Monthly Archives: June 2017

Artificial Intelligence Will Put Spies Out of Work, Too – Foreign Policy (blog)

Posted: June 10, 2017 at 7:09 pm

If Robert Cardillo has his way, robots will perform 75 percent of the tasks currently done by American intelligence analysts who collect, analyze, and interpret images beamed from drones, satellites, and other feeds around the globe.

Cardillo, the director of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, known by the acronym NGA, announced his push toward automation and artificial intelligence at a conference this week in San Antonio. The annual conference, hosted by the United States Geospatial Intelligence Foundation, brings together technologists, soldiers, and intelligence professionals to discuss national security threats, changes in technology, and data collection and processing.

Artificial intelligence is on the rise; former President Barack Obamas White House released a white paper on its potential future impacts in the final months of the administration. Police officers are using preliminary programs to predict the likelihood someone will commit a crime in a specific neighborhood based on crime statistics data. And companies like Amazon and Netflix use machine learning to calculate what movie you will want to watch or which book you may buy.

Yet this sort of automation is also seen as a threat to workers, who fear being put out of jobs, particularly in the private sector.

The fear that artificial intelligence will take over jobs, or fail catastrophically along the way, is palpable in the intelligence community as well, and Cardillo admitted that the workforce is skeptical, if not cynical or downright mad, about the prospect of automation intruding on their day-to-day lives, potentially replacing them.

The coming revolution in artificial intelligence has been hyped for years, often falling short of expectations. But if it does happen, analysts worry theyll become obsolete.

Cardillo, who called it a transforming opportunity for the profession, said hes working on showing the workforce that artificial intelligence is not all smoke and mirrors. The message hes sending to workers at the agency is that the goal of automation isnt to get rid of you its there to elevate you. Its about giving you a higher-level role to do the harder things.

In Cardillos eyes, the profession of geospatial intelligence monitoring and exploiting commercial and proprietary video and imagery feeds around the world is on the precipice of a data explosion similar to when the internet took off. At that point, the National Security Agency, which is responsible for collecting and analyzing digital communications, had to figure out ways to vacuum up and glean specific conclusions from an explosion of communications traveling back and forth on the web.

Just as the NSA employs algorithms to trawl through millions of messages, Cardillo wants machine learning to help with large volumes of imagery. Instead of analysts staring at millions of images of coastlines and beachfronts, computers could digitally pore over images, calculating baselines for elevation and other features of the landscape. NGAs goal is to establish a pattern of life for the surfaces of the Earth to be able to detect when that pattern changes, rather than looking for specific people or objects.

NGA is responsible for tracking potential threats, such as military testing sites in North Korea. When something at a site changes, like large groups of people or cars arriving, it may indicate preparations for a missile test. We dont have a higher priority, Cardillo told Foreign Policy. We put everything we can into North Korea.

But the number of sensors, images, and video feeds is exploding and will continue to grow in the coming years, he predicted. A significant chunk of the time, I will send [my employees] to a dark room to look at TV monitors to do national security essential work, Cardillo told reporters. But boy is it inefficient.

The agency is also turning to academia and the private sector for help. Cardillo hired Anthony Vinci, the founder and former CEO of Findyr, a company that crowdsources data from countries around the world, to head up the agencys machine-learning efforts within NGA.

Companies exhibiting at the conference were clearly on the artificial bandwagon, boasting flashy datasets and advanced algorithms. But not everyone was convinced relying on computers for the bulk of data crunching and analysis was such a great idea for intelligence work.

Justin Cleveland, a former intelligence official who works for the security company Authentic8 which created a secure browser called Silo that also allows intelligence professionals to disguise their cybertracks was skeptical of the automation boom. It can be helpful, he said in an interview at the conference. But you could have one bad algorithm and youre at war.

Taking humans out of the bulk of the process is bound to lead to errors. At the end of the day, you have to trust the person who wrote the algorithm over the analyst, Cleveland said.

Jimmy Comfort, a deputy director at the National Reconnaissance Office, was enthusiastic about certain applications for artificial intelligence in some areas like facial recognition. There are so many parallels with what the commercial guys are doing, he said in an interview.

But for his agency, which works mainly with satellites, the needs are different. Satellites take fewer images, from much farther away. Theres challenges for us doing that stuff from space, Comfort said.

Photo credit: CHIP SOMODEVILLA/Getty Images

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Are you lying about your identity? Artificial intelligence can tell by how you use your mouse – Science Magazine

Posted: at 7:09 pm

By tracking cursor movement, lie detection becomes a game of cat and mouse.

DeanDrobot/iStock Photo

By Matthew HutsonJun. 9, 2017 , 3:30 PM

Every year, millions of people have their identities stolen. Theres no foolproof way to pinpoint fakers, but thanks to Italian researchers, investigators may soon have another tool at their disposala way to suss out frauds and other liars online with just a few clicks of a mouse.

Traditional methods of lie detection include face-to-face interviews and polygraphs that measure heart rate and skin conductance. But they cant be done remotely, or with large numbers of people. Researchers have come up with effective computer-based tests that measure reaction time in response to true and false personal information. For the tests to work, though, experimenters have to know the truth in advance.

To get around this obstacle, a team of Italian researchers has come up with an innovative way of figuring out the truth. They asked 20 volunteers to memorize the details of a fake identity and assume it as their own. The subjects then answered a set of yes-or-no questions using a computer, as did 20 truth-telling volunteers. Questions included things like: Is Giulia your name? and Were you born in 1995? Researchers recorded each answer and measured how the subjects mouse cursors moved, from the bottom middle of the screen to yes and no buttons in the top two corners.

Because liars can get to be as good as the rest of us at telling the truth, the researchers threw a wrench into their experiment. In addition to the 12 expected questions, they asked 12 unexpected questions based on the volunteers new identities. For example, they asked about a persons zodiac sign, based on their birth date. And they asked about the capital city of the subjects presumed region. A fraud might have memorized a fake birthday, but not known the corresponding zodiac sign, or been able to calculate it quickly enough. Weve found that if people rehearse lies, lying can be as easy as telling the truth, says Bruno Verschuere, a forensic psychologist at the University of Amsterdam who was not involved in the research, except when you ask unexpected questions.

The experimenters trained a computer to sort liars from truth tellers using the number of incorrect answers they gave. The teams four machine-learning algorithms ranged in accuracy from 77.5% to 85%. But when the researchers included features of the mouse pathssuch as deviation from a straight linein their training materials, computers were able to successfully pick out the liars 90% to 95% of the time, the researchers reported last month in PLOS ONE.

They also trained and tested the algorithms using only questions that the liars answered truthfully, such as whether they were Italian. The algorithms could still identify the fibbers with 77.5% to 80% accuracy. Jumping back and forth between telling the truth and lying seems to have a broad effect on peoples behavior, the scientists say. Having to tell a lie changes the way people tell the truth.

But would such a method work in the real world? Giuseppe Sartori, a forensic neuroscientist at the University of Paduain Italyand an author of the paper, says it could be used as a first screen to check peoples alibis in criminal investigations, verify identities online, or even cull terrorists from refugees at border checkpoints. It likely wont have the same accuracy it does in the lab, but he calls the study a good proof of concept.

Its a clever idea, says Giorgio Ganis, a cognitive neuroscientist at Plymouth University in the United Kingdom. But its not obvious that its going to be super useful. Ganis notes that in the real world, fraudsters would likely spend more time researching their backstories, making surprising questions harder to find. Youre going to catch the dumb criminals and dumb terrorists, he says, which is better than nothing, I guess. Sartori adds that even though impostors might learn their purported zodiac sign, other unexpected questions are practically unlimited. Do they know the cross streets of their purported home address? Do they know the layout of the restaurant where they say they were on the night of a crime? The study brings a whole new meaning to the game of cat and mouse.

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China’s bid to beat the world’s artificial intelligence revolution – SBS

Posted: at 7:09 pm

The country is hoping to use the technology to transform a variety of industries, including manufacturing, health and transport.

Hundreds of gadgets and must-have electronic devices were on display at Shanghais Consumer Electronic Show, or CES Asia.

Among them was a driverless car powered by Baidus Project Apollo self-driving car platform. The tech giant is using machine-learning, a new step in artificial intelligence, to develop the technology.

Machine-learning allows computers to learn without being explicitly programmed.

The advance has gotten the attention of the Chinese government, which is spending big in AI. Some Chinese cities are pledging more than $2 billion dollars towards research and development.

Zha Hongbin is an AI researcher and professor at Beijings Peking University. He says machine learning has been the focus of many computer labs across China.

'Project Apollo' is Baidu's driverless car platform developed with AI

Our country is on the way to launch the project Artificial Intelligence 2.0, the launching of which would drive the development of machine learning," he said.

"The Chinese government attaches great importance to this area.

Mr Zha says China hopes to leap-frog the US and other western countries by vast and fast investment in the industry.

We still lag behind in some traditional industries," he said.

"When it comes to emerging industries we see an opportunity to be more advanced. And AI, we believe, would play a crucial role in this process.

The technology was behind the triumph of googles AI program AlphaGo in the highly complex Chinese board game Go last month. The program bested world champion Ke Jie in three games.

But the technology has more serious applications. Earlier this year tech giant Baidu worked with a charity to use facial recognition to help identify two missing persons, one who had been trafficked from home 28 years ago.

Beijing-based start-up Infervision uses sophisticated image recognition to detect lung cancer in CT scans.

Its not difficult for the human eye to detect late stage symptoms, but very easy for humans to miss small and early stage symptoms," Infervision chief executive Chen Kuan said.

"Using our technology we can actually detect the problems much earlier and I think thats the part in which we can save a lot of lives.

With their program installed in 20 hospitals across China, the start-up are now expanding to the US and Japan and developing programs to help doctors analyse images of the heart, brain and stomach.

Mr Chen says his goal isnt to replace doctors or radiologists, but allow them to work more efficiently.

Infervision uses AI technology to help scan lung images for cancer nodes

We can use deep-learning technology to remove parts in which they do repetitive and tedious work, he said.

But some believe job losses are inevitable. Technologist and venture capitalist Kai-fu Lee predicts AI will replace 50 per cent of all jobs over the next decade.

Zha Hongbin says manufacturing and transportation and will be especially affected, but changes will be good for the economy overall.

There will be some other industries emerging in markets like China and these emerging industries may employ more people, he said.

On a consumer-level, robot company Roobo believes most AI gadgets are in their infant-stages. Theyre produced three models which are intentionally designed to look cute.

If you design the interface to look too high-teach or intelligent the users may have too high expectations," Roobos chief technology officer Lei Yu said.

"We aim to eventually create a human-like interactive robot, but we cant achieve that yet.

Domgy, an interactive dog-like prototype, will go on the market for more than $1000 at the end of the year.

The price point is unaffordable for most in China, but the company hopeswithin five years the technology will have advanced enough to push prices down.

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Golden State Is One NBA Finals Victory From Immortality – The Federalist

Posted: at 7:08 pm

Get out the broomson Fridaynight, for the Golden State Warriors are poised to capture their second NBA titlein three years, and a spot as the greatest team in NBA history. The Warriors scored the final 11 points in the closing minutes of sensational game three of the NBA finals, 118-113, at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland to take a commanding 3-0 series lead over the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The Warriors continue their unstoppable winning streak. DUB Nation is an astonishing 15-0 this postseason, a mere win from an historic 16-0 NBA record. They have the opportunity to cap off a flawless playoffs.

Trailing by seven points late in the fourth quarter, the Warriors mounted a furious rally in The Land and stole one as Kevin Durant hit a go-ahead three-pointer with 45 seconds in the exhilarating game every NBA fan has been eagerly waiting for. The shot symbolically represents the changing of the guard in the NBA; the moment KD surpassed King James as the games best player. Its the defining moment in Durants career.

The main storyline of the 2017 NBA finals has been the battle for league supremacy. LeBron James helped foster Durants departure from the Oklahoma City Thunder to head to the Bay Area in the first place.

Durant is following the template LeBron set up in 2010, when James joined the Miami Heat, a so-called Superteam. As Durant casually dribbled the ball past the half-court line, no one imagined he dared attempt a three-pointer. However, he realized James heels were behind the line, so he let it fly. You could hear a pin drop when it swished through the net.

Game three was a devastating loss for the Cavaliers. Everything went right, and still those final minutes will haunt them. They went ice-cold at the worst possible time, going 0 for 8 down the stretch.Trailing by three, 116-113 with 12 seconds remaining, the Cavaliers had a ripe chance to send this thriller into overtime with a three. On an errant inbound pass, Andre Iguodala blanketed James, deflecting the ball off LeBrons arms, and the fate was sealed.

Kyrie Irving had his breakout performance, shaking and baking for 39 points, while LeBron James added 38 points. The duos 77 combined points was outstanding in defeat.

Unfortunately for the city of Cleveland, LeBron and the Cavaliers choked and gave this one away. Should James fall short once again, his NBA finals record will be 3-5. That means his pursuit of catching Michael Jordan to become the G.O.A.T. is officially over. Jordan not only was a flawless 6-0 in the finals, his Chicago Bulls never needed seven games to win the title.

Redemption shall be attained in the form of the glistening Larry OBrien trophy if the Warriors sweep their archrivalsthe Cavs bycelebrating on the floor of the franchise that ripped their heart out last year. In the aftermath of an historic comeback, the Warriors avenged consecutive game three finals losses.

The Cavaliers have dug themselves an even greater hole than last year, when all looked hopeless facing a 3-1 series deficit. This year, the Cavaliers will have to one-up their recent comeback history. Game four will air Friday, June 9, on ABC. Tipoff is scheduled for9 p.m. EST.

Christopher Floch has covered two Super Bowls, UCLA and USC football, the Los Angeles Dodgers, and three Rose Bowls. In his spare time, he loves to spend time with his nephew, Liam.

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Nick Tavares: Reds’ Scooter Gennet the latest to achieve baseball immortality – SouthCoastToday.com

Posted: at 7:08 pm

Short of the World Series and pennant races, sometimes the best baseball has to offer is in the weird happenings that occur during the course of 162 games.

Its a schedule designed for the weird to float up, and this week we got just that. On Tuesday, Reds second baseman Scooter Gennet went 5-for-5 with four home runs in one game.

Scooter Gennet! How about that.

On the decent chance you didnt know who he was beyond, maybe, fantasy baseball rankings, Gennett is a 27-year-old second baseman with the Reds. Its his fifth season in the majors and first with Cincinnati, who picked him up off the Milwaukee Brewers. He can move pretty well around the diamond, and hes now in an exclusive club for the rest of his life.

There are only 17 players who have hit four home runs in a game since 1894. My second thought went to Shawn Green, who went 6-for-6 with four home runs for the Dodgers in 2002. But I had already forgotten about Carlos Delgado busting out four home runs the next year for the Blue Jays, and completely blanked on Josh Hamilton doing the same for the Rangers in 2012.

As hard and fluky a feat as it is, Hamilton, Delgado and Green at least fit the mold of players who could have pulled it off. Gennett only had three home runs in 2017 coming into his game and, while no slouch, isnt thought of as a power threat.

Gennetts grabbed his weird little piece of baseball history, and hes going to forever join the collective memories of fans who remember those guys. He might even become their go-to four homers in one game guy.

And heres where my first thought went. My go-to was and forever will be Mark Whiten, who, on the second half of a Sept. 7 double header in 1993, went 4-for-5 with four home runs and 12 RBI. And from that moment on, Whiten was a baseball god.

Its so dumb and it so explicitly dates me, but my primary memory of Whitens monster game was courtesy of Mel Allens This Week In Baseball. On the Saturday following his Tuesday night performance, Whiten took up the majority of the shows half hour that morning. It left an impact.

The idea of four home runs in a game seemed absolutely impossible. I was four when Bob Horner hit four home runs for the Braves against the Expos in 1986 and wasnt alive when Mike Schmidt did it against the Cubs. Whiten was a good player hes actually praised briefly in a newspaper clipping during the movie Bull Durham and he had a solid career. He hit 25 home runs in 1993 and 105 in his career. He finished in the top 10 in Rookie of the Year voting in 1991 split between Toronto and Cleveland, and he had a rocket of an arm in right field.

But certainly, he was not the superstar hed been elevated to in my mind. Baseball-Reference.com lists his most comparable player as Mike Davis, a 1980s outfielder who hit 91 home runs in a 10-year-career and has his own bit of lore he was standing on second base when Kurt Gibson hit his home run to win Game 1 of the 1988 World Series for the Dodgers.

Whitens reputation was in total because hed had a good year when I was 11 and, again, did something in a game I hadnt even realized could be done. I was visibliy excited when he was sent to Boston for Scott Cooper before the 1995 season, thinking that with him, Mo Vaughn and Jose Canseco, the Red Sox would have a monster of a lineup.

That didnt happen. The Red Sox would win the division, but Canseco had one home run heading into June and Whiten was gone before the July 31st trade deadline, sent to Philadelphia for Dave Hollins, who played all of five games in Boston. They both spent their short stints wearing Carlton Fisks no. 27, weirdly enough.

Its all a jumble of factoids and stolen moments. In between the All-Stars and the also-rans live a collection of guys who were able to do something that etched their names in the baseball conversation for years after their time on the diamond had ended.

Whatever happens to Gennett now until the end of his career, hes grabbed onto his little piece of baseball immortality. There are more than a few players who can only wish theyd accomplished that much.

Nick Tavares' column appears Sundays in The Standard-Times and at SouthCoastToday.com. He can be reached at nick@nicktavares.com

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Court: Medical marijuana program can proceed as legal battle continues – Baltimore Sun

Posted: at 7:08 pm

The state's top court ruled Friday that the medical cannabis commission can issue final licenses to companies to grow the drug even as legal challenges to the program's rollout continue.

The Court of Appeals held up a case from proceeding in Baltimore Circuit Court last week in which a company that failed to win a lucrative license to grow medical cannabis argues the Maryland Medical Cannabis Commission ignored a state law that requires applicants' racial diversity to be considered when awarding preliminary licenses.

Ownership of the company that filed the lawsuit, Alternative Medicine Maryland, is 84 percent African-American.

Maryland's high court halted the case after companies with preliminary licenses to grow medical marijuana appealed Circuit Judge Barry Williams' denial of their request to testify in the case. On Friday, the Court of Appeals scheduled oral arguments on that appeal for July 27.

Cannabis commission officials said they believed the panel was able to legally issue licenses before Friday's ruling, but chose not to because they were not clear on the court's intent when it stopped the Circuit Court case last week. Williams had temporarily halted the issuance of final licenses, but his order expired Sunday.

Paul Davies, chairman of the commission, and Patrick Jameson, its director, declined to comment further while staff and lawyers reviewed the high court's ruling.

The growers seeking to intervene, organized as the Maryland Wholesale Medical Cannabis Trade Association, were pleased by the court's order.

"We are gratified by the Court's swift disposition of the restraining order, thus allowing this critically-important public health program to proceed," said Alan Rifkin, the group's attorney.

John Pica, an attorney representing Alternative Medicine Maryland, said the court's ruling was another "round in a championship fight."

Pica believes his client has a strong case, and that the commission and other growing companies may be taking a risk moving forward with licenses as the legal fight continues.

"If licenses are granted and companies begin to grow, they do so at their own risk," Pica said. "It's our firm position that these licenses were awarded unlawfully. We have shown clearly that the state did not follow the law."

The growers have argued that they've collectively invested more than $200 million in getting their businesses up and running, and therefore should have a voice in Alternative Medicine Maryland's lawsuit. They've argued that any further delays in the medical cannabis program will deprive patients of a drug they need.

Williams, however, had ruled that companies without final licenses were not permitted to have a say in whether the entire licensing process should be stopped.

Once the Court of Appeals decides whether to allow the companies to intervene, then the courts will weigh the merits of the underlying lawsuit.

So far, just one company has received a final license to open a cannabis growing facility, ForwardGro in Anne Arundel County. None of the 15 companies selected for growing licenses is led by African-Americans.

Maryland's medical cannabis program has been plagued with problems.

State lawmakers first legalized medical cannabis in 2013. But that law required the drug to be dispensed by academic institutions, and none signed up.

Lawmakers retooled the program, opening it up to private companies to grow, process and dispense the drug. The cannabis commission came under fire last year when it bumped two high-ranking applicants down and elevated two others to achieve geographic diversity, but did not consider racial diversity in selecting preliminary license winners.

State lawmakers considered modifying the program during the General Assembly session that concluded in April. One bill would have awarded new licenses in a way that would have favored minority-owned companies, and another would have created those new licenses as well as two others for the companies that were bumped for geographic reasons.

The legislation failed on the final day of the annual 90-day session.

Members of the Legislative Black Caucus of Maryland have called for a special session to reconsider the cannabis legislation.

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Plays and the Players Theater Presents Double Feature: THE JAWS PROJECT and THE IT GIRL – Broadway World

Posted: at 7:06 pm

In a celebration of independent theater, a collective of Philadelphia's most imaginative theater-makers bring audiences a double feature of The Jaws Project and The It Girl at Plays and the Players Theater. Premiering in Philadelphia's 2016 season, both pieces explored the stories behind cinematic juggernauts, Jaws and Clara Bow. Back by popular demand, these darkly comic pieces will open on July 4th at 3pm, followed by performances on July 5th, 6th, and 7th at 8pm.

Hollywood has dominated the American imagination, from its inception as a silent art form through the Golden Age of the 1970s to the current day deluge of caped crusaders. But as powerful as the stories on the screen have been, the magic and mayhem behind the scenes have equally hypnotized our collective conscious. The Jaws Project and The It Girl both open a portal into the inner workings of the Hollywood machine. Audiences are transported to studio backlots and film locations to witness the birth of two of the most iconic personas in the history of filmmaking; the shark and the starlet.

To celebrate the spirit of independent artists, the cast and crew of both productions will host a 4th of July Party before and after the performance on July 4th. Inspired by the holiday weekend that the story of Jaws takes place during, audiences will be treated to cold beer, hot dogs, potato salads, and other fare both carnivorous and vegan. The party will end in time for audiences to catch the fireworks. The creating artists will also host a Special Features Night on July 6th with a talk-back about how these Hollywood stories came to life and how they still haunt our zeitgeist.

THE JAWS PROJECT:The Jaws Project is part origin myth, part homage, part invasion narrative, part love story rooted in the cinematic classic, Jaws. Stephen Spielberg's blockbuster was shot on location at Martha's Vineyard, MA in 1974. It was a legendarily disastrous production that resulted in one of the greatest movies of all time and an unprecedented financial success that set a new bar for the Hollywood box office. The Jaws Project imagines, as film crews swarm the Vineyard and islanders bristle, an unlikely romance sparks between a Production Assistant and the bartender at the Black Dog Tavern. Their connection becomes the vehicle for exploring the stark differences between invader and invaded, Hollywood and clannish New England. Devised by Philadelphia theatre artists Robert Daponte, Mary Tuomanen, and Sam Henderson, the Jaws Project is a wicked rude comedy, an unlikely love story, an unflinching examination of a turning point in American culture.

THE IT GIRL: The It Girl uses dance, mime, theatricality and brutal stage combat to bring to life the rise and fall of the iconic It Girl. Silent Movie Star Clara Bow was the first actress to be dubbed with having "It" and her tumultuous life of struggle, success, and scandal is the jumping-off point for this wild ride. Beginning in an imaginary award ceremony and quickly descending into the Actress's Nightmare, The It Girl is a living silent film where music and movement tell us what words cannot. From the movie lots to the parties and crashing into mental institutions, an It Girl's rise is as bright as her fall is dark. Created by performers Amanda Schoonover and Anthony Crosby as well as director/designer Brenna Geffers, The It Girl will have finished performances in Hollywood before returning to open at Plays and players.

Creative Artists: Mary Tuomanen, Robert Daponte and Sam Henderson are three very familiar faces to the Philadelphia theater scene. Mary Tuomanen and Sam Henderson (costars in Lantern Theatre's New Jerusalem, Azuka's Local Girls and the Arden's Three Sisters) are both playwrights with Orbiter 3 Playwright's Collective, a Production Company dedicated to championing local writers. They are also members of the Foundry and Interact Core Writers Group. Robert Daponte is an actor/devisor who has collaborated with The Berserker Residents (The Giant Squid), EgoPo Classic Theatre (The Life and Death of Harry Houdini) and Swim Pony (The Ballad of Joe Hill).

Amanda Schoonover is a two-time Barrymore Award recipient, having received a total of 7 nominations as well as being an F. Otto Haas Emerging Artist Finalist. She has performed with Philadelphia Theater Company; Arden; Theatre Exile; Azuka; People's Light; Theatre Horizon; Bristol Riverside; New City; Iron Age; Lantern; The Eagle Theatre and Simpatico. Anthony Crosby is a Barrymore-nominated performer who has performed with Simpatico Theater Project, Scranton Shakespeare Festival, EgoPo Classic Theater and is a member of the Philadelphia Opera Collective where he has created and performed two world premiere opera events. Brenna Geffers is a Barrymore-nominated director and theater-maker based in Philadelphia. She has directed and created work for Theatre Exile, Flashpoint Theatre, Simpatico, Revolution Shakespeare, The Scranton Shakespeare Festival, New City Stage, and EgoPo Classic Theater; her most recent piece is an original adaptation of Anna Karenina called Anna.

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What Utah’s Canyon Country Can Tell Us About Trump’s Monuments Review – NPR

Posted: at 7:05 pm

The Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument in southern Utah is one of 27 national monuments under review by the interior secretary, per executive order. Bob Wick/BLM/Flickr hide caption

The Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument in southern Utah is one of 27 national monuments under review by the interior secretary, per executive order.

A looming decision about whether to abolish or shrink the Bears Ears National Monument in Utah should provide an early signal of how the Trump administration will deal with a long list of public lands issues.

For roughly a month and a half, Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke has had 27 national monuments under a microscope, reviewing the protected status of these vast expanses of land (and, in some cases, water) at the prompting of an April executive order by President Trump.

The idea, according to the order, is to assure that each of these areas is appropriately designated under the 1906 Antiquities Act, a law that gives the president the authority to establish national monuments ... with a few caveats. Namely, they must include "historic landmarks" or "other objects of historic or scientific interest," and they must not exceed "the smallest area" necessary for their upkeep.

At issue is whether the presidents who created the monuments overstepped their authority. But just as important to those who live around the sites is whether they restrict the economy and ignore local interests.

Bears Ears, established last year by President Barack Obama, is the first on Zinke's list. But a second Utah site, the Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument, offers a more comprehensive glimpse into the controversy that eddies around many of the monuments and a revealing peek into what Zinke may ultimately recommend to the president.

So, here it is: a tour of Grand Staircase-Escalante. That is, a tour of the national monument's economic impact, the political cloud surrounding it and what we can expect once Zinke's decision comes down.

The Grand Staircase-Escalante, with its famous hoodoos, or columns, has long been at the center of a local fight over whether its federal designation hurts or helps the surrounding area. Bob Wick/BLM/Flickr hide caption

The Grand Staircase-Escalante, with its famous hoodoos, or columns, has long been at the center of a local fight over whether its federal designation hurts or helps the surrounding area.

So, what is the benefit or harm of having a national monument in your neighborhood?

According to Headwaters Economics, a Montana-based think tank that crunched the data on jobs and the economy around 17 of the national monuments under review, the effect is anywhere from nothing to a modest net positive.

Chris Mehl, the group's policy director, says that from 2001 to 2015, overall jobs in the communities around Grand Staircase, in particular, increased by 24 percent and personal income overall grew by 32 percent.

These jobs are believed to be mostly service based, in fields that include everything from health care to hospitality, outdoor recreation and tourism.

The monument lies within two rural counties in southern Utah, home to about 12,000 residents and about a half-dozen towns across an area that's nearly 10,000 square miles in size.

Mehl says the economies of rural Western communities like the one around Grand Staircase have changed dramatically, "with huge social impacts we're just coming to grips with." So other, larger economic factors may be involved.

"But there's no sign of an economic apocalypse here," he says.

Commissioners in rural Garfield County, Utah, have long seen it differently.

In 2015, they passed a resolution declaring a state of emergency, saying the monument had all but wiped out the natural resource-based economy in the area. They cited a remarkable 67 percent drop in enrollment at Escalante High School since the monument was designated, while other schools have suffered similar drops.

"We see markers that don't indicate a healthy economy," says Matthew Anderson of the Sutherland Institute, a Utah-based free market think tank. He argues that Headwaters' study doesn't tell the whole story.

President Bill Clinton, with Vice President Al Gore, signs his 1996 order designating the Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument in Utah. Opponents continue to note that Clinton made this move while sitting at the Grand Canyon in Arizona. Doug Mills/AP hide caption

President Bill Clinton, with Vice President Al Gore, signs his 1996 order designating the Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument in Utah. Opponents continue to note that Clinton made this move while sitting at the Grand Canyon in Arizona.

Local anger still runs deep over President Bill Clinton's 1996 designation because it also effectively nixed a proposed coal mining operation. A Dutch mining firm's proposal could have brought in $100 million in new tax revenue and created about 600 jobs, according to state estimates at the time.

Anderson argues the types of jobs created by a national monument designation namely in recreation and tourism tend to be low-paying and seasonal, and he says these jobs don't always sustain families the way livestock grazing does. A national monument grandfathers existing activities like grazing leases but bars new ones.

Some residents throw cold water on the idea of shaky employment.

"We are awash in jobs," Blake Spalding, co-owner of a local grill, tells The Salt Lake Tribune. "What we need is people to fill them."

Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke faced protesters while visiting the Bears Ears National Monument and Grand Staircase-Escalante last month in Utah as part of a review to determine their future status under the Trump administration. George Frey/Getty Images hide caption

Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke faced protesters while visiting the Bears Ears National Monument and Grand Staircase-Escalante last month in Utah as part of a review to determine their future status under the Trump administration.

The debate around Grand Staircase by no means ends with the balance sheet.

Ninety-three percent of Garfield County is owned and controlled by the federal government. And for some detractors, like former Escalante Mayor Jerry Taylor, the federal presence feels akin to that of an unwelcome relative.

"We love our mother-in-law," he once said, according to E&E News. "But sometimes we don't want her to tell us how to run our house."

Those detractors have not forgotten how the monument was established in the first place: planned largely without input from state leaders and designated by Clinton at a signing ceremony that wasn't even in Utah.

"Remember," Zinke said during a visit to the state, according to The Tribune, "when this monument was formed, the governor of Utah read it in the paper."

As recently as February, Utah lawmakers called on Washington to reduce the size of the monument, citing "a negative impact on the prosperity, development, economy, custom, culture, heritage, educational opportunities, health, and well-being of local communities" among other grievances.

Nevertheless, when Zinke visited Grand Staircase last month, he was greeted by chants of demonstrators calling for him to "save our monument," the St. George Spectrum & Daily News notes.

The site flush with ancient artifacts and fossils that date back tens of millions of years has been lauded as "the Shangri-La for dinosaurs." And proponents defend its value not only for recreational visitors, but also for scientists.

"What we learn here matters to the entire West," Nicole Croft, executive director of Grand Staircase-Escalante Partners, tells E&E News.

The federal review of the Grand Staircase-Escalante, with its hiking attraction the Calf Creek Falls, and other national monuments may lie with the interpretation of a president's authority under the 1906 Antiquities Act. Chad Douglas/Flickr hide caption

The federal review of the Grand Staircase-Escalante, with its hiking attraction the Calf Creek Falls, and other national monuments may lie with the interpretation of a president's authority under the 1906 Antiquities Act.

The ultimate fate of the monuments is murky partly because a president's authority under the law that established them, the 1906 Antiquities Act, may be open to dispute.

"What's unclear right now is whether the president has the authority to undo what one of his predecessors has done," says Mark Squillace, a professor at the University of Colorado Law School. The act "essentially authorizes the president to proclaim, but not to modify or revoke, national monuments."

Squillace says only Congress has the clear authority to revoke a designation because Congress has authority over public property.

While some small monuments have been turned over to states, no precedent exists for the abolition of a national monument the size of Grand Staircase.

Because of that lack of clarity, one thing is fairly clear: Any order by Trump to shrink or nullify any monument will almost certainly end up in court. It is widely expected that environmentalists would immediately sue.

Squillace says the dispute could go all the way to the Supreme Court.

Even Zinke himself hinted at the uncertainty during his confirmation hearings earlier this year.

"The law is untested," he said.

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What Utah's Canyon Country Can Tell Us About Trump's Monuments Review - NPR

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Iran in Pursuit of Knowledge Economy – Financial Tribune

Posted: at 7:05 pm

The pursuit of transition to a knowledge economy in the context of low foreign direct investment is one of the main challenges facing President Hassan Rouhani since his reelection on May 19, 2017. Although the Iranian economy returned to positive growth in 2016 of about 6.4%, this rebound can largely be ascribed to the return to near-capacity oil exports after the UN Security Councils endorsement of the nuclear agreement in July 2015 led to the easing of international sanctions. According to the World Bank, integration of Irans banking sector with the global banking system has been slow since the sanctions were lifted. This has impeded foreign direct investment to Iran and trade, which will be crucial for the development of Irans non-oil sector, reads an article recently published in Malaysia Sum. Excepts follow:

Focus on Using Human Capital to Create Wealth The UNESCO Science Report recalls that the government first set its sights on moving from a resource-based economy to one based on knowledge in its 20-year Vision Plan (2005-25). This transition became a priority after international sanctions were progressively hardened from 2006 onwards and the oil embargo was tightened. In February 2014, Leader Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei introduced the concept of Resistance Economy, a plan advocating reliance on domestic potentials and a lesser dependence on imports that reasserted key provisions of Vision 2025. Vision 2025 challenged policymakers to look beyond extractive industries to the countrys human capital for wealth creation. This led to the adoption of incentives to raise the number of university students and academics, on the one hand, and to stimulate problem-solving research and industrial research, on the other. For instance, in order to ensure that 50% of academic research was oriented toward socioeconomic needs and problem-solving, the Fifth Five-Year Economic Development Plan (2012-17) tied development to the orientation of research projects. It also made provision for research and technology centers to be set up on campus and for universities to develop linkages with industry. Vision 2025 foresaw an investment of $3.7 trillion by 2025 to finance the transition to a knowledge economy. It was projected that one-third of this amount will come from abroad but, so far, FDI has remained elusive. It has contributed less than 1% of GDP since 2006 and just 0.5% of GDP in 2014. Much of the $3.7 trillion earmarked in Vision 2025 is to go toward supporting investment in research and development by knowledge-based firms and the commercialization of research results. A law passed in 2010 provides an appropriate mechanism, the Innovation and Prosperity Fund. According to the funds president, Behzad Soltani, 4,600 billion rials ($171.4 million) had been allocated to 100 knowledge-based companies by late 2014. Public and private universities wishing to set up private firms may also apply to the fund. Domestic expenditure on research stood at 0.7% of GDP in 2008 and 0.3% of GDP in 2012. Iranian businesses contributed about 11% of the total in 2008. The governments limited budget is being directed toward supporting small innovative businesses, business incubators and science and technology parksenterprises that employ university graduates.

Surge in University Rolls In line with the goals of Vision 2025, policymakers have made a concerted effort to increase the number of students and academic researchers. To this end, the government raised its commitment to higher education to 1% of GDP in 2006. After peaking at this level, higher education spending stood at 0.86% of GDP in 2015. Higher education spending has resisted better than public expenditure on education overall. The latter peaked at 4.7% of GDP in 2007 before slipping to 2.9% of GDP in 2015. The result has seen a steep rise in tertiary enrolment. Between 2007 and 2013, student rolls swelled from 2.8 million to 4.4 million in the countrys public and private universities. Some 45% of students were enrolled in private universities in 2011. There were more women studying than men in 2007, a proportion that has since dropped back slightly to 48%. Enrolment has progressed in most fields. The most popular in 2013 were social sciences (1.9 million students, of whom 1.1 million were women) and engineering (1.5 million, of whom 373,415 were women). Women also made up two-thirds of medical students. One in eight graduates go on to enroll in a Masters/PhD program. This is comparable to the ratio in the Republic of Korea and Thailand (1 in 7) and Japan (1 in 10).

Science, Engineering Attracting More PhD Graduates The number of PhD graduates has progressed at a similar pace as university enrolment overall. Natural sciences and engineering have proved increasingly popular among both sexes, even if engineering remains a male-dominated field. In 2012, women made up one-third of PhD graduates, being drawn primarily to health (40% of PhD students), natural sciences (39%), agriculture (33%) and humanities and arts (31%). According to UNESCOs Institute for Statistics, 38% of Masters and PhD students were studying science and engineering fields in 2011. There has been an interesting evolution in the gender balance among PhD students. Whereas the share of female PhD graduates in health remained stable at 38-39% between 2007 and 2012, it rose in all three other broad fields. Most spectacular was the leap in female PhD graduates in agricultural sciences from 4% to 33%, but there was also a marked progression in science (from 28% to 39%) and engineering (from 8% to 16% of PhD students).

Surge in Research Pool According to the Institute for Statistics, the number of (full-time equivalent) researchers rose from 711 to 736 per million inhabitants between 2009 and 2010. This corresponds to an increase of more than 2,000 researchers, from 52,256 to 54,813. The world average is 1,083 per million inhabitants. One in four (26%) Iranian researchers is a woman, which is close to the world average (28%). In 2008, half of researchers joined the academia (51.5%), one-third in the government sector (33.6%) and just under one in seven in the business sector (15.0%). Within the business sector, 22% of researchers were women in 2013, the same proportion as in Ireland, Italy and Norway. The number of firms declaring research activities more than doubled between 2006 and 2011, from 30,935 to 64,642. The increasingly tough sanctions regime oriented the Iranian economy toward the domestic market and, by erecting barriers to foreign imports, encouraged knowledge-based enterprises to localize production.

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Iran in Pursuit of Knowledge Economy - Financial Tribune

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Automation may push big 3 telcos’ operating margins up by 500 bps – Economic Times

Posted: at 7:04 pm

KOLKATA: Indias top telcos could expand their operating margins by around 500 basis points each over the next three years from automation initiatives like the Aadhaar-based e-KYC process and online recharges, which would lower sales, marketing, distribution and administration costs.

Analysts and industry experts say a combination of automation and ongoing sector consolidation is likely to also help telcos cut subscriber acquisitions costs, which would also lead to a sharp reduction in manpower requirements.

Rajiv Sharma, director & telecoms analyst at brokerage HSBC, expects listed incumbents Bharti Airtel and Idea Cellular to go slow on additional hirings once automation and consolidation picks up.

He expects Indias biggest telcos to each see at least a 500 bps Ebitda margin expansion in the medium term (read: next three years) from a combination of automation initiatives, sector consolidation and simplified tariffs in an era of bundled plans.

Of this estimated 500 bps Ebitda margin expansion, he expects nearly 150 bps to stem from rapid adoption of online recharges, especially with the government driving digital payments.

Badal Bagri, chief finance officer for India & South Asia at Bharti Airtel, had said at the No. 1 phone companys earnings call that customer adds, which are largely based on e-KYC now, had led to substantial cost reduction. But Reliance Jio, owned by Indias richest man, Mukesh Ambani, said the emerging digital ecosystem will eventually drive jobs creation.

While operators will work towards reducing costs with automation and use of digital methodologies, newer opportunities will emerge for value addition to customers leading to creation of more jobs, said a Jio spokesman in a written response to ETs queries.

This movement has already started with recruitment increasing in areas such as digital services, platforms, content and app development, infrastructure and cyber security, network optimisation to digital payment chains.

Sector experts expect mass-market adoption of bundled plans in the 4G era to drive tariff simplicity, which will reduce customer complaints and queries at telco call centres and translate in additional cost savings. Once that happens, telcos need not invest in large teams to manage thousands of tariff plans, which is the case today, said HSBCs Sharma.

According to an HSBC note seen by ET, Idea Cellular has reported sharp savings in its selling & distribution expenses in fiscal quarter ended March 2017 and suggested that 80 per cent of this saving was driven by the e-KYC process.

The countrys third-largest carrier reported a near 13 per cent sequential fall in subscriber acquisition & servicing expenses & advertisement and business promotion expenditure in the March quarter to Rs 825 crore from Rs 948 crore in the quarter to December 2016.

Market leader Bharti Airtel has also reported a near 10 per cent sequential fall in its sales & marketing expenses to Rs 1,693.4 crore in the March quarter. The on-year fall was even steeper at 17 per cent on this metric.

According to HSBC estimates, deployment of the e-KYC process has already led to Idea and Bharti seeing a 21 per cent and 11 per cent quarter-onquarter decline in their sales, marketing and admin costs respectively in the March quarter. Bharti Airtel, Idea Cellular, Vodafone India did not individually respond to ETs emailed queries.

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Automation may push big 3 telcos' operating margins up by 500 bps - Economic Times

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