Daily Archives: May 30, 2017

Neocons Cry As Trump Administration Imposes Fiscal Discipline Onto The Pentagon – The Liberty Conservative

Posted: May 30, 2017 at 2:54 pm

The Trump administrations proposed budget includes a light cap on spending for Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO). This represents only a very small anticipated decrease in certain Pentagon spending, but that hasnt stopped neoconservatives from crying foul.

OCO spending is capped at $65 billion in the Trump spending request being touted by budget director Mick Mulvaney. This is no small number, but it is down from the $83 billion that Congress approved for OCO spending in 2017. Mulvaney, a former member of the House Freedom Caucus, is intent on slowly reducing federal spending back to responsible levels, and that is wholly unacceptable to neocons insatiable in their lust for endless militarism.

If we implemented this budget, wed have to retreat from the world and put a lot of people at risk, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said. The prominent neocon threatened a lot of Benghazis in the making would take place unless federal spending was restored to the levels reached by the Obama administration.

More than likely, [Mulvaney] is pleased with the prospect of a congressional trainwreck that will work to constrain federal spending closer to the austere levels set in the Budget Control Act. For budget hawks like Mulvaney, disrupting the Pentagons fiscal planning is a virtue, neocon commentator Thomas Donnelly said in a Weekly Standard op/ed attempting to convince conservatives that the sky is falling over paltry cuts to the budget.

According to the National Priorities Project, the OCO accounted for 11 percent of discretionary defense spending in 2015. The Government Accountability Office (GAO) shows that 70 percent of the OCO fund in 2017 goes to Operation Freedom Sentinel and government operations related to Afghanistan while the other funds are split amongst Operation Inherent Resolve in Iraq and Syria, the European Reassurance Initiative, and the Counterterrorism Partnerships Fund.

The OCO funds many interventionism in a myriad of ways, and is completely exempt from the 2011 Budget Control Act. Because of the lack of Congressional accountability and oversight, it has become a favorite slush fund for neocons. With the purse strings being tightened, the neocons may have to find other sneaky ways to divert taxpayer resources into fueling empire abroad.

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Read This Before You Accuse States Of Fiscal Imprudence – Swarajya

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Go through the report of any Finance Commission and there will be one common strand running through their chapters state governments chafing at fund transfers tied to centrally sponsored schemes (CSS) and pleading for more untied funds, giving them the freedom to set their own priorities.

The Fourteenth Finance Commission (FFC) treating states as responsible adults instead of children whose pocket money needed to be monitored gave them that freedom, by increasing states share in central taxes but without strings attached. The central government accepted these recommendations (no central government has gone against the core recommendations of any finance commission). And what was the immediate reaction from a range of economic commentators? That this will only encourage fiscal imprudence by states and that social sector spending and capital expenditure will suffer.

Did this happen? At an aggregate level, no, but this does seems to have happened in the case of individual states. West Bengal and Tamil Nadu, for example, see a drop in spending on health and education.

This is the picture emerging from a NITI Aayog working paper, Social Sector Expenditure of States, Pre & Post Fourteenth Finance Commission. The paper is based on a study of state budgets of 2014-15 (actuals) and revised estimates (RE) of 2015-16, which is the first full year that followed the FFC recommendations.

Central transfers to states increased 21.19 per cent in 2015-16 over 2014-15, the paper notes, and social sector expenditure by states has increased 28 per cent (from Rs 6.9 lakh crore to Rs 8.9 lakh crore). In terms of percentage to gross domestic product (GDP), social sector expenditure by states increased from 5.62 per cent to 6.58 per cent. This is true also for social sector spending as a percentage of gross state domestic product (GSDP) 5.87 per cent in 2014-15 to 6.68 per cent in 2015-16 and as a percentage of total expenditure (from 32.04 per cent to 33.78 per cent).

There are, however, state-level differences. Manipur and Tamil Nadu saw a drop in social sector expenditure as a percentage of GSDP (though of less than 1 percentage point). Eight states saw a decline in social sector expenditure as percentage of total expenditure, ranging from 0.99 percentage points in the case of West Bengal to 4.04 percentage points in Meghalaya. (Decline in spending in Andhra Pradesh was also quite high but this is because of the bifurcation of the state, as a result of which some of the spending share goes into Telanganas account, which sees a spike.)

Chhattisgarh saw the largest increase in social sector spending as percentage of GSDP (2.49 percentage points) followed by Madhya Pradesh (2.46 percentage points). In both states, social sector accounts for 10 per cent of GSDP. Both these states also have the highest share of social sector spending in total expenditure 42.71 per cent in Madhya Pradesh and 40.96 per cent in Chhattisgarh. In terms of increase in this ratio, however, Himachal Pradesh tops with 9.10 percentage points followed by Madhya Pradesh with 7.30 percentage points.

But social sector is a large category, ranging from education and health to information and publicity and secretariat. The working paper looks at spending by individual states in the two crucial areas of health and education.

West Bengal and Tamil Nadu are the only states where there was a drop in spending on both health and education. In West Bengal, expenditure on health as a percentage of GSDP fell from 0.80 per cent to 0.77 per cent between 2014-15 and 2015-16, while that on education dropped from 2.64 per cent to 2.33 per cent. The decline in the case of Tamil Nadu is more muted from 0.70 per cent of GSDP in 2014-15 to 0.62 per cent in 2015-16 in health and from 2.22 per cent to 2.05 per cent in education. No other state saw a drop in spending on health. In education, Karnataka and Kerala were the only other states to register a decline 0.10 percentage points in the former and 0.09 percentage points in the latter.

Jharkhand saw the highest increase in health expenditure as percentage of GSDP (0.55 percentage points) between 2014-15 and 2015-16, but Goa and Uttar Pradesh had the highest spending in this category 1.52 per cent of GSDP in the former and 1.33 per cent in the case of the latter.

In education, Bihar tops both in terms of increase between 2014-15 and 2015-16 (1.14 percentage points) as well as highest spending in 2015-16 (5.17 per cent of GSDP). In terms of spending, it is followed by Chhattisgarh (5.05 per cent of GSDP) and Uttar Pradesh (4.05 per cent).

The Reserve Bank of Indias annual survey of state budgets shows that capital expenditure by states has also not suffered unduly. It does note that there was fiscal slippage in 2015-16 the consolidated fiscal deficit of all states rose from 2.6 per cent of GDP in 2014-15 to 3.6 per cent in the RE of 2015-16 (much above the recommended threshold of 3 per cent). But it also underlines the fact that the quality of deficit had improved. Much of the deficit, it notes, was because of a significant increase in capital outlay and loans and advances to power projects (the second is a reference to the power ministrys Ujjwal Discom Assurance Yojana).

Growth in capital expenditure, the report shows, was 3.4 per cent between 2014-15 and 2015-16 against 2.4 per cent between 2013-14 and 2014-15. Growth in development spending at 12.8 per cent in 2015-16 was a significant increase against the 10.7 per cent growth in 2014-15 and was sharper than growth in non-development spending, which has hovered around the 4.5 per cent mark since 2011-12. The increase in capital outlay was not frittered away, but used for what the report calls growth-enabling infrastructure major and medium irrigation and flood control, energy as well as roads and bridges.

Will this be sustained in the future? Now, that is something to watch out for.

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Read This Before You Accuse States Of Fiscal Imprudence - Swarajya

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Leaks are crucial part of Americans’ freedom – Wichita Eagle (blog)

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Leaks are crucial part of Americans' freedom
Wichita Eagle (blog)
Trump, known as a relentless litigator willing to wage wars of fiscal attrition in court, is also famous for his animosity toward news organizations and journalists who displease him. Unlike conventional elected officials, he probably would not shrink ...

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Punjab PA backs Kashmir freedom struggle – The News International

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Assembly prorogued for budget session

LAHORE: The Punjab Assembly was prorogued on Monday after adopting a resolution supporting the freedom struggle by the Kashmiri Muslims against the occupant Indian Army which had been committing atrocities on the unarmed Kashmiris to crush their freedom movement.

The assembly session is likely to be summoned again on June 2 later this week for presenting the provincial budget for the fiscal year 2017-18. Tabling a resolution and speaking after its adaptation, Opposition Leader in the Punjab Assembly Mian Mehmoodur Rasheed demanded removal of the chairman Kashmir Committee of parliament who, he said, had badly failed in highlighting the Kashmir cause and mustering support for the innocent Kashmiris struggling against the 800,000 Indian Army officials deployed to crush their freedom movement in the valley. He said despite that a huge sum of Rs2 billion from the public exchequer had been doled out for the Kashmir Committee yet its performance had been practically naught and it was as good as non-existent.

The resolution demanded the government to make the all-out effort to represent the Kashmiri people on the world fora and take the case to the UNO and OIC and other platforms to stop the Indian atrocities on the innocent Kashmiri women and youths.

Earlier, replying to queries, Punjab Agriculture Minister Naeem Bhabha told the House that the government had stopped giving subsidy to the growers on the Green Tractor Scheme and the subsidy was only being given on agricultural equipment.

The questioner, Mian Tariq, asked if the tractor was not included in agricultural equipment or if the government was oblivious to the situation of growers running from pillar to post to obtain tractors with money in their hands.

The minister replied that since the government had stopped subsidy on tractors; therefore, no facilitation could be provided to such growers. The questioner asked if it was the service to the agriculture sector the government had been claiming for the last four years. But the minister remained clueless about reply on that question.

The provincial minister Khalil Tahir Sindhu drew the Houses attention towards a social media message sent anonymously to him accusing him of trying to sell church properties with the help of the government. He denied such an impression and said the message was aimed at creating a wedge between the government and the church custodians. He said the government had already banned the sale of church properties.

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Local Memorial Day observance comes with strong warning – The Daily Progress

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Holding an artificial red poppy, the flower associated with fallen U.S. service members since World War I, retired Marine Col. James OKelley said Americans must remember the nations fallen troops and learn from history.

The question is whether we will learn from the lessons of the past or will we repeat the same mistakes?

At a Memorial Day ceremony hosted by the Veterans of Foreign Wars Post 2044 at the Earlysville Post Office, OKelley spoke about the history of Memorial Day, the waning number of those who observe it and the poppy, an internationally recognized symbol used to commemorate fallen military personnel.

His speech Monday also included a commentary on contemporary politics, highlighting comparisons of the United States and the Roman Empire, particularly as they relate to social welfare, popular entertainment and foreign policy in the Middle East.

The story of the Roman Empire offers us instructive lessons that hopefully we read not as a blueprint, but as a warning, he said.

Invoking 18th-century historians Alexander Tytler and Edward Gibbon, OKelley suggested the country could be on a wayward path to degeneration.

Quoting Tytler, OKelley said a democracy is always temporary in nature, and that its demise will come when the public eventually supports loose fiscal policy that will be followed by a dictatorship.

I find myself asking the question, what has all this bloodshed accomplished? he said. Does the present generation even know or care about what we have done or what has been required to get us to this point in our history?

Have we veterans, who have borne and understand the cost for freedom and liberty, failed to pass on to our generations the important lessons of history, perspective, context and consequences? Are we allowing the ideologies that many of our fellow veterans died to protect us from destroy our freedoms and liberties?

We have a moral obligation to our fallen comrades of the last 242 years to not break faith with their great and ultimate sacrifices.

Following the ceremony, Douglas Caton, a retired Army officer who helped organize the annual Memorial Day observance, said OKelley gave a sobering speech.

Hes dead right. Weve become very apathetic and dependent, he said.

Caton said the country should focus on becoming great again, and that there has to be a commitment from the American citizenry to do that.

I dont think we have that now. I think everybody wants more welfare, more retirement, more health care and more everything ... we have to change that attitude. We have to be more selfless and committed to each other, Caton said.

OKelley also spoke about the Dogwood Vietnam Memorial in Charlottesville, noting the 28 names of fallen service members who are memorialized there. In recent years, OKelley and other veterans have been involved in an effort to learn more about troops from the area who died during the Vietnam War.

Mondays ceremony included remarks from VFW member Michael Reichard, who spoke about the history of the Pledge of Allegiance.

The ceremony also included a wreath laying, a three-rifle volley and music by the Second-Wind Band.

Michelle Bickley, a retired Air Force officer who completed tours in Afghanistan and Iraq during her 21-year career, said she appreciated hearing about the Vietnam veterans and tidbits of American history.

Its neat for all the veterans to get together and to remember the people that have sacrificed their lives to give us the freedom and liberty that we enjoy today, she said.

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8 Tips to Help You Start Over Financially After Divorce – Zing! Blog by Quicken Loans (blog)

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Starting over financially after a divorce is often tough, especially if shared assets like a mortgage were involved. Not to mention, its not something people usually prepare for, either.

Here are some tips to help you reclaim your financial independence after a divorce, according to the experts.

Going through a divorce is often emotional and stressful, so its easy to lose sight of the financial ramifications that result, says Shomari Hearn, of Palisades Hudson Financial Group in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. The first step togetting a handle on your finances following a divorce should be to evaluate your living expenses, any outstanding debt you may have, and your income,including any alimony or child support, says Hearn.

Trevor Scotto, of Fiduciary Financial Group, suggests laying out your monthly bills and your bank and credit card statements. This can help identify any potential spending habits that may need to be corrected as well as payments that can be put on auto payment, says Scotto. You may experience a significantreduction in household income, which may require you to make adjustments toyour spending, he says.

The sooner you get a solid financial plan in place, the faster you can take the steps to progress financially in the future, says Monica Mizzi, of Legal Templates. Financial planning should encompassyour short-term, mid-term, and long-term goals, and the steps you will taketo get there including gradual milestones to keep you motivated and ontrack.

If your spouse managed all of the finances during your relationship, starting over on your own may seem complicated. If you need help trying to figure everything out, a financial planner may be able to help get you on the right track to financial independence.

A credentialed financial planner can help gather the financial pieces of the puzzle and lay out a game plan for your financial life after divorce, suggests Scotto. He says, If youre new to managing your own financial affairs its best to look for an advisor who specializes in financial planning and can educate you along the way.

New Jersey attorney Jef Henninger says he advises his clients to use the divorce process as a reset button on their lives.

Since you are laying everything out thereanyway, this is the best time to examine your spending and saving habits, he says. Seek professional advice if you need it but use this as an opportunity tostart over and change your habits.

Jessie C., who has been divorced since November 2016, says creating a spreadsheet helped her budget. I created a spreadsheet of the bills that I had and when they were due, and I use that to keep track of what I need to pay each time I get paid, she says. Keep track of your expenses and do not live above your means, she says. Only do things if you can afford them even if that means you need to live on PB&J for a little while.

Once your divorce is final, you may want to remove your former spouse from the title of your home. This can be done by refinancing and executing a quit-claim deed. A divorce decree and marital settlement agreement is needed to do this. Experts recommend talking to your mortgage company for next steps.

Relationship and personal finance blogger Jeff Campbell says its important to do away with any joint accounts to better protect both parties.

From a credit rating standpoint, it is very important to have no accounts remaining that are joint accounts as it could be very easy for the ex-spouse to damage your credit or take on additional credit under your name without your knowledge, he says. A clean break is the only way to proceed.

Most of the time, people name their spouse their primary beneficiary on insurance policies and retirement accounts. If youre no longer married, it may be best to change that. Update the beneficiary designations on your retirementaccounts, such as a 401(k) or an IRA, and on your life insurance policies, says Hearn. You want to avoid having these assets and benefits passing to your former spouse upon your death.

If you decide to apply for new home loan after your divorce, youre going to need your divorce decree. Its important to keep any documents related to your divorce for your financial records. This includes tax returns, mortgage documents, bank statements, and all other financial records, says Scotto. Make copies of all financial records in case you need them down the road.

If youre looking to buy a home after a divorce, be sure to check out these five tips.

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How To Raise Financially Literate Millennial Children – Forbes

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How To Raise Financially Literate Millennial Children
Forbes
Millennials are often stereotyped as being entitled, Sarah Berger, The Cashlorette at Bankrate.com, said in a statement. It's refreshing to see that millennials really do have high expectations of gaining financial independence and getting off their ...

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Registered sex offender from Sealand jailed over downloading indecent images – LeaderLive

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POLICE received intelligence that a particular computer address was being used to download indecent images of children.

It turned out it was being done by a man who was a registered sex offender because he had done the same thing previously, Mold Crown Court was told.

Adam Culshaw, 27, had been given a suspended prison sentence back in 2012 at Liverpool Crown Court for making indecent images by downloading them from the internet, and possessing extreme images.

Culshaw, of Villa Road in Sealand, was jailed for eight months yesterday after he admitted making 11 indecent images by downloading two of them at the worst category A.

He was placed on the sex offender register for 10 years and a 10 year sexual harm prevention order was made.

Judge Rhys Rowlands said sadly it was not the first time that Culshaw had been in court for such offences.

He had received a suspended sentence in 2012, but in March of this year police executed a search warrant at his Deeside home and further images were found on his computer tablet.

In interview with the police he had been candid and admitted using peer to peer software.

It turned out that he had also engaged in conversations of a sexual nature in chat rooms with other adults about children.

Judge Rowlands said the number of images was modest, but they were disturbing offences, more so because he had previously been given an opportunity to address his totally depraved behaviour.

But the sad fact was that he had relapsed, but the judge said he could see no reason for giving him a chance again.

Barrister Karl Sholz, prosecuting, said acting on intelligence police executed a search warrant at 8am on March 1 at Culshaws home address.

He was in work but the images were found on his tablet.

While peer-to-peer software had been installed there was no evidence that he had distributed any images.

He admitted using chat rooms where he engaged in conversations with other adults about sexually abusing children.

The 11 images were live which meant they were accessible. File names in the web history suggested that previous images had been downloaded.

Simon Killen, defending, said his client was assessed as a medium risk of harm to children, through viewing images only.

While the risk of actual abuse could not be fully dismissed, a report on him said that any risk he posed was not imminent.

Mr Killeen said there had been a breakdown in a relationship, a loss of self-esteem, loneliness and isolation which led him down the wrong path for a short period of time.

But he was motivated to refrain from future offending and would welcome the assistance that could be given to him under a three-year community order.

Mr Killeen said his client was clearly motivated to regain control of his distorted sexual fantasies and if he felt the temptation to lapse, a community order would mean he would have somewhere to go for help.

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Active Runner in Focus: Sealand Natural Resources Inc (SLNR) – The Times

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Shares ofSealand Natural Resources Inc (SLNR) is moving on volatility today37.50% or 0.15 rom the open.TheOTCBB listed companysaw a recent bid of0.5500 on1705 volume.

Investors may be searching for stocks that are undervalued. Scanning the markets during obvious pullbacks may be one strategy, but it may take a more concerted effort to identify these names if the market decides to climb further. Getting caught up in the details from news and various economic reports may leave the average investor dizzy and confused. Focusing on the most important data sets may be helpful when trying to muffle all the noise. Heading into the next quarter, investors will be watching which companies are experiencing positive earnings momentum. Often times, earnings that vastly beat expectations may cause the stock to skyrocket. Filling the portfolio with stocks experiencing positive earnings momentum may be a popular choice. Investors may want to look a little bit deeper into the situation to make sure that the momentum is justified. Some investors may already be adept at figuring this out while others may need to put in a bit more work.

Taking a deeper look into the technical levels ofPrimix Corp (PMXX), we can see thatthe Williams Percent Range or 14 day Williams %R currently sits at -31.25. The Williams %R oscillates in a range from 0 to -100. A reading between 0 and -20 would point to an overbought situation. A reading from -80 to -100 would signal an oversold situation. The Williams %R was developed by Larry Williams. This is a momentum indicator that is the inverse of the Fast Stochastic Oscillator.

Primix Corp (PMXX) currently has a 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of 244.19. Active investors may choose to use this technical indicator as a stock evaluation tool. Used as a coincident indicator, the CCI reading above +100 would reflect strong price action which may signal an uptrend. On the flip side, a reading below -100 may signal a downtrend reflecting weak price action. Using the CCI as a leading indicator, technical analysts may use a +100 reading as an overbought signal and a -100 reading as an oversold indicator, suggesting a trend reversal.

The RSI, or Relative Strength Index, is a widely used technical momentum indicator that compares price movement over time. The RSI was created by J. Welles Wilder who was striving to measure whether or not a stock was overbought or oversold. The RSI may be useful for spotting abnormal price activity and volatility. The RSI oscillates on a scale from 0 to 100. The normal reading of a stock will fall in the range of 30 to 70. A reading over 70 would indicate that the stock is overbought, and possibly overvalued. A reading under 30 may indicate that the stock is oversold, and possibly undervalued. After a recent check, Primix Corps 14-day RSI is currently at 68.72, the 7-day stands at 81.97, and the 3-day is sitting at 98.34.

Currently, the 14-day ADX for Primix Corp (PMXX) is sitting at 37.81. Generally speaking, an ADX value from 0-25 would indicate an absent or weak trend. A value of 25-50 would support a strong trend. A value of 50-75 would identify a very strong trend, and a value of 75-100 would lead to an extremely strong trend. ADX is used to gauge trend strength but not trend direction. Traders often add the Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and Minus Directional Indicator (-DI) to identify the direction of a trend.

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A Golden Age for Dystopian Fiction – The New Yorker

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Liberal and conservative dystopias do battle, in proxy wars of the imagination.CreditIllustration by Daniel Zender

Here are the plots of some new dystopian novels, set in the near future. The world got too hot, so a wealthy celebrity persuaded a small number of very rich people to move to a makeshift satellite that, from orbit, leaches the last nourishment the earth has to give, leaving everyone else to starve. The people on the satellite have lost their genitals, through some kind of instant mutation or super-quick evolution, but there is a lot of sex anyway, since its become fashionable to have surgical procedures to give yourself a variety of appendages and openings, along with decorative skin grafts and tattoos, there being so little else to do. There are no children, but the celebrity who rules the satellite has been trying to create them by torturing women from the earths surface. (We are what happens when the seemingly unthinkable celebrity rises to power, the novels narrator says.) Or: North Korea deployed a brain-damaging chemical weapon that made everyone in the United States, or at least everyone in L.A., an idiot, except for a few people who were on a boat the day the scourge came, but the idiots, who are otherwise remarkably sweet, round up and kill those people, out of fear. Led by a man known only as the Chief, the idiots build a wall around downtown to keep out the Drifters and the stupidest people, the Shamblers, who dont know how to tie shoes or button buttons; they wander around, naked and barefoot. Thanks, in part, to the difficulty of clothing, there is a lot of sex, random and unsatisfying, but there are very few children, because no one knows how to take care of them. (The jacket copy bills this novel as the first book of the Trump era.)

Or: Machines replaced humans, doing all the work and providing all the food, and, even though if you leave the city it is hotter everywhere else, some huffy young people do, because they are so bored, not to mention that they are mad at their parents, who do annoying things like run giant corporations. The runaways are called walkaways. (I gather theyre not in a terribly big hurry.) They talk about revolution, take a lot of baths, upload their brains onto computers, and have a lot of sex, but, to be honest, they are very boring. Or: Even after the coasts were lost to the floods when the ice caps melted, the American South, defying a new federal law, refused to give up fossil fuels, and seceded, which led to a civil war, which had been going on for decades, and was about to be over, on Reunification Day, except that a woman from Louisiana who lost her whole family in the war went to the celebration and released a poison that killed a hundred million people, which doesnt seem like the tragedy it might have been, because in this future world, as in all the others, theres not much to live for, what with the petty tyrants, the rotten weather, and the crappy sex. It will not give too much away if I say that none of these novels have a happy ending (though one has a twist). Then again, none of them have a happy beginning, either.

Dystopias follow utopias the way thunder follows lightning. This year, the thunder is roaring. But people are so grumpy, what with the petty tyrants and such, that its easy to forget how recently lightning struck. Whether we measure our progress in terms of wiredness, open-mindedness, or optimism, the country is moving in the right direction, and faster, perhaps, than even we would have believed, a reporter for Wired wrote in May, 2000. We are, as a nation, better educated, more tolerant, and more connected because ofnot in spite ofthe convergence of the internet and public life. Partisanship, religion, geography, race, gender, and other traditional political divisions are giving way to a new standardwirednessas an organizing principle. Nor was the utopianism merely technological, or callow. In January, 2008, Barack Obama gave a speech in New Hampshire, about the American creed:

It was a creed written into the founding documents that declared the destiny of a nation: Yes, we can. It was whispered by slaves and abolitionists as they blazed a trail towards freedom through the darkest of nights: Yes, we can. It was sung by immigrants as they struck out from distant shores and pioneers who pushed westward against an unforgiving wilderness: Yes, we can.... Yes, we can heal this nation. Yes, we can repair this world. Yes, we can.

That was the lightning, the flash of hope, the promise of perfectibility. The argument of dystopianism is that perfection comes at the cost of freedom. Every new lament about the end of the republic, every column about the collapse of civilization, every new novel of doom: these are its answering thunder. Rumble, thud, rumble, ka-boom, KA-BOOM!

A utopia is a paradise, a dystopia a paradise lost. Before utopias and dystopias became imagined futures, they were imagined pasts, or imagined places, like the Garden of Eden. I have found a continent more densely peopled and abounding in animals than our Europe or Asia or Africa, and, in addition, a climate milder and more delightful than in any other region known to us, Amerigo Vespucci wrote, in extravagant letters describing his voyages across the Atlantic, published in 1503 as Mundus Novus, a new world. In 1516, Thomas More published a fictional account of a sailor on one of Vespuccis ships who had travelled just a bit farther, to the island of Utopia, where he found a perfect republic. (More coined the term: utopia means nowhere.) Gullivers Travels (1726) is a satire of the utopianism of the Enlightenment. On the island of Laputa, Gulliver visits the Academy of Lagado, where the sages, the first progressives, are busy trying to make pincushions out of marble, breeding naked sheep, and improving the language by getting rid of all the words. The word dystopia, meaning an unhappy country, was coined in the seventeen-forties, as the historian Gregory Claeys points out in a shrewd new study, Dystopia: A Natural History (Oxford). In its modern definition, a dystopia can be apocalyptic, or post-apocalyptic, or neither, but it has to be anti-utopian, a utopia turned upside down, a world in which people tried to build a republic of perfection only to find that they had created a republic of misery. A Trip to the Island of Equality, a 1792 reply to Thomas Paines Rights of Man, is a dystopia (on the island, the pursuit of equality has reduced everyone to living in caves), but Mary Shelleys 1826 novel, The Last Man, in which the last human being dies in the year 2100 of a dreadful plague, is not dystopian; its merely apocalyptic.

The dystopian novel emerged in response to the first utopian novels, like Edward Bellamys best-selling 1888 fantasy, Looking Backward, about a socialist utopia in the year 2000. Looking Backward was so successful that it produced a dozen anti-socialist, anti-utopian replies, including Looking Further Backward (in which China invades the United States, which has been weakened by its embrace of socialism) and Looking Further Forward (in which socialism is so unquestionable that a history professor who refutes it is demoted to the rank of janitor). In 1887, a year before Bellamy, the American writer Anna Bowman Dodd published The Republic of the Future, a socialist dystopia set in New York in 2050, in which women and men are equal, children are reared by the state, machines handle all the work, and most people, having nothing else to do, spend much of their time at the gym, obsessed with fitness. Dodd describes this world as the very acme of dreariness. What is a dystopia? The gym. (Thats still true. In a 2011 episode of Black Mirror, life on earth in an energy-scarce future has been reduced to an interminable spin class.)

Utopians believe in progress; dystopians dont. They fight this argument out in competing visions of the future, utopians offering promises, dystopians issuing warnings. In 1895, in The Time Machine, H. G. Wells introduced the remarkably handy device of travelling through time by way of a clock. After that, time travel proved convenient, but even Wells didnt always use a machine. In his 1899 novel, When the Sleeper Awakes, his hero simply oversleeps his way to the twenty-first century, where he finds a world in which people are enslaved by propaganda, and helpless in the hands of the demagogue. Thats one problem with dystopian fiction: forewarned is not always forearmed.

Sleeping through the warning signs is another problem. I was asleep before, the heroine of The Handmaids Tale says in the new Hulu production of Margaret Atwoods 1986 novel. Thats how we let it happen. But what about when everyones awake, and there are plenty of warnings, but no one does anything about them? NK3, by Michael Tolkin (Atlantic), is an intricate and cleverly constructed account of the aftermath of a North Korean chemical attack; the NK3 of the title has entirely destroyed its victims memories and has vastly diminished their capacity to reason. This puts the novels characters in the same position as the readers of all dystopian fiction: theyre left to try to piece together not a whodunnit but a howdidithappen. Seth Kaplan, whod been a pediatric oncologist, pages through periodicals left in a seat back on a Singapore Airlines jet, on the ground at LAX. The periodicals, like the plane, hadnt moved since the plague arrived. It confused Seth that the plague was front-page news in some but not all of the papers, Tolkin writes. They still printed reviews of movies and books, articles about new cars, ways to make inexpensive costumes for Halloween. Everyone had been awake, but theyd been busy shopping for cars and picking out movies and cutting eyeholes in paper bags.

This springs blighted crop of dystopian novels is pessimistic about technology, about the economy, about politics, and about the planet, making it a more abundant harvest of unhappiness than most other heydays of downheartedness. The Internet did not stitch us all together. Economic growth has led to widening economic inequality and a looming environmental crisis. Democracy appears to be yielding to authoritarianism. Hopes, dashed is, lately, a long list, and getting longer. The plane is grounded, seat backs in the upright position, and we are dying, slowly, of stupidity.

Pick your present-day dilemma; theres a new dystopian novel to match it. Worried about political polarization? In American War (Knopf), Omar El Akkad traces the United States descent from gridlock to barbarism as the states of the former Confederacy (or, at least, the parts that arent underwater) refuse to abide by the Sustainable Future Act, and secede in 2074. Troubled by the new Jim Crow? Ben H. Winterss Underground Airlines (Little, Brown) is set in an early-twenty-first-century United States in which slavery abides, made crueller, and more inescapable, by the giant, unregulated slave-owning corporations that deploy the surveillance powers of modern technology, so that even escaping to the North (on underground airlines) hardly offers much hope, since free blacks in cities like Chicago live in segregated neighborhoods with no decent housing or schooling or work and its the very poverty in which they live that defeats arguments for abolition by hardening ideas about race. As the books narrator, a fugitive slave, explains, Black gets to mean poor and poor to mean dangerous and all the words get murked together and become one dark idea, a cloud of smoke, the smokestack fumes drifting like filthy air across the rest of the nation.

Radical pessimism is a dismal trend. The despair, this particular publishing season, comes in many forms, including the grotesque. In The Book of Joan (Harper), Lidia Yuknavitchs narrator, Christine Pizan, is forty-nine, and about to die, because shes living on a satellite orbiting the earth, where everyone is executed at the age of fifty; the wet in their bodies constitutes the colonys water supply. (Dystopia, here, is menopause.) Her body has aged: If hormones have any meaning left for any of us, it is latent at best. She examines herself in the mirror: I have a slight rise where each breast began, and a kind of mound where my pubic bone should be, but thats it. Nothing else of woman is left. Yuknavitchs Pizan is a resurrection of the medieval French scholar and historian Christine de Pisan, who in 1405 wrote the allegorical Book of the City of Ladies, and, in 1429, The Song of Joan of Arc, an account of the life of the martyr. In the year 2049, Yuknavitchs Pizan writes on her body, by a torturous process of self-mutilation, the story of a twenty-first-century Joan, who is trying to save the planet from Jean de Men (another historical allusion), the insane celebrity who has become its ruler. In the end, de Men himself is revealed to be not a man but what is left of a woman, with all the traces: sad, stitched-up sacks of flesh where breasts had once been, as if someone tried too hard to erase their existence. And a bulbous sagging gash sutured over and over where... life had perhaps happened in the past, or not, and worse, several dangling attempts at half-formed penises, sewn and abandoned, distended and limp.

Equal rights for women, emancipation, Reconstruction, civil rights: so many hopes, dashed; so many causes, lost. Pisan pictured a city of women; Lincoln believed in union; King had a dream. Yuknavitch and El Akkad and Winters unspool the reels of those dreams, and recut them as nightmares. This move isnt new, or daring; it is, instead, very old. The question is whether its all used up, as parched as a post-apocalyptic desert, as barren as an old woman, as addled as an old man.

A utopia is a planned society; planned societies are often disastrous; thats why utopias contain their own dystopias. Most early-twentieth-century dystopian novels took the form of political parables, critiques of planned societies, from both the left and the right. The utopianism of Communists, eugenicists, New Dealers, and Fascists produced the Russian novelist Yevgeny Zamyatins We in 1924, Aldous Huxleys Brave New World in 1935, Ayn Rands Anthem in 1937, and George Orwells 1984 in 1949. After the war, after the death camps, after the bomb, dystopian fiction thrived, like a weed that favors shade. A decreasing percentage of the imaginary worlds are utopias, the literary scholar Chad Walsh observed in 1962. An increasing percentage are nightmares.

Much postwar pessimism had to do with the superficiality of mass culture in an age of affluence, and with the fear that the banality and conformity of consumer society had reduced people to robots. I drive my car to supermarket, John Updike wrote in 1954. The way I take is superhigh,/A superlot is where I park it, /And Super Suds are what I buy. Supersudsy television boosterism is the utopianism attacked by Kurt Vonnegut in Player Piano (1952) and by Ray Bradbury in Fahrenheit 451 (1953). Cold War dystopianism came in as many flavors as soda pop or superheroes and in as many sizes as nuclear warheads. But, in a deeper sense, the mid-century overtaking of utopianism by dystopianism marked the rise of modern conservatism: a rejection of the idea of the liberal state. Rands Atlas Shrugged appeared in 1957, and climbed up the Times best-seller list. It has sold more than eight million copies.

The second half of the twentieth century, of course, also produced liberal-minded dystopias, chiefly concerned with issuing warnings about pollution and climate change, nuclear weapons and corporate monopolies, technological totalitarianism and the fragility of rights secured from the state. There were, for instance, feminist dystopias. The utopianism of the Moral Majority, founded in 1979, lies behind The Handmaids Tale (a book that is, among other things, an updating of Harriet Jacobss 1861 Incidents in the Life of a Slave Girl). But rights-based dystopianism also led to the creation of a subgenre of dystopian fiction: bleak futures for bobby-soxers. Dystopianism turns out to have a natural affinity with American adolescence. And this, I think, is where the life of the genre got squeezed out, like a beetle burned up on an asphalt driveway by a boy wielding a magnifying glass on a sunny day. It sizzles, and then it smokes, and then it just lies there, dead as a bug.

Dystopias featuring teen-age characters have been a staple of high-school life since The Lord of the Flies came out, in 1954. But the genre only really took off in the aftermath of Vietnam and Watergate, when distrust of adult institutions and adult authority flourished, and the publishing industry began producing fiction packaged for young adults, ages twelve to eighteen. Some of these books are pretty good. M. T. Andersons 2002 Y.A. novel, Feed, is a smart and fierce answer to the Dont Be Evil utopianism of Google, founded in 1996. All of them are characterized by a withering contempt for adults and by an unshakable suspicion of authority. The Hunger Games trilogy, whose first installment appeared in 2008, has to do with economic inequality, but, like all Y.A. dystopian fiction, its also addressed to readers who feel betrayed by a world that looked so much better to them when they were just a bit younger. I grew up a little, and I gradually began to figure out that pretty much everyone had been lying to me about pretty much everything, the high-school-age narrator writes at the beginning of Ernest Clines best-selling 2011 Y.A. novel, Ready Player One.

Lately, even dystopian fiction marketed to adults has an adolescent sensibility, pouty and hostile. Cory Doctorows new novel, Walkaway (Tor), begins late at night at a party in a derelict factory with a main character named Hubert: At twenty-seven, he had seven years on the next oldest partier. The story goes on in this way, with Doctorow inviting grownup readers to hang out with adolescents, looking for immortality, while supplying neologisms like spum instead of spam to remind us that were in a world thats close to our own, but weird. My father spies on me, the novels young heroine complains. Walkaway comes with an endorsement from Edward Snowden. Doctorows earlier novel, a Y.A. book called Little Brother, told the story of four teen-agers and their fight for Internet privacy rights. With Walkaway, Doctorow pounds the same nails with the same bludgeon. His walkaways are trying to turn a dystopia into a utopia by writing better computer code than their enemies. A pod of mercs and an infotech goon pwnd everything using some zeroday theyd bought from scumbag default infowar researchers is the sort of thing they say. They took over the drone fleet, and while we dewormed it, seized the mechas.

Every dystopia is a history of the future. What are the consequences of a literature, even a pulp literature, of political desperation? Its a sad commentary on our age that we find dystopias a lot easier to believe in than utopias, Atwood wrote in the nineteen-eighties. Utopias we can only imagine; dystopias weve already had. But what was really happening then was that the genre and its readers were sorting themselves out by political preference, following the same pathto the same ideological bunkersas families, friends, neighborhoods, and the news. In the first year of Obamas Presidency, Americans bought half a million copies of Atlas Shrugged. In the first month of the Administration of Donald (American carnage) Trump, during which Kellyanne Conway talked about alternative facts, 1984 jumped to the top of the Amazon best-seller list. (Steve Bannon is a particular fan of a 1973 French novel called The Camp of the Saints, in which Europe is overrun by dark-skinned immigrants.) The duel of dystopias is nothing so much as yet another place poisoned by polarized politics, a proxy war of imaginary worlds.

Dystopia used to be a fiction of resistance; its become a fiction of submission, the fiction of an untrusting, lonely, and sullen twenty-first century, the fiction of fake news and infowars, the fiction of helplessness and hopelessness. It cannot imagine a better future, and it doesnt ask anyone to bother to make one. It nurses grievances and indulges resentments; it doesnt call for courage; it finds that cowardice suffices. Its only admonition is: Despair more. It appeals to both the left and the right, because, in the end, it requires so little by way of literary, political, or moral imagination, asking only that you enjoy the company of people whose fear of the future aligns comfortably with your own. Left or right, the radical pessimism of an unremitting dystopianism has itself contributed to the unravelling of the liberal state and the weakening of a commitment to political pluralism. This isnt a story about war, El Akkad writes in American War. Its about ruin. A story about ruin can be beautiful. Wreckage is romantic. But a politics of ruin is doomed.

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A Golden Age for Dystopian Fiction - The New Yorker

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