Here are my favorite DraftKings Sportsbook picks for Wednesdays slate of MLB games; were going heavy on the total bases props.
Follow along on Twitter (@Nick_Friar) for updates.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
As much as I like the Reds as an opponent for Braxton Garrett, this specific matchup isnt a good one for the Miami left-hander. Drury has crushed left-handed pitchers this season, and hes been especially tough on them of late. Across his last 47 plate appearances against lefties, Drury has a 48.5% hard-contact rate and 51.5% fly-ball rate (putting the over on his home run prop in play at +245). That quality contact has turned into four doubles and six home runs, helping lead to Drurys .489 ISO during that span.
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Santander is rolling right now. Hes laced an extra-base hit in four of his last six games played, the last two being home runs. Although the Baltimore outfielder doesnt have a great ISO against right-handed pitching this month, hes getting the ball airborne often (30.4% ground-ball rate). That should play well against Drew Rasumssen. Tampa Bays Wednesday starter has a 26.1% line-drive rate against left-handed hitters across his last four starts. While he does have a 2.53 ERA against lefty bats throughout this stretch, Rasmussens 4.29 FIP during the same time frame indicates hes due for some tough results against lefties.
Hernandez has the perfect marriage of form and matchup on Wednesday. Hes put together a .283 ISO against right-handed pitching this month on the back of four home runs and five doubles. Those extra-base hits have been the result of a 40% hard-contact rate and 35% line-drive rate. The last 80 right-handed hitters to face Adam Wainwright have almost put up the same hard-contact rate (39.3%), too. Across his last five starts, Wainwright has also surrendered a 29.5% line-drive rate to righties.
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