It should have sunk in a lot sooner with the public just how truly fraught and uncharted the territory is that were lurching toward in 2024.
Not a single set of current circumstances spells calm and normal. Its the opposite. Theyre all destined for discord, misrule, and distrust. And it will be at a level that makes the 2020 presidential election from hell look like a furry convention.
Just look at the most likely scenarios.
Joe Biden and his trusty affirmative action ditz Kamala Harris skate to the nomination. Theres a lot of time between now and November 2024, but every bit of publicly available data at the moment spells certain doom for Democrats. Polls consistently show Biden is unpopular and that voters prefer Donald Trump on all major issues, save abortion (which, admittedly, is a big one that has cost Republicans elections before). A normal person looks at that set of circumstances and says, Well, that makes sense. Trump will probably win. But Democrats arent normal people at any given moment, no less in an election year they are likely to lose to Donald Trump. Under those circumstances, theyre desperate to the point of maniacal, and they wont go down quietly or with anything resembling honor.
Biden experiences a health crisis that renders him incapable of campaigning, but he nevertheless refuses to bow out. Maybe its an ugly fall. Maybe its something worse. But whatever it might be, its not out of the realm of possibility that Bidens physical or mental health comes under jeopardy (as it has essentially always been). A normal person looks at that set of circumstances and says, He should take care of himself and back out while he can. But Democrats wont do that. Recall what they did last year when one of their nominees for U.S. Senate suffered a near-fatal stroke. They didnt insist he do whats best for his family and his health. No, they fastened him to a Speak & Spell and doubled up on their ballot-harvesting efforts. Should something similar happen to Biden, they will do the same, even as the stakes are far higher. Get familiar with the phrase President Kamala Harris.
Biden determines on his own or by coercion to step aside. This scenario is only possible if Kamala also agrees not to pursue the nomination. No serious Democrat believes shes capable of doing the job of being president, nor do any one of them believe she should try. But they wont abandon the first black lady woman of color vice president if she doesnt say its okay first. But the timing of such a potential game change is a predicament on its own. When is a good time for an incumbent president, who has said he is running for a second term, to recuse himself?
The only possibility is at the Democrat convention, when Biden, with virtually all of the party delegates, endorses someone else agreed upon by party leaders. A normal person looks at that set of circumstances and says, This is a sh-t show, and I cant believe weve ended up here. Democrats dont waste time on such thoughts. With great assistance from their friends in the news media, they will insist this is normal, that its something the party had to do for the sake of democracy! and that to the extent there is anything amiss, its because Donald Trump has ruined all of Americas democratic traditions, safeguards, and nooooorms.
The last presidential election was anything but normal. The next one is destined to be even more precarious.
Read more here:
Every Biden 2024 Scenario Is Deadly Dangerous - The Federalist
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