{"id":187399,"date":"2017-04-12T08:53:27","date_gmt":"2017-04-12T12:53:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/limits-to-the-nonparametric-intuition-superintelligence-and-ecology-lifeboat-foundation-blog\/"},"modified":"2017-04-12T08:53:27","modified_gmt":"2017-04-12T12:53:27","slug":"limits-to-the-nonparametric-intuition-superintelligence-and-ecology-lifeboat-foundation-blog","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/superintelligence\/limits-to-the-nonparametric-intuition-superintelligence-and-ecology-lifeboat-foundation-blog\/","title":{"rendered":"Limits to the Nonparametric Intuition: Superintelligence and Ecology &#8211; Lifeboat Foundation (blog)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>    In a     previous essay, I suggested how we might do better with the    unintended consequences of superintelligence if, instead of    attempting to pre-formulate satisfactory goals or providing a    capacity to learn some set of goals, we gave it the intuition    that knowing all goals is not a practical possibility. Instead,    we can act with a modest confidence having worked to discover    goals, developing an understanding of our discovery processes    that allows asserting an equilibrium between the risk of doing    something wrong and the cost of work to uncover more    stakeholders and their goals. This approach promotes moderation    given the potential of undiscovered goals potentially    contradicting any particular action. In short, wed like a    superintelligence that applies the non-parametric intuition,    the intuition that we cant know all the factors but can    partially discover them with well-motivated trade-offs.  <\/p>\n<p>    However, Ive come to the perspective that the non-parametric    intuition, while correct, on its own can be cripplingly    misguided. Unfortunately, going through a discovery-rich design    process doesnt promise an appropriate outcome. It is possible    for all of the apparently relevant sources not to reflect    significant consequences.  <\/p>\n<p>    How could one possibly do better than accepting this    limitation, that relevant information is sometimes not present    in all apparently relevant information sources? The answer is    that, while in some cases it is impossible, there is always the    background knowledge that all flourishing is grounded in    material conditions, and that staying grounded in these    conditions is one way to know that important design information    is missing and seek it out. The Onion article Mans    Garbage To Have Much More Significant Effect On Planet Than He    Will is one example of a common failure at living in a    grounded way.  <\/p>\n<p>    In other words, staying grounded means recognizing that just    because we do not know all of the goals informing our actions    does not mean that we do not know any of them. There are some    goals that are given to us by the nature of how we are embedded    in the world and cannot be responsibly ignored. Our continual    flourishing as sentient creatures means coming to know and care    for those systems that sustain us and creatures like us. A    functioning participation in these systems at a basic level    means we should aim to see that our inputs are securely    supplied, our wastes properly processed, and the supporting    conditions of our environment maintained.  <\/p>\n<p>    Suppose that there were a superintelligence where individual    agents have a capacity as compared to us such that we are as    mice are to us. What might we reasonably hope from the agents    of such an intelligence? My hope is that these agents are    ecologists who wish for us to flourish in our natural lifeways.    This does not mean that they leave us all to our own preserves,    though hopefully they will see the advantage to having some    unaltered wilderness in which to observe how we choose to live    left to our own devices. Instead, we can be participants in    patterned arrangements aimed to satisfy our needs in return for    our engaged participation in larger systems of resource    management. By this standard, our human systems might be found    wanting by many living creatures today.  <\/p>\n<p>    Given this, a productive approach to developing    superintelligence would not only be concerned with its    technical creation, but also by being in the position to    demonstrate how all can flourish through good stewardship,    setting a proper example for when these systems emerge and are    trying to understand what goals should be like. We would also    want the facts of its and our material conditions readily    apparent, so that it doesnt start from a disconnected and    disembodied basis.  <\/p>\n<p>    Overall, this means that in addition to the capacity to    discover more goals, it would be instructive to supply this    superintelligence with a schema of describing the relationships    and conditions under which current participants flourish, as    well as the goal to promote such flourishing whenever the means    are clear and circumstances indicate such flourishing will not    emerge of its own accord. This kind of information technology    for ecological engineering might also be useful for our own    purposes.  <\/p>\n<p>    What will a superintelligence take as its flourishing? It is    hard to say. However, hopefully it will find sustaining,    extending, and promoting the flourishing of the ecology that    allowed its emergence as a inspiring, challenging, and creative    goal.  <\/p>\n<p><!-- Auto Generated --><\/p>\n<p>Go here to see the original: <\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2017\/04\/limits-to-the-nonparametric-intuition-superintelligence-and-ecology\" title=\"Limits to the Nonparametric Intuition: Superintelligence and Ecology - Lifeboat Foundation (blog)\">Limits to the Nonparametric Intuition: Superintelligence and Ecology - Lifeboat Foundation (blog)<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> In a previous essay, I suggested how we might do better with the unintended consequences of superintelligence if, instead of attempting to pre-formulate satisfactory goals or providing a capacity to learn some set of goals, we gave it the intuition that knowing all goals is not a practical possibility. Instead, we can act with a modest confidence having worked to discover goals, developing an understanding of our discovery processes that allows asserting an equilibrium between the risk of doing something wrong and the cost of work to uncover more stakeholders and their goals. This approach promotes moderation given the potential of undiscovered goals potentially contradicting any particular action.  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/superintelligence\/limits-to-the-nonparametric-intuition-superintelligence-and-ecology-lifeboat-foundation-blog\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[187765],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-187399","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-superintelligence"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187399"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=187399"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187399\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=187399"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=187399"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=187399"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}