Canada's finance minister says there was a point early in the progress of theCOVID-19 pandemic when he realizedthis crisis was going to be different and far more trying thanmost people were expecting.
At that point, saidBill Morneau,Italy had just imposed a national quarantine. The stock market had tumbled. It was clear Canada wouldn't be immune.
In an interview with CBC Radio's The House airing today,Morneau recalled the famous metaphor of the frog placed in a pot of water heat the water slowly enough and the frog staysput until it boilsto death.
"This is one of those moments when you're like the proverbial frog in the pot and it's getting hotter and hotter and hotter, Luckily, I think we jumped out before it got to boiling," he said. "But there were a few days when I wasn't so sure."
In the past month,Morneau's department has rolled out emergency benefits for people who have lost their jobs due to the continuing economic shutdown, interest-free loans for small businesses and a 75 per cent wage subsidy program meant to encourage employers to keep people on the payroll.
The program design and delivery hasn't been perfect. Those wage subsidies have yet to be delivered, and the government's been forced to adjust eligibility for the other measures to ensure people who need help can get it.
"We tried to be aggressive in getting measures out to support people and recognize that perfect was going to be the enemy of the good. We're actually ahead of most people in the implementation of those measures ... in terms of getting money into people's pockets," Morneau said in an interview airing today.
"Now we're trying to make sure for those peoplewho not by design but because we moved fast aren't properly supported,that we're coming out to support them, too."
It's been an intense challenge, he said but that's not the point.
"We needto remember there are a whole host of families out there who are dealing with someone in the family who's died. There are people in [their]80s who you and I know who are terrified," he said.
"So intense as it is for me, it's worse for a lot of people."
The numbers are staggering, especially when they offer only the most rudimentary snapshot of what Canadians are really going through.
A million jobs lost in March alone. More than 31,400 confirmed and presumptive cases as of Friday and 1,250 deaths.
Worse still, manyof those dying are older Canadians who were living in nursing homes and long-term care facilities. Those deaths could have been prevented, said Margaret Gillis, president of the International Longevity Centre Canada, which advocates for the human rights of older people.
"It wasn't like we were without warning," she said in a separate interview on The House. "There have been issues with long-term care in our country for many years."
The good news is that the rate of infection appears to be slowing, at least in some parts of the country. That's ledto calls forgovernments to begin easing some of the restrictions now in place that have slowed the economy to a standstill.
Morneau said heisn't even considering that yet.
The finance minister used the word "crisis" six times in the interview underscoring his pre-occupation with the short-term challenges of assisting people who are struggling financially because of the pandemic.
Which explains why Morneau is reluctant to say how long he thinks these programs will need to continue, and why he's unwilling to join the governor of the Bank of Canada, Stephen Poloz, in predictingwhen the economy will rebound.
Poloz told the Commons finance committee on Thursday that in a best-case scenario, it would take the economy roughlya year to regain what it lost. Even then, the recovery is expected to be uneven as resource-intensive sectors await a rebound in other parts of the world.
"We are obviously hopeful that the impacts of the crisis are temporary," Morneau said. "What I don't know, what no one can know, is exactly how long that will be."
Caution. Prudence. These are things every finance minister wants to be known for.Morneau's not disagreeing with Poloz. He's not agreeing with him either.
"Right now, what I'm doing is making sure we don't tell people things we can't know well enough to be sure," he said. "So I don't have enough information at this stage to inform people what exactly the economy will look like in six months or in 12 months."
For now, Morneausaid, he'll continue to look at ways to support jobs and carry on refiningthose income support programs for those who can't work. He'll continue as he did Friday for the energy and cultural industries to offer assistance to sectors of the economy that have been disproportionately harmed by the downturn.
And Morneau and the government are giving every impressionthey're going to maintainthat focus for many weeks if not months into the future.
Also on this week's show:
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Chris Hall: Bill Morneau's keeping his pandemic focus firmly on the near-term - CBC.ca
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