by: Michael Buresh Updated: Jul 16, 2017 - 10:00 AM <\/p>\n
July 16, 2017 - A large & strong upper low is over the W. Atlantic several hundred miles east\/northeast of the Bahamas - no tropical development expected.... <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Imagery below courtesy CIMMS shows a well established \"blob\" of African Saharan dust (orange & red) continues over the Central & especially E. Atlantic - an indication of dry air. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
The Gulf of Mexico... Caribbean & SW Atlantic... a tropical wave - '95L' - is 500+ miles east of the Lesser Antilles. There is some potential for long range development & hurricane hunter aircraft are scheduled to investigate this wave Mon. afternoon though the flight may very well be cancelled. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Spaghetti plots for wave '95L': <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Water vapor imagery: <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Surface analysis of the Gulf: <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Caribbean: <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Wind shear analysis - pretty harsh across the Central Atlantic & much of the Caribbean (typical for July): <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Tropical waves are moving off the coast of Africa but are not particularly impressive. The area is largely being held in check by the Saharan dust plume alluded to earlier.... & the \"popcorn\" type cloud cover from 10 to 30 degrees N (also visible in the 4 image from the top) is indicative of stable air. The overall environment for tropical cyclones over the deep tropics will become more conducive for tropical development the last 10-12 days of July, so the Central Atlantic will remain an area to watch. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
In the E. Pacific....powerful hurricane \"Fernanda\" is over open water & will move steadily northwest then bend more west with a weakening trend for much of the upcoming week well before reaching Hawaii. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
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"Talking the Tropics With Mike": Upper low northeast of the Bahamas - July 16th - ActionNewsJax.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" by: Michael Buresh Updated: Jul 16, 2017 - 10:00 AM July 16, 2017 - A large & strong upper low is over the W. Atlantic several hundred miles east\/northeast of the Bahamas - no tropical development expected.... Continue reading