Monthly Archives: August 2021

1,477 new cases, 2 COVID deaths announced in N.J. on Sunday – NJ.com

Posted: August 22, 2021 at 3:29 pm

New Jersey on Sunday reported another 1,477 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 2 more confirmed deaths, while statewide coronavirus hospitalizations were above 900 for the fourth straight day.

All 21 counties now have a high rate of virus transmission, according to a daily tracker from to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Under the agencys guidance, people in all 21 counties are recommended to wear masks in indoor public settings, regardless of vaccination status.

The Garden States seven-day average for newly confirmed positive tests increased Saturday to 1,555. Thats 7% more than a week ago and 214% higher than a month ago. Its the states highest average since May 3.

The delta variant accounted for 96% of cases in New Jersey based on a sampling of positive tests over the last two weeks of July, according to state data.

There were 927 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 or suspected cases across New Jerseys 71 hospitals on Saturday night four more than the previous night and the most since May 14, when there were 930 people hospitalized. There were 136 patients discharged Saturday.

Of those hospitalized, 187 were in intensive care (three fewer than the night before), with 85 on ventilators (10 more).

Gov. Phil Murphy is expected to announce soon that New Jersey will require teachers to be vaccinated against the virus. It wasnt immediately clear whether Murphy would allow teachers to opt out in exchange for regular testing, which is being done in California.

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Though numbers have been climbing, hospitalizations and deaths in New Jersey have not risen anywhere near the pandemics peaks. More than 3,800 patients were hospitalized during the second peak in December. And New Jerseys numbers overall are not as bad as other states. That, officials say, is due at least in part to the states relatively high vaccination rate.

More than 5.47 million people who live, work or study in New Jersey have now been fully vaccinated in more than seven months since inoculations began, according to state data. About 4 million residents remain unvaccinated.

New Jerseys statewide transmission rate held steady at 1.25 for the second day in a row. But any number over 1 indicates that each new case is leading to more than one additional case and shows the states outbreak is expanding.

An early coronavirus hotspot, New Jersey has now reported 26,752 total COVID-19 deaths in more than 17 months 24,031 confirmed and 2,721 considered probable, according to the state dashboard. Thats the most coronavirus deaths per capita in the U.S.

In all, the state of 9.2 million residents has reported 937,187 total confirmed cases out of more than 14.91 million PCR tests since it announced its first case March 4, 2020. The state has also reported 137,003 positive antigen tests, which are considered probable cases.

Murphy said last week that of New Jerseys 4,332 positive tests between July 20-26, nearly 18% were so-called breakthrough cases of those who had been fully vaccinated, which is up from previous weeks.

As of Sunday there have been more than 211 million positive COVID-19 cases reported across the world, according to Johns Hopkins University, with more than 4.4 million people having died due to the virus. The U.S. has reported the most cases (more than 37.6 million) and deaths (more than 628,300) than any other nation.

Nearly 4.89 billion vaccine doses have been administered globally.

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Katie Kausch may be reached at kkausch@njadvancemedia.com. Tell us your coronavirus story or send a tip here.

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Rice University Turns to Online Classes to Fend off Virus – The New York Times

Posted: at 3:29 pm

Rice University, a private institution in Houston, has done its best to build a wall against the Delta variant that is engulfing the state of Texas.

Unlike the states public universities, which cannot mandate vaccines or masks, Rice said it expected students to be vaccinated against the coronavirus adopting language that stopped short of violating Texas law and imposed stringent requirements for being on campus. It requires students and faculty members to wear masks indoors.

But as the virus surges in Houston, Rice became the second university in the state to shift classes online. On Thursday, the university announced that it had delayed the start of the fall semester two days until Aug. 25 and that classes would remain online through Sept. 3. Students may stay on campus, but those who had not yet arrived were encouraged to remain at home.

It also said that people in the Rice community had tested positive for the virus despite a high vaccination rate 98.5 percent for students.

Ill be blunt: The level of breakthrough cases (positive testing among vaccinated persons) is much higher than anticipated, Bridget Gorman, the dean of undergraduates, wrote in a letter to the schools 8,000 graduate and undergraduate students. The university did not release figures on the breakthrough cases.

More than 12,000 people are hospitalized with the coronavirus in Texas, where officials have prohibited both masks and vaccine mandates, and where Gov. Greg Abbott, a Republican, recently tested positive, despite being vaccinated.

Were in a hot spot right now, said David W. Leebron, Rices president, who described the decision to move temporarily to remote classes as a way of giving the university time to assess the results of its recent testing.

Having new information of concern, as people worry about breakthrough infections, as people with children are worried around those issues, we wanted to have a little bit of time to gather data and look at it more carefully, he said.

Rice, known for its strong science curriculum, had adopted tough anti-coronavirus protocols, even as it worked to keep its campus open during the pandemic.

Mr. Leebron announced in May that all students who returned to campus for the fall semester were expected to be vaccinated. Those granted medical or religious waivers would be tested weekly.

Understand the Delta Variant

Rice has also required face coverings indoors for students, staff and faculty, even advising faculty members to mask while lecturing.

Detailed advice included specifics on mask construction and fit. A face mask must be multilayered, fit snugly against the sides of the face and under the chin without gaps, and completely cover the nose and mouth, the university said, adding that it was preferable to have a moldable nose piece to ensure a snug fit.

Rices stringent protocols had led to a low coronavirus positivity rate even before vaccines. And Mr. Leebron announced last year that the diseases low prevalence on campus was evidence that Rice could operate safely.

A. David Paltiel, a public health expert at Yale, said the new cases at Rice were not a sign that the universitys strong mitigation plans had failed, pointing out that even places with high vaccination rates would have cases.

Aug. 22, 2021, 1:00 p.m. ET

It will test everyones resolve when the case numbers start climbing on the dashboards, Dr. Paltiel said in an email. But lets try to focus on the outcomes that matter: total infections, hospitalizations, I.C.U. use and death. The Rice campus is likely to be among the very safest places in Houston.

Rice was the second Texas university to announce a move to remote learning. Last week, the University of Texas at San Antonio said it would begin with mostly remote classes, citing the citys high infection rate.

Northern Illinois University reached an agreement with its faculty this week that the school would move to remote classes if the coronavirus positivity rate rose to 8 percent. And professors at a number of other colleges around the country have requested a move to online classes as they brace for the possibility of coronavirus outbreaks.

At the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, where classes began this week, hundreds of faculty members have signed a petition requesting remote classes for at least a month.

Christopher M. Johns-Krull, a professor of physics and astronomy at Rice who also serves as speaker of the faculty senate, said the university was evaluating data on the newly discovered cases, as well as performing contact tracing.

We wanted to put a pause on this to make sure, Dr. Johns-Krull said. Pushing things online allows us to spread out the arrival of students and allows us to have less mixing.

With its urban campus, Rice is surrounded by a community where the coronavirus is surging. As of Wednesday, Houston area schools had reported that nearly 3,000 students tested positive for the virus. Hospitalizations have also risen again in the state, nearing last years peaks, but Mr. Abbott has resisted calls for new mandates and doubled down on his ban.

Freshman orientation at Rice began on Aug. 15, with regular classes scheduled to begin on Aug. 23. The delayed in-person classes came as a disappointment to students who had looked forward to a semester resembling normalcy.

Jacob Duff, a sophomore who had come to campus as an orientation week adviser, said that advisers and arriving students had not immediately been tested for the coronavirus. He criticized the university for what he viewed as a failure, as well as for not providing a dedicated building for students who needed to be quarantined. Instead, he said, there was one room in his dormitory for quarantined students.

In a statement, Mr. Leebron said the university had not required immediate testing because of the high vaccination rate among students, but it had required testing within the first week.

As for a separate dorm for quarantined students, he said, Rice had never used more than 10 quarantine beds at a time so a full dorm seemed unnecessary and is now using empty residence hall and hotel rooms.

On Thursday, Rice notified students that it had instituted a return-to-campus testing requirement regardless of vaccination status.

The Rice administration had the entire summer to realize that the Delta variant would be an issue, said Mr. Duff, a music major from Georgia.

But, at the same time, he said, it was hard for anyone to know what kind of precautions to take.

None of us thought it would be like this, he said.

Kendall Vining, the president of Rices student association, had been preparing to return to campus after more than a year of virtual learning. Then, she got the word that students had tested positive.

Now, with additional breakthrough cases a possibility, she is worried that the delay may be longer than two weeks.

Thats what this is looking like for me: another semester of virtual learning, said Ms. Vining, a senior, who has decided to remain at home in Louisiana until in-person classes resume.

Im scared of these long-term effects that we dont know, she added. Im just scared of getting sick, period.

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Red states leading US economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic – Fox Business

Posted: at 3:29 pm

Former Chase chief economist Anthony Chan on high unemployment claims and the labor market recovery.

States with Republican governors are leading the U.S. economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, while those run by Democrats which tended to impose lengthier and stricter lockdowns on businesses are faced with significantly higher unemployment rates.

Labor Department data published last week shows the 10 states with the lowest unemployment rates are all led by GOP governors while the 10 states with the highest percentage of out-of-work Americans are run by Democratic governors.

Blue states including Nevada (7.7%), New York (7.6%), New Mexico (7.6%), California (7.6%) and New Jersey (7.3%) had substantially higher unemployment rates than the national average of 5.4% in July, the data shows. By comparison, red states such as Nebraska (2.3%), Utah (2.6%), New Hampshire (2.9%), South Dakota (2.9%) and Idaho (3%) were well below the national average.

THESE STATES ARE ENDING $300 UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS - HERE'S WH

In fact, of the 20 states with the lowest unemployment rate, those led by Republican governors account for a vast majority: 16. Twenty-five of the 27 GOP-led states gained jobs in the last month, the data shows, while two of the states Idaho and Utah actually have more jobs than in February 2020, before the pandemic hit.

Conversely, just 13 states led by Democrats have recovered at least two-thirds of the jobs lost during the pandemic.

Overall, the average unemployment rate in red states is 4.3%, while the average jobless rate in blue states is 5.9%, above the national average.

The data comes less than one month before supplemental unemployment benefits first established in March 2020 and renewed twice by Congress are poised to expire on Sept. 6 under the $1.9 trillion relief plan that Democrats passed in March. Some 7.5 million workers are expected to lose their benefits, according to a recent report published by the left-leaning Century Foundation.

The Biden administration has maintained that it's "appropriate" for the three relief programs to end on Labor Day, but encouraged states with high unemployment rates to continue repurposing federal funds to extend the assistance.

CONSUMER PRICES SURGE 5% ANNUALLY, MOST SINCE AUGUST 2008

"Even as the economy continues to recover and robust job growth continues, there are some states where it may make sense for unemployed workers to continue receiving additional assistance for a longer period of time, allowing residents of those states more time to find a job in areas where unemployment remains high," Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Labor Secretary Marty Walsh wrote in a Thursday letter to Democratic congressional chairmen.

Already, 23 states all but one of which is led by a Republican governor have ended the unemployment programs, a move intended to help businesses that are struggling to hire workers. (Arkansas, Indiana and Maryland were ordered by state judges to reinstate the relief programs.)

Critics argue that other factors, such as a lack of child care, are the reason for lackluster hiring and have said that opting out of the relief program before it's officially slated to end will hurt unemployed Americans, leaving them with no income as they search for a new job.

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The data released Friday shows little statistical evidence that prematurely ending benefits had a disproportionate impact on employment. And although they continued to pay out the benefits, nine states and the District of Columbia all saw a decline in unemployment last month.

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These are the ZIP codes causing Oregons record-breaking spike in coronavirus cases – OregonLive

Posted: at 3:29 pm

Low-vaccination communities in southern and eastern Oregon continue to stoke the states record-breaking surge in coronavirus cases, with the delta variant spreading most rapidly in areas resistant to inoculations.

And that trend appears to be generally true not just in the hardest-hit areas but all across Oregon for ZIP codes with at least 5,000 residents, as recent case rates tend to track closely to community vaccination levels.

The biggest coronavirus problems are concentrated in only a handful of Oregon ZIP codes with about 10% of the states population. But those account for an outsize 27% of all new or presumed infections for the week ending Wednesday, according to an analysis of state data by The Oregonian/OregonLive.

Those 20 ZIP codes had extremely high case rates and extremely low vaccination rates, with each well below the statewide average of 60.2% among all residents.

Just like last week, the communities with the highest recent case rates are heavily concentrated in eastern and southern Oregon. And the names havent changed much, either.

Among ZIP codes with at least 50 new cases, Brookings along the southern Oregon coast had the highest weekly case rate, at 139 per 10,000 residents. Only about half of residents in that ZIP code are vaccinated.

The rest of the list is filled almost exclusively by locales in Douglas, Jackson and Josephine counties: Myrtle Creek, Winston, Sutherlin, Roseburg, Grants Pass, Central Point, Roseburg, Medford, Rogue River, White City and Eagle Point.

Vaccination rates in those ZIP codes range from a high of 55.8% in a portion of Medford to a low of 33.3% in White City.

Also on the list are ZIP codes for Tillamook on the Oregon coast, two outposts in Lane County near Eugene, and Umatilla, Hermiston and La Grande in eastern Oregon. Those, too, have low vaccination rates, from 52.9% in Junction City to just 31.1% in Umatilla.

The Oregonian/OregonLive provided its analysis to the Oregon Health Authority, asking the agency if it had any message for people living in those specific communities. The health authority has spent months promoting vaccinations as safe and effective, and as the best way to avoid severe COVID-19.

The agency pointed to comments by Patrick Allen, the director, during a news conference Thursday where state officials warned of a growing crisis as hospitals near capacity.

If you are unvaccinated, the delta variant changes everything, Allen said. You are more at risk people in their 20s, 30s and 40s have been hospitalized. Some have even died. Older adults and children around you are more at risk, if you get this highly contagious variant.

And if youre still not ready to get vaccinated, please take extreme precautions, he added. Avoid all non-essential activities. Stay away from large groups of people. When you do go out, wear your mask in public, even in outdoor spaces where you may be among crowds.

The delta variant is relentless in its search for new people to infect. Dont let it find you. The consequences for you, your family and our health care system could be catastrophic.

Meanwhile, removing population from the equation also shows that Oregons surging coronavirus case load is almost exclusively in ZIP codes outside the high vaccination Portland metro area.

Last weeks analysis by The Oregonian/OregonLive identified 16 ZIP codes with at least 100 new cases over the week.

This time, there are 35 such ZIP codes. And only two of them covering parts of Hillsboro and Oregon City are in the metro area, and both have far fewer cases per 10,000 residents than the other areas rounding out the list.

Leading all of Oregon for new cases? Medfords two ZIP codes, with 394 and 355 cases, followed by two ZIP codes for Grants Pass, with 348 and 314 cases.

Across those four ZIP codes, just 48% of residents are vaccinated.

-- Brad Schmidt; bschmidt@oregonian.com; 503-294-7628; @_brad_schmidt

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Coronavirus in Ohio Thursday update: More than 3,400 new cases reported – NBC4 WCMH-TV

Posted: at 3:29 pm

COLUMBUS (WCMH) The Ohio Department of Health has releasedthe latest number of COVID-19 casesin the state.

As of Aug. 19, a total of 1,171,557 (+3,446) cases has been reported since the start of the pandemic, leading to 63,915 (+170) hospitalizations and 8,649 (+10) ICU admissions.

The 21-day average stands at 2,140. Before Wednesday, the last time it was above 2,000 was March 4.

The Department of Health reported 34 deaths, bringing the total to 20,648. The state is updating the number only after death certificates have been processed, usually twice a week.

Just as our kids are back in school, the Delta variant is sweeping across the state, taking aim at those who are unvaccinated, DeWine said in opening a news conference, where he was joined by state health director Dr. Bruce Vanderhoff.

DeWine reiterated the Department of Healthsrecommendations for schools in the state, that masks be worn by students who cannot be vaccinated and staff members who are unvaccinated. Last school year, DeWine mandated masks in schools via health order, but his ability to issue those was curtailed by the General Assembly over the summer.

Instead, he appealed directly to parents the importance of mask-wearing, as school districts have the ability toset their own mask requirements. And he warned the alternative might be a return to remote and blended learning models used in the spring. He said mask-wearing is more important now than it was last school year, when the spread of COVID-19 was minimal, because the Delta variant is more contagious than earlier strands.

Last weeks 17,429 new cases were the most in a Monday-Sunday period since Feb. 8-14 (19,133).

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‘Bracing for the worst’ in Florida’s COVID-19 hot zone – Associated Press

Posted: at 3:29 pm

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. (AP) As quickly as one COVID patient is discharged, another waits for a bed in northeast Florida, the hot zone of the states latest surge. But the patients at Baptist Healths five hospitals across Jacksonville are younger and getting sick from the virus faster than people did last summer.

Baptist has over 500 COVID patients, more than twice the number they had at the peak of Floridas July 2020 surge, and the onslaught isnt letting up. Hospital officials are anxiously monitoring 10 forecast models, converting empty spaces, adding over 100 beds and bracing for the worst, said Dr. Timothy Groover, the hospitals interim chief medical officer.

Jacksonville is kind of the epicenter of this. They had one of the lowest vaccination rates going into July and that has probably really came back to bite them, said Justin Senior, CEO of the Florida Safety Net Hospital Alliance, which represents some of the largest hospitals in the state.

Duval County, which consists almost entirely of Jacksonville, is a racially diverse Democratic bastion, won by Joe Biden. The overwhelmingly white rural counties that surround it went firmly for Donald Trump.

But all had lower than average vaccination rates before the highly contagious delta variant swept through this corner of Florida, driving caseloads in a state that now accounts for one in five COVID patients hospitalized nationwide.

Nearly one-third of Jacksonvilles population is African American, and racial tensions here date back to the Civil Rights era, when 40 young Black people sat down at a whites-only department store lunch counter and were attacked with axes and baseball bats by 150 white men. That 1960 conflict was a turning point for equal rights in the city, but mistrust of government officials still lingers.

The city is just a five hour drive from the home of the infamous Tuskegee syphilis study, in which the government used unsuspecting Black men as guinea pigs in a study of a sexually transmitted disease. Groover, who is Black, understands why people are wary, even though his hospital system promises the highest quality of care to its community, using the most advanced technologies.

The system is working overtime to get a pro-vaccine message out, but its competing against rumors that filter through social media feeds to local BBQs and church congregations. Black leaders in the community told The Associated Press theyve heard everything, including that the government is using the vaccine to implanttracking devices.

A whole lot of rumors, said Dr. Rogers Cain, a Black primary care doctor with a predominantly Black practice, who said his elderly patients are easier to persuade to get the vaccine than his younger ones. Weve done a massive effort at educating. But it hasnt really came through.

The people that actually were closer to the Tuskegee incident are the ones who got the vaccine the quickest, he said.

While Duvals vaccination rate of 56% is in the middle among Florida counties, it has jumped 17% since early July, one of the largest increases in the state.

Vaccine skepticism also is high among the Hispanics who represent 10% of Duvals population, said Dr. Leonardo Alfonso. He rotates between emergency rooms at two other Jacksonville hospitals, working on his days off because they are so desperate for staff. One typically has around 50 patients, but some days it treats 100 or more.

The ICUs are brimming. Theyre running out of ventilators, Alfonso said with frustration. People are dying. Its so preventable.

Gov. Ron DeSantis recently ordered a rapid response unit to help deliver monoclonal antibody therapy to a wider range of higher-risk patients who become infected, in hopes of relieving some of the pressure on local hospitals.

Alfonso says vaccinations could have blunted this surge, but when he asks patients if they got their shots, I get this deer in the headlights headlights look, kind of just a blank stare, like they didnt give it importance or they just blew it off or they thought they were young and healthy.

Persuading the hesitant to protect themselves and the people around them is a ground game, experts say.

Were getting out in front of every audience we possibly can, said Dr. Groover.

His father pastors one of the areas large predominantly Black churches, where Groover says some of the parishioners told him they dont need a vaccine because God would protect them. The doctor spoke to the congregation at a recent Sunday service, trying to dispel myths and describing how hes seen families devastated by infection and deaths that vaccines could have prevented.

I got about 10 texts later that day from people who went out to Publix that same day and got the shot, he said. A large majority of the membership now is vaccinated.

Across town at Impact Church, Pastor George Davis buried six church members under the age of 35 in just 10 days. All had been healthy, all unvaccinated. Friends hes lost include a 24-year-old man Davis had known since he was a toddler, a young woman on the worship team who celebrated her first wedding anniversary just weeks before her death, and another man in his early 30s that Davis had mentored for years.

The predominantly young, Black megachurch of 6,000 has a hipster vibe, with contemporary music, and jeans and sneakers welcome. Davis has partnered with community health officials to work through misconceptions about the delta variants impact after officials said for months that the disease couldnt hurt them much.

Now, his church members can simply walk across the hall each Sunday and talk with a medical expert about their vaccine concerns. Davis also hosted two vaccination drives, where more than 1,000 got shots.

As a pastor, honestly we really dont have much time to lick our wounds, he said. Like a police officer, if somebody they know has been shot, they still have to reach for their weapon to protect those that are left.

__

Kennedy reported from Fort Lauderdale. Terry Spencer contributed to this report.

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One upshot of Brexit Johnson didnt foresee: bringing the Irish closer – The Guardian

Posted: at 3:28 pm

It was supposed to be a deal no UK prime minister could ever agree to, an Irish sea border between Great Britain and Northern Ireland. Half a year on from Boris Johnson doing exactly that, while denying the fact, the economic consequences are becoming clearer.

Figures published by the Irish government last week indicate that a heavy toll for British trade can be added to the political turmoil unleashed by Johnsons signing up to the Northern Ireland protocol. The data shows evidence beginning to emerge of deeper economic unity on the island of Ireland, at a time when shipments between Britain and Northern Ireland have been disrupted by the Brexit border checks the prime minister promised would never happen.

With Northern Ireland effectively remaining a member of the EUs single market, the value of goods sent to the republic soared to 1.8bn (1.5bn) in the first six months of 2021, an increase of 77% over the same period in 2020. Irish goods exports to the region rose by 40% over the same period, reaching almost 1.6bn.

Meanwhile, Britain was subject to the full gamut of EU border checks for the first time in four decades, and trade fell accordingly. Exports to Ireland slid by 32% in the first six months after Brexit, while sales of Irish goods in the other direction rose 20%, in a sign that the republic isnt suffering as much as had been feared from disruption with its largest trading partner.

At this stage, it is difficult to say conclusively that leaving the EU and the Northern Ireland protocol will have a lasting impact on trade flows around the British Isles. The coronavirus pandemic is having a substantial impact, and isolating the Brexit effect is difficult as firms gradually adapt to the new rules amid a period of flux.

Official UK-wide trade figures show that after a cataclysmic fall in trade in January, exports and imports with EU nations have been steadily climbing closer to normal levels, as both Brexit and Covid disruptions abate.

However, the early evidence remains uncomfortable for the government. If it is sustained, Northern Irelands deepening economic ties with the republic and weaker ones with mainland Britain will raise questions over the regions relationship with the rest of the UK. It is an issue unionist politicians are sure to keep raising.

What is more, serious questions should be asked about how well informed the British political debate can be. There are no official UK government figures at least not in public form for trade between Britain and Northern Ireland. For the regions trade with the republic, the most up-to-date UK government data is for 2019.

Embarrassingly, the figures published by Dublin offer the best insight. Without official data to inform the debate, Britain must proceed in the dark.

While much of the damage of Brexit is self-inflicted, the snapshot from Ireland does suggest another imbalance is at play, as a result of actions by Brussels.

British exporters have been hit harder by Brexit because they faced border checks from 1 January on shipments to the EU, while Irish and EU exporters to Britain have benefited from a phased approach to checks the UK government opted for over a 12-month transition period.

Brexit supporters will latch on to this lack of reciprocation, with the evidence of its impact telling in the Irish trade figures. Yet our leaving the EU was instigated from London, and executed on terms agreed by Johnsons government in his haste to tell a tired electorate he would get Brexit done.

In October, the UK will introduce new checks on products of animal origin being imported from the EU, before 100% checks are introduced from January.

British retailers fear additional costs to the system will make matters worse as the country emerges from the pandemic, compounding issues with global supply chains and shortages of lorry drivers. Ministers must take more proactive steps to address these problems.

Theres a new energy rivalry in town, and it looks oddly familiar. It has been a decade since the energy industry was fractured by the seemingly binary choice between fossil gas and renewables. The government appeared to reignite that old feud last week with its long-awaited hydrogen strategy.

In the early 2010s, those who called for the government to back fracking to fuel a new energy self-reliance were fiercely opposed by those who believed onshore wind turbines held the key to a cleaner, brighter future. Neither wanted the other in their respective backyards.

Today the focus is on hydrogen a clean-burning gas that will be crucial to replacing fossil gas in heavy transport, factories and refineries. But how to produce it? Once again theres a choice between fossil gas and renewables blue hydrogen derived from the former or more sustainable green hydrogen.

Whitehall is eager to downplay the rivalry and has appeared to avoid making a choice either way, to the anger of climate campaigners who say blue hydrogen extracted from fossil gas, with capture technology trapping most, but not all, emissions could lock the UK into a fossil fuel future for longer than the climate can afford.

Blue hydrogen reduces the emissions of fossil gas by 85% to 95% but cannot eliminate them entirely. Green hydrogen is made from water and renewable energy, leaving only oxygen behind. On the path to net zero the winner should be clear, but green hydrogen has so far failed to capture the hearts, minds or spreadsheets of Treasury officials.

The burgeoning green hydrogen industry of disparate small companies has a mountain to climb than the major oil giants behind proposed blue hydrogen projects if it is to prove it can reach the scale required.

But the government should think about the outcome of the last feud. Fracking never got off the ground, but the wind sector has become a major industrial success story despite David Camerons crackdown on onshore wind subsidies. The renewables industry has consistently surpassed expectations, and green hydrogen could do the same.

Every little helps. Well, that was the mantra when Sir Terry Leahy ran Tesco, anyway. These days it would appear that he prefers to shop at Morrisons, because he is fronting a 7bn bid by the American private equity firm Clayton, Dubilier & Rice for the Bradford-based supermarket chain.

Last week, CD&R gazumped its rival suitor, Fortress, by putting an extra 300m on the table. At 285p a share, it is offering an eyecatching 60% premium to the grocers share price before the bidding started.

At this kind of level, shareholders could perhaps be forgiven for having their heads turned. Indeed, in a recent note, the Shore Capital analyst Clive Black said that if the City didnt wake up to the real value of Britains unloved supermarket stocks, it was not fanciful to suggest there could end up being none left on the stock exchange. Quite a claim, given that Tesco and Sainsburys are still there.

If CD&R wins control and, as some commentators are suggesting, installs Leahy as chair, he will be reunited with his former colleague at Tesco, David Potts, who has been running Morrisons for six years. That is when the task of delivering the goods for a new set of shareholder taskmasters will start, with Potts expected based on the sum being paid to start delivering a much better financial performance.

CD&R has closed the door to some of the usual get-rich-quick schemes deployed by private equity when it takes over a company. Its long list of pledges includes the promise not to engage in any material store sale-and-leaseback transactions. However, City watchers know that promises made during bid battles can be empty ones.

The higher the price goes Fortress is now considering its options and wants shareholders to sit tight the more leverage is likely to be involved in the final deal. But at the end of it all, Morrisons will still be the UKs fourth-largest supermarket, with a mountain to climb.

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Top earning bankers moved to EU from Britain ahead of Brexit-report – Reuters UK

Posted: at 3:28 pm

LONDON, Aug 18 (Reuters) - Nearly a hundred highly paid bankers left Britain ahead of its departure from the European Union, the bloc's banking watchdog said on Wednesday, the latest confirmation of how Brexit has reshaped Europe's financial sector and its tax base.

The European Banking Authority (EBA) said in its annual survey of bankers earning a million euros ($1.17 million) or more a year that Britain saw a drop of 95 high earners in 2019,

The country still accounted for 71% of the 4,963 bankers in the top pay category across the bloc in 2019 in a sign of how London remained by far Europe's biggest financial centre, with a total of 380,000 people employed in Britain's banking industry according to figures from TheCityUK.

The million euro threshold includes basic pay, bonuses, long-term awards and pension contributions.

Britain fully left the EU's orbit in December 2020 and by that time many banks and other financial firms had relocated over 7,000 staff from London to new or expanded hubs in the bloc to ensure customers retained full access to the EU financial market.

The moves boosted the number of top earners to 492 from from 450 in Germany, to 270 from from 234 in France, and to 241 from 206 in Italy, the EBA said.

"The increase of high earners resulted mostly from the impact of the relocation of staff from the UK to EU27 as part of Brexit preparations," the EBA said in a report.

Most of the EU's top earning bankers were based in its main financial centres Frankfurt, Paris and Milan, with other locations in single digits or low double digits.

The EU capped on banker bonuses in 2014 at than twice the amount of basic pay with shareholder approval, a measure that Britain opposed at the time but has so far left intact since Brexit.

($1 = 0.8532 euros)

Reporting by Huw JonesEditing by Tomasz Janowski

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Scottish Soccers Brexit Problem: No Way In, and No Way Out – The New York Times

Posted: at 3:28 pm

Juhani Ojala knew he would have to wait. Travel restrictions were still in place in Scotland when, in the middle of July, the Finnish defender agreed to join Motherwell, a club of modest means and sober ambitions in the countrys top division. Upon landing, Ojala knew, he would have to spend 10 days isolating in a hotel before joining his new teammates.

What he did not know was quite how long his wait would be after that. Even after he completed his compulsory isolation, Ojala was still not allowed to start preseason training. Legally, for another two weeks, he was not even permitted to kick a ball. The quarantine was one thing. The bureaucracy, it turned out, was quite another.

A year ago indeed, at any point in the last two decades or so Ojalas move to the Scottish Premiership would have generated as little fuss as it did attention. Once Motherwell had agreed to a fee with his former club and to a contract with the player, it would have been a simple matter of jumping on a plane and doing a medical, Motherwells chief executive, Alan Burrows, said. He would have been ready to play within 24 hours.

All of that changed in January, when four and a half years after the Brexit referendum Britain formally, and finally, left the European Union. As of that moment, clubs in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland no longer had the untrammeled access to players from its 26 member states (a different set of rules apply to Ireland) they had enjoyed since the 1990s.

Instead, potential recruits to Britain from Europe as well as the rest of the world are now judged according to a points-based system that takes into account everything from their international career and the success of their club team to how much they are going to be paid. Access to Britains leagues is granted only to those players who can accrue 15 points or more.

For the cash-soaked teams of the Premier League, that change has meant little. There are occasional administrative delays Manchester United had to wait several days for Raphal Varane to be granted his work visa even after it had been approved but the vast majority of potential recruits clear the new, higher bar with ease.

The effect, though, has been starkly different in Scotland. Unlike the Premier League, the Scottish Premiership is not one of Europes financial powerhouses. Its clubs do not habitually recruit decorated internationals, or pluck stars from one of the continents most glamorous leagues.

Instead, their budgets dictate that they must search for lesser-known names in smaller markets. That approach, many say, has been made immeasurably more complex by the Brexit rules. With the cost of hiring players from England spiraling, too, clubs and their executives are increasingly worried about what the future of Scottish soccer may look like.

What we have seen, really, is that the markets are chalk and cheese, but we have a one-size-fits-all solution, Motherwells Burrows said. There is a premium on current international players that is outside the financial capabilities of most Scottish clubs.

Britains biggest teams face no such hurdles. The current system grants an immediate work permit to any player who has featured in at least 70 percent of competitive games over the last two seasons for any one of soccers top 50 national teams. That means any player who has also been a regular for a successful club team in one of Europes better leagues is almost certain to be given a pass or, to use the technical term, a Governing Body Endorsement. It is in these rich waters that clubs in the Premier League tend to do much of their fishing.

In Scotland, though, only the countrys two dominant clubs, Rangers and Celtic, can even dream of pursuing players of that quality. The rest of Scotlands teams tend to shop for bargains, or at least for value, every time the transfer window opens. Its clear to me, Motherwells Burrows said, that we would struggle to get anyone we could afford to sign to 15 points.

That was certainly the case with Ojala. To Burrows and his team, the defender represented something of a coup: not just a Finnish international, but a player who had on occasion captained his country; a veteran not only of the Danish league but with experience in Switzerland and Russia, too.

But when Motherwell tallied up how many points he was worth, he did not come close to the requirements.

The Danish league is ranked in the fifth band of six by the Home Office, Burrows said. He got a couple of points there. We got a couple more for what his salary would be in relation to the league average. But his team had finished fourth from bottom in Denmark. It had not played in Europe. He had not played enough international games. Ojalas application, in the end, only mustered eight points.

This is where the bureaucracy came in. Clubs in Scotland, at the moment, have access to an appeal system. They can apply to the Scottish Football Association for an exemption, making an appointment to press their case as to why a player who has fallen short would still be a worthwhile signing.

That, though, is only the first step. If the authorities grant a Governing Body Endorsement on appeal, the player assisted by the club must then apply for a work visa: filling in an online form, followed by booking a biometrics appointment at a visa application center, run by a number of outside companies to whom the job has been outsourced by the British government. Only once that is complete is the player granted a visa, and the transfer signed off by the government.

Though the largely faceless process can be smooth, according to Stuart Baird, a partner at Centrefield Law, a firm that specializes in international sports law, clubs navigating it for the first time increasingly the case post-Brexit have not always found it straightforward.

One of the problems is that a lot of clubs had not needed to use the Home Office sponsorship system, because previously it was only required for non-E.U. players, he said. Sometimes it can depend on the right people being available to help you to get the timely responses that clubs need.

The concern for many clubs in Scotland is that the current system does not appear to take into account the type of player they can afford to sign. Many of the markets Scotlands teams have access to in Scandinavia and the Balkans, say are ranked in the lower bands of the Home Offices criteria, and few of their teams compete in the later stages of European competitions.

One head of recruitment at a Scottish Premiership team has, in his rare idle moments over the summer, developed a thought exercise to work out if a theoretical target might be able to accrue 15 points.

So far, even in his most fanciful scenario signing an occasional international (no points) from the Czech league (Band 4, four points), who had featured regularly (four points) in his clubs unexpected run to the later stages of the Europa League (Band 2, four points) he has not made the math work.

The lesson, to some, is straightforward: Clubs must learn to adapt to the new rules, to find recruits in places they have not always looked for them.

If we operate like we have done previously, then that will take us nowhere, said Ross Wilson, the technical director at Rangers. Clubs will have to build strategies around the points system.

Rangers, for example, has started to take greater interest in players in South America, realizing that while it might no longer find it easy to sign a player from a traditional market like Scandinavia, a regular Paraguayan or Venezuelan international might sail through the application process.

The world is much smaller now, Wilson said. There is more data available, more advanced scouting systems, more intelligence. We can access far more markets than we could previously.

Wilson said he did not believe cost should be a barrier to having a solid infrastructure, pointing out that clubs of all means can use third-party platforms like Wyscout and Scout7 to look for players, but the far greater resources that Rangers and Celtic can dedicate to scouting dwarf those of most of their competitors in the Scottish Premiership.

For those clubs, the future is troubling. Burrows has noticed Scottish teams being squeezed at both ends. Not only is it harder to identify players from abroad who meet the visa criteria, but clubs in Englands lower leagues are increasingly shying away from importing talent, too.

That has led to a significant inflation in domestic salaries, he said, pricing Scottish teams out of markets in the second, third or even fourth tier of English soccer. It is simple supply and demand, Burrows said. Players are a kind of commodity, and those players have become infinitely more valuable.

Worse still, this may just be the start. As things stand, the exemption system that eventually allowed Motherwell to sign Ojala this summer is set to be abolished at the end of the current transfer window. If the appeal mechanism is not retained, or the planned system is not changed, then many of Scotlands clubs may find it all but impossible to import players.

Im hoping that in the next four or five months, between windows, we can find a solution that is not a 15 point-style system, Burrows said. If that remains the bar, the market will shrink beyond all recognition, and it is going to make life very difficult not just for Scottish clubs, but for teams in England, outside the Premier League.

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Exports from Ireland to Great Britain soar in post-Brexit trade imbalance – The Guardian

Posted: at 3:28 pm

Exports from Ireland to Great Britain soared in the first six months after Brexit as imports sent in the opposite direction declined, according to Irish government figures.

In a sign of post-Brexit imbalances in trade, the Irish Central Statistics Office (CSO) said goods exports to Great Britain (excluding Northern Ireland) rose by 20% to 6.7bn (5.7bn) in the first six months of 2021, an increase of more than 1.1bn compared with the same period in 2020.

However, imports from Great Britain fell by more than 2.5bn, or 32%, to stand at 5.3bn in the same period.

According to the CSO, exports from Great Britain to Ireland decreased by 16% in June compared with the same month in 2020, with food, live animals and manufactured goods hit hardest.

British exporters have been hit harder by Brexit because they faced border checks from 1 January on shipments to the EU, while Irish and EU exporters to Britain have benefited from a phased in approach the UK government opted for over a 12-month transition period.

It means while all food and plant exports to the EU have been subject to sanitary and phytosanitary checks since January, countries including Ireland selling into the UK are not being subject to the complete panoply of red tape until January 2022.

This may go some way to explain why exports of food and live animals from Ireland to Great Britain rose from 315m in June 2020 to 322m in June 2021, while imports to Ireland almost halved from 243m to 119m.

Exports in June to Great Britain overall increased by 575m to 1.42bn compared with the same month in 2020, with the largest increases recorded in the chemical and related products sector, and in the machinery and transport equipment sector.

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Previous studies indicate trade between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland has benefited from Brexit, with Northern Ireland businesses now sourcing some raw ingredients south of the border because of the absence of trade barriers.

The latest snapshot from the CSO showed the value of goods imported from Northern Ireland to the Irish Republic rose by 77% to almost 1.8bn in the first six months of 2021, compared with the same period in 2020.

Exports from the Irish Republic to Northern Ireland rose by 40% to almost 1.6bn over the same period, reflecting increased cross-border trade since Brexit as the region effectively remained in the EUs single market for goods.

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