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Monthly Archives: June 2017
Saudi Royals Play Donald Trump: Win Support for Oppression and War – HuffPost
Posted: June 8, 2017 at 11:43 pm
President Donald Trump honored Saudi Arabia with his first overseas visit. After once accusing Saudi Arabia of blowing up the World Trade Center, he arrived in Riyadh bearing gifts: $110 billion in arms sales, enhanced aid for Riyadhs brutal war in Yemen, and increased political support for the royal regime.
The U.S. alliance with Saudi Arabia never reflected shared values. The royals run what is essentially a totalitarian state, respecting neither political nor religious liberty. The regime exports its brutal values, subsidizing intolerant Islamist teachings worldwide and intervening militarily in its neighbors.
Nevertheless, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia long was home to the worlds greatest oil reserves, so Washington enthusiastically embraced the regime. Despite previously criticizing the Saudis for relying on America for their defense, President Trump obsequiously addressed the monarchy. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson declared that President Trump and members of his cabinet agreed that the U.S.-Saudi partnership should be taken to new heights.
The two countries should cooperate when their interests coincide. But that doesnt justify making Riyadh a defense ward of America. Especially when at the KSAs behest the U.S. is helping kill innocent civilians in neighboring Yemen, who have done nothing against America. So far Washington has supported Riyadhs war with some $20 billion in arms and about 2000 air refueling operations, as well as targeting information.
U.S. intervention is making Americans less safe. Thomas Juneau of the University of Ottawa observed that the conflict: is at its root a civil war, driven by local competition for power, and not a regional, sectarian or proxy war. But Riyadhs aggressive war turned a local conflict into a regional sectarian struggle, drove Yemenis toward Iran, and encouraged a revival of al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, or AQAP, which now controls an estimated third of the country. Riyadhs aggression also is morally appalling, helping kill innocents for no good geopolitical reason.
Yet the Trump administration is considering backing a plan by the United Arab Emirates to retake the Yemeni port of Hodeida. Seizing and securing the port would be more difficult than suggestedthe conflict so far has highlighted the ineffectiveness of Saudi forces. Moreover, humanitarian analysts warn that the operation could result in a humanitarian catastrophe since most of Yemens humanitarian aid goes through Hodeida. Jeremy Konyndyk, formerly at USAID, warned that this operation would take a country thats been on a knifes edge of famine for the past two years and tip it over.
Expanding Washingtons involvement also would increase Americas stake in the conflict without much improving the likelihood of a positive outcome. A top administration official told the Washington Post that ending present restrictions might be seen as a green light for direct involvement in a major war We cant judge yet what the results will be. The consequences almost certainly would be disastrous. Of course, the Saudi royals are pleased and gave President Trumpwho once accused a Saudi prince of trying to control U.S. politicians with daddys moneyan extravagant welcome.
Yemen is an ancient land at the southern tip of the Arabian Peninsula. The Yemeni people never welcomed outside rule and made any would-be conqueror pay a price. Two states emerged when independence was achieved during the 1960s. They suffered internal conflict, fought each other, and suffered from foreign intervention, including from Saudi Arabia. The two Yemens eventually joined in 1990, but the reunited country spent most of its recent history in conflict and war. At one point Riyadh, now loudly denouncing Iranian meddling, backed southern secessionists.
Until recently Americas main security concern was the rise of AQAP, perhaps the terrorist groups most active affiliate. To suppress this force the U.S. relied on long-ruling Ali Abdullah Saleh, who was ousted in 2012. The ensuing national dialogue failed to deliver a political solution. He then united with the Houthis, also known as Ansar Allah (Supporters of God), a quasi-Shia political movement which battled him when he was in power.
Together in September 2014 they ousted his successor, Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi, viewed as friendly to neighboring Saudi Arabia. This game of musical chairs in Sanaa was of little interest to Washington, but the KSA wanted pliant leadership in Yemen. In March 2015 Riyadh, backed by nine Arab nations, intervened in the name of confronting Iran. Yousef al-Otaiba, UAEs ambassador to the U.S., declared: Iran must not be allowed to create a Hezbollah-like proxy in Yemen through the Houthis.
But area specialists uniformly dismiss such self-serving claims. The religious identification between Iran and the Houthis always was limited. The latter are Zaydis, a liberal, Shia-related sect, which some observers say is best treated as a tribal militia. In some areas Zaydis appear closer to Sunnis than Shiites.
The relationship between Iran and Houthis always has been loose at best. Noted Adam Baron of the European Council on Foreign Relations: Its not as if the Houthis were created by Iran, and further, its not as if the Houthis are being controlled by Iran. This is a group that is rooted in local Yemeni issues. Juneau said simply: the war in Yemen is driven by local grievances and competition for power among Yemeni actors. Yezid Sayigh, of Beiruts Carnegie Middle East Center, criticized propaganda about Iranian expansionism in Yemen.
Houthis revolted against the Yemeni government, then headed by Saleh, in 2004; in 2011 they joined demonstrations that led to Salehs resignation the following year. But then Houthis joined with Saleh to confront his successor, Hadi, leading to the latters resignation in late 2014.
Iran had little to do with these events. Saleh wanted to retake control and Houthis wanted more influence, while Hadi wanted to retain control. This kind of local dispute fueled decades of conflict in Yemen. U.S. intelligence believes that Tehran counselled against the Houthis Sanaa takeover.
While Houthis accepted Irans aid, the UN figures that Tehran began transferring weapons to the Houthis in 2009, back when they were fighting then-President Saleh, now their uneasy ally. Since then most of their weapons came from the Yemens already abundant supplies and military units which had remained loyal to Saleh.
Saudi Arabias aggression left them with little choice but to look to Tehran for additional assistance. Noted Kevin L. Schwartz of the Library of Congress: Only after the onset of the Saudi-led campaign did the arming of the Houthi rebels by Iran increase. And the latter has mainly involved training and ground weapons, along with modest missile deliveries. Such efforts pale in comparison to Saudi Arabias extensive air war.
Houthis have not turned decision-making over to Iran. Gabriele von Bruck at Londons School of Oriental and African Studies concluded I dont think the Iranians have influence in their decision-making. Its not a relationship like that between Iran and Hezbollah. Obama NSC spokeswoman Bernadette Meehan said two years ago: It remains our assessment that Iran does not exert command and control over the Houthis in Yemen.
Contrary to the infamous claim of an Iranian parliamentarian, Tehran does not control Sanaa (nor, in fact, Baghdad, Beirut, and Damascus, the other three capitals mentioned). Instead, noted Juneau, Tehran has come to recognize that a minor investment in Yemen can yield limited but interesting returns, most obviously forcing the Saudi royals to spend much more for little benefit.
Why should America get involved? Former Secretary of State John Kerry claimed that the shipment of Iranian weapons to Yemen was not just a threat to Saudi Arabia, it is a threat to the region, [and] it is a threat to the United States. But Houthis struck beyond Yemens borders only in response to Saudi aggression backed by America. Defense Secretary Jim Mattis complained of Iranian-supplied missiles being fired by the Houthis into Saudi Arabia, but they commenced such actions after Riyadh attacked and killed Yemenis. Saudis sowed the wind by internationalizing the conflict; now they are reaping the whirlwind as Houthi forces attempt to take the battle back to Saudi Arabia.
That is not to say the Houthis are tolerant liberals who like the U.S. But their theology is far more moderate than the Wahhabist teachings funded by the Saudi royals around the world, including in America. Religious minorities do much better in Houthi-dominated areas than in territory controlled by the Hadi-Saudi alliance. This should surprise no one, given Saudi Arabias refusal to allow members of any religious minority to practice their faith.
Nevertheless, the Obama administration made America an active combatant in Yemens civil war. The reason, apparently, was to reassure Riyadh, which was angry that Washington was not doing its bidding in Syria (ousting Bashar al-Assad) and Iran (confronting rather than negotiating with Tehran).
The Saudis have gotten bogged down in the conflict and make little effort to avoid civilian casualties, incriminating the U.S. Shortly before leaving office the Obama administration cut off some weapon shipments to Riyadh. But the Trump administration reversed course, adopting a subservient posture toward the royals. This is an awful policy for several reasons.
First, Washington is rewarding a totalitarian dictatorship for its repression. That Riyadh wants a puppet neighbor is unsurprising. But it isnt Americas responsibility to give one to the Saudi royals.
Second, the conflict has diverted Saudi attention from the most destabilizing and dangerous force in the Mideast, the Islamic State. Riyadh is entitled to choose its own priorities, but Washington should not underwrite counterproductive Saudi efforts. After a Houthi missile attack on a U.S. warship Trump officials expressed concern about navigational freedom, especially in the Bab-el-Mandeb waterway. But Yemenis apparently attacked an American vessel because Washington was helping Saudis kill Yemenis. Before that Houthis never targeted Americans.
Third, the UN human rights coordinator called Yemen the largest humanitarian crisis in the world. Houthis have interfered with the delivery of humanitarian aid, but Saudis and their coalition partners have caused far more death and destruction. More than 10,000 civilians have been killed and 40,000 wounded. Saudi airstrikes, described as indiscriminate or disproportionate by Human Rights Watch, caused at least two-thirds of infrastructure damage and three-quarters of the deaths.
Nearly 19 million people, more than 80 percent of the population, need humanitarian aid. More than ten million have acute need for assistance. About 13 million lack access to clean water. Some 60 percent of Yemens people, or 17 million, are in crisis or emergency situations. The UN World Food Programme warned that the country is on the brink of full-scale famine, with seven million people severely food insecure. Some four million people already are acutely malnourished and 3.2 million have been displaced within the country. Health services have collapsed as the need for care has mushroomed.
Fourth, Hadis restoration would not offer political stability. His support was limited even before Riyadhs intervention, coming more from the West than his own people; backing a brutal foreign attack on his nation has won him no friends. Indeed, warned Zimmerman, The hodgepodge coalition against the al-Houthi-Saleh faction fractures rapidly once the question of power is on the table. None of the main component forces supports Hadi for president and few would support the return of the Yemeni central state as it was. Theres also a separate southern secessionist movement which would try to defenestrate Hadi if he was restored.
Fifth, support for KSA brutality endangers Americans by creating and empowering another adversaries. Washington has turned itself into an enemy of the Yemeni people. U.S. policymakers expressed shock when Houthi forces apparently shot a missile at an American naval vessel, but America is a de facto belligerent and U.S. warships therefore are a legitimate target. The only surprise is that Houthis did not strike sooner.
Internationalizing the war also internationalized the weapons. Vice Admiral Kevin Donegan complained of equipment which Yemeni forces didnt previously possess: there was no explosive boat that existed in the Yemeni inventory. That was before Saudi Arabia turned a civil war into an international sectarian conflict. Moreover, there should be no surprise, let alone shock, if angry Yemenis turn to terrorism. Fear of that possibility may explain the administrations attempt to ban visitors from that nation.
Sixth, the Saudi war effort aided the rise of the Islamic State and Salafi militias. AQAP also is on the rise. The Crisis Group recently warned that the organization is stronger than it has ever been. Noted a recent report from the State Department, AQAP and the Islamic State have exploited the political and security vacuum left by the conflict between the Yemeni government and Houthi-led opposition. AQAP has been significantly expanding its presence in the southern and eastern governorates while ISIL has gained a foothold in the country. The Crisis Group explained that al-Qaeda is thriving in an environment of state collapse, growing sectarianism, shifting alliances, security vacuums and a burgeoning war economy.
AQAPs rise threatens the U.S. Argued former Pentagon official Andrew Exum, Yemens campaign has distracted both the United States and its key partnersnamely the Emiratesfrom the fight against AQAP, one of the few al-Qaeda franchises with the demonstrated will and capability to strike the United States. Even before, Americas allies had shown little interest in battling al-Qaeda. Journalist Laura Kasinof observed that Hadi, lacking internal support, cozied up to the Islamists before his ouster. Zimmerman reported that his regime tacitly cooperated with AQAP in some regions. Moreover, The Saudi-led coalition tolerates AQAPs presence on the battlefield, so long as the group fights against the al-Houthi-Saleh forces.
The Pentagon has felt it necessary to intervene more directly against AQAP, with drone attacks, airstrikes, and special operations forces raids, with costly and controversial results. More strikes are likely, as the president relaxes White House oversight of the war effort. To the extent the organization gains resources and followers, it might succeed in its efforts to hit the American homeland. If so, the Obama and Trump administrations will share the blame.
Candidate Donald Trump was highly critical of President Barack Obamas foreign policy. Why, then, is President Trump doubling down on an unnecessary Middle Eastern war on behalf of an authoritarian regime guilty of promoting Islamic radicalism? Why is he subordinating fundamental American interests and values to those of a country which has provided more terrorists who attacked Americans than any other and done more to finance international terrorism than any other? Why is he entangling the U.S. in another distant, irrelevant, and unwinnable Mideast conflict after criticizing U.S. intervention in Iraq and Libya?
Americans have good reason to engage the KSA, despite its behavior. However, the Trump administration should not genuflect toward Riyadh. Washington should not sacrifice U.S. interests to benefit the Saudi royals. American officials should not enable the killingmurder, reallyof people who have never harmed this nation.
Unfortunately, the administration appears fixated on Iran. Yet, observed Mustafa Alani, director of Dubais Gulf Research Center: It is a myth that Iran is strong. Tehran is at best a modest regional power, lagging well behind Saudi Arabia. President Trump complained in January that Iran is going to have Yemen, along with Iraq and Syria: Theyre going to have everything. But Washington gave, if thats the right word, Iraq to Tehran through its foolish invasion and Syria contains little to possess.
Moreover, nothing in Sanaas history suggests that any Yemeni faction would sacrifice their countrys autonomy. Said Zimmerman: The al-Houthi leadership retains its independence from Iran and has pushed back on Tehrans statements and offers repeatedly. Von Bruck argued that The Houthis want Yemen to be independent, thats the key idea, they dont want to be controlled by Saudi or the Americans, and they certainly dont want to replace the Saudis with the Iranians.
Ironically, in Yemen Tehran is only doing what Saudi Arabia and far more distant America are doing, actively intervening with military force to promote its interests. Iran has as much as Saudi Arabia and far more than America at stake in the Yemen war. Imagine Washingtons reaction if Iran fomented civil war in Mexico, attempting to overthrow a government aligned with the U.S.
Ultimately, a political settlement is necessary, one which puts the interests of the Yemeni people before that of either the Saudi royals or Iranian mullahs. Alas, so far the UN negotiating effort has excluded a role for the Houthis and thereby ignores the fundamental grievances and local conflicts that generated the war in the first place, noted Zimmerman. Such an effort wont result in peace or stability. All foreign parties should step back. Added Zimmerman: Sound American strategy would reach out to the al-Houthis along with other sub-state actors in Yemen, seek common ground with them, and work to facilitate a meaningful resolution of the conflictincluding the underlying popular grievance that are driving it.
Riyadhs policy is at a dead-end. Saudi Arabia offered to make peace with Iran, if Tehran essentially surrendered all of its interests. The totalitarian monarchy in Riyadh proclaimed its support for Yemens elected government, headed by a man with minimal public support. After two years of embarrassing military failure, the deputy crown prince proclaimed that time is in our favor.
Instead of doing the monarchys bidding, the Trump administration should remember that the U.S., not Saudi Arabia, is the superpower, and Washingtons obligation is to the American people, not Saudi Arabias royals. Indeed, President Trump recently reiterated his criticism of Riyadh: Frankly, Saudi Arabia has not treated us fairly, because we are losing a tremendous amount of money in defending Saudi Arabia.
But the problem with the bilateral relationship runs far deeper: America is losing is moral soul by aiding Riyadh in a brutal, aggressive war against an impoverished neighbor. Nothing warrants supporting the promiscuous killing of civilians who have never threatened America. Escalation only guarantees greater failure.
The Yemen war is a disaster. Noted Perry Cammack of the Carnegie Endowment, By catering to Saudi Arabia in Yemen, the United States has empowered AQAP, strengthened Iranian influence in Yemen, undermined Saudi security, brought Yemen closer to the brink of collapse, and visited more death, destruction, and displacement on the Yemeni population. Washington should end this conflict.
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Saudi Royals Play Donald Trump: Win Support for Oppression and War - HuffPost
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Congress’s new approach to the opioid epidemic: the old war on drugs – Vox
Posted: at 11:43 pm
As the US faces its deadliest drug epidemic, the Senate is working on a new approach to deal with the crisis: the old war on drugs.
According to a new report by Carrie Johnson for NPR, a bipartisan pair of senators Sens. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) and Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) is working on a bill that would create harsher prison sentences for selling synthetic opioids like fentanyl analogs, which have become more common as people have moved from painkillers to other opioids in the course of the crisis.
Johnson reports:
A draft of the legislation reviewed by NPR suggests the plan would give the attorney general a lot more power to ban all kinds of synthetic drugs, since criminals often change the recipe to evade law enforcement. It would impose a 10-year maximum sentence on people caught selling them as a first offense. That would double if they do it again.
Lawmakers argue that the bill is necessary to punish traffickers for drugs that arent already penalized, since the drugs theyre selling are so new that theyre not included in the schedule of controlled substances. This would, then, bring the new drugs in line with other illicit opioids.
But as Michael Collins of the Drug Policy Alliance, which advocates for lighter penalties for drug offenders, told NPR, the concern is that this new bill will be used to lock up even more low-level drug offenders for longer even those who dont know these new drugs are present in their product.
A key problem in the opioid crisis is that these fentanyl analogs are often added to heroin outside the country. (In some places, its estimated that the majority of heroin is now cut with a fentanyl analog.) The dealer, sometimes unaware that the heroin has been cut with a fentanyl analog, will then sell the goods as if theyre just heroin. Then the buyer will use the drugs and overdose, because the fentanyl analogs make the heroin much more potent than even a hardened heroin user can handle.
Under Grassley and Feinsteins bill, the Department of Justice would be able to punish the dealer for selling that contaminated heroin.
But the dealer might not have any idea that his heroin was cut to begin with, effectively punishing him for something he knew nothing about. These penalties would also be added on top of traditional heroin penalties (for which the dealer would likely have been punished anyway), in effect making prison sentences even longer. And this would punish low-level dealers, not the higher-ups that drive the drug trade adding to the US prison population of low-level drug offenders.
In short, more people would be sent to prison for longer due to low-level drug offenses.
This is a clear example of lawmakers repeating past problematic practices. Although state prison systems (where most prisoners in the US are held) arent made up of very many drug offenders, about half of the federal prison system holds people for drugs. Over the past few years, lawmakers said they were trying to move away from that hence the work surrounding a reform bill that would have effectively cut mandatory minimum prison sentences for drug offenses. Yet now lawmakers want to create even more penalties that could be used to lock up more drug offenders.
The evidence suggests this wont work. By dedicating more resources to more incarceration, lawmakers risk shifting necessary funds from the actual solutions to an ineffective strategy.
A 2014 study from Peter Reuter at the University of Maryland and Harold Pollack at the University of Chicago found theres no good evidence that tougher punishments or harsher supply-elimination efforts do a better job of driving down access to drugs and substance abuse than lighter penalties. So increasing the severity of the punishment doesnt do much, if anything, to slow the flow of drugs.
In fact, the research suggests that harsher punishments in general dont do much to prevent crime. As the National Institute of Justice concluded in 2016, Research shows clearly that the chance of being caught is a vastly more effective deterrent than even draconian punishment. Research has found evidence that prison can exacerbate, not reduce, recidivism. Prisons themselves may be schools for learning to commit crimes.
In other words, more certainty of punishment can deter crime, while more severity through longer prison sentences can actually make crime worse.
This is something that even some former supporters of harsh punishments for drugs now acknowledge. In congressional testimony, Kevin Ring, a former congressional aide who helped enact mandatory minimums and now speaks out against them through the advocacy group Families Against Mandatory Minimums, said, Most of these guys made stupid mistakes without any idea of what the punishment was they just didnt think they were going to get caught. So you can make the severity off the charts you can do a life sentence for jaywalking its not going to stop it.
Or as former federal drug czar Michael Botticelli often said, We cant arrest and incarcerate addiction out of people.
Still, the fact is that America has an opioid problem. In 2015, there were more than 52,000 drug overdose deaths, and nearly two-thirds of those were linked to opioids like Percocet, Vicodin, heroin, and fentanyl. The total number of drug overdose deaths was far greater than the more than 38,000 who died in car crashes, the more than 36,000 who died due to gun violence, and the more than 43,000 who died due to HIV/AIDS during that epidemics peak in 1995.
That the crisis got so bad speaks to the failure of decades of policy: Years of tough on crime approaches couldnt prevent the worst drug crisis in history.
So what can we do about it?
Some policymakers have increasingly focused on the public health side. Theres good reason for that: In the most comprehensive analysis of addiction in America, the surgeon general in 2016 found that the US massively underfunds addiction care. It concluded, for example, that just 10 percent of Americans with a drug use disorder get specialty treatment, in large part due to a shortage in treatment options.
So federal and state officials have pushed for more treatment funding, including medication-assisted treatment like methadone and buprenorphine. In 2016, Congress approved an extra $1 billion in funding over two years for drug treatment in response to the opioid crisis.
But public health advocates argue that more needs to be done to make treatment accessible. Andrew Kolodny, co-director of opioid policy research at the Heller School for Social Policy and Management at Brandeis University, estimates that the US needs to spend potentially tens of billions of dollars more a year to deal with a crisis so grave. Theres an empirical base for that: A 2016 study found that opioid painkiller addiction cost the economy $78.5 billion in 2013, more than a third of which was a result of higher health care and drug treatment costs.
We need a massive increase in funding for addiction treatment, he argued. Were not going to get anywhere in terms of reducing overdose deaths until you have very low threshold access to buprenorphine treatment or methadone in some cases referring to two medications used for treating opioid addiction.
Polls show that most Americans prefer treating drugs as a public health issue, not a criminal one. And many experts, including the International Narcotics Control Board, have asked for a greater focus on public health policies to curtail demand for drugs.
Even some police departments are warming to this approach. For example, in Gloucester, Massachusetts, the police chief in 2015 announced that his officers will no longer charge heroin users with a crime, even if they have drugs, and instead offer to put them in rehabilitative treatment. Other cities, like Cincinnati, have adopted similar approaches.
But some governments and agencies continue perpetuating tough on crime thinking on drugs from Indiana upping prison sentences for drugs to an Ohio town charging heroin users with inducing panic to the bill the Senate is now working on. But the evidence suggests that will all be ineffective, and it could shift resources from where help is really needed.
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Congress's new approach to the opioid epidemic: the old war on drugs - Vox
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Samantha Bee Is Here to Remind Jeff Sessions Why We Don’t Need Another War on Drugs – Slate Magazine (blog)
Posted: at 11:43 pm
Jeff Sessions wants to bring back the War on Drugs, but Samantha Bee is not having it. The Full Frontal host spend two-thirds of Wednesdays show attacking attorney general Jeff Sessions opposition to criminal justice reform, one of the few areas that the left and right can agree on, and his Justice Department's reboot of the War on Drugs. (Like most reboots, its bad.) Bee took a deep dive to explain why the first War on Drugs was such a disaster and set about proving that Jeff Sessions one-handcuff-fits-all policy is not the answer to the opioid epidemic.
To further drive the point home, Full Frontal thenalso exposed just how unreliable drug field test kits are, dramatizing two real-world Texas cases in which police pulled over vehicles and then misidentified banal substances like cat litter as illegal substances. Former Houston prosecutor Inger Chandler explains that those tests are widely accepted as evidence in court, despite giving false positives on everything from donut glaze to air. But as Full Frontals segment demonstrates, those false positives can force defendants into taking plea bargains despite a lack of actual evidenceand black defendants are disproportionately affected.
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War on Drugs is costing thousands of lives – San Bernardino County Sun
Posted: at 11:43 pm
While American foreign policy has for years fixated on the conflict in Syria and the Middle East, just across the border in Mexico and throughout Central America tens of thousands of people lost their lives last year because of the conflict between drug cartels competing to deliver illicit drugs into the United States.
According to a recent report from the International Institute for Strategic Studies, whereas approximately 50,000 lives were lost in Syria last year, approximately 39,000 were killed in Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador, much of which is attributable to drug-war violence.
Mexicos homicide total of 23,000 for 2016 is second only to Syrias, and is only the latest development in a conflict which stretches back to 2006, when President Felipe Calderon deployed the military to combat drug cartels.
Although the exact number of people killed because of the drug war in Mexico is unlikely to ever be known, a recent report from the Congressional Research Service cited estimates from 80,000 to more than 100,000 in that country alone.
The cause of this violence is obvious, and it is a direct, predictable consequence of our failed policy of drug prohibition. In the near-half century since President Richard Nixon declared a war on drugs, hundreds of thousands of Latin Americans have been killed in conflicts fueled by a lucrative illicit drug trade made possible by our prohibition of drugs.
This is an insight a certain New York developer possessed 27 years ago. Were losing badly the war on drugs, Donald Trump said in 1990. You have to legalize drugs to win that war. You have to take the profit away from these drug czars.
While Trump may have since lost this insight, the fact remains that the war on drugs does more harm than drugs themselves.
Last year, Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos used his Nobel Peace Prize acceptance speech to call for a rethink of the drug war, which contributed to decades of conflict in Colombia that killed hundreds of thousands.
Rather than squander more lives and resources fighting a War on Drugs that cannot be won including in our inner cities the United States must recognize the futility and harm of its drug policies.
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War on Drugs is costing thousands of lives - San Bernardino County Sun
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Flawed, fuzzy numbers in the war on drugs | Headlines, News, The … – Philippine Star
Posted: at 11:43 pm
(PCIJ) President Rodrigo Duterte has repeatedly said that drugs are the root of society's many ills. He also seems to see drugs everywhere and in almost anything, even in the ongoing conflict in Marawi. Yet even as his administration's controversial war against illegal drugs continues to claim lives, it has also spawned a side battle over numbers and public-relation points.
Earlier last month, the newly created Inter-Agency Committee on Anti-Illegal Drugs (ICAD) launched #RealNumbersPH, an official report that supposedly offers the true and correct numbers on the drug warfrom the government's perspective. ICAD officials lamented what they called the misreporting and exaggeration by the news media of the numbers of those who were killed, arrested or surrendered. What the ICAD officials left out was that most of those stories were based on information provided by the Philippine National Police (PNP) and other official sources.
In fact, the government's drug war narrative so far has not only been bloody, it has also been blurry. Although government officials have not denied that lives have been lost in the anti-drug campaign, they have yet to explain its narrative that is crowded with constantly changing concepts and terms, even as it is decked in numbers inflated then deflated and later inflated again. Indeed, it is a narrative defined from a war waged mainly as a police operation, its "accomplishments" or success pegged on an ever-lengthening trail of bodies and victims, but with no certain answers for whence or how it should end, and bereft of solid baselines and firm targets.
Over the last 11 months, PCIJ has been monitoring, collecting, curating, and organizing data and documents on the government's war against drugs. It has also sent dozens of request letters to the PNP, the Philippine Drug Enforcement Agency (PDEA), the Dangerous Drugs Board (DDB), the Department of Health, the Department of Social Welfare and Development, the Department of Budget and Management, the Department of the Interior and Local Government, as well as police regional and local commands to build a database on the drug war. To clarify the numbers enrolled in #RealNumbersPH and gather even more data, PCIJ also conducted separate interviews with senior officials of the PNP, PDEA, and DDB.
Ironically, in the course of its data inquiries, PCIJ found some of the numbers enrolled in reports of #RealNumbersPH to be puzzling at best and too incredible at the very least.
That, however, is just one of the multiplying number riddles in the government's anti-drug campaign.
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By their own data and documents, and according to senior officials from the PNP, PDEA, and DDB interviewed by PCIJ, the Duterte administration's drug war remains wrapped in weak, flabby, misleading and not sufficiently explained and meaningful data and numbers.
It must be stressed that the officials interviewed from all the three agencies admit that these figures are not hard, real numbers. And since they all could be correct only in the particular context in which they were derived, this means they could also be wrong when used outside of that context.
In other words, 11 months into the deployment of Oplan Tokhang and Project Double Barrel, the matter of how many total drug users must be snared or coaxed to surrender under Duterte's drug war remains an unsettled issue.
The DDB's 1.8-million estimate of total drug dependents was derived from a 2015 survey that divided the country into five "regional groupings": Metro Manila, North Luzon, South Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao.
The survey aimed to reasonably represent male and female Filipino population aged 10 to 69 years old. After mathematical computations, the survey concluded that the minimum required sample size per regional group would be 838, or a total of 4,190 respondents. But apparently because it had ample available survey funding, the team raised the sample size to 1,000 per regional group, bringing total sample size to 5,000. Field work for the survey was conducted from Dec. 5, 2015 to Feb. 5, 2016.
Of the 5,000 respondents, 4,694 or almost 94 percent were categorized to be "non-users" or had "never used drugs before," including102 who were not aware of any kind of illegal drugs. Only 306 or six percent of the total respondents were "lifetime users" or had used drugs at least once in their lifetime. Of these "lifetime users," 193 or 63 percent had "used drugs before 2015" while 113 or 34 percent were "current users" or had "used drugs within January 2015 and February 2016." Of the 113 "current users," 39 (35 percent) were "one-time users," and 74 (65 percent) were "repeat users."
For much of the ongoing drug war, the PNP has chosen to use the estimate of 1.8 million drug users as basis for calculating its success or passing rate in the government's anti-drug campaign. A PNP document dated Jan. 10 includes an "accounting of drug personalities" portion that cites 70 percent of the 1.8 million estimate number of alleged drug users as the "passing target." That means PNP considered coaxing the surrender of 1.26 million of the total estimated drug users as its passing rate. By the time the document came out, police tallies already had more than 1.43 million of what it called "surrenderers." By its own reckoning thus, the PNP had already hit its minimum target at that point.
President Duterte, however, had initially quoted a 3-million figure but soon turned consistent in insisting that there are 4 million drug dependents in the country, with the figure allegedly coming from "intelligence reports."
Recently, though, PDEA did him even better, saying that drug users in the Philippines now total 4.7 million. This estimate was derived using PDEA's "formula ratio and proportion," which is in turn pegged on the number of surrenderees as a ratio of total households visited under Oplan Tokhang, divided by total number of households in the Philippines, and with a margin of error of 20 percent (supposedly representing the proportion of drug personalities "who did not surrender").
This is PDEA's formula: "The number of total houses visited (under Oplan Tokhang) is to the number of surrenderers is equal to X. Based on the said statistical computation, with a margin of error of 20% - those who did not cooperate with the law enforcers during the house visitation, there are 4.7 million drug users in the Philippines."
According to PDEA, its formula makes this assumption: "For every eight households, there is one drug personality in the household."
Thus, based on data derived from police intelligence and operations reports, PDEA asserts that as of May 18, 2017, "the real number of drug users in the Philippines is 4.7 million."
Then again, a "house" is not exactly a "household"a difference that PDEA's formula ignores. A household represents both the house and its dwellers "a social unit consisting of a person living alone or a group of persons who sleep in the same housing unit and have a common arrangement in the preparation and consumption of food," according to the Philippine Statistics Authority. In contrast, a "house" refers only to the physical dwelling.
Yet a lot more numbers that government uses and #RealNumbersPH reports to define the drug war remain flawed and flabby on two levels: their accuracy on the level of facts and context; and their policy implications.
Except for Central Luzon, there are more DUI cases that the numbers of those killed in anti-drug operations of the police. This implies that vigilante and unnamed armed groups may have netted a far bigger number of casualties among alleged drug users and pushersa sad commentary on the effectiveness and impact of Project Double Barrel. But just a fraction of so-called DUI incidents has triggered the filing of cases in court. And in a majority of these cases, the suspects remain at large.
Given that there are more DUI incidents than the numbers of those killed in police operations, the PNP's Scene-of-Crime Operations (SOCO) unit has only 680 personnel, and the PNP's Internal Affairs Service, only 664 personnel nationwide, as of August 2016. These small numbers of SOCO and IAS personnel (that include those not assigned to investigation) would be hard put running after the rising numbers of DUI and internal-cleansing cases, let alone clear their backlogs even before Double Barrel came into force.
A total of 4,654 firearms and 382 explosives had reportedly been seized by the PNP from a total of 55,481 anti-drug operations, as of May 26, 2017. The prevalence of loose firearms in the areas visited by Project Double Barrel raises concern about possible evidence recycling and how much firearms and explosive yet to be confiscated or recovered by the police.
The numbers of children (26,415, as of Jan. 31, 2017) and women (39,518, as of Jan. 31, 2017) who had "surrendered" continue to rise but there are no sufficient services for them that had been lined up. Across the nation, no government rehab center has a specific rehabilitation program for women and children enrollees; child surrenderees are often referred to government social workers or even mixed with adults in already severely congested rehabilitation facilities and detention centers. DDB reported early efforts of community-based treatment focused on women, but the program is far from being fully rolled out in the whole country.
It seems unusual that the regions registering high numbers of child "surrenderees" (Top 5: Central Visayas, 4,841 children; Northern Mindanao, 4,676; Zamboanga Peninsula, 2,514; Davao Region, 2,266; and Caraga, 2001) did not match the Top 5 regions with the highest numbers of those killed, arrested, and had surrendered under Oplan Tokhang/Project Double Barrel. By the government's composite data on those killed in police operations and DUI incidents, the following regions land on the top 5: Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Central Luzon, Central Visayas, and Northern Mindanao.
How many barangays tagged to be "affected" by drugs had been "cleared" under Tokhang/Project Double Barrel in the last 11 months? There are no specific tracking data for this, except for reports by DDB and PDEA on the numbers of "drug-affected barangays" before July 2016, compared with those as of April 2017. It is unusual that the two sets of numbers show that from only 32 to 36 percent of total barangays classified to be "drug-affected" in July 2016, the figure has grown to 48 percent, out of the total barangays in the country, by April 2017.
The data on "drug-affected barangays" before July 2016 show that the Top 10 regions with the biggest percentage of "drug affectation" are, in order of magnitude, Calabarzon, Metro Manila, Central Luzon, Ilocos Region, Eastern Visayas, Negros Island Region, Western Visayas, Cagayan Valley, Bicol Region, and Caraga. By the numbers of those killed in both police operations and DUI incidents, as of January 2017, the Top 5 regions are Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Central Luzon, Central Visayas, and Northern Mindanao. The Ilocos Region and Eastern Visayas have registered only smaller numbers.
By April 2017, the Top 10 regions, by number of drug-affected barangays follow in order of magnitude are: Ilocos Region, Calabarzon, Central Visayas, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, Cagayan Valley, Caraga, Western Visayas, Mimaropa, and Eastern Visayas. By the numbers of those killed in both police operations and DUI incidents, the Ilocos Region, Central Visayas, and Cagayan Valley have registered smaller numbers.
"Internal cleansing" of police personnel involved in the illegal drugs trade remains a belated, if also hazy, matter in the PNP, in terms of data disclosed to the public. A report received by PCIJ recently from PNP's Double Barrel Secretariat showed that for 2016, only 166 PNP officers and menout of the 145,0000-strong PNPhad been established to be "involved in illegal drugs." The 166 include 158 PNP personnel from regional offices and national support units, and only eight from national headquarters. Of the 166 total, the big clusters have ranks of PO1 (67 personnel), P03 (45), P02 (30), and SP01 (12). In addition, there are also one police superintendent, two chief inspectors, one senior inspector, two inspectors, two SPO3, one SPO2, and three non-uniformed personnel.
A related matter is what the PNP calls its "motu propio investigation" of a total of 331 cases under "remaining investigation," apart from 294 cases "terminated at IID (Investigation and Inspection Division) level, and 119 cases "for pre-charge investigation." It is not clear though if the PNP's numbers also refer to the number of respondents in the cases. Malou Mangahas, Vino Lucero, Davinci Maru, and John Reiner Antiquerra, PCIJ
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Letter: War on drugs | The Daily Courier | Prescott, AZ – The Daily Courier
Posted: at 11:43 pm
Editor:
According to County Attorney Sheila Polk, there is a connection between crime and drug use. That is true, but the connection is a result of social and economic issues.
The vast majority of criminals in Yavapai County are of low education and low, if any, wage earners. I am thankful they are not murderers, rapists or robbers.
I am sure Ms. Polk knows the War on Drugs cannot be won and its financial cost is incredible. Also the most damaging drugs to our society are legally obtained. Those drugs are alcohol and nicotine. Unfortunately, it is not politically sound to admit these facts.
In a state where we grossly underfund education it makes no sense to hire more policemen, buy more vehicles and drug smelling canines to fight a war we cannot and will not win.
Bob Launders
Prescott Valley
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See War on Drugs Perform New Song ‘Holding On’ on ‘Colbert … – RollingStone.com
Posted: at 11:43 pm
The War on Drugs performed their chiming new single "Holding On" Monday on The Late Show With Stephen Colbert.
Though the band recorded as a sextet for upcoming LP A Deeper Understanding, the line-up swelled to a nine-piece unit forColbert. Singer-guitarist Adam Granduciel was backed by three keyboardists, three guitarists, a bassist and drummer, forming a textured, grandiose wall of sound full of bell-like tones and slide-guitar fills.
A Deeper Understanding, described in a statement as a "band record," is out August 25th. The 10-track LP also features "Thinking of a Place," the psychedelic, 11-minute track previously issued as a 12-inch vinyl single for Record Store Day.
The War on Drugs will launch a major tour this fall. The band will kick of a North American leg on September 18th, followed by a European trek in November.
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NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL Unions Prepare for Sports Gambling | The … – Sports Illustrated
Posted: at 11:43 pm
The players unions of the NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB arent sure when sports gambling will be legalized. But they see it as a matter of if, not when. So theyre not going to waste time getting prepared.
The MMQB has learned that the four unions have had a number of formal meetings in New York over the past year-and-a-half to discuss the potential ramifications that legalized sports gambling could present for their players.
Yes, the sports unions have been discussing the issue, in particular around the integrity of our respective games, NFLPA executive George Atallah said Thursdayafternoon. Were collaborating on it. We might be open to changes that are coming because of (legalized sports gambling), but before we get to the revenue aspect of it, do we have the infrastructure in place to prevent any sort of shenanigans? Thats the issue.
Atallah said the unions have started looking at how legalized sports gambling and those associated issues are handled overseas in areas where its been legal for decades. Theyre also monitoring legislation in New Jersey, which has been the primary battleground for legalized sports gambling.
Nevada remains the only state where sports gambling is legal, and the sports leagues are about to set down roots there for the first time. The NHLs expansion Vegas Golden Knights begin play this fall. The NFLs Raiders will move from Oakland and into a new $1.9 billion stadium there in 2020, and could be there sooner depending on what happens with their lease in the Bay Area.
Meanwhile, the NBA held its All-Star Game in Vegas in 2007, and commissioner Adam Silver has come out as a proponent of legalizing sports gambling.
All of that signifies change, as Vegas was long seen as a forbidden land for professional sports. And while the NFLs comments publicly have been far more conservative than Silvers, there was a quiet admission from NFL ownersbefore they unanimously voted the Raiders move to Vegasthat a sea change was coming.
From a gambling standpoint? Thats a joke to even say thatd be a problem, one AFC owner told The MMQB in late March. That was an issue decades ago. Now? Sports gambling is going to be legal. We might as well embrace it and become part of the solution, rather than fight it. Its in everyones best interests for it to be above board.
The first question, naturally, is going to be about gambling, said an NFC owner. But any of us can pull our phones out of our pockets and place a bet right now. (The concern) is not 100 percent put to bed, but its relatively put to bed, just because of technology today.
The sports-gambling summits over the past 18 months have been attended by the executive directors of the four unionsthe NFLPAs DeMaurice Smith, the MLBPAs Tony Clark, the NBPAs Michele Roberts and the NHLPAs Donald Fehrand are just another acknowledgment of whats likely not far off.
For us, its about getting the right infrastructure in place, said Atallah. Before we get to the revenue splits, how do you monitor behavior like they do in other parts of the world to ensure what were all watching isnt fixed? Thats the question.
Question or comment?Email us attalkback@themmqb.com.
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Anti-police mural led to gambling charges, store owner claims – Fort Worth Star Telegram
Posted: at 11:43 pm
Anti-police mural led to gambling charges, store owner claims Fort Worth Star Telegram A store owner repeatedly charged with gambling claimed Thursday that police targeted him because of a mural depicting police violence he had on the side of his building last year. Rocky's Drive Thru owner Ameer Rocky Hirani said the police are ... |
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Lehigh Valley lawmaker rolls the dice in gambling expansion vote – Allentown Morning Call
Posted: at 11:43 pm
The Lehigh Valleys only lawmaker thus far supporting a House bill to add up to 40,000 video slot machines in the state happens to be an avid gambler herself.
Rep. Marcia Hahn, R-Northampton, has claimed earnings from casinos five out of six years she has filed Statement of Financial Interest forms with the state Ethics Commission.
Hahn was first elected in 2010. Her first filing was the following year.
Mt. Airy Casino and Sands Casino are her establishments of choice, according to financial forms filed between 2011 and 2016. Legislators arent required to list the amount of income, but are required to disclose where any outside income came from.Below are the details listed on those forms:
The slot machines and raffles havent quite paid off for Hahn, despite the income claimed.
Id probably say I lose more than I win, she said in a phone interview.
The House bill, approved 102-89 on Wednesday night, would legalize video betting machines in bars, nursing homes, VFWs, volunteer fire halls, restaurants, bowling alleys, truck stops, hotels and other places licensed to sell alcohol. The machines, known as video gaming terminals, or VGTS, are strongly opposed by all but one of the states casinons and a majority of the Senate.
The House added the VGT piece to a Senate plans that would legalize fantasy sports, internet betting and let the Pennsylvania Lottery sell tickets online.
The bill is now in the Senate, where Hahan may find company. Sen. Lisa boscola, D-Northampton, is a VGT supporter.
If the bill dies in the Senate, it could leave a $150 million hole in next years budget. Thats how much Gov. Tom Wolfs administration has earmarked in estimated tax revenue from expanded gambling in the fiscal year that starts July 1.
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