Daily Archives: July 8, 2017

Wayside Technology: Is It Cheap? – Seeking Alpha

Posted: July 8, 2017 at 4:05 am

I found Wayside Technology (WSTG) after running a stock screener for growing small-cap companies with low P/E ratios and high returns on invested capital. I think it could be a valid investment, depending on how much risk an investor is willing to take on, as well as their intended time frame. While the company looks good on paper now, there are some aspects of its business that concern me.

The business

Wayside operates under two significant segments, according to its most recent 10-K:

1.) The Lifeboat Distribution segment: distributes technical software and hardware to corporate resellers, value added resellers (VARs), consultants and systems integrators worldwide.

2.) The TechXtend segment: a value added reseller of software, hardware and services for corporations, government organizations and academic institutions in the USA and Canada.

The Lifeboat Distribution segment is by far the largest, accounting for a touch over 88% of overall sales and almost 82% of gross profit in fiscal 2016. Despite its smaller size, the TechXtend segment is more profitable at the gross level, with margins of 10.25% versus a gross profit margin of roughly only 6% for the firm's larger segment. Pretax profit margins for the latter are roughly 4% and 5.93% for the smaller segment.

Wayside also breaks out assets related to each segment in its annual report, and dividing The Lifeboat Distribution segment's pretax profits by its related assets indicates a 23% return. The smaller segments pretax return on assets is much lower at only about 9%, despite higher profitability.

The problem with the overall business is perpetually declining margins. This problem could continue indefinitely as well, as competition heats up in the e-commerce space and the trend of vendors who are selling direct to customers continues. The company is essentially a middleman, and its long-term prospects could be dim going forward.

What about the short-term?

So far, declining margins haven't inhibited the firm's return on equity in the short-term. I created a DuPont analysis in Excel using data from the firm's financial statements to illustrate what's been going on with its ROE over the last few years.

Wayside's ROE is stuck around the 15.50% mark, but as can be seen from the above DuPont, this is largely because increased asset efficiency (judging by its improved asset turnover ratio from 2014 to 2016), and the magnifying affects of leverage. EBIT margins have slipped sequentially for the last three years, and are much lower than they were a decade ago, when they sat at around 2.87%. Margins are slim to begin with, and as long as they continue to erode away, the company's shares leave me a little cold when considering it as a long-term holding.

Short-term, we have a firm that still spits out double-digit ROE (although this number has been higher, reaching nearly 20% in fiscal 2011). Despite its ROE settling around the 15% to 15.50% range over the past three years, much of this is simply because of increasing leverage, not necessarily stabilizing or even improving fundamentals.

Taking a closer look at the capital structure

The company has no advertised debt on its balance sheet, but does have some non-cancelable operating leases.

I decided to discount the leases at 5%, in order to theoretically capitalize them and inject them into Wayside's capital structure.

The company's balance sheet is still notably strong even accounting for the leases, and with this information in hand I'd like to calculate an estimate for the firm's return on invested capital next. First, we need to adjust the company's operating profit, or EBIT.

Now we can account for taxes to arrive at an adjusted net operating profit after tax (aka NOPAT) numerator, and then divide it by the adjusted capital base denominator.

Wayside's ROIC is likely about 1% to 1.5% lower than its ROE by my estimates. Due to the low capital intensity of its business, it's also likely earning economic profits. Will it still be earning these illustrious excess profits in ten years from now? I simply do not know.

Conclusion

Wayside Technology initially looked good on paper, but didn't hold up when I examined it a little closer. I still think the company is a solid operation, but as long as its margins are continuously declining and competition continues to heat up, I don't see myself considering it as a candidate for long-term investment. As a short-term investment (aka a trade), perhaps it could work for the right investor, considering its low P/E ratio in an elevated market, coupled with its 3.64% dividend yield. It's also growing the top-line at a decent clip:

WSTG Revenue (NYSE:TTM) data by YCharts

Perhaps this growth can prop up the company for awhile, but it should also be noted that this growth is backed by declining margins and weakening cash flow. Free cash flow dipped into negative territory in fiscal 2016. Looking at the past (using FastGraphs and Gurufocus.com), Wayside's P/E seems to hover around the 12x to 14x range historically, so I'm not sure it's really the bargain it appears to be on paper, either.

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I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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Trump hails NAFTA progress, Mexico eyes general deal by end-2017 – Reuters

Posted: at 4:05 am

HAMBURG U.S. President Donald Trump hailed progress on trade after meeting his Mexican counterpart on Friday, as Mexico's government said it expected a general agreement on reworking the North America Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) by the end of 2017.

For the first time since becoming president in January, Trump met Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto, whose foreign minister Luis Videgaray said he expected talks on renegotiating NAFTA to start on Aug. 16., the earliest possible date.

The meeting at the Hamburg leaders' summit of the Group of 20 economies was keenly anticipated in Mexico, and officials were quick to stress talks had been productive, despite Trump repeating that Mexico would pay for his planned border wall.

"We're negotiating NAFTA and some other things with Mexico and we'll see how it all turns out, but I think that we've made very good progress," Trump said after the meeting.

In response to a shouted question from a reporter about whether he still wants Mexico to pay for the border wall, which aims to keep out illegal immigrants, Trump said, "Absolutely."

Pena Nieto, whom Trump called his "friend," said the meeting would "help us continue a very strong dialogue" on NAFTA, while his aides emphasized that they had not discussed the wall.

NAFTA underpins more than $1 trillion worth of trilateral trade between the United States, Mexico and Canada. Videgaray, who was present at the talks, told reporters afterwards it had been a "big part of the conversation" with Trump.

"We expect to have a meaningful, constructive, modernization of the agreement that is good for the three nations," the minister said. "And we think there is a lot of room to make it a better agreement for the three nations."

Speaking on Mexican radio, Videgaray also said both governments agreed the renegotiation "should be a relatively quick process" that looks to "generate agreements, at least in general terms, by the end of the year."

Disputes over migration, Trump's border wall - which Mexico has repeatedly said it will not pay for - and his claim that free trade with Mexico costs jobs in the United States, have strained relations between the two neighbors.

Trump has threatened to impose punitive tariffs on Mexican goods to protect U.S. industry, and to pull out of NAFTA altogether if he cannot rework it in the United States' favor.

However, especially since Trump stepped back from initiating the process of withdrawal in April, Mexican officials say business leaders from the NAFTA nations have increasingly coalesced around a shared desire to keep the agreement alive.

Trump reiterated his aggressive stance on NAFTA in a weekly address published by the White House online after his meeting with Pena Nieto, but apparently recorded beforehand. In it, Trump said he was pursuing a "total renegotiation" of the pact.

"And if we don't get it, we will terminate, that is, end NAFTA forever," he said in the video.

There has been uncertainty about the process because the United States has yet to set out its negotiating objectives. That is due to happen on or about July 16.

In the meantime, issues such as Trump's border wall remain sensitive. Pena Nieto's spokesman Eduardo Sanchez called in to Mexican broadcaster Radio Formula from Hamburg, stating that the two presidents did not discuss the wall.

"That subject was not part of the conversation," he said.

The two presidents also explored a possible guest worker program for migrants in the agriculture sector as well as the importance of "modernizing" NAFTA, according to a statement from Mexico's government released after the meeting.

(Additional reporting by Dave Graham, Adriana Barrera, Anthony Esposito and David Alire Garcia in Mexico City; editing by Noah Barkin and Jonathan Oatis)

NEW YORK Wall Street stocks closed on a high note Friday, with the S&P 500 index posting its best gain in six sessions on the heels of a U.S. payrolls report that gave investors more confidence in the strength of the U.S. economy.

WASHINGTON U.S. job growth surged more than expected in June and employers increased hours for workers, signs of labor market strength that could keep the Federal Reserve on course for a third interest rate hike this year despite sluggish wage gains.

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Deutsche Bank sees progress toward IPO of asset management arm: memo – Reuters

Posted: at 4:05 am

ZURICH Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) said that it is making progress in its planned partial initial public offering (IPO) of its asset management unit, according to a recent memo to staff.

Germany's largest lender announced its plans for a partial IPO of the unit in March as part of a broader restructuring of the bank reeling from law suits and trading scandals.

Nicolas Moreau, a board member who oversees Deutsche Asset Management, said in an email to staff seen by Reuters, that Swiss regulator FINMA had approved the establishment of Deutsche Asset Management (Schweiz) AG.

The new entity incorporates the existing Swiss asset management activities formerly part of Deutsche Bank (Suisse) S.A.

"We continue to make excellent progress with our IPO preparations and achieve notable milestones in our preparations," Moreau said in the note.

John Cryan, Deutsche's CEO, has said the bank would maintain a "controlling and super-majority stake" in the business.

The sale would take place at some point over the next two years, Deutsche said at the time, and could raise 2 billion euros ($2.3 billion).

Deutsche hopes that by giving its asset management unit more operational independence the unit will be more attractive to talent.

Deutsche Asset Management has more than 700 billion euros invested worldwide.

(Reporting by Oliver Hirt; Writing by Tom Sims; Editing by Elaine Hardcastle)

DUBLIN JPMorgan Chase & Co Chief Executive Jamie Dimon met Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar in Dublin on Thursday to discuss expansion in the Irish capital two months after the U.S. investment bank bought an office building in the city with room for 1,000 staff.

FRANKFURT Deutsche Bank is evaluating whether to move a large part of its securities trading business from London to Frankfurt or elsewhere in Europe as it prepares for Britain's exit from the European Union, a source told Reuters on Thursday.

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How Xi and Trump Can Make Real Progress on North Korea – The New Yorker

Posted: at 4:05 am

The Presidents Xi and Trump have several things in common: both entered professions in which their fathers gave them natural advantages. (Xi Jinpings father, the revolutionary hero Xi Zhongxun, helped build Chinas Communist Party; Donald Trump inherited a fortune, and a real-estate business, from his father, Fred.) Xi and Trump both perceive the world in zero-sum terms. Both dispute the notion of loyal opposition. And both favor coercion over consensus.

But, in most respects, Trump struck the Chinese leadership as an oddity, and, as soon as he became President, Chinese leaders started reading his books in search of clues to his thinking. From The Art of the Deal they concluded, among other things, that Trumps theatrical demands are only a tool of negotiation. Trumps approach, according to Cheng Li , of the Brookings Institution, who researches Chinese lite politics, was clear: You should put some of your demands outrageously high, so you will never be a loser.

The Chinese leaders reading paid off. When Trump and Xi met for the first time, at Mar-a-Lago, in May, Xi was unruffled by Trumps assertions of bravado, including his revelation, during dessert, that the United States was about to fire missiles at Syria. Xi succeeded in handling Trump. Emerging from the Citrus Summit, Trump made no mention of tariffs or trade war; he proclaimed great chemistrynot good, but great and hailed Xi as a very good man with an incredibly talented wife. Trump, like many, had looked at Xis genial half-smile and succumbed to the misreading that they were in agreement. A Chinese editor in Beijing once told me, of Xi, Hes round on the outside and square on the inside; he looks flexible, but inside he is very hard.

Xi, for his part, did not bother to reciprocate Trumps outpouring of emotion. Though Trump asserted that he would succeed in persuading Xi to choke off trade to North Korea, as a way to curb its nuclear program. (Trump tweeted, I have great confidence that China will properly deal with North Korea.) An Arab foreign minister who visited Beijing shortly after the trip told me privately that, given all of Trumps campaign talk of China raping the United States, Chinese officials were very pleased to have mollified him at his own country club.

Unsurprisingly, the one-way romance proved fragile. Last week, after Trump realized that Xi was not going to pressure Pyongyang into submission, the White House announced sanctions against Chinese entities accused of aiding North Koreas weapons programs. The Administration also announced a $1.4 billion arms sale to Taiwan, moved U.S. ships into contested waters in the South China Sea, and dusted off threats of tariffs and a trade war. In a dyspeptic phone call with Trump, Xi complained about these moves as negative factors.

Then things got worse. On July 4th, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un personally led the test-launch of the countrys first intercontinental ballistic missile. Kim defiantly crossed a de-facto red line that Trump had drawn in January, when he said that such a test wont happen. For most Presidents, the public failure of a central pillar of foreign policy would be humbling, but Trump is disconnected from the details of diplomacy, and he directed his frustration, via Twitter, toward China: So much for China working with us - but we had to give it a try!

Now the U.S. and China can, in theory, start the real work of forging a response to the Korean crisis. John Delury, a North Korea expert at Yonsei University, in Seoul, told me, Unfortunately, Xis own ties with Kim Jong-un are tenuous, and thus Beijing is of not much use in getting a read on Pyongyang or facilitating diplomacy. Trump, for his part, seems to be moving away from the notion that China can solve the North Korea problem for him, which is a mark of progress in his learning curve.

At the G-20 meeting in Hamburg this week, the worlds attention will focus largely on Trumps meeting with Vladimir Putin. But Trumps meeting with Xi will have more immediate relevance in dealing with the Korea crisis. In an op-ed published in the Washington Post on Thursday, Jake Sullivan and Victor Cha, foreign-policy advisers in the Obama and Bush Administrations, respectively, proposed a new approach to getting China invested in freezing the North Korean missile tests. Instead of threatening North Korea with cutting off trade, they propose, in effect, paying it to cut off missile tests. The basic trade would be Chinese disbursements to Pyongyang, as well as security assurances, in return for constraints on North Koreas program. . . . If North Korea cheated, China would not be receiving what it paid for. The logical thing would be for it to withhold economic benefits until compliance resumed. The Times outlined a similar idea in an editorial of its own this week.

This approach is no silver bullet, but, in the land of lousy options, as diplomats call the North Korea problem, it is as good as any, in part because it does not rest on a false understanding of the other party. The relationship between Xi and Trumpleaders of the worlds two largest economies, a rising power and an addled power, straining to coexistmay well prove to be the most consequential diplomatic liaison of its time.

It is too soon to know whether Xi and Trump could build a genuine relationship, but, until now, they have been operating on separate wavelengths, intersecting only at moments of superficial understanding. In Chinese, this is known as a chicken talking to a duck. Both sides are talking, but neither truly understands the other.

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Progress Days honor top citizens, crowns Miss Bristol – Kenosha News

Posted: at 4:05 am

BRISTOL It was a night of surprises as both the 2017 outstanding citizens and the new Miss Bristol Shania Dumelle never expected to be chosen as this years winners at the 48th annual Bristol Progress Days coronation banquet Friday at the Parkway Chateau.

Hearing her name called as one of the 2017 outstanding citizens came as a complete surprise to Connie Kirchner, who was also serving as the events emcee. The annual award is given to two adults and two youths for their selfless dedication, good character and work in the community.

Im speechless, said 66-year-old Kirchner, a mother of three and grandmother of five. There are so many outstanding citizens in this room.

Kirchner has been active in 4-H, is active in her church and has helped coordinate volunteers working concessions at the Bradley Center in Milwaukee. She also works for the Kenosha County Court system as a bailiff.

The second outstanding citizen, Robert LeFebve, 76, has lived in Bristol for 35 years. The father of two and grandfather of two is a former trustee of Paddock Lake, and was chairman of the Rehabilitation District and the committee to form a community library. Hes been a member of the Bristol Planning Commission for 10 years and is a charter member of the Bristol Historical Society.

I, too, love Bristol, LeFebve said. I think each and every one of us should provide service to our community. We have an excellent community willing to help each other. Thats what community is.

This years junior outstanding citizens were Logan Piktel and Ruby Loecher, both 13 and seventh-graders at Bristol Grade School. Both are members of advanced jazz band and received music contest medals for solo and ensemble competitions.

Piktel has been a drama club member for three years and was nominated for being a good kid and a good friend. Loecher is a member of the Challenge 4-H Club, Randall Optimist Club and was called the type of student well on the road to success for life by her teacher.

This years Miss Bristol, 18-year-old Shania Dumelle, called her win a complete surprise. She entered the contest to do something different. I thought maybe if I didnt do it, Id regret it.

Her goal, she said, is to be like a big sister to everybody.

Dumelle graduated from Central High School and plans to attend the University of Wisconsin-Parkside to study applied health sciences/pre-med. She wants to be a physicians assistant. Asked what one thing shed want to change in the world, she said, If I could change one thing it would be childhood hunger and thirst. No matter who you are, everyone should be nourished and well-fed.

The contest included four contestants. Other winners included:

Third runner-up: Ashley Lura, 18, who graduated from Central High School and plans to attend UW-Parkside majoring in business management and minor in art.

Second runner-up: Nina Scott, 16, a junior at Central High School who plans to follow her familys tradition and go into the Navy. She later wants to study to be a dermatologist. She sang, I Cant Help Falling in Love for the talent portion of the contest.

First runner-up and Miss Congeniality award winner: Haley Gorsuch, 18. She loves drawing and Disney, and plans to attend UW-Whitewater to study art education. She wants to be an art teacher.

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Progress of Finlay Park Renovation – WLTX.com

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AS WE SPEAK OF FINLEY PARK.....IT'S BEEN NEARLY A YEAR since a Colorado-based designer released plans to upgrade the place. But - since those changes were announced - nothing has really taken shape

Kayla Binette, wltx 11:15 PM. EDT July 07, 2017

Columbia officials are working to change the perception of Finlay Park. (Photo: WLTX)

Columbia, SC (WLTX) -- It's been nearly a year since a Colorado-based designer released plans to upgrade Finlay Park. But, since those plans were announced, nothing has really taken shape.

"I used to come here a lot, but now, it's just when they have the Movies in the Park," said NytashaGlenn-Bray.

Glenn-Bray said she doesn't bring her children to Finlay Park often because there are no playgrounds for them to enjoy and there's too much homelessness.

"You have some people out here, staring at kids, and I'm not too fond of that. It makes you a little paranoid," she said.

Last August, a designer from Citivas: Landscape Architecture Firm presented plans to restore the park to its former glory. The plans included a new multi-purpose building, a splash pad and rejuvenating the infamous fountain. The project would cost more than $20 million -- but one year later.

"Not much really is going on with Fnlay Park, other than we have decided that the $20 million project was too much for the park at this time," said Councilman Howard Duvall.

Councilman Duvall said the city is looking to spend $10 million on the project.

"We need to shore up the fountain and the walls. We need to make sure it's safe," he said.

Duvall said he doesn't know why the design firm has not come back with an alternate, more affordable, plan.

"I need direction. That's the simple way to put it," said Mark Johnson, the designer.

According to Johnson, he has not been contacted by the city to make a plan that will cost $10 million.

"If the mayor called me up and said, 'Show us what we can do for $10 million', we can do that, but we just haven't been given that request," said Johnson.

Johnson said it's common for them to design a plan, but the city takes a few years before they're able to prioritize the funding.

If the renovations happen, Duvall hopes it becomes a destination spot for Columbia.

"It'll be a place you can go without the concerns. It'll just live up to the dream of Kirk Finlay who envisioned that park many years ago."

Duvall said they are looking at different funding sources to come up with the $10 million.

2017 WLTX-TV

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U of M continues progress toward key goals – UMN News

Posted: at 4:05 am

What:University of Minnesota Board of Regents meeting When:9 a.m., Wednesday, July 12, 2017 Where:Sixth floor, McNamara Alumni Center, 200 Oak St. S.E., Minneapolis

Throughout the 2016-17 academic year, the University of Minnesota system continued to make positive gains toward the vast majority of measures in the University Progress Card, a robust tool used to track progress on high-level institutional goals.

Regents will receive the second annual update on Progress Card focus areas, adopted in October 2015, at their meeting next week.

The Progress Card outlines strategically measurable goals called Gold measures that establish an at-a-glance road map for the future. It also provides insights into important trends called Maroon measures that are a signal of institutional strength, but the University does not solely influence their progress.

While multi-year trends will develop as tracking continues, several Gold measures had year over year gains. These include, among others:

Among the Maroon measures with positive trends are the 3-year graduation rate for Twin Cities campus transfer students (62.4%), lowering of the median undergraduate debt at graduation for students system-wide by .5 percent or $131, and 17 percent more Minnesota Innovation (MN-IP) agreements (81).

Were encouraged that the great majority of Progress Card measures are moving in the right direction, said President Eric Kaler. Tracking our progress in this way makes a meaningful difference and it helps document the undeniable upward trajectory of the University toward increased excellence.

More alumni, more engagement With 571,000 alumni system-wide, the Universitys Alumni Association (UMAA) serves as a key connector between graduates and their alma mater.

In their annual update to the Board, UMAA leaders will outline how alumni engage with the U of M through a variety of experiences, including the growing corporate alumni networks. Presenters will also highlight the positive effect alumni have on the Universitys mission, and discuss plans to further strengthen engagement in the coming year.

The Board will also: Receive an annual update on Gopher Athletics. Among the areas Athletics Director Mark Coyle will highlight are student-athlete academic success, athletic accomplishments, the departments budget, facilities and fundraising. Discuss UMore Park. Regents will consider the first planned sale of land for residential development, including the parcel size and general timeline to complete the sale, among other updates. Recognize retiring Rochester campus Chancellor Stephen Lehmkuhle and introduce new University leaders, including Crookston campus Chancellor Mary Holz-Clause, Vice President of Information Technology and CIO Bernard Gulacheck and Humphrey School of Public Affairs Dean Laura Bloomberg.

The full Board meeting is scheduled to begin at 9 a.m. Regents will hold their summer retreat immediately following. More information, including meeting times and locations, can be found on the Regents website.

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Thai police say they made progress in ivory trade crackdown – McClatchy Washington Bureau

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McClatchy Washington Bureau
Thai police say they made progress in ivory trade crackdown
McClatchy Washington Bureau
Efforts by Thailand's government to curb sales of ivory have been successful following criticism of widespread trafficking in the country, police and conservationists said. Police announced Friday that since January, officials have seized two elephant ...

and more »

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Review: Paranoia thriller It Comes At Night is impressively tense and … – Norfolk Eastern Daily Press

Posted: at 4:02 am

PUBLISHED: 08:49 07 July 2017

Michael Joyce

Joel Edgerton as Paul in It Comes At Night. Picture: A24

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It Comes At Night (15)

****

As the title suggests, this is a scary film; it just isnt the scary film that the title suggests.

A virulent contagion, which manifests as pus-filled boils, has swept the globe, pitting neighbours against one another for survival in Trey Edward Shults slow-burning psychological thriller.

Paul (Joel Edgerton) and his wife Sarah (Carmen Ejogo) decide to ride out the storm with their son Travis (Kelvin Harrison Jr) by living in a fortified shack in the middle of the woods, monitoring each other for signs of infection.

One night, the family wakes to noises in the house and Paul realises to his horror that someone or something from the outside has gate-crashed the sanctuary.

This is a reflection on the great myth of survivalism. Edgerton has barricaded his family away and behind a locked red door, the rest of the world is a great unknown.

Its like 10 Cloverfield Lane, but with reasonable people, trying to deal reasonably with an unreasonable situation. Its impressively tense and the air of paranoia is magnificently sustained, with a minimum of incidents. The music score by Brian McOmber works wonders and the nighttime scenes of lamplight against wood panelling are ineffably creepy.

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Review: Paranoia thriller It Comes At Night is impressively tense and ineffably creepy – Norwich Evening News

Posted: at 4:02 am

PUBLISHED: 08:49 07 July 2017

Michael Joyce

Joel Edgerton as Paul in It Comes At Night. Picture: A24

Archant

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To send a link to this page you must be logged in.

It Comes At Night (15)

****

As the title suggests, this is a scary film; it just isnt the scary film that the title suggests.

A virulent contagion, which manifests as pus-filled boils, has swept the globe, pitting neighbours against one another for survival in Trey Edward Shults slow-burning psychological thriller.

Paul (Joel Edgerton) and his wife Sarah (Carmen Ejogo) decide to ride out the storm with their son Travis (Kelvin Harrison Jr) by living in a fortified shack in the middle of the woods, monitoring each other for signs of infection.

One night, the family wakes to noises in the house and Paul realises to his horror that someone or something from the outside has gate-crashed the sanctuary.

This is a reflection on the great myth of survivalism. Edgerton has barricaded his family away and behind a locked red door, the rest of the world is a great unknown.

Its like 10 Cloverfield Lane, but with reasonable people, trying to deal reasonably with an unreasonable situation. Its impressively tense and the air of paranoia is magnificently sustained, with a minimum of incidents. The music score by Brian McOmber works wonders and the nighttime scenes of lamplight against wood panelling are ineffably creepy.

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Review: Paranoia thriller It Comes At Night is impressively tense and ineffably creepy - Norwich Evening News

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