Photo by Jim McIsaac\/Getty Images <\/p>\n
Theres a full afternoon of baseball goodness on tap for Wednesday, but this article will be focused on the games taking place this evening. Why? Because I said so. Thats why. <\/p>\n
Were 28-17 (+10.3u) on MLB article plays so far this season. Lets dive in and find some winners. <\/p>\n
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One of my golden rules of gambling in 2024 has been to never trust the Blue Jays to score runs. Its not hard to see why thats the case. Thanks primarily to disappointing seasons from Bo Bichette, George Springer and Justin Turner, Toronto has been underwhelming with the bats all year long. Specific to June, the Blue Jays rank 28th in ISO (.111) and 27th in wRC+ (81). Not great. <\/p>\n
However, tonights matchup on the mound doesnt exactly set up like a pitchers duel despite some name value. Kevin Gausman has been absolutely putrid toeing the rubber at Rogers Centre this season, registering a 6.44 ERA and allowing opponents to combine for a massive .391 wOBA. In general, Gausmans fastball velocity is down (93.6) and his barrel rate is a career-high 10.8%. Thats how a perennial Cy Young candidate is suddenly sporting an ugly 4.98 xERA. The Red Sox, who own a AL-best .368 wOBA since June 1, should be able to hit the RHP and put up some crooked numbers. If not, Boston will at least get to Torontos beat-up bullpen, which is in possession of baseballs highest FIP (4.93). <\/p>\n
Id be remiss if I also didnt mention the struggles of Brayan Bello. The 25-year-old has had his issues the past month, pitching to a robust 6.89 ERA and 5.01 FIP across his last six starts. Its a stretch of time where opponents are slashing a cool .302\/.381\/.481 off the right-hander. As stated above, its hard to project too much from the Jays lineup, but they should be able to scratch out a few runs versus Bello. <\/p>\n
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While I know the circumstances surrounding Coles start this evening, it is odd to see the reigning AL Cy Young winners strikeout prop set at such a modest number. For context, Coles managed at least six strikeouts in 47 of his last 66 regular season starts. That means hes exceeded this total a whopping 71.2% of the time since the beginning of 2022. Honestly, with Cole in possession of a 33.4% strikeout rate dating back to 2018, its almost surprising hes failed to hit this over even once. <\/p>\n
The 33-year-old looked like his usual self in his three rehab outings in the minors, even striking out 10 of the 16 batters he faced in a Triple-A start last Friday. In total, Cole threw 70 pitches that night in Rochester, meaning hes likely built up to throw 80-to-85 pitches on Wednesday in the Bronx. As for his matchup, Baltimore ranks inside the top 10 in both strikeout rate (23.7%) and swinging strike rate (11.8%) over the last two weeks. The Orioles can swing it with the best teams in baseball, yet they are not impervious to a whiff every now and then. <\/p>\n
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MLB Picks Today: Baseball Best Bets, Predictions, Odds on DraftKings Sportsbook for June 19 - DraftKings<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Photo by Jim McIsaac\/Getty Images Theres a full afternoon of baseball goodness on tap for Wednesday, but this article will be focused on the games taking place this evening. Why? Continue reading