]

Note that the author has no category for regimes that permit genuine free exercise of religion. Does he mean to suggest that the relationship between God and Caesar can never be benign except insofar as religion has been sufficiently tamed as to become civil? Nor is there a category for ecumenism, whose time has surely passed. For if all those 20th century ecumenical palavers taught anything, it is that people has no incentive at all to obey some humanist ethical code cooked up by a committee and stripped of its divinity. What then of missionary work across cultural lines? Do any world religions display the potential to make serious inroads into other civilizations? Here, the answer is demonstrably yes. Christianity and Islam are both transportable, evangelical faiths and are in fact racing for conversions in sub-Saharan Africa.[34] But Christianity is no longer promoted by any Great Powers, while the Muslim states compete fiercely with each other across sectarian, strategic, and political lines.

Yet, one has cause to speculate that one other faith does have widespread appeal, does have a Great Power champion, and may have potential to become the first trans-cultural Civil Religion. That is faith in what Singapores Lee Kuan Yew called Asian values, but are more precisely called Chinese values derived from Confucianism, Taoism, and Han Buddhism.

Chinawhether imperial, national, or communisthas never had an articulated civil religion because China is a civil religion. People are born into it and nurtured by it. They worship their ancestors and are worshiped in turn after their death. Moreover, the fetching values China espouses include hierarchy, authority, family loyalty, communal and national solidarity, elevation of social stability over personal freedom, thrift, education, and a relentless work ethic. Those Asian values eloquently express realities of human nature as opposed to the defiance of reality that in the West has smothered Judaeo-Christian values in the name of expressive individualism. Those Asian values are not tethered to any theological doctrines, holy scriptures, or specific commandments, hence they are adaptable across a wide variety of socio-economic and political conditions. Finally, although Asian values date back to the Qin Empire in the third century BCE, they appear to be quite compatible with cutting-edge technologies of the 21st century, including artificial intelligence, big data, 5G telecommunications networks, total surveillance including facial recognition, and a social credit system that rewards mutuality and punishes individuality. Asian values are what Xi Jinpings regime currently advertises through its world-wide web of Confucius Institutes, and is exporting through its Made in China 2025 program and Belt and Road Initiative, which spans all of Asia and has begun to penetrate Europe, Oceania, and even Latin America.

Today, it is customary for American pundits to declare that we are on the cusp of a new Cold War as if Deng Xaioping had not predicted exactly that three decades ago. And if that is indeed the case, then the civilization formerly known as Western will find itself in serious trouble. For the civil religion that inspired Americans throughout their first Cold War effort has today ceased to exist at the very conjuncture when the United States must confront, for the first time in its brief history, a post-humiliation, post-Maoist, imperial, and authentic China.

Eliot Abrams, The Influence of Faith: Religious Groups and U.S. Foreign Policy. Lanham, Md.:

Rowman & Littlefield, 2001.

Madeleine Albright, The Mighty and the Almighty: Reflections on America, God, and World Affairs. New York: HarperCollins, 2006.

Talal Asad, Discipline and Reasons of Power in Christianity and Islam. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1993.

Herbert Butterfield, Christianity, Diplomacy, and War. New York: Abingdon

Press, 1953.

John Carlson and Erik Owens, eds., The Sacred and the Sovereign: Religion and International Politics. Washington, D.C.: Georgetown University, 2003.

Jos Casanova, Public Religions in the Modern World. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1994.

Jos Casanova, The Problem of Religion and the Anxieties of European Secular Democracy, in T. A. Byrnes and P. J. Katzenstein, eds., Religion and Democracy in Contemporary Europe. London: Alliance Publishing, 2008.

Giuliana Chamedes, A Twentieth-Century Crusade: The Vaticans Battle to Remake Christian

Europe. Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2019.

Gordon A. Craig and Alexander L. George, Force and Statecraft: Diplomatic Problems of Our Time. New York: Oxford University, 1983.

Christopher Dawson, Dynamics of World History. Wilmington, Del.: ISI, 2002.

Foreign Policy Research Institute, Templeton Lectures on Religion and World Affairs (1996-2018): https://www.fpri.org/event-lecture-series/templeton/

Jonathan Fox and Shmuel Sandler, Bringing Religion into International Relations. New York:

Palgrave Macmillan, 2004.

Samuel Helfont, Compulsion in Religion: Saddam Hussein, Islam, and the Roots of Insurgencies

in Iraq. New York: Oxford University, 2014.

Luke M. Herrington, et al., eds. Nations Under God: The Geopolitics of Faith in the Twenty-first Century. Bristol, Eng.: E-International Relations, 2015.

Samuel P. Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations? Foreign Affairs 72, no.3 (1993): 22-49.

Elizabeth Shakman Hurd, International Politics After Secularism, Review of International Studies 38, no. 5 (2012): 943-61.

William Imboden, Religion and American Foreign Policy: The Soul of Containment. New York: Cambridge University, 2008.

Philip Jenkins, The Next Christendom: The Coming of Global Christianity. New York: Oxford University, 2007.

Philip Jenkins, The Great and Holy War: How World War I Became a Religious Crusade. New York: HarperCollins, 2014.

Douglas Johnson and Cynthia Sampson, Religion: The Missing Dimension of Statecraft. New York: Oxford University, 1994.

John B. Judis, The Chosen Nation: The Influence of Religion on U.S. Foreign Policy, Carnegie Endowment Policy Brief, no. 37 (March 2005): https://carnegieendowment.org/files/PB37.judis.FINAL.pdf

Mark Juergensmeyer, The New Cold War? Religious Nationalism Confronts the Secular State. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1993.

Mark Juergensmeyer, Terror in the Mind of God: The Global Rise of Religious Violence, 4th ed. Berkeley: University of California, 2017.

Vendulka Kubalkova, A Turn to Religion in International Relations? Institute of

International Relations Perspectives 17, no. 2 (2009): 13-41:

https://carnegieendowment.org/files/PB37.judis.FINAL.pdf

James Kurth, The Real Clash, The National Interest, no. 37 (1994): 3-15.

James Kurth, Religion and Ethnic Conflict In Theory, Orbis: A Journal of World Affairs 45, no. 2 (Spring 2001).

Walter A. McDougall, Religion in Diplomatic History, Introduction to the Special Edition on Religion and World Affairs in Orbis, A Journal of World Affairs 42, no. 2 (Spring 1998)

Walter A. McDougall, Promised Land, Crusader State: The American Encounter with the World Since 1776. Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1997.

Walter A. McDougall, The Tragedy of U.S. Foreign Policy: How American Civil Religion Betrayed the National Interest. New Haven: Yale University, 2016.

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Continued here:

The Myth of the Secular: Religion, War, and Politics in the Twentieth Century - Foreign Policy Research Institute

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Kevin Taylor, youre a reporter, not an opinionist; youre guided by the rule of impartiality! – Modern Ghana

Posted: at 10:33 pm

I have observed, read, heard, and watched a multitude of ebullient social media commentators apparently immersed in a gamut of emotions over the squeamishly ugly and somewhat preposterous statements by a certain importunate social media critic of the Akufo-Addos administration, who goes by the name, Kevin Taylor.

The said clamorous social media critics numerous wild and unsubstantiated claims of malfeasance and wilful neglect of responsibilities by the officials of the incumbent NPP government, so to speak, smack of sensationalism more than anything else.

In fact, at worst, it is intellectually incoherent and ridiculously incongruous for a supposedly trained-mind to brush aside the existing data on Ghanas economy and keep asserting somewhat spuriously that the Akufo-Addos government is worsening the plight of Ghanaians.

If the ubiquitous social media commentator, Kevin Taylor, cares to know, Ghanas economy is in a favourable position today than yesteryears.

In fact, the unconventional and unpalatable pronouncements by the vociferous and patently aggrieved serial social media critic of the Akufo-Addos administration, Kevin Taylor, who has gained an illimitable notoriety as a Lucifer in the flesh of the NPP government appointees, cannot be allowed to pass without commenting.

Whatever the case, I cannot for the life of me, comprehend how and why anyone calling him/her self a reflective thinker can proclaim somewhat plangently that Ghanas economy under former President Mahama (3.4% growth and 15.4% inflation) was better than under President Akufo-Addo (8.6% growth and 7.8% inflation).

It therefore came as no surprise to some of us at all when the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), concluded in its country report released on 13 May 2019 that Ex-President John Dramani Mahama will find it extremely difficult to convince discerning Ghanaians into accepting that he is the credible manager of Ghanas economy given the countrys fairly strong economic growth under President Akufo-Addo.

In a related development, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) recent review of Ghanas economy reinforced the Economist Intelligence Unit earlier report of Ghanas propitious economic growth under the Akufo-Addos administration.

Well, Kevin Taylor, believe it or not, Ghanas economy had received thumbs-up from the likes of seasoned journalist, Malik Kweku Baako, the Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Ms Christine Lagarde, and the United Nations Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights, Philip Alston, who had earlier commended the Akufo-Addos government on its excellent economic performance in the two and half years in office.

In 2017, the Bloomberg News, for example, predicted Ghana to become Africas fastest-growing economy in 2018 and Ghana was proclaimed Star of Africa in 2018 Lenders Economic Forecasts.

And, in reporting on the same fiscal policy achievements, Le Monde pointed out that Ghanas economic success is not just as the result of an oil-driven boom, but is also due to prudent economic management, an entrepreneurial population, the role of traditional leaders, and good governance.

Kevin Taylor, the latest on the list of observers on Ghanas auspicious economy is the Nigerian scholar, who recently gave a presentation at the NDCs most recent forum, in which he emphasised Ghanas thriving economic growth under the NPP government.

Kevin Taylor, the Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Ms Christine Lagardes has observed that the Ghanaian economy is in a better place than it was in the previous years under the John Dramani Mahamas administration.

Ms Lagarde opined that the Akufo-Addos government had made important gains towards macroeconomic stability, including inflation, which had declined to a single digit and now within the Bank of Ghanas (BoGs) tolerance band; buoyant growth, averaging about five per cent between 2015 and 2018, and, over six per cent in 2017-18) and a primary surplus in 2017 for the first time in 15 years (IMF 2018).

Besides, Kevin Taylor, the Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights, Philip Alston, observes: Ghana met the targets for halving extreme poverty and halving the proportion of people without access to safe drinking water, and it achieved the goals relating to universal primary education and gender parity in primary school.

Kevin Taylor, the seasoned journalist, Kweku Baako Jnr hit the nail on the head when he pointed out on Joy FMs political show (News File) on Saturday 6/04/2019 that the NPP administration led by President Akufo-Addo has performed exceedingly better than the erstwhile NDC government led by former President Mahama.

Juxtaposing the state of the economy in first two years of the two administrations, Kweku Baako Jnr aptly concluded that the economy is in a better shape under the Akufo-Addos administration than it was under Mahamas administration.

Baako Jnr, therefore, asserted poignantly: Theres no doubt that the Akufo-Addo administration has done far better than the Mahama administration; its as simple as that, the figures and the records support it (myjoyonline.com, 6/04/2019).

This article thus intends to remind you, Kevin Taylor, and the opposition NDC communicators (both home and abroad) of the revoltingly ugly governance provided by the erstwhile Mahama administration.

Kevin Taylor, some of us, as a matter of principle, cannot end our arousing disgust anyhow and anytime soon over the erstwhile NDC governments irreversible incompetence and the corrupt practices which destabilised Ghanas macroeconomic indicators.

Whilst we do not want to buy the widely held assertion that politics is a dirty game, one would not be far from right to suggest that the political terrain is full of inveterate propagandists and manipulating geezers.

Of course, roguish politicians are not limited to Africa, it is a global phenomenon, as a matter of fact.

However, in our humble opinion, it is our part of the world (Africa), where political insobrieties and vague rhetoric are so prevalent.

Perhaps, this is so because we have greater number of unlettered folks, many of whom cannot choose between tricksters and morally upstanding politicians.

Of course, the opposition is obliged to put the incumbent government on its toes. But does the opposition NDC have to grumble and criticise for criticising sake?

In fact, one cannot help but to giggle over the minority NDCs renewed zeal to expose and prevent perceived incompetence and corruption in the NPP administration.

Bizarrely, the minority NDC faithful are gleefully hopping around the globe (from United States to Luxembourg), with a view to detecting a perceived corruption by the embryonic NPP government. How strange?

Kevin Taylor, let us be honest, if the NDC operatives were that good at detecting and preventing sleazes and corruption, how on earth did they go to sleep over the scandalous corruption cases involving the infamous Bus Branding, Brazil World Cup, the Ford Expedition vehicle, GYEEDA, AZONTABA, SADA, SUBAH, the purported $300million debt incurred on the faded STS housing deal, the dubious Embraer 190 Aircrafts and hanger for the Ghana Armed Forces and over a US$100 million oil revenue loss between 2011 and 2013 as reported by the Public Interest& Accountability Committee?

Perhaps, the NDC apologists are trying their level best to convince their aggrieved supporters of their consuming desire to recapture power in 2020.

In fact, Kweku Baako Jnr was absolutely right when he once stressed that the minority NDC operatives were seeking to internationalise their incompetence.

Kevin Taylor, isnt it therefore ironic that the opposition NDC operatives have soon found their voices and squalling and scolding at the roof top about alleged sleazes and corruption?

To some of us, Kevin Taylor, it is an illustrative case of let us give a dog a bad name and hang it. Obviously you and your ilk are trying your level best to bring to the fore the non-existent sleazes and corruption in the Akufo-Addos administration. How pathetic?

It beggars belief that despite the unbridled corruption, the arrogance of power and the irrevocable incompetence by the erstwhile NDC administration which resulted in massive economic collapse, the NDC apologists, both home and abroad, would still have the moral authority to accuse others.

Whatever the case, that is the beauty of democracy. The likes of Kevin Taylor are within their democratic right to whine and speak their piece and criticise the NPP administration as they see fit.

But all said and done, the obdurate critics of the Akufo-Addos administration such as Kevin Taylor ought to exercise a great deal of circumspection and consider criticising constructively.

Kevin Taylor, some of us have always held an unfailing conviction that governance is a serious business and as such it requires forward thinking, serious and committed group of people to bring about the needed progress.

However, it has not always been the case in Ghanas democratic dispensation. The multi-party democracy has given birth to both purposeful and coarse political parties.

And, as a consequence, we have for a long time been relying on lousy economic managers who cannot see their backsides from their elbows and have only succeeded in sinking the economy deeper and deeper into the mire through corrupt practices.

Kevin Taylor, in fact, some of us, as a matter of principle, share in the sentiments of the reflective sceptics who argue vehemently that despite spending 27 years in government, the successive NDC governments have failed woefully to improve upon the socio-economic standards of living of Ghanaians.

The contending schools of thought have been arguing consistently that the successive NDC governments only managed to destabilise Ghanas macroeconomic indicators through dreadful errors in decision-making.

Despite the unobjectionable facts and figures of favourable economic growth under Akufo-Addos administration, the NDC operatives are all over the place nagging, grumbling and censuring the NPP government for perceived slow pace in development in less than three years in office.

Kevin Taylor, the fact however remains that if the officials of the erstwhile NDC government had not squandered the funds meant for various developmental projects, the NPP government would have enough funds at its disposal to undertake a lot of developmental projects.

On 7th December 2016, discerning Ghanaians found in NPP, a redeemer, in whom they reposed their absolute trust to set them free from the NDC governments unpardonable economic enslavement.

Kevin Taylor, so who says that the critics are not absolutely right for suggesting that if discerning Ghanaians had not graciously intervened by showing the dreadful economic managers (NDC) the exit through universal adult suffrage, the terrible errors in decision-making and the rampant corruption would have obliterated Ghana off the world map completely?

Kevin Taylor, given the circumstances, we can confidently deduce that discerning Ghanaians made the right decision on 7th December 2016 by electing the septuagenarian Nana Akufo-Addo and retiring the middle-aged John Dramani Mahama.

Mind you, Kevin Taylor, a large portion of Ghanas scarce resources, regrettably, went down the drain due to the mismanagement and the rampant corruption perpetrated by the officials of the erstwhile Mahama administration.

There is admissible evidence of gargantuan bribery and corruption cases, including monies which were given to parasitic creatures who did not render any services towards the national development. Woyome and Akua Donkor come to mind.

And despite Mahamas government coarse administration, the loyalists NDC supporters would want discerning Ghanaians to believe that the erstwhile NDC government provided exceptional governance.

Truly, Kevin Taylor, vague understanding of patriotism exists in the minds of many Ghanaians, who prefer needless praise singing to defending the national interests.

Kevin Taylor, the good people of Ghana, unfortunately, witnessed so much scheming guiles, corruption, incompetence, nepotism, cronyism and frequent abuse of power in the erstwhile NDC government, and hence the vast majority of Ghanaians have permanently lost trust in the NDC.

Kevin Taylor, based on the prudent governance and the current favourable economic outlook, we can confidently state that Ghana is heading towards the right direction under the able leadership of President Akufo-Addo.

We must, therefore, take solace in the fact that the Akufo-Addos government is tackling the erstwhile Mahamas government economic mess head-on.

K. Badu, UK.

[emailprotected]

Disclaimer:"The views/contents expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author(s) and do not neccessarily reflect those of Modern Ghana. Modern Ghana will not be responsible or liable for any inaccurate or incorrect statements contained in this article."

Reproduction is authorised provided the author's permission is granted.

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Kevin Taylor, youre a reporter, not an opinionist; youre guided by the rule of impartiality! - Modern Ghana

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AI Can Help YouAnd Your BossMaximize Your Potential. Will You Trust It? – Forbes

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Hands of robot and human touching on global virtual network connection future interface. Artificial ... [+] intelligence technology concept.

Would you trust an Artificial Intelligence (AI) to tell you how to become more effective and successful at your job? How would you feel if you knew your HR department uses AI to determine whether you are leadership material? Or that an AI just suggested to your boss that she should treat you better or else you might soon quit and join a competitorwell before the thought of jumping ship entered your mind?

Meet Yva, introduced by her creator David Yang in this fascinating podcast discussion.

David Yang is an impressive serial entrepreneur: he has launched twelve companies, beginning when he was in fourth grade. David started training as a physicist, to follow in his parents footsteps. He won math and physics Olympiads; then his first entrepreneurial detour distracted him from his studies for a while and sparked his passion for computer science and AIits really worth hearing the story from Davids own voice, especially his concern of possibly disappointing his parents even as he was launching a hugely successful entrepreneurial and scientific career.

Yva, Davids latest creation, is an AI-powered people analytics platforma remarkable example of the powerful role that AI is starting to play in the workplace, with the ethical implications that quickly come to the fore.

Yvas neural network can mine and analyze workers activities across a range of work applications: email, Slack, G-Suite, GitHub. With these data, the AI can pick up a treasure trove of nuanced insights about employee behaviors: how quickly an employee responds to certain types of emails; or the tree structure of her communications: how many to subordinates, how many to peers or superiors, how many outside the company; and much more.

These insights can provide value to an organization in two main ways:

First, in identifying which employees have high potential to be great performers or strong leaders. The company tells Yva which individuals it currently considers as best performers; Yvas neural network identifies which behaviors are characteristic of these top performers, and then finds other employees who exhibit some if not all of the same traits. It can tell you who has the potential to become a top salesperson, or an extremely effective leader; and it can tell you which characteristics they already possess and which ones they need to develop.

Second, Yva helps minimize regrettable attrition by identifying employees who are a high resignation risk. A decision to resign never comes out of the blue. First the employee will feel increasingly frustrated or burnt out; then she will become more open to consider other opportunities; then she will actively seek another job. Each stage carries subtle changes in our behavior: maybe how early we send out our first email in the morning, or how quickly we respond, or something in the tone of our messages. We cant detect these changes, but Yva can.

For large companies, reducing regrettable attrition is Yvas top contribution: losing and having to replace valuable employees represents a substantial cost. This, notes David Yang, makes the Return On Investment from deploying Yva very easy to identify. For smaller companies, especially in their growth stage, attrition is less of a concern and the greater value comes from the way Yva helps them build talent and leadership from within their ranks.

Given the ubiquitous concerns that technology will eliminate jobs, its refreshing and reassuring to hear that Yva instead proves its value by boosting employee retention.

Yva can also help the individual worker; it can create your personal dashboard with insights and suggestions on how you can change your behavior to become more effective and successful.

There is a trade-off. By default, Yva will respect your privacy, working on anonymized data. But the more individual data you are willing to share, the more Yva can help. The choice is yours.

David Yang notes some interesting geographic differences in the share of employees who opt in; he also notes that across the board, close to one employee in five remains adamantly opposed to disclosing her individual data.

Privacy concerns are fully understandable when faced with an AI that can drive important HR decisions. But is it smart to trust humans more than AI? David Yang notes that AI can help eliminate the human biases that often influence hiring and promotion decisions. Providedhe stressesthat the AI gets trained in the right way, only on final outcomes, on objective performance criteria, without feeding into it intermediate variables such as race, gender or age, which couldcreate a built-in bias in the AI itself.

David Yang, unsurprisingly, is very bullish on the role that AI can play in people analytics and in our lives. Bullish, but very realistic and thoughtful, and willing to put himself on the lineat the end of the podcast discussion he talks of the role that Morpheus, another AI, plays in his personal life.

David thinks that in the future smaller companies (500 employees or less) will rely completely on AI-powered people analytics platform; he believes that AI will play a major role in leveraging the creativity and efficiency of individuals, while HR (human) professionals will focus on business-specific HR-partner roles. He has a horse in the raceYva. But there seems to be little doubt that whatever role AI takes in HR and people analytics, it will be one of its most powerful influences in our professionaland personallives.

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Every HR Leader Needs AI On Their Career Roadmap Part II – Forbes

Posted: at 10:32 pm

iStock

Bottom Line: The stronger a CHROs and companies' AI digital dexterity skills, the stronger they are at overcoming talent management challenges theyre facing today.

For HR leaders to excel at improving AI digital dexterity skills across their organizations, they need to learn from the shortcomings of existing Learning & Management systems that continue to have dismal adoption. First, all employees, especially Millennials and Gen Z, need to understand Why they should invest the time to take certain classes, courses, and whats in it for them after they have learned those skills. Second, employees want to learn about AI in a self-service mode, where they have greater control over the pace, review, and mastery of each lesson. Third, self-service learning tailored to employees learning preferences has proven to be more effective than them participating in classes led by HR team members who themselves may not be aware of all the available options.

Easily discovering different career paths, validating them with peers, finding mentors who can serve as North Stars in a self-service manner is what the modern employee experience needs to include. This is only feasible with a machine driven AI platform because the options can be in the millions if not billions. Manual attempts or patchwork of point solutions will continue to be sub-par and rejected by employees who want greater control over their learning experiences.

HR needs to have an urgency about providing a broad base of AI digital dexterity training if they are going to close talent gaps, improve recruiting, retain valuable employees, and offer meaningful career paths. Job candidates are prioritizing AI training & professional development as a must-have because they know its essential for their career growth. When HR leaders and their teams know which AI techniques and technologies to use when theyre better equipped to battle biases, close talent gaps, making a greater contribution.

How AI Digital Dexterity Helps Tame The Talent Crisis

Attracting high-potential candidates, reskilling and upskilling workforces, and equipping HR teams with the knowledge they need to manage talent at scale are the catalysts driving organizations to add AI training. High-potential candidates are attracted to employers who create an intellectually rich and vibrant culture they can learn and grow within. HR leaders are seeing how the greater their commitment to upskilling and reskilling their workforce, the greater the energy theyre unleashing. Taking an interest in an employees growth and career path is rocket fuel for any business. And its the catalyst that CEOs are relying on to propel innovation too. PwCs 22nd Annual Global CEO Survey found that 55% of CEOs say upskilling and reskilling are necessary for their organizations to innovate and scale.

Forward-thinking HR leaders see AI expertise and knowledge as a competitive advantage. Theyre able to overcome many of talent managements most difficult challenges today by taking a pragmatic approach to using AI techniques and technologies. Findings from the recent Harris Interactive survey in collaboration with Eightfold titled Talent Intelligence And Management Report 2019-2020 reflect the challenges HR leaders face and why AI training with a strong focus on how to use matching technologies is a must-have today:

Harris Interactive survey in collaboration with Eightfold titled Talent Intelligence And Management Report 2019-2020

Harris Interactive survey in collaboration with Eightfold titled Talent Intelligence And Management Report 2019-2020

Harris Interactive survey in collaboration with Eightfold titled Talent Intelligence And Management Report 2019-2020

Harris Interactive survey in collaboration with Eightfold titled Talent Intelligence And Management Report 2019-2020

Conclusion

HR leaders need to set the pace when it comes to adopting AI digital dexterity skills and scaling them across their organizations. Upskilling and reskilling are essential for all organizations to stay competitively strong from an innovation standpoint. Taking an active interest in employees career direction and growth unleashes high energy levels and improves morale while increasing an entire organizations AI expertise and mastery. With AI skills increasing, HR can be more discerning and focused on taming the bias beast as well. Being strong with AI skills from an organizational standpoint helps solve the talent crisis every organization faces, too, starting with improving qualified talent pipelines.

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Every HR Leader Needs AI On Their Career Roadmap Part II - Forbes

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Adopting AI in Health Care Will Be Slow and Difficult – Harvard Business Review

Posted: at 10:32 pm

Executive Summary

Artificial intelligence, including machine learning, presents exciting opportunities totransformthe health and life sciences spaces. It offers tantalizing prospects for swifter, more accurate clinical decision making and amplified R&D capabilities. However, open issues around regulation and clinical relevance remain, causing both technology developers andpotential investorsto grapple with how to overcome todays barriers to adoption, compliance, and implementation. This article explains thekey obstacles and offers ways to overcome them.

Artificial intelligence, including machine learning, presents exciting opportunities totransformthe health and life sciences spaces. It offers tantalizing prospects for swifter, more accurate clinical decision making and amplified R&D capabilities. However, open issues around regulation and clinical relevance remain, causing both technology developers andpotential investorsto grapple with how to overcome todays barriers to adoption, compliance, and implementation.

Here are key obstacles to consider and how to handle them:

Developing regulatory frameworks. Over the past few years, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has been taking incremental steps toupdate its regulatory framework to keep up with the rapidly advancing digital health market. In 2017, the FDA released its Digital Health Innovation Action Plan to offer clarity about the agencys role in advancing safe and effective digital health technologies, and addressing key provisions of the 21st Century Cures Act.

The FDA has also been enrolling select software-as-a-medical-device (SaMD) developers in its Digital Health Software Precertification (Pre-Cert) Pilot Program. The goal of the Pre-Cert pilot is to help the FDA determine the key metrics and performance indicators required for product precertification, while also identifying ways to make the approval process easier for developers and help advance healthcare innovation.

Most recently, the FDA released in September its Policy for Device Software Functions and Mobile Medical Applications a series of guidance documents that describe how the agency plans to regulate software that aids in clinical decision support (CDS), including software that utilizes machine-learning-based algorithms.

In a related statement from the FDA, Amy Abernethy, its principal deputy commissioner, explained that the agency plans to focus regulatory oversight on higher-risk software functions, such as those used for more serious or critical health circumstances. This also includes software that utilizes machine learning-based algorithms, where users might not readily understand the programs logic and inputs without further explanation.

An example of CDS software that would fall under the FDAs higher-risk oversight category would be one that identifies a patient at risk for a potentially serious medical condition such as a postoperative cardiovascular eventbut does not explain why the software made that identification.

Achieving FDA approval. To account for the shifting FDA oversight and approval processes, software developers must carefully think through how to best design and roll out their product so its well positioned for FDA approval, especially if the software falls under the agencys higher risk category.

One factor that must be considered is the fact that AI-powered therapeutic or diagnostic tools, by nature, will continue to evolve. For example, it is reasonable to expect that a software product will be updated and change over time (e.g., security updates, adding new features or functionalities, updating an algorithm, etc.). But given the product has technically changed, its FDA approval status could be put at risk after each update or new iteration.

In this case, planning to take a version-based approach to the FDA approval process might be in the developers best interest. In this approach, a new version of software is created each time the softwares internal ML algorithm(s) is trained by a new set of data, with each new version being subjected to independent FDA approval.

Although cumbersome, this approach sidesteps FDA concerns about approving software products that functionally change post-FDA approval. These strategic development considerations are crucial for solutions providers to consider.

Similarly, investors must also have a clear understanding of a companys product development plans and intended approach for continual FDA approval as this can provide clear differentiation over other competitors in the same space. Clinicians will be hard pressed to adopt technologies that havent been validated by the FDA, so investors need to be sure the companies they are considering supporting have a clear product development roadmap including an approach to FDA approvals as software products themselves and regulatory guidelines continue to develop.

AI is a black box. Besides current regulatory ambiguity, another key issue that poses challenges to the adoption of AI applications in the clinical setting is theirblack-box nature and the resulting trust issues.

One challenge is tracking: If a negative outcome occurs, can an AI applications decision-making process be tracked and assessed for example, can users identify the training data and/or machine learning (ML) paradigm that led to the AI applications specific action?. To put it more simply, can the root cause of the negative outcome be identified within the technology so that it can be prevented in the future?

From reclassifying the training data to redesigning the ML algorithms that learn from the training data, the discovery process is complex and could even result in the application being removed from the marketplace.

Another concern raised about the black-box aspect of AI systems is that someone, either on purpose or by mistake, could feed incorrect data into the system, causing erroneous conclusions (e.g., misdiagnosis, incorrect treatment recommendations). Luckily, detection algorithms designed to identify doctored or incorrect inputs could reduce, if not eliminate, this risk.

A bigger challenge posed by AI systems black box nature is that physicians are reluctant to trust (due in part to malpractice-liability risk) and therefore adopt something that they dont fully understand. For example, there are a number of emerging AI imaging diagnostic companies with FDA-approved AI software tools that can assist clinicians in diagnosing and treating conditions such as strokes, diabetic retinopathy, intracranial hemorrhaging, and cancer.

However, clinical adoption of these AI tools has been slow. One reason is physician certification bodies such as the American College of Radiology (ACR) have only recently started releasing formalized use cases for how AI software tools can be reliably used. Patients are also likely to have trust issues with AI-powered technologies. While they may accept the reality that human errors can occur, they have very little tolerance of machine error.

While efforts to help open up the black box are underway, AIs most useful role in the clinical setting during this early period of adoption may be to help providers make better decisions rather than replacing them in the decision-making process. Most physicians may not trust a black box, but they will use it as a support system if they remain the final arbiter.

To gain physicians trust, AI-software developers will have to clearly demonstrate that when the solutions are integrated into the clinical decision-making process, they help the clinical team do a better job. The tools must also be simple and easy to use. Applying AI in lower-stakes tasks initially, such as billing and coding (e.g., diagnostics, AI-assisted treatments), should also help increase trust over time.

At the industry level, there needs to be a concerted effort to publish more formalized use cases that support AIs benefits. Software developers and investors should be working with professional associations such as the ACR to publish more use cases and develop more frameworks to spur industry adoption and get more credibility.

Lower hurdles in life sciences. While AIs application in the clinical care setting still faces many challenges, the barriers to adoption are lower for specific life sciences use cases. For instance,ML is an exceptional toolfor matching patients to clinical trials and for drug discovery and identifying effective therapies.

But whether its in a life sciences capacity or the clinical care setting, the fact remains that many stakeholders stand to be impacted by AIs proliferation in health care and life sciences. Obstacles certainly exist for AIs wider adoption from regulatory uncertainties to the lack of trust to the dearth of validated use cases. But the opportunities the technology presents to change the standard of care, improve efficiencies, and help clinicians make more informed decisions is worth the effort to overcome them.

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AI Is Hard But Worth the Investment – PCMag.com

Posted: at 10:32 pm

In 1955, scientists behind the first AI research project believed it would take a 10-man team two months to develop thinking machines that could replicate the problem-solving capabilities of the human mind. But six decades, thousands of projects, and billions of dollars later, human-level artificial intelligence remains an elusive goal.

The difficulty of achieving human-level AI has split the field into two subdomains: artificial general intelligence (AGI), the original vision of "thinking" machines; and artificial narrow intelligence, a limited but easier-to-achieve application now found in many industries.

The more we make advances in AI, the more we come to appreciate the complexity of the human brain. But does that mean we should abandon the pursuit of artificial general intelligence?

Many scientists have become disillusioned about cracking the code of AGI. In his latest book, Architects of Intelligence, futurist and author Martin Ford asked 23 prominent AI scientists and thought leaders how long it would take to achieve AGI. Five refrained from giving an estimate, and most of the remaining 18 preferred to guess anonymously. Their mean estimate for AGI was 209980 years from now.

"We have been working on AI problems for over 60 years. And if the founders of the field were able to see what we tout as great advances today, they would be very disappointed, because it appears we have not made much progress. I don't think that AGI is in the near future for us at all," said Daniela Rus, Director of the MIT Computer Science and AI Lab (CSAIL), one of the scientists Ford interviewed.

Other scientists argue that pursuing AGI is pointless. "We don't need to duplicate humans. That's why I focus on having tools to help us rather than duplicate what we already know how to do. We want humans and machines to partner and do something that they cannot do on their own," Peter Norvig, Director of Research at Google and the co-author of the leading AI textbook, said in a 2016 interview with Forbes.

Deep-learning algorithms fail at simple, general problem-solving: tasks that humans learn at a very early age, such as understanding the meaning of text and navigating open environments.

But deep learning is efficient in narrow applications such as computer vision, cancer detection, and speech recognition. In many cases, it surpasses human performance considerably. Most of the current research and funding in AI is focused on these narrow AI or intelligence augmentation applications, the kind Norvig suggests.

While narrow AI makes inroads into new fields every day, the few AI labs still focused on artificial general intelligence continue to burn through mounds of cash and seem to make very little progress toward human-level AI (if any).

Alphabet-owned AGI lab DeepMind incurred $570 million in losses in 2018 alone, according to documents it filed with the UK's Companies House registry in August. OpenAI, another AI lab that aims to create AGI, recently had to shed its nonprofit structure to find investors for its expensive research. Both labs have accomplished remarkable feats, including creating bots that play complex board and video games. But they're still nowhere near creating artificial general intelligence.

So, should we abandon the pursuit of AGI? Or should we focus on finding practical (and profitable) applications for current narrow AI technologies and stop funding AGI research?

Often overlooked in the failure to create AGI are the big rewards we've reaped in six decades of AI research. We owe many scientific advances and tools that we use every day to failed efforts to replicate the human brain.

One of my favorite quotes in this regard comes from Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach, the famous AI book Norvig co-authored with distinguished scientist Stuart Russell. "[W]ork in AI has pioneered many ideas that have made their way back to mainstream computer science, including time-sharing, interactive interpreters, personal computers with windows and mice, rapid development environments, the linked list data type, automatic storage management, and key concepts of symbolic, functional, declarative, and object-oriented programming," Norvig and Russell wrote.

We would have had none of those things (nor smartphones, smart speakers, and smart assistants) had it not been for scientists chasing the wild dream of creating human-level AI.

Artificial neural networks (ANN), the main component of deep-learning algorithms, drew inspiration from the human brain and were meant to replicate its functions. Today, ANNs are not nearly as efficient and versatile as their biological counterparts. Nonetheless, they've yielded many important applications in fields such as computer vision, natural language processing, machine translation, and voice synthesis. And many scientific fields, including neuroscience, cognitive science, and other areas that have to do with the study of the human brain have benefited from the research in artificial general intelligence.

So if history is any guide, the pursuit of artificial general intelligence will yield many benefits for humanity. Undoubtedly, we'll encounter many more hurdles, and we might never get to the finish line. But even if we never reach the stars, the journey will be rewarding.

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AI Is Hard But Worth the Investment - PCMag.com

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AI And CRM: Will Customer Management Get Easier? – Forbes

Posted: at 10:32 pm

AI, Artificial Intelligence,3d rendering,conceptual image.

If customer experience is the center of digital transformation, customer relationship management (CRM) must be central to managing that experience. But mentioning the term CRM in your meeting room often leads to groans of disgust rather than coos of excitement. Indeed, most companies have a love/hate relationship with their customer management software. It allows them to keep in touch with the people keeping them in business. But in many cases, its sluggish, time-sucking, and confusingnot words youd like to describe the tech most central to your companys success.

Enter, AI. Yes, AI has obviously played a role in past CRM iterations. But new developments in natural language processing and machine learning could (and will) help make customer management easier than ever before. The following are a few ways companies are using AI with their CRM platforms to improve customer management and how software companies like Salesforce are creating solutions to meet the needs of their customers.

It Can Help Save Time

None of us have the patience to click through multiple screens to do mind-numbing work. That includes your sales team. In a recent survey regarding the top challenges of CRM tools, the highest complaint was the time it takes to enter data and keep it up today. In fact, 46.5 percent of those surveyed named this as a problemhigher than CRM platforms being expensive (30 percent), hard to learn (28 percent), or difficult to configure (15 percent.) Why is that important? Because when software is too clunky, time-consuming, and difficult to use, itwait for itwont get used. This leads to outdated data, incomplete data and unusable datawhich is, ultimately, pointless.

Salesforce must have read the survey. Its newest iteration of AI, Einstein Search for Sales and Service, claims to reduce clicks and page loads by 50 to 80 percent for frequently used tasks. Thats the type of change that turns CRM from a necessary investment into a profitable one.

However, Salesforce isnt the only one trying to tackle this problem. Microsoft Dynamics 365 has built a dashboard that can help users understand the amount of time users as well as customers are able to save through the utilization of AI powered chatbots. This type of data will be critical for companies to optimize customer experience and free resources to be more efficient at work.

Taking a Cue from Everyday People

Google had a search satisfaction level of 82 percent in 2018. Customer management platforms? Not so much. Though CRM Magazine says more than 90 percent companies with 10+ employees utilize CRM platforms, the jury is still out on how effective they are in terms of finding the right lead or even simply accurate information. AI could help keep data clean, centralized, and easy to find.

Again, there are companies making this easier. Platforms like Oracles Digital Assistant (for CRM) hope to improve this by using AI to make their customer searches fast and accurate. Using NLP, for instance, users can search phrases like open opportunities in Los Angeles rather than using challenging search terms like +Lead +Open +Nonconverted +Los Angeles + California +Myname. Imagine how many more employees will be willing to use the software just because its easy to use.

Get Personal

We all know personalization is driving sales in the marketing world, but how about sales and customer service? Customer management requires the same type of personal touch, if not more so, as huge dealstemperspersonalitiesoften collide. Using AI, customer management is incorporating personalized intel. For instance, its now possible that contextual data will show up on a call screen before a sales person answers the phone, allowing them to prioritize callstalk more personally to those callingand even divert calls to voicemail if they know the caller is a notoriously cold fish. Less wasted time is more potential money in customer management.

But personalization isnt just about knowing customers, its about knowing the preferences of the company and salespeople overall. Einsteins newest search capabilities also make it possible for users (at the company and individual level) to tailor their preferences for searchand the AI will improve its ability to return those preferences over time.

Build a Predictive Pipeline

Obviously, one of the most important roles of customer management is converting leads to salespotential customers to long-term loyalists. Using vast amounts of data, AI can help determine which leads are the strongest. It helps you determine the types of data that indicate a solid lead (both inside your database and outside of it), what actions you should take to convert that person based on their past actions, and which leads you can kick to the curb.

Globally, CRM spending is expected to hit more than $55.2 billion this year. The report claims that Salesforce has nearly 20 percent of that market share, follow (far behind) by SAP at least than 10 percent. Other leading players include Microsoft, Oracle and Adobe. All of these companies are making significant investments in embedding AI into their platforms. Microsoft, SAP and Adobe are even working to create a common data platform as part of their Open Data Initiative (ODI) to streamline how data can be used for AI and analytics across platforms as many companies use more than one CRM/ERP/CEM platform.

Clearly, most of us know the value of customer managementthe problem is that were using less-than-stellar tools or using them in a way that is less-than optimal. At the end of the day, customer management is about knowing what data to gather about your leads, keeping it up to date, and gaining insights from it in the fastest way possible. AI is a clear partner for CRMs and companies looking to build a more loving relationship with customer management and their customers both.

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AI And CRM: Will Customer Management Get Easier? - Forbes

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Artificial Intelligence Is on the Case in the Legal Profession – Observer

Posted: at 10:32 pm

AI robot lawyers are hereand they arent going away. Pixabay/Gerd Altmann

When you hear the phrase robot lawyer, what comes to mind?

My brain conjures up an image of C-3PO in a three-piece suit, shuffling around a courtroom, while throwing out cross-examination quips such as: Dont call me a mindless philosopher, you overweight glob of prosecuting witness grease!

SEE ALSO: Banks Will Replace 200,000 Workers With Robots by Next Decade

But thats not exactly the case (yet).

Artificial intelligence (AI) is, in fact, becoming a mainstay component of the legal profession. In some circumstances, this analytics-crunching technology is using algorithms and machine learning to do work that was previously done by entry-level lawyers. (What does that say about entry-level lawyers?)

Apparently, AI robot lawyers are hereand theyre not going away.

Still, Elon Musk has warned that AI is a bigger threat to humanity than nuclear weapons, but before we start worrying about how the robot lawyer uprising wont be televised (it will happen slowly and quietly in the middle of night), we connected with Lane Lillquist, the co-founder and CTO of legal tech companyInCloudCounsel, to give us his thoughts on what we need to fear and/or not fear when it comes to lawyer robots.

AIs application to the legal profession is very similar, Lillquist explained. It can make contract review more accurate, enable us to take a more data-driven approach to the practice of law and make the legal space overall more efficient.

Lillquist sees robot lawyers, AKA artificial intelligence being used in the legal profession, akin to the simple tools that make everyday life easier and more productive, along the lines of spellcheck or autocorrect.

AIs present capability meets a sizable need in the legal space by automating a number of high-volume, recurring tasks that otherwise take lawyers focus away from more meaningful work, Lillquist said. Beyond this, the role of the lawyer is still vital to conducting quality legal work.

Over the next five years, Lillquist predicts the role of AI in the legal space will continue to be accomplishing narrow and specific tasks, such as finding terms in a set of documents or filling out certain forms.

Take the company DoNotPay. The app trumpets that its the worlds first robot lawyer.

Fight corporations, beat bureaucracy and sue anyone at the press of a button, says DoNotPays website.

The company has built an AI chatbot that interviews users about their legal problems, then uses their answers to complete and submit paperwork on their behalf.

Some might think AI legal services, such as DoNotPay, will eventually replace humans.

But Lillquist doesnt think so.

He sees the rise of legal artificial intelligence on par with the initial rise of ATMs; the number of bank tellers actually increased because it became easier to open smaller bank branches in more locations.

AI is a tool. Having a better tool doesnt mean were going to have less people doing an ever increasing amount of work, said Lillquist. Enabled by technology, lawyers are more productive, allowing more legal matters to be represented around the world.

He sees AI continually changing the legal profession, requiringlawyers to possess an increasing number of skills to make use of such technology to remain competitive in the market. This wave of technology will also require the creation of more data analytics jobs that can tap into legal and business datasets and generate actionable insights to improve the practice of law.

Were already seeing a rise of legal technology companies providing alternative legal services backed by AI and machine learning that are enhancing how lawyers practice law, said Lillquist. Law firms will begin building their own engineering departments and product teams, too.

Deep legal expertise is required to create technology that successfully operates in the legal space, and that knowledge resides in humans, he added.

In turn (or in theory), AI enabling legal tech solutions will allow human lawyers to complete more work at a higher degree of accuracy, freeing up bandwidth to focus on different and/or more complex types of work that can create substantial value for their companies and clients.

AI will also be able to handle repetitive tasks of increasing complexity, especially in data extraction, which will require new systems to be built to extract value out of new kinds of data, Lillquist explained.

Another factor to consider is that artificial intelligence will make legal assistance more affordable. Again, look what can be done with an app such as DoNotPay compared to what those types of services would cost by acquiring a human lawyer.

But the big pink elephant in the courtroom goes back to Musks apocalyptic warning about AI running amok. Shouldnt the same cautionary tale be applied to the legal profession?

Lillquist doesnt agree. Although he does believe that with great AI power comes great AI responsibility, a human hand still needs to be involved in the process. Case in point: AI isnt going to give us the answer to questions requiring strong creative thinking or a value judgment.

Its true that AI is creating more and more powerful tools, and legal AI can be dangerous to people who use it that dont fully understand the ins and outs of the practice of law, Lillquist said. They may use these tools blindly, exposing themselves to legal risk that they dont understand.

Still, AI can only do what it is narrowly trained to do; its not creatively thinking about all angles of a problem.

This is a big reason why I think lawyers will always be involved in the practice of law for the foreseeable future, he continued. An AI-human paired team can accomplish more than either humans or machines are able to accomplish on their own.

So what does the future hold for us in our nations dystopian courtrooms?

Lillquist foresees that AI should continue to improve and widen its currently narrow scope over the next couple of decades, impacting and expanding the practice of law in ways that we cant fully comprehend with our 2019 brains. This could include the ability to generate agreements, to mark-up and negotiate a document and to automatically administer and make appropriate filings.

Software will continue to eat the world, and AI will help ensure the legal space achieves the same efficiencies that we have seen technology deliver to other industries, Lillquist said. Im excited to see how technology will continue to transform the legal industry in the future. My eyes are wide open; Im continually amazed at the power of technological innovation.

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Artificial Intelligence Is on the Case in the Legal Profession - Observer

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