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Monthly Archives: February 2022
UCF Lands New Project to Study Effect of Rain on Hypersonic Travel – UCF
Posted: February 5, 2022 at 5:04 am
University of Central Florida researchers are part of a new $1 million project funded by the Air Force Office of Scientific Research to better understand and predict how and why raindrops are affected when they cross a hypersonic shock wave.
Hypersonic speeds are those at Mach 5 and higher, or five times greater than the speed of sound. The U.S. is currently working on developing hypersonic systems for defense and travel.
The new project is important because colliding with something as light as a single raindrop could cause a lot of damage at hypersonic speeds. The work will inform researchers as to whether or not the raindrop maintains its single droplet form or breaks up into tens of much smaller droplets.
If you have a rain droplet with a tenth of an inch diameter and you hit it at Mach 8, it can create a load as heavy as the weight of an elephant, says Michael Kinzel, project co-investigator and an assistant professor in UCFs Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering. So, you cant put an elephant on the wing of an aircraft, and itll support it, right? Its a huge load. And these would be hitting all over parts of the vehicle.
Knowing the impact of different size raindrops on hypersonic aircraft and rockets will help predict when to fly, as light rainstorms may not affect travel as much as heavy storms.
The researchers want to narrow down what conditions make for safe hypersonic travel through rain. The knowledge could prevent damage and improve the accuracy of hypersonic rockets launched through rain and clouds, Kinzel says.
This work will help lead to structural integrity when designing hypersonic vehicles, Kinzel says. And it develops a framework to understand how to design in that context as well as understand limitations of hypersonic flight with respect to some weather conditions.
Kinzel will work to model the effects of raindrops on hypersonic travel by using computer simulations.
Subith Vasu, a professor in UCFs Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering and co-investigator, will perform experiments using a shock tube to study the effects of hypersonic shock waves on droplets, such as behavior and timescale of breakup.
Unique test facilities combined with state-of-the-art optical and laser diagnostic systems will be used to understand the interaction of droplet and shock wave, Vasu says.
The work is important for deterrence and the national security of the United States, and we are proud to be involved in this prestigious effort, Vasu says. The knowledge gained from hypersonics research could have other applications as well, including space exploration.
Boston University is leading the project and will be working closely with Kinzel and Vasu to understand droplet behavior when impacted at hypersonic speeds. UCF will be receiving about $560,000 for the three-year project. UCF will be collaborating with engineers and scientists from the Air Force Research Laboratory and Lockheed Martin, both closely involved in the development of a variety of hypersonic vehicles.
The project further highlights UCFs expertise in the area of hypersonic propulsion.
Kinzel received his doctorate in aerospace engineering from Pennsylvania State University and joined UCF in 2018. In addition to being a member of UCFs Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, a part of UCFsCollege of Engineering and Computer Science, he also works with UCFsCenter for Advanced Turbomachinery and Energy Research.
Vasu received his doctorate in mechanical engineering from Stanford University and joined UCFs Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering in 2012. He is a member of UCFs Center for Advanced Turbomachinery and Energy Research, is an associate fellow of the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics and a member of the International Energy Agencys Task Team on Energy. Vasu is a recipient of DARPAs Directors Fellowship, DARPA Young Faculty award, the Young Investigator grant from the Defense Threat Reduction Agency, American Chemical Societys Doctoral New Investigator, American Society of Mechanical Engineers Dilip Ballal Early Career award, and the Society of Automotive Engineers SAE Ralph R. Teetor Educational award. He has received many of the highest honors at UCF including the UCF Luminary and Reach for the Stars awards.
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UCF Lands New Project to Study Effect of Rain on Hypersonic Travel - UCF
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Three Strathclyde projects win funding to support sustainable future of space – University of Strathclyde
Posted: at 5:04 am
Three projects at the University of Strathclyde to tackle the problem of space debris have won funding of more than 500,000 from the UK Space Agency.
A total of 1.7m of funding for 13 projects was announced by UK Science Minister George Freeman during a visit to the Harwell Space Cluster in Oxfordshire where he was joined by Paul Bate, CEO of UK Space Agency.
Orbital congestion created by space debris is one of the biggest global challenges facing the space sector. There are currently an estimated 330 million pieces of space debris, including 36,500 objects bigger than 10cm, such as old satellites, spent rocket bodies and even tools dropped by astronauts orbiting Earth.
Space debris can stay in orbit for hundreds of years and present a real danger to the rapidly increasing number of new satellites being launched each year which provide vital services, including communications, banking and monitoring climate change.
The Strathclyde projects, which are being led by Professor Massimiliano Vasile and Dr Christie Maddock from the Aerospace Centre of Excellence (ACE), a multidisciplinary research group within the Department of Mechanical & Aerospace Engineering, are:
Professor Massimiliano Vasile, Director of ACE and project lead for HyperSST and AI4SST, said: We are delighted to have won funding from the UK Space Agency for these three projects which will help to ensure the sustainable use of space.
The future of space flight and satellite applications, our reliance on which will only grow, demands that we work hard to ensure to reduce the risks that orbital debris present. The Aerospace Centre of Excellence at Strathclyde is well-placed to play a leading role in promoting space sustainability alongside our global partners.
Dr Christie Maddock, who is the project lead for FASTFRAG, said: Addressing the risk of the atmospheric re-entry of space debris is progressively becoming more and more pressing due to the increase in the number of orbiting objects, the consequent higher frequency of re-entry and the need to ensure that any new satellite or spacecraft is operated safely throughout its life.
Science Minister George Freeman said: Like debris on Everest, the first generation of space exploration and satellite launch has left millions of pieces of dangerous satellite fragments and 4,000 redundant satellites in orbit.
As our reliance on satellites for everyday activity grows, and the UK becomes a leading hub of small satellite design, manufacturing and launch this year via Virgin Orbit in Cornwall, this debris now poses a serious threat to our 16 billion space sector.Thats why we have made debris mitigation and removal and the long-term importance of space sustainability key elements of our National Space Strategy.These projects will help put the UK at the forefront of both protecting the space environment for future activity, and accelerating UK technology leadership.
The UKs National Space Strategy has set out a bold vision for the sector and recognises the need for the country to lead in making space safe and sustainable. The new funding supports the development of underlying technology or data processing capabilities for space surveillance and trackingto support the removal of orbital debris.
In 2021 the UK Space Agency worked with the UN Office for Outer Space Affairs(UNOOSA) to supportthe next stage ofinternational efforts to promote space sustainability and provided funding to research a UK led mission to remove junk from space.
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Wow! Earth just found a new neighbour, a Trojan ASTEROID! It will stay here for 4000 years – HT Tech
Posted: at 5:04 am
Researchers have found the second Earth trojan asteroid and it is much larger than the first one.
11 years after the discovery of the first Earth trojan asteroid 2010 TK7, researchers have confirmed the existence of a second trojan asteroid for Earth. This new trojan asteroid has been named 2020 XL5 and it is three times larger than the first. Spread across a diameter of 1.2 kilometers, this asteroid can serve as the perfect space base to set out space exploration missions in the solar system. This discovery was made after observations from the Southern Astrophysical Research (SOAR) telescope, which is part of NOIRLabs Inter-American Observatory in Chile. Astronomers found the asteroid in 2020 by looking across the sky very close to the horizon at sunrise.
Finally, on February 1, 2022, researchers have published their findings and confirmed the existence of the 2nd trojan asteroid for Earth. So, what is a Trojan asteroid? A Trojan asteroid is an asteroid that travels around the Sun in another planets orbit. For Earth, these asteroids are often placed in Lagrange points. Lagrange points are gravitational spots between Earth and the Sun in Earths orbit where the force of both the bodies are equal and opposite and any space rock stuck there will move in the same orbit transfixed in the same position. Earth has 5 such Lagrange points which means there could be more trojan asteroids. However, these asteroids are very hard to spot due to odd angles of their location.
The asteroid was first discovered on December 12, 2020 by the Pan-STARRS1 survey telescope in Hawaii. But when it was first discovered, it was not known whether it was a near earth object (NEO) crossing our home planet or a trojan asteroid. To get a better understanding, the asteroid was tracked in SOARs archive footage from 2012 to 2019 and it was seen that the asteroid 2020 XL5 was in the same position throughout the years. This archival footage was part of its Dark Energy Survey and while that did not bear much results, it did lead to this astonishing discovery.
But what does this discovery mean for us? Well, its size has been the biggest reason to rejoice. With a diameter of 1.2 kilometers, the asteroid can support space missions and act as refueling point and can even be used as an observatory dedicated to further space exploration. While the potential is high, more observation and research on the asteroid 2020 XL5 will be needed before we can take another step in this direction.
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Nano satellite Market Size to Reach USD 1,336.9 Million in 2030 | Rise in Demand for Earth Observation Related Applications is a Key Factor Driving…
Posted: at 5:04 am
VANCOUVER, BC, Feb. 2, 2022 /PRNewswire/ --The global nano satellite market size was USD 220.4 Million in 2020. Increase in number of space exploration missions in recent years, lower cost of launching as compared to conventional satellites, and rise in investment by key market players are major factors driving market revenue growth.
Drivers: Advancements in space technologies
Advancements in satellite miniaturization coupled with development and deployment of more innovative technologies are other key factors expected to drive revenue growth of the market during the forecast period. Nano satellites are equipped with advanced devices such as accelerometer, which helps to measure speed of the satellite, and magnetometer, which provides a compass reading and detects magnetic fields. Nano satellites are also mounted with gyroscope, which measures and maintains orientation and angular velocity satellite, and a barometer to detect pressure, among others. These technologies enable nano satellite resources to work efficiently. Furthermore, rapid escalation in production and launch of nano satellites is expected to drive market revenue growth over the forecast period.
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Restraints: Stringent government regulations
Stringent government regulation is a major factor restraining growth of the global nano satellite market. Nano satellites often rideshare, either by secondary payloads on rockets for launching the large satellites, or for carrying cargo to the locations such as the International Space Station (ISS). These impose various restrictions to nano satellite integration and launch schedules, including orbit destinations, and loss of flexibility for the subsystems in nano satellites.
Growth Projections
The global nano satellite market size is expected to reach USD 1,336.9 Million in 2030 and register a revenue CAGR of 20.4% over the forecast period, according to the latest report by Emergen. Increasing adoption of miniaturization technologies across civil, commercial, and military sectors, and increasing initiatives of academic institutions, private companies, and space agencies to launch new nanosatellite missions are key factors driving global nano satellite market revenue growth.
COVID-19 Direct Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic had an adverse effect on market growth.Lack of funds from private investors and government along with technological challenges have resulted in slow development of nano satellites. The COVID-19 pandemic had led to implementation of stringent lockdown regulations across several countries, which resulted in disrupted supply chain of aeronautical parts and delayed the launch of various satellites.However, many large companies have been able to recover after the pandemic; however small and medium size enterprises are still in the process.
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Current Trends and Innovations
Advancements in satellite technologies such as advanced ground systems, in-orbit services, advanced payload systems, and others is boosting growth of the nano satellite market. Advancements in tracking, telemetry, and command-to-control satellites is making ground systems a top satellite technology trend. Ground stations use Radiofrequency (RF) communication terminals, electronically steered, and phased-array antennas to track satellites with minimal human intervention. Moreover, increase in satellite constellations requires modern inter-satellite links for coordination of constellation movement. For this, smart RF and optical communication technologies are used for better in-orbit relays in upstream and downstream data transfer. This innovation will prove very useful in boosting development of nano satellites.
Geographical Outlook
Market in Europe accounted for moderate revenue share in 2020, which is expected to expand at a rapid rate during the forecast period. Countries in Europe are more developed in terms of advanced technologies, and companies are investing substantially in development of nano satellite technologies, which is creating opportunities for nano satellite providers and boosting market growth.
Market in North America accounted for largest revenue share in 2020 and is expected to register a rapid rate over the forecast period. The U.S. launches a vast number of nano satellites for various applications such as observation of the Earth and remote sensing, mapping and navigation, communications, and military operations. The number of launches is expected to increase in the near future owing to increased defense spending and need to upgrade communication networks and links.
Strategic Initiatives
In March 2021, NASA announced the launch of new inexpensive variants of the nano satellite under its CubeSat Launch Initiative (CSLI), which will provide opportunities for smaller satellite payloads built by small non-profit organizations, high schools, and universities to fly on upcoming satellite launches. NASA provides these CubeSat developers a cost-effective pathway through innovative technology partnerships for conducting technology demonstrations and scientific investigations in space. Similar initiatives by other space industry giants is expected to support market growth.
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Some Key Highlights From the Report
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Emergen Research has segmented the global nano satellite market on the basis of mass, application, end-use, and region:
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Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic: lessons towards a more effective response to public health emergencies – Globalization and Health – Globalization…
Posted: at 5:02 am
Heterogeneity of COVID-19 cases and deaths around the world: what can explain it?
Table1 indicates that the pandemic of COVID-19 is heterogeneous around regions of the world. Figure1 also shows that there is a strong and significant correlation between HDI and globalisation (with an increase in trade and tourism as proxy indicators) and a corresponding strong and significant correlation with COVID-19 burden.
Human development index and its correlates associated with COVID-19 in 189 countries*
Globalisation and pandemics interact in various ways, including through international trade and mobility, which can lead to multiple waves of infections [11]. In at least the first waves of the pandemic, countries with high import and export of consumer goods, food products and tourism have high number of cases, severe cases, deaths and CFRs. Countries with high HDI are at a higher risk of importing (and exporting) COVID-19 due to high mobility linked to trade and tourism, which are drivers of the economy. These may have led to multiple introductions of COVID-19 into these countries before border closures.
The COVID-19 pandemic was first identified in China, which is central to the global network of trade, from where it spread to all parts of the world, especially those countries with strong links with China [12]. The epidemic then spread to Europe. There is very strong regional dimension to manufacturing and trading, which could be facilitate the spread of the virus. China is the heart of Factory Asia; Italy is in the heart of Factory Europe; the United States is the heart of Factory North America; and Brazil is the heart of Factory Latin America [13]. These are the countries most affected by COVID-19 during the first wave of the pandemic [2, 3, 14].
It is also important to note that two-third of the countries currently reporting more than a million cases are middle-income countries (MICs), which are not only major emerging market economies but also regional political powers, including the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa) [3, 15]. These countries participate in the global economy, with business travellers and tourists. They also have good domestic transportation networks that facilitate the internal spread of the virus. The strategies that helped these countries to become emerging markets also put them at greater risk for importing and spreading COVID-19 due to their connectivity to the rest of the world.
In addition, countries with high HDI may be more significantly impacted by COVID-19 due to the higher proportion of the elderly and higher rates of non-communicable diseases. Figure 1 shows that there is a strong and significant correlation between HDI and demographic transition (high proportion of old-age population) and epidemiologic transition (high proportion of the population with non-communicable diseases). Countries with a higher proportion of people older than 65years and NCDs (compared to communicable diseases) have higher burden of COVID-19 [16,17,18,19,20]. Evidence has consistently shown a higher risk of severe COVID-19 in older individuals and those with underlying health conditions [21,22,23,24,25]. CFR is age-dependent; it is highest in persons aged 85years (10 to 27%), followed by those among persons aged 6584years (3 to 11%), and those among persons aged 55-64years (1 to 3%) [26].
On the other hand, regions and countries with low HDI have, to date, experienced less severe epidemics. For instance, as of January 12, 2022, the African region has recorded about 10.3 million cases and 233,000 deaths far lower than other regions of the world (Table 1) [27]. These might be due to lower testing rates in Africa, where only 6.5% of the population has been tested for the virus [14, 28], and a greater proportion of infections may remain asymptomatic [29]. Indeed, the results from sero-surveys in Africa show that more than 80% of people infected with the virus were asymptomatic compared to an estimated 40-50% asymptomatic infections in HICs [30, 31]. Moreover, there is a weak vital registration system in the region indicating that reports might be underestimating and underreporting the disease burden [32]. However, does this fully explain the differences observed between Africa and Europe or the Americas?
Other possible factors that may explain the lower rates of cases and deaths in Africa include: (1) Africa is less internationally connected than other regions; (2) the imposition of early strict lockdowns in many African countries, at a time when case numbers were relatively small, limited the number of imported cases further [2, 33, 34]; (3) relatively poor road network has also limited the transmission of the virus to and in rural areas [35]; (4) a significant proportion of the population resides in rural areas while those in urban areas spend a lot of their time mostly outdoors; (5) only about 3% of Africans are over the age of 65 (so only a small proportion are at risk of severe COVID-19) [36]; (6) lower prevalence of NCDs, as disease burden in Africa comes from infectious causes, including coronaviruses, which may also have cross-immunity that may reduce the risk of developing symptomatic cases [37]; and (7) relative high temperature (a major source of vitamin D which influences COVID-19 infection and mortality) in the region may limit the spread of the virus [38, 39]. We argue that a combination of all these factors might explain the lower COVID-19 burden in Africa.
The early and timely efforts by African leaders should not be underestimated. The African Union, African CDC, and WHO convened an emergency meeting of all African ministers of health to establish an African taskforce to develop and implement a coordinated continent-wide strategy focusing on: laboratory; surveillance; infection prevention and control; clinical treatment of people with severe COVID-19; risk communication; and supply chain management [40]. In April 2021, African Union and Africa CDC launched the Partnerships for African Vaccine Manufacturing (PAVM), framework to expanding Africas vaccine manufacturing capacity for health security [41].
Figures 2 and 3 illustrate the variability of cases and deaths due to the COVID-19 pandemic across high-income countries (HICs). Contrary to the overall positive correlation between high HDI and cases, deaths and fatality rates due to COVID-19, there are outlier HICs, which have been able to control the epidemic. Several HICs, such as New Zealand, Australia, South Korea, Japan, Denmark, Iceland, and Norway, managed to contain their epidemics (Figs. 2 and 3) [15, 42, 43]. It is important to note that most of these countries (especially the island states) have far less cross-border mobility than other HICs.
Scatter plot of COVID-19 cases per million population in countries with high human development index (>0.70)
Scatter plot of COVID-19 deaths per million population in countries with high human development index (>0.70)
HICs that have been successful at controlling their epidemics have similar characteristics, which are related to governance of the response [44], synergy between UHC and GHS, and existing relative socio-economic equity in the country. Governance and leadership is a crucial factor to explain the heterogeneity of the epidemic among countries with high HDI [45]. There has been substantial variation in the nature and timing of the public health responses implemented [46]. Adaptable and agile governments seem better able to respond to their epidemics [47, 48]. Countries that have fared the best are the ones with good governance and public support [49]. Countries with an absence of coherent leadership and social trust have worse outcomes than countries with collective action, whether in a democracy or autocracy, and rapid mobilisation of resources [50]. The erosion of trust in the United States government has hurt the countrys ability to respond to the COVID-19 crisis [51, 52]. The editors of the New England Journal of Medicine argued that the COVID-19 crisis has produced a test of leadership; but, the leaders in the United States had failed that test [47].
COVID-19 has exposed the fragility of health systems, not only in the public health and primary care, but also in acute and long-term care systems [49]. Fragmentation of health systems, defined here to mean inadequate synergy and/ or integration between GHS and UHC, is typical of countries most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Even though GHS and UHC agendas are convergent and interdependent, they tend to have different policies and practices [53]. The United States has the highest index for GHS preparedness; however, it has reported the worlds highest number of COVID-19 cases and deaths due to its greatly fragmented health system [54, 55]. Countries with health systems and policies that are able to integrate International Health Regulations (IHR) core capacities with primary health care (PHC) services have been effective at mitigating the effects of COVID-19 [50, 53]. Australia has been able to control its COVID-19 epidemic through a comprehensive primary care response, including protection of vulnerable people, provision of treatment and support services to affected people, continuity of regular healthcare services, protection and support of PHC workers and primary care services, and provision of mental health services to the community and the primary healthcare workforce [56]. Strict implementation of public health and social intervention together with UHC systems have ensured swift control of the epidemics in Singapore, South Korea, and Thailand [57].
The heterogeneity of cases and deaths, due to COVID-19, is also explained by differences in levels of socio-economic inequalities, which increase susceptibility to acquiring the infection and disease progression as well as worsening of health outcomes [58]. COVID-19 has been a stress test for public services and social protection systems. There is a higher burden of COVID-19 in Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic individuals due to socio-economic inequities in HICs [59, 60]. Poor people are more likely to live in overcrowded accommodation, are more likely to have unstable work conditions and incomes, have comorbidities associated with poverty and precarious living conditions, and reduced access to health care [59].
The epidemiology of COVID-19 is also variable across MICs, with HDI between 0.70 and 0.85, around the world. Overall, the epidemic in MICs is exacerbated by the rapid demographic and epidemiologic transitions as well as high prevalence of obesity. While India and Brazil witnessed rapidly increasing rates of cases and deaths, China, Thailand, Vietnam have experienced a relatively lower disease burden [15]. This heterogeneity may be attributed to a number of factors, including governance, communication and service delivery. Thailand, China and Vietnam have implemented a national harmonized strategic response with decentralized implementation through provincial and district authorities [61]. Thailand increased its testing capacity from two to over 200 certified facilities that could process between 10,000 to 100,000 tests per day; moreover, over a million village health volunteers in Thailand supported primary health services [62, 63]. Chinas swift and decisive actions enabled the country to contain its epidemic though there was an initial delay in detecting the disease. China has been able to contain its epidemic through community-based measures, very high public cooperation and social mobilization, strategic lockdown and isolation, multi-sector action [64]. Overall, multi-level governance (effective and decisive leadership and accountability) of the response, together with coordination of public health and socio-economic services, and high levels of citizen adherence to personal protection, have enabled these countries to successfully contain their epidemics [61, 65, 66].
On the other hand, the Brazilian leadership was denounced for its failure to establish a national surveillance network early in the pandemic. In March 2020, the health minister was reported to have stated that mass testing was a waste of public funding, and to have advised against it [67]. This was considered as a sign of a collapse of public health leadership, characterized by ignorance, neoliberal authoritarianism [68]. There were also gaps in the public health capacity in different municipalities, which varied greatly, with a considerable number of Brazilian regions receiving less funding from the federal government due to political tension [69]. The epidemic has a disproportionate adverse burden on states and municipalities with high socio-economic vulnerability, exacerbated by the deep social and economic inequalities in Brazil [70].
India is another middle-income country with a high burden of COVID-19. It was one of the countries to institute strict measures in the early phase of the pandemic [71, 72]. However, the government eased restrictions after the claim that India had beaten the pandemic, which lead to a rapid increase in disease incidence. Indeed, on 12 January 2022, India reported 36 million cumulative cases and almost 485,000 total deaths [15]. The second wave of the epidemic in India exposed weaknesses in governance and inadequacies in the countrys health and other social systems [73]. The nature of the Indian federation, which is highly centripetal, has prevented state and local governments from tailoring a policy response to suit local needs. A centralized one-size-fits-all strategy has been imposed despite high variations in resources, health systems capacity, and COVID-19 epidemics across states [74]. There were also loose social distancing and mask wearing, mass political rallies and religious events [75]. Rapid community transmission driven by high population density and multigenerational households has been a feature of the current wave in India [76]. In addition, several new variants of the virus, including the UK (B.1.1.7), the South Africa (20H/501Y or B.1.351), and Brazil (P.1), alongside a newly identified Indian variant (B.1.617), are circulating in India and have been implicated as factors in the second wave of the pandemic [75, 76].
The pandemic is characterized by variable CFRs across regions and countries that are negatively associated with HDI (Fig.1). The results presented in Fig.4 show that the proportion of elderly population and rate of obesity are important factors which are positively associated with CFR. On the other hand, UHC, IHR capacity and other indicators of health systems capacity (health workforce density and hospital beds) are negatively associated with the CFR (Figs. 1 and 4).
Correlates of COVID-19 cases, deaths and case-fatality rates in 189 countries
The evidence from several research indicates that heterogeneity can be explained by several factors, including differences in age-pyramid, socio-economic status, access to health services, or rates of undiagnosed infections. Differences in age-pyramid may explain some of the observed variation in epidemic severity and CFR between countries [77]. CFRs across countries look similar when taking age into account [78]. The elderly and other vulnerable populations in Africa and Asia are at a similar risk as populations in Europe and Americas [79]. Data from European countries suggest that as high as 57% of all deaths have happened in care homes and many deaths in the US have also occurred in nursing homes. On the other hand, in countries such as Mexico and India, individuals <65years contributed the majority of deaths [80].
Nevertheless, CFR also depends on the quality of hospital care, which can be used to judge the health system capacity, including the availability of healthcare workers, resources, and facilities, which affects outcomes [81]. The CFR can increase if there is a surge of infected patients, which adds to the strain on the health system [82]. COVID-19 fatality rates are affected by numerous health systems factors, including bed capacity, existence and capacity of intensive care unit (ICU), and critical care resources (such as oxygen and dexamethasone) in a hospital. Regions and countries with high HDI have a greater number of acute care facilities, ICU, and hospital bed capacities compared to lower HDI regions and countries [83]. Differences in health systems capacity could explain why North America and Europe, which have experienced much greater number of cases and deaths per million population, reported lower CFRs than the Southern American and the African regions, partly also due to limited testing capacity in these regions (Table 1) [84,85,86]. The higher CFR in Southern America can be explained by the relatively lower health systems surge capacity that could not adequately respond to the huge demand for health services [69, 86]. The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted existing health systems weaknesses, which are not able to effectively prepare for and respond to PHEs [87]. The high CFRs in the region are also exacerbated by the high social inequalities [69].
On the other hand, countries in Asia recorded lower CFRs (~1.4%) despite sharing many common risk factors (including overcrowding and poverty, weak health system capacity etc) with Africa. The Asian region shares many similar protective factors to the African region. They have been able to minimize their CFR by suppressing the transmission of the virus and flattening the epidemic curve of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Nevertheless, the epidemic in India is likely to be different because it has exceeded the health system capacity to respond and provide basic medical care and medical supplies such as oxygen [88]. Overall, many Asian countries were able to withstand the transmission of the virus and its effect due to swift action by governments in the early days of the pandemic despite the frequency of travel between China and neighbouring countries such as Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore [89]. This has helped them to contain the pandemic to ensure case numbers remain within their health systems capacity. These countries have benefited from their experience in the past in the prevention and control of epidemics [90].
There are a number of issues with the use of the CFR to compare the management of the pandemic between countries and regions [91], as it does not depict the true picture of the mortality burden of the pandemic. A major challenge with accurate calculation of the CFR is the denominator on number of identified cases, as asymptomatic infections and patients with mild symptoms are frequently left untested, and therefore omitted from CFR calculations. Testing might not be widely available, and proactive contact tracing and containment might not be employed, resulting in a smaller denominator, and skewing to a higher CFR [82]. It is, therefore, far more relevant to estimate infection fatality rate (IFR), the proportion of all infected individuals who have died due to the infection [91], which is central to understanding the public health impact of the pandemic and the required policies for its prevention and control [92].
Estimates of prevalence based on sero-surveys, which includes asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic infections, can be used to estimate IFR [93]. In a systematic review of 17 studies, seroprevalence rates ranged from 0.22% in Brazil to 53% in Argentina [94]. The review also identified that the seroprevalence estimate was higher than the cumulative reported case incidence, by a factor between 1.5 times in Germany to 717 times in Iran, in all but two studies (0.56 times in Brazil and 0.88 times in Denmark) [94, 95]. The difference between seroprevalence and cumulative reported cases might be due to asymptomatic cases, atypical or pauci-symptomatic cases, or the lack of access to and uptake of testing [94]. There is only a modest gap between the estimated number of infections from seroprevalence surveys and the cumulative reported cases in regions with relatively thorough symptom-based testing. Much of the gap between reported cases and seroprevalence is likely to be due to undiagnosed symptomatic or asymptomatic infections [94].
It is important to note that the pandemic has significant collateral effects on the provision of essential health services, in addition to the direct health effects [96]. Disruptions in the provision of essential health services, due to COVID-19, were reported by nearly all countries, though it is more so in lower-income than higher-income countries [97, 98]. The biggest impact reported is on provision of day-to-day primary care to prevent and manage some of the most common health problems [99].
The causes of disruptions in service delivery were a mix of demand and supply factors [100]. Countries reported that just over one-third of services were disrupted due to health workforce-related reasons (the most common causes of service disruptions), supply chains, community mistrust and fears of becoming infected, and financial challenge s[101]. Cognizant of the disruptive effects of the pandemic, countries have reorganized their health system.
Countries with better response to COVID-19 have mobilized, trained and reallocated their health workforce in addition to hiring new staff, using volunteers and medical trainees and mobilizing retirees [102]. Several strategies have also been implemented to mitigate disruptions in service delivery and utilization, including: triaging to identify the most urgent patient needs, and postponing elective medical procedures; switching to alternative models of care, such as providing more home-based care and telemedicine [101].
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The rulers of the great powers are playing with fire – International Viewpoint
Posted: at 5:02 am
True, neither Moscow nor Washington has hinted at the use of nuclear weapons so far, although there can be no doubt that the two countries did put their nuclear arsenals on standby in the face of the current circumstances. It is also true that the level of military alert in America has not yet reached the level it reached in 1962. But Russian military build-up at the borders of Ukraine exceeds the levels of troop concentration at a European border witnessed in the warmest moments of the Cold War, while Western verbal escalation against Russia has reached a dangerous level accompanied by military gestures and preparations that create a real possibility of a conflagration.
The rulers of the great powers are playing with fire. Vladimir Putin may think that this is like moving queen and rook on a chessboard in order to force the opponent to withdraw their pieces; Joe Biden may believe that it is a suitable opportunity for him to repolish his domestic and international image, very much faded since his embarrassing failure in staging the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan; and Boris Johnson may believe that his governments pretentious bragging is a cheap way to divert attention from his domestic political problems. The fact remains, however, that events in such circumstances quickly acquire their own dynamics to the beat of the drums of wardynamics that surpass the control of all individual actors and risk triggering an explosion that none of the players had originally wanted.
The current tension between Russia and Western countries in Europe has reached a degree not seen on the continent since the Second World War. The first European war episodes witnessed since then, the Balkan wars in the 1990s, never reached the level of prolonged tension and alert between the great powers themselves that we are witnessing today. If a war were to break out as a result of the current tension, even if it initially raged only on Ukrainian soil, the central location and sheer size of Ukraine are enough to make the danger of the fire spreading to other European countries bordering Russia, as well as to the Caucasus and Central Asia, a grave and imminent danger.
The main cause of what is happening today relates to a series of developments, for which the first and major responsibility falls on the most powerful who had the initiativeand that is, of course, the United States. Since the Soviet Union entered terminal agony under Mikhail Gorbachev, and even more so under the first president of post-Soviet Russia, Boris Yeltsin, Washington behaved toward Russia like a merciless victor toward a vanquished, whom the victor wants to prevent from ever getting back on its feet. This translated in the expansion of US-dominated NATO by including countries that had previously belonged to the USSR-dominated Warsaw Pact, instead of dissolving the Western Alliance in parallel with its Eastern counterpart. It also translated in the West dictating an economic policy of shock therapy to Russias bureaucratic economy, provoking huge socio-economic crisis and collapse.
These premises are what most naturally led to the result that one of Gorbachevs most prominent advisersa former member of the Supreme Soviet and of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Soviet UnionGeorgi Arbatov, had warned against thirty years ago, when he predicted that Western policies toward Russia would lead to A New Cold War and the emergence of an authoritarian rule in Moscow reviving Russias old imperial tradition. This has actually happened with Putins ascension to power, representing the interests of the two most important blocs in the Russian capitalist economy (in which state capitalism and private interests are mingled): the military-industrial complexwhich employs a fifth of the Russian industrial labor force, in addition to the armed forces personneland the oil and gas sector.
The result was that Putins Russia is practicing a policy of military expansion that goes far beyond what prevailed during the time of the Soviet Union. Then, Moscow did not deploy combat forces outside the sphere that had fallen under its control by the end of World War II, until it invaded Afghanistan at the end of 1979, an invasion that precipitated the USSRs death agony. As for Putins Russia, after it regained economic vitality thanks to the increase in fuel prices since the turn of the century, it has intervened militarily outside its borders at a frequency comparable to that of US military interventions before the defeat in Vietnam, and between the first American war against Iraq in 1991 and the inglorious exit of US forces from that country twenty years later. Russias interventions and invasions are no longer confined to its near abroad, i.e. those countries adjacent to Russia, which were dominated by Moscow through the USSR or the Warsaw Pact. Post-Soviet Russia has intervened militarily in the Caucasus, especially in Georgia, in Ukraine and most recently in Kazakhstan. But it has also been waging a war is Syria since 2015 and intervening under a transparent cover in Libya and more recently in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Thus, between renewed Russian belligerence and continued US arrogance, the world finds itself on the brink of a disaster that could greatly accelerate the annihilation of humanity, to which our planet is moving by way of environmental degradation and global warming. We can only hope that reason will prevail and that the great powers will reach an agreement addressing Russias security concerns and recreating conditions for a renewed peaceful coexistence that would reduce the heat of the New Cold War and prevent it from turning into a hot war that would be a huge catastrophe for all of humanity.
Translated from the Arabic original published in Al-Quds al-Arabi, 25 January 2022.
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The rulers of the great powers are playing with fire - International Viewpoint
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Urban explorer sneaks on to top secret germ warfare base known as UKs Area 51 exposing security ris… – The Sun
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A MAN who calls himself an urban explorer managed to sneak on to a top secret germ warfare base known as Britains answer to Area 51.
Matthew Williams, 50, claims to have exposed a "huge security risk" after filming himself driving up to laboratories and Ministry of Defence (MoD) buildings.
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Williams has managed to access MoD living quarters, labs and training facilities at the Wiltshire facility which is known to hold deadly viruses and chemicals - such as Ebola, Novichok and Covid-19.
He also managed to get very detailed and close up pictures of the base on his drone, flying legally from public land, and posted all his footage on YouTube - however the MoD has denied there was any breach of security.
Im fascinated by the idea, with Covid and everything, that people could get that close because I think it is a threat to the security of the place, he told The Sun.
If a terrorist was to get in there, it would be a real problem. If somebody was to do something really irresponsible there, then you could end up having terrible sorts of germs, which would make Covid look like a childs birthday party, released out into the atmosphere.
They say theyve got viruses in that place which could kill life on the planet as we know it within a couple of weeks.
So for anyone to just be able to drive a car up and get so close you could have thrown a tennis ball at some of the buildings, it just beggars belief really.
Porton Down is a science park next to the village of Porton, near Salisbury which houses a site of the Ministry of Defences Defence Science and Technology (DSTL) lab and a Public Health England building.
It opened more than a hundred years ago to develop chemical weapons such as chlorine, mustard gas, and phosgene.
In more recent years, it has conducted tests on sarin and the Novichok nerve agent, responsible for the Salisbury poisonings in 2018.
The site has been the subject of much controversy and in 2006 the MoD paid out 3m to veterans who claimed they were given LSD without consent there in the 50s although they did not accept responsibility.
It is also the site of the death of Ronald Maddison who died during testing of the nerve agent sarin. Inquests in 2002 and 2004 found his death to have been unlawful and the MoD settled in 2006.
Williams, who says he was acting in the public interest and had no malicious intent, first visited the mysterious site late summer, where he drove freely for about 30 minutes without being stopped.
He released his footage from the first visit on his Youtube site, The Secret Vault, late last year.
A few days after releasing the footage, he decided to revisit the site with a friend, where he gained similar access but this time was stopped by police, who searched the pair and their vehicle, then let them go without charge.
In many ways, Im actually glad that they stopped us, because it shows that at least they had become aware that people were able to drive in that close, he said.
I had a conversation with them about it and said, Do you think its sensible that people can get this close? Realistically, wouldnt it be better to stop people further out so that you cant drive this close to the base?
And they didnt disagree with me. I told them, 'If my video does anything, I hope it makes people here think about the security and encourage them to either get more land to keep people away or more police to keep people further out.'
I still think that we were still too close. To this day, you can just drive straight up to some areas, some of the buildings there youre able to just drive your car next to.
What if terrorists drive a vehicle up there, laden with explosives?
Matthew also took some detailed footage of the base with his drone, flying legally and within existing restrictions - which he believes to be a second security risk.
During his research, he also claims to have discovered how the public can walk alongside a railway line running to one side of the base, gaining close access to the buildings on the base without any threat of arrest.
It seems like somebody has made a real mistake in the way that theyve designed this, having the railway track going so close and having no security on one side of the base and then saying, keep out on the other, Matthew said.
I believe that that is a huge security threat and they should really sequester that land and stop people getting that close.
"I think it's Porton Down's responsibility to request more airspace and more danger zones around the base to stop people flying drones so close."
The UK Health Security Agency, which recently took over from Public Health England, referred the matter to the MoD when contacted by The Sun.
A spokesman for the MoDs DSTL department said: We are aware of the incident and at no point was our site breached.
Footage was taken from the public road and outer boundary and the individual was quickly spotted and questioned by the MOD police.
Security remains a top priority for DSTL as we continue to provide the science to Defence and beyond.
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Iran endures: The Islamic Revolution at 43 – Tehran Times
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I state with certainty that Islam shall humiliate the superpowers.Imam Khomeini1
As the strength, status and significance of the erstwhile mighty United States continues to erode at an ever accelerating pace, the country seems intent upon locking itself into a three-way struggle with China and Russia that it cannot win.2 Against his geopolitical backdrop, the Islamic Republic of Iran has endured and is celebrating the 43rd anniversary of the victory of the Islamic Revolution, making a mockery of the plethora of western predictions of its imminent demise. Understanding this remarkable persistence Iran has displayed against all odds, as well as the endless efforts exerted by the arrogant powers, presents a conundrum for the West.
First of all, allow me to extend my congratulations to the Iranian people on this auspicious occasion commemorating the victory of the Islamic Revolution in Iran. Over four decades of independence from U.S. domination is quite an astonishing accomplishment, indeed, and not something that to date has been satisfactorily explained by western pundits. Undoubtedly, there are many factors to consider in any attempt to analyze this achievement: economic, military, social, political, geographic, educational, historical, and cultural, just to name a few. Exceeding all these in significance, however, are the religious or spiritual dimensions, namely those contained within Islam, which, in my opinion, is the weft on the shuttle passing through the warp on the loom of nationhood upon which the resilient national fabric of Iran has been woven.
The preeminence of Islam among the cohesive forces forming and maintaining the Iranian national identity and its longevity is often overlooked, discounted, downplayed or even denied in the secular-oriented West and, at best, is certainly not well understood. In most studies of the Islamic Revolution by western scholars, the political, social and economic factors are emphasized in order to conform to their cultural tendency towards placing the Islamic Revolution in a secular, socio-economic model of revolution. Some studies stress the J-curve of continuously rising expectations followed by a sharp economic decline, and others point to the malaise and disorientation produced by rapid social change.3 As these approaches yield unsatisfactory results even for understanding the dynamics of the Islamic Revolution itself, they fail all the more so to provide any insight whatsoever into the resiliency and endurance of the Islamic Republic of Iran. As a consequence, there has been a long list of predictions by western scholars of the imminent demise of the Islamic government. In fact, making such predictions has taken on the character of an annual exercise among western academics, although Irans longevity should in itself suffice to cause these scholars to rethink their axioms and assumptions.
Of course there are geopolitical factors that have contributed to the coherency of the Islamic Republic as well, such as the 8-year-long imposed war, which, much to the chagrin of the arrogant powers supporting the aggressor, triggered an outburst of national unity, volunteering spirit and self-sacrificing determination on the part of the Iranian people to secure their fledgling Islamic nation against the western-backed onslaught. It is Saddam Hussein who on behalf of America attacked us, Imam Khomeini noted on the first day of the war, and if we respond to him, it will never have anything to do with the Iraqi nation, which is our brother.4 Likewise, the economic sanctions, primarily imposed by the US for over the past 40 years, not only have failed to achieve the perpetrators nefarious geopolitical goals, but to the contrary, have compelled Iran to become a self-reliant nation, and, as a corollary, a formidable regional power.
Islam is the common thread tying together numerous nations in the West Asian region, and Irans version of Islamic government and revolution serve as a paradigm for others to follow, thus making Iran a natural for regional leadership. As one scholar noted, the Revolution brought forth a new system of government, an unprecedented design that struck an instant chord with Muslims worldwide.5 Among these countries are six of the fifteen nations of the former Soviet Union, namely Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, all of which have substantial Muslim populations that suffered some degree of persecution under the anti-Islamic policies of the communists. With the collapse of the Soviet Union, there was a renaissance of Islam in the 1990s in these countries, and people, including non-Muslims, were drawn to Islam for its teachings of establishing justice and fighting against oppression.6
Imam Khomeini had sent a letter to the former Soviet leader, Mikhail Gorbachev, in which he pointed out that the Islamic Republic of Iran as the greatest and most powerful base of the Islamic world can easily fill the vacuum of religious faith in Russia.7 As a result, Iran has found itself in a religious leadership role in the region for some three decades, propagating the teachings of true Mohammadan Islam to the eager masses. Naturally, the secularized west pushed back against this Islamic awakening with a two-pronged attack: On the one hand there was the godless globalization promulgated by the secular western capitalists, and on the other was the fanatical Wahhabi cult nurtured and funded by the Saudis who at the time were awash in petrodollars.8 The consensus seems to be that globalization marks a continuation of the basic dynamic of Western domination and hegemony dating back hundreds of years, states one author.9
Today, Iran has advanced far beyond the level of what might have been termed an itinerant nation-state preacher to that of an ascending power, replete with a diversifying economy,10 sophisticated technological capabilities and military prowess, 11 as well as diplomatic competence second to none in the West Asian region with the means and focus to realize any policy objective it sets for itself.12 China, itself rapidly advancing to superpower status and already outpacing the US by several benchmarks, has recognized the benefit of entering into a 25-year strategic cooperative agreement with Iran,13 effectively confirming the Islamic Republics ranking as a regional power. Adding to this is Irans recent admission to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, whose member countries include economic heavyweights China, Russia and India, and constitute one-third of the global land mass and one-quarter of the global GDP.14 The significance of this diplomatic accomplishment can be inferred by the fact that Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi passed on attending the UN General Assembly meeting in New York in September 2021 in favor of attending the SCO meeting in Dushanbe, Tajikistan.15
Irans courageous resistance against US hegemony is not simply laudable, but inspirational for peoples everywhere who are suffering from what might be termed postmodern, neocolonial oppression by the US and its allies. The devastation caused by the US in Afghanistan and Iraq, as well as Washingtons ongoing support for the Zionist regime, has underscored Irans regional importance and confirmed the Islamic Republics leading role in defending the weak against the powerful.16 The diplomatic successes mentioned previouslyadmission to the SCO, the 25-year cooperative agreement with Chinaalong with the countrys military triumphs in defeating the western-backed, takfiri terrorists in Syria and Iraq, broadcast a strong message of the power of Islamic resistance to the World at large. Furthermore, Irans unwavering support for both Shiah and Sunni Islamic resistance movements, for example Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Palestine,17 sends a loud and clear message of Muslim unity to the arrogant powers, effectively countering and nullifying their efforts to create and exploit sectarian fault lines.
Virtually unmentioned in the western corporate media is that Iran, since the time of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979, has hosted millions of refugees fleeing their homelands due to protracted wars and conflict. As a result of the Iranian governments progressive and inclusive humanitarian policies, which include access to health, education and employment opportunities, over 90 percent of these refugees live in host communities side by side with Iranians.18 Compare this with the treatment of Afghan refugees in the US where a scant 125,000 are anticipated to be resettled in the fiscal year from October 1, 2021 to September 30, 202219 following the September 2021 Kabul withdrawal debacle, joining the approximate 130,000 Afghans currently residing there.20
Instead of access to health, education and employment opportunities as in Iran, these new refugees to the US are confronted with demeaning Islamophobic vitriol, and even suspected of being terrorists. One Republican lawmaker from Texas even referred to the Afghan resettlement program as a Trojan horse for terrorism; others have suggested that applicants for asylum be required to renounce Islam and Sharia;21 at least one has demanded a moratorium on resettlement activity. As of late last year, some 20,000 Afghans remained housed at five US military bases with almost 10,000 at Joint Base McGuire-Dix-Lakehurst in New Jersey.22 I have heard from one reliable source involved in resettlement activities that Afghan children are being separated from their families. Such is how the oppressed Afghans, who are victims of Washingtons geopolitical machinations, are being welcomed to the US.
It is critical that we defend the cultural and ideological citadels of Islam with all our hearts and with utmost bravery, wrote Ayatollah Mohammad-Taqi Rahbar in April 2014, and these are none other than the spiritual dimensions of the Islamic Revolution.23 Congratulations once again to Iranians and Muslims worldwide on this momentous occasion, but even as we celebrate this 43rd year of victory, we must remain perpetually prepared to defend the Revolution against the enemies satanic plots against Islam and Iran.
Endnotes
1 Ayatollah Mohammad-Taqi Rahbar, Spiritual Dimensions of the Islamic Revolution of Iran, trans. Blake Archer Williams (Lion of Najaf, 2017), 13.
2 Allan Behm, The decline of US global leadership: Power without authority, The Interpreter, Lowy Institute, October 7, 2019, accessed January 31, 2022, https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/decline-us-global-leadership-power-without-authority.
3 Said Amir Arjomand, The Turban for the Crown (New York: Oxford University Press, 1988), 110.
4 Behnam Ben Taleblu, The Iran-Iraq War: It Still Haunts the Middle East To This Day, The National Interest, May 15, 2019, accessed January 31, 2022, https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/iran-iraq-war-it-still-haunts-middle-east-day-57697.
5 Niloufar Lily Sarafan, The Evolving Nexus between Islam and Iran, Stanford University, Honors Research in Iran, Summer 2001, accessed January 31, 2022, https://web.stanford.edu/class/e297a/Islam%20and%20Iran.htm.
6 Enayatollah Yazdani, Globalization and the Role of Islam in the post-Soviet Central Asia, Alternatives: Turkish Journal of International Relations 8 (2009): 5, accessed January 30, 2022, https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/19529.
7 Amin Saikal, Iran Risisng: The Survival and Future of the Islamic Republic (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2019), 79.
8 Michael R. Dillon, Wahhabism is it a factor in the spread of global terrorism? (MA Thesis, Naval Post Graduate School, 2002) 56, accessed January 30, 2022, https://nps.edu/documents/105988371/107571254/DillonWahhabismThesis.pdf/23fc46fb-17a6-41da-83b8-8e312191b5bb.
9 Mark Levine, Muslim Responses to Globalization, SIM Newsletter, International Institute for the Study of Islam in the Modern World 10 (2002): 37-39, accessed January 31, 2022, https://scholarlypublications.universiteitleiden.nl/access/item%3A2730009/view.
10 Overview: Islamic Republic of Iran, The World Bank, March 30, 2021, accessed January 31, 2022, https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/iran/overview#1.
11 Michael Rubin, Irans military is making strides into twenty-first century technology, American Enterprise Institute, August 8, 2019, accessed January 31, 2022, https://www.aei.org/articles/irans-military-twenty-first-century-technology/.
12 Sharmine Narwani, Iran and the GCC: Prospects for a Grand Reconciliation, The Cairo Review of Global Affairs 43(2021): accessed January 31, 2022, https://www.thecairoreview.com/essays/iran-and-the-gcc-prospects-for-a-grand-reconciliation/.
13 The China-Iran 25-Year Cooperation Agreement: What is it and Should Investors be Encouraged? China Briefing, July 16, 2021, accessed January 30, 2022, https://www.china-briefing.com/news/the-china-iran-25-year-cooperation-agreement-what-is-it-and-should-regional-investors-traders-pay-attention/.
14 Nazila Fathi, What will SCO membership mean for Iran? Middle East Institute, September 28, 2021, accessed January 30, 2022, https://www.mei.edu/publications/what-will-sco-membership-mean-iran.
15 Zakiyeh Yazdanshenas, Iran Turns East, Foreign Policy, October 26, 2021, accessed January 30, 2022, https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/10/26/iran-china-russia-sco-raisi-turns-east/.
16 Amin Saikal, ibid., 241.
17 Ibid., 210.
18 Refugees in Iran, United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, accessed January 30, 2022, https://www.unhcr.org/ir/refugees-in-iran/.
19 Annika Kim Constantino, Biden administration falls short of fiscal year 2021 U.S. refugee admissions cap, CNBC, October 8, 2021, accessed January 30, 2022, https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/08/biden-administration-falls-short-of-fiscal-year-2021-us-refugee-admissions-cap-.html,
20 Jeanne Batalova, Afghan Immigrants in the United States, Migration Policy Institute, September 9, 2021, accessed January 30, 2022, https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/afghan-immigrants-united-states.
21 Caleb Kieffer, Afghan Refugee Resettlement Efforts Ignites Ugly Rhetoric Despite Popular Support, Southern Poverty Law Center, December 2, 2021, accessed January 30, 2022, https://www.splcenter.org/hatewatch/2021/12/02/afghan-refugee-resettlement-efforts-ignites-ugly-rhetoric-despite-popular-support.
22 Travis Tritten, Thousands of Afghans Remain Housed on US Bases Months After the Fall of Kabul, Military.com, January 10, 2022, accessed January 30, 2022, https://www.military.com/daily-news/2022/01/10/thousands-of-afghans-remain-housed-us-bases-months-after-fall-of-kabul.html.
23 Ayatollah Mohammad-Taqi Rahbar, ibid., 13.
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The Boss Is Outta Here Or Not? – International Business Times
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How do you give 100% of yourself and your energy to the challenging task of making your company not only a big success but also a force for good and a bastion of human respect? Photo: iStock/Michail_Petrov-96
A big part of being an example of (or: of advancing) Social Capital is that its not about you, but about how to make the world a better place with your presence. As a CEO or corporate leader, that can be a bit of a conundrum. How do you give 100 percent of yourself and your energy to the challenging task of making your company not only a big success but also a force for good and a bastion of human respect -- without making yourself so indispensible that the company revolves around you or cannot exist without you?
Sometimes, the best answer to that question is: You cant. Or at least maybe the time is not right to leave and hand over the reins. In those cases, the leader decides its in the best interest of the company to not leave even when the temptation to do so comes in the form of big bucks and big offers.
In other cases, its a matter of cultivating such a powerful culture and presence of the ideas that you think are paramount to the company being a Social Capital presence, that the legacy of that ethical behavior endures and even grows after your departure. There really is no one way to do this, but there are some definite tips for accomplishing that responsibly and effectively. We have done our best to find the best examples of a variety of ways some leaders have chosen, and we are sharing them this month.
So, whether you are looking for answers as to whether or when -- you should stay or go, or you want some great tips for how to keep the fires of Social Capital burning brightly for years to come after your departure, these Social Capital leaders and their helpful insights should prove invaluable.
Long live your company, and its Social Capital.
Hubert Joly: former CEO of Best Buy
Hubert Joly believes business is about purpose and human connections between the employees, between the employees and the customers, the vendors, the community, the shareholders, and the environment in a holistic fashion. And he wanted to make sure that when he left the company one day, that culture would continue. Thats what we need to do the create a future that does not exist yet, that we need to create because the current trajectory is not good, and thats how we would create a more stable future for ourselves and our kids, he says.
If you start with finances, youll never get to people and clients, and at the end of the day, its those two things that truly drive the business, says Hubert Joly. Photo: iStock/designer491
However, the origins of the company culture that developed under his tenure lay in the mindset he had brought with him when he took the reins at Best Buy: the need to broaden minds at the leadership level. If you can connect the search for meaning of the individual with the purpose of the company, then magical things happen," explains Hubert. He believes in what he calls human magic: mobilizing people to give their best effort and having that, then, translate into extraordinary performance. So, the first concern of a business leader is how the people in the organization are doing. Checking on how the clients are being served comes next. Lastly in this hierarchy are the financials. In Huberts view, If you start with finances, youll never get to people and clients, and at the end of the day, its those two things that truly drive the business.
Once Hubert had given Best Buy a strong reset from a failing to a successful company, it was wise to look further forward. And Hubert recalls, When I was at Best Buy, one of our board members brought up the idea ofusing an executive development firm to help with the development of the two or three potential successors we had identified. Instead, I decided to use their services with every member of the executive team, self included, He envisioned the focus would be on leadership growth, and how everyone in the leadership suites could function more effectively as a leadership team, rather than helping just two or three individuals prepare for some distant, abstract event.
This broad approach to leadership development also reinforced Huberts belief that it is a myth that a person is either born a leader or not. Im the personal proof that you can grow into being a good leader, he says.
Hubert felt this would set a foundation for the company that would enable it to move forward once he stepped down. Late in 2018, I began to reflect on the right time for me to pass the baton to a next generation of leaders. Several reasons ultimately led me to want to do that. Some were professional: we had accomplished what I had set to accomplish when I took the job, I felt that the team we had developed was ready to take over, and I felt it was important for the company to have a team ready to lead with a long-term focus.
Hubert believed that, being co-created, the environment and culture would be lasting.
Of Best Buys development efforts, Hubert says, It worked well because all of us needed to grow as leaders, the entire team benefited, and we avoided creating false or premature expectations. Significantly, he notes, The mental shift from succession planning to executive development was liberating for everyone. And while the focus on succession had shifted, we could still see, as a board, which team members were progressing.
In addition, I was ready to start a new chapter in my life, after 20 years or so being a CEO.
I had always felt that my life was not tied to being the CEO of a company and that I was just asked, for a period of time, to be the custodian of that company, responsible for leaving it in a better state than when I had started. My goal from the onset was to be dispensable. Thats why I decided to pass the baton of CEO to Corie Barry and her team in 2019. I felt I had accomplished what I set out to do and it was an easy decision. The company was doing well, powered by exceptional people and led by an extraordinary executive team.
He stepped down as CEO in 2019 to become executive chairman then left the company completely in 2020, although he is still an advisor to the current CEO and board of directors. Now, as a senior lecturer of business administration at the Harvard Business School, he is helping inspire the next generation of business leaders with a new, better view of business and capitalism founded on purpose and humanity -- the Social Capital philosophy we love so much!
David Novak:former CEO of YUM! Brands
David Novak credits his parent for instilling in him by their example the beautiful way to treat people that underlies our appreciation of him as a Social Capital business leader: giving employees recognition so they know they are appreciated. And from day one as CEO of YUM! Brands, he began preparing his replacement to do the same.
He pioneered the concept, which he calls purposeful recognition, as co-founder and CEO of YUM! Brands, which operates KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell, among other restaurant brands. Recognition is a wonderful way to really create a lot of fun in your company as well. You want to take the business seriously, but you don't want to take yourself too seriously. And by having fun recognizing people and celebrating other people's success, we were able to get great results, he says.
I just have to give my mom and dad a lot of credit because I grew up in a very humble background, he relates, but I had unbelievable parents. We grew up in a trailer, and they just recognized me throughout my life, and they still are the first one to call me if I ever do anything good. And he has a powerful way of paying that forward.
David became the CEO of Yum! Brands in 1999 and says his search for a successor began from that point on until he retired in 2016. The expectation for all our leaders was to identify backups and development plans for their potential successor, and I was no exception, he says. I developed a checklist of the characteristics I felt were essential for the next CEO. Chief among them were a tangible demonstration of results over a sustainable period of time, the skill to create a future back vision, maniacal focus on customers, the rigor to drive accountability and ensure outstanding execution, anda fervent belief in people, including the importance of talent, the ability to recruit and retain top leaders. And, of course, the passion to sustain and build our powerful recognition culture.
He believes it is important most important, he says for business leaders to make their company culture so entrenched that the people in the company hold the next CEO accountable for continuing to drive it. It is an expectation of the job and the CEO knows that he or she will fail without it. The worst thing that can happen to a company culture is when the team says, I remember when we . . .. Its up to the CEO to create new memories. Obviously, I evaluated my successors ability to drive our culture in their piece of Yum! and walk the talk of our key behaviors and values. This was an absolute must-have, and everyone knew it.
David Novak believes it is important for business leaders to make their company culture so entrenched that the people in the company hold the next CEO accountable for continuing to drive it. Photo: iStock/sportpoint
Stepping down from the company he had led for 17 years was prompted by family needs. Fortunately, I had a successor in place who was able to carry the ball forward. I also was able to spin off our China business into a separate public company, making it Yum! Brands largest franchisee and I knew that was the strategic move that would grow our business.
As the head of a global retail business, he had felt he had a responsibility to visit restaurants and restaurant support centers around the globe, spending 80% of his time out in the field. This became untenable for me due to my wife's failing health, he relates. Although many advisors told him he could travel less and leverage his equity with the YUM! Brands employees and the investment community, he says that option did not feel right. When I knew I couldn't put the uniform on like I used to, I knew it was time to step down.
The decisions he put in play in stepping away proved positive. He reports that the stocks for both Yum! Brands and Yum! China have more than doubled in the last five years. The company was set up for both business and cultural success, he says.
My purpose in life now is to make the world a better place by developing better leaders, David shares explaining the impetus behind founding David Novak Leadership and launching the How Leaders Lead brand, which includes his podcast with top leaders in the world and digital training programs, and his book Taking People With You: The Only Way to Make Big Things Happen was a New York Times bestseller. It is critical that leaders take accountability for their own personal development, which spurred me to write my latest book,Take Charge of You: How Self Coaching Can Transform Your Life and Career, he says. Your life and career are far too important to delegate it to someone else.
Mike Brady: former CEO of Greyston Bakery
Mike Brady is eager to share the business story of Greyston Bakery, which he led for eight years. In fact, he has spoken with us several times to share his insights and experiences as CEO of Greyston Bakery and his admiration for the ideals of Zen Master Bernie Glassman, who had founded the organization on his vision that a business could thrive financially and contribute to the betterment of society at the same time. In fact, when Mike would eventually leave it would be to pursue those goals even more aggressively.
It was for Mikes devotion to the principle of open hiring that we first honored him in our feature How Americas Top Social Capital CEOs Can Teach Us the Power of Kindness .
During his tenure at the helm of Greyston, a team of social justice innovators at the Start Foundation in the Netherlands embraced Greystons open hiring model and implemented it with fantastic success in a completely different socio-economic model. This showed him clearly the potential for global impact with inclusive hiring. They succeeded in placing people facing a distance from the workforce into jobs without interviews or background checks regardless of their age, refugee status, work history, education or any other barrier to employment, Mike reports. Replicating the open hiring model outside of Yonkers was a multi-year effort that required a collaboration of business, philanthropic and NGO partners. This was one of many achievements at Greyston, across a spectrum of business and social metrics, that put the organization on a long-term path for success, he says. But for him, Moving the organization forward along that path was something I knew others could do and I was ready for change.
Mike sees this theory now driving economic growth around the world as ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) investors have been in pursuit of socially conscious businesses under the belief that making a measurable positive impact on society correlates with enterprise value. And he points out that only a few weeks ago, Warren Valdmanis, a partner at Two Sigma Impact -- a private equity business focused on workforce impact -- released a TED Talk titled What makes a job good -- and the case for investing in people, explaining many of the principles that Bernie espoused forty years earlier.
As Greystons CEO, Mike reinstated the special culture Bernie had created and focused on ensuring that purpose would continue. Bernie started Greyston Foundation in 1994 to provide social services desperately needed in the low-income community of Southwest Yonkers where Greystons commercial business operated. This created a unique governance model with a nonprofit entity owning the for-profit. By the time I joined the company in 2012, Mike recalls, the entrepreneurial vigor had withered as Bernie had left the organization fourteen years earlier. My contribution to the culture was to bring back the visionary mindset upon which Bernie had founded Greyston, to develop an operating model meeting the standards of a Fortune 100 company, and to find a team capable of executing it. The new leadership committed to three broad goals related to entrepreneurial excellence, proactive problem solving and a promise to support each other on the journey. The culture they created was similar to what Bernie used to build the organization, and they were successful in launching a new national brand of baked goods and creating a social justice center to codify and replicate their inclusive hiring model. Now, Mike says, I will always encourage new leadership to develop language to fit their persona, but the cultural values upon which Greyston was founded will not change.
Greystons model for inclusive hiring, called open hiring, was based on the Buddhist principle of non-judgment, so developing the companys staff without judgment was core to the work. We embraced the potential in everyone in the organization to be a leader and we invested in that potential to develop the best talent. We had less interest in what team members had done in the past, yet we were completely committed to what you were going to accomplish in your future, Mike says, noting this was true for the newest apprentice working the bakery line to the experienced hire empowered to create the next program.
Offering more food for thought, Mike says, The incomparable Steve Jobs captured it brilliantly with, It doesnt make sense to hire smart people and tell them what to do; we hire smart people so they can tell us what to do. Applying that philosophy to this features topic of leadership succession, Mike says, It is the responsibility of the CEO to hire a quality leadership team and empower them to lead the organization, so when the time comes to transition the organizational disruption is minimal.
For him, as indicated above, the time came with the Netherlands effort. I could see then, as I do now, that there is a sea change underway in how business, government and philanthropy work together to create social change, but that nonprofit solutions were not making progress at a pace needed to drive systemic change, he says. Although crediting nonprofits like the foundation that oversaw the profit-based bakery that Mike ran - for their invaluable role in developing social innovations, Mike points out that nonprofits are generally project-based, with many strings attached. The financial model doesnt include general operating costs, like technology, capital expenses and non-programmatic staff, Mike explains, observing that fact creates fiscal imbalance and inhibits scaling. He sees this as a problem unique to the social sector that many philanthropists, impact investors and civic leaders are working to solve. Mike is dedicated to proving the profitability of ESG, so he explains, When my interest in solving this problem was superseded by other entrepreneurial goals, I knew it was time to step down.
Mike, who is now a consultant on inclusive hiring, social justice, and nonprofit and corporate governance, says, Whenever I speak to students about making career decisions, I recite this line delivered by Paul Polman during a presentation on regenerative business practices: Think less about the career you want and more about the problem you want to solve.
Noting there are massive shifts underway in philanthropy, government and business, Mike believes, The future of work is about using advances in technology to build regenerative companies capable of delivering services and products at fair prices and generating a fair return to all stakeholders. Says Mike, I am driven to use the forces of businesses and capital to create a more equitable future of work. Restoring trust in capitalism requires us to think differently about how we do business and about how we invest.
Brian Scudamore: CEO of 1-800-Got-Junk
Brian Scudamore went from high school dropout looking for a summer job to a blue-collar millionaire with a simple albeit brilliant idea to turn troublesome trash into a positive customer experience with 1-800-Got-Junk.
Now, the company has more than 250 locations in the U.S., Canada and Australia under Scudamores O2E (Ordinary 2 Extraordinary) Brands, a half-billion-dollar business that includes house-painting company WOW 1 Day Painting and home-detailing business Shack Shine.
What made him a perfect entry for our Social Capital list is, hes just a down-to-earth guy who knows the best way to achieve success is by treating people well. Scudamore created a business all around the idea of customer service and happiness, and he really believes in communicating those concepts constantly with customers and employees. In fact, he built his entire hiring process around it. Brian is so personally involved in this and finds so much fulfillment in it that, for him, the very idea of ever stepping down as CEO is hard to even fathom.
For me, Ive always felt like walking away would be selfish, explains Brian. Ive got a bigger purpose. A grander plan. And on many occasions along the way, Ive been offered large amounts of cash -- so I was tested on this belief (I turned down an early-day $100 million offer!). I think it comes down to understanding what my purpose is and what makes me happy.
Scudamores purpose and the very idea of how and why he started his business was to make a difference in a way few thought was possible and to create a business model that many said was not viable. He believes the people whose lives have been made better because of that, including his own, would be detrimentally affected if he walked away.
I love nothing more than watching people grow, planting seeds of ideas that were once barely thought possible and watching a team rally around making them happen -- like creating brands in fragmented spaces like junk removal, house painting and house detailing, explains Scudamore. We were told these industries were not franchise-able, yet we took on the challenge to make it happen! And making ordinary businesses exceptional is not something I want to give away, for any price, to a team that might be driven moreby money than by meaning.
Brian believes if he had taken the money and run back in 2007 -- when he was offered a boatload of cash -- his company might no longer exist, as the new owners may not have had the stomach to get really scrappy to keep the lights on when the economic collapse of 2007 and 2008 came around. That would have meant not only thousands of lost jobs but lost opportunities for hundreds of entrepreneurs who got their start through Brians franchise formula.
But, of course, this begs the question: Is this the right decision for all of us or is Brian a special case because he loves what he does so much? He doesnt think so. He sees a world of untapped opportunity for those who are willing to take the long view.
Ive often wondered, What if more founders played the long game versus building a quick exit into their plans? ponders Brian. I hear today about so many founders who start apps, tech companies and new products who build a quick exit into their plans. With all due respect, I feel like we could use more founders sticking around and protecting their original ideas, passion and purpose. I think sometimes great ideas dont go in the direction that the initial visionary saw, once theyve been bought by a team with different motivations.
Obviously Brian cannot run the company forever, but hes intent on fighting the good fight as long as possible because he believes he has only yet begun to make his mark, and the best may, in fact, be yet to come. And there is more than a lesson or two in that for every entrepreneur or CEO.
Now, we cant predict the future. I get that, and Im sure there could have been many arguments on the flipside -- and I do know founders can often get in their own way -- but I think the originator of an idea often sees something way beyond money, that others might not or arent able to see.
Concludes Brian: Call me crazy, but, as Apple once said in its famous commercial, The ones who are crazy enough to think that they can change the worldare the ones who do.
Robert Glazer: former CEO of Acceleration Partners
On the flip side, Robert Glazers incredibly deep devotion and connection to his employees is the very reason he thought it was important to step aside as CEO and let one of them take the reins, adding new insights and inspirations to the mix.
Deep down, I knew that I wouldnt be CEO of Acceleration Partners (AP), the company I founded, for the rest of my career, reveals Robert. As the company continued growing, I realized that what I wanted to focus on, both inside and outside of Acceleration Partners, and what the business objectively needed from a CEO were diverging. Once I came to that realization, it was natural to think about who could eventually take the CEO role after me, and I did not have to look very far for a natural successor.
Roberts award-winning affiliate marketing agency has been ranked repeatedly among Glassdoors best places to work, and he was twice named No. 2 on Glassdoors list of Top CEOs of Small and Medium Companies in the U.S.
Thats pretty amazing since he doesnt even own a building for his employees to work in. His company has always been remote. How did that happen? Well, one way was with the most conscientious, honest and well-thought-out hiring processes imaginable, all designed to make sure that those coming on board know what the company is about and what to expect, what the work environment will be, and to make absolutely sure it is a good fit for both parties. If, after all that, it still doesnt work out for some reason, Glazer will personally help those employees find a different job either within the company or even with another employer by personally tapping into his extensive contact base.
Such a powerful hiring strategy and incredibly well-designed training program is probably why he was so confidant when the time came to step away that one of his original hires would be the right one to take over.
A powerful hiring strategy and incredibly well-designed training program is probably why Robert Glazer was so confidant when the time came to step away that one of his original hires would be the right one to take over. Photo: iStock/Eike Leppert
I have many flaws as a leader, but I have always tried to hire people who are smarter than me, says Robert. Likewise, I believe leaders should genuinely want their best people to be positioned to take their job one day.
Matt Wool, who became APs CEO in December, has been my number two for a decade. He was our fourth employee and has grown at the same rate as our organization -- whenever there was a new level of leadership responsibility to be taken at AP, Matt put himself in the position to take that role. He has always challenged himself, sought out feedback and looked for new ways to learn and improve. As APs president, he already ran the companys day-to-day operations for the past five years.
But for Robert, or anyone who has come to the conclusion that they need to pass the torch, the question is how to proceed. For Robert, it meant putting in the time to prepare his replacement properly.
I knew Matt was on the trajectory to become CEO, and I wanted him to have that chance at AP, explains Robert. Knowing that, one day while on a walk during a conference in London, over two years ago, I first asked Matt to succeed me as CEO. When he agreed, we laid out and executed a careful transition plan from there. I made sure that Matt was given increasingly more responsibility over the business -- including managing nearly our entire Senior Leadership Team -- and connected him with any resources that could help him hone and develop his leadership skills. All I did was give Matt the space and resources to grow; he did the hard work.
But even if you know you have right replacement, and you have done all you can to prepare them, how do you ensure the culture you created continues under their new leadership? For Robert, its already baked into the mix long before you decide to step down.
Organizational culture must come from leadership, but it does not depend on any one leader, insists Robert. A quote thats always resonated with me is from Sheryl Sandberg: Leadership is about making others better as a result of your presence and making sure that impact lasts in your absence. Ive always aimed for our culture to be able to stand strong even if Im not at the head of it. While there are connections between APs cultural principles and my personal values, APs culture does not depend on me being at the head of the company.
For Robert, that goes right back to that incredible training for new hires and the overall commitment to the tenets of that training on an ongoing basis.
Weve built our culture around clear, consistent core values and a vision for our company and industry, explains Robert, noting that the values and vision are supported by clear organizational goals that are tenets of our daily work. For example, we walk every new hire through our Vivid Vision, we use our core values for promotions, performance evaluations and even annual awards, and we keep our company goals visible and transparent to the full company.
Robert continues, I also know that Matt, my successor as CEO, believes just as strongly in our culture as I do. He exemplifies our three core valuesOwn It, Embrace Relationships and Excel and Improveand upholds them on our Senior Leadership Team. Im not worried about our culture because at this point, its so firmly ingrained in what we do and because our leadership is dedicated to that culture.
Robert could not stress more emphatically that such a formula is key not just to the continuity of success but to the success in general of any company, as the mission and values of the company should be bigger than any one employee even if that one employee is the CEO or founder.
Over the years, Ive seen many cases where a leaders identity is intertwined with their business. Starting and growing a business is often an entrepreneurs greatest accomplishment outside of their family, says Robert, and he believes part of that reward is retaining the coveted title of CEO a badge of achievement and validation that is tough to give up. But founders shouldnt hold onto this title forever, especially when it doesnt really serve their best interest or that of their company. Though being APs CEO has been one of the highlights of my life, I am excited for this next chapter for both myself and the business.
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The Boss Is Outta Here Or Not? - International Business Times
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Ambitious China gears up to flex power in the conflict-riven Horn of Africa – Modern Diplomacy
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With highly expected symbolism, Russias primary focus at the forthcoming November summit in St. Petersburg with African leaders, corporate business directors, representatives from the academic community, civil society organizations and media will largely be renewing most of its unfulfilled bilateral agreements, and making new pledges that will, as usual, be incorporated into a second joint declaration.
Brilliant speeches reminded of long-standing traditions of friendship and solidarity, how Soviets assisted African countries in their struggle to attain independence and established statehood, and further highlighted neo-colonialism tendencies wide spreading on the continent. That Russia stands with Africa on matters of strengthening peace and stability on the continent and ensuring regional security. Next is absolute readiness to engage in broadening vibrant cooperation in all economic sectors.
While the first summit was described as highly successful due to its spectacular blistering symbolism and has offered the necessary solid impetus for raising to qualitative level the multifaceted relations, especially in the economic spheres with Africa, much has still not been pursued as expected. Behind the shadows of the bilateral agreements, some of the projects were simultaneously assigned to either Western or European investors.
Long before the historic summit, African foreign ministers and delegations had lined up visiting Moscow. Those frequent official visits were intended to show off that Russia is high demand as indicated in a 150-paged new policy released last November by a group of 25 leading experts headed by Sergei A. Karaganov, the Honorary Chairman of the Presidium of the Council on Foreign and Defence Policy.
The report that vividly highlighted some pitfalls and shortcomings in Russias approach towards Africa. It further pointed to Russias consistent failure in honoring its several agreements and pledges over the years. It decried the increased number of bilateral and high-level meetings that yield little or bring to the fore no definitive results. In addition, insufficient and disorganized Russian African lobbying combined with a lack of information hygiene at all levels of public speaking, says the policy report.
There are, indeed, to demonstrate demand for Russia in the non-Western world; the formation of ad hoc political alliances with African countries geared towards competition with the collective West. Apart from the absence of a public strategy for the continent, there is lack of coordination among various state and para-state institutions working with Africa.
Despite the growth of external players influence and presence in Africa, Russia has to intensify and redefine its parameters. Russias foreign policy strategy regarding Africa has to spell out and incorporate the development needs of African countries.
Unlike most competitors, Russia has to promote an understandable agenda for Africa: working more on sovereignty, continental integration, infrastructure development, human development (education and medicine), security (including the fight against hunger and epidemics), normal universal human values, the idea that people should live with dignity and feel protected.
Nearly all the Russian experts who participated in putting the report together unreservedly agreed with this view. The main advantage of such an agenda is that it may be more oriented to the needs of Africans than those of its Western and European competitors. It is advisable to present such a strategy already at the second Russia-Africa summit, and discuss and coordinate it with African partners before that. Along with the strategy, it is advisable to adopt an Action Plan a practical document that would fill cooperation with substance between summits.
Vsevolod Tkachenko, the Director of the Africa Department of the Russian Foreign Ministry, stated during one of the preparatory meetings, the African partners expect concrete deeds, maximum substantive ideas and useful proposals. The current task is to demonstrate results and highlight achievements to the African side. Over the past years, African countries have witnessed many bilateral agreements, memoranda of understanding and pledges.
Russia has to set different narratives about its aspirations and intentions of returning to Africa. The approach has to move from rhetoric and mere declarations of interests. Since the basis of the summit remains the economic interaction between Russia and Africa, the ideas currently being worked out on new possible instruments to encourage Russian exports to Africa, Russian investments to the continent, such as a fund to support direct investment in Africa, all these deserve special attention, Tkachenko says.
According to an official report posted on the website, Russias Foreign Affairs Minister Sergei Lavrov, during the Government Hour in the State Duma on January 26, stated that the cooperation with African countries has expanded to reach new frontiers. Together with African friends, we are working on preparations for the second Russia-Africa summit scheduled to be held this year. Previously, for instance, Lavrov explicitly indicated: Russias political ties, in particular, are developing dynamically. But economic cooperation is not as far advanced as political ties.
Many experts have expressed concern about the relationship between Russia and Africa, most often comparing it with other foreign players on the continent within the framework of sustainable development there in Africa. It is about time to make meaningful efforts to implement tons of bilateral agreements already signed with Africa countries.
Russia, of course, is not satisfied with this state of affairs. At present diplomacy dominates its approach: plethora of agreements were signed with many African countries, official visits proliferate apace, but the outcomes remain hardly discernible, Professor Gerrit Olivier from the Department of Political Sciences, University of Pretoria in South Africa and a former South African Ambassador to the Russian Federation, wrote in an emailed comment.
While, given its global status, Russia ought to be active in Africa as Western Europe, the European Union, America and China are, it is all but absent, playing a negligible role. Be that as it may, the Kremlin has revived its interest in the African continent and it will be realistic to expect that the spade work it is putting in now will at some stage show more tangible results, Olivier added.
ZimbabwesAmbassador to Russia, Brigadier General (rtd) Nicholas Mike Sango, who has been in his post since July 2015, expresses his views on the relations between Africa and the Russian Federation.While Russia has traditional ties with Africa, its economic footprints are not growing as expected. It has however attempting to transform the much boasted political relations into a more comprehensive and broad economic cooperation, he noted in his conversation with me.
He pointed to the disparity in the level of development, the diversity of cultures and aspirations of the peoples of the two regions, there is growing realization that Africa is an important partner in the emerging and sustainable polycentric architecture of the world order as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has aptly asserted. But in fact, Africascritical mass can only be ignored at great risk therefore.
For a long time, Russiasforeign policy on Africa has failed to pronounce itself in practical terms as evidenced by the countable forays into Africa by Russian officials. The Russian Federation has shied away from economic cooperation with Africa, making forays into the few countries that it has engaged in the last few years. African leaders hold Russia in high esteem as evidenced by the large number of African embassies in Moscow. Furthermore, Russia has no colonial legacy in Africa, according to the Zimbabwean diplomat.
Ambassador Sango, who previously held various high-level posts such as military adviser in Zimbabwes Permanent Mission to the United Nations, and as international instructor in the Southern African Development Community (SADC), also said that Russia has not responded in the manner expected by Africa, as has China, India and South Korea, to name a few. Africas expectation is that Russia, while largely in the extractive industry, will steadily transfer technologies for local processing of raw materials as a catalyst for Africasdevelopment.
While Russia and Africa have common positions on the global platform, the need to recognize and appreciate the aspirations of the common man cannot be overstated. Africa desires economic upliftment, human security in the form of education, health, shelter as well as security from transnational terrorism among many challenges afflicting Africa. The Russian Federation has the capacity and ability to assist Africa overcome these challenges leveraging on Africasvast resources, Ambassador Sango concluded.
For more than three decades after Soviet collapse in 1991, Russia has had different degrees of political relations and currently looking forward to build stronger economic cooperation. During these years, the relations have also transited through distinctive phases taking cognizance of challenges and fast changing global politics.
In an interview discussion for this story, Shirley Ayorkor Botchwey, the Minister of Foreign Affairs and Regional Integration of Ghana, explains to this research writer that Although, for a relationship lasting this long with Africa, one would have expected it to move past where it is now. In short, there is still room for improvement, in fostering particularly stronger economic ties.
It is hoped that Russia continues consistently to catch up with other active foreign competitors, makes attempts to transform the well-developed political relations with broader economic cooperation the coming years. Ultimately, emphasis should also be placed on developing people-to-people relations, whereby the peoples of both countries would have better understanding of each other.
Critically not much has been achieved, looking at the Russia-Africa relations from the perspective of regional organizations especially Southern African Development Community (SADC), when it was headed by Lawrence Stergomena. Regrettably, she explained during discussions with me that like most of the developing countries, Southern African countries have largely relied on multilateral and regional development financial institutions to fund their development projects.
In this regard, SADC welcomes investors from all over the world. In reality, Russia has not been that visible in the region as compared to China, India or Brazil. On the other hand, it is encouraging that Russia is currently attempting to position itself to be a major partner with Southern Africa, underlined Stergomena, and further explained that the SADC is an inter-governmental organization with its primary goal of deepening socio-economic cooperation and integration in the southern region.
Dr. Babafemi A. Badejo, Professor of Political Science and International Relations at Chrisland University, Abeokuta, Nigeria, argues that many foreign players and investors are now looking forward to exploring several opportunities in the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), which provides a unique and valuable access to an integrated African market of over 1.2 billion people. In practical reality, it aims at creating a continental market for goods and services, with free movement of business people and investments in Africa.
Badejo argues further that Russias gradual engagement can be boosted by African media popularizing and boosting knowledge on such engagements by Russia. Hosting the next summit would feed very well into popularizing Russias efforts at engagement with African leaders. However, promoting relations with the continent of Africa would require more than a one-off event with African leaders who have varying levels of legitimacy from performance or lack of it in their respective countries.
Interestingly, and at the current moment, not much of Russias image is promoted by the media in Africa. African media should have the opportunity to report more about Russian corporate presence in Africa and their added value to the realization of the sustainable development goals in Africa. This corporate presence can support the building of the media image of Russia in Africa through involvements with people-at-large oriented activities.
In this final analysis, Russia has to make consistent efforts in building its media network that could further play key role in strengthening relations with Africa, the academic professor noted in his lengthy discussions on Russia-Africa, and concluded that it is Western perception and narrative of Russia that pervades the African media. Russia needs to do more in using media to tell its own story and interest in Africa.
President Vladimir Putin noted at the VTB Capitals Russia Calling Forum, that many countries had been stepping up their activities on the African continent but added that Russia could not cooperate with Africa as it was in the Soviet period, for political reasons. In his opinion, cooperation with African countries could be developed on a bilateral basis as well as on a multilateral basis, through the framework of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa).
Reports say Moscow promises to provide genuine cooperation seems illusive over these years. Russias involvement in infrastructure development has been extremely low for the past decades on the continent. With its impressive relations, Russia has not pledged publicly concrete funds toward implementing its policy objectives in Africa. Its investment efforts have been limited thus far which some experts attributed to lack of a system of financing. While Russians are very cautious about making financial commitments, the financial institutions are not closely involved in foreign policy initiatives in Africa.
In addition, experts have identified lack of effective coordination and follow-ups combined with inconsistency are basic factors affecting the entire relations with Africa. While the first summit is still considered as the largest symbolic event in history, many significant issues in the joint declaration have not been pursued and that could lay down a comprehensive strategic roadmap for building the future Russia-African relations.
As publicly known, China, Japan and India have committed funds publicly during their summits, while large investment funds have also come from the United States and European Union, all towards realizing various economic and infrastructure projects and further collaborating in new interesting areas as greater significant part of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in Africa.
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