Category Archives: Evolution

KM is a dynamically changing area of business, where, despite these constant changes, many are reluctant to give up traditional knowledge practices. This is further compounded with the rapid acceleration of new technological trends hitting the market; will knowledge practitioners rise to the challenge, or fail to accommodate the modern needs of KM?

Suzan Pickels, knowledge manager at CRB, led KMWorld 2023s session, Evolution or Transformation? Rethinking KM in the Chaos of Disruption, to exemplify the ways in which CRB is leveraging new tech to prioritize knowledge efforts, address clients needs, and invest in AI analysis and application.

It almost seems that technology and KM are at constant odds, where changes in one area necessitate remarkable shifts in the other. However, CRB is managing to marry traditional and proven KM techniques with the evolving technological landscape.

Pickels explained that transformation and evolution are, fundamentally, the sameone is just quicker than the other, and neither is necessarily bad.

The quicker of the two, transformation, is often produced by rapid growthwhich inevitably incurs some organizational chaos.

CRB experienced this sort of growth as a result of the Covid pandemic, and with this growth came knowledge losses and gains because of workforce shuffles. As a result, CRB launched a knowledge services program, or improvement facilitators who optimize process information and collaboration for better workflow and work product.

At the heart of this was understanding the hearts and minds of their enterprise culture, according to Pickels. Due to market changes and other economic factors, this knowledge initiative was served with a side dish of chaos.

Pickels offered these tips to help pivot faster in the event of inevitable change:

We targeted those pieces of the organization where our workflows work together. It made it easier for our executive managers that dont care about knowledge management, Pickels explained. We were translating this for them so they knew why they needed it and how it would help us make money.

Disruption will inevitably mean that an enterprise will change, its goals will change, and its strategies will change. This change means that some methods and ideals will be lost to make way for better solutions.

One of the things CRB retained in the chaos, however, was the concept of client value. Ensuring that the organization was aligned with what their clients needed was critical for CRBs success at a time of disruption. Additionally, CRB employed communities of practice (CoPs), though limited them in its number and its coverage. Small, focused CoPs helped bring in collaboration.

The better they [the workforce] work together, the more collaborative they are, the better we could deliver client value, said Pickels.

Furthermore, CRB held onto lessons learned, data governance, and data analytics as means to navigate an increasingly digital and data-centric world.

Pickels also pointed to the trend of throwing AI at everything, where, in reality, throwing intelligent tech at unintelligent content will never yield positive results. Tech, especially in the world of AI, is constantly changing. It isnt new, its just faster, she explained, and its application should be meaningful.

Taxonomies will be critical in leveraging AI, where categorization will drive understanding of the trends that AI may surface.

You need to put meaning in the click behind the report, Pickels noted. [With taxonomies,] when I point AI at this [content], it will have more meaning.

Ultimately, Pickels explained that for a company that once did everything, they had to narrow down their focus, and admittedly, it was heartbreaking, said Pickels. But we had to keep the central heartbeat going.

KMWorld returned to the J.W. Marriott in Washington D.C. on November 6-9, with pre-conference workshops held on November 6.

KMWorld 2023 is a part of a unique program of five co-located conferences, which also includes Enterprise Search & Discovery, Enterprise AI World, Taxonomy Boot Camp, and Text Analytics Forum.

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Evolution or transformation? Rethinking KM in the chaos of ... - KMWorld Magazine

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An evolutionary continuum from nucleated dwarf galaxies to star ... - Nature.com

Evolving from the labor-intensive manual equipment of centuries past, deck equipment has been transformed through technology and innovation. Todays clean and powerful equipment packages improve safety and efficiency while integrating directly with the vessels on which they are installed.

The evolution of deck equipment in the maritime industry parallels significant milestones across the sector with advancements in materials, automation, safety and efficiency. Today, the industrys most complex challenges are related to designing eco-friendly, energy-efficient and technologically advanced equipment. Deck equipment is no exception.

Stricter regulations and a growing emphasis on sustainability add complexity to an already convoluted market. Current trends toward increased automation, digitalization and integration require leading manufacturers like Cimolai Technology, Markey Machine, Timberland Equipment and Schoellhorn-Albrecht Machine to invest in research and development, focusing on innovative product offerings and exploring unique applications for both existing and emerging markets.

Deck machinery encompasses a diverse array of equipment from towering cranes to incredibly powerful tuggers and winches, monster boat lifts, and more equipment as varied as the maritime activities to which it can be applied. Compared to many other technical innovations in the marine industry, this type of equipment is often overlooked.

Early Versions

To appreciate the evolution of this gear through history, some context is essential.

The earliest versions of deck equipment were comprised of the rudimentary winches, capstans and cranes used on early sailing vessels. Far from the precision and power offered by today's equipment, these manual devices were rarely more than simple lever-and-pulley systems most often operated by sheer human muscle.

The Industrial Revolution brought significant changes across trades as steam power became the motive force for industry. Alongside the switch from sails to steam for propulsion, steam winches and capstans revolutionized cargo handling and made vessels safer and more efficient.

These early mechanisms were still relatively crude compared to subsequent innovations as hydraulic systems became the backbone of deck equipment on board commercial vessels. These systems provided high levels of power while improving precision and control. Companies have excelled in designing and manufacturing hydraulic winches and cranes tailored to meet the specific needs of various industries including offshore oil and gas, shipping and naval operations.

Electric-Drive Systems

Today, however, even this evolution in power is starting to give way to a new motivating power as electric drive systems gain in popularity. Due to their efficiency and reduced environmental impact, electric drives are replacing hydraulic power across the array of deck equipment.

Timberland Equipment, a custom deck equipment manufacturer, is leading the way in this transition by employing a specialized group within its organization. The companys various divisions have put considerable focus on converting existing gas or diesel equipment into all-electric drives. This has led the company to develop electric equipment with greatly improved safety, efficiency and control through the use of modern PLCs (programmablelogic controllers) and variable frequency drives.

Timberland is likewise involved in new products and services across industries. Aaron VanMaanen, General Sales Manager, credits the companys broad client base for expanding its offerings, particularly in the environmental space: Weve been involved in supporting many various industries and initiatives, allowing us to become heavily involved in green energy solutions.

Other manufacturers like Markey Machine, a leading producer of specialized deck equipment are leading the charge with advances in new designs. A significant increase in demand for electric deck machinery has resulted in unique product offerings. Markeys Electric Escort/Ship-Assist winches offer not only advanced electric-drive systems but also include added benefits like regenerative braking and redundant drives for increased reliability. Several substantial orders in 2023 from leading tugboat operators across the U.S. reflect the growing demand for these new products.

The overall cost of innovation in the maritime sector can be high with increased costs for some new equipment pushing 400 percent. however, the risks of not evolving with demands from the industry can be far greater. The regulatory and reputational costs associated with a broken hose leaking oil into the harbor are just too significant not to evolve, says Blaine Dempke, Markeys CEO.

The demand for electric equipment is not just on board but also shoreside. Cimolai Technology out of Italy is well known for its mobile boat hoists. With a market focusing more heavily on electric versions of traditional shipyard offerings, Cimolai has responded with new innovations of its own including fully electric models of its mobile boat hoist (MBH), ranging in lifting capability from 30 tons to a 1,500-ton beast due for delivery to Hyak Maritime in Oregon in late 2024.

Eco-Friendly Solutions

The maritime industry as a whole is increasingly focused on sustainability, efficiency and a reduced environmental impact. Deck equipment manufacturers are contributing to a greener maritime sector in their own space, exploring eco-friendly solutions with innovative designs and materials. Lessons from the past underscore the critical need to prioritize safety, sustainability and efficiency in the design and use of deck equipment.

With a holistic approach to reducing energy consumption and emissions across the entire vessel, industry leaders like Schoellhorn-Albrecht Machine Co. are leveraging centuries of expertise toward improved environmental protection alongside increased reliability, efficiency and, of course, personnel safety. Being able to custom-build not just the equipment itself but also the power packs and control installations, Schoellhorn-Albrecht can ensure that all equipment is working as designed for each unique application, regardless of the client.

That includes government agencies. The company recently completed a contract with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to design and manufacture the replacement dredge head hoist for the dredge Jadwin. The winch is designed for continuous use during the dredging season, providing a maximum output torque of 27,000 foot-pounds via a 367-horsepower DC motor and utilizing a pneumatically actuated drag brake system.

Automation has transformed the way deck equipment is operated. Wireless technology has made its way into deck equipment controls, improving flexibility and safety. Modern systems often include remote control capabilities, allowing operators to perform tasks from a safe distance and even remotely.

Wireless remote controls have become standard features in many winches, tuggers and capstans. These systems enhance operator mobility and reduce the risk of accidents during deck operations.

New Markets

As the marine industry explores new markets like offshore wind and other sectors, one of the major impacts that affect deck equipment is the request for winches with greater speed and line pull capabilities. The advent of electric motors allows for more flexibility with regards to footprint and weight as well as the capability of smart winches with automatic controls and variable programming.

As vessels are required to do more and more, the equipment needed also often needs to grow in size and complexity, says Timberlands VanMaanen.

The continued construction of LNG terminals likewise creates a demand for specialized escort tugs equipped with appropriate escort winches. As wind, LNG and other new markets become a part of the industrys new reality, analysts have noted a languishing supply of conventional tugs equipped with wire-rope towing winches.

Manufacturers have seen a subsequent uptick in demand for equipment to serve this need. Markey has introduced advanced control systems that enhance precision and safety during these specialized towing and mooring operations including a full line of winches with motion-compensation.

Markeys Dempke is proud of his companys progress and innovation. Like VanMaanen, Dempke gives much of the credit to his customers: Our philosophy is simply to follow our customers and let them take us where we need to go and where the industrys needs lie. Being open to these ideas and requests is key to continued growth.

Leading the Way

The wide variety of deck equipment has, by necessity and opportunity, evolved considerably from the manual, labor-intensive, block-and-tackle systems of the past. Modern technology and innovative engineering have transformed these essential components into powerful, efficient and environmentally sound tools.

Innovators in the manufacturing realm continue to drive progress in the maritime industry, ensuring that vessels and shipyards are equipped with the best tools for safe and efficient operations. In many instances, pioneering deck equipment manufacturers introduce advances in the industry ahead of other sectors.

As the industry continues to evolve, we can expect even more advances that will further enhance the capabilities of this equipment, contributing to the continued growth and success of the maritime sector. Markey, Cimolai, Timberland, Schoellhorn-Albrecht and other industry leaders are steering the course of innovation in this industry, prioritizing safety, sustainability and technological advancements.

As technology progresses, these companies will play a pivotal role in charting its future course, leveraging their history and expertise to navigate change. By contributing to a more sustainable and technologically advanced maritime future, theyll help ensure safe, efficient and environmentally responsible operations both at sea and on shore.

Chad Fuhrmann is a maritime consultant and owner of Revolution Consulting X Engineering.

The opinions expressed herein are the author's and not necessarily those of The Maritime Executive.

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Safe Load: The Evolution of Modern Deck Equipment - The Maritime Executive

For decades, law enforcement officers, medical examiners and emergency medical professionals have used the terms excited delirium and excited delirium syndrome to describe subjects experiencing extreme agitation, excitability, paranoia and aggression, often associated with stimulant use and certain psychiatric disorders. While officers continue to encounter subjects displaying such symptoms, the term excited delirium has come under significant scrutiny and is now disavowed by major medical and psychological organizations, including:

Lexipol removed the term excited delirium from our policy guidance in 2022. Regardless of your agencys policy on the use of this term, its helpful for law enforcement officers to understand why the medical community has evolved away from using it.

For well over a century, medical experts have used various terms to describe a condition in which subjects experience:

This condition has variously been labeled Bells mania, acute exhaustive mania, lethal catatonia and agitated delirium. In 1985, at the height of the U.S. crack cocaine epidemic, researchers Charles Wetli and David Fishbaindubbed the conditionexcited delirium, noting it often co-occurred with cocaine use (though typically at drug concentrations lower than seen in cases of cocaine overdose). The term was often shortened to EXD (for excited delirium) or ExDs (for excited delirium syndrome).

Areport on the topicin theWestern Journal of Emergency Medicinenoted that excited delirium and agitated delirium described a subject exhibiting agitation, aggression, acute distress and sudden death, often in the pre-hospital care setting. The report pointed out that about two thirds of EXD victims die at the scene or during transport by paramedics or police. Citing Wetli, the report noted those who died without contact with the police were often discovered in a bathroom after apparent attempts to cool their body temperature using wet towels and ice trays.

An article inForce Sciencestated the symptoms labeled as excited delirium can be caused by a number of very different medical conditions:

During the 2000s and 2010s, officers may have been taught to recognize and respond to excited delirium as part of academy and post-academy training. Over the years, guidance has changed. Early tactics often varied dramatically from agency to agency. As understanding of the risks of certain restraint positions became more widespread, guidance evolved to favor avoiding a prolonged struggle whenever possible. When a calm and deliberate approach proves ineffective, then the use of other restraints and control techniques (as opposed to pain compliance measures) is preferred.

Perhaps the most important guidance over the past decade or so has been the need for officers to recognize these subjects as experiencing a medical emergency, and call EMS as quickly as possible.

According to a2022 reportprepared by Physicians for Human Rights (PHR), multiple studies have suggested that diagnoses of excited delirium may have been used to justify excessive use of force by law enforcement. A look intoin-custody deaths in Texasfrom 2005 through 2017 showed that excited delirium was blamed for 17% of the 289 cases. Asimilar study in Floridademonstrated the same pattern: 85 deaths blamed on the condition over a period of 10 years.

After an extensive review of the literature and consultation with experts, the PHR report also concluded that the term excited delirium cannot be disentangled from its racist and unscientific origins. For example, a2021 articlein theVirginia Law Reviewrevealed that, of 166 in-custody deaths across the country, Black subjects made up over 43% of those with excited delirium listed as a possible cause of death. That percentage rose to 56% when Black and Hispanic subjects were combined.

It was after the 2020 death of George Floyd when many Americans may have first heard the term excited delirium. In the viral video that shocked the world, one of the responding officers mentioned the condition while another officer had Floyd in a prone position on the ground. That officer was later convicted of unintentional second-degree murder, third-degree murder and second-degree manslaughter. The officer who had mentioned the condition of excited delirium later pled guilty to aiding and abetting second-degree manslaughter.

In the wake of Floyds death and the subsequent demonstrations and unrest, many organizations including the American Psychiatric Association (APA) revisited their positioning on the use of excited delirium in police reports, coroners reports and news stories. In December 2020, the APA made the followingofficial statementon the use of the term:

It is the position of the American Psychiatric Association that acute medical conditions, including Delirium, always require an appropriate medical response. Therefore, it is the position of the APA that:

1. The term excited delirium (ExDs) is too non-specific to meaningfully describe and convey information about a person. Excited delirium should not be used until a clear set of diagnostic criteria are validated.

2. An investigation should be undertaken of cases labelled with excited delirium to identify how the term is being used, whether consistent criteria are being applied, and whether it has any validity as a medical syndrome. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services should conduct a comprehensive, nationwide investigation of instances in which individuals have been identified as being in a state of excited delirium, including in interactions with law enforcement personnel and other out-of-hospital contexts. The study should include examination of all relevant data, including the precipitating events, health outcomes for the individuals and law enforcement personnel, and whether there is a disproportionate application of the term excited delirium to persons with mental illness, Black people, or other racial and ethnic groups.

3. All jurisdictions should develop, implement, and routinely update evidence-based protocols for the administration of ketamine and other sedating medications in emergency medical contexts outside the hospital. These protocols should allow use of these medications only for treatment purposes in medically appropriate situations and should explicitly bar their use to achieve incapacitation solely for law enforcement purposes.

The APA pointed out that theDSM-5, the most current update to theDiagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, does not list excited delirium as an actual psychological condition. It also points out that EMTs routinely treated subjects suspected of having EXD withketamine, which has the potential to cause respiratory arrest. Because of this, the APA says, it is questionable whether the person identified as having an excited delirium actually had any medical condition warranting its use.

Half a year later, in June 2021, the American Medical Association (AMA) put out its ownpress releasestating the organizations position regarding the term:

A policy adopted by physicians, residents, and medical students at the American Medical Associations (AMA) Special Meeting of its House of Delegates (HOD) opposes excited delirium as a medical diagnosis and warns against the use of certain pharmacological interventions solely for a law enforcement purpose without a legitimate medical reason.

The new policy addresses reports that show a pattern of using the term excited delirium and pharmacological interventions such as ketamine as justification for excessive police force, disproportionately cited in cases where Black men die in law enforcement custody. Specifically, the policy:

As part of its statement, the AMA recommended that all law enforcement and EMS responders be trained in de-escalation techniques and the appropriate use of pharmacological intervention for agitated individuals in the out-of-hospital setting. In the AMAs view, subjects who are clearly experiencing mental health emergencies should be attended to by medical and behavioral health professionals, not law enforcement.

In March 2023, the National Association of Medical Examiners (NAME) made its position clear on the topic. In astatementon its website, the organization said that [a]lthough the terms Excited Delirium or Excited Delirium Syndrome have been used by forensic pathologists as a cause of death in the past, these terms are not endorsed by NAME or recognized in renewed classifications of the WHO, ICD-10, and DSM-V.

The next month, the American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP)reversed its positionon the term excited delirium to bring it in line with the APA and the AMA, disavowing the use of the term in clinical settings. ACEP continues to use the terms hyperactive delirium and hyperactive delirium syndrome with severe agitation.

The American College of Medical Toxicology (ACMT)made a statementin May 2023 recommending that its members abandon the term excited delirium as a diagnosis and a cause of death. Notably, the ACMT recognized the continuing need for a term to describe patients with altered mental status who are aggressive or have vital signs suggestive of excessive adrenergic activity. The organization advocated for the term hyperactive delirium with agitation, pointing out that de-escalation techniques (sometimes involving sedatives) would still be necessary for some subjects. Physical restraints, which were so often associated with deaths in excited delirium patients, should be minimized and discontinued as early as possible.

In October 2023, ACEP withdrew approval of its 2009 white paper, Report on Excited Delirium Syndrome, recommending that the term should not be used among the wider medical and public health community, law enforcement organizations, and ACEP members acting as expert witnesses testifying in relevant civil or criminal litigation. This is especially notable because ACEPs 2009 paper was one of the most-cited sources to justify cases involving the condition. According to anAP reportpublished by theJournal of Emergency Medical Services, the white paper shaped police training and still figures in police custody death cases, many involving Black men who died after being restrained by police.

The same month, the state of Californiapassed a lawbanning the use of excited delirium by coroners, medical examiners and law enforcement in any reports. The law, known asAB 360, specifies that excited delirium is not recognized as a valid medical condition or cause of death in the state and evidence that a person experienced excited delirium is inadmissible in any civil action. The law also made a point of banning alternative terms such as hyperactive delirium, agitated delirium and exhaustive mania.

In the wake of the George Floyd case, many states and the District of Columbia enactedreforms to police proceduresand oversight. Quite a few banned the use of chokeholds and neck restraints by law enforcement. Moving away from the use of the term excited delirium is an extension of thesereform efforts. As noted, Lexipol removed the term from our policy guidance in 2022.

There is no consensus on an alternative term to use for the now-discontinued terms. Part of this is due to the dubious nature of the syndrome itself. Excited delirium was never recognized in the medical literature as an actual mental disorder, and anyway, first responders arent trained or qualified to diagnose and treat mental disorders.

Law enforcement and EMS personnel will continue to be called upon to assist with people exhibiting extremely violent, confused behavior. Because of this, its recommended that first responders avoid any medical-sounding jargon and focus on actual observed behavior. In radio traffic,in reportsand in public statements, its best to describe the behavior exhibited by the subject. A few examples:

Focusing on observed behavior rather than quasi psychological terms will help protect both the individuals needing assistance and the law enforcement officers responding to the situation, while also improving public safety reporting and practices.

For more information about this topic, including recommendations on techniques to help protect the safety of both subjects and law enforcement officers, please see Lexipols article, Understanding Excited Delirium: 4 Takeaways for Law Enforcement Officers.

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Excited delirium: Understanding the evolution away from a ... - Police News

In the latest installment of TVBEuropes trends of 2023 series, Bob Boster, president, Clear-Com, discusses how the migration of some elements of broadcast operations into the cloud will continue to gain momentum over the next 12 months.

An interesting trend we are seeing is more people are getting creative about incremental upgrades or system evolution as we have started to call it. Technical aspirations are proceeding unchecked for expanded intercom functionality but due to budget considerations, its not possible to launch complete system replacements. Luckily, we are well-positioned to help people expand their functionality incrementally by tightly integrating with their existing intercom resources. We see this most often in areas of remote production capability and wireless, both of which are areas where we can offer a variety of options.

Im not sure how this trend translates to the viewers experience. Ideally, if we do our job right it isnt noticeable. A robust and flexible comms infrastructure means the programming doesnt stop.

I expect that both these trends, as well as the general increase in attention on comms flexibility stemming from our collective Covid experience, will mean that people continue to think a bit more about what they want their systems to be able to do. A clear vision of whats needed allows a chance to really shine.

Certainly, we expect the attention on migrating some elements of broadcast operations into the cloud to continue to gain momentum. As the originators of the first virtual production intercoms (Clear-Coms Concert) and the first decentralised production intercom (Trilogys Commander and Gemini), we are well-prepared to help people solve these puzzles, whether they are looking for completely virtual, hybrid, or on-prem solutions.

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The trends of 2023: System evolution - TVBEurope

During the recent 2023 Israel-Palestine conflict, Abu Obaida, the spokesperson for the Izz ad-Din al-Qassam Brigades, Hamas military wing, delivered a message that marked a significant departure from their traditional Sunni ideology in favor of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeinis Shiite doctrine. On October 9th and 16th, and in multiple speeches, Abu Obaida used the terms martyr () and mujahid () (referring to individuals engaged in jihad) in connection with the Prophet Muhammad. These shifts in terminology may go unnoticed to those not well-versed in Islamic jurisprudence, but they carry deeper significance.

These words indicate a notable shift in Hamass narrative concerning war strategies, aligning with Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeinis vision as articulated on February 11, 1980: Our objective is to spread our revolution to various corners of the world, as it is inherently an Islamic revolution.

This transformation in narrative used by Abu Obaida raises important questions about how it might reshape Hamass war strategy and tactics within Israel and by Iranian-backed militias in the Middle East, within the intricate context of the current conflict. This article explores the implications of this ideological shift for Hamas and its potential impact on the types of attacks and operations employed by Hamas, with Israeli and Iranian-backed militias, against U.S. military bases and interests in the region. To fully grasp the significance of this shift, it is essential to examine the complex network of affiliations and relationships that transcend political interests. This includes both historical and current ties between Hamas and Iran, as well as the involvement of Iran-backed militias in Iraq, such as Alwiyat al-Waad al-Haq (AHW), Asaib Ahl al-Haq, and the Islamic Resistance of Iraq, as well as Hezbollah in Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen. This exploration offers insights into the behaviors, motivations, and threats these armed groups pose to U.S. interests and military bases in the Middle East.

To begin, it is necessary to explain that in Sunni doctrine, it is generally believed that the Prophet Muhammad passed away peacefully in his bed, with his death attributed to fever and a headache. According to the Sunni narrative, Prophet Muhammads death was not associated with martyrdom. Although it is mentioned in some sources, the story of his martyrdom remains a minor matter and lacks a basis in the actions or behaviors of the Sunni sect. As it is a fundamental principle for all Muslims to follow his steps, actions, and behaviors with others.

Yet, the Marty and mujahid are prevalent in the majority of Shia fiqh, and it appears that the Izz ad-Din al-Qassam Brigades have been influenced by or have adopted the vision of Iranian theologians like Sayyid Mojtaba Mir-Lohi, commonly known as Navvab Safavi, a pioneer of Islamic jihadist movements, and Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.

Hence, the use of martyr and mujahid to describe the Prophet Muhammad by Abu Obaida not only represented a significant departure from Sunni jihadist conventions but also indicated a complex evolution within Hamass ideology, revealing an added layer of extremism, which I call extremism within jihadist extremism.

These words signify a readiness to sacrifice everything and engage in a war of annihilation without concern for the consequences, whether for us or them, in a battle between our truth and their falsehood.

Within the Shia Fiqh narrative and the collective Shia consciousness and memory, Prophet Muhammad is regarded as a martyr and mujahid, particularly among Iranian Shia jihadist militias. In this perspective, the Prophet is believed to have been assassinated through poisoning, making him a martyr at the hands of his wives, Aisha and Hafsa, and the daughters of Abu Bakr and Omar bin Al-Khattab, the first and second Khalifs, respectively. Hence, based on Shia doctrine, the killing of the Prophet and the subsequent oppression and mistreatment of the family of Prophet Muhammad are fundamental beliefs that underpin the narratives of grievance and oppression. These beliefs are closely linked to the concept of the return of Imam Mahdi, a fundamental tenet of Shia ideology. Imam Mahdi, also known as the Mahdi, is the messianic figure awaited in Shia Islam, believed to bring justice, righteousness, and ultimate harmony to the world.

The belief in the Mahdis emergence finds its origins in prophetic traditions. The concept of the Mahdis emergence finds its origins in prophetic traditions. Sheikh al-Tusi records a noteworthy tradition on the authority of Abu Said al-Khudri, who quoted the Messenger of God. This tradition highlights the belief in the imminent appearance of a Mahdi from the Prophets family at the culmination of time. According to this belief, the heavens will bestow their blessings, and the earth will yield its fruits for him. His mission will be to establish justice and equity throughout the world, in stark contrast to the prevailing oppression and injustice.

Its important to highlight that the term Mujahid in the context of Abu Obaidas speech aligns with the description of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who is regarded as the leader of Muslims (Al-Imam) and a mujahid. His followers consider him both a martyr and a mujahid, as well as Navvab Safavi. In accordance with the beliefs held by Khomeinis followers, as outlined in the theories of Wilayat al-Faqih and Mahdism, the Mahdis army. These individuals not only have strong beliefs in the Mahdi but also eagerly anticipate his arrival.

Their steadfast commitment involves thorough preparations, including the acquisition of essential equipment, a crucial requirement for facilitating the Mahdis emergence and efficiently organizing his army, and fighting their enemies, represented by Israel and Western countries, which are described as Satan. The same grievance narrative has surfaced among Iranian leaders and their backed militias, particularly in Iraq since the beginning of the Israeli and Hamas conflict.

For instance, on October 25, 2023, Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei tweeted, America is an inevitable partner in the Zionist entitys crime against Gaza, and hands are stained with the blood of oppressed Palestinian children. She actually manages this crime committed at Gaza. In fact, the association between the fall of Israel and the anticipated return of Imam Mahdi, in conjunction with the prevailing sense of grievance, is presently a prominent topic in the media among Shia militias in recent times.

Also, on October 13, and on his Arabic Twitter, Abu Ala al-Wala, the leader of Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada (KSS) or (The Masters of the Martyrs Brigade) stated, From the moment ones feet touch the ground of the battlefield, images of all the martyrs who have trodden this path come to mind, foremost among them the martyr Suleimani, the martyr Mughniyah, and the engineer martyr. This reinforces the belief in the sanctity of this path and its significance in the hearts of the free, and the inevitability of victory on it, both in the near and distant future. This pattern illustrates how Iran utilizes the grievance and oppression narrative to promote its vision of expanding Shia doctrine within Israel.

Hamas: Shifting Alliances Toward Ruhollah Khomeinis Shiite Ideology:

Despite fluctuations in the relationship between the Brotherhood organization, to which Hamas is affiliated, and Iran has evolved over time, transitioning from political interests to strong religious and ideological connections. This transition is influenced by shared old religious beliefs, especially the belief in the concept of a Global Islamic State ( ) and a common interest in countering the existence of the Israeli State. While political interests have historically played a role, the alignment of religious and ideological goals has become the predominant factor in this current conflict.

While political Islam in Iran was influenced by figures such as Hassan al-Banna and Sayyid Qutb, to understand the grievance narrative and how Iran and Hamas use it to shape their terrorist operations, it is essential to delve into the connection between Navvab Safavi, an Iranian Shia cleric and founder of the Fadaiyan-e Islam group, and the broader ideological framework of the Muslim Brotherhood, and Hamas.

In 1954, Navvab Safavi Cairo, where he was warmly received by the members of the Brotherhood. The relationship became strong to the extent that Safavi declared that Whoever wants to be a true Jaafari [Shia Islamic jurisprudence] should join the ranks of the Muslim Brotherhood. Safavi was one of the first to mobilize the Iranian masses around 5000 of Fedayeen of Islam against Israel in the early 1950s. He was explicit about his animosity and desire to incite war against Israel.

Notably, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini wrote a phrase on his photo after his execution in 1956: Peace be upon the pioneer of our time in jihad and martyrdom

Also, Iranian scholars like Ayatollah Kashani also stayed in Cairo during this time. Cooperation was fostered through organizations like the Foundation for Rapprochement between Islamic Schools of Thought. This era marked the introduction of Iranian scholars to the ideas of figures like Sayyid Qutb and other prominent leaders of the Muslim Brotherhood. In his book entitled The Muslim Brotherhood and the Islamic Revolution in Iran, Dr. Yousif indicates that,

It seems that there is a wide common ground between the two, [Hassan al-Banna and Khomeini ]suitable for forming a broad foundation for considering Iran as the starting point of the global Islamic state, which operates within the framework of the Muslim Ummah (the state of the Ummah), a concept that Imam Hassan al-Banna (may God have mercy on him) had long dreamed of, those who come after him to lead the Muslim Brotherhood.

Notably, the same words, speeches, and ideas that were discussed in the past, particularly the global Islamic nation, are being circulated in the media by Brotherhood affiliates, Iranians, and their militia leaders. For example, on October 7, Abu Ala al-Wala, the leader of Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada (KSS), made a statement on his Arabic Twitter account

Allahu Akbar (God is great) indeed, and much praise be to Allah. To our brothers in faith, blood, and the partners of jihad and determination among the valiant sons of the Palestinian resistance, we say: Labbayka, Labbayka (we respond to your call). We have received your call and realized your call for help. By Allah, it is the hour of aspiration and the moment of fulfilling our covenant. We have prepared our resources, strengthened our determination, and raised our spirits. Let the storm of Al-Aqsa be the end of their falsehood and the fulfillment of Allahs promise of their demise and the salvation of the land from their corruption. Today, Allah fulfills His promise through your hands.

Additionally, there is a recurring pattern of dehumanizing narratives and calls for the destruction of Israel in both Iranian rhetoric and Hamass narrative. Notably, Abu Obaidas use the same offensive narratives resembles the current rhetoric used by militias backed by Iran in social media, indicating the influence of Shiism on Hamas.

For example, in Abu Obaidas speech on October 19, 2023, he referred to Israelis as enemies of humanity, likening them to Nazis, and used other degrading descriptions, calling for their eradication. Notably, Ruhollah Khomeini also labeled the Israeli state as a cancerous gland that needs to be eradicated. Ruhollah Khomeinis speeches against Israel were extensively published on Twitter. The recurrent narrative pattern, emphasizing grievances, dehumanizing Israeli citizens, and advocating for their annihilation, is widely disseminated in Arabic by Iranian supporters and sympathizers.

Importantly, these statements align with Irans broader narratives and objectives. These narratives have already stirred extreme hatred against U.S. and Israeli citizens and could potentially lead to tangible and risky consequences in the near future.

In conclusion, this ideological evolution carries significant implications for regional dynamics, security, and the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East. Understanding these ideological shifts is crucial for assessing the motivations, strategies, and threats posed by jihadist groups like Hamas, especially in the context of their affiliations and relationships that transcend religious boundaries.

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Hamas's Ideological Evolution in the 2023 IsraelHamas War - HS ... - HSToday

This study contained no experimental component or data collection on live animals and so no ethical oversight was necessary.

We measured 4628 adult museum specimens of 1234 species from around the world. Most of these data were novel, whereas 901 specimens from 194 species came from previously published datasets1,20,21,22. Our sample included 51 of 54 anuran families19. The three remaining families (Calyptocephalellidae, Ceuthomantidae, and Nasikabatrachidae) are scarce in museum collections. We chose species within families based on their availability in museum collections, with species sampling proportional to the described species diversity of each family (r=0.923). However, for eight families we were only able to sample a single species, which prevented calculating rates of morphological evolution. Thus, we excluded them (to total 1226 species from 43 families) from those analyses and all downstream analyses based on those rates. We also note that some studies of rates of morphological evolution have removed clades with low numbers of species (e.g., less than four8). In our dataset, 11 families had between 24 species sampled for morphological data. However, some of these families have four or fewer total extant species, and thus excluding these families would result in biasing our analyses to ignore clades with low species richness. Moreover, while lower sampling may increase the variance in estimates of a clades true rate of evolution, such estimates are unbiased1. Finally, to reduce potential effects of sexual-size dimorphism on our sampling76,77,78, we measured male specimens when possible (89% of all specimens sampled; 82% of our sampled species were represented only by males). Males tend to be better represented in collections than females, presumably because of their calling behavior. We include all raw intraspecific data as Supplementary Data1 and species means, sample sizes, standard deviations, and standard errors as Supplementary Data2.

We quantified body shape using linear, area, and volumetric measurements of traits that are ecologically and functionally relevant to locomotion and microhabitat use21,22,27,28. First, we measured snout-vent length, head length, head width, upper arm, forearm, hand, thigh, crus, tarsus, and foot lengths to the nearest 0.01mm using a Mitutoyo digital caliper (Kanagawa, Japan). We took each measurement only once, as our measurements were highly precise; preliminary repeated measurements showed a coefficient of variation of less than 0.03 for all measurements, with most <0.015. We summed the linear limb element measurements together (i.e., front limb length, hindlimb length). Second, we photographed the foot and hand of each specimen and measured the areas of digit tips on both the front and hind limb, interdigital webbing of the hind limb, and the inner metatarsal tubercle using ImageJ79. We summed the areas of the digit tips separately for the front and hind limbs and interdigital webbing across the foot. Detailed descriptions of all measurements are given in Supplementary Table4.

Finally, we quantified leg muscle volume using external linear measurements. We used thigh and crus muscle volume among the traits for characterizing anuran body shape. Muscle mass is strongly related to locomotor performance and microhabitat use in anurans21,22,26,55. However, we could not calculate mass by dissecting muscle tissue from museum specimens at this scale of sampling. Thus, we estimated leg muscle volume, which should scale 1:1 with mass80 and could be quantified using external linear measurements. We estimated muscle volume of the thigh and crus separately, considering each leg segment as two cones sharing an elliptical base (i.e., the approximate cross-sectional area of the underlying muscle). We measured the depth and width of the thigh and crus at their mid-points as the axes of the ellipse. To ensure our approximation of muscle volume adequately represented its mass, we took advantage of the previously published subset of our data (641 specimens from 132 species21,22) that included masses of dissected thigh and crus muscles. For these specimens, we natural-log transformed (ln) thigh and crus masses and volumes to linearize the relationship, then checked the correlation between thigh (or crus) muscle mass against estimated volume at the specimen level. We found that mass and volume were strongly correlated (r=0.974 and 0.965 for thigh and crus, respectively), which suggests that our volume approximation accurately represents muscle mass.

We lacked width and depth measurements but had muscle masses and lengths for thigh and crus for 238 specimens from 49 species. To include these 238 specimens in our analyses, we estimated the muscle cross-sectional area, which we could then use with observed leg segment length to estimate volume. We thus regressed the ln thigh (or crus) cross-sectional area on ln mass for the aforementioned 641 specimens with both data. We then used this model to predict cross-sectional areas for the 238 specimens that lacked width and depth measurements. These regressions showed that the mass of thigh and crus strongly predicted cross-sectional area (R2=0.949 and 0.931 for thigh and crus, respectively; Supplementary Fig.6).

We used previously published microhabitat data23 and additional natural history descriptions to classify most species to microhabitats; new classifications determined for this study are provided in Supplementary Data3. Most species can be categorized into eight different microhabitat states22,23. Four of these states are base microhabitat states that broadly categorize adult frog ecology: aquatic (found primarily in water), arboreal (found primarily in trees and brushes), burrowing (found primarily in self-dug burrows), and terrestrial (found primarily on the surface or under shallow leaf litter). Three additional categories combine terrestrial microhabitats with others, when ecological descriptions indicate that species spend time in both microhabitats: semi-aquatic, semi-arboreal, and semi-burrowing. The torrential microhabitat is characterized by occupying vegetation and rocks along high-gradient streams and rushing waters, thus combining aquatic and arboreal states.

We used the posterior distribution of time-calibrated, multi-locus trees generated by Jetz and Pyron29 for comparative analyses. We chose this phylogeny because it included all species in our morphological dataset. Whereas most more recent phylogenies81,82 may have more molecular data per species and potentially more accurate clade ages, they have far fewer taxa (i.e., they would leave out about 90% of our species). Moreover, recent comparative analyses of diversification rates in anuran families show similar results regardless of the tree used to calculate clade ages1.

We first pruned the posterior distribution to include only anuran species with genetic data (3449 species), because trees with taxa placed based on taxonomy alone may inflate rates of phenotypic evolution83. We used tools available at VertLife (www.vertlife.org/phylosubsets; date accessed: 25 January 2021) to download a random draw of 1000 trees. We then used TreeAnnotator84 to calculate the maximum-clade credibility (MCC) topology and summarize branch lengths in millions of years, doing so with the Common Ancestor heights option. This option generally produces more accurate estimates of clade age than mean branch lengths85.

Previous analyses have shown that adaptive morphological diversification in frogs is often unrelated to body size1,21,22,86. Thus, to focus on shape-based morphology, we size-corrected each trait using log-shape ratios30,31,32, wherein we divided variables by SVL and then ln-transformed the resulting ratios32. Traditional log-shape ratios consider size as the geometric mean of all morphological variables31. However, we only used SVL as a metric of size, given that we measured the other variables precisely because we expected them to differ based on ecology21,22. By contrast, SVL does not differ based on microhabitat22 and can differ greatly among species with similar body shape (e.g., refs. 57,63). For area and volume measurements, we took the square root or cube root of the raw values prior to size-correction to ensure equal scaling across variables80. We performed all size corrections on raw (i.e., intraspecific) data, then calculated species means from the size-corrected intraspecific values. For this and nearly all other analyses, we used the R computing environment87, version 4.1.0.

To ensure that size standardization did not affect pPC axis interpretation, we also performed interspecific size-correction using residuals33 of each trait regressed against SVL, using phytools in R. We then conducted a phylogenetic PCA on these residuals. We found high correlations between the eigenvectors of each PC axis resulting from this alternative method of size standardization and our preferred ratio method (rMantel=0.987; P<0.001). Thus, the method of size standardization is unlikely to change our interpretation of downstream analyses30. Furthermore, several papers have cautioned against treating residuals from linear regressions as data88,89,90. For these reasons and for brevity, we only present results obtained from the log-shape ratio method of size-correction.

We summarized diversity in body form using a phylogenetic principal components analysis (PCA) on species means, as implemented in the phytools package91, version 0.747. We included size-corrected measurements described above of head length and width, front and hindlimb lengths, volumes of the thigh and crus muscles, areas of foot webbing and theinner metatarsal tubercle, and area of the digit tips of the foot and hand. We assumed a Brownian motion model of evolution, and we conducted the PCA on the phenotypic covariance matrix, given our prior standardization of all variables to the same scale and units92. We also performed a non-phylogenetic PCA to ensure that the interpretation of body form was insensitive to analytical method92,93. We compared the results of these two types of PCA by conducting a Mantel test (10,000 permutations) on the PCA eigenvectors, as implemented in the package vegan94 version 2.5.7. This analysis showed a strong correlation (rMantel=0.885; P<0.001) between phylogenetic and non-phylogenetic PCAs. Thus, PCA method seemed unlikely to affect downstream analyses or interpretations, so we used the resulting phylogenetic PCA scores for later analyses of morphological diversity.

Our approach necessitated comparing many different clades. We chose families as the unit of analysis. Anuran families range from 1 to >1000 species and show substantial variation in diversification rates23. Families are also sufficient in number (54 total) to examine patterns with robust statistics. At shallower taxonomic levels (e.g., genera), we may see similar patterns as families57 but would generally have too few species per clade to robustly calculate rates of phenotypic evolution. In contrast, anurans have relatively few formally named clades above families81, which would leave a limited sample size for statistical analysis.

We recognize that using taxonomy to define clades may impact analyses95,96 (but also see respective responses97,98). To avoid possible biases from clade selection, we also used clades of the same age as alternative units for analysis96. We selected age-based clades by considering the most inclusive clade of a given age or younger. With the tree used here29, a threshold for clade selection much younger than 80 million years would return many groups with few species, limiting variation in net diversification rates. In contrast, a threshold much older than 120 would not return enough clades for robust statistical analysis (e.g., the 120million-year threshold produced 19 clades; Supplementary Fig.4). We therefore repeated the radiation-space analyses described below on clades defined by ages of 80, 100, and 120 million years old.

We estimated morphological diversity of all anurans, families, age-defined clades, and radiation-space quadrants (see below). We defined morphological diversity as the volume of n-dimensional morphospace occupied by a group of species. We used two approaches: a convex-hull volume35 and a hypervolume36. Convex hulls are effectively n-dimensional ranges35. They likely overestimate shape volume because they are sensitive to outliers and are unable to detect holesgaps between observationsin n-dimensional space36. Hypervolume methods use machine-learning algorithms to determine boundaries around points in n-dimensional space and are able to detect and exclude outliers and holes36,99,100. Hypervolumes likely underestimate shape and volume depending on the nature of the dataset. For these reasons, the convex hull and hypervolume approaches likely produce a maximal and minimal volume estimate (respectively) of morphological diversity. In consequence, correspondence of results from these two methods should indicate insensitivity to methods of quantifying morphological diversity.

Both methods assume that each axis considered is orthogonal to others, so we used scores from our phylogenetic PCA (pPCA) as data for morphospace calculations. Because both methods are computationally burdensome, we limited analyses to the first five pPC axes. We found in preliminary analyses that five was the best compromise between comprehensiveness and computation time. Moreover, a scree plot (Supplementary Fig.7) showed a considerable drop in variation explained after five axes101,102. These first five axes collectively explained 92.4% of the morphological variation in our dataset (Supplementary Table1). Most importantly, our results were similar for more (six) and fewer (four) dimensions (Supplementary Table5). To estimate the convex hull, we used the Quickhull algorithm implemented in the geometry package103, version 0.4.5. To estimate the hypervolume, we used the one-class support vector machine method as implemented in hypervolume100, version 2.0.12.

We estimated multivariate rates of morphologicalevolution for families and age-defined clades using the method of Adams37. This method calculates a single Brownian-motion rate of evolution that accounts for correlations among characters. Brownian motion is the simplest and most general model of continuous-trait macroevolution and is consistent with many different underlying evolutionary scenarios (e.g., stabilizing selection with randomly evolving optima)46,104,105. Moreover, previous work has shown that the evolution of these same traits is consistent with a Brownian-motion model in 217 species across many families1. Furthermore, given that our sampling of species within families averaged 25% of each familys extant species richness, we emphasize that incomplete clade sampling does not bias this metric. That same previous study1 (of anurans, with the same traits) used simulations to show that sampling as low as 2.3% of total species diversity has no effect on the accuracy of rate estimation.

We present our raw estimated rates as Supplementary Data4. However, comparing rates estimated here to previously published rates for other groups is incredibly challenging. While the method we used37 is increasingly employed for estimating multivariate rates of phenotypic evolution92, such rate estimates are influenced by different methods for size standardization (e.g., ratios, residuals, General Procrustes Analyses in geometric morphometrics106) and different numbers of traits107.

We followed the classification of AmphibiaWeb19 for defining families and counting their species diversity. For clades from 80, 100, and 120 million-year time slices, we established species richness using the full tree from Jetz and Pyron29, which included all known species at the time of their analysis. This tree provides an underestimate of current species richness19, but this step was necessary to calculate the species diversity of time-sliced clades when genera were separated into multiple clades. It also allowed us to include the species diversity of genera unsampled in the genetictree of Jetz and Pyron29, which we used for all other analyses.

We initially estimated net diversification rates using the method-of-moments estimator38. This method only requires species richness and clade ages, which are available for all anuran families. Moreover, recent simulation studies show that this method is accurate under many diversification scenarios, including faster rates in younger clades, rate variation over time within clades, and rate heterogeneity across subclades68,69,70. We recognize that many other methods of calculating diversification rates are available. However, the estimator we used allows as many different rates as families, far more than other methods typically find (e.g., see refs. 108,109). Moreover, this method allows one to estimate the potential effect of extinction on downstream analyses: we can compare how our results (potentially) differ based on low or high extinction fractions. This may be particularly important in anurans, whose oldest families may have low diversity due to high historical extinction rates110,111. Yet simple diversification metrics (like the method-of-moments estimator we use) may avoid problems associated with trying to extract too much information from phylogenies of extant taxa72. We also emphasize that adaptive radiation may be a temporal phenomenon (i.e., groups characterized as adaptive radiations now may not have been 100 million years ago), as are other macroevolutionary patterns. However, what we see in present-day groups is what we study here: we focus on what led to current species and phenotypic diversity, not how past adaptive radiation led to diversity we no longer see. Thus, using a diversification metric that integrates over the history of clades to the present day is what is most relevant to our study.

We also compared these rates (based on species diversity and ages) with birth-death rates (based on branch lengths) estimated by Moen et al.1. Because the birth-death rates could only be estimated for the 38 families with sufficient sampling (at least five species in Jetz and Pyron29), we added our originally estimated method-of-moments rates under stem ages and medium extinction fraction for the remaining five families to total 43 families, as in our other diversification-rate analyses. We found that the birth-death rates and method-of-moments rates were highly correlated (Supplementary Table2). Moreover, our radiation-space results were broadly similar using birth-death rates for diversification (Supplementary Fig.2). However, we prefer the method-of-moments estimates because we could include all 43 anuran families in this study under a single method of rate estimation.

To be consistent with our morphological analyses, we calculated the stem and crown ages for each family from our MCC consensus tree. Other phylogenies give younger ages for anuran families81,82. However, recent diversification analyses using ages from both Jetz and Pyron29 and Feng et al.81 showed high correlations in rates across families1. For example, rates based on stem ages and an extinction fraction of 0.5 showed a correlation of r=0.953 between the two trees. Here, we calculated rates using three extinction fractions (; 0, 0.5, and 0.9), following standard practice112,113,114. We present results based on rates estimated using moderate extinction fractions (=0.5). Low and high extinction fractions gave similar results in downstream analyses (Supplementary Fig.3). Moreover, we present results based on stem ages, which are estimated from the origination of the clade and are less sensitive to sampling density than crown ages115. Results for the latter were highly similar (Supplementary Fig.3).

Moen and Wiens23 showed a strong correlation between species diversity and net diversification rates of anuran families. Here, we re-evaluated this correlation for the 43 families examined in this paper, given updated species richness of families (i.e., >10% of anuran species have been described since 2016; ref. 19). We then tested the relationship between rates of multivariate morphological evolution and morphological diversity across families. We estimated morphological diversity using five-dimensional convex hulls and hypervolumes, as described above. Here, we only examined families with six or more species measured (n=27), because n+1 observations are required to define an n-dimensional volume. We then calculated the fifth root of the resulting values. For all variables, we ln-transformed, mean-centered, and scaled them to unit variance (Supplementary Data5). We then used phylogenetic generalized least-squares (pGLS) correlations to estimate correlations between morphological diversity and morphological rates of evolution, and net diversification rates and species richness. To be consistent with our calculation of rates, we again used the phylogeny of Jetz and Pyron29 for our pGLS analyses. However, we expect results to be highly similar with other recent phylogenomic trees81,82, given that pGLS is highly robust to tree misspecification116. We calculated pGLS correlations following Rohlf117 and using a custom R script from Moen et al.21.

We next tested the strength of the relationship between rates of net diversification and morphological evolution. This allowed us to examine whether rates were strongly correlated (producing a linear radiation continuum) versus weakly correlated or uncorrelated (yielding a two-dimensional radiation space). We calculated pGLS correlations on the mean-centered and scaled rates of net diversification and morphological evolution (n=43), as described above. We also visualized the relationship between rates by plotting them on the phylogeny with the ggtree R package118, version 3.0.2, with ancestral states estimated by maximum likelihood in phytools91. Given that we found a weak correlation (see Results), we next describe the continuum along its two dimensions.

To characterize an adaptive-radiation space, we separated clades into quadrants by rates of net diversification and morphological evolution, where the origin (0, 0) represented mean values among clades for both rates. Clades with rates of net diversification and morphological evolution >0 were assigned to the adaptive-radiation quadrant. Clades with rates of net diversification and morphological evolution <0 were considered non-adaptive non-radiations. Clades with net diversification rates >0, but rates of morphological evolution <0, were placed in the non-adaptive radiation quadrant. Clades with net diversification rates <0, but rates of morphological evolution >0, were considered adaptive non-radiations.

We also repeated clade assignments after redefining the quadrant boundaries as medians of rates. This alternative scheme allowed us to explicitly examine how robust our results were to quadrant limits. Because all analyses (i.e., families and clades extracted at 80, 100, and 120 million-year time slices) had an odd number of observations, the median clade always straddled at least two quadrants. To avoid omitting any clades, we split clades with median values for either net diversification or morphological rates equally between the quadrants these clades straddled. For morphospace volume calculations (see next section), this meant randomly assigning half (when straddling two quadrants) or a quarter (when straddling all four) of the median-clade species to each quadrant the clade straddled when estimating volumes. For species diversity, we simply divided the number of species in the clade by two (or four) and added them to the number of species observed in the quadrants they straddled.

We then characterized the phylogenetic distribution of evolutionary dynamics (i.e., our four quadrant types) by calculating the D statistic of phylogenetic signal for binary traits45 as implemented in the caper package119, version 1.0.4. We conducted four analyses, one for each radiation type, with each analysis estimating D for a binary trait consisting of one radiation type versus all others (e.g., for non-adaptive radiation, a trait with one state as non-adaptive radiation and the other state as all other types). A D of 0 or lower (i.e., negative) would indicate phylogenetic clustering, whereas a D of 1 or higher would indicate a random (D=1) or overdispersed distribution (D>1)45. Thus, we tested for a significant deviation from D=0.0 (which would suggest significant random distribution or overdispersion) and from D=1.0 (which would suggest significant clustering). We only conducted this analysis for quadrants delimited by mean evolutionary rates for families, given we found that no quadrant type showed a D significantly different from 0 or 1 (Supplementary Table3). We did not expect different results for other ways of characterizing clades or the radiation space.

Our primary goal was to determine the role of adaptive radiation in driving diversity in a major clade. For this goal we needed to first quantify total and quadrant-specific species and morphological diversity, then the proportion of diversity each quadrant of radiation space contained. For species diversity, we tallied the total species richness of the sampled families from AmphibiaWeb19 to represent total anuran species diversity. This diversity (7359 species) represents >99% of extant described anuran species (7426 species). Thus our results for these 43 anuran families should basically apply to all Anura. We then calculated species diversity for each quadrant by summing the currently described species richness of all families within that quadrant. We divided each quadrant total by the total diversity we analyzed (7359 species) to calculate the proportion of total diversity explained by each of the four types of radiations.

We quantified total morphological diversity as the morphospace volume occupied by all species in our morphological dataset (i.e., the 1226 species for which we could calculate rates of evolution). We then divided the pPC scores into four subsets of species, one subset for each quadrant of the adaptive radiation plane. Each subset included all the species from the clades that we categorized as belonging to that quadrant. We then estimated each quadrants morphological diversity using the methods described above.

We divided each quadrants volume by the total anuran volume to calculate the contribution of each radiation type to total anuran morphological diversity. Unlike species diversity, where each quadrants species contribute independently to total species diversity, morphospaces of different quadrants may overlap. When this occurs, the sum of quadrant percentages may total more than 100%. Alternatively, quadrant percentages may not sum to 100% if quadrant morphospaces occur in mutually exclusive regions of the total anuran morphospace (i.e., gaps between quadrants within the total anuran morphospace)99.

Both net diversification rates and rates of phenotypic evolution include time in their estimation. While time is directly used in the calculation of net diversification rate, it is involved in morphological rates through phylogenetic branch lengths. Such a shared dimension could, in principle, lead to similarity in these two types of rates (e.g., a family with a high net diversification rate could have a high rate of phenotypic evolution). Moreover, both rates often show a negative relationship with time across many groups of organisms120. Thus, we further explored the potential effect of shared time on our net diversification and multivariate morphological rate estimates. For brevity, we circumscribed these analyses to include only net diversification rates estimated using stem ages and moderate extinction fractions (=0.5). First, we assessed the relationship between age and rate by using phylogenetic generalized least squares (pGLS) regression under Brownian motion, as implemented in the R package phylolm, version 2.6.2121. We regressed net diversification rates on stem age (i.e., rather than crown age) because it was the age used to calculate the rates on which we focused here. In contrast, we regressed rates of phenotypic evolution on crown age, given that only the crown phylogeny of each family was used for estimating rates of evolution (using stem ages led to even weaker relationships). These regressions showed weak but statistically significant relationships between each rate and their respective family age estimates. Surprisingly, morphological rate of evolution had a significant positive slope (=0.0140.006; R2Adj=0.077; P=0.040), contrasting with the typically negative relationship122,123,124. Net diversification rate showed a significant negative relationship with time (=0.0200.005; R2Adj=0.231; P<0.001), as expected when regressing a ratio against its denominator125,126.

We then assessed whether time-independent net diversification rates and morphological rates of evolution were correlated. We did this by calculating residuals from each of the regression models; such residuals represent time-independent measures of net diversification rate and morphological rate of evolution. We examined the correlation with pGLS, as in our other correlation analyses. Similar to our main correlation analyses, which did not account for time explicitly, time-independent rates were uncorrelated (r=0.035; P=0.825).

Further information on research design is available in theNature Portfolio Reporting Summary linked to this article.

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The radiation continuum and the evolution of frog diversity - Nature.com

Prior to his in-ring retirement in 2014, Corey Graves spent his early WWE days in the company's developmental territory of FCW, which was later rebranded into "WWE NXT." It was also here that Graves trained alongside several future WWE Superstars, such as Seth Rollins. During a recent appearance on "The Kurt Angle Show,"the current "WWE SmackDown" commentator spoke about the major differences he's seen in Rollins over the years.

"It's not necessarily unique to Seth, because I could give you the same answer regarding a lot of guys who I've come up with: It's maturity," Graves said. "When you come into this game, into the business at first, especially on independents, it's you versus the world. You have to have a chip on your shoulder or you're not going to succeed. I think a lot of us carried that to FCW and into 'NXT' and I think that's why 'NXT' became as red hot as it did at the time, because you had a bunch of guys who were stuck in the warehouse in Tampa who didn't think anyone was paying attention."

More than a decade after becoming WWE's inaugural "NXT" Champion, Rollins has now positioned himself as one of the WWE's top stars, and the current WWE World Heavyweight Champion. DespiteRollins' elevated placement on the card, Graves asserts that Rollins upholds a respectable, and overall welcoming, relationship between himself and his fellow talent.

"He doesn't overstep his boundaries and he won't give you advice if you don't ask for it, but it's one of those deals where you go, 'I should probably ask that guy. He's done a few things in the game, maybe he knows,'" Graves said.

Outside of Rollins' maturity in the wrestling business, Graves also noted that "The Visionary" has grown immensely as a person as well partially due in part to becoming a father and husband. With these added responsibilities, Graves believes Rollins approaches his personal and professional decision-making with a little more caution.

If you use quotes in this article, please credit "The Kurt Angle Show" and provide an h/t to Wrestling Inc. for the transcription.

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Corey Graves Reflects On Seth Rollins' Evolution Since Their Days ... - Wrestling Inc.

Twelve area electricity boards were responsible for the distribution and supply of electricity to consumers. At privatisation, fourteen public electricity suppliers were created to take on these roles. They were further spun out by the Utilities Act 2000 into what we know as the todays distribution network operators and electricity suppliers.

In Scotland, two companies were responsible for generation, transmission and distribution. These were the South of Scotland Electricity Board, the pre-cursor to what is now Scottish Power, and the North of Scotland Hydro-Electric Board, the pre-cursor to what is now SSE.

The Climate Change Act was enacted in 2008. At that time, the UKs generation mix was dominated by large, centralised power plants. According to a briefing by Carbon Brief, in 2008 just 56 power stations burning coal, gas, oil or nuclear fuel account for the lions share of power capacity, with approximately 80% of UK electricity coming from fossil fuels and another 13% from nuclear.

These large-scale generating stations were historically situated further away from population centres, mainly connecting to the high voltage transmission network. The number of connection requests was much lower than it is today, and investment in transmission and distribution networks was mainly limited to operations and maintenance.

The transmission connection process today still reflects these arrangements, with connecting users expected to bear the whole cost of their own connections and of any reinforcements triggered on the wider network. Cancellation charges are designed to compensate the transmission owners for sunk costs if generation projects were cancelled, as it was expected that any assets would be stranded.

The picture today is vastly different. We currently have c.80 GW of generation connected to the transmission network, with a queue of projects waiting for connection totalling between 230 GW and 340 GW, depending on which sources one relies on. If a generation project is cancelled, there is a whole queue of projects eagerly waiting to push ahead and use the vacated capacity. While some design costs might be wasted, it is highly improbable that assets would be stranded.

These numbers do not include lower voltage distribution connections. A Cornwall Insight report citing Embedded Capacity Registers published by DNOs shows that we currently have c.21 GW of renewable generation connected to the distribution networks, and a further 70 GW waiting for connection.

Unfortunately, neither the transmission owners nor the DNOs have ramped up resources to cope with this demand. While they must bear some of the responsibility for that, it is fair to also recognise the part played by an out-dated framework (both in the legislation and the industry codes) that makes change cumbersome and slow.

The changes contemplated by REMA are welcome, though much delayed. These delays make meeting our net zero goals by 2050 challenging, though we hope that the urgency of the required changes will maintain momentum and help revolutionise our power system to the benefit of all participants.

The Energy Act 2023, granted royal assent on 26 October 2023, creates the powers required to take forward some of these changes, though the further design and deployment of these powers will no doubt require further public consultation in due course.

Having set the scene, we (along with the rest of the electricity industry) are eagerly awaiting further details expected to be set out in consultations due later this year.

If you would like to discuss any of the issues raised by REMA, please get in touch with the author or your usual WFW contact.

[1] Electricity Networks Commissioner Companion Report Findings and Recommendations, June 2023 [2] Letter of support to facilitate the processing of the TEC Amnesty, Ofgem, 15 August 2023 [3] Waiting to connect: the problems and solutions for network connection queues, Cornwall Insight, 25 January 2023

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Background to the Energy Act 2023: REMA Revolution, not evolution - Watson Farley & Williams

Throughout history, the tradition of tithing has been a cornerstone of many religious communities. From ancient times, when believers might offer a portion of their harvest or livestock, to today, when most drop paper currency or coins into a collection plate, the act of giving has remained a constant. But as we move further into the digital age, its clear that the ways in which we give are evolving.

In recent years, our day-to-day lives have seamlessly transitioned to a more digital format. From food deliveries and virtual appointments to streaming our favourite shows, its undeniable: digital is now integral. This transformation has prompted churches to adapt, ensuring they cater to the changing preferences of their congregations.

Enter Dona. Recognising the shift in societal behaviour and understanding the unique requirements of religious institutions, Dona has designed a card donation terminal specifically for churches that accepts payments via contactless and Chip & PIN. The goal? To seamlessly blend tradition with the conveniences of todays technology.

Benefits for Churches:

Efficiency: With contactless terminals, the process of collecting and managing donations becomes streamlined.

Increased Donations: As society becomes more cashless, offering a digital option can lead to more frequent and sometimes larger contributions.

Real-time Tracking: Churches can monitor donations in real-time, aiding in budgeting and financial planning.

Safety: Reduces the risks associated with handling cash, especially in large amounts.

Benefits for the Congregation:

Convenience: No need to carry cash or write cheques; a simple tap will suffice.

Flexibility: Allows for spontaneous giving, even if one forgets their wallet with payments by smart device.

Choice: Donors can choose where their donations go, whether its for general funds, specific projects, or outreach efforts.

Security: Contactless payments are encrypted, ensuring donor details remain confidential.

The results of this innovation speak for themselves. Supported by Donas contactless donation terminals, 1,200 churches across the UK have raised an impressive 12 million and counting, with an average donation of 13 as well as Gift Aid on eligible donations. This is not just about statistics; its about community projects, outreach efforts, and sustaining church operations.

And for churches considering this digital leap, Dona offers a compelling incentive exclusively for Premier Christianity readers: a 100 discount on contactless donation terminals until the end of November. Just mention Premier Christianity when enquiring.

Embracing such modern solutions ensures churches remain vibrant and relevant in an evolving world. If youre interested in the prospects of modernising your churchs donation system, visit our website https://donadonations.com and click on Enquire. Lets together shape the future of church giving.

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The Evolution of Tithing: From Cash to Contactless - Premier Christianity