Monthly Archives: February 2020

Donald Trump’s India Visit Is a Showcase of Where Nationalism Leads – Esquire.com

Posted: February 27, 2020 at 2:25 am

Donald Trump long ago embraced the label of "nationalist" as a way to differentiate himself from the "globalists." This Steve Bannon Special was exactly the kind of false binary authoritarians feed on. "You know what I am? Im a nationalist. OK? Im a nationalist," Trump said at a 2018 rally. "Radical Democrats want to turn back the clock. Restore the rule of corrupt, power-hungry globalists. You know what a globalist is, right? A globalist is a person that wants the globe to do well, frankly not caring about our country so much. And, you know what? We cant have that."

This ideathat the United States can succeed, or the rest of the world can succeed, but you can't have bothis nonsense. But this is also a self-serving deployment of the term "nationalist," which, as George Orwell illustrated 75 years ago in his Notes on Nationalism, is not the same as "patriot."

Orwell made clear that "nationalism" was his term of choice because he'd yet to find one better, and that it can apply to all manner of movements"Communism, political Catholicism, Zionism, Antisemitism, Trotskyism"to which people might surrender their individual selves.

As fate would have it, Trump is in India this week visiting a nation that is increasingly subsumed by Hindu nationalist fervor. Prime Minister Narendra Modi, now a Trump ally, has been linked with the movement since he was chief minister of the Indian state of Gujarat. Modi is accused of attempting to establish a Hindu-dominated society there, where Muslims would effectively be second-class citizens, and of complicity in a 2002 riot that reportedly led to the deaths of 1,000 Muslims. Since he was elected prime minister in 2014, the movement has spread nationally. Modi is now pushing a citizenship law that specifically discriminates against Muslims. India's status as the world's largest secular democracy is very much in the balance.

And while Trump visited Delhi with Modi on Tuesday, these were some of the scenes a few miles away, via the Washington Post's Rana Ayyub, after Muslim protesters took to the streets to voice dissent against the proposed citizenship lawand were greeted by police and Hindu counter-protesters.

And here's some BBC footage of what the British news service is calling "Delhi's night of horror." A Muslim man describes how he and his father were beaten by a Hindu mob demanding people give their names and recite Hindu slogans in order to prove their identities. A Hindu man says, under condition of anonymity, that Hindu residents were merely trying to help an overwhelmed police force.

So far, CNN reports 13 are dead, including a police officer, and 150 have been hospitalized. Indian police claim Muslim protesters were throwing rocks, though protesters say the demonstrations were nonviolent.

This appears to be a spasm of nationalist violence timed to greet the arrival of the President of the United States and his embrace of the nationalist leader. But this is also a preview of where nationalism always leads: towards violence, perpetrated by mobs and militias and even agents of the state, against The Other. In India's case, it is some in the country's Hindu majority against the minority Muslim population. In the U.S., most of the nationalist movement's ire has been directed at Muslims and Hispanic immigrants, though the most serious spasm of street violencein Charlottesville in 2017also involved white nationalists directing hatred at Jews and attacking antiracist protesters, including black men.

The vast majority of Trump's followers would not resort to violence. The same is likely true of Modi's. But overriding all of this is the growing sense across the world that nations belong to only some of their residents, that there are Real Americans and Others, that some people should have a seat at the table and make the rules and everybody else should just be happy to be there. The strength of secular democracies, like the United States and India, is that they theoretically grant the full rights of citizenship to anyone who subscribes to ideas about human life and flourishing that transcend religious and ethnic divides. But in this age of extreme inequality and growing tribalism, we are beginning to lose our grip on the Americanand, perhaps, the IndianIdea. As Orwell told us, this descent into unreason is at the core of nationalist fervor.

Does any of this sound familiar?

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Donald Trump's India Visit Is a Showcase of Where Nationalism Leads - Esquire.com

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Mind uploading | Transhumanism Wiki | Fandom

Posted: at 2:23 am

In transhumanism and science fiction, mind uploading (also occasionally referred to by other terms such as mind transfer, whole brain emulation, or whole body emulation) refers to the hypothetical transfer of a human mind to a substrate different from a biological brain, such as a detailed computer simulation of an individual human brain.

The human brain contains a little more than 100 billion nerve cells called neurons, each individually linked to other neurons by way of connectors called axons and dendrites. Signals at the junctures (synapses) of these connections are transmitted by the release and detection of chemicals known as neurotransmitters. The brain contains cell types other than neurons (such as glial cells), some of which are structurally similar to neurons, but the information processing of the brain is thought to be conducted by the network of neurons.

Current biomedical and neuropsychological thinking is that the human mind is a product of the information processing of this neural network. To use an analogy from computer science, if the neural network of the brain can be thought of as hardware, then the human mind is the software running on it.

Mind uploading, then, is the act of copying or transferring this "software" from the hardware of the human brain to another processing environment, typically an artificially created one.

The concept of mind uploading then is strongly mechanist, relying on several assumptions about the nature of human consciousness and the philosophy of artificial intelligence. It assumes that strong AI machine intelligence is not only possible, but is indistinguishable from human intelligence, and denies the vitalist view of human life and consciousness.

Mind uploading is completely speculative at this point in time; no technology exists which can accomplish this.

The relationship between the human mind and the neural circuitry of the brain is currently poorly understood. Thus, most theoretical approaches to mind uploading are based on the idea of recreating or simulating the underlying neural network. This approach would theoretically eliminate the need to understand how such a system works if the component neurons and their connections can be simulated with enough accuracy.

It is unknown how precise the simulation of such a neural network would have to be to produce a functional simulation of the brain. It is possible, however, that simulating the functions of a human brain at the cellular level might be much more difficult than creating a human level artificial intelligence, which relied on recreating the functions of the human mind, rather than trying to simulate the underlying biological systems.[citation needed]

Thinkers with a strongly mechanistic view of human intelligence (such as Marvin Minsky) or a strongly positive view of robot-human social integration (such as Hans Moravec and Ray Kurzweil) have openly speculated about the possibility and desirability of this.

In the case where the mind is transferred into a computer, the subject would become a form of artificial intelligence, sometimes called an infomorph or "nomorph." In a case where it is transferred into an artificial body, to which its consciousness is confined, it would also become a robot. In either case it might claim ordinary human rights, certainly if the consciousness within was feeling (or was doing a good job of simulating) as if it were the donor.

Uploading consciousness into bodies created by robotic means is a goal of some in the artificial intelligence community. In the uploading scenario, the physical human brain does not move from its original body into a new robotic shell; rather, the consciousness is assumed to be recorded and/or transferred to a new robotic brain, which generates responses indistinguishable from the original organic brain.

The idea of uploading human consciousness in this manner raises many philosophical questions which people may find interesting or disturbing, such as matters of individuality and the soul. Vitalists would say that uploading was a priori impossible. Many people also wonder whether, if they were uploaded, it would be their sentience uploaded, or simply a copy.

Even if uploading is theoretically possible, there is currently no technology capable of recording or describing mind states in the way imagined, and no one knows how much computational power or storage would be needed to simulate the activity of the mind inside a computer. On the other hand, advocates of uploading have made various estimates of the amount of computing power that would be needed to simulate a human brain, and based on this a number have estimated that uploading may become possible within decades if trends such as Moore's Law continue.[citation needed]

If it is possible for human minds to be modeled and treated as software objects which can be instanced multiple times, in multiple processing environments, many potentially desirable possibilities open up for the individual.

If the mental processes of the human mind can be disassociated from its original biological body, it is no longer tied to the limits and lifespan of that body. In theory, a mind could be voluntarily copied or transferred from body to body indefinitely and therefore become immortal, or at least exercise conscious control of its lifespan.

Alternatively, if cybernetic implants could be used to monitor and record the structure of the human mind in real time then, should the body of the individual be killed, such implants could be used to later instance another working copy of that mind. It is also possible that periodic backups of the mind could be taken and stored external to the body and a copy of the mind instanced from this backup, should the body (and possibly the implants) be lost or damaged beyond recovery. In the latter case, any changes and experiences since the time of the last backup would be lost.

Such possibilities have been explored extensively in fiction: This Number Speaks, Nancy Farmer's The House of the Scorpion, Newton's Gate, John Varley's Eight Worlds series, Greg Egan's Permutation City, Diaspora, Schild's Ladder and Incandescence, the Revelation Space series, Peter Hamilton's Pandora's Star duology, Bart Kosko's Fuzzy Time, Armitage III series, the Takeshi Kovacs universe, Iain M. Banks Culture novels, Cory Doctorow's Down and Out in the Magic Kingdom, and the works of Charles Stross. And in television sci-fi shows: Battlestar Galactica, Stargate SG-1, among others.

Another concept explored in science fiction is the idea of more than one running "copy" of a human mind existing at once. Such copies could either be full copies, or limited subsets of the complete mentality designed for a particular limited functions. Such copies would allow an "individual" to experience many things at once, and later integrate the experiences of all copies into a central mentality at some point in the future, effectively allowing a single sentient being to "be many places at once" and "do many things at once".

The implications of such entities have been explored in science fiction. In his book Eon, Greg Bear uses the terms "partials" and "ghosts", while Charles Stross's novels Accelerando and Glasshouse deal with the concepts of "forked instances" of conscious beings as well as "backups".

In Charles Sheffield's Tomorrow and Tomorrow, the protagonist's consciousness is duplicated thousands of times electronically and sent out on probe ships and uploaded into bodies adapted to native environments of different planets. The copies are eventually reintegrated back into the "master" copy of the consciousness in order to consolidate their findings.

Such partial and complete copies of a sentient being again raise issues of identity and personhood: is a partial copy of sentient being itself sentient? What rights might such a being have? Since copies of a personality are having different experiences, are they not slowly diverging and becoming different entities? At what point do they become different entities?

If the body and the mind of the individual can be disassociated, then the individual is theoretically free to choose their own incarnation. They could reside within a completely human body, within a modified physical form, or within simulated realities. Individuals might change their incarnations many times during their existence, depending on their needs and desires.

Choices of the individuals in this matter could be restricted by the society they exist within, however. In the novel Eon by Greg Bear, individuals could incarnate physically (within "natural" biological humans, or within modified bodies) a limited number of times before being legally forced to reside with the "city memory" as infomorphic "ghosts".

Once an individual is moved to virtual simulation, the only input needed would be energy, which would be provided by large computing device hosting those minds. All the food, drink, moving, travel or any imaginable thing would just need energy to provide those computations.

Almost all scientists, thinkers and intelligent people would be moved to this virtual environment once they die. In this virtual environment, their brain capacity would be expanded by speed and storage of quantum computers. In virtual environment idea and final product are not different. This way more and more innovations will be sent to real world and it will speed up our technological development.

Regardless of the techniques used to capture or recreate the function of a human mind, the processing demands of such venture are likely to be immense.

Henry Markram, lead researcher of the "Blue Brain Project", has stated that "it is not [their] goal to build an intelligent neural network", based solely on the computational demands such a project would have[1].

Advocates of mind uploading point to Moore's law to support the notion that the necessary computing power may become available within a few decades, though it would probably require advances beyond the integrated circuit technology which has dominated since the 1970s. Several new technologies have been proposed, and prototypes of some have been demonstrated, such as the optical neural network based on the silicon-photonic chip (harnessing special physical properties of Indium Phosphide) which Intel showed the world for the first time on September 18, 2006.[3] Other proposals include three-dimensional integrated circuits based on carbon nanotubes (researchers have already demonstrated individual logic gates built from carbon nanotubes[4]) and also perhaps the quantum computer, currently being worked on internationally as well as most famously by computer scientists and physicists at the IBM Almaden Research Center, which promises to be useful in simulating the behavior of quantum systems; such ability would enable protein structure prediction which could be critical to correct emulation of intracellular neural processes.

Present methods require use of massive computational power (as the BBP does with IBM's Blue Gene Supercomputer) to use the essentially classical computing architecture for serial deduction of the quantum mechanical processes involved in ab initio protein structure prediction. If necessary, should the quantum computer become a reality, its capacity for exactly such rapid calculations of quantum mechanical physics may well help the effort by reducing the required computational power per physical size and energy needs, as Markram warns would be needed (and thus why he thinks it would be difficult, besides unattractive) should an entire brain's simulation, let alone emulation (at both cellular and molecular levels) be feasibly attempted. Reiteration may also be useful for distributed simulation of a common, repeated function (e.g., proteins).

Ultimately, nano-computing is projected by some[citation needed] to hold the requisite capacity for computations per second estimated necessary, in surplus. If Kurzweil's Law of Accelerating Returns (a variation on Moore's Law) shows itself to be true, the rate of technological development should accelerate exponentially towards the technological singularity, heralded by the advent of viable though relatively primitive mind uploading and/or "strong" (human-level) AI technologies, his prediction being that the Singularity may occur around the year 2045.[5]

The structure of a neural network is also different from classical computing designs. Memory in a classical computer is generally stored in a two state design, or bit, although one of the two components is modified in dynamic RAM and some forms of flash memory can use more than two states under some circumstances. Gates inside central processing units will often also use this two state or digital type of design as well. In some ways a neural network or brain could be thought of like a memory unit in a computer, but with an extremely vast number of states, corresponding with the total number of neurons. Beyond that, whether the action potential of a neuron will form, based upon the summation of the inputs of different dendrites, might be something that is more analog in nature than that which happens in a computer. One great advantage that a modern computer has over a biological brain, however, is that the speed of each electronic operation in a computer is many orders of magnitude faster than the time scales involved for the firing and transmission of individual nerve impulses. A brain, however, uses far more parallel processing than exists in most classical computing designs, and so each of the slower neurons can make up for it by operating at the same time.

There are many ethical issues concerning mind uploading. Viable mind uploading technology might challenge the ideas of human immortality, property rights, capitalism, human intelligence, an afterlife, and the Abrahamic view of man as created in God's image. These challenges often cannot be distinguished from those raised by all technologies that extend human technological control over human bodies, e.g. organ transplant. Perhaps the best way to explore such issues is to discover principles applicable to current bioethics problems, and question what would be permissible if they were applied consistently to a future technology. This points back to the role of science fiction in exploring such problems, as powerfully demonstrated in the 20th century by such works as Brave New World and Nineteen Eighty-Four, each of which frame current ethical problems in a future environment where those have come to dominate the society.

Another issue with mind uploading is whether an uploaded mind is really the "same" sentience, or simply an exact copy with the same memories and personality. Although this difference would be undetectable to an external observer (and the upload itself would probably be unable to tell), it could mean that uploading a mind would actually kill it and replace it with a clone. Some people would be unwilling to upload themselves for this reason. If their sentience is deactivated even for a nanosecond, they assert, it is permanently wiped out. Some more gradual methods may avoid this problem by keeping the uploaded sentience functioning throughout the procedure.

True mind uploading remains speculative. The technology to perform such a feat is not currently available, however a number of possible mechanisms, and research approaches, have been proposed for developing mind uploading technology.

Since the function of the human mind, and how it might arise from the working of the brain's neural network, are poorly understood issues, many theoretical approaches to mind uploading rely on the idea of emulation. Rather than having to understand the functioning of the human mind, the structure of underlying neural network is captured and simulated with a computer system. The human mind then, theoretically, is generated by the simulated neural network in an identical fashion to it being generated by the biological neural network.

These approaches require only that we understand the nature of neurons and how their connections function, that we can simulate them well enough, that we have the computational power to run such large simulations, and that the state of the brain's neural network can be captured with enough fidelity to create an accurate simulation.

A possible method for mind uploading is serial sectioning, in which the brain tissue and perhaps other parts of the nervous system are frozen and then scanned and analyzed layer by layer, thus capturing the structure of the neurons and their interconnections[6]. The exposed surface of frozen nerve tissue would be scanned (possibly with some variant of an electron microscope) and recorded, and then the surface layer of tissue removed (possibly with a conventional cryo-ultramicrotome if scanning along an axis, or possibly through laser ablation if scans are done radially "from the outside inwards"). While this would be a very slow and labor intensive process, research is currently underway to automate the collection and microscopy of serial sections[7]. The scans would then be analyzed, and a model of the neural net recreated in the system that the mind was being uploaded into.

There are uncertainties with this approach using current microscopy techniques. If it is possible to replicate neuron function from its visible structure alone, then the resolution afforded by a scanning electron microscope would suffice for such a technique[7]. However, as the function of brain tissue is partially determined by molecular events (particularly at synapses, but also at other places on the neuron's cell membrane), this may not suffice for capturing and simulating neuron functions. It may be possible to extend the techniques of serial sectioning and to capture the internal molecular makeup of neurons, through the use of sophisticated immunohistochemistry staining methods which could then be read via confocal laser scanning microscopy[citation needed].

A more advanced hypothetical technique that would require nanotechnology might involve infiltrating the intact brain with a network of nanoscale machines to "read" the structure and activity of the brain in situ, much like the electrode meshes used in current brain-computer interface research, but on a much finer and more sophisticated scale. The data collected from these probes could then be used to build up a simulation of the neural network they were probing, and even check the behavior of the model against the behavior of the biological system in real time.

In his 1998 book, Mind children, Hans Moravec describes a variation of this process. In it, nanomachines are placed in the synapses of the outer layer of cells in the brain of a conscious living subject. The system then models the outer layer of cells and recreates the neural net processes in whatever simulation space is being used to house the uploaded consciousness of the subject. The nanomachines can then block the natural signals sent by the biological neurons, but send and receive signals to and from the simulated versions of the neurons. Which system is doing the processing biological or simulated can be toggled back and forth, both automatically by the scanning system and manually by the subject, until it has been established that the simulation's behavior matches that of the biological neurons and that the subjective mental experience of the subject is unchanged. Once this is the case, the outer layer of neurons can be removed and their function turned solely over to the simulated neurons. This process is then repeated, layer by layer, until the entire biological brain of the subject has been scanned, modeled, checked, and disassembled. When the process is completed, the nanomachines can be removed from the spinal column of the subject, and the mind of the subject exists solely within the simulated neural network.

Alternatively, such a process might allow for the replacement of living neurons with artificial neurons one by one while the subject is still conscious, providing a smooth transition from an organic to synthetic brain - potentially significant for those who worry about the loss of personal continuity that other uploading processes may entail. This method has been likened to upgrading the whole internet by replacing, one by one, each computer connected to it with similar computers using newer hardware.

While many people are more comfortable with the idea of the gradual replacement of their natural selves than they are with some of the more radical and discontinuous mental transfer, it still raises questions of identity. Is the individual preserved in this process, and if not, at what point does the individual cease to exist? If the original entity ceases to exist, what is the nature and identity of the individual created within the simulated neural network, or can any individual be said to exist there at all? This gradual replacement leads to a much more complicated and sophisticated version of the Ship of Theseus paradox.

It may also be possible to use advanced neuroimaging technology (such as Magnetoencephalography) to build a detailed three-dimensional model of the brain using non-invasive and non-destructive methods. However, current imaging technology lacks the resolution needed to gather the information needed for such a scan.

Such a process would leave the original entity intact, but the existence, nature, and identity of the resulting being in the simulated network are still open philosophical questions.

Another recently conceived possibility[citation needed] is the use of genetically engineered viruses to attach to synaptic junctions, and then release energy-emitting molecular compounds, which could be detected externally, and used to generate a functional model of the synapses in question, and, given enough time, the whole brain and nervous system.

An alternate set of possible theoretical approaches to mind uploading would require that we first understand the functions of the human mind sufficiently well to create abstract models of parts, or the totality, of human mental processes. It would require that strong AI be not only a possibility, but that the techniques used to create a strong AI system could also be used to recreate a human type mentality.

Such approaches might be more desirable if the abstract models required less computational power to execute than the neural network simulation of the emulation techniques described above.

Another theoretically possible method of mind uploading from organic to inorganic medium, related to the idea described above of replacing neurons one at a time while consciousness remained intact, would be a much less precise but much more feasible (in terms of technology currently known to be physically possible) process of "cyborging". Once a given person's brain is mapped, it is replaced piece-by-piece with computer devices which perform the exact same function as the regions preceding them, after which the patient is allowed to regain consciousness and validate that there has not been some radical upheaval within his own subjective experience of reality. At this point, the patient's brain is immediately "re-mapped" and another piece is replaced, and so on in this fashion until, the patient exists on a purely hardware medium and can be safely extricated from the remaining organic body.

However, critics contend[citation needed] that, given the significant level of synergy involved throughout the neural plexus, alteration of any given cell that is functionally correspondent with (a) neighboring cell(s) may well result in an alteration of its electrical and chemical properties that would not have existed without interference, and so the true individual's signature is lost. Revokability of that disturbance may be possible with damage anticipation and correction (seeing the original by the particular damage rendered unto it, in reverse chronological fashion), although this would be easier in a stable system, meaning a brain subjected to cryosleep (which would imbue its own damage and alterations).[citation needed]

It has also been suggested (for example, in Greg Egan's "jewelhead" stories[8]) that a detailed examination of the brain itself may not be required, that the brain could be treated as a black box instead and effectively duplicated "for all practical purposes" by merely duplicating how it responds to specific external stimuli. This leads into even deeper philosophical questions of what the "self" is.

On June 6, 2005 IBM and the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne announced the launch of a project to build a complete simulation of the human brain, entitled the "Blue Brain Project".[9] The project will use a supercomputer based on IBM's Blue Gene design to map the entire electrical circuitry of the brain. The project seeks to research aspects of human cognition, and various psychiatric disorders caused by malfunctioning neurons, such as autism. Initial efforts are to focus on experimentally accurate, programmed characterization of a single neocortical column in the brain of a rat, as it is very similar to that of a human but at a smaller scale, then to expand to an entire neocortex (the alleged seat of higher intelligence) and eventually the human brain as a whole.

It is interesting to note that the Blue Brain project seems to use a combination of emulation and simulation techniques. The first stage of their program was to simulate a neocortical column at the molecular level. Now the program seems to be trying to create a simplified functional simulation of the neocortical column in order to simulate many of them, and to model their interactions.

With most projected mind uploading technology it is implicit that "copying" a consciousness could be as feasible as "moving" it, since these technologies generally involve simulating the human brain in a computer of some sort, and digital files such as computer programs can be copied precisely. It is also possible that the simulation could be created without the need to destroy the original brain, so that the computer-based consciousness would be a copy of the still-living biological person, although some proposed methods such as serial sectioning of the brain would necessarily be destructive. In both cases it is usually assumed that once the two versions are exposed to different sensory inputs, their experiences would begin to diverge, but all their memories up until the moment of the copying would remain the same.

By many definitions, both copies could be considered the "same person" as the single original consciousness before it was copied. At the same time, they can be considered distinct individuals once they begin to diverge, so the issue of which copy "inherits" what could be complicated. This problem is similar to that found when considering the possibility of teleportation, where in some proposed methods it is possible to copy (rather than only move) a mind or person. This is the classic philosophical issue of personal identity. The problem is made even more serious by the possibility of creating a potentially infinite number of initially identical copies of the original person, which would of course all exist simultaneously as distinct beings.

Philosopher John Locke published "An Essay Concerning Human Understanding" in 1689, in which he proposed the following criterion for personal identity: if you remember thinking something in the past, then you are the same person as he or she who did the thinking. Later philosophers raised various logical snarls, most of them caused by applying Boolean logic, the prevalent logic system at the time. It has been proposed that modern fuzzy logic can solve those problems,[10] showing that Locke's basic idea is sound if one treats personal identity as a continuous rather than discrete value.

In that case, when a mind is copied -- whether during mind uploading, or afterwards, or by some other means -- the two copies are initially two instances of the very same person, but over time, they will gradually become different people to an increasing degree.

The issue of copying vs moving is sometimes cited as a reason to think that destructive methods of mind uploading such as serial sectioning of the brain would actually destroy the consciousness of the original and the upload would itself be a mere "copy" of that consciousness. Whether one believes that the original consciousness of the brain would transfer to the upload, that the original consciousness would be destroyed, or that this is simply a matter of definition and the question has no single "objectively true" answer, is ultimately a philosophical question that depends on one's views of philosophy of mind.

Because of these philosophical questions about the survival of consciousness, there are some who would feel more comfortable about a method of uploading where the transfer is gradual, replacing the original brain with a new substrate over an extended period of time, during which the subject appears to be fully conscious (this can be seen as analogous to the natural biological replacement of molecules in our brains with new ones taken in from eating and breathing, which may lead to almost all the matter in our brains being replaced in as little as a few months[11]). As mentioned above, this would likely take place as a result of gradual cyborging, either nanoscopically or macroscopically, wherein the brain (the original copy) would slowly be replaced bit by bit with artificial parts that function in a near-identical manner, and assuming this was possible at all, the person would not necessarily notice any difference as more and more of their brain became artificial. A gradual transfer also brings up questions of identity similar to the classical Ship of Theseus paradox, although the above-mentioned natural replacement of molecules in the brain through eating and breathing brings up these questions as well.

A computer capable of simulating a person may require microelectromechanical systems (MEMS), or else perhaps optical or nano computing for comparable speed and reduced size and sophisticated telecommunication between the brain and body (whether it exists in virtual reality, artificially as an android, or cybernetically as in sync with a biological body through a transceiver), but would not seem to require molecular nanotechnology.

If minds and environments can be simulated, the Simulation Hypothesis posits that the reality we see may in fact be a computer simulation, and that this is actually the most likely possibility.[12]

Uploading is a common theme in science fiction. Some of the earlier instances of this theme were in the Roger Zelazny 1968 novel Lord of Light and in Frederik Pohl's 1955 short story "Tunnel Under the World." A near miss was Neil R. Jones' 1931 short story "The Jameson Satellite", wherein a person's organic brain was installed in a machine, and Olaf Stapledon's "Last and First Men" (1930) had organic human-like brains grown into an immobile machine.

Another of the "firsts" is the novel Detta r verkligheten (This is reality), 1968, by the renowned philosopher and logician Bertil Mrtensson, in which he describes people living in an uploaded state as a means to control overpopulation. The uploaded people believe that they are "alive", but in reality they are playing elaborate and advanced fantasy games. In a twist at the end, the author changes everything into one of the best "multiverse" ideas of science fiction. Together with the 1969 book Ubik by Philip K. Dick it takes the subject to its furthest point of all the early novels in the field.

Frederik Pohl's Gateway series (also known as the Heechee Saga) deals with a human being, Robinette Broadhead, who "dies" and, due to the efforts of his wife, a computer scientist, as well as the computer program Sigfrid von Shrink, is uploaded into the "64 Gigabit space" (now archaic, but Fred Pohl wrote Gateway in 1976). The Heechee Saga deals with the physical, social, sexual, recreational, and scientific nature of cyberspace before William Gibson's award-winning Neuromancer, and the interactions between cyberspace and "meatspace" commonly depicted in cyberpunk fiction. In Neuromancer, a hacking tool used by the main character is an artificial infomorph of a notorious cyber-criminal, Dixie Flatline. The infomorph only assists in exchange for the promise that he be deleted after the mission is complete.

In the 1982 novel Software, part of the Ware Tetralogy by Rudy Rucker, one of the main characters, Cobb Anderson, has his mind uploaded and his body replaced with an extremely human-like android body. The robots who persuade Anderson into doing this sell the process to him as a way to become immortal.

In the 1997 novel "Shade's Children" by Garth Nix, one of the main characters Shade (a.k.a. Robert Ingman) is an uploaded consciousness that guides the other characters through the post-apocolyptic world in which they live.

The fiction of Greg Egan has explored many of the philosophical, ethical, legal, and identity aspects of mind uploading, as well as the financial and computing aspects (i.e., hardware, software, processing power) of maintaining "copies". In Egan's Permutation City and Diaspora, "copies" are made by computer simulation of scanned brain physiology. Also, in Egan's "Jewelhead" stories, the mind is transferred from the organic brain to a small, immortal backup computer at the base of the skull, with the organic brain then being surgically removed.

The Takeshi Kovacs novels by Richard Morgan was set in a universe where mind transfers were a part of standard life. With the use of cortical stacks, which record a person's memories and personality into a device implanted in the spinal vertebrae, it was possible to copy the individual's mind to a storage system at the time of death. The stack could be uploaded to a virtual reality environment for interrogation, entertainment, or to pass the time for long distance travel. The stack could also be implanted into a new body or "sleeve" which may or may not have biomechanical, genetic, or chemical "upgrades" since the sleeve could be grown or manufactured. Interstellar travel is most often accomplished by digitized human freight ("dhf") over faster-than-light needlecast transmission.

In the "Requiem for Homo Sapiens" series of novels by David Zindell (Neverness, The Broken God, The Wild, and War in Heaven), the verb "cark" is used for uploading one's mind (and also for changing one's DNA). Carking is done for soul-preservation purposes by the members of the Architects church, and also for more sinister (or simply unknowable) purposes by the various "gods" that populate the galaxy such gods being human minds that have now grown into planet- or nebula-sized synthetic brains. The climax of the series centers around the struggle to prevent one character from creating a Universal Computer (under his control) that will incorporate all human minds (and indeed, the entire structure of the universe).

In the popular computer game Total Annihilation, the 4,000-year war that eventually culminated with the destruction of the Milky Way galaxy was started over the issue of mind transfer, with one group (the Arm) resisting another group (the Core) who were attempting to enforce a 100% conversion rate of humanity into machines, because machines are durable and modular, thereby making it a "public health measure."

In the popular science fiction show Stargate SG-1 the alien race who call themselves the Asgard rely solely on cloning and mind transferring to continue their existence. This was not a choice they made, but a result of the decay of the Asgard genome due to excessive cloning, which also caused the Asgard to lose their ability to reproduce. In the episode "Tin Man", SG-1 encounter Harlan, the last of a race that transferred their minds to robots in order to survive. SG-1 then discover that their minds have also been transferred to robot bodies. Eventually they learn that their minds were copied rather than uploaded and that the "original" SG-1 are still alive.

The Thirteenth Floor is a film made in 1999 directed by Josef Rusnak. In the film, a scientific team discovers a technology to create a fully functioning virtual world which they could experience by taking control of the bodies of simulated characters in the world, all of whom were self-aware. One plot twist was that if the virtual body a person had taken control of was killed in the simulation while they were controlling it, then the mind of the simulated character the body originally belonged to would take over the body of that person in the "real world".

The Matrix is a film released the same year as The Thirteenth Floor that has the same kind of solipsistic philosophy. In The Matrix, the protagonist Neo finds out that the world he has been living in is nothing but a simulated dreamworld. However, this should be considered as virtual reality rather than mind uploading, since Neo's physical brain still is required to reside his mind. The mind (the information content of the brain) is not copied into an emulated brain in a computer. Neo's physical brain is connected into the Matrix via a brain-machine interface. Only the rest of the physical body is simulated. Neo is disconnected from this dreamworld by human rebels fighting against AI-driven machines in what seems to be a neverending war. During the course of the movie, Neo and his friends are connected back into the Matrix dreamworld in order to fight the machine race.

In the series Battlestar Galactica the antagonists of the story are the Cylons, sentient computers created by man which developed to become nearly identical to human beings. When they die they rely on mind transferring to keep on living so that "death becomes a learning experience".

The 1995 movie Strange Days explores the idea of a technology capable of recording a conscious event. However, in this case, the mind itself is not uploaded into the device. The recorded event, which time frame is limited to that of the recording session, is frozen in time on a data disc much like today's audio and video. Wearing the "helmet" in playback mode, another person can experience the external stimuli interpretation of the brain, the memories, the feelings, the thoughts and the actions that the original person recorded from his/her life. During playback, the observer temporarily quits his own memories and state of consciousness (the real self). In other words, one can "live" a moment in the life of another person, and one can "live" the same moment of his/her life more than once. In the movie, a direct link to a remote helmet can also be established, allowing another person to experience a live event.

Followers of the Ralian religion advocate mind uploading in the process of human cloning to achieve eternal life. Living inside of a computer is also seen by followers as an eminent possibility.[13]

However, mind uploading is also advocated by a number of secular researchers in neuroscience and artificial intelligence, such as Marvin Minsky. In 1993, Joe Strout created a small web site called the Mind Uploading Home Page, and began advocating the idea in Cryonics circles and elsewhere on the net. That site has not been actively updated in recent years, but it has spawned other sites including MindUploading.org, run by Randal A. Koene, Ph.D., who also moderates a mailing list on the topic. These advocates see mind uploading as a medical procedure which could eventually save countless lives.

Many Transhumanists look forward to the development and deployment of mind uploading technology, with many predicting that it will become possible within the 21st century due to technological trends such as Moore's Law. Many view it as the end phase of the Transhumanist project, which might be said to begin with the genetic engineering of biological humans, continue with the cybernetic enhancement of genetically engineered humans, and finally obtain with the replacement of all remaining biological aspects.

The book Beyond Humanity: CyberEvolution and Future Minds by Gregory S. Paul & Earl D. Cox, is about the eventual (and, to the authors, almost inevitable) evolution of computers into sentient beings, but also deals with human mind transfer.

Raymond Kurzweil, a prominent advocate of transhumanism and the likelihood of a technological singularity, has suggested that the easiest path to human-level artificial intelligence may lie in "reverse-engineering the human brain", which he usually uses to refer to the creation of a new intelligence based on the general "principles of operation" of the brain, but he also sometimes uses the term to refer to the notion of uploading individual human minds based on highly detailed scans and simulations. This idea is discussed on pp. 198-203 of his book The Singularity is Near, for example.

Hans Moravec describes and advocates mind uploading in both his 1988 book Mind Children: The Future of Robot and Human Intelligence and also his 2000 book Robot: Mere Machine to Transcendent Mind. Moravec is referred to by Marvin Minsky in Minsky's essay Will Robots Inherit the Earth?.[14]

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What to do in Toronto this week: February 24-March 1 – NOW Magazine

Posted: at 2:23 am

These are our top event picks for the week of February 24-March 1. Formore events listings, visitnowtoronto.com/events.

National Theatre Live: Fleabag

Catch a recording of Pheobe Waller-Bridge's solo show that eventually became her hit TV show of the same name on the big screen.

February 24, 25 & 27. Paradise Theatre. $19-$27. paradiseonbloor.com.

The Runner

Christopher Morris's stunning show about a Z.A.K.A. volunteer facing a moment of crisisis back as part of Tarragon's season, with the same teamintact. As we wrote in ouroriginal review, run, don't walk, to get tickets to this riveting show.

February 25 to March 29 at theTarragon Mainspace

Hannah Gadsby

The Australian comedianis coming to Toronto for the first time with her latest solo show, Douglas.

February 27-29. Roy Thomson Hall. $45.75-$65.75.roythomsonhall.com

Brain Storm

Writer/director Taliesin McEnaney's show inspired by Canadian neurosurgeon Dr. Wilder Penfield world premieres at Dancemakers Studio.

February 27-March 8. Pwyc-$60. whynot.theatre.com

School Night Toronto

There's a solid lineup for this edition of the free-with-RSVP Monday night concert series, including the robot funk of Ice Cream and the still-somehow-under-the-radar local R&B/pop singer Sylo Nozra. Also playing: Alex Bent & The Emptiness and Sabby Sousa.

February24. Drake Hotel. 7:30 pm. Free with RSVPitsaschoolnight.com

Refused with Youth Code

Start warming up your voice to shout "CAN I SCREAM?" The long-running Swedish punks Refused are bringing their new noise to Toronto, touring behind the 2019 album War Music.

February 25. Phoenix Concert Theatre.Doors 7 pm. $35.ticketmaster.ca

Cam'Ron

The legendary Dipset rapper recently released Purple Haze 2, the sequel to his beloved decade-and-a-half old album and he's been hinting it could be his last. So you'll want to be at this surprisingly intimate show if you've been clamouring to see him.

February 28. Velvet Underground. Doors 7 pm. Sold out.

The Future Of Work And Death

Sean Blacknell and Wayne Walsh's documentary screens as part of a panel discussion exploring the possible impacts of artificial intelligence, automation and the development of mind uploading to prolong human life.

February 24. Toronto Reference Library. 6:30 pm. Free. eventbrite.ca

Cats

Ladies of Burlesque hosts the city's latest performance-based screening of the instant-camp classic.

February 26. Royal Cinema. 7 pm. $13. universe.com

Toronto Irish Film Festival

Dark Lies The Island, a darkly comic film adaptation ofKevin Barrys short stories, kicks off a weekend of Irish features and shorts.

February 28-March 1. TIFF Bell Lightbox.$15-$25.toirishfilmfest.com

Queerly Beloved

Inside Out celebrates 30 years by screening 18 queer classics at the Paradise Theatre.

March 1-31. $14-$21. paradiseonbloor.com

Western Lights:Isochronal

Artist Fezz Stenton uses 3D projectionmapping and animation techniques to transform the 116 foot-long wall at 809 Dundas Street West (at Palmerston) into textures of ice, molten heat, lush greenery and crystal structures.

February 27-29.7-11pm. The show runs every 15 minutes. Free. trinitybellwoodsdundas.com

Chowder Chowdown

Chef's challenge supports Ocean Wise sustainability seafood program.

February 26. Distillery District Fermenting Cellar. $60. ocean.org/chowderchowdown

Recipe For Change 2020

FoodShare's annual fundraiser puts the spotlight on the culinary artistry and vision of some of Torontos most dynamic Black chefs.

February 28. Toronto Reference Library.6 pm. $150. eventbrite.ca

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Demi Lovato, without makeup on her latest Instagram post: "This is how I look 90% of the time" – Asap Land

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Instagram It is not precisely the paradigm of naturalness. We all have that, right? Because let's recognize it, with the rise of digital retouching applications, it is quite common that before uploading a photograph we have retouched it to eliminate certain imperfections that we do not like. This is really not bad, as long as you don't go over it, of course. In fact, from the social network they have already begun to take measures and recently announced that they would begin to penalize users who abuse Photoshop in their photos. The one that is sure that this will never happen is to Demi lovato, because it is the vivid image of transparency. He does not mind uploading photos where he is seen to have cellulite (come on, like most women) and it is not uncommon for him to share 'selfies' with his bare face without a drop of makeup. Well, he has done it again, and we have to say one thing about it: we would like to have such a great complexion.

Demi is one of the 'celebrities' who has done more for self-acceptance, as is the case of Rihanna, Sarah Hyland or Hilary Duff. All of them have no qualms about uploading snapshots with stretch marks, grains or spots, attributes that although natural, seem to have no place on Instagram. But come on, we don't see any of this in Demi's last 'selfie'.

"I have not done a #NoMakeupMonday for years, but I have thought that after publishing photos with lots of makeup and very well groomed, it is important to show what is below. This is my appearance 85 and 90% of the time. I am proud of my freckles and me for loving and accepting myself as I am. "

A photograph that has already accumulated more than 8 million likes in less than 24 hours and it has been very well received among his followers. "Thank you for being real", "You are pure inspiration for many women" or "You are beautiful inside and out" are just some of the comments he received.

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These Charleston musicians are TikTok famous and use it to promote their art – Charleston Post Courier

Posted: at 2:23 am

A popular new video-based social media platform is providing local musicians with new opportunities to promote their material but not in the way you might expect.

A few Charleston-based artists have become celebrities of a sort on TikTok and are leveraging their newfound fame to stream more music, sell more merchandise and develop a larger fan base for when they go on tour. They aren't posting videos of themselves playing music, but rather trendy, humorous clips that have garnered viral attention.

Joseph Dubay scrolls through the social media TikTok app at his home in West Ashley on Monday, Feb. 10, 2020. Andrew J. Whitaker/Staff

TikTok is a video-sharing social networking service owned by Beijing-based ByteDance.

It's similar to Instagram, Twitter and YouTube, offering opportunities to follow and engage with other users and view a personalized feed. But TikTok is skewed toward a younger generation: 60 percent of its users are between the ages of 16 and 24. The largest demographic on Instagram, in comparison, is the 25-34 age bracket, which amounts to 35 percent of the app's users. The average age of a Facebook user is 40.5.

Since launching in 2017, it's become a new tool for content creators, a new way to socialize for teenagers and a new point of interest for marketers. Users open the TikTok app an average of eight times a day and spending around an hour on it, according to recent statistics.

About 90 percent of users are on TikTok every single day to post short video clips (the maximum length for a video is 15 seconds, though content creators can string four videos together) or watch billions of clips posted by others. A live streaming option allows for longer clips.

The app similar to a short-lived predecessor, Vine, but with additional features and algorithms has around 800 million active users in 155 countries.

Its reach provides ample opportunities to promote and sell products, and TikTok-specific marketing blogs have popped up all over the internet trying to explain how to take advantage of the new platform. Advertising campaigns start at $500 a day, while brand takeovers can cost between $20,000 and $200,000. Starting a hashtag challenge a popular way to reach millions of users can cost $100,000 or more.

TikTok's origins lie in music.

The app was formerly known as musical.ly, which was created as a space to make, share and discover short music videos. It was used by young people as a sort of karaoke outlet, to express themselves through singing, dancing, comedy and lip-syncing.

Joseph Dubay prerecords a video for the social media application TikTok, where he posts several times a day to his fans. Andrew J. Whitaker/Staff

TikTok's musical roots might be one of the reasons so many musicians have used it to discuss or perform their songs, upload tunes for use by others as background tracks, or link to music websites.

Charleston-based musician Joseph Dubay, 25, decided to take a subtle approach. He began by uploading comedic videos under the name @emojoseph. He makes them in front of his bathroom mirror, and they usually consist of short and funny one-liners. They've garnered quite the audience.

Some of his videos have gone viral, reaching millions of users almost instantly. As of mid-February, he had 70,000 followers and 2.1 million likes (more than Kevin Jonas of The Jonas Brothers). He posts an average of five or six videos a day and gets about 1 million views every week.

"There's a part of me that feels like I should not be excited by this," Dubay says with a laugh. "I'm a millennial, so I'm conditioned to still think to some extent that social media is bad."

Joseph Dubay tells short jokes in a video in his bathroom for TikTok on Monday, Feb. 10, 2020, in West Ashley. Andrew J. Whitaker/ Staff

Dubay's TikTok views indirectly have turned into cash flow. He's been racking up about 300 streams of his songs on Spotify each day and has grown his audience in just a couple of months from 250 listeners a month to almost 900. Fans have sent him money via Venmo and bought his merchandise.

"Social media is the way to build an audience, and you can't be sleeping on TikTok," Dubay says.

He's turned some of his most popular TikTok catch phrases into T-shirts, sweatshirts and coffee mugs phraseslike "Kind & Chaotic," "Chew Your Water" and "I Don't Trust Dolphins." He says he can sell up to $200 in merchandise a week.

Joseph Dubay with his TikTok livestream setup in his room on Monday, Feb. 10, 2020, in West Ashley. Andrew J. Whitaker/Staff

"It's all science," Dubay says. "It does not matter how good you are. You've gotta adapt. As soon as the algorithm says mirrors aren't funny anymore, I will change, and I will survive."

Another local band, Newgrounds Death Rugby, has a member on TikTok with more than 130,000 followers. Graham McLernon, 19, says he's met all his close friends on the app. His current roommate, Daniel Jorgenson, is a member of Newgrounds Death Rugby and was someone he followed on TikTok.

Joseph Dubay prerecords a video for the social media application TikTok, where he posts several times a day to his fans. Dubay is a musician in Charleston who uses TikTok as a way to build a character he developed in the app as well as to showcase some of his music. Andrew J. Whitaker/ Staff

McLernon didn't evenknow Jorgensonlived in South Carolina until they started talking more consistently; before he knew it, McLernon had a new best friend, roommate and bandmate.

"YouTubers andfamous Instagrammers put on a persona," he says. "All of them advertise this perfect, wonderful life theyre living and its so luxurious. But on TikTok, people are talking about bad days, they're finding ways to vent. It shows the good and bad parts, too. I feels like it shows you that no one is perfect and that's fine."

Joseph Dubay holds his guitar with his TikTok livestream setup in his room on Monday, Feb. 10, 2020, in West Ashley. Andrew J. Whitaker/ Staff

Like Dubay, McLernon (@toenailterry) promotes his music on TikTok with a degree of subtlety. He mostly focuses on comedy, which has supplied his large fan base. He has 133,000 followers and 5.9 million likes.

"I randomly spitball funny things in my head out of nowhere and spring up and grab my phone," McLernon says with a laugh. "Most of the time, they're very dumb and ironic."

McLernon says his TikTok fans didnt even know he was in a band until the group's album Hideaway was released and he shared it. One song from that album has more than 204,000 streams on Spotify. He admits he loves opening the app and seeing a barrage of hearts and "999+ followers, 999+ comments."

"I thought it was going to crash and burn, like, a year and a half ago, but Ill tell you, it is addicting," McLernon says. "That constant stream and seeing all those notifications is something else."

Joseph Dubay with his TikTok livestream setup in his room on Monday, Feb. 10, 2020, in West Ashley. Andrew J. Whitaker/Staff

Dubay and McLernon aren't the only ones whose music has gotten a boost from TikTok. Lil Nas X, the creator of country-rap hit "Old Town Road" (which has won two Grammys), got a big boost from the app that led to the success of his song.

I should maybe be paying TikTok, Lil Nas X told Time Magazinelast year. They really boosted the song. It was getting to the point that it was almost stagnant. When TikTok hit it, almost every day since that, the streams have been up. I credit them a lot.

Labels are even taking notice of performers on TikTok and signing them.

One example is 21-year-old rapper Stunna Girl and her song "Runway" that inspired the TikTok #RunwayChallenge and scooped up 4.4 million views on YouTube. Capitol Music Group signed a deal with her. Atlantic Records signed Sueco The Child, a blue-haired rapper whose single "Fast" began gaining traction on TikTok.

"It really is a marketing tool in ways that Vine wasn't," Dubay says.

Dubay knows that TikTok can play a role in his musical success, and bears that in mind as he writes new songs.

"Whatever's important to kids and teens is what's important to society," he says.

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Kin On and ASCF Community Center build a Disneyland for elders in the Asian community – The International Examiner

Posted: at 2:23 am

A bulletin board at the community center showcases all kinds of classes offered to the Asian elder community. Photo by Isabel Wang.

Everyone ages, but not everyone ages well. We are born to grow old and will eventually die one day. People in all walks of life are going to face this situation, no exception. The fear of aging may also occur time after time. However, the elements of aging that we fear can be optional. One of the many ways to age gracefully is to have a healthy body. What seldom crosses our mind is the potentially dreadful situation non-English speaking elders in the Asian community might face regarding multiple health issues. This is why Kin On and Asian Senior Concerns Foundation (ASCF) have dedicated decades to assist Taiwanese and Chinese elders in taking good care of themselves by aging wisely.

Kin On is a 35-year-strong health and social services provider for the Asian community. It launched the nations first bilingual Chinese-American nursing home, meeting Asian elders needs. After years of growth, Kin On is still expanding its services. Besides home care and caregiver support services, Kin Ons Social Service Specialist and ASCF Community Center Coordinator Jerry Chang said that the nonprofit organization has also added the Healthy Living Program in 2016 and assisted living and adult family home in 2019.

Chang is Taiwanese and 35 years old, has a degree in public health, and joined Kin On in June 2013. In his time at Kin On, he said his greatest achievement has been to receive lots of support from the client, coworkers, founders, donors and volunteers. He said, They care about what they are doing and believe it is a good thing. I do not want to let them down. Changs passion and enthusiasm reflects Kin Ons core value, which is, True to you.

The volunteer-based ASCF was founded in 2001 by a group of Taiwanese doctors, lawyers, accountants, engineers and scholars. In 2017, ASCF merged with Kin On because of the similar goals they share. Kin On Healthy Living Program aims to keep Asian adults and elders active physically, mentally and socially, while ASCF stresses the importance of the why and how to make wiser retirement plans. You have to manage your own aging, said Dr. I-Jen Chen, one of ASCFs founders. Even though getting old, [we] still hope to contribute to the society.

Dr. Chen developed a fishbone diagram when he established ASCF that contained four principles that lead to a healthy post-retirement life: maintain solid health, save the necessary funds, enjoy worry-free recreation and arrange for fitting homes (. Specialized in internal medicine, geriatric medicine and long-term care, Dr. Chen encourages elders to keep learning and joining social networking events. ASCFs purpose is to age wisely, while the spirit is to allow everyone to learn and apply to their own retirement plans. Most importantly, the ultimate goal is to build a Disneyland in twilight years.

After ASCF and Kin On Healthy Living Program came together, they created wellness classes and weekly seminars with diverse themes that take place at the Community Center located in Bellevue. The wellness classes range from fitness, to arts and crafts, to technology, to language learning to health education. When it comes to spreading correct and timely information, the community center serves as a place where elder Asians who do not speak fluent English can receive and get equipped with what they need to know.

With the recent novel coronavirus outbreak, Dr. Chen shared the latest developments in the United States and everyday preventive actions in the weekly seminars earlier this month. Though there is no fixed schedule on when the next coronavirus-related seminar will be, Chang addressed said, If necessary, further updates will be included in the weekly newsletter.

Longtime Taiwanese volunteer Hsu Ba, which means Father Hsu, is the embodiment of how the community center empowers elders. Now 78 years old, he immigrated to the United States in 1983 and opened his own Taiwanese restaurant. He has lived in the United States for decades, but he still finds it hard to blend into the American communities, and he speaks little English. Hsu used to be Dr. Chens patient and joined ASCF in 2004. At first, Hsu was just taking computer lessons and attending seminars. The computer class instructor encouraged him to become a teaching assistant, and he says he went from knowing nothing about computers and online activities to managing Kin Ons Youtube channel and uploading the weekly seminar that he would record and edit.

Hsu Ba is always the first one to open the door at the center. This place is like a second home to meI feel warmth when I can speak my mother tongue, Hsu said, his happiness showing on his face.

Interested in joining Kin On/ASCF Community Center? Visit: kinon.org or contact +1-888-721-3634.

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The One Where We Talk About NATO at a Party – Council on Foreign Relations

Posted: at 2:22 am

Picture it. Youre at an awesome party, making the rounds, and someone starts asking you what you know about NATO.

FRIEND: Hey, what do you know about NATO?

And maybe you know a lot. But maybe you dont. Maybe youve seen it in the news a bit. Maybe youve heard an argument over who pays for it. Maybe you have it confused with NAFTA.

Okay, lets be honest, this doesnt usually come up at parties... but lets pretend that it did.

In this episode, my friend and I are gonna have a drink, listen to some experts and try to figure out what NATO is.

Im Gabrielle Sierra and this is Why It Matters. Today, what do you know about NATO?

KUPCHAN: If you drive today from Washington, where we are, up to Toronto or Quebec, youll have to stop at the Canadian border. Youll show a passport. But you wont see any tanks. The U.S.-Canadian border is largely undefended.

My name is Charles Kupchan, Im a Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and a Professor at Georgetown University.

If you drive today from France to Germany you may see a few sheep, but you wont see a border guard, you wont change money, and you will see no tanks and soldiers. That border is undefended. That border is the site of untold bloodshed. Its today undefended because NATO and the European Union and processes of integration have made those borders geopolitically inconsequential.

FRIEND: Huh, you know what? Ive never actually thought about it that way.

SIERRA: You know how last summer I was on that train from Paris to Berlin? I didnt even know when I left France and entered Germany, no soldiers in sight.

FRIEND: Yeah okay wait, can we just start with what NATO stands for?

KUPCHAN: NATO stands for the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.

CLIP MONTAGE OF OFFICIALS SAYING NATO.

KUPCHAN: And it is a body formed in 1949 to commit the members of the alliance to collective defensei.e., an attack on one is an attack on all, we are in this together. It is an institution that keeps us safe. We dont lie awake at night worrying that somebody is going to invade, that we got to look out the window and see tanks and troops coming. And thats in part because starting in 1949 the United States reached out to Canada, reached across the Atlantic to its democratic partners in Europe and said were going to hang together, were going to unite against threats to the peace. That alliance has been around ever since 1949 and it has succeeded in keeping this community of Atlantic democracies safe.

NATO: 0:00: On April 4th, 1949, The North Atlantic Treaty was signed by Norway, Denmark, The Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg, France, Italy, Portugal, the United Kingdom, Iceland, Canada and the United States. This union of 12 nations became known as the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, or more simply NATO.

SIERRA: So lets go back to the beginning a bit. How did this all start? How did NATO form?

KUPCHAN: Well, you have to go back to the 1930s, when the United States basically became a passive bystander and was staunchly isolationist as fascism began to spread all over the world, mainly in Europe and Asia but also began to spread its tentacles further. And the United States tried to stay out of it. That strategy didnt work. Pearl Harbor, we all know the story. The U.S. enters World War II.

FOOTAGEARCHIVE: 0:14: December 7th, 1941, a date that will live in infamy, the United States of America was suddenly and deliberately attacked by naval and air forces of the Empire of Japan.

KUPCHAN: At the end of World War II, we go into this big debate about, well, what do we do now? Do we go back to being a hemispheric power? Do we bring back all the troops and pull out of Asia and Europe, or do we stay put? And that question was answered by the Cold War; by the fact that the Soviet Union, which was our ally in World War II, became our chief adversary by the late 1940s.

PERISCOPE FILM: 2:58: When peace returned and the Western allies demobilized, the Soviet Union maintained an overwhelming military superiority on the European continent. Both during and immediately after the war the Soviet Union forcibly brought under its control a whole series of countries in Eastern Europe.

KUPCHAN: And it was because of fear that if the United States did withdraw from Europe that the Soviets would overrun Germany, France, Britain, and the industrialized powers of the West that we basically said were staying put and we are going to form an alliance with our key partners in Europe to prevent the Soviet Union and communism from spreading.

POLYAKOVA: So I think we have to remember one really key aspect to the founding of NATO, mainly where the world was and specifically where Europe was at the end of the second world war.

Im Alina Polyakova, and Im President and CEO of the Center of European Policy Analysis, a think tank in Washington.

We had just had the most devastating global conflict in the history of humanity,[it] killed millions of people in Europe. And it was really on the ashes of that horrible, terrifying set of years and really a century of fighting between European countries that we have the founding of NATO.

SIERRA: So what do you think the world would have looked like without it?

POLYAKOVA: Just a decade basically after World War I, we start having the beginnings of another global conflict. And really Europe for a very long time was just rife with fighting between all the different countries. And there was never really hugely long periods of prosperity and growth and peace, because as soon as you had a moment of peace, that would be usually followed by war.

SIERRA: Hey, are you listening? Why are you on your phone right now?

FRIEND: I was just checking and basically, European countries have been fighting each other for the last thousand years.

SIERRA: Right, and they havent fought a war with each other since NATO came into being. Which if you take a second to think about it is actually...pretty huge!

FRIEND: Huh.

SIERRA: Alright, phone down, lets keep going.

POLYAKOVA: If we had not had NATO, and then we could not have the European Union after NATO, we would have had a world that would have continued to be rife with conflict. And I think certainly in the United States, would have found itself embroiled in far more conflicts in Europe, which is now unimaginable to us.

SIERRA: Can you tell me a little bit about NATOs role in the Cold War?

KUPCHAN: Well, surprisingly, NATO never fired a shot. NATO never went to war. And in some ways, it is the best testament to its success because NATO was as much about deterrence as it was defense, saying to the Soviet Union do not come across this line because if you do you will be met with the collective force of the Western democracies.

POLYAKOVA: So during the Cold War, NATO became the core of the military alliance to serve as a deterrent and a container of Soviet expansionism. European countries were very nervous that there would be a Soviet invasion at any moment at any day. And NATO was really the only thing that protected them from that kind of invasion, because from the Soviet perspective, of course, if you started to make military incursions into a NATO country, well then you would face not just that single country, but the might of all the countries that are part of NATO, most notably the United States.

KUPCHAN: And we did things to make the Soviets realize that we meant business. Why were American troops in West Berlin? They were there because they served as what we call a tripwire, which was that if the Red Armythe Soviet armycame across and they invaded and they went into West Berlin, they would have to kill Americans. And if they killed Americans, they knew that Uncle Sam would jump into the fray. And it was because of that deterrent effect, because of nuclear weapons, because the inter-German boundary line was NATOs frontier, that we never saw a war. And then over time, we know the story of internal rot of the Soviet Union, of Gorbachev, of his effort to reform the Soviet Union from inside fell apart and the Soviet Union imploded. Cold War over; NATO successfully stood the test of time.

PRESIDENT RONALD REAGAN: 1:58: Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall.

PETER JENNINGS: 0:21: Thousands and thousands of West Germans come to make the point that the wall has suddenly become irrelevant. Something as you can see almost a party on, how do you measure such an astonishing moment in history?

SIERRA: So whats NATOs story since the end of the Cold War?

KUPCHAN: Well, the end of the Cold War raised questions about NATOs future, and thats because most alliances die when the threat that brought them to life disappears. NATO didnt die. In fact, it thrived. It went on to become the go-to vehicle for organizing security at the end of the Cold War. It began to expand eastward and take in Europes new democracies. And it became a vehicle for locking in democracy and capitalism in countries that had long been part of the Soviet Bloc.

FRIEND: Okay, so, its not a closed club.

SIERRA: Yeah new countries have been joining all along. Were up to 29.

FRIEND: Whos on their phone now?

SIERRA: Alright alright, one more second, I promise. But, did you know Montenegro joined in 2017?

FRIEND: Gabrielle! Focus! Were almost caught up here.

KUPCHAN: NATO began to look outside the territory of its members to defend common interests more broadly. So NATO got involved in the Balkans to prevent the bloodshed associated with the unraveling of Yugoslavia. And then for the first time in its history, when the United States was attacked on September 11, NATO invoked Article 5...

NATO SEC GEN LORD ROBERTSON: 0:15: In response to the appalling attacks perpetrated yesterday against the United States of America, the Council agreed if it is determined that this attack was directed from abroad against the United States, it shall be regarded as an action covered by Article 5

KUPCHAN: ...which is the provision that says...

NATO SEC GEN LORD ROBERTSON: 0:37: ...that an armed attack against one or more of the allies in Europe or in North America shall be considered an attack against them all.

KUPCHAN: An attack on one is an attack on all, the provision of collective defense, and eventually undertook a substantial mission in Afghanistan to backstop the U.S. effort to take down al-Qaida and the Taliban. That mission has been a long and arduous one, partly because Afghanistan is a mess.

SIERRA: How realistic is that clause across the board with NATO?

KUPCHAN: If the Russians invaded Estonia, would all NATO members rush to Estonias defense?

SIERRA: Right.

KUPCHAN: You know, its the 6 million dollar question. If they didnt do so, NATO would come apart because it rests at its core on the sense that were in this together. My best guess is that if Estonia were attacked, yes, NATO would come running. The United States would lead the effort. And thats because if we dont do it for Estonia, were not going to do it for anyone else, and the emperor has no clothes. This issue of Article 5 and collective defense has come back to life, partly because of the threat of terrorism but in a more traditional sense because the Russians in 2014 annexed Crimea and moved into eastern Ukraine.

ABC NEWS: 0:23: Good morning, Dan, the pressure from Russia is growing, large groups of pro-Russia troops surrounding Ukranian bases ordering their forces off of them so they can occupy them. The international warning to Russia to end its invasion is being ignored.

KUPCHAN: And this raised the prospect of Russia again becoming an expansionist power that would grab territory from its neighbors. And that led to an effort by the United States and its allies to begin to bolster defense on the eastern flank. It led to increases in defense expenditure that started during the Obama administration and increased into the Trump administration. More than $100 billion dollars increased in allied defense expenditure since 2016. And so this issue, which for a long time was kind of off-centerpeople really werent worried about an attack on NATO territoryis now front and center.

POLYAKOVA: The world today is just much more complex than it was during the Cold War so what is NATO's mission now- when you don't have the Soviet Union anymore, when you don't have the Warsaw Pact anymore, but now you have these far more complex problems that are threatening democracies and democratic institutions in various ways. And I think that kind of reckoning is happening right now.

FRIEND: Alright so I get NATOs history. But how does it work?

SIERRA: Right, like, if NATO troops get sent somewhere, whose troops are they?

FRIEND: Yup. And if its a mix of troops from Germany and the US and Italy and Turkey, whos telling them what to do?

SIERRA: So theres an actual NATO army?

KUPCHAN: There isnt a NATO army. There is a NATO command where individuals from all of the different members sit together and plan together. And then if NATO were called upon to act, the different countries would then contribute forces to that command. Those forces would be operating under the command of the supreme allied commander, who is always an American. And then they would be put into action.

SIERRA: And who pays for it?

KUPCHAN: There is a fairly small common budget that essentially covers things like the main office in Brussels, the command structure that I was talking about, and some joint infrastructure. That pales in comparison to the money that individual countries spend to have the forces ready to go into action if they were called upon.

SIERRA: We still hear a lot of criticism of NATO here in the U.S and you know, namely that it's been like a free ride for allies at our expense.

POLYAKOVA: The U.S does contribute the most to NATO, but that was by design. Because that allowed Europeans to take the funds and the money they would have normally invested in rebuilding their militaries, which had been the pattern up to that point. And they were able to invest all of that into their economies, and into rebuilding their countries, after they were, destroyed, during the second world war.

And so the reason why we've had prosperity in Europe throughout most of the 20th century is because the United States was there to provide that military umbrella and as a result, the U.S was safer because we completely took out any threats that could have emanated from Europe. If you want to use business-speak, you know, our return on investment was very high.

SIERRA: So it sounds like it's a little more of an intangible type of answer for people who are like, well, what does this mean to me today? It's a little more looking to history and also realizing that freedoms aren't necessarily free and we have them because of this.

POLYAKOVA: You know, I grew up, for the first 10 years of my life in Ukraine, which was part of the Soviet Union at the time. And my family was a family of political refugees. And what that meant was that we wanted to get out, like many people did. It felt like if we stayed in the Soviet Union, that felt like death, it could have been, you know, intellectual, emotional death because that was the reality. You know, in my family, during the Stalinist years, people disappeared, right? And we didn't know where they went. So to me, these experiences of deep, profound loss and tragedy and conflict were very personal. And I think it's hard to explain how to young people who grow up in the United States or other democracies, what it's like to live in an authoritarian state. It felt like we had to get into the United States, Europe, anywhere where we could finally just be free. And so to my mind, it is those alliances that make those kinds of institutions and values and principles live in reality. You know, we can talk about our belief in democracy. We can all agree that we want to live in a society that gives us freedom of speech and expression and, you know, the pursuit of happiness. But we have to also work to make them real. These are principles worth dying for, many people did. And I think we have to continue to remember that.

It can be easy to forget about something that was created long ago and far away. NATO is even harder to understand because its all about things that haven't happened. Wars, conflicts and divisions that the alliance has prevented. We dont talk about it at parties. But maybe we should, because with every new generation, we lose more of our direct connection to the past. Plus, who doesnt love to learn something new?

FRIEND: You know, I love learning something new.

SIERRA: Me too. I had no idea we would spend this entire party talking about NATO, but I actually enjoyed it.

FRIEND: Uh yeah.. and...in the spirit of old friends who stick together, should we keep this party going and grab a nightcap?

SIERRA: Lets do it.

MERRILL: Awesome! Okay, so how much do you know about the World Health Organization? And, like, what about the International Monetary Fund? And...

Theres a lot more to learn about NATO. So you can head on over to CFR.org/Whyitmatters and take a look at the show notes for this episode. And while youre there, check out the Councils other podcasts, The World Next Week, and The Presidents Inbox. Theyre pretty great!

Interested in saying hi to the team? Send us an email at whyitmatters@cfr.org. Be sure to subscribe to the show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, or wherever you get your audio. And if you like the show, leave us a review! Why It Matters is a production of the Council on Foreign Relations. The show is created and produced by Jeremy Sherlick, Asher Ross, and me, Gabrielle Sierra. Our sound designer is Markus Zakaria. Robert McMahon is our Managing Editor, and Doug Halsey is our Chief Digital Officer. Original music is composed by Ceiri Torjussen. Special thanks go to Richard Haass and Jeff Reinke. And to our awesome guest for this episode, Cayla Merrill. Big thank you!

Hey and by the way, this episode was our tenth, and the last for the first season. Stay tuned in the coming weeks for a preview of our second season! Theres a lot of good stuff coming up. For Why It Matters, this is Gabrielle Sierra, signing off. See you soon!

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Turkey Can Ankara’s sudden change of heart on NATO save the day in Idlib? –

Posted: at 2:22 am

On Feb. 18, Turkey marked the 68th anniversary of its NATO membership with enthusiastic messages of commitment to the alliance and a series of laudatory events, which could have drawn little attention were they not in sharp contrast to the dismissive atmosphere of last years anniversary.

Neither Ankara nor the media seemed to care about the 67th anniversary of the countrys NATO membership last year. The occasion was passed over with a mundane statement by the Foreign Ministry, while the year 2019 in general was abuzz with debates, mostly in the pro-government media, on whether Turkey should leave the alliance.

Indeed, a long list of issues marred Turkey-NATO relations in 2019, including:

A persisting crisis mode in Ankaras ties with Washington and frequent disputes with European countries;

Turkeys Operation Peace Spring in northeastern Syria against the Peoples Protection Units (YPG), which Turkey sees as an extension of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), the armed group that has fought Ankara since 1984 and is considered a terrorist organization by most of the international community;

Ankaras refusal to back a NATO defense plan for the Baltics and Poland in a bid to extract political support for its military campaign against the PKK-affiliated YPG forces in Syria;

Ankaras gunboat diplomacy in the eastern Mediterranean amid growing tensions over gas exploration;

Ankaras acquisition of the Russian S-400 air defense systems, followed by preparatory tests and, most recently, the arrival of the systems missiles in December;

Ankaras signing of a maritime demarcation deal with Libyas Tripoli-based government in November and the ensuing criticism of Western governments;

Ankaras threats to review the NATO-mission status of key military facilities in Turkey such as the Incirlik air base and the Kurecik radar station;

Turkish accusations that NATO has protected Turkish officers with alleged links to the Gulenist network, which Ankara blames for the 2016 coup attempt, and that fugitive Turkish officers have been granted political asylum in some NATO member states through exclusive and expedited procedures;

The exclusion of Turkish officials from some critical NATO meetings.

In light of all those tensions, Turkeys pro-government media came to depict NATO as a top security threat. NATO became a hate object, accused of myriad misdeeds, from having a hand in orchestrating the coup attempt to plotting to divide Turkey.

On this years anniversary, however, things looked diametrically different. Ankara and the pro-government media seemed to have rediscovered NATO. The anniversary was celebrated with high-pitched gatherings, conferences and a government-backed social media campaign under the motto Turkey is NATO, we are NATO, which became a top trending topic on Twitter. In short, last years prevailing discourse that portrayed NATO as a shackle that keeps Turkey from acting independently to advance its national interests gave way to a narrative about NATO being an anchor bonding Turkey to the Western security bloc.

And what aroused this NATO fervor in a country where arguing in favor of NATO required much courage around this time last year? What happened in a couple of months to make Ankara remember NATOs importance as a security partner?

NATO itself did nothing special to win Ankaras affection. Yet, Turkeys relationship with Russia nosedived into a fresh chapter of chill as tensions shot up in Syrias rebel-held province of Idlib and Russias position in Libya shifted from impartial mediation to favoring Gen. Khalifa Hifter, the adversary of the Turkey-backed Tripoli government. As a result, Turkey and Russia have come to the brink of a military faceoff akin to the crisis of November 2015, when Turkey shot down a Russian jet at the border with Syria.

A quick survey of the pro-government medias coverage of Idlib and Libya would reveal a fast U-turn in sentiment since the Russian-brokered meeting between the Turkish and Syrian intelligence chiefs in Moscow on Jan. 13, when the Turkish-Russian partnership apparently began to crack.

Yet, judging by both Ankaras rhetoric on the importance of the Western security bloc and the publications of media outlets and think tanks close to the government, Ankaras outreach to NATO is a result of Turkeys predicament in Idlib and its need to counterbalance Russia rather than a sign of a structural, long-term reorientation.

For instance, in an article titled NATOs support of Turkey, a member of SETA, a staunchly pro-government think tank, asks the following questions: Can Turkey rely on NATO against Russia, [Syrian President Bashar al-] Assad and Iran in the problem it is experiencing in Idlib? Is NATO supposed to give Turkey practical support against those actors in Idlib? What does the Idlib crisis mean for NATO and its members? The author then proceeds to a cautiously optimistic conclusion on NATO backing.

And does Ankaras abrupt U-turn stem from conjunctural necessity or a new realization of its structural dependency on NATO?

The outlook suggests the change of heart is driven entirely by the dead ends that Turkey has hit in Idlib and Libya. To extricate itself from those dead ends, Turkey is attempting to counterbalance Russia and shift its bilateral relationship with Russia, which has spiraled out of balance and become a one-sided dependency, to a multilateral ground.

Ankara is obviously trying to draw NATO, the United States and European heavyweights into greater involvement in Idlib to readjust the balance, whileAssad's forces are expected to forge ahead until they assert control over the strategic M4 highway.

And is NATO capable of deterring Russia in Idlib at all?

Recalling the case of Ukraine might be enough to answer the question. Looking like a giant that cannot bite in the Ukraine crisis, NATO appears unlikely to take the risk of armed confrontation with Russia over Idlib, which it sees as an out-of-area conflict and outside the scope of the NATO treatys Article 5 on collective defense. The most tangible sign of NATOs reluctance on Syria is its foot-dragging on taking some operational responsibilities in the fight against the Islamic State in the 2014-2019 period.

NATO is likely to swiftly return to its hate-object status in Turkey if NATO fails to meet Ankaras request for urgent assistance. Ankara is in constant need for enemies real or imaginary to be able to sell to the Turkish public its rapid U-turns in its foreign policy and the consequences of its political and strategic miscalculations. NATO tops the nominee list of outside foes because it remains a common enemy on which pro-government quarters and the still influential anti-Western and Euroasianist lobbies in Ankara can agree and cooperate.

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Data science pusher Dataiku hooks arms with NATO on battlefield AI contract – The Register

Posted: at 2:22 am

Data science platform Dataiku is teaming up with military alliance NATO to create a system to help it build and "deploy" AI projects.

The deal with NATO's Allied Command Transformation (ACT) aims to use Dataiku's tech and data scientists to solve some of the most "challenging use cases in the field", NATO said, vaguely, without specifying the type of thing they were referring to.

"We were looking to expand our use of data science, machine learning, and AI in the organisation," said General Andr Lanata, NATO supreme allied commander for transformation. "We are invested in sharing ACT's progress with other member states, with the goal of expanding competencies and successful, deployed use cases of AI projects in the field."

Dataiku makes Data Science Studio - an advanced analytics and collaborative data science tool - which comes up against the likes of Teradata, Talend, and IBM. The seven-year-old startup has been valued at $1.4bn and inhaled $101m in its last funding round in December last year.

Dataiku CEO Florian Douetteau said of the military deal: "NATO ACT is in the unique position to leverage data science and machine learning to have global impact."

Earlier this week, the US Department of Defense adopted a set of "ethical principles" on the controversial topic of the deployment of AI technology for military use. Google dropped its association with computer-vision software Pentagon project, Maven, after internal and external backlash last year.

Dataiku got its introduction to NATO via an "innovation hub" competition in Paris, 2018. In an incredibly prescient imaginary scenario, participants were asked to assist in the control of a disease outbreak in a landlocked country.

The outbreak led to a public health crisis complicated by the emergence of rebel groups attacking medical supplies.

The Dataiku team won two of the three gongs up for grabs by applying object detection with deep learning on aerial imagery. Let's hope it does not need to put any of the lessons learned into practice any time soon.

Sponsored: Quit your addiction to storage

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NATO needs an overhaul – Army Technology

Posted: at 2:22 am

]]> Allied defence ministers recently agreed to enhance Nato training mission in Iraq. Credit: NATO.

The survey found that of 5,208 respondents 62% think that while NATO is still relevant to the defence of its member states, the organisation needs an overhaul to be more effective. 20% of readers said that the organisation was relevant in its current form, whereas 18% disagreed.

NATO has been the subject of a number of statements from world leaders questioning its effectiveness, with French President Emmanuel Macron claiming the organisation was brain-dead and US President Donald Trump criticising European contributions to the organisations.

Relations within the organisation have also been strained by Turkeys growing closeness to Russia and its decision to buy the Russian S-400 Air Defence system, resulting in the countrys expulsion from the F-35 programme.

Our poll asked Is NATO still relevant for the defence of member states?; 1,067 responded Yes in the current format, 3,214 responded Yes, but it is in need of an overhaul to be more effective and, 927 responded No.

At last Decembers NATO Engages event, leaders from across the alliance accepted that the organisation needs to adapt to new threats and develop a response to emerging threats of hypersonic missiles and cyberwarfare.

Speaking at the event, UK Defence Secretary Ben Wallace said: Today we face new challenges, and in keeping with our best traditions we must continue to adapt. Traditional warfare has changed. The threats are no longer only conventional, no longer only overt. Our adversaries are striking from the shadows.

They are pursuing new tactics to divide and destabilise, exploiting new technologies to exacerbate the uncertainties of an uncertain world, and undermine our way of life.

Despite the event taking place shortly after Macrons criticism, Wallace said that the organisation was the still most effective tool for the defence of its members adding that a collective response to modern challenges would assert NATOs power.

Wallace said: We must stand together, no side deals, no separate voices. Our adversaries strive for that division; they fund that division and target that division. We will not let them succeed.

In recent years, European NATO allies have sought to step up their contributions to the organisations in the face of US pressure to share more of the burden. According to the International Institute of Strategic Studies (IISS) report The Military Balance 2020, around two-thirds of allies are aiming to reach the recommended 2% of GDP by 2024.

NATO is also funnelling money into research and development to maintain its edge and adapt to new threats, with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg in the past saying that the organisation was pushing for 20% of budgets to be spent on research and development.

While NATO has responded to new challenges internal debates continue to be discussed on what the biggest threats to the alliance are. In the past Macron has claimed it is terrorism, while members in Eastern Europe say it is the increasing activity of Russia and the annexation of areas of Georgia and Ukraine.

In response to Russia, NATO has stepped up its presence in Eastern European states to maintain a strong deterrent force.

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