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Monthly Archives: July 2022
Why we must act now on religious freedom before it is too late – The Tablet
Posted: July 13, 2022 at 8:54 am
The London ministerial conference on Freedom of Religion or Belief has served as a reminder that religious freedom is fractured beyond repair, and we must act now before its too late, writes Qamar Rafiq.
The religious freedom crisis and its consequences are nothing new. I have suffered at the very sharp end of a system where only religious identity determines your status, freedom, and opportunity.
There wasn't space for me to survive and thrive. Hence, I was compelled to leave my home country. I gave up so much more than the sun and sea to rebuild my life in England. These are life-changing experiences which go beyond pain and suffering. I urge when the nightmare is over, we must evaluate who owes an apology for all those long painful years of subjugation that victims of religious oppression face.
There are clear signs the crisis of religious freedom has landed us in the worst of all worlds. As a result of the pandemic of religious persecution everywhere, the face of religious freedom has become fierce and damning testimony to a flagrant disregard for the right to life.
Study after study has revealed that religiously motivated extremists and non-state actors continue to target religious minorities. And faith communities not only face brutal robbery of their rights but also the challenges which include the vandalism of their sites of worship and discriminatory laws, which has aggravated the situation to horror. Similarly, the crimes of forced conversion, abductions and enslavement of minority women and girls are among the biggest human rights issues in the arena.
Welcome to this new era of breakdown that affects us all.
Atrocities in the name of religion have made the case that FoRB is under sustained attack a concern we can't afford to overlook. On 5 and 6 July 2022, the United Kingdom convened the International Ministerial on Freedom of religion or belief (FoRB) to engage with civil society, religious actors, and governments for a global action to address the underlying threat. Indubitably, it is a colossal mandate and it wont flourish without leadership, strategy, and change.
Thankfully, Britain has not only taken a leadership role in advancing the cause but also pledged to ripen herd instinct by strengthening its partnership with International FoRB Alliance.
During the FoRB prayer breakfast, I had the opportunity to meet government officials, religious leaders, survivors of persecution, and civil society organisations from around the world. It soon became clear from these conversations that the religious freedom crisis that has become an international tragedy.
The Prime Ministers Special Envoy for FoRB, Fiona Bruce, highlighted the necessity for robust engagement with governments, civil society, and academics to advance religious freedom and associated rights. Lord Ahmad of Wimbledon spoke about the power of prayer and faith when human solutions fail to guide you. He urged delegates to remember the golden thread of life is Love for all hatred for none.
The event featured the genocides of religious minorities, such as the Hazaras in Afghanistan, the Bahai in Iran and the Yazidis in Iraq, which has brought awareness to the bleak situation that continues to be neglected by law enforcement, media and governments around the world.
The event also brought to light to the kind of political discourse that is fundamentally driven by religion and that has crushed the values of democracy. Perhaps, we cannot protect our living world until we revolutionise our political systems in order to safeguard the social, economic and civil rights of faith communities.
In his remarks during the panel session, Bishop of Truro Philip Mounstephen said the key challenge is to keep up the momentum around the issue. We must not let it sink back into the place that it was before, largely ignored and overlooked.
A lifelong champion of persecuted people and victims of genocide, Lord Alton of Liverpool emphasised the significance of detecting the beginnings of genocide.He has been repeatedly urging the UK Government to put in place adequate frameworks to thwart the monster of genocide.
I was incredibly honoured to meet Rashad Hussain, ambassador-at-large for international religious freedom. I was especially inspired to learn about his passion and dedication to working for a common cause. I will always remember him as a phenomenal religious freedom champion who has the power of listening.
As a victim of persecution, I can see the ripples of hatred are widespread in many countries for being merciless about dispatching minorities to second even third-class citizens which puts the country in such a grisly place for minorities.
In 2021 more than 4,650 Christians were killed in Nigeria, roughly 13 per day, or about one killing every two hours, according to a report by the international watchdog Open Doors. Nigerians face systematic threats to their right to freedom of belief and Boko Haram jihadists and other armed insurgents repeatedly attack civilians based on their beliefs. Similarly, Pakistans failure to safeguard the fundamental rights of minorities hasnt only amplified the trend of misuse of blasphemy law but also thrown poor minorities into deeper deprivation since 30,000 jobs allocated for minorities remain vacant for years.
Equally appalling is the situation of 130,000 Muslims in Burma who remain in government-run internment camps. The US State Department in its annual report to Congress on international religious freedom has alleged that in India in 2021 attacks on members of the minority communities occurred throughout the year. One question above all strikes at the heart of Indias democracys uncertain prospect of religious freedom: who belongs in todays India?
We need a coordinated global effort to combat our existential crises the rising tide of blasphemy laws and stockpiling of human rights abuses. That is why Britain has propelled a clear message to the world that religious freedom is fractured, beyond repair, and we must act now before it's too late.
The issue has received much attention after the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) has stepped up its commitment to FoRB. In recent years, the British government has taken every possible step to champion freedom of religion.
In September 2018, Jeremy Hunt, British Foreign Secretary, worked hard on the plight of the Rohingya Muslims, who are targets of a brutal campaign of ethnic cleansing mounted by the army of Burma.
On the other hand, he warmly welcomed Bishop Mounstephens report on Christian persecution and its recommendations on 8 July 2019. Noting the worsening situation of the Hazara community and highlighting the risk of a possible genocide, a UK Parliamentary inquiry was launched in April 2022.
The London summit last week was a consequence of the UK's commitment to champion FoRB globally through the FCOs diplomatic network, partnering with faith groups and working together with the countries of concern. Isnt it frightening that a minority facing endless oppression now feels afraid, not being reassured? At worst, the religious freedom agenda risks being derailed, by parroted rhetoric of the governments which is often followed by pledging more excuses.
From Myanmar to India and Nigeria to Pakistan, religious minorities wallow in the myths of denialism. How long can the world cope with the religious freedom crisis? The reality is minorities are in the grip of deep malaise and exhausted by efforts to find havens from tyranny. What happens when denialism bites?
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Why we must act now on religious freedom before it is too late - The Tablet
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‘Peace to the Huts! War on the Palaces!’ Is Sri Lanka Experiencing People’s Justice or a Coup d’tat? – JURIST
Posted: at 8:54 am
Dr. Thamil Ananthavinayagan discusses the recent uprising in Sri Lanka, and its potential to have a meaningful impact on social, racial and moral justice in the country.
What is Happening in Sri Lanka?
The dynasty has fallen. After protesters stormed the presidential palace and the private residences of Sri Lankan President Gotabaya Rajapakse and Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, the former announced his resignation while the latter offered to follow suit.
For some, the anger burgeoned as Sri Lankas economy spiraled into a rapid downfall in the face of crushing debt owed to such regional powers as India, China and Japan, as well as to Western-based international organizations like the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The Rajapaksa regimes extravagant tax breaks and increasing debt ruined the governments finances. As oil prices increased, foreign currency reserves were swiftly drained. Long lines have become commonplace in front of stores selling cooking gas since the nation hardly has enough money left to import the heavily rationed fuel. The 22 million-person nations headline inflation rate was 54.6 percent last month, and the Central Bank has issued a warning that it may increase to 70 percent in coming months.
Peoples Justice, or Majoritarian Justice?
Against this backdrop, pressure had been mounting on the Third World Elite, which had governed and shaped recent decades of Sri Lankan history. Anger about the socio-economic collapse, long queues for fuel, skipping meals to make ends meet: what started with waves of frustration had grown into a tsunami crashing down on the shores of the elites palaces. Scenes of people entering the buildings of their leaders went around the world: sleeping on their beds, swimming in their pools, using their gym equipment and eating in their kitchens. These scenes were reminiscent of the Libyan people entering the palaces of Muammar Gaddafi or of the Iraqi people in Saddam Husseins palaces.
The protests were led predominantly by the Sinhala people, members of Sri Lankas ethnic majority. While they were loud and clear in their demands for social justice in various capacities, they fell silent on key issues of racial justice on the island. And this silence isnt new; the large majority of the Sinhala people were silent when it came to post-colonial string of racial, religious, cultural discriminatory policies; the large majority remained silent when Tamils were attacked during the infamous Black July of 1983; they were silent when Muslims were attacked in the streets after the Easter Bombings of 2019. Pogroms and attacks against Tamils and Muslims were forms of exercising biopower. As it is written elsewhere, as a result of the states role in preserving life that is productive and necessary for the social body, war becomes an organising rationale for and truth-effect of the arrangement of bodies within a population, stimulated by the theme of racism. The war played out in a variety of fashions and modes; but ultimately it was meant to give an identity and self-serving providence of the Sinhala people. It was that identity politics that divided the Third World peoples, a smokescreen for the Third World elites to distract, obstruct and enrich themselves while the ethnic feud assisted in the corruption of solidarity in the post-colonial era. The phenomenon of state capture has not only occurred in Sri Lanka; other Third World countries are carbon copies of Sri Lankas governance.
However, it was only when injustice hit home, when a lack of food and the empty stomachs could not take it anymore, that the realization kicked in: they have also betrayed us. Will the current upheaval lead to a process of critical reflection and discussion? The future is murky, as the keys to the palaces are in the hands of the Sinhala people. Even if talks remain ongoing and there is general agreement to form an all-party interim government, the formation and governance thereof will be heavily influenced, on the one hand by the Sinhala monks who want to influence and shape the future of Sri Lanka, and on the other, by the ambitions of the Army. The manipulation of the post-colonial architecture is real: divisions between communities along racial lines have led to wealth disparities: the richest 20 percent of Sri Lankan households receive more than half of the nations total household income, while the bottom decile (the poorest 20 percent) receives only 5 percent, with the proportion of household income for the poorest 10 percent amounts to just 1.6 percent.
What Does the Future Hold?
The looming intervention of the IMF will not solve the woes of the country. To the contrary, it will exacerbate the situation: the IMF, in the past, had intervened with further loans to support the participating international banks and financiers, placing the burden of repayment on the taxpayers of the damaged economies. Uncollectible private loans were frequently turned into public debt at the IMFs urging. The IMF and the World Bank imposed structural adjustment plans (SAP) on around 90 developing nations, ranging from Guyana to Ghana, over the past 20 years. The goal of these SAPs was to eliminate protectionism and enable neoliberal intrusion. As Brian-Vincent Ikejiaku writes: The international economic liberalism is one of the major powerful tools of international economic law agenda pursued by the Westerners through the auspices of the international financial institutions, in order to continue maintaining the subjugation and control of the third-world countries. () Thus, the growing importance of international organisations such as the G7, IMF and World Bank is indicative of the influence of liberal economic internationalism in the post-Cold War period. Hence, the granting of aid and loan to the poorer communities, as a means for the elimination of hunger and disease in the Third World become the primary aim which these institutions based their activities.
The fight Sri Lankas protestors started must trigger a larger indigenous moment of solidarity: native and foreign elites have sold off the country, using identity politics to intoxicate, manipulate and divide, while enabling them to maintain the upper hand over the country. German scientist, writer and revolutionary Georg Bchner proclaimed once under the title Peace to the huts! War on the Palaces! explaining that peasants and workers should revolt against oppression and excessively high taxation.
And, in fact, it is moment to revolt against injustice in all its forms: social, racial and moral.
Dr. Thamil Venthan Ananthavinayagan, LL.M. (Maastricht University), PhD (NUI Galway) is a lecturer for international law, international humanitarian law and international criminal law at Griffith College Dublin since September 2017. Prior to this lectureship at GCD, he worked as a Fellow and research assistant to the Irish Centre for Human Rights in Galway, Ireland. His doctoral research focused on the engagement of Sri Lanka with the United Nations human rights machinery.
Suggested citation: Thamil Ananthavinayagan, Peace to the huts! War on the palaces! Is Sri Lanka experiencing peoples justice or a coup dtat?, JURIST Academic Commentary, July 12, 2022, https://www.jurist.org/commentary/2022/07/peace-to-the-hut-or-a-coup-detat/
This article was prepared for publication by Ingrid Burke-Friedman, JURIST Features & Commentary Editor. Please direct any questions or comments to [her] at commentary@jurist.org
Opinions expressed in JURIST Commentary are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of JURIST's editors, staff, donors or the University of Pittsburgh.
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Historically Low Approval Ratings of Institutions Show the US Regime in Crisis – Left Voice
Posted: at 8:54 am
Only 36 percent of Americans believe that the U.S. system of government is sound, according to a new poll from Monmouth University. This number is a significant drop from previous polls which showed that even as recently as 2020, 52 percent felt the system was sound. This historic drop down from 62 percent of responders who said that the system was sound in 1980 is the result of sustained decrease in Americans faith in the government over the past several years.
A recent Gallup poll which measures faith in 16 different institutions including governmental institutions as well as institutions more broadly defined such as the medical system and small businesses backed up these findings. The poll found that the average level of faith in institutions is at an all-time low and that faith in 11 of the institutions that they measure has dropped significantly. The biggest drops from 2021 to 2022 were trust in the Presidency and the Supreme Court, likely a direct response to the ongoing political crisis of the regime. Interestingly, the only institution that saw no decline in faith at all on that poll was organized labor. These polls show an increasingly prominent crisis of the institutions, where more and more of the general population are breaking with their faith in these institutions which weaken their ability to control areas of society.
Other signs of this crisis can be seen in the historically low approval rating of the Supreme Court. Only 25 percent of Americans believe the Supreme Court is doing a good job and a majority believe that the court is driven by politics an important rebuttal to the historic misunderstanding of the court as an apolitical institution. Recent far-right decisions, like the overturning of Roe v. Wade, have only intensified public dissatisfaction with the court as an institution, with Abort the Court and other similar slogans being common rallying cries at protests and online. Even members of the liberal intelligentsia typically key defenders of the institutions of American Democracy have had to attack the court as an institution. Vox published a Case Against the Supreme Court, Jamelle Bouie of The New York Times declared that the Supreme Court is the Final Word on Nothing, and Ezra Klein said that Americans need to question the legitimacy of the Supreme Court.
This anger at the Supreme Court comes amidst an incredibly unpopular Congress (82 percent disapprove) and president (59 percent disapprove). In addition, 40 percent of Americans dont believe Biden won the election. These results show that the political regime as a whole and as parts is despised by the majority.
In the days before Joe Biden was sworn in amidst a huge national crisis arising from the wreckage of the Trump presidency and the chaos of January 6 I wrote that Biden was taking power with a set of very specific tasks from the bourgeoisie with the primary one among them being to re-legitimize the institutions of the American state. Essentially, Biden was handpicked by the ruling class as a response to Trump, under the theory that Uncle Joe could restore Americans faith in institutions that had increasingly been revealed to be institutions of racism, oppression, and the preservation of capitalist exploitation rather than the idyllic democratic notions that the bourgeoisie had historically tried to present them as. To combat the awakenings that resulted from Trump, the pandemic, and Black Lives Matter, the Democrats were able to win a majority of the bourgeoisie to Bidens campaign, arguing that he would bring stability, demobilize social movements, and restore legitimacy to institutions of the state both domestically and internationally.
This last point is important. Bidens task was not merely to restore faith in the presidency, the courts, elections, and various other domestic institutions but also to attempt to reassert American hegemony on the world stage. Trumps America First approach was in firm opposition with the neoliberal/neoconservative project of building and maintaining active imperialist control through international alliances between imperialist powers through institutions like NATO, the IMF, etc. This America First orientation led to Trump withdrawing or distancing the U.S. from several of these organizations. He openly, for example, criticized NATO and apparently considered withdrawing from it all together. These moves weakened the United States already declining position abroad and left Biden with a mess on the international stage to contend with, in addition to the crises at home.
In this task, Biden has succeeded far more than he has with the domestic challenges. Specifically as a result of Russias invasion of Ukraine, Biden has been able to reposition the U.S. as a leader internationally, rebuild U.S. forces within NATO, and convince other member states to rearm themselves all in advance of future conflicts with Russia and China. Congress has increased military budgets, allowing Biden more resources with which to maneuver internationally. In addition, public support for NATO is incredibly high (65 percent support) and the main opposition to Bidens militaristic approach in Europe is coming from the Trumpist right who question why funds are being sent to Ukraine in the midst of an economic crisis at home rather than from the Left. In this task, Biden has been a success and has advanced American imperialist power in significant ways.
On the domestic front, of course, the situation is very different. As described above, domestic institutions are increasingly unpopular and Bidens presidency seems to be in crisis with the Democrats likely headed for a midterms blood bath likely worsened by their embarrassing and politically inept response to the overturning of Roe. The seeming impending electoral doom for the Democrats is largely a response to the faltering economy and high inflation, which impact the average working person on a daily basis. Biden and the Democrats have been relatively impotent on the question of inflation, choosing instead to largely leave it to the Federal Reserve to figure out. With many economists predicting a coming recession, economic anxiety and anger at the president who was supposed to bring us a return to prosperity are at a high.
The honeymoon offered to Biden after January 6 has ended and, since that honeymoon period drew to a close, Biden and the Democrats have been unable to pass any significant piece of their legislative agenda engaging in politically costly compromises to weaken the already-milquetoast reforms they were proposing and then still failing to pass them. One important area of failure in the legislative arena was the PRO Act, which was intended in part to co-opt the new union wave into the folds of the Democratic Party by making the Democrats appear to be the party fighting for union rights. But they werent even able to pass that, showing yet again a legislative disunity which only underlines their inability to address the current crisis. In this context, any hopes that the Democrats may have had that the war in Ukraine, anger at the Supreme Court, or the January 6 hearings would bolster support for Biden has been dashed on the rocks of reality.
In this context, it seems likely that the crisis within the Democratic Party between the progressive, establishment, and conservative wings of the party, which has effectively ground all of Bidens legislative agenda to a halt due to the conservative wing represented by Manchin and Sinema being able to veto any legislation they want will re-emerge in an even greater way. The tensions of the current period of the Biden administration has been primarily between the establishment wing and the conservative wing, with the progressives giving political support to the establishment. This is due to the progressive wing being in relative retreat and alliance with the establishment since the 2020 primary fight between Sanders and Biden.
Facing a political massacre as the political face of unpopular institutions, Democratic politicians will have to come up with a strategy to stop the bleeding and find someone to blame for the consequences of their inability to resolve the capitalist crisis. For the establishment wing, it seems clear that the strategy will be, once again, to run against Trumpism (leaning on the January 6 hearings) and attempt to win moderates to the party by ditching activist issues. As an example of this, Hillary Clinton recently said in an interview that trans rights (which are under massive attacks by the advancing right) shouldnt be a priority for the Democrats. Some Democrats have even taken out TV ads trying to distance themselves from the Defund the Police slogan.
Members of the progressive wing, by contrast, are trying to appear more confrontational in hopes that this will make them appear separate from the regime that they currently serve in. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has demanded that Supreme Court justices be investigated for lying under oath surrounding statements that were made about not overturning Roe during the confirmation hearings for several of the Justices who then voted to overturn Roe. Cori Bush aggressively pursued Biden passing climate protections via Executive Order and Rashida Tlaib joined with an activist group to call for more transparency around water policy in Detroit. Several members of the Squad have also been very vocal on social media with fiery statements denouncing various court decisions in recent weeks. If the Democrats do end the year as the minority in Congress, it seems likely that the Progressives may return to their pre-2020 strategy of openly arguing with the establishment wing as an attempt to delineate themselves from the sinking ship of the Democratic Party leadership; though it seems likely that, when push comes to shove, they will toe the line and play their part of saving the Democratic Party by giving them a left cover as they did after the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections.
The Republicans, in the current moment, are on a high, with their crisis becoming more latent than it was even a few months ago. A new approach of Trumpism without Trump has emerged, marrying some of Trumps populism and rhetorical approach with more traditional Republican approaches to foreign policy as well as some hyper-reactionary positions on issues like abortion, trans rights, and immigration. This approach was piloted in the Virginia gubernatorial race in 2021 to great success and has been rolled out to several states since then.
Key figures of Trumpism without Trump include Gregg Abbott and likely 2024 frontrunner Ron DeSantis (who is polling neck and neck with Trump in early 2024 Republican primary polls). Both men have been able to tap into some of Trumps base while also keeping better relations with the party establishment, and have made significantly more moves toward the socially conservative Mike Pence wing of the party than Trump ever did. For all his bluster and reactionary agenda, Trump was always relatively uninterested in typical Republican bugbears of abortion and queer rights focusing his hate instead on immigrants and taking a significantly different approach to foreign policy than the mainstream Republican Party favoring protectionism over globalization and openly critizing important institutions of global hegemony like the WHO, NATO, and the UN. Abbott, DeSantis, and others in this new moment in the Republican Party have brought a Trumpist approach to those issues to, from their perspective, great success, with some of the most oppressive policies against trans people being enacted in several states and Roe being overturned. In this, it is clear how Trumpism without Trump has been able to unite the various warring wings of the party social oppression for the Pence wing, right-wing populism and anti-immigration for the Trump wing, and a more traditional Republican approach to foreign policy and governance for the Romney wing. This new moment of the Republican party positions it well to act as the political representation for the current moment of right wing advance.
Whether this moment of decreased tensions within the party will continue or not is, of course, an open question. Trump is still a major player and it is unclear whether or not he will run again and, if he doesnt, whether he will throw his support behind another leader of the party. In addition, most of Trumpism without Trump is occurring on the state level with only a handful of Trumpist politicians serving in Congress. After November, this will likely no longer be the case there is talk of a potential far-right Squad being formed in the House with Marjorie Taylor-Greene and the new Trumpists being elected which will bring Trumpism into direct conflict with the Mitch McConnell establishment. In addition, despite not being leaders of the institutions of the state, the unpopularity will also have an impact on the Republicans as any potential explosions of rage on the streets will be largely directed at them which could force them into a more defensive position. Additionally, many economists predict that another recession is coming which would greatly impact the political terrain on which both parties operate. Regardless, it seems clear that the current crisis benefits the Republicans far more than it does the Democrats.
As the two main capitalist parties fight amongst themselves for who should steer a sinking ship, the working class and oppressed are more and more enraged at the institutions that got us here. In the third year of a pandemic with yet another once in a generation financial crisis coming, a constantly worsening climate, and massive restrictions on our right to bodily autonomy, there is a real rage at the current situation that, so far, has remained relatively latent though with some meaningful explosions such as Striketober, the recent protests against the Supreme Court, etc.. Yet the powder kegs are being assembled. It is only a matter of time until a match is lit.
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Historically Low Approval Ratings of Institutions Show the US Regime in Crisis - Left Voice
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Bombs, blackmail and wire-taps: how I spent my childhood on the run from the FBI – The Guardian
Posted: at 8:54 am
I was born underground. When I was a kid, my parents were on the run from the FBI and my mom, Bernardine Dohrn, was on the US governments 10 Most Wanted List. J Edgar Hoover called her The most dangerous woman in America.
My parents never hid any of this from me. I knew, from when I was three or four, that we used fake names. I knew we moved around a lot, made calls from public phones, and paid for everything in cash. I knew somebody was chasing us, but didnt know what FBI meant why they, or it, wanted to catch us or what would happen if they did.
As I grew up, I learned my parents were leaders of the Weather Underground organisation, a militant leftwing group that carried out a series of bombings in the 1970s as a protest against the war in Vietnam, as well as police violence against Black people in the US.
When I was four, my parents turned themselves in after more than a decade underground. Most of the charges against them had been dropped due to government misconduct the FBI had illegally wire-tapped their friends and relatives, searched their apartments without warrants and even plotted using kidnapping and blackmail to catch them. Nonetheless, my mom still went to jail when I was five for refusing to testify against her friends and former comrades.
Some of my earliest memories are of visiting her behind bars, sneaking pocket-sized books past the metal detectors so she could read to me; and, later, visiting other radicals serving long prison sentences. Many had children my age; one of those kids, Chesa Boudin, became my adopted brother.
So I have thought a lot about the consequences of radicalism. About the damage extremist violence can do to a country or a society, and to the loved ones of political combatants on both sides.
I dont have the political certainty of my parents which is why Im a writer, not an activist. But Im interested in the messy tangle of personal and political forces that motivate people to risk their lives and families to try to change the world. So, over the past few years, Ive been writing a documentary podcast series, Mother Country Radicals, which is both a family memoir and a wider history of the revolutionary underground a story that turns out to be more dramatic and surprising than I ever imagined, and holds important lessons for today about what radicalises people, and how activists can fight creatively for political change.
As I was conducting interviews for the podcast, the murder of George Floyd provoked uprisings across the US. They came with a predictable reactionary response: white paramilitary vigilantes, such as the Proud Boys, the Patriot Front, and Kyle Rittenhouse preparing to defend their neighbourhoods from urban lawlessness and imaginary immigrant caravans and far-left Antifa hordes.
It stood in distinct contrast to something I came across during my research: the critical and complicated connection between Black and white revolutionaries in bygone decades. Members of the Weather Underground and the Black Panther Party (BBP) (and later, the BPPs militant offshoot, the Black Liberation Army) were allies. In fact, they were more than that; they were comrades who worked together, aided and abetted each other on the run and fought shoulder-to-shoulder in the struggle against racism.
Most of the people I spoke to be they members of the Weather Underground or the Black Liberation Army were first radicalised by the killing of Black people by police: specifically the murder of Fred Hampton in 1969 and Clifford Glover a 10-year-old boy shot by an undercover cop in Queens in 1973. These killings enraged an entire generation of young activists, setting them on a path to violent revolution.
The more research I did for the podcast, the more I realised that there are crucial differences between leftwing revolutionaries and the rightwing fascist movement of today. The radical undergrounds of the 1970s were fighting state violence and racism; the insurrectionists at the Capitol acted on the orders of a sitting authoritarian president, while literally waving the flag of white nationalism. One side attempted to resist state power and real systems of oppression; the other is fighting for state power and injustice, often based on lies.
None of this means the ends justify the means, or that leftwing radicals should be let off the hook for their mistakes. During our many conversations, I pressed my parents and their friends about the morality of violence, and about what they might regret today. Even though Weather Underground bombings never killed anyone, three of their own members including my dads girlfriend at the time, Diana Oughton died in 1970, building explosives in New Yorks Greenwich village. And most former revolutionaries now regret that turn towards a military strategy and disavow actions in which innocent people might be hurt or killed.
A member of the Black Panther Party told me that the word radical means seeking to understand root causes and the underlying nature of things. In this sense, it is radical to see racism as systemic, radical to understand the supreme courts attempts to control the bodies of women and LGBTQ+ people as rooted in a history of religious patriarchy, and radical to resist unjust laws when they conflict with basic human rights.
More than anything, the members of the revolutionary undergrounds of the 1970s expressed hope that the next generation of activists will do better than they did that young people today fighting for Black lives, abortion rights and climate justice will find new methods of radical resistance while avoiding the dangerous mistakes of the past.
Because, for my parents and their comrades in the Black underground, the struggle is not about any one strategy or tactic not about violence or clandestine organisations but about a long-term commitment to continue the fight for a better world. Thats an inheritance that can be passed on, to their children and to generations still to come.
Zayd Ayers Dohrn is a playwright and screenwriter, and a professor at Northwestern University. His 10-part audio series Mother Country Radicals is available on your podcast provider.
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Bombs, blackmail and wire-taps: how I spent my childhood on the run from the FBI - The Guardian
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We should become more inclusive in the area of knowledge: Mrinal Pande – India Education Diary
Posted: at 8:54 am
Bengaluru: Those who are mostly tasked with moulding and reshaping Indian media policies the policy makers at the apex bodies have seldom experienced the lived reality of media on ground. Maybe more so in case of those who implement the policies. A spurious idea of freedom of expression, and at the ground level oppression and unaccountable censorship are caused by this, despite policies aiming for the contrary, said Mrinal Pande, well-known journalist, author and television personality, while speaking on Unseen Bipolarity at the Heart of our Media Policies, during the 4th Foundation Day Lecture of the Centre for Public Policy (CPP) at IIM Bangalore, on July 10 (Sunday), 2022. The event was held online. Her speech covered a wide spectrum of issues including private media vs public media, thought leadership vs the dread of it, legacy media vs new media, policy and law, gender issues, and more.
Mrinal Pandes lecture consisted of two parts: she spoke about the overabundance of policy in India, that remains mostly on paper and creates snarls later. This, she explained, leads to a lack of true autonomy for the Boards, as in the case of Prasar Bharati (PB). She observed that there have been huge governance issues ever since Prasar Bharati was founded in 1997, that going by reports, even now need redressal. It is to be noted that Mrinal Pande has served as the Chairperson of Prasar Bharati, Indias public broadcaster that runs Doordarshan (DD) and All India Radio (AIR).
Ms Pande started her talk by sharing her experience with Indias public sector media. She said that her tenure at Indias public broadcaster PB was shaped during two time segments first at the cusp of the old and new century when she worked as Senior Editorial Advisor of Hindi news on DD, then a decade later when she was appointed the Chair of PB between 2010 and 2014. Indias public broadcasting sector controls both Doordarshan and All India Radio. In 1982, the PC Joshi committee report reiterated that an umbrella corporation needs to be formed, manned by professionals to oversee Indian media. The policy was aimed to divert power from the Information and Broadcasting (I&B) Ministry to a Board. The PB Act received Presidential approval in 1990 and became an Act in 1997, with an objective to provide autonomy to broadcasting in India. It was planned that broadcasting would be construed as a public service, and it will gather and disseminate news, not act as propaganda for the government to be consumed by the public.
However, PB remained a statutory autonomous body instead of becoming a Corporation under the Companies Act. It was expected to generate revenues for itself by commercial advertising and sponsorship. In 2002, due to the lack of a full time Chairman, powers of the Board were taken back by the Ministry and have yet to be redelegated. This has been the source of several clashes and disputes, that have made the case for the Ministrys intervention stronger, while the well-intentioned policies have fumbled. There have been various disparities between the Ministry and the Board related to manpower, poor HR structure, recruitment, running cost shortage all of which came in the way of the basic ideals of PB as stated in the original Act. PB as a so-called autonomous body, thus reflects the acute bipolarity in the soul of our media policy makers.
She added: Over the years, in the name of restructuring, there has been a plethora of data and countless inputs from top scholars, but no vital inputs were obtained from the PB Board and its functionaries. A near total lack of understanding of the increasing volatility of 247 news flow and everchanging new tech has deeply affected PB that often gets snarled in differences of opinion between the Board and the Ministry. Tensions between various ministries to which PB must report for special events, has often caused PB to appear as a hapless body. A Board needs not only to be described as autonomous but be ensured clear functional autonomy as well.
Ever since it came up, the dependency level on the Ministrys approval causes inordinate delays which are avoidable in the news business. Moreover, the broadcast bodies are saddled with a lot of paperwork and near obsolete equipment compared to the private media, she rued.
There is still promise, she pointed out. DD and AIR still have the potential to become public service broadcasting assets. In 1980s and 90s they came up with brilliant debates, musical broadcasts, TV serials, all of which were watched by the entire country.
She also spoke at length about her four-decade long experience with Indias private print media which has produced lots and has changed from print to digital, analogue to digital adroitly, but has today very little left by way of policy guidelines. This, she said, was in part due to its family-centric structure of major media houses, and mostly to its swift corporatization and revenue needs. They all often push private media into the position of a supplicant before various vested interest groups.
Digital India is globally a very important market today. However, the new media ecology is facing various challenges with ever changing new technology, new devices, emergence of new platforms, etc. Yet all of these must coexist with the socio-political structure of an ancient hierarchical society and bureaucracy. There are also issues with various institutions of state and their relationship with Indias legacy media, controlled, promoted and funded by few cash-rich families, political parties, and major corporate houses. This often makes a large chunk of media a vehicle for shaping its news less objectively and promoting specific interests. While multiple business and political interests are being nursed through various large media empires, most media houses have skewed policies against women, Dalits and vernaculars.
She also highlighted the element of intermediary liability, a legal concept which governs responsibility of all online platforms for user-generated content. There is the phenomena of paid news, threat posed by fake news and videos, pervasive campaigning via the social media apps, etc. As consumption of digital news jumped, prints share into total media revenue started declining, which gave an uptick to online media. Their credibility and trust are becoming big issues.
In this context, she referred to a recent issue of a Silicon Valley giant which challenged a big rise in Centres takedown orders to them. The draft report circulated by the government last year flagged issues of misuse of free expression by individuals and vested interest groups that affects the future of all digital media in India.
Listing the new challenges, she continued: Media and government are both waking up to the fact that web is a very complex series of paths for raw data. The business models are advertisement driven. Plus, the largest driver of a news item is gossip. But removal of massive amounts of content requires specialized handling and sufficient time given to the intermediary for verifying the allegations made. This gives the issue of intermediary liability a different colour and importance. Globally, a huge fragmentation of media is happening, challenging news as we have known it. As big newspapers cannibalize smaller ones, and big media giants buy smaller platforms, the model for legacy media becomes more complex as also more cash driven. This often hides the fact that there are invisible fault lines within the mediascape in India that, coupled with the somewhat colonial mindset of our bureaucracy, often create instability in our media scene. If the State seems happy to slam down on the media when it questions policies and begins to see dissenters and whistle blowers as a threat, media is badly shaken both from the inside and outside.
The proposed regulations for the intermediaries on ground may spell entry ban for smaller players, create infeasible multiple demands for expunging huge amounts of matter deemed objectionable, and a fear of legal reprisal hangs overhead, thus the challenges appear insurmountable. One major reason for this fear and mistrust is that the Government is yet to put in place implementable SOPs for media and enforcement agencies, she pointed out.
She recommended that we above all need to protect integrity of our platforms and news industry. Social media certainly needs to be controlled with new policies but given the nature of the beast, there can be no quick fixes nor will it be easy. News needs to be collected, curated and verified before being uploaded and consumed by general public. So, accountability is vital. But let us acknowledge that the social media today is a social and political institution, that has major legal rights issues. We must recognize this and a few others, including relative freedom of speech and expression for the vernacular media and out groups, skewed gender issues, etc.
Media policies cannot and should not be framed or used to settle political scores. While making policies, India must be democratic and inclusive especially in the area of knowledge. At this point apart from the media giants, it is also for the legal community and the executive to do a soul search and to protect the priceless freedom of expression. Strong arm tactics cannot work here. The issues need to be seen not just as legal or political, but as socio-political-human rights issues.
Will we ever see a digital Geneva Convention for world media, I wonder, she observed stating that she wished to see a healthier media in our country.
Earlier in the evening, Prof. M S Sriram, Chairperson and faculty, Centre for Public Policy, in his welcome address, introduced the speaker and set the context of the talk. He also moderated the Q&A session, which followed Mrinal Pandes talk.
The past CPP Foundation Day lectures have been delivered by Steven Wilkinson, Nilekani Professor of India and South Asian Studies, and Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at Yale University; Tridip Suhrud, writer, translator and noted Gandhian scholar, and KK Shailaja, former Minister for Health, Social Justice, and Woman and Child Development, Government of Kerala.
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We should become more inclusive in the area of knowledge: Mrinal Pande - India Education Diary
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The James Webb Telescope Is Named After a Bigot. Its New Legacy Heightens the Need to Change Its Name – The Swaddle
Posted: at 8:54 am
Images of the depths of the universe from the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) released yesterday brought the world to a momentary standstill. These are awe-inspiring visuals of the cosmos like weve never seen them before, putting our place in this universe into perspective. The JWST is perhaps one of our most important achievements in science showing how far weve come from merely being able to observe the skies with our eyes to peeking into distant reaches of galaxies and back in time itself through a telescope in space.
The telescope, however, is named for a man whose legacy stands to tarnish what this instrument could mean for us. James Webb was an administrator of NASA from 1961 to 1968. Webb oversaw the agencys Apollo program that took Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin to the Moon this, along with his focus on science, led to him being honored with humanitys best space telescope to date being named after him.
More than 1,200 people, including researchers and astronomers, who will use the telescopes findings in their work, had opposed the move to honor him thus citing his alleged track record of perpetuating a culture of homophobia within NASA. They brought a petition to rename the telescope before NASA last year, and the agency accordingly conducted an internal investigation. It concluded, however, that there was no proof to substantiate the allegations, and the petition was dismissed. This conclusion was made in one sentence, with no further documents provided to justify the decision leading many astronomers to doubt the integrity of the investigation. [A]stronomers opposing the name posit that he played a major role in setting the culture at the agency he presided over, a report in Science notes.
Their suspicions werent unwarranted. Recent internal documents obtained by Nature showed how NASA was aware of the termination of a gay employee in 1963 because of his homosexuality, and that James Webb himself was complicit. The employee, Clifford Norton, filed an appeal in the court; documents show that the chief judge in the case cited the words of the person who fired Norton, who claimed that someone he consulted within the personnel office said that it was a custom within the agency to fire people for homosexual conduct, the internal documents show.
Related on The Swaddle:
NASA Set to Launch Hubble Telescopes Successor, Expected to Peer Into Universes Origins
Moreover, Webb was also complicit in what has come to be known as the Lavender Scare a period in American history when government employees suspected of being gay were purged from employment. Webb donned many hats and was thus involved in this even beyond NASA he served as the Undersecretary of State and allegedly oversaw the purge throughout the US government. They [LGBTQ+ people] were, in the eyes of Webb and his allies on the right, akin to aliens from East, notes historian Naoko Shibusawa.
The gut-punch is in the outright refusal to hear the voices of queer astronomers, Brian Nord, an astrophysicist, told Nature. This is a refusal to confront history. If we cant have that, how are we going to shed light on the oppression that people are facing?
I just dont think that makes him the right choice for NASAs premier science project more than 60 years later, Rolf Danner, an astronomer and chair of the American Astronomical Societys committee on sexual orientation and gender minorities in astronomy, told Nature.
As one of the biggest and most ambitious space projects globally not to mention, a publicly-funded one at that the JWST is accountable to people as much as people are indebted to it. The issue is to science debates what similar debates on problematic legacies have been to art for a long time: should we separate the science from the scientist? Arguably, not. Astronomers like Carl Sagan have represented what science should be: a project that advances humanity not just for what it teaches us about the world, but about ourselves, and how compassion takes us further in our shared pursuit for knowledge. When people involved in the science are complicit in bigotry, exclusion, and wanton discrimination it doesnt just hurt the people at the receiving end, it hurts science as a whole.
As one of the people who has been leading the push to change the name, today feels bittersweet, Im so excited for the new images and so angry at Nasa HQ, Chanda Prescod-Weinstein, an assistant professor of physics at the University of New Hampshire tweeted earlier. The issue goes to show that science is never neutral or objective as it is mistakenly posited to be. Questions about who forms our knowledge systems, and even at whose expense, are integral to the story of our eons-old quest for learning.
It would do well, then, to remember in light of the Telescopes images and the person from whom it derives its name, what Sagan himself said: There is perhaps no better demonstration of the folly of human conceits than this distant image of our tiny world. To me, it underscores our responsibility to deal more kindly with one another, and to preserve and cherish the pale blue dot, the only home weve ever known.
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Reimagining business: The greatest debt of all time – Newsroom
Posted: at 8:52 am
Sustainable Future
Our climate crisis is natures debt collector, and it will not be kind to future generations. It will hold them hostage unless we invest in its 'stocks'
Opinion:While discussing the natural world in business terms strips its inherent life-giving holistic value, our capitalist structures and systems speak this business language fluently. So this is from where I write today.
As a young person thinking about the future, and our current trajectory as a species, it is difficult to imagine a world without crippling debt, limiting our possibilities, and threatening our very lives.
This debt will not be purely financial. It will not just be the transition debt or adaptation debt although that debt will also be colossal. There are things we can buy our way out of but in many instances, it will be too late. No amount of money will get back what we have lost what we have spent and what we have compromised.
The way we have traded, and continue to trade, our natural capital is not just bad business, it is reckless negligence. Our natural capital has been squandered. We are actively bankrupting those who will take over from us.
These future leaders are already rising to the challenge of reimagining what the future of business looks like. A future that recognises the inherent, intersectional, and holistic value of our natural world and our undeniable reliance on it.
We all, both individuals and businesses, rely on natural capital to live (literally) and thrive (economically). Our oceans, land, minerals, ecosystems, freshwater, and air. We also rely on its services from growing the food we eat, to producing the materials we use for buildings, medicines, and fuel. Insects pollinate our crops, birds distribute seeds, and our forests provide natural flood defences.
Paying for services and resources is such a basic concept in our business world so its hard to understand why its not a standard consideration for how we treat the environment as supplier. And while this is not how I consider the environment it is the best analogy I have for communicating the responsibility that organisations have to the natural world we are all a part of.
The list of natural services is extensive, and this does not even begin to include all the emotional, mental, and spiritual benefits we connect with as the human components of these complex natural systems.
However, most of the services and immense value provided by nature are economically invisible in our business world. We hardly consider them; we barely report on them, and we do not have clear plans for repaying them. The mere mention of GDP will often incite eye rolling from younger members of society. How can we value something that excludes the fundamental systems that allow it to exist? How can we be excited about GDP growth when we know it is systemically tied to the destruction of all that gives us life?
So, when you think about the natural capital you are reliant on, would you consider your organisation to be borrowing or stealing?
If we are borrowing, then we need to acknowledge the real bill and start repaying nature for what we have taken. And these bills also need to be paid in the currency that is of actual value to nature and emerging generations restoring the stocks we have taken, embedding nature-based solutions and considering the broader ecosystems we all operate within.
Because the truth of the matter is, if we do not start taking that seriously, these bills are going to end up being the kinds of bills we can never pay our way out of. Our climate crisis is natures debt collector, and it will not be kind to future generations. It will hold them hostage. And, when we consider the potential scenarios of climate change, this is going to feel a lot like torture.
For many, especially in developing countries, this torture is already manifesting in food insecurity, scarce water supplies, unbearable heat, and political instability with war for resources and global health.
Here we sit, comfortably in the economic systems benefiting us today, while the natural systems and people we exclude along the way are the canaries falling silent in the coal mine.
Paying for services and resources is such a basic concept in our business world so its hard to understand why its not a standard consideration for how we treat the environment as supplier. And while this is not how I consider the environment it is the best analogy I have for communicating the responsibility that organisations have to the natural world we are all a part of.
And from an economic standpoint, this is especially critical for a country like New Zealand. We are a resource-based economy. Our economic system is almost entirely dependent on finite natural resources. Thirteen of our top 20 export commodities depend on natural capital, which is more than 70 percentof New Zealands entire export earnings.
How can we be so dependent on something that we are not actively restoring? Why are nature-based solutions not the first thing we think of when we audit our impacts, especially when we think about future generations? What kind of existence will we leave for them if the natural world has been so depleted there is nothing left to enjoy or marvel at, let alone prosper from?
To see nature-based solutions so explicitly in the Emissions Reduction Plan is a massive step in the right direction. Recognising how inextricably linked our climate crisis is with our biodiversity and natural degradation is critical.
This is a fantastic opportunity for all to learn about and embrace the kind of action that truly enhances and restores our natural world. The kind of action that mitigates the environmental debt our legacy is handing over to future generations.
Actions like this require collaboration. They require organisations, industries, sectors, and systems to understand the collective way forward. A way forward that acknowledges the natural world we exist within and all the reciprocal relationships we share with it in a way that ensures its wondrous stocks are around for generations to come.
Because while our natural world is not a business, our capitalist structures and systems continue to take precedent.
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Reimagining business: The greatest debt of all time - Newsroom
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Moody’s affirms A1 rating of Newfoundland and Labrador, changes outlook to stable – Moody’s
Posted: at 8:52 am
Toronto, July 12, 2022 -- Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) today affirmed the A1 and (P)A1 long-term debt ratings of the Province of Newfoundland and Labrador and revised the outlook to stable from negative. Concurrently, Moody's affirmed the a3 baseline credit assessment (BCA) of the province.
Affirmations:
..Issuer: Newfoundland and Labrador, Province of
....Senior Unsecured Regular Bond/Debenture , Affirmed A1
....Senior Unsecured Shelf, Affirmed (P)A1
.... Baseline Credit Assessment, Affirmed a3
Outlook Actions:
..Issuer: Newfoundland and Labrador, Province of
....Outlook, Changed To Stable From Negative
RATINGS RATIONALE
RATIONALE FOR THE STABLE OUTLOOK
The change in outlook to stable from negative reflects Moody's opinion that despite still facing several years of consolidated deficits, Newfoundland and Labrador debt burden, as measured by net direct and indirect relative as a share of revenue, will stabilize within a range of 240-250% over the next 3-4 years. The stable outlook also reflects Moody's assessment of reduced risk that the province will need to support the Muskrat Falls electricity generation project, following a CAD5.2 billion support package provided by Canada.
RATIONALE FOR THE AFFIRMATION
The a3 BCA and A1 / (P)A1 long-term debt ratings reflect the mix of credit strengths including sufficient fiscal flexibility to achieve desired targets and strong debt management as well as credit challenges of elevated debt and interest burdens, continued multiple years of forecasted deficits and a resource-based economy that creates revenue volatility for the province.
Newfoundland and Labrador has a strong institutional framework that provides for unfettered access to a broad range of tax bases and wide discretion over expenditure decisions. As such, the province has the capacity to adjust revenue and expenditure measures to meet budget targets set out each year. In 2021-22, the province estimates that its consolidated deficit was CAD400 million (equal to 4.6% of revenue) compared to the originally budgeted deficit of CAD826 million (9.7% of revenue).
The province's debt management is considered to be strong, which aids in keeping fiscal pressure at a minimum from the elevated debt burden. With minimal exposure to foreign exchange risk or variable interest rates the province is able to plan for debt service payments far in advance. The province retains strong access to capital markets and sufficient liquidity to allow it to avoid issuing when markets are turbulent.
Nonetheless, the province has an elevated debt burden, which Moody's notes reached 275% of revenue in 2020-21. While the slower pace of debt accumulation and resilient revenues across the next 3-4 years will allow the debt burden to stabilize within a range of 240-250%, this level is still considered elevated relative to other A1-rated global peers. The high debt burden also correlates to a high interest burden which is expected to remain above 10% across the next 3-4 years, the highest among Canadian provinces.
Newfoundland and Labrador also faces ongoing deficits, including a CAD351 million (3.9% of revenue) deficit in 2022-23, before balancing the budget in 2026-27. While the province has unfettered access to a broad range of tax bases, the revenue sources of Newfoundland and Labrador are volatile and less dynamic than other provinces. Labour and income metrics, which are among the social risk metrics monitored by Moody's, are typically lower than many Canadian provinces which constrains revenue generation. Additionally, the relative importance of offshore oil royalties, which are driven by volatile global prices for oil, also add to revenue uncertainty. This reliance also exposes the province to long-term risks around the pace of carbon transition.
The A1 ratings of Newfoundland and Labrador incorporate the BCA of a3 and Moody's assumption of a high likelihood of extraordinary support from the Government of Canada (Aaa stable), should Newfoundland and Labrador face an acute liquidity stress.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Upward rating pressure could arise if both the debt and interest burdens were to decline materially or if the liquidity holdings of the province were to increase. Downward pressure could arise if there are material downward adjustments to the projected path back to balanced budgets. A material increase in either the debt or interest burden above Moody's current expectations would also lead to downward rating pressure.
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE CONSIDERATIONS
Newfoundland and Labrador has a highly negative E issuer profile score (E-4) which largely reflects the highly negative risk stemming from the risk of carbon transition, as evidenced by the fiscal challenges raised by the volatility in oil prices. As with other Atlantic provinces, Newfoundland and Labrador also faces moderately negative risks stemming from physical climate change, as the province is subject to low scale hurricanes that move up the North American eastern coast which can bring high winds, heavy levels of precipitation and rainfall.
The moderately negative S issuer profile score (S-3) reflects the mix of severely negative demographic risk, stemming from the aging population which creates long-term pressure on health expenses, as well as moderately negative labour and income risk and neutral-to-low risk across the remaining social factors measured by Moody's.
The neutral-to-low G issuer profile score (G-2) captures the positive risk from the very strong institutional and governance framework inherent to all Canadian provinces offset by neutral-to-low risk stemming from budget management and transparency and disclosure.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Regional and Local Governments published in January 2018 and available at https://ratings.moodys.com/api/rmc-documents/66129. Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on https://ratings.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found on https://ratings.moodys.com/rating-definitions.
For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of debt or security this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the issuer/deal page for the respective issuer on https://ratings.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
The ratings have been disclosed to the rated entity or its designated agent(s) and issued with no amendment resulting from that disclosure.
These ratings are solicited. Please refer to Moody's Policy for Designating and Assigning Unsolicited Credit Ratings available on its website https://ratings.moodys.com.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.
Moody's general principles for assessing environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks in our credit analysis can be found at https://ratings.moodys.com/documents/PBC_1288235.
The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU and is endorsed by Moody's Deutschland GmbH, An der Welle 5, Frankfurt am Main 60322, Germany, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that issued the credit rating is available on https://ratings.moodys.com.
The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the UK and is endorsed by Moody's Investors Service Limited, One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E14 5FA under the law applicable to credit rating agencies in the UK. Further information on the UK endorsement status and on the Moody's office that issued the credit rating is available on https://ratings.moodys.com.
Please see https://ratings.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.
Please see the issuer/deal page on https://ratings.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Michael YakeAssociate Managing DirectorSub-Sovereign GroupMoody's Canada Inc.70 York StreetSuite 1400Toronto, ON M5J 1S9CanadaJOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
Alejandro OlivoMD-Sovereign/Sub SovereignSub-Sovereign GroupJOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454
Releasing Office:Moody's Canada Inc.70 York StreetSuite 1400Toronto, ON M5J 1S9CanadaJOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
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Moody's affirms A1 rating of Newfoundland and Labrador, changes outlook to stable - Moody's
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FACT SHEET: White House Announces over $40 Billion in American Rescue Plan Investments in Our Workforce With More Coming – The White House
Posted: at 8:52 am
Vice President Kamala Harris to deliver remarks at White House Summit and reinforce call for state and local leaders to invest American Rescue Plan funds to help more Americans secure good-paying jobs
On Wednesday, the White House will announce that over $40 Billion in American Rescue Plan funds have been committed to strengthening and expanding our workforce. White House officials will highlight top American Rescue Plan workforce best practices from Governors, Mayors, and County Leaders across the country, and call on more government officials and private sector leaders to expand investments in our workforce. Vice President Kamala Harris will deliver remarks kicking off a half-day White House Summit. Since passage of the law, states, localities, community colleges, and local organizations have leveraged American Rescue Plan resources to deliver training, expand career paths, encourage more Registered Apprenticeships, provide retention and hiring bonuses in critical industries, and power efforts to help underserved Americans and those who face barriers to employment secure good jobs. These investments in the workforce along with the American Rescue Plans direct payroll support that has saved or restored jobs across a broad set of industries have contributed to a record 9 Million jobs added since President Biden took office in the fastest and strongest jobs recovery in American history.
The half-day White House Summit on the American Rescue Plan and the Workforce will feature remarks by Vice President Harris and Secretary of Labor Marty Walsh, a session on state American Rescue Plan workforce investments with North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper and Pennsylvania Governor Tom Wolf, as well as panels with Mayors, County Leaders, and Labor and Community Leaders on their model American Rescue Plan workforce programs. The Summit will focus on three major areas of American Rescue Plan investment:
1. Building a Diverse and Skilled Infrastructure Workforce: President Biden and Vice President Harris have launched the Administrations Infrastructure Talent Pipeline Challenge to encourage immediate partnerships by the public and private sectors to ensure we have the diverse and strong workforce needed to help rebuild our infrastructure and supply chains here at home with the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law. Todays session will focus on innovative programs to meet this challenge like the DC Infrastructure Academy, with a special focus on Pre-Apprenticeship programs funded by the American Rescue Plan. Pre-Apprenticeship programs play a critical role in diversifying the talent pipeline by training, placing, and retaining workers through Registered Apprenticeships which the North Americas Building Trades Unions (NABTU) has cited as having a return on investment for employers of as much as $3 for every $1 invested. The session will feature:
2. Strengthening Our Care and Public Health Workforce: The pandemic exposed the fragility and importance of our care economy. As part of an unprecedented commitment to a stronger care workforce, the American Rescue Plan contains significant investments in public health and the care economy that will help provide better pay and career opportunities for care workers and make it easier for workers with child and elder care responsibilities to join and stay in the workforce. U.S. prime-age labor force participation has fallen behind that of its competitors, in part due to lack of family friendly policies. Studies show that access to care can be an important determinant of whether workers are able to join or remain in the labor force. Millions of families rely on paid child and elder care to work, while millions more struggle to afford or find available care. The demand for child and elder care remains high and will only grow, with a projected need for over a million additional home health care workers over the next decade. Studies have shown that quality pathways for nursing aides leads to better outcomes for patients and workers. The American Rescue Plan is helping deliver supports for quality pathways for these essential jobs.The session will feature:
3. Expanding Access to the Workforce for Underserved Populations: American Rescue Plan funds are being used to recruit more Americans facing barriers to employment homelessness, disability, prior criminal justice involvement and giving them pathways into the workforce. More than 600,000 people leave prison every year and confront significant challenges in accessing and sustaining stable, meaningful employment a 2018 study estimated that formerly incarcerated individuals experience an unemployment rate of over 27 percent, exponentially higher than the overall national unemployment rate. Investments in expanding access to the workforce strengthen our economy by increasing labor force participation and tapping into the potential of more Americans, and research shows that certain programs such as comprehensive reentry programs and summer youth employment programs can significantly reduce crime. The session will feature:
To date, the Administration has worked with states, localities, and other American Rescue Plan recipients to identify over $40 Billion in American Rescue Plan funds being utilized to strengthen and expand our workforce:
Over $13 Billion in American Rescue Plan Workforce Investments Committed or Proposed by Over 1,000+ State, Local, Tribal, and Territorial Governments.
Over $16 Billion in Medicaid and Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) Funds for the Care and Healthcare Workforce.
Over $12 Billion in American Rescue Plan Education Funds to Strengthen the K-12 Educator Workforce and Expand Workforce Credentials.
In addition to investments outlined above, over $3 billion in additional, competitively awarded American Rescue Plan funding will be invested in the coming months, including:
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Summaries of American Rescue Plan Best Practices in Workforce Investments Highlighted by State and Local Leaders at White House Summit
1. North Carolina is committing American Rescue Plan funds to address the barriers holding back workers and expand opportunities for careers in high-growth fields offering good wages. Governor Roy Cooper will explain that North Carolina is leading the way with innovative investments to increase compensation for care economy workers and establish and expand work-based learning opportunities in critical sectors. To improve recruitment and retention in care fields, the state is leveraging American Rescue Plan Child Care Stabilization program grants to incentivize and fund increased compensation for tens of thousands of child care workers in the state reducing turnover and increasing the strength of the workforce and investing over $200 Million annually utilizing American Rescue Plan-enhanced Home and Community Based Services funding to increase wages for direct care workers. North Carolina is also using American Rescue Plan resources to establish a new Direct Care Jobs Innovation Fund that will support initiatives that improve recruitment and retention among the direct care workforce, including training opportunities and workforce supports. Further, the state is investing American Rescue Plan funds in key workforce efforts, including establishing work-based learning programs supporting small businesses, helping individuals who are justice-involved or in substance use recovery enter the workforce, as well as filling critical infrastructure and supply chain jobs by investing in expanding truck driver training, apprenticeships in high-demand fields, and a work-based learning program in the construction trades across the NC Community College System.
2. Pennsylvania is delivering historic support to its care and healthcare workforce with American Rescue Plan funds. Governor Tom Wolf will discuss how the state is investing in expanded training and credentialing opportunities for direct care workers across the state, improving retention and quality of care. Using American Rescue Plan-enhanced Home and Community Based Services funds, these initiatives include increasing behavioral health provider rates to support state staff training, education, and recruitment, as well as creating an online education and training portal to strengthen supports to nursing professionals. The state is also delivering $225 Million statewide for healthcare retention and recruitment efforts, including payments to direct care staff as well as expanding a high-demand nurse loan forgiveness program. In addition, the state is providing nearly $190 Million through the American Rescue Plan to support retention bonuses, personnel development, and recruitment efforts for its child care workforce.
Building a Diverse and Skilled Infrastructure Workforce
1. Washington, DC is expanding its DC Infrastructure Academy to fill growing DC infrastructure jobs. Mayor Muriel Bowser will describe the DC Infrastructure Academy, which is a key initiative of her administration, launched in 2018 to meet the need for skilled infrastructure professionals in the District. The school coordinates, trains, screens, and recruits residents to fulfill the needs of the DC infrastructure industry, matching graduates to infrastructure jobs with leading companies in this high-demand field. The city is investing over $4 Million to expand the program in preparation for the coming demand for infrastructure workers as a result of the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law.
2. Los Angeles County, CA is investing $10 Million to bolster High Road Training Partnerships (HRTP) and its Worker Equity Fund.Supervisor Holly Mitchell will describe LA Countys American Rescue Plan investment to enhance training programs in high-demand sectors such as construction, transportation and warehousing, manufacturing, technology, and more with an American Rescue Plan investment in High Road Training Partnerships. Bringing together industry, education and training providers, labor, and community groups, HRTPs focus on building long-term career pathways utilizing pre-apprenticeships and apprenticeships, provide family-sustaining wages, and require deep collaboration between employers, workers, education partners, and the workforce system. The pre-apprenticeship program deploys the Los Angeles-Orange County Building Trades Councils Multi-Craft Core Curriculum and spans 8-10 weeks, and aims to enroll at least 480 individuals in all HRTPs with at least 350 individuals hired in permanent employment. This is part of Los Angeles Countys larger workforce development plan, which includes reducing workforce barriers for youth, enhancing job placement programming for justice-involved individuals and those experiencing homelessness, rapid re-employment, as well as a Worker Equity Fund that provides supportive services and flexible cash assistance for participants in the countys workforce programs to mitigate barriers to successful participation.
3. Franklin County, OH is committing over $11 Million in State and Local funds to support a number of job training assistance programs, including over $2 Million toward the Building Futures Pre-Apprenticeship Program. Commissioner John OGrady will explain the countys investment in Building Futures, a 12-week program designed to help low-income Franklin County residents pursue careers in the skilled construction trades, including electrical work, iron work, carpentry, painting, plumbing, and more, with a focus on recruiting populations that have been historically underrepresented in the trades. More than half of program graduates were TANF-eligible when they first enrolled. Most graduates have gone on to become apprentices and are earning an average wage of over $22 per hour plus benefits with some earning as much as $30 and $40 an hour. The program, which was developed in partnership with the Columbus/Central Ohio Building and Construction Trades Council, Columbus NAACP, and the Columbus Urban League, provides both hard skills training, including safety certification and trade-specific instruction, as well as soft skills training, including interpersonal skills and financial literacy, as well as a weekly $250 stipend. Participants are also eligible to receive supportive services offered through Building Futures in average amounts of $1,500-$2,500, depending on a persons individual needs, to help address barriers like transportation, housing, childcare, and more. At the end of each cohort, participants complete an entrance assessment to progress directly into a Building Trades apprenticeship program. The county also runs an American Rescue Plan-funded Driving Futures program, which fills critically needed positions as licensed drivers in Central Ohios construction industry.
4. Louisville, KY is proposing an expansion of its successful Kentuckiana Builds construction program. Mayor Greg Fischer will explain how he is answering the Presidents call to action on the Talent Pipeline Challenge by proposing American Rescue Plan funds be deployed to expand the citys pre-apprenticeship program, Kentuckiana Builds. The program is run by the Louisville Urban League in partnership with the Carpenters Union. The program helps diverse residents successfully complete a 6-week construction training program, which then provides them access to union apprenticeships in partnership with the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers and the Carpenters Union, as well as other basic construction roles. Since its inception, over 350 individuals have graduated from the program into good construction jobs. The proposed American Rescue Plan investment would enable the Kentuckiana Builds pre-apprenticeship program to serve additional participants. Beyond this proposed investment, Louisville has made a number of American Rescue Plan-funded investments in workforce, including a comprehensive reentry program for formerly incarcerated individuals.
5. North Americas Building Trades Unions (NABTU) is working with state and local leaders to promote American Rescue Plan-funded Pre-Apprenticeship Programs as a critical pathway to Registered Apprenticeship Programs that will help fill the increased workforce needs of the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law. NABTU Special Assistant to the President Melissa Wells will describe how NABTU has closely partnered with state and local governments, construction industry employers, and non-profit organizations to invest American Rescue Plan funds in their Pre-Apprenticeship programs known as Apprenticeship Readiness Programs. This builds on NABTUs work to create over 190 Apprenticeship Readiness Programs across the country in the last fifteen years, which are a pipeline to multi-year Registered Apprenticeship programs. These programs specifically focus on recruiting and training women, people of color, transitioning veterans, and the formerly incarcerated. NABTU operates over 1,600 Registered Apprenticeship training centers in the United States and graduates at least 50,000 apprentices each year with over 80,000 graduated in 2019 alone.
Strengthening Our Care and Public Health Workforce
1. Ramsey County, MN is supporting its care workforce through a $1 Million Public Health Career Pathways program and addressing a shortage of quality child care programs by offering new incentives and supports. Commissioner Mary Jo McGuire will describe Ramsey Countys Public Health Career Pathways program, which will increase the public health workforce and lift up low wage earners by offering careers as a registered nurse or community health worker. Selection priority is given to those who live in Ramsey County, are single parents, receiving public assistance, and/or are a member of an underrepresented group in the public health workforce. The program provides: college preparatory coaching and mentoring; reimbursement of tuition, expenses for transportation and/or child care, and other related academic costs; wages to allow participants to enroll full-time; and paid work time to complete coursework. To bolster the child care workforce, Ramsey County is providing bonuses of $1,000 per year and free professional development training to help providers remain open. Additionally, the county is recruiting additional child care educators in the neighborhoods most affected by the child care shortages, offering the training required to achieve a Child Development Associate credential at no cost. Participants will also receive mentoring support provided by experienced child care educators who currently operate high-quality programs and other necessary support for early childhood educators looking to open child care programs.
2. Erie County, NY used $1.6 Million in American Rescue Plan funds to launch a Healthcare Careers Program. County Executive Mark Poloncarz will explain that the county is providing educational grants for training in high-demand healthcare occupations, such of up to $10,000 per student. Students must be enrolled in an approved occupational program, meet certain income requirements, and must currently earn less than $25 per hour. Students enrolled in the program also receive a transportation allowance, child care assistance, and access to an emergency fund of up to $500 for emergencies. Since the program began in October 2021, more than 320 residents have already enrolled in programs offered by the Countys training partners (including Erie 1 BOCES, Trocaire College, DYouville University, SUNY Erie and Villa Maria College). Given the programs success so far, the county has dedicated additional funding to sustain and expand the program.
3. Manchester, NH is investing $6 Million in a Community Health Worker (CHW) Program. Mayor Joyce Craig will discuss the citys investment in the CHW program. The new team is multicultural and collectively speaks 11 languages, in addition to English (Spanish, French, Nepali, Hindi, Swahili, Kinyarwanda, Kurundi, Mandinka, Fula, Wolof, and Yoruba). CHW staff are participating in a CHW Certificate program hosted by the Southern New Hampshire Area Health Education Center. The program will also be working closely with the Harvard School of Public Health to provide occupational health and safety training and technical assistance. CHW staff are proactively working with local community groups and organizations in their assigned neighborhood areas in the City to best serve neighborhood concerns and needs. As this Program is a joint effort between the Manchester Health Department and Manchester Police Department, the two Departments will be creating a structure to support linkages and coordination of efforts across public health and public safety.
4. The Communities RISE Together initiative, supported by WE in the World and the Public Health Institute, is using American Rescue Plan funding to recruit, hire, and train Community Health Workers to work with Black, Native American, Latinx, Asian American/Pacific Islander, immigrant/migrant, and low-income older adult populations in 200+ counties across the country. Director of the Communities RISE Together Initiative at the Public Health Institute Dr. Somava Saha will describe how RISE partners train and engage vaccine ambassadors and promotoras to serve as trusted messengers and connect community members with vaccines and well-being needs, while working to address underlying drivers of health inequities. Together, they have reached over 44 Million people through trusted, often nontraditional, messengers and channels and connected 200,000+ Americans to vaccines and supports like food, rental assistance, and social connection.
5. Service Employees International Union (SEIU) is mobilizing workers across the country to ensure American Rescue Plan funding for HCBS continues to improve conditions for care workers who are 90 percent women and disproportionately women of color and to stabilize and grow the care workforce and expand access to high-quality affordable home and community-based care. SEIU Secretary-Treasurer April Verrett will describe how SEIU and its partners are working together to ensure states are using funds to transform care work into good, union jobs that provide benefits and pay enough to support a family. This will help to create a sustainable care workforce and lift entire families and communities who are supported by care work. SEIU and its partners are also working with states to expand training opportunities to both help existing caregivers build additional skills and develop a pipeline of new workers.
Expanding the Workforce by Helping Americans Overcome Barriers
1. Memphis, TN is investing over $20 Million in workforce programs, with a focus on youth employment particularly for disconnected youth and youth with disabilities. Mayor Jim Strickland will describe the Opportunity R3 (Rethinking, Rebuilding, Rebranding) initiative, established with American Rescue Plan funds, which provides workforce readiness training for disconnected youth ages 16-24. According to one report, the Memphis metropolitan area has among the highest number of disconnected youth in the country, with over one in five youth neither working or in school. The R3 program helps participants develop a career and education plan, and guides participants on issues including job applications and resume work, communication and other soft skills, and financial management. The program also provides broader support to participants, including assisting with opening banking accounts, and has currently seen over 80 percent of graduates stay on track on their career or educational path. Additionally, the city is using American Rescue Plan funds to pilot I Am Included, a program for youth with disabilities. The program helps youth between ages of 14-18 with specific disabilities including those who are deaf and hard of hearing or visually impaired, or with specific learning disabilities and intellectual disorders develop soft and hard skills to prepare for gainful employment and other post-high school options. Topics discussed in the program include financial literacy, personal/professional development, conflict resolution, self-advocacy, goal setting, and mental health awareness. These programs are part of Memphis broader investment in workforce development, which includes several other youth employment training programs.
2. Harris County, TX is committing over $2 Million in American Rescue Plan funds toward Employ2Empower (E2E), a workforce program that employs unhoused individuals living in encampments. Commissioner Adrian Garcia will explain how American Rescue Plan funds have enabled the E2E program to expand from a one-precinct pilot into an expanded county-wide program, which is estimated to serve 160 individuals in four separate cohorts over 12 months. The initial precinct-level pilot compensated participants at $10 per hour, and the expanded E2E program employs these individuals for up to 32 hours a week, at a pay rate of $15 per hour, while providing access to resources to meet their basic needs. The work includes graffiti removal, illegal dumping abatement, and upkeep of public properties. Participants will also work alongside previously unhoused individuals who will serve as their Peer Mentors to provide motivation and support. E2E provides steady income and workforce development training, and connects participants to a pathway to a permanent housing solution, wrap-around services, and additional benefits, including ID services. The program implementation and management utilize inputs from Career and Recovery Resources (CRR), partner organizations, and the Harris County Sheriffs Office. By utilizing lessons learned from the pilot program, the goal is to provide a consistent stabilizing experience for program participants, who require time and intensive support to alleviate the effects of experiencing homelessness. The program is a pre-employment program intended to support individuals in graduating into higher-skilled programs and addresses racial disparities in homelessness and unemployment by reaching out to marginalized groups with 48% of participants being African American.
3. Employ Milwaukee and WRTP|Big Step are deploying American Rescue Plan-funded worker development programs by targeting underserved communities in Wisconsin. Employ Milwaukee CEO Chytania Brown will explain how the local workforce development board, with a $5 Million American Rescue Plan grant from Wisconsin, launched a new Skillful Transitions program aimed at connecting traditionally underserved groups to jobs. The program provides an individualized assessment of skills, experience, and job readiness, and provides job readiness training, skills training, and paid work experience across a variety of sectors, including construction, manufacturing, financial services, healthcare, and more. The program conducts targeted, specialized outreach to at-risk populations, including justice-involved individuals (pre- and post-release), veterans, individuals with disabilities, and human trafficking survivors. Employ Milwaukee also provides wraparound supports and targets high-unemployment and dislocated city residents for its other American Rescue Plan-funded programs, such as a $3 Million investment by Milwaukee into lead abatement certification training where there is an overall goal of serving a majority of people of color with a special emphasis on opportunity youth.
President Lindsay Blumer of WRTP | BIG STEP, a non-profit workforce intermediary in Wisconsin, will describe how her organization has used American Rescue Plan funds to expand the workforce in construction, manufacturing, and adjacent emerging sectors. In three programs funded by Milwaukee and Wisconsins American Rescue Plan dollars which include a manufacturing high school equivalency degree joint pre-apprenticeship, after-school youth construction career exploration and hands-on training, and a community resource navigator program the organization focuses on recruiting those who are underserved or not traditionally represented in these occupations, such as those individuals who are justice-involved, veterans and/or identify as differently abled. Critically, once enrolled, the organization provides a variety of barrier remediation and supportive services, such as food share and child care vouchers, focused mentoring and tutoring, as well as legal support, such as drivers license recovery. The organization directly connects participants with employers for access to family-sustaining waged careers. Close to 100 percent of its participants are considered underserved or traditionally unrepresented, with about 70 percent identifying as people of color and a majority as low-income.
APPENDIX: Additional Examples of States, Cities, Counties, and Community-Based Organizations Using American Rescue Plan Funding to Invest in Our Workforce
Building a Diverse and Skilled Infrastructure Workforce
Strengthening Our Care and Public Health Workforce
A. HOME AND COMMUNITY BASED CARE
B. HEALTHCARE
C. HISTORIC SUPPORT FOR CHILD CARE WORKERS
Expanding Access to the Workforce for Underserved Populations
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New Mexico’s oil and gas revenues are breaking records and complicating budgets – New Mexico Political Report
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Oil and gas revenues addedmore than $1.7 billion to New Mexico coffers in the first four months of the year more than in any other four-month period in state history.
A lot more.
Records compiled by the New Mexico Tax and Revenue Department show that year-on-year, revenues from January through April more than doubled from $782 million in 2021 itself a record year. (Records lag by two months to allow producers time to report their production numbers.) This money gusher comes from increasing production in New Mexicos portion of the Permian Basin currently themost productive oilfieldon the planet and skyrocketing oil and gas prices brought on by the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
This story is by Capital & Main and is republished with permission.
State Sen. George Muoz (D-Gallup), vice chair of the powerful Legislative Finance Committee, says that committee economists peg the states likely take from oil and gas at $5.2 billion for the fiscal year roughly a billion more than last years oil and gas revenue. That tally may rise if world oil prices remain high.
Mountains of money are generally a good thing for anyone, but the unplanned windfall does come with complications. The first is thekindof money brought in by oil and gas production. Roughly speaking, state government views revenues in two ways: as one-time or recurring income. Recurring money remains fairly steady year after year. For example, people will generally remain employed and use their earnings to buy things, making income and sales taxes a reliable source of steady, recurring revenue for the state.However, record-breaking fossil fuel revenue is treated as one-time money: It cant be counted on to repeat, so it cant be used to create new programs, add permanent jobs or increase pay for state employees across the board. One-time money can build police stations and water treatment plants and schools, but it cant pay the people to fill them. And that makes budgeting difficult. When you have that one-time money surpassing recurring money, it becomes a little topsy-turvy, Muoz says. And he says that his committees economists are predicting that that is exactly what is about to happen.
The second problem stems from the first: This is oil money, and oil money has a roller-coaster history and a murky, finite future.
I have ridden the roller coaster, Muoz says. I came in in [2009] where we had to cut a billion dollars out of the budget because fossil fuel production had tanked during the Great Recession. Its not something he wants to do again.
Kelly ODonnell, a New Mexico economist who keeps tabs on the oil and gas industry, agrees that this isnt the states first boom year but that history rarely serves as a guide. New Mexico has had a tendency towards selective amnesia about these things, she says. We are always surprised when the bad times show up. Yet they always do.
To progress economically, over time, we are going to have to get out of this boom-bust resource cycle, she says. When it goes down next time, it may not come back up, and we have to be prepared for that reality.
* * *
New Mexico sits atop half ofthe Delaware Basin, the most lucrative portion of the greater Permian Basin, and the states fossil fuel production continues to grow. New Mexico was the first state to return to and then exceed pre-pandemic oil production levels earlier this year after they cratered in early 2020 as the planet closed down in the face of COVID-19. Nationally, only Texas and the offshore fields in the Gulf of Mexicoproduce more oil.
The Tax and Revenue Departments figures do not account for all oil and gas revenues collected by the state they dont include revenue from federal mineral leases, for example but they do reflect how much is coming in. The total is calculated during the states fiscal year, which runs from July 1 to June 30 of the following year.
And while oil and gas revenues tallied by Tax and Revenue for the full 2022 fiscal year wont be known for another two months due to the reporting lag, they are already nearly double all of last years take: $3.6 billion this year compared to nearly $2 billion last fiscal year.
A large chunk of the oil and gas tax bonanza will go to long-term economic and social investment, primarily theEarly Childhood Trust Fund. Set up in 2020, the fund invests in the health and education of the states toddlers, with an eye on their and the states future development. If we invest in our people, if we have the workforce ready to attract employers, if we have the schools ready to attract employers over the long term that will improve our situation, says State Rep. Matthew McQueen (D-Galisteo), chair of the House Energy, Environment and Natural Resources committee.McQueen also argues that the windfall should be used to cap abandoned oil and gas wells. We should do that while the money is flowing, he says. When its not flowing, the state can get left holding the bag. And he says that maybe even a higher priority is hiring more oil and gasfield inspectorsat the Oil Conservation Division and Environment Department to find leaks and prosecute offenders. The reason you cap abandoned wells is because of the methane leaks, right? Theyre tied together, he says. But hiring inspectors for more than a year requires long-term funding, not a one-time windfall.
Funding additional oversight programs and positions is unfortunately not ultimately up to the executive, says Nora Meyers Sackett, press secretary to Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham. Last year the administration proposed funding for additional regulatory staff at both [the Oil Conservation Division and Environment Department] that were not funded by the Legislature, which does affect the states ability to monitor and enforce pollution regulations.
Sen. Muoz says hes eyeing funding increases for capital projects that were approved last year. All those projects are underfunded, he says, because of recent sharp inflation which is also driven by increasing energy prices. One-time money could cover those increases.
But his ongoing concern is paying state employees a wage that can compete with private-sector jobs. Were going to have to raise those payments in order to recruit engineers, lawyers, those degreed staff to get them back to state work, he says. But once again, that would require recurring money, not one-time oil and gas payouts.
Its like you only get one apple off the tree, Muoz says. And everyone will try to get a bite during New Mexicos notoriouslyshort legislative session. Last years session was 30 days. And though the upcoming session will be twice as long, it still may not be enough time to thoughtfully deal with the complications of this sudden cash infusion. The bigger the budget gets, he says, the harder it becomes to manage.
* * *
I think that theresource cursereally explains a lot of New Mexicos difficulties, ODonnell says. Before going into the private sector and becoming a research professor of economics at the University of New Mexico, she held a number of leadership roles under former Gov. Bill Richardson, including director of state tax policy, deputy cabinet secretary for economic development and superintendent of the New Mexico Regulation and Licensing Department.
The resource curse theory explains why developing countries often underperform when their revenues are based on extractive resources usually fossil fuels. The developing economy relies heavily on the one money stream, both because it is lucrative and because of fears of upsetting the apple cart. Thus, it locks itself into an economic cycle tied to natural resources.
Its becoming increasingly clear to New Mexicans, in the wake of the most recent fires, that climate change is here, and that it has the potential to destroy the state and, really, to destroy the economy, ODonnell says. Putting all of our eggs in the oil and gas basket, to mix a metaphor terribly, becomes increasingly problematic.
A productive industry can and should also be a responsible one, says Meyers Sackett at the governors office. We remain committed to holding those who do not comply with our methane and ozone rules accountable. There is no situation where we will accept anything less than compliance, but there is every opportunity for the industry to exceed our requirements.
I dont care how high oil and gas gets this year, says Lucas Herndon, energy and policy director of ProgressNow New Mexico. I dont care if it stays high this year. I dont even care if it stays high next year. What I can guarantee is that sometime in the next two to five years, oil and gas will crash again.
He says that oil and gas is not a sustainable method for funding the state government. It never has been and it never will be It always goes back down.
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