Category Archives: Brexit

A key authority in recovering from disasters, Professor Lucy Easthope said that Brexit led to a slow erosion of priorities for the UK Government. She argued that this meant by January 2020, planners were feeling stymied in their efforts to ensure the UK was prepared for an event like the Covid pandemic.

Professor Easthope has worked on the response to major incidents including the 9/11 and 7/7 attacks, the Grenfell Tower fire and the Covid pandemic.

She has criticised the UKs response to the pandemic, arguing that it was too late and may have been hindered significantly by Britains exit from the EU.

Speaking on BBC Radio 4, she said that disaster experts were told: we couldn't plan for Brexit and a pandemic at the same time, it was too ridiculous to think of both happening at the same time."

When asked who made this statement, she said it came as a result of a slow erosion of priorities.

This included meetings on pandemic planning being delayed or cancelled altogether - leaving the UK ill-equipped to respond when reports first emerged of a new virus in Wuhan.

Professor Easthope said that by January 2020, multiple meetings at ministerial department level had been postponed".

She added that the UK entered the pandemic with a very depleted health and social care system, leaving disaster planners very very nervous".

She said: As disaster planners, I think we started to feel very stymied in our ability to go into it with our best foot forward.

I think thats the sort of thing where that will be incredibly painful for the families to sit through.

The professor stated that the Government had attempted to ease the frustration of families suffering under the pandemic by claiming it was unpredicted and unplanned for".

However, she said that when meeting families more recently, the pain had almost reopened all over again at the idea that there were people who had worked very hard" to warn the government about the approaching crisis.

READ MORE:Brexit LIVE: Leaving bloc unshackles UK outlook on crop production[INSIGHT]

She said an inquiry would "uncover how much work was done... and how easy it is to erode that, particularly during times of austerity".

A Government spokesman said: "The Covid pandemic was unprecedented and challenged health systems around the world. Throughout the pandemic we have been guided by scientific and medical experts, and our main priority was to protect the NHS and save lives.

"As the National Audit Office Report on Covid-19 Pandemic Preparedness recognised, the government benefited from EU exit planning as well as the challenge of balancing multiple priorities.

"Thanks to our national efforts, we are now one of the most open countries in the world, and our focus is on building back better from the pandemic and delivering Brexit opportunities that benefit the British public."

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Brexit planning dented Government preparation for Covid pandemic - top disaster expert - Express

Brexit is set to disrupt and alter the flow of illegal drugs into Ireland as organised criminals take advantage of increased connections with mainland Europe, according to a report commissioned by the British embassy in Dublin.

The use of ports is set to become a more common way to smuggle cocaine into the country with the establishment of new ferry routes from France and Spain post-Brexit, the report compiled by Irish security think tank the Azure Forum stated.

Even before the United Kingdoms departure from the European Union, Irish organised crime gangs have been finding new ways of sourcing drugs. Previously, Irish gangs were supplied by UK gangs, but now they have established their own importation and supply chains to Ireland, the report said.

The UK increasingly acts as merely a waypoint for drugs coming to Ireland rather than a source, according to the report which is based on interviews with senior Irish and UK police officers and a review of existing studies.

These flows are likely to change further in correlation with decreased legitimate use of the UK land-bridge and additional direct ferry routes to Ireland from France and Spain.

The report said corrupted staff at airports and ports are an extremely valuable asset for criminal gangs.

Port workers in particular are indispensable in identifying containers for drug rip-offs, notably of cocaine from South America.

This is likely to become a more commonplace trafficking method into Ireland as Irish organised crime groups expand their contacts further upstream in drugs supply chains, and as trade flows adjust following the UKs exit from the EU.

The report also said corrupted workers in the logistics and haulage industries, particularly complicit HGV drivers, could smuggle of drugs and smuggle irregular migrants.

Criminals view the island of Ireland as a single market, it said, while also exploiting the differing legal jurisdictions to evade law enforcement.

Despite the continuation of trade between Ireland and the UK under the post-Brexit Trade and Co-operation Agreement, it is highly likely that organised crime will take advantage of post-Brexit shifts in legitimate trade flows, including the additional direct roll-on/roll-off ferry routes between Ireland and continental Europe.

Drug smuggling into Ireland is dominated by Irish gangs. However, the report raised the possibility of foreign gangs attempting to take over the lucrative cocaine trade, as has happened in the UK.

The takeover of the British cocaine market by Albanian organised crime suggests that this could take place through undercutting existing suppliers with cheaper, high-purity product, initially at least using lower-level Irish criminals for local distribution and retail sales.

This scenario remains unlikely while major Irish gangs control the Irish market, but dismantling or disrupting these groups could create a vacuum which may be exploited by non-Irish criminals, it said.

Despite changing methods of drug smuggling, the county lines phenomenon seen in the UK where criminals use vulnerable people and children to traffic drugs from cities to towns and villages has not yet taken hold in the Republic or Northern Ireland, the report found.

Criminals here do use vulnerable people for street sales but the county lines model is not currently a feature of retail markets.

Irish criminals have also been slow to embrace the use of cryptocurrency to launder and store wealth, it said, preferring instead to rely on cash.

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Brexit to significantly alter flow of illegal drugs into Ireland, says think tank - The Irish Times

It is not possible to completely nullify the pressures on energy prices, a Cabinet minister has said, as demonstrators gather across the country over the cost-of-living crisis.

It comes as a group claims that Brexit is partly to blame for the rise in energy prices.

But Northern Ireland Secretary Brandon Lewis said the Government is looking across the board at what were doing with the publics money, and will put in the support that we can, as and when we can to ease the sting of rising prices.

The Peoples Assembly said it expects thousands of protesters to take to the streets in dozens of locations throughout the UK to highlight those suffering real hardships due to the combination of a hike in fuel and food costs, inflation and low pay.

Unions have complained that Chancellor Rishi Sunaks spring statement last week did nothing to allay fears about soaring fuel bills and rising inflation, with the TUC calling for an emergency budget to help families.

The lifting of the energy price cap on Friday will create an impossible choice for many, to eat or heat, said the Peoples Assembly.

A spokesperson for the campaign group said: Public outrage over the cost-of-living crisis is growing fast, and our response is gaining momentum.

Speaking to Sky News, Mr Lewis said the Government cannot completely nullify the impacts of global pressure on energy prices, but ministers will put in supportive measures where possible.

I know, even this week, where I live were on oil-fired heating, Ive seen that change directly in the price of oil and actually the ability to get it, he said.

The UKs decision to wrench itself out of common European energy trading arrangements as part of Brexit is partly to blame for todays huge hike in energy bills, the Rejoin EU Party says.

The trade deal agreed by the UK and EU excludes Great Britain from the EUs Internal Energy Market, leaving it relying on less efficient and more costly cross-border electricity trading arrangements than those available to EU member states.

The UK has lost much of its control of prices by surrendering its ability to take part in European-level energy auctions that decide the cost of fuel.

While Brexit is not the only factor responsible for the increases, it has removed a major lever available to the government to ease the burden.

Households face a 54% rise in energy bills from today, April 1st, adding around an extra 700 to the average households annual gas and electricity bill. Prices are expected to rise further in six months time, leaving millions of people potentially struggling to make ends meet.

Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and the Vote Leave campaign claimed fuel bills would be lower for everyone following Brexit. Instead, bills have risen exponentially.

Meanwhile, the EUs recently announced deal with the US to import an extra 15bn cubic metres of US liquefied natural gas this year will help reduce European reliance on Russian gas imports but excludes the UK due to Brexit, removing a means to increase UK energy security at a time when Vladimir Putin is using energy as a bargaining chip in his invasion of Ukraine.

John Stevens, former Conservative MEP and energy investor and now supporter of the Rejoin EU Party, said: Brexit has excluded the UK from joint EU energy policy and from the recent deal between the EU and the US on liquefied natural gas imports.

Taken together, this means UK energy prices will be higher than in the EU, with all which that implies for our prosperity.

It also means the cause of independence in Scotland will be substantially strengthened, as England will become more dependent on Scottish energy sources both carbon and renewable than at any time since the heyday of North Sea oil. To keep the lights on and the country together, we have to re-join the EU.

Related: What people are experiencing is intolerable: Protests take place across UK over cost-of-living crisis

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Brexit: Hike in energy bills partly due to leaving EU, its claimed - The London Economic

Getting Brexit done. Investing in our public services and infrastructure. Supporting workers and families. Strengthening the Union. Unleashing Britains potential.

The Conservatives offer a future in which we get Brexit done, and then move on to focus on our priorities which are also your priorities.

Because more important than any one commitment in this manifesto is the spirit in which we make them. Our job is to serve you, the people. To deliver on the instruction you gave us in 2016 to get Brexit done. But then to move on to making the UK an even better country to investing in the NHS, our schools, our people and our towns.

We will build a Britain in which everyone has the opportunity to make the most of their talents. We will ensure that work will always pay. We will create a fair society, in which everyone always contributes their fair share.

So that together, led by Boris Johnson, we can get Brexit done, and move on to unleash the full potential of this great country.

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Our Plan - Conservative Party

It was always inevitable that Brexit would have an impact on UK trade with the rest of Europe, chancellor Rishi Sunak has admitted.

Mr Sunak agreed that it might well be the case that the slump in trade intensity experienced by the UK compared to other leading economies has been caused by the fact that Britain was the only one of them to go through Brexit.

The chancellors comments came after the Office for Budget Responsibility published research suggesting that the UKs trade intensity has tumbled by around 15 per cent as a result of leaving the EU.

They represent one of the clearest admissions yet from Boris Johnsons pro-Brexit administration that EU withdrawal was bound to reduce the UKs commercial relationship with its closest trading partners.

Figures published by the OBR alongside last weeks mini-budget showed the UKs goods export volume falling dramatically at the start of 2020 as Brexit came into effect, and failing to recover as quickly as other advanced economies from the Covid pandemic.

In stark contrast to the promises of Leave campaigners at the time of the 2016 referendum, the OBR said it was clear that trade deals struck so far with the rest of the world were not of a sufficient scale to offset the fall-off in commerce with the EU.

Speaking to the House of Commons Treasury Committee, Mr Sunak said it was difficult to disentangle the impact of Brexit on trade from the blow delivered by the Covid pandemic.

But he told the cross-party panel of MPs: It was always inevitable that there would be a change in our trade intensity with Europe as a result of a change in the trading relationship. That was expected and unsurprising.

The committees Conservative chair, former Treasury minister Mel Stride, said that the OBR figures show that theres been a slump in the level of our trade with the EU and that, while other countries trade flows had recovered strongly from the Covid pandemic, the UKs had stayed down.

Doesnt that tell you that the main distinction between ourselves and them is that we went through Brexit and they did not? asked Mr Stide.

The chancellor replied: It might well be, Im just saying its too early to be definitive.

Mr Sunak rejected suggestions that the UK economy had become more closed as a result of Brexit, saying that the governments intention was to open up trade with other parts of the world.

But Mr Stride responded: Thats an aspiration, but the reality appears not.

Mr Sunak replied: Trading relationships take time. They dont happen overnight. So I think that of course that will happen over a period of time.

Mr Stride said that a delay in replacing lost European trade could hit UK productivity and living standards.

If it remains the case that these new deals dont float our boats up very quickly and we stay down roughly where we are and we are a more closed economy, what concerns would you have around that, particularly around our mission to try and improve productivity and living standards? he asked the chancellor.

Mr Sunak replied that the assumption of declining trade with the EU was already built into OBR forecasts.

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Trade hit from Brexit was always inevitable, Rishi Sunak tells MPs - The Independent

Writing in the Brussels Times, EU advisors Alexandre Krauss and Nuno Wahnon-Martins referred to

Turkey's position in NATO and Ankara's bid to join the European Union.

Turkey's potential membership of the Brussels bloc played a somewhat significant role in the UK's 2016 Brexit referendum.

In a pamphlet produced by the Vote Leave campaign, Brexiteers warned Turkey was among five countries "lined up to join" the EU.

A separate poster said: "Turkey, population 76million, is joining the EU. Vote Leave - Take Back Control."

Even Boris Johnson, who proudly talks about his Turkish ancestry, made comments about Ankara's bid.

Speaking to then BBC host Andrew Marr, the Prime Minister said: "Frankly I don't mind whether Turkey joins the EU, provided the UK leaves the EU."

He added: "It is the Government's policy that Turkey should join the EU."

However, Mr Johnson has since denied making any remarks about Ankara's plans to join the Brussels bloc.

Writing about Turkey, Mr Krauss and Mr Wahnon-Martins said: "It is almost two decades since Recep Tayyip Erdoan became Turkeys strongest political actor.

"[It] all started with a then committed Prime Minister bridging and enhancing Turkeys challenging relations with the European Union seeking, ultimately, the golden prize an EU membership."

They added: "However, corruption, freedoms obliteration or democratic backlashing followed by an unprecedented purge across Turkeys military, judicial and bureaucratic dimensions after a failed coup, helped to flatten what Erdogan had achieved over one decade at the eyes of Turkeys international partners."

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Brexit: Furious row over eating INSECTS as companies fear being shut down - Express

More than 7,000 finance jobs have moved from London to the EU as a result of Brexit, down 400 from the total anticipated in December, the consultants EY have said

While the total is well down on the 12,500 job moves forecast by firms in 2016, when Britain voted to leave the bloc, more could follow, EY said in its latest Brexit tracker.

EY said that new local hires linked to Brexit totalled 2,900 across Europe, and 2,500 in Britain, where just over 1 million people work in the financial services sector.

Further relocations could result from European Central Bank checks on whether Brexit hubs in the EU opened by banks that used London as their European base had sufficient staff to justify their new licences, EY said.

The Bank of England is scrutinising these to avoid banks in London being left with too few senior staff.

Staff and operational moves across European financial markets will continue as firms navigate ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, post-pandemic dynamics and regulatory requirements, Omar Ali, the EMEIA financial services leader at EY, said.

Dublin is the most popular destination for staff relocations and new hubs, followed by Luxembourg, Frankfurt and Paris.

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EY said Paris scored highest in terms of attracting jobs from London, totalling 2,800, followed by Frankfurt at about 1,800, and Dublin with 1,200.

The transfer of assets from London to EU hubs remains about 1.3tn, EY said. It added that Brexit staff moves were part of a broader view of strategic business drivers and operating models.

Bankers have said privately that in the longer term, it may not make commercial sense to have big hubs in London and the EU.

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Brexit: more than 7,000 finance jobs have left London for EU, EY finds - The Guardian

According to the latest data release from Eurostat the European Commissions official statistical branch exports to the United Kingdom grew more between 2021 and 2022 than any other country, making Brexit Britain arguably the EUs most important growing trading partner.

The data shows that only the United States spent more onEUgoods and services for that period, but the rate of growth was slightly slower, showing the potential for further growth in trade with the UK.

The figures show that, in January 2021, the EU exported 18.5billion (15.6billion) from the UK, but by January 2022, that figure had risen to 23.3billion (19.6billion), a leap of 25.9 percent.

Comparatively, the US spent 28.2billion (23.7billion) on EU goods in January 2021, and 35.4billion (29.8billion) in January 2022, a growth of 25.5 percent.

On imports, the figures are even more startling.

In January 2021, EU imports from the UK measured at 6.5billion (5.4billion), and by January 2022, that figure had grown a staggering 112.3 percent to 13.8billion (11.6billion).

EU imports from its main trading partners were up across the board, the figures show.

In terms of net worth, the largest chunk of imported goods comes from China, a trend which has been evident for many years, with 50billion (42.1billion) worth of goods imported in January 2022.

But in terms of import growth, the UK was second only to Norway for the 2021/22 period, with Norway seeing a 160 percent increase in imports to the EU.

READ MORE:Brexit: Furious row over eating INSECTS

Dr Robin Niblett, director of the UKs leading foreign policy think tank, Chatham House, criticised Prime Minister Boris Johnson for his role in the animosity between the nations.

Dr Niblett said that continuing to fuel a fractious relationship with this major neighbouring institution carries clear risks for the UKs economy.

He said that inconsistencies in the pursuit of new trade deals have opened the Government up to damaging accusations of hypocrisy and are out of step with the UKs role as a champion of liberal democratic governance.

He added: As a newly minted solo power that is still reintroducing itself on the world stage, justifiable accusations of double standards and evidence of hypocrisy will be deeply damaging.

There will be no more precious asset in the future for Britains influence in the world than a reputation for consistency.

Meanwhile, separate data has shown that the UKs goods exports have underperformed when compared to the rest of the globe for the same period.

Last week, the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, known as the CPB, published its world trade monitor, which incorporates data from the Office for National Statistics in the UK.

The report showed that the volume of UK goods exports fell 14 percent in the three months to January 2022, in stark contrast to the global average of an 8.2 percent increase over the same period.

The analysis also showed that the UK was underperforming over the long term as it was the only country tracked by the CPB where goods exports remained below the 2010 average.

Commenting on the trends, the UKs Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said this week that the UK lagged behind the domestic economic recovery and had missed out on much of the recovery in global trade.

As a result, the UK had become a less trade-intensive economy, which was expected to knock out 4 per cent of its productivity over the next 15 years, it added.

The OBR noted that none of the new free trade agreements or other regulatory changes announced so far would be sufficient to have a material impact on its forecasts for UK trade.

Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, said the UK trade data was complicated by changes in methodologies but the bigger picture [was] that exports [were] still struggling to recover from Brexit and the pandemic.

However, the UKs Brexit opportunities minister, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has sought to assure the public that negative impacts from Brexit were few and far between.

Asked about negative OBR forecasting in February, Mr Rees-Mogg told the BBC that Covid was to blame for the most enormous disruptions to supply chains".

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He added: "We've had containers simply being stuck in the wrong place, being stuck in Chinese ports, being stuck in the port of Los Angeles.

"This has been a global trade issue and we do have to recover from the problems of Covid".

Asked whether Brexit had reduced UK trade, he replied: "I think Brexit has been extremely beneficial for the country.

"I think the evidence that Brexit has caused trade drops is few and far between."

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Brexit Britain is VITAL to a flourishing EU: New figures reveal startling trade realities - Express

The Lib Dems passed a motion at their spring conference this month for the UK to rejoin the EU single market for free trade, calling for Government to stabilise the UK-EU relationship and strengthen ties of trust and friendship. The policy paper, backed by party leadership, states: The best option, bringing most benefits to the UK economy and society, is to seek to join the single market.

Liberal Democrats MP Layla Moran, spokesperson for Foreign Affairs, discussed the topic on Politics Live today.

She noted that trade has been disrupted as a result of a hard Brexit and attributed this to "the fact that we haven't got a trading relationship that is giving us best value for money in this country.

Last week, the Office for Budget Responsibility the UKs fiscal watchdog released its latest fiscal output report, which forecasts that Britains independence from the EU will continue lead to a 15 percent fall in trade.

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak said it was too early to be definitive on the exact cause for falling trade.

He said it was inevitable that changing the relationship with the EU would impact trade flows.

The Liberal Democrats claim that rejoining the single market would give the UK full access to the European Economic Area, reintroduce freedom of movement and resolve the Northern Ireland Brexit deal.

Ms Moran added that the UK rejoining the single market was part of a four-step plan which would not come into effect until a generations time.

So what do YOU think? Should the UK rejoin the single market from outside the EU?. Vote in our poll and join the debate in the comment section below.

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Brexit poll: Do YOU think the UK should rejoin the EU single market? - Express

More than two million EU citizens and their families hold a temporary immigration status that could see them lose their UK residence rights and be removed from the country, Oxford academics have warned.

A new report from Oxford Universitys Migration Observatory has sounded the alarm on pre-settled status, which requires people to reapply within five years or become irregular migrants.

The status was given to people who were resident in the UK before the end of free movement in December 2020, but who could not produce evidence that they had been in the country for more than five years by that point.

People who do not reapply in time will lose their right to live, work, access housing and claim benefits and they could be removed by the Home Office.

But the researchers say many people are likely to be unaware of their situation and that the design of the scheme presents challenges for stopping people falling under the radar.

People often look at the fact that over five million EU citizens have applied successfully to the EU Settlement Scheme, and assume that the job is basically done. It isnt, said Dr Marina Fernandez-Reino, senior researcher at the Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford and author of the report.

For some of the two million people with pre-settled status, the process will actually be harder than it was the first time around

While most applicants will find the process very straightforward, more vulnerable groups could struggle. Over the past three years, the evidence has become clear that some people find it much harder to engage with the scheme, including such as victims of abuse, people with poor English skills, or those with health problems.

Many of the same groups will struggle to secure permanent status, especially if there is less support available to them in the coming years.

The five-year requirement was imposed by the government for full settled status despite Brexiteers promising that nothing would change for EU citizens during the Brexit referendum.

The researchers warn that the second application to move out of pre-settled status is more onerous than the initial application because it requires more documentation and that there is uncertainty about the level of support available to people.

Crucially, they point out that unlike under the original settlement deadline, every individuals deadline will be different under this phase of the scheme presenting difficulties for public awareness campaigns.

A system with two different status outcomes instead of one inevitably increases the complexity of the scheme and the risk that some people fail to understand the differences between the two statuses, including the need to reapply if they hold pre-settled status, the report says.

It adds: Some applicants will not be aware of their pre-settled status expiry date nor their settled status eligibility date, however.

In fact, support organisations interviewed for this project expressed concerns that some of those receiving pre-settled status have not properly understood that it was temporary and that they needed to apply a second time to be permanent residents.

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Brexit legal status leaves two million people at risk of deportation - The Independent