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Monthly Archives: October 2019
New Robots and Recurring Sales Push Intuitive Surgical Even Higher – Motley Fool
Posted: October 27, 2019 at 3:11 pm
Robotics, artificial intelligence, and augmented reality get a lot of press these days, some of it espousing the good while some of it decrying its inevitable toll on human jobs. Technology at its best doesn't replace people, though; it helps them perform better. That's on display every quarter when Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ:ISRG) and its da Vinci robots report earnings.
The company shipped 275 new da Vinci systems during the third quarter of 2019, raising the total number in operation worldwide by 12% to 5,406. Robotic-assisted surgeries are still a small fraction of the total number of procedures, and as adoption continues to steadily rise, this robotics company's recurring-sales engine will continue to get even stronger.
Intuitive Surgical is soon to get some competition via the world's largest medical device maker, Medtronic (NYSE:MDT). Intuitive is also early on in promoting two new da Vinci systems: the da Vinci SP (single-port) designed for single incision deep-tissue access, and the da Vinci Ion for lung biopsies. Only four SP systems were placed in operation for a total installed base of 38, and the first three Ion systems were sold.
Competition and the slow rollout of new robots didn't phase results, though, with revenue growth accelerating to 23% year over year in the quarter, bringing year-to-date growth up to 19%.
Metric
Nine Months Ended Sept. 30, 2019
Nine Months Ended Sept. 30, 2018
Change
Revenue
$3.20 billion
$2.68 billion
19%
Adjusted operating income
$1.28 billion
$1.13 billion
13%
Adjusted earnings per share
$9.28
$8.03
16%
Data source: Intuitive Surgical.
The bulk of the 275 new system placements were still made up of the flagship X and Xi models for more-general procedures, and innovating new uses for those machines will continue to be the driving force for the company. Case in point: Total procedures performed in Q3 were up 20%, even though the total installed base grew by just 12%. Surgeons using da Vinci are finding new ways to put the system to work, and all of that is fueling the steady and predictable sales model at Intuitive.
Image source: Intuitive Surgical.
Purchasing a da Vinci robot can be a big commitment for hospitals. A new system runs as much as a couple of million dollars. To help encourage adoption, Intuitive has been offering lease options, with 33% of new system placements being made under such terms in Q3.
Getting as many da Vinci robots in operation as possible is a good strategy, because system sales don't make up the bulk of revenue. Most of that comes from instruments and accessories, as well as services.
Sales Segment
Revenue, Nine Months Ended Sept. 30, 2019
YOY Change
System sales
$930 million
18%
Instruments and accessories
$1.74 billion
22%
Services
$534 million
14%
YOY = year over year. Data source: Intuitive Surgical.
As for services, CEO Gary Guthart had this to say on the Q3 earnings call:
We're working on computing and real-time cloud technologies to allow for tests from telementoring to augmented reality. We now have over 20 active telementoring sites that together have supported hundreds of cloud-enabled, real-time surgery sessions as we progress in building real-time cloud capabilities. Feedback on the utility of these sites for case observations and mentoring has been supportive. In augmented reality, we're working through logistics and installation of our firstIRIS accounts [augmented reality that gives surgeons a 3D view of a patients anatomy] to gather customer and clinical feedback. We expect first clinical cases on the IRIS system in the next few months. Lastly, our surgical simulation products have become widely adopted in the installed base with more than 3,200 da Vinci simulators in the field.
And on the instruments and accessories side, Intuitive also got U.S. Food and Drug Administration approval to start selling a couple of new single-use staplers in Q3. The acquisition of endoscopeand camera maker Scholly Fiberoptic was also completed in the period for an undisclosed (and likely small) sum of money, further strengthening the company's portfolio of attachments available for use with its machines.
In short, the last quarter was a strong one, and the new systems rollout and a steadily climbing installed base mean Intuitive's real moneymaker, recurring instruments and accessory sales, will keep getting better. For investors looking for a consistent growth play, this medical robotics company is a must-have.
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Pakistani six member team to participate in OIC Robotics Challenge – The News International
Posted: at 3:11 pm
Pakistani six member team to participate in OIC Robotics Challenge
ISLAMABAD: Six-member Pakistani team has arrived in Tashkent, Uzbekistan for participating in the first `OIC Robotics Challenge (ORC) which is being held within the framework of INNOWEEK of the government of Uzbekistan from October 27 to 31.
From Pakistan, Ali Raza from National University of Science and Technology (NUST) and Usama Naseer from COMSATS University, Islamabad will participate in Robo Sumo competition while Muhammad Awais Khan, Muhammad Ahmad Ali, Abdul Waqas and Muhammad Ammar Hassan from Lahore Garrison University, Lahore will participate in the Robo Football competition.
The event is being arranged by COMSTECH in partnership with the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) General Secretariat, Ministry of Innovative Development of the Republic of Uzbekistan and the Islamic Development Bank (IDB).
The ORC takes place in the UZEXPOCENTRE exhibition center Tashkent and is restricted to participants from OIC Member States with ages between 17 and 23 years, an official of COMSTECH informed.
The teams, selected by OIC Jury, consisting of three members and each team can be accompanied by a senior person as Team Manager or Mentor who will need to support his own travel.
The participants would have the opportunity to have a guided tour of some of the exciting INNOWEEK activities being held concurrently, the official said.
The competition will be held in two different categories, and first three winning teams will be given the prize money in each category.
The total prize money for the competition is $21,000 which will be distributed among winners of the competition in two categories including Robo Sumo and Robo Football.
The first three winners of the Robo Sumo category will be given $ 5,000, $ 3,000 and $ 1,000 respectively while the first three winners of Robo Football category will be given $ 6,000, $ 4,000 and $ 2,000 respectively, the official added.
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LEGO-based robotics teams growing in Delaware | The Latest from WDEL News – WDEL 1150AM
Posted: at 3:11 pm
Combining the skill of LEGO building with the knowledge of coding, teams throughout Delaware are preparing for the 2020 FIRST LEGO League.
One new entry will be the combined forces of Great Oaks Charter School and Kuumba Academy in Wilmington, as they held their first practice Thursday afternoon.
"I've always loved technology and coding, so I came here from a poster. It said LEGO League, and I thought 'oh, okay', and it has coding, so it's great," saidNasir Briscoe, an eighth grade student at Great Oaks.
LEGO League is split into four different age groups covering K-12, and challenges teams to build a robot, and then pre-program its motor to do various tasks, such as moving objects, or in one case, helping get a person unstuck so they can continue swinging.
Briscoe said he can still remember when he got his first set.
"I didn't really play with toys as a kid, I wasn't one of those kids. I played with technology, and when she gave me a LEGO set, I started building it, and I loved it."
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The Great Oaks/Kuumba team is getting a huge assist from Mount Pleasant junior Davis Miller, who is serving as the team's mentor, while also helping to get his school's team ready for the top division.
"What gets me into robotics is the fact probably half of it is team-building and the camaraderie of the students that you wouldn't get anywhere else, except maybe a sports team or a family. I think what it teaches kids about working together is invaluable."
Teams, including traditional schools along with various Boys & Girls Clubs in Delaware, are in the preliminary planning and building stages through the end of 2019. Statewide competition begins in January, and successful teams can move on to national, and perhaps even international, competition.
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Pushy robots learn the fundamentals of object manipulation – MIT News
Posted: at 3:11 pm
MIT researchers have compiled a dataset that captures the detailed behavior of a robotic system physically pushing hundreds of different objects. Using the dataset the largest and most diverse of its kind researchers can train robots to learn pushing dynamics that are fundamental to many complex object-manipulation tasks, including reorienting and inspecting objects, and uncluttering scenes.
To capture the data, the researchers designed an automated system consisting of an industrial robotic arm with precise control, a 3D motion-tracking system, depth and traditional cameras, and software that stitches everything together. The arm pushes around modular objects that can be adjusted for weight, shape, and mass distribution. For each push, the system captures how those characteristics affect the robots push.
The dataset, called Omnipush, contains 250 different pushes of 250 objects, totaling roughly 62,500 unique pushes. Its already being used by researchers to, for instance, build models that help robots predict where objects will land when theyre pushed.
We need a lot of rich data to make sure our robots can learn, says Maria Bauza, a graduate student in the Department of Mechanical Engineering (MechE) and first author of a paper describing Omnipush thats being presented at the upcoming International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems. Here, were collecting data from a real robotic system, [and] the objects are varied enough to capture the richness of the pushing phenomena. This is important to help robots understand how pushing works, and to translate that information to other similar objects in the real world.
Joining Bauza on the paper are: Ferran Alet and Yen-Chen Lin, graduate students in the Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory and the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS); Tomas Lozano-Perez, the School of Engineering Professor of Teaching Excellence; Leslie P. Kaelbling, the Panasonic Professor of Computer Science and Engineering; Phillip Isola, an assistant professor in EECS; and Alberto Rodriguez, an associate professor in MechE.
Diversifying data
Why focus on pushing behavior? Modeling pushing dynamics that involve friction between objects and surfaces, Rodriguez explains, is critical in higher-level robotic tasks. Consider the visually and technically impressive robot that can play Jenga, which Rodriguez recently co-designed. The robot is performing a complex task, but the core of the mechanics driving that task is still that of pushing an object affected by, for instance, the friction between blocks, Rodriguez says.
Omnipush builds on a similar dataset built in the Manipulation and Mechanisms Laboratory (MCube) by Rodriguez, Bauza, and other researchers that captured pushing data on only 10 objects. After making the dataset public in 2016, they gathered feedback from researchers. One complaint was lack of object diversity: Robots trained on the dataset struggled to generalize information to new objects. There was also no video, which is important for computer vision, video prediction, and other tasks.
For their new dataset, the researchers leverage an industrial robotic arm with precision control of the velocity and position of a pusher, basically a vertical steel rod. As the arm pushes the objects, a Viconmotion-tracking system which has been used in films, virtual reality, and for research follows the objects. Theres also an RGB-D camera, which adds depth information to captured video.
The key was building modular objects. The uniform central pieces, made from aluminum, look like four-pointed stars and weigh about 100 grams. Each central piece contains markers on its center and points, so the Vicon system can detect its pose within a millimeter.
Smaller pieces in four shapes concave, triangular, rectangular, and circular can be magnetically attached to any side of the central piece. Each piece weighs between 31 to 94 grams, but extra weights, ranging from 60 to 150 grams, can be dropped into little holes in the pieces. All pieces of the puzzle-like objects align both horizontally and vertically, which helps emulate the friction a single object with the same shape and mass distribution would have. All combinations of different sides, weights, and mass distributions added up to 250 unique objects.
For each push, the arm automatically moves to a random position several centimeters from the object. Then, it selects a random direction and pushes the object for one second. Starting from where it stopped, it then chooses another random direction and repeats the process 250 times. Each push records the pose of the object and RGB-D video, which can be used for various video-prediction purposes. Collecting the data took 12 hours a day, for two weeks, totaling more than 150 hours. Humans intervention was only needed when manually reconfiguring the objects.
The objects dont specifically mimic any real-life items. Instead, theyre designed to capture the diversity of kinematics and mass asymetries expected of real-world objects, which model the physics of the motion of real-world objects. Robots can then extrapolate, say, the physics model of an Omnipush object with uneven mass distribution to any real-world object with similar uneven weight distributions.
Imagine pushing a table with four legs, where most weight is over one of the legs. When you push the table, you see that it rotates on the heavy leg and have to readjust. Understanding that mass distribution, and its effect on the outcome of a push, is something robots can learn with this set of objects, Rodriguez says.
Powering new research
In one experiment, the researchers used Omnipush to train a model to predict the final pose of pushed objects, given only the initial pose and description of the push. They trained the model on 150 Omnipush objects, and tested it on a held-out portion of objects. Results showed that the Omnipush-trained model was twice as accurate as models trained on a few similar datasets. In their paper, the researchers also recorded benchmarks in accuracy that other researchers can use for comparison.
Because Omnipush captures video of the pushes, one potential application is video prediction. A collaborator, for instance, is now using the dataset to train a robot to essentially imagine pushing objects between two points. After training on Omnipush, the robot is given as input two video frames, showing an object in its starting position and ending position. Using the starting position, the robot predicts all future video frames that ensure the object reaches its ending position. Then, it pushes the object in a way that matches each predicted video frame, until it gets to the frame with the ending position.
The robot is asking, If I do this action, where will the object be in this frame? Then, it selects the action that maximizes the likelihood of getting the object in the position it wants, Bauza says. It decides how to move objects by first imagining how the pixels in the image will change after a push.
Omnipush includes precise measurements of object motion, as well as visual data, for an important class of interactions between robot and objects in the world, says Matthew T. Mason, a professor of computer science and robotics at Carnegie Melon University. Robotics researchers can use this data to develop and test new robot learning approaches that will fuel continuing advances in robotic manipulation.
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A company will pay you Rs 91 lakh to put your face on its robots. Internet is aghast – India Today
Posted: at 3:11 pm
Will you be willing to give your face to be put on thousands of robots worldwide for Rs 91,02,179 (100,000 pounds)? No, we are not just making this up. A start-up tech company is actually looking for a 'kind and friendly' face to put on their robots.
The unnamed firm is looking for human faces for the robots, which will be used as virtual friends for elderly people, and for the same, they have lodged a request with the company Geomiq.com.
Geomiq wrote that they were approached by a robotics company to help with the finishing touches to a 'state-of-art humanoid robot.' They did not give out a lot of details about the company due to a non-disclosure agreement that they have signed.
The company knows that it is an unusual request and that it is a big deal, which is why they are ready to pay so much money. The robots are set to go into production next year.
People are a little concerned about this demand and are asking why can't the company just make a new face exactly like Sophia, the social humanoid robot developed by Hong Kong based company Hanson Robotics.
Technology reporter Rowland Manthorpe took to his Twitter account to call it a bad sci-fi plot. He wrote, "Bad sci-fi plot alert. This unnamed company is looking for someone to be the face of its robot, which will be used as a 'virtual friend' for elderly people. It's offering 100,000 for the rights to your face in perpetuity."
Another Twitter user wrote, "Even I wouldn't have my face "in perpetuity" to which a person responded saying, "Who would?! I grew a beard to hide mine."
Would you be willing to give your face?
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A company will pay you Rs 91 lakh to put your face on its robots. Internet is aghast - India Today
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Company Offers Nearly 90 Lakh Rupees If You Sign Up to Have Your Face on Robots – News18
Posted: at 3:11 pm
In a "Bad-sci-fi plot", a tech company is looking for a 'kind and friendly' face to be put on thousands of robots worldwide.
The unnamed tech company has even offered to pay around rupees 91 lakhs (100,000 pounds) to anyone, who agrees to have his face masked on these robots, which are being designed to act as "virtual friends" to elderly people.
The "unusual request" was forwarded to Genuique.com, a mechanical/industrial manufacturing firm, by the privately-funded robotics company as they are looking for the 'finishing touch' to the "state-of-art humanoid robot".
Genuique.com stated, "This is not our usual remit of request, which is why were making this public appeal to try and find the right person. The designer knows that this is a big deal, and has agreed a fee of 100,000 to license the rights to the right face."
The details of the company were not put out due to a non-disclosure agreement. However, the anonymity is also preserved due to the secretive nature of the project.
In a post shared on Twitter, Rowland Manthrope, a technology correspondent said that it's a bad-sci-fi plot".
Signing up to have your face put on robots around households is indeed an "extremely big decision" and this didn't go down well with Twitterati.
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Pekan school robotics team beats odds to win gold – New Straits Times
Posted: at 3:11 pm
PEKAN: IN a move to spur creative and innovative thinking among their pupils, teachers at SK Seri Terentang here decided to spend their own money to buy robotics kit sets early last year.
The school then made their debut at the International Robotics Competition in Putrajaya in February last year and unexpectedly bagged the runners-up prize.
On Oct 20, it made the country proud after winning a gold medal at the The Maker Robot Festival, a robotics competition which attracted participants from around the world in Ulsan, South Korea.
SK Seri Terentang Robotics Club adviser Mazlan Muhamad Yusof said the experience was an amazing journey, especially as the school exposed the pupils to robotics and programming only last year.
When we first started, we collected money from the teachers to buy robotics kit sets. We never expected the school team to make it this far.
Due to this, he said, the school now had its own Robotics Club where its members assembled up to six sets of robots and conducted programming activities every week.
We hope the achievements will encourage more Year One and Year Two pupils to join the club.
We have a limited number of robotics kit sets as they are costly. This is compounded by the fact that there is no special fund for the club.
However, club members are eager to learn and they spend long hours working on the robots, he said, adding that the pupils parents had financially contributed to their childrens South Korea trip.
Mazlan, who led the team of five pupils, along with two other teachers Roslaini Abdullah and Roszita Ajmain, said the decision to travel to South Korea was to give the participants exposure on robotics and Korean culture.
A Malaysian teacher who is in South Korea for a teacher exchange programme had told us about the festival. We decided to travel there hoping that the pupils could gain knowledge on robotics and learn a new culture.
Surprisingly, we emerged tops and won gold in the sumo-bot category, which is where two robots attempt to push each other out of a circle, he said.
The five pupils who travelled to the festival were Muhammad Imran Mazlan, 10, Muhammad Baqir Borhan, 12, Muhammad Danish Fawwaz Mohamad, 11, Nurul Iman Mazlan, 11, and Nur Ishamina Amni Mohd Imeran, 10.
On their next competition, Mazlan said the team would travel to Guangzhou, China, next month to compete in the 2019 MakeX Starter City Guardian competition. He said the schools team was picked to represent Malaysia after winning gold at the MakeX Malaysia Robotics Competition, which was held in Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia in Bangi on Oct 12 and 13.
The participants have started their training and are making preparations for the competition. Training sessions include modifying robots and programming them to carry out instructions according to the requirements of the competition, he said, adding that some 60 countries would compete in the competition from Nov 28 to Dec 1.
SK Seri Terentang along with SK Putrajaya Presint 11(3) in Putrajaya recently won five medals including a gold medal in the South Korean robot festival.
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The Suwalki Gap Is NATO’s Achilles’ Heel and the Place Where Russia Could Start War – The Daily Beast
Posted: at 3:10 pm
They came trundling through the town of Voronezh in western Russia in broad daylight on Oct. 3. Green army vehicles on flatbed train cars, apparently heading west, toward Russias borders with Ukraine and Belarus.
The next day, social media users spotted Russian-made armored vehicles speeding down a highway in Belarus. The local forest is literally crammed with armored vehicles, reported Charter 97, a Belarusian news website.
Russia, like all major military powers, frequently moves its military forces around its own territory and deploys them to allied countries for exercises. The Belarusian and Russian armies as recently as September conducted a major military exercise involving 12,000 troops and 950 vehicles.
Whats remarkableand, for many, worryingabout the October sightings is where they took place: near the Suwalki Gap, where two NATO countries, Poland and Lithuania, have a roughly 40-mile border running through heavily forested territory that separates close Russian ally Belarus from Russias enclave on the Baltic Sea, Kaliningrad.
As tensions between Russia and the West escalate and Russia cements its land-grab in Ukraine, U.S. and allied military planners have cast a nervous gaze on this contentious bit of real estate. If the new cold war turns hot, the Suwalki Gap just might be where the fighting starts.
For NATO, thats a problem. The Suwalki Gap, which some experts also call the Suwalki Corridor, is on the alliances territorial fringes, where European military might is at its thinnest. But it butts up against a major concentration of Russian forces in Kaliningrad.
The Suwaki Corridor is where the many weaknesses in NATOs strategy and force posture converge, Ben Hodges, Janusz Bugajski, and Peter Doran explained in a 2018 report for the Center for European Policy in Washington, D.C..
Hodges, for one, knows what hes talking about. A retired U.S. Army general, Hodges from 2014 to 2017 commanded thousands of American ground troops in Europe. Right before retiring he organized NATOs first major exercise along the Suwalki Gap.
The gap is vulnerable, he warned at the time.
With 29 member states including the United States, NATO possesses far more military power than Russia. But many of NATOs reserves of troops and tanks are based hundreds or, in the case of American forces, thousands of miles from potential battlefields such as the Suwalki Gap. Russia, on the other hand, has concentrated troops and vehicles in its Western Military District, just a short trip by road or rail to the Suwalki Gap.
The imbalance is striking. In 2014 and 2015 the California think-tank RAND simulated a Russian attack across the Suwalki Gap. The Russians should be able quickly to mobilize 25 battalionsaround 10,000 ground troopsfor the assault, RAND calculated. NATO would be able immediately to mobilize just 17 battalions with around 6,800 troops.
But the troop-count belies the true balance of power. Every battalion Russia could call up for the attack possesses armored vehicles, including heavy tanks. Just one of NATOs nearby units has any armored vehicles at all. And those vehicles are Stryker armored cars belonging to a U.S. Army reconnaissance unit.
The Strykers biggest weapon is a 30-millimeter-diameter cannon. Russian tanks pack 125-millimeter-diameter guns with an order of magnitude more explosive power.
By and large, NATOs infantry found themselves unable even to retreat successfully and were destroyed in place.
Rand Corporation on Sulwaki Gap War-Game Results
When RAND gamed out the Suwalki Gap battle, the results were chilling, if not surprising. NATOs light forces were not only outgunned by the much heavier Russian units, but their lack of maneuverability meant that they could be pinned and bypassed if the Russian players so desired, RAND explained. By and large, NATOs infantry found themselves unable even to retreat successfully and were destroyed in place.
In RANDs admittedly extreme case-study, Russia quickly closes the Suwalki Gap, creating a territorial bridge between Belarus and Kaliningrad and cutting off NATO states Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia from the rest of the alliance.
Such a move could incite a major war. Indeed, for Russia that could be the pointto start a fight that it views as inevitable, and to do so on its own terms.
While Russia is unlikely to start a military campaign just to capture Suwalki, it would undoubtedly try to secure this territory if conflict were to emerge in the region, Agnia Grigas, a Lithuania-born American political scientist and Russia expert, told The Daily Beast.
There would be warning signs of an impending Russian attack, the experts at RAND and the Center for European Policy explained. Russian battalions could speed in and out of the Suwalki Gap, temporarily holding sections of the border and testing NATOs resolve.
The possibility of Russia launching small-scale incursions as a prelude to a bigger assault helps to explain the alarm over the October troop-sightings. But secret probes are equally likely. These could involve the same type of hybrid Russian forcesbasically, intelligence operatives and special forces commandos in disguisethat appeared in Ukraines Crimean Peninsula right before Russian tanks rolled in.
These so-called little green men could scout out invasion routes, mobilize pro-Russian locals and prepare to seize government buildings and set up checkpoints. Detecting these interlopers is critical for NATOs defense.
NATO has to watch not only Russian build-up in Kaliningrad and Belarus but also Russias soft power and intelligence operations in Suwalki, Grigas said.
But theres a problem. Lithuania controls one side of the Suwalki Gap. Poland controls the other. Both countries are NATO members, but they havent always gotten along. Poland and Lithuania are cooperating allies today but they have a history of tensions and conflict over territory and minorities, Grigas explained.
The Kremlin could exploit those tensions, Grigas said. Russia might count on Lithuania and Poland refusing to share information as more and more little green men appeared in each others territory.
After years of war games, simulations and studiesand occasional scares such as Russias October troop movementsNATO is well aware of its problems along the Suwalki Gap. And the alliance is taking steps to try to solve them.
The U.S. Army has begun installing heavier weapons and other new gear on the Stryker armored vehicles that would be the first to fight any Russian invasion force. The Army has announced that in early 2020 it will practice deploying 20,000 troops from the United States to Europe in order to build readiness within the alliance and deter potential adversaries. NATO in September set up a new headquarters in Germany whose sole job is speeding reinforcements around alliance territory.
As for those Russian vehicles in the woods in Belarus? I have no idea what is going on or whether it's significant, Pavel Podvig, an independent expert on the Russian military, told The Daily Beast. I hope it's not.
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Turkey, the Kurds, NATO and what comes next? – Tampa Bay Times
Posted: at 3:10 pm
Jim Miskel [Provided]
While Turkey has agreed to a cease-fire in the Kurdish areas of northern Syria, dont be surprised if it fails to permanently end the fighting. Turkeys invasion may soon resume, or the fighting may transition to unconventional warfare between the Kurds and militias sponsored by Turkey. Whatever the eventual outcome, Turkeys relations with the United States and the other members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization have been damaged.
From the Turkish perspective, it must seem like the Kurds are not the only ones who made a bad bet when they believed what our president said. First the Trump administration gave Turkey the green light to invade by agreeing to precipitously withdraw American troops from an area where we knew the Turks wanted to take military action. Next, the administration sent a letter asking Turkey to restrain itself. When that had no effect, the administration threatened to destroy the Turkish economy via sanctions when the Turks did what we knew they would: Invade northern Syria. Then, we sent a high-level delegation to arm-twist Turkey into agreeing to what our government calls a cease-fire, which Turkeys foreign minister says is only a pause in the fighting, not really a cease-fire. The foreign ministers statement came almost immediately after Vice President Mike Pences press conference touting the cease-fire.
Notwithstanding our governments diplomatic boilerplate about interests still shared by the United States and Turkey and President Donald Trumps boasting about his bromance with Turkeys president, this episode must have created doubts in Ankara (and likely elsewhere) about the credibility of American commitments. Turkey may also resent our sanction threats and public pressure. Still, the United States has the worlds strongest military and largest economy, so it ought to be in Turkeys interest to eventually patch things up with Washington.
Turkeys relations with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, NATO, may be harder to repair. NATO is a mutual defense organization. It is based on the Three Musketeers principle: all for one, one for all. An attack on one NATO member is an attack on all NATO members. It is not designed to support aggressive behavior by its members.
Turkey may have good reasons for wanting to stabilize the Kurdish areas in Syria, but the path it has chosen is aggressive and may lead to friction with Russia which could, in turn, involve NATO. Turkeys invasion of northern Syria has driven the Kurds into the arms of the Syrian government and into Russias sphere of influence. Russia is one of Syrias few allies in the world. It has long had territorial designs on Turkey and its predecessor state, the Ottoman Empire. Russia even has a history of meddling in the domestic affairs of the Ottomans/Turks by supporting agitation by minorities a strategy Vladimir Putins regime has used in the Baltic States and Ukraine. If Turkey is not careful in dealing with Russias new Kurdish friends Syria, it could provoke Russian retaliation in Syria. Or, Russian meddling with Turkeys own Kurdish population.
Then there is Turkeys threat to send millions of Syrian refugees north into NATO countries in Europe. The threat did more than suggest a blatant disregard for human rights. (Imagine herding up millions of refugees and forcibly transporting them to its borders with Greece and Bulgaria.) It antagonized the Europeans because it played directly into Europes fears about immigration and Islamist terrorism.
Jim Miskel is a former professor of National Security Affairs at the U.S. Naval War College. He lives in Vero Beach.
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Turkey, the Kurds, NATO and what comes next? - Tampa Bay Times
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Turkey told NATO allies its ready to cooperate for safe zone in North Syria – Hurriyet Daily News
Posted: at 3:10 pm
Serkan Demirta - BRUSSELS
Turkey is ready to cooperate with NATO allies in turning northeastern Syria into a safe and habitable environment where the refugees may voluntarily return, Defense Minister Hulusi Akar has said, highlighting the Turkish governments willingness to study a proposal tabled by Germany to that end.
We always ask our allies: 'What proposals you can put forward in terms of providing security and welfare to this region so that Syrians may return on a volunteer basis?' I have raised this question to my colleagues here: 'What can you do for us?' I have listened to their proposals and shared our readiness to engage with them, Akar told a group of reporters in Brussels, where he attended NATO defense ministers meeting on Oct. 24 and 25.
Akar held bilateral meetings with his American, French, British, German and Greek counterparts from the alliance as well as with Qatari and Afghan defense ministers on the sidelines of the meetings.
The NATO ministers had in-depth discussions on the Turkish military operation in northeastern Syria, as many allied countries argued that it would further destabilize the region and risk the return of ISIL.
Akar conveyed that there were some criticisms directed against the Turkish operation in both plenary sessions and in private meetings by some ministers.
I have explained our position and the background conditions of this operation in an open and frank way. As a result of our talks, a lot of issues have been clarified on their minds," he said.
Turkey has never wanted to hold this operation alone, Akar said, recalling that the government has long been demanding help from its allies to eradicate the terrorist threats just across its borders, which were in fact the borders of the NATO as well.
We had to move because our calls have not been responded. And we have been observing that the terrorist organization was increasing its capacity every passing day. We could no longer tolerate that, he stressed.
Just imagine, terrorists fired more than 1,00 mortar shells on Turkish residential areas and killed two dozens of people, including a nine-month-old baby.
Turkey ready to examine German proposal
As Turkeys recent agreements with the U.S. and Russia helped to de-escalate tension in northeastern Syria after the YPG has withdrawn to the south, Akar reiterated Ankaras call for a multilateral effort to create conditions for voluntarily return of the refugees to the region.
In this context, he stressed that Turkey found the proposal put forward by Germany for the creation of a security zone in northeast Syria as positive.
I have met my German counterpart and told her that we are ready to examine the proposal once we will hear more details about it. Because her proposal is in line with our previous calls for setting up a safe zone, he said.
German Defense Minister Annegret Kramp-Karranbauer has suggested setting up an internationally controlled security zone in northeastern Syria in the aftermath of the Turkish military operation against the YPG, the Syrian offshoot of the PKK, a group listed as terrorist by Turkey, the U.S. and the EU.
Minister thanks to Spain for Patriots
Another issue discussed at the NATO was how the alliance would continue to protect the Turkish air space against the potential attacks by the Syrian regime after Italy has announced that it withdraws its SAMP/T batteries from Turkey.
Spain has decided to extend the deployment of the Patriot batteries in Turkey although there were reports that Madrid was pondering to terminate the mission.
We thank to our Spanish friends for their decision to extend the mission. We very much appreciate this move, Akar stated.
Turkeys orbit not changing
Akar has indirectly responded to U.S. Secretary of Defense Mark Espers claim that Turkey was not heading in the right direction as it was moving from NATOs orbit to Russias orbit.
We are hearing claims on Turkeys direction. Turkey is not going anywhere. It stays where it is. Its committed to upholding its responsibilities at NATO and continuing its active participation in different NATO missions, from Afghanistan to Kosovo, he said.
Turkey fights ISIL, too
In response to arguments that the Turkish operation would weaken the ongoing anti-ISIL fight, the minister recalled that Turkey is a part of the global anti-ISIL coalition and has been actively fighting the jihadist terrorists.
Turkey is not only fighting against the YPG but also against the ISIL in the east of Euphrates. We have neutralized more than three thousand Daesh members in Syria through our operations, he said, using an Arabic acronym for the ISIL.
On the imprisoned ISIL members in the east of Euphrates, there are 14 prisons in the entire region with around 2,000 jailed terrorists, Akar said, citing information provided to him by the U.S. officials.
Out of 14 prisons, only one of them is in the area we control now. One of the first places our troops sought to secure was the prison just outside Tal Abyad but when we reached out there we have seen that the YPG had already liberated the prisoners, the minister said.
So far, we could re-collect 265 Daesh members, he informed, adding relevant state bodies were taking necessary actions.
Claims on ethnic cleansing are pure fantasy
Akar did also respond claims that the Turkish army is committing ethnic cleansing against the Kurdish population of Syria.
The Turkish operation is not against an ethnic or religious group but against the terrorists, Akar said.
First of all, the YPG is not representing the Kurds. Its not Kurdish. There are Turks, Arabs, French, Italian and Europeans among them. We have received a lot of positive messages from Syrian Kurdish communities and Christian population in Syria. Because they were suffering from the YPGs pressures, he said.
The allegations on ethnic cleansing are pure fantasy. Accusing a country of ethnic cleansing is a very serious and heavy claim. We have called on everybody to come and to conduct their own investigations. They can come and check whether chemical weapons have been used, he added.
Turkey has no such weapons in its stocks and has never developed a military doctrine paving the way for using the weapons of mass destruction, the minister said.
It was a very big lie to suggest that Turkey has used chemical weapons in Syria. Turkey never, ever uses such weapons. We dont have these weapons in our inventory. This is completely against our faith, moral and humane values.
These claims are not true and diffused by western media outlets. These are all fake news. We have seen them during our Operation Euphrates Shield as well.
The Turkish army will look into individual cases
The minister acknowledged that there could be some individual wrongdoings during the military operation but the Turkish army has all its legal and administrative capacity to look into these claims.
Just like all modern armies, the Turkish Armed Forces does have its legal and administrative bodies to probe any wrongdoing. This is being done and if it is proven that a crime is committed, then necessary actions will be taken, he said.
Deal with Russia implemented
On the question of whether the Turkish-Russian deal is in place and implemented in the right way, Akar said there were no problems so far in regards to the Ankara-Moscow agreement.
The agreement we have brokered with Russia terminates at 6.00 p.m. on Oct 29. We will move in accordance with the developments in the field but we see that it is being implemented in the right way and in line with the deal, he recalled.
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Turkey told NATO allies its ready to cooperate for safe zone in North Syria - Hurriyet Daily News
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