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Monthly Archives: May 2017
Cryptocurrency – Everything You Need To Know In 2017 – Seeking Alpha
Posted: May 23, 2017 at 10:28 pm
We have come a long way since the days of a barter system. It hasn't been necessary to have a specific good and trade it for some other specific good for a long time. For most of written history, there were only two types of currency: fiat or commodity. Fiat currencies have been the dominant currency since the 1970s, when the U.S. ended the Bretton Woods system and abandoned the gold standard.
Fiat currencies are great because they don't require physical commodity reserves and countries can control their own money supply. Currencies can be valued constantly against each other in floating exchanges. As for integrity and widespread implementation, governments are generally trustworthy and are a central regulating force that ensures transactions are fair, accurate, and not manipulated.
Today, with the advent of cheap computing power and networked systems (i.e., the Internet), there is a new contender to the currency game. The new guy to disrupt the duopoly of currency is the cryptocurrency. These are Bitcoin and its peers that have only become feasible in the last twenty years or so.
What Cryptocurrencies are, and their benefits
Cryptocurrencies exist only in computers. This shouldn't scare you, though, because the majority of most fiat currencies also only exist as numbers in a computer system. They require distributed systems to ensure integrity and reliability, and they can be a good alternative to national currencies. They are, in the simplest terms, digital records held by many parties that track how much currency any single wallet holds.
Some of the benefits of cryptocurrencies include decentralisation, deregulation, anonymity, increased transaction transparency, and the facilitation of cross-border trade. Cryptocurrencies are not based in any single country or jurisdiction, because the ledgers and servers are spread out over the globe. Since there is no central bank, the system is distributed and therefore not easily manipulated either by large institutions or by governments. This means there is little regulation and more freedom on who spends how much on what and where. This benefit is enhanced by the fact that there is less private information attached to each transaction. There are even cryptocurrencies whose main goal is to provide an untraceable, secure, and anonymous means of payment.
Payments are transparent because every transaction can be verified by anyone. This means fraud is more difficult because there are many copies of the transaction record available for anyone to see. Furthermore, everyone knows how much every wallet contains (though real names are not included). The public balances come from the way in which balances are implemented in the technology.
As for cross-border trade, since cryptocurrencies are non-national, anyone can pay anyone anywhere without needing to convert currencies. This raises interesting questions on conversion and payments, as owning 1 BTC (Bitcoin's currency symbol) in France and owning 1 BTC in Thailand are not the same. If converted to a local currency, it means much different buying power in the two host countries.
How they work
There is a distributed ledger or a publicly viewable list of transactions. Since they are distributed, there is more than one copy (there are actually a lot of copies). There are "miners", who are like the keepers of the system.
Whenever a transaction is made, the keepers of the system broadcast the transaction to everyone. The transaction is placed in a pool of pending transactions, whose order of addition to the chain is determined by competing miners. Participants choose a transaction and solve a math problem linking it to the last recorded transaction. Whichever miner can solve their problem first gets to add their transaction to the end of the chain, effectively determining a unique order.
If two miners finish different blocks at the same time, the blockchain branches. Each node keeps its own copy of the transaction set and works from that. Once the next block is solved, all nodes switch to the transaction set used by the last solve.
Since transactions are simply messages with the sender, receiver, and an amount, it is essential that all transactions are signed. This is completed using the sending wallet's private key, and the signature is unique for each transaction, so it cannot be duplicated. Furthermore, a message cannot be altered or the resulting signature will no longer be valid. Even more, since transactions are lumped together in blocks, if one transaction changes, the hash output of the entire block changes, and hence doesn't link correctly with the next block - i.e., it is not possible to modify blocks undetected.
Balances are not stored in the system, but they are based on previous transactions (basically add prior transactions A + B + to determine if you have enough for transaction 1). This requires that "unspent" transactions be added every time one wants to send money, but it does not require the processing of the entire blockchain (that would be rather inefficient).
Where does Cryptocurrency get its value
Like fiat currencies, cryptocurrencies have no intrinsic value. They're just numbers stored on a system somewhere, much like the way modern digital banking treats national currencies. Fiat currencies then derive their value from the collective faith of a society using them. If A believes B will accept USD, then A will accept USD for whatever they want to trade, too. B will only accept USD if s/he thinks C will also take USD, and from this collective faith, the value of USD arises.
Cryptocurrencies are similar. They are only worth as much as everyone deems them to be worth. One advantage for national fiat currencies is that a central authority issues and regulates them, and one can generally trust the government in this regard. Furthermore, governments require that taxes be paid, and they will usually only accept their own currency for this. Hence, to be a citizen of a country, one must deal with the national currency. This is a good basis to simply use the same currency for every transaction within the country.
Major Price Gains (and a major adoption event)
One major reason for the generally increasing value of cryptocurrencies is more widespread interest. While cryptocurrencies may not be prevalent, they do have a following on the Internet, and many people will ask for cryptocurrencies donations or payments. If the demand for such currencies increases faster than units are added the price will rise.
Looking at the charts of the four largest cryptocurrencies after conversion to USD, it looks like there has been a significant increase recently in all four (not all the same scale, as these are the lifetime charts). This is a phenomenon that is clear in 2017.
Fears over capital restrictions and government spying may be pushing up the price. A renewed interested in privacy, especially after the Snowden leaks, might be a reason. The increasingly watchful eye of Big Data by both Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) et al. and the banks and credit card companies may be a reason. The wider general acceptance is almost certainly a reason.
Chart Source: Highcharts.com
Chart Source: Highcharts.com
Chart Source: Highcharts.com
Chart Source: Highcharts.com
Government Acceptance?
This acceptance extends to governments. Most notably, Japan, a market highly accepting of innovative technologies, recognised Bitcoin on April 1st, 2017. It is also set to standardise blockchain technology. This acceptance by the world's third largest economy is a huge boon to cryptocurrencies. There is a clear uptrend for the four largest cryptocurrencies around the time of recognition. Russia is also attempting to legitimise, as it would help the government crack down on money laundering.
Why is cryptocurrencies value always fluctuating against national currencies
It is important to note that national fiat currencies are valued against other currencies based on the state of the issuer's economy. If it is expected that many people will want to buy Korean products, there is more demand for KRW. This means each KRW costs more JPY, whether the central bank of Korea does anything or not. Cryptocurrencies are really no different, but they fluctuate much more.
Looking at any charts of cryptocurrencies against a national currency (usually the USD, but it doesn't matter), one can see there are huge fluctuations. Since there is no central authority, there is no one to stabilise cryptocurrencies against national currencies. One of the libertarian goals of many cryptocurrencies is exactly this fact: market forces are the only forces that influence the value.
Advocates of a global cryptocurrencies system argue that as it becomes more popular the value should stabilise on its own. The main driver of upside movements so far has been more interest, i.e., more demand. It is somewhat similar to real estate. If someone buys 100 acres in a secluded area, it may not be worth much at first. However, if the area starts to become populated, the original owner can divide the 100 acres, unchanged in physical size, into smaller pieces, each worth as much as the original 100 acres. However, there is an upper limit to the divisions, because people can't build houses on one one-hundredth of an acre (let's ignore building up for this example).
Cryptocurrencies may appreciate over time, but there is also an upper limit to the number of units that are available in a currency. For example, Bitcoin miners will no longer receive coins for solving the blockchain linking problem around 2140. This is when the supply is expected to hit 21 million BTC, which is the set upper limit. At this point, coins will probably start to fall out of circulation without a replacement.
Each cryptocurrency has an associated "market capitalization", or what the entire exchange would trade for in a national currency equivalent. This can be a determinant in which system to use because someone trying to move large amounts wouldn't be able to trade on a small exchange or currency.
Differences between Various Currencies
Note: the charts in this section reflect MARKET CAPITALIZATION over the last year (as of May 17, 2017). The previous section was prices over the last few years. These are not in exact lockstep because the number of coins (units) increases with time.
There are many cryptocurrencies out there. They have different features for different users. This is actually one major problem for widespread adoption - without a dominant currency, which one should people adopt? Small ones inveigle people with potentially large gains, but big ones have a better chance of acceptance by more people. Being early on a new social network could give you star status later, or you could forever be confined to a quiet corner of the social media space.
Here are the four largest ones, each with a market capitalisation over 1B USD.
Bitcoin (BTC, MC: ~30B USD) - by far the largest and most well-known, this is the cryptocurrency that really kicked off the revolution. Its market cap (MC) is around 30B USD, and it has reached 350k transactions per day on busy days. The currency has an upper limit on the number of possible coins (21 million), but you can trade as little as one one-hundred-millionth of a BTC, so you don't have to worry about it becoming too expensive to do daily transactions.
Chart Source: Highcharts.com
Litecoin (LTC, MC: ~1.6B USD) - this cryptocurrency's main feature is that it is much faster to transact. Since each transaction takes so much calculation, BTC transactions take upwards of 10 minutes to confirm. This is not feasible for paying on-the-go. LTC gets the time down to about 2.5 minutes, though that is still much longer than the seconds it takes for credit cards or cash.
Chart Source: Highcharts.com
Ethereum (ETH, MC: ~8B) - ETH is the second largest cryptocurrency by market cap, sitting at about 8B USD. ETH was originally designed to be a platform and not really a cryptocurrency. The transaction time is on the order of 10-15 seconds for confirmation, which is a huge improvement. ETH are also released every year, so there is no hard upper limit of ETH like with other cryptocurrencies. This means that not all the coins are in the hands of early miners.
Chart Source: Highcharts.com
Ripple (XRP, MC: ~7.2B USD) - XRP has no public ledger, but instead uses an "iterative consensus process". The result is a much shorter transaction time (a few seconds), and it uses much less computing power. Ripple is its own exchange, and hence there is no fear of an exchange vanishing (like the fiasco that was Mt. Gox).
Chart Source: Highcharts.com
There are many more cryptocurrencies, and here I mention a couple with interesting features. This is by no means an extensive list, as there are literally hundreds of CCs. These are just a couple that have interesting features (both I and others (1, 2) think they're interesting).
Chart Source: Highcharts.com
Chart Source: Highcharts.com
Chart Source: Highcharts.com
Dangers to Widespread Adoption
The greatest barrier to widespread adoption is acceptance. If you can't use it to buy a coffee at your local shop or a train ticket at the station, no one will use it. The first step in expanding acceptance is for large companies to accept them, and some do. Here is a list, longer than one might expect, of companies that accept at least Bitcoins. Unfortunately, there are not many big names on there. Once your local shops start to accept it, it will become more feasible for the average person to adopt it.
Another major problem is fragmentation. Currently, Bitcoin is the largest one, but there are many competitors that take market share. One must be adopted as a standard - people don't want to use five different currencies, all fluctuating against each other, in their everyday life. Businesses also don't want to have to set up all the tech to accept five different currencies and always adjust their prices.
It not only exposes businesses to wild fluctuations between customer cash inflow and material buying cash outflow, but sovereign nations will also be open to the fluctuations of the global market without a means to control the money supply in their own economies. This is something hardcore libertarians champion, but the average person is probably not interested in his country losing control of such an important affair as the economy.
Technical issues are another issue. Of course, it is possible that a bank's electronic accounting system fails, but CC systems are very new. Do we really want to risk a potentially catastrophic meltdown of our economy because there was some exploit? At least with fiat currencies, people can still trade physical notes of cash to buy food and water even in a disaster.
Conclusion
So, what do we make of cryptocurrencies? They are an interesting technological novelty for now. If they can be completely secured, beyond doubt, and many people start to adopt them, it is entirely possible the future will be transacted in cryptocurrency. At this time, though, they are really only useful as a speculative investment tool for early capital gains or FX traders who think they can guess the direction.
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Cryptocurrency - Everything You Need To Know In 2017 - Seeking Alpha
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Cryptocurrency Gambling Platform DirectBet.eu Shuts Down Although The Reason Why Remains Unclear – newsBTC
Posted: at 10:28 pm
For the time being, people are waiting for an official explanation from DirectBet.
There are a lot of Bitcoin gambling platforms all over the world. Unfortunately, not every single company can remain in business over time. For DirectBet.eu, the decision to shut down was made rather hastily. Nearly 24 hours later, no one seems to know why the decision was made in the first place. It is possible mounting Bitcoin transaction fees forced the companys hand.
A lot of Bitcoin gamblers are shocked to learn DirectBet has closed down. The news comes as a total surprise to the entire community. In fact, the company was still running promotions a few hours before making this drastic decision. No one knows for sure why the company is halting their services. Speculation is running rampant, though. Many people claim the mounting Bitcoin transaction fees are to blame for this sudden decision.
It is never good to see such a popular platform disappear all of a sudden. The company has built up a solid reputation over the past few years. They also offered gambling opportunities for a lot of different sports. Although other platforms offer similar services, DirectBet was a platform near and dear to the hearts of many. Especially people who bet on golf will have a hard time finding a different platform. There are a lot of other companies to choose from, although they will all need to step up their game.
Moreover, the reason why DirectBet was so popular was due to them accepting altcoins. Users who wanted to gamble with Dash or Litecoin could make use of the platform without issues. Very few gambling platforms accept payments other than Bitcoin these days for some reason. In doing so, they miss out on a big opportunity, as altcoin gambling is getting more popular. Companies active in the world of cryptocurrency gambling will want to look at integrating altcoin support in the future.
For the time being, people are waiting for an official explanation from DirectBet. Their approach to cryptocurrency gambling was the right one. Users do not have to create accounts whatsoever, which makes it all the more appealing. It will be difficult to fill the void left behind by this company, that much is certain. Gambling and cryptocurrency are two peas in a pod. Anyone looking to enter the market should do so right now.
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Cryptocurrency Gambling Platform DirectBet.eu Shuts Down Although The Reason Why Remains Unclear - newsBTC
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NEM Gains 500% in May as the Fifth Largest Cryptocurrency; Factors & Trend – CryptoCoinsNews
Posted: at 10:28 pm
NEM and its token XEM have made significant gains over the past few months. Some analysts including Koji Higashi, the co-founder of IndieSquare based in Japan, have attributed the increase in the market cap of NEM and price of XEM to the exponentially growing alternative cryptocurrency (altcoin) market in Japan.
A major factor that has allowed NEM to transform into one of the most popular altcoins in Japan is its development team and company composed of Japanese founders and talents. NEM was initially developed and introduced in Japan by Makoto Takemiya, the co-founder and CEO of Soramitsu, the company that has also introduced the Iroha blockchain project to the Linux foundations Hyperledger Project.
Takemiyas involvement in some of the largest and most prominent blockchain projects and consortia as well as the Japanese governments legalization of bitcoin led to a surge in interest toward altcoins such as NEM that originated from Japan.
Japanese roots are acting as validation points for local Japanese altcoin traders. Specifically, NEM and Ripple are the two most popular altcoins in Japan in terms of demand and trading volumes. Higashi explained that local investors are demonstrating an increasing level of interest toward the two altcoins because of NEMs Japanese origin and Ripples association with Japanese banks.
In regard to NEMs strong brand in the Japanese market and community, Higashi wrote:
NEM is popular thanks to the strong backing of the platform from the Zaif exchange, one of the biggest exchanges in Japan along with bitFlyer and coincheck. NEMs private blockchain solution developed by Zaif with NEMs core developers is called MIJIN and it has established itself as a strong brand in the crypto space in Japan.
While NEM gained its image over a long period of time through organic growth, on April 21, Ripple announced the formation of the Japan Bank Consortium and that its participating banks that include the most influential financial institutions in Japan will be using Ripple-powered payments platform to facilitate both domestic and international transactions. The announcement of Ripple and its partner banks led to surge in demand for its native token XRP.
The Ripple team stated:
In order to address these emerging needs, banks have come together to launch the Japan Bank Consortium for cross-border and domestic payments which enable a flexible and efficient payment system. It is the worlds first case to implement Ripple solution in a cloud environment.
However, Higashi strongly emphasized that the Japanese altcoin market is attracting not-so-smart money from investors that have little to no actual understanding of the purpose, vision, philosophy and technical specifications of cryptocurrencies including NEM, Ripple and others. He went as far as to say that the Japanese market is leading a bubble for the global altcoin market.
Another thing to note about this new trend is that the general lack of understanding or appreciation of the technology by many of new users. This is no surprise and all of us have been there at one point but the new wave of Japanese investors seem to be exhibiting a whole new level of incomprehension and misguided decision making in my opinion, said Higashi.
To NEMs credit, it has maintained its strong brand image in Japan with its impressive achievements and long-term objectives.
On January 5, Umar Jundi Alfaroq, the community communications & marketing agent for NEM Association Malaysia, laid out the following achievements of the NEM team in 2016:
The release of NEM Apostille was a major announcement and achievement for NEM as it enabled the transfer and creation of digital certificates. That widened the applicability of NEM and its technologies across various industries.
As for this year, the price of NEM remains high and XEM is maintaining an upward momentum due to the tight partnership between Mijin and NEM. Many commercial projects based on Mijin, NEM and Apostille technologies are currently being developed and the Japanese market is anticipating such objectives in 2017.
Featured image from Shutterstock.
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NEM Gains 500% in May as the Fifth Largest Cryptocurrency; Factors & Trend - CryptoCoinsNews
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Billion Dollar Cryptocurrency Club Swells to Six Members – CryptoCoinsNews
Posted: at 10:28 pm
Bitcoin continues to set new record highs on a daily basis, and taking a host of altcoins along with it as investor demand for alternatives to equities remains strong.
Source: Coinmarketcap
Bitcoins market cap surpassed $37 billion today when the price hit $2271.16, commanding more than a billion in trade volume in a 24-hour period, according to coinmarket.com. The total value of the coin market is now at $81.3 billion, as the last two days added more than $10 billion to the capitalization.
Bitcoins value has almost doubled in the last month, even while its market share has fallen below 50%, thanks to the gains of other cryptocurrencies. Bitcoins gains have been steadier than most of the altcoins, but collectively, altcoins are rising at a faster pace.
Rising demand for bitcoin by Chinese and Japanese investors combined with falling stocks and other factors to push bitcoin to newheights. Because the Japanese yen holds the largest share of bitcoin trading, Asian tradingpushes the prices higher.
The Nikkei Asian Review today reported, Bitcoin going mainstream as Japanese business signs on, signaling bitcoins growing popularity in Japan, which recently recognized bitcoin as a method of payment.
Asian interest in bitcoin increasingly carries over to other currencies, as indicated by the gains for Ripple and NEM, the two most popular altcoins in Japan in terms of demand and trading volumes.
Japanese regulators also decided to abolish the 8% consumption tax on transactions of bitcoin bought from exchanges, which is set to go into effect in July this year.
Todays announcement that a majority of bitcoin miners have reached a consensus to deploy the Segwit2Mb protocol upgrade for bitcoin also bodes well. Bitcoins rise has benefited from an alleviation of the fear that a hard fork will be needed dividing bitcoin into two currencies to improve bitcoin transaction times. A successful deployment of an alternative scaling solution indicates the hard fork that would have resulted in two separate currencies in order to speed up bitcoin transactions may not be required.
Wences Casares, CEO of bitcoin wallet Xapo and a member of PayPals board of directors one bitcoin would hit $1 million before the next ten years while speaking at the Consensus 2017 conference in New York.
Ethereum, the largest altcoin, hit more than $16 billion market capitalization with a $179.68 price, followed by Ripple at more than $13 billion. The top three cryptocurrencies bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are the only players to boast more than $10 billion market cap.
Ethereum has witnessed the fastest growth of any digital currency ever. Not even two years old, the platform is now worth more than $16 billion with its trading spaces consistently attracting more online active users than even bitcoins.
Ripple, designed for enterprise use and can be used by institutions for on-demand liquidity for cross-border payments, also continues to post rapid gains. Banks and payment providers that use XRP will secure better access to emerging markets at lower settlement costs.
Ripple recently committed to placing 55 billion XRP in a cryptographically secure escrow account at the end of the year, addressing concerns that it will eventually sell its 61.68 XRP as it seeks to strengthen XRPs exchange rate against other currencies.
NEM, number four commands a $2.299 billion cap, followed by Litecoin at $1.575 billion and Ethereum Classic at $1.02 billion.
There are now six cryptocurrencies with more than $1 billion market caps.
Aside from bitcoin, the rotation shifts fairly frequently among the billion dollar players. A day ago, Litecoin, Monero, and Dash displaced Ethereum and NEM, with gains of 15%, 20%, 25%, respectively.
NEM, number four, commands a $2.299 billion cap, followed by Litecoin at $1.575 billion and Ethereum Classic at $1.02 billion. There are now six cryptocurrencies with more than $1 billion market caps.
NEM has also made significant gainsover the past few months. A major factor that has allowed NEM to transform into one of the most popular altcoins in Japan is its development team and company composed of Japanese founders and talents. NEM was initially developed and introduced in Japan by Makoto Takemiya, the co-founder and CEO of Soramitsu, the company that has also introduced the Iroha blockchain project to the Linux foundations Hyperledger Project.
Litecoin, one of the oldest altcoins, gained visibility this month because of its successful activation of SegWit, a scaling solution that circumvents the need for a hard fork.
Featured image of luxury yacht from Shutterstock.
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Billion Dollar Cryptocurrency Club Swells to Six Members - CryptoCoinsNews
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Bitcoin Surge Is Driven by People Leaving Riskier Digital Currencies, Say Execs – Bloomberg
Posted: at 10:27 pm
Bitcoins dramatic surge may be more than just a speculative frenzy. The recent rally is being driven partially by enthusiasts rotating out of riskier digital assets and into the more establishedcryptocurrency, according to industry executives.
"A lot of the volume into bitcoin right now is actually not dollar or yen or euro into bitcoin, but is rather alt digital assets," said Peter Smith, co-founder and CEO of digital asset software platform Blockchain, at an industry conference Tuesday that brought in 2,700 people on the first day. People do view a lot of these newer assets as more risky, and so when they make big gains there, theyre selling down those gains and rotating into bitcoin."
Numerous alternative cryptocurrencies, or "altcoins" such as ripple, have emerged since bitcoin broke into public consciousness in 2013. Companies can sell new tokens through initial coin offerings, or ICOs. While the cost of one bitcoin has skyrocketed to more than $2,000 from just 8 cents in 2010, you can buy one litecoin for about $30.
The price of ether, the cryptocurrency tied to the Ethereum blockchain, has almost doubled in the last week.
Some are worried that theres a bitcoin bubble in the making, but Smith and Erik Voorhees, founder and chief executive officer of cryptocurrency exchange ShapeShift, arent too concerned. Booms and busts are a normal part of any economic cycle, they said at the Consensus 2017 conference.
"Every time bitcoin goes through these bubbles, a whole new wave of users come in," Voorhees said. "The reason that bitcoin is taking off is because banks have not been innovating."
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The surge has also been tied to global political uncertainty and increased interest in Asia. Chinese stocks have slumped in recent months as bitcoin soared. The Shanghai Composite Index has fallen 6.9 percent from its high this year on April 11 amid concern authorities will step up measures to crack down on leveraged trading. China also may publish bitcoin regulations in June, according to a report earlier this month.
"Bitcoin up 100% in under 2 months. Shanghai down almost 10% same timeframe, compared to most global stocks up. Probably not a coincidence!" Doubleline Capital CEO Jeff Gundlach wrote in a tweet Tuesday.
ShapeShift users, only about 15 percent of whom are in the U.S., are moving small amounts of value between different digital tokens as they speculate about the best place to put their money, Voorhees said. Bitcoin is the "least speculative" of the digital assets, he explained.
Smiths company, whichadded former Barclays Plc CEO Antony Jenkins as a board member last year, has grown every year regardless of bitcoins price, he said.
"One of the beautiful things about bitcoin is you get to see free-market economics at work every day, and bubbles and creative destruction are part of that process," added Smith, who said people have been incorrectly writing bitcoins obituary as it goes through natural up and down cycles. "Im sure well add a lot of obituaries if the market reverses and we go down below $2,000."
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Bitcoin Surge Is Driven by People Leaving Riskier Digital Currencies, Say Execs - Bloomberg
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$100 of bitcoin in 2010 is worth $75 million today – Washington Post
Posted: at 10:27 pm
Bitcoin has received a lot of attention over the past few weeks in the wake of the recent malware attacks that impacted dozens of countries and thousands of businesses around the world which required a ransom payment to be made in the digital currency to unlock files that were encrypted by the virus. The question for many business owners is that, given its growing acceptance, is it ready for prime time? Should we accept bitcoin?
Theres no question that its been a good investment, particularly if you bought at the right time. According to this report from CNBC, the price of a single bitcoin has recently soared to $2,200 from just $0.003 only seven years ago. We know this because on Monday its fans celebrated the anniversary of Bitcoin Pizza Day, when Laszlo Hanyecz, a programmer, spent 10,000 bitcoin for two Papa Johns pizzas. Times have definitely changed.
So whats driving the run up in price? CNBCs tech correspondent Arjun Kharpal cites factors such as new legislation in Japan that allows retailers to accept the cryptocurrency (40 percent of all bitcoin trade is in Japan), the resolution of a dispute in the digital community that couldve created competing currencies and the general market turmoil brought on by global economic uncertainty.
PresidentTrumps stated desire to weaken the dollar and make American goods more attractive overseas may also be contributing. Not only that, but according to this report on CNN.com, a few high ranking members of his administration, like budget director Mick Mulvaney and vice president Mike Pences chief economist Mark Calabria, have both supported the cryptocurrency.
The currency is not backed by any government and cant be physically held in your hands. Its just out therein the etherand protected by blockchain, a digital recordkeeping system thats so secure many banks are considering a move toward adopting it as the backbone of their payment systems.
Some small businesses, particularly online retailers, are considering accepting bitcoin as another means of payment. Most investors agree that, although the currencys meteoric rise is very attractive, its also an extremely volatile and risky investment. Once you start accepting bitcoin in your company youll have to ask yourself what business youre really in: your business, or the currency business.
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$100 of bitcoin in 2010 is worth $75 million today - Washington Post
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The simple formula for becoming a bitcoin millionaire, according to one of its innovators – Quartz
Posted: at 10:27 pm
Wences Casares has been called the patient zero of bitcoin among Silicon Valleys elite. He got Bill Gates, Reid Hoffman, and countless other luminaries into bitcoin at gatherings of the rich and famous in Sun Valley and elsewhere.
The Argentina-born Casares has founded an internet service provider, a video game company, and a bank, plus he sits on the board of PayPal. But its bitcoin that Casares says hes dedicating the rest of his life to, and he now runs a startup called Xapo that stores bitcoin. At a dinner organized by the cryptocurrency policy group Coin Center in New York last night, Casares delivered the keynote speech, including the advice he doles out to people who ask him how to get into bitcoin.
The formula, according to Casares? Take 1% or less of what you own, buy bitcoin with it, and then forget about it for at least the next five years; ideally the next decade. You either lose one percent of your net worth, which most people can take, or you make millions, he told a room of cryptocurrency advocates at the Westin in Times Square.
Casares pegs the odds of bitcoin failing completely and going to zero dollars at 20%. If it fails, it will be worthless, he says. If it succeeds, in five to seven years it [one bitcoin] will be worth more than a million dollars. He puts the chances of success at greater than 50%.
Casares says hes seen people who bought bitcoin at cheap pricesas low as $13lose out because they tried to trade their way to profits, while those who bought at high prices have done spectacularly well by simply buying and holding.
A world where bitcoin is $1 million a coin will reflect its status as the worlds meta currency and a global standard of settlement. The world used to have a global standard of settlement for 5,000 years and it was gold, he says. If you wanted to compare how much it cost Cleopatra to put together an army to how much it cost a Chinese emperor, it was straightforward. We dont have that today.
Whereas gold was difficult to settle, requiring cumbersome storage and transport, its trivially easy to do so with bitcoin. If bitcoin succeeds I believe it will be the biggest leap forward in the democratization of money we have ever seen, Casares says.
Read this next: Bitcoin set a new price record as the industry gathers for its biggest event of the year
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Bitcoin: To Infinity And Beyond? – Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust ETF … – Seeking Alpha
Posted: at 10:27 pm
Bitcoin has blown through $2,100.00 seemingly on a one-way trip to infinity, and beyond. It may take a while for the crypto-currency to get to infinity. But, as its unabated pace shows it may actually get there. There are more reasons to pick up Bitcoin as news that a Japanese airline is going to allow Bitcoin as a form of payment. While Bitcoin is not widely accepted in the United States or elsewhere, it is turning a corner in other parts of the world. As more companies accept Bitcoin as a form of payment, it is a matter of time before there is a shift in the U.S. and other parts of the world. Bitcoin will continue its climb higher.
Since April's legislative move in Japan to make Bitcoin a legal currency, the price has been a one-way move. Now, Bitcoin can add yet another reason to its upward price movement: A Japanese airline will begin accepting Bitcoin as a form of payment. This continues to legitimize
the crypto-currency. It starts out as just one company allowing acceptance of the coin. Then, others follow. Then, Bitcoin becomes a way of life as a form of payment. And, as the currency's demand increases so does its value. Keep in mind that there is a limited amount of coins; there are only 20 million coins in existence. However, you can use partial coins; you do not need to buy just one coin. This is why the coin's value continues to increase because of the limitation on the total coins in circulation while its widespread use and demand increases.
In an article last week, I talked about Bitcoin and its fundamentals. There were a couple of comments that brought this subject up and thought it was laughable. Perhaps in that individual's part of the world, Bitcoin has zero acceptability. But, that is far too narrow of a viewpoint. In Japan, the number of reasons to get into Bitcoin are too many to count.
In the United States, there was an attempt at an ETF that was turned down by the SEC - the commission is revisiting its decision. First, I do not believe that an ETF will have any impact on the crypto-currency, whatsoever. In fact, I see this as pushing on a string. The rationale behind denying the ETF was that the exchanges themselves have no guarantees, and I agree with that. I see problems with exchanges all the time. But, the widespread use of Bitcoin means that this will help alleviate these problems. If more and more users come to market then there is greater and greater volumes. Also, if there are any exchanges out there that are marginal they will either be pushed to make-or-break levels. Do your research about the exchanges you use.
However, and this is the most important thing, and the reason I think the SEC got it completely wrong: My wallet is secure. Your wallet is secure. Our transaction is secure. There is no intermediaries. The process works and we both agree on this process and the price of Bitcoin at that very moment. But, for whatever reason, the SEC looked at the exchanges as a hang up. Who cares about an exchange out in Bangladesh? I don't use that exchange so why is it a variable in the thoughts of the crypto-currency?
In Japan, the Bank of Japan is in the process of diluting their currency into oblivion. The Bank of Japan has been printing money in a process to increase inflation and stimulate the economy. They are not making much headway. In the meantime, Bitcoin offers an alternative to the Japanese yen that cannot be diluted. And, if people continue to repeat history, then the price of Bitcoin has one direction to go: Up. But, in comparison, the Japanese yen has one direction to go: Down. Both forms of payment are now legal. Your choice.
As far as diluting a currency goes, what is the difference between Japan and the United States? Mathematically, as it turns out, not a whole helluva lot. Here are the charts on the respective balance sheets for both the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve:
Just before the massive QE programs in Japan, the Bank of Japan had approximately 1.50 trillion in their balance sheet. They have now pushed their balance sheet up to 5 trillion a multiple of 2.33. In the United States, the Federal Reserve's balance sheet was $800 billion and now sits at $4.5 trillion, a multiple of 2.27. Hmmm... The difference is? Negligible. And, yet, Japanese citizens are pushing into Bitcoin at an unprecedented and impressive pace. These are fundamentals and they are formidable.
As for the United States and Europe, the countries are likely to simply ignore Bitcoin as long as they can until they can figure out way to make money off of it, read: Taxation. If you want to know how someone is going to respond look at their incentives. So far, the major government's of the world Have largely ignored Bitcoin. At some point, these governments may - or, may not - address the crypto-currency. I see it as an alternative to cash... With the added benefit that it just keeps going up simply because there is a set, limited supply. However, there are some 7 billion potential users of
which the percentage of actual users is likely to be in the tenth and hundredths, if not tenths of thousandths of a decimal point. In other words, the number of people using Bitcoin is minuscule at best, but going upward.
Last week, I thought for sure that Bitcoin would finally take a breather. Nope. More news comes out stating that there are more reasons to be long Bitcoin, not to mention the fact that Bitcoin may now become a hedge against risk in the world. With the price of Bitcoin at $1,725.00, I had gone long a risk reversal to the downside: I was long $1,650.00 puts, over short $1,800.00 calls (Both one-week). When the price dipped into the upper 1,600 handle a buddy of mine called in the middle of the night and implored me to cover the position. He is long and saw the futility of a short position in Bitcoin. I did not relent. Instead, I did a covered delta hedge going long .35 delta thinking that if the price drops the rest of my put position would be profitable and I could then sit on the long positions once the downside move was over with. That trade began to make a lot of sense to me.
Then, the price turned and just kept soaring higher, and higher, and higher and higher. It did this on formidable fundamentals. I had to begin the process of covering my short $1,800.00 calls and did so with delta hedging... And, Bitcoin kept going higher on a one-way ticket upward. There was an over $500.00 point swing. Because of my delta hedge, I was able to put on a bit of armor and protect the downside of my position, and in fact, after that $500.00 swing upward in price, I was profitable. I earned $1.00. I only wish that was a joke. I took that profit simply because of a bit of pride and a bit of a learning lesson.
Lesson learned?: Listen to your own analysis. I will remain long BTCUSD from this point forward, although, I will get out from time-to-time if the currency looks set to take a breather. But, I will not take the opposite side of this trade again. The fundamentals continue to improve in favor of more and more users getting into Bitcoin while there supply is limited... And, now I can use it to buy a plane ticket and travel throughout Asia.
Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in COIN, LONG BTCUSD over the next 72 hours.
I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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Bigger than bitcoin? Enterprise Ethereum Alliance grows in size – CNBC
Posted: at 10:27 pm
Corporate support for the Enterprise Ethereum Alliance (EEA) is growing after 86 firms including State Street, Toyota, Merck, ING, Broadridge and Rabobank joined the collective that is seeking to use blockchain technology to run smart contracts at Fortune 500 companies.
Ethereum is an open-source, public, blockchain that anyone can use as a decentralized ledger. It has its own cryptocurrency called ether on the front-end, which is similar to Bitcoin, but the underlying Ethereum network is what is attracting companies' interest.
While the original Bitcoin blockchain has tended to be used for consumer payment transactions, the adoption of Ethereum blockchain technology by the corporate world means it could eventually be bigger than its early stage rival.
Ethereum technology is specifically intended to support smart contract applications that can automate complex physical and financial supply chain procedures and compliance processes involving multiple parties. It has numerous potential internal end uses such as reconciliation.
A smart contract on the Ethereum network is merely a way for people to make agreements and automate enforcement, all on a distributed network of computers. The contract is essentially an operating procedure that aids efficient management.
John Hancock Financial, for example, is experimenting with a tailored version of Ethereum to keep track of compliance with know your customer (KYC) and anti-money laundering (AML) regulations in its wealth management unit.
Meanwhile, European aircraft maker Airbus is testing to see if its supply chain management can be shifted to a blockchain that relies on Ethereum.
JPMorgan Chase, Microsoft, IBM, CME Group, BNY Mellon and other large multinationals are already EEA members, having joined when it was established in February 2017.
In a statement, Julio Faura, chairman of the EEA and head of blockchain innovation at Banco Santander, said, "the enthusiasm around EEA is remarkable".
He added: "Our new members come from varying industries such as pharma, mobile, banking, automotive, management consulting, and hardware."
Rival networks
The EEA is not alone in seeking to create standards for blockchain systems. Rivals include the R3 consortium, Digital Asset Holdings and the Hyperledger Project.
The latter is being used by the SWIFT global payment and securities messaging network for the third stage of its global payments innovation (gpi) project which seeks to make international payments as fast and easy to track as logistics deliveries. It is in the early stages of a distributed ledger technology (DLT), aka blockchain, proof of concept (PoC) that is not expected to come to fruition for many years yet.
In the meantime, Ripple has its own rival protocol for correspondent banks using Interledger that it hopes to attract volume to before SWIFT's PoC gains traction.
Challenges
As with any new technology a number of caveats apply to blockchain technology, principally that it is yet to be proven by anything other than small scale or pilot applications to date. Regulators will also need convincing that the networks are safe.
Convincing competitors to work together in a network that shares market information may also prove difficult. For instance, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley left the R3 consortium last year to pursue their own blockchain projects and alternative collaborations, potentially harming its prospects of producing useful real-world applications of the still experimental blockchain technology.
If a chain or end use application offers a massive competitive advantage then certain groups may seek to hive off their own separate 'chains' to which they will control access, which is another destabilizing factor.
Permissioned v Permissionless chains
Arguments are raging over the degree to which public or closed access should be allowed on different blockchains, which are commonly referred to as permissionless or permissioned 'chains'.
Most corporates and banks favor permissioned chains as they can apply minimum security, compliance and other standards, while technology evangelists and fintech disruptors tend to favor the more open permissionless model as they believe the full network benefits of the technology accrue this way.
In the same way that the internet and specifically the later world wide web works so well because everyone has access to it and protocols such as the SSL security layer are shared the tech evangelists argue that the blockchain should be maintained as a public project for the benefit of all.
Only time will tell who wins the debate. But the net itself has already gone through numerous iterations and the public vs. private discussion is a constant theme in that field, as much as it is in the blockchain arena.
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Peggy Whitson repairs critical space station system in record-tying 10th spacewalk – USA TODAY
Posted: at 10:27 pm
USA Today Network James Dean, Florida Today 7:07 p.m. ET May 23, 2017
Spacewalking astronauts made urgent repairs at the International Space Station on Tuesday, three days after a critical relay box failed. The replacement job fell to commander Peggy Whitson, the world's most experienced female astronaut. (May 23) AP
Outside the International Space Station on Tuesday morning, NASA astronaut Jack Fischer waved while attached to the Destiny laboratory during a spacewalk to replace a failed data relay box and install a pair of wireless communications antennas.(Photo: NASA)
CAPE CANAVERAL Astronaut Peggy Whitson on Tuesday repaired a critical International Space Station system during a nearly three-hour spacewalk that moved her into second place on NASAs career list for most spacewalking time.
Joined by NASAs Jack Fischer, Whitsonswapped out a computer relay box that had failed on Saturday.
Known as a multiplexer-demultiplexer, or MDM, the box helped control the stations solar arrays, radiators and cooling loops, among other systems.
A backup box remained in good shape, but NASA on Sunday ordered the unplanned "contingency" spacewalk to minimize the risk of a backup failure.
Related:
Long-distance call: Trump speaks with astronaut Peggy Whitson
Woman astronaut completes record 8th spacewalk, with a tiny hiccup
Whitson, the 57-year-old commander of the stations five-person Expedition 51 crew,unbolted the failed relay box and installed a spare as the football field-length research complex orbited 250 miles above the planet.
Fischer, meanwhile, installed wireless communications antennas on the stations Destiny lab module.
The two-hour, 46-minute spacewalk added to Whitsons record-breaking resume.
Last month, she set a new NASA mark for most cumulative days in space with more than 534 days, an achievement celebrated with a call from President Trump.
Tuesdays spacewalk was her 10th, tying the most by a NASA astronaut. In the course of itshe passed two retired NASA colleagues, Jerry Ross and John Grunsfeld, for most time performing spacewalks.
Whitsons career total of 60 hours and 21 minutes of extra-vehicular activity, or EVA, trails NASAs Michael Lopez-Alegria by more than seven hours and Russian cosmonaut Anatoly Solovyev the all-time leader by about 20 hours.
No more spacewalks are scheduled before Whitson's planned returnto Earth in September with Fischer, a 43-year-old flight engineer who completed his second spacewalk Tuesday.
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Age is no barrier for astronaut Peggy Whitson
3rd trip to space: Peggy Whitson set to break more NASA records
Record-breaking NASA astronaut Peggy Whitson extends time in space
US astronaut Peggy Whitson doesn't quite yet want to come back down to Earth. The only female onboard the International Space Station is extending her sojourn by an additional three more months, and will return in September. USA TODAY
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