Daily Archives: February 4, 2015

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It's 2015. But sometimes it feels like our futuristic dreams are stuck in the 1950s and 60s. And there's actually a good reason for that.

The period between 1958 and 1963 might be described as a Golden Age of American Futurism, if not the Golden Age of American Futurism. Bookended by the founding of NASA in 1958 and the end of The Jetsons in 1963, these few years were filled with some of the wildest techno-utopian dreams that American futurists had to offer. It also happens to be the exact timespan for the greatest futuristic comic strip to ever grace the Sunday funnies: Closer Than We Think.

Jetpacks, meal pills, flying cars they were all there, beautifully illustrated by Arthur Radebaugh, a commercial artist based in Detroit best known for his work in the auto industry. Radebaugh would help influence countless Baby Boomers and shape their expectations for the future. The influence of Closer Than We Think can still be felt today.

How many of these visions of the future are we still waiting on?

Cars have made tremendous strides in fuel efficiency over the past half century. But we're still waiting for this sunray sedan a solar-powered car that was promised from no less an authority than a vice president at Chrysler.

People of the 1950s and 60s seemed to be obsessed with protecting their homes from the weather. Even if it meant literally living in a bubble, like this suburban utopia, which was protected from the elements by a giant, glass dome.

See the original post here:
42 Visions For Tomorrow From The Golden Age of Futurism

Are we hurtling towards technological dystopia, or a futuristic fantasy world in which our hardware and software innovations provide a human experience that excels in almost every way compared to that which we know today? Thats the basic question at the heart of Peter Nowaks Humans 3.0 , a survey of our technical development, which incorporates some futurism peering forward along the path leading to a potential Kurzweilean Singularity. Nowak deftly guides us to a complex, credible and positive conclusion throughout his book-length inquiry, but I still cant help but wonder if some of the answers he provides along the journey come too readily.

Novak, a Canadian technology journalist with a decades-long career and impressive publishing history, has created in Humans 3.0 something akin to an anti-venom for the kind of fear-mongering technophobic portrayals of robot-controlled, despotic human futures that tend to pervade a lot of sci-fi texts, and that all too-often find their way into news media accounts of developments in AI, robotics and general computing. The book presents a view of techs progress that is much more in keeping with what you might find on blogs like this one, where the audience is more inclined to take for granted that innovation and technological advancement are by definition positive outcomes. But it specifically doesnt take that for granted, and instead sets about building a case, supported by interviews from subject matter experts around the world, as well as information gleaned from a strong collection of studies.

Towards the end of the book, Nowak acknowledges that he set out with an overall optimism about technology and its overall beneficial effects on human progress, but ultimately the positivity of the books message surprises even the author, by his own admission. And as was his goal, Novak has indeed made a case that supports that message, and one that indeed proves useful for the books apparent audience, which struck me as likely a more general reader with an interest in consumer tech, but lacking a deep and pervasive knowledge. The historical survey and scene-setting Novak offers is interesting and useful even if youre already familiar with much of what hes discussing, but its structured such that readers lacking deep context shouldnt ever find themselves lost.

Optimism, in a book that tackles this subject matter that isnt already aimed at the tech faithful comes across as refreshing, genuine and convincing in Humans 3.0 . That convincing bit, though, at times owes more to Novaks skill with prose than to the facts on hand. In these instances, the book can feel a little like the musings of a technofuturistic Dr. Paingloss: All is for the best, after all, in this, the best of all possible evolutions of human scientific and technological progress.

Consider, for instance, Novaks answer to the valid concern regarding what humans will do as robots assume responsibility for more of the labor that once provided them jobs. In lieu of numbers to offer reassurances of newly created roles and opportunities, Novak indeed points to the fact that while The Great Recession has resulted in what qualifies as a recovery according to many economic measures, it still hasnt seen employment rates rise along the lines weve seen with previous recoveries. Novak concludes that this is in part because companies are doubling productivity without resorting to traditional producers, embracing technological solutions in stead.

Humans will eventually get over this setback, which Novak characterizes as temporary, simply by coming up with new things for people to do. Theres a lack of jobs mostly because we arent yet creative enough to come up with new ones. Entrepreneurship as a blanket human enterprise then gets the nod as the eventual source of new, rewarding gigs for those whove seen their old ones disappear.

For me, this point is less well-made than the others Novak brings up. It seems more like hand-waving, especially given the rigor of the rest of the argument made in Humans 3.0 . Which isnt to say its not a valid theory: Rather, it just seems much more like educated guesswork than anything else presented. Likewise, when social media is used toward the end of the book as an example of how we might come to think of humanity as a universal extended family, I couldnt help but want for at least a discussion of how its use can also result in extreme alienation, such as in the most aggressive forms of online trolling and cyber-bullying.

These criticisms dont undermine Novaks larger argument, however, even if I am left more skeptical of the conclusions of Humans 3.0 than Novak himself. The book has a clear bent, but it doesnt make that a secret, nor does it feel as though its purposefully obfuscating anything in order to make its points. Its also an extremely easy and pleasant read, which has clearly been thoroughly researched and which expertly weaves in a good number of well-chosen first-hand sources.

If youre at all interested in Kurzweil, the Singularity, initiatives like Googles Calico or visionary technologists like Elon Musk, Humans 3.0 provides an accessible, enjoyable starting point that avoids some of the fawning and complexity of other futurist texts. Im still not convinced about the certainty of the coming techno utopia, but Im far less sure Ill wind up enslaved to unfeeling robotic overlords.

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Humans 3.0 Paints Our Techno-Future As Very Bright