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Daily Archives: June 10, 2017
Caribbean must press ahead with adaptation to climate change – South Florida Caribbean News
Posted: June 10, 2017 at 7:26 pm
Despite US announcement of withdrawal from Paris Accord
MIAMI A grouping of representatives of the Caribbean American and US private sector, non-government organizations and regional governments has urged that the Caribbean region, while disappointed with Americas withdrawal from the Paris Accord, use this development to generate greater enthusiasm among Caribbean populations to move ahead with enhanced measures for adaptation to climate change.
The meeting identified among the possible enhanced measures greater collaboration among stakeholders to include the business sector, intensified public education programs on environmental issues, the establishment of a US/Caribbean Sea Council and strategic use of social media as a means of fundraising so as to be able to execute relevant programs.
The roundtable was put on by Americas Relief Team (ART), Institute of Caribbean Studies (ICS) and the Guyanese American Chamber of Commerce (GCAA) and hosted by Serfaty Law P.A. to commemorate United Nations World Oceans Day which is celebrated each year on June 8.
The discussions focused on preservation of the Caribbean Sea and the Atlantic Ocean which spans much of the geographic space of the Caribbean Community (CARICOM), including Guyana and Surinam in South America and Belize in Central America.
In welcoming participants host Charles Serfaty said that the roundtable is being held at a critical juncture and pointed out that world ocean assets are valued at some $24 trillion (US) with an extra US 2.5 trillion annually from the goods and services derived from the oceans.
He pointed out that while the value of the assets and goods and services from the Caribbean Sea and Atlantic Ocean might not have been assessed, we are well aware of their critical importance to the economic well being of the nations and people of the Caribbean.
Chairman of the event, Wesley Kirton in his remarks pointed to the possible adverse effects climate change through sea level rise would have on CARICOM member states and the wider Caribbean noting that these would impact women and children the most.
Todays event is intended to remind everyone of the importance of the Caribbean Sea and the Atlantic Ocean to everyday life in the Caribbean and to generate ideas and recommendations for the sustainable management of these bodies of water as well as the need for measures that would help us best adapt to climate change, Kirton said.
President of he Washington-DC based Institute of Caribbean Studies (ICS) Dr. Claire Nelson pointed to the importance of the blue economy to the Caribbean region and the need for heightened recognition of the benefits this economy brings to life in the region.
Against this backdrop Dr. Nelson recommended that efforts be made to put in place a US/Caribbean Sea Council that would include all stakeholders. She also pointed to the need for the Caribbean private sector in the region to play a more active role in developing the blue economy.
Dr. Teo Babun, president and chief executive officer of Americas Relief Team (ART) referenced changing weather patterns caused by climate change which is resulting in extreme conditions including flooding, long dry spells and hurricanes in the Caribbean and Central America.
He said these conditions are negatively impacting the lives of millions of people but resources have dwindled due to budget cuts, as well as the allocation of resources to Africa where much larger numbers have been affected.
Dr. Babun stressed the need for new approaches to resource mobilization and endorsed the suggestion of Ms. Demzy Gueits of Serfaty Law that greater use be made of social media to raise funding for programs and projects in support of climate change adaptation.
Ms. Gueits pointed out that through social media millions of individuals, businesses and organizations can be reached to solicit support for these efforts. She noted that the younger generation has concerns about the environment and would be willing to contribute to such efforts.
Robert Hans, managing partner of IOS Partners told the meeting that US President Donald Trumps recent withdrawal announcement from the Paris Accord should not daunt the spirits of activists and stakeholders but should be used as a call to action to intensify efforts to prepare to effectively address the consequences of climate change.
Hans identified the need for closer collaboration and coordination among stakeholders as they seek to identify strategies and implement projects designed to cushion the worse effects of climate change.
Hanssaid the private sector in both the US and the Caribbean should play a bigger role by supporting research to enhance the blue economy as well as public education programs on preservation of the environment that would appeal to various sections of the population, including children.
Speakers and other participants at the roundtable to commemorate United Nations World Oceans Day.
The chairman of Guyanas Civil Aviation Authority (GCAA) Larry London told participants that his country has been working to limit greenhouse gas emissions from aircraft serving the Guyana market. He said that new laws and regulations will form part of an aviation master plan which will be developed over the next year.
London said that Guyanas President David Granger has committed to developing a green economy notwithstanding ExxonMobils oil and gas discoveries. He also pointed to Guyanas commitment to working with the regional and wider international communities through its Low Carbon Development Strategy and its Iwokrama Rainforest Project.
Recommendations emanating from Thursdays meeting are expected to form part of the discussions later this month in Washington, DC during Legislative Week which is part of the Caribbean Heritage Month observance.
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McDonough festival to showcase Caribbean culture June 17 – Henry Herald
Posted: at 7:26 pm
McDONOUGH The 7th McDonough Caribbean Cultural Festival 2017 will bring Caribbean culture to Alexander Park next Saturday.
Hosted by the Caribbean Association of Georgia Inc., the free event will feature Caribbean-themed music and entertainment, food, prizes, a childrens area, vendors, games, a talent showcase, free medical screenings and more.
Chris Scott, president of the Caribbean Association, said the festival will allow families to experience Caribbean culture in an open environment, in recognition of June as national Caribbean Heritage Month.
The festival is a part of helping people enjoy and understand Caribbean culture and celebrating their contributions to the community, said Scott.
Scott said the festival serves as a fundraiser for things the group does in the community and around the world, such as feeding veterans and the homeless, providing high school scholarships, mission trips and providing homeowner and immigration workshops.
The city of McDonough has partnered with the festival for five years. District 2 Councilwoman Sandra Vincent said the citys willingness to partner with the Caribbean Association stems from the Associations charitable acts.
So this is one way for the city to help indirectly with humanitarian efforts. We thought it would be a good thing to do, Vincent said.
Vincent added that the festival also supports the citys diverse population.
We have a huge Caribbean population in McDonough. One of our goals as a city is to try to be representative of the diversity of our community, and this is just one of the ways to do that, said Vincent.
The festival will be held from 1 to 8 p.m. June 17 at Alexander Park, 300 Atlanta St. in McDonough.
Attendees are encouraged to bring blankets and lawn chairs.
For sponsorship or vendor information, call 404-858-4260 or 678-902-4224.
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New Pride Events In The Caribbean Reflect Acceptance And Visibility – NewNowNext
Posted: at 7:26 pm
by Bryan van Gorder 6/9/2017
The Caribbean is a perennial hotspot for vacationers who seek tropical climes, pristine beaches, and relaxed, island culture. However, LGBT travelers seeking sunny skies and a warm welcome might find themselves left out in the cold on some islands.
Of the 28 island nations that inhabit the Caribbean, nine currently criminalize same-sex sexual relations, particularly between men. In Jamaica, homophobia had become so pervasive that a 2006 Time magazine article questioned if it were The Most Homophobic Place on Earth?, a mantle it has not entirely been able to shed despite a follow up piece in 2015 remarking on the countrys improvements.
Of course, there are some havens friendly to LGBT travelers. In most cases, these bright spots are former commonwealths or current territories of the U.S., the U.K., France, or the Netherlands. St. Barthlemy (a.k.a. St. Barts), the U.S. Virgin Islands, and St. Martin/St. Maarten are all welcoming destinations.
That does not always translate to progressive attitudes toward the islands own citizens, however. Catholicism has a strong foothold in the Caribbean with nearly 60% of the regions population identifying with the Church. Same-sex marriage, adoption rights, and protections from discrimination based on sexual orientation or gender identity are rare, only occurring in territories and commonwealths where required by law.
Despite all this, attitudes may be shifting, perhaps evidenced by a handful of Pride events starting to appear on the more populated islands.
For instance, CHIC Punta Cana, a resort located on Uvero Alto beach in the Dominican Republic, has announced its plans to host Caribbean Pride, September 16-23. They have already enlisted Torontos Female Delusionist, Miss Conception (above), and New York DJ, Johnny Dynell have already been confirmed to perform.
We are proud to join in the annual pride celebrations that take place all around the world, said Managing Director of Blue Diamond Resorts, Jordi Pelfort, in a statement. Its the perfect time for us to show the global LGBT community were standing alongside them, and we want to give everyone a welcoming and inclusive experience. Last month, Havana celebrated its fourth annual Day Against Homophobia (IDAHO). The two-week event headlined by Cuban superstar, singer Haila Mompie, included symposiums, lectures, films, art exhibits, and live theatre.
The Cuban governments relatively progressive stance on LGBT issues are due, in large part, to activist Mariela Castro-Espin. A straight ally, Castro-Espin is daughter of President Raul Castro (and niece of Fidel Castro) and has been the director of the Cuban National Center for Sex Education (CENESEX) in Havana, which has led the charge on campaigning for LGBT rights and HIV prevention. HBO recently produced the documentary, Mariela Castros March: Cubas LGBT Revolution (above), about her.
Photo by David Gasser/LatinContent/Getty Images
PRIDE Puerto Rico, will take place in San Juan on June 25, starting at 11:00 a.m. The march originates in Parque del Indio in the Condado area and proceeds to Parque del Tercer Milenio at the entrance of Old San Juan. Vanessa Fox, Sofia Loreins, and Bam Bam Le Blanc, among others, are scheduled to perform. Curaao, an island nation located 30 miles off the coast of Venezuela, held its historic first Pride event last year. Its sophomore outing is scheduled to take place September 28-October 1 with events that include the Navigaytion Sea Parade and a Pride Beach Party.
Bryan van Gorder usually writes about the places he's been or the famous people forced to talk to him.
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Visit the Caribbean island that A-list celebrities love and it’ll cost less than you’d expect – The Sun
Posted: at 7:26 pm
THEY say everyones famous for 15 minutes but if youve got 43,000 in your account, you can live like the rich and famous for two weeks every year.
The ultra-exclusive Royal Westmoreland estate in Barbados where Wayne and Coleen Rooney, Joe Calzaghe and Andrew Flintoff own sprawling homes is inviting people to live the showbiz life by offering the chance to buy two weeks (or more) in one of their multi-million pound homes at a fraction of the full price.
The golfing resort, where holidaymakers pay upwards of 25,000 for a week in the Rooneys seven-bedroom villa, boasts one of the poshest addresses in the Caribbean and the views complete with monkeys jumping from palm tree to palm tree are divine.
Sir Cliff Richard, Denise van Outen and Gary Lineker are all regulars in the swish clubhouse or on the tennis courts.
I saw stars from Made In Chelsea sipping cocktails at the laidback Mullins Beach Bar, and Jeremy Clarkson and James May were spotted drinking their famous rum punches a few days later.
Its easy to see what draws the in-crowd to the sun-drenched island.
Barbados is around 300 square miles of breathtaking contrasts, with the Atlantic Ocean sending waves crashing against the rugged cliffs of the less-populated east coast, less than an hours drive away.
While fine dining restaurants and trendy cocktail bars abound, one of the highlights of any week spent in Barbados is a Friday night at Oistins Fish Fry, where locals, celebrities and tourists head for the ultimate street food experience and rub shoulders late into the night.
Delivered from the tiny boats that drop anchor just a few feet away, fish really doesnt come any fresher than from these makeshift market stalls.
And if youve spent the day in the turquoise sea as I did, swimming with turtles and sipping mojitos mixed by the Cool Runnings catamaran captain, a no-frills plate of grilled mahi-mahi and mouthwatering macaroni pie completes what could well be the perfect day.
But while the Fish Fry might be one of Rihannas favourite nights out, the eye-wateringly expensive The Cliff is the number one spot on the celebrity circuit.
We went for drinks at the recently opened Cliff Beach Club an achingly-cool addition where the prices are more reasonable and you can dance the night away under a canopy of cream sails and glitterballs as fish swim up to the decking below.
Foodies should also take in magical Tides restaurant in Holetown the favourite haunt of Royal Westmorelands owner, John Morphet.
He has already started building homes on a 500-acre plot next to his own sprawling estate, which will also accommodate a second world-class golf course.
He said: Barbados is probably the friendliest place on earth and the special thing about Royal Westmoreland is that it doesnt matter if youre a billionaire businessman, pop star or just a regular family here on holiday.
You enjoy exactly the same treatment and that makes it an incredibly relaxed and special place to be.
I want more people to experience that.
Some of the new properties he is building will offer a surprisingly affordable way of owning a luxury home.
Shares in a fabulous four-bedroom Royal Palm Villa, complete with infinity pool and golf buggy for nipping to and from the estates popular rum shack, start from 81,000 for two weeks in low season every year for life.
The only problem I can see is that a fortnight just isnt long enough.
WHILE we dont all have the spending power of Wayne and Coleen Rooney, it is still possible to enjoy a fabulous Barbadian break on a much more down-to-earth budget.
As the endless pictures of the footballer and his offspring show, Barbados fabulous beaches are open to all.
Whether you are splashing out 25,000 a week renting an eight-bedroom villa or enjoying the more humble pleasure of a 3H hotel away from the coast, everyone gets to enjoy the soft white sands.
The western coast beaches are best for classic Caribbean scenery and gentle waves.
Mullins Beach is one of the most popular with a shack behind it selling beer, rum and ice cream.
The rather more upmarket Mullins Beach Bar is a great place to watch the sun set over a more substantial meal.
Also on the west coast, Gibbes Beach is a little bit of a starspotters gem.
Fringed by mega mansions, you may share the 300-yard arc of soft sand with villa owners such as Michael Flatley.
But to truly mix with the locals, head down to Miami Beach, also known as Enterprise Beach, outside the fishing village of Oistins.
Getty Images
Barbadians gather here at weekends and at sunrise and sunset to jog along the sand.
Its not great for swimming as the main beach can attract the rolling surf and bigger waves but enjoying a Bajan fishcake from Mr Delicious Snack Bar is a must.
If you want to splash out on one mega-meal while youre on the island, head to The Cliff on the west coast where you can spot manta rays swimming under the impossibly romantic terrace.
Also popular with the stars but surprisingly welcoming for all is Daphnes right on Paynes Bay Beach offering classic Italian favourites with a Caribbean twist.
Rooney and his family are often seen enjoying the incredible watersports on offer from the islands beaches.
Spyswatersports.com offers flyboard and hoverboard rentals, as well as waterskiing and paddle boards.
For a more relaxed way to enjoy the crystal clear waters, check out Cool Runnings (coolrunningsbarbados.com) which offers a variety of cruises, giving you the chance to either chill with a cocktail as the sun sets, swim with sea turtles or snorkle a shipwreck with colourful tropical fish.
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Why Teekay Corporation and Teekay Offshore Partners Got Fried on Friday – Motley Fool
Posted: at 7:26 pm
Morgan Stanley just torpedoed these tanker stocks. What happened
Shares of Teekay Corporation (NYSE:TK) and of its Teekay Offshore Partners (NYSE:TOO) subsidiary are down 6.1% and 19.5%, respectively, as of 12:15 p.m. EDT.
This morning, investment banker Morgan Stanley cut its rating on both stocks from "equalweight" to "underweight."
Citing Teekay proper's "fragile ... liquidity," Morgan Stanleyhoned in on the even greater vulnerability of the Teekay subsidiary, warning that "TOO's balance sheet remains under stress as the company has large unfunded liabilities and a considerable portion of its cash flow is at risk as many of its offshore contracts come to expiration." To keep itself solvent, Morgan Stanley believes Teekay Offshore may be forced "to issue large amounts of new equity [to raise cash] to meet its obligations," diluting Teekay Corporation's stake in the stock -- and individual investors' stakes as well.
Image source: Getty Images.
It gets worse. Citing a "sum-of-the-parts" valuation of Teekay Corporation's "three daughters," and subtracting "the net liabilities at the parent level and after applying a 25% discount on the $251m net claims from TOO," Morgan Stanley believesTeekay Corporation itself is worth only $3 per share (half of what the stock sells for today), while Teekay Offshore is worth only $1.50 (barely half what its stock sells for).
So, what's the upshot for investors today? Both of these stocks have roughly 50% downside risk to them.
No wonder investors aren't sticking around to find out if Morgan Stanley is right.
Rich Smith has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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Sea Shepherd’s New Film Documents the Fight Against Offshore Oil in the Australian Bight – TheInertia.com
Posted: at 7:26 pm
The Inertia Contributing Writer
Southern right whales are at the center of the fight against offshore oil development in the Great Australian Bight. Photo: Sea Shepherd
'Operation Jeedara' Sea Shepherd from Fair Projects on Vimeo.
Within a year of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill which spewed 140 million gallons into the Gulf of Mexico the Australian government began greenlighting offshore oil drilling in the Great Australian Bight, a vast undeveloped bay on the continents southern coast.
The region is one of the last large remaining areas of marine wilderness on the planet, and a critical nursery for southern right whales, among other species. As the Great Australian Bight Alliance puts it: BIG OIL=BIG RISKS, and the group has mounted a campaign to prevent offshore drilling in waters it calls far rougher, far more remote and far riskier than the Gulf of Mexico.
Those efforts are the focus of Operation Jeedara, a forthcoming documentary by Sea Shepherd, the ocean conservation group, which debuted in Australia around Earth Day. The film premiered in the United States on World Ocean Day, June 8, at the Harmony Gold Preview House in Hollywood.
Weve got to protect these healthy intact marine ecosystems for our own survival on this planet, says Jeff Hansen, Director of ship operations for Sea Shepherd Global.
From the looks of the trailer, the film promises to be a powerful look at the lives human and otherwise that could be in jeopardy from offshore drilling in the region.
The bight supports an incredible number of sea life, including whales and marine mammals thanks to nutrient upwellings. Scientists estimate that around 85 percent of the species that live in the Great Australian Bight are found nowhere else on Earth, according to the alliance.
A spill on the scale of the Deepwater Horizon must never happen to the Bight whose clean and healthy waters support peoples lifestyles and local industries right across southern Australia, the Alliance says on its website. Coastal communities people from Western Australias southern coastlines, across the coasts and peninsulas of South Australia and Victoria, to the beaches of Tasmania value and rely on our clean oceans, beaches, islands, reefs and fisheries.
Appearing in the film alongside Sea Shepherd founder Paul Watson, will be a few recognizable faces from Hollywood: actors Holly Combs, Richard Dean Anderson and Cliff Simon.
Sea Shepherd is currently figuring out its distribution strategy, so be on the lookout for the film.
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BSEE doubles offshore oil lease time limits to one year | WorkBoat – WorkBoat (blog)
Posted: at 7:26 pm
A final regulation by the federal Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement doubles to one year the time offshore oil and gas operators will have to coordinate development operations and retain their leases in federal waters of the U.S. Outer Continental Shelf.
This rulemaking extends the time from 180 days to one year between production, drilling or well-reworking operations on a lease, said BSEE Director Scott Angelle. These additional months mean companies doing business on the Outer Continental Shelf will have more planning flexibility, which will help them be more cost efficient, create more jobs and maximize the economic benefit for the entire nation.
The change was mandated by Congress with the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2017 that became law in March. BSEE set to amending its regulations in response, and a notice of the final rule, titledOil and Gas and Sulphur Operations on the Outer Continental Shelf Lease Continuation Through Operations,was published in the June 9 issue of the Federal Register.
The extension of time also affects related BSEE guidance documents, such as NTL No. 2008-N09, and unitization agreements that follow a BSEE-approved model, the bureau said in announcing the rule adoption. BSEE plans to revise the relevant notices to reflect the extension of the 180-day requirement to one year, and encourages parties with existing unit agreements to consider revising those agreements to reflect the change.
The lease time extension comes as Trump administration officials promised sweeping reform and streamlining of permit processes, to expedite new transportation and energy infrastructure projects. At the Department of Transportation in Washington, D.C. Friday, DOT Secretary Elaine Chao and Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke appeared with President Trump to talk about permit reform.
Its a new Interior, we want to be a partnerwe are about to embark on one of the largest reorganizations in department history, said Zinke, whose agency is also looking to revamp how it manages offshore energy. Were going to change that because America wants action.
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High stakeson the high seas for Ben Ainslie in America’s Cup – The Times (subscription)
Posted: at 7:25 pm
Team will be back but future format unknown as Kiwis take stand against change
David Walsh, Chiefsportswriter, Bermuda
Walking through a back street at Bermudas Royal Naval Dockyard on Wednesday, not far from where Oracle Team USA have their gymnasium, it was easy to pick out Jimmy Spithill. He is Oracles skipper, and as he is a slave to the boxing ring they have erected one. His bouts with the teams tactician, Tom Slingsby, are said to be worth watching. They dont hold back.
Nor does Spithill when he stops to shoot the breeze. Seven years ago he became the youngest skipper to win the Americas Cup, and in 2013 he drove the Oracle-USA boat that overturned an 8-1 deficit against Team New Zealand in San Francisco. In this quiet back street you would take him for nothing more or less than a
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High stakeson the high seas for Ben Ainslie in America's Cup - The Times (subscription)
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African states band together to defeat crime on high seas | News24 – News24
Posted: at 7:25 pm
Yaound - A total of 19 African countries on Thursday launched an EU-funded network to tackle piracy, high seas robbery, kidnappings and human trafficking in the strategically important Gulf of Guinea.
The Gulf of Guinea interregional network (GOGIN) officially began operations after a ceremony in the Cameroon capital Yaounde.
"Nineteen African coastal nations, from Angola to Senegal, have begun working together to combat criminality at sea," said an official statement from the group.
The $9.8 million four-year initiative is designed to clamp down on maritime crime in a region where trafficking in both human beings and drugs is rife.
Adding to a raft of problems to solve in a zone stretching across some 6 000km are illegal fishing and oil theft.
Heading the GOGIN taskforce is retired French vice-admiral Jean-Pierre Labonne, who said the agreement followed "several months of fine-tuning with my African colleagues.
Peace and stability
"Our long-term aim is to support peace, stability and economic and human development throughout West and Central Africa," said Labonne, who vowed to spare no effort to ensure the project achieves tangible results.
He added that GOGIN would provide participating states with technical and logistical assistance to fight crime and to better exchange information among themselves.
The African states will also benefit from academic training modules and training exercises at sea with the goal of eventually overseeing such activities themselves.
The project will be implemented by Expertise France, a French international cooperation agency specialising in technology.
GOGIN has emerged from the Yaounde Process, a code of conduct adopted in 2013 following a regional summit on how to tackle illegal maritime activities in west and central Africa.
The GOGIN initiative adds to existing operations, including an interregional coordination centre in Yaounde to monitor the Gulf of Guinea, whose strategic position is bolstered by an abundance of natural resources.
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The future of caregiving: ‘good deaths’ and, of course, robots – MarketWatch
Posted: at 7:24 pm
Expect a caregiving environment rich in technology in the not-so-distant future. But along with that, therell be an emphasis on human connection to counter the devastating health effects of social isolation on older people.
In May, NextAvenue marked its fifth anniversary, but not with a look back. Instead, weve been trying to peer into the future for people 50 and older. We wanted learn how everything will change or not: living, learning, work, personal finance, health and now caregiving.
We received help on the caregiving front from three experts who have an eye on trends.
Demographically, well be facing hard realities in the next five to 10 years, says Ken Dychtwald, founder and CEO of the research and consulting firm AgeWave, and a 2016 Next AvenueInfluencer in Aging.
Therell be a handful of profound demographic shifts among them, a boomer generation with fewer children than their parents that will alter our capacity for caregiving, Dychtwald says. That will create great need and demand for alternate solutions.
The hope with the experimentation thats going on [now], is that well come up with better models that dont involve residential care for the disabled elderly in nursing homes, says John Haaga, director of the Division of Social and Behavior Research at the National Institute on Aging.
Technology will play a big role in helping people stay in their homes, says Laura Sands, professor at the Center for Gerontology at Virginia Tech and editor of a new journal, Innovation in Aging, published by the Gerontological Society of America. But well get more nuanced in our use of things like sensors and apps.
What I mean by that is that its not obtrusive. It doesnt violate basic principles of privacy and dignity, Sands says.
Those are the broad strokes. Now heres more on what our experts see as the future of caregiving in the next 5 years, 10 years and beyond:
Apps and online tools for family caregivers will be widely adopted, Sands says. Caregiving has already been inundated with tech gadgets. Whats been missing is a foundation of research and evidence to weed out the schlock from whats truly usable by older adults and their families and will lead to good caregiving or good health outcomes.
That evidence is more available now and tech tools known mostly in the research world will be entering the consumer market, Sands explains. She says: Theres really a lot of opportunity for entrepreneurs to use this evidence-based literature to start thinking about, How can I bring this into a cellphone environment?
Well be feeling the gap between lifespan and healthspan, says Dychtwald. Our health care system has done a pretty good job of keeping people alive longer, but not necessarily alive longer with health, he notes. Pair that with the demographics families with fewer children, families more geographically spread out and more women becoming primary breadwinners as well as having less capacity for the caregiving theyve traditionally done the lions share of and well be forced to redefine our goals, Dychtwald says. Instead of thinking only about how to improve long-term caregiving services and supports, well be looking for ways to prevent more people from needing them.
Well benefit at least a little bit from disease trends that are turning in the right direction, says Haaga. The worst fears about the growth of the population that has dementia and severe disabilities so far havent come true. Those populations are growing, but I think theyre growing slower than most people would have forecast 10 years ago, he notes. The percentage of the population developing Alzheimers disease is going down, Haaga says, but because the population of older adults overall is growing, the absolute number of Alzheimers cases is still on the rise.
Next-generation sensors will support caregivers and older adults who want to continue living at home, Sands says. Therell be better privacy checks to control who gets the information, she explains, and really deep thoughtfulness as to what is the information theyre collecting and why are they collecting it. Instead of gathering a massive amount of ongoing data about all of a persons movements in the house, for example, sensors will use logic checks built into their operating software to collect and store only the movementsthat seem like red flags.
Well get better at designing environments that dont prematurely drive people into dependency, Haaga believes. The universal design elements that make a home more accessible and user-friendly for those with physical limitations are one example of this. But Haaga is talking about community design as well. I predict that in 10 years, there will be no brick sidewalks in the United States. They will have been replaced by exposed aggregate that reduces fall risks, he says. He expects the car-centric suburban model of community planning to give way to plans that are more walkable and livable for nondrivers.
A good death will take priority over prolonging life, says Dychtwald. The social, emotional and financial costs of a stretched caregiving system will prompt us to look hard at our health care systems bias toward prolonging life even when prolonging it isnt what the dying person wants. Im not saying we should shorten peoples dying process unnaturally, thats a slippery slope, Dychtwald says. But many people will welcome a conversation about good deaththe idea of dying in a natural way without a lot of technology hooked up to you, in a comfortable setting, perhaps at home and not having it stretched out longer than nature would have it.
Mapping out highly individualized care pathways will become possible, says Sands. It will involvelayering together three things: 1) a persons genetic makeup and the tendencies that come with it for example, being a good or bad metabolizer of a certain drug; 2) metadata analyses of whole populations and the way specific health interventions tend to lead to certain kinds of outcomes and 3) apersons life and health preferences and goals.
The result will be the ability to predict just how effective a certain treatment will be in a patient and to make a care plan that the person is likely to stick with and benefit from. I think we have that opportunity in the future, but were still a ways off, Sands says, because it takes a lot of communication between technologists and clinicians.
Robots will share in caregiving, Haaga says. Not the high-touch and highly personal aspects of care, he adds, but for some of the physically difficult aspects of care. For example, we wont have to have home health care aides spraining their backs turning people over.
Haaga is also really optimistic about things like self-driving cars to help older adults overcome isolation and get out into the community. Dychtwald, on the other hand, has a different take and wants to see a driver in that car with the older adult.
Were going to have to become more comfortable with interdependence, Dychtwald says. Independence has been our goal for generations, and weve all learned to want our own houses, cars, bedrooms, TVs, phones and tech gadgets. But independence combined with aging creates a lot of isolation, Dychtwald says. In recognition of that problem, more of what we call senior housing, will be intergenerational in the future. Where families are scattered or dont exist, well create intentional communities like the village movement to stay connected, he says.
The thing about the Jetsons is they lived in a world with lots of cool technology, but what we liked was the family, Dychtwald adds. They were together in their bubble car.
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The future of caregiving: 'good deaths' and, of course, robots - MarketWatch
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