Monthly Archives: September 2021

RMS Estimates US$31 $44 Billion in Total U.S. Onshore and Offshore Insured Losses from Hurricane Ida – Insurance Journal

Posted: September 20, 2021 at 9:34 am

Estimates reflect insured wind, storm surge, and inland flooding impacts in the U.S., including losses to the National Flood Insurance Program and the private flood market.

Newark, CA September 17, 2021 RMS, the worlds leading catastrophe risk solutions company, estimates total onshore and offshore U.S. insured losses from Hurricane Ida to be between US$31 and US$44 billion. The estimate builds upon the earlier industry loss estimate of US$25-$35 billion for the Gulf of Mexico region, to include inland flooding impacts in the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast U.S. regions. RMS estimates US$6$9 billion in insured losses from precipitation-induced flooding in the Atlantic states in this event.

The majority of the insured flood losses in the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast U.S. between US$4.5 and US$7.0 billion, will be to the private market, with an additional US$1.5$2.0 billion to the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP).

Total U.S. onshore and offshore insured loss estimates for Hurricane Ida (US$ billions):

The overall industry loss estimate for this event includes wind and storm surge losses in the Gulf of Mexico based on analysis of ensemble footprints in Version 21 of the RMS North Atlantic Hurricane Models. RMS ensemble footprints are reconstructions of Idas hazard that capture the uncertainties surrounding observed winds and storm surge. The industry estimate also includes impacts from precipitation-induced inland flooding in the Gulf Coast states (Alabama, Florida, Louisiana and Mississippi), Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast regions, using footprints from the RMS U.S. Inland Flood HD Model.

Ida will be remembered as a wind and storm surge event in the Gulf of Mexico, and a flood event in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast U.S. The storms remnants brought historic amounts of rainfall over just a few hours to some of the most exposure-dense areas in that part of the country. Many locations from Philadelphia to New York City experienced six-hourly rainfall totals in excess of 100-year return period levels, which is beyond building design standards in that region, causing widespread fluvial and pluvial flooding. The fact that this region also experienced heavy rainfall from Tropical Storm Henri a few weeks prior created saturated antecedent conditions that exacerbated the extent and severity of flooding in Ida, said Jeff Waters, Senior Product Manager, RMS North Atlantic Hurricane Models.

Losses for the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast regions reflect property damage and business interruption to residential, commercial, industrial, and automobile lines of business, as well as sources of post-event loss amplification and leakage of flood losses onto windstorm policies.

RMS expects insured losses associated with precipitation-induced inland flooding to be material in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, even though a sizable flood protection gap remains. RMS estimates total economic losses from flooding in this region to be over US$15 billion, meaning that the majority of flood damages for this event will be uninsured. Many properties in New York and New Jersey had inundated basements in areas outside the designated FEMA special flood hazard areas (SFHAs), which drive the requirement for homeowners to obtain a flood insurance policy. While such losses will unlikely be covered unless they have a flood insurance policy, the pressure to expedite claims processing in this region is likely to cause coverage leakage as frequently seen with storm surge. We expect a portion of the uncovered flood-related losses in Ida to be paid out on wind policies, especially for residential lines without NFIP coverage, said Firas Saleh, Director, RMS U.S. Inland Flood HD Model.

Total insured losses from Ida reflect property damage and business interruption to residential, commercial, automobile, industrial, infrastructure, marine cargo and specie, watercraft, and other specialty lines of business, along with post-event loss amplification (PLA) and non-modeled sources of loss.

We expect a sizable portion of the overall insured losses from Ida to be associated with post-event loss amplification. A combination of COVID-19 related impacts, including rising construction costs, labor shortages, and fewer loss inspections could contribute to economic demand surge as repairs are undertaken in the coming months. That, along with prolonged power outages will only lengthen recovery and repair times, all of which may lead to increased overall claim costs in this event, said Rajkiran Vojjala, Vice President, Model Development, RMS.

The total U.S. insured loss estimate includes US$3.8US$6 billion losses to the NFIP, with US$1.5US$2 billion expected to come from the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast states. NFIP losses were derived using RMS view of NFIP exposure based on 2019 policy-in-force data published by FEMA, the Version 21 North Atlantic Hurricane Models, and the U.S. Inland Flood HD Model. While flood policy take-up is significant in coastal areas in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, some of the areas worst affected by floods during Ida have minimal (<10%) NFIP participation.

RMS expects the majority of onshore insured losses from Ida to be driven by wind, followed by inland flooding, and then storm surge. Additionally, insured wind losses will be driven by residential lines, and insured water losses will be dominated by commercial and industrial lines. Insured losses to infrastructure, watercraft, and marine cargo and specie lines in Ida will be less than US$1 billion.

Based on the August 2021 vintage of the RMS Offshore Platform Industry Exposure Database, and modeled ensemble footprints, RMS estimates insured losses to offshore platforms, rigs, and pipelines in the Gulf of Mexico from wind and wave damages to be between US$0.7US$1.5 billion.

Outside of the U.S., Ida impacted parts of the Caribbean, including Cuba, Jamaica, and the Cayman Islands, with strong winds, heavy rain, and flash flooding. RMS estimates less than US$100 million in insured losses from the event in the Caribbean.

Ida made landfall near Port Fourchon, Louisiana on Sunday, August 29 as a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. At landfall, Ida produced sustained winds of 150 miles per hour (241 km/h), according to the National Hurricane Center. As Ida moved northward toward the Tennessee River Valley, it weakened and eventually transitioned to a post-tropical cyclone before impacting the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast regions with torrential rain and flash flooding.

Hurricane Ida was the ninth named storm of the 2021 North Atlantic hurricane season, the fourth hurricane, and the fifth named storm to make landfall in the U.S. this season. Ida was also the fourth hurricane to make landfall in Louisiana since 2020, following Hurricanes Laura, Delta, and Zeta. Over two months remain in the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, which officially ends on November 30.

RMS industry loss estimates for landfalling U.S. hurricanes are comprehensive, reflecting modeled and non-modeled impacts from all major drivers of damage, including wind, storm surge, and inland flooding.

END

The technology and data used in providing this Information is based on the scientific data, mathematical and empirical models, and encoded experience of scientists and specialists. As with any model of physical systems, particularly those with low frequencies of occurrence and potentially high severity outcomes, the actual losses from catastrophic events may differ from the results of simulation analyses.

RMS SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL RESPONSIBILITIES, OBLIGATIONS AND LIABILITY WITH RESPECT TO ANY DECISIONS OR ADVICE MADE OR GIVEN AS A RESULT OF THE INFORMATION OR USE THEREOF, INCLUDING ALL WARRANTIES, WHETHER EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, WARRANTIES OF NON-INFRINGEMENT, MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. IN NO EVENT SHALL RMS (OR ITS PARENT, SUBSIDIARY, OR OTHER AFFILIATED COMPANIES) BE LIABLE FOR DIRECT, INDIRECT, SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES WITH RESPECT TO ANY DECISIONS OR ADVICE MADE OR GIVEN AS A RESULT OF THE CONTENTS OF THIS INFORMATION OR USE THEREOF.

About RMS

Risk Management Solutions, Inc. (RMS) helps insurers, financial markets, corporations, and public agencies evaluate and manage global risk from natural and man-made catastrophes, including hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, climate change, cyber, and pandemics.

RMS helped pioneer the catastrophe risk industry, and continues to lead in innovation by marrying data and advanced model science with leading-edge SaaS technology. Leaders across multiple industries can address the risks of tomorrow with RMS Risk Intelligence (RI), our open, unified cloud platform for global risk, enabling them to tap into RMS HD models, rich data layers, intuitive applications, and APIs.

Further supporting the industrys transition to modern risk management, RMS spearheaded the Risk Data Open Standard (RDOS), a new modern open standard data schema designed to be an extensible, flexible, and future-proof asset within modeling/analysis systems.

RMS is a trusted solutions partner enabling effective risk management for better business decision making across risk identification and selection, mitigation, underwriting, and portfolio management.

Visit RMS.com to learn more and follow us on LinkedIn and Twitter.

For More Information Contact:

Devonne Cusi (U.S.)+1 551 226 1604PRTeam@rms.com

Matthew Longbottom (U.K.)+44 7584 333485PRTeam@rms.com

Topics Catastrophe Natural Disasters USA Profit Loss Hurricane

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RMS Estimates US$31 $44 Billion in Total U.S. Onshore and Offshore Insured Losses from Hurricane Ida - Insurance Journal

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Wood and NERA collaboration to deliver new AI software solution for offshore inspections Software Testing News – Software Testing News

Posted: at 9:34 am

It was recently announced that the Aberdeen-based company Wood and National Energy Resources Australia (NERA) are collaborating in order to deliver an artificial intelligence (AI) software solution for offshore asset inspections.

Indeed, the Augmented Machine Vision Solution (AMVS) has been developed for 12 months and should create savingsof $2 billion per year. The project aims to create a safe and fast inspection approach that can offer operators more accurate and up-to-date information so as to help maximize the output of assets.

By doing so, inspections should be less susceptible to human error and inconsistencies, thus they will be more accurate. The new AI software should also help flag up any anomalies as well as eliminate the need for technicians to travel to hazardous, offshore sites. It would eventually read to better-connected operations that can be realized through faster turnaround times and reduced costs for crew and vessels.

It was stated that NERA is very pleased to be part of the project and see potential opportunities emerging for this solution to be deployed into various fields.

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Just over 23% of US Gulf oil, 34% of offshore natgas output remains shut in – ICIS

Posted: at 9:34 am

HOUSTON (ICIS)--Just over 23% of the US Gulfs oil production and 34% of natural gas output remained shut in as of Friday, the US Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement said.

The following table shows the number of platforms and rigs evacuated, including the total of oil and natural gas that has been shut in.

Oil and gas supply in the US Gulf has continued to slowly recover after Hurricane Ida hit Louisiana more than two weeks ago.

The percentage of oil and gas production that is still shut in has decreased slightly from the previous day.

Offshore oil wells account for 17% of the nation's crude production, according to theEnergy Information Administration (EIA).

The EIA said federal Gulf of Mexico production is about 3% of total US dry natural gas production.

Shell continues to assess the damage to its West Delta-143 facility. These facilities serve as the transfer station for all production from Shell-operated assets in the Mars corridor in the Gulf of Mexico to onshore crude and natural gas terminals.

Its Appomattox, Enchilada/Salsa and Auger assets continue to ramp up production. Its Mars, Ursa and Olympus assets remain shut in.

In contrast, pipeline companies impacted by Hurricane Nicholas have been able to restore service after the storm passed through Texas earlier this week.

Ports in the Texas Gulf Coast and southwestern Louisiana regionhave reopened.

The damage from both storms could likely see output andrefinery throughputimpacted for several more sessions.

On Tuesday, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) revised down their Q3 2021 oil demand figure by 200,000 bbl/day.

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Floating offshore wind could be used to power Equinor’s Rosebank project – Energy Voice

Posted: at 9:34 am

A floating offshore wind farm could be used to supply power to Equinors 300 million barrel Rosebank field.

Sonja Chirico Indrebo, head of floating offshore wind at the Norwegian energy giant, said while theres nothing concrete, the idea is on the drawing board.

And the company is looking into what the Hywind Tampen project means for the North Sea field.

She added that the story of Equinor is merging competencies and technologies.

Construction of Hywind Tampen got underway last year and the project is progressing really well, Ms Indrebo said.

Located about 85 miles from the Norwegian coast, it will be the worlds first floating wind farm to power offshore oil and gas assets, decarbonising operations.

The 11-turbine scheme, which will supply green energy to the Snorre and Gullfaks installations, is due to start up next year.

It will give Equinor around a third of global floating offshore wind capacity, adding to its Hywind Scotland development off Peterhead.

On whether a similar option could be used to cut emissions from Rosebank, Ms Indrebo said: We speak closely to the Aberdeen office because thats where we have a large portfolio.

The story of Equinor is how to merge these competencies so Rosebank is definitely looking into what Hywind Tampen means for them and what it could potentially look like.

Theres nothing concrete but its definitely on the drawing board were always trying to find optimised solutions.

Discovered in 2004 about 80 miles west of Shetland, Rosebank is among the UK North Seas largest remaining oilfields.

Equinor snapped up its 40%-operated stake in the field from Chevron in late 2018.

Prior to that, it had owned a 30% non-operated interest in Rosebank, but sold it to Austrian firm OMV in 2013.

A final investment decision on the field is expected to be taken in May next year.

However, the future of North Sea production has been thrown into sharp focus in recent weeks as the debate about Siccar Point Energys planned Cambo field rages on.

Some are calling on the UK Government to scrap the project, also west of Shetland, due to claims it is at odds with net zero.

Industry chiefs have argued that scrapping Cambo would simply lead to an increase in hydrocarbon imports, potentially from more carbon intensive regions.

Accordingly there is an increasing drive amongst North Sea companies to reduce their operational emissions.

Ms Indrebo said: The future for oil and gas will depend on the frameworks in place in different countries.

In Norway, we have a very high CO2 tax and that pushes a lot of decarbonisation. Scotland has a very ambitious net zero goal so I am sure that will be a driver here.

It will depend on where you are in the world but we do believe floating is a good solution to provide electricity for oil and gas needs.

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Salter: The constitution and the concept of liberty – LubbockOnline.com

Posted: at 9:32 am

ALEXANDER SALTER| Lubbock Avalanche-Journal

In a democracy, public policy rests on the consent of the governed. The great economist James Buchanan, who won the Nobel Prize in 1986, wrote that the status quo matters in a democracy because its from that point--wherever we happen to be--that the conversation about policy change begins. Our starting point, here and now, is the U.S. Constitution: its text, duly ratified amendments, and judicially interpreted meaning.

For lovers of liberty, the Constitution is an impressive document. Although lacking in some ways compared to the Articles of Confederation, our current national charter has the clear benefit of durability. The Constitution has been the basic law of the land for 232 years. Many of those years were prosperous. Some were tumultuous and destructive. The Constitution endured it all. It provides the basic backdrop of order against which liberty finds its meaning.

Libertarians like me admire the Constitution. We just wish our fellow citizens admired it as much as we do! While the Constitution isnt a fully libertarian document, its arguably the most pro-freedom compact in existence. When libertarians have a problem with the Constitution, its usually because too many politicians, bureaucrats, and sadly even voters ignore parts of the text they dont like.

The ways in which the Constitution protects freedom are obvious. Separation of powers and checks and balances are built into our governance system. This makes it incredibly difficult for political coalitions to seize absolute control of the government. And even if they do, the Bill of Rights, buttressed by the courts, stand guard over the citizenry. We Americans cherish our rights to speak freely, assemble freely, worship freely. We take pride in our protections against arbitrary seizure of property. And we know that these rights are natural rights, given to us by God. The Constitution recognizes them, but does not establish them.

In fact, the 9th Amendment explicitly says this: The enumeration in the Constitution, of certain rights, shall not be construed to deny or disparage others retained by the people. In other words, the rights of the people are far too numerous to list. Just because the Framers didnt write down a specific right doesnt mean we dont have that right. The Constitution is meant to limit the government, not the citizens.

Another support for liberty is the 10th Amendment: The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people. While libertarians lament the omission of the word expressly from this amendment, its nonetheless a demonstration of the Founders fondness for federalism. That government which governs best governs closest to the citizens themselves.

What parts of the Constitution do libertarians dislike? There are a few: the Necessary and Proper Clause, the Commerce Clause, and an unlimited power of taxation are the most obvious cases. The Necessary and Proper Clause, unless carefully interpreted, could easily result in an almost-unlimited federal government. Likewise, the Commerce Clause has been used to justify federal meddling in any situation which could conceivably--not even actually!--affect trade across the United States. The lack of strict controls on the taxing power has resulted in tax rates that are downright confiscatory. All of these yield a government that is too big, too intrusive, and too powerful.

But we oughtnt throw the baby out with the bathwater. The Constitution remains a respectable governance framework for a free and virtuous people. We can work within the Constitutional system to preserve its strengths and shore up its weaknesses. Unfortunately, the greatest obstacle to Constitutional renewal is the mass of politicians who are sworn to uphold it.

Republicans and Democrats are quick to praise the Constitution on the campaign trail or at a fundraiser. But when it comes to governing, their policies are a Constitutional disgrace. One is reminded of the prophecy of Isaiah: These people come near to me with their mouth and honor me with their lips, but their hearts are far from me. The sad reality is that government-run-amok is a bipartisan consensus. No party believes in keeping Washington, DC within the bounds of the Constitution. Many libertarians became libertarian because theyve had enough of our political duopolys two-step between Constitutional rhetoric and un-Constitutional policy.

The Constitution isnt perfect. No governing document is. But thanks to the Constitution, life, liberty, and property have been reasonably secure in the United States for more than two centuries. Libertarians seek to rein in the federal government by forcing it to follow the law of the land. While we can be reformist in our political programs, we must be radical in our aims.

American exceptionalism comes down to the rule of law: the idea that governed and governors alike must play by the same rules. Libertarians demand, as a matter of natural right, nothing less than the restoration of the rule of law. A crucial first step is to reinstate Constitutional constraints on government. Any other way of governing is profoundly un-American.

Alexander William Salter is the Georgie G. Snyder Associate Professor of Economics in the Rawls College of Business at Texas Tech University and the Comparative Economics Research Fellow at TTUs Free Market Institute.

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The English are rogues in a way we Irish only imagine ourselves to be – The Irish Times

Posted: at 9:32 am

I am back living in England, and Ill probably catch Covid. Theres a sense of inevitability to it. While the British government would never admit to pursuing herd immunity, the reality on the ground is fairly unambiguous.

Too many of my friends and comedy colleagues have become infected since Freedom Day, inJuly, and have reported varying levels of illness. I spoke to a comic in Hull who suffered from brain fog for months after his diagnosis. He told me how he found himself standing on stage in front of packed audiences, blanking on his own punchlines. Id really rather not catch it.

Ireland was a comforting spot to retreat to when the pandemic was at its zenith, but as the world opened back upI had a frustrating feeling that home had been too strict for too long. England has undoubtedly been at the other end of the spectrum. My first weekend back in London felt like an alternative reality, one where masks were optional and venues were heaving. Theres been a sense that the pandemic is over, that everyone hasmoved on.

Englands race towards easing restrictions has got as much to do with its national character as with its early vaccine triumph. The English are rogues in a way we Irish only imagine ourselves to be. A virulent strain of libertarianism influences all aspects of life here. As we discovered with Brexit, the notional idea of freedom is often prized as an end in itself, even if it has negative consequences.

This fetishisation of liberty at the expense of other values has played itself out again during the pandemic, with tragic consequences. When asked last year why Britains infection rates were higher than those in the rest of Europe, Britains prime minister,Boris Johnson, explained that his was a freedom-loving country.

He might have had a point. A Eurobarometer survey in 2017 found that Irish and British people were the most individualistic in Europe:most respondents in both countries said they would prefer that society be based more on individualism than solidarity. Despite this, the two nations have largely responded to the pandemic very differently, with Ireland applying a longer and harsher lockdown than anywhere else in Europe.

A preoccupation with personal liberty isnt necessarily a bad thing, of course. Ive always found the English to be largely laid back and open-minded. Irish people have migrated to the UK for generations in search of both economic and personal opportunities. Even Tnaiste Leo Varadkar flew to London and attended a festival in September. Similar events were banned at home, and he obviously needed to blow off some steam. The English, broadly speaking, will let you get on with things.

Englands decision to lift all restrictions while the Delta variant was still surging is a little more explicable in this context. But it is also worth considering the terrible example set by its most senior politicians. Most countries have had examples of government officials breaking their own rules, but the UK has been a world beater.

The hypocrisy reached its nadir when it emerged that Matt Hancock, the former secretary of state for health who effectively imposed a sex ban on the nations single people, had breached guidelines to conduct an extramarital affair. Public morale reached a new low, and continued Covid regulations became untenable. There was a sense of people having just given up.

Ultimate responsibility for the UKs coronavirus debacle lies with its prime minister. No public figure better embodies the countrys jolly libertarianism than him. With the dark days of 2020 now behind him, Johnson seems to be having a bit of a laugh again. He even joked to party colleagues that the early success of his governments vaccine rollout was because of capitalism, because of greed, my friends. Theres truth in jest.

While the Gordon Gecko school of public service may have endeared him to pharmaceutical companies, the broader public-health outcomes for the UK have been more mixed. Britain has reported the highest death rate from Covid-19 anywhere in Europe, and with hospital numbers surging againthere is concern that an October firebreak lockdown could be on the cards.

Johnsons government should certainly take credit for its vaccine triumph at the beginning of the year, but it must also take the blame for its failure to capitalise on its head start and for the Delta variant to spread as easily as it has.

Wearing a mask is not a political statement. Using a condom does not make you a communist. The benefits of mask wearing, social distancing and vaccine certificates while a highly transmissible airborne virus is still in circulation should be obvious. Coronavirus deaths in the UK are now hitting about 1,000 a week, and its not even winter.

If all of this leads to another lockdown, then dropping all restrictions will have made Britain less free, not more so. The British government would have you believe that all responsibility lies with the individual. The reality is that we are being governed by a cabal of ageing frat boys, and their decisions are making people sick.

Peter Flanagan left Ireland in 2016 to perform stand-up comedy in London. He has worked as a writer and comedian in Britain and Europe

If you live overseas and would like to share your experience with Irish Times Abroad, email abroad@irishtimes.com with a little information about you and what you do

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At the Supreme Court, a Plea to Reveal Secret Surveillance Rulings – The New York Times

Posted: at 9:32 am

After Edward J. Snowdens leaks in 2013 disclosed that the court had authorized the bulk collection of logs of all Americans phone calls and emails under the USA Patriot Act, Congress passed a new law, the USA Freedom Act of 2015. Among other things, it required executive branch officials to make public, to the greatest extent practicable, decisions from the intelligence court that included significant legal determinations.

Critics say that is not enough, for two basic reasons. Under separation-of-powers principles, they say, courts rather than the executive branch should decide whether judicial opinions ought to be made public. And the 2015 law, at least according to the executive branch, does not apply to decisions issued before its enactment.

The A.C.L.U. filed a motion in the FISA court, seeking disclosure of major decisions issued between the Sept. 11 attacks and the 2015 law and arguing that the FISA court itself should decide whether disclosure of its decisions was required by the First Amendment.

These court opinions are vitally important, said Patrick Toomey, a lawyer with the A.C.L.U. They can have far-reaching consequence for Americans privacy and free expression rights. It shouldnt be up to the executive branch whether the public has access to them.

A specialized appeals court ruled last year that the FISA court lacked the power even to consider whether there is a right of access to its decisions under the First Amendment. Though other federal courts routinely consider requests to unseal their own records, the appeals court ruled that the FISA court could not consider the constitutional question before it because Congress had not granted it the power to do so.

The jurisdictional issues in the case are tangled, but the larger questions it presents are not.

In a supporting brief, former government officials including James Clapper, a former director of national intelligence, and John Brennan, a former C.I.A. director wrote that excessive secrecy can result in indiscriminate and destructive leaking.

Too much secrecy, in other words, they wrote, puts at risk the very intelligence operations that require secrecy to be effective.

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Navalny allies accuse Telegram and other platforms of censorship – Al Jazeera English

Posted: at 9:32 am

Jailed Kremlin critic Alexei Navalnys allies are accusing YouTube and Telegram of censorship after the video platform and messaging app restricted access to their anti-government voting recommendations for Russias parliamentary election.

The latest accusations came on Saturday, one day after Navalnys allies had already accused Alphabets Google and Apple of buckling under Kremlin pressure after the companies removed an app from their stores that the activists had hoped to use against the ruling party in the election.

Voting began on Friday and ran until late on Sunday.

Telegram, the social media platform used by protesters from Iran to Belarus, blocked a smart voting channel aimed at defeating ruling party nominees, which carried recommendations for candidates in Russias parliamentary elections.

The app gives detailed recommendations on who to vote for in an effort to challenge the party that backs President Vladimir Putin. It is one of the few levers Navalnys allies have left after a sweeping crackdown this year.

Telegrams founder Pavel Durov, who has carved out a libertarian image and resisted past censorship, said the platform would block election campaign services, including one used by Navalnys allies to give voter recommendations.

He said the decision had been taken because of a Russian ban on campaigning once polls are open, which he considered legitimate and is similar to bans in many other countries.

Navalnys spokeswoman Kira Yarmysh condemned the move.

Its a real disgrace when the censorship is imposed by private companies that allegedly defend the ideas of freedom, she wrote on Twitter.

Ivan Zhdanov, a political ally of Navalny, said he did not believe Telegrams justification and that the move looked to have been agreed somehow with Russias authorities.

Late on Saturday, Navalnys camp said YouTube had also taken down one of their videos that contained the names of 225 candidates they endorsed.

The video presentation of the smart voting recommendations for the constituencies with the nastiest (United Russia candidates) has also been removed, they wrote.

Navalnys camp said it was not a knockout blow as their voting recommendations were available elsewhere on social media.

But it is seen as a possible milestone in Russias crackdown on the internet and its standoff with US tech firms.

Russia has for years sought sovereignty over its part of the internet, where anti-Kremlin politicians have followings and media critical of Putin operate.

Navalnys team uses Googles YouTube widely to air anti-corruption videos and to stream coverage and commentary of anti-Kremlin protests they have staged.

Russias ruling United Russia party, which supports President Vladimir Putin, retained its parliamentary majority although its performance was slightly weaker than at the last parliamentary election in 2016 andfollows the biggest crackdown on the Kremlins domestic opponents in years.

The Navalny teams Telegram feed continued to function normally on Saturday and included links to voter recommendations available in Russia via Google Docs.

On a separate Telegram feed also used by the team, activists said Russia had told Google to remove the recommendations in Google Docs and that the US company had, in turn, asked Navalnys team to take them down.

Google did not immediately respond to a request for comment from the Reuters news agency.

In his statement, Durov said Google and Apples restrictions of the Navalny app had set a dangerous precedent and meant Telegram, which is widely used in Russia, was more vulnerable to government pressure.

He said Telegram depends on Apple and Google to operate because of their dominant position in the mobile operating system market and his platform would not have been able to resist a Russian ban from 2018 to 2020 without them.

Russia tried to block Telegram in April 2018 but lifted the ban more than two years later after ostensibly failing to block it.

The app block by Apple and Google creates a dangerous precedent that will affect freedom of expression in Russia and the whole world, Durov said in a post on Telegram.

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Navalny allies accuse Telegram of censorship in Russian election – Yahoo Finance

Posted: at 9:32 am

By Tom Balmforth

MOSCOW, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Allies of jailed Kremlin critic Alexei Navalny accused Telegram of censorship on Saturday after the popular messaging app followed Google and Apple in restricting access to their voting campaign in Russia's parliamentary election.

The activists have already accused Alphabet's Google and Apple of buckling under Kremlin pressure after they removed an app from their stores that Navalny's allies had hoped to use against the ruling party at the election.

The app gives detailed recommendations on who to vote for in an effort to challenge the party that backs President Vladimir Putin. It is one of the few levers Navalny's allies have left after a sweeping crackdown this year.

Telegram's founder Pavel Durov, who has carved out a libertarian image and resisted past censorship, said the platform would block election campaign services, including one used by Navalny's allies to give voter recommendations.

He said the decision had been taken because of a Russian ban on campaigning once polls are open, which he considered legitimate and is similar to bans in many other countries.

Navalny's spokeswoman Kira Yarmysh condemned the move.

"It's a real disgrace when the censorship is imposed by private companies that allegedly defend the ideas of freedom," she wrote on Twitter.

Ivan Zhdanov, a political ally of Navalny, said he did not believe Telegram's justification and that the move looked to have been agreed somehow with Russia's authorities.

Navalny's camp said it was not a knockout blow as their voting recommendations were available elsewhere on social media.

But it is seen as a possible milestone in Russia's crackdown on the internet and its standoff with U.S. tech firms.

Russia has for years sought sovereignty over its part of the internet, where anti-Kremlin politicians have followings and media critical of Putin operate.

'DANGEROUS PRECEDENT'

Story continues

The ruling United Russia Party is still widely expected to win the election despite a ratings slump. The voting, which opened on Friday and runs through Sunday, follows the biggest crackdown on the Kremlin's domestic opponents in years.

The Navalny team's Telegram feed continued to function normally on Saturday, and included links to voter recommendations available in Russia via Google Docs.

On a separate Telegram feed also used by the team, activists said Russia had told Google to remove the recommendations in Google Docs and that the U.S. company had in turn asked Navalny's team to take them down.

Google did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

In his statement, Durov said Google and Apple's restrictions of the Navalny app had set a dangerous precedent and meant Telegram, which is widely used in Russia, was more vulnerable to government pressure.

He said Telegram depends on Apple and Google to operate because of their dominant position in the mobile operating system market and his platform would not have been able to resist a Russian ban from 2018 to 2020 without them.

Russia tried to block Telegram in April 2018 but lifted the ban more than two years later after ostensibly failing to block it.

"The app block by Apple and Google creates a dangerous precedent that will affect freedom of expression in Russia and the whole world," Durov said in a post on Telegram. (Reporting by Tom Balmforth; Additional reporting by Anton Zverev and Alexander Marrow; Editing by David Clarke)

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Navalny allies accuse Telegram of censorship in Russian election - Yahoo Finance

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What the Proposed Tax Deal Means for Your Business – Inc.

Posted: at 9:32 am

The House Democrats released their tax proposal with big headlines about increasing taxes on the rich and big corporations. But if you have read my articles before, you know I care less about big corporations and more about small businesses. Where do they fit in to the tax code changes? Is tax reform good or bad for them? Some small businesses will benefit from the proposed changes. Here's who wins and loses with this new tax proposal:

The Winners: Small corporations earning less than $5 million

Currently corporations are federally taxed at a flat rate of 21% of adjusted net income. The proposal in the house would create three new tax brackets for corporations:

Small corporations earning less than $5 million per year in income will actually experience a tax decrease in this proposal, saving up to $12k in tax expense. Not huge, but not bad.

Small businesses competing against foreign companies

Substantial portions of the tax reform package seek to close loopholes or deductions taken by foreign entities or domestic entities paying foreign taxes. Small businesses who cannot afford the scale or reach of international operations will benefit from a leveling of the playing field as they compete with foreign entities facing larger tax burdens.

Anyone waiting for the IRS

The proposal includes $79 billion of additional IRS funding for enforcement of new provisions. That is more than a 6x increase over the 2021 budget!

While entrepreneurs and libertarians generally cringe at the idea of more IRS bureaucrats issuing audits and investigating tax filings, there is a downside to our currently low IRS staffing: slow responses, terrible customer service, and delayed tax refunds.

Accounting departments nationwide have been struggling to file basic and time-sensitive forms like change in entity tax elections, often going 10+ months without confirmation or response from the IRS. It is all but impossible to contact IRS customer service now, with their 800-number automatically hanging up on callers after 3-hours on hold. The worst part is most small businesses are still awaiting their 2020 income tax returns five months after filing.

The hope is extra IRS funding means more staff to process refunds, filings, and business negotiations faster.

The Losers of Tax Reform

In general, the more profit you earn the more you stand to lose from tax reform. Here's a list of the losers in the current tax proposal in the house:

Corporations earning more than $5 million per year

High income corporations are facing a new income bracket of 26.5%. In fact, if you earn more than $10 million per year, you will have ALL your income taxed at 26.5% rather than just incremental income.

Pass-through entities earning more than $400k per year

High income S-corps, partnerships, and sole proprietors are facing three headwinds in the tax reforms. The top-tax bracket for personal income taxes (which affects pass-through entities like partnerships, S-corps, and sole proprietors) will be increased from 37% to 39.6%.

Second, the threshold for this tax bracket will be lowered, meaning a new set of earners will suddenly qualify for the top tax bracket. The new bracket limit for individuals will be $400k (down from $523k) and $450k (down fro $628k) for married filing jointly.

Lastly, high income pass-through entities will be disqualified from the Qualified Business Income Deduction. The QBID (commonly known as the pass-through tax deduction) is a deduction worth up to 20% of your income. However, the rules for QBID are complex and include phase-outs for businesses with higher income, business activity, or even what year it is. It is difficult to know how much your business benefited from the QBID without reviewing your tax return.

The proposed tax reform eliminated the QBDI for anyone earning more than $500k/yr. jointly or $400k/yr. for a single individual. Consult with your fractional CFO or CPA to determine whether or not this would affect you.

Owners that sell businesses or business assets

The highest long-term capital gains tax rate (which applies to most businesses) would rise from 20% to 25%. This has a large impact on businesses that buy and sell appreciating assets like real estate, collectables, stocks, or even your business itself.

In fact, the most popular way to avoid paying capital gains taxes, known as section 1202, is also weakened in the proposed tax reforms. The gains exclusion would drop from 100% to 50%, creating up to $5 million per year in additional capital gains taxes per transaction.Individuals with lots of money in retirement accounts

The new tax legislation seeks to limit the use of qualified retirement accounts, like IRAs and Roth IRA's, based on the total amount of money someone has in such accounts.

Overall Impact of Tax Changes on Small Businesses

The Biden administration and House Democrats have successfully targeted high-income corporations and business owners in these reforms. Although there are some benefits in the legislation, in aggregate, The House's proposed tax changes would be a burden on high income small businesses.

These terms are being actively negotiated in congress, so do not get too excited. There is still a chance that none of it will happen. Here's my recommendation to small business owners facing the prospect of high tax liabilities:

In reality, most small businesses will not change anything in light of the new tax structure. There are dozens of business elements more impactful on cash flow than your tax strategy - sales and marketing strategy, operations strategy, pricing strategy, exit strategy... As much as we wish we had a fleet of corporate accountants to find every tax loophole, that is not economically realistic for small businesses. Do your diligence, collaborate with your financial team, but always stay focused on fundamentals to ensure success.

The opinions expressed here by Inc.com columnists are their own, not those of Inc.com.

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What the Proposed Tax Deal Means for Your Business - Inc.

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