Daily Archives: May 26, 2017

An appeals court deals another blow to Donald Trump’s travel ban – The Economist (blog)

Posted: May 26, 2017 at 4:35 am

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An appeals court deals another blow to Donald Trump's travel ban - The Economist (blog)

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Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Sinks As White Voters, Republicans Withdraw Support – Newsweek

Posted: at 4:35 am

President Donald Trump's approval rating fell sharply this week as some of the folks who voted for him in droves have begun to back away from the leaderwho has beenplagued by controversy during his brief but rocky tenure in the White House, according to a new poll this week.The survey from Fox Newsfound just 40 percent of voters approved of Trump's job performance, a 5 percentage point slide from where it stood in the same poll last month. Disapproval also rose 5 percentage points to 53 percent.

"Some of the drop in approval comes from Republicans," noted Fox Newsin its write-up of the survey. In their poll, Trump's support among GOP votershad hovered between 84 percent and 87 percent during his tenure in the White House, but in the new survey that fell to 81 percent. Fifty-threepercent of white voters without a college degree approved of the job Trump has done, a decrease of 9percentage points in just one month.

White voters overall were split on Trump, with 48 percent approving of his job performance and 48 percent disapproving, according to the Fox News poll. In the election, 66 percent of whites without college degreeand 57 percent of whites overallvoted for Trump, according to CNN's exit polls.

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A few potential issues white working class voters might have with the Trump presidency: 44 percent don't support the Republican health care bill backed by the former reality TV star and 50 percent thought he wouldn't actually get a wall built along the southern border of the U.S., one of his key promises during the campaign.

According to the Fox News poll, voters overall were skeptical of Trump's firing of former FBI Director James Comey. By a margin of 60 percent to 29 percent, voters believed the president got rid of Comey for self-serving reasonsnamely the FBI's investigation into his administration's potential ties with Russiaversus firing him for harming the bureau.

The Fox News poll interviewed 1,011 registered voters through telephone calls from May 21 through May 23. It had a margin of error of 3 percentage points for the full sample.

The latest poll isn't the first to find white working class voters and Republicans have begun to jump off the Trump train just four months into its plannedfour-year trip. A Reuters/Ipsos poll last week found disapproval of Trump among Republicans jumped 7 percentage points to 23 percent. A Quinnipiac University survey this month found support among whites without a college degree had dropped 10 percentage points in just one month to 47 percent.

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Donald Trump's Approval Rating Sinks As White Voters, Republicans Withdraw Support - Newsweek

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Cancer treatment firm 21st Century Oncology files for bankruptcy – Reuters

Posted: at 4:35 am

By Tom Hals | WILMINGTON, Del.

WILMINGTON, Del. May 25 21st Century Oncology Holdings Inc, which bills itself as the world's largest operator of cancer treatment centers, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on Thursday, citing changes in insurance reimbursement rates and uncertainty caused by political changes.

The Fort Myers, Florida-based company said the bankruptcy would not impact its 179 treatment centers with locations across 17 U.S. states and Latin America.

Paul Rundell, the interim chief executive officer, said in a statement the company entered bankruptcy with an agreement with lenders and bondholders that would reduce its debt by $500 million.

The company's lenders agreed to provide $75 million for working capital during its bankruptcy and a group of creditors agreed to invest $75 million into the reorganized business.

The new investment is being led by funds affiliated with Beach Point Capital Management, Governors Lane, JP Morgan Investment Management Inc, Oaktree Capital Management, Roystone Capital Management and HPS Investment Partners, according to a court filing.

Rundell blamed the bankruptcy on declining levels of revenue per treatment, the cost of complying with regulations regarding electronic records and the cost of litigation and legal settlements.

The company has paid around $55 million to settle allegations it billed government programs for services that were not medically necessary, according to Rundell's court filing. The company did not admit to wrongdoing as part of the settlements, Rundell said.

21st Century Oncology is also being investigated over a data breach involving 2.2 million patients.

"A changing political landscape has injected uncertainty into the health insurance market," Rundell said in a court filing.

U.S. President Donald Trump and his Republican allies have pledged to roll back the 2010 Affordable Care Act, known as Obamacare, which brought sweeping changes to the U.S. healthcare market. About 20 million Americans gained insurance under Obamacare.

21st Century Oncology was founded in 1983 by a group of physicians and was publicly traded as Radiation Therapy Services until it was acquired in 2008 by Vestar Capital Partners for around $1 billion.

It pulled plans to return to the stock market in 2014 and instead raised $325 million with an investment from the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board. (Reporting by Tom Hals in Wilmington, Delaware; editing by G Crosse)

May 26 The following are the top stories on the New York Times business pages. Reuters has not verified these stories and does not vouch for their accuracy.

May 26 The following are the top stories in the Wall Street Journal. Reuters has not verified these stories and does not vouch for their accuracy.

(Adds details on mutual funds and ETFs, analyst quote, table, byline) By Trevor Hunnicutt NEW YORK, May 25 U.S. fund investors offered a skeptical perspective on sky-high equity prices, yanking cash from U.S.-based stock funds for the fourth straight week, Lipper data showed on Thursday. The funds recorded $10.1 billion in withdrawals during the week that ended May 24, the second-largest outflows of the year, offering little support to an equity market that has nonethele

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Cancer treatment firm 21st Century Oncology files for bankruptcy - Reuters

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Avaya Bankruptcy: Hearing on Reorganization Plan Delayed – No Jitter

Posted: at 4:35 am

Avaya Bankruptcy: Hearing on Reorganization Plan Delayed While court due to address networking sale today, review of proposed reorganization plan postponed until late June.

While court due to address networking sale today, review of proposed reorganization plan postponed until late June.

Avaya is due in bankruptcy court today, May 25, as scheduled -- but the slated actions are not exactly what we expected a month ago.

The court today is set to review the Extreme Networks bid for Avaya networking business, and potentially approve the sale. With Avaya having received only this one bid, one would assume the court will award the data networking business to Extreme. One sticking point, however, could be an objection from Oracle, which opposes the sale due to the transfer of licenses. (A second company, Mentor Graphics, had also opposed the sale for the same reason, but that objection had been removed late last week.)

The other big event scheduled for May 25 had been a hearing for the formal presentation of management's reorganization plan to the court. This disclosure statement hearing was to start a clock to get votes for approving the plan by June 27, as I'd earlier written in the post, "Avaya Takes a Step, Not a Leap." The company has asked to move the disclosure statement hearing back to June 29 with the following statement:

"Avaya and our major stakeholders have jointly determined that a one-month adjournment of the disclosure statement hearing is in the best interest of all stakeholders as we continue working toward a consensual conclusion of the restructuring process. At the request of our major creditor groups, we have adjourned the hearing in order to continue productive discussions around the terms of Avaya's ultimate restructuring. We remain committed to completing the restructuring process as quickly as possible. We continue to anticipate emerging from chapter 11 as early as the summer of 2017."

The intent of the disclosure statement hearing is to have the bankruptcy court review Avaya's disclosures and authorize the company to start soliciting votes for the plan of reorganization. Assuming a month for finalization after a June 29 disclosure hearing, the earliest a vote on the plan could take place would be late July. Even if the Avaya reorganization plan is approved at that time, the company would not likely be able to exit the bankruptcy process until late September or October. Between plan approval and exit from bankruptcy come numerous process steps, potentially including securing new bond commitments.

The delay signals that Avaya bondholders, which as I noted in the above-mentioned article will be looking to maximize what they recover, are reticent to approve the management plan as it stands. According to documents filed with the SEC this week, as of May 16 Avaya has entered into separate confidentiality agreements with certain members of an ad hoc group consisting of some first and second lien creditors ("Ad Hoc Crossholder Group"). These may be the bondholders that have both first and second position bonds and may be proposing a different allocation of the cash and equity of the company than that in the Avaya management proposal. The negotiation between the creditors appears to be an issue; there seems to be two proposals on the table, and the goal is to negotiate a deal.

This allocation, along with the evaluation of the current and future value of the company and the general management oversight structure of the company post-reorganization, are challenges that have extended the time to reach an restructuring agreement with the creditors. As I wrote earlier and will repeat here, the outcome of the Avaya bankruptcy process is still a waiting game, now extended into at least August for a clear answer.

It remains to be seen if the creditors will accept the plan or force a more drastic set of asset sale actions. If the Avaya management team and the creditors cannot agree on a reorganization plan soon, the prospects of an intact exit will decrease significantly.

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Avaya Bankruptcy: Hearing on Reorganization Plan Delayed - No Jitter

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From ‘Avalon’ to Madoff: What ‘The Wizard of Lies’ reveals about contemporary American Jewish identity – Mondoweiss

Posted: at 4:34 am

Michelle Pfeiffer as Ruth Madoff and Robert De Niro as Bernie Madoff in The Wizard of Lies. (Photo: Craig Blankenhorn/HBO)

Back in 1990 director Barry Levinson gave us Avalon, his epic masterpiece on the American Jewish community. In that classic film Levinson skillfully examined the Eastern European Jewish immigrants and their often tumultuous encounter with the complexities of American culture and the assimilation process. It presented the fraught confrontation of Old World values with the brash and exhilarating world of 1950s America and its fast-paced lifestyle and Suburban sprawl.

We were able to see the generational clash and the shock of the new, but in a way that warmly remembered the struggles and disappointments of the immigrants and showed how their children moved on from the past.

It is this debilitating process which becomes the underlying subject of Levinsons chilling examination of the Bernie Madoff story.

In The Wizard of Lieswe see the pitfalls of Making It in America and how the Jewish community has reconfigured itself at the end of a very tumultuous century. The film is currently being screened on the HBO network

Expertly played by Robert De Niro in a dazzling performance that hearkens back to the iconic roles of his 1970s and 80s peak, Madoff is a reckless nihilist whose debased Long Island/Palm Beach 1%-er values mirror the excesses that we continue to see in the disaster that is Donald Trump.

Madoff is a truly nasty piece of work who relentlessly browbeats his family and associates as he remains completely oblivious to what it is that he is actually doing to his clients.

The movie notes the many ways in which Madoff ascended to the very apex of the financial services industry and became the idol of not only his investors, but of the institutional system itself.

He was held in awe by SEC and NASDAQ officials as a pioneering leader who helped to craft the laws regulating the industry. This idol-worship blinded regulators to the malfeasance that he perpetrated under their collective watch.

His insider knowledge of the system helped him commit his shocking fraud which parasitically shifted massive amounts of money from one place to the other as he eventually ran out of cash to continue to generate unrealistic returns for his clients.

While massively enriching himself and his unsuspecting family, Madoff was bilking his clients out of their life savings, eventually leaving many of them penniless.

Central to the story is the 2008 Wall Street collapse which was the beginning of the end of his demonic Ponzi scheme.

We will recall the process which began with the vile Ronald Reagan and ended with George W. Bush that sought to empower a feckless financial services industry at the expense of the internal coherence and stability of our economic system.

Prior to this collapse the movie shows us the Madoff world in full debauchery: expensive houses, vacations, lavish social gatherings, the very best shopping sprees, and the fast lane of American elite society.

The Wizard of Lies, brilliantly written by Sam Levinson, Sam Baum, and John Burnham Schwartz, is based on New York Times reporter Diana Henriques book (she also plays herself in the movie), and is structured using her prison-house interviews with Madoff as the framework of a series of intense flashbacks which present the sorry tale in revealing fragments; a similar structure to the one used in Avalon.

The film poster for Avalon.

Levinsons presentation focuses on the most basic human elements of the story which reminds us of the Avalon immigrants and their own complex dealings with the American economic system and the pluralistic social universe of their new homeland.

After many decades of engagement with America, Jews like Madoff felt entitled to game the system in a way that displayed a shocking lack of basic moral values.

Exploitation became the key to Madoffs scheme to enrich himself by bilking the unsuspecting investors.

But as De Niro/Madoff says in the movie, those investors including prominent Jewish figures like Elie Wiesel and many religious charities chose not to examine the suspiciously secretive way in which Madoff worked, and never questioned why it was that their returns were consistent as the market continued to fluctuate so wildly.

The Wizard of Lies is an implicit indictment not only of the American economic system, which has since the 1980s become an out-of-control train careening from one crisis to another, but also a critical examination of the debased mores of the 1% with a strong Jewish component in the social process.

The Krichinsky family in Avalon famously sits down to a traditional Thanksgiving dinner with the full Turkey and trimmings, while the Madoffs entertain lavishly on the ritzy Long Island shore with Steak, Lobster, and Champagne.

The physical contrast between the humble Baltimore row houses in Avalon with the often obscene wealth of Madoffworld could not be more telling as we process the dramatic changes in the American Jewish community over the course of time.

Avalon sought to question the base materialism of the new generation by juxtaposing it to the thrift and humility of the immigrants.

The Wizard of Lies shows us the process completed in a way that removes the moral values of the Old Country and replaces them with degenerate greed and smug elitism; a process that manifests a revolutionary shift in values.

The Madoffs live high on the proverbial hog and have forgotten the most basic elements of life and of the essential dignity of the human being.

The film poster for Wizard of Lies

Bernie Madoff is a man who only sees his own well-being and remains oblivious to the pain he is causing others. He surrounds himself with yes-men and sycophants who cater to his every wish and desire. In one of the movies critical scenes he is shown tyrannically berating a group of workers setting up a meal at one of his lavish social affairs, showing no respect for their essential human dignity.

Madoff saw human beings as inert instruments to exclusively serve him and his interests. He showed no respect or consideration to his own family and to those who trusted him as their financial counselor.

The cruelty that he exhibited to his wife and children is often harrowing and truly unspeakable; their suffering is the manifestation of an inhumanity that represents evil in its most primal manifestation.

We have seen a similar narcissism and megalomania in Donald Trump whose own financial malfeasance also speaks to the explosion of ego and a blatant disregard of socio-political norms.

The connection between Madoff, a very uncaring Jew who thought nothing of using his elevated financial status to exploit his own community, and the larger institutional Jewish world is an important element in the story. The Madoff scandal prompted much soul-searching and hand-wringing in the Jewish world, as we see in a 2009 article by Jonathan Tobin from Commentary magazine. A 2008 New York Times piece by Robin Pogrebin quotes numerous rabbis and Jewish leaders attacking Madoff as a shanda, which is a Yiddish word that means shame or disgrace.

But the current Jewish embrace of Trump and his degenerate values shows that perceived financial self-interest continues to overshadow morality and ethics. In spite of the rise of Alt-Right Trumpworld Anti-Semitism and the numerous ethical violations coming from the White House, the institutional Jewish community continues to strongly back the president.

The Madoff personality-type remains central to contemporary Jewish identity. We have seen the ascendance of an Ashkenazi Jewish culture which has rejected the values of Religious Humanism and adopted a cynical, alienated stance that is deeply rooted in selfishness, materialism, and cruelty.

The Jewish community today is all about getting the upper hand and stomping out the little guy. Our leadership presents a smug superiority which revels in its economic success and assumes that wealth engenders honorific status and socio-political control.

The Wizard of Lies presents indelible scenes of the elites in their native habitat, reveling in their luxurious lifestyle which in turn has served to eviscerate their humanity.

In this toxic context there is little if any room for the most elementary religious concerns, as it is money and the things it can buy that have become the central defining factor in American Jewish life.

We have seen how this nefarious process works in David Brooks New York Times column The Orthodox Surge. Five years after the Wall Street collapse and in the looming shadow of Madoff, Brooks vigorously applauds Orthodox Jewish materialistic values and the lavish lifestyles that he saw in the Brooklyn neighborhood of Midwood. Brooks does not once refer to Madoff and his shenanigans, but he does proudly mention his tour guide Rabbi Meir Soloveichik, an individual who is at the forefront of Republican-Conservative Jewish politics and who is a committed enemy of the Sephardic tradition. We should recall that Madoff was beloved in the Modern Orthodox community where he was seen as a veritable Messiah. As Elie Wiesel put it: We thought he was God, we trusted everything in his hands.

It is of course said that those who forget history are doomed to repeat it, and we have seen how Jews continue to engage in dubious financial behavior.

The 2016 Platinum Partners scandal extends the Madoff legacy to the present and speaks to a continuing culture of excess and corruption inside the Jewish community, which is so expertly detailed by Levinson in The Wizard of Lies with its many scenes of revelry and carnival-esque celebrations.

As we saw in Avalon, there was a dark side to the rampant assimilation and its attendant materialism: The abandonment of traditional values as understood within the framework of Religious Humanism produced an internal corruption that has led to the rot of The Wizard of Lies and a system that lionizes degenerates like Bernie Madoff and Donald Trump.

And so it is that we continue to see the collateral human damage that has been generated by a socio-economic system that famously produces people like Bernie Madoff.

In the masterful Wizard of Lies, a deeply striking work of historical reconstruction, we are able to process how all this works: the cheating, the arrogance, the cruel barbarity, and the materialistic excess all function as markers of a debasement of humanity that has untethered contemporary Jewish culture from its most important ethical values. It is a transformational motion picture which forces us to confront the demons among us.

It is thus critical that we again look carefully at the life of Bernie Madoff and rethink what is happening in our Jewish community before it is too late.

Our lives truly hang in the balance.

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From 'Avalon' to Madoff: What 'The Wizard of Lies' reveals about contemporary American Jewish identity - Mondoweiss

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Venezuela, the day after – Open Democracy

Posted: at 4:34 am

Opposition activists holding candles protest against the deaths of 43 people in clashes with the police during weeks of demonstrations against the government of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Caracas,May 17. VWPics/SIPA USA/PA Images. All rights reserved.

Francesc Badia: The accelerating deterioration of the situation in Venezuela is a matter of global concern. We are witnessing extreme political polarization, and it is important to know what hope is left of finding a common ground, for preparing a solution to this situation - whether it be an orderly transition, or an agreed electoral calendar -: a solution that can bring some hope in these difficult moments. Meanwhile, the economy has gone down...

Orlando Ochoa: Yes, indeed. Whatever form a political way out takes (an election timetable, President Maduros resignation, an agreed transition), we must leave all doors open. We have been experiencing a period of very rapid economic deterioration over the last four years, but particularly in the last three. Gross Domestic Product, total and per capita, has fallen from 4% and 7% in 2014 and 2015, according to the official figures which are unreliable, because of political pressures on the board of the Central Bank to 18% and 21% last year (2016), according to unofficial figures provided by the same Central Bank. The accumulated GDP fall over the last three years is at least 30%. An economic collapse such as this happens only in countries at war. In the case of Venezuela, two things not war - are currently happening. One, runaway inflation, which is in the hundreds (again, it is hard to check the figures): estimates range from 500% to 800% last year, with salary adjustments by presidential decree lagging behind and covering less than half at the very best. There is thus an impoverishment of the population, basically due to the fall in purchasing power. On the supply side, moreover, Venezuelan industry and agriculture are not getting supplies - imported or from basic state-owned companies. They do not get supplies because there is no foreign currency to pay for them. And there is no foreign currency because there are exchange controls, because the price and the volume of oil exports have fallen, foreign currency reserves are exhausted, and exports other than oil have been disappearing because of the economic distortions and expropriations of the Hugo Chvez governments.

What we have had in the last three years is a very fast impoverishment process.

In this context of deterioration, where agricultural and industrial production are falling due to lack of supplies, there is the added problem of the distortion of the exchange rates, which are controlled by some ministers and are affected by extensive corruption. This has led to large public imports, basically of foodstuffs, medical drugs and some other items, leaving out all other elements of modern life, which the private sector has been able to import sometimes, at risk of being persecuted for price fixing at black market exchange rates, and therefore repressed. Hence, the intermittent supplies of basic goods and black market prices rising to levels even higher than the average inflation. In short, what we have had in the last three years is a very fast impoverishment process.

FB: How does this fast impoverishment affect the search for a political way out? What impact does time pressure have?

OO: The time to look for a political solution could indeed be calmer, notwithstanding the pressures of the politicians. But the speed of the socioeconomic deterioration, the fact that it is linked to macroeconomic problems, to the rate of inflation, to the way in which the fiscal deficit is financed (through the Central Bank), to the existence of a dysfunctional exchange rate, high corruption, and a declining private sector, produces a situation where time is not on our side, and therefore the search for a solution to this problem has to do with timely political change - a political solution. For there are strong ideological and populist elements embedded in the causes of all these socio-economic problems.

The radical left ideological element, and the classic - left or right-wing - populist element, which consist in subsidizing the voters to include them in a state patronage network, and in having an argument to defend national sovereignty before the traitors of the motherland, with its strong polarizing effect, always tend to present the situation as a battle in the class struggle, in the traditional 20th century Marxist-Leninist sense. So, the economic problem is first and foremost contingent on a political solution and the abandonment of an anti-market and de facto undemocratic ideology.

There are strong ideological and populist elements embedded in the causes of all these socio-economic problems.

FB: Let me then ask you about the attitude of the opposition. We know that the government is on the defensive, isolated, trying to weather the storm, but the opposition has a very determined agenda and is trying to unlock the situation. The opposition is made up of several parties the so-called G-4, or G-4 + 5, or G-9 -, which have adopted a strategy of street protests that, on the one hand, weakens the government, but on the other hand introduces an element of additional tension which is not only quite unbearable, but also quite dangerous stability-wise, and makes things even more complicated. What do you think the opposition should do?

OO: The opposition is aware of the difficult situation generated by the socioeconomic deterioration, and one of the main points it is demanding in order to proceed with the agenda the country needs is for the government to acknowledge this emergency situation. This could lead to the establishment of a humanitarian channel, to opening the door to humanitarian aid, which has already been offered for special medical drugs and nutritional support. It is a painful situation. On the other hand, the opposition - which consists of what you have rightly called the G-4 (four major parties) and the G-9, including five other small parties - has an essential coordinating task to do, and this means that sometimes some differences arise, and so they should - it is quite normal. The opposition has tried to negotiate with the government when the national and international perception was that they should be talking to each other and, today, it tries to reach an agreement on an electoral timetable - in short, it is saying: we are going to comply with the gubernatorial elections, then the mayoral elections, and finally, if possible, early presidential elections.

FB: Why?

OO: Because this is an unheard-of crisis situation, at least since the beginning of the 20th century. In more than a century of data on Venezuela, you cannot find anything like it. This is a crisis that we can define as endogenous, produced from within, for self-inflicted political and economic reasons - no external conflict and no civil war. Faced with this situation, the oppositions task is a complex one: it must focus on finding a political solution in order to be able to focus, then, on how to deal with the critical socio-economic situation. On the other hand, the international community has discussed how to approach the situation in Venezuela from the OAS and the UN, which has already adopted a more active position in several fields, to Mercosur and the European Union.

This is a crisis that we can define as endogenous, produced from within, for self-inflicted political and economic reasons.

FB: We are clearly facing a multidimensional conflict, the way out of which will have to be worked out on different fronts, right?

OO: Yes. I think we can talk about three dimensions to the conflict: one, in the streets (the oppositions mobilization); another, in the international community; and the third in the economic-financial sphere (where the critical situation is, unfortunately, self-inflicted). The government, by ignoring the National Assembly, has been left without a budget and a public credit law, and without them there is a real risk that financial operations in the future will be unknown. In this, the constitution is categorical: it states, as in practically all parliamentary systems, that the budget laws must be approved by parliament. So, in the financial field, the government has an added problem: debt servicing on government bonds and the state-owned oil company (PDVSA), in addition to the servicing on other important debt, including debt contracted with China, which is heavy, particularly after 2018. It lacks liquidity to guarantee basic imports, equipment supplies for the oil industry, gasoline (Venezuelan refineries are not currently working well), and thinner for extra-heavy oil, which is very expensive. So, this is a government harassed on several fronts.

FB: You have already mentioned it, but I would like to dwell on the role of the international community in the current conflict. Do you think the multilateral actors have a role to play, considering the positions adopted by different countries?

OO: The discussions on Venezuela, the international resolutions of the different agencies, the exhortation messages of the different governments, the messages of the heads of state in direct talks with the Venezuelan head of state, all this has created a climate in which Nicols Maduro's government feels pressured. They are being scrutinized on questions which, when Chavismo came to power, were very dear to them: interest in social issues; respect for human rights; democratic legitimacy; and international recognition of Venezuelas very active role and influence, in Hugo Chvezs first years, on politics and sectors on the left in several countries. The effect of international pressure has been twofold. On the one hand, it has encouraged the protests in the streets: international recognition and following-up of these protests, along with their tragic dimension, has spread through all the means technologically available, which have made it possible to witness, practically live, young men falling during confrontations with the police, to see the symbols of both sides in the conflict, and let them be known globally. But international pressure has also hit public finance. When a government with a public credit law has problems with debt maturities, it can do a so-called rollover - it can re-finance the debt. But Nicols Maduro's government cannot, for it lacks that law. Financial institutions, seeing that agencies such as the OAS have defined the situation in Venezuela as a breach of the democratic order, have been falling back on financial agreements. They have also felt that this not only entails a reputation problem for the financial institutions involved, but poses also a serious risk of non-payment all of which has meant a good deal of anxiety on the part of the government, an anxiety which it does not show in public, but which economists are well aware of. Faced with these three dimensions - confrontation in the streets, international pressure, and financial realities -, what we have is a besieged government.

We are talking here about a deficit of gigantic proportions. And yet, what we are thinking of is redesigning institutions, in the midst of a crisis and with a totally polarized country.

FB: But this pressure does not seem to be giving results in terms of progress or openings.

OO: What happens is that the governments ideology leads it to entrench itself. And now it is proposing to convene a National Constituent Assembly, which not only seems a mechanism to elude the electoral timetable, but is something like a "nuclear bomb" for the existing institutions, to the extent that it opens the way, through a procedure that has been questioned by both the opposition and several countries, to redesign all public powers, suspend the existing powers and put together something new - all of which entails economic costs. And this at a time when the Venezuelan public sector deficit, measured as a percentage of the size of the economy, has been in the last five years between 15 and 21/22 percent of the GDP. We are talking here about a deficit of gigantic proportions. And yet, what we are thinking of is redesigning institutions, in the midst of a crisis and with a totally polarized country.

FB: I would like to ask you a question about the day after.Let us imagine that the political crisis has been left behind and that the conditions for macroeconomic stabilization and the carrying out of the necessary social measures are finally there. What is the roadmap for a stabilization plan to move forward?

OO: We can scarcely fathom the political solution to this crisis. But whatever it is - elections, resignation of the president, transitional government, whatever... -, immediately after finding a way out, the very next day, the problem will be how to stop the economic downfall, the social mess and the suffering related to it. How to recover the huge fall in oil production, how to reset Venezuela's financial obligations and be able to answer the question of how we are going to pay back our creditors. And then, also, how we are going to set up and carry out a stimulus and - literally - reconstruction plan of the private sector of the economy (industry, agriculture, services, infrastructures) and the big public enterprises (steel, aluminium, electricity, petrochemicals and the companies that were nationalized by the governments of Hugo Chvez. Some are currently in a state of near paralysis or, in some cases, are operating at between 5 or 10% of their productive capacity and a maximum of 30 to 40%. The deterioration of social conditions requires, in addition, a social emergency plan. Of course, we are now thinking and weighing ideas to see what can be done. But it should not be a plan designed exclusively by the opposition: it should be a national plan, it should be inclusive - even the political way out could be, and should be inclusive. A country still in conflict would find it so much harder to have a credible economic emergency plan.

A country still in conflict would find it so much harder to have a credible economic emergency plan.

FB: So, what should be done?

OO: Start with a stabilization plan. Lower inflation, stabilize the exchange market, order it with a single rate - which requires ordering public finances -, and devise a plan to gradually close the public sector deficit. But we also need a plan for Venezuela's core activity, oil production, since the private sector has virtually disappeared from exports. Twenty years ago, non oil-related companies, public and private, accounted for almost 25% of the country's exports; now it is down to only about 4%.

A macroeconomic plan and an oil plan, and a financial plan to cover the needs of the macroeconomic plan and the oil plan - that is, our export activity to generate foreign exchange. To this must be added a social plan, which has to be financed and which should therefore be part of the plan to reduce the fiscal deficit. Finally, we need a sectoral incentives plan for the recovery of the private sector.

In order to work, however, these plans must be simultaneous. Venezuela would require funding to carry them out and, for that, the first thing that comes to mind are, of course, multilateral mechanisms. There are institutions which exist to help stabilize, others to finance infrastructures, and others to help with projects for the private sector.

FB: But Venezuela possesses a strategic resource that will necessarily be part of the financing solution: hydrocarbons. How should it be used?

OO: Venezuela has an obvious special muscle: oil. Practically half of the oil production is in the hands of joint ventures between Petrleos de Venezuela and foreign partners; the other half is entirely in the hands of Petrleos de Venezuela: it is our own production. Addressing oil production would require an effort to reorganize this relation and to get the necessary financing to get on with production. But for producing oil and stimulating investment on the part of our partners who are already here, and the new ones who could be coming in, you need the foreign exchange market to work, because the costs of producing oil at the official (overvalued) exchange rate are enormous. But for the foreign exchange market to work, we must have a fiscal, monetary and financial plan. There is clearly an interaction in all of this, which means that Venezuela's recovery plan is going to be the most complex one in our history: it has to be simultaneous, and it must also have all the political support possible, for it is actually the country's central short term objective. Everything is intertwined: economic recovery, social plan, oil plan, financial plan, and also sectoral policies, which begin to make sense once stabilization gets going.

It will be a complex challenge of coordination and execution, but it can, and should, be done.

FB: So, you are optimistic?

OO: I am optimistic to the extent that I believe we can do it. There are interdisciplinary teams working on it. But this is a task that will really begin the day after and, of course, getting the right political climate would be most convenient. Not a divided, in-fighting country, not what we are currently witnessing. It will be a complex challenge of coordination and execution, but it can, and should, be done.

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As numbers grow, Catholics in China still face oppression – Asia Times

Posted: at 4:34 am

Some 17,000 mainland Chinese Catholics were baptized on Easter Sunday alone. These striking numbers emerged during a symposium on the conditions of Chinese believersheld in Rome on Wednesday under the auspices of the Holy Sees Pontifical Institute for Foreign Missions and AsiaNews, a Catholic news agency based in Italy. So despite all the restrictions and limitations imposed by the Chinese government, the Catholic Church is showing strong resilience coupled with the capacity to spread across the country.

In his greeting message, Cardinal Pietro Parolin, Vatican secretary of state, said the Holy See is working for the Roman Church in China. A dialogue between Beijing and the Vatican is indeed under way, but negotiations have so far been slow to make headway.

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Guests at the event pointed out that the major problem for Chinese Catholics remained the suppression of religious freedom. As evidence of this situation, AsiaNews reported that Monsignor Peter Shao Zhumin, bishop of Wenzhou in Zhejiang province, had been heldunder arrest by Chinese authorities since May 22, the latest episode in a long history of persecution against Catholic prelates.

Shao is an underground bishop, which meanshe is loyal to the Pope and the Roman Catholic Church but is not recognized by the government-sponsored Chinese Patriotic Catholic Association (CPCA) and Chinese Catholic Bishops Conference (CCBC).

The appointments of bishops, which both the CPCA and the Holy See lay claim to, is the real sticking point in the current Sino-Vatican engagement. Communist China and the CatholicChurch cut diplomatic ties in 1951. Since then, the Vatican has been lamenting the stifling control of the Chinese government over the local Catholic Church.

In a 2007 letter to Chinese Catholics, then-Pope Benedict XVI clearly demanded autonomy in the spiritual sphere for the Church in China as opposed to the power exerted by Beijing through the CPCA and the CCBC.

Benedicts words went unheeded, however. The symposiums organizers read testimonies by official and underground priests from different provinces of China who were prevented from participating bya ban levied by the authorities in Beijing. They provided a grim picture of the religious situation in the country, with both the official and unofficial churches being forced to submit to the political leadership and compete with one another to secure economic support from the state.

Through the meeting, Richard Madsen, an American sociologist of religion from the University of San Diego, said China was experiencing a religious renaissance. In his opinion, however, this trend is slowed by the Chinese leaderships efforts to create a unified culture across the country (including in Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan), which, in contrast, has always been characterized by different social ecologies.

For Monsignor Savio Hon Tai Fai, secretary of the Holy Sees Congregation for the Evangelization of Peoples, Chinas religious renaissance is also endangered by what he described as gray pragmatism, the notion of growth at all costs that permeates a large part of Chinese society and, by extension, portions of the Chinese Church. Savio Hon stressedthat this gray pragmatism in China had grown along with economic reforms and megaprojects like Belt and Road, Beijings initiative to improve transport infrastructure across Eurasia and beyond.

In the face of state-managed persecution, social unification and the promotion of consumerist materialism in China, it is improbable that a diplomatic compromise between the Vatican and Beijing over episcopal ordinations will be sufficient to generate real improvements for Chinese Catholics, unless it is matched by the recognition of freedom of speech, movement, association and assembly.

According to Father Bernardo Cervellera, editor of AsiaNews, diplomatic relations and arrangements are not so important when the oppression of Catholic believers by the Chinese government continues unabated. In his view, Beijing will make no overture ahead of the 19th Chinese Communist Party Congress this autumn, all the more so when divisions within the Communist ruling nomenklatura on how to cope with the Catholic Church start to surface.

But rifts are also visible in the Vatican ranks between those who want to move forward with incremental gains in the relationship with China and thoseready to question excessive concessions to the Chinese government a contrast that further contributes to the stall in the negotiating process.

Emanuele Scimia is a journalist and foreign policy analyst. He is a contributing writer to the South China Morning Post and the Jamestown Foundations Eurasia Daily Monitor. In the past, his articles have also appeared in The National Interest, Deutsche Welle, World Politics Review, The Jerusalem Post and the EUobserver, among others. He has written for Asia Times since 2011.

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As numbers grow, Catholics in China still face oppression - Asia Times

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Book Review: "The Last Day of Oppression, and the First Day of the Same: The Politics and Economics of the New … – Real Change News

Posted: at 4:34 am

In the early 2000s, South America was a beacon of hope for developing nations. In country after country Venezuela, Argentina, Chile, Ecuador, Paraguay, Brazil, Uruguay, Bolivia and more leftist or at least left-of-center governments came into power, supported by social movements of poor and indigenous groups.

Fifteen years later, Venezuelas Bolivarian Revolution is in deep trouble. Brazils and Paraguays leftist presidents were removed through constitutional coups. A right-winger president was elected in Argentina. Leftist governments in Ecuador and Bolivia are still in power, but are having significant conflicts with the social movements that elected them.

Was the swing to the right inevitable? Not at all, says Jeffery Webber, in spite of the title of his book, taken from an Ecuadorian saying that is roughly the equivalent of The Whos famous lyric, Meet the new boss, same as the old boss. Webbers thesis is that the leftist governments in South America alienated their base and opened the door to the right by failing to challenge capitalism at its root.

Although specifics differ from country to country, similar patterns emerged: Governments in the 1980s and 1990s inflicted economic hardship with neoliberal free-market policies and social movements organized to bring those governments down. In countries with dictatorships, democracy was restored. Free elections allowed left-leaning governments to come to power. Once in power, the new governments used revenues from oil, minerals and agriculture to fund social programs to start to eliminate poverty and give poor people a greater voice. This approach worked to a point mainly because commodity prices were high, fueled particularly by Chinas rapid industrialization. But part of the reason it worked was that the rich elite were still able to make substantial profits, while government programs reduced social unrest. In most countries, the rich elite eventually made their peace with the new governments; those governments, in turn, incorporated portions of the upper class into their ruling coalition.

This approach to development had its downsides. Little was done to reduce these countries dependence on the world market by developing their own industrial base, leaving them at a disadvantage in the global division of labor. The dependence on oil, mining and export-oriented agriculture for government revenue pushed ostensibly progressive governments to expand corporate farming and large-scale mining into rain forests, leading to conflict with indigenous supporters and creating new entrepreneurs with an economic stake in an extractivist economy. Then, as Chinas industrialization slowed down and the 2008 recession hit, revenues fell, reducing the amount of surplus available for social programs, which threatened the leftist parties base and brought them into conflict with the rich elite.

Webbers chapters are semi-independent essays, some having to do with analyzing a specific country, some more focused on theoretical issues of development and social revolution. His detailed analysis of the economic program of Evo Morales government in Bolivia one of the most promising of the leftist tide in South America convincingly demonstrates the divergence between the rhetoric of social change and what really happened on the ground.

Most of the other chapters are more abstruse; the book is mostly written in academic Marxist terminology, barely understandable to anybody outside that theoretical framework. Apparently Webbers intended audience is other academicians, rather than people in the social movements, or even the governments, he describes. This is a pity, because the lessons from South America seem applicable to countries across the globe, shedding light, for example, on the failure of the left in Greece to find a solution to their economic crisis. Unlike some Marxists, Webber works to incorporate the dynamics of race and gender into his analysis, though the discussion is often quite abstract.

Many radical discussions of developments in Latin America focus mainly on the culpability of the U.S. and corporations in disrupting democratic processes and preserving inequality and corporate profits. Webbers focus on the internal dynamics in these countries is helpful in understanding why this outside intervention is inevitably successful. Webber also distinguishes himself from radical commentators who suggest that the state is inherently corrupt and that social movements should organize only outside it, rather than trying to take power. He agrees with Daniel Bensad, who said that, You can pretend to ignore power, but it will not ignore you.

What does Webber think leftists in power should do? Some of that is implicit in his analysis: transform government to give social movements control; deepen democracy; avoid co-optation, corruption and bureaucratization; build an industrial base independent of international capital. The likely outcome, however, is not defined very well. Webber finds promise in Peruvian Marxist Jose Carlos Mariategui, who looked to indigenous methods of organization as forerunners of socialist transformation. But one suspects that Webber, like many of his Marxist colleagues, doesnt believe that single countries, or even regions of the world, can successfully extract themselves from exploitation without a world revolution. Even if theyre right, there needs to be a vision for what countries such as Bolivia or Brazil can do in the meantime.

View previous book reviews. Read the full May 24 issue.

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Book Review: "The Last Day of Oppression, and the First Day of the Same: The Politics and Economics of the New ... - Real Change News

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LETTER: Thanks for fighting oppression – Vashon-Maury Island Beachcomber (subscription)

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I want to thank Amanda Blaine for her thoughtful article and the entire Racial Equity Committee for their work with the Vashon Island School District (Addressing universal racial equity problem in schools requires engagement, honesty, May 10).

Blaine states: Leading with race helps us create equitable schools for all. When we focus on institutional racism, all students benefit. The classic argument regarding how to achieve a more equitable society is: Start with classism and that will solve racism its all about economics. For me, a long-time feminist, institutional patriarchy is at the core of oppression. Given all the factors impacting childrens success, the idea of leading with race intrigued me.

According to The City of Seattles Office for Civil Rights Race and Social Justice Initiative (RSJI), there is good reason to lead with race when it comes to fighting all forms of oppression. America is unique in that we, as a nation, are founded on the attempted genocide of native peoples and the enslavement of Africans. Our national narrative is a story we constructed to rationalize a legacy of government-sponsored racial oppression and segregation.

According to research cited by RSJI, race is consistently a primary indicator of a persons success and wellness in society.

Most of us would agree that ranking the different oppressions is not useful. Leading with race would seem to contradict that, but seen in the context of our history and the resulting institutional racism that exists to this day, I feel that leading with race is a useful strategy. It is not a belief that racism is worse than other forms of oppression. It is a way to bring diverse communities together, including white people, to organize and work together in the pursuit of equity.

Jessica Lisovsky

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LETTER: Thanks for fighting oppression - Vashon-Maury Island Beachcomber (subscription)

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LETTER: Thanks for fighting oppression | Vashon-Maury Island … – Vashon-Maury Island Beachcomber (subscription)

Posted: at 4:34 am

I want to thank Amanda Blaine for her thoughtful article and the entire Racial Equity Committee for their work with the Vashon Island School District (Addressing universal racial equity problem in schools requires engagement, honesty, May 10).

Blaine states: Leading with race helps us create equitable schools for all. When we focus on institutional racism, all students benefit. The classic argument regarding how to achieve a more equitable society is: Start with classism and that will solve racism its all about economics. For me, a long-time feminist, institutional patriarchy is at the core of oppression. Given all the factors impacting childrens success, the idea of leading with race intrigued me.

According to The City of Seattles Office for Civil Rights Race and Social Justice Initiative (RSJI), there is good reason to lead with race when it comes to fighting all forms of oppression. America is unique in that we, as a nation, are founded on the attempted genocide of native peoples and the enslavement of Africans. Our national narrative is a story we constructed to rationalize a legacy of government-sponsored racial oppression and segregation.

According to research cited by RSJI, race is consistently a primary indicator of a persons success and wellness in society.

Most of us would agree that ranking the different oppressions is not useful. Leading with race would seem to contradict that, but seen in the context of our history and the resulting institutional racism that exists to this day, I feel that leading with race is a useful strategy. It is not a belief that racism is worse than other forms of oppression. It is a way to bring diverse communities together, including white people, to organize and work together in the pursuit of equity.

Jessica Lisovsky

The rest is here:

LETTER: Thanks for fighting oppression | Vashon-Maury Island ... - Vashon-Maury Island Beachcomber (subscription)

Posted in Government Oppression | Comments Off on LETTER: Thanks for fighting oppression | Vashon-Maury Island … – Vashon-Maury Island Beachcomber (subscription)