Were getting close to the teeth of fantasy football draft season, and its time to talk about mistakes. Im going to run back some of the mistakes from last years column, and Ill add two fresh mistakes at the bottom. Youre welcome to offer your own lessons learned, Im all ears: @scott_pianowski.
All summer long, we try to show you how to play fantasy football the right way, whatever that means. Obviously, its a nuanced and shifting discussion, and obviously, its all contextual. What works best in my hometown league might not work best for your hometown league. Theres a lot of season-to-taste in this game.
[Join or create a Yahoo Fantasy Football league for free today]
But sometimes we need to take a step back and focus on how suboptimal thinking sneaks into our decision-making. Thats our mission for today, to patch some of the leaks that might be holding you back.
Here are nine common mistakes that fantasy managers, even good ones, often make. The first six are a review from last year and previous years; weve added three fresh ideas at the bottom.
Draft like a champion today, gamers.
I know this feels painfully obvious, but its a common error. I know, because I make it myself sometimes and theres no reason for it.
Its no fun to read the rules or audit the settings, I get it. In some of the leagues I play in, the rulebook is long and unwieldy, a cumbersome read. And like so many fantasy managers, Im in a ton of leagues (too many to count), so at times it becomes tempting to cut this corner. But if youre not clear on the game youre playing, errors are sure to follow.
So lets just make sure we put in the work and plug this leak. And Im not just talking about scoring rules, Im talking about every setting tied to a league. A common mistake tied to this: often managers are unaware of when free agency starts or when the waiver process begins. Thirty seconds in your online calendar today can cover you for a missed opportunity later.
Modern baseball theory holds that sacrifice bunts are rarely a good idea. The game is dominated by launch angles and home runs, to the point that giving up an out and advancing a runner from first to second is rarely the proper play. When you hand outs to the other team, you cap your scoring upside.
What does this have to do with fantasy football? Well, when you go out of your way to draft the NFL backups of your primary starters (especially at running back), youre essentially bunting. Youre capping your upside. Youre playing for the small inning.
In the early part of the fantasy season, I want you to play for the big inning. I want you to try to build the most dynamic juggernaut possible. Sure, you can draft backup running backs, intriguing stash-and-hope runners, but do it when its not tied to one of your primary starters. Draft the backups that benefit if your opponents encounter bad luck. Build a roster that can improve not merely survive when chaos happens.
I dont want you to draft like your early picks are going to flame out. I want you to draft like your early picks were the right picks. Stop playing it safe and capping your ceiling.
Lets be clear, the understudy back can make sense later in the year much like bunting can make sense in a baseball game, later in the day. The winning scenario narrows the later we get in any contest, and with that in mind, you act accordingly. If youre crushing the league come early November and you want Tyler Allgeier for Bijan Robinson insurance because your roster doesnt have bigger problems that need solving I can sign off. Youre already put a crooked number on the board.
In August, thats the wrong way to think. Your goals should be much loftier the day you start assembling your roster.
Fantasy sports are essentially a game of opinions, your best guess against my best guess. The best fantasy managers are going to have plenty of takes. You compete for a few years, take down a trophy or two, you get some confidence and even some ego.
But remember, the NFL is a snow-globe league, the American sport with the most year-over-year variance. Its also the fantasy sport where context matters the most. A journeyman running back might become fantasy royalty if he lands in the right offense. And a walk-in Hall of Famer like Randy Moss can fall off the planet when hes on a team like the 2006 Raiders.
I have plenty of strong player and strategy takes today, just like I did a month ago, three months ago or six months ago. But everythings written in pencil. When the facts shift, Im willing to change my mind. And when nuances that I overlooked are brought to my attention, Im willing to change my mind, too.
The goal is to figure out the new season before your opponents do. And with that in mind, you have to be willing to be selectively aggressive when opportunities arise.
Paradox of Choice is a fascinating concept, the idea that otherwise smart people can be overwhelmed by alternatives. Its not uncommon for a fantasy manager to tell me they prefer a roster of minimal depth over a roster of fantastic depth because they arent forced to make difficult choices every week. (Obviously, a deep roster can often be traded into an even more-dynamic set of starters, but lets ignore that for now.)
Some managers are afraid to bench a player because said player cost a lot at the draft, or in free agency.
Some managers are afraid to make a trade or a FA move because theyre obsessed with how bad theyll feel if the decision turns out to be wrong. Friendliest Loss remains a pox in our decision-making world. Too many fantasy players will settle on the choice that will give them the least amount of pain if it turns out to be wrong no matter if that choice reflects what they view as the most likely winning scenario.
Dont be afraid of making a mistake, amigas and amigos. Tricky decisions are like bluffs in poker if you dont have one blow up on you every so often, you are playing far too conservatively. Fortune favors the brave. If you insist on keeping both of your feet on first base, youll never be able to steal second.
Im not suggesting you do wacky or crazy things just for the sake of it. I still want you to make good decisions, sound decisions. But focus on the likelihood of your decision working, and what the payoff may be. Dont get tripped up on what the regret will feel like if youre wrong. Thats not how successful people think.
I generally dont touch the preset rankings in any draft applet, because I want to know what most of my opponents are looking at. But that doesnt mean I rest back in my chair and scroll through tweets and emails between picks. Im constantly working on some kind of list, be it an off-applet list Im maintaining, or adding and arranging player names in my online queue.
A tidily-arranged queue will be your best friend if you get bumped offline mid-draft and will spare you a potentially disastrous auto-pick. Its also a good way to keep late-round sleepers fresh in your mind, especially with the sleepers who might be buried on the sites preset rankings. If youre doing an offline draft, you can still maintain a queue a pen and a scratch sheet of paper will do. Just keep it away from curious neighbors.
Its common to hear established fantasy players zealously proclaiming their disdain for Average Draft Position, noting how they draft to the beat of their own drummer. And hey, I get it; at some point, you have to go get the players you believe in. But you at least want to have a general idea of what slot those players might command in a free market.
When I examine ADP, I like to focus on the trending market, how rooms have drafted in the past week or so. Deeper-rooted ADP is going to be more buggy and less useful. At the end of the day, you want to undercut the market slightly on the later-round picks you covet, not blow the market out of the water. Dont take your hidden gem in the sixth round when context clues made it clear you could have waited until the 10th round or later.
Most fantasy football drafts will take place in August, and thats a hotbed of NFL news. Injuries, depth-chart adjustments, trades, perhaps even suspensions; stuff is going to happen. And with that, its imperative you take a news lap the day of your draft, just to make sure youre up on the latest and greatest NFL news. You want to make the most informed choices you can, and that requires youre not the last person to know about a hamstring gone awry.
The NFL schedule is such a big deal, the league somehow creates a buzzy event of its release and reveal. Its a little funny when you think about it we already knew the games, just not the sequencing but its another case of the NFL flexing its muscles as the dominant sports league in North America.
I want you to be aware of the schedule, but I dont want it dominating your picks. Bye weeks are a low-end tiebreaker when Im drafting, not something that proactively influences my picks. By the time most of my players take their bye, my roster is likely to be significantly different, with new strengths and weaknesses. I want you to play fantasy football with a microscope, not a telescope. Lets focus on whats in view now.
If Im going to use schedule shape to influence my picks, its on the margins. Consider the defense and special teams position. The Jets D/ST is a hotly contested draft commodity, but the early-season schedule looks treacherous New York opens with the Bills, Cowboys, Patriots, Chiefs, Broncos and Eagles for the first six games, then its a Week 7 bye. The Jets D/ST doesnt really see home-run spots until December. Given the stream-heavy nature of the D/ST position, I wont have New York on my target list. I want easier sledding in the first quarter of the year.
The earlier youre drafting, the less important it is to draft a kicker or defense. You can add that stuff later; why not get an additional high-upside running back pick on your roster? This well-known strategy has a converse, of course; if youre drafting right before the season, thats when you might as well fill that K and D/ST spot.
Injury rates fall down significantly late in the summer most teams dont use important personnel in the final preseason game so your odds of hitting a home run with your final-round lottery ticket are significantly less. When I draft in early September, I have the early schedule in mind and want a D/ST thats ready to cause mayhem in Week 1.
Read more here:
Fantasy Football: How to avoid the most common draft mistakes in 2023 - Yahoo Sports
- 7 Social Security Shakeups You Need To Be Ready For Heading Into the New Year - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Crypto had a surprisingly great year. It still faces threats in 2024. - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- 'How the hell does that even happen?' McCarthy exits Congress amid confusion over who can run to replace him - Yahoo News - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Short sellers lost close to $178 billion in 2023 - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Trump legal news brief: Giuliani files for bankruptcy after judge rules he must immediately pay $148 million for election ... - Yahoo News - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- No One Wants Used EVs, Making New Ones a Tougher Sell Too - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Israel's military campaign in Gaza seen as among the most destructive in recent history, experts say - Yahoo News - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Barbara Corcoran Says Housing Prices 'Are Going To Go Through the Roof' But When? - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Are You Wealthy? The Net Worth You Need To Be Considered Poor, Middle-Class And Wealthy In America - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- German bishop Btzing criticizes pope over Ukraine and Israel stance - Yahoo News - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- 'Severe revenue decline': California faces a record $68 billion deficit here's what is eating away at the Golden State's ... - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Poll: Trump is tied with Biden for now but criminal trials and unpopular plans pose risks for 2024 - Yahoo News - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Rudy Giuliani files for bankruptcy days after being ordered to pay $148 million in defamation case - Yahoo News - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- 'It's just bragging rights': Once you achieve this credit score there's 'no benefit' to scoring higher, expert says here are ... - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Records released by House Republicans show that Joe Biden repeatedly emailed Hunter Biden's business associate ... - Yahoo News - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Tesla Getting Trounced by S&P 500 Three Years After Joining - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Ukrainian forces shoot down three Russian Su-34 fighter jets on southern front - Yahoo News - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- The only AI 'regulation' coming is from workers - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Innocent Black Man Spent 50 Years in Prison, His Compensation Will Annoy The Hell out of You - Yahoo News - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Texas begins flying migrants from southern border to Chicago. The 1st plane carried over 120 people - Yahoo News - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Donald Trump Is Running Scared - Yahoo News - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- The biggest 2024 threat to Big Tech is coming from both sides of the Atlantic - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- Apple halts online sales of its Apple Watch Series 9 and Apple Watch Ultra 2 - Yahoo Finance - December 22nd, 2023 [December 22nd, 2023]
- 2023 FIBA World Cup: Jaren Jackson Jr.'s elite rim protection and defensive presence come with a price - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Fantasy Football Rankings: These are the hardest players to ... - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Cowboys QB Dak Prescott feels for Will Grier after Trey Lance deal, not worried about future in Dallas - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Massive alligator captured in Mississippi is a new state record. Nightmare material - Yahoo! Voices - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Virginia Gov. Youngkin eyes a 15-week abortion ban as a 'consensus' voters would back - Yahoo News - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Poll: Trump could be in big trouble for 2024 if convicted of crimes - Yahoo News - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- 'She-Hulk' star Tatiana Maslany nearly brought to tears after overcoming fears of heights and cold with the help of Bear Grylls - Yahoo Entertainment - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Don't feel guilty about being lazy. Experts say there are some health benefits. - Yahoo Life - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Center Paolo Banchero helps Team USA power past physical New Zealand in FIBA World Cup - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Tyreek Hill says Tua's response to ESPN criticism 'fires me up,' shows Dolphins something they've never seen - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- USA's Katie Moon, Australia's Nina Kennedy agree to share pole vault gold after tie atop World Athletics Championships - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Blue Jays' Bo Bichette, Matt Chapman leave game vs. Guardians with injuries - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Benches clear twice as Rays roll past Yankees 7-4: 'It's a last-place team' - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- All-Pro Chris Jones says hes willing to extend Chiefs holdout through Week 8 - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Fyre Festival II: Andy King confirms he's working with Billy McFarland for 'redemption'; 1st drop sells out - Yahoo Entertainment - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Pirates first overall pick Paul Skenes doesn't make it out of 1st inning in Double-A debut - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- U.S. men and women sweep gold in 4x100m relay at World Championships - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Spain soccer president Luis Rubiales apologizes for kissing player, as calls for his resignation mount - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- COVID cases are rising. What are schools doing about it? - Yahoo Life - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Nicolas Batum ashamed and scared to go home after France is knocked out of FIBA World Cup - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- Tour Championship: How much did Viktor Hovland, others earn at East Lake? - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- The Daily Sweat: Cubs get chance to cut into streaking Brewers' NL Central lead - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- NASCAR: Chris Buescher wins at Daytona after Ryan Preece's car flips at least 10 times in terrifying crash - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- With college sports more in flux than ever before, new players association group emerges - Yahoo Sports - August 28th, 2023 [August 28th, 2023]
- NFL Hall of Fame Game: How to watch the 2023 NFL preseason opener - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- 2023 NFL preseason: How to watch, full schedule, streaming info and more - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- Reports: Colts considering placing Jonathan Taylor on NFI list, which could negate his 2023 salary - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- Sources: Michigan's Jim Harbaugh, NCAA working toward 4-game suspension over recruiting investigation - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- Oregon coach Dan Lanning slams Colorado after move to Big 12: I dont remember them winning anything - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- As Bethenny Frankel calls for reality show performers to strike, 'Below Deck' star Captain Lee is only partly on board - Yahoo Entertainment - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- Ken Riley, Bengals' all-time INT leader, finally gets his flowers ... - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- Broncos WR K.J. Hamler shares pericarditis diagnosis, will reportedly be waived with eye for return - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- Sexist remarks from radio host enable Commanders to set tone that things are different after Dan Snyder - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- Fantasy Football: What is the correct way to draft from these muddy NFL RB committees? - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- Yahoo boys on rampage: The youth and Internet scam - Guardian Nigeria - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- NFL training camp tracker: WR Tim Patrick carted off at practice, Broncos fear Achilles injury - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- Is winning the lottery all it's cracked up to be? - Yahoo News - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- 2023 Hall of Fame: Don Coryell's offense changed the NFL, even if it didn't win a Super Bowl - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- Giants' pass-catchers are wielding uncertainty to their advantage - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- The USWNT diagnosed their biggest flaw in Dutch draw. Can they fix it? - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- Julius Erving's all-time top 10 includes Tiny Archibald, no active players - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- How to watch the Women's World Cup 2023: Full broadcast schedule, streaming info and more - Yahoo Sports - July 31st, 2023 [July 31st, 2023]
- 'Love Is Blind' star Deepti Vempati didn't talk about her eating disorder with family growing up: 'I used to live this double life' - Yahoo Life - March 4th, 2023 [March 4th, 2023]
- Ja Morant reportedly accused of repeatedly punching teenage boy in head, threatening him with gun last summer - Yahoo Sports - March 4th, 2023 [March 4th, 2023]
- Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant's trade requests were about seeking control, but also came at a cost for the NBA - Yahoo Sports - February 20th, 2023 [February 20th, 2023]
- 'Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey' director shares details from the 'unfilmable' first draft of his bonkers horror movie - Yahoo Entertainment - February 18th, 2023 [February 18th, 2023]
- My party of 2 spent $210 to decorate a Mickey Mouse cake at Disney World. It was worth it for the mimosas and desserts alone. - Yahoo Life - February 18th, 2023 [February 18th, 2023]
- Kevin Durant is lone man standing amid Nets mess, and it's time to hit reset before things get uglier - Yahoo Sports - February 7th, 2023 [February 7th, 2023]
- This golden retriever has 'cooked' more than 400 meals. Here's how the dog's human taught him patience in the kitchen. - Yahoo Life - February 7th, 2023 [February 7th, 2023]
- Eagles lineman Brandon Graham fined more than Trent Williams for unsportsmanlike conduct in NFC championship - Yahoo Sports - February 7th, 2023 [February 7th, 2023]
- NASCAR Clash at the Coliseum: Martin Truex Jr. wins chaotic main event ahead of Austin Dillon, Kyle Busch - Yahoo Sports - February 7th, 2023 [February 7th, 2023]
- Kyrie Irving's trade request is logical move to secure his basketball future. Now Nets need to protect theirs - Yahoo Sports - February 5th, 2023 [February 5th, 2023]
- A decade ago, Colin Kaepernick commanded the Super Bowl stage and helped change the QB prototype conversation - Yahoo Sports - February 5th, 2023 [February 5th, 2023]
- M. Night Shyamalan on the 'power' of Bruce Willis, the movie he bet his house on, and his one film people watch on their deathbeds - Yahoo... - February 5th, 2023 [February 5th, 2023]
- Debt limit: Social Security is a hot topic even as the GOP says its off the table - Yahoo Finance - February 5th, 2023 [February 5th, 2023]
- Pamela Anderson's financial woes detailed in new doc: 'On the most famous show in the world' but 'doesn't have a nest egg' - Yahoo Entertainment - February 5th, 2023 [February 5th, 2023]
- WNBA commissioner Cathy Engelbert says charter flights, which would cost $25 million annually, must be 'feasible' - Yahoo Sports - February 5th, 2023 [February 5th, 2023]