Monthly Archives: May 2017

Amazon Shares Hit $1000, Showing Dominance of E-Commerce, Cloud – The VAR Guy

Posted: May 30, 2017 at 3:05 pm

Amazon.com Inc.s shares topped $1,000 for the first time, marking a new milestone for a company wooing investors by dominating online commerce and cloud computing.

Amazon shares hit $1,001.20 in New York Tuesday, up about 40 percent from a year ago and more than double the 15 percent gain of the S&P 500 Index in the same period. Investors are thinking about how much further Amazon can grow as it tries to replicate its U.S. success abroad.

The shares will likely push even higher since Amazon is growing so quickly inmassive global industries that show no signs of slowing, as shopping habits change and businesses rethink how they deploy technology, said John Blackledge, analyst at Cowen and Company LLC, who recently upped his Amazon price target to $1,125 a share.

"Theres a long runway there," he said. "The markets Amazon is playing in with global retail and cloud computing are just massive. Things continue to go well and investors are looking for more upside."

The Seattle companys $478 billion market value is double that of Wal-Mart Stores Inc. even though the worlds biggest retailer will have sales three times larger than Amazons this year. Investors put more value in Amazons web traffic and delivery network than they do in Wal-Marts vast store presence because online spending will grow more than four times faster than overall retail spending this year as shoppers continue to shift from stores to websites, according to EMarketer Inc.

The worlds largest online retailer is dominating e-commerce with its $99-a-year Amazon Prime subscription, which includes delivery discounts, music and video streaming and photo storage that keep shoppers engaged with the website. Seattle-based Amazon had 80 million Prime subscribers in the U.S. as of March 31, an increase of 38 percent from a year earlier, according to Consumer Intelligence Research Partners. Prime memberships help lock in loyalty, which is critical as competitors such as Wal-Mart enhance their e-commerce offerings to slow Amazons momentum.

Amazon has been tackling retail one category at a time, disrupting bookstores and electronics stores first and more recently pushing into apparel and groceries. Its rise has coincided with the decline of prominent retail chains such as Macys Inc. and Sears Holdings Corp., which have shuttered stores and laid off workers in response to declining sales. Shopping malls have resorted to hosting concerts and carnivals in empty parking lots to keep customers coming.

Another Amazon advantage is its profitable and fast-growing cloud-computing division Amazon Web Services, which maintains a global network of data centers and rents out storage space and computing functions to clients in a variety of industries, including Netflix Inc. and Airbnb Inc. as well as Capital One Financial Corp. and the federal government. Yelp runs many of its functions on AWS. This year, companies around the world will funnel $246.8 billion to Amazon and other cloud services providers, according to Gartner, up 18 percent from 2016.

Amazons rise has made its founding Chief Executive Officer Jeff Bezos the worlds second wealthiest person, behind only Microsoft Corp. co-founder Bill Gates, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. His ascendancy has won praise from fellow self-made billionaires Warren Buffett and Mark Cuban, owner of the Dallas Mavericks and judge on the television show "Shark Tank."

Amazon is worth far more than $1,000 a share, said Cuban, an Amazon investor. Consumers always want things at lower prices delivered faster. Amazon uses data better than anyone to achieve those goals for everything it sells. They have a chance to be the most dominant company in the world.

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AI and Quantum Computers Are Our Best Weapons Against Cyber Criminals – Futurism

Posted: at 3:04 pm

In BriefMajor companies like IBM are turning to artificialintelligence and quantum computing to protect against cyberattacks. While these technologies aren't silver bullets, they areessential tools for cyber security in the age of the Internet ofThings. Weapons of Cyber Warfare

Cyber security has become a key issue in our national and international discussions. No longer do cyber attacks concern only email companies and individuals who are unwilling to update their tech. Now, cyber crime has had a major impact on both U.S. mainstream political parties, and almost any organization even hospitals should have some concern about the possibility of an attack through a computer network.

In their struggle to fight cyber crime, major companies like IBM are turning to two of the worlds most powerful technologies artificial intelligence (AI) and quantum computing.

IBMs AI, Watson,helps human analysts sift through the200,000 or so security events the company has to deal with on a day-to-day basis. It helps determine which events dont require special attention, such as instances when an employee forgets their password, and which should receive more scrutiny.

Before artificial intelligence, wed have to assume that a lot of the data say 90 percent is fine. We only would have bandwidth to analyze this 10 percent, Daniel Driver from Chemring Technology Solutions, a provider of electric warfare, said in an interview with the Financial Times.The AI mimics what an analyst would do, how they look at dataIts doing a huge amount of legwork upfront, which means we can focus our analysts time.

Watson is about 60 times faster that its human counterparts, and speed is key for defending against cyber attacks. But even Watsons impressive rates pale in comparison to those that can be attained with quantum computers.

The analogy we like to use is that of a needle in a haystack, Driver said in the interview. A machine can be specially made to look for a needle in a haystack, but it still has to look under every piece of hay. Quantum computing means, Im going to look under every piece of hay simultaneously and find the needle immediately.

While these technologies are not silver bullets against cyber attacks, they are becoming vital tools in the cyber security industry, which is projected to grow from $74 billion last year to $100 billion in 2020. Part of this growth may be attributed to societys increasing reliance on the Internet of Things (IoT). As everything from light bulbs to our jackets become digitally accessible, every person should be more concerned about cyber security.

As we continue to see advancements in both AI and quantum computing technologies, more businesses and households will have access to these protective tools. AIs are already finding their places in different sectors of our society including healthcare. Perhaps in addition to diagnosing medical images, AIs can also protect hospitals from future cyber attacks.

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Microsoft, Purdue Extend Quantum Computing Partnership To Create More Stable Qubits – Tom’s Hardware

Posted: at 3:04 pm

Purdue University announced that its partnership with Microsoft on quantum computing projects has been extended by several years. The collaboration is supposed to help both the college and the company bring quantum computers out of the laboratory and into the real world.

It's safe to say that quantum computing is something of an obsession for top universities and businesses alike. Just look at some of the stories from the last few months: Stanford University is researching materials that could make quantum computing more feasible, Google is trying to bring a quantum computer to market within the next few years, and IBM recently leapfrogged the competition by revealing 16- and 17-qubit computers. (A qubit is the quantum equivalent to a bit--the main difference is that qubits aren't binary; they can have a value of 0, 1, or both.)

Microsoft is (clearly) also interested in quantum computing. Besides the partnership with Purdue, the company recently told reporters gathered at its Redmond campus that its researchers are working hard to make a quantum computer. But the company doesn't want to go it alone, and with this extension of its partnership with Purdue, it's reaffirmed its desire to be part of the race to quantum computing. Here's what Microsoft researcher Michael Freedman said about quantum computing in today's announcement:

There is another computing planet out there, and we, collectively, are going to land on it. It really is like the old days of physical exploration and much more interesting than locking oneself in a bottle and traveling through space. We will find an amazing unseen world once we have general purpose programmable quantum computers.

Freedman also said that Purdue generally, and Michael Manfra specifically, will be "a key collaborator on this journey." Manfra's full title is as follows: Purdue University's Bill and Dee O'Brien Chair Professor of Physics and Astronomy, Professor of Materials Engineering and Professor of Electrical and Computer Engineering. (We're pretty sure that title alone is longer than some college students' papers.) Freedman said that Manfra and his team's work on materials silence and transport physics will help Microsoft "build the systems we will use to do quantum computing."

The partnership will specifically focus on creating a "topological qubit." We'll let Manfra explain that bit:

"One of the challenges in quantum computing is that the qubits interact with their environment and lose their quantum information before computations can be completed," Manfra says. "Topological quantum computing utilizes qubits that store information 'non-locally' and the outside noise sources have less effect on the qubit, so we expect it to be more robust."

The idea, then, is to make quantum computing more stable. Microsoft actually said that was its plan in November 2016, shortly after the University of New South Wales revealed that it had created "dressed qubits" that were 10-times more stable than their predecessors. Chances are good that Purdue wants to best that figure--academia is a cutthroat world--and Microsoft can quickly benefit from those efforts. A stable qubit is a useful qubit; an unstable one isn't likely to help Microsoft lead us to quantum computing like a technological Christopher Columbus.

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Microsoft, Purdue Extend Quantum Computing Partnership To Create More Stable Qubits - Tom's Hardware

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For more advanced computing, technology needs to make a … – CIO Dive

Posted: at 3:04 pm

Traditional binary data can be only a 0 or a 1 at any given time. But imagine if data could be both a 0 and a 1 at the same time?

It sounds simple, but such a change would enable exponentially faster computation. Add specialized hardware, and users of this new type of computing power could perform faster analytics and predictions, empowering advances in a broad range of areas including cybersecurity, fraud detection and early disease detection, to name a few.

It may sound like science fiction, but its actually all quite possible with quantum computing. Quantum computing has the potential to tackle large mathematical problems supercomputers cant even touch. And while its long been limited to science fiction, quantum computing is becoming reality, and quite quickly.

The primary hurdle scientists are working to overcome today has to do with the scalability of quantum, which is limited by the extreme cooling required to keep quantum bits (qubits) stable and to keep the equipment required to read and write quantum data working. Currently, qubits must be cooled to cryogenic temperatures to preserve quantum states.

But getting the cooling issue and other challenges around quantum computing figured out could come with huge rewards. Quantum computing has the potential to unleash promising,data-laden applications that include artificial intelligence, Big Data and the Internet of Things.

Though companies like Google, IBM and Intel are developing new semiconductor chips specifically to handle high-speed machine learning, quantum computing has the potential to take things to a whole new level.

Its still in its infancy, but quantum science is attracting big investments, and those investments have the potential to push quantum forward more quickly.

"A growing number of enterprises are already committing resources to exploring how to apply quantum computing,"said David Schatsky, managing director at Deloitte. "The stakes appear to be too high to ignore this still-nascent technology."

Quantum attracted $147 million in venture capital in the last three years alone, and $2.2 billion in government funding globally, according to a Deloitte analysis, based on CB Insights data. The advanced computing is no longer confined to academic research labs and start-up companies. Big tech companies are also placing bets that quantum will soon drive innovation across industries.

Google recently announced that it plans to produce a viable quantum computer in the next five years, and startups Rigetti and D-Wave as well as established players like Microsoft and Intel have been investing in quantum too. Intel recently invested $50 million to help develop the technology.

Until there is a breakthrough to make quantum computers viable onsite and allow companies to fully build quantum computing into their operations, some companies are working to offer Quantum as a Service.

Earlier this year, IBM announced it wants to start providing enterprise partners with access to quantum computing systems as soon as this year. Dubbed "IBM Q," the quantum systems and services will be delivered via the IBM Cloud platform and are "designed to tackle problems that are too complex and exponential in nature for classical computing systems to handle," according to the announcement.

IBM also announced the release of a new API that will allow developers and programmers to build interfaces between its cloud-based quantum computer and classical computers. Big Blue plans to release a quantum-related Software Development Kit later this year.

Once it becomes reality, there are many ways quantum computing or quantum services could be employed in the enterprise. Schatsky recently examined how quantum computing could impact a broad range of industries ranging from finance to life sciences to manufacturing as part of his "Signals for Strategists"blog on Deloitte University Press.

For example, Schatsky points out that financial institutions such as Barclays and Goldman Sachs are investigating the use of quantum computing in areas such as "portfolio optimization, asset pricing, capital project budgeting and data security." Other organizations are exploring applications in logistics, aerospace, industrial chemistry and energy.

"For instance, the standard process for manufacturing fertilizer uses some 2% to 5% of global natural gas production each year," wrote Schatsky. "Quantum simulation could lead to the discovery of a more efficient process that could save billions of dollars and trillions of cubic feet of natural gas annually."

Of course, quantum computing also presents risks because all that power could potentially be used for malicious purposes.Imagine a cyberattack using quantum computing, for example.

"When quantum computing becomes a reality, many public-key algorithms will become obsolete," said Kevin Curran, an IEEE senior member and senior lecturer in Computer Science at the University of Ulster.

Fortunately, Curran says at the same time scientists are working to make quantum computing a reality, cryptographers are creating new algorithms to prepare for a time when quantum computing could pose a threat.

"Technologies such as quantum key distribution will provide us with a means to communicate securely, while post-quantum cryptography will ensure that our encrypted data remains safe, even during brute-force attacks by a quantum computer,"said Curran. "But the threat that quantum computing poses is to the security of public key algorithms. Most symmetric cryptographic algorithms (symmetric ciphers and hash functions) are believed to be relatively secure against attacks by quantum computers."

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Academic Journal: Quantum Physics Is ‘Oppressive’ to Marginalized People – National Review

Posted: at 3:04 pm

A feminist scholar has published a paper claiming that quantum physics is oppressive and that we must use quantum feminisms to make the science more intersectional.

In a paper for The Minnesota Review, culture and gender-studies researcher Whitney Stark argues that physics is oppressive because it has separated beings based on their binary and absolute differences a structure that she calls hierarchical and exploitative and the same kind of system is embedded in many structures of classification, making it part of the apparatus that enables oppression. Stark explains:

This structural thinking of individualized separatism with binary and absolute differences as the basis for how the universe works seeped into/poured over/ is embedded in many structures of classification, which understand similarity and difference in the world, imposed in many hierarchical and exploitative organizational structures, whether through gender, life/nonlife, national borders, and so on.

According to Stark, the tendency to categorize in this way particularly hurts marginalized people because it can cause the activist efforts of minority groups to be overshadowed by the efforts of dominant groups.

For instance, in many official feminist histories of the United States, black/African American womens organizing and writing are completely unaccounted for before the 1973 creation of the middle-class, professional National Black Feminist Organization, Stark writes.

Part of this absence is the frequent subsuming of intersectional identities under supposedly encompassing meta-identities more readily recognized by/as hegemonicized groupings, she continues. For instance, black women subsumed under black, equated with male, or feminist equated with white women.

Thankfully, Stark has a solution to this very clearly serious problem: quantum feminisms and intersectionality.

By taking a critical look at the noncentralized and multiple movements of quantum physics, and by dehierarchizing the necessity of linear bodies through time, it becomes possible to reconfigure structures of value, longevity, and subjectivity in ways explicitly aligned with anti-oppression practices and identity politics, she writes. Combining intersectionality and quantum physics can provide for differing perspectives on organizing practices long used by marginalized people, for enabling apparatuses that allow for new possibilities of safer spaces.

Honestly, all of this makes perfect sense. Personally, whenever I think about oppression, the very first thing that comes to my mind is: Damn it Isaac Newton! This is all your fault! Im just glad someone is finally writing about it. Maybe someday we can take it a step further, and replace all lessons on the outdated, sexist, racist concept of quantum physics in our schools with lessons on quantum feminisms. Ah, yes. Then, and only then, will our nation be truly great.

This story was initially covered by the College Fix.

Katherine Timpf is a reporter for National Review Online.

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Congress expands Russia investigation to include Trump’s personal attorney – ABC News

Posted: at 3:02 pm

One of President Donald Trumps closest confidants, his personal lawyer Michael Cohen, has now become a focus of the expanding congressional investigation into Russian efforts to influence the 2016 campaign.

Cohen confirmed to ABC News that House and Senate investigators have asked him to provide information and testimony about any contacts he had with people connected to the Russian government, but he said he has turned down the invitation.

I declined the invitation to participate, as the request was poorly phrased, overly broad and not capable of being answered, Cohen told ABC News in an email Tuesday.

After Cohen rejected the congressional requests for cooperation, the Senate Select Intelligence Committee voted unanimously on Thursday to grant its chairman, Sen. Richard Burr of North Carolina, and ranking Democrat, Sen. Mark Warner of Virginia, blanket authority to issue subpoenas as they deem necessary.

"To date, there has not been a single witness, document or piece of evidence linking me to this fake Russian conspiracy," Cohen added. "This is not surprising to me because there is none."

While much of the media focus in recent days has fallen on Russian contacts made by Trumps son-in-law, Jared Kushner, there are few people closer to the president than his longtime lawyer.Insiders consider Cohen to be Trumps pit bull or consigliere for his role in threatening legal action against Trump critics, gaining notoriety for threatening and browbeating reporters investigating Trumps background.

He was quoted in 2015 telling Daily Beast reporters, I will take you for every penny you still dont have. And I will come after your Daily Beast and everybody else that you possibly know So Im warning you, tread very f---ing lightly, because what Im going to do to you is going to be f---ing disgusting.

In a 2016 appearance on CNN that went viral, the stone-faced attorney flashed anger when anchor Brianna Keiler said the Trump campaign was down.

Says who? he challenged. When she cited polls, he countered, Which polls? She replied, All of them. His final response in that exchange proved prescient:Youre going to all be very surprised when he polls substantially higher than what you all are giving him credit for.

Afterthe 2016 campaign,Cohenleft the Trump Organization tobecome the presidents personal attorney, a job he still holds. From that post, he has continued to weigh in on Trumps behalf on Twitter and during occasional television appearances.

After Trump dismissed FBI Director James Comey, for example, Cohen tweeted, I believe @POTUS was justified in terminating #Comey as @FBI director. #RT if you agree with me!

Cohen was also made a deputy national finance chairman of the Republican National Committee a position that gives him some sway on how money will be allocated to Republican candidates. And in April he announced he formed a strategic alliance with the powerful D.C. lobbying firm Patton Boggs, a firm whose clients include Russias third-largest bank, Gazprombank. The arrangement enables him to work out of Squire Patton Boggs offices in New York, Washington and London, according to the announcement.

The emergence of Cohen as a subject of the Senate probe brings renewed attention to a strident Trump advocate who was named in the unverified dossier prepared by a former British intelligence agent during the 2016 campaign and provided by the FBI to Sen. John McCain, which contains a number of unconfirmed allegations that Cohen played a role in working with the Russians on the hacking of Democratic National Committee computers during the campaign.

In January, Cohen told ABC News the allegations in the dossier were laughably false.His wife is Ukrainian, and he once worked with her family in Ukraine to establish an ethanol business. ABC News was able to debunk some references to him in the unverified document, such as theassertion in the that his Ukrainian-born father-in-law had a vacation home, or dacha, near Russian President Vladimir Putins.

I dont even think my father-in-law has ever been to Moscow, Cohen told ABC News earlier this year. I wonder whos living in the dacha.

Another suggestion in those documents that Cohen supposedly met with the Russians in Prague last August is also false, he said.Then-President-elect Trump pushed back against the claim in a wide-ranging news conference held in January, saying that he saw Cohens passport.

I said, I want to see your passport. He brings his passport to my office. I say, Hey, wait a minute. He didnt leave the country. He wasnt out of the country. They had Michael Cohen of the Trump Organization was in Prague. It turned out to be a different Michael Cohen, Trump said. Its a disgrace what took place. Its a disgrace, and I think they ought to apologize to start with Michael Cohen.

Democrats in Congress have argued itis conceivable he entered Europe through another country he was in Italy on vacation around the time the dossier alleges he was in Prague and his passport would not receive a stamp for crossing the border, but no proof of any such trip has been produced.

Ive never actually walked the land in Prague, Cohen told ABC News. And last August I was not in Prague.

Congressional investigators involved in the widening probehave already identified four Trump campaign advisers as people of interest because of their interactions with Russian officials. Only one of them, retired Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, has received a subpoena for records. Flynn, who served briefly as Trumps national security adviser, declined to provide them, citing his Fifth Amendment rights.

Lawmakers have also askedformer Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort, informal adviser Roger Stone and former foreign policy adviser Carter Page to voluntarily hand over relevant records. All three men have said publicly they are producing records and cooperating with investigators.

ABC News' Eric Avram and Pete Madden contributed to this report.

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Donald Trump’s Communications Director Quits After 3 Months on the Job – Fortune

Posted: at 3:02 pm

A top White House communications staffer has resigned as President Donald Trump considers a major staff overhaul amid intensifying inquiries into his campaign's dealings with Russia.

The departure of Michael Dubke, Trump's communications director, comes as aides and outside advisers say Trump has grown increasingly frustrated by allegations of Russian meddling in the 2016 election and revelations of possible ties between his campaign and Moscow.

Trump tweeted Tuesday: "Russian officials must be laughing at the U.S. & how a lame excuse for why the Dems lost the election has taken over the Fake News."

Dubke wrote in a statement that it had been an honor to serve Trump and "my distinct pleasure to work side-by-side, day-by-day with the staff of the communications and press departments."

Dubke offered his resignation earlier this month, White House counselor Kellyanne Conway told The Associated Press on Tuesday, but offered to stay on during the president's first foreign trip. His last day has not yet been determined.

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A Republican consultant, Dubke joined the White House team in February and has served only three months on the job. The position had gone unfilled after campaign aide Jason Miller Trump's original choice for communications director backed out of the job in December before the president's inauguration. Dubke founded Crossroads Media, a GOP firm that specializes in political advertising.

Dubke is the latest White House staffer to leave this administration as scrutiny intensifies over contacts Trump staffers may have had with Russian government officials during the campaign and transition period.

It's unclear whether other staff moves are imminent. Trump has entertained bringing his former campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, and former deputy campaign manager, David Bossie, more formally back into the fold.

Bossie told Fox News' "Fox & Friends" that the Trump administration has reached out to him but hasn't offered him a job yet.

"They have talked to many people, including me," Bossie said. He later added: "It's an ongoing conversation and that's a fair way to put it."

In an interview on Fox News on Tuesday, Conway said Dubke "made very clear that he would see through the president's international trip, and come to work every day and work hard even through that trip because there was much to do here back at the White House."

Dubke's hiring was intended to lighten the load on Sean Spicer, the White House press secretary, who had also been handling the duties of communications director during Trump's first month in office. Trump has privately and publicly pinned some of the blame for his administration's rough start on the White House's communications strategy.

While overseas, Trump's longtime lawyer, Marc Kasowitz, joined a still-forming legal team to help the president shoulder the intensifying investigations into Russian interference in the election and his associates' potential involvement. More attorneys with deep experience in Washington investigations are expected to be added, along with crisis communication experts, to help the White House in the weeks ahead.

The latest revelations to emerge last week involved Trump's son-in-law and top aide, Jared Kushner. Shortly after the election, Kushner allegedly discussed setting up a secret communications channel with the Russian government to facilitate sensitive discussions about the conflict in Syria.

The intent was to connect Trump's chief national security adviser at the time, Michael Flynn, with Russian military leaders, a person familiar with the discussions told the AP. The person wasn't authorized to publicly discuss private policy deliberations and insisted on anonymity.

Flynn handed in his resignation in February after it was revealed he misled top White House officials about his contacts with Russian officials.

The disclosure of the back channel has put the White House on the defensive. Just back from his nine-day trip to the Middle East and Europe, Trump dismissed recent reports as "fake news."

Trump also has renewed his criticism of Germany following Chancellor Angela Merkel's suggestion that her country needs to adopt a more independent stance in world affairs.

Trump posted a tweet Tuesday saying "we have a MASSIVE trade deficit with Germany, plus they pay FAR LESS than they should on NATO & military. Very bad for U.S. This will change."

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Donald Trump doesn’t seem to understand how the Senate works – CNN

Posted: at 3:02 pm

Aside from the odd punctuation -- why is "TAX CUTS" capitalized?? -- the message is simple: Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell should change the rules of the Senate to eliminate the filibuster on legislation. What that would mean in practical terms is that any debate on a bill could be ended by a simple majority vote and then the legislation could be passed -- or voted down -- with a simple majority.

Let's start here: Getting rid of the legislative filibuster would make the way the Senate works entirely indistinguishable from the way the House works.

The House is -- and was designed to be -- a majority-rule entity. From its founding in Article 1, Section 3 of the Constitution, which establishes that members of the House must stand for new terms every two years, the whole idea was that the House was the direct voice of the people -- reflecting what they wanted at a given time.

That same Constitution -- you may have heard of it -- established six-year terms for senators, an attempt to differentiate it from the House and create the idea of the Senate as a more deliberate institution.

Now, put the history aside for a minute. Trump's tweet is also wrong on the specifics of the two pieces of legislation -- health care and tax reform -- he is insisting would pass the Senate if not for its 60-vote rule.

Which means that, for all intents and purposes, the change Trump is insisting the Senate make is already governing the two pieces of legislation he is tweeting about.

Donald Trump is either blithely unaware of these things or simply doesn't care. He is and always has been someone who believes that he makes the rules while other people follow them. And, if they don't suit him -- if it's a bad deal, say -- he either adjust the rules or walks away from them.

In Trump's mind, he's the President so everyone -- the Senate included -- should be doing what he says and passing the legislation he wants passed.

Which, of course, is a gross misunderstanding of the separation of powers, the history of the Senate and the current legislative processes governing tax reform and the American Health Care Act.

Many people know that. Donald Trump doesn't seem to be one of them.

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Donald Trump Deals Away America’s Prestige, and His Own Position – Daily Beast

Posted: at 3:02 pm

So this week, he warns us, the president is going to announce his decision on whether the United States will remain a party to the Paris climate accord. I guess the delay is meant to dupe us into believing that hes been studying the substance of the issue.

I think we all expect that hell pull the United States out of the agreement, signed by 195 nations (and unsigned by just Nicaragua and Syria, if you want an idea of the company Donald Trump would be putting us in). Indeed Axios reported Monday that Trump has already told several associates that hes giving it the heave-ho. The thin reed of hope here is that a slew of major U.S. corporationsincluding the CEO of Exxon!have told him to stay in Paris.

So maybe theres the slimmest of chances that he might pleasantly surprise us. But come on. He knows hed have a mutiny on his hands if he doesnt reject the accord. The three key elements of the Republican Party these days are the hardest-right members of Congress (look, for example, at how the House Republicans rewrote the health bill to placate the Freedom Caucus); Rush Limbaugh and the other media propagandists, and the rabid pro-Trump base. Each of these overlapping groups would be enraged if Trump stuck with Paris.

As a matter of politics, hes already lost more or less the entire country except for these people. If he starts losing themby doing things like coming around to Barack Obamas position on climate changetheyll start thinking the words President Pence sound just fine. And they, unlike the rest of us, have the power to make it happen.

So lets assume that by weeks end the United States is out of the Paris accords. There are two contexts in which we need to understand the gravity of the moment.

The first is the domestic political context. Republicans will be hailing this as a great victory for the American people, who dont want to be bound by these onerous and heavy-handed international treaties. However, the truth as far as we can discern is that the American people do in fact want to be bound by these treaties.

First of all, most Americans believe that climate change is a real problem that the human race has caused or contributed to and must do something about. Gallup found a little more than a year ago that public concern about climate change was at an eight-year high. Fully 64 percent said they worried about climate change, and nine in 10 said the effects are either now being felt or will certainly be felt in the future, leaving the hoax dead-enders at 10 percent of the population (but about 52 percent of the Congress; oh well).

Which brings us to the Paris agreement. It hasnt been polled much, but last November the Chicago Council on Global Affairs commissioned a survey that found that 71 percent of Americansand even 57 percent of Republicansback the accord.

In other words, the GOP position is deeply unpopular. So if Trump moves in the expected direction, it will lower his own popularity, and the congressional GOPs. Pretty much every major item on the GOP agenda, from getting out of Paris to repealing Obamacare to giving the rich more tax cuts, is wildly unpopular. Yet they keep doing it, and keep wondering why theyre so unpopular. Its not complicated. They are carrying out the will of their huge donors and about a third at best of the population. So the political fallout for them will be negative, and that of course is all to the good.

In the second context, however, the political fallout is likely to be extremely harmful to the United States. I refer of course to the international context. We saw Trump complete a disastrous overseas trip, which started with him outing the Mossad, built toward his alarming non-defense of NATO, and ended with this puffy and low-energy old man unable to join his fellow heads-of-state and walk a few hundred feet.

That was funny, in a pathetic sort of way. But Angela Merkels speech in southern Germany Sunday wasnt funny. As Henry Farrell observed in The Washington Post, Merkels rhetoric about the EU needing to go its own way was a stark departure from the past, indicating that Germany and Europe are likely to take on a much more substantial and independent role than they have in the past 70 years.

To hear American conservativesand Trumptell it, the EU is a hidebound and sclerotic institution that cant approve golf courses fast enough. But guess which economy is bigger, the EU or the United States? In 2016, China was first, the EU second, and America third.

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To those of you who say that getting out of Paris will unleash the American tiger, I say stop reading InfoWars. Theres a reason the Exxon CEO wants us to stay in. Its called a global marketplace in which the rules are standardized. For the United States of America, which has led every major international concert since World War II, to stand down from that role and go its own way is humiliating and, more to the point, self-marginalizing. The Paris agreement expands markets, creates new energy technologies, and spurs growth. Were really going to say we want no part of that, are we?

And just imagine how it will feel three years from now, say, when theres another major international accord of some kind, and the two people standing up front are Angela Merkel and Xi Jinping, with the president of the United States absent. Donnie Two Scoops will be down in Palm Beach, tweeting away, eating his favorite dessert. And the world will be eating our lunch.

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Donald Trump Deals Away America's Prestige, and His Own Position - Daily Beast

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Doctor Who slams Donald Trump – CBS News

Posted: at 3:02 pm

Peter Capaldi stars as the Doctor in the "Doctor Who" episode "The Pyramid at the End Of The World."

Simon Ridgway/BBC

The 2016 U.S. presidential election had the same results in the "Doctor Who" universe, apparently, with Donald Trump sitting in the oval office both on TV and in reality.

During the most recent episode of the hit BBC sci-fi adventure, the Doctor's current companion, Bill (played by Pearl Mackie) is tracked down by the U.N. and asked to help find "the president."

"How would I know the president? I mean I wouldn't have even voted for him," Bill responded. "He's ... orange."

Mr. Trump -- or an actor portraying him -- doesn't appear in the episode, but the writers have made it clear he exists in their world.

It turned out the U.N. was looking for another president: the Doctor himself, played by Peter Capaldi. Several seasons back, the character was given the title President of Earth.

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Doctor Who slams Donald Trump - CBS News

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