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Daily Archives: April 4, 2022
Mars crater complex shows layers of ice in stunning spacecraft photos – Space.com
Posted: April 4, 2022 at 3:21 pm
Ice and dust pile on the Martian surface like a layer cake in fresh images based on data from the Mars Express spacecraft.
The European Space Agency (ESA) mission shows so-called "mantle deposits" of ice and dust at in Utopia Planitia, a region that is roughly twice the size of Earth's Sahara Desert. Utopia is one of three major basins in Mars' northern hemisphere and has a lot of ice within it. (The plain also happens to be the landing site of the Chinese Zhurong rover.)
Studying the icy deposits of Utopia Planitia may give more clues about the basin's complex history, ESA officials said in a statement, as scientists suspect it was formed through depositions of sediments, lavas and volatile substances (like water or hydrogen).
Related: 12 amazing photos from the Perseverance rover's 1st year on Mars
These depositions blew across the Martian surface by wind, rain or similar processes, ESA officials noted; in fact, the depositions spotted at Utopia Planitia likely came in more than 10 million years ago, when Mars had a more tilted rotational axis that allowed snow to fall regularly. Today, all we see of that snow is the ice and dust that the precipitation brought with it.
The second-largest crater in the image, visible at left in the image at the top of the story and at left in the image below, features so-called "brain terrain." This terrain is often associated with icy material, and is named because the ridges look somewhat like the outer surface of a human brain.
Brain terrain tends to be located at the boundary of the lower, northern plains of Mars and the southern highlands, ESA said.
The image also shows a dark-colored region where the ground is contracting under the icy load, as well as numerous circular depressions that formed as ground ice melted or turned to gas, causing the surface to collapse.
Mars Express has found abundant evidence of water since the spacecraft began science operations in 2004, the ESA webpage about the mission states.
"Key discoveries include the presence of minerals that form only in the presence of water, the detection of water-ice deposits underground, and evidence to suggest volcanism on Mars may have persisted until recent times," ESA said on the mission webpage.
Follow Elizabeth Howell on Twitter@howellspace. Follow us on Twitter@Spacedotcomand onFacebook.
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Mars crater complex shows layers of ice in stunning spacecraft photos - Space.com
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Sound travels much slower on Mars than on Earth, researchers find – CBS News
Posted: at 3:21 pm
Researchers studying recordings made by microphones on NASA'sPerseverance roverfound that sound travels much slower on Mars than it does on Earth. In a study published inNatureon Friday, the team said it looked at recordings dating back to February 19, 2021, the day after the roverarrivedon the planet.
Using recorded sounds generated by the rover like shock waves from the rover's laser that was used to cut rocks, and flight sounds from the Ingenuity helicopter the researchers were able to compare the Martian sounds to Earth sounds. They determined that sound travels 100 meters per second slower on Mars than on Earth.
In addition, the researchers realized that there are two speeds of sound on Mars one for high-pitched sounds and one for low-pitched sounds. This would "make it difficult for two people standing only five meters apart to have a conversation," according to apress releaseon the findings.
The unique sound environment is due to the incredibly low atmospheric surface pressure. Mars' pressure is 170 times lower than Earth's pressure. For example, if a high-pitched sound travels 213 feet on Earth, it will travel just 26 feet on Mars.
While sounds on Mars can be heard by human ears, they are incredibly soft.
"At some point, we thought the microphone was broken, it was so quiet," said Sylvestre Maurice, an astrophysicist at the University of Toulouse in France and lead author of the study,according to NASA.Besides the wind, "natural sound sources are rare," the press release said.
But NASA scientists think Mars may become more noisy in the autumn months, when there is higher atmospheric pressure.
"We are entering a high-pressure season," co-author of the study Baptiste Chide said in the press release. "Maybe the acoustic environment on Mars will be less quiet than it was when we landed."
When the initial recordings were made last year, researchers declared it the first time sounds from a foreign planet had ever been captured.
Thomas Zurbuchen, associate administrator for NASA's Science Mission Directorate, said at the time the recordings are "the closest you can get to landing on Mars without putting on a pressure suit."
Perseverance is now hunting for signs of ancient life in theJezero Crater. In October, it found Mars experienced"significant"flash floods that carved the landscape into the rocky wasteland we see today. And a decade from now, the rover plans to be the first tosend samplesfrom the red planet back to Earth.
Sophie Lewis contributed reporting.
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Sound travels much slower on Mars than on Earth, researchers find - CBS News
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Space object crashed into Mars and created this new impact crater – Mashable
Posted: at 3:21 pm
Our solar system is a dynamic, evolving realm of space.
A powerful camera aboard NASA's Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter a satellite orbiting the red planet spotted a relatively recent impact site on the Martian surface. The spacecraft detected a dark spot on the ground, and then the high-resolution camera (called the High-Resolution Imaging Experiment) snapped the detailed shot.
The impact, which is brand new in cosmic terms, likely formed between February 2006 and March 2014, noted the imaging team at the University of Arizona. For a size reference, the entire black and white image is under five kilometers, or some 3 miles, across. Blasted-out rays of material are clearly visible around the crater, which formed from a falling asteroid or meteorite.
Mars is absolutely covered in craters. NASA estimates there are over a quarter-million impact craters about the size of Arizona's famous Barringer Crater, which is some 4,000 feet across. And there are over 43,000 Martian craters larger than three miles wide.
Meanwhile, Earth has just around 120 known impact craters. That's because over hundreds of millions of years, different parts of Earth's surface have both been covered in lava or recycled as the giant plates that compose Earth's crust (tectonic plates) continually move rock below and back up to the surface. Mars isn't nearly geologically dead marsquakes frequently occur there but it's not nearly as active as Earth, a water-blanketed planet teeming with erupting volcanoes. On Mars today, there's little to wash away, or cover up, new craters.
One of Mars' most recent impact craters, then, might be visible for millions and millions of years.
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Space object crashed into Mars and created this new impact crater - Mashable
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UK Mars rover is casualty of war as science severs its links with Russia – The Guardian
Posted: at 3:21 pm
It has cost 840m to develop and taken 15 years to build. But now fears are mounting that the British-built robot rover which was to have flown on Europes ExoMars mission in September may never make it to the red planet.
The craft was to have drilled deep below the Martian surface to collect samples that could bear signs of past or present life, but had its launch on a giant Russian Proton rocket postponed last month after the invasion of Ukraine.
At best, the rover built in Stevenage, Hertfordshire, and financed by the European Space Agency will have to wait two more years, when the next window opens for sending a spacecraft to Mars. However, some astronomers fear that prospects for the rover, named after the British DNA pioneer Rosalind Franklin, now look grim. If delays continue, it could ultimately be mothballed, scientists have warned.
It is inconceivable that we can work with Russia under present circumstances, and that attitude is going to last a long time, said astronomer Professor John Zarnecki of the Open University. This could delay ExoMars for the rest of the decade. By then, its technology will be getting dated.
The alternative would be to find another launcher. However, such a move poses other problems. Russia was also supplying the Kazachok lander that was to settle the Rosalind Franklin safely on the planets surface. First, a huge parachute would have decelerated the craft as it descended through the Martian atmosphere. Then Kazachoks retro rockets would have further slowed it down so the rover could land gently, said Professor Andrew Coates, of University College London.
It is an extremely tricky, complex manoeuvre and designing a replacement landing system will not be easy, added Coates, who is principal investigator for the rovers panoramic camera experiment.
Previous Martian rovers have managed to scrape soil samples from a depth of only about 6cm. That is the key feature of this mission, said Coates. We will be bringing samples from depths of two metres, where any signs of life are going to be better protected from the cosmic rays that batter Mars surface.
Several dozen planetary scientists in Britain have been involved in work on ExoMars including ine OBrien, at Glasgow University.
Its a weird experience for all of us, she told the Observer. We are sad because of what has happened to our work and the chance of being involved in searching for life on Mars but you also feel guilty for feeling sad because, among everything else, its a really minor setback compared with what the people of Ukraine are suffering.
While some scientists remain relatively optimistic that Europe and Russia might cooperate in space again, others remain doubtful.
If it ends up being postponed until the end of the decade, as we hunt for new launchers and develop new landing systems, then the mission will all start to look old, said Robert Massey of the Royal Astronomical Society. That is why there is speculation now that it might never fly.
This view was backed by OBrien: In the end, we may have to cut our losses and concentrate on other Mars missions.
Nor is ExoMars likely to be the only casualty of the invasion of Ukraine. Russia provides relatively cheap but powerful rockets that have been used to launch many European missions in the past. Immediate victims of the suspension of future launches will include two Galileo navigation satellites , while The ESAs EarthCare science mission, developed in cooperation with the Japanese space agency, Jaxa, and the Euclid infrared space telescope will also be affected.
More perplexing is the likely impact on the International Space Station, which relies on a Russian propulsion system to boost away from Earth as its orbit decays and to move it to avoid space debris. Should Russia pull out of the ISS, then the vast orbiting laboratory would slowly spiral lower and lower until it crashed.
This threat was recently made explicit by Dmitry Rogozin, the head of the Russian space agency, Roscosmos. Russia would determine on its own how long the ISS will operate, he told the countrys state news agency, Tass.
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UK Mars rover is casualty of war as science severs its links with Russia - The Guardian
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Bruno Mars’ Behavior At The Grammys Has Twitter In A Tizzy – The List
Posted: at 3:21 pm
While accepting the Grammy award for record of the year, which was Silk Sonic's fourth Grammy Award win of the night, Bruno Mars' collaborator,Anderson .Paak, announced, "In the industry, we call that a clean sweep!" Then, in a move that stunnedTwitter, Mars pulled a cigarette out of his pocket and lit it up on the Grammys stage.
Viewers were shocked at Mars' disregard for others' comfort with smoking indoors, and noted that the out-of-date move matched up with his old school approach to music. Twitter user @jonathanjewel wrote, "Seriously, why is Bruno Mars smoking while accepting an award? It's 2022, not 1962."
Another user, @lostchildcle, had a bold statement to make, reflecting on other recent award show faux pas. They wrote, "Bruno Mars lighting up a cigarette, indoors, in 2022 was more shocking than Will Smith slapping Chris Rock [at the 2022 Academy Awards]." Though Mars certainly turned fewer heads that Smith's dramatic move, he could be considered similarly disrespectful within the Recording Academy. Only time will tell.
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Wheres my jetpack? It was at MARS conference, along with Jeff Bezos and Amazon CEO Andy Jassy – GeekWire
Posted: at 3:21 pm
A robotics presentation plays out at Amazons MARS 2022 conference. (Andy Jassy via Twitter)
Billionaire Jeff Bezos missed out on his usual chauffeuring duties at the West Texas launch orchestrated today by his Blue Origin space venture, but he had a good excuse: He was presiding over Amazons MARS 2022, an invitation-only conference held this week in California.
His successor as Amazons CEO, Andy Jassy, was there as well.
The hush-hush MARS conference had its first annual run back in 2016, and spawned a public event called re:MARS in 2019. The acronym stands for Machine learning, Automation, Robotics and Space and it also evokes Bezos long-term goal of having millions of people living and working in space.
MARS is an opportunity for the compu-cognoscenti to rub elbows (but our invitation must have gotten lost in the mail again). Its also a photo opportunity for Bezos: Who can forget the shots of Buff Bezos striding alongside a robo-dog, or Bezos at the controls of a giant robot, or trying out a hexacopter?
The 2020 and 2021 conferences had to be called off due to the coronavirus pandemic, but based on the tweets and Instagram posts emanating from this years site in Ojai, Calif., MARS was back in full force in 2022. Heres a sampling:
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Alfonso Cuarn’s Gravity Had A Bigger Budget Than The Mars Orbiter Mission – /Film
Posted: at 3:21 pm
Everyone knows that going to space is really expensive. Millions of dollars go into research and designing rockets that make space exploration a possibility in our world. From satellite launches to crew missions, thousands of experts work toward making space travel a reality each day. So it's pretty wild to learn that the film "Gravity" had a higher budget than India's Mars Orbiter Mission.
In September 2014, India's Mars Orbiter Mission (also known as Mangalyaan, which is Hindi for "Mars Craft") went into orbit around Mars after a 10-month journey.
The launch was historic for India it became the only country in the world to successfully put a satellite into Mars' orbit on its first attempt. Other countries, including the United States, Russia, and the European Union, have also successfully reached the planet, but none on their first attempt.
To add to that achievement, India managed to conduct the successful mission with just $73 million $27 million less than the budget for Cuarn's "Gravity." Although the mission won't be conducting any research and is merely for demonstration purposes, it is a massive feat for India's rising space program. And to do it successfully with a modest budget is a big win for India.
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The Milky Way: How Frank Mars started a candy bar empire in Minnesota – FOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul
Posted: at 3:21 pm
The famous Milky Way candy bar has Minnesota roots as its inventor, Frank Mars (1883-1934) grew up in the city of Hancock. (FOX 9)
MINNEAPOLIS (FOX 9) - In the universe of candy, the constellation of options seems as endless as the stars. But one candy bar created in Minneapolis is in a galaxy of its own.
For nearly a century, the Milky Way's combination of milk chocolate, caramel and nougat has helped satisfy America's sweet tooth. But what was once the best-selling candy bar in the country had its humble beginnings here in Minnesota.
Minneapolis is known for many things, one being that it's the birthplace to one of the most popular candy bars in the world -- the Milky Way. Here's the story behind one Minnesotan man's success in building a American candy bar empire.
"I know that's a story we really need to tell because it's part of a bigger picture that we really had a candy industry here," local historian Kathy Kullberg said.
Mars Incorporated founder Frank Mars was born to a pair of farmers in Hancock, Minnesota in 1883. He learned how to hand dip chocolate after he contracted polio as a young boy and wasn't able to help out on the farm after school.
"The story goes he would watch his mother while she was making different candies or cooking in the kitchen and that got him kind of inspired to do some other adventures along the way," Kullberg said.
After working as a Molasses Chips salesman in Wadena and a candy wholesaler in Tacoma, Washington, Mars and his second wife moved to Minneapolis in 1920.
He started producing chocolate candy bars with whipped cream centers called the Mar-O-Bar, which did well enough to give him a foothold in the industry.
Mar-O-Bar, one of Frank Mars' first creations (FOX 9)
But it wasn't until his estranged son Forrest, from his marriage to his first wife, called his dad to bail him out of jail after getting in trouble with the law in Chicago, that Mars would come up with the idea that would put his candy company on the map.
"After he gets bailed out, they were sitting in a soda shop and having, the story is, having malted milkshakes," Kullberg explained. "They joked around and said, Well why don't you put this in a candy bar? That gave him the idea that he came back to Minneapolis to do that."
Mars called his new creation, The Milky Way, after the malted milkshakes that inspired it, not the star system as many people believe.
When it was introduced in 1923, the candy bar's sales were out of this world, making $800,000 its first year, which would be about $11 million today.
"It was under a million dollars, but still when you are talking the 20s, that was a lot of money. It was a lot today, but it was really a lot of money, so therefore there was a claim it was successful."
Mars used some of that money to buy a home on West Minnehaha Parkway that was known by the kids in the neighborhood as the Milky Way house. Even though Mars only lived there three years, his mother-in-law stayed in the home for nearly a decade after that.
"The story from some of the children, who are much older today, they loved going to there for Halloween. They called it the Milky Way house because they would get full-sized Milky Way bars and anything Mars was putting out," Kullberg said. "That was the first place they had to go."
Production of the Milky Way moved from Minneapolis to Chicago in 1929. (FOX 9)
In 1929, Mars moved his company to Chicago for better national distribution, where it would eventually become one of the largest candy makers in the world, adding other iconic items like Snickers, 3 Musketeers, M&Ms and Twix.
But Frank Mars only got to enjoy his success for a few years before he died in 1934.
"He was probably traveling out east, but he ended up dying in Baltimore at Johns Hopkins Hospital after a 10-day illness he had, which was attributed to heart and kidney disease. So that was 1934, so really it was like five years after he left Minneapolis."
Mars eventually came back to his Minnesota roots. He is buried in a mausoleum at Lakewood Cemetery in south Minneapolis, along with his second wife and son Forrest.
In the meantime, the building on Washington Avenue in the North Loop, where the Mars candy empire got its start, has a plaque on the outside commemorating its special place in Minneapolis history.
"It's a great story, and I'm glad you are telling it, so that it gets out in the world," Kullberg said. "It kind of puts us on the map for other things than wheat and grain. Something everyone can relate to."
Plaque on North Loop building commemorating Frank Mars and his contributions to the candy industry (FOX 9)
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Why the Inaction on Sports Gambling? – Business West
Posted: at 3:19 pm
Maybe we shouldnt be surprised by this states mind-numbing hesitancy when it comes to sports gambling.
After all, legislators waited years after other states moved ahead with casino gambling to finally put a measure in place for Massachusetts. Time and again, casino gambling was brought up for votes and brushed aside for another day. Finally, casino gambling was approved roughly a decade ago, but the hesitation cost the state dearly. Indeed, by the time the three casino operations in the state, including MGM Springfield, were up and running, the competition in surrounding states had increased exponentially, essentially changing the landscape and making it far more difficult for those casinos to gain the revenues that were projected when the casino bill was finally passed.
One might have thought the state would have learned from this expensive lesson, but here we are in late March, the middle of this years college basketball championships, the biggest betting event on the planet, and the state appears nowhere close to passing a sports-gambling bill.
Its perplexing, but its also quite frustrating. The casinos sorely need this huge revenue stream, and the lack of sports betting is putting them at a competitive disadvantage, not only during March Madness, but the other 11 months of the year as well. The casinos have all built facilities in anticipation of a sports-gambling measure MGM has created two areas for watching and wagering on sports (see story on page 33) but they currently sit unused or have been put to other uses.
Theories abound about why there is such hesitation on sports gambling, including the one concerning it becoming competition for the states highly lucrative lottery. We understand the premise, but people were saying the same thing about the states three casinos. Almost four years after theyve opened, the lottery is still thriving.
Another theory is that legislators are wary that sports gambling on top of the casinos and the aforementioned lottery would be too much gambling and perhaps put more people at risk of developing addictions.
We understand this theory as well, but if people want to bet on sports and a large number of people do (Americans spent $9.7 billion on sports bets this past January alone) they will find a way to do it. And with New Hampshire, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and other nearby states already allowing such gambling, they dont have to travel far to do it.
Overall, 15 states introduced sports-betting legislation in 2021, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures, and the big question is why Massachusetts didnt make it 16.
Bills have been introduced several of them, in fact but they havent received the requisite attention to gain any traction.
Overall, sports gambling is just not a priority in this state. Should it be? There are plenty of other priorities, certainly, including housing, education, mental health, and childcare. But while tackling them, it seems the state Legislature could find the time and inclination to pass a sports-gambling measure.
The ongoing hesitancy simply doesnt make sense. And it should not continue.
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Why Liz Cheney Cant Rely On Democrats To Save Her In Wyomings Republican Primary – FiveThirtyEight
Posted: at 3:18 pm
Eric Lee / Bloomberg / Getty Images
Despite being a reliable Republican vote for most of two-plus terms in the U.S. House, Rep. Liz Cheney hasnt been afraid to buck her party when it comes to former President Donald Trump. The Wyoming representative was one of just 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump in January 2021. She has called Trump a clear and present danger to American democracy. She supported the investigation into the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol that Trump incited. Cheney has even earned praise from Democrats, a remarkable turn of events for the daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney, whom Democrats loathed.
But Cheneys anti-Trump stance could doom her career in the Republican Party where Trump remains popular by sparking intense opposition to her both at home and in Washington. On Capitol Hill, House Republicans ousted Cheney from party leadership and the Republican National Committee voted to condemn her for serving on the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6. In Wyoming, the state GOP has excommunicated her, while party committees all around the state have formally censured her. And now she faces a stern challenge in Wyomings 2022 GOP primary the state has only one congressional district from Harriett Hageman, an attorney and former RNC member who has endorsements from both Trump and House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy.
As a result, Cheney may face more danger in her primary than any other House Republican running in 2022. But could she be saved by Democrats? On March 8, Wyomings legislature scrapped a bill seeking to end the states crossover voting provision. That rule permits voters to switch parties on Election Day, which could allow registered Democrats and other non-Republicans to change their registration to support Cheney in the Aug. 16 GOP primary. The legislatures deliberations over the bill, which Trump had supported, sparked a raft of headlines raising the prospect of crossover voters being key to Cheneys survival.
The reality is otherwise: Only Republicans can really save Cheneys political future. If shes counting on anyone else, then shes probably done for.
The math just doesnt work for Cheney if shes looking for substantial help from non-Republicans in Wyomings GOP primary without winning a healthy share of Republicans first. The vast majority (70 percent) of voters in the state are registered Republicans. And in midterm years (like 2022), an even larger share of the states primary voters have cast ballots in GOP nomination battles, as the table below shows meaning theyre very likely reliably Republican-leaning Wyomingites. And of course, in a state as red as Wyoming Trump garnered 70 percent of the vote there in 2020 winning the GOP primary is tantamount to winning the election in November.
Total primary votes in the Republican and Democratic primaries and the share of all primary votes cast in major-party primaries, by midterm year
Excludes a small number of votes cast in nonpartisan primary races.
Source: Wyoming Secretary of State
Lets look at what happened in 2018, when almost 100,000 more votes were cast in the Republican primary than in the Democratic contest. Although a super-competitive GOP nomination race for governor partly explains that discrepancy, the 2018 cycle marked the third consecutive midterm in which more than 80 percent of the votes cast in the two major-party primaries came on the GOP side. Now, some of those voters might be Democrats or independents who vote in the GOP primary because it will determine the winner in most Wyoming elections. But in a state where the Republican presidential nominee usually wins 65 to 70 percent of the vote, its clear that most of those primary voters are dyed-in-the-wool Republicans or at least lean toward the GOP.
So lets do a little back-of-the-envelope math to consider Cheneys position based on what we know about the current state of the race and recent Wyoming primaries. There has been little recent public polling of the race, but a December survey from SoCo Strategies put her behind Hageman by 20 percentage points, and older polls found her support or favorability among Wyoming Republicans in the 20s evidence that shes in rough shape. For arguments sake, lets say that Cheney trails by 10 points among registered Republicans in the final days of the primary campaign (possibly a rosy scenario, considering her polling numbers). So Hagerman has 50 percent, Cheney 40 percent and the four or so other candidates attract the remaining 10 percent (the candidate filing deadline is May 27, so the field could expand or retract further). If there are around 110,000 voters who were registered Republicans before primary day a reasonable guess since nearly 117,000 total voters participated in the 2018 GOP primary for governor Hageman would lead by around 11,000 votes. Based on the 2018 primary, Cheney would then need nearly 60 percent of the total Democratic primary voters to not only switch to vote in the GOP contest but to also vote for her.
Now, if the race proved to be closer, and/or if another GOP contender say, state Sen. Anthony Bouchard took more of the anti-Cheney vote from Hageman, perhaps crossover voters could make the difference for Cheney. Lets say Hageman is up, with 42 percent to Cheneys 37 percent among registered Republicans, while Bouchard sits at 15 percent (and other candidates win the remaining 6 percent). In that case, Cheney would trail by about 5,500 votes, or about 30 percent of the total number of Democratic primary votes in 2018. Its not out of the question that the red-hot spotlight on Cheneys race could encourage significant crossover voting among Democrats, especially if there isnt much happening in the Democratic primary. Things could play out that way, considering so far no notable Democrats have declared in Wyomings races for the House or governor (neither of Wyomings U.S. Senate seats are up in 2022).
But this still means that Cheney must remain competitive among Republicans to even allow for a scenario where crossover voters could conceivably put her over the top. Granted, she has a huge financial edge at the end of 2021, Cheney had raised $7.2 million to Hagemans $745,000 which the incumbent can use to damage Hageman and play up her conserative bonafides. And Cheneys wealthy backers might also look to raise the profile of one of the other anti-Cheney contenders in the hopes of fragmenting her opposition. (Promoting another candidate for your benefit is a dark campaign art practiced by past vulnerable incumbents, although usually by trying to influence the other partys primary.) However, even if Cheneys allies wanted to go that route, the most obvious choice for prospective assistance looks to be toxic: Bouchard, the state senator, has seen his fundraising dry up after Hagemans entry into the race and revelations that he impregnated a 14-year-old girl when he was 18 years old.
Beyond any hypothetical campaign intrigue, the fact is that Wyomings Election Day registration rules may not even boost Cheneys chances as much as the conventional wisdom might believe. Wyoming not only permits voters to switch parties at the polls, but it also allows same-day voter registration. So while crossover voters might participate in the GOP primary, there could be even more same-day registrants, many of whom might be newly engaged Republicans.
Consider the 2018 GOP primary for governor, when some conservatives claimed that now-Gov. Mark Gordon won the party nomination thanks to crossover votes from non-Republicans. Gordon won by about 9,000 votes, but an analysis of voter registration data found that party switching probably didnt affect the outcome. The GOP added around 8,200 registered voters on primary day, but Democrats lost only about 1,800 registrants, while independents and other third-party registrations dropped by about 2,700 voters. That meant that a plurality of new Republican voters came from fresh registrants rather than party-switching, as about 3,700 new voters joined the rolls (mostly with the GOP).
Thinking about the 2022 GOP primary, theres no guarantee that same-day Republican registrants are going to be favorably inclined toward Cheney; they may be predisposed to oppose her, in fact.
And that gets back to the fundamental truth for Cheney: Her political future rests on winning over Republican voters rather than winning over Democratic or independent voters. She needs a good deal of the former for the latter to matter at all.
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Why Liz Cheney Cant Rely On Democrats To Save Her In Wyomings Republican Primary - FiveThirtyEight
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