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Monthly Archives: September 2021
The Problem at the Heart of UK Defense – Breaking Defense
Posted: September 14, 2021 at 4:31 pm
RAF personnel operate aboard an E-3D Sentry aircraft. (Rui Vieira WPA Pool/Getty Images)
Earlier this year, the United Kingdom released its integrated defense review, a document laying out Londons military goals and modernization efforts for the future. But achieving the goals in that document will require the acquisition system to match policy decisions something Justin Bronk of the Royal United Services Institute think tank warns is a long-standing challenge.
There is a chronic problem at the heart of the UK defense establishment, one that is the root cause of many procurement disasters, force design inconsistencies, and the fact that the country gets significantly less value from its defense spending than many of its allies and competitors. Put simply: political ambitions for capability and a global British role as a military power completely outstrip the funding made available for the Ministry of Defence.
Most, though by no means all, of the bad behaviors in procurement and program management within MoD and the Defence Equipment & Support Agency (DE&S) stem from this high-level mismatch between policy ambition and funding, one that forces defense planners to continually come up with new and often convoluted arrangements to theoretically render the various capabilities needed to meet policy requirements affordable.
Often this simply entails delaying badly needed upgrades or modernization programs because the cash cannot be found in each given year. Aggressive targets for efficiency savings for the services, as a means to free up extra cash for modernization, did initially create budget headroom and help reduce waste. However, once the more egregious examples of actual inefficiency had been eliminated, further large-scale savings quickly became difficult to find. With major equipment programs only affordable through continued efficiency savings, the hollowing out of important enabling and support capabilities, and the reduction of spares and munitions stockpiles has become commonplace hardly efficient in real terms.
Creating armed forces fit and capable for serious combat operations is an inherently inefficient activity by peacetime standards. Right sizing a force structure and enablers for peacetime assumptions on attrition, deployment tempo, ammunition consumption and spares requirements creates brittle capabilities which could quickly lose effectiveness if tested in serious conflict.
The implications of the funding/ambition mismatch are not confined to the armed forces themselves. The services desire to buy equipment and munitions from the US, to leverage cheaper unit costs and the latters massive R&D spending, is counterbalanced by national economic and political requirements to support domestic industry. However, small stockpiles of complex weapons and a force structure with an ever-smaller number of platforms also ensure that the domestic (and broader European) industrial base is generally optimized for low production rates, with long lead times.
This, in turn, means that the ability to rapidly surge domestic production of munitions and spares in a crisis is extremely limited. The real-world consequence for the British military is a near total dependence on the US for rapid resupply and logistics in conflict against a serious state adversary a policy outcome made riskier by the fact that most other European NATO members share the same dependency.
The RAF E-3D Sentry AWACS saga illustrates many of these processes in action.
During the late 2000s, as the US and French air forces began mid-life upgrade (MLU) programs needed to maintain their E-3 fleets to the intended out-of-service date in 2035, the RAF considered its options and took another path. With operations in Afghanistan and Iraq in full swing, and a wide range of upgrade programs and urgent operation requirement acquisitions underway to support those missions, the RAF quietly decided to indefinitely postpone the E-3D MLU to help balance the books a move which attracted little political scrutiny at the time.
By 2017, the repercussions of these cost savings were becoming clear, as the RAF E-3D fleet was increasingly beset by mechanical issues, mission system obsolescence and even flight safety concerns. 2 billion was allocated to a belated life extension program aimed at keeping a reduced E-3D fleet viable until 2035, when it could be replaced in cooperation with the US and France with whatever was chosen to replace their modernized E-3G and E-3F fleets. However, technology and the threat picture had significantly moved on from that which had informed the US and French upgrade programs. This made the 2 billion price tag difficult to justify in light of the limited capability offered in return for fixing the many problems generated by a decade of under-investment in the E-3D fleet.
Consequently, the RAF ordered five of the more modern E-7 Wedgetails as a replacement for the E-3D in the AWACS role in 2019. To pay for this, the E-3D was slated for rapid retirement from service in 2021, and the 2 billion previously allocated to the life extension program shifted to fund the E-7 acquisition. As so often happens within British defense, however, it soon became clear that the RAF had been over-optimistic in their calculations for the E-7 acquisition and all the associated set up costs.
There are many differences in opinion as to why and how the discrepancy arose, but it is certainly the case that the RAF, the broader MoD and then-Secretary of State for Defence Gavin Williamson all faced strong incentives to find a way to make the numbers add up on paper at the time the E-7 deal was signed. The AWACS mission is one of the UKs core commitments to NATO, and the state of the E-3D fleet by 2019 was a source of significant potential embarrassment at both the operational and political level.
Nevertheless, the 2021 Integrated Review and accompanying Defence Command Paper process prompted a hard review of the E-7 cost figures against all the other modernization and sustainment costs facing the RAF and other services. In common with many other major programs, costs did not match the budget available or the figures initially agreed, and the result was that the RAF was told, once again, that budget constraints had to trump capability. Significant efficiencies were found by moving the E-7 fleet from RAF Waddington, where most of the ISTAR fleet is based, to RAF Lossiemouth to take advantage of support and infrastructure commonality with the P-8A Poseidon MPA fleet there. The RAF hoped that this would allow the program to continue with four out of the five original E-7 airframes still being acquired. However, the political side of the review process determined that only three airframes could be procured.
This outcome is symptomatic of the malaise afflicting so much of UK defense, so lets review. As a result of the budget being insufficient to meet the requirements of sustainment, operations and modernization, upgrades for the E-3D in the late 2000s were scrapped. A decade later, the E-3D was out of step with the versions operated by partner air forces, increasingly expensive to operate, with poor serviceability and obsolescent mission systems. The effort to acquire a replacement at short notice has rapidly fallen prey to the same combination of over-optimistic cost estimates to try and maintain a politically sensitive capability without additional funding, leading to further cuts.
The result: the RAF will still pay nearly 2 billion, but will receive only three E-7s to replace the six remaining E-3Ds. Despite the E-7 radar and mission systems being far more capable and flexible than the E-3D that it is replacing, three aircraft are not enough in the medium term to guarantee one on station as required. The iron laws of maintenance, serviceability and crew rotations place hard limits on the ability to endlessly do more with less in the air domain.
The cycle of deferred or cancelled upgrades leading to reduced availability, rapid obsolescence and the need for urgent modernization is endemic in British defense. As programs are delayed to balance the books in-year, the modernization bill increases and the gap between political rhetoric and reality widens. Acquisition programs are then penny-pinched, micro-managed and often spread over a decade or more to try and make the books balance an almost perfect mix to ensure maximum long-term cost and risk for minimal capability. British defense planners are forced into chronic bad behaviors because the force structure required to meet policy demands simply cannot be delivered and sustained within the budget available year on year.
Until the British government engages in a more honest discussion about the need to significantly reduce defense capability ambition or significantly increase spending, program outcomes like the E-3D/E-7 are likely to remain par for the course. A re-alignment of resources and ambitions will not solve all of defenses problems in itself, but it is an essential first step.
Justin Bronk is the research fellow for airpower and technology in the military sciences team at RUSI. He is also editor of the RUSI Defence Systems online journal.
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Startup Secures $10 Million to Develop Groundbreaking Gas Stations in Space – autoevolution
Posted: at 4:31 pm
With the fast advancement of space tourism on the one hand, and satellite technology on the other, space businesses are booming and a new space economy keeps expanding. Among these sectors, space logistics is now taking a new turn, with the worlds first in-orbit gas stations.
The venture-backed startup has already achieved significant success: in 2019, it became the first private company to resupply the ISS with water, and earlier this year it launched the worlds first on-orbit fuel depot, called Tenzing. Now, it made another important step in its development, by securing a $10 million investment, which brings it to a total funding of $17 million.
Whats equally important is that the latest investors are two major names in the aerospace and defense industry, Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin. Northrop Grumman achieved the historic first docking of a Mission Extension Vehicle (MEV-1) for life extension services, in early 2020, while Lockheed Martin has a history of investing in servicing technologies.
What Orbit Fab is bringing to the table is a system of tankers and fuel shuttles designed to operate in low Earth orbit (LEO), geostationary orbit (GEO) and cis-lunar space. The companys first product is the Rapidly Attachable Fluid Transfer Interface (RAFTI), a fueling port for the easy refueling of satellites, which can replace the existing satellite fill-and-drain valves. Back in June, the RAFTI had its first flight on the Tanker-001 Tenzing.
The major benefit of these innovative in-space gas stations is enabling satellites to get the required fuel when they need it and where they need it, so that they will no longer be limited to the fuel they were launched with. This, in turn, will open new possibilities for space economy.
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‘Cheaper by the Dozen inspired me to have 12 kids – we had to extend house and buy a van’ – The Mirror
Posted: at 4:31 pm
A couple with 11 kids will soon grow their brood to 12 with the arrival of their newest child - due almost 12 years to the day they celebrated the birth of their eldest.
Courtney and Chris Rogers, whose kids' names all begin with the letter 'c', say their children begged mum and dad for "just one more" sibling so they could be like the Baker family in the Cheaper by the Dozen films.
The films follow Steve Martin and Bonnie Hunt as Tom and Kate Baker, running around after their 12 kids who cause chaos at every turn.
Stay-at-home mum Courtney, 37, says she and her church pastor husband Chris can't wait to welcome their newest arrival in March.
The mum, from New Mexico in the US, said: "We're so excited as we had wanted 12.
"I'm very thankful that its happening, and the kids are still going to be close in age."
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She added the new baby will arrive around the time the eldest child, Clint, turns 12.
"One reason my kids wanted us to have 12 is because of the movie, Cheaper by the Dozen. Theyve been wanting me to have another one and kept asking for, Just one more, Mum, just one more'."
The couple are unsure if the youngest will be a boy or a girl - but one thing they know for sure is that the baby's name will begin with a 'c', just like the other kids: Clint, 11, Clay, 10, Cade, eight, Callie, eight, Cash, six, six-year-old twins Colt and Case, Calena, four, Caydie, three, Coralee, two, and Caris, nine months.
But for now, Courtney is keeping tight-lipped about potential baby names.
As well as taking care of the kids and home schooling them all, Courtney documents their busy lives on the 12-acre plot on her Instagram page, @littlehouseinthehighdesert.
The family owns 140 animals including pigs, sheep, dogs and chickens.
Supermum Courtney also admits she didn't start married life expecting to have so many kids.
She said: "When we got married, I was 24. Then we had an early pregnancy loss, so Clint wasn't born until just before I turned 26.
"At that point, I didnt think I was starting motherhood that early. I had no clue we'd have this many.
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"I did want to have a big family, but it was quite a surprise to get here and, so far, have everything working out as planned."
The couple are due to find out the sex of the baby in October - and Chris would like a girl to make their brood completely even with boys and girls.
While Courtney's excited to meet her youngest child, she has some concerns about the delivery after having three C-sections - meaning she can no longer opt for a vaginal birth.
She said: "My youngest, Caris, had a scary beginning, so we're a little bit nervous, but we also know we're going to have a different delivery plan this time around.
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"She was also nine days past her due date. We kept waiting and she just didn't want to come."
Courtney had to have an emergency C-section to deliver little Caris, when doctors realised she was in distress and wasn't getting enough oxygen.
After she was born she spent 15 days in the newborn intensive care unit, and medics warned she could face delays in her development.
Luckily, the tot is now happy and healthy despite a touch start to life.
Having spent the majority of the last 12 years pregnant, Courtney admits she enjoys the experience.
"I've always felt fine during my pregnancies," she said.
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"I don't get morning sickness, I don't have a lot of pain and I can keep up.
"It's different for everyone, but my body usually takes pregnancy very well. We probably wouldn't have had so many if not!"
The supermum doesn't even ask the older kids to help out with their younger siblings.
She said: Once you get to a certain number, the parenting doesn't really change.
"With the last few, we brought them home from the hospital and it was like they'd always been there."
However, the couple are hoping to get the older kids involved in distance learning or online school so Courtney can focus on home schooling the younger ones.
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The family travels around in a 15-seater van, but Courtney admits it can get crowded on long trips.
The last time we took a vacation, we rented a house, because we're just getting too big for even two hotel rooms and run out of space, she said.
They're also having an extension on their house - which was originally a three-bedroom property - to cater for their 12 strong brood.
My husband's been working on it and it should be done by Christmas, Courtney said. We'll have seven bedrooms, four bathrooms - so two kids to a room.
For the most part, Courtney's Instagram attracts positivity - but, as with everything, some people have nasty things to say.
"We get some rude comments, as there are always going to be people that don't like big families. But now we're used to it, it doesnt bother us," she said.
"There are always going to be people who have a different opinion to you."
The couple are making the most of this pregnancy, as Courtney thinks it'll be her last.
We wanted to get to 12 and I really don't want to go on having any more C-sections," she said.
Do you have a big family? Email jessica.taylor@reachplc.com with your stories
It's going to be as I turn 38, so physically, I don't know if I'll be able to have any more."
Although they're ready to stop having kids, Courtney knows she'll feel sad when she's done with being pregnant.
"But for now, were focused on welcoming baby number 12 and becoming the real life Cheaper by the Dozen family."
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FYI Resources Roly Hill on HPA the hallelujah battery material and that Alcoa deal – Stockhead
Posted: at 4:31 pm
Demand for high purity alumina (HPA) a specialised product used in lithium-ion batteries, LED lights, and more is growing at a rapid rate.
When it comes to lithium-ion batteries, HPA is currently used as the coating on the separator between the anode and cathode.
The HPA coated separators improve battery chargeability (charging and discharging rates), performance (power density), safety and overall service and durability.
This LIB battery separator market valued at US$US6.2 billion in 2020 is expected to reach $US11.3 billion by 2026.
But thats not all. HPAs battery applications could grow significantly beyond this.
FYI Resources (ASX:FYI) calls HPA the hallelujah battery material with applications in the separator and anode and increasing potential candidate in cathode development.
The whole battery, basically.
FYI recently inked a deal with advanced battery graphite stock EcoGraf (ASX:EGR) to develop additional uses for FYIs HPA product.
Investors are also watching closely for an update on an MoU between FYI and global aluminium giant Alcoa, where commercial terms are being finalised for a full joint venture operation.
Stockhead chats with FYI managing director Roly Hill about EcoGraf, HPA demand, and that all important deal with Alcoa.
In simple terms it is a joint venture between two battery focussed commodity players, looking at doing something completely different, Hill says.
[This JV] is a very elegant way of adding a little bit of value to the downstream side of what FYI and EcoGraf are doing individually.
For us, it is all about expanding HPAs applications in the battery.
HPA is currently used as the coating on the separator between the anode and cathode.
But it is looking like the utility of HPA is increasing. Now it looks like it [could be used] in the anode, and the cathode as well.
The obvious benefits from the customer perspective are safety, performance, and possibly cost reduction, and life extension of the battery.
Pretty exciting stuff, and the key thing for us is the interest [we are getting] from some of the larger battery groups.
It just a matter of us adding a bit more value and cracking the code a little, to see where it can lead.
We would use Benchmark Mineral Intelligence as our guidance on that, Hill says.
They are suggesting that the anode growth graphite and the HPA could be +700% by 2025 from where it currently sits.
The HPA market, where it currently sits, has a standing rate of 17% to 18% year-on-year growth through battery applications and the more traditional markets LEDs, sapphire glass, those sorts of things. Big numbers.
Potential additional uses of HPA in the battery [mentioned above] are not included in all those numbers.
We had to defer the signing of the term sheets with Alcoa by a month, Hill says.
That is because, out of courtesy, we introduced this [deal with EcoGraf] to Alcoa, along with several other initiatives that we wanted to pursue.
They very much liked that, and the other things that we are wanting to do. We had to defer everything just so they could get involved.
It was originally outside the scope; now it is inside the scope.
No more than me, I can tell you, Hill says.
[But] both companies dont come this far time, money, and effort for it not to succeed.
We cant say signed sealed and delivered just yet, but its very close to the line. We are pretty much aligned on all the major terms, Hill says.
They are very bullish on the business, and the sector.
They have done their homework on us, and the flow sheet. They are prepared to back it by putting skin in the game.
I think the combination of their balance sheet and operational experience plus FYIs agility it will be strong and solid partnership.
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Bankruptcy filings are down, but lousy deals and operational woes will change that – Reuters
Posted: at 4:30 pm
(Reuters) - New commercial bankruptcy filings have continued to fall throughout 2021, but experts say the favorable conditions that have allowed businesses to stave off Chapter 11 for the time being wont last forever as the consequences of questionable deals and underlying operational problems come to the fore.
Commercial bankruptcy filings exploded in 2020 but trickled off as 2021 began. Despite some predictions that new cases would pick up in the latter half of the year as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, filings have fallen to record lows as relief efforts helped fend off, at least temporarily, severe financial woes.
The total number of new Chapter 7 and Chapter 11 bankruptcy cases filed for the 12 months ending June 30, 2021 were the lowest since 1985, according to the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts. Commercial filings fell 17.7% to 18,511 compared with the previous year.
Even the dollar amount of this years bankruptcy filings dropped. The largest corporate bankruptcy in 2020 was Hertz Global Holdings Inc with $25.43 billion in assets when it filed, while 2021s has been offshore driller Seadrill Ltd, with $7.29 billion in assets, according to a report compiled by Cornerstone Research.
The obvious explanation for the lower number of business filings is the sustained strength of the capital markets that has made it easy to access financing. But some businesses have also enjoyed greater flexibility to make internal structural changes during the pandemic, Mayer Brown restructuring partner Lucy Kweskin said.
Companies have been able to implement under-the-radar layoffs and other cost-cutting measures that, in other environments, would have garnered bad publicity and fostered tense employee relations, Kweskin said.
Meanwhile, lenders have maintained a flexible approach to the debts theyre owed. In some cases notably those involving movie theaters, theme parks, and cruise ships, or any business that depends on large amounts of people to gather lenders are trying to avoid a situation in which they become owners of the companies that owe them money, Sullivan & Cromwell's global restructuring co-head James Bromley said.
Are creditors really interested in owning a movie theater chain at this moment? The answer is no, he said.
Instead of foreclosing, Bromley said, lenders are more likely to extend debt or seek increased collateral. But those arent long-term solutions to a companys underlying financial problems, especially in areas like the airline and auto industries, he said.
Additionally, a pattern of low yields on credit opportunities led some investors to go after riskier investments because they were the only ones that offered decent returns, Bromley said. Those questionable investments will likely turn south, Bromley added, which could lead an uptick in corporate bankruptcy filings in 2022 or 2023 as borrowers are unable to live up to the terms of their deals.
There are bad deals that are attracting a lot of money and those bad deals will go bad, Bromley said.
Retail has had an especially quiet year compared with 2020, when giants like JC Penney and Neiman Marcus sought bankruptcy protection. As of August, there were only nine notable retail bankruptcies filed during 2021, according to data collected by financial advisory firm BDO. None have had the same level of name recognition as the 2020 cases.
BDO partner David Berliner says the slowdown in retail bankruptcies is due in part to the fact they still have the upper hand over landlords, who will often agree to discounted rent if it prevents leases from getting canceled altogether.
Right now the pendulum has swung in favor of retailers in their battle with landlords, as landlords try to keep tenants from fleeing, he said.
Back-to-school and holiday shopping seasons are likely to bode well for retailers this year, especially compared with the low spending by consumers during 2020, Berliner said.
However, a retail rebound could be undermined by the higher wages necessary to bring employees back into stores and tight inventories caused by shipping delays, he added.
Additionally, he said, consumers could scale back their discretionary spending soon as a result of extra debt they took on to stay afloat over the past year.
In the end, however, companies will almost always try to solve their financial troubles outside of a bankruptcy courtroom, if only to avoid the press and public scrutiny that comes with a formal Chapter 11 filing. That will still be the case, even in a pandemic.
You may have some people say, I just cant weather this business and climate anymore, and the Delta variant pushes them to the brink and they end up selling assets, Kwestin said. But some of that may not necessarily need to be in court.
Maria Chutchian reports on corporate bankruptcies and restructurings. She can be reached at maria.chutchian@thomsonreuters.com.
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Bankruptcy filings are down, but lousy deals and operational woes will change that - Reuters
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Use Clarity to Avoid Contempt in Bankruptcy – Ward and Smith, PA
Posted: at 4:30 pm
September 8, 2021
It comes to us from a July 2021 North Carolina district court decision reversing a $115,000 sanctions order by a North Carolina bankruptcy court. The story offers a lesson and a moral. The lesson is that the bankruptcy court cannot sanction a creditor if there is an objectively reasonable basis for concluding that the creditors conduct is lawful. The moral of the story is that a creditor can avoid the time, expense, and risk associated with litigating contempt and sanctions issues by taking basic steps to ensure that confirmed Chapter 11 plans are clear and precise.
In 2009, the Beckharts filed Chapter 11. At the time, they were almost a year behind on a loan secured by the property at Kure Beach. The loan servicer objected to a plan confirmation because it did not specify how post-petition mortgage payments would be applied to principal and interest. The bankruptcy court confirmed the plan without clarifying the issue, but the servicer did not ask the court to reconsider its order nor did it appeal.
The Beckharts paid for five years. Shellpoint acquired the loan from the original servicer and treated it as in default based on unpaid accrued arrearages. Periodically, Shellpoint sent default letters to the Beckharts, who disputed the default. Counsel for Shellpoint advised that the confirmation order had not changed the loan contract terms and that the loan remained in default. The matter escalated with the Beckharts filing complaints with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Shellpoint commenced foreclosure, then represented to the Beckharts it was ceasing foreclosure, but then posted a foreclosure hearing notice on the Beckharts' door (allegedly due to error).
In January 2020, the Beckharts moved the bankruptcy court to find Shellpoint in contempt and award them monetary sanctions. The court held a hearing in June and, in September 2020, found Shellpoint in contempt. The court tagged Shellpoint with $115,000 in sanctions for lost wages, "loss of a fresh start," attorney's fees, and travel expenses.
Bankruptcy courts have the power to hold a party in civil contempt and to impose sanctions for violation of a confirmed plan. The test for liability is based on a recent United States Supreme Court decision -- Taggart v. Lorenzen. (To read our discussion of Taggart, click here.) The Taggart test prohibits sanctions if there was an objectively reasonable basis for concluding that the creditors conduct might be lawful.There can be contempt for violating the discharge injunction only if there is no fair ground of doubt as to whether the order barred the creditors conduct.
In reversing the bankruptcy court, the district court noted that the plan and confirmation order did not state how much the debtors would owe on confirmation, did not say how the $23,000 in arrears would be paid, and did not set the amount of the first payment. Confusingly, the confirmation order also said that the original loan terms would remain in effect, except as modified. Finally, the district court pointed out that Shellpoint was repeatedly advised by counsel that their behavior was authorized, and reliance on the advice of outside counsel is a sufficient defense to civil sanctions. Based on all these facts, the district court found that Shellpoint acted in good faith and interpreted the confirmation order in a manner consistent with the contractual terms of the loan, and that was objectively reasonable.
Creditors can take some comfort in the "no fair ground of doubt" test, which is more forgiving than a strict liability standard. Creditors can also solicit and act on the advice of counsel before engaging in perilous conduct, which provides another layer of protection. But the most important takeaway is the self-evident principle that creditors should insist on clear and specific plan terms. Shellpoint ultimately prevailed and avoided sanctions, but only after over 18 months of litigation. All of that could have been avoided had the loan servicer insisted the plan specify how the Beckharts' payments would be applied to satisfy the arrearage.
-- 2021 Ward and Smith, P.A. For further information regarding the issues described above, please contact Lance P. Martin.
This article is not intended to give, and should not be relied upon for, legal advice in any particular circumstance or fact situation. No action should be taken in reliance upon the information contained in this article without obtaining the advice of an attorney.
We are your established legal network with offices in Asheville, Greenville, New Bern, Raleigh, and Wilmington, NC.
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LATAM garners over $5bn in bankruptcy exit financing offers – ch-aviation
Posted: at 4:30 pm
LATAM Airlines Group - and certain of its debtor-affiliates in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, the United States, and Peru - have received more than USD5 billion in non-binding capital and financing proposals to exit from Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings, according to an SEC filing.
The airline group also released its five-year business projection, which it said marked one of the final stages before the presentation of its plan of reorganisation. LATAM forecasts recovering 2019 profitability by 2024, and a 78% operational result increase by 2026 when compared to pre-pandemic figures in 2019, the company said in a statement.
The offers from its most significant claim holders and its majority shareholders contemplate raising the new funds through the issuance of new debt and equity in LATAM, which would be "backstopped by the parties making the proposal". In addition, in each exit proposal, the proponents contemplate that if such proposal is approved and implemented, it would result in the substantial dilution of LATAMs currently existing shares, according to the filing by chief executive officer Roberto Alvo on September 9, 2021.
LATAM will continue to discuss the exit proposals with their respective proponents and will continue to engage in discussions regarding its reorganisation plan with such proponents and other stakeholders, some of whom have agreed to remain under non-disclosure agreements," he said.
LATAM is focused on ensuring that any exit strategy allows it to emerge from the Chapter 11 proceeding with a robust capital structure, adequate liquidity, and the ability to execute its business plan in a sustainable manner over time. Any plan will be implemented in accordance with the relevant requirements of the US Bankruptcy Code and Chilean law, Alvo said.
An extraordinary meeting of shareholders would be called when appropriate, subject to the progress of the negotiations with the various stakeholders. The carriers largest shareholders include Delta Air Lines (DL, Atlanta Hartsfield Jackson) (20%), the Cueto Group (16.4%), and Qatar Airways (QR, Doha Hamad Int'l) (10%). Other shareholders have 34.4% ownership in LATAM.
LATAM and its subsidiaries - which entered US Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on May 26, 2020 - have also filed a motion with the Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of New York for an extension until October 15 for the period during which debtors have the exclusive right to submit a plan of reorganisation, and until December 15 to solicit acceptances of a plan. The court is scheduled to consider the motion at a hearing on September 23, 2021.
As of July 31, 2021, LATAM reported about USD1.9 billion in liquidity, considering USD1.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents and USD800 million in undrawn Debtor-in Possession (DIP) financing.
LATAMs existing debtor-in-possession financing provides for a possible additional third tranche (the Tranche B Facility) of secured financing up to USD750 million, in addition to the existing USD1.3 billion Tranche A facility and the USD1.15 billion Tranche C facility, which are not fully drawn as of this time. Given the currently favourable market conditions, LATAM was soliciting interest from potential lenders in providing a Tranche B Facility and would consider proposals to determine whether it was able to borrow funds at a more competitive rate than under the existing Tranche A and C facilities.
Meanwhile, a telephonic hearing will be held in the US Bankruptcy Court on October 28, 2021, on a motion filed by the debtors to assume various aircraft agreements and for related relief totalling about USD52.4 million according to a notice filed by the court on September 10, 2021.
Alongside the news of its proposed exit funding, LATAM also disclosed its financial projections coming out of Chapter 11 until 2024 by when it expects to fly a similar amount of Available Seat Miles (ASKs) as it did in 2019 and a growth of 7% by 2026, resulting from an estimated recovery of the domestic markets by 2022 and the international ones by 2024. However, its mix of operations would be very different. "The stage length will be shortened as domestic markets recover faster than international, and we will be carrying 12% more passengers with a lower corporate passenger mix compared to pre-pandemic," the airline said.
The recovery scenario was supported by LATAM Airlines Brazils domestic markets operational ramp-up to date, which reached a 77% ASKs in August, compared to 2019, and was forecast to surpass 100% of 2019 levels at the beginning of 2022. The domestic markets of the affiliates in Colombia (LATAM Airlines Colombia), Ecuador (LATAM Airlines Ecuador), Peru (LATAM Airlines Per), and Chile (LATAM Airlines) already reached 72% in August, while the international recovery of the group, both regional and long-haul, continued to be affected by travel restrictions.
Meanwhile, LATAM had simplified its fleet and was now operating an all Boeing wide-body fleet, creating additional efficiencies. We will be flying newly retrofitted B777s from Brazil and in the coming months, we will be introducing the B787-9 in Brazil. We are also continuing to retrofit the cabins of our narrow-body fleet. According to the ch-aviation fleets advanced ch-aviation module, the airline group has a fleet of 294 aircraft spread across its various AOCs including forty-four A319-100s, 132 A320-200s, twelve A320-200Ns, forty-eight A321-200s, twenty-four B767-300(ER)s, ten B777-300(ER)s, ten B787-8s, and fourteen B787-9s.
Cost reduction initiatives addressed during the Chapter 11 process, including leveraging LATAMs digital transformation to improve efficiency, supplier renegotiations, and fleet restructuring, saved USD900 million annually and allowed LATAM to structurally change its cost base. It said an important part of its cost containment was coming from the renegotiation of its fleet, which represented its largest fixed cost. Fleet costs alone note annual cash cost savings of over 40% compared to 2019. "We have already obtained court approval for all the new terms regarding 95% of our fleet. These new terms will allow us to reduce the fleet-related cash outflows by over 40% in the forecasted period when compared to 2019. We have also entered into interest-only or variable payments depending on utilisation, extending to 2022 for 60% of our narrow-body fleet and to 2023 for 50% of our wide-body fleet. Its MRO facilities in Brazil and Chile would allow it in-source most of its maintenance.
LATAM Group said it had secured slots for converting passenger aircraft into freighters, allowing it to increase cargo capacity by 80% by 2024. "This heavier cost structure (larger cargo operations, more frequencies, shorter stage-length, more passengers) and the five-year inflationary pressure will all be offset by cost-saving initiatives. By 2024, before inflation, we expect our total Cost of Available Seat Kilometre (CASK) ex-fuel to amount to 3.9 cents, representing a 0.6 cent improvement on the 2019 CASK ex-fuel."
LATAM expects its revenues to increase by 13% to USD11.8 billion in 2026 and its EBIT margin to reach 25% in the same year. Passenger revenues were expected to grow 8% and cargo revenues by 59% compared to 2019.
The cargo affiliates of LATAM would incorporate at least eight new freighters into their fleet and some of these aircraft conversions had already started. The slower recovery in the international business provides for a unique opportunity for this business unit as there was less belly capacity available.
On the passenger front, the Group foresaw a competitive environment during the initial years of projections. "We expect the capacity of the group to exceed the demand and the unbundling of our fares and the improved cost structure will play a key role. In the later years of the projections, we are forecasting a morebalanced supply and demand." LATAM unbundled its fares in 2017, implementing an ancillary products strategy, which it said, would be a pillar of future growth.
Operating cash flow was forecast at USD1 billion in 2022, increasing to USD2.8 billion in 2026. Free cash flow, including fleet CAPEX, would be positive in 2023 and ramp-up to USD 1 billion in 2026. "All additional aircraft are modelled as operating leases and therefore will not imply a cash-out," it noted.
In addition to fleet and cargo conversions, LATAM would be investing in improving its performance and product, including digitalisation, cabins, and Wi-Fi connectivity.
The Group said it had leveraged the Chapter 11 process and would exit it with an improved operational cost structure that would position it competitively."The reorganisation has allowed LATAM to introduce structural transformations: renegotiated fleet, further improved an already competitive cost position and a strengthened network. We are convinced that LATAM Group will come out of this crisis stronger than ever," it said.
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All is not well with India’s bankruptcy law. Here’s how it can be fixed – Economic Times
Posted: at 4:30 pm
All is not well with the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC), on that there is agreement, across Parliaments Standing Committee, promoters and sundry commentators. How can it be fixed?
The problems range from voluntary bankruptcy not working as it should to unaccountable and unethical resolution professionals (RPs) and the absence of a deep and broad enough market for corporate debt. These must all be addressed.
Turn a New Chapter
The equivalent provision in the Indian code should be a financially stressed company voluntarily filing for bankruptcy. But this has not caught on. Under Section 10 of IBC, a corporate debtor can file for bankruptcy after committing debt-servicing default, and has to indicate an RP to run the company. These provisions should be changed. Voluntary filing of bankruptcy should be a pre-emptive move, seeking respite from debt servicing while a turnaround is put in place. The stipulation of filing for bankruptcy only after default should be removed. The incumbent management should be allowed to implement the turnaround, with the approval of the turnaround scheme, complete with monthly milestones, failure to achieve which should be reason enough for voluntary bankruptcy to lapse.
RPs are another source of angst. It would be unfair to tar the entire flock based on some black sheep who prepare unscheduled bags of wool, one for the master, one for the dame, and one for their own little ewes who live down the lane. However, the institutional framework to keep their conduct proper is missing.
RPs are governed by codes of conduct, one of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India (IBBI), and another of their affiliating institute. The only code Indians instinctively follow is that of caste honour, which leads on to the killing of young couples who love according to biology rather than sociology. There must be rigorous concurrent audit of the conduct of RPs. The IBBI must be beefed up to monitor this activity.
Employees of a company going bankrupt are as much victims of management failure/misconduct as creditors. Their help could be invoked to determine the value of the assets of a company. In the original scheme of things, information depositories were supposed to come up that would contain all the relevant data on companies. This has not materialised.
How much the assets of a company are worth is often vague, and there is little to prevent company managements or RPs from siphoning value out of a company. It might be a good idea to put in place an institutional framework for creating an inventory of a companys assets involving employees. Whistleblowers must be protected and rewarded.Liquidation Value No SecretIn a recent insolvency proceeding, a bench of the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) wondered if there had been collusion between the RP and the bidder who put in a bid just above the liquidation value of the company. This might have been unfair. If the companys books were reasonably accurate, due diligence would reveal the liquidation value to anyone.
In any case, why should the liquidation value be a secret? It should be a piece of information available to all bidders. If there is sufficient competition among would-be buyers, transparency on liquidation value would not bias bids to converge towards that figure. That brings us to the central defect in the working of IBC: insufficient competition among would-be buyers of resolved assets, either as going concerns or as liquidated parts.
Even without collusion among would-be buyers, there might be a paucity of very many viable bidders for a company going under the hammer during the 180-day interval in which resolution is supposed to take place. The way out of this time constraint is to sell the asset to patient capital that can, one, pay a competitive price for the asset, two, hold on to the company till a decent buyer comes along, and, three, run it competently in the meantime, if necessary.
The asset reconstruction companies (ARCs) created under the Securitisation and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest (Sarfaesi) Act of 2002 are not up to the task. They do not have capital, they are supposed to pay banks only 15% of the deal price in cash, the rest is in the form of Security Receipts, essentially IOUs that can, in theory, be traded on the market but are not. And, ARCs do not have the managerial bandwidth to run the companies they buy until they find a buyers for those companies. Only private equity does this kind of a thing.
Recently, ARCs sought the governments help to obtain bank credit. ARCs should be issuing bonds to raise the money they need but, for that, we need a market for subprime bonds. And they should be able to raise enough from sale of subprime bonds to pay off the full value of what they are willing to pay for the resolved assets. That is the only way ARCs would cease to be vehicles for banks to evergreen their bad loans instead of bad loans, banks hold IOUs from ARCs.
The ARCs must be recast, entirely, as companies, without being attached to the RBIs apron strings.
Views expressed are author's own
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All is not well with India's bankruptcy law. Here's how it can be fixed - Economic Times
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The Texas Two-Step and How Corporations May Use it to Avoid Bankruptcy – D Healthcare Daily
Posted: at 4:30 pm
Healthcare and pharmaceutical giant Johnson & Johnson has been dealing with accusations about its baby powder for decades, andinvestigationshave revealed that the company knew that its signature product contained asbestos. They were sued in 1997, and J&J denied the allegations, even though internal documents from the 1970s revealed the presence of asbestos in its baby powder.
Now, more than 34,000 lawsuits are alleging that the asbestos in the talc in baby powder has contributed to cancer in patients all over the country, including women connecting the use of the powder to ovarian cancer. The product is no longer sold in the US and Canada.
But J&J explored a plan to use a Texas law to deflect the blame and financial punishment to another company, Reuters reports. The move is called the Texas Two-Step. It works like this: A company with liabilities, like J&J and the asbestos suits, transforms into a Texas entity, and then the new company undertakes a divisive merger that splits that company into two companies, which is allowed under Texas divisive merger statute. Then, liabilities and assets can be split, protecting the money and letting the other company take on the liabilities. Though this would typically be a fraudulent transfer, Texas law makes it legal.
The company taking on the liabilities next files for bankruptcy, and the other company is released from all claims against it. During settlement discussions, J&J lawyers mentioned that the company was considering the move. There wouldnt have been anything plaintiffs could have done to stop it. The potential payment could be $24 billion, and the move would limit compensation to pennies on the dollar and could end all trials in state courts across the nation. The parent company would not have any of the stigma attached to filing bankruptcy, says Andy Birchfield, Mass Tort Section Head of the Beasley Allen law firm, which represents thousands of ovarian cancer victims. It would just be the new company that is formed, and there would be a limited pool of assets in that new company that would be available to the victims that are now creditors.
In September, the plaintiffs sought a temporary restraining order and preliminary injunction to prevent J&J or any corporate affiliates from transferring its assets to a subsidiary. Plaintiffs deserve to have their day in court before a judge and jury, not arbitrarily placed in bankruptcy court with little hope of adequate compensation, Birchfield said via release. Bankruptcy should not be used as a ploy to delay or deny justice for the victims of a dangerous product produced by a company with hundreds of billions of dollars in assets.
The financial implications could be massive as well. One suit with only 22 claimants resulted in an award of $2.12 billion already, which was reduced from an initial jury award of $4.69 billion. With tens of thousands of claimants on the latest suits, the results could be astronomical. It is unlikely to be successful, and J&J hasnt made any moves yet, but Birchfield says plaintiffs wont know in advance, tying up the plaintiffs in bankruptcy filings rather than giving them their day in court. It would be atrocious for our clients and cancer victims, Birchfield says. They would be further victimized by Johnson & Johnson by taking this bankruptcy process and using it to their advantage, and extreme disadvantage for their former customers and our clients.
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What to Expect at EDM Trance 2021 – One EDM
Posted: at 4:29 pm
Dance music lovers are anxiously waiting for the upcoming EDM Trance Music Festival. This years event, Trance Music Celebration (TMC) will take place in London at Victoria Park on August 4th. It is anticipated to be one of the most popular trance events of the year. If you want to attend this fantastic event, keep reading.
Trance Music Celebration is a free event and is open to all who enjoy electronic and techno music. It is held every year at Victoria Park in London. The venue has been renovated with a grand opening celebration. With world class DJs, live music acts and special guest appearances, the Trance Music Celebration is definitely an experience you will not want to miss.
What can you expect at the festival? Well, tickets are available for sale online. If you are looking to enjoy a free view of the venue, you can watch the live video stream from the official website. You will also get to see photos from past events of the electronic dance music community such as Jahrome and Donut.
Tickets for the rave are limited, so hurry up if you are planning to attend. There are early bird ticket prices, which are only slightly more than regular prices. If you want to secure a good spot, the internet will be your best bet. The official EDM Trance Facebook page has rave events posted all over the day and week and you will definitely want to check them out if you are planning to attend the electronic dance music event.
The festival will start on Friday night with a free, open air concert by Swedish House Mafia. From there, the other musical acts will include Disclosure, Arty Rock and special guest. On Saturday, trance queen DMA will be performing as well as Swedish House Mafia. If you want to experience some electronic music in a completely intimate setting, the private intimate concerts are an option as well. The private concerts feature a series of songs chosen only by the artist or the crowd.
This is the final weekend to experience trance music at the festival. On Sunday, Swedish House Mafia will close out proceedings with a free show for fans. Arty Rock will be performing the final track of the evening as well as Disclosure. A VIP concert series will take place afterwards featuring artists such as Arty Rock, Disclosure, and M-Audio. The final performances of the day will feature No Mans Sky, Sunsets, and No Strings Attached.
For those looking for electronic dance music for the whole family, the Mardi Gras dance party is also scheduled for the day after the closing ceremonies on Friday evening. This party is a complete celebration of fun, food and music. You should definitely join in on the fun!
EDM Trance Music festivals are not the only offerings of this type of music event. Miami Swing Dance is a monthly happening trance event that happens at the Fort Lauderdale Convention Center every Wednesday. This is another huge weekend planned for visitors to the area. Another upcoming festival in Florida is Midsummer Festival. It is the perfect chance for you to experience trance at its finest while enjoying all sorts of food, drink, and amazing visuals.
If you want to do trance music live, then you should definitely check out Coachella. This is an amazing annual event held right in the Palm Springs Desert. It offers some of the best trance music you will ever hear. It also features musical performances by top trance musicians from around the globe.
If you love to shop, then you should definitely check out Treasure Island. Treasure Island is known to host some of the biggest trance and music events in the world. This island gets its name from the way traders brought exotic items back to shore for selling. This is still true today as many vendors set up shop here to offer their wares to visitors. Treasure Island is also home to the first Aqua Beach Resort, so go pack your bags because youre sure to have a great time here.
For those interested in a little more than just electronic dance music, then there are always South Coast Music and Arts Festival. This three day festival celebrates everything that is related to the South Coast, from the artistry of the artists to the foods that are served at the festival. The festival has been going for over ten years now and is surely worth attending if you can make it to all three days. The festival usually happens in the early May or early June, so book your tickets well ahead of time to get the best selection and deals.
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