Text size
Hertz Global Holdings shares have been rallying amid investor enthusiasm for the rental-car company ahead of its planned emergence from bankruptcy on June 30.
Investors appear to be attracted to Hertz because of strong rental-car pricing, a discounted valuation relative to rival Avis Budget Group (ticker: CAR), and expectations that the company will have greater financial and operational flexibility once it exits bankruptcy.
Hertz shares (HTZGQ) rose 23 cents, or 3%, to $7.91 on Tuesday after hitting a new 52-week high of $8.89. They traded as recently as June 4 at around $6, when Barronswrote favorably on the stock. Hertz now is valued at $1.2 billion based on 156 million shares outstanding.
The stock was up about 10% Monday. The companys reorganization plan was approved by a bankruptcy court last week.
Under that plan, creditors are being paid off in full, and shareholders are getting a package of cash, shares in the reorganized company, and stock warrants that Hertzs financial advisers estimated earlier this year was worth $7.36 a share. Based on investor enthusiasm for the company, the package could be worth considerably more than $7.36 a share.
Shareholders recently had the opportunity to participate in a rights offering to buy new stock or take warrants in the reorganized company. Nearly 90% chose warrants, which was viewed as the more attractive choice based on the projected value of the warrants.
New shares of the reorganized Hertz are expected to begin trading around June 30 with when-issued activity possible earlier. The warrants are expected to start trading around the same time as the stock.
There are expected to be about 470 million of new Hertz shares outstanding. Current stockholders and others had the right to buy stock at $10 a share. An investor group including Knighthead Capital and Certares Management has agreed to buy almost $3 billion of stock, reflecting the enthusiasm among many institutional investors for Hertz.
Based on an estimated equity value for the company of $6.5 billion, that implies a stock price for new Hertz shares of around $14. The warrants are based on a $6.5 billion valuation, meaning an estimated strike price of close to $14.
Current Hertz stockholders will get $1.53 a share in cash, 3% of the stock in the reorganized company, and warrants for 18% of the reorganized company. That may translate into roughly one tenth of a share of new stock and about two-thirds of a warrant per a current Hertz share, Barrons estimates.
Newsletter Sign-up
A morning briefing on what you need to knowin the day ahead, including exclusive commentary fromBarron's and MarketWatch writers.
The bulk of the value in the package is in the warrants, which have an unusually long maturity of 30 years. That long maturity should make the warrants valuable and give them a high correlation, or delta, relative to the stock. A $1 change in the stock could mean a 75-cent change in the Hertz warrants, for a delta of 75%. Most warrants mature in 10 years or less.
Investors are excited about rising rental car pricing amid a scarcity of vehicles. The consumer price index report for May released last week showed that rental car prices were up 10% in the month after 14% increases in each of the previous two months. There has been anecdotal evidence of customers paying hundreds of dollars a day for rental cars amid scarcity. This summer could be a blockbuster period for the industry.
Here comes the pricing power was the title of a research note from Morgan Stanley analyst Billy Kovanis on Avis. He notes that the incremental profit on higher pricing is 90%. He lifted his cash flow estimates for Avis for 2021, 2022, and 2023.
He also said that investor money could flow into Hertz stock if it emerged from bankruptcy with a lower valuation than Avis, whose stock has more than doubled this year. Avis shares were off 85 cents on Tuesday, to $90.75. Hertz is expected to emerge from bankruptcy with little or no net debt and a stronger balance sheet than Avis, whose market value is $6.4 billion.
Avis has been the main way to play the rental-car industry. That will change with Hertzs emergence late this month. Avis, Hertz and the private Enterprise dominate the U.S. industry.
Write to andrew.bary@barrons.com
Visit link:
Hertz Stock Gains as Bankruptcy Exit Nears. Here's Why. - Barron's
- Boy Scouts' bankruptcy judge approves nearly $250 million in fees - Reuters - October 22nd, 2023 [October 22nd, 2023]
- What CARD's Clean Slate Post-Bankruptcy Could Mean For Autism ... - Behavioral Health Business - October 22nd, 2023 [October 22nd, 2023]
- 8 Senators Ask U.S. Treasury to Consider 'Going Concern' Bid to ... - International Brotherhood of Teamsters - October 22nd, 2023 [October 22nd, 2023]
- A Burger King franchisee gets sold out of bankruptcy, and a big buyer is Burger King - Restaurant Business Online - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- Furniture-maker Noble House falls into bankruptcy, owes overseas ... - Retail Dive - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- How to Get Your Own "Free" Private Investigator in Bankruptcy - Ward and Smith, PA - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- Large Corporate Bankruptcy Filings Surged in First Half of 2023 ... - ABL Advisor - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- MV Realty Files For Chapter 11 Bankruptcy - The Real Deal - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- Vesttoo case: Time to "stop litigating and start cooperating" says ... - Artemis.bm - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- BlockFi Bankruptcy Plan Receives Approval - Watcher Guru - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- From Bank To Bankruptcy: How This Crypto Scam Toppled A US ... - Bitcoinist - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- Mainstream Media Objects to Further Customer Data Redactions in ... - Cryptonews - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- CARD's Founding CEO Returns to the Helm: What's Next for the ... - Behavioral Health Business - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- "Calvin Klein was once on the verge of bankruptcy": BTS' Jungkook's ... - Sportskeeda - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- Lerner Family Fight: Father's Actions led to Bankruptcy, son Says - The Real Deal - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- Mercy Foundation asks court to clarify its role in bankruptcy - The Gazette - September 28th, 2023 [September 28th, 2023]
- Celsius bankruptcy auction nears end, with Fahrenheit in the lead - Reuters - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Surge in corporate bankruptcies just the start for debt-loaded firms - Business Insider - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- 7 Companies Declare Bankruptcy Over Weekend in 15-Year Record - PYMNTS.com - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Credit Crunch Fuels 48-Hour Bankruptcy Rush With Seven Filings - Yahoo Finance - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Private equity-backed Envision Healthcare files for bankruptcy - Financial Times - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Drobo, having stopped sales and support, reportedly files Chapter 7 bankruptcy - Ars Technica - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Roxby Bankruptcy Cases Dismissed, Foreclosure Action Expected ... - Wheeling Intelligencer - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Voyager bankruptcy plan approved, customers may recover 35.7% of claims initially - Cointelegraph - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Bed Bath and Beyond's bankruptcy could help TJ Maxx owner TJX - Yahoo Finance - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- IronNet: Near-Term Bankruptcy Filing Might Be In The Cards - Sell ... - Seeking Alpha - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Filing For Bankruptcy Protection Due To PFAS Litigation Costs - The National Law Review - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Full list of retailers that have filed for bankruptcy as shoppers go online to find deals... - The US Sun - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Quadriga CX Bankruptcy Claimants to Get 13% on the Dollar - CoinDesk - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Sorrento Therapeutics, Inc.'s Bankruptcy Court Orders Brokerage Firms to Credit Dividended Scilex Stock to Customers' Accounts and Sorrento Advises... - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Failing ventures and Twitter hiatus spark Tai Lopez bankruptcy ... - Protos - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Facing bankruptcy, Highland Park settles lawsuit over seized ... - WXYZ 7 Action News Detroit - May 18th, 2023 [May 18th, 2023]
- Judge in archdiocese bankruptcy case recuses himself over donations scandal - The Guardian US - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Revlon Taps New Directors as Lenders Take Control in Bankruptcy - The Wall Street Journal - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Opinion: Highland Park shouldn't declare bankruptcy over water debt - Detroit Free Press - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- In Kolkata, India's new bankruptcy law is put to the test - Financial Times - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Judge in Catholic bankruptcy recuses over church donations - The Associated Press - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Judge in New Orleans Roman Catholic bankruptcy recuses himself over church donations - PBS NewsHour - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Four companies indirectly owned by Berkshire Hathaway file for bankruptcy (NYSE:BRK.B) - Seeking Alpha - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Pfizer Buys Lucira Health for $36.4M Through Bankruptcy Auction - GenomeWeb - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Bed Bath & Beyond shares drop after it files for bankruptcy protection - Detroit Free Press - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Bankruptcy Battle Breaks Out Over Greenwich Village Dev Site - The Real Deal - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- US companies in distress turn to debt exchanges to dodge bankruptcy - Financial Times - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- National retailer sold out of bankruptcy, will close remaining South ... - columbiabusinessreport.com - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Companies facing bankruptcy do this: Internet irate after Elon Musk led-Twitter reportedly slashed parental leaves - Business Today - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Tim Ziss Files For Bankruptcy To Extend Contract For Midtown Office - The Real Deal - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Future at Conway plant unclear after bankruptcy - Arkansas Online - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- J&J Uses Cajoling, $9 Billion Offer to Sell New Talc Bankruptcy - Bloomberg Law - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Donald Trump and 5 Other Famous People Who Filed for Bankruptcy and What Happened Next - Yahoo Finance - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Beloved retailer and Michaels rival to close nine more stores amid bankruptcy fears see the full list of... - The US Sun - April 30th, 2023 [April 30th, 2023]
- Process - Bankruptcy Basics | United States Courts - March 31st, 2023 [March 31st, 2023]
- 10 years after bankruptcy scare, village is paying $2.5M in cash for new Village Hall - MLive.com - March 31st, 2023 [March 31st, 2023]
- Bankruptcy: What You Need to Know - NerdWallet - February 7th, 2023 [February 7th, 2023]
- DCG Creditor Pact Revealed With Plan to Sell Genesis Trading Unit as Part of Bankruptcy - CoinDesk - February 7th, 2023 [February 7th, 2023]
- Staring Down Bankruptcy, Bed Bath & Beyond Says It Will Sell Stock - The New York Times - February 7th, 2023 [February 7th, 2023]
- Pet store with several Mass. locations files for bankruptcy, will cease operations at end of month - Boston 25 News - February 7th, 2023 [February 7th, 2023]
- What Is Bankruptcy? Forbes Advisor - January 19th, 2023 [January 19th, 2023]
- Filing for Bankruptcy: What to Know | Consumer Advice - January 19th, 2023 [January 19th, 2023]
- Bankruptcy | California Courts | Self Help Guide - January 19th, 2023 [January 19th, 2023]
- Bed Bath & Beyond could file for bankruptcy 'as early as this weekend': Macco CEO - Yahoo Finance - January 6th, 2023 [January 6th, 2023]
- Bankruptcy Basics Glossary | United States Courts - October 23rd, 2022 [October 23rd, 2022]
- Cash crunch caused Thrifty Propane to file for bankruptcy: statement - WJW FOX 8 News Cleveland - October 19th, 2022 [October 19th, 2022]
- Chinese Steel Manufacturers On The Brink Of Bankruptcy - OilPrice.com - October 19th, 2022 [October 19th, 2022]
- Pennsylvania Bankruptcy Court Finds That Consent and Release Do Not Protect Against Wrongful Foreclosure Claim - JD Supra - October 19th, 2022 [October 19th, 2022]
- Congressional Candidate Critical of Loan Forgiveness Sought to Have Student Debt Cleared Via Bankruptcy - NBC4 Washington - October 19th, 2022 [October 19th, 2022]
- Bloomberg Tax Introduces New Portfolio Addressing Employee Benefits and Bankruptcy - PR Newswire - October 19th, 2022 [October 19th, 2022]
- Alex Jones claims bankruptcy: How will Sandy Hook families get paid? - Grid - October 19th, 2022 [October 19th, 2022]
- Bankruptcy - Michigan - October 17th, 2022 [October 17th, 2022]
- PFC to take RattanIndia plant to bankruptcy court this year | Mint - Mint - October 17th, 2022 [October 17th, 2022]
- Significant Fee increases for Bankruptcy and Winding-Up Petitions on the way - Lexology - October 17th, 2022 [October 17th, 2022]
- US Bankruptcy Court NJ - Live Database - October 15th, 2022 [October 15th, 2022]
- It Is Time To Change Bankruptcy Forum Laws - Patent - United States - Mondaq - October 13th, 2022 [October 13th, 2022]
- Judge in Archdiocese of Santa Fe bankruptcy sets proposed timeline to pay abuse victims - Yahoo News - October 13th, 2022 [October 13th, 2022]
- CMS Protests QHC Bankruptcy Plan Will Not Cover $1M Owed to Agency - Skilled Nursing News - October 13th, 2022 [October 13th, 2022]
- As Jury Deliberates In CT, Alex Jones And His Lawyers Are Setting Fire To Each Other In TX Bankruptcy Court - Above the Law - October 13th, 2022 [October 13th, 2022]
- Student loans are notoriously difficult to discharge in bankruptcy. A new bill could change that - Fortune - October 13th, 2022 [October 13th, 2022]
- Pioneering computer science alumnus battles bankruptcy and more on road to graduation - Oklahoma State University - October 13th, 2022 [October 13th, 2022]
- J&J Talc Bankruptcy 'Bad Faith' Claims Go Before Third Circuit - Bloomberg Law - September 20th, 2022 [September 20th, 2022]
- New amendments to bankruptcy code can maximise recovery of stressed assets - DNA India - September 20th, 2022 [September 20th, 2022]
- Judge reports threats, harassment over J&J talc bankruptcy - Reuters - September 17th, 2022 [September 17th, 2022]