Monthly Archives: May 2017

The Impact Of Automation On The Independent Workforce – Forbes

Posted: May 2, 2017 at 10:58 pm


Forbes
The Impact Of Automation On The Independent Workforce
Forbes
As workplace automation becomes more widespread, much has been said about negative repercussions for American workers. While automation has transformed and will continue to transform many industries, it largely redefines rather than eliminates jobs.

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Oil and Gas Terminal Automation Market is expected to register a CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period, 2016-2026. – Yahoo Finance

Posted: at 10:58 pm

LONDON, May 2, 2017 /PRNewswire/ -- Oil and gas terminals, often termed as oil and gas depots, tank farms or tank terminals, facilitate storage of oil, gas and related products. These are thus, intermediate hubs which store and facilitate the allocation of oil and gas to end users. Oil & gas terminal automation systems are integrated solutions which help in easier monitoring and manage of various product management operations, from receipt of products through storage and distribution. These systems comprise a set of integrated tools that enable access to real-time data, thus ensuring safety and efficient management of day-to-day terminal operations.

Highlights

The global oil and gas terminal automation market is forecast to register a CAGR of 7.1% in terms of value over the forecast period (2016-2026) driven primarily by relatively low oil prices and increasing demand for natural gas from a diverse set of industries.

Software segment is estimated to account for a relatively higher share in overall international oil and gas terminal automation market value as compared to that of services segments during forecast period

Asia Pacific excl. Japan and North America are expected to control the global oil and gas terminal automation market during forecast period

Key players in the global oil and gas terminal automation market are focusing on mergers and acquisitions strategy in order to better equip themselves to cater to steadily growing market demands

It is expected to register a CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period, 2016-2026.

Growth in the demand for natural gas, supply-demand scenario and contango situation are expected to drive growth of global oil and gas terminal automation market during the forecast period

Relatively slower economic growth especially in oil consuming nations such as China, and crude oil supply glut experienced over the recent past have driven the global average crude oil prices southwards over the same period. Initial phase of forecast period is thus expected to be characterised by a contango situation resulting in increasing emphasis on storage of oil across the globe. Moreover, increasing demand for natural gas, especially liquefied natural gas is expected to result in emergence of several new terminals in North America and Asia Pacific, among other regions.

However, relatively higher costs associated with implementation of automation systems is expected to act as an impediment to the growth of global oil and gas terminal automation market during the forecast period. Besides, cyber threats and concerns associated regarding data security are likely to impede growth in adoption of such automation systems, especially among small terminal operators.

Market Segmentation

By Category - Hardware - ATG - Blending Controllers - SCADA - PLC - DCS - HMI - Safety - Security & Others - Software - Terminal & Inventory - Management - Business System - Integration - Transaction - Management - Reporting - Others - Services - Commissioning Services - Consulting Services - Project Mgmt. - Operations Management - Training Services

By Region - North America - Latin America - Western Europe - Eastern Europe - Asia Pacific excl. Japan - MEA - Japan

Software segment is estimated to account for a relatively higher share in overall global oil and gas terminal automation market value as compared to that of services segments during forecast period

Software segment is estimated to account for a share of 37.8% in overall global oil and gas terminal automation market value in 2016. It is expected to register a CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period, 2016-2026. The segment is expected to dominate global oil and gas terminal automation market throughout the forecast period. Terminal and inventory management sub-segment of software segment is expected to relatively faster growth among other software sub-segments during the forecast period.

Asia Pacific excl. Japan and North America are expected to dominate the global oil and gas terminal automation market during forecast period

Surplus oil and gas production in North America, especially, in U.S. has, over the recent past, driven the growth in investment towards setting up of oil and gas export facilities in the region. Such a situation is expected to continue during forecast period, thus driving growth of oil and gas terminal automation market in the region during forecast period. Oil and gas terminal automation market in Asia Pacific excl. Japan region is expected to witness relatively faster growth, registering a CAGR of 8.8% during forecast period, in order to account for a share of nearly 32% in overall market value by 2026 end.

Key players in the global oil and gas terminal automation market are focussing on mergers and acquisitions strategy in order to better equip themselves to cater to steadily growing market demands

Some of the players operating in global oil and gas terminal automation market include, Yokogawa Electric Corporation, Emerson Electric Co., Honeywell International Inc., Rockwell Automation, Inc., ABB Group, Siemens AG, Schneider Electric SE, and FMC Technologies, Inc.

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Oil and Gas Terminal Automation Market is expected to register a CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period, 2016-2026. - Yahoo Finance

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Solution Focus: Ricoh ProcessDirector in the World of Workflow Automation – Printing Impressions

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In another series of workflow blogs we have been walking through the path of auditing the current workflow in your environment and identifying ways to optimize through automation. Its a long story that has been unfolding over many months. Along the way, many have asked specific questions about some of the fine points of automation and what tools would be on the must review list.

The characteristics of the products you should review begin with the user interface. If you are going to add a tool to automate as much of the workflow as possible, the user interface what you see when you are sitting at the computer screen becomes a critical deciding factor. Does the layout of the screen make sense to you and the team? Does it provide access to the key pieces of information about each job coming through the production process?

How much automation does the tool allow? Automation that requires constant manual intervention is not really automation, but there is a delicate balance. Any automation scheme that allows for too much manipulation by the team on the shop floor eliminates the benefits that automation should bring.

Also consider the changing needs that will surround your workflow. We know from our research, including the most recent North American and European Software Investment surveys, that dealing with a high number of small jobs is the single largest headache in many shops. Looks for tools that make this easy.

Today, workflow automation is more than just managing print production. Many projects require multi-channel delivery. Look for tools using a unified approach to job management with the flexibility to distribute the project across multiple types of delivery print or digital. Also look for tools that play well with others. Look for solutions that include a rich third-party solution provider program to allow you to customized the end-to-end solution for your environment. We know from experience that no two print shops work the same way, so why should you be forced down a singular path for automation that doesnt match your needs?

While the there are many offerings in the market, one that deserves review and consideration for its platform and breadth of partners is Ricoh ProcessDirector.

Ricoh ProcessDirector has an approach that begins with data preparation and composition and carries through postal optimization, output management, and mailing. ProcessDirector also has several archiving solutions and the ability to produce a full complement of management reports. It has a vibrant partnering program that allows clients to select the components that work for them. While it is clearly a match for Ricoh print environments, it is friendly enough to support a variety of output options beyond the Ricoh family. This solution also meets the brief for those growing the number of jobs due to expanding web-to-print portals which were identified as a bottleneck in our most recent US Production Software Investment Outlook.

(Click on chart to enlarge)

Another attractive feature is the ability to build a comprehensive workflow using drag and drop no coding needed. Creating this type of conditional logic is easy, including complex decision points on when to move jobs from one device to another. If your shops takes in work from many customers, but you find that many of those jobs have common characteristics, ProcessDirector has the ability to pull like components out of disparate jobs and run them together to maximize throughput.

Because of Ricohs long history supporting print and mail, ProcessDirector includes many of the features you need to optimize postal savings and guarantee postal integrity. Pair that with the Avanti Slingshot Connect feature and you have a true end-to-end workflow that tracks jobs from order entry to client delivery.

As with all workflow software, your production managers should do a thorough review to ensure the solutions automation capabilities will improve throughput and optimize production capacity. If you are working with mission-critical documents that must be tracked, are regulated, and contain personally identifiable information, Ricoh ProcessDirector should be on the list to consider.

If you have stories to share reach out to me! @PatMcGrew on Twitter, on LinkedIn, or Pat.McGrew@KeypointIntelligence.com all reach me.

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Threat of automation: Robotics and artificial intelligence to reduce job opportunities at top banks – Economic Times

Posted: at 10:58 pm

In a conventional bank branch, a clerk seated next to the cash dispensing teller was a sought after banker because he used to update the pass book of the account holder after the cash withdrawal or a deposit. That job has almost vanished in the past decade with few account holders getting a pass book.

Coming years would see even the position of the teller, who is fast being replaced by sophisticated automated teller machines, and much more jobs going away as computing makes it possible to do more with less heads at the branches.

The banking industry which was among the big job creators along with the information technology industry in the past two decades is at an inflection point where technology is enhancing efficiency by doing more and at a faster pace than what humans could do.

Traditional jobs like passbook updating, cash deposit, verification of know-your-customer details, salary uploads are also going digital increasing job redundancies. The likes of Axis Bank, ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank are pushing the boundaries of technology by implementing robotics to centralise operations and for quicker turnarounds in things like loan processing and selling financial products to customers. This is reducing the need for a manual worker at the back end.

Look at the quintessential cheque book request, today 75 per cent of that happens digitally. Earlier, these customers used to walk into our branches, says Rajiv Anand, head retail banking at Axis Bank. There is increased automation within branches. We have more than 1,500 cash deposit machines, so why do I need a teller?.

A salary upload that we do monthly today there are 5 people who are doing the job and this will get automated. The linearity at the back end that as transactions go up the number of people should also go up has been broken.

The Indian banking industry has been witnessing a slow transition from people-driven to machines controlled in the past few years. The technological development, which has made banking easier, has also led to a slowdown in the hiring of staff at banks. Although there have been hirings, the nature of skill sets required is changing with a lot more focus on the front end talent.

Low-end back office jobs like data entries will no longer be required in the next three years. The rate of growth of new jobs in the banking sector will definitely come down, said Saurabh Tripathi, senior partner and director at BCG.

Low-skill workers do not have a bright future. They will have to reskill or perish. A sign of things to come is being witnessed at HDFC Bank, the countrys most valuable lender and the most expensive one among top lenders. The bank has not only been slowing branch expansion and hirings, it has also been reducing overall headcount even as it remains the gold standard of Indian banking.

HDFC saw staff strength fall for two-quarters in a row. The employee count fell by 6,096, or 7 per cent, to 84,325 in the quarter ended March 2017 from 90,421 in December 2016. At the same time, it has expanded its network to 4,715 branches, from 4,520 a year earlier, ATMs to 12,260 from 12,000.

It is not that we are asking people to resign and go away, says Paresh Sukthankar, DMD, HDFC Bank. Now we are saying while we will still add in certain areas as required, if based on productivity improvements you have people who are not gainfully employed in one particular function, you redeploy them in other areas. But after doing all that if we dont have the need for a certain number of people, we will not hire as many.

But the decline in bank jobs started even before the digital wave hit the banking industry. Indian banks employed nearly 13 lakh people at the end of March 2015, out of which state-run banks alone employ nearly 8.6 lakh people, while private sector banks employed 3.2 lakh people, a paltry growth of 3 per cent over March 2014, data from RBI shows.

Analytics and artificial intelligence are already being used by banks to do jobs once considered sacred, like underwriting loans. What this means is that human skills, which were considered imperative for basic banking not long ago, may not be required. We are now helping banks to underwrite on the spot, which means the underwriting skills as we know it may not be needed, said Piyush Singh, MD, financial services (Asia-Pacific), Accenture.

India is experiencing what banks in advanced countries have been doing for the past many years. Barclays chairman Anthony Jenkins warned of the Uber moment for banks a few years ago, and that is coming true.

The number of bank branches in the United States will shrink by as much as 20 per cent in five years and that could save as much as $8.3 billion annually if it trimmed the number of branches and downsized the average bank branch from 5,000 to 3,000 square feet, says Jones Lang Lasalle, a real estate consultant.

Citigroup has forecast that nearly a third of the jobs in the banking industry could be lost in the decade between 2015 and 2025. The future of branches in banking is about focusing on advisory and consultation rather than transactions, writes Jonathan Larsen, global head of retail and mortgages at Citi.

The return on having a physical network is diminishing. Branches and associated staff costs make up for about 65 per cent of the total retail cost base of a larger bank and a lot of these costs can be removed via automation.

Changing face While Indian banks havent started trimming the bank branches, the growth in the number and the size of branches has definitely come down. The growth rate of branch network in India halved at the end of 2016 to 5 per cent from 2010.

Likewise, ATM additions which grew at 9 per cent in 2016, was growing at over 40 per cent in 2010. Thanks to payments systems, banks do not need people at branches. The number of transactions on a digital network at the end of March 2016 was over 15.1 billion, up from 11.1 billion in the same period last year. That is essentially the number of cheques not issued.

Automation does not necessarily mean that there would no more be banking jobs. But they will be at a different level. Banks need to approach customers and educate them about financial products that are in the market.

Footprint increase is not the number one priority in absolute branch strength. Increasing reach and distribution is our priority. Reach and distribution we will increase through digital and more feet on street and relationship managers of the bank, said Shyam Srinivasan, CEO at Federal Bank.

New banks Also, the entry of new banks like small finance banks like Au Financiers, Equitas or Ujjivan would require an army of people as they expand to rural areas. Boots on the ground may be the mantra for these new banks which will have to marry technology with the human touch.

Automation for us means improving productivity to ensure my employees can do more. 50 per cent of our loans has to be with a ticket size of less than `25 lakh and 75 per cent priority sector. Our customers need hand-holding right from the application to the payment stage and we need people on the floor for that, said Sanjay Agarwal, MD at AU Financiers, which commenced small bank operations earlier this year.

AU Financiers plans to hire 4,000 people in the next six months. Total hiring in the next two to three years will be 10,000, Agarwal said. Then there is the microfinance turned-universal bank Bandhan, which plans to increase its workforce to 30,000 by March 2018 from 24,000 at present.

All our people (customers) are still not comfortable with digital banking. They need to see branches and go and ask questions. It will take time for digital banking to fully take shape. More is needed to be done, said Chandra Shekhar Ghosh, founder and MD at microfinance turned-universal bank Bandhan, which has 68 per cent of its branches in rural areas.

Just like the automobile industry, the banking industry will thrive and employ millions. But the way it would happen has been transformed. I think banks will continue to open branches and distribution networks, says Axis Anand. Financial services will continue to create jobs particularly at the front end but the rate of growth of that job creation will slow down, that is for sure.

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The dark origins of May Day – euronews

Posted: at 10:58 pm

God bless America.

I mean that ironically. Not because the US has nothing to praise; on the contrary. Ironically because we generalists or we, the forgetful of historical struggles, dont credit America enough for its contributions to socialism the very word socialism makes even modern Americans aggressive. This isnt only about their thinking. And dont brand me a socialist, this is just a trickle-down of history.

Many good things we enjoy today around the world came out of America that is obvious and undeniable. Yet these things are not restricted to ingenuity and high principle; important legacies we may take for granted are the result of others hardship. May Day is one of them.

May Day is synonymous with International Workers Day. Originally, it commemorated the killing of some workers by police in a general strike in Chicago in 1886.

Rights for everyone were nowhere near part of the American Dream then. That term was coined decades later. As the period of spreading peace and prosperity approached described alternatively in the US as a Golden Age and in France (light of Europe) as the Belle Epoch less fortunate ordinary people on both continents were suffering.

Wage slavery (meaning working for terribly low pay supposedly by choice but in reality because the alternatives were almost zero), economic exploitation in societies split into almost impenetrable layers this was what allowed owners, resourceful entrepreneurs and the ruthless to amass wealth. Historically, this is normal.

But humanity was approaching a critical mass of not only increasingly distributable knowledge (education) but of social conscience. And that growing awareness was concentrating on notions that unequal bargaining power between labour and capital was unjust. Something had to give.

Those killings in Chicago happened barely 100 years after France had had its world-shaking revolution (17891799). They came 110 years after the United States Declaration of Independence, which pounded the table for peoples rights.

Its second sentence reads: We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.

Well, was that naive?

Thank you Creator, but big industry wasnt having it. Another revolution was under full steam by now: the Industrial Revolution (lets say it lumbered to life between 1760 to 1840). Industrialisation may have put an end to feudalism in the old continent, with growing scientific knowledge and ideas of practical organisation, but it also harnessed capital (for the sake of simplicity, lets say this is excess money in some form or another that the owner doesnt need to use right now, and so can take his time deciding what to spend it on) it harnessed capital as never before. This was capitalism.

Capitalism put people to work, productively. While they were working so hard, however, it was difficult to negotiate individually or collectively for fair conditions. Thinking about this fell mostly to non-workers, such as intellectuals, such as perhaps the most famous one, Karl Marx (German, 1818-1883).

A few years after the Chicago killings, in 1894 there were violent May Day demonstrations in Cleveland, as the US was sliding into a severe depression. The nations well-off (predominantly of the political right) became steadily warier of leftist politics and organised labour. (In Russia, the Bolshevik Revolution would not be long in coming.) But labour, against the odds, managed to organise.

The 1904 International Socialist Conference in Amsterdam called on proletarian organisations in all countries to stop work on May 1. Socialist, communist and anarchist groups were largely successful in making this official.

It is now a national holiday in more than 80 countries.

And in the United States (and Canada)? To soften the possible link with the Chicago killings, the US made Labor Day in September the official day for workers celebrations, with May 1 to be celebrated as Loyalty Day.

God bless America.

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Which Working Women? From Plantation to Public Sector – Huffington Post

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May Day, Los Angeles, 2017

In the 1705 pro-slavery tract History and Present State of Virginia, planter Robert Beverley wrote that Sufficient distinction is also made between servants and slaves: for a white woman is rarely put in the groundand to discourage all planters from using women so. Their law imposes the heaviest taxes upon female-servants working in the groundwhereas it is a common thing to work a woman slave out of doors; nor does the law make any distinction in her taxes whether her work be abroad or at home. Beverley argued that the basic condition of black women was one of enslavement. White women indentured servants had temporary servant status (and never slave status) while black womens bodies produced new slaves, provided the lifeblood for the capitalist plantation economy, and the moral justification for white supremacist sexual exploitation. As Beverley so brutally and vividly framed it, Slaves are the Negroes and their posterity, following the condition of the Mother, according to the maxim, partus sequitur ventrem [status follows the womb]. They are calld slaves, in respect of the time of their servitude, because it is for life.

Centuries later, the insidious shadow of white supremacys slave breeder/Mammy/ Jezebel trifecta continues to inform representations of black womens work. From the shiftless lazy welfare queen to the amoral prostitute and the faceless caregiver who cleans up after hapless white folk, caricatures of black womens work play a key role in propping up income and wealth inequality while reinforcing the myth of American free enterprise. As workers mobilize for May Day and beyond, Trumpist assaults on health care, reproductive justice, environmental protections, voting rights, public education, living wage jobs, unionization and collective bargaining have made the stakes for black women workers even higher.

Contrary to popular stereotypes, black women have the highest workforce participation among all women in the U.S.; at 59.2%, compared to 57% of women overall. Despite this reality, black women have the least wealth of any group in the nation. Fulltime black female wage earners make only 60 cents to the dollar of white men and 80% of white womens weekly earnings. Wealthwhich represents total assets, such as savings, property and investmentsis ultimately a far more important measure of economic wellness than income. And the persistent wealth gap between white and black women remains despite the fact that black women have the highest growth rate of college enrollment in the nation.

The intersection of racism, sexism, heterosexism and global capitalism drives black womens overrepresentation in the workforce. Post-emancipation, Jim Crow and de facto segregationist suppression of black wages and institutionalized discrimination in employment, housing and education meant that the majority of black women could never stay home out of the paid workforce like many white women. Indeed, the epic resistance of black women civil rights freedom fighters was always connected to achieving self-determination and human rights in the very homes, buses, factories, train stations, schools, churches and plants where black women endured wage and sexual exploitation. Under these conditions, black households depended on two, three and sometimes four or more incomes to stay afloat. With the post Cold War decline of unionized manufacturing jobs, black womens wages plummeted even further. In the post-industrial age, disappearing public sector jobs with union protection have undermined black economic mobility as black women are more likely to be employed in the public sector than white women. (African American women have greater representation in public sector employment than both African American men and white women.) As the New York Times noted, a combination of strong anti-government and anti-tax sentiment in some places has kept down public payrolls. These factors, coupled with attempts to curb collective bargaining, have kneecapped unions.

The Institute for Womens Policy and Research (IWPR) estimates that the gender wage gap for black women widened from 2004 to 2014: Black womens real median annual earnings for full-time, year-round work declined by 5.0 percentmore than three times as much as womens earnings overall.

The through line between eighteenth century injunctions against putting white women in the ground and contemporary race/gender schisms in wealth and wages could not be clearer. As black communities and black women workers hang in the balance, a socialist redistribution of wealth should be at the center of anti-Trumpist racial and gender justice agendas.

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Governors, lawmakers looking for trouble NLC warns over minimum wage bill – Daily Post Nigeria

Posted: at 10:58 pm

Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) has stated that governors and lawmakers were seeking an epic battle by backing the bill which seeks to remove the National Minimum Wage from the exclusive to the concurrent legislative list.

NLC President, Ayuba Wabba, accused some members of the Nigeria Governors Forum of sponsoring such anti-workers legislation.

The bill which scaled through the first reading before the House embarked on Easter recess, is set for second reading on the floor of the House where members will debate on it.

Wabba said labour would explore every legitimate legal means to protect workers.

We have done in the past and we are going to deplore it, he said.

The Congress said it planned to mobilise its affiliates to campaign against all political office holders linked with anti-workers legislations and policies ahead of the 2018 and 2019 general elections.

All over the world, minimum wage is on the exclusive list. We are talking about protecting the most vulnerable group, that is the principle and philosophy. It is an ILO core issue under decent work agenda. It is a core ILO issue that all countries are conformed to, he told The Nation.

So, first is that it is the level of ignorance because he thinks that it is only for the state. No. It is for the self-employed for those that are from the private sector to protect the most vulnerable people from being exploited from false labour and slavery. That is why minimum wage law is there.

It is a core ILO convention and in many countries of the world, including capitalist economy. As capitalist as the United Stated (U.S.) is, they have a minimum wage law.

So, we must first understand the concept. It is not the state government. It is all employers of labour generally, both private and public. So, for public sector, who fixes their own? That is why it is a tripartite issue. I think that there is a level of ignorance he has demonstrated in this without even knowing what minimum wage law is all about.

First, we condemn it in its entirety. We are going to respond immediately and effectively. Two, let him also go back to the archives. This issue was introduced even by some cabals within the Governors Forum at the last constitution amendment and it was defeated.

It went to a referendum and it was defeated. So, we should start from where we stopped and not to take us back to areas we have actually advanced on, he said.

Wabba said that millions of Nigerians who were self-employed and those working in the private sector will be subjected to undue exploitation if the national minimum wage is removed from the exclusive list to the concurrent list.

Who will regulate the case of the self-employed; for instance now, you are self-employed, you are not working under either the state or the federal government where you can even negotiate.

So, the implication is that once you remove that from the exclusive list, workers will be exploited. We are not even talking of the maximum, we are talking about the minimum.

Assuming the alteration bill sells through in the National Assembly, what will organised labour, especially the leadership of the NLC, do? It will not said through because we will stop it at all cost. Nigerian workers will not accept this.

The proponent of the bill, Ayeola Abayomi Abdulkadir (APC-Lagos), seeks to alter the Second Schedule, Part 1 of the 1999 Constitution (as amended) by deleting item 34 from the exclusive legislative list and renumbering the existing item 35 as item 34 and subsequent items accordingly.

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Governors, lawmakers looking for trouble NLC warns over minimum wage bill - Daily Post Nigeria

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Shorten Labor government would triple skilled migrant fees under visa crackdown – The Sydney Morning Herald

Posted: at 10:57 pm

ALabor government would triple the fees for skilled migrants visas to work in Australia, establish a new visa for academics, set up a new training fund and establish a newindependent body to test whether jobs can be filled by Australians instead of overseas residents.

And in an escalation of tit-for-tat "Australians first" migration policies, Opposition Leader Bill Shorten will accuse the Turnbull government of announcing"little more than a con job" when it announced the abolition of the 457 visa program last month.

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The decision to abolish 457 temporary work visas is presented by Malcolm Turnbull as putting the interests of Australians first.

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The stand out listings traded on the Australian Stock Exchange captured at key moments through the day, as indicated by the time stamp in the video.

The decision to abolish 457 temporary work visas is presented by Malcolm Turnbull as putting the interests of Australians first.

The suite of prospective policy changes also include a promise that Labor in government will not sign another free trade agreement that allows local labour market testing to be waived, as the South Korean, Japanese and Chinese dealsdo.

They will be unveiled by Mr Shorten in a pre-budget address to the McKell Institute in Sydney on Wednesday.

Labor was heavily critical of the Turnbull government's new visa policies, which includedthe abolition of the 457 visa and creation of twonew temporary skills shortagevisas, tougher English language tests, stricter labour market testing, at least two years of work experience and a mandatory police check.

It argued the changes were window dressing, did not go far enough on labour market testing and also caused problems for universities and the advanced technology sector, by making it too hard to bring highly educated professionals to Australia.

The policies outlined by Labor on Wednesdayfollowthe government's package of measures, some of which will need to pass parliament, and underscore the fact that both major partieshave shifted to a more strident, nationalist position on immigration in recent months.

"With underemployment at record highs and young people across the country struggling to find work, too many employers are turning to temporary work visas to undercut local jobs, wages and conditions. It's time to change the system so locals get the first shot at local jobs," Mr Shortenwill say.

Draw It Yourself: See the full interactive quiz about how the economy has performed under the Coalition.

Under the changes, fees for temporary skilled migrant visas willincreaseto 3 per cent of the Temporary Skilled Migration Income Threshold, which is currently$53,900.

That means, in practice, visa fees for temporary skilled migrants would rise to$1617 per year, $3234 for two years or $6468 for four years.

In comparison, the Turnbull government's planned visa fee hikes will see fees for the new two-year visa set at$1150, or $575 per year, and $2400 for the new four-year visa.

"This is a strong price signal to employers that they should be looking for local workers first. Under Labor, putting local workers first won't just be fairer it will be cheaper," Mr Shorten will say.

The moneyraised from the fee hike will establish the"SkillUP Training Fund" to be used to fund Labor's agenda in skills and training. The Turnbull government has also promised a greater focus onskills training as part of its new visa plans.

Theso-called "SMART" visa, designed for highly-skilled workers in theScience, Medicine, Academia, Research and Technology sector, is designed to help ensure "universities, research institutes, medical, scientific and advanced technology industries and companies and public research agenciesto bring the best and brightest here".

"The current surge in anti-intellectual, anti-scientific sentiment in great research nations offers Australia a unique opportunity to attract the world's finest minds. That's why Labor will introduce a new, four-year visa, with appropriate salary safeguards."

A new, independent Australian Skills Authority will take charge of labour market testing and create a single skills shortage occupations list, while the currentMinisterial Advisory Committee on Skilled Migration be abolished.

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Which Way to the Barricades? – Jacobin – Jacobin magazine

Posted: at 10:57 pm

Rise, like lions after slumber, In unvanquishable number, Shake your chains to earth like dew Which in sleep had fallen on you- Ye are manythey are few.

Shellys Masque of Anarchy has been a spectral presence for nearly two hundred years, summoned at climactic moments of civil warfare. Composed to memorialize the 1819 Peterloo massacre, the poem commemorates the sixty thousand people who gathered at the very dawn of the industrial revolution to demand a radical expansion of suffrage, especially to those laboring in Englands dark satanic mills. Dozens died, hundreds were wounded.

The poem wasnt published for over a decade, until the Chartist movement took it up in 1832. Another ten years after that, it became the anthem of an almost nationwide general strike. Participants referred to the time leading up to that moment and the strikes that preceded it as holy days.

Since then Ye are manythey are few has inspired rebellion, resistance, and liberation again and again. The New York garment worker strikes of 1911, the sit-down strikes of the 1930s, May 1968 in Paris, and, most recently, the pro-democracy congregations during the Arab Spring and the Occupy uprisings of 2011 are all etched in our collective memory.

There are also largely unknown, but hardly less remarkable, general strikes: not just those that shut down Winnipeg and Seattle in 1919, London and the Midlands in 1926, and San Francisco in 1934, but also Amsterdam under the Nazis in February 1941 and again in April 1943, Turin and Milan on April 25, 1945 which Italians now celebrate as the penultimate moment of their liberation and the Algerian general strike of January 1957, which closed schools, shops, and factories in support of the independence movement. In 1972, Quebec saw a series of province-wide general strikes that linked a quest for national identity with a cross-class protest against austerity.

The general strike in Poland, which lasted just half a day on March 27, 1981, engaged more than twelve million workers and citizens. It announced to the world and to the thin strata of Communist functionaries still in power that Solidarity constituted a majoritarian and national movement. From that moment on the elite had but two choices: military repression, which it invoked later that year, or a regime-changing, world-historic capitulation, which finally came in 1989.

Shellys immortal lines were not heard during the recent calls for a Womens Strike or General Strike against the Trump regime or even as planning proceeds for the upcoming May Day strikes, which a number of trade unions in New York, Illinois, and California have endorsed. But what is sometimes loosely called the resistance certainly gestures in that direction. Its as if something in the air evokes the unvanquishable number, the lions shaking chains to earth like dew.

How else can we explain the sudden announcements of general strikes when nothing on the ground suggests that they might happen? Less than a decade ago, elements within Occupy Wall Street issued regular calls for mass action without any chance of realizing their plans. Novelist Francine Proses call for a general strike in January went viral before fading another immaculate conception, subsequently aborted.

The idea that something radical and forceful must be done persists in the most unlikely places. In February, fifty Hollywood writers, producers, and creatives held a house meeting in Hancock Park, California, to plan their response to the Trump administration. A strike, general or otherwise, was high on the agenda.

After listening to two labor historians brief them on past insurgencies, the organizers announced that they had already hired a PR firm to write a press release and organize publicity for their movement. The firms suggested slogan Strike for Democracy isnt bad, even if the aging leftists in attendance blanched at their method for coming up with it.

Three weeks later, Salud Carbajal, Santa Barbaras newly elected House representative, held a district meeting that new locus of resistance politics. The event was packed with constituents who cheered the spokeswoman from Planned Parenthood, expressed solidarity with advocates for immigrant rights, and heartily denounced GOP efforts to gut the Affordable Care Act.

But when he tried to answer what is to be done, Carbajal got an exceedingly cool reception. He told the energized crowd to write and e-mail Congress and then prepare for the off-year elections. A veteran of the 1960s, now retired after a distinguished career as a UCLA physician, objected, recalling the years when he and his comrades at Columbia shut it down. The crowd agreed.

From the sublime to the ridiculous. But then again, this desire to conjure up something forceful could still produce results maybe not a general strike, which demands a high level of organization and preparation, but perhaps upsurges, rebellions, boycotts, demonstrations, protests, and job actions of the most varied and unexpected sort.

Surprisingly, these recent calls for strike come primarily from middle-class activists, usually without the faintest connection to the labor movement. They summon people to deploy a weapon linked, since Peterloo, to an oppressed working class in revolt while decrying what they understand as white working-class backlash. The very incongruous timing and social location of these calls makes them odd, awkward, and naive, but also socially and culturally imaginative.

After all, what remains of the organized labor movement has avoided strikes like the plague for a long time; unions are simply too weak to conduct them. As late as 1975, each year witnessed more than four hundred strikes, involving more than a thousand workers. Today, ten or fifteen work stoppages occur, mostly for defensive reasons to preserve pensions, wages, or health insurance against an aggressive employer.

Strikes have cropped up among unorganized, low-wage workers, sometimes assisted by outside unions. The Fight for $15 movement has generated a good deal of social energy and achieved some legislative success on the state and local level. But as important and even heroic as such struggles are, these strikes-cum-referendum-campaigns hardly disturb the countrys economic machinery.

Critics have blamed an ossified trade union bureaucracy, a Democratic Party elite that has marginalized the interests of the working class, and a growing conservative hegemony openly hostile to workers, regardless of the pseudo-populist rhetoric its spokespeople sometimes trot out.

However we account for it, the strike as a theater of combat has faded. As a mythic ideal, however, it is flourishing.

This years calls for work stoppages have relinquished their once-organic connection to the work site and relegated the labor movement to the margins. Nevertheless, this new, often middle-class sensibility resurrects the strike in a kind of hyperactive afterlife. It has become the newly powerlesss dream state in the wake of an election from hell.

Unlike its working-class antecedents, todays strike does not arise out of relationships formed on the factory floor, at the water cooler, or near the checkout counter. On the contrary, todays would-be picketers have highly atomized working lives, pervaded by notions of self-fulfillment both on and off the job. Contemporary labor has dissolved solidaritys connective tissue, damning the strike before it even begins.

For decades, the working class has been forcefully reminded how little it counts in the affairs of the nation. The political and cultural right has captured and channeled this disillusionment, not only in the North American Rust Belt but also in Britain, France, and other polities where social democracy once flourished.

Brexit and Trumps electoral victory may have made a substantial proportion of the white working class feel momentarily powerful, but the rest of the working class immigrants and people of color as well as the cosmopolitan and once-solid middle class saw the election as illegitimate, profoundly disempowering, and an affront to their moral sensibilities.

They now face the kind of insecurity and exclusion that Americas alienated and unorganized blue-collar workers have long experienced. High school teachers, retired architects, and medical professionals all feel as disrespected and insecure as Walmart clerks and McDonalds grill cooks.

They earn a lot more money, but these energized middle-class workers especially among that cohort labeled millennial is nevertheless affronted by the profound inequities, self-seeking, and imperial arrogance of the new ruling elite. At least under Obama, they could recognize parts of themselves in the coalition. Now, to many, electoral democracy and the conventional institutions of political life appear hollowed out, corrupt, fake.

If power is no longer accessible through party politics, if the system rolls on unperturbed, glacially indifferent to the well-being not only of the working class but also of the vanishing middle classes, then reaching back to a more combative past seems imperative.

This is happening not out of the blue, but at a moment when mass action has become a flesh-and-blood reality once again. The 2006 Day Without Immigrants was a revelation; it resembled an actual strike and conjoined political, economic, and cultural identities and desires. In Greece and all though Central and Western Europe not to mention Latin America and the Middle East social conflict has escaped the boundaries of conventional politics or carved out new spaces on the electoral map, making way for insurgencies that didnt originate in the voting booth. Reveries of recaptured power might be nurtured in this soil, where the strike implies more than a commercial impasse and becomes synonymous with taking a stand.

Strike, Strike, Strike, the closing chorus of Clifford Odets 1935 play Waiting for Lefty carries its chanters beyond the pedestrian realm in which hours and wages are negotiated. Likewise, todays strike appeals have less to do with a specific organizational form than with creating a pathway to power.

In this, they recall a time when the strike was multivalent a tactic to be sure, but also a manifestation of a fundamental social antagonism.

This hasnt always been true. Radical social reformers of the late eighteenth and the first half of the nineteenth century eschewed strikes. They saw them as selfish, fixated on the parochial needs of one class.

The socialists of that era hunted bigger prey. They sought a complete overhaul of society that would reestablish or, rather, establish for the first time the harmony of all. Hence, the founders of utopian communities like New Lanark and Brook Farm or the Shakers of the Oneida commune tried to purge their experiments of all forms of social conflict.

Industrialization imposed a different reality. Strikes became commonplace, nowhere more so and nowhere more violently than in the United States. Marx and Engels considered the strike a form of class struggle, a kind of guerilla warfare that would steadily advance from the slogan a fair days wage for a fair days work to the abolition of the wages system. Even when defeated, strikers feel bound to proclaim that they shall not be made to bow to circumstances, but social conditions ought to yield to them as human beings.

Radicals socialists, anarchists, populists, even champions of the Cooperative Commonwealth like the Knights of Labor welcomed strikes, encouraged them, led them, and theorized and mythologized about them. Why?

First, the strike sparked fierce resistance in employers, often abetted by the governments coercive arm. Blood was spilled; protesters lost their lives. Whatever particular grievance precipitated the strike, it ultimately struggled against the new and profoundly disruptive system of wage labor.

This seemed inherently radical. Talk of wage slavery and other incendiary metaphors were common even in the most common strikes. The frequency with which governments police, state and federal troops, courts, governors, even the president intervened on behalf of the ownership class immediately raised the stakes; strikes took on a political meaning even when conservative unionists like Samuel Gompers or a youthful Eugene V. Debs eschewed radicalism.

Underlying indictments about wage slavery had spread so far that every local encounter became the potential site of a mass movement.

We tend to think of the trade union strike as a finite event between two parties arguing over limited, if sometimes intractable, issues. The rest of the world stands by and, for the most part, watches. But something quite different was happening during the formative stages of industrialization, as millions of people were being converted into the countrys founding proletariat.

All through the late nineteenth century and into the early decades of the twentieth, events sometimes called mass strikes embraced multitudes. They enlisted not only those immediately involved in a particular strike, but a whole social universe that included other sympathetic workers, neighbors, families, shopkeepers and handicraftsmen, merchants, clergymen, newspaper editors, writers and artists, nearby farmers, and even local militiamen unwilling to fire on their friends and coworkers.

The Great Railroad Uprising of 1877, the Haymarket Massacre of 1886, the Homestead Strike of 1892, the Pullman Strike of 1894, the Uprising of the 20,000 in New York in 1911, the Lawrence and Paterson strikes in the following two years, the Great Steel Strike and Seattle General Strike of 1919, the San Francisco and Minneapolis general strikes of 1934, the sit-down strikes later that decade all stand as landmark moments in American history. As they unfolded, they laid bare the mass strikes rhythm and social reach. These are only the most noted; in the years following the Civil War and into the new century, many localized mass strikes erupted in towns and small cities nationwide, eliciting what has been called a strange enthusiasm.

The mass strike came much closer to turning the world upside down than an ordinary strike. Transgressive by nature, these events were widespread and open ended. They shattered and then recombined dozens of more local attachments. They exploded at a thousand points, leaping across boundaries of skill, gender, nativity, ethnicity, and race, winning the support of even those whose economic interests did not depend on the outcome.

Often enough, the mass strikes momentum sufficed to win concessions on wages, hours, and other working conditions although they might be provisional, not inscribed in contracts, and subject to being violated or outright ignored when law and order returned.

The mass strikes intense heat fused disparate elements into something ever more daring and generous. Indeed, its tactical repertoire which relied on the boycott and the sympathy strike embodied that vision. These weapons fit a worker-citizen movement whose social character and capacious programmatic embrace made it look like the kernel of a new commonwealth.

Boycotts and sympathy strikes expressed solidarity as an organized social emotion, as palpable reality, the spirit come to life. The form of the mass strike was its content, the medium the message.

Everything about them was unscripted. They had a rhythm all their own, syncopated and unpredictable as they spread from workplace to marketplace to slum. There was no central command, nor were they the result of some mysterious instance of spontaneous combustion. Each had dozens of choreographers, all directing local uprisings that remained elastic enough to cohere with one another while remaining distinct.

The program resisted easy codification. At one moment, it was about free speech, at another about a foremans chronic abuse, here about the presence of scabs and armed thugs, there about a wage cut.

Ranging effortlessly from a change in the piece rate to the nationalization of the countrys infrastructure, the mass strike defied the new order. Blunt yet profound, it defined the irreducible minimum of a just and humane civilization.

In so far as the mass strike had an ideology, it was ecumenical and apocalyptic. These early twentieth century syndicalist upheavals, from Brussels to Barcelona, St Petersburg to Seattle, constituted a freedom movement, bending the arc of social justice toward equality, solidarity, and emancipation.

During the Industrial Workers of the Worldled Paterson strike in 1913, Emma Goldman sent a message to the workers, promising that [w]hen all the textile workers, machinists, taxi cab drivers . . . join you in the general strike . . . which to all appearances is but a question of a few days, that would be death knell of the commercialism which has tried to crush human sympathy.

During World War I, all the combatant countries experienced a flood of strikes, some industry-wide, some convulsing whole cities. In the United States, Helen Keller advocated a general Strike Against the War.

This supercharged atmosphere gave rise to speculative thinking about how the strike could inaugurate a new world.

Talk of general strikes, political strikes, and mass strikes ran through all the left literatures: syndicalism, anarchism, socialism, and communism all devised various formulations that described an impending revolutionary crisis in which the strike performed heroics beyond the modest work-a-day improvements we now associate with Western trade unionism.

Big Bill Haywood, a founder of the IWW, explained how the strike functioned in the syndicalist schema. His 1911 pamphlet The General Strike compared it to the Paris Commune of a generation earlier.

The strike, he wrote, gives the vote to women, it re-enfranchises the black man, and places the ballot in the hands of every girl and boy employed in the shop. Wobblies advocated a peopled strike, a form of passive resistance on the job, and outright sabotage: two strategies for moving toward industrial democracy.

While committed to electoral politics as the leader of the American Socialist Party, Eugene Debs made no bones about the fact that the Pullman strike made him a socialist: through the gleam of every bayonet and the flash of every rifle, the class struggle was revealed and the whole apparatus of the state implicated. His comrade AM Simmons agreed: strikes, boycotts, lockouts, and injunctions are the birth pangs of a new society . . . and thereby rulership and slavery shall pass from the off the earth.

Rosa Luxembourg became the mass strikes seminal theorist, drawing heavily on the abortive 1905 Russian Revolution. She referred to the soviets the Russian word for popular assemblies as a political mass strike for freedom against absolutism. She wanted her experiences to serve as a corrective to the German Social Democratic Party (SPD), which drew a sharp distinction between the political and economic struggle and insisted on a central command structure.

Luxembourg drew a sociological correlative: in periods of heightened social fracture, she argued, the unorganized elements of the working class proved to be the most radical-minded. The mass strike, she wrote, on the whole does not proceed from the economic to the political struggle, or even the reverse.

In a letter to Karl Kautsky, a theorist close to the SPD leadership, Luxembourg saluted the European workers quiet heroism for their solidarity with their Russian compatriots and for their efforts to form worker-elected factory committees to run things without the help of trade union or party hierarchs. The German trade union establishment, however, saw the general strike as general nonsense.

George Sorel went furthest in transforming the strike into a kind of permanent apocalypse. By the time Reflections on Violence was published in 1902, the general strike had become a well-established part of working-class life.

Sorel recognized the general strikes transcendent character, which he thought leapt beyond the boundaries of the More, the incremental economic advances that chained the Left to bourgeois norms, a prisoner of envy and resentment. Mass strikes were simultaneously the moral equivalent of earlier forms of proprietorship, and the pathway to a heroic conception of life an epic state of mind.

Sorel and others felt that the modern worlds disenchantment expressed a deep human need for social dreams. Emotion and the poetry of life produced wisdom, not the rationalism so celebrated by utilitarian society, a faith in reason that much of the oppositional left also held. What Sorel admired in Marx was his catastrophic conception, his refusal to block out in advance some socially engineered model of the future society.

Revolutionary syndicalism, of which there were various renditions, was often understood to dispense with parliamentary methods in favor of violence. Instead, revolutionary violence served purely tactical purposes. Sorel and others, like Haywood, saw the general strike as a vehicle of democratic takeover, one that would avoid empowering a new managerial class, even a socialist one.

There was a millenarian thinking undergirding these conceptions. Like the Christian apocalypse, the general strike especially for Sorel carried moral inspiration, nurtured devotion, and would curb meaner instincts; a living myth through which virtue could take root. It would serve as a last judgment on what capitalism had wrought. The struggle needed no fixed objective; it served as its own justification. And it had the additional appeal that it refused compromise, rejecting equivocation and delay.

The strange enthusiasm continued to light up the labor movement through the Great Depression. Leon Trotsky praised the mass sit-down strikes in the United States not merely as a shrewd stratagem that would make it harder for the police and National Guard to direct violence against the workers, but also as a movement that would shake up the principle of bourgeois property.

Indeed, the Congress of Industrial Organizations (CIO) again and again drew on the support networks in communities, among workers, and between merchants, neighbors, coreligionists, ethnic fraternal societies, and other organs of working-class life. The last truly general strike in the United States took place in Oakland, California in 1946. It began among low-paid women retail workers and, after 130,000 stopped work for two days, called for the unionization of the whole city.

From the 1930s onward, employers and the politicians who support them have ghettoized the strike, routinized and limited its political and social meaning and consequences. This was no easy task the labor movement and its opponents have both tried to enlist the state as an ally and weapon in such combat.

The incident that touched off the Oakland General Strike, as was true in just about every other mass conflict from 1877 onward, involved employer efforts to enlist the police and militia to tilt the balance of power toward capital. Management enlisted the police with the enthusiastic support of right-wing city fathers, strongly backed by William Knowlands Oakland Tribune as escorts for trucks and scab workers resupplying downtown department stores.

Luckily for the strikers, the resultant traffic jam stopped streetcars and buses, and their unionized drivers were soon outraged by the scab-herding police. All transport came to a stop, stores and factories closed, and jukeboxes were hauled onto the street to create a festive, communal air.

After shutting down the city for more than two days, the union movement turned its energies to politics. The resultant reforms did not quite represent a municipal revolution, but they did exemplify the close relationship of midcentury unionism and political power.

The same dynamic appeared on an even bigger scale in Detroit a year later when the United Automobile Workers (UAW), then the United States largest and most dynamic union, flooded Cadillac Square with more than a quarter million workers to protest the Taft-Hartley Act. Laborites called the new legislation a slave labor law; it curbed strike power and disqualified radicals from labor leadership.

Then as now, the demonstrations leaders were divided over tactics. The Left wanted to shut down factories so that American unions could deploy, as one top officer put it, the kind of political power which is most effective in Europe. More cautious unionists, led by the ex-socialist UAW president Walter Reuther, agreed on a huge demonstration, but wanted one that began after workers clocked out for the day.

Capitalizing on these internal divisions, and on the early Cold War hostility to labor radicalism and political insurgency, the auto companies took their pound of flesh. They fired key militants and ended the tradition of working-class strike demonstrations in industrial cities for the rest of the twentieth century.

Plenty of big strikes have taken place since then, but, for both employers and workers, they have been self-contained, insular affairs, whose impact no longer resonated with the social movements and currents still roiling the American landscape. This represented a huge victory for conservatives and employers, who no longer feared that the labor movement would enlist the community or even decisive elements thereof, such as feminists, Latinos, or African Americans.

Indeed, the consignment of unions to an economic interest group all too frequently put these institutions into opposition with the social movements of the 1960s and 1970s that sought to expand the content and scope of American democracy.

By the time Ronald Reagan smashed the PATCO strike in 1981, the unions had become isolated and vulnerable. The flight of capital out of production into finance and out of the country into the low-wage global South helped neuter work stoppages and collective bargaining.

The labor movement shrank in size and potency, emboldening conservatives to further undermine union power, as the wave of so-called right-to-work laws enacted over the past few years in several Midwestern states attests. During the last decade, unions have called only 143 strikes, compared to 3,500 during a similar time frame forty years ago.

And yet we cannot divorce politics from the quest for economic and social democracy. Even as the strike and collective bargaining have become almost entirely devalued, the same issues that animated radicalism a century ago remain front and center: economic justice and liberation, social inequality, the meaning of citizenship, and the democratic character of our governing institutions.

In the 1960s, even as intellectuals like C. Wright Mills and Herbert Marcuse began to turn away from the labor metaphysic, the strike in its classic, proletarian form still retained an imaginative grasp on leftists and reformers from Memphis to Paris. Martin Luther Kings very last campaign came in the form of a black municipal workers strike, the meaning of which transcended the stolid boundaries of midcentury collective bargaining and the outlaw struggle for union recognition in the public sector.

King wanted to create a transracial organization of the poor, using weapons honed not only in the civil rights movement but borrowed from radical labors arsenal as well. As he told the striking garbage men on the eve of his assassination, You may have to escalate the struggle a bit . . . just have a general work stoppage in the city of Memphis.

Six weeks later in Paris, a fleeting alliance of students and workers seemed like the manifestation of every transformative dream to emerge from the sixties. The events of MayJune 1968 shut down Paris and swept eleven million workers into its orbit.

George Sorel, relegated to infamy thanks to Mussolinis fondness for the theorists mystifications when he was remembered at all, suddenly appeared on everyones reading list, but now with a hedonistic flavor. Under the cobblestones, the beach! chanted the Parisian students who saw utopia in distinctly Californian terms.

A year later, even the liberals who had enlisted in and assumed leadership roles in the American antiwar movement deployed a strike ethos to advance their agenda. The 1969 Moratoriums to End the War in Vietnam, among the largest demonstrations of that decade, had originally been planned as shut-it-down strikes, scheduled for a workday.

The sixties passed half a century ago; the Wobblies more than a century. But ideas of popular resistance, collective power, strike action, and Ye are many they are few are enjoying a remarkable renaissance. The May Day strike is winning support not only from many unions but also from immigrant groups and others seeking to demonstrate the power of a resistant citizenry.

This action may have the wherewithal to translate the wishful thinking of the Occupy militants, of Francine Prose and Womens Strike organizers, of Black Lives Matter allies, and of all the grassroots mobilizing against the Trump regime into a more robust reality. The proletariat remains a powerful force even if its ranks and spirit have been severely depleted.

Indeed, these mobilizations may signal the awakening of a new proletariat, one less like the industrial workers of the twentieth century than the ancient Roman proletariat the discarded and disempowered, cast-off by postindustrial society. Like the unorganized in Rosa Luxembourgs imagination, they are ready for action, neither backward nor bourgeois. Working classes both the well and poorly rewarded, both the remnants of the organized and the sea of unorganized might yet launch a mass strike that can deliver a new and humane future.

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Republicans Are Playing Pre-Existing Conditions Kabuki – Mother Jones

Posted: at 10:57 pm

The topic of the day is pre-existing conditions: namely the fact that the latest version of the Republican health care bill guts Obamacare's guarantee that insurers have to insure all customers at the same price. It's what everyone is talking about.

Wait. Did I say "gut"? National Review editor Rich Lowry disagrees:

The Phrase Pre-Existing Conditions Leads to the Suspension of All Thought

The moderates are abandoning the health-care bill largely because it makes it possible for states to get a waiver from the pre-existing condition regulation in Obamacare. This is being distorted as an abolition of that regulation, with the moderates either contributing to the misunderstanding or being carried along by it. Ramesh ably explained the other day why this isnt true. But apparently all you have to do to win the debate over Obamacare repeal is say pre-existing condition, regardless of whether you have any idea what you are talking about. I dont think anyone wants to go back to the pre-Obamacare status quo on this issue, but....

The Ramesh Ponnuru post that Lowry links to is worth a read, though I think Ponnuru downplays the real effect of the waiver clause. I'm also pretty sure that, actually, lots of people would like to go back to the pre-Obamacare status quo. That's especially true of people who really understand how health insurance works. After all, once you accept that people with pre-existing conditions should be allowed to buy health coverage at the same price as everyone else, you pretty much have to accept both the individual mandate and the federal subsidies in Obamacare. You can call them "continuous coverage" and "tax credits" if you want, but they're the same thing.

But for a moment let's put that all aside, because there's a more fundamental question here. Like it or not, Obamacare does protect people with pre-existing conditions. Insurers have to accept anyone who applies and they have to charge them the same premiums as anyone else. This has no effect on the federal budget, which means it can't be repealed in a reconciliation bill.1 Unless someone kidnaps the Senate parliamentarian's dog and threatens to kill poor Fido unless they get a favorable ruling, any attempt to repeal Obamacare's pre-existing conditions ban will be tossed out of the bill. And keep in mind that Obamacare's ban is absolute. As long as it's around, insurers have to take all comers at the same price no matter what any other legislation says.

So all the limitations regarding pre-existing conditions in the Republican bill are just kabuki. What's the point?

1Oh sure, you can gin up a case where it has some small effect. But that doesn't work. Reconciliation bills are limited to things that directly affect the budget. Incidental effects don't count.

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