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Monthly Archives: April 2017
Built for robotics – Tonka News
Posted: April 15, 2017 at 5:40 pm
Students return from competition with new experiences
Photo courtesy Cora Hipple Freshman Andrew Willis operates machinery at the robotics competition on March 17.
Robotics competed in an annual three-day tournament against 60 teams. Winnetonka took 47th place with their bot, which they named, Bubbles. The competition took place at MCC BTC [Metropolitan Community College Business and Technology Campus] on March 15-17.
There are three parts to robotics: building, business and programming. The three were combined in the Greater Kansas City Regional FRC [First Robotics Competition] Tournament, where teams compete with a robot they build.
Every year, the game rules are changed so a new robot with different functionality must be built, robotics co-coach Jeffery Janzen said. Most years, the robot needs to be able to drive around, pick up some kind of projectile, and fire it.
According to building captain sophomore Brandon Burt, the robotics team changed their design several times before the competition took place.
Its a long process thinking of designs, Burt said. We probably changed it so many times. I remember the day they announced the competition we had this set design ready to go so we were going to start building and then here we are three months later and its completely different.
Photo courtesy Cora Hipple The robotics teams robot, Bubbles, competes against another schools robot in the arena.
According to junior Essence Jewel, as soon as the team receives the rules they have a time limit to finish the robot.
We had a 6-week period to design and build the robot where we spend six to seven days a week at school, Jewel said. It was a trying time where tensions are high but we always pull through as a team.
Programming captain junior Thomas Mitchell had barely any worries during the competition.
Its just fine, Mitchell said. Its kind of stressful when youre on the field because theres a lot of pressure and there are a lot of people watching you.
Robotics co-coach Brice Jensen believes the result of the competition went according to plan.
The bot performed all its functions perfectly, Jensen said. We were highly successful at scoring the more difficult bonus points. Also, we added vision to the bot for the first time so we could `see even in the blind spots. We designed it to climb, it climbed. We were pleased with the craftsmanship of the robot. Our bot never broke down once.
Photo courtesy Cora Hipple Bubbles participates in the robotics competition.
Jensen said he wants the robot to be able to do new and different things in future competitions.
Our next major hurdle is to add smart vision to our bot, Jensen said. This will allow it to auto aim and autonomously [independently] analyze its surroundings to perform even more advanced challenges.
According to Janzen, overall, they had a good season along with a good tournament.
Throughout the tournament, our bot performed well, our field team performed well and everyones pleased with the outcome of the season, Janzen said.
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Puckett’s Mill robotics team gears up for trip to world competition – Gwinnettdailypost.com
Posted: at 5:40 pm
Eight years in the making, the Sparrowbots have made it to worlds.
Led by an exhaustive research project about the pygmy three-toed sloth, and how there are just 75 left in the world, the robotics team from Pucketts Mill Elementary won the state competition in February, and was highlighted during a pep rally at the school on Friday afternoon.
I woke up one morning and I said, We must celebrate this team, Pucketts Mill Principal Ruth Westbrooks said. With this pep rally, we are encouraging this team and congratulating them.
The nine members of the team, who are in fourth and fifth grade, gave a presentation during the assembly about their core values and how they work as a team.
On Wednesday, they will leave for Houston and the international competition of the First Lego League. They will be part of a group of about 30 people from Pucketts Mill, including teachers, parents and spouses. When they arrive, they will setup an exhibit that encompasses their state, country and project, and join eight other international teams.
The robot on the table is just a small part of the overall robotics experience.
The team also was charged with finding a solution to a problem in the world today. The Sparrowbots focused on how animals can help people. They found that the algae that grows on the fur of the sloth is a very likely cure for breast cancer.
Its just deep learning, lots of critical thinking goes into their work, Westbrooks said. With guidance, they do most all of the decision-making and work on their own, which creates that sense of collaboration, which is so important and those soft skills that they will need as they move forward into the real world.
Teacher Mandy Collins, who works with the robotics students, said the schools group has made it to state every year. Last year it finished third. But this years group even Skyped with a scientist in Germany among other research professionals.
I think the difference this year was just the passion that these students had about their topic, she said. We learned that when we are helping the Pygmy Sloths, were actually helping ourselves because all animals are related to humans in some way. Were all inter-dependent in some way. It was a very personal project.
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Puckett's Mill robotics team gears up for trip to world competition - Gwinnettdailypost.com
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Whiteland Community High School robotics team finds success in … – Daily Journal
Posted: at 5:40 pm
One year ago, robotics enthusiasts at Whiteland Community High School had no outlet for their interest.
Other schools in the area had robotics programs, but Whiteland hadnt started one. So a motivated group of students changed that, and in two weeks, theyll be competing against the best robotics programs in the world.
In its inaugural year, Whiteland has reached the pinnacle of high school robotics competition. The Wired Warriors were one of the top finishers in the Indiana championships, and the team was named the state rookie of the year for its success in 2017.
The Wired Warriors, the robotics team at Whiteland Community High School, poses during the Indiana FIRST state championships, the statewide competition for high school robotics teams. The team was named the top rookie team in Indiana in its first year in existence, and will compete in the world championship on April 26 to 29.
The Wired Warriors, the robotics team at Whiteland Community High School, poses after qualifying for the FIRST world championships, the international competition for high school robotics teams. The team was named the top rookie team in Indiana in its first year in existence, and will compete in the world championship on April 26 to 29.
Members of the Wired Warriors, the robotics team at Whiteland Community High School, and the robot they built for competition this year. The team was named the top rookie team in Indiana in its first year in existence, and will compete in the robotics world championship on April 26 to 29.
Their achievements will culminate at the robotics world championship in St. Louis.
For a first-year team, that just doesnt happen, said Brandon Hogan, science teacher at Whiteland and advisor for the robotics team.
Whiteland competes through the Indiana FIRST organization an acronym meaning For Inspiration and Recognition of Science and Technology which aims to grow robotics programs throughout the world.
Every team builds a robot to compete in the same game, and they dont know the objective or rules of that game until Indiana FIRST releases it in January.
The Whiteland program came to be with the help of Hogan, who came to Whiteland last school year as an advanced science teacher. Hogan had been involved with robotics programs during his previous teaching job in California.
When students Hannah Reid and Daniel Schieber found out about his experience with robotics, they kept bugging him until he agreed to help them start a team.
There was a group of physics students who would talk about it small pockets of class time. We kept asking about it until he said yes, Reid said.
Taking the idea to school administrators, they received permission to start the team. A callout at the end of last school year brought out about 75 students, and when the team formed in the fall, almost 40 students joined up.
For the first four months in the fall, the Wired Warriors focused on laying the foundation for competition season. They watched online videos to learn programming and construction. Students attended a mock match to see what competitions were like and participated in forums at Purdue University to learn more about programming.
Team members mentored middle school students in their robotics programs. The Whiteland team found support among fellow robotics teams in Perry Township and Center Grove, who offered their expertise and experience to help the new team get a foothold.
A major focus was on fundraising. The entrance fees to the competitions the Wired Warriors wanted do totaled $15,000, and that didnt include money for the robots, supplies and travel, Hogan said. A business committee was formed to attract corporate sponsors and to apply for grants to help.
Were an inclusive robotics team, and we dont charge like a lot of other teams do. So all the money weve done has been through fundraising by the students, Hogan said.
Once the parameters for this years competition were released in January, the Wired Warriors set to work building their robot. The machine had to be able to collect plastic balls and place them either in an 8-foot-wide goal or a 3-foot-wide slot, Schieber said.
The next step was to put massive gears on a peg, which are used as part of a complex machine to rotate a lever and turn propellers. At the end of the game, teams had 30 seconds to get their entire robot up a 4-foot rope, Schieber said.
During Whitelands first competition at Tippecanoe, they were the highest ranked rookie team, earning the distinction of Rookie All-Star. They nabbed the same award at the state championship April 8 for their success throughout the season, punching their ticket to the world championship.
When the results of the state championship were announced, Whiteland was optimistic that it would make it to the world level. Still, actually qualifying led to unfettered celebration.
There was lots of screaming and running and jumping and hugging. There were some tears, Reid said.
The next two weeks will be spent practicing for the world competition. Their robot already has been shipped to St. Louis, so team members will work on their strategy and approach as they go up against about 360 teams from 42 different countries.
They will leave on the morning of April 26 and compete through April 29.
The success of this year has built a buzz among the student body. Although co-captains Reid and Schieber are both seniors this year, a large number of team members are freshmen and sophomores, ready to lead the team even higher.
When I joined, I didnt think Id be a prominent person in robotics. I thought Id just be there. But as the season progressed, I tried to make myself stand out and be helpful. Im just grateful I was able to impact the team positively, said sophomore Jacob Fox.
The hope is that with a high school team established, robotics programs can be launched in lower grades throughout the Clark-Pleasant school system, creating a strong feeder system.
Starting a base, we have high, high hopes that we can get to that point soon and get programs in the middle school and elementary schools, Reid said. As a senior starting this club, my goal from the beginning was for it to last.
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Technology taking over at NAS Pensacola for National Robotics Week – WEAR
Posted: at 5:40 pm
Technology taking over at NAS Pensacola for National Robotics Week
It's National Robotics Week and the Florida Institute for Human and Machine Cognition is giving an inside look for those interested in Science, Technology, Engineering, and Math.
You can see different robots that researchers are working on and watch demonstrations from 4 p.m. to 7 p.m..
Matthew Johnson, IHMC Research Scientist, said, "We'll have some new AVs, some small drones flying around, as well. We'll have a fast-running bipedal robot on the treadmill over there, we'll have our exoskeletons up and running in the back there. We'll also have a slew of sensors that our robots use and we'll have some demonstrations of what those different sensing technologies look like."
Robotic competitors from local schools are participating to show off their work, as well.
The future is here and IHMC will show it to you!
Johnson said, "Every project you see is a future project, so we're working on this stuff. Every table will talk to you about what is coming next. We're pretty open about what we're doing here, so you're going to hear it all."
If you miss out on Friday, there's still an opportunity to check it out.
On Saturday, IHMC & the Naval Aviation Museum will host the Robotics Week festivities.
Some of the robots from the IHMC lab will be on display from noon to 5 p.m. and a special screening of National Geographic's "Robots" will held.
Johnson encourages those to "bring curiosity" to these FREE events.
Click here for more information.
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Science proves that training AI to be ‘human’ makes it sexist and … – BGR
Posted: at 5:37 pm
As we get closer and closer to create artificial intelligence that can think and reason in ways that mimic a human brain its becoming increasingly clear that allowing a machine mind to learn from humans is a very bad idea. Weve seen examples of it in the past, but a new studyon AI biases reveals that not only does training an artificial brain create biases, but those leanings reinforce many societal issues regarding race and gender that plague humanity today.
The study, which was conducted by scientists at Princeton University and published in the journal Science, sought to determine not just if the behavior of an AI exhibited specific biases, but whether the machine learning systems that determine the outcome inherently lean one way or the other. To do this, the team trained an AI usingstandard datasets that are popular choices for machine learning. These kinds of sets include millions of words and are often gathered from many sources, including the internet.
The AI studies the words, how their used, and what words theyre used in association with, in order to provide natural language responses and answers in a way that we can understand. It also, as it turns out, learns some of our more unfortunate quirks.
After training the AI, scientists tested how it associates various words with others. For example, flower is more likely to be associated with pleasant than weapon is. That, of course, makes perfect sense. However, the trained AI also had a habit of associatingtypically caucasian-sounding names with other things that it considered to be pleasant, rather than African-American names. The AI also shied away from pairing female pronouns with mathematics, and instead often associated them with artistic terms.
This is obviously a huge issue since, in the name of creating AI that sound and behave more human, some of the standard training materials being used carry with them some of the worst parts of us. Its a very interesting problem, and one that you can bet will get a lot of attention now that evidence seems to be mounting.
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Science proves that training AI to be 'human' makes it sexist and ... - BGR
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How Companies Are Already Using AI – Harvard Business Review
Posted: at 5:37 pm
Executive Summary
A survey by Tata Consultancy Services reveals that while some jobs have been lost to machine intelligence, thats not the major waycompanies are using AI today. Companies are more likely to be using AI to improvecomputer-to-computer tasks while employing the same number of people. The 170-year-old news service Associated Press offers a case in point. In 2013, demand for quarterly earnings stories was insatiable, andstaff reporters could barely keep up. So that year, AP began working with an AI firm to train software to automatically write short earnings news stories. By 2015, APs AI system was writing 3,700 quarterly earnings stories 12 times the number written by its business reporters. No AP business journalist lost a job. In fact, AI has freed up the staff to write more in-depth stories on business trends. Thats the next trend in AI, and one more businesses should try to emulate.
Every few months it seems another study warns that a big slice of the workforce is about to lose their jobs because of artificial intelligence. Four years ago, an Oxford University study predicted 47% of jobs could be automated by 2033. Even the near-term outlook has been quite negative: A 2016 report by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said 9% of jobs in the 21 countries that make up its membership could be automated. And in January 2017, McKinseys research arm estimated AI-driven job losses at 5%. My own firm released a survey recently of 835 large companies (with an average revenue of $20 billion) that predicts a net job loss of between 4% and 7% in key business functions by the year 2020 due to AI.
Yet our research also found that, in the shorter term, these fears may be overblown. The companies we surveyed in 13 manufacturing and service industries in North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America are using AI much more frequently in computer-to-computer activities and much less often to automate human activities. Machine-to-machine transactions are the low-hanging fruit of AI, not people-displacement.
For example, our survey, which asked managers of 13 functions, from sales and marketing to procurement and finance, to indicate whether their departments were using AI in 63 core areas, found AI was used most frequently in detecting and fending off computer security intrusions in the IT department. This task was mentioned by 44% of our respondents. Yet even in this case, we doubt AI is automating the jobs of IT security people out of existence. In fact, we find its helping such often severely overloaded IT professionals deal with geometrically increasing hacking attempts. AI is making IT security professionals more valuable to their employers, not less.
How it will impact business, industry, and society.
In fact, although we saw examples of companies using AI in computer-to-computer transactions such as in recommendation engines that suggest what a customer should buy next or when conducting online securities trading and media buying, we saw that IT was one of the largest adopters of AI. And it wasnt just to detect a hackers moves in the data center. IT was using AI to resolve employees tech support problems, automate the work of putting new systems or enhancements into production, and make sure employees used technology from approved vendors. Between 34% and 44% of global companies surveyed are using AI in in their IT departments in these four ways, monitoring huge volumes of machine-to-machine activities.
In stark contrast, very few of the companies we surveyed were using AI to eliminate jobs altogether. For example, only 2% are using artificial intelligence to monitor internal legal compliance, and only 3% to detect procurement fraud (e.g., bribes and kickbacks).
What about the automation of the production line? Whether assembling automobiles or insurance policies, only 7% of manufacturing and service companies are using AI to automate production activities. Similarly, only 8% are using AI to allocate budgets across the company. Just 6% are using AI in pricing.
So where should your company look to find such low-hanging fruit applications of AI that wont kill jobs yet could bestow big benefits? From our survey and best-practice research on companies that have already generated significant returns on their AI investments, we identified three patterns that separate the best from the rest when it comes to AI. All three are about using AI first to improve computer-to-computer (or machine-to-machine) activities before using it to eliminate jobs:
Put AI to work on activities that have an immediate impact on revenue and cost. When Joseph Sirosh joined Amazon.com in 2004, he began seeing the value of AI to reduce fraud, bad debt, and the number of customers who didnt get their goods and suppliers who didnt get their money. By the time he left Amazon in 2013, his group had grown from 35 to more than 1,000 people who used machine learning to make Amazon more operationally efficient and effective. Over the same time period, the company saw a 10-fold increase in revenue.
After joining Microsoft Corporation in 2013 as corporate vice president of the Data Group, Sirosh led the charge in using AI in the companys database, big data, and machine learning offerings. AI wasnt new at Microsoft. For example, the company had brought in a data scientist in 2008 to develop machine learning tools that would improve its search engine, Bing, in a market dominated by Google. Since then, AI has helped Bing more than double its share of the search engine market (to 20%); as of 2015, Bing generated more than a $1 billion in revenue every quarter. (That was the year Bing became a profitable business for Microsoft.) Microsofts use of AI now extends far beyond that, including to its Azure cloud computing service, which puts the companys AI tools in the hands of Azure customers. (Disclosure: Microsoft is a TCS client.)
Look for opportunities in which AI could help you produce more products with the same number of people you have today. The AI experience of the 170-year-old news service Associated Press is a great case in point. AP found in 2013 a literally insatiable demand for quarterly earnings stories, but their staff of 65 business reporters could write only 6% of the earnings stories possible, given Americas 5,300 publicly held companies. The earnings news of many small companies thus went unreported on APs wire services (other than the automatically published tabular data). So that year, AP began working with an AI firm to train software to automatically write short earnings news stories. By 2015, APs AI system was writing 3,700 quarterly earnings stories 12 times the number written by its business reporters. This is a machine-to-machine application of AI. The AI software is one machine; the other is the digital data feed that AP gets from a financial information provider (Zacks Investment Research). No AP business journalist lost a job. In fact, AI has freed up the staff to write more in-depth stories on business trends.
Start in the back office, not the front office. You might think companies will get the greatest returns on AI in business functions that touch customers every day (like marketing, sales, and service) or by embedding it in the products they sell to customers (e.g., the self-driving car, the self-cleaning barbeque grill, the self-replenishing refrigerator, etc.). Our research says otherwise. We asked survey participants to estimate their returns on AI in revenue and cost improvements, and then we compared the survey answers of the companies with the greatest improvements (call them AI leaders) to the answers of companies with the smallest improvements (AI followers). Some 51% of our AI leaders predicted that by 2020 AI will have its biggest internal impact on their back-office functions of IT and finance/accounting; only 34% of AI followers said the same thing. Conversely, 43% of AI followers said AIs impact would be greatest in the front-office areas of marketing, sales, and services, yet only 26% of the AI leaders felt it would be there. We believe the leaders have the right idea: Focus your AI initiatives in the back-office, particularly where there are lots of computer-to-computer interactions in IT and finance/accounting.
Computers today are far better at managing other computers and, in general, inanimate objects or digital information than they are at managing human interactions. When companies use AI in this sphere, they dont have to eliminate jobs. Yet the job-destroying applications of AI are what command the headlines: driverless cars and trucks, robotic restaurant order-takers and food preparers, and more.
Make no mistake: Automation and artificial intelligence will eliminate some jobs. Chatbots for customer service have proliferated; robots on the factory floor are real. But we believe companies would be wise to use AI first where their computers already interact. Theres plenty of low-hanging fruit there to keep them busy for years.
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AI Computer Beats Human Poker Players by Nearly $800000 – Voice of America
Posted: at 5:37 pm
An artificial intelligence, or AI program has again beaten a group of human poker players to win $792,000 in virtual money.
The AI program won during a recent competition against experienced poker players in China. More than 36,000 hands were played during a 5-day competition on Chinas Hainan Island.
The computer went up against a group of six human players led by Alan Du, a winner in the 2016 World Series of Poker tournament. The human team said it attempted to play against the AI system like a machine, rather than using traditional methods of humans.
The winning system is called Lengpudashi, or cold poker master. It was developed by engineers at Americas Carnegie Mellon University. A previous version of the AI system beat four top poker players in the world in a U.S. competition last January.
Results of the competition between Lengpudashi AI and top poker players in Hainan, China. (Sinovation Ventures)
Artificial intelligence is the capability of a computer to learn to perform human-like operations and make decisions. This can be achieved by putting large amounts of data into a computer for processing.
Algorithms are also used to help computers learn through experiences the same way humans do. This kind of AI technology is used in machine translation systems like Google Translate.
Last year, Googles AI system AlphaGo beat a Korean champion in the ancient Chinese board game Go.
The two wins show how AI development has greatly increased in the ability to succeed against humans. But poker differs from Go in that a player keeps his cards hidden from the opponent. Poker players also use techniques to trick opponents into thinking they have a better hand than they actually do. This is one area where a computer can find it hard to match human thinking and actions.
But a co-creator of the Lengpudashi program, Noam Brown, said the computer even performed well in this part of the competition.
People think that bluffing is very human -- it turns out that's not true, said Brown, a computer scientist and student. A computer can learn from experience that if it has a weak hand and it bluffs, it can make more money, Brown told Bloomberg.
Noam brown, a Ph.D. candidate at Carnegie Mellon University and co-creator of the Lengpudashi AI system, confers with Alan Du, head of the human team in the competition. (Sinovation Ventures)
Brown and Carnegie Mellon professor Tuomas Sandholm won $290,000 in the competition. The money will go to Strategic Machine Inc., a company started by the two to develop AI.
The company is involved in many other areas besides games. These include AI solutions that can be applied to business, negotiation, cybersecurity, political campaigns, and medical treatment.
Im Bryan Lynn.
Bryan Lynn wrote this story for VOA Learning English. Hai Do was the editor.
We want to hear from you. What are your thoughts on AI? Have you had any personal experiences with it? Write to us in the Comments section, and visit our Facebook page.
________________________________________________________________
poker n. card game in which players bet money of the value of their cards
virtual adj. representing something without actually being it
hand n. the cards held by a player in a card game
master n. person who becomes very skilled at something
algorithm n. set of steps that are followed in order to solve a mathematical problem or to complete a computer process
card n. small piece of stiff paper used to play games
bluff n. pretend to do or know something to trick someone into doing what you want
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AI Computer Beats Human Poker Players by Nearly $800000 - Voice of America
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The 3 things that make AI unlike any other technology – Huffington Post
Posted: at 5:37 pm
Artificial Intelligence has been around for sixty years, and through this long time it has had many ups and downs, but mostly downs. The AI winters, as they are commonly known, were caused because of the insurmountable obstacles that declarative programming presented when building the knowledge base of an intelligent system. Hand coding a complete description of the world proved to be an impossible task. Systems were limited by the knowledge that could be coded into them, and therefore unable to cope with the unexpected. And then, sometime around the late 1990s, the unexpected happened: a mostly discredited notion in AI, that one should emulate the human brain and its neural intricacies, came back in vogue. This resurrection of old ideas coincided with the cost of parallel processing dropping significantly thanks to Graphic Processing Units (GPUs) used to process video game graphics. The AI everyone is talking about is this new kind of brain-like AI, where you do not code the world; instead you teach the machine how to learn about the world.
Brain-like AI, in the guise of machine learning or deep learning systems, is the heart of the debate on the future of work and humans, as intelligent machines begin to take over many cognitive tasks that used to require human intelligence. This new technology is truly unlike anything else we have ever invented. As we ponder the future, and how we will live and collaborate with those machines, it is important to reduce what is particular and unique about AI. I would like to suggest that there are three unique characteristics of AI that we should consider; self-improvement, prescience and autonomy.
Lets look first at the ability of AI for self-improvement. No other technological artefact has ever had such ability before. For every machine that humans created in the past its performance was forever determined in advance; with wear and tear that performance was reduced over time, and it was always necessary for humans to undertake regular maintenance, just to keep the performance of those machine level. Improvements would only occur when humans replaced parts of the machine, or produced new, improved, versions. In AI we have machines that do not need humans in order to improve their performance. With machine learning, AI systems become better every time they ingest and process a new set of data.
The second unique characteristic of AI is prescience, or its ability to predict. This ability is sometimes based on mathematical approaches that pre-existed the advent of hardware capable of executing them. But the fact that those predictive mathematical algorithms have become executable in machines is a great achievement in itself. More sophisticated approaches, such as reinforcement learning combined with convoluted neural networks, are delivering systems capable of strategizing in complex situations. Just think of what AlphaGo achieved a few months ago, beating a highly-skilled and experienced human in the most difficult game of strategy every invented by humans. Prescience is the prerequisite for strategy. In the biological world only highly-advanced predators are capable of strategies that require prediction. AIs prescience furnishes this technology with the ability to adapt its behaviour according to unexpected events so that it achieves a final goal. No other technology is capable of such outcomes.
Finally, and not least because of self-improvement and prescience, AI is also capable of autonomy. Autonomy means that the system can take decisions about its future actions based on its internal states changing according to perceived sensory data. This makes AI systems similar to biological systems. The military is already testing a number of Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS) that can be perform complex combat missions without the need of human guidance. Many of the AI systems currently in use require a human-in-the-loop; mostly because of the necessity for clean and tagged data sets for use in supervised learning. But AI systems are becoming increasingly independent. Soon they will be able to explore the world for themselves, purely out of curiosity.
In combination, the 3 characteristics of AI point to a logical eventuality: a system that can learn and therefore self-improve, and is also prescient, will eventually maximize its autonomy. And this is why it is absolutely necessary to think of AI ethics now. The autonomous, intelligent machines of the future, must have a code of ethics that limits the autonomy of their decisions.
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The 3 things that make AI unlike any other technology - Huffington Post
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Self-taught artificial intelligence beats doctors at predicting heart attacks – Science Magazine
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Artificial intelligence may help prevent heart failure.
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By Matthew HutsonApr. 14, 2017 , 3:30 PM
Doctors have lots of tools for predicting a patients health. Butas even they will tell youtheyre no match for the complexity of the human body. Heart attacks in particular are hard to anticipate. Now, scientists have shown that computers capable of teaching themselves can perform even better than standard medical guidelines, significantly increasing prediction rates. If implemented, the new method could save thousands or even millions of lives a year.
I cant stress enough how important it is, says Elsie Ross, a vascular surgeon at Stanford University in Palo Alto, California, who was not involved with the work, and how much I really hope that doctors start to embrace the use of artificial intelligence to assist us in care of patients.
Each year, nearly 20 million people die from the effects of cardiovascular disease, including heart attacks, strokes, blocked arteries, and other circulatory system malfunctions. In an effort to predict these cases, many doctors use guidelines similar to those of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA). Those are based on eight risk factorsincluding age, cholesterol level, and blood pressurethat physicians effectively add up.
But thats too simplistic to account for the many medications a patient might be on, or other disease and lifestyle factors. Theres a lot of interaction in biological systems, says Stephen Weng, an epidemiologist at the University of Nottingham in the United Kingdom. Some of those interactions are counterintuitive: A lot of body fat can actually protect against heart disease in some cases. Thats the reality of the human body, Weng says. What computer science allows us to do is to explore those associations.
In the new study, Weng and his colleagues compared use of the ACC/AHA guidelines with four machine-learning algorithms: random forest, logistic regression, gradient boosting, and neural networks. All four techniques analyze lots of data in order to come up with predictive tools without any human instruction. In this case, the data came from the electronic medical records of 378,256 patients in the United Kingdom. The goal was to find patterns in the records that were associated with cardiovascular events.
First, the artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms had to train themselves. They used about 78% of the datasome 295,267 recordsto search for patterns and build their own internal guidelines. They then tested themselves on the remaining records. Using record data available in 2005, they predicted which patients would have their first cardiovascular event over the next 10 years, and checked the guesses against the 2015 records. Unlike the ACC/AHA guidelines, the machine-learning methods were allowed to take into account 22 more data points, including ethnicity, arthritis, and kidney disease.
All four AI methods performed significantly better than the ACC/AHA guidelines. Using a statistic called AUC (in which a score of 1.0 signifies 100% accuracy), the ACC/AHA guidelines hit 0.728. The four new methods ranged from 0.745 to 0.764, Wengs team reports this month in PLOS ONE. The best oneneural networkscorrectly predicted 7.6% more events than the ACC/AHA method, and it raised 1.6% fewer false alarms. In the test sample of about 83,000 records, that amounts to 355 additional patients whose lives could have been saved. Thats because prediction often leads to prevention, Weng says, through cholesterol-lowering medication or changes in diet.
This is high-quality work, says Evangelos Kontopantelis, a data scientist at the University of Manchester in the United Kingdom who works with primary care databases. He says that dedicating more computational power or more training data to the problem could have led to even bigger gains.
Several of the risk factors that the machine-learning algorithms identified as the strongest predictors are not included in the ACC/AHA guidelines, such as severe mental illness and taking oral corticosteroids. Meanwhile, none of the algorithms considered diabetes, which is on the ACC/AHA list, to be among the top 10 predictors. Going forward, Weng hopes to include other lifestyle and genetic factors in computer algorithms to further improve their accuracy.
Kontopantelis notes one limitation to the work: Machine-learning algorithms are like black boxes, in that you can see the data that goin and the decision that comes out, but you cant grasp what happens in between. That makes it difficult for humans to tweak the algorithm, and it thwarts predictions of what it will do in a new scenario.
Will physicians soon adopt similar machine-learning methods in their practices? Doctors really pride themselves on their expertise, Ross says. But I, being part of a newer generation, see that we can be assisted by the computer.
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4 Unique Challenges Of Industrial Artificial Intelligence – Forbes
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Forbes | 4 Unique Challenges Of Industrial Artificial Intelligence Forbes Robots are probably the first thing you think of when asked to imagine AI applied to industrials and manufacturing. Indeed many innovative companies like Rodney Brooks' Rethink Robotics have developed friendly-looking robot factory workers who hustle ... |
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4 Unique Challenges Of Industrial Artificial Intelligence - Forbes
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