Offshore oil and gas drilling is set for a rebound this year following a major 2020 pullback when exploration and production companies deferred many activities due to the pandemic and the collapse in oil prices. Lower lifting and breakeven costs at the most prolific offshore oil regions off Brazil and Guyana are setting the stage for a rebound in offshore drilling in South America, which will be one of the main growth drivers of global offshore activity this year, analysts say.
Drilling and well services spending in Latin America is forecast to grow strongly, thanks to continued offshore activity in Brazil as Brazils state oil giant Petrobras focuses on the deepwater pre-salt basin. The promising Guyana basin will also see new wells drilled and discoveries developed, according to the latest World Drilling & Well Services Market Forecast 2021-2025 Q1 by Westwood Global Energy.
Global Offshore Spending To Grow From 2020 Lows
Although operators around the world remain cautious about capex, this years expenditure on drilling & well services (DWS)both offshore and onshoreis set to grow to US$156 billion, slightly up from last year. The higher spending will be the result of higher oil prices and forecasts of recovery in demand, Westwood Global Energy said.
The United States, China, and Russia will lead onshore drilling activities, while Brazil and Guyana will be the key drivers of offshore spending, the analysts said.
Rystad Energy also sees South AmericaBrazil and Guyana in particularas the main contributor to offshore drilling growth. Offshore activity is set for annual increases of around 10 percent in each of 2021 and 2022, the energy research firm said last week.
In contrast to previous years, when the North American shale sector led production growth, we expect the onshore and offshore shelf in the Middle East and the deepwater market in South America to be the main drivers of growth going forward, said Daniel Holmedal, energy research analyst at Rystad Energy.
Related: U.S. Oil Rig Count Posts Double-Digit Gains As Oil Prices Rise Offshore investment is set for a rapid rebound this year, driven by deferred projects from 2020 and a resurgent Petrobras, Thom Payne, Head of Offshore at Westwood Global Energy, wrote in an analysis in February.
Low breakeven costs make Brazils pre-salt and Guyanas basin very attractive drilling opportunities, even if oil prices were at $40 per barrel.
Projects in Brazils pre-salt region have breakeven oil prices as low as $35 per barrel, Effuah Alleyne, Senior Analyst at GlobalData, said at the end of last year.
Guyanas ultra-deepwater projects in the frontier Guyana-Suriname Basin have breakeven oil prices as low as $23/bbl, with short-term production expected to grow 10-fold by 2024 from projects such as Liza Phase 2, Alleyne noted.
Guyana A Top Priority For Exxon
Exxons continued exploration and development on the Stabroek block offshore Guyana is set to drive offshore drilling in the country in the coming years.
Guyana is one of the top priorities in the U.S. supermajors strategy to focus on high-return and cash-generating projects that would allow it to grow its dividend through 2025.
90 percent of our upstream investments in resource additions, including in Guyana, Brazil and the U.S. Permian Basin, generate a 10 percent return at $35 per barrel or less, Exxons chairman and CEO Darren Woods said on the investor day last month.
Despite disappointing early 2021 drilling results, exploration activity in Guyana is on track to set an annual record of 16 wells, including on the Stabroek block, according to Rystad Energy.
Related: Recent SEC Decision Could Spark Investment In Big Oil
Exxon is also currently developing the Liza Phase 2 Project, designed to pump up to 220,000 bpd with a floating, production, storage, and offloading vessel (FPSO), with start-up expected in the middle of next year. Exxon has also recently made the final investment decision on the Payara oilfield offshore Guyana, expecting the project to yield up to 220,000 bpd of crude when commercial production begins in 2024.
Brazils Petrobras Focuses On The Prolific Pre-salt Basin
Petrobras is heavily divesting non-core assets onshore and offshore, as well as refinery operations, as it continues to cut its massive debt and bets big on boosting production and development in the very prolific and low-cost pre-salt basin.
Over the past five years, the share of the pre-salt region in the companys oil and gas production has jumped to 66 percent in 2020 from just 24 percent in 2015, Petrobras said earlier this year when it announced that its 2020 annual oil and gas production hit a record high. Production in the pre-salt basin totaled 1.86 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boed) in 2020 out of Petrobras total 2.84 million boed output last year.
Despite the crash in oil prices, Petrobras continued its strong cash flow generation, with free cash flow at US$10.4 billion for the first nine months of 2020, Fitch Ratings said in February, affirming its ratings on Petrobras.
The strong cash flow generation, even with collapsing oil prices the primary result of cost and capex reductions. Petrobras reported a material decline in lifting costs in 2020 to around US$5.10 per barrel of oil equivalent (boe) from approximately US$9.6/boe in 2019, Fitch said. The significant decrease in lifting costs was the result of cost reductions and the growing share of Petrobras pre-salt production, which has a lower lifting cost than legacy production, the rating agency noted.
By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com
More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:
Read more here:
The 2 Nations Driving The Recovery In Offshore Oil - OilPrice.com
- BASF to Buy Stake in German Offshore Wind Farms From Vattenfall -- Update - MarketWatch - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Denmark Launches Massive Offshore Wind Auction | Offshore Wind - Offshore WIND - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- rsted and OEG Renewables Form Offshore Wind Pact in US | Offshore Wind - Offshore WIND - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Vestas and Maersk team up for South Korean offshore wind - Recharge - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Denmark's offshore wind parks currently generate 2.7 gigawatts of electricity - The Mountaineer - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- rsted Buys Sunrise Wind Stake from Eversource - Offshore WIND - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- 'More non-turbine challenges' | GE hits back in New York round 3 offshore wind demise - Recharge - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- 'Heart-breaking': Refugees once detained offshore by Australia warn the UK government not to push through its ... - The Albany Herald - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Hearing scheduled this week on bill to advance offshore wind - delawarebusinessnow.com - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Aker BP begins production from Hanz field offshore Norway - Offshore Technology - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Denmark launches its biggest offshore wind farm tender - The Caledonian-Record - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Vestas and Maersk to Build Offshore Wind Hub in South Korea | Offshore Wind - Offshore WIND - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- U.S. Navy To Convert Oil Rigs Into Offshore Military Bases To Counter China In The Pacific - Marine Insight - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- BASF seals deal to buy into gigascale Vattenfall offshore wind to power chemicals complex - Recharge - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- First Moray West 14.7MW Offshore Wind Turbine Comes Up - Offshore Engineer - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- NYSERDA concludes New York's third offshore wind solicitation without final awards - 4C Offshore - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Galp Energia says Namibia offshore field could contain 10B barrels of oil - Seeking Alpha - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Framework Agreement signed with rsted in the US - 4C Offshore - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- A submerged concern: offshore wind cables - Martha's Vineyard Times - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Possible human smuggling operation thwarted offshore in South Florida - cw34.com - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Maersk sets sights on offshore wind logistics in South Korea - Splash247 - Splash 247 - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Brigantine, Ventnor respond to offshore wind suit dismissal - Press of Atlantic City - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Denmark launches 6GW offshore wind tender with an eye on production of green hydrogen and e-fuels - Hydrogen Insight - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Trump says he hates wind power at fundraiser with oil executives - The Washington Post - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Humboldt County Officials Headed to Massachusetts Next Week to Check Out Vineyard Offshore's Wind Farm - Lost Coast Outpost - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- 3 More Offshore Wind Projects Bite the Dust - Heatmap - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Europe's First Commercial-Scale Floating Offshore Wind Farm Secures All Planning Approvals | Offshore Wind - Offshore WIND - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- OEG Renewables lands US offshore wind contract with rsted - Energy Voice - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Vattenfall and BASF sign purchase agreement for 49 percent of Germany's Nordlicht offshore wind farms - Vattenfall - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- House Republicans ask Gov. Moore to veto offshore wind financing bill - Ocean City Today - April 22nd, 2024 [April 22nd, 2024]
- Enterprise Products Partners Granted MARAD Port License For Biggest Offshore Oil Export Terminal In U.S. - Marine Insight - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- RWE Wants to Expand Supply of Fiber Cables for Floating Offshore Wind - The Maritime Executive - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- US unveils next steps in its 20242029 Gulf of Mexico oil & gas leasing program - Offshore Energy - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Romania adopts offshore wind energy law to get first megawatts by 2032 - Balkan Green Energy News - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Baltic Sea nations turn to Nato and EU to protect offshore infrastructure from Russian threats - Recharge - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Canadian Pension Fund to Consolidate Its Offshore Wind Holdings into UK-Based Reventus Power | Offshore Wind - Offshore WIND - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Australia urged to ensure its gas strategy features LNG opportunities - Offshore Energy - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Taiwan's offshore wind power moves forward. - 4C Offshore - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Siem Offshore lines up multi-year gig for 2016-built oil spill response vessel in Brazilian waters - Offshore Energy - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Poland's Largest Offshore Wind Project Readies for 2025 Auction | Offshore Wind - Offshore WIND - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- New assignment for Wood in Trinidad and Tobago - Offshore Energy - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- SalMar 'won't build offshore farms in Norway without ground rent tax' - FishFarmingExpert - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- SLO County fishermen sue Coastal Commission, offshore wind companies. Weve got rights here - San Luis Obispo Tribune - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- New floating offshore wind partnership committed to Celtic Sea - 4C Offshore - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Norwind Offshore's CSOV to Feature Seaonics Fully-Electric Crane - Offshore WIND - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Eversource's Offshore Wind Lessons Have Created A Buying Opportunity (NYSE:ES) - Seeking Alpha - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- FERC approves collaboration between PJM, New Jersey to boost offshore wind - Daily Energy Insider - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- April 10 Golden Knights vs Oilers NHL Offshore Betting Odds, Preview - The Latest Sports Betting News - OffshoreSportsbooks.com - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Arsenal vs Aston Villa EPL Offshore Odds, Preview, and Prediction - The Latest Sports Betting News - OffshoreSportsbooks.com - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- O&Gs emissions reduction roadmap and the importance of refinery efficiency - Offshore Technology - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- West Ham vs Fulham EPL Offshore Odds, Preview, and Prediction - The Latest Sports Betting News - OffshoreSportsbooks.com - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Liverpool vs Crystal Palace EPL Offshore Odds, Preview, and Prediction - The Latest Sports Betting News - OffshoreSportsbooks.com - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- April 10 Astros vs Royals MLB Offshore Betting Odds, Preview - The Latest Sports Betting News - OffshoreSportsbooks.com - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- RS helps propel offshore wind farm initiative in education sector - The Manufacturer - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Bournemouth vs Man United EPL Offshore Odds, Preview, and Prediction - The Latest Sports Betting News - OffshoreSportsbooks.com - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Grand National Offshore Odds, Preview, and Prediction (2024) - The Latest Sports Betting News - OffshoreSportsbooks.com - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Tyra, a State-of-the-Art Offshore Gas Hub in the North Sea - Total - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- 50Hertz to start onshore works for Windanker offshore wind farm - Power Technology - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Fund manager Pelagic teams up with Borealis Maritime to expand offshore fleet - TradeWinds - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- Another LNG carrier gets Silverstream's air lubrication tech at Seatrium - Offshore Energy - April 10th, 2024 [April 10th, 2024]
- VIDEO: EPS splashes USCG's first Heritage-class offshore patrol cutter - Naval Today - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- N.J.s election focusing on abortion and offshore wind - WHYY - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- Business Network for Offshore Wind changes name to Oceantic ... - WorkBoat - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- Geotechnical Surveys Completed at Scottish 3.6 GW Floating ... - Offshore WIND - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- Fitch downgrades Eversource outlook to 'negative' on uncertainty ... - Utility Dive - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- Kongsberg & Solstad Offshore to Collaborate on Decarbonisation ... - The Maritime Executive - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- Second BOEM in-person hearing on offshore wind generates ... - Ocean City Today - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- NOV Earnings: Offshore Remains Central Performance Driver as ... - Morningstar - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- Murphy eyes first oil in 2026 from offshore project in Southeast Asia - Offshore Energy - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- CorPower Ocean's wave energy device weathers through two major ... - Offshore Energy - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- Somerset offshore wind plant clears major hurdle - CommonWealth magazine - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- In a 'world first,' autonomous giant drones are flying cargo to offshore ... - Electrek - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- Port of VA Receives First Massive Offshore Wind Components - Chesapeake Bay Magazine - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- HBA Future Energy to Build 532 MW Anma Offshore Substation - Offshore WIND - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- PGE, rsted Gather Tier 1 Offshore Contractors for 1.5 GW Baltica 2 - Offshore WIND - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- Philippine police unearth 'torture chamber' in sex den licensed as ... - The Straits Times - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- CIP & Co Release Findings of Taranaki Offshore Wind Capability ... - Offshore WIND - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- UK offshore wind stands up to Storm Ciaran - reNEWS - November 2nd, 2023 [November 2nd, 2023]
- Hatteras Offshore Open kicks off billfish series - The Coastland ... - The Coastland Times - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Anna Paulina Luna to feds: Study dangers of offshore wind turbines - Tampa Bay Times - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]